id stringlengths 36 36 | source stringclasses 15
values | formatted_source stringclasses 13
values | text stringlengths 2 7.55M |
|---|---|---|---|
111d485d-bfa5-4657-9dce-231e1862e891 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Are men harder to help?
Of Boys and Men is a new book about how the outcomes of American men and boys are lagging in several ways. Most of it concerns aggregate trends that are irrefutable, such as the gender gap in college graduation. But books like these are often useful for testable hypotheses rather than reliable ... |
8c5fd4ba-495b-410f-a051-76bfeb3489bb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Metaculus's New Sidebar Helps You Find Forecasts Faster
Metaculus features over 8,000 forecast questions. We’ve introduced a new sidebar to make it easy to find and focus on the ones you care about most.
Click narrower news topics like ‘2024 US Elections’ or broader question categories like ‘Distant Future’ to filte... |
ec91febd-c8d5-493e-9f9b-9fac12f78889 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Hogwarts Guide to Citizenship
Those engaged with questions of how to make the world a better place are probably all too familiar with the infighting that occurs among people who are on the same side of a political issue because of differences in methodology. Among those concerned about AI x-risk, for example, Pause... |
a7fb32b5-22ac-40d2-9e37-9f3226d6c1c3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Touch reality as soon as possible (when doing machine learning research)
**TL;DR:** *I think new machine learning researchers often make one of two kinds of mistakes: not making enough contact with reality, and being too reluctant to form gears-level models of ML phenomena. Stereotypically, LW/AF researchers tend to m... |
454a45ae-4443-40e7-b619-f6894ca14bd7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How well can the GPT architecture solve the parity task?
Suppose I give it pairs of strings and ask it to output 1 if the the number of 1s in the string is even and zero if it's odd.
e. g.
0 -> 0
1 -> 1
11 -> 0
101 -> 0
1101-> 1
10101001 -> 0
111000101110 -> 1
How well does it do on this task? What if we fine... |
86a92417-ab29-4756-8375-5f0407509c1e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Enjoying musical fashion: why not?
I just downloaded the latest Radiohead album, and I love it.
Thinking back, I started listening to Radiohead years ago when I found out that some of the cool kids in school were into it. With all the hype about the new album, the status/fashion processors in my brain going to ensure... |
02ca21ba-806e-44dd-8906-424aea473743 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | New report: “Leó Szilárd and the Danger of Nuclear Weapons”
Today we release a new report by Katja Grace, “**[Leó Szilárd and the Danger of Nuclear Weapons: A Case Study in Risk Mitigation](https://intelligence.org/files/SzilardNuclearWeapons.pdf)**” (PDF, 72pp).
Leó Szilárd has been cited as an example of someone w... |
a3360530-e260-4771-9add-12da70ade328 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Soft optimization makes the value target bigger
Produced As Part Of The SERI ML Alignment Theory Scholars Program 2.1, mentored by John Wentworth.
Summary
We can solve Goodhart's Curse by making the agent (1) know the reliability of its goal representation and (2) cap the amount of optimization power devoted to achi... |
801304f5-7f92-42ce-b977-b203115157f2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Israel Less Wrong Meetup - Social and Board Games
Discussion article for the meetup : Israel Less Wrong Meetup - Social and Board Games
WHEN: 06 March 2014 07:00:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: google tel aviv
We're going to have a meetup on Thursday, March 6th at Google Israel's offices, Electra Tower, 98 Yigal Alon ... |
388339a3-3f82-4168-bbfc-6b26f6f6dc17 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Levels of communication
Communication fails when the participants in a conversation aren't talking about the same thing. This can be something as subtle as having slightly differing mappings of verbal space to conceptual space, or it can be a question of being on entirely different levels of conversation. There are at... |
b32e974b-fb08-46b9-b6aa-722662c78c7a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Simulacrum 3 As Stag-Hunt Strategy
Reminder of the rules of Stag Hunt:
* Each player chooses to hunt either Rabbit or Stag
* Players who choose Rabbit receive a small reward regardless of what everyone else chooses
* Players who choose Stag receive a large reward if-and-only-if everyone else chooses Stag. If even ... |
5a3fbd1b-b800-494d-99cb-864e000da8f4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Linkpost] diffusion magnetizes manifolds (DALL-E 2 intuition building)
In trying to make sense of why diffusion works so well, I explored three complementary models related to magnetism, Hansel & Gretel, and landing airplanes. |
d3628c08-cfe2-4f67-b30f-4ba12b0f9cce | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | I attempted the AI Box Experiment again! (And won - Twice!)
