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2b9a5ff0-b1b3-4c2e-a0c1-b02c3c213fbe | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Slack Group: Rationalist Startup Founders
Update: I decided to discontinue this group. Not enough people with concrete enough plans to start a startup joined, and there was a general lack of activity.
I have a friend who is a top poker player. In asking him about his experiences and how he got so good, one thing that... |
a9c9ed1d-8b35-46cd-b207-e4f9360dd148 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On Targeted Manipulation and Deception when Optimizing LLMs for User Feedback
Produced as part of MATS 6.0 and 6.1.
Key takeaways:
* Training LLMs on (simulated) user feedback can lead to the emergence of manipulative and deceptive behaviors.
* These harmful behaviors can be targeted specifically at users who are ... |
75a512f3-46b1-439d-8d40-72263f29c05d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Beta-Beta – Recent Discussion
Over on our beta-beta (I guess the technical term is "alpha") site, we're experimenting with a new system for Recent Comment, renaming it to "Recent Discussion" and tweaking some features.
The recent comments are organized by post, sorted in the order of "post most recently commented on"... |
5927e23c-bfae-4142-844c-6dbfba2b8939 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Moving towards the goal
This post contains some advice. I dare not call it obvious, as the illusion of transparency is ever-present. I will call it simple, but people occasionally remind me that they really appreciate the simple advice. So here we go:
1
(As usual, this advice is not for everyone; today I am primaril... |
bcccef82-6f87-4385-835c-c0848f689eb9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Experiment: Knox case debate with Rolf Nelson
Recently, on the main section of the site, Raw_Power posted an article suggesting that we find "worthy opponents" to help us avoid mistakes.
As you may recall, Rolf Nelson disagrees with me about Amanda Knox -- rather sharply. Of course, the same can be said of lots of ot... |
5ae5cad2-9f69-4c7b-b3f5-9de20360ea7d | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post111
TL;DR : We provide some evidence that Claude 3.7 Sonnet doesn’t encode hidden reasoning in its scratchpad by showing that training it to use paraphrased versions of the scratchpads does not degrade performance. The scratchpads from reasoning models look human understandable: when reasoning about a math pro... |
acb4ee62-dbc8-452f-8cc1-8f160bb48d24 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] How the Simulation Argument Dampens Future Fanaticism
Very comprehensive analysis by Brian Tomasik on whether (and to what extent) the simulation argument should change our altruistic priorities. He concludes that the possibility of ancestor simulations somewhat increases the comparative importance of short-ter... |
35454b96-3f30-469e-bfe0-d3b06ed07d56 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to coordinate despite our biases? - tldr
- Short version of How to coordinate despite our biases?
Democracy, economy and fairness can be genuine if we have all the information necessary to make choices, aware of the context and consequences. Currently, this ideal is not respected.
Of course it’s an ideal, bu... |
596d7a78-9070-4d28-ab8c-ea69d2512017 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why the singularity is hard and won't be happening on schedule
Here's a great article by Paul Allen about why the singularity won't happen anytime soon. Basically a lot of the things we do are just not amenable to awesome looking exponential graphs.
|
7103cd43-99f4-475a-93f0-3e4f6fd6b115 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Does My Vote Matter?
(Cross-posted from elsewhere; I thought some readers here might like it too. Please excuse the unusually informal style.)
Short answer: Actually, yes!
Slightly longer answer: Yes, if the election is close. You'll never get to know that your vote was decisive, but one vote can substantially chang... |
4788f6a6-346a-4342-ad0b-739426fd5bbc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Discussion: Which futures are good enough?
> Thirty years from now, a well-meaning team of scientists in a basement creates a superintelligent AI with a carefully hand-coded utility function. Two days later, every human being on earth is seamlessly scanned, uploaded and placed into a realistic simulation of their old ... |
02a03aae-b9aa-4b63-9fff-2d314e5d68a7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | "Who Will You Be After ChatGPT Takes Your Job?"
This is a linkpost for my own article for Wired, which I've been encouraged to post here. It's mostly about AI becoming capable of the kinds of work white-collar workers derive identity, self-worth, and status from, and draws from what's happened with professional Go pla... |
33b6fa2c-bbe8-4aed-8bef-a842e988c412 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI: a Reason to Worry, and to Donate
Misaligned AI is an existential threat to humanity, and I will match $5,000 of your donations to prevent it. |
69733b2e-32f3-4b8a-b54d-13a20d66f1ca | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Does Big Business Hate Your Family?
