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True | 2023-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2201 |
<p>Taiwan has raised concerns regarding potential actions by the People's Republic of China in the Pratas Islands (<a href="https://www.news.com.au/technology/innovation/military/china-reportedly-debated-attacking-taiwans-pratas-islands/news-story/d12105d9ef57b6c5f448b1e5d7c1297a" target="_blank">News.com.a... | 2023-01-01 | Before 1 January 2023, will Taiwan publicly accuse the People's Republic of China of landing military personnel on the Pratas Islands without authorization? | 2021-11-19 | [["2021-11-20", 0.11], ["2021-11-20", 0.06], ["2021-11-20", 0.07], ["2021-11-20", 0.0525], ["2021-11-20", 0.074], ["2021-11-20", 0.06166666666666667], ["2021-11-20", 0.06], ["2021-11-20", 0.05142857142857143], ["2021-11-20", 0.045], ["2021-11-20", 0.04], ["2021-11-20", 0.07], ["2021-11-20", 0.069], ["2021-11-21", 0.06]... | ["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cabbage_tactics", "https://www.ibtimes.com/these-outlying-taiwanese-islands-are-risk-china-masses-forces-around-taiwan-3595860", "https://www.dogpile.com/serp?qc=images&q=Fiery+Cross+Reef", "https://latitude.to/articles-by-country/cn/china/22398/mischief-reef", "https://en.wikipedia.... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-07-07 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2241 |
<p>Major riots broke out in Kazakhstan after the government removed fuel subsidies (<a href="https://apnews.com/article/business-kazakhstan-almaty-9da42330ca51c36fe9fd88f9ef35ff4e" target="_blank">AP</a>, <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-59880166" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="https://thehill.com/... | 2022-07-07 | Will Kassym-Jomart Tokayev either flee Kazakhstan or cease to be its president before 7 July 2022? | 2022-01-07 | [["2022-01-07", 0.55], ["2022-01-07", 0.06], ["2022-01-07", 0.06], ["2022-01-07", 0.02], ["2022-01-07", 0.06], ["2022-01-07", 0.075], ["2022-01-07", 0.075], ["2022-01-07", 0.05], ["2022-01-07", 0.05], ["2022-01-07", 0.075], ["2022-01-08", 0.05], ["2022-01-08", 0.075], ["2022-01-08", 0.075], ["2022-01-08", 0.1], ["2022-... | ["https://astanatimes.com/2022/02/president-tokayev-to-deliver-address-to-nation-in-march-announce-political-reforms/", "https://t.me/tengrinews/9011", "https://twitter.com/theragex/status/1486781599765127175", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jan/07/kassym-jomart-tokayev-veteran-kazakh-diplomat-faces-grave-cris... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-08-02 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2264 |
<p>Digital streaming service Spotify has faced criticism over things said by Joe Rogan on his popular podcast (<a href="https://thehill.com/blogs/in-the-know/in-the-know/593189-neil-young-urges-spotify-employees-to-quit-over-joe-rogan" target="_blank">The Hill</a>, <a href="https://www.npr.org/2022/02/07/10787743... | 2022-08-02 | Will new episodes of Joe Rogan's podcast, The Joe Rogan Experience, cease to be carried on Spotify before 2 August 2022? | 2022-02-11 | [["2022-02-11", 0.0], ["2022-02-11", 0.0], ["2022-02-11", 0.0], ["2022-02-11", 0.06], ["2022-02-11", 0.1], ["2022-02-11", 0.095], ["2022-02-11", 0.1], ["2022-02-11", 0.1], ["2022-02-11", 0.095], ["2022-02-11", 0.1], ["2022-02-11", 0.1], ["2022-02-11", 0.095], ["2022-02-11", 0.1], ["2022-02-11", 0.095], ["2022-02-11", 0... | ["https://variety.com/2022/digital/news/joe-rogan-rejects-rumble-podcast-deal-1235175990/", "https://tedgioia.substack.com/p/spotify-shares-now-selling-at-less?s=r", "https://www.npr.org/2022/02/07/1078774392/spotifys-ceo-says-the-company-isnt-ready-to-part-ways-with-joe-rogan?t=1644910396163", "https://www.bbc.com/new... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-12-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2435 |
<p>As central banks increase interest rates amid recession fears, borrowing costs for "high-yield" bonds (aka junk bonds) could continue to rise (<a href="https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/graphic-reading-the-market-tea-leaves-for-global-recession-risks-0" target="_blank">NASDAQ</a>, <a href="https://www.yahoo.com/... | 2022-12-01 | Will the spread between US high-yield corporate bonds and US Treasuries reach or exceed 8.50% before 1 December 2022? | 2022-07-01 | [["2022-07-01", 0.99], ["2022-07-01", 0.52], ["2022-07-01", 0.6633333333333333], ["2022-07-01", 0.54], ["2022-07-01", 0.62], ["2022-07-01", 0.5333333333333333], ["2022-07-01", 0.5742857142857143], ["2022-07-02", 0.60875], ["2022-07-02", 0.5522222222222222], ["2022-07-02", 0.497], ["2022-07-02", 0.498], ["2022-07-02", 0... | ["https://www.ft.com/content/63a21f33-e82f-4106-9012-3300e4ed1d49", "https://www.reuters.com/business/us-corporate-bond-spreads-widen-investors-de-risk-hawkish-fed-2022-01-28/", "https://www.dw.com/en/fed-may-finally-put-americas-zombie-firms-to-rest/a-62111545", "https://www.tradingview.com/news/reuters.com,2022:newsm... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-04-07 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2705 |
<p>Fears are growing that Russia may again invade the north of Ukraine (<a href="https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/will-putin-force-belarus-to-join-the-russian-invasion-of-ukraine/" target="_blank">Atlantic Council</a>, <a href="https://www.rferl.org/a/satellite-images-russia-buildup-belarus/3212... | 2023-04-07 | Will territory in any Ukrainian oblast that borders Belarus cease to be under Ukrainian control before 7 April 2023, according to the Institute for the Study of War? | 2023-01-13 | [["2023-01-13", 0.2], ["2023-01-13", 0.15], ["2023-01-13", 0.14], ["2023-01-13", 0.2175], ["2023-01-13", 0.205], ["2023-01-13", 0.164], ["2023-01-13", 0.1733], ["2023-01-13", 0.1829], ["2023-01-13", 0.1613], ["2023-01-13", 0.1444], ["2023-01-13", 0.145], ["2023-01-13", 0.1318], ["2023-01-13", 0.125], ["2023-01-13", 0.1... | ["https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2022/12/5/does-russia-have-enough-money-for-war", "https://www.rferl.org/a/satellite-images-russia-buildup-belarus/32121143.html", "https://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-warns-russia-amassed-troops-164448953.html?fr=sycsrp_catchall", "https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/belarus-announces-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-08-29 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1649 | <p>In early May 2020, Germany's top court ruled that the Bundesbank must stop buying government bonds under the ECB's Public Sector Purchase Programme (PSPP) and gave the ECB three months to make changes, otherwise the bank would be barred from further participation (<a href="https://www.economist.com/europe/2020/0... | 2020-08-29 | Before 29 August 2020, will the German Bundesbank be barred from participating in the European Central Bank's (ECB's) PSPP quantitative easing program? | 2020-06-05 | [["2020-06-05", 0.15], ["2020-06-05", 0.25], ["2020-06-05", 0.35], ["2020-06-05", 0.25], ["2020-06-05", 0.25], ["2020-06-05", 0.25], ["2020-06-05", 0.2], ["2020-06-05", 0.15], ["2020-06-05", 0.11], ["2020-06-05", 0.07], ["2020-06-05", 0.045], ["2020-06-06", 0.045], ["2020-06-06", 0.035], ["2020-06-06", 0.05], ["2020-06... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-06-17 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1796 |
<p>In March 2018, the City barred Catholic Social Services (CSS) from placing children in foster homes because of the CSS policy of not licensing same-sex couples to be foster parents (<a href="https://www.oyez.org/cases/2020/19-123" target="_blank">Oyez</a>). CSS sued, arguing for its right to free exercis... | 2021-06-17 | In Fulton v. City of Philadelphia (City), will the Supreme Court rule that the City's requirement that Catholic Social Services (CSS) not discriminate against same-sex couples as a condition for working with the City's foster children is unconstitutional? | 2020-09-25 | [["2020-09-25", 0.0], ["2020-09-25", 0.3], ["2020-09-25", 0.6], ["2020-09-25", 0.675], ["2020-09-25", 0.55], ["2020-09-25", 0.6], ["2020-09-25", 0.7], ["2020-09-25", 0.6], ["2020-09-25", 0.55], ["2020-09-25", 0.6], ["2020-09-25", 0.595], ["2020-09-25", 0.7], ["2020-09-26", 0.695], ["2020-09-26", 0.545], ["2020-09-26", ... | ["https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/20pdf/19-123_g3bi.pdf", "https://open.spotify.com/episode/6Nhi2LddD55G9fYUNPVv7n?si=Q4PU6MCjSICvKWsnBWZQQA", "https://twitter.com/KimberlyRobinsn/status/1405531358630318094"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2022-06-05 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2295 |
<p>The 2022 French Open is scheduled for 16 May through 5 June 2022 (<a href="https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/#" target="_blank">French Open</a>).</p><p></p><p></p><p style="line-height:1;"><span style="font-size:10.5px;">Confused? Check our </span><a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank" ... | 2022-06-05 | Will Rafael Nadal win the 2022 Men's French Open? | 2022-03-09 | [["2022-03-15", 0.005], ["2022-03-15", 0.0], ["2022-03-15", 0.53], ["2022-03-15", 0.53], ["2022-03-15", 0.53], ["2022-03-15", 0.55], ["2022-03-15", 0.59], ["2022-03-15", 0.59], ["2022-03-16", 0.59], ["2022-03-16", 0.59], ["2022-03-16", 0.59], ["2022-03-16", 0.59], ["2022-03-16", 0.59], ["2022-03-16", 0.59], ["2022-03-1... | ["https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1436979", "https://firstsportz.com/tennis-news-real-shot-to-win-it-greg-rusedski-names-stefanos-tsitsipas-as-one-of-the-huge-favorites-to-win-the-french-open-along-with-djokovic-nadal-and-alcaraz/", "https://au.sports.yahoo.com/tennis-2022-rafael-nadal-300-grand-slam-wins-historic-feat... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2023-04-14 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2599 |
<p>The Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 and its lineages have been the dominant in the US since overtaking Delta in December 2021, though concerns remain over the emergence of a new variant as winter approaches in the Northern Hemisphere (<a href="https://www.usnews.com/news/health-news/articles/2021-12-... | 2023-04-16 | Before 16 April 2023, will a SARS-CoV-2 variant other than Omicron represent more than 70.0% of total COVID-19 cases in the US? | 2022-10-27 | [["2022-10-28", 0.0], ["2022-10-28", 0.0], ["2022-10-28", 0.1933], ["2022-10-28", 0.145], ["2022-10-28", 0.136], ["2022-10-28", 0.2467], ["2022-10-28", 0.2257], ["2022-10-29", 0.2138], ["2022-10-29", 0.1956], ["2022-10-29", 0.1922], ["2022-10-29", 0.2044], ["2022-10-29", 0.1944], ["2022-10-29", 0.1956], ["2022-10-29", ... | ["https://twitter.com/AndrewEwing11/status/1586500342841475072", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jan/03/could-new-omicron-variant-xbb15-fuel-further-covid-infections", "https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/covid-variant-xbb-1-5-cdc-tracking-us-cases/", "https://covariants.org/per-country?country=USA", "https://www.... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1417 |
<p>Amid large-scale economic protests, calls for reform of Chile’s pension system have grown (<a href="https://www.ft.com/content/4f8107f8-0fd4-11ea-a7e6-62bf4f9e548a" target="_blank" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">Financial Times</a>, <a href="https://apnews.com/31ab8e9f5b9a467abdda5361... | 2020-07-02 | Before 1 July 2020, will the Chilean government pass legislation that caps administrative fees and/or operating profits of the country's pension fund managers? | 2019-12-11 | [["2019-12-11", 0.45], ["2019-12-11", 0.335], ["2019-12-12", 0.45], ["2019-12-12", 0.335], ["2019-12-12", 0.22], ["2019-12-12", 0.22], ["2019-12-12", 0.22], ["2019-12-12", 0.235], ["2019-12-13", 0.235], ["2019-12-13", 0.185], ["2019-12-13", 0.15], ["2019-12-13", 0.15], ["2019-12-13", 0.185], ["2019-12-14", 0.185], ["20... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-09-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2686 |
<p>Conflict, drought, and international isolation have left millions in Afghanistan facing potential famine (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2022/11/18/global-hunger-is-now-more-a-problem-of-price-than-availability" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href="https://www.wfp.org/stories/afgha... | 2023-09-01 | Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Afghanistan before 1 September 2023? | 2022-12-30 | [["2022-12-30", 0.175], ["2022-12-30", 0.2525], ["2022-12-30", 0.3583], ["2022-12-30", 0.3063], ["2022-12-31", 0.28], ["2022-12-31", 0.2417], ["2022-12-31", 0.2586], ["2022-12-31", 0.2944], ["2022-12-31", 0.3083], ["2022-12-31", 0.3235], ["2022-12-31", 0.3129], ["2022-12-31", 0.3138], ["2022-12-31", 0.2909], ["2022-12-... | ["https://www.aljazeera.com/gallery/2023/6/15/photos-locusts-destroy-afghanistan-crops-amid-severe-food-crisis", "https://reliefweb.int/report/afghanistan/afghanistan-risk-overview-29-june-2023", "https://www.hrw.org/news/2022/08/04/afghanistan-economic-crisis-underlies-mass-hunger", "https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/04/... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-11-15 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2165 |
<p>H.R.3684, also known as the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, is one of the core components of the Biden administration's legislative agenda (<a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/3684/text" target="_blank">H.R.3684</a>, <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/stateme... | 2021-11-15 | Before 4 January 2022, will H.R.3684, also known as the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, become law? | 2021-10-21 | [["2021-10-22", 0.0], ["2021-10-22", 0.5], ["2021-10-22", 0.56], ["2021-10-22", 0.455], ["2021-10-22", 0.56], ["2021-10-23", 0.56], ["2021-10-23", 0.56], ["2021-10-23", 0.68], ["2021-10-23", 0.66], ["2021-10-23", 0.705], ["2021-10-23", 0.66], ["2021-10-23", 0.705], ["2021-10-23", 0.75], ["2021-10-24", 0.75], ["2021-10-... | ["https://www.cbpp.org/research/federal-budget/introduction-to-budget-reconciliation", "https://www.politico.com/news/2021/10/31/democrats-race-prescription-drug-deal-517974", "https://www.politico.com/news/2021/10/22/pelosi-huddles-with-biden-as-he-tries-to-strike-deal-with-sinema-manchin-516748", "https://www.senate.... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2023-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2763 |
