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2021-04-06 | 2020-12-04 | ["https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2021/01/26/2021-world-economic-outlook-update#:~:text=Amid%20exceptional%20uncertainty%2C%20the%20global,and%204.2%20percent%20in%202022", "https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/profile/WEOWORLD", "https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2020/11/16/governments-must-j... | binary | [["2020-12-04", 0.81], ["2020-12-04", 0.8], ["2020-12-04", 0.8], ["2020-12-04", 0.75], ["2020-12-04", 0.8], ["2020-12-05", 0.85], ["2020-12-05", 0.85], ["2020-12-05", 0.85], ["2020-12-05", 0.865], ["2020-12-05", 0.89], ["2020-12-05", 0.89], ["2020-12-05", 0.865], ["2020-12-05", 0.88], ["2020-12-06", 0.85], ["2020-12-06... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1856 |
<p>The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and others are projecting a significant contraction in the global economy in the coming years (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2020/11/16/governments-must-judge-if-the-economic-recovery-needs-more-help" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href=... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-04-01 | Will the IMF estimate for world GDP growth for 2021 be higher in its April 2021 World Economic Outlook report relative to its October 2020 report? | gjopen | 1 |
2021-06-04 | 2020-12-04 | ["https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/articles/coronavirusandselfemploymentintheuk/2020-04-24", "https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronavirustheukeconomyandsocietyfasterindicators/15april2021", "h... | binary | [["2020-12-04", 0.48], ["2020-12-04", 0.475], ["2020-12-04", 0.7], ["2020-12-04", 0.7], ["2020-12-04", 0.7], ["2020-12-05", 0.7], ["2020-12-05", 0.76], ["2020-12-05", 0.75], ["2020-12-05", 0.775], ["2020-12-05", 0.775], ["2020-12-05", 0.8], ["2020-12-05", 0.8], ["2020-12-05", 0.8], ["2020-12-05", 0.8], ["2020-12-06", 0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1855 |
<p>The COVID-19 pandemic has forced many workers to work from home, and this trend may continue even after the pandemic has passed (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2020/11/16/new-technological-behaviours-will-outlast-the-pandemic" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href="... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-06-03 | Before 4 June 2021, will the United Kingdom's Office for National Statistics (ONS) report that the percentage of working adults who "worked from home exclusively" fell below 20%? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-01-01 | 2020-12-09 | ["https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/31/opinion/trumps-united-american-emirate.html", "https://mobile.twitter.com/burgessev/status/1343360876162805766", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1206861", "https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-12-27/larry-summers-trump-pelosi-2-000-stimulus-checks-are-a-mistake?sref=htOH... | binary | [["2020-12-09", 0.5], ["2020-12-09", 0.25], ["2020-12-09", 0.01], ["2020-12-09", 0.17], ["2020-12-09", 0.33], ["2020-12-09", 0.225], ["2020-12-09", 0.33], ["2020-12-09", 0.225], ["2020-12-09", 0.33], ["2020-12-10", 0.415], ["2020-12-10", 0.33], ["2020-12-10", 0.27], ["2020-12-10", 0.27], ["2020-12-10", 0.21], ["2020-12... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1859 |
<p>In response to the economic consequences from the COVID-19 pandemic, policymakers have made efforts to stimulate the American economy (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/27/house-passes-2-trillion-coronavirus-stimulus-bill-sends-it-to-trump.html,%20https://www.crfb.org/blogs/covid-money-tracker-policies-ena... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-12-28 | Will a piece of federal legislation providing for $250 billion or more of new fiscal stimulus become law in the U.S. before 1 January 2021? | gjopen | 1 |
2021-01-21 | 2020-12-09 | [] | binary | [["2020-12-09", 0.0], ["2020-12-09", 0.035], ["2020-12-09", 0.0], ["2020-12-09", 0.0], ["2020-12-09", 0.0], ["2020-12-09", 0.005], ["2020-12-09", 0.01], ["2020-12-09", 0.015], ["2020-12-09", 0.02], ["2020-12-10", 0.02], ["2020-12-10", 0.02], ["2020-12-10", 0.015], ["2020-12-10", 0.01], ["2020-12-10", 0.01], ["2020-12-1... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1860 |
<p>The Trump administration is exploring ways to allow mortgage finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to leave federal conservatorship, which was imposed in the midst of the 2008 financial crisis (<a href="https://www.fhfa.gov/Conservatorship/Pages/History-of-Fannie-Mae--Freddie-Conservatorships.aspx" target=... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-01-21 | Before 21 January 2021, will the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) enter into a consent order that would allow Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to exit conservatorship? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-01-01 | 2020-12-09 | ["https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-defense-trump-idUSKBN28N0O5", "https://www.cnet.com/news/house-approves-defense-spending-bill-with-veto-proof-majority/", "https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2020/12/trump-to-congress-repeal-section-230-or-ill-veto-military-funding/", "https://www.newsweek.com/section-230-us-la... | binary | [["2020-12-09", 0.0], ["2020-12-09", 0.0], ["2020-12-09", 0.0], ["2020-12-09", 0.0], ["2020-12-09", 0.0], ["2020-12-09", 0.0], ["2020-12-09", 0.0], ["2020-12-09", 0.0], ["2020-12-09", 0.0], ["2020-12-10", 0.0], ["2020-12-10", 0.0], ["2020-12-10", 0.0], ["2020-12-10", 0.0], ["2020-12-10", 0.0], ["2020-12-10", 0.0], ["20... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1857 |
<p>Section 230 is a statute that shields social media companies from liability for content their users post (<a href="https://www.cfr.org/in-brief/trump-and-section-230-what-know" target="_blank">Council on Foreign Relations</a>, <a href="https://fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/LSB10306.pdf" target="_blank">FAS</a>, <... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-01-01 | Will legislation amending or repealing Section 230 of the Communications Act of 1934 become law before 1 January 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-05-07 | 2020-12-11 | [] | binary | [["2020-12-11", 1.0], ["2020-12-11", 0.5], ["2020-12-11", 0.15], ["2020-12-11", 0.075], ["2020-12-11", 0.11], ["2020-12-11", 0.08], ["2020-12-11", 0.05], ["2020-12-11", 0.025], ["2020-12-12", 0.05], ["2020-12-12", 0.08], ["2020-12-12", 0.05], ["2020-12-12", 0.05], ["2020-12-12", 0.05], ["2020-12-12", 0.05], ["2020-12-1... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1861 |
<p>The Bank of England's benchmark interest rate is known as the "Bank Rate" (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2020/11/17/britain-will-face-disruption-and-deficit-while-many-britons-will-face-the-dole" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href="https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-05-06 | Before 7 May 2021, will the Bank of England set its Bank Rate to below zero? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-03 | 2020-12-11 | ["https://www.polygon.com/game-of-thrones/2021/1/21/22242930/hbo-game-of-thrones-series-dunk-and-egg-george-r-r-martin", "https://georgerrmartin.com/notablog/2021/02/02/reflections-on-a-bad-year/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter", "https://georgerrmartin.com/notablog/tag/writing/", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wi... | binary | [["2020-12-11", 0.33], ["2020-12-11", 0.365], ["2020-12-11", 0.4], ["2020-12-11", 0.575], ["2020-12-12", 0.75], ["2020-12-12", 0.575], ["2020-12-12", 0.4], ["2020-12-12", 0.575], ["2020-12-13", 0.56], ["2020-12-13", 0.555], ["2020-12-13", 0.55], ["2020-12-13", 0.475], ["2020-12-14", 0.51], ["2020-12-14", 0.55], ["2020-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1864 |
<p>The Winds of Winter is the sixth novel in the fantasy series that inspired HBO's Game of Thrones (<a href="https://www.rottentomatoes.com/tv/game-of-thrones" target="_blank">Rotten Tomatoes</a>). There has been talk that the book could be released soon, though similar claims have been made in the p... | Arts & Recreation | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Before 1 January 2022, will a release date for The Winds of Winter be announced by the author and/or publisher? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-06-23 | 2020-12-11 | ["https://www.supremecourt.gov/oral_arguments/argument_transcripts/2020/20-107_3ebh.pdf", "https://cdn.ca9.uscourts.gov/datastore/opinions/2019/05/08/16-16321.pdf", "https://www.nytimes.com/2021/03/20/opinion/Supreme-Court-labor-property-rights.html", "https://reason.com/volokh/2021/03/23/actual-property-law-in-cedar-p... | binary | [["2020-12-11", 0.75], ["2020-12-12", 0.775], ["2020-12-12", 0.8], ["2020-12-12", 0.825], ["2020-12-12", 0.85], ["2020-12-12", 0.9], ["2020-12-13", 0.95], ["2020-12-13", 0.975], ["2020-12-13", 1.0], ["2020-12-13", 1.0], ["2020-12-13", 0.975], ["2020-12-13", 0.975], ["2020-12-13", 0.95], ["2020-12-13", 0.945], ["2020-12... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1863 |
<p>Cedar Point Nursery sued California over state regulations allowing union organizers access to employees on their employers' property without compensation under limited circumstances (<a href="https://www.oyez.org/cases/2020/20-107" target="_blank">Oyez</a>, <a href="https://www.scotusblog.com/case-files... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-06-23 | In Cedar Point Nursery v. Hassid, will the Supreme Court rule that California's access regulation, as applied to Cedar Point Nursery, is a per se physical taking under the federal constitution? | gjopen | 1 |
2022-01-03 | 2020-12-16 | ["https://www.mofa.go.jp/press/release/press4e_001968.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1202538", "https://www.eastoregonian.com/news/nation_world/with-no-summit-south-korean-president-to-skip-olympics/article_77148da5-528b-5891-969b-13f9cbbd7f5e.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1248791", "https://english.... | binary | [["2020-12-16", 0.0], ["2020-12-16", 0.0], ["2020-12-16", 0.0], ["2020-12-16", 0.19], ["2020-12-16", 0.25], ["2020-12-16", 0.33], ["2020-12-16", 0.33], ["2020-12-16", 0.25], ["2020-12-16", 0.33], ["2020-12-17", 0.3], ["2020-12-17", 0.3], ["2020-12-17", 0.25], ["2020-12-18", 0.3], ["2020-12-18", 0.3], ["2020-12-18", 0.3... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1868 |
<p>In the wake of the signing of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), there's speculation that a trilateral free trade agreement among Japan, the People's Republic of China, and South Korea may be within reach (<a href="https://sg.news.yahoo.com/china-japan-south-korea-rcep-051029662.html... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Will Japan, the People's Republic of China, and South Korea sign a trilateral free trade agreement before 1 January 2022? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-03 | 2020-12-17 | ["https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Business-Spotlight/China-guides-its-self-driving-startups-into-the-fast-lane", "https://roboticsandautomationnews.com/2021/01/28/baidu-apollo-receives-driverless-vehicle-test-permit-in-california/40012/", "https://www.forbes.com/sites/bradtempleton/2021/01/27/autox-opens-real-robotaxi... | binary | [["2020-12-18", 0.41], ["2020-12-18", 0.41], ["2020-12-19", 0.015], ["2020-12-19", 0.385], ["2020-12-19", 0.3], ["2020-12-19", 0.75], ["2020-12-19", 0.785], ["2020-12-20", 0.82], ["2020-12-20", 0.82], ["2020-12-20", 0.8], ["2020-12-21", 0.75], ["2020-12-21", 0.75], ["2020-12-21", 0.75], ["2020-12-22", 0.75], ["2020-12-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1870 |
<p>Several companies are developing autonomous vehicles in China with the goal of launching a commercial open to the public ride-hailing service (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2020/12/04/fully-driverless-cars-are-being-tested-in-china-for-the-first-time.html" target="_blank">CNBC</a>, <a href="https:/... | Science & Tech | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Before 1 January 2022, will a commercial, open to the public, ride-hailing service that uses autonomous vehicles without back-up drivers nor remote operators be launched in the People's Republic of China? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-07-01 | 2020-12-17 | ["http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2021-05/13/c_139942993.htm", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-biden-yellen-trade/u-s-treasury-pick-yellen-says-domestic-investment-needed-before-new-trade-deals-idUSKBN29Q2RZ", "https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3127395/us-china-relations-trade-talks-will-take-... | binary | [["2020-12-18", 0.0], ["2020-12-18", 0.05], ["2020-12-18", 0.075], ["2020-12-18", 0.05], ["2020-12-18", 0.05], ["2020-12-19", 0.05], ["2020-12-19", 0.05], ["2020-12-19", 0.025], ["2020-12-19", 0.0], ["2020-12-19", 0.025], ["2020-12-19", 0.0], ["2020-12-19", 0.05], ["2020-12-20", 0.05], ["2020-12-20", 0.05], ["2020-12-2... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1872 |
<p>The latest trade agreement between the United States and China was the so-called “Phase One” agreement signed in January 2020 (<a href="https://ustr.gov/sites/default/files/files/agreements/phase%20one%20agreement/US_China_Agreement_Fact_Sheet.pdf" target="_blank">U.S. Trade Representative</a>, <a href="... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-07-01 | Will the United States and China sign a trade agreement before 1 July 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-08-15 | 2020-12-18 | ["https://www.washingtonpost.com/us-policy/2021/05/21/white-house-biden-health/", "https://www.forbes.com/sites/adamminsky/2021/08/07/5-key-takeaways-from-bidens-extension-of-student-loan-relief/", "https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.businessinsider.com/bidens-budget-campaign-promises-student-debt-and-healthcare-reform-2... | binary | [["2020-12-18", 0.3], ["2020-12-18", 0.35], ["2020-12-18", 0.25], ["2020-12-18", 0.25], ["2020-12-18", 0.25], ["2020-12-18", 0.25], ["2020-12-19", 0.25], ["2020-12-19", 0.1], ["2020-12-19", 0.1], ["2020-12-19", 0.25], ["2020-12-19", 0.25], ["2020-12-19", 0.225], ["2020-12-19", 0.25], ["2020-12-19", 0.25], ["2020-12-20"... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1873 |
<p>Some Democrats are pushing President-elect Joe Biden to cancel federal student loan debt on his first day in office, while Biden has pushed for congressional action (<a href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/zackfriedman/2020/12/12/10-questions-about-bidens-plan-to-cancel-student-loans/" target="_blank">Forb... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-08-14 | Before 14 August 2021, will an executive order be signed or federal legislation become law that would forgive $10,000 or more in principal on federal student loan debts for at least five million student loan borrowers? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-06-19 | 2020-12-22 | ["https://www.economist.com/big-mac-index", "https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20210423-turkey-seeks-arrest-of-missing-crypto-boss-over-huge-fraud", "https://www.euronews.com/2021/05/19/eu-turkey-relations-at-historic-low-point-meps-warn", "https://ahvalnews.com/turkish-lira/fitch-signals-possible-turkey-downgrade-... | binary | [["2020-12-22", 0.56], ["2020-12-22", 0.11], ["2020-12-22", 0.16], ["2020-12-23", 0.11], ["2020-12-23", 0.095], ["2020-12-23", 0.05], ["2020-12-23", 0.05], ["2020-12-23", 0.09], ["2020-12-23", 0.1], ["2020-12-23", 0.1], ["2020-12-23", 0.1], ["2020-12-24", 0.1], ["2020-12-24", 0.1], ["2020-12-24", 0.1], ["2020-12-24", 0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1878 |