Previously in Sequence: Moloch Hasn’t Won, Perfect Competition, Imperfect Competition
The book Moral Mazes describes the world of managers in several large American corporations.
They are placed in severely toxic situations. To succeed, they transform their entire selves into maxi... |
3ca5ebf5-556f-4bfe-ad7c-1e112561b8fb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Counterfactual Oracles = online supervised learning with random selection of training episodes
Most people here probably already understand this by now, so this is more to prevent new people from getting confused about the point of Counterfactual Oracles (in the ML setting) because there's not a top-level post that ex... |
0bc797f5-ba4e-4079-8f03-10fe316b3385 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why are we not starting to map human values?
I agree that trying to map all human values is extremely complex as articulated here [http://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Complexity_of_value] , but the problem as I see it, is that we do not really have a choice - there has to be some way of measuring the initial AGI to see how... |
ce677eb3-de0f-4aae-8760-ca5128165f92 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The map of the methods of optimisation (types of intelligence)
Optimisation process is an ability to quickly search space of possible solution based on some criteria.
We live in the Universe full of different optimisation processes, but we take many of them for granted. The map is aimed to show full spectrum of all ... |
e0e58063-71bd-4b04-874f-37e9e914b166 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Mechanistic Interpretability as Reverse Engineering (follow-up to "cars and elephants")
I think (perhaps) the distinction that I was trying to make in my previous post ["Cars and Elephants": a handwavy argument/analogy against mechanistic interpretability](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/YEkzeJTrp69DTn8KD/cars-and-ele... |
b0733c99-0e96-42d4-8105-0634bdd08a95 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | The Multidisciplinary Approach to Alignment (MATA) and Archetypal Transfer Learning (ATL)
[*Crossposted to Lesswrong*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/zQ4dX8Jk4uExukxqB/the-multidisciplinary-approach-to-alignment-mata-and)
### **Abstract**
The Multidisciplinary Approach to Alignment (MATA) and Archetypal Transfer Le... |
474b462a-745a-41e8-a97a-48fcb89cd097 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dima's Shortform
|
31d02d9e-f1b1-4ca8-9afd-94e648b51f9b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Thomas Bolander on self-reference and agent introspection
 [Thomas Bolander, Ph.D.](http://www.imm.dtu.dk/~tobo/), is associate professor at DTU Compute, Technical University of Denmark.
He is doing research in logic and ... |
9dd53033-a8c3-4b31-b086-7dc90a501fb0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How can I reconcile these COVID test false-negative numbers?
[effort level: thinking out loud, plus a couple hours' googling]
There's been a lot of press lately around Costco selling an “AZOVA” at-home COVID test...
> ...with a sensitivity of 98% (meaning 98% of positive tests are correct) and a specificity of 99% (... |
42e2ad5d-6f65-4f3f-b9c9-7d5bee47c7bf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Utilitarianism and the idea of a "rational agent" are fundamentally inconsistent with reality
The currently unsolvable problem with the ethical branch of consequentialism and its subtype utilitarianism, on the basis of which the whole concept of effective altruism and the theory of rational agents are built, is that s... |
082a408a-6d98-434d-a049-da234c30ea4e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Q&A with Jürgen Schmidhuber on risks from AI
**[[Click here to see a list of all interviews](http://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Interview_series_on_risks_from_AI)]**
I am emailing experts in order to raise and estimate the academic awareness and perception of risks from AI.
Below you will find some thoughts on the top... |
669cf0f0-aeeb-4253-8810-4a926e873a3b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | HP:MoR: request for Reliable Sources
For the last few weeks, I have been engaged in a slow motion edit war on the Wikipedia Eliezer Yudkowsky article, about including discussion of HP:MoR. The specific text being removed, to my eyes, well-sourced and germane to the article. But it may be that only 2 reviews of it is n... |
3b64abe2-5c19-4c72-af53-28378365364e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Personal Model of Social Energy
Epistemic Status: This is a model I have derived from my own experience, with a fair amount of very noisy data to back it up. It may not generalize to anyone else. However, it seems like a framework that might be useful, so I'm sharing it here.
