id stringlengths 8 25 | question stringlengths 13 209 | description stringlengths 0 7.87k | open_date stringlengths 19 20 | close_date stringlengths 19 27 | resolve_date stringlengths 19 20 | resolution stringclasses 2
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
meta-35176 | Will Dune: Part Two win an Oscar in 2025? | Dune: Part Two has been nominated for 5 awards.
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **Yes** if Dune: Part Two wins an Oscar at the 97 Academy Awards. Resolves according to the credible sources or [the Oscars website](https://www.oscars.org/oscars/ceremonies/2025) when accessed by Metaculus.
Fine Print: Thi... | 2025-02-18T18:00:00Z | 2025-02-18T19:00:00Z | 2025-03-03T12:45:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-34937 | Will the body of water currently called the "Gulf of Mexico" on the National Map be renamed the "Gulf of America" before March 1, 2025? | According to Donald Trump's executive order [Restoring Names That Honor American Greatness](https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2025-01-31/pdf/2025-02096.pdf) signed January 20, 2025: 
> The area formerly known as the Gulf of Mexico has long been an integral asset to our once burgeoning Nation and has remained... | 2025-02-09T00:47:00Z | 2025-02-09T01:47:00Z | 2025-02-14T17:53:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-34752 | Will the body of water currently called the "Gulf of Mexico" on the National Map be renamed the "Gulf of America" before March 1, 2025? | According to Donald Trump's executive order [Restoring Names That Honor American Greatness](https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2025-01-31/pdf/2025-02096.pdf) signed January 20, 2025: 
> The area formerly known as the Gulf of Mexico has long been an integral asset to our once burgeoning Nation and has remained... | 2025-02-04T05:01:00Z | 2025-02-28T22:00:00Z | 2025-02-11T21:30:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-34687 | Will Joe Biden and/or Kamala Harris attend the Super Bowl in 2025? | The Super Bowl [is scheduled](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Super_Bowl_LIX) for February 9, 2025.
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **Yes** if Joe Biden and/or Kamala Harris is anywhere within the grounds of the stadium during Super Bowl LIX, according to public reports. Otherwise this resolves as No. | 2025-02-07T03:00:00Z | 2025-02-07T04:00:00Z | 2025-02-11T03:13:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-34686 | Will Elon Musk attend the Super Bowl in 2025? | The Super Bowl [is scheduled](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Super_Bowl_LIX) for February 9, 2025.
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **Yes** if Elon Musk is anywhere within the grounds of the stadium during Super Bowl LIX, according to public reports. Otherwise this resolves as No. | 2025-02-07T03:00:00Z | 2025-02-07T04:00:00Z | 2025-02-11T03:13:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-34685 | Will Donald Trump attend the Super Bowl in 2025? | The Super Bowl [is scheduled](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Super_Bowl_LIX) for February 9, 2025.
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **Yes** if President Donald Trump is anywhere within the grounds of the stadium during Super Bowl LIX, according to public reports. Otherwise this resolves as No. | 2025-02-06T15:00:00Z | 2025-02-06T16:00:00Z | 2025-02-10T03:37:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-34684 | Will Rihanna, Jay-Z and/or Beyonce appear at the Super Bowl halftime show in 2025? | The Super Bowl [is scheduled](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Super_Bowl_LIX) for February 9, 2025.
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **Yes** if Rihanna, Jay-Z and/or Beyonce appear at the halftime show on the official broadcast of Super Bowl LIX. Otherwise, this resolves as **No**.
Fine Print: Any appeara... | 2025-02-06T15:00:00Z | 2025-02-06T16:00:00Z | 2025-02-11T03:13:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-34683 | Will Geico, State Farm, or Progressive run an ad at the Super Bowl in 2025? | The Super Bowl [is scheduled](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Super_Bowl_LIX) for February 9, 2025.
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **Yes** if Geico, State Farm, and/or Progressive run a television commercial on the official broadcast of Super Bowl LIX. Otherwise, this resolves as **No**. | 2025-02-06T15:00:00Z | 2025-02-06T16:00:00Z | 2025-02-11T03:13:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-34672 | Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Perplexity run an ad at the Super Bowl in 2025? | The Super Bowl [is scheduled](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Super_Bowl_LIX) for February 9, 2025.
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **Yes** if OpenAI, Anthropic, and/or Perplexity run a television commercial on the official broadcast of Super Bowl LIX. Otherwise, this resolves as **No**. | 2025-02-03T08:00:00Z | 2025-02-03T09:00:00Z | 2025-02-10T01:17:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-34671 | Will Apple run an ad at the Super Bowl in 2025? | The Super Bowl [is scheduled](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Super_Bowl_LIX) for February 9, 2025.
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **Yes** if Apple runs a television commercial on the official broadcast of Super Bowl LIX. If this does not occur, this resolves as **No**.
Fine Print: For purposes of this ... | 2025-02-03T08:00:00Z | 2025-02-03T09:00:00Z | 2025-02-11T03:11:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-34415 | Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025? | *This question is part of the* [*Bridgewater Forecasting Contest*](https://www.metaculus.com/bridgewater/)*. To be eligible to win prizes in the competition you must register for the tournament. The last day to register is March 24, 2025. Sign up or check your registration status* [*here*](https://www.metaculus.com/bri... | 2025-02-03T16:00:00Z | 2025-03-09T22:00:00Z | 2025-03-10T19:09:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-34270 | Will the Euro Area Inflation Rate be above 2.4% for January 2025? | Euro News: [Eurozone inflation rises for third month as energy costs edge up](https://www.euronews.com/business/2025/01/17/eurozone-inflation-rises-for-third-month-as-energy-costs-edge-up)
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **Yes** if the Eurozone inflation rate for January 2025 is above 2.4% on an annuali... | 2025-01-30T01:00:00Z | 2025-01-30T02:00:00Z | 2025-02-24T12:43:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-34245 | Will Russia have control of Chasiv Yar on January 30, 2025? | On June 28, 2024, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) [reported](https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-june-28-2024) Russian troops advancing in the easternmost parts of Chasiv Yar, with significant fighting ongoing in the area.