<p>The lira has been under pressure amid Turkey's tensions with the U.S. and the EU, compounded by COVID-19 (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/emerging-markets/emerging-markets-turkeys-lira-falls-past-8-per-dollar-fx-stocks-eye-6th-week-of-gains-idUSL4N2IR24P" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="ht... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-06-18 | Before 19 June 2021, will the end-of-day closing value for the Turkish lira against the U.S. dollar exceed 9.00? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-03 | 2020-12-22 | ["https://www.reuters.com/technology/stablecoins-face-same-safeguards-traditional-payments-2021-10-06/", "https://github.com/diem/diem/commit/05f533ee89d07dbcff5ba0bd4d44dd28d576ba5f", "https://github.com/ethereum/go-ethereum", "https://cryptonews.com/news/facebook-to-ramp-up-payments-ahead-of-diem-launch-11097.htm", "... | binary | [["2020-12-22", 0.915], ["2020-12-22", 0.825], ["2020-12-23", 0.825], ["2020-12-23", 0.825], ["2020-12-23", 0.85], ["2020-12-23", 0.9], ["2020-12-23", 0.945], ["2020-12-23", 0.945], ["2020-12-23", 0.875], ["2020-12-23", 0.825], ["2020-12-24", 0.785], ["2020-12-24", 0.825], ["2020-12-24", 0.8], ["2020-12-25", 0.79], ["2... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1876 |
<p>The Diem Association, formerly known as Libra Association and related to Facebook, is planning to launch a single-currency stablecoin in 2021 (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2020/12/08/facebook-hopes-the-cryptocurrency-diem-it-backs-will-launch-in-2021.html" target="_blank">CNBC</a>, <a href="https:... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Before 1 January 2022, will the Diem Association, co-founded by Facebook, launch a stablecoin? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-08-15 | 2020-12-30 | ["https://www.congress.gov/bill/116th-congress/senate-bill/5020/text", "https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/house-republicans-draft-bill-to-strip-big-tech-companies-of-section-230-protections", "https://www.brookings.edu/techstream/a-guide-for-conceptualizing-the-debate-over-section-230/", "https://www.bloomberg.com/n... | binary | [["2020-12-31", 0.6], ["2020-12-31", 0.65], ["2020-12-31", 0.6], ["2020-12-31", 0.6], ["2020-12-31", 0.35], ["2021-01-01", 0.2], ["2021-01-01", 0.15], ["2021-01-01", 0.2], ["2021-01-01", 0.335], ["2021-01-01", 0.35], ["2021-01-01", 0.275], ["2021-01-01", 0.25], ["2021-01-01", 0.225], ["2021-01-01", 0.225], ["2021-01-01... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1882 |
<p>Section 230 is a statute that protects social media companies from liability for content their users post (<a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/what-is-section-230-and-why-do-so-many-lawmakers-want-to-repeal-it/" target="_blank">CBS News</a>, <a href="https://www.cfr.org/in-brief/trump-and-section-230-w... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-08-14 | Will legislation amending or repealing Section 230 of the Communications Act of 1934 become law before 14 August 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-03-15 | 2021-01-06 | ["https://twitter.com/JZarif/status/1367526457254309888", "https://www.arabnews.com/node/1814131/middle-east", "https://www.airforcetimes.com/news/your-military/2021/03/07/us-b-52s-again-fly-over-mideast-in-warning-to-iran/", "https://www.usnews.com/news/world-report/articles/2021-03-03/iraqi-airbase-housing-us-troops-... | binary | [["2021-01-06", 0.2], ["2021-01-06", 0.105], ["2021-01-06", 0.01], ["2021-01-06", 0.01], ["2021-01-06", 0.01], ["2021-01-06", 0.01], ["2021-01-06", 0.01], ["2021-01-06", 0.01], ["2021-01-06", 0.01], ["2021-01-06", 0.01], ["2021-01-06", 0.01], ["2021-01-06", 0.01], ["2021-01-06", 0.01], ["2021-01-06", 0.005], ["2021-01-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1892 |
<p>Tensions between the U.S. and Iran remain high (<a href="https://apnews.com/article/donald-trump-iran-coronavirus-pandemic-baghdad-ali-khamenei-de61647fe1796de76dc718f8933690c9" target="_blank">AP</a>, <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-01-06/iran-tests-suicide-drones-amid-its-tense-st... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-03-15 | Before 15 March 2021, will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Iran and the United States either in Iran or at sea? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-11 | 2021-01-06 | ["https://www.evangelisch.de/inhalte/186823/01-06-2021/wahlkampf-nicaragua-gewalt-nimmt-zu", "https://www.confidencial.com.ni/politica/las-razones-de-los-paises-caribenos-de-la-oea-para-dar-la-espalda-a-ortega/", "https://www.americasquarterly.org/article/another-5-years-for-daniel-ortega/", "https://www.france24.com/e... | binary | [["2021-01-06", 0.01], ["2021-01-06", 0.505], ["2021-01-06", 0.24], ["2021-01-06", 0.185], ["2021-01-06", 0.24], ["2021-01-06", 0.185], ["2021-01-07", 0.13], ["2021-01-07", 0.185], ["2021-01-07", 0.13], ["2021-01-07", 0.13], ["2021-01-07", 0.115], ["2021-01-07", 0.115], ["2021-01-07", 0.105], ["2021-01-07", 0.125], ["2... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1891 |
<p>President Daniel Ortega is expected to run for reelection in the 2021 Nicaraguan general election, scheduled for 7 November 2021 (<a href="https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/nicaraguan-government-sets-date-presidential-election-71785222" target="_blank">ABC News</a>, <a href="https://www.cfr.... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-11 | Will Daniel Ortega cease to be the president of Nicaragua before 11 January 2022? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-09-01 | 2021-01-07 | ["https://www.fitchratings.com/research/corporate-finance/2021-us-loan-default-rate-in-line-with-2020-hy-trending-lower-13-01-2021", "https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/pages/toc-primer/lcd-primer#sec24", "https://news.bloomberglaw.com/bankruptcy-law/u-s-leveraged-loan-default-rate-expected-to-fall-further"... | binary | [["2021-01-08", 1.0], ["2021-01-08", 0.75], ["2021-01-08", 0.5], ["2021-01-08", 0.745], ["2021-01-08", 0.95], ["2021-01-08", 0.9], ["2021-01-08", 0.96], ["2021-01-08", 0.95], ["2021-01-08", 0.85], ["2021-01-08", 0.95], ["2021-01-08", 0.85], ["2021-01-09", 0.75], ["2021-01-09", 0.85], ["2021-01-09", 0.915], ["2021-01-09... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1896 |
<p>The economic impacts of COVID-19 have seen an increase in loan default rates, but when the default cycle will peak remains unknown (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2020/11/17/corporate-defaults-will-be-surprisingly-few" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href="https://www.spglobal.com/m... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-09-01 | Will the U.S. leveraged loan default rate reach or exceed 5.0% before 1 September 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-10-01 | 2021-01-07 | ["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Retail,_Wholesale_and_Department_Store_Union", "https://www.siliconrepublic.com/companies/amazon-alabama-union-vote", "https://t.co/5Sh9NgMVIO?amp=1", "https://www.nytimes.com/2021/03/16/technology/amazon-unions-virginia.html", "https://newrepublic.com/article/161524/biden-support-amazon... | binary | [["2021-01-08", 0.5], ["2021-01-08", 0.33], ["2021-01-08", 0.455], ["2021-01-08", 0.95], ["2021-01-09", 0.95], ["2021-01-09", 0.95], ["2021-01-09", 0.9], ["2021-01-09", 0.9], ["2021-01-10", 0.9], ["2021-01-10", 0.9], ["2021-01-10", 0.825], ["2021-01-10", 0.75], ["2021-01-10", 0.705], ["2021-01-10", 0.68], ["2021-01-10"... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1894 |
<p>An election is expected to be held at a warehouse near Birmingham, Alabama, one of the first times Amazon workers have held a vote on whether to unionize (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2020/11/17/new-thinking-is-needed-on-workers-rights" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a h... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-10-01 | Before 1 October 2021, will any group of Amazon employees in the U.S. vote in the affirmative to form a union? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-10-01 | 2021-01-07 | ["https://popis2021.stat.gov.mk/%D0%9D%D0%B0%D1%81%D0%BB%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B8/%D0%9F%D1%80%D0%B8%D1%98%D0%B0%D0%B2%D1%83%D0%B2%D0%B0%D1%9A%D0%B5%D1%82%D0%BE-%D0%BD%D0%B0-%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%BD%D0%B4%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B0%D1%82%D0%B8-%D0%B7%D0%B0-%D0%9F%D0%BE%D0%BF%D0%B8%D1%81-2021-%D0%BF%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%BB%D0%B6%D1%83%... | binary | [["2021-01-08", 0.75], ["2021-01-08", 0.75], ["2021-01-08", 0.875], ["2021-01-09", 0.69], ["2021-01-09", 0.69], ["2021-01-10", 0.565], ["2021-01-10", 0.5], ["2021-01-11", 0.45], ["2021-01-11", 0.5], ["2021-01-12", 0.35], ["2021-01-12", 0.33], ["2021-01-13", 0.4], ["2021-01-13", 0.22], ["2021-01-14", 0.405], ["2021-01-1... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1897 |
<p>North Macedonia has not completed a census since 2002, partly due to concern that it could disrupt the country's ethnic-conscious government (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2020/11/17/emigration-and-low-birth-rates-are-affecting-the-balkans" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a hre... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-09-30 | Will North Macedonia announce that it has completed its census before 1 October 2021? | gjopen | 1 |
2021-02-03 | 2021-01-08 | ["https://twitter.com/pranayrvaddi/status/1354092436264542208", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-russia-nuclear/biden-seeks-five-year-extension-of-new-start-arms-treaty-with-russia-idUSKBN29Q2I4", "https://www.militarytimes.com/news/your-military/2021/01/31/putin-signs-extension-of-last-russia-us-nuclear-arms-tr... | binary | [["2021-01-08", 0.0], ["2021-01-08", 0.0], ["2021-01-08", 0.0], ["2021-01-08", 0.33], ["2021-01-08", 0.66], ["2021-01-08", 0.725], ["2021-01-08", 0.79], ["2021-01-08", 0.745], ["2021-01-08", 0.79], ["2021-01-08", 0.82], ["2021-01-08", 0.885], ["2021-01-09", 0.82], ["2021-01-09", 0.81], ["2021-01-09", 0.8], ["2021-01-09... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1899 |
<p>Russia and the U.S. signed the current "New START" treaty in 2010, which was intended to further reduce stockpiles of nuclear weapons in each country (<a href="https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2020/10/16/putin-proposes-one-year-extension-of-new-start-treaty-a71780" target="_blank">Moscow Times</a>). The treaty i... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-02-03 | Will the New START treaty be extended by Russia and the U.S. before 6 February 2021? | gjopen | 1 |
2021-05-10 | 2021-01-15 | ["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rotten_and_pocket_boroughs#:~:text=A%20rotten%20or%20pocket%20borough,gain%20unrepresentative%20influence%20within%20the", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Scottish_Parliament_election#North_East_Scotland", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-08/johnson-rejects-scottish-r... | binary | [["2021-01-15", 0.875], ["2021-01-15", 0.95], ["2021-01-15", 1.0], ["2021-01-15", 1.0], ["2021-01-15", 1.0], ["2021-01-15", 1.0], ["2021-01-15", 1.0], ["2021-01-15", 1.0], ["2021-01-15", 1.0], ["2021-01-16", 1.0], ["2021-01-16", 1.0], ["2021-01-16", 1.0], ["2021-01-16", 1.0], ["2021-01-16", 1.0], ["2021-01-16", 1.0], [... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1904 |
<p>The next Scottish Parliament election is scheduled to be held on 6 May 2021 (<a href="https://www.edinburghlive.co.uk/news/uk-world-news/covid-scotland-nicola-sturgeon-says-19564859" target="_blank">Edinburgh Live</a>, <a href="https://www.parliament.scot/visitandlearn/96259.aspx" target="_blank">Parliam... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-05-06 | Will the Scottish National Party win a majority of seats in the next Scottish Parliament election? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-11-08 | 2021-01-15 | ["https://www.latimes.com/world/la-fg-taiwan-nicaragua-20190223-story.html", "https://www.taiwanembassy.org/ni_es/post/16995.html", "https://taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2020/05/22/2003736852", "https://www.el19digital.com/articulos/ver/titulo:112122-companera-rosario-murillo-en-multinoticias-22-01-21", "https:... | binary | [["2021-01-15", 0.01], ["2021-01-15", 0.045], ["2021-01-15", 0.01], ["2021-01-15", 0.045], ["2021-01-16", 0.05], ["2021-01-16", 0.065], ["2021-01-16", 0.05], ["2021-01-16", 0.065], ["2021-01-16", 0.08], ["2021-01-16", 0.09], ["2021-01-16", 0.09], ["2021-01-16", 0.09], ["2021-01-17", 0.09], ["2021-01-17", 0.085], ["2021... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1903 |
<p>In recent decades, many countries have ceased to recognize the Republic of China (ROC), commonly known as Taiwan, in favor of recognition of the People's Republic of China (PRC). A handful of countries continue to recognize the ROC, including Nicaragua (<a href="https://www.mofa.gov.tw/... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-11-07 | Will Nicaragua diplomatically recognize the People's Republic of China before 7 November 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-11-08 | 2021-01-15 | ["https://www.fpri.org/article/2016/07/everything-old-new-russia-returns-nicaragua/", "https://theglobalamericans.org/2019/03/russia-and-nicaragua-progress-in-bilateral-cooperation/", "https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2020/11/10/first-foreign-diplomatic-mission-to-open-in-crimea-since-annexation-tass-a72000", "https://ww... | binary | [["2021-01-15", 1.0], ["2021-01-15", 0.8], ["2021-01-15", 0.65], ["2021-01-15", 0.65], ["2021-01-15", 0.72], ["2021-01-16", 0.65], ["2021-01-16", 0.625], ["2021-01-16", 0.65], ["2021-01-16", 0.65], ["2021-01-16", 0.65], ["2021-01-16", 0.715], ["2021-01-16", 0.77], ["2021-01-16", 0.775], ["2021-01-16", 0.78], ["2021-01-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1900 |
<p>While the Nicaraguan government faces sanctions and pressure from the U.S. government and others, Russia's ties with the Central American nation seem to remain strong (<a href="https://thecostaricanews.com/russia-confirms-plans-to-produce-its-coronavirus-vaccine-in-nicaragua/" target="_blank">Costa Rica ... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-11-07 | Will a Russian senior government official or Russian naval vessel visit Nicaragua before 7 November 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-03 | 2021-01-20 | ["https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/12/22/wfp-forced-to-cut-food-aid-to-yemen-amid-lacking-funds", "https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-envoy-back-gulf-push-yemen-truce-battles-spread-2021-07-28/", "https://fews.net/east-africa/yemen", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-yemen-security-timeline/timeline-yeme... | binary | [["2021-01-22", 0.175], ["2021-01-22", 0.33], ["2021-01-22", 0.39], ["2021-01-22", 0.25], ["2021-01-23", 0.165], ["2021-01-23", 0.24], ["2021-01-23", 0.3], ["2021-01-23", 0.35], ["2021-01-23", 0.29], ["2021-01-23", 0.315], ["2021-01-23", 0.34], ["2021-01-24", 0.35], ["2021-01-24", 0.35], ["2021-01-24", 0.38], ["2021-01... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1908 |
<p>Years of civil war and other factors have greatly increased food insecurity in Yemen, and the UN and others fear that US policy toward Houthi rebels may exacerbate the problems and lead to famine in the country (<a href="https://news.un.org/en/story/2021/01/1082082" target="_blank">UN</a>, <a href="https... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen in 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-04-01 | 2021-01-20 | ["https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-54245327", "https://www.bbc.com/news/business-55728338", "https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/what-jack-ma-said-after-resurfacing-in-video-2355154", "https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-56448688", "https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/alibaba-jack-ma-first-public-appeara... | binary | [["2021-01-22", 0.3], ["2021-01-22", 0.15], ["2021-01-22", 0.03], ["2021-01-22", 0.015], ["2021-01-22", 0.03], ["2021-01-22", 0.065], ["2021-01-22", 0.05], ["2021-01-22", 0.04], ["2021-01-22", 0.05], ["2021-01-22", 0.075], ["2021-01-22", 0.05], ["2021-01-22", 0.075], ["2021-01-22", 0.1], ["2021-01-23", 0.075], ["2021-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1909 |
