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1
2022-04-04
2021-08-19
["https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/lisa-nandy-labour-leadership-starmer-b1926396.html", "https://theconversation.com/labour-party-conference-the-dispute-around-rule-changes-explained-in-brief-168740", "https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-5870068", "https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/feb/20/wi...
binary
[["2021-08-20", 0.33], ["2021-08-20", 0.25], ["2021-08-20", 0.25], ["2021-08-20", 0.25], ["2021-08-20", 0.25], ["2021-08-20", 0.25], ["2021-08-20", 0.25], ["2021-08-20", 0.25], ["2021-08-20", 0.225], ["2021-08-20", 0.25], ["2021-08-20", 0.25], ["2021-08-20", 0.32], ["2021-08-20", 0.25], ["2021-08-21", 0.225], ["2021-08...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2104
<p>Sir Keir was elected to replace Jeremy Corbyn as the leader of the UK's Labour Party in April 2020 and has faced dissention within his party's ranks (<a href="https://news.sky.com/story/labour-leadership-sir-keir-starmer-wins-contest-to-succeed-jeremy-corbyn-11968442" target="_blank">Sky News</a>, <a href="htt...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-04-04
Will Sir Keir Starmer face a formal challenge for the leadership of the Labour Party before 4 April 2022?
gjopen
0
2022-02-01
2021-08-19
["https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-59198125", "https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-59256153", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1353321", "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2411-what-will-be-the-closing-value-of-the-ice-us-dollar-index-on-16-september-2022", "https://www.euronews.com/2021/07/30/the-norther...
binary
[["2021-08-20", 0.6], ["2021-08-20", 0.775], ["2021-08-20", 0.8], ["2021-08-20", 0.7], ["2021-08-20", 0.875], ["2021-08-20", 0.8], ["2021-08-20", 0.7], ["2021-08-21", 0.6], ["2021-08-21", 0.45], ["2021-08-21", 0.3], ["2021-08-21", 0.35], ["2021-08-21", 0.35], ["2021-08-21", 0.4], ["2021-08-21", 0.36], ["2021-08-22", 0....
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2103
<p>The Protocol is an agreement made during Brexit negotiations intended to avoid a "hard border" between the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland, in which Article 16 governs either party taking unilateral action (<a href="https://news.sky.com/story/brexit-what-is-the-northern-ireland-protocol-and-why-...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-02-01
Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 1 February 2022?
gjopen
0
2021-09-21
2021-08-19
["https://www.cicnews.com/2021/09/election-2021-polls-say-conservatives-are-leading-0919081.html#gs.a9296b", "https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-elections-canada-warns-of-problems-delays-ahead-of-voting-day/", "https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/canadas-trudeau-trailing-polls-goes-attack-two-weeks-befor...
binary
[["2021-08-20", 0.05], ["2021-08-20", 0.225], ["2021-08-20", 0.4], ["2021-08-20", 0.4], ["2021-08-20", 0.4], ["2021-08-20", 0.4], ["2021-08-20", 0.4], ["2021-08-20", 0.325], ["2021-08-20", 0.325], ["2021-08-20", 0.325], ["2021-08-20", 0.29], ["2021-08-20", 0.33], ["2021-08-20", 0.315], ["2021-08-20", 0.33], ["2021-08-2...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2101
<p>Canadian Governor General Mary Simon dissolved the Canadian parliament at PM Justin Trudeau's request on Sunday 15 August 2021 and set election day for 20 September 2021 (<a href="https://edmontonjournal.com/news/national/federal-election-set-for-sept-20-after-governor-general-dissolves-parliament" targe...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2021-09-20
Will the Liberal Party win a majority of seats in the 2021 Canadian parliamentary elections?
gjopen
0
2022-01-03
2021-08-19
["https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-10344475/SIR-GRAHAM-BRADY-Cabinet-Ministers-lining-against-lockdown-best-Christmas-present-all.html", "https://twitter.com/BBCBreaking/status/1475509168362737664", "https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/world/458749/uk-reports-record-new-covid-19-cases-after-johnson-rules-out-restricti...
binary
[["2021-08-20", 0.14], ["2021-08-20", 0.625], ["2021-08-20", 0.25], ["2021-08-20", 0.25], ["2021-08-20", 0.25], ["2021-08-20", 0.2], ["2021-08-21", 0.2], ["2021-08-21", 0.18], ["2021-08-21", 0.135], ["2021-08-21", 0.095], ["2021-08-21", 0.1], ["2021-08-21", 0.1], ["2021-08-21", 0.105], ["2021-08-21", 0.1], ["2021-08-22...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2105
<p>The UK government lifted indoor occupancy limits and other COVID-19 restrictions on 19 July 2021, dubbed by many as "Freedom Day" (<a href="https://news.sky.com/story/covid-19-what-are-the-remaining-rules-in-england-after-freedom-day-12359221" target="_blank">Sky News</a>, <a href="https://ww...
Healthcare & Biology
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-01-01
Will legal restrictions on the number of people who can meet indoors be imposed in England before 1 January 2022?
gjopen
0
2022-01-01
2021-08-19
["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_United_Kingdom_general_election", "https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/explore/public_figure/Boris_Johnson?content=trackers", "https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/tories-are-no-longer-the-party-of-business-prznb268l", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dissolution_and_Calling_of_Parliam...
binary
[["2021-08-20", 0.2], ["2021-08-20", 0.15], ["2021-08-20", 0.1], ["2021-08-20", 0.065], ["2021-08-20", 0.1], ["2021-08-20", 0.065], ["2021-08-20", 0.1], ["2021-08-20", 0.1], ["2021-08-20", 0.1], ["2021-08-21", 0.1], ["2021-08-21", 0.06], ["2021-08-21", 0.08], ["2021-08-21", 0.06], ["2021-08-21", 0.045], ["2021-08-21", ...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2102
<p>There have been reports of tensions between UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson and Chancellor Sunak (<a href="https://news.sky.com/story/covid-19-rishi-sunak-writes-letter-to-pm-calling-for-relaxation-of-holiday-rules-to-boost-the-economy-reports-suggest-12369622" target="_blank">Sky News</a>, <a href="https://ww...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-01-01
Will Rishi Sunak cease to be the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer before 1 January 2022?
gjopen
0
2021-11-14
2021-08-26
["https://www.theguardian.com/environment/ng-interactive/2021/nov/10/cop26-draft-text-annotated-what-it-says-and-what-it-means", "https://theconversation.com/we-finally-have-the-rulebook-for-the-paris-agreement-but-global-climate-action-is-still-inadequate-108918", "https://eciu.net/analysis/briefings/international-per...
binary
[["2021-08-27", 0.01], ["2021-08-27", 0.255], ["2021-08-27", 0.01], ["2021-08-27", 0.02], ["2021-08-27", 0.03], ["2021-08-27", 0.04], ["2021-08-27", 0.03], ["2021-08-28", 0.02], ["2021-08-28", 0.03], ["2021-08-28", 0.02], ["2021-08-28", 0.03], ["2021-08-28", 0.02], ["2021-08-28", 0.03], ["2021-08-28", 0.02], ["2021-08-...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2106
<p>A majority of the "Paris Rulebook" was adopted at COP24 in 2018, but unresolved issues remain (<a href="https://news.sky.com/story/with-100-days-to-cop26-what-are-these-climate-talks-and-why-are-they-so-important-12361324" target="_blank">Sky News</a>, <a href="https://www.wri.org/paris-rulebook" target=...
Environment & Energy
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2021-11-13
Will the 26th UN Climate Change Conference of the Parties (COP26) announce the finalization of the "Paris Rulebook," the rules for implementing the 2015 Paris Agreement, before 16 November 2021?
gjopen
1
2021-09-20
2021-08-26
["https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-38720850", "https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1482216/US-trade-deal-news-Joe-Biden-Boris-Johnson-Brexit-EU-exit-Afghanistan-Kabul", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_diplomatic_visits_to_the_United_States:_Europe#United_Kingdom", "https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/boris...
binary
[["2021-08-27", 0.05], ["2021-08-27", 0.03], ["2021-08-27", 0.05], ["2021-08-27", 0.05], ["2021-08-27", 0.15], ["2021-08-27", 0.25], ["2021-08-27", 0.35], ["2021-08-27", 0.25], ["2021-08-28", 0.225], ["2021-08-28", 0.25], ["2021-08-28", 0.275], ["2021-08-28", 0.3], ["2021-08-28", 0.275], ["2021-08-28", 0.25], ["2021-08...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2108
<p>Biden has already met Johnson once since becoming president, but has so far only invited Queen Elizabeth II from the UK to the White House (<a href="https://news.sky.com/story/g7-boris-johnson-says-working-with-joe-biden-is-breath-of-fresh-air-after-first-face-to-face-talks-12329551" target="_blank">Sky News</...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2021-09-16
Before 1 January 2022, will President Biden invite Prime Minister Boris Johnson to visit the White House?
gjopen
1
2021-10-22
2021-08-27
["https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/", "https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/10/20/plan-b-mask-wearing-work-home-ban-indoor-gatherings/", "https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/articles/coronavirusandhomeworkingintheuklabourmarket/2019", "https://www.theguardian.com/wor...
binary
[["2021-08-27", 0.0], ["2021-08-27", 0.0], ["2021-08-27", 0.0], ["2021-08-27", 0.005], ["2021-08-27", 0.01], ["2021-08-27", 0.0], ["2021-08-27", 0.005], ["2021-08-27", 0.01], ["2021-08-27", 0.005], ["2021-08-28", 0.0], ["2021-08-28", 0.0], ["2021-08-28", 0.0], ["2021-08-28", 0.0], ["2021-08-28", 0.0], ["2021-08-28", 0....
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2109
<p>The outcome will be determined using data as reported in the ONS' "Opinions and Lifestyle Survey (COVID-19 module)" dataset (<a href="https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/healthandwellbeing/datasets/coronavirusandthesocialimpactsongreatbritaindata" target="_blank">ONS</...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2021-10-21
Before 18 December 2021, will the United Kingdom's Office for National Statistics (ONS) report that the percentage of working adults who "Worked from home and didn’t travel to work" fell to 15% or lower?
gjopen
1
2022-03-04
2021-09-09
["https://www.boston25news.com/news/local/boston-marathon-bomber-dzhokhar-tsarnaev-got-1400-covid-relief-payment/BVKRJUHHHVEIFBVS5IM3INNDNI/", "http://library.law.virginia.edu/gorsuchproject/u-s-v-summers/", "https://www.annenbergclassroom.org/resource/right-trial-impartial-jury/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1332...
binary
[["2021-09-10", 1.0], ["2021-09-10", 0.95], ["2021-09-10", 1.0], ["2021-09-10", 0.95], ["2021-09-10", 1.0], ["2021-09-11", 0.95], ["2021-09-11", 0.91], ["2021-09-11", 0.905], ["2021-09-11", 0.9], ["2021-09-11", 0.875], ["2021-09-11", 0.85], ["2021-09-11", 0.875], ["2021-09-11", 0.9], ["2021-09-11", 0.9], ["2021-09-12",...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2119
<p>In 2015, Tsarnaev was sentenced to death for his role in the 2013 Boston Marathon bombing and its aftermath (<a href="https://abcnews.go.com/US/jury-reaches-verdict-boston-marathon-bombing-penalty-phase/story?id=31067121" target="_blank">ABC News</a>). The First Circuit Court of Appeals vacated the sentence, f...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-03-04
In United States v. Tsarnaev, will the Supreme Court reinstate the death sentence imposed against Boston Marathon bomber Dzhokhar Tsarnaev?