[Reporting suggests](https://www.polit... | 2025-01-27T22:00:00Z | 2025-01-27T23:00:00Z | 2025-02-11T03:28:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-34241 | Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates before February 1, 2025? | According to the Federal Reserve's [target funds rate history page](https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), the most recent rate cuts were on November 8, 2024 and September 19, 2024, after a few years of relatively higher and rising interest rates. Previous cuts were on March 16, 2020, and March ... | 2025-01-27T22:00:00Z | 2025-01-27T23:00:00Z | 2025-02-11T03:32:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-31794 | Will the S&P 500 index go up in January 2025? | According to the [Bogleheads investment resource site](https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/S%26P_500_index): "The S&P 500 index is a market weighted index of 500 U.S. stocks, selected and monitored by Standard and Poors. The index dates back to 1923, when Standard and Poors introduced an index containing 233 companies. The... | 2025-01-23T22:23:00Z | 2025-01-23T23:23:00Z | 2025-02-11T03:15:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-31744 | Will the USDA-posted recall by Pork Dynasty Inc. of Ready-to-Eat Fried Pork Skin Products issued September 27, 2024 be closed before March 1, 2025? | According to the USDA: "JPork Dynasty Inc., a Houston, Texas establishment, is recalling approximately 469 pounds of ready-to-eat fried pork skin products due to misbranding and an undeclared allergen, the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Food Safety and Inspection Service (FSIS) announced today. The product contains s... | 2025-01-21T10:42:00Z | 2025-01-21T11:42:00Z | 2025-02-20T02:35:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-31426 | Will there be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025? | California's wildfire season [traditionally peaks](https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/08/weather/southern-california-fire-winds-dry.html) from late summer through early winter. However, in early January 2025, Southern California [is grappling](https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/california-los-angeles-fire-pacific-palidade... | 2025-01-13T15:30:00Z | 2025-02-14T10:00:00Z | 2025-02-15T21:42:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-31344 | Will Fernanda Torres be nominated for an Oscar in 2025? | The 2025 Oscar nominations will be revealed on Friday, January 17.
[https://www.vogue.com/article/everything-you-need-to-know-2025-oscars](https://www.vogue.com/article/everything-you-need-to-know-2025-oscars)
Fernanda Torres just won a best actress award at the Golden Globes
[https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movi... | 2025-01-06T21:27:00Z | 2025-01-17T10:59:00Z | 2025-01-23T22:38:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-31342 | Will Belgium have a new government by the end of January 2025? | Coalition talks in Belgium tend to take a long time. In 2020, the country broke its own record as it spent 652 days without a government. 
[https://www.brusselstimes.com/1317593/belgiums-government-formation-for-dummies](https://www.brusselstimes.com/1317593/belgiums-government-formation-for-dummies)
Coalition t... | 2025-01-06T19:28:00Z | 2025-01-31T11:00:00Z | 2025-02-01T02:48:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-31321 | Will another Oriental fruit fly be found in New Zealand in January 2025 | A single male Oriental fruit fly was found in a surveillance trap in a suburban backyard in Auckland, New Zealand at the beginning of January 2025.
[https://www.mpi.govt.nz/news/media-releases/biosecurity-new-zealand-investigating-and-boosting-trapping-after-auckland-fruit-fly-find/](https://www.mpi.govt.nz/news/media... | 2025-01-05T23:00:00Z | 2025-01-31T11:00:00Z | 2025-02-01T02:49:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-31247 | Will the TikTok ban be in effect in the United States on January 20, 2025? | On April 24, 2024, President Joe Biden signed [H.R. 815](https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-bill/815), an emergency appropriations bill which incorporated the [*Protecting Americans from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act*](https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-bill/815/text#:~:t... | 2025-01-03T15:04:00Z | 2025-01-19T05:00:00Z | 2025-01-20T19:36:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-31245 | [Short fuse] Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend Donald Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025? | President-elect Donald Trump is scheduled to be [inaugurated on January 20, 2025](https://www.nps.gov/subjects/inauguration/schedule-of-events.htm). During a [presidential inauguration](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_inauguration) the incoming president takes the oath of office and formally as... | 2025-01-09T08:00:00Z | 2025-01-20T05:00:00Z | 2025-01-23T18:54:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-31151 | Will the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) go on strike before February 1, 2025? | On October 1, 2024, [45,000 port workers at 36 U.S. ports](https://advocacy.calchamber.com/2024/10/01/east-coast-gulf-ports-on-strike-as-of-october-1-economic-stakes-high/) in the East and Gulf coasts [went on strike](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_port_strike) demanding, besides a pay rise, a [comple... | 2025-01-03T15:00:00Z | 2025-02-01T05:00:00Z | 2025-02-01T12:33:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-31127 | Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? | The [Big Four](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Big_Three_\(tennis\)#Big_Four_era) professional tennis players are Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal, Roger Federer and Andy Murray, known for their dominance in men's singles tennis over the last two decades. Djokovic is the last of the Big Four to remain active after Rafael Nad... | 2025-01-03T15:04:00Z | 2025-01-26T05:00:00Z | 2025-01-24T05:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-31100 | Will Denzel Washington win the Oscar for the Best Supporting Actor for Gladiator II? | Denzel Washington is an American actor, known for various roles including Malcolm X in the 1992 movie of the same name, Alonzo Harris in Training Day (2001), and Private Silas Trip in Glory (1989). The New York Times ranked him as #1 in their 2020 list [*The 25 Greatest Actors of the 21st Century (So Far)*](https://www... | 2024-12-20T21:00:00Z | 2025-03-02T10:00:00Z | 2025-01-23T21:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-31042 | Before the end of President Biden's term, will the Equal Rights Amendment be certified and published? | The [Equal Rights Amendment](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Equal_Rights_Amendment) (ERA) is a proposed amendment to the U.S. Constitution that seeks to guarantee equal legal rights regardless of sex. Initially approved by Congress in 1972, it required ratification by 38 states within a seven-year deadline to be adopted... | 2024-12-17T10:19:58Z | 2025-01-20T05:00:00Z | 2025-02-01T13:38:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-31040 | Will the value of China's CSI 300 stock index at market close on December 31st, 2024 be less than or equal to 3,900?