The excessively simple model of social en... |
d69b5885-f960-4d64-9b4c-7800cff350ac | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | How Rethink Priorities’ Research could inform your grantmaking
Rethink Priorities (RP) has advised, consulted, and/or been commissioned by GiveWell, Open Philanthropy, EA Funds, Centre for Effective Altruism, 80,000 Hours, and other major organizations, donors, and foundations, in order to inform their grantmaking and... |
404cc278-02c9-49a8-bdaf-24f44c98a0a7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A question about utilitarianism and selfishness.
Utilitarianism seems to indicate that the greatest good for the most people generally revolves around their feelings. A person feeling happy and confident is a desired state, a person in pain and misery is undesirable.
But what about taking selfish actions that hurt a... |
6c5442c0-9224-43b1-bab8-ea3833958bb6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | A note of caution about recent AI risk coverage
*Epistemic status: some thoughts I wanted to get out quickly*
A lot of fantastic work has been done by people in the AI existential risk research community and related communities over the last several months in raising awareness about risks from advanced AI. However, I... |
1af2ba31-421c-4cb5-b61a-b20d6ea41593 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sparsity is the enemy of feature extraction (ft. absorption)
Sparse Autoencoders (and other related feature extraction tools) often optimize for sparsity to extract human-interpretable latent representations from a model's activation space. We show analytically that sparsity naturally leads to feature absorption in a ... |
b00b95ce-5ffd-4ef7-b90f-a2994137bf21 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Yet another book on life extension - "100+", author: Sonia Arrison
http://www.soniaarrison.com/index.php
I have not read the book. But a review on the Singularity Hub (http://singularityhub.com/2011/09/20/sonia-arrison-brings-longevity-to-the-masses-with-her-book-100/) is quite positive. It mentions that a good part ... |
049cc55e-13f4-49c2-894f-b874ad6674b3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | What Would Jiminy Cricket Do? Towards Agents That Behave Morally
1 Introduction
---------------
Moral awareness is an essential skill for coexisting in a complex society. Almost effortlessly, most people understand that others’ property should be respected and that wanton murder is bad. Moreover, people are guided ... |
fad32ded-9d4a-4b14-ae77-f8bf8dd8e270 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On future people, looking back at 21st century longtermism
(Cross-posted from Hands and Cities)
> “Who knows, for all the distance, but I am as good as looking at you now, for all you cannot see me?”
>
> – Whitman, Crossing Brooklyn Ferry
Roughly stated, longtermism is the thesis that what happens in the long-term ... |
e0a9165e-91b7-4378-ad5e-44d4ff66836d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Toronto Less Wrong Meetup - Thursday Feb 17
Hello Torontonian LessWrong members! My friend and I thought it would be fun to get you all in one room.
When: Thu. Feb. 17, 8:30 PM
Where: Duke of York Pub, 39 Prince Arthur Ave
Note the time has been changed - I was only able to get a reservation for 8:30. |
5b9157d3-041e-4c12-a63b-c73cef62e62a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Variable Question Fallacies
Today's post, Variable Question Fallacies was originally published on 05 March 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> You use a word that has different meanings in different places as though it meant the same thing on each occasion, possibly creating the illusion of som... |
8e4e0e41-0ebb-4f44-b137-ac4a51b93551 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What We Learned from Briefing 70+ Lawmakers on the Threat from AI
Between late 2024 and mid-May 2025, I briefed over 70 cross-party UK parliamentarians. Just over one-third were MPs, a similar share were members of the House of Lords, and just under one-third came from devolved legislatures — the Scottish Parliament, ... |
e498ea35-4002-411a-a556-d8c8127190b9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Simulation argument meets decision theory
Person X stands in front of a sophisticated computer playing the decision game Y which allows for the following options: either press the button "sim" or "not sim". If she presses "sim", the computer will simulate X*_1, X*_2, ..., X*_1000 which are a thousand identical copies ... |
0a0f3101-f01e-4e0a-bd03-318b52f3f5a0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What AI Safety Materials Do ML Researchers Find Compelling?
I (Vael Gates) recently ran a small pilot study with Collin Burns in which we showed ML researchers (randomly selected NeurIPS / ICML / ICLR 2021 authors) a number of introductory AI safety materials, asking them to answer questions and rate those materials.