gjopen
1
2022-09-01
2021-09-17
["https://www.aa.com.tr/en/africa/sudan-pushes-for-new-methodology-for-nile-dam-talks/2207685", "https://www.cfr.org/global-conflict-tracker/conflict/conflict-ethiopia", "https://www.state.gov/u-s-relations-with-ethiopia/", "https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-47203691", "https://theconversation.com/nile-basin-at-...
binary
[["2021-09-17", 0.5], ["2021-09-17", 0.37], ["2021-09-17", 0.4633333333333333], ["2021-09-18", 0.5475], ["2021-09-18", 0.638], ["2021-09-18", 0.6983333333333334], ["2021-09-18", 0.6557142857142857], ["2021-09-18", 0.67], ["2021-09-18", 0.58625], ["2021-09-18", 0.5333333333333333], ["2021-09-18", 0.48], ["2021-09-18", 0...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2125
<p>Tensions between Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan continue over Ethiopia's filling of the GERD, designed to become the largest hydroelectric plant in Africa and provide electricity to millions of people (<a href="https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2021/09/nile-dam-dispute-remains-stalled-egypt-sudan-run-out-option...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-09-01
Before 1 September 2022, will Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan sign an agreement governing the filling of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) reservoir?
gjopen
0
2022-09-01
2021-09-17
["https://www.osha.gov/emergency-preparedness/guides/nerve-agents", "https://freebeacon.com/national-security/iranian-backed-sleeper-cell-militants-hibernating-u-s-positioned-attack", "https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/wikileaks/8471907/WikiLeaks-Guantanamo-Bay-terrorist-secrets-revealed.html", "http://english...
binary
[["2021-09-17", 0.12], ["2021-09-17", 0.46], ["2021-09-17", 0.6233333333333333], ["2021-09-17", 0.47], ["2021-09-17", 0.386], ["2021-09-17", 0.33], ["2021-09-18", 0.28285714285714286], ["2021-09-18", 0.2475], ["2021-09-18", 0.2311111111111111], ["2021-09-18", 0.208], ["2021-09-18", 0.296], ["2021-09-18", 0.221], ["2021...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2124
<p>CCTAs are a major concern for law enforcement and emergency planners (<a href="https://www.fema.gov/sites/default/files/2020-07/planning-considerations-complex-coordinated-terrorist-attacks.pdf" target="_blank">FEMA</a>). For the purposes of this question, a CCTA is an [1] act of terrorism [2] involving multip...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-09-01
Will there be a complex coordinated terrorist attack (CCTA) in the United States either directed or inspired by a foreign terrorist organization resulting in at least five fatalities before 1 September 2022?
gjopen
0
2023-01-08
2021-09-24
["https://www.khaleejtimes.com/search?q=plastic+bag", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1364277", "https://whatson.ae/2020/03/abu-dhabi-to-ban-all-single-use-plastic-bags-by-2021/", "https://gulfbusiness.com/sharjah-to-ban-single-use-plastic-bags-from-january-1-2024/", "https://www.khaleejtimes.com/environment/uae-anoth...
binary
[["2021-09-24", 0.0], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-25", 0.6], ["2021-09-25", 0.5083333333333333], ["2021-09-25", 0.5271428571428571], ["2021-09-26", 0.525], ["2021-09-26", 0.52625], ["2021-09-26", 0.47333333333333333], ["2021-09-26", 0.511], ["2021-09-26", 0.421], ["2021-09-2...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2133
<p>Abu Dhabi and Dubai, the two largest of the emirates that make up the UAE, have considered bans on various single-use plastic products, including bags (<a href="https://gulfbusiness.com/how-data-is-quantifying-the-impact-of-plastic-on-the-environment/" target="_blank">Gulf Business</a>, <a href="https://www.ar...
Environment & Energy
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-01-08
Will single-use plastic bags be banned in all of the UAE before 8 January 2023?
gjopen
0
2022-04-04
2021-09-24
["https://www.africa.com/dine-by-night-free-entry-to-expo-2020-dubai/", "https://www.thenationalnews.com/uae/expo-2020/2022/03/15/expo-2020-dubai-almost-16m-visits-in-one-week-as-numbers-reach-19m/", "https://gulfnews.com/expo-2020/expo-2020-dubai-crosses-half-way-mark-with-almost-9-million-visits-1.84745727", "https:/...
binary
[["2021-09-24", 0.0], ["2021-09-24", 0.0], ["2021-09-24", 0.0], ["2021-09-24", 0.0], ["2021-09-24", 0.0], ["2021-09-25", 0.0], ["2021-09-25", 0.0], ["2021-09-25", 0.0], ["2021-09-25", 0.0], ["2021-09-25", 0.005], ["2021-09-25", 0.0], ["2021-09-26", 0.0], ["2021-09-26", 0.0], ["2021-09-26", 0.0], ["2021-09-26", 0.0], ["...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2131
<p>The six-month EXPO 2020, initially delayed by the COVID-19 pandemic, is scheduled for 1 October 2021 through 31 March 2022 (<a href="https://www.expo2020dubai.com/" target="_blank">EXPO2020</a>, <a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/middle-easts-first-expo-open-110725927.html" target="_blank">Yahoo</a>, <a h...
Arts & Recreation
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-04-01
Will Dubai's EXPO 2020 attract 25 million visits?
gjopen
0
2022-05-29
2021-09-24
["https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1353199", "https://www.emirates.com/media-centre/emirates-group-announces-half-year-performance-for-2021-22/", "https://investor-relations.lufthansagroup.com/fileadmin/downloads/en/charts-speeches/LH-QR-2021-3-charts.pdf", "https://www.emirates.com/media-centre/emirates-group-announces...
binary
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https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2132
<p>The COVID-19 pandemic hit airlines particularly hard, with Emirates airline's total revenue for the fiscal/financial year (FY) 2020-21 declining 66% to AED 30.9 billion, or US$ 8.4 billion (<a href="https://www.emirates.com/media-centre/emirates-group-announces-2020-21-results/" target="_blank">Emirates</a>, <...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-04-01
Will Emirates airline revenues for FY 2021-22 reach at least 75% of FY 2019-20 revenues, or AED 68,979 million?
gjopen
0
2022-02-01
2021-09-24
["https://gulfnews.com/living-in-uae/education/school-reopening-2022-distance-learning-or-face-to-face-education-1.1640775587028", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1337040", "https://graphics.reuters.com/world-coronavirus-tracker-and-maps/vaccination-rollout-and-access/", "https://www.khaleejtimes.com/coronavirus-pande...
binary
[["2021-09-24", 1.0], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.0], ["2021-09-24", 0.05], ["2021-09-24", 0.0], ["2021-09-24", 0.0], ["2021-09-24", 0.0], ["2021-09-25", 0.0], ["2021-09-25", 0.005], ["2021-09-25", 0.01], ["2021-09-25", 0.005], ["2021-09-25", 0.0], ["2021-09-25", 0.0], ["2021-09-26", 0.0], ["2021-09-26", 0.0]...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2130
<p>In August 2021, KHDA announced that “[f]rom October 3rd 2021, all teaching and learning at Dubai private schools will be face-to-face only. After this date, students who wish to continue with distance learning must provide a medical certificate issued by Dubai Health Authority. Class groups or grade/year level...
Education & Research
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-02-01
Before 1 February 2022, will the Knowledge and Human Development Authority (KHDA) announce that all teaching and learning at Dubai private schools will cease to be face-to-face only?
gjopen
0
2021-12-25
2021-09-24
["https://www.economist.com/science-and-technology/2021/11/23/a-new-eye-on-the-heavens", "https://twitter.com/ESA_Webb/status/1474290218178170894", "https://poets.org/poem/world-beautiful-place", "https://twitter.com/NASAWebb/status/1474083585216892939", "https://twitter.com/Arianespace/status/1473760271084703760", "ht...
binary
[["2021-09-24", 0.0], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.455], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.61], [...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2136
<p>The James Webb Space Telescope, scheduled for launch 18 December 2021, will be the most powerful space telescope ever launched (<a href="https://www.vox.com/science-and-health/22664709/james-webb-space-telescope-launch-date-december-science-hubble" target="_blank">Vox</a>, <a href="https://www.jwst.nasa....
Science & Tech
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2021-12-25
Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully before 1 January 2022?
gjopen
1
2022-06-23
2021-09-30
["https://www.scotusblog.com/2021/10/in-major-second-amendment-case-court-will-review-limits-on-carrying-a-concealed-gun-in-public/", "https://www.latimes.com/opinion/story/2021-11-01/supreme-court-gun-rights-gun-control-concealed-carry-2nd-amendment", "https://news.yahoo.com/supreme-court-appears-lean-toward-195941669...
binary
[["2021-09-30", 1.0], ["2021-09-30", 0.75], ["2021-09-30", 1.0], ["2021-09-30", 0.75], ["2021-09-30", 0.55], ["2021-09-30", 0.775], ["2021-09-30", 0.72], ["2021-10-01", 0.86], ["2021-10-01", 0.72], ["2021-10-01", 0.735], ["2021-10-01", 0.72], ["2021-10-01", 0.71], ["2021-10-01", 0.72], ["2021-10-01", 0.735], ["2021-10-...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2140
<p>Two New York State citizens applied for firearm concealed-carry licenses for self-defense, but were denied because they failed to show a "proper cause" for obtaining the license (<a href="https://www.oyez.org/cases/2021/20-843" target="_blank">Oyez</a>). Two men sued, claiming that the denial of licenses viola...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-06-23
In New York State Rifle & Pistol Association, Inc. v. Bruen, will the Supreme Court rule that New York State's denial of applications for concealed-carry licenses for self-defense violated the Second Amendment?
gjopen
1
2022-08-16
2021-09-30
["https://www.solarpowerworldonline.com/2021/11/an-update-on-wro-enforcement-on-imported-solar-panels/", "https://www.reuters.com/business/us-restricts-exports-5-chinese-firms-over-rights-violations-2021-06-23/", "https://wam.ae/en/details/1395302957976", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-09-29/china-slashe...
binary
[["2021-09-30", 1.0], ["2021-09-30", 0.55], ["2021-09-30", 1.0], ["2021-09-30", 0.645], ["2021-09-30", 0.29], ["2021-09-30", 0.645], ["2021-09-30", 0.29], ["2021-10-01", 0.29], ["2021-10-01", 0.2], ["2021-10-01", 0.29], ["2021-10-02", 0.215], ["2021-10-02", 0.215], ["2021-10-03", 0.15], ["2021-10-03", 0.145], ["2021-10...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2138
<p>Shams Dubai is the Dubai Electricity &amp; Water Authority's (DEWA’s) first smart initiative to connect solar energy to buildings, a part of the Distributed Renewable Resources Generation program (<a href="https://www.dewa.gov.ae/en/consumer/solar-community/shams-dubai" target="_blank">Shams Dubai</a>). The qu...