| The [CSI 300 Index](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/000300.SS/), which tracks the largest companies listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges, has experienced a period of [heightened volatility](https://vlab.stern.nyu.edu/volatility/VOL.SHSZ300%3AIND-R.GARCH), following a series of policy announcements by the... | 2024-12-13T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-14T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T04:09:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-31039 | Will the value of China's CSI 300 stock index at market close on December 31st, 2024 be greater than 3,900 and less than 4,150?
| The [CSI 300 Index](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/000300.SS/), which tracks the largest companies listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges, has experienced a period of [heightened volatility](https://vlab.stern.nyu.edu/volatility/VOL.SHSZ300%3AIND-R.GARCH), following a series of policy announcements by the... | 2024-12-13T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-14T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T04:07:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-31038 | Will the value of China's CSI 300 stock index at market close on December 31st, 2024 be greater than or equal to 4,150?
| The [CSI 300 Index](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/000300.SS/), which tracks the largest companies listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges, has experienced a period of [heightened volatility](https://vlab.stern.nyu.edu/volatility/VOL.SHSZ300%3AIND-R.GARCH), following a series of policy announcements by the... | 2024-12-13T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-14T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T04:06:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-31037 | Will US airline passenger volume be for the week of Christmas through New Years Eve 2024 be less than or equal to 17 million, according to the TSA? | In June 2024, the TSA broke the record for the most passengers screened in a single day, with TSA Administrator David Pekoske [saying](https://www.tsa.gov/news/press/releases/2024/06/24/tsa-breaks-record-most-individuals-screened-single-day-readies) "The traveling public is on the move, which is a sign of a healthy eco... | 2024-12-13T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-14T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T23:34:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-31036 | Will US airline passenger volume be for the week of Christmas through New Years Eve 2024 be greater than 17 million and less than 18 million, according to the TSA? | In June 2024, the TSA broke the record for the most passengers screened in a single day, with TSA Administrator David Pekoske [saying](https://www.tsa.gov/news/press/releases/2024/06/24/tsa-breaks-record-most-individuals-screened-single-day-readies) "The traveling public is on the move, which is a sign of a healthy eco... | 2024-12-13T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-14T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T23:34:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-31035 | Will US airline passenger volume be for the week of Christmas through New Years Eve 2024 be greater than or equal to 18 million and less than or equal to 19 million, according to the TSA? | In June 2024, the TSA broke the record for the most passengers screened in a single day, with TSA Administrator David Pekoske [saying](https://www.tsa.gov/news/press/releases/2024/06/24/tsa-breaks-record-most-individuals-screened-single-day-readies) "The traveling public is on the move, which is a sign of a healthy eco... | 2024-12-13T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-14T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T23:33:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-31034 | Will US airline passenger volume be for the week of Christmas through New Years Eve 2024 be greater than 19 million, according to the TSA? | In June 2024, the TSA broke the record for the most passengers screened in a single day, with TSA Administrator David Pekoske [saying](https://www.tsa.gov/news/press/releases/2024/06/24/tsa-breaks-record-most-individuals-screened-single-day-readies) "The traveling public is on the move, which is a sign of a healthy eco... | 2024-12-13T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-14T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T23:32:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-31030 | Will Blue Origin launch its New Glenn rocket before January 1, 2025? | Aerospace company [Blue Origin](https://www.blueorigin.com/), founded by [Jeff Bezos](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jeff_Bezos), is preparing for the [inaugural launch](https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/12/intrigue-swirls-as-blue-origin-races-toward-year-end-deadline-for-new-glenn/) of its highly anticipated [New Glen... | 2024-12-13T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-14T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T04:05:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-30979 | Will Michael Jordan's net worth exceed that of Starbucks founder Howard Schultz on December 31, 2024? | As of December 11, 2024, Michael Jordan's net worth was listed as $3.5 billion, according to Forbes, while Howard Schultz's net worth was $3.4 billion.
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **Yes** if according to the [Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List](https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#48298040... | 2024-12-12T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-13T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-01T20:06:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30978 | Will the cheapest new Tesla Model Y be listed as under $44,990 on December 30, 2024? | As of December 11, 2024, this price was $44,990
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **Yes** if, on December 30, 2024, the cheapest Tesla Model Y for US buyers is offered at the Tesla website for under $44,990. If the price is greater than or equal to $44,990, this question resolves as **No**. On of after De... | 2024-12-12T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-13T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-30T19:06:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-30965 | Will the majority of Russian soldiers in Syria withdraw before January 5, 2025? | On December 8, 2024, a coalition of Syrian rebels entered Damascus, ultimately ousting President Bashar al-Assad, who fled to Moscow and was granted political asylum by the Russian government. 