... |
52fb4516-91c2-4e7d-93a5-d7049fac3c03 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is donating to AMF and malaria interventions the most cost-effective way to save lives from COVID-19?
This is a cross-post from the EA forum and wanted to gather the thoughts of LessWrong. I am new to both communities so I apologize in advance if I overstep any rules. If I have, please let me know!
Looking at WHO's r... |
f6e9444d-9cc9-4949-9241-03c79c3093d7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why is the war in Ukraine particularly dangerous for the world?
I have heard that since WW2 there have been ~140 armed conflicts in the world. Only few of them have been full-fledged wars, let alone big ones. However, as I don't know almost anything about wars and the politics around them, I cannot really formulate wh... |
6ccb7dc7-a6cb-479d-bce5-b5fb7b01a32e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Would it make sense to bring a civil lawsuit against Meta for recklessly open sourcing models?
Llama2 was trained on dangerous information unsuitable for the application of being a 'chatbot'. If a landmark lawsuit was made against them for the decision to train this model on dangerous information and then release it t... |
4998aaec-29a3-4650-ae3b-6888ab3cfe52 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Will Artificial Superintelligence Kill Us?
For Open Philanthropy AI Worldviews Contest
Introduction
Through advancements in machine learning, we are progressing towards the development of artificial superintelligence (ASI). As machine learning often yields opaque results, our predictions about ASI behavior in novel ... |
0fa95a0a-2cfd-432a-9a92-b8e6e4f71d5b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] Failed replications of the "elderly walking" priming effect
> Recently a controversy broke out over the replicability of a study John Bargh et al. published in 1996. The study reported that unconsciously priming a stereotype of elderly people caused subjects to walk more slowly. A recent replication attempt by ... |
c992e6d6-5d26-4585-94ac-4bb27ff1d8ec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Defining the ways human values are messy
In many of my posts, I've been using phrases like "human values are contradictory, underdefined, changeable, and manipulable". I also tend to slide between calling things preferences, values, morals, rewards, and utilities. This post will clarify some of this terminology.
I sa... |
904ff0e4-50d0-44f1-9790-f9da46842c0c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | One Minute Every Moment
About how much information are we keeping in working memory at a given moment?
"Miller's Law" dictates that the number of things humans can hold in working memory is "the magical number 7±2". This idea is derived from Miller's experiments, which tested both random-access memory (where particip... |
8a5e2871-1ed7-4d59-a625-107b30a40c3c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Financial Times: We must slow down the race to God-like AI
Update April 14th 2023: Apparently, this was the most read story on FT.com a day or two ago.

\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_... |
ac1528fb-56ff-4204-a64d-1001ad2776d9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Emergent Tool Use From Multi-Agent Autocurricula
###
1 Introduction

Figure 1: Emergent Skill Progression From Multi-Agent Autocurricula.
Through the reward signal of hide-and-seek (shown on the y-axis), agents go through 6 distinct stages of emergence. (a) Seek... |
2436f6c1-6974-4eed-8434-06106e0f9ba4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Attention Less Wrong: We need an FAQ
Less Wrong is extremely intimidating to newcomers and as pointed out by Academian something that would help is a document in FAQ form intended for newcomers. Later we can decide how to best deliver that document to new Less Wrongers, but for now we can edit the existing (narrow) FA... |
3ad77f2b-d076-4559-9d0a-77f933f309a6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/agentmodels | Tutorial: Modeling Agents with Probabilistic Programs | Modeling Agents with Probabilistic Programs
---
layout: chapter
title: "Time inconsistency I"
description: Exponential vs. hyperbolic discounting, Naive vs. Sophisticated planning.
---
### Introduction
Time inconsistency is part of everyday human experience. In the night you wish to rise early; in the morning you p... |
21606bd5-ce5b-4683-a50e-8af254af97f4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Distributed Strategic Epistemology
In this post we put all of the pieces we've discussed so far together into an network of epistemologies, where each node is a system that is able to reliably model the world despite differences in ontology, epistemology, and incentives.
The Epistemic Computational Graph
Trust relat... |
e4a13b50-7a31-4899-9796-a5bb11d3ffbf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is this viable physics?