Environment & Energy
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-01-01
As of the end of 2021, will total connected capacity of solar panels installed through the Shams Dubai program reach or exceed 400 MW?
gjopen
0
2023-01-01
2021-09-30
["https://www.ft.com/content/07810ece-b35b-47e7-a6d2-c876b7b40444", "https://www.congress.gov/117/bills/s4428/BILLS-117s4428is.pdf", "https://news.cgtn.com/news/2021-07-17/How-Biden-s-America-really-sees-Taiwan-11Y8B0nwLeM/index.html", "https://www.cnbc.com/2021/08/20/us-position-on-taiwan-unchanged-despite-biden-comme...
binary
[["2021-09-30", 1.0], ["2021-09-30", 1.0], ["2021-09-30", 0.6666666666666666], ["2021-09-30", 0.75], ["2021-10-01", 0.7], ["2021-10-01", 0.75], ["2021-10-01", 0.6714285714285714], ["2021-10-01", 0.5875], ["2021-10-01", 0.5222222222222223], ["2021-10-01", 0.48], ["2021-10-02", 0.38], ["2021-10-02", 0.29], ["2021-10-03",...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2141
<p>Recent media reporting indicates discussions regarding the Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office in the US potentially changing its name to "Taiwan Representative Office" (<a href="https://www.roc-taiwan.org/us_en/index.html" target="_blank">Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office in th...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-01-01
Before 1 January 2023, will the Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office officially change its name to include the word Taiwan?
gjopen
0
2021-12-07
2021-10-01
["https://gulfnews.com/uae/two-day-weekend-which-day-to-club-with-friday-1.362545", "https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/money/2021/08/24/is-a-four-day-working-week-possible-in-the-uae-pocketful-of-dirhams/", "https://twitter.com/UAEmediaoffice/status/1468129958019182592?s=20", "https://www.arabnews.com/node/19279...
binary
[["2021-10-01", 0.0], ["2021-10-01", 0.0], ["2021-10-02", 0.0], ["2021-10-02", 0.005], ["2021-10-02", 0.01], ["2021-10-02", 0.015], ["2021-10-03", 0.02], ["2021-10-03", 0.015], ["2021-10-03", 0.02], ["2021-10-03", 0.01], ["2021-10-03", 0.025], ["2021-10-04", 0.01], ["2021-10-05", 0.045], ["2021-10-05", 0.045], ["2021-1...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2145
<p>In 2006, the UAE changed its weekend from Thursday-Friday to Friday-Saturday to have more business hours consistent with Europe and elsewhere around the world (<a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/4991068.stm" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="https://www.esquireme.com/brief/news/53862-is-the-uae-sw...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2021-12-07
Before 1 September 2022, will the government of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) officially announce a change to its weekend?
gjopen
1
2022-06-06
2021-10-01
["https://www.cms.gov/files/document/2022-medicare-trustees-report.pdf"]
binary
[["2021-10-01", 1.0], ["2021-10-01", 0.8], ["2021-10-02", 1.0], ["2021-10-03", 1.0], ["2021-10-03", 1.0], ["2021-10-03", 0.9], ["2021-10-03", 0.8], ["2021-10-06", 0.825], ["2021-10-07", 0.8], ["2021-10-07", 0.825], ["2021-10-07", 0.825], ["2021-10-07", 0.875], ["2021-10-07", 0.85], ["2021-10-15", 0.85], ["2021-10-18", ...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2148
<p>The Boards of Trustees for Medicare (also Boards) report annually to the Congress on the financial operations and actuarial status of the program (<a href="https://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-and-Systems/Statistics-Trends-and-Reports/ReportsTrustFunds" target="_blank">Centers for Medicare &amp; Medica...
Healthcare & Biology
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-06-02
In its 2022 report, will the Board of Trustees for Medicare project the year of asset depletion of the Hospital Insurance trust fund ("HI," aka Medicare Part A) to be 2025 or before?
gjopen
0
2023-01-10
2021-10-01
["https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/04/california-will-allow-cruise-to-give-rides-in-driverless-test-vehicles.html", "https://www.theverge.com/2021/9/30/22702962/cruise-waymo-california-dmv-autonomous-vehicle-permit", "https://www.thenationalnews.com/uae/transport/2022/03/31/these-driverless-taxis-will-be-on-dubai-roads-by-...
binary
[["2021-10-01", 0.43], ["2021-10-01", 0.475], ["2021-10-01", 0.5166666666666667], ["2021-10-01", 0.55], ["2021-10-01", 0.6625], ["2021-10-01", 0.652], ["2021-10-02", 0.71], ["2021-10-02", 0.7116666666666667], ["2021-10-02", 0.6785714285714286], ["2021-10-03", 0.6625], ["2021-10-03", 0.7], ["2021-10-03", 0.665], ["2021-...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2146
<p>Dubai aims to be a leading location in the deployment of autonomous vehicles and has an agreement with Cruise for the deployment of a ride-hailing service by 2023, though testing may start sooner (<a href="https://www.khaleejtimes.com/news/dubai-to-become-first-city-outside-us-to-operate-driverless-vehicles" t...
Science & Tech
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-01-01
Before 1 January 2023, will a ride-hailing service open to the public which uses autonomous vehicles be launched and/or tested on public roads in Dubai?
gjopen
0
2022-10-02
2021-10-07
["https://www.barrons.com/articles/mark-zuckerberg-economic-warning-meta-employees-51656857529", "https://techstory.in/frances-haugen-says-meta-cant-recover-until-mark-zuckerberg-steps-down/", "https://www.cnbc.com/2022/04/21/meta-coo-sandberg-reportedly-tried-to-block-news-story-about-activision-ceo-kotick.html", "htt...
binary
[["2021-10-07", 0.525], ["2021-10-07", 0.42], ["2021-10-07", 0.455], ["2021-10-07", 0.35375], ["2021-10-07", 0.285], ["2021-10-07", 0.242], ["2021-10-08", 0.153], ["2021-10-08", 0.073], ["2021-10-08", 0.065], ["2021-10-08", 0.086], ["2021-10-08", 0.066], ["2021-10-08", 0.056], ["2021-10-08", 0.032], ["2021-10-09", 0.03...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2151
<p>Mark Zuckerberg, as Facebook's sole Chairman and CEO, has been under pressure as the company's business practices face ever greater scrutiny (<a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/facebook-whistleblower-frances-haugen-misinformation-public-60-minutes-2021-10-03/" target="_blank">CBS News</a>, <a href="ht...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-10-01
Before 1 October 2022, will Facebook announce that Mark Zuckerberg will cease to be the company's sole Chairman or CEO?
gjopen
0
2023-01-01
2021-10-08
["https://www.cnbc.com/2021/10/24/what-first-bitcoin-futures-etf-means-for-cryptocurrency-industry.html", "https://seekingalpha.com/news/3812742-two-spot-bitcoin-etfs-rejected-by-sec", "https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/the-sec-just-approved-the-closest-thing-to-a-us-bitcoin-etf-you-can-buy-for-now/ar-AAPfqQw", "...
binary
[["2021-10-08", 0.1], ["2021-10-08", 0.55], ["2021-10-08", 0.6], ["2021-10-08", 0.7], ["2021-10-08", 0.598], ["2021-10-09", 0.665], ["2021-10-09", 0.7128571428571429], ["2021-10-09", 0.69875], ["2021-10-09", 0.7322222222222222], ["2021-10-10", 0.669], ["2021-10-10", 0.674], ["2021-10-10", 0.596], ["2021-10-10", 0.622],...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2156
<p>While cryptocurrency ETFs have been authorized in other jurisdictions, attempts to create a crypto ETF in the US continue (<a href="https://www.theblockcrypto.com/linked/119365/sec-rolls-decisions-on-four-bitcoin-etf-applications-to-end-of-2021" target="_blank">The Block</a>, <a href="https://www.cp24.com/news...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-12-30
Will a cryptocurrency exchange-traded fund (ETF) trade on the NYSE and/or NASDAQ stock exchanges before 31 December 2022?
gjopen
0
2022-11-09
2021-10-14
["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fourteenth_Amendment_to_the_United_States_Constitution", "https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/28/judge-says-trump-likely-broke-the-law-by-trying-to-obstruct-congress-from-confirming-biden-win.html", "https://www.reuters.com/world/us/lawsuit-seeks-block-insurrectionist-marjorie-taylor-greene-ree...
binary
[["2021-10-15", 1.0], ["2021-10-15", 0.7666666666666667], ["2021-10-15", 0.726], ["2021-10-15", 0.7185714285714285], ["2021-10-16", 0.70375], ["2021-10-17", 0.741], ["2021-10-17", 0.711], ["2021-10-17", 0.779], ["2021-10-18", 0.643], ["2021-10-18", 0.682], ["2021-10-18", 0.574], ["2021-10-18", 0.567], ["2021-10-18", 0....
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2159
<p>Rep. Greene was elected to her first term in 2020 and is expected to face a tough reelection campaign in 2022 (<a href="https://ballotpedia.org/Marjorie_Taylor_Greene" target="_blank">Ballotpedia</a>, <a href="https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/575375-greene-challenger-raises-13m-in-latest-quart...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-11-09
Will Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene be reelected for Georgia's 14th Congressional District in 2022?
gjopen
1
2022-10-02
2021-10-15
["https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/8612?r=42&amp;s=1", "https://www.cbs58.com/news/a-controversial-bill-to-protect-kids-online-just-advanced-in-the-senate-heres-what-you-should-know", "https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/senate-bill/2972/text", "https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congre...
binary
[["2021-10-15", 1.0], ["2021-10-15", 0.65], ["2021-10-15", 0.5433333333333333], ["2021-10-16", 0.415], ["2021-10-16", 0.522], ["2021-10-17", 0.405], ["2021-10-17", 0.45], ["2021-10-17", 0.485], ["2021-10-18", 0.534], ["2021-10-18", 0.488], ["2021-10-18", 0.453], ["2021-10-18", 0.349], ["2021-10-19", 0.275], ["2021-10-1...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2160
<p>Section 230 is a statute that protects social media companies from liability for content their users post (<a href="https://www.theverge.com/21273768/section-230-explained-internet-speech-law-definition-guide-free-moderation" target="_blank">The Verge</a>, <a href="https://theconversation.com/what-is-section-2...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-10-01
Will legislation amending or repealing Section 230 of the Communications Act of 1934 become law before 1 October 2022?
gjopen
0
2022-07-01
2021-10-19
["https://www.theweek.in/news/india/2022/01/04/indian-trrops-hoist-tricolour-galwan-counters-china-claims.html", "https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/03/india-china-border-dispute-unlikely-to-end-anytime-soon-nirupama-rao.html", "https://twitter.com/tanvi_madan/status/1507353245878034437", "https://www.nytimes.com/2021/02/19/...
binary
[["2021-10-20", 0.05], ["2021-10-20", 0.525], ["2021-10-20", 0.49], ["2021-10-20", 0.745], ["2021-10-20", 0.49], ["2021-10-20", 0.27], ["2021-10-20", 0.05], ["2021-10-20", 0.11], ["2021-10-20", 0.05], ["2021-10-20", 0.05], ["2021-10-21", 0.05], ["2021-10-21", 0.05], ["2021-10-21", 0.05], ["2021-10-21", 0.05], ["2021-10...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2164
<p>Tensions continue to flare along the disputed border between India and China, with lethal clashes in June 2020 (<a href="https://www.usnews.com/news/world-report/articles/2020-06-16/dozens-killed-as-india-china-face-off-in-first-deadly-clash-in-decades" target="_blank">US News &amp; World Report</a>, <a href="...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-07-01
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of India and the People's Republic of China before 1 July 2022?