<p>Alibaba founder Jack Ma made his first public appearance on 20 January 2021 after three months since an October 2020 event in Shanghai where he was critical of Chinese regulators (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/china-alibaba-jack-ma/alibabas-jack-ma-makes-first-public-appearance-in-three-months... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-04-01 | Will Chinese businessman Jack Ma physically appear in public outside of the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 1 April 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-03 | 2021-01-21 | ["https://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/middle-east/2021/01/20/Israeli-Syrian-officials-discussed-Iran-and-its-militias-presence-in-Syria-Report", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1220808", "https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/world/biden-renews-offer-to-return-to-full-nuclear-deal-if-iran-does-the-same-7492501.html", "h... | binary | [["2021-01-21", 0.05], ["2021-01-21", 0.035], ["2021-01-21", 0.05], ["2021-01-21", 0.035], ["2021-01-21", 0.025], ["2021-01-21", 0.025], ["2021-01-21", 0.03], ["2021-01-21", 0.03], ["2021-01-21", 0.03], ["2021-01-21", 0.03], ["2021-01-21", 0.03], ["2021-01-21", 0.03], ["2021-01-21", 0.02], ["2021-01-21", 0.03], ["2021-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1910 |
Tensions between the U.S. and Iran remain high (<a href="https://apnews.com/article/donald-trump-iran-coronavirus-pandemic-baghdad-ali-khamenei-de61647fe1796de76dc718f8933690c9" target="_blank">AP</a>, <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-01-06/iran-tests-suicide-drones-amid-its-tense... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Before 1 January 2022, will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Iran and the United States either in Iran or at sea? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-08-02 | 2021-01-22 | ["https://www.cnbc.com/2018/05/21/russian-missile-with-unlimited-range-crashed-after-only-22-miles.html", "https://t.me/warbolts/528", "https://bit.ly/3j4qfUr", "https://www.euronews.com/2021/06/28/us-russia-missile", "https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/putin-just-made-big-promise-russian-military-even-better-weapo... | binary | [["2021-01-22", 0.65], ["2021-01-22", 0.8], ["2021-01-22", 0.85], ["2021-01-23", 0.83], ["2021-01-23", 0.83], ["2021-01-23", 0.8], ["2021-01-23", 0.8], ["2021-01-23", 0.86], ["2021-01-24", 0.86], ["2021-01-24", 0.87], ["2021-01-24", 0.86], ["2021-01-24", 0.85], ["2021-01-24", 0.855], ["2021-01-24", 0.86], ["2021-01-25"... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1912 |
<p>Russia has been developing a new intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), the RS-28 Sarmat, for years (<a href="https://tass.com/defense/1236575" target="_blank">TASS</a>, <a href="https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9110579/Russia-planning-flight-test-new-missile-capable-destroying-area-size-Fran... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-08-01 | Will Russia conduct a flight test of an RS-28 Sarmat ICBM before 1 August 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-06-16 | 2021-01-22 | ["https://www.npr.org/2021/06/12/1004786106/bidens-summit-with-putin-follows-a-harrowing-history-of-u-s-meetings-with-russia", "https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/may/10/colonial-pipeline-shutdown-us-darkside-message", "https://www.reuters.com/world/switzerland-is-most-likely-venue-putin-biden-summit-russias-komm... | binary | [["2021-01-22", 0.14], ["2021-01-22", 0.14], ["2021-01-22", 0.125], ["2021-01-22", 0.125], ["2021-01-22", 0.1], ["2021-01-22", 0.1], ["2021-01-22", 0.1], ["2021-01-22", 0.1], ["2021-01-23", 0.1], ["2021-01-23", 0.1], ["2021-01-23", 0.1], ["2021-01-23", 0.125], ["2021-01-23", 0.15], ["2021-01-23", 0.1], ["2021-01-23", 0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1911 |
<p>The world is watching how U.S.-Russia relations will evolve under President Biden (<a href="https://www.npr.org/2020/12/21/948736756/putin-and-biden-signal-chilly-relations-to-come" target="_blank">NPR</a>, <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/17/biden-national-security-advisor-calls-for-russia-to... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-06-16 | Will U.S. President Joe Biden and Russian President Vladimir Putin hold a bilateral meeting in 2021? | gjopen | 1 |
2021-05-05 | 2021-01-29 | ["https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19", "https://apnews.com/article/travel-politics-africa-chad-ff9e3eaf4ed7398d61c7d260f5abbcce", "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1918-before-1-october-2021-will-the-republic-of-chad-announce-that-legislative-elections-currently-scheduled-for-24-october-2021-will-be-postponed-o... | binary | [["2021-01-29", 0.75], ["2021-01-29", 0.705], ["2021-01-29", 0.75], ["2021-01-29", 0.75], ["2021-01-29", 0.75], ["2021-01-30", 0.775], ["2021-01-30", 0.8], ["2021-01-30", 0.8], ["2021-01-30", 0.8], ["2021-01-30", 0.8], ["2021-01-31", 0.86], ["2021-01-31", 0.8], ["2021-01-31", 0.86], ["2021-01-31", 0.8], ["2021-01-31", ... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1918 |
<p>Elections for Chad's legislature, the National Assembly, were last held in 2011, with 2015 elections postponed five times (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2020/11/17/covid-19-will-help-unscrupulous-incumbents-in-african-elections" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href="https://www.bar... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-04-26 | Before 1 October 2021, will the Republic of Chad announce that legislative elections currently scheduled for 24 October 2021 will be postponed or canceled? | gjopen | 1 |
2021-02-13 | 2021-01-29 | ["https://reut.rs/3p8U8nR", "https://reut.rs/3b4u4VX", "https://nyti.ms/3p8mkXQ", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-italy-politics-draghi/draghi-forms-new-italian-government-names-politicians-technocrats-as-ministers-idUSKBN2AC2AG?il=0", "https://bloom.bg/3q0atMJ", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elections_in_Italy", ... | binary | [["2021-01-29", 0.15], ["2021-01-29", 0.575], ["2021-01-29", 0.3], ["2021-01-29", 0.4], ["2021-01-29", 0.3], ["2021-01-29", 0.3], ["2021-01-29", 0.3], ["2021-01-29", 0.3], ["2021-01-29", 0.3], ["2021-01-30", 0.23], ["2021-01-30", 0.16], ["2021-01-30", 0.155], ["2021-01-30", 0.16], ["2021-01-30", 0.18], ["2021-01-30", 0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1919 |
<p>After the resignation of Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte, how the next Italian government will be formed -- and how Italy will continue to weather the COVID-19 crisis -- remains to be seen (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2020/11/17/lots-of-eu-cash-for-italy-but-what-about-structural-ref... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-02-13 | Will there be a new prime minister of Italy before 1 September 2021? | gjopen | 1 |
2022-01-03 | 2021-01-29 | ["https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-states", "https://www.forbes.com/sites/williamhaseltine/2021/10/06/origin-very-close-relatives-of-sars-cov-2-identified-in-laotian-bats/", "https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/regret-defiance-europes-vaccine-shy-east-covid-19-rages-2021-10-21", "https://www.ncbi.... | binary | [["2021-01-29", 0.63], ["2021-01-29", 0.4], ["2021-01-29", 0.6], ["2021-01-29", 0.6], ["2021-01-29", 0.5], ["2021-01-30", 0.615], ["2021-01-30", 0.615], ["2021-01-30", 0.55], ["2021-01-30", 0.4], ["2021-01-30", 0.55], ["2021-01-30", 0.4], ["2021-01-30", 0.54], ["2021-01-30", 0.53], ["2021-01-30", 0.465], ["2021-01-30",... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1916 |
<p>The outcome will be determined using deaths data as reported by WHO for the United States and for those countries that were EU member states as of 1 January 2021 (<a href="https://covid19.who.int/table" target="_blank">WHO</a>, see 'Deaths - cumulative total', <a href="https://europa.eu/european-un... | Healthcare & Biology | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-12-31 | Will the United States report more deaths attributed to COVID-19 as of 31 December 2021 than will the European Union? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-11-01 | 2021-02-05 | ["https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-prison-mass-hunger-strike/31457897.html", "https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/live/2021/mar/17/joe-biden-covid-coronavirus-relief-plan-andrew-cuomo-atlanta-shooting-live-updates", "https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-56644807", "https://www.rferl.org/a/russia_rallies_arrests_oppositi... | binary | [["2021-02-05", 1.0], ["2021-02-05", 0.775], ["2021-02-05", 0.55], ["2021-02-05", 0.315], ["2021-02-05", 0.1], ["2021-02-05", 0.175], ["2021-02-05", 0.165], ["2021-02-05", 0.25], ["2021-02-05", 0.165], ["2021-02-05", 0.08], ["2021-02-05", 0.08], ["2021-02-05", 0.165], ["2021-02-05", 0.25], ["2021-02-05", 0.165], ["2021... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1929 |
<p>Russia has seen growing protests sparked primarily by the arrest and imprisonment of opposition leader Alexei Navalny (<a href="https://apnews.com/article/alexei-navalny-russia-jail-52c598a1929341e955d131fddff0d735" target="_blank">AP</a>, <a href="https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2021/02/05/russia-expels-... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-11-01 | Between 5 February 2021 and 31 October 2021, will anti-government protests in Russia result in five or more fatalities? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-03 | 2021-02-05 | ["https://www.vulture.com/article/film-review-the-dissident-and-the-murder-of-jamal-khashoggi.html", "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7197/Will-Israel-hold-a-second-national-election-for-Knesset-in-2021", "https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-12-09/saudi-arabia-is-in-no-rush-to-recognize-israel", "h... | binary | [["2021-02-05", 1.0], ["2021-02-05", 0.625], ["2021-02-05", 0.5], ["2021-02-05", 0.375], ["2021-02-05", 0.25], ["2021-02-05", 0.25], ["2021-02-05", 0.25], ["2021-02-05", 0.25], ["2021-02-05", 0.25], ["2021-02-05", 0.24], ["2021-02-05", 0.23], ["2021-02-05", 0.2], ["2021-02-05", 0.2], ["2021-02-06", 0.175], ["2021-02-06... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1926 |
<p>Various Arab states recognized Israel in 2020, though Saudi Arabia was not among them (<a href="https://www.npr.org/2020/12/10/945033413/morocco-becomes-latest-arab-country-to-normalize-ties-with-israel" target="_blank">NPR</a>, <a href="https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/saudi-arabia-israel-normalization... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Will Saudi Arabia diplomatically recognize the State of Israel in 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-12-01 | 2021-02-05 | ["https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-india-move-tens-of-thousands-of-troops-to-the-border-in-largest-buildup-in-decades-11625218201", "https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20210806-india-china-pull-back-from-part-of-contested-himalayan-border", "https://www.meteoblue.com/en/weather/14-days/naku-la_india_1262090", "htt... | binary | [["2021-02-05", 0.25], ["2021-02-05", 0.175], ["2021-02-05", 0.15], ["2021-02-05", 0.15], ["2021-02-06", 0.15], ["2021-02-06", 0.15], ["2021-02-06", 0.15], ["2021-02-06", 0.15], ["2021-02-06", 0.15], ["2021-02-06", 0.15], ["2021-02-06", 0.15], ["2021-02-06", 0.14], ["2021-02-07", 0.14], ["2021-02-07", 0.15], ["2021-02-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1927 |
<p>Tensions continue to flare along the disputed border between India and China, with lethal clashes in June 2020 (<a href="https://www.usnews.com/news/world-report/articles/2020-06-16/dozens-killed-as-india-china-face-off-in-first-deadly-clash-in-decades" target="_blank">US News</a>, <a href="https://www.b... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-12-01 | Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of India and the People's Republic of China before 1 December 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-03 | 2021-02-10 | ["https://www.npr.org/live-updates/buffalo-supermarket-shooting", "https://apnews.com/article/george-floyd-richmond-race-and-ethnicity-racial-injustice-virginia-6fe850aff69b858d99b34436b9b87d8b", "https://www.dhs.gov/national-terrorism-advisory-system", "https://www.dhs.gov/ntas/advisory/national-terrorism-advisory-sys... | binary | [["2021-02-10", 0.02], ["2021-02-10", 0.13], ["2021-02-10", 0.045], ["2021-02-10", 0.135], ["2021-02-11", 0.135], ["2021-02-11", 0.05], ["2021-02-11", 0.05], ["2021-02-11", 0.05], ["2021-02-11", 0.05], ["2021-02-11", 0.07], ["2021-02-11", 0.06], ["2021-02-11", 0.085], ["2021-02-11", 0.085], ["2021-02-11", 0.06], ["2021... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1930 |
<p>In the wake of the storming of the Capitol Building, the U.S. Department of Homeland Security issued a bulletin warning of threats of domestic terrorism (<a href="https://www.usatoday.com/in-depth/news/2021/01/06/dc-protests-capitol-riot-trump-supporters-electoral-college-stolen-election/6568305002/" tar... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Will there be an act of domestic terrorism in the United States resulting in 10 or more fatalities before 1 January 2022? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-01 | 2021-02-10 | ["https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/vladimir-putin-president-russia-signs-law-allowing-2-more-presidential-terms/", "https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2021/01/29/pandemic-pushed-russians-household-finances-to-decade-low-a72773", "https://news.yahoo.com/russia-plans-one-off-payments-134130111.html", "https://www.newstatesma... | binary | [["2021-02-10", 0.01], ["2021-02-10", 0.01], ["2021-02-10", 0.01], ["2021-02-10", 0.01], ["2021-02-10", 0.01], ["2021-02-10", 0.01], ["2021-02-10", 0.01], ["2021-02-10", 0.01], ["2021-02-11", 0.01], ["2021-02-11", 0.01], ["2021-02-11", 0.01], ["2021-02-11", 0.01], ["2021-02-11", 0.01], ["2021-02-11", 0.01], ["2021-02-1... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1931 |
<p>President Vladimir Putin has dominated Russian politics since he succeeded Boris Yeltsin as president in 1999 (<a href="https://www.britannica.com/biography/Vladimir-Putin" target="_blank">Britannica</a>). There has been speculation whether he may step down, even though he's eligible for reelection in 20... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 January 2022? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-01 | 2021-02-12 | ["https://shareok.org/bitstream/handle/11244/329592/2021_Fitzgerald_Jonathan_Thesis.docx", "https://www.eurasiareview.com/18102021-iran-to-resume-jcpoa-talks-next-week-says-lawmaker/", "https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-fails-fully-honour-agreement-monitoring-equipment-iaea-says-2021-09-26/", "https://www.... | binary | [["2021-02-12", 0.6], ["2021-02-12", 0.56], ["2021-02-12", 0.675], ["2021-02-12", 0.75], ["2021-02-12", 0.65], ["2021-02-13", 0.75], ["2021-02-13", 0.75], ["2021-02-13", 0.75], ["2021-02-13", 0.75], ["2021-02-14", 0.75], ["2021-02-14", 0.75], ["2021-02-14", 0.8], ["2021-02-14", 0.8], ["2021-02-15", 0.75], ["2021-02-15"... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1935 |
