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True | 2022-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2061 |
<p>Skyrocketing housing prices in New Zealand are raising concerns about an asset bubble (<a href="https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/jun/10/house-prices-in-australia-and-new-zealand-among-worlds-fastest-growing-in-2021" target="_blank">Guardian</a>, <a href="https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/money/2021... | 2022-01-18 | Will the median price of a house in New Zealand exceed NZ$870,000 in December 2021, according to REINZ? | 2021-07-02 | [["2021-07-02", 1.0], ["2021-07-02", 0.755], ["2021-07-02", 1.0], ["2021-07-02", 1.0], ["2021-07-03", 0.875], ["2021-07-03", 1.0], ["2021-07-03", 0.935], ["2021-07-03", 0.87], ["2021-07-03", 0.935], ["2021-07-03", 0.935], ["2021-07-03", 1.0], ["2021-07-04", 0.935], ["2021-07-04", 0.87], ["2021-07-04", 0.865], ["2021-07... | ["https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/cooling-measures-doing-little-slow-new-zealands-housing-boom-2021-08-06/", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/sep/16/generation-frozen-out-new-zealand-house-prices-soar-despite-government-reform", "https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/BU2108/S00233/reinz-july-data-new-zealan... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2022-09-05 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2292 |
<p>As the Russia-Ukraine conflict develops, concerns have been raised regarding potential Russian cyberattacks (<a href="https://fortune.com/2022/02/24/what-if-russian-cyber-attacks-hit-west-ukraine-notpetya-ddos/" target="_blank">Fortune</a>, <a href="https://www.dw.com/en/russia-ukraine-conflict-what-role-do-cy... | 2022-09-05 | Between 4 March 2022 and 4 September 2022, will a NATO member state accuse the Russian government of conducting a lethal cyberattack against the same NATO member state resulting in at least five fatalities? | 2022-03-03 | [["2022-03-04", 0.7], ["2022-03-04", 0.3775], ["2022-03-04", 0.596], ["2022-03-04", 0.54], ["2022-03-04", 0.5825], ["2022-03-04", 0.556], ["2022-03-04", 0.429], ["2022-03-04", 0.403], ["2022-03-04", 0.336], ["2022-03-05", 0.239], ["2022-03-05", 0.166], ["2022-03-05", 0.173], ["2022-03-05", 0.114], ["2022-03-05", 0.111]... | ["http://www.ic3.gov/", "https://archive.ph/fhEwL", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyberwarfare_by_Russia", "https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/cyberattack-nato-could-trigger-collective-defence-clause-official-2022-02-28/", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ukraine_power_grid_hack", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1409... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-03-14 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2288 |
<p>Amid various sanctions being imposed against Russia in the wake of its invasion of Ukraine, countries are considering whether to block Russian access to SWIFT (<a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/business-60521822" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/russia-sanctions-swift-network-fina... | 2022-03-14 | Between 27 February 2022 and 27 August 2022, will Russia be restricted or banned from access to the SWIFT banking system? | 2022-02-26 | [["2022-02-26", 1.0], ["2022-02-26", 1.0], ["2022-02-26", 1.0], ["2022-02-26", 1.0], ["2022-02-26", 1.0], ["2022-02-26", 1.0], ["2022-02-26", 1.0], ["2022-02-26", 0.95], ["2022-02-26", 1.0], ["2022-02-26", 1.0], ["2022-02-26", 1.0], ["2022-02-26", 1.0], ["2022-02-26", 1.0], ["2022-02-26", 1.0], ["2022-02-26", 1.0], ["2... | ["https://www.gobankingrates.com/banking/checking-account/what-is-swift-code/", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2022/feb/26/russia-ukraine-latest-news-fighting-kyiv-zelenskiy-assault-putin-capital?page=with:block-621a6c808f08219c41a737b2#block-621a6c808f08219c41a737b2", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-russi... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2020-11-03 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1748 |
<p>After a bill joining Colorado to the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (NPVIC), which would require that the state's presidential electors vote for whichever candidate wins the popular vote in a presidential election, opponents successfully petitioned to put a veto referendum on the ballot (<a href="htt... | 2020-11-04 | Will Colorado voters approve Proposition 113 (Colorado National Popular Vote Interstate Compact Referendum)? | 2020-08-18 | [["2020-08-18", 1.0], ["2020-08-18", 0.9], ["2020-08-18", 0.95], ["2020-08-18", 0.975], ["2020-08-18", 1.0], ["2020-08-18", 0.975], ["2020-08-18", 0.95], ["2020-08-19", 0.975], ["2020-08-19", 1.0], ["2020-08-19", 0.975], ["2020-08-19", 0.975], ["2020-08-19", 1.0], ["2020-08-19", 1.0], ["2020-08-19", 1.0], ["2020-08-19"... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2021-08-14 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1882 |
<p>Section 230 is a statute that protects social media companies from liability for content their users post (<a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/what-is-section-230-and-why-do-so-many-lawmakers-want-to-repeal-it/" target="_blank">CBS News</a>, <a href="https://www.cfr.org/in-brief/trump-and-section-230-w... | 2021-08-15 | Will legislation amending or repealing Section 230 of the Communications Act of 1934 become law before 14 August 2021? | 2020-12-30 | [["2020-12-31", 0.6], ["2020-12-31", 0.65], ["2020-12-31", 0.6], ["2020-12-31", 0.6], ["2020-12-31", 0.35], ["2021-01-01", 0.2], ["2021-01-01", 0.15], ["2021-01-01", 0.2], ["2021-01-01", 0.335], ["2021-01-01", 0.35], ["2021-01-01", 0.275], ["2021-01-01", 0.25], ["2021-01-01", 0.225], ["2021-01-01", 0.225], ["2021-01-01... | ["https://www.congress.gov/bill/116th-congress/senate-bill/5020/text", "https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/house-republicans-draft-bill-to-strip-big-tech-companies-of-section-230-protections", "https://www.brookings.edu/techstream/a-guide-for-conceptualizing-the-debate-over-section-230/", "https://www.bloomberg.com/n... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2685 |
<p>The PRC continues to hold military drills near Taiwan as the island nation extends the term of mandatory military service (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2022/11/18/will-taiwan-be-the-ukraine-of-asia" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href="https://www.axios.com/2022/12/26/china-taiwa... | 2023-10-01 | Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of Taiwan and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 1 October 2023? | 2022-12-30 | [["2022-12-30", 0.285], ["2022-12-30", 0.2], ["2022-12-30", 0.32], ["2022-12-30", 0.2757], ["2022-12-30", 0.2533], ["2022-12-31", 0.2164], ["2022-12-31", 0.2092], ["2022-12-31", 0.19], ["2022-12-31", 0.1765], ["2022-12-31", 0.1663], ["2022-12-31", 0.1838], ["2022-12-31", 0.1787], ["2022-12-31", 0.1758], ["2022-12-31", ... | ["https://www.newsweek.com/china-rocket-force-changes-nuclear-xi-jinping-1816589", "https://www.foreignaffairs.com/china/taiwan-long-game-best-solution-jude-blanchette-ryan-hass", "https://press.armywarcollege.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2670&context=parameters", "https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-59900... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-11-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2375 |
<p>
Democrats continue to push President Biden to cancel most, if not all, federal student loan debt (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2022/04/28/biden-says-hes-not-considering-50000-in-student-loan-forgiveness-.html" target="_blank">CNBC</a>, <a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/student-loans-as-biden... | 2022-11-01 | Before 1 November 2022, will an executive order be signed or federal legislation become law that would forgive $10,000 or more in principal on federal student loan debts for at least ten million student loan borrowers? | 2022-04-29 | [["2022-04-29", 0.005], ["2022-04-29", 0.155], ["2022-04-29", 0.264], ["2022-04-29", 0.46], ["2022-04-30", 0.57625], ["2022-04-30", 0.6022222222222222], ["2022-04-30", 0.62], ["2022-04-30", 0.674], ["2022-04-30", 0.679], ["2022-04-30", 0.629], ["2022-04-30", 0.634], ["2022-05-01", 0.729], ["2022-05-01", 0.711], ["2022-... | ["https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/11/student-loan-forgiveness-is-now-tax-free-is-cancellation-coming-.html", "https://thehill.com/news/wire/3509803-heres-who-qualifies-for-the-25b-in-student-loan-forgiveness-already-approved/", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/us-policy/2022/05/27/biden-student-debt-borrower/", "https://ww... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-12-29 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2496 |
<p>After former President Gotabaya Rajapaksa fled Sri Lanka and resigned his office amid widespread economic protests, the Parliament of Sri Lanka elected former Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe to serve out the remainder of Rajapaksa's term (<a href="https://f24.my/8maE" target="_blank">France 24</a>, <a href... | 2022-12-29 | Will Ranil Wickremesinghe cease to be the president of Sri Lanka before 29 December 2022? | 2022-07-28 | [["2022-07-29", 0.01], ["2022-07-29", 0.38], ["2022-07-29", 0.35333333333333333], ["2022-07-29", 0.465], ["2022-07-29", 0.48], ["2022-07-29", 0.5166666666666667], ["2022-07-30", 0.4828571428571429], ["2022-07-30", 0.4725], ["2022-07-30", 0.4225], ["2022-07-30", 0.37555555555555553], ["2022-07-30", 0.37444444444444447],... | ["https://apnews.com/article/sri-lanka-ranil-wickremesinghe-international-monetary-fund-government-and-politics-e332e9df4c6e5ea0cafc224c1aa233c3", "https://www.imf.org/en/Countries/LKA", "https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/20/asia/sri-lanka-presidential-election-result-intl-hnk/index.html", "https://www.france24.com/en/live-n... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-06-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1840 |
<p>A record amount of renewable energy was consumed in 2019, though COVID-19 took its toll on overall energy consumption in the Spring of 2020 (<a href="https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=45516" target="_blank">EIA 19 October 2020</a>, <a href="https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php... | 2021-08-27 | Will the U.S. consume more energy from renewable sources in May 2021 than it did in May 2019, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)? | 2020-11-12 | [["2020-11-13", 1.0], ["2020-11-13", 0.9], ["2020-11-13", 0.95], ["2020-11-13", 0.975], ["2020-11-13", 1.0], ["2020-11-13", 1.0], ["2020-11-13", 1.0], ["2020-11-13", 1.0], ["2020-11-13", 1.0], ["2020-11-13", 1.0], ["2020-11-13", 1.0], ["2020-11-14", 1.0], ["2020-11-14", 1.0], ["2020-11-14", 1.0], ["2020-11-14", 1.0], [... | ["https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Data/DataDownload/ComprehensiveStatistics.aspx", "https://www.wsj.com/video/more-money-is-flowing-into-green-energy-than-ever-before-heres-why/B227310D-5972-4B82-BD81-33E09FCFCECC.html", "https://conference-board.org/research/us-forecast#:~:text=This%20results%20in%20an%20annual,3.2%20p... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2023-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2678 |
<p>Giorgia Meloni was sworn in as the first female prime minister of Italy in October 2022 amid high energy prices, the war in Ukraine, and various domestic issues (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2022/11/18/italians-will-soon-discover-who-the-real-giorgia-meloni-is" target="_blank">Econo... | 2023-10-01 | Will Giorgia Meloni cease to be the prime minister of Italy before 1 October 2023? | 2022-12-23 | [["2022-12-23", 0.38], ["2022-12-23", 0.365], ["2022-12-23", 0.26], ["2022-12-23", 0.2163], ["2022-12-23", 0.1922], ["2022-12-23", 0.1591], ["2022-12-24", 0.1462], ["2022-12-24", 0.1333], ["2022-12-24", 0.1471], ["2022-12-24", 0.1494], ["2022-12-24", 0.1425], ["2022-12-24", 0.1464], ["2022-12-24", 0.1383], ["2022-12-24... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
False | None | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2552 | <p>Various group continue to voice concern that Iran is developing a nuclear weapons capability (<a href="https://apnews.com/article/middle-east-iran-nuclear-united-nations-94b679d35c3be8524628579de087918f" target="_blank">AP</a>, <a href="https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2022-08-31/biden-israels-lapid-speak-... | None | Before 1 July 2024, will the US, IAEA, and/or a UN agency publicly state that it believes it more likely than not that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon capable of being detonated? | 2022-09-22 | [["2022-09-23", 0.01], ["2022-09-23", 0.025], ["2022-09-23", 0.0167], ["2022-09-23", 0.0125], ["2022-09-23", 0.034], ["2022-09-23", 0.044], ["2022-09-23", 0.066], ["2022-09-23", 0.0717], ["2022-09-23", 0.0757], ["2022-09-23", 0.0725], ["2022-09-24", 0.1089], ["2022-09-24", 0.1033], ["2022-09-24", 0.098], ["2022-09-24",... | ["https://www.iranwatch.org/our-publications/articles-reports/irans-nuclear-timetable-weapon-potential", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_weapons_and_Israel", "https://isis-online.org/isis-reports/detail/analysis-of-iaea-iran-verification-and-monitoring-report-may-2023", "https://www.fdd.org/analysis/2023/10/16/i... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | Not resolved. |
True | 2022-12-30 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2516 |
<p>Apple, one of the largest publicly traded companies in the world, briefly hit $3 trillion in market capitalization in January 2022 during intraday trading, but has never closed at that level (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/03/apple-becomes-first-us-company-to-reach-3-trillion-market-cap.html" target="_b... | 2023-01-02 | Will Apple's end-of-day closing market capitalization reach or exceed $3 trillion before 31 December 2022? | 2022-08-18 | [["2022-08-19", 0.6], ["2022-08-19", 0.55], ["2022-08-19", 0.5333], ["2022-08-19", 0.5], ["2022-08-19", 0.404], ["2022-08-19", 0.3867], ["2022-08-19", 0.3929], ["2022-08-19", 0.3638], ["2022-08-19", 0.3333], ["2022-08-19", 0.359], ["2022-08-19", 0.4173], ["2022-08-20", 0.3867], ["2022-08-20", 0.3954], ["2022-08-20", 0.... | ["https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oVofe7dZ5Cg", "https://edition.cnn.com/2023/03/25/politics/mitch-mcconnell-physical-therapy-rehab/index.html", "https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/AAPL/apple/market-cap", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2022-08-21/when-will-apple-announce-the-iphone-14-when-will-the-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2754 |