<p>Large protests have broken out across France as President Emmanuel Macron pushes for parliament to raise the minimum retirement age from 62 (<a href="https://apnews.com/article/france-government-macron-paris-business-5cd08796a71375c71a05c72b356f7769" target="_blank">AP</a>, <a href="https://www.lem... | 2023-07-01 | Will legislation raising the French minimum retirement age from 62 become law before 1 July 2023? | 2023-02-17 | [["2023-02-17", 0.09], ["2023-02-17", 0.07], ["2023-02-17", 0.1567], ["2023-02-17", 0.1175], ["2023-02-17", 0.154], ["2023-02-17", 0.1617], ["2023-02-17", 0.1486], ["2023-02-18", 0.1388], ["2023-02-18", 0.1233], ["2023-02-18", 0.111], ["2023-02-18", 0.1009], ["2023-02-18", 0.1092], ["2023-02-18", 0.1462], ["2023-02-18"... | ["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Retirement_in_Europe", "https://www.france24.com/fr/france/20230218-retraites-fin-des-d%C3%A9bats-dans-la-confusion-%C3%A0-l-assembl%C3%A9e-le-texte-attendu-au-s%C3%A9nat", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/apr/14/riot-police-deployed-to-french-court-as-it-prepares-to-rule-on-macro... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1665 |
<p>A violent clash in mid-June 2020 between soldiers along a disputed stretch of border between India and China left at least 20 dead, sparking concerns over a further escalation of tensions between the two neighbors (<a href="https://www.economist.com/asia/2020/06/16/india-and-china-have-their-first-deadly... | 2020-10-02 | Between 19 June 2020 and 30 September 2020, will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of India and the People's Republic of China? | 2020-06-19 | [["2020-06-19", 0.75], ["2020-06-19", 0.165], ["2020-06-19", 0.4], ["2020-06-19", 0.45], ["2020-06-19", 0.475], ["2020-06-19", 0.55], ["2020-06-20", 0.55], ["2020-06-20", 0.55], ["2020-06-20", 0.59], ["2020-06-20", 0.545], ["2020-06-20", 0.55], ["2020-06-20", 0.52], ["2020-06-20", 0.52], ["2020-06-20", 0.54], ["2020-06... | ["https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/27/world/asia/china-bhutan-india-border.html", "https://web.archive.org/web/20130502133625/http://www.bollywoodsargam.com/modules.php?name=News&file=print&sid=2813", "https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=1060619934400756&id=100013582776801&comment_id=106090700770... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-08-27 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2099 |
<p>On 3 August 2021, the CDC issued a new, revised 60-day eviction moratorium order to replace the order that expired at the end of July 2021 (<a href="https://www.npr.org/2021/08/06/1025212834/cdc-new-eviction-ban-moratorium-renters-landlords" target="_blank">NPR</a>, <a href="https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/201... | 2021-08-27 | Before 3 October 2021, will the US Supreme Court block any part of the CDC's 3 August 2021 eviction moratorium order? | 2021-08-13 | [["2021-08-13", 1.0], ["2021-08-13", 0.975], ["2021-08-13", 0.95], ["2021-08-13", 0.595], ["2021-08-13", 0.9], ["2021-08-13", 0.925], ["2021-08-13", 0.9], ["2021-08-13", 0.3], ["2021-08-14", 0.27], ["2021-08-14", 0.27], ["2021-08-14", 0.3], ["2021-08-14", 0.27], ["2021-08-14", 0.3], ["2021-08-14", 0.31], ["2021-08-14",... | ["https://reut.rs/37GbIsX", "https://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000017b-4048-d1e7-a1fb-7acd4c400000", "https://apnews.com/article/health-courts-coronavirus-pandemic-27522bec9adfdb0fb894cbd3fd57dd1a", "https://www.supremecourt.gov/about/circuitassignments.aspx", "https://www.scotusblog.com/2021/08/real-estate-agents-ask-ju... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2023-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2610 |
<p>The Chamber of Deputies has yet to form a new government or elect a new President of the Republic since delayed elections were held in May 2022, and President Michel Aoun left office at the expiration of his term in October 2022 (<a href="https://apnews.com/article/middle-east-business-lebanon-beirut-310c89034... | 2023-01-01 | Will Lebanon's parliament, the Chamber of Deputies, elect a new President of the Republic before 1 January 2023? | 2022-11-04 | [["2022-11-04", 0.1], ["2022-11-04", 0.075], ["2022-11-04", 0.0667], ["2022-11-05", 0.095], ["2022-11-05", 0.216], ["2022-11-05", 0.224], ["2022-11-05", 0.225], ["2022-11-05", 0.2786], ["2022-11-05", 0.2488], ["2022-11-05", 0.24], ["2022-11-05", 0.2322], ["2022-11-05", 0.23], ["2022-11-05", 0.235], ["2022-11-05", 0.213... | ["https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_presidents_of_Lebanon", "https://www.plenglish.com/news/2022/12/13/a-dialogue-table-to-elect-president-of-lebanon-is-being-prepared/", "https://twitter.com/WIONews/status/1589248736424873986?s=20&t=UO0Oa3CnHTzR2-eSVY1Hyg", "https://english.aawsat.com/home/article/3968961/le... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-06-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2786 |
<p>As Russia's war in Ukraine continues, China has shared a peace plan for the countries (<a href="https://apnews.com/article/peace-talks-russia-ukraine-china-b6ce7e237f6f9037ad317a69d2f1373a" target="_blank">AP</a>, <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-64809777" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="https://... | 2023-06-01 | Before 1 June 2023, will President Xi of China and President Zelensky of Ukraine meet in person? | 2023-03-07 | [["2023-03-08", 0.18], ["2023-03-08", 0.095], ["2023-03-08", 0.0633], ["2023-03-08", 0.0475], ["2023-03-08", 0.138], ["2023-03-08", 0.1233], ["2023-03-08", 0.1071], ["2023-03-08", 0.0963], ["2023-03-08", 0.0956], ["2023-03-08", 0.103], ["2023-03-08", 0.1009], ["2023-03-08", 0.0925], ["2023-03-08", 0.0869], ["2023-03-08... | ["https://apnews.com/article/china-ukraine-russia-ac231aec87246cca207c8bb48fd49f34", "https://tass.com/world/1593761", "https://www.lefigaro.fr/international/guerre-en-ukraine-le-president-chinois-a-dit-a-zelensky-que-la-negociation-etait-la-seule-voie-de-sortie-du-conflit-20230426", "https://ground.news/article/zelens... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-10-25 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2543 |
<p>Liz Truss was appointed as the UK's prime minister on 6 September 2022, and faces a number of challenges, including Brexit, possible recession, and the death of Queen Elizabeth II (<a href="https://www.gov.uk/government/people/elizabeth-truss" target="_blank">Gov.uk - Truss Biography</a>, <a href="https://www.... | 2022-10-25 | Before 1 January 2024, will Elizabeth "Liz" Truss cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom? | 2022-09-09 | [["2022-09-09", 0.5], ["2022-09-09", 0.75], ["2022-09-09", 0.5467], ["2022-09-09", 0.4125], ["2022-09-09", 0.356], ["2022-09-09", 0.2983], ["2022-09-09", 0.2629], ["2022-09-09", 0.23], ["2022-09-09", 0.225], ["2022-09-09", 0.2556], ["2022-09-09", 0.285], ["2022-09-09", 0.2782], ["2022-09-09", 0.3258], ["2022-09-10", 0.... | ["https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2022/oct/18/the-ghost-pm-what-the-papers-say-about-liz-trusss-hold-on-power", "https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/trackers/government-approval", "https://twitter.com/PippaCrerar/status/1582753580746174465", "https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/18/opinion/liz-truss-uk-hunt.html", "htt... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2022-10-27 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2589 |
<p>After selecting a president more than a year after the last general election, Iraqi officials are attempting to form a government amid continued political gridlock (<a href="https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20221017-iraq-s-new-president-calls-for-speedy-government-formation" target="_blank">France24</a>, ... | 2022-10-28 | Will Iraq form a government before 21 February 2023? | 2022-10-21 | [["2022-10-21", 0.45], ["2022-10-21", 0.475], ["2022-10-21", 0.65], ["2022-10-21", 0.7375], ["2022-10-21", 0.712], ["2022-10-21", 0.715], ["2022-10-22", 0.7057], ["2022-10-22", 0.7113], ["2022-10-22", 0.6544], ["2022-10-22", 0.6556], ["2022-10-22", 0.69], ["2022-10-22", 0.6982], ["2022-10-22", 0.6483], ["2022-10-22", 0... | ["https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iraqi-cleric-al-sadr-refuses-to-participate-in-new-gov-t/2712622", "https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/forming-new-government-iraq-possible-scenarios", "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/10/13/iraqs-new-prime-minister-designate-who-is-mohammed-al-sudani", "https... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2023-05-29 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2528 |
<p>President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan of the AKP has announced that he will run for reelection (<a href="https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/turkeys-erdogan-run-reelection-year-85285114" target="_blank">ABC News</a>, <a href="https://www.mei.edu/events/turkeys-2023-elections-opposition-blocs-strateg... | 2023-05-29 | Will the Justice and Development Party (AKP) candidate win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? | 2022-08-26 | [["2022-08-26", 1.0], ["2022-08-26", 0.7375], ["2022-08-26", 0.7], ["2022-08-27", 0.7213], ["2022-08-27", 0.777], ["2022-08-27", 0.7267], ["2022-08-27", 0.7179], ["2022-08-27", 0.7167], ["2022-08-28", 0.6956], ["2022-08-28", 0.6761], ["2022-08-28", 0.6725], ["2022-08-29", 0.645], ["2022-08-30", 0.6029], ["2022-08-30", ... | ["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2023_Turkish_presidential_election", "https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-65409951", "https://twitter.com/ragipsoylu/status/1650395774205796354", "https://www.oscepa.org/en/news-a-media/press-releases/press-2023/tuerkiye-elections-marked-by-unlevel-playing-field... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2021-10-21 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2109 |
<p>The outcome will be determined using data as reported in the ONS' "Opinions and Lifestyle Survey (COVID-19 module)" dataset (<a href="https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/healthandwellbeing/datasets/coronavirusandthesocialimpactsongreatbritaindata" target="_blank">ONS</... | 2021-10-22 | Before 18 December 2021, will the United Kingdom's Office for National Statistics (ONS) report that the percentage of working adults who "Worked from home and didn’t travel to work" fell to 15% or lower? | 2021-08-27 | [["2021-08-27", 0.0], ["2021-08-27", 0.0], ["2021-08-27", 0.0], ["2021-08-27", 0.005], ["2021-08-27", 0.01], ["2021-08-27", 0.0], ["2021-08-27", 0.005], ["2021-08-27", 0.01], ["2021-08-27", 0.005], ["2021-08-28", 0.0], ["2021-08-28", 0.0], ["2021-08-28", 0.0], ["2021-08-28", 0.0], ["2021-08-28", 0.0], ["2021-08-28", 0.... | ["https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/", "https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/10/20/plan-b-mask-wearing-work-home-ban-indoor-gatherings/", "https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/articles/coronavirusandhomeworkingintheuklabourmarket/2019", "https://www.theguardian.com/wor... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2023-01-05 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2604 |
<p>Tensions are high between the historical rivals and NATO members over various territorial claims in the Aegean and Mediterranean Seas (<a href="https://www.voanews.com/a/tensions-test-turkey-greece-s-historic-ability-to-defuse-conflicts-/6803179.html" target="_blank">Voice of America</a>, <a href="https:... | 2023-01-09 | Will Greece or Turkey publicly accuse the other of using a weapon against its national military, militia, and/or law enforcement forces before 29 April 2023? | 2022-10-27 | [["2022-10-28", 0.1], ["2022-10-28", 0.055], ["2022-10-28", 0.0367], ["2022-10-28", 0.0275], ["2022-10-28", 0.022], ["2022-10-28", 0.0483], ["2022-10-28", 0.0443], ["2022-10-28", 0.0388], ["2022-10-28", 0.0456], ["2022-10-28", 0.042], ["2022-10-28", 0.0518], ["2022-10-28", 0.1225], ["2022-10-28", 0.1225], ["2022-10-28"... | ["https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/greece-dozens-missing-boat-carrying-migrants-sinks-92465254", "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minsk_agreements", "https://theconversation.com/could-tensions-between-greece-and-turkey-lead-to-a-second-european-war-190642", "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/9/11/greek-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2021-08-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1912 |
<p>Russia has been developing a new intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), the RS-28 Sarmat, for years (<a href="https://tass.com/defense/1236575" target="_blank">TASS</a>, <a href="https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9110579/Russia-planning-flight-test-new-missile-capable-destroying-area-size-Fran... | 2021-08-02 | Will Russia conduct a flight test of an RS-28 Sarmat ICBM before 1 August 2021? | 2021-01-22 | [["2021-01-22", 0.65], ["2021-01-22", 0.8], ["2021-01-22", 0.85], ["2021-01-23", 0.83], ["2021-01-23", 0.83], ["2021-01-23", 0.8], ["2021-01-23", 0.8], ["2021-01-23", 0.86], ["2021-01-24", 0.86], ["2021-01-24", 0.87], ["2021-01-24", 0.86], ["2021-01-24", 0.85], ["2021-01-24", 0.855], ["2021-01-24", 0.86], ["2021-01-25"... | ["https://www.cnbc.com/2018/05/21/russian-missile-with-unlimited-range-crashed-after-only-22-miles.html", "https://t.me/warbolts/528", "https://bit.ly/3j4qfUr", "https://www.euronews.com/2021/06/28/us-russia-missile", "https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/putin-just-made-big-promise-russian-military-even-better-weapo... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-09-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2169 |
<p>The People's Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) has been consistently sending military aircraft into Taiwan's Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) with growing numbers of aircraft, though not its national airspace (<a href="https://www.dw.com/en/chinas-taiwan-military-incursions-test-the-limits-of-airsp... | 2022-09-01 | Will Taiwan publicly accuse the People's Republic of China of flying a military aircraft over the territory of and/or the territorial waters surrounding the main island of Taiwan without its permission before 1 September 2022? | 2021-10-21 | [["2021-10-22", 1.0], ["2021-10-22", 0.5775], ["2021-10-22", 0.685], ["2021-10-22", 0.62625], ["2021-10-23", 0.681], ["2021-10-23", 0.621], ["2021-10-23", 0.611], ["2021-10-23", 0.531], ["2021-10-24", 0.557], ["2021-10-24", 0.479], ["2021-10-24", 0.354], ["2021-10-24", 0.344], ["2021-10-24", 0.429], ["2021-10-24", 0.43... | ["https://focustaiwan.tw/politics/202208050023", "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mohDrvbltI8", "https://www.france24.com/en/asia-pacific/20220808-china-announces-more-military-drills-around-taiwan", "https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/world/asia/taiwan-china-maps.html", "https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/461... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2280 |