Russia has had tens of thousands of troops deployed in Syria over the years, with [several thousand remaining](https://k... | 2024-12-13T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-31T21:59:00Z | 2025-01-05T20:41:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-30953 | Will the Grouse Mountain ski resort be listed as Open by On the Snow's Ski Report on December 20, 2024? | Vancouver Sun February 2024: ['Feels like a ripoff': Ski pass holders expecting discounts as some B.C. mountains remain closed](https://vancouversun.com/news/local-news/ski-pass-holders-expecting-discounts-as-bc-mountains-remain-closed)
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **Yes** if On the Snow's Grouse Mou... | 2024-12-11T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-12T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-20T21:03:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30952 | Will the United States have 100.0 million or more residents living in drought on December 31, 2024? | [Almost half of the US is experiencing drought. How that can affect the food industry.](https://abcnews.go.com/US/half-us-experiencing-drought-affect-food-industry/story?id=115102946)
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **Yes** if Drought Monitor at [this link](https://www.drought.gov/current-conditions) li... | 2024-12-11T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-12T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-01T01:55:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30951 | Will the domestic opening weekend box office revenue of Homestead, scheduled to open December 20, 2024, exceed $7,000,000? | Box Office Mojo generally [defines](https://help.imdb.com/article/imdbpro/industry-research/box-office-mojo-by-imdbpro-faq/GCWTV4MQKGWRAUAP#domesticinternational) "domestic" as gross box-office revenue from North America (U.S., Canada, and Puerto Rico). According to the [Box Office by IMDbPro Glossary](https://help.imd... | 2024-12-11T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-12T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-25T00:22:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-30950 | Before Jan 1, 2025, will Ontario Premier Doug Ford call an early provincial election scheduled for 2025? | Premier Doug Ford from the Canadian Province of Ontario has ruled out the possibility of an election in 2024 but has not definitively ruled out calling an early election in 2025. While the province’s next fixed election date is scheduled for June 2026, Ford has stated that preparations for potential elections are under... | 2024-12-11T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-12T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T04:04:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-30922 | Will Blue Origin launch its New Glenn rocket before January 1, 2025? | Aerospace company [Blue Origin](https://www.blueorigin.com/), founded by [Jeff Bezos](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jeff_Bezos), is preparing for the [inaugural launch](https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/12/intrigue-swirls-as-blue-origin-races-toward-year-end-deadline-for-new-glenn/) of its highly anticipated [New Glen... | 2024-12-12T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-01T07:59:00Z | 2025-01-01T12:30:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-30911 | Will Jeff Bezos be ranked in the top 2 of the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List on December 31, 2024? | As of October 8, 2024, Elon Musk is ranked first on the list, with $260.8B. Larry Ellison is ranked 2nd, with $211.6 B. Mark Zuckerberg is 3rd, with $205.0 B. Jeff Bezos was 4th, with 200.9B. Bernard Arnault & family
was 5th, with $183.1B. And Warren Buffett with 6th, with $142.2B.
Resolution Criteria: This question r... | 2024-12-10T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-11T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T03:58:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30910 | Before January 1, 2025, will Tech Crunch report new layoffs at TikTok or ByteDance? | TikTok had a layoff event listed in January, April and May. ByteDance had an event in June.
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **Yes** if, according to Tech Crunch's tracker "A comprehensive list of 2024 tech layoffs," which can be accessed [here](https://techcrunch.com/2024/11/13/tech-layoffs-2024-list/),... | 2024-12-10T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-11T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T03:56:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-30909 | Before January 1, 2025, will Tech Crunch report new layoffs at Apple? | Apple has had layoff events listed by Tech Crunch for February and April 2024.
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **Yes** if, according to Tech Crunch's tracker "A comprehensive list of 2024 tech layoffs," which can be accessed [here](https://techcrunch.com/2024/11/13/tech-layoffs-2024-list/), Apple has l... | 2024-12-10T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-11T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T03:55:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-30908 | Will the year-over-year increase in rent in Dallas, TX in November 2024 be greater than or equal to 0.0%, according to Zillow? | According to Zillow, housing data is updated on the 12th of each month.
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **Yes** if Zillow reports in its [Housing Data](https://www.zillow.com/research/data/) resource page that its Observed Rent Index for Dallas, TX has risen by ≥0.0% for November 2024. If this does not... | 2024-12-10T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-11T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-12T14:23:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30907 | Will the year-over-year increase in prices of homes in Virginia Beach, VA in November 2024 be greater than or equal to 4.0%, according to Zillow? | According to Zillow, housing data is updated on the 12th of each month.
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **Yes** if Zillow reports in its [Housing Data](https://www.zillow.com/research/data/) resource page that its Zillow Home Value Index, Raw for Virginia Beach, VA has risen by ≥4.0% for November 2024.... | 2024-12-10T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-11T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-12T14:24:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30890 | Fernanda Torres ganhará o Oscar de Melhor Atriz em 2025? | Fernanda Torres (59) é uma atriz brasileira, filha de dois grandes nomes da dramaturgia brasileira, Fernanda Montenegro e Fernando Torres.
A sua atuação no filme "Eu Ainda Estou Aqui" (2024), do diretor Walter Salles, tem sido aclamado pelo público nacional e internacional, vencendo o prêmio Critics Choice Awards, na ... | 2025-01-14T23:13:00Z | 2025-03-02T20:00:00Z | 2025-03-03T03:40:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-30880 | Will Nikola Corporation file for bankruptcy before January 1, 2025? | Nikola Corp (formerly Nikola Motor Company) has been on many analysts' and investors' lists of being near bankruptcy for several months. ([Example 1](https://investorplace.com/2024/05/3-ev-stocks-nearing-bankruptcy-time-to-cut-your-losses/).) ([Example 2](https://www.forbes.com/sites/petercohan/2023/12/15/with-81-bankr... | 2024-12-09T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-10T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T03:55:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-30878 | Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2025?
| The potential capabilities of artificial intelligence may radically shift our society. This could be in positive or negative ways – including extinction risk.