gjopen
0
2021-11-15
2021-10-21
["https://www.cbpp.org/research/federal-budget/introduction-to-budget-reconciliation", "https://www.politico.com/news/2021/10/31/democrats-race-prescription-drug-deal-517974", "https://www.politico.com/news/2021/10/22/pelosi-huddles-with-biden-as-he-tries-to-strike-deal-with-sinema-manchin-516748", "https://www.senate....
binary
[["2021-10-22", 0.0], ["2021-10-22", 0.5], ["2021-10-22", 0.56], ["2021-10-22", 0.455], ["2021-10-22", 0.56], ["2021-10-23", 0.56], ["2021-10-23", 0.56], ["2021-10-23", 0.68], ["2021-10-23", 0.66], ["2021-10-23", 0.705], ["2021-10-23", 0.66], ["2021-10-23", 0.705], ["2021-10-23", 0.75], ["2021-10-24", 0.75], ["2021-10-...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2165
<p>H.R.3684, also known as the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, is one of the core components of the Biden administration's legislative agenda (<a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/3684/text" target="_blank">H.R.3684</a>, <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/stateme...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2021-11-15
Before 4 January 2022, will H.R.3684, also known as the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, become law?
gjopen
1
2022-09-01
2021-10-21
["https://focustaiwan.tw/politics/202208050023", "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mohDrvbltI8", "https://www.france24.com/en/asia-pacific/20220808-china-announces-more-military-drills-around-taiwan", "https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/world/asia/taiwan-china-maps.html", "https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/461...
binary
[["2021-10-22", 1.0], ["2021-10-22", 0.5775], ["2021-10-22", 0.685], ["2021-10-22", 0.62625], ["2021-10-23", 0.681], ["2021-10-23", 0.621], ["2021-10-23", 0.611], ["2021-10-23", 0.531], ["2021-10-24", 0.557], ["2021-10-24", 0.479], ["2021-10-24", 0.354], ["2021-10-24", 0.344], ["2021-10-24", 0.429], ["2021-10-24", 0.43...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2169
<p>The People's Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) has been consistently sending military aircraft into Taiwan's Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) with growing numbers of aircraft, though not its national airspace (<a href="https://www.dw.com/en/chinas-taiwan-military-incursions-test-the-limits-of-airsp...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-09-01
Will Taiwan publicly accuse the People's Republic of China of flying a military aircraft over the territory of and/or the territorial waters surrounding the main island of Taiwan without its permission before 1 September 2022?
gjopen
0
2021-12-14
2021-10-27
["https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/4359445", "https://www.taiwanembassy.org/hn/index.html", "https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/4333767", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1362236", "https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/united-states-china-tussle-over-honduras-it-weighs-taiwan-ties-2021-11-26/", "https://...
binary
[["2021-10-29", 0.14], ["2021-10-29", 0.07], ["2021-10-29", 0.14], ["2021-10-29", 0.195], ["2021-10-30", 0.25], ["2021-10-30", 0.255], ["2021-10-30", 0.25], ["2021-10-30", 0.195], ["2021-10-31", 0.14], ["2021-10-31", 0.095], ["2021-10-31", 0.14], ["2021-10-31", 0.195], ["2021-11-01", 0.15], ["2021-11-01", 0.15], ["2021...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2172
<p>In recent decades, many countries have ceased to recognize the Republic of China (ROC), commonly known as Taiwan, in favor of recognition of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) (<a href="https://www.newsweek.com/who-recognizes-taiwan-two-change-china-1460559" target="_blank">Newsweek</a>). A handful of countr...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2021-12-09
Before 1 January 2023, will a Latin American or Caribbean nation cease to formally recognize Taiwan?
gjopen
1
2023-01-01
2021-10-27
["https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-62744522", "https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3177699/lawmakers-pressure-eu-full-ban-trade-goods-made-forced-labour", "https://www.scmp.com/news/china/politics/article/3185358/chinas-president-xi-visits-xinjiang-first-time-eight-years", "https://www.barrons.com/news...
binary
[["2021-10-29", 0.14], ["2021-10-29", 0.105], ["2021-10-29", 0.27], ["2021-10-30", 0.205], ["2021-10-30", 0.166], ["2021-10-30", 0.14666666666666667], ["2021-10-30", 0.19857142857142857], ["2021-10-31", 0.17375], ["2021-10-31", 0.15444444444444444], ["2021-10-31", 0.139], ["2021-10-31", 0.125], ["2021-10-31", 0.127], [...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2171
<p>On 22 March 2021, the Council imposed restrictive measures against four Chinese officials and one Chinese entity for human rights abuses in Xinjiang, the first such sanctions since the Tiananmen Square crackdown in 1989 (<a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-56487162" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href=...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-01-01
Between 30 October 2021 and 31 December 2022, will the Council of the European Union impose new restrictive measures (sanctions) on China over human rights violations and abuses in Xinjiang?
gjopen
0
2023-01-01
2021-10-28
["https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-03-25/australia-pm-reacts-china-solomon-islands-draft-military/100938958", "https://earthexplorer.usgs.gov/", "https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/china-seeks-atlantic-ocean-military-base/", "https://www.stripes.com/theaters/africa/2021-12-06/china-military-guinea-djibouti-africom-387...
binary
[["2021-10-29", 0.25], ["2021-10-30", 0.165], ["2021-10-30", 0.12666666666666668], ["2021-10-30", 0.0975], ["2021-10-30", 0.078], ["2021-10-30", 0.10666666666666667], ["2021-10-30", 0.12], ["2021-10-31", 0.20625], ["2021-10-31", 0.18333333333333332], ["2021-10-31", 0.18], ["2021-10-31", 0.156], ["2021-10-31", 0.151], [...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2176
<p>China's only military base in Africa is in the country of Djibouti, but it is looking at possible bases in other African countries (<a href="https://thediplomat.com/2015/11/us-general-china-has-10-year-contract-for-first-overseas-military-base/" target="_blank">Diplomat</a>, <a href="https://apnews.com/article...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-01-01
Before 1 January 2023, will China and/or a host country officially announce an agreement for the establishment of a Chinese military base in an African country besides Djibouti?
gjopen
0
2023-01-01
2021-10-28
["https://news.cgtn.com/news/2022-01-10/Gulf-FMs-arrive-in-Beijing-in-positive-push-for-China-GCC-FTA-talks-16I4k2uMHOo/index.html", "http://www.china.org.cn/business/2022-05/13/content_78215836.htm", "https://www.fmprc.gov.cn/mfa_eng/zxxx_662805/202209/t20220921_10768898.html", "https://strategiecs.com/en/analyses/neg...
binary
[["2021-10-29", 0.14], ["2021-10-30", 0.075], ["2021-10-30", 0.06666666666666667], ["2021-10-30", 0.1], ["2021-10-31", 0.08], ["2021-10-31", 0.23333333333333334], ["2021-10-31", 0.20285714285714285], ["2021-10-31", 0.1775], ["2021-10-31", 0.15777777777777777], ["2021-10-31", 0.149], ["2021-11-01", 0.138], ["2021-11-01"...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2175
<p>China and the GCC began negotiations for a free trade agreement in 2005 (<a href="http://fta.mofcom.gov.cn/enarticle/engcc/engccnews/200911/1638_1.html" target="_blank">China Ministry of Commerce</a>, <a href="https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menasource/china-is-happy-about-the-abraham-accords-and-the-gcc...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-01-01
Before 1 January 2023, will negotiations on a China-Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) free trade agreement be completed?
gjopen
0
2022-02-24
2021-11-04
["https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1491521222437445633", "https://spectatorworld.com/topic/springtime-for-liberal-interventionists/", "https://www.osce.org/special-monitoring-mission-to-ukraine/512272", "https://www.osce.org/files/2022-02-18%20Daily%20Report_ENG.pdf", "https://www.cnn.com/europe/live-news/ukraine-rus...
binary
[["2021-11-05", 0.49], ["2021-11-06", 0.68], ["2021-11-06", 0.715], ["2021-11-06", 0.68], ["2021-11-06", 0.59], ["2021-11-06", 0.3], ["2021-11-07", 0.155], ["2021-11-07", 0.13], ["2021-11-07", 0.11], ["2021-11-07", 0.11], ["2021-11-07", 0.11], ["2021-11-08", 0.115], ["2021-11-09", 0.105], ["2021-11-09", 0.1], ["2021-11...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2184
<p>Reports in the fall of 2021 indicated a build-up of Russian forces near the border of Ukraine amid increased tensions with the West (<a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2021/11/01/satellite-russia-ukraine-military-518337" target="_blank">Politico</a>, <a href="https://www.rferl.org/a/putin-ukrai...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-02-24
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces and/or law enforcement of Russia and Ukraine resulting in at least three fatalities before 15 September 2022?
gjopen
1
2023-05-17
2022-01-18
[]
multiple_choice
[["2023-02-21", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["20...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-ethereum-merge-eip-3675-occur-by-september-1-2022
This is a market on if The Merge will occur on the Ethereum mainnet as described in EIP-3675 (or any successor to EIP-3675) by the resolution time, September 1 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, transitioning the Ethereum blockchain to proof-of-stake. If the first proof-of-stake block (defined in EIP-3675 as TRANSITION_BLOCK) is p...
Science & Tech
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-09-01
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-04-14
[]
multiple_choice
[["2023-02-21", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["20...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-ethereum-merge-eip-3675-occur-by-october-1-2022
This is a market on if The Merge will occur on the Ethereum mainnet as described in EIP-3675 (or any successor to EIP-3675) by the resolution time, October 1 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, transitioning the Ethereum blockchain to proof-of-stake. If the first proof-of-stake block (defined in EIP-3675 as TRANSITION_BLOCK) is pro...
Science & Tech
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-10-01
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022?
polymarket
1
2023-05-17
2022-05-05
["https://www.speaker.gov/,", "https://www.house.gov/),"]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.71], ["2022-12-15", 0.71], ["2022-12-15", 0.71], ["2022-12-15", 0.71], ["2022-12-15", 0.71], ["2022-12-15", 0.71], ["2022-12-16", 0.71], ["2022-12-16", 0.71], ["2022-12-16", 0.71], ["2022-12-16", 0.71], ["2022-12-16", 0.71], ["2022-12-16", 0.71], ["2022-12-16", 0.71], ["2022-12-16...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-kevin-mccarthy-be-elected-speaker-of-the-house-in-the-118th-congress
The midterm US elections scheduled for November 8, 2022, are expected to be contentious, with a strong possibility of the Republicans taking the House and Senate. If the Republicans take the US House of Representatives, the present Speaker of the House, Democrat Nancy Pelosi, may be replaced by the Republican who wins ...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-01-04
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress?
polymarket
1
2023-05-17
2022-05-10
["https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump."]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-15", 0.15], ["2022-12-15", 0.15], ["2022-12-15", 0.16], ["2022-12-15", 0.16], ["2022-12-15", 0.16], ["2022-12-15", 0.16], ["2022-12-15", 0.19], ["2022-12-15", 0.26], ["2022-12-15", 0.26], ["2022-12-15", 0.26], ["2022-12-15", 0.26], ["2022-12-15", 0.26], ["2022-12-15", 0.26], ["2022-12-15", 0.26], ["2022-12-1...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-realdonaldtrump-tweet-in-2022
In Response to Trader Inquiry: Retweets do not count for this market's resolution. Twitter permanently banned former president of the USA, Donald Trump, from the platform in January 2021 during the final days of his term. His handle @realDonaldTrump had over 88.9 million followers. This market will resolve to "Yes" i...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-12-31
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-06-10
["https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethereum)."]