<p>Inflation is rising around the world, and the European Union is no exception (<a href="https://blogs.imf.org/2022/02/17/supply-disruptions-add-to-inflation-undermine-recovery-in-europe/" target="_blank">IMF</a>, <a href="https://www.nationalworld.com/news/uk/inflation-rates-in-europe-2022-how-january-uk-cpi-co... | 2023-01-18 | Will the annual rate of inflation in the European Union reach or exceed 4.0% in December 2022? | 2022-02-24 | [["2022-02-25", 1.0], ["2022-02-25", 1.0], ["2022-02-25", 0.9933333333333333], ["2022-02-25", 0.995], ["2022-02-25", 0.956], ["2022-02-25", 0.9633333333333334], ["2022-02-25", 0.9428571428571428], ["2022-02-25", 0.9325], ["2022-02-25", 0.94], ["2022-02-25", 0.936], ["2022-02-25", 0.946], ["2022-02-26", 0.946], ["2022-0... | ["https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/documents/2995521/14698140/2-30092022-AP-EN.pdf/727d4958-dd57-de9f-9965-99562e1286bf", "https://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?dataset=prc_hicp_manr&lang=en", "https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/ip_22_926"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2020-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1500 |
<p>A slowing economy in India is affecting many sectors, including car sales (<a href="https://worldin.economist.com/article/17496/edition2020crunch-year-ahead-indian-business" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href="https://www.indiatoday.in/business/story/india-s-slowing-economy-led-to-record-drop-in-car-sales-... | 2020-07-14 | Will domestic sales of passenger vehicles in India be higher in April-June 2020 compared with April-June 2019? | 2020-01-24 | [["2020-01-24", 0.675], ["2020-01-24", 0.475], ["2020-01-25", 0.475], ["2020-01-25", 0.475], ["2020-01-25", 0.4], ["2020-01-25", 0.375], ["2020-01-26", 0.375], ["2020-01-26", 0.5], ["2020-01-26", 0.675], ["2020-01-26", 0.685], ["2020-01-26", 0.71], ["2020-01-26", 0.71], ["2020-01-27", 0.575], ["2020-01-27", 0.46], ["20... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-02-12 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1839 |
<p>West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is a benchmark price for oil in the U.S., while Brent is a benchmark price for oil from the North Sea (<a href="https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/052615/what-difference-between-brent-crude-and-west-texas-intermediate.asp" target="_blank">Investopedia</a>). The spread, or di... | 2021-02-12 | Between 13 November 2020 and 12 February 2021, will the closing price per barrel of WTI crude oil be higher than the closing price per barrel of Brent crude oil? | 2020-11-12 | [["2020-11-13", 0.55], ["2020-11-13", 0.3], ["2020-11-13", 0.25], ["2020-11-13", 0.4], ["2020-11-13", 0.225], ["2020-11-13", 0.05], ["2020-11-13", 0.1], ["2020-11-14", 0.05], ["2020-11-14", 0.05], ["2020-11-14", 0.1], ["2020-11-14", 0.05], ["2020-11-14", 0.1], ["2020-11-14", 0.1], ["2020-11-14", 0.1], ["2020-11-14", 0.... | ["https://ycharts.com/indicators/brent_wti_spread#:~:text=Brent%20WTI%20Spread%20is%20at,74.29%25%20from%20one%20year%20ago", "https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/oil-why-is-brent-more-expensive-than-wti/", "https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/CO1:COM", "https://www.dailyfx.com/crude-oil/wti-vs-brent.html", "https://www.b... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2024-01-12 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2918 |
<p>The US Congress is considering various measures to regulate the growth and use of AI, including waiving immunity under Section 230 of the Communications Act of 1934 for generative AI (<a href="https://www.axios.com/2023/06/14/hawley-blumenthal-bill-section-230-ai" target="_blank">Axios</a>, <a href="https://ww... | 2024-01-12 | Will federal legislation waiving Section 230 immunity with regard to the use of generative artificial intelligence (AI) become law before 12 January 2024? | 2023-06-23 | [["2023-06-23", 0.01], ["2023-06-23", 0.01], ["2023-06-23", 0.0133], ["2023-06-24", 0.01], ["2023-06-24", 0.01], ["2023-06-24", 0.01], ["2023-06-24", 0.0086], ["2023-06-24", 0.0088], ["2023-06-24", 0.0078], ["2023-06-25", 0.087], ["2023-06-25", 0.08], ["2023-06-26", 0.0733], ["2023-06-26", 0.0831], ["2023-06-26", 0.080... | ["https://prime-writing.com/custom-papers-to-buy.php", "https://www.writinkservices.com/nr-621-literature-review/", "https://www.slowboring.com/p/the-rise-and-importance-of-secret?utm_source=url", "https://www.govtrack.us/congress/bills/statistics", "https://sendwishonline.com/en/group-cards/sympathy", "https://www.csi... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-09-22 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1768 |
<p>In March 2020, the CARES Act was passed to provide funding to corporations and small businesses via the Paycheck Protection Program and to private citizens in the form of stimulus payments, among other financial initiatives (<a href="https://home.treasury.gov/policy-issues/cares" target="_blank">Treasury... | 2020-09-22 | Before 22 September 2020, will federal legislation to provide at least $100 billion in direct financial assistance to state and/or local governments become law? | 2020-08-28 | [["2020-08-28", 0.0], ["2020-08-29", 0.075], ["2020-08-29", 0.02], ["2020-08-29", 0.085], ["2020-08-29", 0.15], ["2020-08-29", 0.085], ["2020-08-29", 0.05], ["2020-08-29", 0.04], ["2020-08-29", 0.05], ["2020-08-29", 0.05], ["2020-08-30", 0.04], ["2020-08-30", 0.075], ["2020-08-30", 0.04], ["2020-08-30", 0.075], ["2020-... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-09-27 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1516 |
<p>As of the start of the 2019-2020, eleven NBA franchises have never won a championship: Brooklyn Nets, Charlotte Hornets, Denver Nuggets, Indiana Pacers, Los Angeles Clippers, Memphis Grizzlies, Minnesota Timberwolves, New Orleans Pelicans, Orlando Magic, Phoenix Suns, and the Utah Jazz (<a hr... | 2020-09-28 | Will the team winning the 2020 National Basketball Association championship be a first-time champion? | 2020-02-07 | [["2020-02-07", 0.425], ["2020-02-08", 0.425], ["2020-02-08", 0.3], ["2020-02-08", 0.295], ["2020-02-08", 0.32], ["2020-02-09", 0.25], ["2020-02-09", 0.25], ["2020-02-09", 0.235], ["2020-02-10", 0.225], ["2020-02-10", 0.225], ["2020-02-10", 0.235], ["2020-02-10", 0.205], ["2020-02-10", 0.175], ["2020-02-10", 0.26], ["2... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-12-25 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2136 |
<p>The James Webb Space Telescope, scheduled for launch 18 December 2021, will be the most powerful space telescope ever launched (<a href="https://www.vox.com/science-and-health/22664709/james-webb-space-telescope-launch-date-december-science-hubble" target="_blank">Vox</a>, <a href="https://www.jwst.nasa.... | 2021-12-25 | Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully before 1 January 2022? | 2021-09-24 | [["2021-09-24", 0.0], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.455], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.61], [... | ["https://www.economist.com/science-and-technology/2021/11/23/a-new-eye-on-the-heavens", "https://twitter.com/ESA_Webb/status/1474290218178170894", "https://poets.org/poem/world-beautiful-place", "https://twitter.com/NASAWebb/status/1474083585216892939", "https://twitter.com/Arianespace/status/1473760271084703760", "ht... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2023-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2776 |
<p>The US airline industry is facing various challenges, including pilot union negotiations and pilot shortages that could compound chronic flight delay problems at airports like ATL (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/01/delta-pilots-new-contract-big-raises.html" target="_blank">CNBC</a>, <a href="https://kpm... | 2023-09-29 | Will the percentage of departure flights at Hartsfield–Jackson Atlanta International Airport (ATL) either delayed or cancelled in June 2023 be greater than it was in June 2022? | 2023-03-03 | [["2023-03-03", 0.51], ["2023-03-04", 0.255], ["2023-03-04", 0.3867], ["2023-03-04", 0.49], ["2023-03-04", 0.396], ["2023-03-04", 0.425], ["2023-03-04", 0.4357], ["2023-03-04", 0.4463], ["2023-03-04", 0.4244], ["2023-03-04", 0.482], ["2023-03-05", 0.4909], ["2023-03-05", 0.4833], ["2023-03-05", 0.5038], ["2023-03-05", ... | ["https://www.flightglobal.com/airframers/boeings-new-737-quality-issue-to-affect-9000-seats-this-summer/152896.article", "https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/us-faa-presses-aviation-industry-eliminate-close-calls-2023-03-28/", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Atlantic_hurricane_season#Pre-season_fore... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2022-11-19 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2588 |
<p>The 138th playing of "The Game," the annual college football game between the Harvard Crimson and Yale Bulldogs, is scheduled to take place at Harvard Stadium on Saturday 19 November 2022 (<a href="https://alumni.harvard.edu/harvard-yale" target="_blank">Harvard Alumni</a>). Yale leads Harvard in wins since 18... | 2022-11-19 | Will the Harvard Crimson defeat the Yale Bulldogs in "The Game" in 2022? | 2022-10-20 | [["2022-10-24", 0.0], ["2022-10-24", 0.3], ["2022-10-24", 0.4], ["2022-10-24", 0.43], ["2022-10-24", 0.444], ["2022-10-24", 0.4867], ["2022-10-24", 0.4886], ["2022-10-24", 0.4838], ["2022-10-24", 0.475], ["2022-10-24", 0.4778], ["2022-10-24", 0.48], ["2022-10-24", 0.4818], ["2022-10-24", 0.525], ["2022-10-25", 0.5308],... | ["https://arxiv.org/abs/2207.14124", "https://yalebulldogs.com/sports/football/stats?path=football", "https://alumni.harvard.edu/harvard-yale", "https://www.versussportssimulator.com/CFB/simulations/Harvard-vs-Yale", "https://www.ctinsider.com/sports/article/Yale-football-picked-fourth-in-Ivy-League-17359184.php", "htt... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-01-13 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2204 |
<p>On 19 November 2022, the House of Representatives passed H.R.5376, also known as the Build Back Better Act, that includes many high priority measures for the Biden administration (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2021/11/08/americas-economy-will-claw-its-way-back-to-the-pre-covid-trend" targe... | 2022-01-13 | Before 13 January 2022, will H.R.5376, also known as the Build Back Better Act, become law? | 2021-11-24 | [["2021-11-26", 0.4], ["2021-11-26", 0.35], ["2021-11-26", 0.6], ["2021-11-27", 0.6], ["2021-11-27", 0.61], ["2021-11-27", 0.65], ["2021-11-27", 0.675], ["2021-11-27", 0.675], ["2021-11-27", 0.65], ["2021-11-28", 0.65], ["2021-11-28", 0.65], ["2021-11-28", 0.61], ["2021-11-28", 0.6], ["2021-11-28", 0.6], ["2021-11-28",... | ["https://www.cnn.com/2021/12/10/politics/biden-manchin-vote/index.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1378562", "https://www.govtrack.us/congress/bills/statistics", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tornado_outbreak_of_December_10%E2%80%9311,_2021", "https://www.senate.gov/legislative/bills_acts_laws.htm", "https://t... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-04-07 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2306 |
<p>On 25 February 2022, President Joe Biden announced Ketanji Brown Jackson as his choice to replace the retiring Justice Stephen Breyer (<a href="https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/595879-biden-says-jackson-will-bring-uncompromising-integrity-to-supreme" target="_blank">The Hill</a>).</p><p></p><p></p><... | 2022-04-07 | Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be confirmed by the Senate before 1 May 2022? | 2022-03-09 | [["2022-03-15", 0.0], ["2022-03-15", 0.005], ["2022-03-15", 0.01], ["2022-03-15", 0.0], ["2022-03-15", 0.125], ["2022-03-15", 0.25], ["2022-03-15", 0.275], ["2022-03-15", 0.3], ["2022-03-15", 0.275], ["2022-03-15", 0.3], ["2022-03-15", 0.3], ["2022-03-15", 0.3], ["2022-03-15", 0.45], ["2022-03-15", 0.3], ["2022-03-15",... | ["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nomination_and_confirmation_to_the_Supreme_Court_of_the_United_States#:~:text=Since%201974%2C%20the%20average%20time,for%20four%20or%20five%20days", "https://www.brookings.edu/blog/fixgov/2022/03/14/whats-ahead-for-ketanji-brown-jackson-heres-what-recent-history-suggests/", "https://www.... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2023-03-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2712 |
<p>The question will be suspended on 28 February 2023 if still open and the outcome determined using data as reported by Turkstat (<a href="https://www.tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/en/tcmb+en/main+menu/statistics/inflation+data" target="_blank">Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey</a>).</p><p><i><b>NOTE</b... | 2023-03-03 | Will the month-over-month percentage change in Turkey's consumer price index reach or exceed 3.5% in both January 2023 and February 2023? | 2023-01-16 | [["2023-01-17", 0.1], ["2023-01-17", 0.085], ["2023-01-17", 0.0567], ["2023-01-17", 0.0425], ["2023-01-17", 0.034], ["2023-01-17", 0.0283], ["2023-01-17", 0.0243], ["2023-01-17", 0.0213], ["2023-01-17", 0.02], ["2023-01-17", 0.021], ["2023-01-17", 0.02], ["2023-01-17", 0.0183], ["2023-01-17", 0.0169], ["2023-01-18", 0.... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-07-15 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2012 |
<p>Coronavirus concerns already forced the postponement of the 2020 Olympics to summer 2021 (<a href="https://www.espn.com/olympics/story/_/id/28946033/tokyo-olympics-officially-postponed-2021" target="_blank">ESPN</a>, <a href="https://tokyo2020.org/en/" target="_blank">Tokyo2020.org</a>). Various concerns... | 2021-07-15 | Before 15 July 2021, will it be officially announced that the Tokyo 2020 Summer Olympics will not commence in July 2021? | 2021-05-14 | [["2021-05-14", 0.9], ["2021-05-14", 0.5], ["2021-05-15", 0.465], ["2021-05-15", 0.25], ["2021-05-15", 0.15], ["2021-05-15", 0.1], ["2021-05-15", 0.2], ["2021-05-15", 0.2], ["2021-05-15", 0.2], ["2021-05-15", 0.2], ["2021-05-15", 0.2], ["2021-05-15", 0.1], ["2021-05-15", 0.1], ["2021-05-15", 0.1], ["2021-05-15", 0.1], ... | ["https://olympics.com/tokyo-2020/en/schedule/", "https://www.espn.com/radio/play/_/id/31519855", "https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cancel-the-tokyo-olympics-its-unlikely-heres-why/", "https://www.nbcnews.com/news/olympics/ahead-tokyo-olympics-japan-vaccination-rate-far-mark-n1272523", "https://www.worldometers.info/corona... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1642 |