<p>Obstacles standing in the way of the U.S. rejoining the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) include the issues of current U.S. sanctions against Iran and Iran's resumed production of highly enriched uranium (<a href="https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-research-reports/issue-brief/rejoi... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. officially rejoin the JCPOA? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-12-15 | 2021-02-12 | ["https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1718-before-1-january-2022-will-the-u-s-senate-expand-the-scope-of-matters-for-which-a-filibuster-cannot-be-used", "https://ballotpedia.org/Confirmation_process_for_Katherine_Tai_for_U.S._trade_representative", "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aJ7apo19fDM", "https://www.cnbc.com/2021/... | binary | [["2021-02-12", 0.25], ["2021-02-12", 0.4], ["2021-02-12", 0.55], ["2021-02-12", 0.555], ["2021-02-12", 0.55], ["2021-02-12", 0.56], ["2021-02-12", 0.56], ["2021-02-12", 0.555], ["2021-02-12", 0.56], ["2021-02-12", 0.655], ["2021-02-12", 0.56], ["2021-02-12", 0.655], ["2021-02-13", 0.75], ["2021-02-13", 0.655], ["2021-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1936 |
<p>Former President Trump withdrew the U.S. from the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade agreement (TPP) prior to ratification, and the remaining parties went forward without the U.S. and ratified the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) (<a href="https://www.federalregi... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-12-15 | Before 15 December 2021, will the U.S. either formally seek to join or formally begin renegotiations with signatories regarding the TPP or CPTPP? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-02-07 | 2021-02-12 | ["https://apnews.com/article/business-health-elections-coronavirus-pandemic-myanmar-8504af88bd5b2c2c2b30c7da5baa8ad5", "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/2/1/world-accused-of-sitting-and-watching-as-myanmar-slides-to-war", "https://www.cnn.com/2021/10/12/asia/myanmar-win-myint-coup-intl-hnk/index.html", "https://www.... | binary | [["2021-02-12", 0.25], ["2021-02-12", 0.4], ["2021-02-12", 0.25], ["2021-02-12", 0.225], ["2021-02-12", 0.25], ["2021-02-12", 0.25], ["2021-02-12", 0.25], ["2021-02-12", 0.225], ["2021-02-12", 0.2], ["2021-02-13", 0.19], ["2021-02-13", 0.2], ["2021-02-13", 0.225], ["2021-02-13", 0.25], ["2021-02-13", 0.225], ["2021-02-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1934 |
<p>On 1 February 2021, the military (aka "Defence Services") of Myanmar detained various government officials and declared a one-year state of emergency under the constitution (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-myanmar-politics-military-text/statement-from-myanmar-military-on-state-of-emerge... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-02-05 | Will the powers of the government of Myanmar cease to be held by the military before 5 February 2022? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-03 | 2021-02-16 | ["https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-08-24/tiny-issuer-thinks-it-just-got-the-edge-in-race-for-bitcoin-etf?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_content=business&utm_campaign=socialflow-organic&cmpid=socialflow-twitter-business", "https://www.jdsupra.com/legalnews/new-sec-chairman-gives-his... | binary | [["2021-02-16", 1.0], ["2021-02-16", 0.95], ["2021-02-16", 0.9], ["2021-02-16", 0.825], ["2021-02-16", 0.75], ["2021-02-16", 0.9], ["2021-02-17", 0.75], ["2021-02-17", 0.8], ["2021-02-17", 0.85], ["2021-02-17", 0.88], ["2021-02-17", 0.84], ["2021-02-18", 0.8], ["2021-02-18", 0.8], ["2021-02-18", 0.75], ["2021-02-18", 0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1939 |
<p>While bitcoin ETFs have been authorized in other jurisdictions, earlier attempts to create one in the US have failed (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/11/bitcoin-etf-could-finally-get-approved-this-year-market-analyst.html" target="_blank">CNBC</a>, <a href="https://www.cp24.com/news/can... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Will a bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) trade on a US exchange before 1 January 2022? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-03-16 | 2021-02-16 | ["https://tradingbeasts.com/price-prediction/dogecoin", "https://www.coindesk.com/git-along-lil-doge-dallas-mavs-to%02accept-dogecoin-for-tickets-merchandise", "https://www.statista.com/statistics/1200235/dogecoin-price-index/", "https://capital.com/dogecoin-price-prediction-2021-and-beyond", "https://www.coindesk.com/... | binary | [["2021-02-16", 0.05], ["2021-02-16", 0.15], ["2021-02-16", 0.25], ["2021-02-16", 0.175], ["2021-02-16", 0.25], ["2021-02-16", 0.225], ["2021-02-16", 0.2], ["2021-02-16", 0.11], ["2021-02-16", 0.1], ["2021-02-16", 0.105], ["2021-02-16", 0.11], ["2021-02-16", 0.13], ["2021-02-16", 0.15], ["2021-02-17", 0.175], ["2021-02... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1938 |
<p>Originally created as a joke, the Dogecoin cryptocurrency has seen an incredible rise in value due to pushes made on Reddit and elsewhere (<a href="https://dogecoin.com/" target="_blank">Dogecoin</a>, <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-02-11/dogecoin-s-creator-is-just-as-baffled-as-you-are-a... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-03-15 | Will be the end-of-day price of a Dogecoin on 15 March 2021 be higher as compared to the end-of-day price on 15 February 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-06-21 | 2021-02-23 | ["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Collegiate_Athletic_Association_v._Alston", "https://www.insider.com/college-admissions-scandal-full-list-people-sentenced-2019-9", "https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/21/supreme-court-rules-for-college-athletes-in-compensation-dispute-with-ncaa.html", "https://www.cbssports.com/colle... | binary | [["2021-02-24", 0.85], ["2021-02-25", 0.565], ["2021-02-25", 0.66], ["2021-02-25", 0.68], ["2021-02-25", 0.66], ["2021-02-25", 0.47], ["2021-02-25", 0.28], ["2021-02-25", 0.305], ["2021-02-25", 0.28], ["2021-02-25", 0.305], ["2021-02-25", 0.33], ["2021-02-25", 0.315], ["2021-02-25", 0.3], ["2021-02-25", 0.315], ["2021-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1946 |
<p>The National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) has various rules defining the eligibility of many athletes to participate in college sports, including caps on education-based benefits (<a href="https://www.ncaa.org/about/student-athlete-eligibility" target="_blank">NCAA</a>). Certain athletes sued c... | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-06-21 | In NCAA v. Alston, will the Supreme Court rule that NCAA rules restricting education-related benefits for student-athletes violate federal antitrust law? | gjopen | 1 |
2021-06-18 | 2021-02-23 | ["https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2021/01/28/960901166/how-is-the-covid-19-vaccination-campaign-going-in-your-state", "https://www.wired.com/story/hololens-mesh-microsoft-ignite-2021/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1240020", "https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2021/04/30/a-procl... | binary | [["2021-02-24", 1.0], ["2021-02-24", 1.0], ["2021-02-25", 0.89], ["2021-02-25", 0.95], ["2021-02-25", 0.875], ["2021-02-25", 0.875], ["2021-02-25", 0.875], ["2021-02-25", 0.875], ["2021-02-25", 0.825], ["2021-02-25", 0.8], ["2021-02-25", 0.8], ["2021-02-25", 0.8], ["2021-02-25", 0.8], ["2021-02-25", 0.8], ["2021-02-25"... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1947 |
<p>The Global Business Travel Association (GBTA) has been conducting rolling surveys of companies around the world on the state of business travel during the COVID-19 pandemic (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2020/11/17/some-executives-cant-wait-to-hit-the-road-again" target="_blank">Econ... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-06-17 | Will the percentage of Global Business Travel Association survey respondents planning to resume international business travel in the near future (next 1-3 months) reach 20% or higher before September 2021? | gjopen | 1 |
2021-08-15 | 2021-02-23 | ["https://www.eureporter.co/world/russia/2021/07/28/kremlin-critic-alexei-navalnys-website-blocked-by-regulator-before-election/", "https://www.reuters.com/world/kremlin-critic-navalny-discloses-details-extremism-ruling-2021-06-23/", "https://apnews.com/article/europe-russia-bills-government-and-politics-fc1328f358436b... | binary | [["2021-02-24", 0.98], ["2021-02-25", 0.99], ["2021-02-25", 0.95], ["2021-02-25", 0.865], ["2021-02-25", 0.8], ["2021-02-25", 0.79], ["2021-02-25", 0.8], ["2021-02-25", 0.8], ["2021-02-25", 0.8], ["2021-02-25", 0.825], ["2021-02-25", 0.85], ["2021-02-25", 0.8], ["2021-02-25", 0.85], ["2021-02-25", 0.85], ["2021-02-25",... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1945 |
<p>Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny is already facing various criminal charges and sentences, which supporters contend is an effort to silence his criticism of President Putin and the Russian government (<a href="https://www.dw.com/en/russia-alexei-navalny-returns-to-court-for-slander-case/a-5646461... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-08-15 | Before 15 August 2021, will Alexei Navalny be convicted on any fraud charges related to his activities with his non-profit organizations? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-04-25 | 2021-02-26 | [] | binary | [["2021-02-26", 1.0], ["2021-02-26", 0.995], ["2021-02-26", 0.99], ["2021-02-26", 0.945], ["2021-02-26", 0.99], ["2021-02-26", 0.945], ["2021-02-26", 0.9], ["2021-02-26", 0.945], ["2021-02-27", 0.9], ["2021-02-27", 0.9], ["2021-02-27", 0.9], ["2021-02-27", 0.925], ["2021-02-27", 0.9], ["2021-02-27", 0.9], ["2021-02-27"... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1951 |
<p>The outcome will be determined using data provided by SIPRI (<a href="https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex" target="_blank">SIPRI</a>, see the "Data for all countries" spreadsheet under the "Excel file" section). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2021 and resolved when the data are fir... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Will the People's Republic of China's (PRC's) military expenditure as a percentage of GDP be greater in 2021 than it was in 2019? | gjopen | 1 |
2021-03-08 | 2021-02-26 | ["https://www.lemonde.fr/economie/article/2021/03/02/interdite-de-diffusion-au-royaume-uni-cgtn-la-television-internationale-d-etat-chinoise-s-en-remet-a-la-france_6071672_3234.html", "https://www.fidh.org/en/region/asia/china/ngos-call-on-french-media-regulator-to-reject-the-broadcasting", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wi... | binary | [["2021-02-26", 0.9], ["2021-02-26", 0.45], ["2021-02-26", 0.6], ["2021-02-26", 0.68], ["2021-02-27", 0.6], ["2021-02-27", 0.5], ["2021-02-27", 0.6], ["2021-02-27", 0.5], ["2021-02-27", 0.4], ["2021-02-27", 0.375], ["2021-02-27", 0.4], ["2021-02-27", 0.375], ["2021-02-28", 0.35], ["2021-02-28", 0.35], ["2021-02-28", 0.... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1950 |
<p>In February 2021, the UK Office of Communications (Ofcom) revoked CGTN’s license to broadcast in the country, therefore cutting its access to other countries in Europe (<a href="https://www.ofcom.org.uk/about-ofcom/latest/media/media-releases/2021/ofcom-revokes-cgtn-licence-to-broadcast-in-uk" target="_blank">... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-03-03 | Will France grant the China Global Television Network (CGTN) a license to broadcast in France before 1 January 2022? | gjopen | 1 |
2021-10-01 | 2021-03-05 | ["https://www.sec.gov/litigation/admin/2020/33-10906.pdf", "https://www.cnbc.com/2021/09/27/michael-burry-says-he-was-subpoenaed-by-the-sec-as-gamestop-saga-drags-on.html", "https://www.forbes.com/advisor/investing/gary-gensler-sec-chairman/", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Archegos_Capital_Management", "https://nysba.... | binary | [["2021-03-05", 0.2], ["2021-03-05", 0.6], ["2021-03-05", 0.2], ["2021-03-05", 0.15], ["2021-03-05", 0.12], ["2021-03-06", 0.1], ["2021-03-06", 0.11], ["2021-03-06", 0.12], ["2021-03-06", 0.11], ["2021-03-06", 0.1], ["2021-03-06", 0.1], ["2021-03-06", 0.1], ["2021-03-06", 0.085], ["2021-03-06", 0.1], ["2021-03-07", 0.0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1958 |
<p>A Reddit-fueled "short squeeze" on shares of Gamestop and other companies led to online trading firm Robinhood to impose trading limits on various stocks in late January (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/30/gamestop-reddit-and-robinhood-a-full-recap-of-the-historic-retail-trading-mania-on-wall-stree... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-10-01 | Will Robinhood receive a Wells notice from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) before 1 October 2021 related to trading limits imposed on 28 January 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-07-01 | 2021-03-12 | ["https://spaceflightnow.com/2021/03/02/boeings-next-starliner-test-flight-delayed-after-spacex-crew-rotation/", "https://spacepolicyonline.com/events/boeing-starliner-oft-2-uncrewed-flight-test-mar-29-2021/#:~:text=Original%20Entry%3A%20NASA%20and%20Boeing,flight%20on%20March%2029%2C%202021", "https://mobile.twitter.c... | binary | [["2021-03-12", 0.0], ["2021-03-12", 0.025], ["2021-03-12", 0.01], ["2021-03-12", 0.015], ["2021-03-12", 0.01], ["2021-03-12", 0.015], ["2021-03-12", 0.02], ["2021-03-12", 0.015], ["2021-03-13", 0.01], ["2021-03-13", 0.01], ["2021-03-13", 0.01], ["2021-03-13", 0.01], ["2021-03-13", 0.01], ["2021-03-13", 0.01], ["2021-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1962 |
<p>After a technical failure marred a test flight in December 2019, Boeing is pushing ahead to get its Starliner into orbit to dock with the ISS (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2020/11/17/there-will-be-lots-of-new-space-missions-in-2021" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href="https://ww... | Science & Tech | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-07-01 | Will a Boeing Starliner spacecraft dock with the International Space Station (ISS) before 1 July 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-10-01 | 2021-03-12 | ["https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04575597?term=NCT04575597&draw=2&rank=1", "https://www.pcori.org/evidence-synthesis/horizon-scanning/covid-19-scan-june-10-23-2021", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1319364", "https://www.newindianexpress.com/cities/hyderabad/2021/jul/10/hyderabad-based-hetero-drugs-see... | binary | [["2021-03-12", 0.89], ["2021-03-12", 0.515], ["2021-03-12", 0.395], ["2021-03-12", 0.25], ["2021-03-12", 0.3], ["2021-03-13", 0.275], ["2021-03-13", 0.275], ["2021-03-13", 0.275], ["2021-03-13", 0.25], ["2021-03-13", 0.25], ["2021-03-13", 0.3], ["2021-03-13", 0.375], ["2021-03-14", 0.3], ["2021-03-14", 0.35], ["2021-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1963 |
<p>Molnupiravir, a drug being developed by Merck and Ridgeback Biotherapeutics, has shown positive results in clinical trials in combatting COVID-19 (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2020/11/17/new-treatments-for-covid-19-are-on-the-way" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href="https:... | Healthcare & Biology | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-10-01 | Will the US FDA approve the drug molnupiravir for use to treat COVID-19 before 1 October 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-09-15 | 2021-03-26 | ["https://www.myanmar-now.org/en/news/fighting-ignites-between-kia-and-junta-in-sagaing", "https://www.arabnews.com/node/1842531/world", "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/5/3/at-least-8-reported-killed-in-myanmar-anti-coup-protests", "https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20210501-un-fails-to-agree-on-myanmar-statem... | binary | [["2021-03-26", 0.1], ["2021-03-26", 0.05], ["2021-03-26", 0.0], ["2021-03-26", 0.0], ["2021-03-26", 0.0], ["2021-03-26", 0.0], ["2021-03-26", 0.0], ["2021-03-26", 0.0], ["2021-03-26", 0.0], ["2021-03-26", 0.0], ["2021-03-27", 0.0], ["2021-03-27", 0.0], ["2021-03-27", 0.0], ["2021-03-27", 0.0], ["2021-03-27", 0.025], [... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1972 |