multiple_choice
[["2023-02-21", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["20...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-eth-be-above-1700-on-june-17
This is a market on if the price of Ethereum (ETH) will be above $1,700 in USD on June 17, 2022 (12 PM ET). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ethereum (ETH) has a candlestick closing price of $1,700.01 or more, as per the resolution source, on June 17, 2022, 12 PM ET, and “No” otherwise. The resolution source for ...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-06-17
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on June 17?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-06-24
["https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethereum)."]
multiple_choice
[["2023-02-21", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["20...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-eth-be-above-1200-on-july-1
This is a market on if the price of Ethereum (ETH) will be above $1,200 in USD on July 1, 2022 (12 PM ET). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ethereum (ETH) has a candlestick closing price of $1,200.01 or more, as per the resolution source, on July 1, 2022, 12 PM ET, and “No” otherwise. The resolution source for th...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-07-01
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 1?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-07-18
["https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/commodities/cl%3Anmx/historical)."]
multiple_choice
[["2023-02-21", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["20...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-price-of-a-barrel-of-crude-oil-be-100-or-more-on-july-22-2022
This is a market on whether the price of crude oil will be at $100.00 or higher as of market close on July 22, 2022. If the value of a barrel of oil is $100.00 or greater as of market close on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the value of a barrel of oil is less than $100.00 as of market close...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-07-22
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on July 22, 2022?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-09-13
[]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-09", 0.5], ["2023-01-09", 0.5], ["2023-01-09", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["20...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-donald-j-trump-be-indicted-by-march-31-2023
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States unseals or otherwise officially announces a criminal indictment of former President Donald Trump before the resolution time March 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. Please note, for purposes of this ...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-03-31
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
polymarket
1
2023-05-17
2022-09-20
["https://www.nba.com/stats/player/1628970."]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-28", 0.5], ["2023-01-28", 0.5], ["2023-01-28", 0.5], ["2023-01-28", 0.5], ["2023-01-28", 0.5], ["2023-01-28", 0.5], ["2023-01-28", 0.5], ["2023-01-28", 0.5], ["2023-01-28", 0.5], ["2023-01-28", 0.5], ["2023-01-28", 0.5], ["2023-01-28", 0.5], ["2023-01-28", 0.5], ["2023-01-28", 0.5], ["2023-01-28", 0.5], ["20...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-miles-bridges-play-an-nba-game-in-the-2022-23-regular-season
Miles Bridges is a National Basketball Association (NBA) player with the Charlotte Hornets. In July, 2022 he was arraigned on "one felony count of injuring a child’s parent and two felony counts of child abuse under circumstances or conditions likely to cause great bodily injury or death", throwing his status as an act...
Sports
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-04-09
Will Miles Bridges play an NBA game in the 2022-23 regular season?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-10-13
["https://www.premierleague.com/players/65970/Erling-Haaland/stats?co=1&se=489)."]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-20", 0.41], ["2023-01-20", 0.41], ["2023-01-20", 0.41], ["2023-01-20", 0.41], ["2023-01-20", 0.41], ["2023-01-20", 0.41], ["2023-01-20", 0.41], ["2023-01-20", 0.41], ["2023-01-20", 0.41], ["2023-01-20", 0.41], ["2023-01-20", 0.41], ["2023-01-20", 0.41], ["2023-01-20", 0.41], ["2023-01-20", 0.41], ["2023-01-2...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-erling-haaland-break-the-premier-league-goals-record-in-the-2223-season-34-goals
The Premier League's 2022/23 season started on August 6, 2022, and the final match round is scheduled for May 28, 2023. Erling Haaland has already scored 15 goals, and there is significant buzz that he may break the Premier League's record of 34 goals scored in a season, currently shared by Andy Cole (Newcastle 1993-94...
Sports
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-05-28
Will Erling Haaland break the Premier League goals record in the 22/23 season? (34 goals)
polymarket
1
2023-05-17
2022-10-24
["https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3372254721/"]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-03", 0.5], ["2023-01-03", 0.5], ["2023-01-03", 0.5], ["2023-01-04", 0.43], ["2023-01-04", 0.43], ["2023-01-04", 0.43], ["2023-01-04", 0.43], ["2023-01-04", 0.44], ["2023-01-04", 0.44], ["2023-01-04", 0.44], ["2023-01-04", 0.44], ["2023-01-04", 0.44], ["2023-01-04", 0.5], ["2023-01-04", 0.5], ["2023-01-04", 0...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-avatar-the-way-of-water-gross-more-than-650-million-domestically-by-january-31-2023
'Avatar: The Way of Water' (2022) is an upcoming American action adventure fantasy sci-fi film produced by 20th Century Studios. It is the second installment of the Avatar film series directed by James Cameron. It is scheduled for theatrical release in the USA on December 16, 2022. This is a market on how much 'Avatar...
Arts & Recreation
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-01-31
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-11-10
["https://www.fbi.gov/news/pressrel,", "https://www.justice.gov/news),"]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-12", 0.07], ["2022-12-12", 0.08], ["2022-12-12", 0.08], ["2022-12-12", 0.08], ["2022-12-12", 0.08], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-13", 0.53], ["2022-12-13", 0.93], ["2022-12-13", 0.93], ["2022-12-13", 0.93], ["2022-12-13", 0.94], ["2022-12-13", 0.94], ["2022-12-13", 0.95], ["2022-12-13", 0.95], ["2022-12-13...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-sbf-be-federally-indicted-by-eoy
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Bankman-Fried, co-founder and CEO of FTX, is indicted on federal charges or otherwise formally charged with any federal crime by the United States of America between November 10, 2022 and December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The pri...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-12-31
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY?
polymarket
1
2023-05-17
2022-11-17
["https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm),"]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.63], ["2022-12-12", 0.63], ["2022-12-12", 0.63], ["2022-12-12", 0.63], ["2022-12-13", 0.01], ["2022-12-13", 0.5], ["2022-12-13", 0.5], ["2022-12-13", 0.5], ["2022-12-13", 0.5], ["2022-12-13", 0.54], ["2022-12-13", 0.54...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-inflation-be-more-than-02-from-october-to-november-2022
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from October to November 2022. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market w...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-12-13
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from October to November 2022?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-11-17
["https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm),"]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.83], ["2022-12-12", 0.83], ["2022-12-13", 0.46], ["2022-12-13", 0.46], ["2022-12-13", 0.46], ["2022-12-13", 0.46], ["2022-12-13", 0.46], ["2022-12-13", 0.46], ["2022-12-13", 0....
https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-inflation-be-more-than-01-from-october-to-november-2022
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from October to November 2022. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market w...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-12-13
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.1% from October to November 2022?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-11-17
["https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm),"]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-13", 0.01], ["2022-12-13", 0.5], ["2022-12-13", 0.5], ["2022-12-13", 0.5], ["2022-12-13", 0.5], ["2022-12-13", 0.5], ["2022-12-13", 0.5], ["2...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-inflation-be-more-than-03-from-october-to-november-2022
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from October to November 2022. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market w...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-12-13
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from October to November 2022?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-11-17
["https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm),"]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-13", 0.01], ["2022-12-13", 0.5], ["2022-12-13", 0.5], ["2022-12-13", 0.5], ["2022-12-13", 0.5], ["2022-12-13", 0.5], ["2022-12-13", 0.5], ["2...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-inflation-be-more-than-04-from-october-to-november-2022
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from October to November 2022. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market w...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-12-13
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from October to November 2022?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-11-18
["https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/qatar2022/scores-fixtures),"]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-12", 0.37], ["2022-12-12", 0.37], ["2022-12-12", 0.37], ["2022-12-12", 0.38], ["2022-12-12", 0.38], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-13", 0.18], ["2022-12-13", 0.36], ["2022-12-13", 0.36], ["2022-12-13", 0.37], ["2022-12-13", 0.37], ["2022-12-13", 0.37], ["2022-12-13", 0.38], ["2022-12-13", 0.38], ["2022-12-13...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-argentina-win-the-2022-world-cup
In Response to Trader Inquiry: This market may immediately resolve to “No” if the team is eliminated or otherwise has no path to victory based on the rules of the 2022 World Cup. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This market will resolve to...
Sports
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-12-18
Will Argentina win the 2022 World Cup?
polymarket
1
2023-05-17
2022-11-18
["https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/qatar2022/scores-fixtures),"]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-12", 0.12], ["2022-12-12", 0.12], ["2022-12-12", 0.12], ["2022-12-12", 0.12], ["2022-12-12", 0.12], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-13", 0.01], ["2022-12-13", 0.01], ["2022-12-13", 0.01], ["2022-12-13", 0.12], ["2022-12-13", 0.12], ["2022-12-13", 0.12], ["2022-12-13", 0.12], ["2022-12-13", 0.12], ["2022-12-13...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-croatia-win-the-2022-world-cup
In Response to Trader Inquiry: This market may immediately resolve to “No” if the team is eliminated or otherwise has no path to victory based on the rules of the 2022 World Cup. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This market will resolve to...
Sports
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-12-18
Will Croatia win the 2022 World Cup?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-11-18
["https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/qatar2022/scores-fixtures),"]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-12", 0.45], ["2022-12-12", 0.45], ["2022-12-12", 0.45], ["2022-12-12", 0.46], ["2022-12-12", 0.46], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-13", 0.43], ["2022-12-13", 0.43], ["2022-12-13", 0.43], ["2022-12-13", 0.45], ["2022-12-13", 0.45], ["2022-12-13", 0.45], ["2022-12-13", 0.45], ["2022-12-13", 0.45], ["2022-12-13...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-france-win-the-2022-world-cup
In Response to Trader Inquiry: This market may immediately resolve to “No” if the team is eliminated or otherwise has no path to victory based on the rules of the 2022 World Cup. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This market will resolve to...
Sports
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-12-18
Will France win the 2022 World Cup?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-11-18
["https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/qatar2022/scores-fixtures),"]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-12", 0.08], ["2022-12-12", 0.08], ["2022-12-12", 0.09], ["2022-12-12", 0.09], ["2022-12-12", 0.5], ["2022-12-12", 0.54], ["2022-12-13", 0.08], ["2022-12-13", 0.08], ["2022-12-13", 0.08], ["2022-12-13", 0.09], ["2022-12-13", 0.09], ["2022-12-13", 0.09], ["2022-12-13", 0.09], ["2022-12-13", 0.09], ["2022-12-13...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-morocco-win-the-2022-world-cup
In Response to Trader Inquiry: This market may immediately resolve to “No” if the team is eliminated or otherwise has no path to victory based on the rules of the 2022 World Cup. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This market will resolve to...
Sports
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-12-18
Will Morocco win the 2022 World Cup?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-11-29
["https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt1630029/"]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-15", 0.12], ["2022-12-15", 0.18], ["2022-12-15", 0.18], ["2022-12-15", 0.2], ["2022-12-15", 0.22], ["2022-12-15", 0.23], ["2022-12-15", 0.51], ["2022-12-15", 0.55], ["2022-12-16", 0.03], ["2022-12-16", 0.03], ["2022-12-16", 0.08], ["2022-12-16", 0.08], ["2022-12-16", 0.08], ["2022-12-16", 0.08], ["2022-12-16...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-avatar-the-way-of-water-gross-more-than-175-million-domestically-on-its-opening-weekend
'Avatar: The Way of Water' (2022) is an upcoming American action adventure fantasy sci-fi film produced by 20th Century Studios. It is the second installment of the Avatar film series directed by James Cameron. It is scheduled for theatrical release in the USA on December 16, 2022. This is a market on how much ‘Avatar...