<p>Nicolas Maduro remains in power despite increasing international pressure and domestic instability (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/02/treasury-sanctions-entities-supporting-venezuelas-oil-sector.html" target="_blank">CNBC</a>, <a href="https://globalriskinsights.com/2020/05/venezuela-the-ris... | 2021-01-01 | Will Nicolas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before 1 January 2021? | 2020-06-04 | [["2020-06-04", 0.17], ["2020-06-04", 0.17], ["2020-06-04", 0.09], ["2020-06-04", 0.08], ["2020-06-04", 0.08], ["2020-06-04", 0.085], ["2020-06-04", 0.06], ["2020-06-04", 0.035], ["2020-06-04", 0.06], ["2020-06-04", 0.035], ["2020-06-05", 0.055], ["2020-06-05", 0.045], ["2020-06-05", 0.085], ["2020-06-05", 0.085], ["20... | ["https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics-idUSKBN28M0Z5", "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/12/2/son-of-venezuelas-maduro-emerges-runs-for-congress", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-venezuela-exclusive/exclusive-biden-must-use-sanctions-as-leverage-against-venezuelas-maduro-u-s-envoy-says-idUSK... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-03-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2630 |
<p>US airlines are facing the prospect of pilot strikes as labor negotiations continue (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/03/us-airlines-pilot-contract-negotiations-turn-rocky.html" target="_blank">CNBC</a>, <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/delta-pilots-authorize-strike-2022/" target="_blank">CBS News</a... | 2023-03-01 | Will there be a pilot strike at a major US airline before 1 March 2023? | 2022-11-18 | [["2022-11-18", 1.0], ["2022-11-18", 0.75], ["2022-11-18", 0.745], ["2022-11-18", 0.83], ["2022-11-18", 0.81], ["2022-11-18", 0.698], ["2022-11-18", 0.714], ["2022-11-18", 0.7183], ["2022-11-18", 0.7167], ["2022-11-19", 0.6143], ["2022-11-19", 0.555], ["2022-11-19", 0.4933], ["2022-11-19", 0.483], ["2022-11-19", 0.482]... | ["https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/southwest-airlines-pilot-union-calls-strike-authorization-vote-2023-01-18/", "https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/15/delta-gets-closer-to-labor-deal-with-pilots-union-says.html", "https://www.travelmarketreport.com/News/articles/United-Airlines-Boosts-Pilot-Pay-During-Labor... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-11-11 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1739 |
<p>Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, often called "Europe's Last Dictator," reported won the 9 August 2020 presidential election by a wide margin, but accusations of vote-rigging have turned to violent protests in the country (<a href="https://www.npr.org/2020/08/10/900903506/belarus-elections-end-with-l... | 2020-11-11 | Before 11 November 2020, will Alexander Lukashenko cease to be the president of Belarus? | 2020-08-11 | [["2020-08-11", 0.45], ["2020-08-11", 0.2], ["2020-08-11", 0.16], ["2020-08-11", 0.11], ["2020-08-11", 0.125], ["2020-08-11", 0.075], ["2020-08-11", 0.14], ["2020-08-11", 0.115], ["2020-08-11", 0.125], ["2020-08-11", 0.08], ["2020-08-12", 0.08], ["2020-08-12", 0.07], ["2020-08-12", 0.06], ["2020-08-12", 0.06], ["2020-0... | ["https://open.spotify.com/artist/2CWgrr9YR3w8Jsuv75GbMX?si=WhmaeYx6RUuHC_vaHduTsA", "https://open.spotify.com/playlist/07BIOe1zqgYkMEKf5eKpLo?si=u8E2gBiMTly8ka27zCRPKQ", "https://open.spotify.com/playlist/1uhehDIAw0E4iCOKl9Rq8l?si=tU7qL2kxRqeeC1ff3BoUAA", "https://soundcloud.com/bleese-1/sets/jazz-piano-compendium"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1842 |
<p>The increasing number of fires in South America, particularly Brazil, has captured international attention (<a href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/oct/01/brazil-amazon-rainforest-worst-fires-in-decade" target="_blank">Guardian</a>, <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-5389... | 2022-01-02 | In 2021, will total fire activity in the Amazon exceed the 2020 total count? | 2020-11-12 | [["2020-11-13", 0.885], ["2020-11-14", 0.825], ["2020-11-14", 0.85], ["2020-11-14", 0.825], ["2020-11-14", 0.825], ["2020-11-15", 0.79], ["2020-11-15", 0.79], ["2020-11-16", 0.64], ["2020-11-16", 0.625], ["2020-11-16", 0.55], ["2020-11-16", 0.75], ["2020-11-17", 0.575], ["2020-11-17", 0.675], ["2020-11-17", 0.6], ["202... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-06-16 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1911 |
<p>The world is watching how U.S.-Russia relations will evolve under President Biden (<a href="https://www.npr.org/2020/12/21/948736756/putin-and-biden-signal-chilly-relations-to-come" target="_blank">NPR</a>, <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/17/biden-national-security-advisor-calls-for-russia-to... | 2021-06-16 | Will U.S. President Joe Biden and Russian President Vladimir Putin hold a bilateral meeting in 2021? | 2021-01-22 | [["2021-01-22", 0.14], ["2021-01-22", 0.14], ["2021-01-22", 0.125], ["2021-01-22", 0.125], ["2021-01-22", 0.1], ["2021-01-22", 0.1], ["2021-01-22", 0.1], ["2021-01-22", 0.1], ["2021-01-23", 0.1], ["2021-01-23", 0.1], ["2021-01-23", 0.1], ["2021-01-23", 0.125], ["2021-01-23", 0.15], ["2021-01-23", 0.1], ["2021-01-23", 0... | ["https://www.npr.org/2021/06/12/1004786106/bidens-summit-with-putin-follows-a-harrowing-history-of-u-s-meetings-with-russia", "https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/may/10/colonial-pipeline-shutdown-us-darkside-message", "https://www.reuters.com/world/switzerland-is-most-likely-venue-putin-biden-summit-russias-komm... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2020-11-03 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1765 |
<p>As many states look to mail-in ballots to mitigate COVID-19 risks in November, the USPS has become a hot-button political issue in this election cycle (<a href="https://apnews.com/32700a8b49ddf5f7594d2271eb033c2e" target="_blank">AP</a>, <a href="https://www.npr.org/2020/08/22/905110578/senator-who-launched-us... | 2020-11-03 | Before 3 November 2020, will federal legislation to provide at least $5 billion in new direct financial assistance to the United States Postal Service (USPS) become law? | 2020-08-28 | [["2020-08-28", 0.75], ["2020-08-28", 0.8], ["2020-08-28", 0.75], ["2020-08-28", 0.8], ["2020-08-28", 0.8], ["2020-08-28", 0.8], ["2020-08-28", 0.75], ["2020-08-28", 0.8], ["2020-08-28", 0.85], ["2020-08-28", 0.86], ["2020-08-28", 0.87], ["2020-08-28", 0.875], ["2020-08-28", 0.86], ["2020-08-28", 0.81], ["2020-08-28", ... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2240 |
<p>In 2021, the military (aka "Defence Services") of Myanmar detained various government officials and declared a one-year state of emergency under the constitution, later extending their intended grip on power as various opposition groups fight to dislodge it (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2... | 2022-10-02 | Will the powers of the government of Myanmar cease to be held by the military before 1 October 2022? | 2022-01-07 | [["2022-01-07", 0.02], ["2022-01-07", 0.0125], ["2022-01-07", 0.018], ["2022-01-07", 0.012857142857142857], ["2022-01-07", 0.02666666666666667], ["2022-01-07", 0.048], ["2022-01-07", 0.083], ["2022-01-07", 0.081], ["2022-01-08", 0.081], ["2022-01-08", 0.067], ["2022-01-08", 0.078], ["2022-01-08", 0.047], ["2022-01-08",... | ["http://www.christianbjoernskov.com/bjoernskovrodedata/", "https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/now-is-the-time-to-recognize-the-genocide-in-burma/", "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/8/17/survival-at-any-cost-myanmar-generals-move-to-cement-power", "https://www.economist.com/asia/2021/06/24/myanma... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-06-08 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2299 | <p>The outcome will be determined using "All polls" data provided by FiveThirtyEight's "How [un]popular is Joe Biden?" page (<a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/" target="_blank">FiveThirtyEight</a>). The question would close as of the day for which a daily estimate figure is below 3... | 2022-06-11 | Between 8 March 2022 and 7 June 2022, will President Biden's approval rating fall below 38.5%? | 2022-03-09 | [["2022-03-15", 0.005], ["2022-03-15", 0.01], ["2022-03-15", 0.01], ["2022-03-15", 0.015], ["2022-03-15", 0.01], ["2022-03-15", 0.01], ["2022-03-15", 0.01], ["2022-03-15", 0.01], ["2022-03-16", 0.015], ["2022-03-16", 0.02], ["2022-03-16", 0.025], ["2022-03-16", 0.02], ["2022-03-16", 0.03], ["2022-03-16", 0.04], ["2022-... | ["https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/?cid=rrpromo", "https://www.cnn.com/interactive/2022/politics/2022-midterm-election-calendar/", "https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-bidens-approval-rating-really-rebounding/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1417025", "https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2022/03/2... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-11-26 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1710 |
<p>On 20 July 2020, Egypt's parliament unanimously approved a troop deployment to a "western front," which some have interpreted to refer to Libya (<a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/07/egypt-legislators-vote-deploying-troops-libya-200720141515828.html" target="_blank">Al Jazeera</a>, <a href="htt... | 2020-11-26 | Between 25 July 2020 and 25 November 2020, will a lethal confrontation in Libya result in five or more fatalities for Egyptian armed forces? | 2020-07-24 | [["2020-07-24", 0.0], ["2020-07-24", 0.125], ["2020-07-24", 0.15], ["2020-07-24", 0.2], ["2020-07-24", 0.25], ["2020-07-24", 0.2], ["2020-07-24", 0.25], ["2020-07-24", 0.255], ["2020-07-24", 0.26], ["2020-07-24", 0.345], ["2020-07-24", 0.4], ["2020-07-24", 0.4], ["2020-07-24", 0.4], ["2020-07-24", 0.52], ["2020-07-24",... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-04-25 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2740 |
<p>Biden is expected to formally announce in early 2023 that he will run for reelection in 2024, though voter enthusiasm was low in January 2023 and his approval rating has been under 50% for much of his first term (<a href="https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/3802702-biden-readies-24-campaign-launch/" ta... | 2023-04-25 | Will President Joe Biden register with the FEC to run for US president in 2024 before 1 May 2023? | 2023-02-01 | [["2023-02-01", 0.85], ["2023-02-01", 0.425], ["2023-02-01", 0.4], ["2023-02-01", 0.5967], ["2023-02-01", 0.61], ["2023-02-01", 0.488], ["2023-02-01", 0.4617], ["2023-02-01", 0.4529], ["2023-02-01", 0.4713], ["2023-02-01", 0.4933], ["2023-02-01", 0.444], ["2023-02-01", 0.4127], ["2023-02-01", 0.4036], ["2023-02-02", 0.... | ["https://www.fec.gov/help-candidates-and-committees/dates-and-deadlines/2023-reporting-dates/april-quarterly-monthly-report-notice-presidential-committees-2023/", "https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/P40011678/1695462", "https://www.axios.com/2023/04/03/biden-2024-presidential-campaign-announcement-wait", "http://w... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2022-10-28 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2410 |
<p>After Elon Musk announced his bid to buy Twitter in April 2022, various developments have put the deal into question (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2022/04/14/elon-musk-offers-to-buy-twitter-for-54point20-a-share-saying-it-needs-to-be-transformed-as-private-company.html" target="_blank">Twitter</a>, <a href="h... | 2022-10-28 | Will Elon Musk's acquisition of Twitter close before 1 January 2023? | 2022-06-03 | [["2022-06-03", 0.5], ["2022-06-03", 0.2], ["2022-06-03", 0.315], ["2022-06-03", 0.29333333333333333], ["2022-06-03", 0.26625], ["2022-06-03", 0.258], ["2022-06-03", 0.269], ["2022-06-03", 0.233], ["2022-06-03", 0.19], ["2022-06-03", 0.168], ["2022-06-03", 0.164], ["2022-06-04", 0.158], ["2022-06-04", 0.129], ["2022-06... | ["https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-25/musk-tells-debt-bankers-he-plans-to-close-twitter-deal-on-friday?leadSource=uverify%20wall", "https://slate.com/technology/2022/10/elon-musk-twitter-deal-fall-apart.html", "https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/musk-says-excited-by-twitter-deal-despite-overpaying-202... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2021-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1629 |
<p>Like other countries across the globe, the UAE has experienced record job loss due to the pandemic, but some sectors remain in high demand (<a href="https://gulfnews.com/business/covid-19-job-cuts-will-add-to-uae-companies-costs-1.70768294" target="_blank">Gulf News</a>). The outcome will be determined using d... | 2021-05-04 | Will the unemployment rate for the United Arab Emirates (UAE) exceed 5.00% in 2020? | 2020-05-21 | [["2020-05-21", 0.1], ["2020-05-21", 0.45], ["2020-05-21", 0.8], ["2020-05-21", 0.575], ["2020-05-21", 0.45], ["2020-05-21", 0.4], ["2020-05-21", 0.35], ["2020-05-21", 0.35], ["2020-05-21", 0.4], ["2020-05-21", 0.35], ["2020-05-22", 0.4], ["2020-05-22", 0.605], ["2020-05-22", 0.605], ["2020-05-22", 0.605], ["2020-05-22... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2024-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2892 |
<p>While American Airlines reached a tentative deal with its pilot union in May 2023, negotiations were still ongoing for United and Southwest (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2023/05/19/american-airlines-pilots-reach-preliminary-labor-agreement-.html" target="_blank">CNBC</a>). Under the procedures laid out in the... | 2024-01-01 | Will the US National Mediation Board (NMB) report that a "cooling off" period has begun for an airline pilot union and a major airline engaged in contract negotiations before 1 January 2024? | 2023-05-26 | [["2023-05-26", 1.0], ["2023-05-26", 0.985], ["2023-05-27", 0.99], ["2023-05-27", 0.805], ["2023-05-27", 0.754], ["2023-05-27", 0.795], ["2023-05-28", 0.6886], ["2023-05-31", 0.6929], ["2023-06-01", 0.6675], ["2023-06-03", 0.6825], ["2023-06-11", 0.6489], ["2023-06-12", 0.604], ["2023-06-16", 0.599], ["2023-06-23", 0.5... | ["https://www.dallasnews.com/business/airlines/2023/08/29/why-when-and-where-american-airlines-southwest-airlines-workers-are-picketing-this-week/", "https://www.cnbc.com/2023/12/01/southwest-pilots-union-near-a-preliminary-labor-deal.html", "https://www.cnbc.com/2023/06/29/southwest-pilots-union-lays-groundwork-for-po... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2051 |