<p>Live Nation Entertainment, of which Ticketmaster is a part, is facing heavy scrutiny for its botched release of Taylor Swift concert tickets in late 2022 amid claims that it is a monopoly in violation of federal antitrust law (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/25/the-live-nation-and-ticketmaster-monopoly-o... | 2023-07-01 | Will the US Department of Justice and/or the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) file either a civil complaint or a criminal charge against Live Nation Entertainment for antitrust violations before 1 July 2023? | 2023-02-03 | [["2023-02-03", 0.97], ["2023-02-03", 0.795], ["2023-02-03", 0.7533], ["2023-02-03", 0.7275], ["2023-02-03", 0.782], ["2023-02-04", 0.6517], ["2023-02-04", 0.5729], ["2023-02-04", 0.5013], ["2023-02-04", 0.4589], ["2023-02-04", 0.4567], ["2023-02-04", 0.4567], ["2023-02-04", 0.451], ["2023-02-05", 0.41], ["2023-02-05",... | ["https://deadline.com/2021/04/ticketmaster-live-nation-joe-biden-justice-department-ftc-1234740234/", "https://news.yahoo.com/everyones-mad-at-ticketmaster-but-will-anything-change-144600016.html?fr=sycsrp_catchall", "https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/18/technology/live-nation-ticketmaster-investigation-taylor-swift.htm... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-06-11 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1564 |
<p>Coachella, an annual music festival that typically takes place in April, was rescheduled in 2020 due to concerns over COVID-19 (<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/10/arts/music/coronavirus-coachella-postponed.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a>, <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/10/entertainment/coache... | 2020-06-11 | Before 9 October 2020, will the music festival Coachella, which has been rescheduled for October 2020, be postponed or canceled? | 2020-03-19 | [["2020-03-20", 0.145], ["2020-03-20", 0.145], ["2020-03-20", 0.145], ["2020-03-20", 0.15], ["2020-03-20", 0.15], ["2020-03-20", 0.15], ["2020-03-20", 0.2], ["2020-03-21", 0.2], ["2020-03-21", 0.375], ["2020-03-21", 0.455], ["2020-03-21", 0.505], ["2020-03-21", 0.58], ["2020-03-21", 0.65], ["2020-03-21", 0.65], ["2020-... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2021-11-13 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2106 |
<p>A majority of the "Paris Rulebook" was adopted at COP24 in 2018, but unresolved issues remain (<a href="https://news.sky.com/story/with-100-days-to-cop26-what-are-these-climate-talks-and-why-are-they-so-important-12361324" target="_blank">Sky News</a>, <a href="https://www.wri.org/paris-rulebook" target=... | 2021-11-14 | Will the 26th UN Climate Change Conference of the Parties (COP26) announce the finalization of the "Paris Rulebook," the rules for implementing the 2015 Paris Agreement, before 16 November 2021? | 2021-08-26 | [["2021-08-27", 0.01], ["2021-08-27", 0.255], ["2021-08-27", 0.01], ["2021-08-27", 0.02], ["2021-08-27", 0.03], ["2021-08-27", 0.04], ["2021-08-27", 0.03], ["2021-08-28", 0.02], ["2021-08-28", 0.03], ["2021-08-28", 0.02], ["2021-08-28", 0.03], ["2021-08-28", 0.02], ["2021-08-28", 0.03], ["2021-08-28", 0.02], ["2021-08-... | ["https://www.theguardian.com/environment/ng-interactive/2021/nov/10/cop26-draft-text-annotated-what-it-says-and-what-it-means", "https://theconversation.com/we-finally-have-the-rulebook-for-the-paris-agreement-but-global-climate-action-is-still-inadequate-108918", "https://eciu.net/analysis/briefings/international-per... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2021-09-30 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1897 |
<p>North Macedonia has not completed a census since 2002, partly due to concern that it could disrupt the country's ethnic-conscious government (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2020/11/17/emigration-and-low-birth-rates-are-affecting-the-balkans" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a hre... | 2021-10-01 | Will North Macedonia announce that it has completed its census before 1 October 2021? | 2021-01-07 | [["2021-01-08", 0.75], ["2021-01-08", 0.75], ["2021-01-08", 0.875], ["2021-01-09", 0.69], ["2021-01-09", 0.69], ["2021-01-10", 0.565], ["2021-01-10", 0.5], ["2021-01-11", 0.45], ["2021-01-11", 0.5], ["2021-01-12", 0.35], ["2021-01-12", 0.33], ["2021-01-13", 0.4], ["2021-01-13", 0.22], ["2021-01-14", 0.405], ["2021-01-1... | ["https://popis2021.stat.gov.mk/%D0%9D%D0%B0%D1%81%D0%BB%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B8/%D0%9F%D1%80%D0%B8%D1%98%D0%B0%D0%B2%D1%83%D0%B2%D0%B0%D1%9A%D0%B5%D1%82%D0%BE-%D0%BD%D0%B0-%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%BD%D0%B4%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B0%D1%82%D0%B8-%D0%B7%D0%B0-%D0%9F%D0%BE%D0%BF%D0%B8%D1%81-2021-%D0%BF%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%BB%D0%B6%D1%83%... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2020-02-12 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1519 | <p>This is a notifications test. Please disregard.</p> | 2020-02-12 | Test | 2020-02-12 | [["2020-02-12", 0.51], ["2020-02-12", 0.51]] | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-01-21 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1860 |
<p>The Trump administration is exploring ways to allow mortgage finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to leave federal conservatorship, which was imposed in the midst of the 2008 financial crisis (<a href="https://www.fhfa.gov/Conservatorship/Pages/History-of-Fannie-Mae--Freddie-Conservatorships.aspx" target=... | 2021-01-21 | Before 21 January 2021, will the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) enter into a consent order that would allow Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to exit conservatorship? | 2020-12-09 | [["2020-12-09", 0.0], ["2020-12-09", 0.035], ["2020-12-09", 0.0], ["2020-12-09", 0.0], ["2020-12-09", 0.0], ["2020-12-09", 0.005], ["2020-12-09", 0.01], ["2020-12-09", 0.015], ["2020-12-09", 0.02], ["2020-12-10", 0.02], ["2020-12-10", 0.02], ["2020-12-10", 0.015], ["2020-12-10", 0.01], ["2020-12-10", 0.01], ["2020-12-1... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-07-30 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1684 |
<p>The National Basketball Association (NBA), which announced the suspension of the 2019-20 season on 11 March 2020 due to COVID-19, is planning to restart on 30 July 2020 (<a href="https://www.nba.com/article/2020/06/26/nba-nbpa-finalize-season-comeback-official-release" target="_blank">NBA</a>, <a href="https:/... | 2020-07-31 | Will the 2019-20 NBA season resume on 30 July 2020? | 2020-07-03 | [["2020-07-03", 0.55], ["2020-07-03", 0.775], ["2020-07-03", 1.0], ["2020-07-03", 0.775], ["2020-07-03", 1.0], ["2020-07-03", 1.0], ["2020-07-03", 1.0], ["2020-07-03", 1.0], ["2020-07-03", 1.0], ["2020-07-03", 0.95], ["2020-07-03", 0.995], ["2020-07-04", 0.945], ["2020-07-04", 0.97], ["2020-07-04", 0.945], ["2020-07-04... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2021-07-15 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1792 |
<p>Erdoğan is embroiled in several controversies in the region, including active engagement in the Libyan civil war, oil & gas exploration in the eastern Mediterranean, and Turkey's acquisition of Russian S-400 missile systems despite warnings from the U.S. and NATO (<a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/n... | 2021-07-15 | Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan cease to be president of Turkey before 15 July 2021? | 2020-09-25 | [["2020-09-25", 0.205], ["2020-09-25", 0.03], ["2020-09-25", 0.03], ["2020-09-25", 0.05], ["2020-09-25", 0.05], ["2020-09-25", 0.09], ["2020-09-25", 0.055], ["2020-09-25", 0.055], ["2020-09-25", 0.025], ["2020-09-25", 0.015], ["2020-09-25", 0.01], ["2020-09-25", 0.015], ["2020-09-25", 0.02], ["2020-09-26", 0.02], ["202... | ["https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/radicalization-of-turkeys-schoolbooks-shows-erdoans-grip-on-power-increasing-661068", "https://bit.ly/36er8E1", "https://www.npr.org/2020/05/25/861909600/turkish-president-may-call-elections-2-years-prior-the-end-of-his-term", "https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20210202-erdogan-calls... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-06-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1423 |
<p>Nicolas Maduro remains in power despite increasing international pressure and domestic instability (<a href="https://worldin.economist.com/article/17344/edition2020way-change-venezuela" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href="https://www.americasquarterly.org/content/where-will-maduro-end-ranking" target="_bla... | 2020-06-01 | Will Nicolas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before 1 June 2020? | 2019-12-12 | [["2019-12-13", 0.1], ["2019-12-14", 0.095], ["2019-12-14", 0.095], ["2019-12-14", 0.075], ["2019-12-15", 0.03], ["2019-12-15", 0.045], ["2019-12-16", 0.03], ["2019-12-16", 0.045], ["2019-12-17", 0.05], ["2019-12-17", 0.04], ["2019-12-18", 0.045], ["2019-12-19", 0.035], ["2019-12-21", 0.025], ["2019-12-22", 0.045], ["2... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-08-10 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2696 |
<p>Pop star Taylor Swift is scheduled to begin her "The Eras Tour" on 17 March 2023 in Glendale, Arizona, and end on 9 August 2023 in Los Angeles, California (<a href="https://www.taylorswift.com/events/" target="_blank">Taylor Swift - Events</a>). For the purposes of this question, a postponement of any sh... | 2023-08-10 | Will at least one US show in Taylor Swift's 2023 "The Eras Tour" be canceled? | 2023-01-05 | [["2023-01-06", 0.2], ["2023-01-06", 0.485], ["2023-01-06", 0.6233], ["2023-01-06", 0.68], ["2023-01-06", 0.632], ["2023-01-06", 0.5283], ["2023-01-06", 0.4814], ["2023-01-06", 0.5463], ["2023-01-06", 0.5411], ["2023-01-06", 0.587], ["2023-01-06", 0.5473], ["2023-01-07", 0.5427], ["2023-01-07", 0.5117], ["2023-01-07", ... | ["https://www.etonline.com/taylor-swift-and-joe-alwyn-break-up-after-six-years-of-dating-exclusive-202408", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/This_Is_It_(concert_residency", "https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/taylor-swift-adds-sixth-night-151826455.html?fr=sycsrp_catchall", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asteroid#Classi... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-12-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2250 |
<p>Tensions between the US and Iran remain high (<a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/tensions-rising-us-iran-new-years-seen-potential-flashpoint-rcna9347" target="_blank">NBC News</a>, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jan/17/iran-nuclear-talks-deadlock-risks-dangerous-vacuum... | 2022-12-01 | Before 1 December 2022, will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Iran and the United States either in Iran or at sea? | 2022-01-20 | [["2022-01-21", 0.0], ["2022-01-21", 0.005], ["2022-01-21", 0.006666666666666667], ["2022-01-21", 0.03], ["2022-01-21", 0.026], ["2022-01-21", 0.035], ["2022-01-21", 0.03], ["2022-01-21", 0.0275], ["2022-01-21", 0.024444444444444446], ["2022-01-21", 0.027], ["2022-01-21", 0.062], ["2022-01-21", 0.064], ["2022-01-22", 0... | ["https://www.cisa.gov/uscert/iran", "https://twitter.com/ferozwala/status/1502773055327772680", "https://www.axios.com/biden-bennett-call-iran-deal-vienna-talks-cb8240ef-a335-4cf7-92e6-7eeea33184fb.html", "https://nationalinterest.org/blog/middle-east-watch/israel-strikes-syrian-port-second-time-december-198702", "htt... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1816 |
<p>Boom Technology recently unveiled the XB-1, a one-third scale prototype of its future Overture supersonic airliner, and plans to test fly it for the first time in 2021 (<a href="https://boom-press-assets.s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/Boom-Supersonic-XB1-Rollout-Press-Release.pdf" target="_blank"... | 2022-01-03 | Will Boom Technology's XB-1 supersonic aircraft complete a successful test flight before 2022? | 2020-10-16 | [["2020-10-16", 0.76], ["2020-10-16", 0.86], ["2020-10-17", 0.9], ["2020-10-17", 0.925], ["2020-10-17", 0.925], ["2020-10-18", 0.95], ["2020-10-18", 0.95], ["2020-10-19", 0.925], ["2020-10-19", 0.9], ["2020-10-19", 0.925], ["2020-10-19", 0.925], ["2020-10-19", 0.925], ["2020-10-20", 0.975], ["2020-10-21", 0.99], ["2020... | ["https://interestingengineering.com/innovation/first-ever-independently-developed-supersonic-jet-on-its-way", "https://archive.is/4NlCX#selection-599.221-599.328", "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boom_XB-1", "https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/boom-supersonic-advances-flight-preparations-for-xb-1-301909250.html... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2024-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2597 |
<p>Over two years after a deadly clash in the Himalayas left dozens dead, tensions between China and India remain (<a href="https://thediplomat.com/2022/10/the-sino-indian-border-the-front-line-of-the-quad/" target="_blank">Diplomat</a>, <a href="https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/xi-jinping-promotes-thr... | 2024-01-01 | Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of India and the People's Republic of China before 1 January 2024? | 2022-10-26 | [["2022-10-26", 0.105], ["2022-10-26", 0.08], ["2022-10-26", 0.27], ["2022-10-26", 0.2386], ["2022-10-27", 0.2163], ["2022-10-27", 0.19], ["2022-10-28", 0.2433], ["2022-10-28", 0.2664], ["2022-10-28", 0.2919], ["2022-10-28", 0.265], ["2022-10-28", 0.2475], ["2022-10-29", 0.2452], ["2022-10-29", 0.2065], ["2022-10-30", ... | ["https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/china-will-focus-on-preparing-for-war-xi-jinping-declares/ar-AA13RBoR", "https://zeenews.india.com/world/whats-next-for-india-china-conflict-as-xi-jinping-begins-third-term-as-president-2537533.html", "https://www.economist.com/china/2022/09/22/some-progress-in-the-border-dispute-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-02-22 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2269 |