<p>As civil unrest in Myanmar grows in the wake of the February coup, there are fears as to what lengths the military may go to suppress protests (<a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-55902070" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="https://www.dw.com/en/myanmar-police-use-water-cannon-as-protesters-rally/a-56... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-09-15 | Will the UN, a UN agency, and/or OECD member country publicly accuse Myanmar defense forces and/or law enforcement of using a toxic chemical against protesters to cause intentional death or physical harm through its toxic properties before 15 September 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-05-19 | 2021-03-26 | ["https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/29/new-york-city-mayor-bill-de-blasio-says-the-city-will-re-open-100percent-on-july-1.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1273582", "https://www.thrillist.com/eat/new-york/indoor-dining-reopening-nyc-restaurants", "https://www.curbed.com/2021/04/de-blasio-cuomo-fighting-over-nyc-reope... | binary | [["2021-03-26", 0.0], ["2021-03-26", 0.0], ["2021-03-26", 0.0], ["2021-03-26", 0.0], ["2021-03-26", 0.0], ["2021-03-26", 0.125], ["2021-03-26", 0.25], ["2021-03-26", 0.25], ["2021-03-26", 0.25], ["2021-03-26", 0.25], ["2021-03-26", 0.25], ["2021-03-27", 0.375], ["2021-03-27", 0.25], ["2021-03-27", 0.31], ["2021-03-27",... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1971 |
<p>NYC has imposed various restrictions on restaurants and other establishments as the city and the world deal with the COVID-19 pandemic (<a href="https://www.ny1.com/nyc/all-boroughs/politics/2020/12/15/mondays-with-the-mayor-nyc-full-shutdown-de-blasio-nyc-shutdown-timeline" target="_blank">Spectrum News</a>, ... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-05-19 | Will restaurants in New York City (NYC) be permitted to offer indoor dining at 85% capacity or more before 1 July 2021? | gjopen | 1 |
2021-09-01 | 2021-04-01 | ["https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-06-22/barnaby-joyce-return-creates-problems-for-scott-morrison/100230758", "https://antonygreen.com.au/when-can-the-next-federal-election-be-held/", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_Australian_federal_election", "https://bit.ly/3xj2UnT", "https://www.gjopen.... | binary | [["2021-04-02", 1.0], ["2021-04-02", 0.505], ["2021-04-02", 0.15], ["2021-04-02", 0.125], ["2021-04-02", 0.1], ["2021-04-02", 0.125], ["2021-04-02", 0.1], ["2021-04-02", 0.1], ["2021-04-02", 0.1], ["2021-04-02", 0.075], ["2021-04-02", 0.1], ["2021-04-02", 0.075], ["2021-04-03", 0.05], ["2021-04-03", 0.05], ["2021-04-03... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1973 |
<p>A series of rape and sexual assault allegations has hit the Australian Parliament (<a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-03-23/scott-morrison-missteps-fuel-frustration-within-the-coalition/100022234" target="_blank">ABC Australia</a>, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/mar/23/australi... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-09-01 | Will Scott Morrison cease to be prime minister of Australia before 1 September 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-07-20 | 2021-04-01 | ["https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flughafen_Berlin_Brandenburg#Bauskandal", "https://www.humboldtforum.org/", "https://www.humboldtforum.org/en/", "https://berlin.premiumkino.de/", "http://www.hrnww.com/blog/2021/06/15/berlins-humboldt-forum-museum-to-open-to-the-public-on-july-20/", "https://www.regioactive.de/party/end... | binary | [["2021-04-02", 1.0], ["2021-04-02", 0.8], ["2021-04-02", 0.6], ["2021-04-02", 0.75], ["2021-04-02", 0.85], ["2021-04-02", 0.8], ["2021-04-02", 0.85], ["2021-04-02", 0.875], ["2021-04-03", 0.9], ["2021-04-03", 0.875], ["2021-04-03", 0.85], ["2021-04-03", 0.875], ["2021-04-03", 0.85], ["2021-04-03", 0.8], ["2021-04-03",... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1975 |
<p>After various delays, the Humboldt Forum in Berlin has been completed but remains shuttered due to COVID-19 restrictions (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2020/11/17/the-humboldt-forum-in-berlin-is-a-new-kind-of-museum" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href="https://www.the... | Arts & Recreation | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-07-20 | Will Berlin's Humboldt Forum open to the general public before 1 August 2021? | gjopen | 1 |
2021-08-20 | 2021-04-01 | ["https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/546215-senate-parliamentarian-to-let-democrats-bypass-filibuster-with-third-bill", "https://www.npr.org/2021/04/05/984596350/ruling-by-senate-parliamentarian-opens-up-potential-pathway-for-democrats", "https://www.cnn.com/2021/01/26/politics/congress-15-dollar-minimum-wage-increase... | binary | [["2021-04-02", 0.9], ["2021-04-02", 0.455], ["2021-04-02", 0.18], ["2021-04-02", 0.095], ["2021-04-02", 0.095], ["2021-04-02", 0.09], ["2021-04-02", 0.08], ["2021-04-02", 0.065], ["2021-04-02", 0.08], ["2021-04-03", 0.065], ["2021-04-03", 0.065], ["2021-04-03", 0.065], ["2021-04-03", 0.065], ["2021-04-03", 0.08], ["20... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1974 |
<p>After the US Senate voted against a $15.00 an hour federal minimum wage, proponents have shifted to new strategies (<a href="https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/541826-senate-rejects-sanders-15-minimum-wage-hike" target="_blank">The Hill</a>, <a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/democrats-minimum-wage-s... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-08-20 | Will legislation raising the US federal minimum wage become law before 20 August 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-03 | 2021-04-09 | ["https://www.smh.com.au/world/asia/hong-kong-waiter-sentenced-to-nine-years-in-jail-under-security-law-20210730-p58ef3.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1267989", "https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-56264117", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Hong_Kong_legislative_election", "https://en.wikipedia.org/w... | binary | [["2021-04-23", 0.11], ["2021-04-23", 0.105], ["2021-04-23", 0.11], ["2021-04-23", 0.155], ["2021-04-23", 0.11], ["2021-04-23", 0.105], ["2021-04-23", 0.1], ["2021-04-23", 0.09], ["2021-04-23", 0.08], ["2021-04-23", 0.065], ["2021-04-23", 0.05], ["2021-04-23", 0.05], ["2021-04-23", 0.05], ["2021-04-23", 0.05], ["2021-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1982 |
<p>Protests in Hong Kong that began in June 2019 have evolved into broader anti-government protests that are widening rifts between Hong Kong and China (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/china-army-hongkong/" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Before 1 January 2022, will the People's Liberation Army (PLA) and/or People's Armed Police (PAP) engage in a confrontation with Hong Kongers? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-03 | 2021-04-09 | ["https://epic.org/2021/02/epic-coalition-urge-biden-admi.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1262012", "https://www.technologyreview.com/2021/05/21/1025155/amazon-face-recognition-federal-ban-police-reform/", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2021/04/21/data-surveillance-bill/", "https://www.wired.com/sto... | binary | [["2021-04-09", 0.0], ["2021-04-09", 0.0], ["2021-04-09", 0.0], ["2021-04-09", 0.005], ["2021-04-09", 0.0], ["2021-04-09", 0.0], ["2021-04-09", 0.0], ["2021-04-09", 0.0], ["2021-04-09", 0.0], ["2021-04-09", 0.0], ["2021-04-10", 0.0], ["2021-04-10", 0.0], ["2021-04-10", 0.0], ["2021-04-10", 0.0], ["2021-04-10", 0.0], ["... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1984 |
<p>Advocates are pushing for limits on the use of face recognition technology for various reasons, from privacy to claims of racial bias (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-protests-facialrecognition/u-s-lawmakers-aim-to-curtail-face-recognition-even-as-the-technology-ids-capitol-attackers-idUS... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Before 1 January 2022, will an executive order be signed or federal legislation become law that would limit or prohibit US federal funds from being used to purchase face recognition technology? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-03 | 2021-04-09 | ["https://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/en/press-room/20210930IPR13925/use-of-artificial-intelligence-by-the-police-meps-oppose-mass-surveillance", "https://www.lawfareblog.com/artificial-intelligence-act-what-european-approach-ai", "https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-data-protection-authorities-call-for-ban-on-facial-re... | binary | [["2021-04-09", 0.0], ["2021-04-09", 0.0], ["2021-04-09", 0.0], ["2021-04-09", 0.0], ["2021-04-09", 0.0], ["2021-04-09", 0.005], ["2021-04-09", 0.0], ["2021-04-09", 0.005], ["2021-04-10", 0.0], ["2021-04-10", 0.0], ["2021-04-10", 0.0], ["2021-04-10", 0.0], ["2021-04-10", 0.0], ["2021-04-11", 0.0], ["2021-04-11", 0.0], ... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1985 |
<p>In January 2021, the European Parliament invited the European Commission to "consider a moratorium on the use of FRS in public spaces by public authorities," among other things (<a href="https://www.europarl.europa.eu/doceo/document/TA-9-2021-0009_EN.pdf" target="_blank">European Parliament</a>, see #56, <a hr... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Will the EU establish a moratorium or ban on the use of facial recognition systems (FRS) in public spaces by public authorities, in premises meant for education and healthcare, and/or by law enforcement in semi-public spaces before 1 January 2022? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-03 | 2021-04-16 | ["https://www.clingendael.org/sites/default/files/2019-08/Report_US-China_stand-off.pdf", "https://thediplomat.com/2019/10/europes-next-move-and-the-us-china-standoff/", "https://www.clingendael.org/publication/dealing-china-high-tech-issues", "https://hcss.nl/news/door-eindhovense-chips-zit-nederland-klem-tussen-china... | binary | [["2021-04-16", 0.0], ["2021-04-16", 0.005], ["2021-04-16", 0.01], ["2021-04-17", 0.005], ["2021-04-17", 0.0], ["2021-04-17", 0.005], ["2021-04-17", 0.0], ["2021-04-17", 0.0], ["2021-04-17", 0.0], ["2021-04-17", 0.0], ["2021-04-18", 0.0], ["2021-04-18", 0.0], ["2021-04-18", 0.0], ["2021-04-18", 0.0], ["2021-04-18", 0.0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1989 |
<p>ASML is a Dutch company which leads in the development and manufacturing of UV lithography systems (<a href="https://www.asml.com/en" target="_blank">ASML.com</a>). It currently controls the supply of Extreme Ultraviolet lithography systems, used in the manufacturing of cutting edge computer processor chips (<... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Between 16 April 2021 and 31 December 2021, will ASML obtain an export license from the Netherlands to export an Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) lithography system to the People's Republic of China? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-06-15 | 2021-04-23 | ["https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/coalition-eyes-900m-from-eu-recovery-and-resilience-covid-fund-1.4554501", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1272107", "https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/16/austria-blumel-is-convinced-eu-recovery-funds-will-go-ahead.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1281892", "https://www.fun... | binary | [["2021-04-23", 0.82], ["2021-04-23", 0.71], ["2021-04-23", 0.82], ["2021-04-23", 0.785], ["2021-04-23", 0.75], ["2021-04-23", 0.785], ["2021-04-23", 0.82], ["2021-04-23", 0.825], ["2021-04-24", 0.82], ["2021-04-24", 0.785], ["2021-04-24", 0.82], ["2021-04-24", 0.785], ["2021-04-24", 0.75], ["2021-04-24", 0.735], ["202... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1990 |
<p>As part of the COVID-19 recovery plan called the "Next Generation EU" (NGEU), an amendment of the Own Resources Decision has been proposed (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2020/11/17/the-european-commission-will-turn-on-the-spending-taps" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a hr... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-05-31 | Will the EU amend its Own Resources Decision to help finance the EU's proposed COVID-19 recovery package before 1 September 2021? | gjopen | 1 |
2022-01-01 | 2021-04-30 | ["https://dnyuz.com/2021/09/24/sinemas-income-tax-stance-has-democrats-looking-anew-at-a-carbon-tax/", "https://twitter.com/burgessev/status/1450474320992538629", "https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/senate-bill/2378", "https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/15/will-us-ever-put-a-price-on-carbon-as-part-of-climate-chang... | binary | [["2021-04-30", 0.0], ["2021-04-30", 0.035], ["2021-04-30", 0.07], ["2021-04-30", 0.035], ["2021-04-30", 0.07], ["2021-04-30", 0.11], ["2021-04-30", 0.07], ["2021-04-30", 0.06], ["2021-04-30", 0.05], ["2021-04-30", 0.01], ["2021-05-01", 0.005], ["2021-05-01", 0.01], ["2021-05-01", 0.03], ["2021-05-01", 0.01], ["2021-05... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1995 |
<p>President Biden and Democrats in Congress are exploring policy options to impose mandatory carbon pricing in the United States (<a href="https://eelp.law.harvard.edu/2020/11/president-elect-biden-supports-a-carbon-enforcement-mechanism-could-that-mean-a-price-on-carbon/" target="_blank">Harvard Environmental &... | Environment & Energy | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Will US federal legislation implementing or authorizing a mandatory carbon pricing mechanism become law before 1 January 2022? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-11-03 | 2021-04-30 | ["https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1343769", "https://www.ft.com/content/8ff2a38e-82d1-429a-935f-a26ace6f7e1d", "https://www.ft.com/content/7c2fc0ce-e7c0-4083-92e8-e81d9235ab45", "https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/ice-coming-morgan-stanley-warns-odds-destructive-20-correction-are-rising", "https://reut.rs/3hYbT8v", "htt... | binary | [["2021-04-30", 0.0], ["2021-04-30", 0.01], ["2021-04-30", 0.035], ["2021-05-01", 0.01], ["2021-05-01", 0.035], ["2021-05-01", 0.075], ["2021-05-01", 0.075], ["2021-05-02", 0.075], ["2021-05-02", 0.15], ["2021-05-02", 0.2], ["2021-05-02", 0.2], ["2021-05-02", 0.2], ["2021-05-02", 0.2], ["2021-05-02", 0.2], ["2021-05-03... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1993 |
<p>The Federal Reserve's monthly purchases of Treasury and mortgage-backed securities, begun early in the pandemic, is expected to taper down eventually (<a href="https://www.marketwatch.com/story/powell-says-fed-will-gradually-cut-its-bond-market-footprint-some-think-this-year-11616722109" target="_blank">... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-11-03 | Before 16 December 2021, will the Federal Reserve announce it will reduce its monthly quantitative easing bond buying? | gjopen | 1 |
2022-01-07 | 2021-05-06 | ["https://www.publishersweekly.com/pw/by-topic/industry-news/bookselling/article/87633-fiction-drove-small-gain-in-print-book-sales-last-week.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1292847", "https://gcaptain.com/shipping-delays-throw-book-industry-nail-biting-chaos/?subscriber=true&goal=0_f50174ef03-67415303d8-17... | binary | [["2021-05-07", 0.005], ["2021-05-07", 0.01], ["2021-05-07", 0.055], ["2021-05-07", 0.25], ["2021-05-07", 0.325], ["2021-05-07", 0.4], ["2021-05-08", 0.3], ["2021-05-08", 0.275], ["2021-05-08", 0.2], ["2021-05-08", 0.14], ["2021-05-08", 0.13], ["2021-05-08", 0.14], ["2021-05-08", 0.13], ["2021-05-08", 0.14], ["2021-05-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2002 |