<p>Whether the United States will impose sanctions against China for its actions related to the COVID-19 pandemic is a topic of growing debate (<a href="https://news.yahoo.com/rubio-pushes-for-new-china-sanctions-amid-questions-over-coronavirus-lab-leak-theory-210036093.html" target="_blank">Yahoo</a>, <a href="h... | 2022-07-11 | Before 1 July 2022, will the US impose sanctions on any Chinese person or entity for actions related to the COVID-19 pandemic? | 2021-06-24 | [["2021-06-24", 0.05], ["2021-06-24", 0.05], ["2021-06-25", 0.01], ["2021-06-25", 0.045], ["2021-06-25", 0.03], ["2021-06-25", 0.05], ["2021-06-25", 0.05], ["2021-06-26", 0.05], ["2021-06-26", 0.05], ["2021-06-26", 0.05], ["2021-06-26", 0.05], ["2021-06-26", 0.05], ["2021-06-27", 0.05], ["2021-06-27", 0.05], ["2021-06-... | ["https://gallagher.house.gov/media/press-releases/gallagher-introduces-bill-sanction-china-lack-covid-19-transparency", "https://theintercept.com/2021/09/06/new-details-emerge-about-coronavirus-research-at-chinese-lab/", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/nov/18/china-making-example-jailed-wuhan-covid-journalist-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1497 |
<p>Guaidó and his allies continue to face pressure from the Maduro government, including a threat by Venezuelan prosecutors to arrest Guaidó for "high treason" (<a href="https://news.yahoo.com/venezuela-prosecutors-charge-guaido-high-treason-185544663.html" target="_blank">Yahoo</a>, <a href="https://www.dw.com/e... | 2021-01-01 | Will Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaidó be detained or arrested by Venezuelan authorities before 1 January 2021? | 2020-01-17 | [["2020-01-18", 0.55], ["2020-01-18", 0.8], ["2020-01-18", 0.625], ["2020-01-19", 0.5], ["2020-01-19", 0.415], ["2020-01-19", 0.475], ["2020-01-19", 0.5], ["2020-01-19", 0.5], ["2020-01-19", 0.5], ["2020-01-19", 0.55], ["2020-01-19", 0.55], ["2020-01-19", 0.6], ["2020-01-19", 0.6], ["2020-01-19", 0.55], ["2020-01-19", ... | ["https://www.businessinsider.com/elliott-abrams-iranian-missiles-in-venezuela-will-be-dealt-with-2020-12", "https://www.france24.com/en/americas/20201204-venezuela-s-guaido-risks-political-irrelevance-as-maduro-eyes-poll-victory", "https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/12/06/juan-guaido-prepares-lose-seat-venezuela-fr... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2024-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2255 |
<p>In early 2022, doctors in Maryland transplanted a genetically modified pig heart into a human patient (<a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/surgeons-perform-first-successful-transplant-pig-heart-human-patient-rcna11687" target="_blank">NBC News</a>, <a href="https://baltimore.cbslocal.com/2022/01/28/r... | 2024-01-01 | Will doctors attempt an organ xenotransplantation (organ transplant from a nonhuman animal to a human) on a live human patient in the European Union before 1 January 2024? | 2022-02-04 | [["2022-02-04", 0.0], ["2022-02-04", 0.5], ["2022-02-04", 0.3333333333333333], ["2022-02-04", 0.2525], ["2022-02-05", 0.202], ["2022-02-05", 0.22], ["2022-02-05", 0.1957142857142857], ["2022-02-05", 0.1957142857142857], ["2022-02-05", 0.19428571428571428], ["2022-02-05", 0.18], ["2022-02-05", 0.16333333333333333], ["20... | ["https://theconversation.com/organs-from-genetically-engineered-pigs-may-help-shorten-the-transplant-wait-list-175893", "https://www.europa-uni.de/en/forschung/institut/institut_ize/3_schwerpunkte/3_bioethik_medizinethik/Chimbrids_Zusammenfassung_f__r_IZE-Internetseite.pdf", "https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/medical/v... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-06-29 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2259 |
<p>Amid high tensions with Ukraine and the West, Vladimir Putin has demanded that NATO freeze its expansion further into Eastern Europe (<a href="https://www.npr.org/2022/01/29/1076193616/ukraine-crisis-russia-history-nato-expansion" target="_blank">NPR</a>, <a href="https://intellinews.com/us-letter-reject... | 2022-06-29 | Between 4 February 2022 and 31 December 2022, will a country formally progress in the NATO accession process? | 2022-02-04 | [["2022-02-04", 0.5], ["2022-02-04", 0.125], ["2022-02-04", 0.4], ["2022-02-04", 0.15], ["2022-02-04", 0.15], ["2022-02-04", 0.38], ["2022-02-05", 0.505], ["2022-02-05", 0.375], ["2022-02-05", 0.375], ["2022-02-05", 0.225], ["2022-02-05", 0.225], ["2022-02-05", 0.225], ["2022-02-06", 0.2], ["2022-02-06", 0.195], ["2022... | ["https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/neutral-switzerland-leans-closer-nato-response-russia-2022-05-15/", "https://www.milliyet.com.tr/siyaset/erdogandan-nato-trafigi-6758915", "https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/news_197251.htm", "https://twitter.com/AP/status/1525780504615825408", "https://www-ntv-com-tr.translate... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2023-06-10 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2659 |
<p>Amid an increase in ballistic missile tests in 2022, there are concerns that North Korea may test another nuclear weapon (<a href="https://www.vox.com/2022/11/5/23440456/korean-missile-launches-nuclear-tests-china-russia-japan" target="_blank">Vox</a>, <a href="https://www.voanews.com/a/experts-see-us-fi... | 2023-06-10 | Between 9 December 2022 and 9 June 2023, will North Korea detonate a nuclear device? | 2022-12-08 | [["2022-12-09", 0.23], ["2022-12-09", 0.12], ["2022-12-09", 0.125], ["2022-12-09", 0.1533], ["2022-12-09", 0.1267], ["2022-12-09", 0.345], ["2022-12-09", 0.466], ["2022-12-09", 0.43], ["2022-12-09", 0.4071], ["2022-12-09", 0.3688], ["2022-12-09", 0.4056], ["2022-12-09", 0.432], ["2022-12-10", 0.4227], ["2022-12-10", 0.... | ["https://world.kbs.co.kr/service/news_view.htm?lang=e&Seq_Code=177656", "https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IF/IF10472", "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s5biRwXwYNs", "https://www.iaea.org/newscenter/statements/iaea-director-generals-introductory-statement-to-the-board-of-governors-6-march-2023", "https:... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-03-17 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2551 |
<p>Amid Russia's war in Ukraine and renewed fighting between Armenia and Azerbaijan, some officials in Georgia are calling for a referendum on reclaiming the territories of Abkhazia and South Ossetia lost in Russia's invasion in 2008 (<a href="https://odessa-journal.com/georgia-proposes-to-hold-a-referendum-and-a... | 2023-03-17 | Between 16 September 2022 and 16 March 2023, will lethal confrontations between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel (forces) of Georgia and those of Russia, Abkhazia, and/or South Ossetia result in 100 or more fatalities? | 2022-09-16 | [["2022-09-16", 0.1], ["2022-09-16", 0.06], ["2022-09-16", 0.04], ["2022-09-16", 0.0675], ["2022-09-16", 0.054], ["2022-09-16", 0.2117], ["2022-09-16", 0.1929], ["2022-09-16", 0.2938], ["2022-09-16", 0.2867], ["2022-09-16", 0.2878], ["2022-09-17", 0.27], ["2022-09-17", 0.2773], ["2022-09-17", 0.2818], ["2022-09-17", 0.... | ["https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-with-cash-georgia-booms-russians-flee-putins-war-2022-11-05/"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-12-10 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1718 |
<p>In April 2017, Senate Republicans eliminated the filibuster for the confirmation of Supreme Court Justices by changing the rules so that debate on nominees could be ended with a simple majority vote rather than a three-fifths majority (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-court-gorsuch-i... | 2021-12-13 | Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. Senate expand the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used? | 2020-07-31 | [["2020-07-31", 0.11], ["2020-07-31", 0.11], ["2020-07-31", 0.35], ["2020-07-31", 0.475], ["2020-07-31", 0.38], ["2020-07-31", 0.38], ["2020-07-31", 0.375], ["2020-07-31", 0.34], ["2020-07-31", 0.29], ["2020-08-01", 0.355], ["2020-08-01", 0.39], ["2020-08-01", 0.4], ["2020-08-01", 0.39], ["2020-08-01", 0.4], ["2020-08-... | ["https://www.politico.com/minutes/congress/10-6-2021/Mind-on-Manchin/", "https://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/blackswan.asp", "https://www.politico.com/news/2021/12/08/biden-filibuster-voting-rights-senate-523917?nname=politico-nightly&nid=00000170-c000-da87-af78-e185fa700000&nrid=0000016a-db08-d33a-a5ee-dfaff... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2020-04-02 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1401 | <p>Outcome will be determined by the official civilian unemployment rate (U3) as reported monthly by the U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics (<a href="https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm" target="_blank">BLS (Release)</a>, <a href="https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000" target="_blan... | 2020-04-03 | Will the monthly U.S. civilian unemployment rate (U3) reach or exceed 4.0% for any month before 1 November 2020? | 2019-11-15 | [["2019-11-15", 0.425], ["2019-11-15", 0.425], ["2019-11-15", 0.385], ["2019-11-16", 0.51], ["2019-11-16", 0.51], ["2019-11-16", 0.435], ["2019-11-16", 0.435], ["2019-11-16", 0.52], ["2019-11-17", 0.645], ["2019-11-17", 0.675], ["2019-11-17", 0.52], ["2019-11-17", 0.585], ["2019-11-17", 0.625], ["2019-11-17", 0.535], [... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2020-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1619 |
<div>Due to impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, the auto industry in the EU is seeking relief from CO2 emission performance standards regulations (<a href="https://www.acea.be/news/article/covid-19-auto-sector-letter-to-von-der-leyen" target="_blank">European Automobile Manufacturers Associa... | 2021-01-05 | Before 1 January 2021, will the European Union delay and/or relax the implementation and/or enforcement of any of its CO2 emission performance standards for new passenger cars and/or new light commercial vehicles? | 2020-05-15 | [["2020-05-15", 0.0], ["2020-05-15", 0.1], ["2020-05-15", 0.13], ["2020-05-15", 0.065], ["2020-05-15", 0.13], ["2020-05-15", 0.165], ["2020-05-15", 0.13], ["2020-05-15", 0.125], ["2020-05-15", 0.13], ["2020-05-15", 0.13], ["2020-05-15", 0.125], ["2020-05-16", 0.165], ["2020-05-16", 0.125], ["2020-05-16", 0.185], ["2020... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1708 |
<p>Recent flooding has devastated large areas of China, drawing attention to the safety and efficacy of the massive Three Gorges Dam (<a href="https://www.economist.com/china/2020/07/18/central-and-southern-china-are-being-ravaged-by-floods" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href="https://www.lowyinst... | 2020-10-01 | Will China's Three Gorges Dam fail before 1 October 2020? | 2020-07-22 | [["2020-07-22", 0.13], ["2020-07-22", 0.08], ["2020-07-22", 0.01], ["2020-07-22", 0.01], ["2020-07-22", 0.005], ["2020-07-22", 0.0], ["2020-07-22", 0.0], ["2020-07-22", 0.005], ["2020-07-22", 0.025], ["2020-07-22", 0.06], ["2020-07-22", 0.06], ["2020-07-22", 0.03], ["2020-07-22", 0.0], ["2020-07-23", 0.0], ["2020-07-23... | ["https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1708-will-china-s-three-gorges-dam-fail-before-1-october-2020"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1876 |
<p>The Diem Association, formerly known as Libra Association and related to Facebook, is planning to launch a single-currency stablecoin in 2021 (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2020/12/08/facebook-hopes-the-cryptocurrency-diem-it-backs-will-launch-in-2021.html" target="_blank">CNBC</a>, <a href="https:... | 2022-01-03 | Before 1 January 2022, will the Diem Association, co-founded by Facebook, launch a stablecoin? | 2020-12-22 | [["2020-12-22", 0.915], ["2020-12-22", 0.825], ["2020-12-23", 0.825], ["2020-12-23", 0.825], ["2020-12-23", 0.85], ["2020-12-23", 0.9], ["2020-12-23", 0.945], ["2020-12-23", 0.945], ["2020-12-23", 0.875], ["2020-12-23", 0.825], ["2020-12-24", 0.785], ["2020-12-24", 0.825], ["2020-12-24", 0.8], ["2020-12-25", 0.79], ["2... | ["https://www.reuters.com/technology/stablecoins-face-same-safeguards-traditional-payments-2021-10-06/", "https://github.com/diem/diem/commit/05f533ee89d07dbcff5ba0bd4d44dd28d576ba5f", "https://github.com/ethereum/go-ethereum", "https://cryptonews.com/news/facebook-to-ramp-up-payments-ahead-of-diem-launch-11097.htm", "... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-12-08 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2215 |
<p>The US government announced that it would hold a diplomatic boycott of the 2022 Beijing Olympics to protest various policies of the People's Republic of China, with other countries reportedly considering the same (<a href="https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/us-announces-diplomatic-boycott-winter-olympics-china-hu... | 2021-12-08 | Will Canada announce a diplomatic boycott of the 2022 Winter Olympics in Beijing, China, before 1 February 2022? | 2021-12-07 | [["2021-12-07", 0.63], ["2021-12-07", 0.69], ["2021-12-07", 0.65], ["2021-12-07", 0.7], ["2021-12-07", 0.75], ["2021-12-07", 0.765], ["2021-12-07", 0.78], ["2021-12-07", 0.765], ["2021-12-07", 0.75], ["2021-12-07", 0.745], ["2021-12-07", 0.75], ["2021-12-07", 0.765], ["2021-12-07", 0.78], ["2021-12-07", 0.79], ["2021-1... | ["https://ottawacitizen.com/news/politics/election-2021/glavin-chinas-interference-in-canadas-election-doesnt-seem-to-faze-the-liberals/wcm/844c0d86-513a-4999-a90c-f67cc221c350/amp/", "https://www.europarl.europa.eu/doceo/document/RC-9-2021-0385_EN.html", "https://www.theglobeandmail.com/world/article-a-residential-sch... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2020-11-03 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1651 |
<p>Qualified immunity, a legal doctrine by which public officials are shielded from being sued in federal court unless they violate clearly established law, is facing greater scrutiny in the aftermath of the death of George Floyd in Minneapolis (<a href="https://www.abajournal.com/news/article/death-of-george-flo... | 2020-11-03 | Before 3 November 2020, will federal legislation curtailing or eliminating qualified immunity for public officials become law? | 2020-06-12 | [["2020-06-12", 0.13], ["2020-06-12", 0.09], ["2020-06-12", 0.095], ["2020-06-12", 0.13], ["2020-06-12", 0.115], ["2020-06-12", 0.1], ["2020-06-12", 0.115], ["2020-06-12", 0.13], ["2020-06-12", 0.14], ["2020-06-12", 0.15], ["2020-06-12", 0.2], ["2020-06-12", 0.2], ["2020-06-12", 0.2], ["2020-06-12", 0.2], ["2020-06-12"... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-06-09 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2329 |