<p>On 15 February 2022, the Russian Duma, or lower house of parliament, voted to ask President Putin to recognize two breakaway regions in eastern Ukraine as independent (<a href="http://duma.gov.ru/en/news/53431/" target="_blank">Russian Duma</a>, <a href="https://www.dw.com/en/russian-duma-asks-putin-to-recogni... | 2022-02-22 | Will Russia officially recognize the Donetsk People's Republic and/or the Luhansk People's Republic in Ukraine as independent states before 1 September 2022? | 2022-02-17 | [["2022-02-18", 0.0], ["2022-02-18", 0.4], ["2022-02-18", 0.8], ["2022-02-18", 0.9], ["2022-02-18", 0.8], ["2022-02-18", 0.85], ["2022-02-18", 0.9], ["2022-02-18", 0.9], ["2022-02-18", 0.9], ["2022-02-18", 0.9], ["2022-02-18", 0.9], ["2022-02-18", 0.9], ["2022-02-18", 0.9], ["2022-02-18", 0.9], ["2022-02-18", 0.9], ["2... | ["https://mobile.twitter.com/ragipsoylu/status/1494788414205579265", "http://www.levadia.ru/en", "https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ukraine-defense-chief-says-low-probability-major-conflict-russia-contradicting-biden", "https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/02/21/world/ukraine-russia-putin-biden", "https://www.bbc.com... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2022-11-08 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2313 |
<p>President Volodymyr Zelensky has pushed for greater NATO involvement in the defense of Ukraine (<a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60629175" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/putin-warns-against-no-fly-zone-over-ukraine/" target="_blank">CBS News</a>). A qualifying let... | 2022-11-08 | Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces and/or law enforcement of Russia and those of a NATO member state resulting in at least three fatalities before 8 November 2022? | 2022-03-10 | [["2022-03-11", 0.02666666666666667], ["2022-03-11", 0.18333333333333332], ["2022-03-11", 0.27125], ["2022-03-11", 0.25], ["2022-03-11", 0.253], ["2022-03-12", 0.3], ["2022-03-12", 0.308], ["2022-03-12", 0.334], ["2022-03-12", 0.275], ["2022-03-12", 0.12545454545454546], ["2022-03-12", 0.18666666666666668], ["2022-03-1... | ["https://twitter.com/mentecritica/status/1521754768045133827?s=21&t=ZNhMfXhdgtzIEAdSJt8NZQ", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-turkey-warplane-idUSKCN0SA15K20151016", "https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/06/24/kaliningrad-russia-lithuania-crisis-lead-to-war/", "https://www.ft.com/content/c5e376f9-7351-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-03-10 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1424 | <p>Amid political turmoil in the South American country, Fitch Ratings downgraded Bolivia's long-term credit rating from BB- to B+ (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/bolivia-ratings-fitch/fitch-downgrades-bolivia-amid-political-instability-idUSL3N2815HF" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="https://www.fitchrat... | 2020-03-10 | Between 13 December 2019 and 1 May 2020, will either Moody's or S&P downgrade Bolivia's credit rating? | 2019-12-12 | [["2019-12-20", 0.45], ["2019-12-20", 0.7], ["2019-12-21", 0.95], ["2019-12-21", 0.95], ["2019-12-21", 0.95], ["2019-12-21", 0.95], ["2019-12-22", 0.88], ["2019-12-22", 0.865], ["2019-12-22", 0.85], ["2019-12-26", 0.865], ["2019-12-26", 0.85], ["2019-12-27", 0.85], ["2019-12-28", 0.85], ["2019-12-28", 0.85], ["2019-12-... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2021-01-07 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1809 |
<p>Per the 12th Amendment of the U.S. Constitution, the House of Representatives votes for the next president of the United States with one vote per state in the event that the electoral college fails to select a president (<a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/constitution/amendmentxii" target="_blank">Cornell (A... | 2021-01-14 | Before 21 January 2021, will the House of Representatives, pursuant to the 12th Amendment, vote to choose a president of the United States? | 2020-10-15 | [["2020-10-15", 0.01], ["2020-10-15", 0.005], ["2020-10-15", 0.0], ["2020-10-15", 0.005], ["2020-10-15", 0.0], ["2020-10-15", 0.0], ["2020-10-15", 0.0], ["2020-10-15", 0.0], ["2020-10-15", 0.0], ["2020-10-15", 0.0], ["2020-10-15", 0.0], ["2020-10-15", 0.0], ["2020-10-15", 0.0], ["2020-10-15", 0.0], ["2020-10-15", 0.0],... | ["https://apnews.com/article/safe-harbor-law-locks-congress-joe-biden-119b6e1570f33af0baee1493cbbe012b", "https://www.politico.com/news/2020/12/30/hawley-challenge-biden-electors-forcing-vote-452319", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electoral_Count_Act", "https://www.law.cornell.edu/constitution/amendmentxii"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2534 |
<p>The COVID-19 pandemic hit the us labor market hard, and labor force participation has not recovered to pre-pandemic levels (<a href="https://money.usnews.com/investing/news/articles/2022-08-29/could-feds-softening-labor-market-prediction-mean-4-million-lost-jobs" target="_blank">US News & World Report</a>,... | 2023-07-07 | Will the US civilian labor force participation rate reach or exceed 63.0% for any month before July 2023? | 2022-09-02 | [["2022-09-02", 0.1], ["2022-09-02", 0.15], ["2022-09-02", 0.3667], ["2022-09-02", 0.275], ["2022-09-02", 0.22], ["2022-09-02", 0.2483], ["2022-09-02", 0.2629], ["2022-09-02", 0.3425], ["2022-09-02", 0.3544], ["2022-09-03", 0.319], ["2022-09-03", 0.29], ["2022-09-03", 0.2958], ["2022-09-03", 0.2962], ["2022-09-03", 0.2... | ["https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CNP16OV", "https://www.brookings.edu/2022/08/03/can-a-hot-but-smaller-labor-market-keep-making-gains-in-participation/", "https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/jul/25/britains-great-unretirement-cost-of-living-drives-older-people-back-to-work", "https://tradingeconomics.com/unit... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1908 |
<p>Years of civil war and other factors have greatly increased food insecurity in Yemen, and the UN and others fear that US policy toward Houthi rebels may exacerbate the problems and lead to famine in the country (<a href="https://news.un.org/en/story/2021/01/1082082" target="_blank">UN</a>, <a href="https... | 2022-01-03 | Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen in 2021? | 2021-01-20 | [["2021-01-22", 0.175], ["2021-01-22", 0.33], ["2021-01-22", 0.39], ["2021-01-22", 0.25], ["2021-01-23", 0.165], ["2021-01-23", 0.24], ["2021-01-23", 0.3], ["2021-01-23", 0.35], ["2021-01-23", 0.29], ["2021-01-23", 0.315], ["2021-01-23", 0.34], ["2021-01-24", 0.35], ["2021-01-24", 0.35], ["2021-01-24", 0.38], ["2021-01... | ["https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/12/22/wfp-forced-to-cut-food-aid-to-yemen-amid-lacking-funds", "https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-envoy-back-gulf-push-yemen-truce-battles-spread-2021-07-28/", "https://fews.net/east-africa/yemen", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-yemen-security-timeline/timeline-yeme... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-11-08 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1807 |
<p>The outcome of this question will be determined using data for Brazil States reported by the World Health Organization between 9 October 2020 and 31 December 2020 (<a href="https://covid19.who.int/region/amro/country/br" target="_blank">WHO COVID-19 Dashboard (Brazil)</a>). For the seven consecutive day period... | 2020-11-10 | For any seven consecutive day period between 9 October and 31 December 2020, will there be fewer than 2,000 deaths of COVID-19 in the Brazil? | 2020-10-09 | [["2020-10-09", 1.0], ["2020-10-09", 0.535], ["2020-10-09", 0.07], ["2020-10-09", 0.07], ["2020-10-09", 0.335], ["2020-10-09", 0.435], ["2020-10-09", 0.8], ["2020-10-09", 0.65], ["2020-10-09", 0.5], ["2020-10-09", 0.415], ["2020-10-09", 0.5], ["2020-10-09", 0.505], ["2020-10-09", 0.505], ["2020-10-09", 0.505], ["2020-1... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2021-04-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1909 |
<p>Alibaba founder Jack Ma made his first public appearance on 20 January 2021 after three months since an October 2020 event in Shanghai where he was critical of Chinese regulators (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/china-alibaba-jack-ma/alibabas-jack-ma-makes-first-public-appearance-in-three-months... | 2021-04-01 | Will Chinese businessman Jack Ma physically appear in public outside of the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 1 April 2021? | 2021-01-20 | [["2021-01-22", 0.3], ["2021-01-22", 0.15], ["2021-01-22", 0.03], ["2021-01-22", 0.015], ["2021-01-22", 0.03], ["2021-01-22", 0.065], ["2021-01-22", 0.05], ["2021-01-22", 0.04], ["2021-01-22", 0.05], ["2021-01-22", 0.075], ["2021-01-22", 0.05], ["2021-01-22", 0.075], ["2021-01-22", 0.1], ["2021-01-23", 0.075], ["2021-0... | ["https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-54245327", "https://www.bbc.com/news/business-55728338", "https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/what-jack-ma-said-after-resurfacing-in-video-2355154", "https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-56448688", "https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/alibaba-jack-ma-first-public-appeara... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-04-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1843 |
<p>Nicolas Maduro remains in power despite continued international pressure and domestic instability (<a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/oct/25/leopoldo-lopez-flees-venezuela-vowing-to-continue-fighting-maduro-regime" target="_blank">Guardian</a>, <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2... | 2021-04-01 | Will Nicolas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before 1 April 2021? | 2020-11-13 | [["2020-11-13", 0.0], ["2020-11-13", 0.0], ["2020-11-14", 0.0], ["2020-11-14", 0.0], ["2020-11-14", 0.0], ["2020-11-14", 0.0], ["2020-11-14", 0.005], ["2020-11-14", 0.005], ["2020-11-14", 0.025], ["2020-11-14", 0.005], ["2020-11-14", 0.005], ["2020-11-14", 0.025], ["2020-11-14", 0.035], ["2020-11-14", 0.03], ["2020-11-... | ["https://www.state.gov/briefings/department-press-briefing-february-25-2021/#post-221634-VENEZUELA", "https://www.britannica.com/biography/Nicolas-Maduro", "https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/venezuela/#economy", "https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-52592824", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-09-14 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2088 |
<p>The NUG is a rival government established after the Myanmar Defense Forces staged a coup on 1 February 2021 (<a href="https://www.france24.com/en/asia-pacific/20210416-opponents-of-myanmar-s-junta-set-up-national-unity-government" target="_blank">France 24</a>, <a href="https://www.nugmyanmar.org/en/" ta... | 2021-10-04 | Before 2 October 2021, will the UN General Assembly recognize delegates from the National Unity Government (NUG) as representing Myanmar for the 76th General Assembly session? | 2021-07-30 | [["2021-07-30", 1.0], ["2021-07-30", 1.0], ["2021-07-30", 0.5], ["2021-07-30", 0.1], ["2021-07-30", 0.1], ["2021-07-31", 0.1], ["2021-07-31", 0.05], ["2021-07-31", 0.1], ["2021-07-31", 0.05], ["2021-07-31", 0.01], ["2021-07-31", 0.005], ["2021-07-31", 0.01], ["2021-07-31", 0.005], ["2021-08-01", 0.01], ["2021-08-01", 0... | ["https://mizzima.com/article/ambassador-u-kyaw-moe-tun-speaks-mizzima", "https://twitter.com/kyawtun62907405/status/1441199471992336385", "https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/taliban-myanmar-junta-unlikely-be-let-into-un-now-diplomats-2021-12-01/", "https://www.irrawaddy.com/in-person/interview/international-pr... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2022-05-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2305 |
<p>The question will be suspended on 30 April 2022 and the outcome determined using the annual rate of change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) as first reported by Eurostat for "Euro area - 19 countries (from 2015)" (<a href="https://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?dataset=prc_hicp_manr&... | 2022-05-18 | Will the annual rate of inflation for the eurozone reach or exceed 7.0% in April 2022 (2022M04)? | 2022-03-09 | [["2022-03-15", 0.0], ["2022-03-15", 0.48], ["2022-03-15", 0.96], ["2022-03-15", 0.785], ["2022-03-15", 0.96], ["2022-03-15", 0.785], ["2022-03-15", 0.61], ["2022-03-15", 0.51], ["2022-03-15", 0.41], ["2022-03-15", 0.48], ["2022-03-15", 0.55], ["2022-03-15", 0.48], ["2022-03-15", 0.41], ["2022-03-15", 0.395], ["2022-03... | ["https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/databrowser/bookmark/45736c4e-9103-4caf-bd69-b4e90efb62bc?lang=en", "https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Inflation_in_the_euro_area", "https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/databrowser/view/prc_hicp_manr/default/table?lang=en", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1417... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2021-11-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2062 |
<p>The EV charging station network in New Zealand is expanding (<a href="https://www.stuff.co.nz/motoring/evs/124892166/new-zealands-ev-charging-network-continues-to-expand" target="_blank">Stuff</a>). The outcome will be determined using data as provided by Waka Kotahi, New Zealand's transport agency (<a href="h... | 2021-11-01 | As of 1 November 2021, will Waka Kotahi list 321 or more qualifying electrical vehicle (EV) charging stations as available in New Zealand? | 2021-07-02 | [["2021-07-02", 0.0], ["2021-07-02", 0.45], ["2021-07-02", 0.78], ["2021-07-03", 0.69], ["2021-07-03", 0.7], ["2021-07-03", 0.7], ["2021-07-04", 0.73], ["2021-07-04", 0.72], ["2021-07-04", 0.735], ["2021-07-05", 0.75], ["2021-07-05", 0.75], ["2021-07-05", 0.75], ["2021-07-05", 0.75], ["2021-07-05", 0.75], ["2021-07-05"... | ["https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/BU2109/S00055/major-investment-accelerates-growth-of-chargenet.htm", "https://www.wel.co.nz/innovation/electric-vehicles/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1341651", "https://www.stuff.co.nz/environment/climate-news/125248940/eighty-electric-vehicle-charging-stations-on-the-way-for-hu... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-12-14 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1826 |