Summary
Update #3: I have since played two more experiment. Please read this for a follow-up.
So I just came out of two AI Box experiments. The first was agaist Fjoelsvider, with me playing as Gatekeeper, and the second was against SoundLogic, with me a... |
7d20b2ba-fea5-4d0d-ae7a-00d508cb8a57 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | IRL 3/8: Mitigating degeneracy: feature matching
Every Monday for 8 weeks, we will be posting lessons about Inverse Reinforcement Learning. This is lesson 3.
Note that access to the lessons requires creating an account here.
This lesson comes with the following supplementary material:
FeaturizationSupport Vector Ma... |
a96a2f70-075b-4aff-a404-65dc2e0bf5ed | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | You can remove GPT2’s LayerNorm by fine-tuning for an hour
This work was produced at Apollo Research, based on initial research done at MATS.
Edit: arXiv version available at https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.13710
LayerNorm is annoying for mechanistic interpretability research (“[...] reason #78 for why interpretability re... |
f7b7de1f-5d31-4dec-88a1-adc1e29411da | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Kids Moving Pictures
When I went back to work after my leave with Lily I wanted to be able to show people pictures, so I set up a site that would show moving ones. As she got older, I added new sets, and I've since made pages for Anna and Nora:
I thought it would be neat to make another site, though, that aligns th... |
1231949e-85f8-4382-ae9f-1937295ffe66 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : West LA—The Worst Argument in the World
Discussion article for the meetup : West LA—The Worst Argument in the World
WHEN: 01 October 2014 07:00:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 11066 Santa Monica Blvd, Los Angeles, CA
How to Find Us: Go into this Del Taco. We will be in the back room if possible.
Parking is free in th... |
fbf5c24a-da00-44cd-b341-33a9a18e4b24 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Risks from Approximate Value Learning
Solving the value learning problem is (IMO) the key technical challenge for AI safety.
How good or bad is an approximate solution?
EDIT for clarity:
By "approximate value learning" I mean something which does a good (but suboptimal from the perspective of safety) job of learning ... |
98b559e9-e43d-4a92-98f7-7160aa72fc3c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My favorite Soviet songs
(All translations[1] here are mostly literal which means you miss out on the rhythm and rhyme of the poetry.)
Time Machine
Unusually for someone of my generation who has almost never been to Russia, I am a big fan of the Soviet rock band Машина Времени (Mashina Vremeni, literally means “Time... |
ec268f5f-0633-4d19-8257-c43828225f94 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Transformer Dynamics: a neuro-inspired approach to MechInterp
How do AI models work? In many ways, we know the answer to this question, because we engineered those models in the first place. But in other, fundamental, ways, we have no idea. Systems with many parts that interact with each other nonlinearly are hard to ... |
80792ccd-cd7a-4a12-bc46-ecccdbd5fc94 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy on AI ethics and superintelligence
The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy - pretty much the standard reference for surveys of philosophical topics - has a brand-new ("First published Thu Apr 30, 2020") article, "Ethics of Artificial Intelligence and Robotics". Section 2.10 is calle... |
e93bf58b-8269-4e80-b0fa-28c7645eef04 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Will working here advance AGI? Help us not destroy the world!
I often talk to developers who prefer not destroying the world by accident (specifically by accelerating AGI risk), but neither them nor me can decide if specific companies qualify for this.
Could someone knowledgable help? A few short replies could probab... |
ebafe1f6-86e3-456d-83a9-ed5f7410119e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : LessWrong Montreal - Social Resilience
Discussion article for the meetup : LessWrong Montreal - Social Resilience
WHEN: 21 January 2013 06:30:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: 655 Ave. Du President-Kennedy, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
The next weekly meeting of the Montreal LessWrong group, we're going to be working on imp... |
950a602c-6b7d-4edd-a860-aa5ea01e9110 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A simple approach to 5-and-10
To recap, A is trying to deduce enough about U to maximize it:
A := Find some f with a proof of "U = f(A)", then return argmax f.