<p>On 10 March 2022, the ECB announced it would end APP in the third quarter of 2022 if certain conditions were met (<a href="https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2022/html/ecb.mp220310~2d19f8ba60.en.html" target="_blank">ECB - Monetary policy decisions 10 March 2022</a>, <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/... | 2022-06-09 | Will the European Central Bank (ECB) announce it will discontinue its monthly net asset purchases under its Asset purchase program (APP) before 10 June 2022? | 2022-03-25 | [["2022-03-25", 0.01], ["2022-03-25", 0.5], ["2022-03-25", 0.99], ["2022-03-25", 1.0], ["2022-03-26", 1.0], ["2022-03-26", 1.0], ["2022-03-26", 1.0], ["2022-03-26", 1.0], ["2022-03-26", 1.0], ["2022-03-27", 1.0], ["2022-03-27", 1.0], ["2022-03-27", 1.0], ["2022-03-28", 1.0], ["2022-03-28", 1.0], ["2022-03-28", 0.99], [... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2022-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1926 |
<p>Various Arab states recognized Israel in 2020, though Saudi Arabia was not among them (<a href="https://www.npr.org/2020/12/10/945033413/morocco-becomes-latest-arab-country-to-normalize-ties-with-israel" target="_blank">NPR</a>, <a href="https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/saudi-arabia-israel-normalization... | 2022-01-03 | Will Saudi Arabia diplomatically recognize the State of Israel in 2021? | 2021-02-05 | [["2021-02-05", 1.0], ["2021-02-05", 0.625], ["2021-02-05", 0.5], ["2021-02-05", 0.375], ["2021-02-05", 0.25], ["2021-02-05", 0.25], ["2021-02-05", 0.25], ["2021-02-05", 0.25], ["2021-02-05", 0.25], ["2021-02-05", 0.24], ["2021-02-05", 0.23], ["2021-02-05", 0.2], ["2021-02-05", 0.2], ["2021-02-06", 0.175], ["2021-02-06... | ["https://www.vulture.com/article/film-review-the-dissident-and-the-murder-of-jamal-khashoggi.html", "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7197/Will-Israel-hold-a-second-national-election-for-Knesset-in-2021", "https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-12-09/saudi-arabia-is-in-no-rush-to-recognize-israel", "h... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2843 |
<p>Russian forces are reportedly expecting a Ukrainian counterattack in the spring of 2023, with the key city of Melitopol a potential target (<a href="https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20230410-russians-in-occuppied-melitopol-are-panicking-exiled-mayor-says" target="_blank">France 24</a>, <a href="https://www.t... | 2023-10-01 | Will the city council building in Melitopol, Ukraine, be under Ukrainian control on 1 October 2023, according to the Institute for the Study of War? | 2023-04-12 | [["2023-04-12", 0.58], ["2023-04-12", 0.4225], ["2023-04-12", 0.3983], ["2023-04-12", 0.3113], ["2023-04-13", 0.366], ["2023-04-13", 0.367], ["2023-04-13", 0.3375], ["2023-04-13", 0.3479], ["2023-04-13", 0.3193], ["2023-04-13", 0.2919], ["2023-04-13", 0.2906], ["2023-04-14", 0.3144], ["2023-04-15", 0.3165], ["2023-04-1... | ["https://www.defensenews.com/digital-show-dailies/2023/03/28/us-army-eyes-six-fold-production-boost-of-155mm-shells-used-in-ukraine/", "https://edition.cnn.com/2023/08/08/politics/ukraine-counteroffensive-us-briefings/index.html", "https://assets.kyivindependent.com/content/images/2023/05/pmap5.png", "http://www.skyne... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2886 |
<p>The International Energy Agency (IEA) publishes and updates various data estimating, among other things, total hydrogen demand in the future in its World Energy Outlook (WEO) report (<a href="https://www.iea.org/topics/world-energy-outlook" target="_blank">IEA WEO</a>). The Stated Policies Scenario (STEPS) sho... | 2023-10-24 | In the IEA's total hydrogen demand estimates for 2030, will the percentage difference between its Stated Policies Scenario (STEPS) and Announced Pledges Scenario (APS) be less in the 2023 WEO report compared to the 2022 WEO report? | 2023-05-16 | [["2023-05-16", 0.7], ["2023-05-16", 0.38], ["2023-05-16", 0.395], ["2023-05-16", 0.31], ["2023-05-17", 0.32], ["2023-05-17", 0.456], ["2023-05-17", 0.4467], ["2023-05-17", 0.4186], ["2023-05-17", 0.3975], ["2023-05-18", 0.3867], ["2023-05-18", 0.408], ["2023-05-18", 0.4136], ["2023-05-19", 0.3792], ["2023-05-19", 0.35... | ["https://www.iea.org/reports/hydrogen"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2023-04-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2401 |
<p>War and conflict have left millions in Western Africa facing potential famine (<a href="https://www.fao.org/africa/news/detail-news/en/c/1506997/" target="_blank">Food and Agriculture Organization</a>, <a href="https://www.theafricareport.com/205876/food-insecurity-us-scales-up-aid-to-africa-while-blaming-russ... | 2023-04-01 | Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of an ECOWAS member state in Western Africa before 1 April 2023? | 2022-05-26 | [["2022-05-27", 0.4], ["2022-05-27", 0.6], ["2022-05-27", 0.5833333333333334], ["2022-05-27", 0.6875], ["2022-05-27", 0.682], ["2022-05-28", 0.735], ["2022-05-28", 0.7442857142857143], ["2022-05-28", 0.7585714285714286], ["2022-05-28", 0.72625], ["2022-05-28", 0.7233333333333334], ["2022-05-28", 0.652], ["2022-05-28", ... | ["https://t.co/v3VcaW2HLc", "https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2022/08/01/russia-ukraine-war-latest-news-live-putin-shelling-mykolaiv/https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna40581https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna40581", "https://wits.worldbank.org/CountryProfile/en/Country/BFA/Year/2019/TradeFlow/Import/Partner/a... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-12-26 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1670 |
<p>Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison said Australian organizations are victim to sustained cyberattacks, but he did not name the attacker (<a href="https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/morrison-reveals-malicious-state-based-cyber-attack-hitting-several-sectors-20200619-p5545z.html" target="_blank"... | 2020-12-29 | Before 26 December 2020, will the Australian government accuse the Chinese government, by name, of being behind the "copy-paste compromises" cyberattacks? | 2020-06-26 | [["2020-06-26", 0.0], ["2020-06-26", 0.1], ["2020-06-26", 0.1], ["2020-06-26", 0.15], ["2020-06-26", 0.2], ["2020-06-26", 0.28], ["2020-06-26", 0.36], ["2020-06-26", 0.36], ["2020-06-26", 0.28], ["2020-06-26", 0.36], ["2020-06-26", 0.405], ["2020-06-26", 0.55], ["2020-06-26", 0.55], ["2020-06-26", 0.55], ["2020-06-27",... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-10-27 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1800 |
<p>With an already closely-divided Senate and reluctance by some GOP Senators to vote on a replacement for Ruth Bader Ginsburg before the November election, there's a chance that Vice President Pence would be called upon to break a tie in Amy Coney Barrett's confirmation vote (<a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/pol... | 2020-10-27 | Before 5 January 2021, will Vice President Mike Pence cast a tie-breaking vote in the Senate confirming Amy Coney Barrett to the U.S. Supreme Court? | 2020-10-02 | [["2020-10-02", 0.25], ["2020-10-02", 0.125], ["2020-10-02", 0.02], ["2020-10-02", 0.105], ["2020-10-02", 0.105], ["2020-10-02", 0.05], ["2020-10-02", 0.12], ["2020-10-02", 0.05], ["2020-10-02", 0.035], ["2020-10-02", 0.05], ["2020-10-02", 0.035], ["2020-10-02", 0.02], ["2020-10-02", 0.015], ["2020-10-02", 0.01], ["202... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2343 |
<p>High inflation, monetary tightening, the war in Ukraine, and ongoing effects of the COVID-19 pandemic have raised concerns over economic growth in the US this year (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/28/el-erian-warns-of-cost-of-living-crisis-says-fed-rate-hikes-could-cause-recession.html" target="_blank">C... | 2022-12-22 | Will US real GDP contract in both the third quarter (Q3) and fourth quarter (Q4) of 2022? | 2022-04-08 | [["2022-04-08", 0.18333333333333332], ["2022-04-08", 0.162], ["2022-04-08", 0.2857142857142857], ["2022-04-09", 0.214], ["2022-04-09", 0.206], ["2022-04-09", 0.211], ["2022-04-09", 0.287], ["2022-04-09", 0.375], ["2022-04-09", 0.345], ["2022-04-10", 0.362], ["2022-04-10", 0.3472727272727273], ["2022-04-10", 0.378333333... | ["https://www.usnews.com/news/economy/articles/2022-10-24/the-u-s-economy-is-still-not-ready-to-give-up-the-ghost", "https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/us-gdp-economic-growth-third-quarter-2022-11666830253", "https://fortune.com/2022/10/25/are-we-in-a-recession-economists-outlook-biden-fed-powell/", "https://www.gjopen.c... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2024-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2603 |
<p>Rishi Sunak was appointed as the UK's prime minister on 25 October 2022, the third UK PM in 2022 (<a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-63345272" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/26/uk-pm-sunak-delays-highly-anticipated-spending-plan-to-mid-november-.html" target="_blank">CNBC</a>)... | 2024-01-01 | Before 1 January 2024, will Rishi Sunak cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom? | 2022-10-27 | [["2022-10-28", 0.27], ["2022-10-28", 0.392], ["2022-10-28", 0.2957], ["2022-10-28", 0.32], ["2022-10-28", 0.2985], ["2022-10-28", 0.2507], ["2022-10-28", 0.1994], ["2022-10-29", 0.2025], ["2022-10-29", 0.1826], ["2022-10-29", 0.1623], ["2022-10-30", 0.1479], ["2022-10-30", 0.1435], ["2022-10-30", 0.1345], ["2022-10-31... | ["https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/oct/20/tory-turnaround-disaster-rishi-sunak-byelections-tamworth-mid-bedfordshire", "https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-62064552", "https://www.ft.com/content/02716cb8-8707-44a2-8adf-087c332b7e28", "https://inews.co.uk/news/politics/conservatives/how-many-no-confidence... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-07-13 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2535 |
<p>In July 2022, HRA Pharma, a French pharmaceutical company, submitted an application to the FDA for what would be the first OTC birth control pill in the US (<a href="https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2022/07/14/1111297318/over-the-counter-birth-control-pills" target="_blank">NPR</a>, <a href="https://w... | 2023-07-13 | Before 30 September 2023, will the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approve a human birth control pill for sale over the counter (OTC)? | 2022-09-02 | [["2022-09-02", 1.0], ["2022-09-02", 0.6], ["2022-09-02", 0.6067], ["2022-09-02", 0.8067], ["2022-09-02", 0.7925], ["2022-09-02", 0.834], ["2022-09-02", 0.7767], ["2022-09-02", 0.68], ["2022-09-02", 0.67], ["2022-09-03", 0.7067], ["2022-09-03", 0.736], ["2022-09-03", 0.7391], ["2022-09-03", 0.7391], ["2022-09-03", 0.76... | ["https://www.reproductiveaccess.org/resource/over-the-counter-access-to-oral-contraceptives/", "https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/3922166-fda-panel-to-discuss-otc-birth-control-pills-in-may/", "https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/us-fda-advisers-back-otc-use-perrigos-birth-control-pill-2023... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2023-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2249 |
<p>Amid high tensions between Russia and the West regarding Ukraine and other matters, gas giant Gazprom is awaiting regulatory approval to begin delivering natural gas to Germany through the Nord Stream 2 pipeline (<a href="https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-nord-stream-filled-gas/31632027.html" target="_blank">Radi... | 2023-01-01 | Before 1 January 2023, will the Nord Stream 2 pipeline begin delivering natural gas to Germany? | 2022-01-20 | [["2022-01-21", 0.3375], ["2022-01-21", 0.49375], ["2022-01-22", 0.581], ["2022-01-22", 0.662], ["2022-01-22", 0.497], ["2022-01-22", 0.371], ["2022-01-22", 0.339], ["2022-01-22", 0.2909090909090909], ["2022-01-23", 0.3225], ["2022-01-23", 0.3657142857142857], ["2022-01-24", 0.418125], ["2022-01-24", 0.49], ["2022-01-2... | ["https://handelsregister.help.ch/aktiengesellschaft.cfm?nr=CH-170.3.039.850-1&name=Nord-Stream-2-AG", "https://fortune.com/2022/04/26/russian-oligarchs-deaths-strange-circumstances-this-year/", "https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/31/opinions/europe-climate-challenge-andelman/index.html", "https://www.reuters.com/markets/... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-08-14 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1873 |
<p>Some Democrats are pushing President-elect Joe Biden to cancel federal student loan debt on his first day in office, while Biden has pushed for congressional action (<a href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/zackfriedman/2020/12/12/10-questions-about-bidens-plan-to-cancel-student-loans/" target="_blank">Forb... | 2021-08-15 | Before 14 August 2021, will an executive order be signed or federal legislation become law that would forgive $10,000 or more in principal on federal student loan debts for at least five million student loan borrowers? | 2020-12-18 | [["2020-12-18", 0.3], ["2020-12-18", 0.35], ["2020-12-18", 0.25], ["2020-12-18", 0.25], ["2020-12-18", 0.25], ["2020-12-18", 0.25], ["2020-12-19", 0.25], ["2020-12-19", 0.1], ["2020-12-19", 0.1], ["2020-12-19", 0.25], ["2020-12-19", 0.25], ["2020-12-19", 0.225], ["2020-12-19", 0.25], ["2020-12-19", 0.25], ["2020-12-20"... | ["https://www.washingtonpost.com/us-policy/2021/05/21/white-house-biden-health/", "https://www.forbes.com/sites/adamminsky/2021/08/07/5-key-takeaways-from-bidens-extension-of-student-loan-relief/", "https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.businessinsider.com/bidens-budget-campaign-promises-student-debt-and-healthcare-reform-2... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-11-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2898 |
<p>Violence in Kosovo escalated in late May 2023 as Serb protesters clashed with NATO's KFOR peacekeeping forces while Serbia has put its forces on high alert amid domestic political protests of its own (<a href="https://apnews.com/article/kosovo-serbia-tension-eu-us-cf2637072cd88f3bcf0d902236d3631b" target="_bla... | 2023-11-07 | Before 1 November 2023, will NATO and/or a NATO member state accuse Republic of Serbia national military forces and/or law enforcement of entering Kosovo without authorization? | 2023-06-02 | [["2023-06-02", 0.8], ["2023-06-02", 0.44], ["2023-06-02", 0.2933], ["2023-06-02", 0.465], ["2023-06-02", 0.392], ["2023-06-02", 0.3467], ["2023-06-02", 0.3329], ["2023-06-02", 0.3663], ["2023-06-02", 0.4356], ["2023-06-02", 0.392], ["2023-06-02", 0.3745], ["2023-06-03", 0.3609], ["2023-06-03", 0.335], ["2023-06-03", 0... | ["https://www.politico.eu/article/nato-builds-up-forces-kosovo-prime-minister-albin-kurti-banjska-tensions-serbia-rise/", "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/9/24/why-kosovos-standoff-with-serbs-continues-15-years-after-statehood", "https://balkaninsight.com/2023/10/09/in-kosovo-clash-new-bullets-and-freshly-repaired-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-05-24 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2708 |