<p>Following this year’s presidential election, the Trump campaign has filed suit over the treatment of mail-in ballots for several states (<a href="https://apnews.com/article/donald-trump-seeks-voting-stop-25762f69b27dfbccc4fd8077fb5fdc91" target="_blank">AP</a>, <a href="https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/52... | 2020-12-14 | Before 14 December 2020, will the U.S. Supreme Court hear oral arguments in a case related to any state’s 2020 presidential election results? | 2020-11-06 | [["2020-11-06", 0.995], ["2020-11-06", 1.0], ["2020-11-06", 0.995], ["2020-11-06", 1.0], ["2020-11-06", 1.0], ["2020-11-06", 0.99], ["2020-11-06", 0.945], ["2020-11-06", 0.825], ["2020-11-06", 0.75], ["2020-11-06", 0.425], ["2020-11-06", 0.425], ["2020-11-06", 0.425], ["2020-11-06", 0.5], ["2020-11-06", 0.6], ["2020-11... | ["https://eu.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/12/08/texas-supreme-court-disqualify-michigan-electors/6489232002/", "https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/22/22O155/163322/20201210115500103_2020-12-10%2520-%2520Motion%2520to%2520Intervene%2520... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-06-28 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1823 |
<p>Apple's iPhone net sales have fluctuated over the years, and as of October 2020 Apple has begun to sell the new iPhone 12 and its variants (<a href="https://www.apple.com/iphone/" target="_blank">Apple</a>). Industry analysts speculate whether 5G capability will bolster declining iPhone sales or if the p... | 2021-07-30 | Will Apple's iPhone net sales be higher in FY 2021 than FY 2019? | 2020-10-30 | [["2020-10-30", 0.0], ["2020-10-30", 0.355], ["2020-10-30", 0.3], ["2020-10-30", 0.155], ["2020-10-30", 0.3], ["2020-10-30", 0.3], ["2020-10-30", 0.45], ["2020-10-30", 0.6], ["2020-10-30", 0.55], ["2020-10-30", 0.5], ["2020-10-30", 0.55], ["2020-10-31", 0.6], ["2020-10-31", 0.6], ["2020-10-31", 0.625], ["2020-10-31", 0... | ["https://s2.q4cdn.com/470004039/files/doc_financials/2021/q3/FY21_Q3_Consolidated_Financial_Statements.pdf", "https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/27/apple-aapl-earnings-q3-2021.html", "https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/27/apple-aapl-earnings-q1-2021.html", "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/320193/000032019321000056/aapl-20... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2022-06-02 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2148 |
<p>The Boards of Trustees for Medicare (also Boards) report annually to the Congress on the financial operations and actuarial status of the program (<a href="https://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-and-Systems/Statistics-Trends-and-Reports/ReportsTrustFunds" target="_blank">Centers for Medicare & Medica... | 2022-06-06 | In its 2022 report, will the Board of Trustees for Medicare project the year of asset depletion of the Hospital Insurance trust fund ("HI," aka Medicare Part A) to be 2025 or before? | 2021-10-01 | [["2021-10-01", 1.0], ["2021-10-01", 0.8], ["2021-10-02", 1.0], ["2021-10-03", 1.0], ["2021-10-03", 1.0], ["2021-10-03", 0.9], ["2021-10-03", 0.8], ["2021-10-06", 0.825], ["2021-10-07", 0.8], ["2021-10-07", 0.825], ["2021-10-07", 0.825], ["2021-10-07", 0.875], ["2021-10-07", 0.85], ["2021-10-15", 0.85], ["2021-10-18", ... | ["https://www.cms.gov/files/document/2022-medicare-trustees-report.pdf"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-06-27 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2539 |
<p>In February 2022, the NC Supreme Court struck down congressional district maps approved by the state General Assembly as "illegal partisan gerrymanders" (<a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2022/02/04/north-carolina-congressional-map-struck-down-00005974" target="_blank">Politico</a>, <a href="https:/... | 2023-06-27 | In Moore v. Harper, will the Supreme Court rule that the North Carolina courts did not have the legal authority to strike down the NC General Assembly's congressional districting maps? | 2022-09-02 | [["2022-09-02", 0.09], ["2022-09-02", 0.23], ["2022-09-02", 0.32], ["2022-09-02", 0.3025], ["2022-09-03", 0.322], ["2022-09-03", 0.2683], ["2022-09-03", 0.2667], ["2022-09-03", 0.3186], ["2022-09-03", 0.3475], ["2022-09-03", 0.3867], ["2022-09-04", 0.448], ["2022-09-04", 0.45], ["2022-09-04", 0.4727], ["2022-09-05", 0.... | ["https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2022/12/supreme-court-elections-legislature-trump-north-carolina.html", "https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3978137-nc-supreme-court-overrules-decision-that-struck-down-voting-maps/", "https://electionlawblog.org/?p=133411", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/03/02/su... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-04-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2667 |
<p>Investments by US venture capital firms in crypto and blockchain technology peaked in the first quarter of 2022 at over $6 billion, but the pace of investment has fallen considerably since (<a href="https://nonrival.substack.com/p/will-vcs-give-up-on-crypto" target="_blank">Nonrival</a>, see first chart)... | 2023-05-23 | Will US venture capital (VC) investment in cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology exceed $2 billion in either the fourth quarter of 2022 or first quarter of 2023? | 2022-12-09 | [["2022-12-09", 0.0], ["2022-12-09", 0.0], ["2022-12-09", 0.05], ["2022-12-09", 0.0333], ["2022-12-09", 0.0375], ["2022-12-10", 0.078], ["2022-12-10", 0.0733], ["2022-12-10", 0.2057], ["2022-12-10", 0.185], ["2022-12-10", 0.2744], ["2022-12-10", 0.255], ["2022-12-10", 0.256], ["2022-12-10", 0.2336], ["2022-12-10", 0.25... | ["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mississippi_Company", "https://blockworks.co/news/funding-roundup-crypto-infrastructure", "https://www.reuters.com/technology/slowing-crypto-startup-funding-may-still-surpass-2021-record-pitchbook-2022-12-08/", "https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q4-2022-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor-fi... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-05-30 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2795 |
<p>While China in November 2022 agreed to allow German expatriates in the country to receive Pfizer/BioNTech COVID-19 vaccines, China has yet to approve more effective foreign mRNA COVID-19 vaccines for use among Chinese citizens (<a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/olaf-scholz-china-visit-secures-bion... | 2023-05-31 | Will the Chinese government publicly announce that it has approved the use of a foreign mRNA COVID-19 vaccine for use among its citizens in the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 31 May 2023? | 2023-03-14 | [["2023-03-15", 0.0], ["2023-03-15", 0.025], ["2023-03-15", 0.02], ["2023-03-15", 0.0275], ["2023-03-15", 0.042], ["2023-03-15", 0.0417], ["2023-03-15", 0.0443], ["2023-03-15", 0.045], ["2023-03-15", 0.0456], ["2023-03-15", 0.042], ["2023-03-15", 0.0427], ["2023-03-15", 0.0392], ["2023-03-15", 0.0369], ["2023-03-15", 0... | ["https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/22/business/china-mrna-covid-vaccine.html", "https://dragontrail.com/resources/blog/chinese-outbound-and-inbound-travel-rules-roundup", "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/3/22/china-approves-first-domestic-mrna-covid-19-vaccine", "https://finance.yahoo.com/news/china-finally-approves... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2019-12-18 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1406 | <p>In 2014, a special status for local self-government was granted to the Donbas region of Eastern Ukraine, encompassing the Donetsk and Luhansk regions (<a href="https://worldin.economist.com/article/17330/edition2020world-2020-through-putins-eyes" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href="https://www.kyivpost.com/artic... | 2019-12-26 | Before 1 February 2020, will Ukraine adopt a new law giving or extending Donbas special status for local self-government? | 2019-11-22 | [["2019-11-22", 0.15], ["2019-11-23", 0.2], ["2019-11-24", 0.575], ["2019-11-25", 0.48], ["2019-11-25", 0.195], ["2019-11-25", 0.215], ["2019-11-25", 0.38], ["2019-11-25", 0.3], ["2019-11-25", 0.25], ["2019-11-25", 0.345], ["2019-11-25", 0.25], ["2019-11-25", 0.25], ["2019-11-25", 0.2], ["2019-11-25", 0.05], ["2019-11-... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2021-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1669 |
<p>In an attempt to diversify its energy supply, the UAE has been constructing a nuclear power plant in cooperation with the Korea Electric Power Corp. (<a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-17/atomic-arabia-u-a-e-reactor-passes-final-hurdle-to-startup" target="_blank">Bloomberg</a>, <a h... | 2021-01-02 | Before 1 January 2021, will the Barakah nuclear power plant begin to supply electricity to the United Arab Emirates (UAE) power grid? | 2020-06-26 | [["2020-06-26", 1.0], ["2020-06-26", 0.975], ["2020-06-26", 0.95], ["2020-06-26", 0.915], ["2020-06-26", 0.88], ["2020-06-26", 0.79], ["2020-06-26", 0.7], ["2020-06-26", 0.775], ["2020-06-26", 0.85], ["2020-06-26", 0.85], ["2020-06-27", 0.79], ["2020-06-27", 0.79], ["2020-06-27", 0.73], ["2020-06-27", 0.79], ["2020-06-... | ["https://www.world-nuclear-news.org/Articles/First-UAE-nuclear-reactor-reaches-full-power", "https://saudigazette.com.sa/article/601116", "https://www.google.co.uk/amp/www.businesskorea.co.kr/news/articleViewAmp.html%3fidxno=56420", "https://www.enec.gov.ae/news/latest-news/uae-achieves-1400mw-of-clean-electricity-as-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-02-05 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1934 |
<p>On 1 February 2021, the military (aka "Defence Services") of Myanmar detained various government officials and declared a one-year state of emergency under the constitution (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-myanmar-politics-military-text/statement-from-myanmar-military-on-state-of-emerge... | 2022-02-07 | Will the powers of the government of Myanmar cease to be held by the military before 5 February 2022? | 2021-02-12 | [["2021-02-12", 0.25], ["2021-02-12", 0.4], ["2021-02-12", 0.25], ["2021-02-12", 0.225], ["2021-02-12", 0.25], ["2021-02-12", 0.25], ["2021-02-12", 0.25], ["2021-02-12", 0.225], ["2021-02-12", 0.2], ["2021-02-13", 0.19], ["2021-02-13", 0.2], ["2021-02-13", 0.225], ["2021-02-13", 0.25], ["2021-02-13", 0.225], ["2021-02-... | ["https://apnews.com/article/business-health-elections-coronavirus-pandemic-myanmar-8504af88bd5b2c2c2b30c7da5baa8ad5", "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/2/1/world-accused-of-sitting-and-watching-as-myanmar-slides-to-war", "https://www.cnn.com/2021/10/12/asia/myanmar-win-myint-coup-intl-hnk/index.html", "https://www.... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-09-25 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2060 |
<p>Mozambique's ongoing insurgency in the northern province of Cabo Delgado intensified in 2020 (<a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-56441499" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/11/23/mozambique-tanzania-sign-deal-to-join-fight-against-armed-groups" target="_blank">Al... | 2021-10-05 | Will a member of the forces from an African country other than Mozambique be killed in a lethal confrontation in Cabo Delgado before 1 April 2022? | 2021-06-30 | [["2021-06-30", 1.0], ["2021-06-30", 1.0], ["2021-06-30", 1.0], ["2021-07-01", 0.975], ["2021-07-01", 0.95], ["2021-07-01", 0.725], ["2021-07-01", 0.95], ["2021-07-01", 0.975], ["2021-07-01", 0.95], ["2021-07-01", 0.875], ["2021-07-01", 0.8], ["2021-07-01", 0.775], ["2021-07-01", 0.8], ["2021-07-02", 0.875], ["2021-07-... | ["https://bit.ly/3AXiA1y", "https://www.caboligado.com/reports/cabo-ligado-weekly-6-12-september-2021", "https://www.caboligado.com/", "https://www.caboligado.com/reports/cabo-ligado-weekly-23-29-august-2021", "https://www.caboligado.com/reports/cabo-ligado-weekly-13-19-september-2021", "https://bit.ly/2VHJbkd", "https... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2020-12-08 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1830 |
<p>The outcome will be determined using team record data as reported by the NFL (<a href="https://www.nfl.com/standings/" target="_blank">NFL</a>). Ties would be counted as 1/2 of a win (<a href="https://operations.nfl.com/the-rules/nfl-tiebreaking-procedures/" target="_blank">NFL</a>).</p><p></p><p><span style="... | 2020-12-08 | Will the Washington Football Team (fka Washington Redskins) win five or more regular season games in the 2020 NFL season? | 2020-11-09 | [["2020-11-10", 0.4], ["2020-11-10", 0.53], ["2020-11-10", 0.57], ["2020-11-10", 0.485], ["2020-11-10", 0.485], ["2020-11-10", 0.4], ["2020-11-10", 0.485], ["2020-11-10", 0.4], ["2020-11-10", 0.4], ["2020-11-10", 0.4], ["2020-11-10", 0.4], ["2020-11-10", 0.4], ["2020-11-10", 0.4], ["2020-11-10", 0.39], ["2020-11-10", 0... | ["https://www.pro-football-reference.com/teams/was/2020/gamelog/", "https://www.thelines.com/odds/washington-football-team/"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2023-08-25 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2816 |
<p>Elon Musk announced that Trump's Twitter account was reactivated after a poll held on the site, but Trump not tweeted since 2021 (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/29/donald-trump-is-back-on-social-media-and-now-what-happens.html" target="_blank">CNBC</a>, <a href="https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump... | 2023-08-25 | Will there be a new tweet on former President Donald Trump's Twitter account, @realdonaldtrump, before 1 December 2023? | 2023-03-30 | [["2023-03-31", 0.62], ["2023-03-31", 0.71], ["2023-03-31", 0.7567], ["2023-03-31", 0.73], ["2023-03-31", 0.754], ["2023-03-31", 0.7533], ["2023-03-31", 0.7617], ["2023-03-31", 0.7957], ["2023-03-31", 0.8088], ["2023-03-31", 0.83], ["2023-03-31", 0.813], ["2023-03-31", 0.8182], ["2023-03-31", 0.8333], ["2023-03-31", 0.... | ["https://arbital.com/p/bayes_rule/?l=1zq", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chebyshev%27s_inequality", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/68%E2%80%9395%E2%80%9399.7_rule", "https://edition.cnn.com/2023/05/09/politics/e-jean-carroll-trump-lawsuit-battery-defamation-verdict/index.html", "https://www.statology.org/probability-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2024-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2698 |
<p>Taiwan has raised concerns regarding potential actions by the People's Republic of China in the Pratas Island (<a href="https://www.news.com.au/technology/innovation/military/china-reportedly-debated-attacking-taiwans-pratas-islands/news-story/d12105d9ef57b6c5f448b1e5d7c1297a" target="_blank">News.com.au</a>, ... | 2024-01-01 | Before 1 January 2024, will Taiwan publicly accuse the People's Republic of China of landing military personnel on the Pratas Islands without authorization? | 2023-01-06 | [["2023-01-06", 0.05], ["2023-01-06", 0.075], ["2023-01-06", 0.0833], ["2023-01-06", 0.075], ["2023-01-06", 0.066], ["2023-01-06", 0.055], ["2023-01-06", 0.0471], ["2023-01-06", 0.0471], ["2023-01-06", 0.0475], ["2023-01-06", 0.0422], ["2023-01-06", 0.038], ["2023-01-06", 0.0391], ["2023-01-07", 0.0358], ["2023-01-07",... | ["https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/BRP_Sierra_Madre", "https://digitallibrary.un.org/record/4000912/files/S_PV.9245-EN.pdf?ln=en", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Taiwanese_presidential_election", "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wmTEZic71rE", "https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S2214635021000666"... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-12-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2676 |