If U is A, A can fail by proving f = {(5,5),(10,0)}: If it could prove this, it would be true, for only 5 is checked. Then by Löb's theorem, it can prove thi... |
7cd724a2-794a-467a-a4d4-26d39f4099c7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to not earn a delta (Change My View)
|
9f310140-52a4-41b3-ad94-a131800e594e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Conversations on Alcohol Consumption
Recently I have decided to stop drinking alcohol. Below are some conversations with two friends who are on similar paths. I decided to post these conversations because I am looking for as many perspectives as possible and the LessWrong community might have some insights. I will kee... |
f0fc5df4-a2b7-45cc-868b-36a70be3d650 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Should you work at a leading AI lab? (including in non-safety roles)
This post is a (slightly) edited cross-post of a new 80,000 Hours career review on working at a a leading AI lab. See EA Forum comments here.
Summary
Working at a leading AI lab is an important career option to consider, but the impact of any given... |
c6512036-da56-4509-8102-8184e3bbe464 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Wiki-Tag FAQ
This FAQ is specifically for the tagging system. For everything else, see the general FAQ.
The major sections of this FAQ are:
* General
* How Can I Help?
* Applying Tags
* Tag Voting
* Making Awesome Tags
Related important pages:
* Tags Talk/Discussion Thread
* Tag Grading Scheme
General
W... |
f70afed6-a1f8-4ce3-9448-416bdda7d360 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Does increasing peak typing speed help?
Is it worth learning to type faster? If – like me – basically what you do is type, this seems likely to be a pretty clear win, if you have any interventions that would improve it at all. Ryan Carey suggested a painful sounding intervention which improves maximum typing speed a l... |
53cb48e4-9440-48bb-9538-abf3ed684dc6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Gemini will bring the next big timeline update
There is a genre of LLM critique that criticises LLMs for being, well, LLMs.
Yann LeCun for example points to the inability of GPT-4 to visually imagine the rotation of interlocking gears as a fact that shows how far away AGI is, instead of a fact that shows how GPT-4 h... |
5fa3b99b-6407-43ed-ae48-1f9bffc21861 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sydney AI Safety Fellowship Review
The Sydney AI Safety Fellowship was a 7-week program with a coworking space, speakers, mentors and social activities. The idea was for each participant to have a "project", but only one had a research project, whilst the others simply dedicated their time towards figuring out their p... |
545f906f-fc66-47b8-a859-5041b8ace4ed | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reading Level of Less Wrong
Here's something to pick our collective spirits up:
According to Google's infallible algorithms, 20% of the content on LessWrong.com falls within the 'Advanced' reading level. For comparison, another well-known bastion of intelligence on the internets, Hacker News, only has 4% of it's cont... |
52d7bfcd-af2f-42fe-afac-d87db079bb26 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Sorry State of AI X-Risk Advocacy, and Thoughts on Doing Better
First, let me quote my previous ancient post on the topic:
> Effective Strategies for Changing Public Opinion
>
> The titular paper is very relevant here. I'll summarize a few points.
>
> * The main two forms of intervention are persuasion and fra... |
42ba1678-889d-432e-880a-3b3e0b60fd9b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Are there technical/object-level fields that make sense to recruit to LessWrong?
LessWrong is about learning rationality, and applying rationality to interesting problems.
An issue is that solving interesting problems often requires fairly deep technical knowledge of a field. To use rationality to help solving proble... |
1aca66f5-eddb-4668-8989-73d28d0e858d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Alignment Newsletter #51
Find all Alignment Newsletter resources here. In particular, you can sign up, or look through this spreadsheet of all summaries that have ever been in the newsletter.
You may have noticed that I've been slowly falling behind on the newsletter, and am now a week behind. I would just skip a wee... |
5e55561a-ca6c-4d22-b52b-90bdce15e6a3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Safe AGI Complexity: Guessing a Higher-Order Algebraic Number
Introduction: A rational number can represent an arbitrary sequence of bits where bit patterns either terminate or repeat infinitely. This provides a mathematical toy model for reasoning about AGI safety. A bit sequence can be translated into a sequence of ... |
01203867-6c70-4ffb-a248-9b90c5bbbe80 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | FAI and the Information Theory of Pleasure
Previously, I talked about [the mystery of pain and pleasure](/r/lesswrong/lw/hek/the_mystery_of_pain_and_pleasure/), and how little we know about what sorts of arrangements of particles intrinsically produce them.
Up now: *should FAI researchers care about this topic?*... |
567e5849-9822-448a-aecf-14d2084ff28c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | If we had known the atmosphere would ignite
What if the Alignment Problem is impossible?