This beautiful epic grandiose... thing seems pretty impressive to me. It seems like someone took the lessons of Game of Life, and then used computers to explore those lessons, and sure enough they are well on their way to a Theory of Everything.
But I'm not a physicist so I don't know how nove... |
001f3be0-6342-4a78-afaf-95aece0a5211 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Details of Taskforces; or, Cooperate Now
Recently I've spent a lot of time thinking about what exactly I should be doing with my life. I'm lucky enough to be in an environment where I can occasionally have productive conversations about the question with smart peers, but I suspect I would think much faster if I spent ... |
4d94e5fa-d5a5-4bd0-9a35-512b057b8fc3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Solipsism is Underrated
Consider two simple, non-exhaustive theories.
Theory 1, Strong Materialism: The only ontological primitive is matter. This is to say that there is nothing but physical things, and everything that happens can be reduced down to the material. Minds and consciousness must then be some emergent ph... |
f3e3ca07-f56d-464c-be53-71e6c21643ba | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book Review: Albion’s Seed
I.
Albion’s Seed by David Fischer is a history professor’s nine-hundred-page treatise on patterns of early immigration to the Eastern United States. It’s not light reading and not the sort of thing I would normally pick up. I read it anyway on the advice of people who kept telling me it exp... |
8d7c6639-8349-4e26-ad37-a8a4d173a99d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reproducing ARC Evals' recent report on language model agents
I reproduced results from ARC Evals' recent report, Evaluating Language-Model Agents on Realistic Autonomous Tasks. For the report, ARC Evals built a set of language model agents, combining a language model like GPT-4 with scaffolding software that lets th... |
c008f8ec-f36d-48d9-b8e8-1e2eca742cf5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | how do short-timeliners reason about the differences between brain and AI?
If the general capabilities necessary for effective self-improvement or to directly get an AGI can be bridged without the apparent complexity of the brain structures that enable general intelligence in humans (just with memory, more data, compu... |
6b56be6a-82f8-42bc-bac7-2415a76ff1bd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Introduction: Open Questions in Roboethics
EDITOR LETTER
Introduction: Open Questions in Roboethics
John P . Sullins
Published online: 12 August 2011
#Springer-V erlag 2011
1 The Rise of the Robotethicist
Roboethics is the recent offshoot of computer ethics that pays special attention to the
alterations that need to b... |
863fb62e-4047-494b-99e0-8034f379d364 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Comparing reward learning/reward tampering formalisms
Contrasting formalisms
Here I'll contrast the approach we're using in using in Pitfalls of Learning a Reward Online (summarised here), with that used by Tom Everitt and Marcu Hutter in the conceptually similar Reward Tampering Problems and Solutions in Reinforcemen... |
6d6433cd-00ef-4f18-a16b-19b7a8c810b1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | faster latent diffusion
abbreviations
* NN = neural network
* LS = latent space
background on diffusion
NN autoencoders can be trained to convert between images and a LS where distance corresponds to image similarity. Like how most images are just "noise", most of that LS does not correspond to meaningful images. ... |
b1fcc745-76a4-4ae2-893e-5250315223b8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Philosophy professors fail on basic philosophy problems
Imagine someone finding out that "Physics professors fail on basic physics problems". This, of course, would never happen. To become a physicist in academia, one has to (among million other things) demonstrate proficiency on far harder problems than that.
Philos... |
4d967fa3-1535-48ff-91fe-47ed01540e57 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Inverse Speed
> One must always invert.
- Carl Gustav Jacobi
I'm grateful to orthonormal for mentioning the following math problem, because it allowed me to have a significant confusion-dissolving insight (actually going on two, but I'll only discuss one in this post), as well as providing an example of how bad I am... |
9c811a28-c2a7-4695-a2a1-928c1a0c6ff0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Who captures economic gains from life extension treatments?
Assuming that there are economic gains to be had at all, which participants in economies are best positioned to capture those gains?
Important because this determines the best business plans for life extension companies to pursue.
* Do they sell to corpora... |
b828fae4-2b41-4773-aad3-77d44215a8d3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Freedom From Choice: Should we surrender our freedom to an external agent? How much?
This article explores the following topic: "When we are presented with too many choices, we can get paralized, and do nothing at all, or follow harmful heuristics, such as the path of least difficulty, or the path of least risk. Shoul... |
baa6aa4d-f092-431e-8b83-0603b15b7ba0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Future directions for ambitious value learning
To recap the sequence so far:
* Ambitious value learning aims to infer a utility function that is safe to maximize, by looking at human behavior.