Because of this, it’s important to track the development of goal-oriented independent thought and action within AI systems. Actions that might not have been pre... | 2024-12-09T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-10T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T03:52:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-30877 | Will Tesla increase its deliveries in Q4 2024 compared with Q3 2024? | In Q3 2024, Tesla delivered 462,890 vehicles. In Q2 2024, Tesla delivered 443,956 vehicles. Since the beginning of 2023, Tesla's deliveries were as follows: 422,875 in Q1 2023, 466,140 in Q2 2023, 435,059 in Q3 2023, 484,507 in Q4 2023, 386,810 in Q1 2024, and 443,956 in Q2 2024.
Resolution Criteria: This question res... | 2024-12-09T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-10T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T23:32:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30876 | Will Gannett Co. file for bankruptcy before January 1, 2025? | Gannett is the largest owner of newspaper in the US, as measured by daily and Sunday circulation. Like other newspapers, it has faced years of declining revenues and in September 2024 [announced](https://investors.gannett.com/news/news-details/2024/Gannett-Announces-Debt-Repayment--Refinancing-Update/default.aspx) asse... | 2024-12-09T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-10T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T03:51:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-30870 | Will the undiagnosed disease currently spreading in the Democratic Republic of the Congo be identified as Influenza, RSV, or COVID-19 before January 7, 2025? | According to [WHO](https://www.who.int/emergencies/disease-outbreak-news/item/2024-DON546):
> Between 24 October and 5 December 2024, Panzi health zone in Kwango Province of Democratic Republic of the Congo recorded 406 cases of an undiagnosed disease with symptoms of fever, headache, cough, runny nose and body ache. ... | 2024-12-12T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-31T10:00:00Z | 2025-01-01T13:36:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-30836 | Will Elon Musk have double the wealth of the second richest person on any day before 2025? | It is rare for the richest person or the richest family to double the wealth of the next richest. Bill Gates achieved this [in 1999](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_World%27s_Billionaires#1999) when he reached $90 billion while Warren Buffett was at $36 billion, and was close [in 2001](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/T... | 2024-12-06T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-07T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T03:49:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-30835 | Will France have a new Prime Minister before January 1, 2025? | [Politico](https://www.politico.eu/article/france-prime-minister-michel-barnier-is-facing-the-chop-what-happens-next-crisis-emmanuel-macron/):
> On Monday, Barnier, the EU’s former chief Brexit negotiator, used a controversial constitutional maneuver to bypass parliament and force through a social security financing b... | 2024-12-06T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-07T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-13T14:29:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30834 | Will the closing price of CAC 40 be less than 7,200 on December 31, 2024? | The CAC 40 is a benchmark French stock market index, representing a capitalisation-weighted measure of the 40 most significant stocks among the 100 largest market caps on the Euronext Paris. [Politico reports](https://www.politico.eu/article/france-prime-minister-michel-barnier-is-facing-the-chop-what-happens-next-cris... | 2024-12-06T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-07T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T03:49:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-30833 | Will the closing price of CAC 40 be less than or equal to 7,400 and greater than or equal to 7,200 on December 31, 2024? | The CAC 40 is a benchmark French stock market index, representing a capitalisation-weighted measure of the 40 most significant stocks among the 100 largest market caps on the Euronext Paris. [Politico reports](https://www.politico.eu/article/france-prime-minister-michel-barnier-is-facing-the-chop-what-happens-next-cris... | 2024-12-06T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-07T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T03:48:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30832 | Will the closing price of CAC 40 be greater than 7,400 on December 31, 2024? | The CAC 40 is a benchmark French stock market index, representing a capitalisation-weighted measure of the 40 most significant stocks among the 100 largest market caps on the Euronext Paris. [Politico reports](https://www.politico.eu/article/france-prime-minister-michel-barnier-is-facing-the-chop-what-happens-next-cris... | 2024-12-06T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-07T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T03:47:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-30831 | Will Tesla's stock price be under $420 a share on December 31, 2024? | As of the close of trading on November 20, 2024, Tesla traded at $342.03
per share. At the time of this question, Tesla has experienced a post-election rally as its CEO, Elon Musk, is reported to be working in an advisory role for President-Elect Donald Trump.
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **No** if... | 2024-12-06T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-07T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T03:46:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30830 | Will Tesla's stock price be at least $340 a share on December 31, 2024? | As of the close of trading on November 20, 2024, Tesla traded at $342.03
per share. At the time of this question, Tesla has experienced a post-election rally as its CEO, Elon Musk, is reported to be working in an advisory role for President-Elect Donald Trump.
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **Yes** i... | 2024-12-06T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-07T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T03:46:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30829 | Will Tesla's stock price be at least $300 a share on December 31, 2024? | As of the close of trading on November 20, 2024, Tesla traded at $342.03
per share. At the time of this question, Tesla has experienced a post-election rally as its CEO, Elon Musk, is reported to be working in an advisory role for President-Elect Donald Trump.