It would be sad for humanity if we live in a world where building AGI is very possible but aligning AGI is impossible. Our curiosity, competitive dynamics, and understandable desire for a powerful force for good will spur us to... |
216a7cfb-e61e-40e2-9e36-921b376f44ec | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Applying superintelligence without collusion
*Epistemic status: The core ideas seem robust and stable after long reflection and many discussions.*
Many researchers identify AI safety with control of a monolithic, superintelligent AI system, and if questioned about multicomponent alternatives, argue that multiple supe... |
4f5417ff-f28a-426b-b2e3-ebf5fda6ba5e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Downvotes temporarily disabled
This is a stopgap measure until admins get visibility into comment voting, which will allow us to find sockpuppet accounts more easily.
The best place to track changes to the codebase is the github LW issues page. |
b7bfe21c-f038-4a62-8e3c-bd0f7c48be82 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How do I get all recent lesswrong posts that doesn't have AI tag?
This forum's recent post page is just overloaded with AI content and I don't just want to read curated posts either. I find it strange that their isn't any advanced filtering options. Here is what I want:
input: POSTS(-tag:AI decoupling)
output: all ... |
a8bb5c75-95e5-49b1-a9bb-8ab7183d1ff8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : LW Sao Paulo - Meetup de janeiro
Discussion article for the meetup : LW Sao Paulo - Meetup de janeiro
WHEN: 28 January 2017 02:00:00PM (-0200)
WHERE: Rua Antônio Carlos, 452. São Paulo, Brazil
Encontro mensal de racionalistas, novatos são bem vindos! Teremos algumas lições de racionalidade prática, discuss... |
92347edb-4a6d-4741-97ca-05d04adc41f4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The representational fallacy
Basically Heather Dyke argues that metaphysicians are too often arguing from representations of reality (eg in language) to reality itself.
It looks to me like a variant of the mind projection fallacy. This might be the first book length treatment teh fallacy has gotten though. What do ... |
30dc3bb9-0c0b-461e-8c20-801c835c7ff7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Growth mindset for better sex
Cross-posted from my website.
TLDR: Fixed mindset and fear of inadequacy hinder learning. Competence gives you confidence - where you’re competent and confident, you don’t have fear of inadequacy. And if you don’t learn fast because you’re afraid of feedback (because you’re afraid of ina... |
2ac561b5-a799-4df5-820b-5b7f86ee5054 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mapping the semantic void: Strange goings-on in GPT embedding spaces
TL;DR: GPT-J token embeddings inhabit a zone in their 4096-dimensional embedding space formed by the intersection of two hyperspherical shells. This is described, and then the remaining expanse of the embedding space is explored by using simple promp... |
85486549-2462-48bf-be29-06a7e57018da | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | What is it like doing AI safety work?
How do you know if you’ll like AI safety work? What’s the day-to-day work like? What are the best parts of the job? What are the worst?
To better answer these questions, we talked to ten AI safety researchers in a variety of organizations, roles, and subfields. If you’re interest... |
9180f8bd-45bf-49f0-9373-1ce3d49fdf65 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Asymptotic Logical Uncertainty: A Benford Learner
This post is part of the Asymptotic Logical Uncertainty series. In this post, I will give an algorithm, BenfordLearner, that passes the Benford test. This algorithm further satisfies limN→∞,N∈SBenfordLearner(N)=p whenever S is an irreducible pattern with probability p.... |
d381300a-5f9b-4556-ad34-a7c907405b92 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | ""If you meet the Buddha on the road, kill him!"
When Edward Wilson published the book Sociobiology, Richard Lewontin and Stephen J. Gould secretly convened a group of biologists to gather regularly, for months, in the same building at Harvard that Wilson's office was in, to write an angry, politicized rebuttal to it, ... |
05a9e65d-6c71-4622-9884-952e7e6ba89b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | HPMoR: What do you think you know?
(And somewhere in the back of his mind was a small, small note of confusion, a sense of something wrong about that story; and it should have been a part of Harry's art to notice that tiny note, but he was distracted. For it is a sad rule that whenever you are most in need of your art... |
db6afae5-e6aa-45ba-9cc3-e0fe9b91a7df | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Coordination Cookbook?
Coordination can improve default outcomes, i.e. what happens when individuals act according to their own interest assuming others will do the same.
For example in a flat share the default outcome may be that the common areas stay dirty because each flatmate is willing to spend time cleaning o... |
97f4f300-ebcc-4da3-bf63-d052e538aab4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [AN #96]: Buck and I discuss/argue about AI Alignment
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter resources here. In particular, you can look through this spreadsheet of all summaries that have ever been in the newsletter.