<p>Over the years, China has used various forces to project power toward its neighbors in and around the South China Sea (<a href="https://e.vnexpress.net/news/news/china-drill-meant-to-coerce-south-china-sea-claims-experts-4437504.html" target="_blank">VNExpress</a>, <a href="https://apnews.com/article/chi... | 2023-12-01 | Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of the People's Republic of China and those of Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and/or Vietnam before 1 December 2023? | 2022-12-16 | [["2022-12-16", 0.0], ["2022-12-16", 0.1], ["2022-12-16", 0.07], ["2022-12-16", 0.055], ["2022-12-16", 0.044], ["2022-12-16", 0.0367], ["2022-12-16", 0.0383], ["2022-12-16", 0.04], ["2022-12-16", 0.0343], ["2022-12-17", 0.0363], ["2022-12-17", 0.0322], ["2022-12-17", 0.049], ["2022-12-17", 0.0455], ["2022-12-17", 0.042... | ["https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/03/23/chinese-military-claims-warned-us-warship-leave-south-china/", "https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/26/world/asia/philippines-us-military.html", "https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/philippines-says-chinese-navy-ship-spotted-near-disputed-island-2023-03-04/", "http... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-08-18 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1538 |
<p>Talk of a “brokered” Democratic convention, where multiple ballots at the convention are necessary to select the presidential nominee, has been rising after rule changes and close results in Iowa and New Hampshire (<a href="https://www.cnn.com/2020/02/12/politics/democrats-2020-brokered-convention/index.html" ... | 2020-08-19 | Will the Democratic Party nominate their presidential candidate on the first ballot of the presidential roll call at the 2020 Democratic National Convention? | 2020-02-21 | [["2020-02-21", 0.15], ["2020-02-21", 0.475], ["2020-02-22", 0.5], ["2020-02-22", 0.51], ["2020-02-22", 0.51], ["2020-02-22", 0.575], ["2020-02-22", 0.4], ["2020-02-22", 0.525], ["2020-02-22", 0.54], ["2020-02-23", 0.54], ["2020-02-23", 0.465], ["2020-02-23", 0.53], ["2020-02-23", 0.505], ["2020-02-23", 0.4], ["2020-02... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2020-10-07 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1596 |
<p>The status of the COVID-19 outbreak during late 2020 is an open question as experts look into the possible "next waves" (<a href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/marleycoyne/2020/04/02/the-us-may-be-heading-to-a-second-or-even-fourth-wave-of-the-coronavirus-epidemic-heres-what-that-means/#213abca516a0" targ... | 2020-10-07 | For any seven consecutive day period between 1 October and 31 December 2020, will there be 200,000 or more combined total confirmed new cases of COVID-19 in the United States? | 2020-04-17 | [["2020-04-17", 0.1], ["2020-04-17", 0.215], ["2020-04-17", 0.4], ["2020-04-17", 0.5], ["2020-04-18", 0.575], ["2020-04-18", 0.5], ["2020-04-18", 0.375], ["2020-04-18", 0.25], ["2020-04-18", 0.235], ["2020-04-18", 0.235], ["2020-04-18", 0.1], ["2020-04-18", 0.15], ["2020-04-19", 0.15], ["2020-04-19", 0.2], ["2020-04-19... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
False | 2024-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2728 | <p>Investment in artificial intelligence (AI) has grown considerably in just the past decade, with some raising concerns about the potential consequences of embracing the technology (<a href="https://www.techrepublic.com/article/ai-investments-soared-2021-big-problems-remain/" target="_blank">TechRepublic</a>, <a href=... | None | Will total global corporate investment in AI in 2023 reach or exceed $300 billion, according to the Artificial Intelligence Index? | 2023-01-23 | [["2023-01-24", 0.85], ["2023-01-24", 0.425], ["2023-01-24", 0.6133], ["2023-01-24", 0.71], ["2023-01-24", 0.768], ["2023-01-24", 0.64], ["2023-01-24", 0.6914], ["2023-01-24", 0.6675], ["2023-01-24", 0.6663], ["2023-01-24", 0.6389], ["2023-01-24", 0.6256], ["2023-01-24", 0.633], ["2023-01-24", 0.6055], ["2023-01-24", 0... | ["https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/other/google-is-freaking-out-about-chatgpt/ar-AA16zdfg", "https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/23/03/n31372886/global-ai-training-dataset-market-report-2023-rapid-development-of-ai-and-learning-machines-drives", "https://www.tortoisemedia.com/2023/04/18/ai-hot-summer/", "https://aiin... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | Not resolved. |
True | 2021-06-11 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1806 |
<p>The outcome of this question will be determined using data for the United States reported by the World Health Organization between 9 October 2020 and 30 June 2021 (<a href="https://covid19.who.int/region/amro/country/us" target="_blank">WHO COVID-19 Dashboard</a>). For the seven consecutive d... | 2021-06-14 | For any seven consecutive day period between 9 October 2020 and 15 June 2021, will there be fewer than 50,000 combined total confirmed new cases of COVID-19 in the United States? | 2020-10-09 | [["2020-10-09", 0.05], ["2020-10-09", 0.035], ["2020-10-09", 0.02], ["2020-10-09", 0.065], ["2020-10-10", 0.09], ["2020-10-10", 0.45], ["2020-10-10", 0.65], ["2020-10-11", 0.7], ["2020-10-11", 0.7], ["2020-10-11", 0.8], ["2020-10-11", 0.285], ["2020-10-12", 0.35], ["2020-10-12", 0.285], ["2020-10-12", 0.27], ["2020-10-... | ["https://covidactnow.org/?s=1898818", "https://covid19.who.int/region/amro/country/us", "https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president", "https://covid19-projections.com/path-to-herd-immunity/#comparison-projected-vs-actual", "https://share.streamlit.io/yagudin/gjo-calibration/main/strmlt.py", "https://cov... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1630 |
<p>Chapter 9 filings have been rare since the mechanism was created to allow U.S. municipalities to file for bankruptcy (<a href="https://muninetguide.com/municipal-bankruptcy-statistics/" target="_blank">MuniNet Guide</a>). There is concern that the COVID-19 pandemic might create a surge in filings (<a href="htt... | 2021-01-29 | Will there be 12 or more Chapter 9 municipal bankruptcy filings in 2020? | 2020-05-21 | [["2020-05-21", 0.815], ["2020-05-21", 0.935], ["2020-05-21", 0.89], ["2020-05-22", 0.81], ["2020-05-22", 0.69], ["2020-05-22", 0.605], ["2020-05-22", 0.475], ["2020-05-22", 0.475], ["2020-05-22", 0.58], ["2020-05-22", 0.75], ["2020-05-22", 0.85], ["2020-05-22", 0.875], ["2020-05-23", 0.875], ["2020-05-23", 0.875], ["2... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-12-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1829 |
<p>On 10 October 2020 while celebrating the 75th anniversary of the founding of the Workers' Party of Korea, North Korea revealed a ballistic missile estimated to be larger than the Hwasong-15 (<a href="https://www.38north.org/2020/10/melleman102120/" target="_blank">38 North</a>, <a href="https://www.bbc.c... | 2020-12-01 | Will North Korea launch an ICBM with a length of at least 20 meters before 1 December 2020? | 2020-11-09 | [["2020-11-10", 0.05], ["2020-11-10", 0.15], ["2020-11-10", 0.07], ["2020-11-10", 0.06], ["2020-11-10", 0.05], ["2020-11-10", 0.06], ["2020-11-10", 0.06], ["2020-11-10", 0.05], ["2020-11-10", 0.04], ["2020-11-10", 0.05], ["2020-11-10", 0.04], ["2020-11-10", 0.03], ["2020-11-10", 0.03], ["2020-11-10", 0.02], ["2020-11-1... | ["https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sobekhotep_III", "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Merneferre_Ay", "https://hu.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iuhetibu_Fendi", "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minoan_eruption"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-08-05 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2290 |
<p>Soon after invading Ukraine, Russia put its nuclear forces on "special alert" (<a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60547473" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-kyiv-business-europe-moscow-2e4e1cf784f22b6afbe5a2f936725550" target="_blank">AP</a>). A radiologic... | 2022-08-05 | Before 5 August 2022, will Russia detonate a nuclear device outside of Russian territory or airspace? | 2022-03-03 | [["2022-03-04", 0.0], ["2022-03-04", 0.05], ["2022-03-04", 0.01], ["2022-03-04", 0.01], ["2022-03-04", 0.01], ["2022-03-04", 0.01], ["2022-03-04", 0.01], ["2022-03-04", 0.01], ["2022-03-04", 0.01], ["2022-03-04", 0.01], ["2022-03-04", 0.01], ["2022-03-04", 0.01], ["2022-03-04", 0.01], ["2022-03-05", 0.01], ["2022-03-05... | ["https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-19/russia-will-not-use-nuclear-weapons-in-ukraine-lavrov-says", "https://www.economist.com/europe/2022/08/02/what-would-push-the-west-and-russia-to-nuclear-war", "https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-news-war-russia-putin-nuclear-live-latest-updates-12541713", "https://yo... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-03-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2252 |
<p>Baseball club owners locked players out of their facilities after their collective bargaining agreement with the MLB Players Association expired on 1 December 2021, though negotiations between the parties continue (<a href="https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/33111294/mlb-players-association-make-counteroffer-... | 2022-03-31 | Will Major League Baseball's (MLB's) Opening Day occur on 31 March 2022? | 2022-01-28 | [["2022-01-28", 0.03], ["2022-01-28", 0.515], ["2022-01-28", 1.0], ["2022-01-28", 0.8], ["2022-01-29", 0.9], ["2022-01-29", 0.95], ["2022-01-29", 1.0], ["2022-01-29", 0.95], ["2022-01-29", 0.9], ["2022-01-29", 0.85], ["2022-01-29", 0.9], ["2022-01-29", 0.9], ["2022-01-29", 0.9], ["2022-01-30", 0.9], ["2022-01-30", 0.95... | ["https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/33167564/nearly-two-months-mlb-lockout-to-worry-spring-training-opening-day", "https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/33322364/mlb-delays-start-spring-training-march-5-cba-negotiations-resume-monday", "https://www.foxnews.com/sports/mlb-players-reject-offer-deadline", "https://www.msn... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-09-26 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1685 |
<p>The National Basketball Association (NBA), which announced the suspension of the 2019-20 season on 11 March 2020 due to COVID-19, is planning to restart on 30 July 2020 (<a href="https://www.nba.com/article/2020/06/26/nba-nbpa-finalize-season-comeback-official-release" target="_blank">NBA</a>, <a href="h... | 2020-10-05 | Will ten or more of the remaining games in the 2019-2020 NBA season be canceled? | 2020-07-03 | [["2020-07-03", 0.1], ["2020-07-03", 0.1], ["2020-07-03", 0.1], ["2020-07-03", 0.1], ["2020-07-03", 0.1], ["2020-07-03", 0.15], ["2020-07-03", 0.1], ["2020-07-04", 0.1], ["2020-07-04", 0.1], ["2020-07-04", 0.15], ["2020-07-04", 0.265], ["2020-07-04", 0.265], ["2020-07-04", 0.265], ["2020-07-04", 0.4], ["2020-07-05", 0.... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-04-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2132 |
<p>The COVID-19 pandemic hit airlines particularly hard, with Emirates airline's total revenue for the fiscal/financial year (FY) 2020-21 declining 66% to AED 30.9 billion, or US$ 8.4 billion (<a href="https://www.emirates.com/media-centre/emirates-group-announces-2020-21-results/" target="_blank">Emirates</a>, <... | 2022-05-29 | Will Emirates airline revenues for FY 2021-22 reach at least 75% of FY 2019-20 revenues, or AED 68,979 million? | 2021-09-24 | [["2021-09-24", 0.0], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 1.0], ["2021-09-24", 1.0], ["2021-09-25", 1.0], ["2021-09-25", 0.95], ["2021-09-25", 0.9], ["2021-09-25", 0.95], ["2021-09-25", 1.0], ["2021-09-26", 1.0], ["2021-09-26", 1.0], ["2021-09-26", 1.0], ["2021-09-26", 1.0], ["2021-09-26", 1.0], ["... | ["https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1353199", "https://www.emirates.com/media-centre/emirates-group-announces-half-year-performance-for-2021-22/", "https://investor-relations.lufthansagroup.com/fileadmin/downloads/en/charts-speeches/LH-QR-2021-3-charts.pdf", "https://www.emirates.com/media-centre/emirates-group-announces... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2020 |
<p>The COVID-19 pandemic has hit the US labor market hard, though it has been recovering (<a href="https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/04/14/u-s-labor-market-inches-back-from-the-covid-19-shock-but-recovery-is-far-from-complete/" target="_blank">Pew Research</a>, <a href="https://apnews.com/article/archive... | 2022-01-07 | Will the US civilian labor force participation rate reach or exceed 63.0% for any month in 2021? | 2021-05-27 | [["2021-05-28", 0.15], ["2021-05-28", 0.475], ["2021-05-28", 0.8], ["2021-05-28", 0.88], ["2021-05-28", 0.96], ["2021-05-28", 0.88], ["2021-05-28", 0.96], ["2021-05-28", 0.98], ["2021-05-29", 0.98], ["2021-05-29", 0.97], ["2021-05-29", 0.96], ["2021-05-29", 0.97], ["2021-05-29", 0.96], ["2021-05-29", 0.96], ["2021-05-2... | ["https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/labor-force-participation-rate", "http://www.lmtonline.com/insider/article/Unemployment-rises-in-Laredo-16373858.php&ved=2ahUKEwiDtL-8oqnyAhUuSPEDHfHfBqQQxfQBMAN6BAgJEAM&usg=AOvVaw3-O-T7SOL7nGDFeE-mZu2n", "https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/less-two-weeks-millions-a... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