Arts & Recreation
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-12-19
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-12-02
["https://twitter.com/RepMaxineWaters/status/1598693811252875264?s=20&t=XF4jCR9D3ws5bywZ3Fxbkg"]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-09", 0.43], ["2022-12-09", 0.43], ["2022-12-09", 0.43], ["2022-12-10", 0.43], ["2022-12-10", 0.43], ["2022-12-10", 0.43], ["2022-12-10", 0.43], ["2022-12-10", 0.43], ["2022-12-10", 0.43], ["2022-12-10", 0.43], ["2022-12-10", 0.43], ["2022-12-10", 0.43], ["2022-12-10", 0.43], ["2022-12-10", 0.43], ["2022-12-1...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-sbf-attend-maxine-waters-congressional-hearing
Maxine Waters has invited Samuel Bankman-Fried (SBF) to appear before congress on December 13 to participate in a hearing. You can read her invitation via tweet here: https://twitter.com/RepMaxineWaters/status/1598693811252875264?s=20&t=XF4jCR9D3ws5bywZ3Fxbkg This market will resolve to "Yes" if SBF physically appears...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-12-13
Will SBF attend Maxine Water's Congressional hearing?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-12-13
["https://www.fbi.gov/news/pressrel,", "https://www.justice.gov/news),"]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.72], ["2022-12-15", 0.72], ["2022-12-15", 0.73], ["2022-12-15", 0.73], ["2022-12-15", 0.73], ["2022-12-15", 0.73], ["2022-12-15", 0.73], ["2022-12-15", 0.73], ["2022-12-15", 0.73], ["2022-12-15", 0.73], ["2022-12-15", 0.73], ["2022-12-15",...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-caroline-ellison-be-federally-charged-by-march-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caroline Ellison, former CEO of Alameda Research, is indicted on federal charges or otherwise formally charged with any federal crime by the United States of America between December 13, 2022 and March 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-03-31
Will Caroline Ellison be federally charged by March 31?
polymarket
1
2023-05-17
2022-12-13
["https://www.fbi.gov/news/pressrel,", "https://www.justice.gov/news),"]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-15", 0.26], ["2022-12-15", 0.26], ["2022-12-15", 0.26], ["2022-12-15", 0.26], ["2022-12-15", 0.26], ["2022-12-15", 0.26], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.51], ["2022-12-15", 0.51], ["2022-12-15", 0.51], ["2022-12-15", 0.51], ["2022-12-15", ...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-sam-trabucco-be-federally-charged-by-march-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Trabucco, former co-CEO of Alameda Research, is indicted on federal charges or otherwise formally charged with any federal crime by the United States of America between December 13, 2022 and March 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that ...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-03-31
Will Sam Trabucco be federally charged by March 31?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-12-14
["https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.", "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm."]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-16", 0.08], ["2022-12-16", 0.08], ["2022-12-16", 0.08], ["2022-12-16", 0.5], ["2022-12-16", 0.5], ["2022-12-16", 0.5], ["2022-12-16", 0.5], ["2022-12-16", 0.5], [...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-0-bps-after-its-february-meeting
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 31...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-02-01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its February meeting?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-12-14
["https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.", "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm."]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-15", 0.25], ["2022-12-15", 0.35], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-16", 0.25], ["2022-12-16", 0.25], ["2022-12-16", 0.25], ["2022-12-16", 0.25], ["2022-12-16", 0.25], ["2022-12-16", 0.25], ["2022-12-16", 0.25], ["2022-12-16", 0...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-its-february-meeting
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 31...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-02-01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its February meeting?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-12-14
["https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm),"]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-21", 0.5], ["2022-12-21", 0.5], ["2022-12-22", 0.5], ["2022-12-22", 0.5], ["2022-12-22", 0.5], ["2022-12-22", 0.5], ["2022-12-22", 0.5], ["2022-12-22", 0.5], ["2022-12-22", 0.5], ["2022-12-22", 0.5], ["2022-12-22", 0.5], ["2022-12-22", 0.5], ["2022-12-22", 0.5], ["2022-12-22", 0.5], ["2022-12-22", 0.5], ["20...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-inflation-be-greater-than-00-from-november-to-december-2022
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from November to December 2022. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. This marke...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-01-12
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.0% from November to December 2022?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-12-14
["https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.", "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm."]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.65], ["2022-12-15", 0.65], ["2022-12-15", 0.66], ["2022-12-15", 0.66], ["2022-12-16", 0.66], ["2022-12-16", 0.66], ["2022-12-16", 0.66], ["2022-12-16", 0.66], ["2022-12-16", 0.66], ["2022-12-16", 0.66], ["2022-12-16", 0.66], ["2022-12-16",...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-its-february-meeting
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 31...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-02-01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its February meeting?
polymarket
1
2023-05-17
2022-12-14
[]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-15", 0.1], ["2022-12-15", 0.1], ["2022-12-15", 0.1], ["2022-12-15", 0.1], ["2022-12-15", 0.11], ["2022-12-15", 0.11], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-16", 0.08], ["2022-12-16", 0.08], ["2022-12-16", 0.09], ["2022-12-16", 0.09], ["2022-12-16", 0.09], ["2022-12-16", 0.09], ["2022-12-16", 0.09], ["2022-12-16", 0...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-binancecom-become-insolvent-by-jan-31-2023
This market will resolve to "Yes" if official information released by Binance, official representatives of Binance (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by January 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET that Binance.com is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. T...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-01-31
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Jan 31, 2023?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-12-14
[]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.51], ["2022-12-15", 0.75], ["2022-12-15", 0.77], ["2022-12-15", 0.77], ["2022-12-15", 0.77], ["2022-12-15", 0.77]...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-sbf-be-extradited-to-the-us-by-february-15-2023
This market asks whether Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) will set foot in the United States between December 13, 2022, and February 15, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. If SBF sets foot in the United States between December 13, 2022 and February 15, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will re...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-02-15
Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023?
polymarket
1
2023-05-17
2022-12-14
["https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.", "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm."]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-15", 0.15], ["2022-12-15", 0.15], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-16", 0.15], ["2022-12-16", 0.15], ["2022-12-16", 0.15], ["2022-12-16", 0.15], ["2022-12-16", 0.15], ["2022-12-16", 0.15], ["2022-12-16", 0.15], ["2022-12-16", 0...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-75-bps-after-its-february-meeting
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 31...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-02-01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its February meeting?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-12-15
["https://uniswap.org/governance).", "https://gov.uniswap.org/t/fee-switch-pilot-update-vote/19514"]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-15", 0.5], ["2022-12-16", 0.5], ["2022-12-16", 0.5], ["2022-12-16", 0.5], ["2022-12-16", 0.5], ["2022-12-16", 0.5], ["2022-12-16", 0.5], ["2022-12-16", 0.5], ["2022-12-16", 0.5], ["2022-12-16", 0.5], ["2022-12-16", 0.5], ["20...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-uniswaps-fee-switch-proposal-pass
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Uniswap's "Fee Switch" governance proposal passes before February 28, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers to the result of the on-chain vote (Phase 3 detailed here: https://uniswap.org/governance). Note that if an on-chain vote com...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-02-28
Will Uniswap's "Fee Switch" Proposal pass?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-12-15
[]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-16", 0.5], ["2022-12-16", 0.5], ["2022-12-16", 0.5], ["2022-12-16", 0.5], ["2022-12-16", 0.5], ["2022-12-17", 0.5], ["2022-12-17", 0.5], ["2022-12-17", 0.5], ["2022-12-17", 0.5], ["2022-12-17", 0.5], ["2022-12-17", 0.5], ["2022-12-17", 0.5], ["2022-12-17", 0.5], ["2022-12-17", 0.5], ["2022-12-17", 0.5], ["20...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-karim-benzema-play-in-the-france-v-argentina-world-cup-final
Karim Benzema, forward for Real Madrid, sustained a thigh injury while training shortly before the World Cup, and has had to sit out all games he was scheduled to play for France to this point. He has refused to rule out a return to the field for the World Cup final, and excitement is growing on rumors that he may fly ...
Sports
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-12-18
Will Karim Benzema play in the France v. Argentina World Cup Final?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-12-16
[]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-16", 0.5], ["2022-12-16", 0.7], ["2022-12-16", 0.7], ["2022-12-16", 0.7], ["2022-12-16", 0.7], ["2022-12-17", 0.65], ["2022-12-17", 0.65], ["2022-12-17", 0.65], ["2022-12-17", 0.65], ["2022-12-17", 0.65], ["2022-12-17", 0.65], ["2022-12-17", 0.65], ["2022-12-17", 0.65], ["2022-12-17", 0.65], ["2022-12-17", 0...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-house-speaker-be-elected-on-the-first-ballot
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Speaker of the House for the 118th United States Congress is elected on the first ballot. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is information from official US Government sources, however a consensus of credible reporti...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-01-10
Will the US House Speaker be elected on the first ballot?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-12-21
["https://www.binance.com,", "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT?_from=markets&theme=dark&type=spot", "https://api.binance.com/api/v3/klines?symbol=ETHUSDT&interval=1m"]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-21", 0.5], ["2022-12-22", 0.5], ["2022-12-22", 0.5], ["2022-12-22", 0.5], ["2022-12-22", 0.5], ["2022-12-22", 0.5], ["2022-12-22", 0.5], ["2022-12-22", 0.5], ["2022-12-22", 0.51], ["2022-12-22", 0.53], ["2022-12-22", 0.53], ["2022-12-22", 0.53], ["2022-12-22", 0.53], ["2022-12-22", 0.54], ["2022-12-22", 0.54...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-price-of-eth-be-above-1200-on-december-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT titled 2022/12/30 12:00 in the ET timezone (referring to 12:00 PM ET) has a final “Close” price of 1200.01 or higher, or to “No” otherwise. The resolution source for this market is https://www.binance.com, specifically the ETH/USDT “Close” ...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2022-12-30
Will the price of $ETH be above $1200 on December 30?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-12-21
["https://www.tsa.gov/coronavirus/passenger-throughput."]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-21", 0.5], ["2022-12-22", 0.25], ["2022-12-22", 0.25], ["2022-12-22", 0.25], ["2022-12-22", 0.26], ["2022-12-22", 0.3], ["2022-12-22", 0.32], ["2022-12-22", 0.32], ["2022-12-22", 0.32], ["2022-12-22", 0.32], ["2022-12-22", 0.32], ["2022-12-22", 0.33], ["2022-12-22", 0.35], ["2022-12-22", 0.5], ["2022-12-22",...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-more-than-25-million-people-travel-through-a-tsa-checkpoint-on-any-day-by-december-31
This is a market on whether more than 2.5 million people will travel through a TSA checkpoint on any single day between December 21, 2022 and December 31, 2022 (inclusive). The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughput as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA),...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-01-06
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by December 31?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-12-27
["https://www.binance.com,", "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT?_from=markets&theme=dark&type=spot", "https://api.binance.com/api/v3/klines?symbol=SOLUSDT&interval=1m"]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-27", 0.5], ["2022-12-28", 0.23], ["2022-12-28", 0.23], ["2022-12-28", 0.23], ["2022-12-28", 0.23], ["2022-12-28", 0.25], ["2022-12-28", 0.5], ["2022-12-28", 0.5], ["2022-12-28", 0.5], ["2022-12-28", 0.5], ["2022-12-28", 0.5], ["2022-12-28", 0.5], ["2022-12-28", 0.5], ["2022-12-28", 0.5], ["2022-12-28", 0.5],...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-price-of-sol-be-above-11-on-january-3
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT titled 2023/01/03 12:00 in the ET timezone (referring to 12:00 PM ET) has a final “Close” price of 11.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.binance.com, specifically ...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-01-03
Will the price of $SOL be above $11 on January 3?
polymarket
1
2023-05-17
2022-12-28
["https://api.twitterstat.us/."]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-28", 0.03], ["2022-12-28", 0.03], ["2022-12-28", 0.05], ["2022-12-28", 0.05], ["2022-12-28", 0.05], ["2022-12-28", 0.05], ["2022-12-28", 0.07], ["2022-12-28", 0.5], ["2022-12-28", 0.5], ["2022-12-29", 0.07], ["2022-12-29", 0.22], ["2022-12-29", 0.5], ["2022-12-29", 0.5], ["2022-12-29", 0.5], ["2022-12-29", 0...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-twitter-report-any-outages-by-january-6-2023
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Twitter reports any partial or major outages between December 28, 2022, and January 6, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be Twitter, specifically information found on https://api.twitterstat.us/. "Major Outages" ...