... |
8b8eb359-66c5-4fcc-aee8-e7550eff11aa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rude research
Cross posted from Overcoming Bias. Comments there.
***
Bryan Caplan says intelligence research is very unpopular because it looks so bad to call half of people stupider than average, let alone stupid outright. Calling people stupid is rude.
But if this is the main thing going on, many other kinds of r... |
be107397-0801-43c1-85c3-015e98da42ff | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How do we know that the things we want have credibility ?
I think Transhumanism and singularity are a beautiful vision of a society but I believe it requires a level of enlightenment we humans are yet to be shown capable of. But hey in the end it's a dream worth chasing isn't it ?
Well I've been having doubts about ... |
4bea3ea2-e14e-4168-aee7-835f1d5af6b4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Podcast: Tamera Lanham on AI risk, threat models, alignment proposals, externalized reasoning oversight, and working at Anthropic
TLDR: I interviewed Tamera Lanham. You can listen to our conversation here or read some highlights below. I also suggest reading her post about externalized reasoning oversight.
About a ye... |
fd8ddbe3-916b-4016-996d-73d706f8ed34 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI origin question
What do people see as the plausible ways for AGI to come into existence, in the absence of smart people specifically working on AI safety?
These are the ones that occur to me, in no precise order:
1. An improved version of Siri (itself an improved version of MS Clippy).
2. A program to mak... |
c9aea1e5-57e4-41a9-8b77-422a60f7bc58 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Blackmail
Epistemic Status: Surprisingly controversial
Response to: Why Blackmail Should Be Illegal (Marginal Revolution), Should Blackmail Be Legal? (David Henderson), Checkmate on Blackmail (Robin Hanson)
I notice I am confused.
Smart people are failing to provide strong arguments for why blackmail should be ille... |
90affe88-abaf-4d7c-a4ac-d21983a03997 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A thought about Internet procrastination
Perhaps this is already well known, but it occurred to me yesterday and I thought I'd share it. The Internet seems particularly virulent as a form of procrastination; indeed, if, say, chatting at watercoolers took up as much time in the average office worker's day, we wouldn't ... |
fb998487-a816-491a-9055-087fa31037d1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Polling Thread
This is the second installment of the Polling Thread.
This is your chance to ask your multiple choice question you always wanted to throw in. Get qualified numeric feedback to your comments. Post fun polls.
There are some rules:
1. Each poll goes into its own top level comment and may be commented t... |
28f7416d-648e-41ef-a60c-aaeaafce138d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reflections on Neuralese
Thanks to Brendan Halstead for feedback on an early draft of this piece. Any mistakes here are my own.
[Epistemic status: I've looked at the relevant code enough to be moderately sure I understand what's going on. Predictions about the future, including about what facts will turn out to be re... |
3f156bed-f3ed-481f-9d5e-92c2df3daaf6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | LEAst-squares Concept Erasure (LEACE)
"Ever wanted to mindwipe an LLM?
Our method, LEAst-squares Concept Erasure (LEACE), provably erases all linearly-encoded information about a concept from neural net activations. It does so surgically, inflicting minimal damage to other concepts.
...
LEACE has a closed-form s... |
83034f9f-2d93-4047-8301-caf1c1eada0d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Coronavirus Justified Practical Advice Summary
Two weeks ago Ben Pace and I asked for practical advice on what to do about coronavirus, with the requirement that advice be justified in some way- ideally full blown models informed by empirical data, but at a minimum, an explanation of why it was helpful. The resulting ... |
d5deaed9-d09f-4bd3-88df-3996db605930 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Managing risks while trying to do good
I often think about "the road to hell is paved with good intentions".[1] I'm unsure to what degree this is true, but it does seem that people trying to do good have caused more negative consequences in aggregate than one might naively expect.[2] "Power corrupts" and "power-seeker... |
83ff8f0b-3564-43d1-aebc-e2bb0379e7aa | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Orbit-stabiliser theorem
summary(Technical): Let $G$ be a finite [https://arbital.com/p/-3gd](https://arbital.com/p/-3gd), [acting](https://arbital.com/p/3t9) on a set $X$. Let $x \in X$.