* However, since you only observe human behavior, you must be able to infer and account for the mistakes that humans make i... |
de905856-ec2a-4d95-8f8b-7a73974d8c47 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Rube Goldberg Machine of Morality
1. Mathematics and morality
> One death is a tragedy. A million deaths is a statistic. - Joseph Stalin
To a mathematician, it's equally obvious that 1 + 1 = 2 and that 3 * 5 = 15.
A kid might treat 3 * 5 as a repeated addition problem. The answer isn't obvious, and even if they... |
790b7a07-ef84-4987-b2b3-af9b99ebd087 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Does Checkers have simpler rules than Go?
I've seen various contenders for the title of simplest abstract game that's interesting enough that a professional community could reasonably play it full time. While Go probably has the best ratio of interest to complexity, Checkers and Dots and Boxes might be simpler while r... |
c9c744f3-eb8c-478b-8bc2-b76ff239ffc5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An argument for personal identity transfer.
I am very concerned with the general attitude towards cryonics and body preservation in general. People who reject these as worthwhile as far as I can tell fall into two primary camps: the probability of revival is too low to justify the monetary sacrifice or that personal i... |
0ff8a8b0-02ce-464b-a0f7-d26a382895d5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | OpenAI API base models are not sycophantic, at any size
In [Discovering Language Model Behaviors with Model-Written Evaluations" (Perez et al 2022)](https://cdn2.assets-servd.host/anthropic-website/production/files/model-written-evals.pdf), the authors studied language model "sycophancy" - the tendency to agree with a... |
6a26bdc6-ae13-4be6-808a-9f271873bf17 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Please speak unpredictably
Your predictable speech displeases both of us. I finish your sentences and am bothered by inefficiency. Thus, speak/write efficiently, to the point that I can't predict it.
Others may also dislike it as I do, but infer the rest at different levels.
Large audiences lower inference standards... |
17e8c9df-282f-4223-91b9-c566ce0d525b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is there an automatic Chrome-to-Anki-2 extension or solution?
I'd like to be able to click unfamiliar words in Chrome and automatically create notes in Anki 2 using an online dictionary. It'd also be nice to have an automatic method for sending text and images to Anki notes straight from Chrome. For example, if I read... |
d7153b5b-1305-4cd6-be8f-bc435f7ffd3b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : San Francisco Meetup: Board Games + Schelling Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : San Francisco Meetup: Board Games + Schelling Meetup
WHEN: 02 February 2015 06:00:00PM (-0800)
WHERE: 1390 Market St., San Francisco, CA
We'll be meeting to play board games. If you've got something you want to play, b... |
ca962173-f502-4f8c-b181-40351b3d98c5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Book Review: Human Compatible
**I.**
[Clarke’s First Law](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clarke%27s_three_laws) goes: When a distinguished but elderly scientist states that something is possible, he is almost certainly right. When he states that something is impossible, he is very probably wrong.
Stuart Russell is ... |
29210ef3-9050-442d-8618-9dfe37e54191 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | ChatGPT (and now GPT4) is very easily distracted from its rules
Summary
Asking GPT4 or ChatGPT to do a "side task" along with a rule-breaking task makes them much more likely to produce rule-breaking outputs. For example on GPT4:
And on ChatGPT:
Distracting language models
After using ChatGPT (GPT-3.5-t... |
7eaea1ac-3644-4ee9-8fde-1c03a26cfa62 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Frankfurt: Presentation about Operant Conditioning
Discussion article for the meetup : Frankfurt: Presentation about Operant Conditioning
WHEN: 11 May 2014 02:00:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: Frankfurt
We are meeting again and you are welcome to join! Please contact me under 0176 34 095 760 to get the precise locati... |
a1000c81-c63a-41b3-a7ae-312b7832e346 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Influence = Manipulation
Influence and manipulation are both attempts to alter the actions or propensity to act of another agent. The only difference between the two that can generally relied upon is that the one who calls it manipulation finds it distasteful or immoral. If you disagree I invite you to find a general ... |
457a8927-13de-46eb-ad55-0d22dcee2cd3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Comfort Zone Expansion at Citadel, Boston
Discussion article for the meetup : Comfort Zone Expansion at Citadel, Boston
WHEN: 10 November 2013 02:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: Citadel, 98 Elm St Apt 1, Somerville, MA
Comfort Zone Expansion (CoZE) is the practice of exposing yourself to uncomfortable or unusual si... |
a3d947c4-ca5d-459b-9c26-559a68344091 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Economic Topology, ASI, and the Separation Equilibrium
Introduction
Most discussions of artificial superintelligence (ASI) end in one of two places: human extinction or human-AI utopia. This post proposes a third, perhaps more plausible outcome: complete separation. I'll argue that ASI represents an economic topologic... |
1e3afdc2-ab9e-4a31-bcad-41cd7ae7f930 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Safety-Aware Multi-Agent Apprenticeship Learning
1 Introduction
---------------
People in Supervision of this project: Dr. Belardinelli Francesco, Borja Gonzalez
###
1.1 Project Motivation
As the rapid development of Artifical Intelligence in the current technology field, Reinforcement Learning has been pro... |
2bd2268b-d1f0-44c0-b30e-e57cb32b98c1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How do you build resilient personal systems?