<p>In 2020, print book sales in the US were at their highest in a decade, rising 8.2% year over year (<a href="https://publishingperspectives.com/2021/01/npd-2020-was-the-us-markets-bestselling-year-for-print-in-a-decade-covid19/" target="_blank">Publishing Perspectives</a>, <a href="https://www.publishersweekly.... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Will US print book sales in 2021 exceed those in 2020? | gjopen | 1 |
2022-01-03 | 2021-05-07 | ["https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-mlbpa-cba-negotiations", "https://thehill.com/business-a-lobbying/576456-more-than-100k-workers-threaten-strikes-as-unions-flex-muscles", "https://apnews.com/article/mlb-sports-business-new-york-baseball-87343ebd132953eff64b8e1d6befe8a9", "https://www.forbes.com/sites/christianred/2021/05... | binary | [["2021-05-07", 0.95], ["2021-05-08", 0.825], ["2021-05-08", 0.92], ["2021-05-08", 0.935], ["2021-05-09", 0.95], ["2021-05-09", 0.98], ["2021-05-10", 0.98], ["2021-05-10", 0.99], ["2021-05-10", 0.99], ["2021-05-10", 0.995], ["2021-05-10", 0.995], ["2021-05-12", 0.99], ["2021-05-12", 0.99], ["2021-05-12", 0.995], ["2021... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2005 |
<p>Baseball club owners and the players union have begun negotiations for a new CBA (<a href="https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/31298306/mlb-union-meet-1st-cba-talks-sources-say" target="_blank">ESPN</a>, <a href="https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/rob-manfred-optimistic-mlb-mlbpa-can-avoid-work-stoppage-after-... | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Will a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) between Major League Baseball and the Major League Baseball Players Association be ratified before 1 January 2022? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-09-01 | 2021-05-14 | ["https://www.statista.com/statistics/240991/average-sales-prices-of-new-homes-sold-in-the-us/", "https://www.politico.com/newsletters/weekly-trade/2021/05/24/china-bill-amendment-targets-seafood-slavery-795483", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-08-19/u-s-court-drops-trade-duty-reviews-as-lumber-dispute-ro... | binary | [["2021-05-14", 1.0], ["2021-05-14", 0.575], ["2021-05-14", 1.0], ["2021-05-14", 1.0], ["2021-05-14", 1.0], ["2021-05-14", 0.8], ["2021-05-14", 0.95], ["2021-05-15", 0.975], ["2021-05-15", 0.95], ["2021-05-15", 0.775], ["2021-05-16", 0.6], ["2021-05-16", 0.775], ["2021-05-16", 0.69], ["2021-05-16", 0.64], ["2021-05-16"... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2009 |
<p>The high cost of lumber is impacting housing prices in the US, and the approximately 9% punitive tariffs on Canadian softwood lumber only adds pressure to the market (<a href="http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/05072021_lumber_prices.asp" target="_blank">Mortgage News Daily</a>, <a href="https://www.... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-09-01 | Will the US announce a reduction or elimination of total punitive tariffs on Canadian softwood lumber before 1 September 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-10 | 2021-05-14 | ["https://about.fb.com/news/2021/06/facebook-response-to-oversight-board-recommendations-trump/", "https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/oct/02/donald-trump-asks-florida-judge-to-force-twitter-to-reinstate-account", "https://www.theverge.com/2021/6/3/22474738/facebook-ending-political-figure-exemption-moderation-pol... | binary | [["2021-05-14", 0.0], ["2021-05-14", 0.4], ["2021-05-14", 0.8], ["2021-05-14", 0.405], ["2021-05-14", 0.8], ["2021-05-14", 0.405], ["2021-05-14", 0.05], ["2021-05-14", 0.03], ["2021-05-14", 0.05], ["2021-05-14", 0.325], ["2021-05-14", 0.6], ["2021-05-15", 0.33], ["2021-05-15", 0.1], ["2021-05-15", 0.3], ["2021-05-15", ... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2011 |
<p>On 5 May 2021, Facebook’s Oversight Board upheld a January decision to keep Donald Trump from posting content on his Facebook page and Instagram account, but criticized the current state of Facebook regulations as to content rules and gave the company six months to review those rules (<a href="https://oversigh... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-08 | Before 8 January 2022, will Facebook allow Donald Trump to post on Facebook and/or Instagram from any of his verified accounts? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-09-01 | 2021-05-14 | ["https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2021/07/stephen-breyer-judge-learned-hand-longevity.html", "https://theweek.com/supreme-court/1004231/stephen-breyer-hints-at-retiring-from-the-supreme-court", "https://www.politico.com/news/2021/07/15/justice-breyer-retirement-plans-499745?fbclid=IwAR1UDpICJLdP8cZRGarILRtNtyZu3aHz... | binary | [["2021-05-14", 0.93], ["2021-05-14", 0.6], ["2021-05-14", 0.305], ["2021-05-14", 0.35], ["2021-05-14", 0.18], ["2021-05-14", 0.15], ["2021-05-14", 0.25], ["2021-05-14", 0.15], ["2021-05-14", 0.08], ["2021-05-14", 0.15], ["2021-05-14", 0.08], ["2021-05-14", 0.15], ["2021-05-14", 0.185], ["2021-05-14", 0.185], ["2021-05... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2007 |
<p>Speculation abounds as to whether Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer will retire after the current term (<a href="https://www.cnn.com/2021/05/06/politics/breyer-democrats-retirement-talk/index.html" target="_blank">CNN</a>, <a href="https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/551196-court-watchers-buzz-about... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-09-01 | Before 1 September 2021, will Justice Stephen Breyer announce his retirement from the US Supreme Court? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-12-14 | 2021-05-14 | ["https://www.economist.com/business/2021/05/08/america-wants-to-waive-patent-protection-for-vaccines", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/may/06/us-germany-rift-covid-vaccine-patent-waivers", "https://www.hrw.org/news/2021/06/03/seven-reasons-eu-wrong-oppose-trips-waiver", "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/11/... | binary | [["2021-05-14", 0.0], ["2021-05-14", 0.0], ["2021-05-14", 0.0], ["2021-05-14", 0.0], ["2021-05-14", 0.0], ["2021-05-15", 0.0], ["2021-05-15", 0.0], ["2021-05-15", 0.0], ["2021-05-15", 0.0], ["2021-05-15", 0.0], ["2021-05-15", 0.0], ["2021-05-15", 0.0], ["2021-05-15", 0.0], ["2021-05-16", 0.025], ["2021-05-16", 0.05], [... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2010 |
<p>The Biden administration has announced that it would support waiving intellectual property protections for COVID-19 vaccines (<a href="https://ustr.gov/about-us/policy-offices/press-office/press-releases/2021/may/statement-ambassador-katherine-tai-covid-19-trips-waiver" target="_blank">USTR.gov</a>, <a href="h... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-12-14 | Before 14 December 2021, will the World Trade Organization (WTO) officially agree to grant waivers for intellectual property protections for COVID-19 vaccine technology? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-07-15 | 2021-05-14 | ["https://olympics.com/tokyo-2020/en/schedule/", "https://www.espn.com/radio/play/_/id/31519855", "https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cancel-the-tokyo-olympics-its-unlikely-heres-why/", "https://www.nbcnews.com/news/olympics/ahead-tokyo-olympics-japan-vaccination-rate-far-mark-n1272523", "https://www.worldometers.info/corona... | binary | [["2021-05-14", 0.9], ["2021-05-14", 0.5], ["2021-05-15", 0.465], ["2021-05-15", 0.25], ["2021-05-15", 0.15], ["2021-05-15", 0.1], ["2021-05-15", 0.2], ["2021-05-15", 0.2], ["2021-05-15", 0.2], ["2021-05-15", 0.2], ["2021-05-15", 0.2], ["2021-05-15", 0.1], ["2021-05-15", 0.1], ["2021-05-15", 0.1], ["2021-05-15", 0.1], ... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2012 |
<p>Coronavirus concerns already forced the postponement of the 2020 Olympics to summer 2021 (<a href="https://www.espn.com/olympics/story/_/id/28946033/tokyo-olympics-officially-postponed-2021" target="_blank">ESPN</a>, <a href="https://tokyo2020.org/en/" target="_blank">Tokyo2020.org</a>). Various concerns... | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-07-15 | Before 15 July 2021, will it be officially announced that the Tokyo 2020 Summer Olympics will not commence in July 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-07-22 | 2021-05-21 | ["https://apnews.com/article/west-bank-middle-east-israel-592b2c05bcb37c3af20ca14f2ff1ad6b", "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/7/9/israel-forces-open-fire-on-palestinians-hundreds-wounded", "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/7/9/israel-says-it-is-targeting-hamas-cryptocurrency-accounts", "https://www.timesofisrael... | binary | [["2021-05-21", 0.975], ["2021-05-21", 0.99], ["2021-05-21", 0.985], ["2021-05-21", 0.98], ["2021-05-21", 0.98], ["2021-05-21", 0.98], ["2021-05-21", 0.98], ["2021-05-21", 0.98], ["2021-05-21", 0.98], ["2021-05-22", 0.99], ["2021-05-22", 0.99], ["2021-05-22", 0.99], ["2021-05-22", 0.99], ["2021-05-22", 0.99], ["2021-05... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2016 |
<p>After 11 days of fighting in and around Gaza, Hamas and Israel agreed to a ceasefire (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2020/11/17/new-conflicts-are-already-shaping-an-already-volatile-middle-east" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-5719553... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-07-22 | Before 22 July 2021, will Hamas or the Israeli government accuse the other of violating the Gaza ceasefire agreed to on 20 May 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-06-15 | 2021-05-21 | ["https://www.globaldairytrade.info/en/product-results/whole-milk-powder/", "https://ec.europa.eu/info/sites/default/files/food-farming-fisheries/farming/documents/world-gdt-auction-results_en.pdf", "https://www.nzx.com/markets/nzx-dairy-derivatives/quotes/futures/BTR", "https://www.cmegroup.com/apps/cmegroup/widgets/p... | binary | [["2021-05-21", 0.0], ["2021-05-21", 0.125], ["2021-05-21", 0.25], ["2021-05-21", 0.325], ["2021-05-21", 0.4], ["2021-05-21", 0.5], ["2021-05-21", 0.4], ["2021-05-21", 0.5], ["2021-05-21", 0.6], ["2021-05-21", 0.75], ["2021-05-21", 0.6], ["2021-05-21", 0.75], ["2021-05-22", 0.9], ["2021-05-22", 0.85], ["2021-05-22", 0.... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2015 |
<p>Milk prices have been on the rise in 2021 (<a href="https://www.ruralnewsgroup.co.nz/dairy-news/dairy-general-news/bnz-predicts-7-80-opening-forecast-milk-price" target="_blank">Rural News Group</a>). The outcome will be determined using data as provided by Global Dairy Trade, which posts new price data every ... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-06-14 | Will the average price of whole milk powder as of 15 June 2021 be higher than it was as of 18 May 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-10-27 | 2021-05-21 | [] | binary | [["2021-05-21", 1.0], ["2021-05-21", 0.975], ["2021-05-21", 1.0], ["2021-05-21", 0.975], ["2021-05-21", 0.95], ["2021-05-22", 0.975], ["2021-05-23", 1.0], ["2021-05-23", 0.975], ["2021-05-23", 0.95], ["2021-05-23", 0.935], ["2021-05-23", 0.92], ["2021-05-24", 0.91], ["2021-05-24", 0.92], ["2021-05-24", 0.91], ["2021-05... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2014 | <p>AgResearch is "responsible for delivering innovative science and research outcomes specifically for the agricultural sector," and its fiscal year is 1 July to 30 June (<a href="https://www.agresearch.co.nz/" target="_blank">AgResearch</a>). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2021 and the outcome will be deter... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-07-01 | Will New Zealand's AgResearch report having a net annual financial surplus (pretax) in its 2020/21 fiscal year? | gjopen | 1 |
2021-09-09 | 2021-05-27 | ["https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a1-jDnk5hZU", "https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nfl/aaron-rodgers-renews-his-membership-at-the-green-bay-country-club/ar-AALdw8j", "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ts5MKtXNpMQ", "https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/packers-reportedly-agree-to-trade-for-randall-cobb-fulfilling-aaron-rodg... | binary | [["2021-05-28", 1.0], ["2021-05-28", 1.0], ["2021-05-29", 1.0], ["2021-05-29", 1.0], ["2021-05-30", 1.0], ["2021-05-30", 0.985], ["2021-05-30", 1.0], ["2021-05-30", 0.985], ["2021-05-30", 0.97], ["2021-05-30", 0.96], ["2021-06-01", 0.725], ["2021-06-01", 0.45], ["2021-06-01", 0.37], ["2021-06-02", 0.37], ["2021-06-02",... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2018 |
<p>Aaron Rodgers' future with the Green Bay Packers has become unclear in the offseason (<a href="https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/31359453/aaron-rodgers-want-return-green-bay-packers-sources-say" target="_blank">ESPN</a>, <a href="https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/aaron-rodgers-landing-spots-six-teams-that-m... | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-09-09 | Will NFL quarterback Aaron Rodgers sign a player contract with an NFL team other than the Green Bay Packers before 9 September 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-07 | 2021-05-27 | ["https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/labor-force-participation-rate", "http://www.lmtonline.com/insider/article/Unemployment-rises-in-Laredo-16373858.php&ved=2ahUKEwiDtL-8oqnyAhUuSPEDHfHfBqQQxfQBMAN6BAgJEAM&usg=AOvVaw3-O-T7SOL7nGDFeE-mZu2n", "https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/less-two-weeks-millions-a... | binary | [["2021-05-28", 0.15], ["2021-05-28", 0.475], ["2021-05-28", 0.8], ["2021-05-28", 0.88], ["2021-05-28", 0.96], ["2021-05-28", 0.88], ["2021-05-28", 0.96], ["2021-05-28", 0.98], ["2021-05-29", 0.98], ["2021-05-29", 0.97], ["2021-05-29", 0.96], ["2021-05-29", 0.97], ["2021-05-29", 0.96], ["2021-05-29", 0.96], ["2021-05-2... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2020 |
<p>The COVID-19 pandemic has hit the US labor market hard, though it has been recovering (<a href="https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/04/14/u-s-labor-market-inches-back-from-the-covid-19-shock-but-recovery-is-far-from-complete/" target="_blank">Pew Research</a>, <a href="https://apnews.com/article/archive... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Will the US civilian labor force participation rate reach or exceed 63.0% for any month in 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-05 | 2021-06-11 | ["https://www.cnbc.com/2021/10/07/oil-markets-us-inventories-demand-concerns.html", "https://www.usatoday.com/storytelling/coronavirus-reopening-america-map/#restrictions", "https://texasnewstoday.com/oil-companies-cut-production-in-the-gulf-of-mexico-by-91-ahead-of-hurricane-ida/434835/", "https://www.houstonchronicle... | binary | [["2021-06-11", 0.99], ["2021-06-11", 0.695], ["2021-06-11", 0.99], ["2021-06-11", 0.695], ["2021-06-11", 0.63], ["2021-06-11", 0.715], ["2021-06-11", 0.63], ["2021-06-11", 0.515], ["2021-06-12", 0.4], ["2021-06-12", 0.4], ["2021-06-12", 0.33], ["2021-06-12", 0.4], ["2021-06-12", 0.33], ["2021-06-12", 0.26], ["2021-06-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2033 |