Writing $\mathrm{Stab}_G(x)$ for the [stabiliser](https://arbital.com/p/4mz) of $x$, and $\mathrm{Orb}_G(x)$ for the [orbit](https:... |
3f8c0afb-7ca5-40c3-b11e-90af69cc1054 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Holomorphic surjection theorem (Picard's little theorem)
Consider an entire function (complex-differentiable everywhere) f(z). I will intuitively prove that certain lemmas hold on any such f. If f is a polynomial, I can combine those lemmas with another one, showing that the holomorphic surjection theorem (more common... |
0b3ce5ea-3df5-4bc0-9a7e-87ca6fbdb58e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The abruptness of nuclear weapons
Nuclear weapons seem like the marquee example of rapid technological change after crossing a critical threshold.
Looking at the numbers, it seems to me like:
* During WWII, and probably for several years after the war, the cost / TNT equivalent for manufacturing nuclear weapons was... |
3755e54e-0c1d-4baa-a295-7c3b94a04904 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Covid-19 Points of Leverage, Travel Bans and Eradication
Covid-19 has become a major topic for discussion with talk about many different interventions and ideas that might help, from 3-D printing parts for respirators to drafting medical students into hospitals to thorough hand-washing procedures.
However as rational... |
57a308a8-bb94-4895-a55c-0ba9b5d6081d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Assigning Praise and Blame: Decoupling Epistemology and Decision Theory
Your group/company/organization performs well, doing great work and dealing with new problems efficiently. As one of its leaders, you want to understand why, so that you can make it even more successful, and maybe emulate this success in other set... |
b9948ac3-95a6-47c7-b1ff-023d6ed10a62 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The AI Timelines Scam
[epistemic status: that's just my opinion, man. I have highly suggestive evidence, not deductive proof, for a belief I sincerely hold]
"If you see fraud and do not say fraud, you are a fraud." --- Nasim Taleb
I was talking with a colleague the other day about an AI organization that claims:
1... |
0f0632cc-a956-453d-935e-f146ae9f8397 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Sydney - Core sequences
Discussion article for the meetup : Sydney - Core sequences
WHEN: 13 March 2012 06:00:00PM (+1100)
WHERE: 22 the promenade sydney
Hey everybody. Deep inside the king street brewery, we'll be hopefully coming to a discussion of the core sequences, as suggested at the last meeting. Pl... |
94ff9da4-cea0-4a0b-a08c-9cf60f3915a9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Blog posts as epistemic trust builders
I've really been enjoying Zvi's weekly posts on the coronavirus. Keeping up with what's going on is something I want to do, but not badly enough to put in the time myself. I'm not even sure how capable I would be even if I wanted to put in the time myself; it seems difficult to s... |
289ffd5c-8560-445a-8a9f-52ced708ab32 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | AI and Effective Altruism
MIRI is a research nonprofit specializing in a poorly-explored set of problems in theoretical computer science. [GiveDirectly](http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2015/06/04/givedirectly-cash-transfers_n_7339040.html) is a cash transfer service that gives money to poor households in East Africa. Wh... |
4eb3a4e1-9f23-4897-bfcd-1454b5a351b4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Twitter Twitches
The situation is evolving rapidly. Here’s where we stand as of the morning of July 4th.
WELL YOU SEE WHAT HAPPENED WAS…
Oh no! To be clear, by twitches, I mean ‘Elon refused to pay the cloud bill.’
As a result, Twitter has been forced to rate limit users.
1. This started out as 600 posts per day ... |
efc42465-7711-4b6d-a665-a12fa50cfa05 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI researchers from Russia looking for a new home
Hello;
Throwaway account for obvious reasons.
A lot of AI researchers from Russia are looking for a new home. NLP, CV, etc.
If you can help in any way or know anyone who can help please DM me.