Science & Tech
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-01-06
Will Twitter report any outages by January 6, 2023?
polymarket
1
2023-05-17
2022-12-28
["https://www.binance.com,", "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT?_from=markets&theme=dark&type=spot", "https://api.binance.com/api/v3/klines?symbol=BTCUSDT&interval=1m"]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-28", 0.5], ["2022-12-28", 0.5], ["2022-12-28", 0.5], ["2022-12-29", 0.5], ["2022-12-29", 0.5], ["2022-12-29", 0.75], ["2022-12-29", 0.75], ["2022-12-29", 0.75], ["2022-12-29", 0.75], ["2022-12-29", 0.75], ["2022-12-29", 0.75], ["2022-12-29", 0.75], ["2022-12-29", 0.75], ["2022-12-29", 0.75], ["2022-12-29", 0...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-btc-reach-17000-by-january-4
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1 minute BTC/USDT candle titled with a date between 2022/12/28 0:01 through 2023/01/04 23:59 (inclusive) in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 17000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The final relevant candle for this market will be th...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-01-04
Will $BTC reach $17000 by January 4?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2022-12-30
["https://www.binance.com,", "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT?_from=markets&theme=dark&type=spot", "https://api.binance.com/api/v3/klines?symbol=ETHUSDT&interval=1m"]
multiple_choice
[["2022-12-30", 0.5], ["2022-12-30", 0.5], ["2022-12-30", 0.5], ["2022-12-30", 0.5], ["2022-12-30", 0.5], ["2022-12-30", 0.5], ["2022-12-31", 0.5], ["2022-12-31", 0.5], ["2022-12-31", 0.5], ["2022-12-31", 0.5], ["2022-12-31", 0.5], ["2022-12-31", 0.5], ["2022-12-31", 0.5], ["2022-12-31", 0.5], ["2022-12-31", 0.5], ["20...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-price-of-eth-be-above-1200-on-january-6
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT titled 2023/01/06 12:00 in the ET timezone (referring to 12:00 PM ET) has a final “Close” price of 1200.01 or higher, or to “No” otherwise. The resolution source for this market is https://www.binance.com, specifically the ETH/USDT “Close” ...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-01-06
Will the price of $ETH be above $1200 on January 6?
polymarket
1
2023-05-17
2023-01-03
["https://genesistrading.com/)", "https://genesistrading.com/,", "https://twitter.com/genesistrading,"]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-04", 0.5], ["2023-01-04", 0.5], ["2023-01-04", 0.5], ["2023-01-04", 0.5], ["2023-01-04", 0.5], ["2023-01-04", 0.5], ["2023-01-04", 0.5], ["2023-01-04", 0.5], ["2023-01-04", 0.5], ["2023-01-04", 0.5], ["2023-01-04", 0.5], ["2023-01-04", 0.5], ["2023-01-04", 0.5], ["2023-01-04", 0.5], ["2023-01-04", 0.5], ["20...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-genesis-announce-it-is-filing-for-bankruptcy-by-january-31-2023
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Genesis (https://genesistrading.com/) announces that it will file for bankruptcy, is filing for bankruptcy, or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by January 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if any subsidi...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-01-31
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by January 31, 2023?
polymarket
1
2023-05-17
2023-01-03
["https://www.fbi.gov/news/pressrel,", "https://www.justice.gov/news),"]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-09", 0.5], ["2023-01-09", 0.51], ["2023-01-09", 0.51], ["2023-01-09", 0.51], ["2023-01-09", 0.51], ["2023-01-09", 0.52], ["2023-01-10", 0.08], ["2023-01-10", 0.08], ["2023-01-10", 0.08], ["2023-01-10", 0.08], ["2023-01-10", 0.08], ["2023-01-10", 0.08], ["2023-01-10", 0.08], ["2023-01-10", 0.08], ["2023-01-10...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-hunter-biden-be-federally-indicted-by-march-1-2023
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden, son of US President Joseph Biden, is indicted on federal charges or otherwise formally charged with any federal crime by the United States of America between January 1, 2023 and March 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary re...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-03-01
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by March 1, 2023?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2023-01-03
["https://www.fec.gov/,"]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-04", 0.5], ["2023-01-04", 0.61], ["2023-01-04", 0.61], ["2023-01-04", 0.61], ["2023-01-04", 0.61], ["2023-01-04", 0.61], ["2023-01-04", 0.61], ["2023-01-04", 0.61], ["2023-01-04", 0.61], ["2023-01-04", 0.61], ["2023-01-04", 0.61], ["2023-01-04", 0.61], ["2023-01-04", 0.61], ["2023-01-04", 0.61], ["2023-01-04...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-joe-biden-file-to-run-for-president-by-march-31-2023
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between the dates of January 3, 2023, and March 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive), Joseph Biden or his authorized representative does at least one of the following: - Files a Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the Fe...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-03-31
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2023-01-04
["https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product,"]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-09", 0.5], ["2023-01-09", 0.5], ["2023-01-09", 0.5], ["2023-01-09", 0.5], ["2023-01-09", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["20...
https://polymarket.com/event/did-us-gdp-grow-more-than-25-in-q4-2022
If the BEA reports an annual rate of change of more than 2.5% in real GDP from the preceding quarter for Q4 of 2022, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be reporting from the United States Bureau of Economic Analysis, specifically t...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-01-26
Did US GDP grow more than 2.5% in Q4 2022?
polymarket
1
2023-05-29
2023-01-05
["https://www.inecnigeria.org/elections/election-results/)."]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-06", 0.5], ["2023-01-07", 0.25], ["2023-01-07", 0.25], ["2023-01-07", 0.25], ["2023-01-07", 0.25], ["2023-01-07", 0.25], ["2023-01-07", 0.25], ["2023-01-07", 0.25], ["2023-01-07", 0.25], ["2023-01-07", 0.25], ["2023-01-07", 0.25], ["2023-01-07", 0.25], ["2023-01-07", 0.25], ["2023-01-07", 0.25], ["2023-01-07...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-bola-tinubu-be-elected-as-president-of-nigeria-in-the-upcoming-2023-presidential-election
This is a market on whether Bola Tinubu will be elected president of the Federal Republic of Nigeria in the upcoming presidential election scheduled for February 25, 2023. If Bola Tinubu is elected President of Nigeria, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resoluti...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-02-25
Will Bola Tinubu be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election?
polymarket
1
2023-05-17
2023-01-05
[]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-06", 0.5], ["2023-01-06", 0.5], ["2023-01-07", 0.45], ["2023-01-07", 0.45], ["2023-01-07", 0.45], ["2023-01-07", 0.5], ["2023-01-07", 0.5], ["2023-01-07", 0.5], ["2023-01-07", 0.5], ["2023-01-07", 0.55], ["2023-02-21", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ["2023-02-22", 0.5], ...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-house-speaker-be-elected-by-end-of-friday
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Speaker of the House of the 118th US Congress is elected by January 6, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An individual being elected, appointed, deemed to be acting as, and/or sworn in as Speaker Pro Tempore will not trigger a "Yes" resol...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-01-06
Will a House Speaker be elected by end of Friday?
polymarket
0
2023-05-29
2023-01-05
["https://www.inecnigeria.org/elections/election-results/)."]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-06", 0.5], ["2023-01-07", 0.5], ["2023-01-07", 0.66], ["2023-01-07", 0.66], ["2023-01-07", 0.66], ["2023-01-07", 0.66], ["2023-01-07", 0.66], ["2023-01-07", 0.66], ["2023-01-07", 0.66], ["2023-01-07", 0.66], ["2023-01-07", 0.66], ["2023-01-07", 0.66], ["2023-01-07", 0.66], ["2023-01-07", 0.66], ["2023-01-07"...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-peter-obi-be-elected-as-president-of-nigeria-in-the-upcoming-2023-presidential-election
This is a market on whether Peter Obi will be elected president of the Federal Republic of Nigeria in the upcoming presidential election scheduled for February 25, 2023. If Peter Obi is elected President of Nigeria, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution s...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-02-25
Will Peter Obi be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election?
polymarket
0
2023-05-29
2023-01-05
["https://www.inecnigeria.org/elections/election-results/)."]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-06", 0.5], ["2023-01-07", 0.23], ["2023-01-07", 0.23], ["2023-01-07", 0.23], ["2023-01-07", 0.23], ["2023-01-07", 0.23], ["2023-01-07", 0.23], ["2023-01-07", 0.23], ["2023-01-07", 0.23], ["2023-01-07", 0.23], ["2023-01-07", 0.23], ["2023-01-07", 0.23], ["2023-01-07", 0.23], ["2023-01-07", 0.23], ["2023-01-07...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-atiku-abubakar-be-elected-as-president-of-nigeria-in-the-upcoming-2023-presidential-election
This is a market on whether Atiku Abubakar will be elected president of the Federal Republic of Nigeria in the upcoming presidential election scheduled for February 25, 2023. If Atiku Abubakar is elected President of Nigeria, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The primary re...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-02-25
Will Atiku Abubakar be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2023-01-09
["https://www.volby.cz/)."]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-09", 0.5], ["2023-01-09", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.63], ["2023-01-10", 0.63], ["2023-01-10", 0.63], ["2023-01-10", 0.63], ["2023-01-10", 0.63], ["2023-01-10", 0.63], ["2023-01-10", 0.63...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-petr-pavel-win-the-2023-czech-presidential-election
This is a market on whether Petr Pavel will be elected president of the Czech Republic in the upcoming presidential election scheduled for January 13-14, 2023. If Petr Pavel is elected President of the Czech Republic, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no president of the...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-01-14
Will Petr Pavel win the 2023 Czech Presidential Election?
polymarket
1
2023-05-17
2023-01-09
["https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX),"]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-09", 0.22], ["2023-01-09", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.22], ["2023-01-10", 0.33], ["2023-01-10", 0.33], ["2023-01-10", 0.33], ["2023-01-10", 0.33], ["2023-01-10", 0.33], ["2023-01-10", 0.33], ["2023-01-10", 0.33], ["2023-01-10", 0.33], ["2023-01-10", 0.33], ["2023-01-10", 0.33], ["2023-01-10", 0.33], ["2023-01-10...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-spacexs-starship-successfully-reach-outer-space-by-march-31-2023
This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "SN20", by March 31, 2023. A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome w...