False | None | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2850 | <p>The "misery index," or the unemployment rate plus the rate of inflation, is a measure of economic hardship first used in the US in the 1970s (<a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/miseryindex.asp" target="_blank">Investopedia - Misery Index</a>). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2024 if still op... | None | Will the value of the "misery index" for the eurozone reach or exceed 17.5% for any month in 2023 or 2024? | 2023-04-13 | [["2023-04-13", 1.0], ["2023-04-13", 0.6], ["2023-04-13", 0.73], ["2023-04-13", 0.7975], ["2023-04-14", 0.638], ["2023-04-14", 0.5317], ["2023-04-14", 0.4557], ["2023-04-14", 0.4729], ["2023-04-14", 0.445], ["2023-04-14", 0.4322], ["2023-04-14", 0.4311], ["2023-04-14", 0.468], ["2023-04-14", 0.466], ["2023-04-15", 0.46... | ["https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dtY5f5BkfT33GRTwGtcC689VNktjqyKuY_lrpY5bSi0/edit?usp=sharing", "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dtY5f5BkfT33GRTwGtcC689VNktjqyKuY_lrpY5bSi0/edit#gid=0", "https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/euro-zone-inflation-drops-lowest-over-two-years-2023-10-31/", "https://commis... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | Not resolved. |
True | 2020-08-05 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1688 |
<p>The outcome will be determined using "All polls" data provided by FiveThirtyEight's "How Popular Is Donald Trump" page (<a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/" target="_blank">FiveThirtyEight</a>). On 1 July 2020, Trump's approval rating was 40.5%.</p><p><span style="font-s... | 2020-08-06 | Will President Trump's approval rating be lower on 5 August 2020 than it was on 1 July 2020, according to FiveThirtyEight? | 2020-07-07 | [["2020-07-07", 0.75], ["2020-07-07", 0.685], ["2020-07-07", 0.75], ["2020-07-07", 0.85], ["2020-07-07", 0.85], ["2020-07-07", 0.89], ["2020-07-07", 0.865], ["2020-07-07", 0.865], ["2020-07-07", 0.85], ["2020-07-07", 0.83], ["2020-07-07", 0.76], ["2020-07-07", 0.79], ["2020-07-07", 0.76], ["2020-07-07", 0.77], ["2020-0... | ["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wilhelm_II,_German_Emperor#Life_in_exile", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Death_of_Adolf_Hitler", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Napoleon#Exile_on_Saint_Helena"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1655 |
<p>The four officers involved in the 25 May 2020 death of George Floyd while in Minneapolis police custody are facing various state charges, and U.S. Attorney General William Barr has also announced a federal civil rights investigation into Floyd’s death (<a href="https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/03/us/george-floyd-of... | 2021-01-04 | Before 1 January 2021, will federal criminal charges be filed against any of the Minneapolis police officers involved in the death of George Floyd? | 2020-06-12 | [["2020-06-12", 0.925], ["2020-06-12", 1.0], ["2020-06-12", 0.95], ["2020-06-12", 0.925], ["2020-06-12", 0.88], ["2020-06-12", 0.925], ["2020-06-12", 0.925], ["2020-06-12", 0.845], ["2020-06-12", 0.945], ["2020-06-12", 0.97], ["2020-06-12", 0.945], ["2020-06-12", 0.905], ["2020-06-12", 0.93], ["2020-06-12", 0.86], ["20... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-04-07 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2575 |
<p>Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko accused Ukraine of provocations due to the latter's deployment of troops to the border (<a href="https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2022-10-04/belaruss-lukashenko-accuses-ukraine-of-border-provocations" target="_blank">US News & World Report</a>... | 2023-04-07 | Will the government of Belarus publicly announce or acknowledge that its armed forces have engaged in armed fighting in Ukraine before 7 April 2023? | 2022-10-06 | [["2022-10-07", 0.08], ["2022-10-07", 0.0367], ["2022-10-07", 0.244], ["2022-10-07", 0.21], ["2022-10-07", 0.1956], ["2022-10-07", 0.187], ["2022-10-07", 0.1642], ["2022-10-07", 0.1514], ["2022-10-07", 0.1506], ["2022-10-08", 0.1478], ["2022-10-08", 0.138], ["2022-10-08", 0.1443], ["2022-10-08", 0.1445], ["2022-10-08",... | ["https://mfa.gov.by/en/bilateral/russia/#:~:text=Traditionally%2C%20Russia%20is%20both%20our,of%20the%20Republic%20of%20Belarus", "http://belarus%20opposition%20says%20it%20damaged%20russian%20warplane/", "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/3/1/china-belarus-presidents-call-for-ukraine-cease-fire-talks", "https://www... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2024-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2743 |
<p>Construction began on the Barakah Nuclear Energy Plant in 2012, with two of its four reactors having already begun commercial operations (<a href="https://www.enec.gov.ae/barakah-plant/" target="_blank">Barakah Nuclear Energy Plant</a>, <a href="https://www.nucnet.org/news/first-commercial-nuclear-plant-in-ara... | 2024-01-01 | Before 1 January 2024, will all four reactor units at the Barakah nuclear power plant have begun commercial operation? | 2023-02-02 | [["2023-02-02", 0.2], ["2023-02-02", 0.115], ["2023-02-03", 0.0767], ["2023-02-03", 0.0575], ["2023-02-03", 0.076], ["2023-02-04", 0.08], ["2023-02-04", 0.0867], ["2023-02-05", 0.0886], ["2023-02-05", 0.09], ["2023-02-11", 0.1133], ["2023-02-11", 0.0911], ["2023-02-12", 0.0911], ["2023-02-14", 0.082], ["2023-02-15", 0.... | ["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barakah_nuclear_power_plant", "https://www.enec.gov.ae/barakah-plant/frequently-asked-questions/#:~:text=The%20Barakah%20Nuclear%20Energy%20Plant%20consists%20of%20four%20APR1400%20nuclear,safety", "https://www.msn.com/en-ae/news/national/uae-barakah-nuclear-plant-can-withstand-a-turkey-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-08-20 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1974 |
<p>After the US Senate voted against a $15.00 an hour federal minimum wage, proponents have shifted to new strategies (<a href="https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/541826-senate-rejects-sanders-15-minimum-wage-hike" target="_blank">The Hill</a>, <a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/democrats-minimum-wage-s... | 2021-08-20 | Will legislation raising the US federal minimum wage become law before 20 August 2021? | 2021-04-01 | [["2021-04-02", 0.9], ["2021-04-02", 0.455], ["2021-04-02", 0.18], ["2021-04-02", 0.095], ["2021-04-02", 0.095], ["2021-04-02", 0.09], ["2021-04-02", 0.08], ["2021-04-02", 0.065], ["2021-04-02", 0.08], ["2021-04-03", 0.065], ["2021-04-03", 0.065], ["2021-04-03", 0.065], ["2021-04-03", 0.065], ["2021-04-03", 0.08], ["20... | ["https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/546215-senate-parliamentarian-to-let-democrats-bypass-filibuster-with-third-bill", "https://www.npr.org/2021/04/05/984596350/ruling-by-senate-parliamentarian-opens-up-potential-pathway-for-democrats", "https://www.cnn.com/2021/01/26/politics/congress-15-dollar-minimum-wage-increase... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-09-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2125 |
<p>Tensions between Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan continue over Ethiopia's filling of the GERD, designed to become the largest hydroelectric plant in Africa and provide electricity to millions of people (<a href="https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2021/09/nile-dam-dispute-remains-stalled-egypt-sudan-run-out-option... | 2022-09-01 | Before 1 September 2022, will Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan sign an agreement governing the filling of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) reservoir? | 2021-09-17 | [["2021-09-17", 0.5], ["2021-09-17", 0.37], ["2021-09-17", 0.4633333333333333], ["2021-09-18", 0.5475], ["2021-09-18", 0.638], ["2021-09-18", 0.6983333333333334], ["2021-09-18", 0.6557142857142857], ["2021-09-18", 0.67], ["2021-09-18", 0.58625], ["2021-09-18", 0.5333333333333333], ["2021-09-18", 0.48], ["2021-09-18", 0... | ["https://www.aa.com.tr/en/africa/sudan-pushes-for-new-methodology-for-nile-dam-talks/2207685", "https://www.cfr.org/global-conflict-tracker/conflict/conflict-ethiopia", "https://www.state.gov/u-s-relations-with-ethiopia/", "https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-47203691", "https://theconversation.com/nile-basin-at-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2066 |
<p>As diplomatic tensions between the EU and the People's Republic of China (PRC) have risen, there is a push within EU institutions to begin negotiations on a bilateral investment agreement with Taiwan (<a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/meps-push-brussels-follow-biden-taiwan-trade-eu-parliament-china/" ta... | 2022-01-03 | Before 1 January 2022, will the European Commission (EC) recommend that the Council of the European Union authorize the EC to open negotiations with Taiwan on an investment agreement? | 2021-07-09 | [["2021-07-09", 1.0], ["2021-07-09", 0.75], ["2021-07-09", 0.5], ["2021-07-09", 0.5], ["2021-07-10", 0.26], ["2021-07-10", 0.02], ["2021-07-10", 0.015], ["2021-07-10", 0.02], ["2021-07-10", 0.015], ["2021-07-10", 0.02], ["2021-07-10", 0.085], ["2021-07-10", 0.02], ["2021-07-10", 0.085], ["2021-07-10", 0.02], ["2021-07-... | ["https://oeil.secure.europarl.europa.eu/oeil/popups/ficheprocedure.do?reference=2021/2037(INI)&l=en", "https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-slams-china-as-systemic-rival-as-trade-tension-rises/", "https://www.europarl.europa.eu/doceo/document/AFET-PR-691427_EN.pdf", "https://www.politico.eu/article/china-throws-eu-t... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-08-22 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2809 |
<p>South Africa is scheduled to host the 15th BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) Summit in August 2023 (<a href="https://www.gov.za/speeches/president-cyril-9-mar-2023-0000" target="_blank">South African Government</a>, <a href="https://www.voanews.com/a/as-brics-chair-south-africa-vows-to-adv... | 2023-08-24 | Will Vladimir Putin attend the 2023 BRICS Summit in South Africa? | 2023-03-23 | [["2023-03-24", 0.1], ["2023-03-24", 0.2667], ["2023-03-24", 0.36], ["2023-03-24", 0.28], ["2023-03-24", 0.4078], ["2023-03-24", 0.442], ["2023-03-24", 0.4058], ["2023-03-24", 0.3986], ["2023-03-24", 0.4081], ["2023-03-24", 0.4017], ["2023-03-24", 0.4115], ["2023-03-24", 0.3745], ["2023-03-25", 0.3696], ["2023-03-25", ... | ["https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-66247067", "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/6/13/us-lawmakers-want-s-africa-to-lose-trade-summit-over-russia-ties", "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SLtQ9gu_NmA", "https://www.sabcnews.com/sabcnews/putin-unlikely-to-attend-brics-summit-physically-analyst/", "https://www.news2... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-04-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2665 |
<p>The outcome will be determined using data as first reported by the Workers’ Compensation Board of British Columbia (<a href="https://www.worksafebc.com/en/covid-19/claims/covid-19-claims-by-industry-sector" target="_blank">WorkSafeBC</a>, see "Monthly COVID-19 claims registered"). In December 2021, 213 C... | 2023-04-14 | Will British Columbia have more than 2,100 workplace COVID-19 claims registered for any month between December 2022 and March 2023? | 2022-12-09 | [["2022-12-09", 0.95], ["2022-12-09", 0.825], ["2022-12-09", 0.5667], ["2022-12-10", 0.5375], ["2022-12-10", 0.47], ["2022-12-10", 0.445], ["2022-12-10", 0.4171], ["2022-12-10", 0.3838], ["2022-12-10", 0.3456], ["2022-12-11", 0.3444], ["2022-12-11", 0.31], ["2022-12-11", 0.3727], ["2022-12-12", 0.3467], ["2022-12-13", ... | ["http://www.bccdc.ca/Health-Info-Site/Documents/COVID_sitrep/LTC_Acute/LTC-AL_COVID-19_Outbreak_Report_20221208.pdf", "https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/05/world/canada/bonnie-henry-british-columbia-coronavirus.html", "http://www.bccdc.ca/health-info/diseases-conditions/covid-19/data"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1411 |
<p>Amid large-scale economic protests, calls for reform of Chile’s pension system have grown (<a href="https://www.ft.com/content/4f8107f8-0fd4-11ea-a7e6-62bf4f9e548a" target="_blank">Financial Times</a>, <a href="https://apnews.com/31ab8e9f5b9a467abdda53616edc72c2" target="_blank">AP</a>, <a href="https://... | 2021-07-01 | Before 1 July 2021, will the Chilean government pass legislation that caps administrative fees and/or operating profits of the country's pension fund managers? | 2019-12-04 | [["2019-12-04", 0.95], ["2019-12-04", 0.525], ["2019-12-04", 0.35], ["2019-12-04", 0.45], ["2019-12-04", 0.445], ["2019-12-04", 0.45], ["2019-12-04", 0.405], ["2019-12-05", 0.36], ["2019-12-05", 0.355], ["2019-12-05", 0.355], ["2019-12-05", 0.355], ["2019-12-05", 0.35], ["2019-12-06", 0.35], ["2019-12-06", 0.35], ["201... | ["https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1166858"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-10-12 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2559 |
<p>Widespread protests have broken out in Iran after a woman who was arrested for breaking hijab rules died in police custody (<a href="https://www.npr.org/2022/09/21/1124237272/mahsa-amini-iran-women-protest-hijab-morality-police" target="_blank">NPR</a>, <a href="https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2022/09/ira... | 2022-10-12 | Between 16 September 2022 and 31 October 2022, will anti-government protests in Iran result in 200 or more protester fatalities, according to Iran Human Rights? | 2022-09-23 | [["2022-09-23", 0.3], ["2022-09-23", 0.155], ["2022-09-23", 0.3067], ["2022-09-23", 0.23], ["2022-09-23", 0.384], ["2022-09-23", 0.345], ["2022-09-23", 0.3243], ["2022-09-23", 0.3713], ["2022-09-23", 0.3838], ["2022-09-23", 0.3656], ["2022-09-23", 0.389], ["2022-09-23", 0.389], ["2022-09-23", 0.3791], ["2022-09-23", 0.... | ["https://iranhr.net/en/articles/5499/", "https://www.reddit.com/r/interestingasfuck/comments/xz9tr9/some_of_the_military_forces_join_the_revolution/", "https://iranhr.net/en/articles/5515/", "https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-october-5", "https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/at-least-50-killed-as... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2020-08-05 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1690 |
<p>The social media giant’s next quarterly earnings release is scheduled for 29 July 2020 amid an advertiser boycott that began in June over hate speech monitoring on the site (<a href="https://investor.fb.com/investor-events/default.aspx" target="_blank">Facebook</a>, <a href="https://www.politico.com/news... | 2020-08-06 | Will the closing price of Facebook stock be higher on 5 August 2020 than it was on 7 July 2020? | 2020-07-08 | [["2020-07-08", 0.16], ["2020-07-08", 0.03], ["2020-07-08", 0.03], ["2020-07-08", 0.16], ["2020-07-08", 0.31], ["2020-07-08", 0.45], ["2020-07-08", 0.45], ["2020-07-08", 0.45], ["2020-07-08", 0.45], ["2020-07-08", 0.525], ["2020-07-08", 0.525], ["2020-07-08", 0.56], ["2020-07-08", 0.545], ["2020-07-08", 0.54], ["2020-0... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2022-03-04 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2119 |