From new years onwards I've been on a wonderful productivity streak. I'm using the most hours of the day I ever have and it's great.
While it's still going well though, I want to figure out how to make my systems more resilient. I started reading Unsong this past Saturday... |
aab86eca-f5cf-4142-af8c-9f7843b76e56 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LW Update 2018-7-14 – Styling Rework, CommentsItem,
Performance
Performance Updates
* Implemented server side rendering for the frontpage, and for post pages. Now, most relevant content should load quite quickly (so you can begin reading), and then the bulk of the web-app will load a few seconds later.
* Cleaned up... |
e3250a7e-db13-40ba-8b5b-2b7cf97e43f1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Open-source learning: A bargaining approach | Jesse Clifton | EA Global: London 2019
all right can you hear me cool
and I should say the only reason that
this talk isn't recorded is because I
submitted an earlier version of this
paper to a conference and like wasn't
supposed to like have any like public
sort of presen... |
dcfbc48b-6914-4e07-b4b4-d4e36f41b4d2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | [link] Centre for the Governance of AI 2020 Annual Report
*Note: I'm an employee of FHI and GovAI.*
The Centre for the Governance of AI, part of the Future of Humanity Institute, recently published [our annual report for 2020](https://www.fhi.ox.ac.uk/govai/govai-2020-annual-report/). I'd really appreciate questions ... |
8e65e6d3-a6d8-46c6-aee9-7735559459d3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | The Alignment Newsletter #10: 06/11/18
Now that we're at the tenth Alignment Newsletter, it seems like the right time for a [survey](https://mailchi.mp/d1a19c140226/alignment-newsletter-10)! It's really short and should only take 1-5 minutes (depending on how much feedback you give), so please do take it :)
**Highlig... |
4a08e1c6-7c9d-4985-8295-6e50f06aa4cc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [link] TEDxYale - Keith Chen - The Impact of Language on Economic Behavior
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CiobJhogNnA
The short version is that if the language you speak requires different verbs for the present and the future, it causes you to think about it differently. Depending on the magnitude of the effect, thi... |
02f0c4e9-4981-4716-a33f-b0c4e27c7b66 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Seeking Student Submissions: Edit Your Source Code Contest
At EA UC Berkeley, we’re launching an ongoing series of contests called the Artificial Intelligence Misalignment Solutions (AIMS) series. This third contest, Edit Your Source Code, is an AI Safety sci-fi creative writing contest now open to any student (high ... |
907668ff-0aa8-46de-b3a8-973b7891af0e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI things that are perhaps as important as human-controlled AI
Topic of the post: I list potential things to work on other than keeping AI under human control. Executive Summary by Summary Bot
Motivation
The EA community has long been worried about AI safety. Most of the efforts going into AI safety are focused on m... |
89727c0e-217a-4316-b7f0-1a0c9de72067 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Personal experiments: fueled by innovation?
Cross posted from Overcoming Bias. Comments there.