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **Yes** i... | 2024-12-06T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-07T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T03:45:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30828 | Will Joe Biden sign 4 or more executive orders after Election Day and before January 1, 2025? | According to [Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Executive_order):
>In the United States, an executive order is a directive by the president of the United States that manages operations of the federal government.The legal or constitutional basis for executive orders has multiple sources. Article Two of the Un... | 2024-12-06T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-07T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-29T01:09:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30827 | Will Joe Biden sign 3 or more executive orders after Election Day and before January 1, 2025? | According to [Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Executive_order):
>In the United States, an executive order is a directive by the president of the United States that manages operations of the federal government.The legal or constitutional basis for executive orders has multiple sources. Article Two of the Un... | 2024-12-06T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-07T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-28T23:40:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30826 | Will Joe Biden sign 2 or more executive orders after Election Day and before January 1, 2025? | According to [Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Executive_order):
>In the United States, an executive order is a directive by the president of the United States that manages operations of the federal government.The legal or constitutional basis for executive orders has multiple sources. Article Two of the Un... | 2024-12-06T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-07T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-28T23:40:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30825 | Will New Delhi experience a "Hazardous" air quality index for at least one third of the last two weeks of December 2024? | According to [Airnow](https://www.airnow.gov/aqi/aqi-basics/):
>The U.S. Air Quality Index (AQI) is EPA's tool for communicating about outdoor air quality and health. The AQI includes six color-coded categories, each corresponding to a range of index values. The higher the AQI value, the greater the level of air pollu... | 2024-12-06T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-07T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-02T00:24:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30805 | "Eu Ainda Estou Aqui" será indicado ao Oscar 2025? | Ainda Estou Aqui é uma adaptação cinematográfica do livro autobiográfico de Marcelo Rubens Paiva, que narra a emocionante trajetória de sua mãe, Eunice Paiva, durante a ditadura militar no Brasil.
Ambientada em 1970, a história retrata como a vida de uma mulher comum, casada com um importante político, muda drasticame... | 2025-01-14T23:12:00Z | 2025-01-17T07:59:00Z | 2025-01-23T11:00:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30804 | Fernanda Torres será nomeada na categoria de Melhor Atriz do Oscar de 2025? | Fernanda Torres (59) é uma atriz brasileira, filha de dois grandes nomes da dramaturgia brasileira, Fernanda Montenegro e Fernando Torres.
A sua atuação no filme "Eu Ainda Estou Aqui" (2024), do diretor Walter Salles, tem sido aclamado pelo público nacional e internacional, vencendo o prêmio Critics Choice Awards, na ... | 2025-01-14T23:13:00Z | 2025-01-17T07:59:00Z | 2025-01-23T11:00:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30783 | Will Xi Jinping continue leading China through January 1, 2025? | Xi Jinping is currently nearing the end of his second term as CCP General Secretary and is expected to make a bid for a third term and win it with a [92% chance according to a current Metaculus question](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1468/will-xi-jinping-keep-leading-china-past-2022/). There is considerable specu... | 2024-12-05T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-06T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T03:44:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30782 | Will Emmanuel Macron be President of France on December 31, 2024? | [French President Emmanuel Macron says he will NOT resign as crisis engulfs his Government after extremist parties were accused of playing 'Russian roulette' with the country's future](https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14154367/french-president-emmanuel-macron-not-resign.html)
Resolution Criteria: This question... | 2024-12-05T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-06T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-01T01:55:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30781 | Will Bashar al-Assad be President of Syria on December 31, 2024? | AP: [What to know about sudden rebel gains in Syria’s 13-year war and why it matters](https://apnews.com/article/syria-hts-assad-aleppo-fighting-2be43ee530b7932b123a0f26b158ac22)
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **Yes** if Bashar al-Assad is President of Syria on December 31, 2024. | 2024-12-05T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-06T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-01T01:55:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-30780 | Will Miami have at least 5 days of rain in December 2024? | At the time of this question, Miami is Abnormally Dry according to Drought.gov at [this link](https://www.drought.gov/states/florida/county/miami-dade).
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **Yes** if the Miami International Airport NWS weather station reports 5 or more days of rain in December 2024 accordin... | 2024-12-05T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-06T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-29T17:57:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30779 | Will Yoon Suk Yeol be President of South Korea on December 31, 2024? | [Thousands of professors join call for president to resign](https://www.universityworldnews.com/post.php?story=20241129133043835)
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **Yes** if Yoon Suk Yeol is President of the Republic of Korea (also known as South Korea) on December 31, 2024.
Fine Print: Regardless of t... | 2024-12-05T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-06T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-31T18:28:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30778 | Will Ghana declare a winner in its presidential election before January 1, 2025? | [Ghana’s December 2024 elections put the resilience of the country’s vaunted democracy to the test](https://afripoli.org/ghanas-december-2024-elections-put-the-resilience-of-the-countrys-vaunted-democracy-to-the-test) | [Ghana 2024 Elections: A Risk Assessment of the Online Information Space](https://www.iri.org/resour... | 2024-12-05T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-06T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-11T15:34:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30744 | Will Dogecoin close at below $0.50 a share every day before January 1, 2025? | Dogecoin's intraday price reached $0.43457 on November 12, 2024. See also The Economic Times: [Dogecoin outperforms Bitcoin and Ether, rises 145% since Trump's US election victory](https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/cryptocurrency/dogecoin-outperforms-bitcoin-and-ether-rises-145-since-trumps-us-election-victo... | 