<p>US oil production fell a record 8% in 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic (<a href="https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=47056" target="_blank">EIA</a>, <a href="https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2020/09/07/covid-19-us-oil-industry-wyoming-texas-baker-hughes/5735992002/" target="_blank">USA T... | Environment & Energy | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Will any four-week average of US field production of crude oil exceed 12 million b/d in 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-08-08 | 2021-06-11 | ["https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_Summer_Olympics_medal_table", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1312995", "https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/China_en_los_Juegos_Ol%C3%ADmpicos", "https://www.skysports.com/olympics/news/15234/10548015/analysing-the-reasons-behind-team-gbs-success-at-rio-olympics-2016", "https://www.in... | binary | [["2021-06-11", 0.0], ["2021-06-11", 0.225], ["2021-06-11", 0.45], ["2021-06-11", 0.35], ["2021-06-11", 0.25], ["2021-06-11", 0.145], ["2021-06-11", 0.04], ["2021-06-11", 0.02], ["2021-06-11", 0.0], ["2021-06-11", 0.02], ["2021-06-11", 0.04], ["2021-06-11", 0.04], ["2021-06-12", 0.045], ["2021-06-12", 0.045], ["2021-06... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2036 | <p>The 2020 Olympics are scheduled for 23 July - 8 August 2021 (<a href="https://olympics.com/tokyo-2020/en/schedule/" target="_blank">Olympics</a>).</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p style="line-height:1;"><span style="font-size:10.5px;">Confused? Check our </span><a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target... | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-08-08 | Will Great Britain win more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics than the People's Republic of China? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-03 | 2021-06-11 | ["https://www.morehumanintelligence.com.au/", "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UsNnkax2wNA", "https://www.fox5ny.com/news/scientists-seek-covid-19-origin-nearly-2-years-into-pandemic", "https://youtu.be/3bOVOqccmw0", "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FJlAN4jQUbs", "https://www.ctvnews.ca/health/coronavirus/market-in-chi... | binary | [["2021-06-11", 0.85], ["2021-06-11", 0.5], ["2021-06-11", 0.5], ["2021-06-12", 0.25], ["2021-06-12", 0.2], ["2021-06-12", 0.22], ["2021-06-12", 0.22], ["2021-06-12", 0.15], ["2021-06-12", 0.15], ["2021-06-12", 0.15], ["2021-06-12", 0.15], ["2021-06-12", 0.15], ["2021-06-12", 0.15], ["2021-06-12", 0.15], ["2021-06-12",... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2038 |
<p>Debate on the origins of the COVID-19 pandemic has regained salience (<a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-57268111" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="https://science.sciencemag.org/content/372/6543/694.1" target="_blank">Science Magazine</a>, <a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Before 1 January 2022, will the US Intelligence Community publicly state that a laboratory accident is a more probable scenario for the inception of the COVID-19 pandemic than it having emerged naturally through contact with infected animals? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-07-19 | 2021-06-17 | ["https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-prices-climb-strong-fuel-190000118.html", "https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/commodities/bz%3Anmx", "https://oilprice.com/Energy/Oil-Prices/Oil-Slips-On-Prospect-Of-Rising-OPEC-Supply.html", "https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/oil-prices-climb-second-day-after-us-stockpile... | binary | [["2021-06-17", 0.01], ["2021-06-18", 0.005], ["2021-06-18", 0.01], ["2021-06-18", 0.225], ["2021-06-18", 0.23], ["2021-06-18", 0.23], ["2021-06-18", 0.41], ["2021-06-18", 0.21], ["2021-06-18", 0.4], ["2021-06-18", 0.405], ["2021-06-18", 0.4], ["2021-06-18", 0.405], ["2021-06-18", 0.4], ["2021-06-18", 0.325], ["2021-06... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2043 |
<p>Oil prices have risen considerably in 2021 (<a href="https://www.businesstoday.in/markets/commodities/oil-prices-hold-near-multi-year-highs-amid-demand-recovery-brent-reaches-7283-per-barrel/story/441574.html" target="_blank">Business Today</a>). The outcome will be determined by the closing price per ba... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-07-16 | Will the closing price of Brent crude oil be higher on 16 July 2021 than it was on 16 June 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-02 | 2021-06-17 | ["https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=50396", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2002%E2%80%932004_SARS_outbreak#Hong_Kong", "https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price", "https://www.marketwatch.com/story/to-pause-or-not-to-pause-oil-output-increases-is-the-question-opec-faces-as-it-meets-wednes... | binary | [["2021-06-18", 1.0], ["2021-06-18", 1.0], ["2021-06-18", 1.0], ["2021-06-19", 0.96], ["2021-06-19", 0.885], ["2021-06-19", 0.88], ["2021-06-20", 0.88], ["2021-06-20", 0.88], ["2021-06-20", 0.84], ["2021-06-20", 0.79], ["2021-06-20", 0.7], ["2021-06-21", 0.65], ["2021-06-21", 0.605], ["2021-06-21", 0.6], ["2021-06-21",... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2045 |
<p>The outcome will be determined using the closing price per barrel as reported by Bloomberg (<a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/CO1:COM" target="_blank">Bloomberg</a>).</p><p></p><p style="line-height:1;"><span style="font-size:10.5px;">Confused? Check our </span><a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#questi... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-12-30 | Will the closing price of Brent crude oil be higher than $70.00 per barrel on 30 December 2021? | gjopen | 1 |
2022-07-11 | 2021-06-24 | ["https://gallagher.house.gov/media/press-releases/gallagher-introduces-bill-sanction-china-lack-covid-19-transparency", "https://theintercept.com/2021/09/06/new-details-emerge-about-coronavirus-research-at-chinese-lab/", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/nov/18/china-making-example-jailed-wuhan-covid-journalist-... | binary | [["2021-06-24", 0.05], ["2021-06-24", 0.05], ["2021-06-25", 0.01], ["2021-06-25", 0.045], ["2021-06-25", 0.03], ["2021-06-25", 0.05], ["2021-06-25", 0.05], ["2021-06-26", 0.05], ["2021-06-26", 0.05], ["2021-06-26", 0.05], ["2021-06-26", 0.05], ["2021-06-26", 0.05], ["2021-06-27", 0.05], ["2021-06-27", 0.05], ["2021-06-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2051 |
<p>Whether the United States will impose sanctions against China for its actions related to the COVID-19 pandemic is a topic of growing debate (<a href="https://news.yahoo.com/rubio-pushes-for-new-china-sanctions-amid-questions-over-coronavirus-lab-leak-theory-210036093.html" target="_blank">Yahoo</a>, <a href="h... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-07-01 | Before 1 July 2022, will the US impose sanctions on any Chinese person or entity for actions related to the COVID-19 pandemic? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-11-21 | 2021-06-25 | ["https://abcnews.go.com/Health/millions-missing-2nd-vaccine-dose-rounds-cdc/story?id=77300383", "https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccination-trends_vacctrends-fully-cum", "https://cafebedouin.files.wordpress.com/2021/10/covid-nz-owid-vaccinations-2021-10-13.png", "https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/wor... | binary | [["2021-06-25", 1.0], ["2021-06-25", 1.0], ["2021-06-26", 1.0], ["2021-06-26", 0.6], ["2021-06-26", 0.58], ["2021-06-26", 0.49], ["2021-06-26", 0.45], ["2021-06-26", 0.515], ["2021-06-26", 0.58], ["2021-06-26", 0.515], ["2021-06-26", 0.56], ["2021-06-26", 0.57], ["2021-06-27", 0.58], ["2021-06-27", 0.59], ["2021-06-27"... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2054 |
<p>The outcome will be determined using COVID-19 vaccination data as reported by the NZ Ministry of Health for "second doses administered" (<a href="https://www.health.govt.nz/our-work/diseases-and-conditions/covid-19-novel-coronavirus/covid-19-data-and-statistics/covid-19-vaccine-data" target="_blank">NZ Ministr... | Healthcare & Biology | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-11-20 | Will at least 3.5 million people in New Zealand be fully vaccinated against COVID-19 before 30 December 2021? | gjopen | 1 |
2022-02-09 | 2021-06-25 | ["https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2021/12/16/fact-sheet-the-biden-%e2%81%a0harris-administration-trucking-action-plan-to-strengthen-americas-trucking-workforce/", "https://www.fleetowner.com/news/economics/article/21170301/ata-truck-tonnage-is-flattening-remains-above-2020-levels", "https:/... | binary | [["2021-06-25", 1.0], ["2021-06-25", 1.0], ["2021-06-25", 1.0], ["2021-06-25", 1.0], ["2021-06-26", 1.0], ["2021-06-26", 0.525], ["2021-06-26", 0.05], ["2021-06-26", 0.1], ["2021-06-26", 0.05], ["2021-06-26", 0.05], ["2021-06-26", 0.075], ["2021-06-26", 0.1], ["2021-06-26", 0.125], ["2021-06-26", 0.15], ["2021-06-26", ... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2053 |
<p>The truck tonnage index measures gross tonnage of freight moved by motor carriers in the US (<a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/truck-tonnage-index.asp" target="_blank">Investopedia</a>). The outcome will be determined using data as first reported by the Bureau of Transportation Statistics (<a... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Will the US Truck Tonnage Index reach or exceed 120.0 before 1 January 2022? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-10-05 | 2021-06-30 | ["https://bit.ly/3AXiA1y", "https://www.caboligado.com/reports/cabo-ligado-weekly-6-12-september-2021", "https://www.caboligado.com/", "https://www.caboligado.com/reports/cabo-ligado-weekly-23-29-august-2021", "https://www.caboligado.com/reports/cabo-ligado-weekly-13-19-september-2021", "https://bit.ly/2VHJbkd", "https... | binary | [["2021-06-30", 1.0], ["2021-06-30", 1.0], ["2021-06-30", 1.0], ["2021-07-01", 0.975], ["2021-07-01", 0.95], ["2021-07-01", 0.725], ["2021-07-01", 0.95], ["2021-07-01", 0.975], ["2021-07-01", 0.95], ["2021-07-01", 0.875], ["2021-07-01", 0.8], ["2021-07-01", 0.775], ["2021-07-01", 0.8], ["2021-07-02", 0.875], ["2021-07-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2060 |
<p>Mozambique's ongoing insurgency in the northern province of Cabo Delgado intensified in 2020 (<a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-56441499" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/11/23/mozambique-tanzania-sign-deal-to-join-fight-against-armed-groups" target="_blank">Al... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-09-25 | Will a member of the forces from an African country other than Mozambique be killed in a lethal confrontation in Cabo Delgado before 1 April 2022? | gjopen | 1 |
2021-08-02 | 2021-07-02 | ["https://www.npr.org/2021/06/24/1009828802/cdc-extends-eviction-moratorium-for-30-days", "https://www.cdc.gov/media/releases/2021/s0624-eviction-moratorium.html", "https://www.nytimes.com/2021/07/30/us/politics/eviction-moratorium-biden-congress.html?action=click&module=Spotlight&pgtype=Homepage", "https://www... | binary | [["2021-07-02", 0.0], ["2021-07-02", 0.5], ["2021-07-02", 0.0], ["2021-07-02", 0.0], ["2021-07-02", 0.005], ["2021-07-02", 0.01], ["2021-07-02", 0.34], ["2021-07-02", 0.01], ["2021-07-03", 0.01], ["2021-07-03", 0.01], ["2021-07-03", 0.01], ["2021-07-03", 0.01], ["2021-07-03", 0.02], ["2021-07-03", 0.03], ["2021-07-03",... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2064 |
<p>On 24 June 2021, the CDC extended its nationwide eviction moratorium through 31 July 2021 (<a href="https://www.cdc.gov/media/releases/2021/s0624-eviction-moratorium.html" target="_blank">CDC</a>, <a href="https://www.npr.org/2021/06/24/1009828802/cdc-extends-eviction-moratorium-for-30-days" target="_blank">NP... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-08-01 | Before 1 August 2021, will legislation authorizing or enabling an extension or replacement of the CDC's nationwide eviction moratorium past 31 July 2021 become law? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-18 | 2021-07-02 | ["https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/cooling-measures-doing-little-slow-new-zealands-housing-boom-2021-08-06/", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/sep/16/generation-frozen-out-new-zealand-house-prices-soar-despite-government-reform", "https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/BU2108/S00233/reinz-july-data-new-zealan... | binary | [["2021-07-02", 1.0], ["2021-07-02", 0.755], ["2021-07-02", 1.0], ["2021-07-02", 1.0], ["2021-07-03", 0.875], ["2021-07-03", 1.0], ["2021-07-03", 0.935], ["2021-07-03", 0.87], ["2021-07-03", 0.935], ["2021-07-03", 0.935], ["2021-07-03", 1.0], ["2021-07-04", 0.935], ["2021-07-04", 0.87], ["2021-07-04", 0.865], ["2021-07... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2061 |
<p>Skyrocketing housing prices in New Zealand are raising concerns about an asset bubble (<a href="https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/jun/10/house-prices-in-australia-and-new-zealand-among-worlds-fastest-growing-in-2021" target="_blank">Guardian</a>, <a href="https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/money/2021... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Will the median price of a house in New Zealand exceed NZ$870,000 in December 2021, according to REINZ? | gjopen | 1 |
2021-11-01 | 2021-07-02 | ["https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/BU2109/S00055/major-investment-accelerates-growth-of-chargenet.htm", "https://www.wel.co.nz/innovation/electric-vehicles/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1341651", "https://www.stuff.co.nz/environment/climate-news/125248940/eighty-electric-vehicle-charging-stations-on-the-way-for-hu... | binary | [["2021-07-02", 0.0], ["2021-07-02", 0.45], ["2021-07-02", 0.78], ["2021-07-03", 0.69], ["2021-07-03", 0.7], ["2021-07-03", 0.7], ["2021-07-04", 0.73], ["2021-07-04", 0.72], ["2021-07-04", 0.735], ["2021-07-05", 0.75], ["2021-07-05", 0.75], ["2021-07-05", 0.75], ["2021-07-05", 0.75], ["2021-07-05", 0.75], ["2021-07-05"... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2062 |
<p>The EV charging station network in New Zealand is expanding (<a href="https://www.stuff.co.nz/motoring/evs/124892166/new-zealands-ev-charging-network-continues-to-expand" target="_blank">Stuff</a>). The outcome will be determined using data as provided by Waka Kotahi, New Zealand's transport agency (<a href="h... | Environment & Energy | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-11-01 | As of 1 November 2021, will Waka Kotahi list 321 or more qualifying electrical vehicle (EV) charging stations as available in New Zealand? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-03 | 2021-07-09 | ["https://oeil.secure.europarl.europa.eu/oeil/popups/ficheprocedure.do?reference=2021/2037(INI)&l=en", "https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-slams-china-as-systemic-rival-as-trade-tension-rises/", "https://www.europarl.europa.eu/doceo/document/AFET-PR-691427_EN.pdf", "https://www.politico.eu/article/china-throws-eu-t... | binary | [["2021-07-09", 1.0], ["2021-07-09", 0.75], ["2021-07-09", 0.5], ["2021-07-09", 0.5], ["2021-07-10", 0.26], ["2021-07-10", 0.02], ["2021-07-10", 0.015], ["2021-07-10", 0.02], ["2021-07-10", 0.015], ["2021-07-10", 0.02], ["2021-07-10", 0.085], ["2021-07-10", 0.02], ["2021-07-10", 0.085], ["2021-07-10", 0.02], ["2021-07-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2066 |
<p>As diplomatic tensions between the EU and the People's Republic of China (PRC) have risen, there is a push within EU institutions to begin negotiations on a bilateral investment agreement with Taiwan (<a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/meps-push-brussels-follow-biden-taiwan-trade-eu-parliament-china/" ta... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Before 1 January 2022, will the European Commission (EC) recommend that the Council of the European Union authorize the EC to open negotiations with Taiwan on an investment agreement? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-08-16 | 2021-07-16 | ["https://twitter.com/kylieatwood/status/1426853588782010370", "https://af.usembassy.gov/security-alert-u-s-embassy-kabul-afghanistan-15/", "https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2021/08/16/afghanistan-history-taliban-collapse-504977", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2021/aug/15/afghanistan-taliban-close-in-on... | binary | [["2021-07-16", 0.0], ["2021-07-16", 0.0], ["2021-07-16", 0.0], ["2021-07-16", 0.05], ["2021-07-16", 0.0], ["2021-07-16", 0.01], ["2021-07-16", 0.0], ["2021-07-16", 0.0], ["2021-07-16", 0.0], ["2021-07-16", 0.0], ["2021-07-17", 0.0], ["2021-07-17", 0.0], ["2021-07-17", 0.01], ["2021-07-17", 0.01], ["2021-07-17", 0.02],... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2071 |