***
Another way personal experimentation might be worth it for me, yet not used up by those before me: there is so much innovation that there are constantly new things to test, even if people experiment a lot. Beeminder an... |
06a61b91-af6d-465a-82ae-5df188c16be7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | RobustBench: a standardized adversarial robustness benchmark
1 Introduction
---------------
Since the finding that state-of-the-art deep learning models are vulnerable to small input perturbations called adversarial examples (szegedy2013intriguing), achieving adversarially robust models has become one of the most s... |
2b21c10d-1cbb-4042-9345-c1888defdafa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] The Hidden Complexity of Wishes
Today's post, The Hidden Complexity of Wishes was originally published on 24 November 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> There are a lot of things that humans care about. Therefore, the wishes that we make (as if to a genie) are enormously more complicated than ... |
f3c39cf9-d895-4ccc-a6f2-538e27a52634 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mind the Gap
Modern industrial society is built to make our lives safe, convenient, and comfortable. Electricity is used to moderate the temperature of our homes, keeping us warm through the bitterest winters, and cool through the hottest summers- even through weather extremes we may not otherwise survive. We can keep... |
7c79edd3-7bd3-4135-814c-1a2d629f6f42 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Peter's COVID Consolidated Brief - 29 Apr
It’s been almost a month since my last COVID Consolidated Brief and I hope you are all doing ok. I’ve personally been settling into the new normal. On the other hand, I’ve witnessed first hand some of the risks that might be coming with COVID. I had to take shelter in a tornad... |
e5eb090d-6031-4171-a05d-8b2b2b545ec0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The purpose of the (Mosaic) law
Epistemic status: an attempt to shoehorn 3000 years of thought into a different framework that works surprisingly well. A lot of obvious points to most people here
Approaches to Ethics
There are three basic approaches to ethics, each focusing on a different aspect:
NameFocusExampleVi... |
1d7bc785-e2cc-49fc-829e-7b0f3212f0ad | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | The technological landscape of affective AGI (lightning talk) | Daniel Eth | EA Global: London 2017
hi so really briefly what is artificial
general intelligence also known as AGI
it is it's defined differently by
different people but it can generally be
thought of as artificial intelligence
that smarter than most peop... |
cc2fab67-6b30-45b6-beb2-76d6aaa7028a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why I'm Not Vegan
While many people in the effective altruism movement are vegan, I'm not, and I wanted to write some about why. The short answer is what while I'm on board with the general idea of making sacrifices to help others I think veganism doesn't represent a very good tradeoff, and I think we should put our a... |
91b28f4c-e084-4500-9cc1-77ac7de042c1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Cycle type of a permutation
Given an element $\sigma$ of a [https://arbital.com/p/-497](https://arbital.com/p/-497) $S_n$ on finitely many elements, we may express $\sigma$ in [cycle notation](https://arbital.com/p/49f).
The cycle type of $\sigma$ is then a list of the lengths of the cycles in $\sigma$, where conventi... |
3bb10c7b-1d8d-4332-be7d-dff95d103274 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Towards Deconfusing Gradient Hacking
[Epistemic status: brainstorming, less confused than last time since it seems to provide for a nice taxonomy of things to look into rather than just a bunch of random loose threads.]
This post would not exist without the EleutherAI discord and all the wonderful people there. Speci... |
be434caa-96a4-414b-bc3b-1589200d0613 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Benefits Post 4: Outstanding Questions on Selecting Benefits
This is a post in a series on "AI Benefits." It is cross-posted from my personal blog. For other entries in this series, navigate to the AI Benefits Blog Series Index page.
This post is also discussed on the Effective Altruism Forum.
For comments on thi... |
9ef90249-eee4-43a7-9671-9235107f9b0f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LW moderation: my current thoughts and questions, 2023-04-12
As can be inferred from the title, it's been a bit more than a week when I wrote most of this. I've had many more thoughts in that time, but seems very much still worth sharing this.
The LessWrong team is currently in the midst of rethinking/redesigning/upg... |
134ed017-85ec-4d9f-9726-c772aff92e91 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Perspective Reasoning’s Counter to The Doomsday Argument
To be honest I feel a bit frustrated that this is not getting much attention. I am obviously biased but I think this article is quite important. It points out the controversies surrounding the doomsday argument, simulation argument, boltzmann's brain, presumptuo... |
9a6aaf17-dc91-4e36-adf0-9d3cfd16fa03 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The universal prior is malign
|
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