P.S. I think it would be a net positive for AI Safety to relocate as many pe... |
911dd4fa-5a8b-45d8-ae2c-11625dce1e21 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Roodman's Thoughts on Biological Anchors
[A new review](https://docs.google.com/document/d/1ccfObnsXdQzJZ8wWpHsosm7i4JdiPXXJrpAfZquvJCk/edit#) of Ajeya Cotra's [Forecasting TAI with biological anchors](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/KrJfoZzpSDpnrv9va/draft-report-on-ai-timelines) (see also update [here](https://... |
8842e027-49a9-4730-884a-f4a94cc520c4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | AI X-risk >35% mostly based on a recent peer-reviewed argument
My recent [paper](https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/aaai.12064) Advanced Artificial Agents Intervene in the Provision of Reward is a prerequisite to this essay (~5800 words; the section on the Assistance Game can be skipped). In that paper, I ide... |
c4e7e38d-24a8-4b94-ab51-60268a63e8e6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Human-AI Learning Performance in Multi-Armed Bandits
Introduction
------------
Typically, research on human-agent learning focuses on either situations where agents learn from people (e.g., learning from demonstration, recommender systems) or people learn from agents (e.g., algorithmic teaching). In contrast, our w... |
8804d64b-dac9-4c15-a6c1-12adb2bfda0f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Thread: November 2009
This thread is for the discussion of Less Wrong topics that have not appeared in recent posts. Feel free to rid yourself of cached thoughts by doing so in Old Church Slavonic. If a discussion gets unwieldy, celebrate by turning it into a top-level post.
If you're new to Less Wrong, check ou... |
8bafb57a-b615-4139-be4b-c8edbee193f2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Updates from Campaign for AI Safety
Hi!
🌍 The UK is hosting an international [AI safety summit on 1—2 November at Bletchley Park](https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-66604123). This event promises to gather world leaders, AI experts, and industry-shaping AI safety discussions. While attendees and specific topics rem... |
07bdfc75-bdcf-4e7d-9224-4a1883ababe3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Beyond the human training distribution: would the AI CEO create almost-illegal teddies?
tl;dr: I showthat model splintering can be seen as going beyond the human training distribution (the distribution of real and imagined situations we have firm or vague preferences over), and argue why this is at the heart of AI ali... |
12ddbd63-ea67-4b4a-b40c-1ad5ab1de497 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why are track records unpopular?
Robin points out that people dislike track records across a range of contexts, and poses a puzzle: why?
Naively, track records seem pretty helpful for deciding who to trust and hire. Yet Robin points to a lack of track records or interest in track records for doctors, lawyers, pundits... |
0b54b88e-7122-473a-8b5f-b02d89d9853a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Forecasting Newsletter: November 2021
Highlights
* Polymarket sees record-high swings
* Replication Markets pays out $142k in forecaster rewards
* The Economist features a full page with Good Judgment Open's forecasts
Index
* Prediction Markets & Forecasting Platforms
* In The News
* Blog Posts
* Long Content... |
1cd4ade0-949b-402b-b228-3f75a565e740 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Friendly AI Research as Effective Altruism
MIRI was founded in 2000 on the premise that creating[1](https://intelligence.org/2013/06/05/friendly-ai-research-as-effective-altruism/#footnote_0_10240 "In this post, I talk about the value of humanity in general creating Friendly AI, though MIRI co-founder Eliezer Yudkowsk... |
5b2d9904-2c8a-4a02-b2d6-c0349632f6cc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Surface Thoughts Suck
I've been thinking about the differences between the ways in which people typically pursue wealth and the ways in which people typically pursue their altruistic goals. Charity is significantly signalling, and so on... But, there's something else I noticed.
Whenever you want wealth, you pursue a ... |
ea50c50b-1b84-4519-9a3c-72fac301eb49 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Boxing
Labs should do "boxing," I hear. I'm confused about what kinds-of-systems this applies to and what labs should do to improve their "boxing."
Kinds-of-systems: my impression is that there's little direct threat from LMs simply undergoing gradient descent. But there's some risk from models deployed internally, e... |
e0740dcc-6eb0-495d-80be-0da8ff73bf9f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Models, myths, dreams, and Cheshire cat grins
.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: normal; white-space: nowrap... |
fa7bcdfb-2e3b-498b-9afb-562a97666ab6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Value uncertainty
Epistemic status: This is basically a new categorisation scheme for, and analysis of, ideas that other people have proposed previously (both in relation to moral philosophy and in relation to AI alignment). I’m not an expert on the topics I cover here, and I’d appreciate feedback or comments in relat... |
087ce1ee-b3bd-404d-840c-91d4ce25fe7a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is fake news bullshit or lying?
New strategies for combating misinformation
A layperson-friendly view. Cross-posted from my personal blog, First Principles.