2024-12-04T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-05T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T03:43:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30743 | Will the Alpental ski resort be listed as Open by On the Snow's Ski Report on December 6, 2024? | From the resolution source: "Alpental (German for alpine valley) is one of four base areas at the Summit at Snoqualmie, separated from the other three by Interstate 90. Alpental offers the most advanced and expert terrain at the area with runs like Upper International and Shot Six. The area provides some of the steepes... | 2024-12-04T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-05T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-06T13:51:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-30742 | Will the US national average retail price of regular gasoline between $3.020 and $3.080 (inclusive) for the week of December 9, 2024? | According to [EIA](https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/gasdiesel/gas_proc-methods.php), "Every Monday, EIA collects information on retail prices for regular, midgrade, and premium grades of gasoline from a sample of retail gasoline outlets across the United States using Form EIA-878, Motor Gasoline Price Survey Schedule A. T... | 2024-12-04T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-05T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-11T15:57:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-30741 | Will the US national average retail price of regular gasoline be less than $3.020 for the week of December 9, 2024? | According to [EIA](https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/gasdiesel/gas_proc-methods.php), "Every Monday, EIA collects information on retail prices for regular, midgrade, and premium grades of gasoline from a sample of retail gasoline outlets across the United States using Form EIA-878, Motor Gasoline Price Survey Schedule A. T... | 2024-12-04T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-05T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-11T15:56:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30740 | Will the US national average retail price of regular gasoline be greater than $3.080 for the week of December 9, 2024? | According to [EIA](https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/gasdiesel/gas_proc-methods.php), "Every Monday, EIA collects information on retail prices for regular, midgrade, and premium grades of gasoline from a sample of retail gasoline outlets across the United States using Form EIA-878, Motor Gasoline Price Survey Schedule A. T... | 2024-12-04T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-05T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-11T01:17:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-30739 | Will November 2024 have a global temperature increase of greater than or equal to 1.25 degrees and less than or equal to 1.31 degrees? | According to [NOAA](https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/global-temperature-anomalies), "The term temperature anomaly means a departure from a reference value or long-term average. A positive anomaly indicates that the observed temperature was warmer than the reference value, while a negative anomaly indicates t... | 2024-12-04T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-05T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-13T19:57:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-30738 | Will November 2024 have a global temperature increase of <1.25 degrees? | According to [NOAA](https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/global-temperature-anomalies), "The term temperature anomaly means a departure from a reference value or long-term average. A positive anomaly indicates that the observed temperature was warmer than the reference value, while a negative anomaly indicates t... | 2024-12-04T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-05T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-13T19:57:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-30737 | Will November 2024 have a global temperature increase of >1.31 degrees? | According to [NOAA](https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/global-temperature-anomalies), "The term temperature anomaly means a departure from a reference value or long-term average. A positive anomaly indicates that the observed temperature was warmer than the reference value, while a negative anomaly indicates t... | 2024-12-04T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-05T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-13T19:54:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-30736 | Will Daniel Penny be convicted in connection with the death of Jordan Neely before January 1, 2025? | Wikipedia: [Killing of Jordan Neely](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Killing_of_Jordan_Neely) | [Update: People v. Daniel Penny](https://mediaroom.substack.com/p/update-people-v-daniel-penny-2f3)
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **Yes** if before January 1, 2025, Daniel Penny is found guilty or convicted o... | 2024-12-04T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-05T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T03:42:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-30735 | Will former First Lady of Pakistan Bushra Bibi be arrested before January 1, 2025? | NBC News: [Pakistani troops killed as protesters storm barricades demanding the release of jailed ex-PM Imran Khan](https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/pakistan-protests-imran-khan-troops-killed-islamabad-violence-rcna181774)
Resolution Criteria: This question resolves as **Yes** if Bushra Bibi, the wife of former Prim... | 2024-12-04T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-05T15:30:00Z | 2025-01-03T03:41:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-30711 | Will Yoon Suk Yeol be President of South Korea on December 31, 2024? | [Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/south-korea-president-yoon-declares-martial-law-2024-12-03/):
> In South Korea's biggest political crisis in decades, Yoon shocked the nation and declared martial law on Tuesday night to thwart "anti-state forces" among his domestic political opponents. But outraged ... | 2024-12-06T15:30:00Z | 2024-12-31T12:00:00Z | 2024-12-31T19:07:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-23461 | Drake vs Kendrick Lamar: will either artist release another diss track in May? | Popular rappers Drake and Kendrick Lamar have been publicly feuding after a years-long contempt has bubbled into an all-out war, with each artist leveling enormous unsubstantiated accusations at the other. After the most recent round of the beef, with the release of Kendrick's "Not Like Us" and Drake's "The Heart Part ... | 2024-05-10T15:00:00Z | 2024-05-30T04:00:00Z | 2024-06-02T00:38:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-23384 | Will the Pandemic Agreement be approved at the May 2024 World Health Assembly? | In late 2021 member states of the World Health Organization (WHO) [began negotiating an international agreement on pandemic prevention, preparedness, and response](https://www.kff.org/global-health-policy/issue-brief/the-pandemic-agreement-what-it-is-what-it-isnt-and-what-it-could-mean-for-the-u-s), which has been know... | 2024-05-09T14:30:00Z | 2024-05-27T22:00:00Z | 2024-06-02T20:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-23317 | Will UCLA hold its in-person, university-wide graduation commencement ceremonies scheduled for June 14, 2024? | On May 6, 2024, Columbia University [cancelled](https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2024/05/06/columbia-commencement-ceremony-protest-live-updates/73583447007/) its main commencement ceremony, opting instead to honor its graduates in 19 smaller ceremonies for each of its colleges. The decision was made in respon... | 2024-05-08T14:30:00Z | 2024-06-01T16:00:00Z | 2024-06-15T13:59:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-23030 | Will the minimum wage in Türkiye (Turkey) increase again before 2025? | In recent years, Turkey experienced high inflation, climbing [up to 85%](https://tradingeconomics.com/turkey/inflation-cpi) at peak, and 68% year-on-year as of April, 2024. Due to high inflation, Turkish government diverged from its policy of yearly increases in minimum wage, and increased minimum wage twice in [2022 a... | 2024-05-05T12:00:00Z | 2024-12-25T09:00:00Z | 2025-01-09T18:53:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-23018 | Before July 1, 2024, will the International Criminal Court issue arrest warrants for any of the listed Israeli leaders? | In April 29, 2024, Axios [reported](https://www.axios.com/2024/04/29/netanyahu-biden-icc-arrest-warrants-war-crimes) that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu asked US President Joe Biden to help prevent the International Criminal Court (ICC) in The Hague from issuing arrest warrants for Israeli cabinet officials ... | 2024-05-02T14:30:00Z | 2024-06-30T22:00:00Z | 2024-06-30T23:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-22949 | Will there be a named Atlantic storm or hurricane before May 20, 2024? | The [National Hurricane Center](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/cyclones/) (NHC), a US government agency within the [National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Oceanic_and_Atmospheric_Administration), monitors storms occurring in oceanic regions near the US and warns of potentially... | 2024-04-30T15:00:00Z | 2024-05-19T22:00:00Z | 2024-05-20T16:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-22915 | Will the US Supreme Court issue a ruling in the Trump immunity case before May 20, 2024? | Donald Trump's criminal case for [election interference](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_prosecution_of_Donald_Trump_(election_obstruction_case)) raised a key question regarding [presidential immunity](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Presidential_immunity_in_the_United_States), namely whether Trump is immune from c... | 2024-04-30T15:00:00Z | 2024-05-19T22:00:00Z | 2024-05-20T15:59:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-22914 | Before May 20, 2024, will it be announced that Minouche Shafik will no longer be President of Columbia University? | Large protests [have occurred at a number of US universities](https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/live-blog/columbia-protests-live-update-encampment-continue-college-negotiates-p-rcna149111), with participants demonstrating against Israel's invasion of Gaza. Protests at Columbia University have been especially promine... | 2024-04-30T15:00:00Z | 2024-05-19T22:00:00Z | 2024-05-20T16:01:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-22910 | Will the Georgian Dream party win a majority of seats in Georgia's 2024 parliamentary elections? | Due to recent [constitutional changes](https://civil.ge/archives/271293), the largely ceremonial role of President of Georgia is no longer determined through direct elections but instead through a 300 member college of electors, of whom half are members of Parliament. No debate on the Parliament floor is permitted prio... | 2024-05-01T17:00:00Z | 2024-10-25T16:00:00Z | 2024-10-27T10:46:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-22791 | Will Kais Saied be re-elected President of Tunisia in 2024? | In April 2024, President Kais Saied [announced](https://www.newarab.com/news/tunisias-kais-saied-announces-presidential-re-election-bid) he would be running for re-election in the 2024 election. He is regarded as an authoritarian by groups such as [Human Rights Watch](https://www.hrw.org/news/2023/03/13/tunisia-ticking... | 2024-05-02T16:00:00Z | 2024-12-30T17:00:00Z | 2024-10-07T20:02:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-22787 | Will the San Francisco Bay Area experience an earthquake of at least 3.0 magnitude during the seven-day period ending midday on May 14th, 2024? | San Francisco is located on the [San Andreas Fault](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/San_Andreas_Fault), an active fault that produces frequent small earthquakes and occasional larger earthquakes. The [Southern California Earthquake Data Center](https://scedc.caltech.edu/about/index.html) tracks [earthquakes occurring in ... | 2024-04-30T15:00:00Z | 2024-05-13T16:00:00Z | 2024-05-15T00:04:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-22726 | On May 18th, will Kyle, Texas set the world record for largest gathering of individuals with the same first name? | In March of 2024 the City of Kyle, Texas, [officially announced](https://www.cityofkyle.com/communications/2024-gathering-kyles) its ambition to break the Guinness World Record for the largest gathering of individuals with the same first name through an event named the "Gathering of the Kyles." This announcement follow... | 2024-04-30T15:00:00Z | 2024-05-17T22:00:00Z | 2024-05-18T19:35:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-22725 | As of May 21, 2024, will OpenAI report at least 99.9% uptime for ChatGPT for May 2024? | Through March of 2024, [ChatGPT's uptime](https://status.openai.com/uptime/tbwycthtqm69) has exceeded 99% for every month except the month of launch, with February at 98.28%. Of those 14 months, four had a ChatGPT uptime of 99.9% or higher.
Software reliability is often measured in "[number of 9](https://en.wikipedia.... | 2024-04-30T15:00:00Z | 2024-05-20T22:00:17.744000Z | 2024-05-21T18:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-22633 | Will Pedro Sanchez announce his resignation as Prime Minister of Spain before April 30, 2024? | On April 24, Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez [announced contemplating resignation](https://english.elpais.com/spain/2024-04-24/spanish-prime-minister-pedro-sanchez-considers-resigning-due-to-the-unprecedented-attacks-against-his-wife-by-the-right-and-the-far-right.html) following an investigation targeting his wif... | 2024-04-25T16:30:00Z | 2024-04-28T21:59:00Z | 2024-04-30T06:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-22628 | Will the Columbia University Senate vote to censure university president Nemat Shafik on or before April 26, 2024? | Large protests [have occurred at a number of US universities](https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/live-blog/columbia-protests-live-update-encampment-continue-college-negotiates-p-rcna149111), with participants demonstrating against Israel's invasion of Gaza. Protests at Columbia University have been especially promine... | 2024-04-25T00:00:00Z | 2024-04-26T17:05:00Z | 2024-04-27T06:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-22576 | Will Russia have control of Chasiv Yar on June 1, 2024? | [Reporting suggests](https://www.politico.eu/article/russian-victory-over-ukranian-key-city-chasiv-yar-jeopardize-entire-donetsk-region/) that the Ukrainian military sees the city of Chasiv Yar as strategically significant, and that the capture of the city could jeopardize the remaining key cities in the [Donetsk oblas... | 2024-04-25T14:30:00Z | 2024-05-31T22:00:00Z | 2024-06-01T19:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
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