<p>As US and NATO forces continue their withdrawal from Afghanistan, the Taliban is making gains in the country (<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2021/07/12/us/politics/us-diplomats-afghanistan-taliban.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a>, <a href="https://www.militarytimes.com/news/pentagon-congress/2021/07/08/bid... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-08-16 | Will the US fully evacuate or lose control of its embassy in Kabul, Afghanistan, before 1 December 2021? | gjopen | 1 |
2021-08-15 | 2021-07-16 | ["https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-asia-58219963", "https://www.freepressjournal.in/world/afghan-president-ashraf-ghani-to-step-down-interim-taliban-govt-to-take-over-reports", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2021/aug/15/afghanistan-taliban-close-in-on-kabul-as-last-government-stronghold-in-north-falls", "... | binary | [["2021-07-16", 0.1], ["2021-07-16", 0.55], ["2021-07-16", 1.0], ["2021-07-16", 0.55], ["2021-07-16", 0.9], ["2021-07-16", 0.55], ["2021-07-16", 0.75], ["2021-07-16", 0.85], ["2021-07-16", 0.6], ["2021-07-16", 0.35], ["2021-07-16", 0.35], ["2021-07-16", 0.35], ["2021-07-17", 0.35], ["2021-07-17", 0.35], ["2021-07-17", ... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2073 |
<p>As US and NATO forces continue their withdrawal from Afghanistan, the Taliban is making gains in the country (<a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/7/9/taliban-says-it-controls-85-of-afghanistan" target="_blank">Al Jazeera</a>, <a href="https://www.militarytimes.com/news/pentagon-congress/2021/07/08/bid... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-08-15 | Will Ashraf Ghani either flee Afghanistan or cease to be its president before 1 January 2022? | gjopen | 1 |
2022-01-01 | 2021-07-16 | ["https://www.npr.org/2021/09/14/1037012177/haiti-prosecutor-asks-judge-charge-prime-minister-moise-assassination", "https://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/americas/haiti/article255199321.html", "https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/08/18/haiti-earthquake-disaster-leaders-needed/", "https://www.mcclatchydc.com/n... | binary | [["2021-07-16", 0.0], ["2021-07-16", 0.5], ["2021-07-16", 0.1], ["2021-07-17", 0.05], ["2021-07-17", 0.01], ["2021-07-17", 0.005], ["2021-07-17", 0.005], ["2021-07-17", 0.01], ["2021-07-17", 0.055], ["2021-07-17", 0.1], ["2021-07-17", 0.065], ["2021-07-17", 0.1], ["2021-07-17", 0.07], ["2021-07-17", 0.04], ["2021-07-17... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2070 |
<p>Haiti's presidential election is currently planned for 26 September 2021, along with legislative elections and a constitutional referendum (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/haiti-moves-constitutional-referendum-september-2021-06-29/" target="_blank">Reuters</a>). The assassination of Presi... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Will Haiti hold a presidential election before 1 January 2022? | gjopen | 0 |
2023-01-01 | 2021-07-21 | ["https://www.nytimes.com/2021/07/24/business/biden-antitrust-amazon-google.html", "https://techcrunch.com/2021/06/30/amazon-betrays-its-fear-with-petition-to-sideline-ftc-chair-and-antitrust-hawk-lina-khan", "https://forrestbrazeal.com/2019/07/24/cloud-irregular-amazon-wont-spin-off-aws-and-thats-too-bad-for-aws/", "h... | binary | [["2021-07-21", 1.0], ["2021-07-21", 0.5], ["2021-07-21", 0.33666666666666667], ["2021-07-21", 0.2525], ["2021-07-21", 0.222], ["2021-07-21", 0.3516666666666667], ["2021-07-21", 0.30857142857142855], ["2021-07-21", 0.27625], ["2021-07-21", 0.24555555555555555], ["2021-07-21", 0.222], ["2021-07-22", 0.122], ["2021-07-22... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2079 |
<p>Amazon is facing continued antitrust scrutiny in 2021, and there have been calls for it, among other things, to spin off its cloud computing platform, AWS (<a href="https://www.wbur.org/onpoint/2021/06/28/the-prime-effect-inside-amazon-web-services" target="_blank">WBUR</a>, <a href="https://www.protocol.com/e... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-01-01 | Before 1 January 2023, will Amazon announce that it will spin off Amazon Web Services (AWS)? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-02 | 2021-07-23 | ["https://www.thenationalnews.com/mena/2021/09/16/egypt-says-un-statement-on-nile-dam-forces-ethiopia-to-be-seriously-involved/", "https://russiancouncil.ru/en/blogs/andrew-korybko/will-us-sanctions-against-ethiopia-provide-russia-with-regional-openin/", "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/7/6/egypt-angry-ethiopia-res... | binary | [["2021-07-23", 0.05], ["2021-07-23", 0.025], ["2021-07-23", 0.05], ["2021-07-23", 0.03], ["2021-07-24", 0.01], ["2021-07-24", 0.03], ["2021-07-24", 0.05], ["2021-07-24", 0.05], ["2021-07-24", 0.05], ["2021-07-24", 0.05], ["2021-07-24", 0.05], ["2021-07-24", 0.05], ["2021-07-24", 0.05], ["2021-07-24", 0.04], ["2021-07-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2084 |
<p>Tensions continue to flare between Egypt and Ethiopia, particularly in relation to the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam dispute (<a href="https://www.middleeasteye.net/opinion/egypt-ethiopia-military-solution-gerd-dispute" target="_blank">Middle East Eye</a>, <a href="https://egyptindependent.com/egypt-fm-slams... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Egypt and Ethiopia before 1 January 2022? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-01 | 2021-07-30 | ["https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/africaatlse/2021/07/06/ethiopias-election-is-a-coronation-of-abiy-ahmed-before-the-polls/", "https://rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/plough-and-kalashnikov-ethiopia-after-tigray", "https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/tigray-forces-withdraw-neighbouring-ethiopian-regions-... | binary | [["2021-07-30", 0.5], ["2021-07-30", 0.3], ["2021-07-30", 0.295], ["2021-07-30", 0.1], ["2021-07-31", 0.08], ["2021-07-31", 0.06], ["2021-07-31", 0.08], ["2021-07-31", 0.06], ["2021-07-31", 0.08], ["2021-07-31", 0.1], ["2021-07-31", 0.08], ["2021-07-31", 0.06], ["2021-08-01", 0.08], ["2021-08-01", 0.06], ["2021-08-01",... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2087 |
<p>After success for his party in June 2021 elections, Prime Minister Ahmed is facing a variety of challenges in different regions of the country, including Tigray (<a href="https://www.npr.org/2021/07/10/1015019374/ethiopias-ruling-party-wins-national-election-in-landslide" target="_blank">NPR</a>, <a href="http... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Will Abiy Ahmed cease to be the prime minister of Ethiopia by way of extraconstitutional events before 1 January 2022? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-10-04 | 2021-07-30 | ["https://mizzima.com/article/ambassador-u-kyaw-moe-tun-speaks-mizzima", "https://twitter.com/kyawtun62907405/status/1441199471992336385", "https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/taliban-myanmar-junta-unlikely-be-let-into-un-now-diplomats-2021-12-01/", "https://www.irrawaddy.com/in-person/interview/international-pr... | binary | [["2021-07-30", 1.0], ["2021-07-30", 1.0], ["2021-07-30", 0.5], ["2021-07-30", 0.1], ["2021-07-30", 0.1], ["2021-07-31", 0.1], ["2021-07-31", 0.05], ["2021-07-31", 0.1], ["2021-07-31", 0.05], ["2021-07-31", 0.01], ["2021-07-31", 0.005], ["2021-07-31", 0.01], ["2021-07-31", 0.005], ["2021-08-01", 0.01], ["2021-08-01", 0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2088 |
<p>The NUG is a rival government established after the Myanmar Defense Forces staged a coup on 1 February 2021 (<a href="https://www.france24.com/en/asia-pacific/20210416-opponents-of-myanmar-s-junta-set-up-national-unity-government" target="_blank">France 24</a>, <a href="https://www.nugmyanmar.org/en/" ta... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-09-14 | Before 2 October 2021, will the UN General Assembly recognize delegates from the National Unity Government (NUG) as representing Myanmar for the 76th General Assembly session? | gjopen | 1 |
2022-10-02 | 2021-07-30 | ["https://www.coindesk.com/business/2021/10/30/amazon-web-services-looks-to-drive-crypto-settlement-and-custody-to-the-cloud/", "https://www.paymentscardsandmobile.com/cryptocurrency-acceptance-digital-currencies-hit-the-mainstream/#:~:text=As%20is%20widely%20known%2C%20PayPal%20and%20Square%20have,have%20also%20recent... | binary | [["2021-07-30", 0.85], ["2021-07-30", 0.704], ["2021-07-30", 0.58375], ["2021-07-30", 0.522], ["2021-07-30", 0.555], ["2021-07-31", 0.405], ["2021-07-31", 0.429], ["2021-07-31", 0.38], ["2021-07-31", 0.379], ["2021-07-31", 0.3390909090909091], ["2021-07-31", 0.3333333333333333], ["2021-07-31", 0.5084615384615384], ["20... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2090 |
<p>As businesses and financial institutions explore ways to integrate cryptocurrencies (cryptos) into their operations, there are conflicting reports about whether Amazon.com is preparing to accept them for its transactions (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/23/amazon-is-hiring-a-digital-currency-and-blockcha... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-10-01 | Will Amazon.com begin to accept any cryptocurrency for purchases on the US site before 1 October 2022? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-02 | 2021-08-06 | ["https://www.faz.net/aktuell/bundesnetzagentur-setzt-zertifizierung-fuer-nord-stream-2-vorerst-aus-17636752.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1345918", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1348159", "https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/german-regulator-says-touch-with-nord-stream-2-over-certification-issues-2021... | binary | [["2021-08-06", 1.0], ["2021-08-06", 1.0], ["2021-08-06", 1.0], ["2021-08-06", 1.0], ["2021-08-06", 1.0], ["2021-08-07", 1.0], ["2021-08-07", 1.0], ["2021-08-07", 1.0], ["2021-08-07", 1.0], ["2021-08-07", 1.0], ["2021-08-07", 1.0], ["2021-08-08", 1.0], ["2021-08-08", 0.995], ["2021-08-08", 0.99], ["2021-08-08", 0.99], ... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2091 |
<p>The Nord Stream 2 pipeline could begin delivering natural gas from Russia to Germany later this year despite opposition from multiple groups (<a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-57923655" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2021/08/02/politics/menendez-nord-stream-2-joint-statement... | Environment & Energy | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Before 1 January 2022, will the Nord Stream 2 pipeline begin delivering natural gas to Germany? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-11-01 | 2021-08-06 | ["https://news.yahoo.com/over-2-000-flights-cancelled-163346664.html?ncid=twitter_yahoonewst_sjwumo1bpf4&guccounter=1", "https://scitechdaily.com/active-covid-19-infection-by-at-least-three-virus-variants-detected-in-wild-deer-in-6-ohio-locations/", "https://covidactnow.org/us/metro/new-york-city-newark-jersey-city... | binary | [["2021-08-06", 1.0], ["2021-08-06", 0.875], ["2021-08-06", 1.0], ["2021-08-06", 0.92], ["2021-08-06", 0.98], ["2021-08-06", 1.0], ["2021-08-06", 1.0], ["2021-08-06", 1.0], ["2021-08-06", 1.0], ["2021-08-07", 1.0], ["2021-08-07", 1.0], ["2021-08-07", 1.0], ["2021-08-07", 1.0], ["2021-08-07", 1.0], ["2021-08-07", 1.0], ... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2096 |
<p>With COVID-19 cases increasing, Mayor Bill de Blasio announced new mandates for proof of COVID-19 vaccination in order to use many indoor locations but stopped short of imposing a new mask mandate (<a href="https://www1.nyc.gov/office-of-the-mayor/news/539-21/transcript-mayor-de-blasio-holds-media-availability... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-11-01 | Before 1 November 2021, will a new government mask mandate for individuals fully vaccinated for COVID-19 that includes indoor restaurants and/or retail establishments be imposed on New York City? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-02-14 | 2021-08-13 | ["https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/mar/12/israel-bombed-a-dozen-ships-carrying-iranian-oil-or-weapons-report", "https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-689730", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assassination_of_Luis_Carrero_Blanco", "https://apnews.com/article/donald-trump-israel-iran-iran-nuclear-united-arab-e... | binary | [["2021-08-13", 0.0], ["2021-08-13", 0.25], ["2021-08-13", 0.5], ["2021-08-13", 0.6], ["2021-08-13", 0.65], ["2021-08-13", 0.6], ["2021-08-13", 0.55], ["2021-08-13", 0.5], ["2021-08-13", 0.5], ["2021-08-13", 0.5], ["2021-08-14", 0.4], ["2021-08-14", 0.3], ["2021-08-14", 0.275], ["2021-08-14", 0.275], ["2021-08-14", 0.3... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2097 |
<p>Regional tensions involving Iran continue (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/rocket-sirens-sound-northern-israel-golan-heights-israeli-miltary-says-2021-08-06/" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/iran-israel-tanker-attack/2021/08/01/d48bae2e-... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-02-13 | Before 13 February 2022, will there be a lethal confrontation in Iran or at sea between the national military or law enforcement forces of Iran and those of either Israel or a Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) member state? | gjopen | 0 |
2022-01-01 | 2021-08-13 | ["https://english.alarabiya.net/News/north-africa/2021/08/20/Tunisian-President-Saied-announces-intention-to-form-new-government", "https://allafrica.com/stories/202109100274.html", "http://arabcenterdc.org/events/tunisias-constitutional-crisis-and-yearning-for-democracy-in-northwest-africa/", "https://www.albawaba.com... | binary | [["2021-08-13", 1.0], ["2021-08-13", 0.5], ["2021-08-13", 0.22], ["2021-08-13", 0.135], ["2021-08-13", 0.05], ["2021-08-13", 0.135], ["2021-08-13", 0.1], ["2021-08-13", 0.075], ["2021-08-13", 0.05], ["2021-08-13", 0.05], ["2021-08-14", 0.045], ["2021-08-14", 0.04], ["2021-08-14", 0.04], ["2021-08-14", 0.045], ["2021-08... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2100 |
<p>The future of Tunisia's democracy is uncertain after President Kais Saied invoked emergency powers, suspended parliament, and dismissed the prime minister (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/tunisian-presidents-feud-with-party-elites-drove-him-seize-reins-power-2021-08-08/" target="_blank">Reuters</... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2022-01-01 | Before 1 January 2022, will Kais Saied cease to be the president of Tunisia? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-08-27 | 2021-08-13 | ["https://reut.rs/37GbIsX", "https://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000017b-4048-d1e7-a1fb-7acd4c400000", "https://apnews.com/article/health-courts-coronavirus-pandemic-27522bec9adfdb0fb894cbd3fd57dd1a", "https://www.supremecourt.gov/about/circuitassignments.aspx", "https://www.scotusblog.com/2021/08/real-estate-agents-ask-ju... | binary | [["2021-08-13", 1.0], ["2021-08-13", 0.975], ["2021-08-13", 0.95], ["2021-08-13", 0.595], ["2021-08-13", 0.9], ["2021-08-13", 0.925], ["2021-08-13", 0.9], ["2021-08-13", 0.3], ["2021-08-14", 0.27], ["2021-08-14", 0.27], ["2021-08-14", 0.3], ["2021-08-14", 0.27], ["2021-08-14", 0.3], ["2021-08-14", 0.31], ["2021-08-14",... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2099 |
<p>On 3 August 2021, the CDC issued a new, revised 60-day eviction moratorium order to replace the order that expired at the end of July 2021 (<a href="https://www.npr.org/2021/08/06/1025212834/cdc-new-eviction-ban-moratorium-renters-landlords" target="_blank">NPR</a>, <a href="https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/201... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-08-27 | Before 3 October 2021, will the US Supreme Court block any part of the CDC's 3 August 2021 eviction moratorium order? | gjopen | 1 |
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