<p>In 2015, Tsarnaev was sentenced to death for his role in the 2013 Boston Marathon bombing and its aftermath (<a href="https://abcnews.go.com/US/jury-reaches-verdict-boston-marathon-bombing-penalty-phase/story?id=31067121" target="_blank">ABC News</a>). The First Circuit Court of Appeals vacated the sentence, f... | 2022-03-04 | In United States v. Tsarnaev, will the Supreme Court reinstate the death sentence imposed against Boston Marathon bomber Dzhokhar Tsarnaev? | 2021-09-09 | [["2021-09-10", 1.0], ["2021-09-10", 0.95], ["2021-09-10", 1.0], ["2021-09-10", 0.95], ["2021-09-10", 1.0], ["2021-09-11", 0.95], ["2021-09-11", 0.91], ["2021-09-11", 0.905], ["2021-09-11", 0.9], ["2021-09-11", 0.875], ["2021-09-11", 0.85], ["2021-09-11", 0.875], ["2021-09-11", 0.9], ["2021-09-11", 0.9], ["2021-09-12",... | ["https://www.boston25news.com/news/local/boston-marathon-bomber-dzhokhar-tsarnaev-got-1400-covid-relief-payment/BVKRJUHHHVEIFBVS5IM3INNDNI/", "http://library.law.virginia.edu/gorsuchproject/u-s-v-summers/", "https://www.annenbergclassroom.org/resource/right-trial-impartial-jury/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1332... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2021-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1559 |
<p>The spread of desert locusts in East Africa is testing an already food-insecure region (<a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-51501832" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/02/26/usaid-mark-green-locust-swarms-east-africa/" target="_blank">Foreign Policy</a>, <a href="http:... | 2021-01-04 | Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia, Tanzania, or Uganda in 2020? | 2020-03-12 | [["2020-03-13", 0.305], ["2020-03-13", 0.43], ["2020-03-13", 0.43], ["2020-03-14", 0.5], ["2020-03-14", 0.5], ["2020-03-14", 0.5], ["2020-03-14", 0.5], ["2020-03-14", 0.535], ["2020-03-15", 0.535], ["2020-03-15", 0.535], ["2020-03-15", 0.57], ["2020-03-15", 0.57], ["2020-03-15", 0.59], ["2020-03-16", 0.65], ["2020-03-1... | ["https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EI-wz9IGfcw", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-ethiopia-conflict-attack/inside-a-military-base-in-ethiopias-tigray-soldiers-decry-betrayal-by-former-comrades-idUSKBN28R1IE", "https://apnews.com/article/ethiopia-abiy-ahmed-kenya-0fb8647516d9be83d45fee2f1e4d13ae", "https://www.reuters... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-03-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2339 |
<p>The US Senate rejected a $15.00 an hour federal minimum wage proposal, but there are still pushes for a raise (<a href="https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/541826-senate-rejects-sanders-15-minimum-wage-hike" target="_blank">The Hill</a>, <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/02/biden-touts-more-aid-for-familie... | 2023-03-01 | Will legislation raising the US federal minimum wage from $7.25 an hour become law before 1 March 2023? | 2022-04-05 | [["2022-04-06", 1.0], ["2022-04-06", 1.0], ["2022-04-06", 0.96], ["2022-04-06", 0.72], ["2022-04-06", 0.745], ["2022-04-06", 0.7375], ["2022-04-06", 0.75], ["2022-04-06", 0.655], ["2022-04-06", 0.6683333333333333], ["2022-04-06", 0.7157142857142857], ["2022-04-06", 0.71875], ["2022-04-06", 0.75], ["2022-04-06", 0.775],... | ["https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/22/wages-rise-at-the-fastest-pace-in-years-firms-profits-could-take-a-hit.html", "https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/national/dbm-raising-minimum-wage-of-gov-e2-80-99t-workers-requires-legislation/ar-AA14uYxy", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1499427", "https://www.ncsl.org/research/labor-an... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-12-30 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2156 |
<p>While cryptocurrency ETFs have been authorized in other jurisdictions, attempts to create a crypto ETF in the US continue (<a href="https://www.theblockcrypto.com/linked/119365/sec-rolls-decisions-on-four-bitcoin-etf-applications-to-end-of-2021" target="_blank">The Block</a>, <a href="https://www.cp24.com/news... | 2023-01-01 | Will a cryptocurrency exchange-traded fund (ETF) trade on the NYSE and/or NASDAQ stock exchanges before 31 December 2022? | 2021-10-08 | [["2021-10-08", 0.1], ["2021-10-08", 0.55], ["2021-10-08", 0.6], ["2021-10-08", 0.7], ["2021-10-08", 0.598], ["2021-10-09", 0.665], ["2021-10-09", 0.7128571428571429], ["2021-10-09", 0.69875], ["2021-10-09", 0.7322222222222222], ["2021-10-10", 0.669], ["2021-10-10", 0.674], ["2021-10-10", 0.596], ["2021-10-10", 0.622],... | ["https://www.cnbc.com/2021/10/24/what-first-bitcoin-futures-etf-means-for-cryptocurrency-industry.html", "https://seekingalpha.com/news/3812742-two-spot-bitcoin-etfs-rejected-by-sec", "https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/the-sec-just-approved-the-closest-thing-to-a-us-bitcoin-etf-you-can-buy-for-now/ar-AAPfqQw", "... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2024-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2868 |
<p>Abdoulaye Bathily, head of the UN Support Mission in Libya, has said that elections in the war-torn country are possible in 2023, though obstacles remain (<a href="https://press.un.org/en/2023/sc15261.doc.htm" target="_blank">UN Security Council</a>, <a href="https://libyaherald.com/2023/04/libyas-new-dynamic-... | 2024-01-02 | Will UN-sanctioned national elections be held in Libya in 2023? | 2023-04-27 | [["2023-04-28", 1.0], ["2023-04-28", 0.55], ["2023-04-28", 0.4933], ["2023-04-28", 0.62], ["2023-04-29", 0.578], ["2023-04-29", 0.4817], ["2023-04-29", 0.5129], ["2023-04-29", 0.4988], ["2023-04-29", 0.4822], ["2023-04-29", 0.4822], ["2023-04-29", 0.454], ["2023-04-29", 0.4627], ["2023-04-29", 0.44], ["2023-04-29", 0.4... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1418 |
<p>Amid large-scale economic protests, calls for the reform of Chile’s pension system have grown (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-chile-protests-pensions/chiles-fiery-anger-fueled-by-fears-of-poverty-in-old-age-idUSKBN1XB3U8" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="https://www.ipe.com/reports/speci... | 2020-07-02 | Before 1 July 2020, will the Chilean government pass legislation nationalizing private pension fund assets? | 2019-12-11 | [["2019-12-11", 0.65], ["2019-12-11", 0.35], ["2019-12-11", 0.3], ["2019-12-12", 0.35], ["2019-12-12", 0.3], ["2019-12-12", 0.25], ["2019-12-12", 0.175], ["2019-12-12", 0.175], ["2019-12-12", 0.1], ["2019-12-13", 0.05], ["2019-12-13", 0.05], ["2019-12-13", 0.1], ["2019-12-13", 0.095], ["2019-12-13", 0.14], ["2019-12-14... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1962 |
<p>After a technical failure marred a test flight in December 2019, Boeing is pushing ahead to get its Starliner into orbit to dock with the ISS (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2020/11/17/there-will-be-lots-of-new-space-missions-in-2021" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href="https://ww... | 2021-07-01 | Will a Boeing Starliner spacecraft dock with the International Space Station (ISS) before 1 July 2021? | 2021-03-12 | [["2021-03-12", 0.0], ["2021-03-12", 0.025], ["2021-03-12", 0.01], ["2021-03-12", 0.015], ["2021-03-12", 0.01], ["2021-03-12", 0.015], ["2021-03-12", 0.02], ["2021-03-12", 0.015], ["2021-03-13", 0.01], ["2021-03-13", 0.01], ["2021-03-13", 0.01], ["2021-03-13", 0.01], ["2021-03-13", 0.01], ["2021-03-13", 0.01], ["2021-0... | ["https://spaceflightnow.com/2021/03/02/boeings-next-starliner-test-flight-delayed-after-spacex-crew-rotation/", "https://spacepolicyonline.com/events/boeing-starliner-oft-2-uncrewed-flight-test-mar-29-2021/#:~:text=Original%20Entry%3A%20NASA%20and%20Boeing,flight%20on%20March%2029%2C%202021", "https://mobile.twitter.c... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2024-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2862 |
<p>Drought, conflict, and other factors have left millions in Yemen and the Horn of Africa facing potential famine (<a href="https://www.npr.org/2022/12/05/1139836511/the-worlds-response-to-hunger-crisis-in-east-africa-is-inadequate-say-aid-worker" target="_blank">NPR</a>, <a href="https://www.pbs.org/newsh... | 2024-01-02 | Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen or a country in the Horn of Africa before 1 January 2024? | 2023-04-21 | [["2023-04-21", 0.07], ["2023-04-21", 0.11], ["2023-04-21", 0.12], ["2023-04-22", 0.315], ["2023-04-22", 0.252], ["2023-04-22", 0.21], ["2023-04-22", 0.18], ["2023-04-22", 0.2488], ["2023-04-22", 0.2433], ["2023-04-22", 0.269], ["2023-04-22", 0.2445], ["2023-04-22", 0.2908], ["2023-04-22", 0.28], ["2023-04-22", 0.2743]... | ["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Sudanese_refugee_crisis", "https://data.humdata.org/visualization/horn-of-africa-humanitarian-operations/?layer=chirps-rainfall-marmay", "https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/putin-says-russia-considering-withdrawal-grain-deal-2023-06-13/", "https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/no... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-11-03 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1747 |
<p>In 1996, California voters approved Proposition 209, which states that California "shall not discriminate against, or grant preferential treatment to, any individual or group on the basis of race, sex, color, ethnicity, or national origin in the operation of public employment, public education, or public... | 2020-11-05 | Will California voters approve Proposition 16 (Repeal Proposition 209 Affirmative Action Amendment)? | 2020-08-18 | [["2020-08-18", 0.5], ["2020-08-18", 0.745], ["2020-08-18", 0.75], ["2020-08-18", 0.51], ["2020-08-18", 0.28], ["2020-08-18", 0.49], ["2020-08-18", 0.27], ["2020-08-19", 0.49], ["2020-08-19", 0.27], ["2020-08-19", 0.49], ["2020-08-19", 0.28], ["2020-08-19", 0.28], ["2020-08-19", 0.28], ["2020-08-19", 0.55], ["2020-08-1... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-08-16 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2270 |
<p>New EV tax credits are included with President Biden's Build Back Better Act, which stalled in the Senate in late 2021 (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/19/ev-tax-credits-in-bidens-build-back-better-act-will-help-sell-more-cars-than-new-chargers.html" target="_blank">CNBC</a>, <a href="https://www.cnet.co... | 2022-08-16 | Will US federal legislation providing for new tax credits for the purchase of electric vehicles (EVs) become law before 19 August 2022? | 2022-02-17 | [["2022-02-18", 0.1], ["2022-02-18", 0.3], ["2022-02-18", 0.305], ["2022-02-18", 0.4], ["2022-02-18", 0.455], ["2022-02-18", 0.45], ["2022-02-18", 0.4], ["2022-02-18", 0.3], ["2022-02-18", 0.4], ["2022-02-19", 0.45], ["2022-02-19", 0.41], ["2022-02-19", 0.405], ["2022-02-19", 0.405], ["2022-02-19", 0.41], ["2022-02-20"... | ["https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7813/Will-the-Senate-pass-a-bill-via-reconciliation-by-September-2", "https://rpt.greenbuildingregistry.com/hes/OR10201600", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-01/manchin-spending-deal-includes-billions-in-taxes-on-oil-sector", "https://edition.cnn.com/2022/08/06... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2021-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2014 | <p>AgResearch is "responsible for delivering innovative science and research outcomes specifically for the agricultural sector," and its fiscal year is 1 July to 30 June (<a href="https://www.agresearch.co.nz/" target="_blank">AgResearch</a>). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2021 and the outcome will be deter... | 2021-10-27 | Will New Zealand's AgResearch report having a net annual financial surplus (pretax) in its 2020/21 fiscal year? | 2021-05-21 | [["2021-05-21", 1.0], ["2021-05-21", 0.975], ["2021-05-21", 1.0], ["2021-05-21", 0.975], ["2021-05-21", 0.95], ["2021-05-22", 0.975], ["2021-05-23", 1.0], ["2021-05-23", 0.975], ["2021-05-23", 0.95], ["2021-05-23", 0.935], ["2021-05-23", 0.92], ["2021-05-24", 0.91], ["2021-05-24", 0.92], ["2021-05-24", 0.91], ["2021-05... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
False | 2024-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2626 | <p>Dubai is expecting a surge in Chinese tourists once China eases its COVID-19 policy restrictions (<a href="https://www.thenationalnews.com/uae/2022/08/03/uae-ready-for-potential-swift-and-robust-influx-of-chinese-tourists-by-2023/" target="_blank">The National</a>). The outcome will be determined using data from the... | None | Will more international overnight visitors from China visit Dubai in 2023 than did in 2019, according to the Dubai Department of Economy and Tourism? | 2022-11-14 | [["2022-11-15", 0.45], ["2022-11-15", 0.3], ["2022-11-15", 0.2667], ["2022-11-15", 0.3], ["2022-11-15", 0.3], ["2022-11-15", 0.434], ["2022-11-15", 0.432], ["2022-11-15", 0.4467], ["2022-11-15", 0.43], ["2022-11-15", 0.4238], ["2022-11-15", 0.4288], ["2022-11-15", 0.41], ["2022-11-15", 0.469], ["2022-11-15", 0.4536], [... | ["https://www.thenationalnews.com/uae/heritage/2023/02/03/first-chinese-tour-groups-to-arrive-in-dubai-after-three-years-of-covid-curbs/", "https://www.scmp.com/news/china/politics/article/3199705/chinas-changes-covid-19-controls-get-mixed-reaction-new-cases-stoke-fears", "https://www.thenationalnews.com/gulf-news/2023... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | Not resolved. |
True | 2021-02-13 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1919 |
<p>After the resignation of Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte, how the next Italian government will be formed -- and how Italy will continue to weather the COVID-19 crisis -- remains to be seen (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2020/11/17/lots-of-eu-cash-for-italy-but-what-about-structural-ref... | 2021-02-13 | Will there be a new prime minister of Italy before 1 September 2021? | 2021-01-29 | [["2021-01-29", 0.15], ["2021-01-29", 0.575], ["2021-01-29", 0.3], ["2021-01-29", 0.4], ["2021-01-29", 0.3], ["2021-01-29", 0.3], ["2021-01-29", 0.3], ["2021-01-29", 0.3], ["2021-01-29", 0.3], ["2021-01-30", 0.23], ["2021-01-30", 0.16], ["2021-01-30", 0.155], ["2021-01-30", 0.16], ["2021-01-30", 0.18], ["2021-01-30", 0... | ["https://reut.rs/3p8U8nR", "https://reut.rs/3b4u4VX", "https://nyti.ms/3p8mkXQ", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-italy-politics-draghi/draghi-forms-new-italian-government-names-politicians-technocrats-as-ministers-idUSKBN2AC2AG?il=0", "https://bloom.bg/3q0atMJ", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elections_in_Italy", ... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2021-11-07 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1903 |