<p>With a political fight looming over the US debt ceiling, there are concerns that US credit ratings could be downgraded (<a href="https://thehill.com/policy/finance/3809357-nation-closing-in-on-31-4t-borrowing-limit/" target="_blank">The Hill</a>, <a href="https://apnews.com/article/biden-politics-united-... | 2023-05-25 | Will Fitch, Moody's, and/or S&P downgrade their long-term credit ratings or outlooks for the United States in 2023? | 2023-01-13 | [["2023-01-13", 0.15], ["2023-01-13", 0.085], ["2023-01-13", 0.1067], ["2023-01-13", 0.33], ["2023-01-13", 0.274], ["2023-01-13", 0.2367], ["2023-01-13", 0.235], ["2023-01-14", 0.2014], ["2023-01-14", 0.2013], ["2023-01-14", 0.29], ["2023-01-14", 0.261], ["2023-01-14", 0.2591], ["2023-01-14", 0.25], ["2023-01-14", 0.23... | ["https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-debt-downgrade/united-states-loses-prized-aaa-credit-rating-from-sp-idUSTRE7746VF20110806", "https://www.theglobaleconomy.com/USA/credit_rating/", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_federal_government_credit-rating_downgrades#2020", "http://online.wsj.com/article/SB100... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2021-03-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1847 |
<p>The initial onset of the COVID-19 pandemic drove gasoline prices under $2.00 per gallon across much of the country (<a href="https://www.newsweek.com/gas-prices-are-lowest-years-oil-prices-plummet-due-coronavirus-outbreak-1498622" target="_blank">Newsweek</a>). The outcome will be determined using data as repo... | 2021-03-02 | Will the average price of a gallon of gasoline fall below $1.95 for any week before 2 March 2021? | 2020-11-17 | [["2020-11-17", 1.0], ["2020-11-17", 0.5], ["2020-11-17", 0.15], ["2020-11-17", 0.1], ["2020-11-17", 0.07], ["2020-11-17", 0.06], ["2020-11-17", 0.07], ["2020-11-17", 0.11], ["2020-11-17", 0.15], ["2020-11-17", 0.11], ["2020-11-18", 0.085], ["2020-11-18", 0.125], ["2020-11-18", 0.175], ["2020-11-18", 0.35], ["2020-11-1... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-10-13 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2505 |
<p>After parliamentary elections were held in Iraq in October 2021, the country has yet to, among other things, elect a new president (<a href="https://www.voanews.com/a/iraq-lawmakers-fail-for-third-time-to-elect-new-president-/6508999.html" target="_blank">Voice of America</a>, <a href="https://www.aljazeera.co... | 2022-10-14 | Will Iraq's parliament elect a new President of the Republic before 6 November 2022? | 2022-08-04 | [["2022-08-05", 0.75], ["2022-08-05", 0.875], ["2022-08-05", 0.75], ["2022-08-05", 0.48], ["2022-08-05", 0.75], ["2022-08-05", 0.48], ["2022-08-06", 0.21], ["2022-08-07", 0.155], ["2022-08-07", 0.1], ["2022-08-08", 0.125], ["2022-08-08", 0.1], ["2022-08-08", 0.095], ["2022-08-08", 0.085], ["2022-08-08", 0.085], ["2022-... | ["https://www.wionews.com/world/dissolve-the-parliament-influential-shiite-leader-moqtada-sadr-calls-for-fresh-elections-in-iraq-503371", "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/8/29/al-sadr-withdraws-from-iraqi-politics-after-months-of-tensions", "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/8/14/iraqi-judiciary-says-it-has-no-po... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2023-04-15 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2582 |
<p>Anti-government protests have grown throughout Iran in the wake of Mahsa Amini's death while in custody (<a href="https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2022-10-11/iran-protests-over-womans-death-persist-despite-crackdown-oil-workers-strike" target="_blank">US News & World Report</a>, <a href="https://... | 2023-04-15 | Before 15 April 2023, will Ali Khamenei either flee Iran or cease to be its supreme leader? | 2022-10-13 | [["2022-10-14", 0.35], ["2022-10-14", 0.34], ["2022-10-14", 0.22], ["2022-10-14", 0.4133], ["2022-10-14", 0.335], ["2022-10-14", 0.325], ["2022-10-14", 0.3275], ["2022-10-14", 0.402], ["2022-10-14", 0.404], ["2022-10-14", 0.3867], ["2022-10-14", 0.395], ["2022-10-14", 0.3933], ["2022-10-14", 0.3629], ["2022-10-14", 0.3... | ["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ali_Khamenei", "https://twitter.com/FridaGhitis/status/1581349672752656386", "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evin_Prison", "https://www.history.com/this-day-in-history/shah-flees-iran", "https://stattrek.com/online-calculator/t-distribution", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-07-06 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1507 |
<p>Washington state law requires Electoral College voters to cast their ballots for the presidential candidates from their party who won the popular vote in the state, but in 2016 four electors cast their votes for others and were fined (<a href="https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/politics/four-washington-... | 2020-07-06 | In Chiafalo v. Washington, will the Supreme Court rule that the state of Washington's fining of presidential electors for failing to vote for the nominee of their party is unconstitutional? | 2020-01-31 | [["2020-01-31", 1.0], ["2020-01-31", 0.505], ["2020-01-31", 0.2], ["2020-01-31", 0.2], ["2020-01-31", 0.3], ["2020-01-31", 0.23], ["2020-01-31", 0.3], ["2020-01-31", 0.465], ["2020-02-01", 0.5], ["2020-02-01", 0.4], ["2020-02-01", 0.23], ["2020-02-01", 0.3], ["2020-02-01", 0.3], ["2020-02-01", 0.23], ["2020-02-02", 0.1... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-07-26 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2695 |
<p>The Federal Reserve has been increasing interest rates to combat inflation throughout 2022, which has raised fears of a potential recession in 2023 (<a href="https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2022/12/18/fed-raise-interest-rates-higher-hikes-expected/10912296002/" target="_blank">USA Today</a>, <a href... | 2023-07-26 | Will the upper limit of the US federal funds target range reach or exceed 5.50% before 21 September 2023? | 2023-01-05 | [["2023-01-06", 0.16], ["2023-01-06", 0.18], ["2023-01-06", 0.27], ["2023-01-06", 0.255], ["2023-01-06", 0.2267], ["2023-01-06", 0.2718], ["2023-01-07", 0.23], ["2023-01-07", 0.2186], ["2023-01-07", 0.2044], ["2023-01-07", 0.24], ["2023-01-07", 0.2189], ["2023-01-07", 0.2189], ["2023-01-07", 0.165], ["2023-01-07", 0.17... | ["https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/07/business/economy/fed-powell-interest-rates.html", "https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20230322a.htm", "https://www.cnbc.com/2023/05/19/fed-chair-powell-says-rates-may-not-have-to-rise-as-much-as-expected-to-curb-inflation.html", "https://insiderpaper.com... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2020-12-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1614 |
<p>Two major figures in Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro's cabinet left office in April, which has raised speculation that Paulo Guedes, the Minister of the Economy, may be next (<a href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2020/04/24/brazil-stocks-tank-as-famous-car-wash-judge-sergio-moro-quits-govern... | 2020-12-01 | Will Paulo Guedes cease to be Brazil's Minister of the Economy before 1 December 2020? | 2020-05-07 | [["2020-05-08", 0.7], ["2020-05-08", 0.54], ["2020-05-08", 0.54], ["2020-05-08", 0.6], ["2020-05-09", 0.54], ["2020-05-09", 0.615], ["2020-05-09", 0.63], ["2020-05-09", 0.65], ["2020-05-09", 0.685], ["2020-05-09", 0.715], ["2020-05-10", 0.685], ["2020-05-10", 0.785], ["2020-05-10", 0.785], ["2020-05-10", 0.81], ["2020-... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-09-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1815 |
<p>Tensions between Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan have escalated over Ethiopia's filling of the GERD, designed to become the largest hydroelectric plant in Africa and provide electricity to millions of people (<a href="https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/10/egypt-ethiopia-sudan-talks-stalled-nile-d... | 2021-09-01 | Before 1 September 2021, will Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan sign an agreement governing the filling of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) reservoir? | 2020-10-16 | [["2020-10-16", 0.05], ["2020-10-16", 0.3], ["2020-10-16", 0.1], ["2020-10-16", 0.175], ["2020-10-16", 0.1], ["2020-10-16", 0.1], ["2020-10-16", 0.075], ["2020-10-17", 0.05], ["2020-10-17", 0.075], ["2020-10-17", 0.05], ["2020-10-17", 0.05], ["2020-10-18", 0.06], ["2020-10-18", 0.06], ["2020-10-18", 0.06], ["2020-10-18... | ["https://www.wionews.com/world/talks-on-grand-ethiopian-renaissance-dam-fail-again-356124", "http://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContent/50/1203/399228/AlAhram-Weekly/World/Sudan-vs-Ethiopia-The-luxury-of-war.aspx", "https://www.ethioembassy.org.uk/press-release-on-the-trilateral-negotiations-on-the-gerd/", "https://www.a... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-03-03 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1950 |
<p>In February 2021, the UK Office of Communications (Ofcom) revoked CGTN’s license to broadcast in the country, therefore cutting its access to other countries in Europe (<a href="https://www.ofcom.org.uk/about-ofcom/latest/media/media-releases/2021/ofcom-revokes-cgtn-licence-to-broadcast-in-uk" target="_blank">... | 2021-03-08 | Will France grant the China Global Television Network (CGTN) a license to broadcast in France before 1 January 2022? | 2021-02-26 | [["2021-02-26", 0.9], ["2021-02-26", 0.45], ["2021-02-26", 0.6], ["2021-02-26", 0.68], ["2021-02-27", 0.6], ["2021-02-27", 0.5], ["2021-02-27", 0.6], ["2021-02-27", 0.5], ["2021-02-27", 0.4], ["2021-02-27", 0.375], ["2021-02-27", 0.4], ["2021-02-27", 0.375], ["2021-02-28", 0.35], ["2021-02-28", 0.35], ["2021-02-28", 0.... | ["https://www.lemonde.fr/economie/article/2021/03/02/interdite-de-diffusion-au-royaume-uni-cgtn-la-television-internationale-d-etat-chinoise-s-en-remet-a-la-france_6071672_3234.html", "https://www.fidh.org/en/region/asia/china/ngos-call-on-french-media-regulator-to-reject-the-broadcasting", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wi... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2021-11-07 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1900 |
<p>While the Nicaraguan government faces sanctions and pressure from the U.S. government and others, Russia's ties with the Central American nation seem to remain strong (<a href="https://thecostaricanews.com/russia-confirms-plans-to-produce-its-coronavirus-vaccine-in-nicaragua/" target="_blank">Costa Rica ... | 2021-11-08 | Will a Russian senior government official or Russian naval vessel visit Nicaragua before 7 November 2021? | 2021-01-15 | [["2021-01-15", 1.0], ["2021-01-15", 0.8], ["2021-01-15", 0.65], ["2021-01-15", 0.65], ["2021-01-15", 0.72], ["2021-01-16", 0.65], ["2021-01-16", 0.625], ["2021-01-16", 0.65], ["2021-01-16", 0.65], ["2021-01-16", 0.65], ["2021-01-16", 0.715], ["2021-01-16", 0.77], ["2021-01-16", 0.775], ["2021-01-16", 0.78], ["2021-01-... | ["https://www.fpri.org/article/2016/07/everything-old-new-russia-returns-nicaragua/", "https://theglobalamericans.org/2019/03/russia-and-nicaragua-progress-in-bilateral-cooperation/", "https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2020/11/10/first-foreign-diplomatic-mission-to-open-in-crimea-since-annexation-tass-a72000", "https://ww... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-11-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2860 |
<p>While Russia claimed to annex both the Zaporizhzhia and Kherson Oblasts along with Donetsk and Luhansk, Ukraine still controls parts of each (<a href="https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-putin-international-law-donetsk-9fcd11c11936dd700db94ab725f2b7d6" target="_blank">AP</a>). The outcome will be determi... | 2023-11-01 | Will Ukraine retake control of either the Zaporizhzhia or Kherson Oblast before 1 November 2023, according to the Institute for the Study of War? | 2023-04-21 | [["2023-04-21", 0.95], ["2023-04-21", 0.7225], ["2023-04-21", 0.5183], ["2023-04-21", 0.395], ["2023-04-21", 0.4433], ["2023-04-21", 0.357], ["2023-04-22", 0.3267], ["2023-04-22", 0.3157], ["2023-04-22", 0.3075], ["2023-04-22", 0.2983], ["2023-04-22", 0.2775], ["2023-04-22", 0.2624], ["2023-04-23", 0.2832], ["2023-04-2... | ["https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/12/29/ukraine-offensive-kharkiv-kherson-donetsk/", "https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/733fe90805894bfc8562d90b106aa895", "https://news.yahoo.com/russians-keep-attacking-kherson-oblast-154227546.html", "https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/10/1/7422128/", "https://www.dw... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-04-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2548 |
<p>Amid successful counterattacks by Ukrainian forces in the east of the country, there are concerns that Russia could resort to using nuclear weapons (<a href="https://thehill.com/policy/international/3639612-john-bolton-says-threat-of-russia-using-nuclear-weapon-closer-than-before/" target="_blank">The Hi... | 2023-04-01 | Before 1 April 2023, will Russia detonate a nuclear device outside of Russian territory or airspace? | 2022-09-16 | [["2022-09-16", 0.01], ["2022-09-16", 0.0133], ["2022-09-16", 0.0889], ["2022-09-16", 0.0573], ["2022-09-16", 0.0457], ["2022-09-17", 0.04], ["2022-09-17", 0.0361], ["2022-09-17", 0.0343], ["2022-09-17", 0.03], ["2022-09-17", 0.0273], ["2022-09-17", 0.0369], ["2022-09-17", 0.0522], ["2022-09-18", 0.0535], ["2022-09-18"... | ["https://www.un.org/en/observances/end-nuclear-tests-day/history", "https://meduza.io/feature/2022/10/08/minoborony-rf-naznachilo-novogo-komanduyuschego-vtorzheniem-i-vpervye-s-nachala-voyny-publichno-nazvala-ego-imya-im-stal", "https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-63900195", "https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-63... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-04-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2513 |