Science & Tech
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-03-31
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by March 31, 2023?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2023-01-09
["https://www.volby.cz/)."]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-09", 0.5], ["2023-01-09", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.3], ["2023-01-10", 0.3], ["2023-01-10", 0.3], ["2023-01-10", 0.3], ["2023-01-10", 0.3], ["2023-01-10", 0.3], ["2023-01-10", 0.3], ["2023-01-10", 0.3], ["2023-01-10", 0.3], ["2023-01-10", 0.3], ["2023-01-10", 0.3], ["2023-01-10", 0.3], ["2023-01-10", 0.3], ["20...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-andrej-babis-win-the-2023-czech-presidential-election
This is a market on whether Andrej Babis will be elected president of the Czech Republic in the upcoming presidential election scheduled for January 13-14, 2023. If Andrej Babis is elected President of the Czech Republic, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no president of...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-01-14
Will Andrej Babis win the 2023 Czech Presidential Election?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2023-01-09
["https://www.volby.cz/)."]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-09", 0.5], ["2023-01-09", 0.5], ["2023-01-10", 0.1], ["2023-01-10", 0.1], ["2023-01-10", 0.1], ["2023-01-10", 0.1], ["2023-01-10", 0.55], ["2023-01-10", 0.55], ["2023-01-10", 0.55], ["2023-01-10", 0.55], ["2023-01-10", 0.55], ["2023-01-10", 0.55], ["2023-01-10", 0.55], ["2023-01-10", 0.55], ["2023-01-10", 0....
https://polymarket.com/event/will-danuse-nerudova-win-the-2023-czech-presidential-election
This is a market on whether Danuse Nerudova will be elected president of the Czech Republic in the upcoming presidential election scheduled for January 13-14, 2023. If Danuse Nerudova is elected President of the Czech Republic, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no presid...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-01-14
Will Danuse Nerudova win the 2023 Czech Presidential Election?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2023-01-09
["https://tatasteelchess.com/about/tournament/", "https://tatasteelchess.com/),"]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-09", 0.63], ["2023-01-10", 0.55], ["2023-01-10", 0.56], ["2023-01-10", 0.56], ["2023-01-10", 0.56], ["2023-01-10", 0.56], ["2023-01-10", 0.56], ["2023-01-10", 0.56], ["2023-01-10", 0.56], ["2023-01-10", 0.56], ["2023-01-10", 0.56], ["2023-01-10", 0.56], ["2023-01-10", 0.56], ["2023-01-10", 0.56], ["2023-01-1...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-magnus-carlsen-win-the-tata-steel-masters-2023
The 2023 Tata Steel Chess Tournament 2023 is the 85th edition of the prestigious chess event. Magnus Carlsen will face a who's who of the strongest chess players in the world, including the number 2 ranked Ding Liren. The tournament is scheduled to take place over January 13 -29, 2023, in Dorpshuis de Moriaan, Wijk aan...
Sports
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-01-29
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Tata Steel Masters 2023?
polymarket
0
2023-05-24
2023-01-09
["https://www.fec.gov/),"]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-14", 0.5], ["2023-01-14", 0.5], ["2023-01-14", 0.63], ["2023-01-14", 0.63], ["2023-01-14", 0.63], ["2023-01-14", 0.63], ["2023-01-14", 0.63], ["2023-01-14", 0.63], ["2023-01-14", 0.63], ["2023-01-14", 0.63], ["2023-01-14", 0.63], ["2023-01-14", 0.63], ["2023-01-14", 0.63], ["2023-01-14", 0.63], ["2023-01-14"...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-ron-desantis-file-to-run-for-president-by-june-30-2023
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, Ronald Dion DeSantis or his authorized representative does at least one of the following: -Files a Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) -Amends an e...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-06-30
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023?
polymarket
1
2023-05-17
2023-01-11
["https://www.predictit.org/", "https://twitter.com/PredictIt,"]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-13", 0.5], ["2023-01-13", 0.5], ["2023-01-13", 0.5], ["2023-01-14", 0.5], ["2023-01-14", 0.5], ["2023-01-14", 0.5], ["2023-01-14", 0.5], ["2023-01-14", 0.5], ["2023-01-14", 0.5], ["2023-01-14", 0.5], ["2023-01-14", 0.5], ["2023-01-14", 0.5], ["2023-01-14", 0.5], ["2023-01-14", 0.5], ["2023-01-14", 0.5], ["20...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-predictit-still-support-trading-on-february-17
If users can place trades on PredictIt on February 17, 2023, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that trades which are for closing out current positions will not count; only new trades placed will count. If users can still place new trades on PredictIt, ev...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-02-17
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17?
polymarket
1
2023-05-17
2023-01-11
[]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-13", 0.52], ["2023-01-13", 0.52], ["2023-01-13", 0.52], ["2023-01-13", 0.52], ["2023-01-13", 0.53], ["2023-01-14", 0.25], ["2023-01-14", 0.25], ["2023-01-14", 0.25], ["2023-01-14", 0.5], ["2023-01-14", 0.5], ["2023-01-14", 0.5], ["2023-01-14", 0.5], ["2023-01-14", 0.5], ["2023-01-14", 0.5], ["2023-01-14", 0....
https://polymarket.com/event/will-george-santos-resign-by-january-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if George Santos resigns or definitively announces he has resigned, is resigning, or will resign as Member of the U.S. House of Representatives from New York's 3rd district by January 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If George Santos resigns befor...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-01-31
Will George Santos resign by January 31?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2023-01-13
["https://www.oscars.org/)"]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-14", 0.5], ["2023-01-14", 0.5], ["2023-01-14", 0.6], ["2023-01-14", 0.6], ["2023-01-14", 0.6], ["2023-01-14", 0.6], ["2023-01-14", 0.6], ["2023-01-14", 0.6], ["2023-01-14", 0.6], ["2023-01-14", 0.6], ["2023-01-14", 0.6], ["2023-01-14", 0.6], ["2023-01-14", 0.6], ["2023-01-14", 0.6], ["2023-01-14", 0.6], ["20...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-everything-everywhere-all-at-once-win-the-oscar-for-best-picture
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2023 the 95th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 12. This market will r...
Arts & Recreation
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-03-13
Will "Everything Everywhere All At Once" win the Oscar for Best Picture?
polymarket
1
2023-05-17
2023-01-13
["https://www.oscars.org/)"]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-14", 0.11], ["2023-01-14", 0.11], ["2023-01-14", 0.11], ["2023-01-14", 0.11], ["2023-01-14", 0.11], ["2023-01-14", 0.11], ["2023-01-14", 0.11], ["2023-01-14", 0.11], ["2023-01-14", 0.11], ["2023-01-14", 0.11], ["2023-01-14", 0.11], ["2023-01-14", 0.11], ["2023-01-14", 0.11], ["2023-01-14", 0.11], ["2023-01-1...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-top-gun-maverick-win-the-oscar-for-best-picture
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2023 the 95th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 12. This market will r...
Arts & Recreation
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-03-13
Will "Top Gun: Maverick" win the Oscar for Best Picture?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2023-01-14
["https://www.oscars.org/)"]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-14", 0.68], ["2023-01-14", 0.68], ["2023-01-14", 0.68], ["2023-01-14", 0.68], ["2023-01-14", 0.68], ["2023-01-14", 0.68], ["2023-01-14", 0.68], ["2023-01-14", 0.68], ["2023-01-14", 0.68], ["2023-01-14", 0.68], ["2023-01-14", 0.68], ["2023-01-14", 0.68], ["2023-01-14", 0.68], ["2023-01-14", 0.68], ["2023-01-1...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fabelmans-win-the-oscar-for-best-picture
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2023 the 95th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 12. This market will r...
Arts & Recreation
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-03-13
Will "The Fabelmans" win the Oscar for Best Picture
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2023-01-17
[]
multiple_choice
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https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-kansas-city-chiefs-win-super-bowl-lvii
Super Bowl LVII is the championship event concluding the 2022 NFL Season. It is scheduled to take place on February 12, 2023, at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, USA. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVII. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point i...
Sports
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-02-12
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVII?
polymarket
1
2023-05-17
2023-01-17
[]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-20", 0.5], ["2023-01-21", 0.21], ["2023-01-21", 0.21], ["2023-01-21", 0.21], ["2023-01-21", 0.21], ["2023-01-21", 0.21], ["2023-01-21", 0.21], ["2023-01-21", 0.21], ["2023-01-21", 0.21], ["2023-01-21", 0.21], ["2023-01-21", 0.21], ["2023-01-21", 0.21], ["2023-01-21", 0.21], ["2023-01-21", 0.21], ["2023-01-21...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-buffalo-bills-win-super-bowl-lvii
Super Bowl LVII is the championship event concluding the 2022 NFL Season. It is scheduled to take place on February 12, 2023, at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, USA. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LVII. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it bec...
Sports
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-02-12
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LVII?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2023-01-17
[]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-20", 0.5], ["2023-01-21", 0.09], ["2023-01-21", 0.09], ["2023-01-21", 0.09], ["2023-01-21", 0.09], ["2023-01-21", 0.1], ["2023-01-21", 0.1], ["2023-01-21", 0.1], ["2023-01-21", 0.1], ["2023-01-21", 0.1], ["2023-01-21", 0.1], ["2023-01-21", 0.1], ["2023-01-21", 0.1], ["2023-01-21", 0.1], ["2023-01-21", 0.1], ...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-dallas-cowboys-win-super-bowl-lvii
Super Bowl LVII is the championship event concluding the 2022 NFL Season. It is scheduled to take place on February 12, 2023, at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, USA. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LVII. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it be...
Sports
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-02-12
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LVII?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2023-01-19
[]
multiple_choice
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https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-san-francisco-49ers-win-super-bowl-lvii
Super Bowl LVII is the championship event concluding the 2022 NFL Season. It is scheduled to take place on February 12, 2023, at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, USA. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVII. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point ...
Sports
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-02-12
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVII?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2023-01-19
[]
multiple_choice
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https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-new-york-giants-win-super-bowl-lvii
Super Bowl LVII is the championship event concluding the 2022 NFL Season. It is scheduled to take place on February 12, 2023, at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, USA. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the New York Giants win Super Bowl LVII. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it b...
Sports
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-02-12
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl LVII?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2023-01-19
[]
multiple_choice
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https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-philadelphia-eagles-win-super-bowl-lvii
Super Bowl LVII is the championship event concluding the 2022 NFL Season. It is scheduled to take place on February 12, 2023, at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, USA. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LVII. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point ...
Sports
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-02-12
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LVII?
polymarket
0
2023-05-17
2023-01-19
[]
multiple_choice
[["2023-01-20", 0.5], ["2023-01-21", 0.02], ["2023-01-21", 0.02], ["2023-01-21", 0.02], ["2023-01-21", 0.02], ["2023-01-21", 0.02], ["2023-01-21", 0.02], ["2023-01-21", 0.02], ["2023-01-21", 0.02], ["2023-01-21", 0.02], ["2023-01-21", 0.02], ["2023-01-21", 0.02], ["2023-01-21", 0.02], ["2023-01-21", 0.02], ["2023-01-21...
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-jacksonville-jaguars-win-super-bowl-lvii
Super Bowl LVII is the championship event concluding the 2022 NFL Season. It is scheduled to take place on February 12, 2023, at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, USA. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LVII. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point...
Sports
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2023-02-12
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LVII?
polymarket
0