<p>In recent decades, many countries have ceased to recognize the Republic of China (ROC), commonly known as Taiwan, in favor of recognition of the People's Republic of China (PRC). A handful of countries continue to recognize the ROC, including Nicaragua (<a href="https://www.mofa.gov.tw/... | 2021-11-08 | Will Nicaragua diplomatically recognize the People's Republic of China before 7 November 2021? | 2021-01-15 | [["2021-01-15", 0.01], ["2021-01-15", 0.045], ["2021-01-15", 0.01], ["2021-01-15", 0.045], ["2021-01-16", 0.05], ["2021-01-16", 0.065], ["2021-01-16", 0.05], ["2021-01-16", 0.065], ["2021-01-16", 0.08], ["2021-01-16", 0.09], ["2021-01-16", 0.09], ["2021-01-16", 0.09], ["2021-01-17", 0.09], ["2021-01-17", 0.085], ["2021... | ["https://www.latimes.com/world/la-fg-taiwan-nicaragua-20190223-story.html", "https://www.taiwanembassy.org/ni_es/post/16995.html", "https://taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2020/05/22/2003736852", "https://www.el19digital.com/articulos/ver/titulo:112122-companera-rosario-murillo-en-multinoticias-22-01-21", "https:... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2005 |
<p>Baseball club owners and the players union have begun negotiations for a new CBA (<a href="https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/31298306/mlb-union-meet-1st-cba-talks-sources-say" target="_blank">ESPN</a>, <a href="https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/rob-manfred-optimistic-mlb-mlbpa-can-avoid-work-stoppage-after-... | 2022-01-03 | Will a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) between Major League Baseball and the Major League Baseball Players Association be ratified before 1 January 2022? | 2021-05-07 | [["2021-05-07", 0.95], ["2021-05-08", 0.825], ["2021-05-08", 0.92], ["2021-05-08", 0.935], ["2021-05-09", 0.95], ["2021-05-09", 0.98], ["2021-05-10", 0.98], ["2021-05-10", 0.99], ["2021-05-10", 0.99], ["2021-05-10", 0.995], ["2021-05-10", 0.995], ["2021-05-12", 0.99], ["2021-05-12", 0.99], ["2021-05-12", 0.995], ["2021... | ["https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-mlbpa-cba-negotiations", "https://thehill.com/business-a-lobbying/576456-more-than-100k-workers-threaten-strikes-as-unions-flex-muscles", "https://apnews.com/article/mlb-sports-business-new-york-baseball-87343ebd132953eff64b8e1d6befe8a9", "https://www.forbes.com/sites/christianred/2021/05... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-08-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2648 |
<p>India and Taiwan began negotiations for a free trade agreement in 2021 (<a href="https://telecom.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/india-taiwan-holding-talks-on-free-trade-agreement-looking-at-setting-up-semiconductor-hub/88374616" target="_blank">Economic Times</a>, <a href="https://thediplomat.com/2022/11/co... | 2023-08-01 | Before 1 August 2023, will India and Taiwan either sign or announce the completion of negotiations on a free trade agreement (FTA)? | 2022-11-24 | [["2022-11-25", 0.9], ["2022-11-25", 0.61], ["2022-11-25", 0.68], ["2022-11-25", 0.6333], ["2022-11-25", 0.64], ["2022-11-26", 0.48], ["2022-11-26", 0.484], ["2022-11-26", 0.4867], ["2022-11-26", 0.4386], ["2022-11-26", 0.4386], ["2022-11-26", 0.3838], ["2022-11-26", 0.3411], ["2022-11-26", 0.34], ["2022-11-26", 0.3367... | ["https://www.voanews.com/a/taiwan-to-expand-presence-in-india-amid-growing-economic-ties-/7172526.html", "https://www.eastasiaforum.org/2022/11/24/indias-openness-to-a-new-indo-pacific-order/", "https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/india-taiwan-should-consider-finalising-fta-as-soon-as-possible-taiwan-government-rep... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1931 |
<p>President Vladimir Putin has dominated Russian politics since he succeeded Boris Yeltsin as president in 1999 (<a href="https://www.britannica.com/biography/Vladimir-Putin" target="_blank">Britannica</a>). There has been speculation whether he may step down, even though he's eligible for reelection in 20... | 2022-01-01 | Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 January 2022? | 2021-02-10 | [["2021-02-10", 0.01], ["2021-02-10", 0.01], ["2021-02-10", 0.01], ["2021-02-10", 0.01], ["2021-02-10", 0.01], ["2021-02-10", 0.01], ["2021-02-10", 0.01], ["2021-02-10", 0.01], ["2021-02-11", 0.01], ["2021-02-11", 0.01], ["2021-02-11", 0.01], ["2021-02-11", 0.01], ["2021-02-11", 0.01], ["2021-02-11", 0.01], ["2021-02-1... | ["https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/vladimir-putin-president-russia-signs-law-allowing-2-more-presidential-terms/", "https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2021/01/29/pandemic-pushed-russians-household-finances-to-decade-low-a72773", "https://news.yahoo.com/russia-plans-one-off-payments-134130111.html", "https://www.newstatesma... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-06-23 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2233 |
<p>Prime Minister Boris Johnson and his agenda are facing a number of challenges, including Brexit, COVID-19, and scandals (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2021/11/08/boris-johnsons-infrastructure-schemes-will-face-opposition" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href="https://www.axios.com/boris-... | 2022-06-23 | Before 23 June 2022, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom? | 2021-12-23 | [["2021-12-23", 0.75], ["2021-12-23", 0.65], ["2021-12-23", 0.54], ["2021-12-24", 0.35], ["2021-12-24", 0.28], ["2021-12-24", 0.245], ["2021-12-24", 0.245], ["2021-12-24", 0.2], ["2021-12-24", 0.2], ["2021-12-24", 0.2], ["2021-12-25", 0.2], ["2021-12-25", 0.2], ["2021-12-25", 0.2], ["2021-12-25", 0.155], ["2021-12-26",... | ["https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-61693296", "https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1617380/Boris-Johnson-vote-of-confidence-Prime-Minister-Cosnervative-MPs-letters-update", "https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/breaking-partying-boris-johnson-broken-27115836", "https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2022... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2507 |
<p>The PRC responded to US Speaker Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan, which the PRC considers its sovereign territory, with condemnation and newly-announced military drills around the island nation (<a href="https://apnews.com/article/taiwan-asia-beijing-nancy-pelosi-taipei-938933cfaea62b31e7577b0a2a4f7006" target="... | 2023-01-01 | Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of Taiwan and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 1 January 2023? | 2022-08-05 | [["2022-08-05", 0.79], ["2022-08-05", 0.395], ["2022-08-05", 0.1], ["2022-08-05", 0.06], ["2022-08-05", 0.1], ["2022-08-05", 0.065], ["2022-08-05", 0.1], ["2022-08-05", 0.125], ["2022-08-05", 0.15], ["2022-08-05", 0.15], ["2022-08-05", 0.125], ["2022-08-05", 0.125], ["2022-08-05", 0.11], ["2022-08-05", 0.11], ["2022-08... | ["https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/taiwan-shooting-down-drone-near-china-was-appropriate-premier-says-2022-09-02/", "https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/china-will-focus-on-preparing-for-war-xi-jinping-declares/ar-AA13RBoR", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_Taiwan_Strait_Crisis", "https://www.google.com... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-04-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2506 |
<p>As Russia's war in Ukraine continues, there is continued speculation that Putin may recognize Transnistria, a breakaway region in eastern Moldova on Ukraine's western border, which already hosts Russian peacekeepers (<a href="https://www.britannica.com/place/Transdniestria" target="_blank">Britannica</a>, <a h... | 2023-04-01 | Will Russia officially recognize Transnistria (Pridnestrovskaia Moldavskaia Republic) in Moldova as an independent state before 1 April 2023? | 2022-08-05 | [["2022-08-05", 0.495], ["2022-08-05", 0.735], ["2022-08-05", 0.6566666666666666], ["2022-08-05", 0.64375], ["2022-08-05", 0.635], ["2022-08-06", 0.646], ["2022-08-06", 0.576], ["2022-08-07", 0.676], ["2022-08-07", 0.577], ["2022-08-07", 0.562], ["2022-08-07", 0.506], ["2022-08-07", 0.381], ["2022-08-08", 0.371], ["202... | ["https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1524606", "https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-sergey-lavrov-moldova-d72c91e29e87e5611811e0df6f0cb078", "https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-warns-moldova-not-threaten-its-troops-breakaway-region-2022-09-01/", "https://www.thedailybeast.com/lloyd-austin-defense-secretary-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-09-10 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2314 |
<p>As fighting continues in Ukraine, there are concerns that Russia may deploy nuclear weapons westward in the region (<a href="https://www.defensenews.com/global/europe/2022/02/28/eu-decries-potential-russian-nuclear-weapons-deployment-after-belarus-referendum/" target="_blank">Defense News</a>, <a href="h... | 2022-09-11 | Between 11 March 2022 and 9 September 2022, will Russia publicly announce that it has moved nuclear weapons into either Belarus or Ukraine? | 2022-03-10 | [["2022-03-11", 0.575], ["2022-03-11", 0.64], ["2022-03-11", 0.4725], ["2022-03-11", 0.4116666666666667], ["2022-03-11", 0.34125], ["2022-03-11", 0.278], ["2022-03-11", 0.191], ["2022-03-11", 0.17], ["2022-03-12", 0.113], ["2022-03-12", 0.115], ["2022-03-12", 0.14], ["2022-03-12", 0.159], ["2022-03-12", 0.162], ["2022-... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2248 |
<p>After using a legislative workaround to bypass the 60-vote requirement for an increase in the debt ceiling, Democrats are struggling to find other ways to bypass the filibuster (<a href="https://www.cnn.com/2021/12/09/politics/republicans-broke-debt-ceiling-filibuster/index.html" target="_blank">CNN</a>, <a hr... | 2023-01-01 | Before 1 January 2023, will the US Senate independently expand the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used? | 2022-01-20 | [["2022-01-21", 0.0], ["2022-01-21", 0.15], ["2022-01-21", 0.13333333333333333], ["2022-01-21", 0.13666666666666666], ["2022-01-21", 0.125], ["2022-01-21", 0.112], ["2022-01-21", 0.09833333333333333], ["2022-01-21", 0.08428571428571428], ["2022-01-21", 0.08625], ["2022-01-22", 0.07666666666666666], ["2022-01-22", 0.074... | ["https://www.politico.com/news/2022/01/25/senate-filibuster-jeff-merkley-00001394", "https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/newsplus/the-future-of-the-filibuster-and-voting-rights-in-congress/", "https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2022/09/26/sen-kyrsten-sinema-praises-filibuster-sen-mitch-mcconnell-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2053 |
<p>The truck tonnage index measures gross tonnage of freight moved by motor carriers in the US (<a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/truck-tonnage-index.asp" target="_blank">Investopedia</a>). The outcome will be determined using data as first reported by the Bureau of Transportation Statistics (<a... | 2022-02-09 | Will the US Truck Tonnage Index reach or exceed 120.0 before 1 January 2022? | 2021-06-25 | [["2021-06-25", 1.0], ["2021-06-25", 1.0], ["2021-06-25", 1.0], ["2021-06-25", 1.0], ["2021-06-26", 1.0], ["2021-06-26", 0.525], ["2021-06-26", 0.05], ["2021-06-26", 0.1], ["2021-06-26", 0.05], ["2021-06-26", 0.05], ["2021-06-26", 0.075], ["2021-06-26", 0.1], ["2021-06-26", 0.125], ["2021-06-26", 0.15], ["2021-06-26", ... | ["https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2021/12/16/fact-sheet-the-biden-%e2%81%a0harris-administration-trucking-action-plan-to-strengthen-americas-trucking-workforce/", "https://www.fleetowner.com/news/economics/article/21170301/ata-truck-tonnage-is-flattening-remains-above-2020-levels", "https:/... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-02-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2130 |
<p>In August 2021, KHDA announced that “[f]rom October 3rd 2021, all teaching and learning at Dubai private schools will be face-to-face only. After this date, students who wish to continue with distance learning must provide a medical certificate issued by Dubai Health Authority. Class groups or grade/year level... | 2022-02-01 | Before 1 February 2022, will the Knowledge and Human Development Authority (KHDA) announce that all teaching and learning at Dubai private schools will cease to be face-to-face only? | 2021-09-24 | [["2021-09-24", 1.0], ["2021-09-24", 0.5], ["2021-09-24", 0.0], ["2021-09-24", 0.05], ["2021-09-24", 0.0], ["2021-09-24", 0.0], ["2021-09-24", 0.0], ["2021-09-25", 0.0], ["2021-09-25", 0.005], ["2021-09-25", 0.01], ["2021-09-25", 0.005], ["2021-09-25", 0.0], ["2021-09-25", 0.0], ["2021-09-26", 0.0], ["2021-09-26", 0.0]... | ["https://gulfnews.com/living-in-uae/education/school-reopening-2022-distance-learning-or-face-to-face-education-1.1640775587028", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1337040", "https://graphics.reuters.com/world-coronavirus-tracker-and-maps/vaccination-rollout-and-access/", "https://www.khaleejtimes.com/coronavirus-pande... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-03-30 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2492 |
<p>Mortgage rates in the US have risen considerably in 2022 (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/20/mortgage-demand-drops-to-lowest-level-in-22-years.html" target="_blank">CNBC</a>, <a href="https://www.usnews.com/news/economy/articles/2022-07-19/new-construction-falls-in-june-as-higher-prices-mortgage-rates-hi... | 2023-03-30 | Before 31 March 2023, will the weekly average interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages in the US fall below 4.55%? | 2022-07-22 | [["2022-07-22", 0.0], ["2022-07-22", 0.0], ["2022-07-22", 0.1], ["2022-07-22", 0.05], ["2022-07-22", 0.0625], ["2022-07-22", 0.078], ["2022-07-22", 0.07333333333333333], ["2022-07-22", 0.07285714285714286], ["2022-07-23", 0.1275], ["2022-07-23", 0.11333333333333333], ["2022-07-23", 0.117], ["2022-07-23", 0.112], ["2022... | ["https://www.edgeandodds.com/", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-17/us-mortgage-rates-post-biggest-drop-since-1981-falling-to-6-61?sref=x7nYEkiY", "https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/BOGZ1FL413065025Q", "https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_trea... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
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