<p>As the war in Ukraine continues, fears remain that Russia may use chemical or biological weapons (<a href="https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/will-putin-use-chemical-weapons-in-ukraine/" target="_blank">Atlantic Council</a>, <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-0... | 2023-04-02 | Before 1 April 2023, will a NATO member state accuse Russia of using a chemical or biological weapon in Ukraine? | 2022-08-11 | [["2022-08-12", 0.45], ["2022-08-12", 0.30666666666666664], ["2022-08-12", 0.202], ["2022-08-12", 0.17285714285714285], ["2022-08-13", 0.16333333333333333], ["2022-08-13", 0.148], ["2022-08-13", 0.177], ["2022-08-13", 0.087], ["2022-08-13", 0.145], ["2022-08-13", 0.16], ["2022-08-14", 0.201], ["2022-08-14", 0.19], ["20... | ["https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-60708350", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_chemical_warfare", "https://www.justsecurity.org/", "https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/04/science/russia-chemical-weapons.html", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russia_and_weapons_of_mass_destruction", "https://www.nationsonline... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-01-24 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1502 |
<p>Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte entered 2020 after a politically tumultuous year (<a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/dec/30/italian-pm-calls-for-unity-as-three-senators-move-to-far-right" target="_blank">Guardian</a>, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2019/08/29/world/europe/italy-conte-gover... | 2021-01-24 | Will there be a new prime minister of Italy before 24 January 2021? | 2020-01-24 | [["2020-01-24", 0.825], ["2020-01-24", 0.96], ["2020-01-24", 0.95], ["2020-01-25", 0.95], ["2020-01-25", 0.95], ["2020-01-25", 0.935], ["2020-01-25", 0.825], ["2020-01-26", 0.75], ["2020-01-26", 0.83], ["2020-01-26", 0.765], ["2020-01-26", 0.75], ["2020-01-27", 0.75], ["2020-01-27", 0.7], ["2020-01-27", 0.55], ["2020-0... | ["https://reut.rs/36in863", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jan/13/italy-facing-fresh-elections-after-ex-pm-withdraws-party-from-coalition", "https://bit.ly/2Kn1MMS", "https://www.cnbc.com/2020/12/24/italys-accidental-prime-minister-giuseppe-conte-has-lasted-in-the-role-a-lot-longer-than-many-exp.html", "https:... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-05-15 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2302 |
<p>The Protocol is an agreement made during Brexit negotiations intended to avoid a "hard border" between the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland, in which Article 16 governs either party taking unilateral action (<a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-58790419" target="_blank">BBC</a>). The q... | 2022-05-15 | Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 15 May 2022? | 2022-03-09 | [["2022-03-15", 0.0], ["2022-03-15", 0.005], ["2022-03-15", 0.0], ["2022-03-15", 0.0], ["2022-03-15", 0.005], ["2022-03-15", 0.01], ["2022-03-15", 0.01], ["2022-03-15", 0.005], ["2022-03-15", 0.005], ["2022-03-15", 0.0], ["2022-03-15", 0.0], ["2022-03-15", 0.0], ["2022-03-15", 0.0], ["2022-03-15", 0.0], ["2022-03-15", ... | ["https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2022/apr/22/johnson-preparing-to-fix-northern-ireland-brexit-deal", "https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-61391869", "https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/uk-eu-an-impasse-over-changes-n-ireland-protocol-2022-04-28/", "https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/stop-posturing-eu-t... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1916 |
<p>The outcome will be determined using deaths data as reported by WHO for the United States and for those countries that were EU member states as of 1 January 2021 (<a href="https://covid19.who.int/table" target="_blank">WHO</a>, see 'Deaths - cumulative total', <a href="https://europa.eu/european-un... | 2022-01-03 | Will the United States report more deaths attributed to COVID-19 as of 31 December 2021 than will the European Union? | 2021-01-29 | [["2021-01-29", 0.63], ["2021-01-29", 0.4], ["2021-01-29", 0.6], ["2021-01-29", 0.6], ["2021-01-29", 0.5], ["2021-01-30", 0.615], ["2021-01-30", 0.615], ["2021-01-30", 0.55], ["2021-01-30", 0.4], ["2021-01-30", 0.55], ["2021-01-30", 0.4], ["2021-01-30", 0.54], ["2021-01-30", 0.53], ["2021-01-30", 0.465], ["2021-01-30",... | ["https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-states", "https://www.forbes.com/sites/williamhaseltine/2021/10/06/origin-very-close-relatives-of-sars-cov-2-identified-in-laotian-bats/", "https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/regret-defiance-europes-vaccine-shy-east-covid-19-rages-2021-10-21", "https://www.ncbi.... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2024-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2856 |
<p>For the purposes of this question, a CCTA is an [1] act of terrorism [2] involving multiple perpetrators working in concert [3] initiated with little or no warning [4] and employing one or more weapon systems (e.g., firearms, explosives, fire as a weapon, poison gas) [5] that is intended to result in large num... | 2024-01-01 | Will there be a complex coordinated terrorist attack (CCTA) in continental Europe either directed or executed by one or more Saheli jihadist groups resulting in at least five fatalities before 1 January 2024? | 2023-04-14 | [["2023-04-14", 0.03], ["2023-04-14", 0.465], ["2023-04-14", 0.3367], ["2023-04-14", 0.2525], ["2023-04-14", 0.202], ["2023-04-14", 0.205], ["2023-04-14", 0.2186], ["2023-04-14", 0.1925], ["2023-04-14", 0.1856], ["2023-04-14", 0.169], ["2023-04-14", 0.2291], ["2023-04-14", 0.2325], ["2023-04-14", 0.2185], ["2023-04-15"... | ["https://africacenter.org/spotlight/russia-wagner-undermines-transition-mali/", "https://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/en/headlines/society/20210628STO07262/terrorism-in-the-eu-terror-attacks-deaths-and-arrests-in-2020", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A%C3%AFgbado_massacre", "http://www.bloomberg.com/", "https://www.wil... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-08-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1715 |
<p>Some expect the 1.5°C temperature threshold to be breached within the next five years, and recent predictions indicate any climate warming reprieve due to the global shutdown in the wake of COVID-19 may be temporary (<a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-53342806" target="_blank">BBC</a>,... | 2021-08-15 | Between August 2020 and July 2021, will global land and ocean surface temperatures rise 1.5°C or more above the 20th century average for any single month? | 2020-07-31 | [["2020-07-31", 0.61], ["2020-07-31", 0.68], ["2020-07-31", 0.61], ["2020-07-31", 0.63], ["2020-07-31", 0.65], ["2020-07-31", 0.7], ["2020-07-31", 0.75], ["2020-07-31", 0.7], ["2020-07-31", 0.75], ["2020-07-31", 0.7], ["2020-07-31", 0.7], ["2020-07-31", 0.4], ["2020-07-31", 0.7], ["2020-07-31", 0.45], ["2020-07-31", 0.... | ["http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/model-summary/#tabs=Bureau-model&region=IOD", "https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/global/time-series/globe/land_ocean/all/3/2000-2020", "https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/147703/the-cooler-sister-returns", "https://www.epa.gov/climate-indicators/climate-change-indicators-us-and-glo... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-03-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2721 |
<p>Only strike days called by the Royal College of Nursing will count for resolution (<a href="https://www.rcn.org.uk/news-and-events/news/uk-rcn-members-forced-to-strike-again-over-unfair-pay-and-fears-for-patient-safety-180123" target="_blank">Royal College of Nurses</a>). A strike for part of a day would... | 2023-03-01 | Will the number of Royal College of Nursing strike days in England in February 2023 exceed the number of strike days in January 2023? | 2023-01-18 | [["2023-01-18", 0.97], ["2023-01-18", 0.51], ["2023-01-18", 0.64], ["2023-01-18", 0.48], ["2023-01-19", 0.464], ["2023-01-19", 0.4117], ["2023-01-19", 0.4533], ["2023-01-19", 0.42], ["2023-01-19", 0.4113], ["2023-01-19", 0.4767], ["2023-01-19", 0.489], ["2023-01-19", 0.49], ["2023-01-19", 0.4492], ["2023-01-19", 0.4569... | ["https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/feb/04/nurses-offer-to-call-off-strikes-if-sunak-matches-welsh-pay-offer", "https://www.nhsemployers.org/articles/confirmed-industrial-action-strike-days", "https://www.theguardian.com/society/2023/feb/11/nurses-set-to-withdraw-from-ae-and-intensive-care-units-as-strike-intens... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-04-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2509 |
<p>There are concerns over US vulnerability to potential power outages/blackouts due to energy demand, aging infrastructure, and cyberattacks (<a href="https://infrastructurereportcard.org/cat-item/energy-infrastructure/" target="_blank">ASCE</a>, <a href="https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/how-does-us-power-... | 2023-04-01 | Will an electrical blackout lasting at least one hour and affecting 60 million or more people in the US and/or Canada occur before 1 April 2023? | 2022-08-05 | [["2022-08-05", 0.7], ["2022-08-05", 0.85], ["2022-08-05", 0.57], ["2022-08-05", 0.465], ["2022-08-05", 0.372], ["2022-08-05", 0.31], ["2022-08-05", 0.2671428571428571], ["2022-08-05", 0.235], ["2022-08-05", 0.2111111111111111], ["2022-08-05", 0.196], ["2022-08-05", 0.136], ["2022-08-06", 0.116], ["2022-08-06", 0.115],... | ["https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-X-zE44x5Fk", "https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-63829130", "https://www.researchgate.net/publication/3998949_Blackout_mitigation_assessment_in_power_transmission_systems", "https://www.cmu.edu/ceic/assets/docs/publications/working-papers/ceic-08-01.pdf", "https://lite.cnn.com/e... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-07-25 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2226 |
<p>On 13 December 2021, Tunisian President Kais Saied announced that the country would hold a referendum on a new constitution on 25 July 2022, exactly one year after he froze parliament and took over political control of the country (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2021/11/08/tunisia-is-settin... | 2022-07-25 | Will Tunisia hold a constitutional referendum before 1 August 2022? | 2021-12-15 | [["2021-12-17", 1.0], ["2021-12-17", 0.505], ["2021-12-17", 1.0], ["2021-12-17", 0.93], ["2021-12-17", 1.0], ["2021-12-18", 1.0], ["2021-12-18", 1.0], ["2021-12-18", 0.95], ["2021-12-18", 0.9], ["2021-12-18", 0.9], ["2021-12-18", 0.9], ["2021-12-19", 0.88], ["2021-12-19", 0.88], ["2021-12-19", 0.89], ["2021-12-19", 0.8... | ["https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/head-tunisias-constitution-committee-delivers-draft-president-2022-06-20/", "https://www.barrons.com/news/judge-quits-tunisia-electoral-board-to-support-strike-01655119507", "https://english.alarabiya.net/News/north-africa/2022/05/31/Tunisia-s-trade-union-announces-public-sector-s... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2022-06-24 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2214 |
<p>The Supreme Court is reviewing what could be the biggest abortion case since its decision in Planned Parenthood v. Casey in 1992 (<a href="https://www.oyez.org/cases/2021/19-1392" target="_blank">Oyez</a>, <a href="https://www.scotusblog.com/2021/12/majority-of-court-appears-poised-to-uphold-mississippis-ban-o... | 2022-06-24 | In Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, will the Supreme Court explicitly overrule Roe v. Wade? | 2021-12-03 | [["2021-12-03", 0.01], ["2021-12-03", 0.43], ["2021-12-03", 0.6], ["2021-12-03", 0.305], ["2021-12-03", 0.25], ["2021-12-03", 0.25], ["2021-12-03", 0.225], ["2021-12-03", 0.25], ["2021-12-03", 0.275], ["2021-12-03", 0.3], ["2021-12-04", 0.275], ["2021-12-04", 0.25], ["2021-12-04", 0.225], ["2021-12-04", 0.25], ["2021-1... | ["https://www.politico.com/news/2022/05/02/supreme-court-abortion-draft-opinion-00029473", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1366271", "https://www.foxnews.com/us/roe-v-wade-lawyer-dies-as-supreme-court-reconsiders-landmark-abortion-case", "https://www.cnn.com/2021/11/16/politics/americans-abortion-roe-v-wade-poll/index... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2021-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1477 |
<p>Regional tensions in the Middle East are running high since attacks against commercial vessels in the Gulf of Oman, the downing of a U.S. drone, and missile attacks on Saudi oil fields in 2019 (<a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-48245204" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="https://www.nbcnews.c... | 2021-01-01 | Before 1 January 2021, will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Iran and the United States either in Iran or at sea? | 2020-01-03 | [["2020-01-03", 0.5], ["2020-01-03", 0.35], ["2020-01-04", 0.74], ["2020-01-04", 0.35], ["2020-01-04", 0.7], ["2020-01-04", 0.825], ["2020-01-05", 0.75], ["2020-01-05", 0.755], ["2020-01-05", 0.68], ["2020-01-05", 0.69], ["2020-01-05", 0.66], ["2020-01-06", 0.65], ["2020-01-06", 0.65], ["2020-01-06", 0.65], ["2020-01-0... | ["https://www.businessinsider.com/elliott-abrams-iranian-missiles-in-venezuela-will-be-dealt-with-2020-12", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-12-05/biggest-iranian-flotilla-yet-en-route-to-venezuela-with-fuel", "https://www.wsj.com/articles/iran-pushed-online-effort-to-incite-violence-against-officials-defe... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-05-25 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2277 |
<p>As Russia invades Ukraine beyond the Donetsk and Luhansk People's Republics in eastern Ukraine, there is speculation as to how far Russia is willing to go (<a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60503037" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="https://www.npr.org/live-updates/russia-invades-ukraine-pu... | 2022-05-25 | Will President Volodymyr Zelensky either flee Ukraine or cease to be its president before 25 May 2022? | 2022-02-24 | [["2022-02-24", 0.97], ["2022-02-24", 0.99], ["2022-02-24", 1.0], ["2022-02-24", 1.0], ["2022-02-24", 1.0], ["2022-02-24", 1.0], ["2022-02-24", 1.0], ["2022-02-24", 1.0], ["2022-02-24", 0.99], ["2022-02-24", 0.99], ["2022-02-24", 1.0], ["2022-02-24", 1.0], ["2022-02-24", 1.0], ["2022-02-24", 0.99], ["2022-02-25", 0.99]... | ["https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/5/6/russia-what-is-victory-day-and-why-is-it-important-this-may-9", "https://www.linkedin.com/posts/institute-for-the-study-of-war_the-russian-military-has-likely-decided-to-activity-6931027387782488064-xRFu?utm_source=linkedin_share&utm_medium=member_desktop_web", "https://www... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
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