Fake news is on the rise. We know this from Facebook shares, WhatsApp forwards, Twitter trolls, and Potemkin news sites. We see it in elections across the world,... |
3c57ff6d-d79c-43ff-9704-cc0d9076606c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to Deal with Depression - The Meta Layers
I wrote this for the Positive Vector website awhile back and lots of people have found it valuable, so I want to share it with the Less Wrong community as well. I think this applies to most people - meta suffering thing is something I see everywhere, even though it is mo... |
017361aa-250f-48f0-9e16-a21b703757bf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The present perfect tense is ruining your life
Yes I’m talking about grammar. The present perfect tense describes actions that happened in the past but are relevant in the present. You say, “I have seen that movie,” meaning you saw it in the past, but what’s important is that presently you are a person who saw it.
H... |
fe8c5031-92ed-4f3d-a7d0-284ae37c8770 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | CFAR has a matched-donations fundraiser going on [LINK]
http://rationality.org/fundraiser2013/
The folks at CFAR are working on a post talking about all the good work they've done and plan to do, but in the meantime I'm putting this up as a placeholder in case anyone finishing up their 2013 donations literally doesn'... |
50ccc0c8-aaa3-4647-88cb-c834ec166882 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My 1st month at a "neurodivergent gifted school" called Minerva University
An personal blog (8 min read) consisting of:
Academics
* Habits of Mind and Foundational Concepts (HCs)
* Class content
* Class structure
* Mild pacing
* Somewhat rigourous
* Tolerable technical bugs
Students
* examples of eclectic s... |
4ef0a501-46c6-4eba-a0e3-3869b3cb672e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Five-minute rationality techniques
Less Wrong tends toward long articles with a lot of background material. That's great, but the vast majority of people will never read them. What would be useful for raising the sanity waterline in the general population is a collection of simple-but-useful rationality techniques tha... |
6801fbc6-eeea-437e-b98c-24f58085aef5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Progress Report 1: interpretability experiments & learning, testing compression hypotheses
next post: Report 2
Intro
I got a grant from the Long Term Future Fund to refocus my career from data science & machine learning generally, to ai alignment research specifically. I feel most drawn to and suited for the interpr... |
691f5eb2-6145-42c1-9df8-9e39146bb7c9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Tel Aviv Meetup: Social & Board Games
Discussion article for the meetup : Tel Aviv Meetup: Social & Board Games
WHEN: 09 June 2015 07:00:00PM (+0300)
WHERE: 98 Yigal Alon Street, Tel Aviv
June 9 at 19:00 we're going to have a social meetup! It's going to be a game night full of people talking about physics... |
d258333c-39d7-4de6-8ef0-042435769934 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [AN #173] Recent language model results from DeepMind
HIGHLIGHTS
Scaling Language Models: Methods, Analysis & Insights from Training Gopher (Jack W. Rae et al) (summarized by Rohin): This paper details the training of the Gopher family of large language models (LLMs), the biggest of which is named Gopher and has 280 ... |
a529c258-8e37-49ed-9aaf-b2b5cf18be07 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Alignment Research Engineer Accelerator (ARENA): Call for applicants v4.0
TL;DR
We are excited to announce the fourth iteration of ARENA (Alignment Research Engineer Accelerator), a 4-5 week ML bootcamp with a focus on AI safety! ARENA’s mission is to provide talented individuals with the skills, tools, and environ... |
e2c6ddd8-dd83-4bc8-991f-ea7c13b0e8bc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Hell is wasted on the evil
Chuck Palahniuk is an author like no other. Consider his second-most-popular book Choke.
> Victor Mancini, a medical-school dropout, is an antihero for our deranged times. Needing to pay elder care for his mother, Victor has devised an ingenious scam: he pretends to choke on pieces of food ... |
cd84ad7e-0724-41eb-9b4e-31650f813fdc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Mom Test: Summary and Thoughts
I just finished reading The Mom Test for the second time. I took "raw" notes here. In this post I'll first write up a bullet-point summary and then ramble off some thoughts that I have.
Summary
Introduction:
* Trying to learn from customer conversations is like trying to excavate... |
d5092082-b756-47a6-a781-54f7cfb4ef7e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why We Should Always Distrust Our Certainties
While just thinking around, which I often do when nothing else offers, I recently came across a line of thought which presented an insight into a possible cause of much of the misunderstanding which arises within and between human minds. Since I have not seen this concept... |
c4b98457-bbb3-4ec8-9529-a38ded5b266e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Cult Of Reason
So... while investigating Wikipedia I found out about an actual Cult. Of Reason. Revolutionary France. From the description, it sounds pretty awesome. Here's he link. Is this denomination usable? Is it useful? Can it be resurrected? Should it be? Is it compatible with what we stand for? Discuss. Als... |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.