episode stringlengths 45 100 | text stringlengths 1 528 | timestamp_link stringlengths 56 56 |
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Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | But there's no one thing. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:44:13.840 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | There's actually like thousands of little things and just like polishing functionality | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:44:15.200 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | and making sure that it handles, you know, every version and possible | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:44:19.760 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | permutation of a situation by either applying more deep learning systems or | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:44:23.280 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | just by, you know, adding more test coverage or new scenarios that we | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:44:30.160 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | develop against and just grinding on that. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:44:34.400 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | We're sort of in the unsexy phase of development right now, which is doing | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:44:37.040 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | the real engineering work that it takes to go from prototype to production. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:44:40.560 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | You're basically scaling the grinding, sort of taking seriously that the | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:44:44.000 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | process of all those edge cases, both with human experts and machine | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:44:49.920 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | learning methods to cover all those situations. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:44:54.320 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | Yeah. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:44:59.200 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | And the exciting thing for me is I don't think that grinding ever stops because | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:44:59.360 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | there's a moment in time where you've crossed that threshold of human | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:45:03.200 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | performance and become superhuman. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:45:08.080 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | But there's no reason, there's no first principles reason that AV capability | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:45:09.680 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | will tap out anywhere near humans. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:45:13.920 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | Like there's no reason it couldn't be 20 times better, whether that's, you | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:45:16.080 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | know, just better driving or safer driving or more comfortable driving or | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:45:19.680 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | even a thousand times better given enough time. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:45:22.960 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | And we intend to basically chase that, you know, forever to build the best | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:45:25.360 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | possible product. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:45:30.560 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | Better and better and better. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:45:31.360 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | And always new edge cases come up and new experiences. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:45:32.480 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | So, and you want to automate that process as much as possible. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:45:34.880 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | So what do you think in general in society? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:45:40.000 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | When do you think we may have hundreds of thousands of fully autonomous | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:45:43.840 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | vehicles driving around? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:45:47.600 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | So first of all, predictions, nobody knows the future. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:45:48.640 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | You're a part of the leading people trying to define that future, but even | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:45:52.000 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | then you still don't know. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:45:55.600 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | But if you think about hundreds of thousands of vehicles, so a significant | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:45:56.960 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | fraction of vehicles in major cities are autonomous. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:46:02.720 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | Do you think, are you with Rodney Brooks, who is 2050 and beyond, or are you | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:46:05.920 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | more with Elon Musk, who is, we should have had that two years ago? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:46:12.960 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | Well, I mean, I'd love to have it two years ago, but we're not there yet. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:46:19.040 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | So I guess the way I would think about that is let's flip that question | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:46:24.640 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | around. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:46:29.440 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | So what would prevent you to reach hundreds of thousands of vehicles? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:46:29.760 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | And that's a good, that's a good rephrasing. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:46:34.480 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | Yeah. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:46:36.720 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | So the, I'd say the, it seems the consensus among the people developing | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:46:37.120 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | self driving cars today is to sort of start with some form of an easier | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:46:47.120 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | environment, whether it means, you know, lacking inclement weather or, you | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:46:51.360 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | know, mostly sunny or whatever it is. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:46:55.760 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | And then add, add capability for more complex situations over time. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:46:57.600 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | And so if you're only able to deploy in areas that meet sort of your | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:47:02.880 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | criteria or the current domain, you know, operating domain of the | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:47:08.400 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | software you developed, that may put a cap on how many cities you could | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:47:11.760 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | deploy in. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:47:14.720 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | But then as those restrictions start to fall away, like maybe you add | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:47:16.720 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | capability to drive really well and safely in heavy rain or snow, you | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:47:20.320 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | know, that, that probably opens up the market by two, two or three fold | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:47:24.720 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | in terms of the cities you can expand into and so on. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:47:28.160 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | And so the real question is, you know, I know today if we wanted to, we | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:47:31.040 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | could produce that, that many autonomous vehicles, but we wouldn't be | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:47:35.120 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | able to make use of all of them yet. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:47:38.640 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | Cause we would sort of saturate the demand in the cities in which we | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:47:39.920 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | would want to operate initially. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:47:43.440 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | So if I were to guess like what the timeline is for those things falling | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:47:46.480 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | away and reaching hundreds of thousands of vehicles, I would say that | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:47:49.280 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | thousands of vehicles, maybe a range is better, I would say less than | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:47:53.040 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | five years, less than five years. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:47:57.360 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | Yeah. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:47:58.880 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | And of course you're working hard to make that happen. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:47:59.920 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | So you started two companies that were eventually acquired for each | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:48:03.520 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | four billion dollars. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:48:07.680 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | So you're a pretty good person to ask, what does it take to build a | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:48:09.680 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | successful startup? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:48:12.560 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | I think there's, there's sort of survivor bias here a little bit, but | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:48:15.280 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | I can try to find some common threads for the things that worked for | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:48:19.680 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | me, which is, you know, in, in both of these companies, I was really | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:48:21.920 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | passionate about the core technology. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:48:27.520 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | I actually like, you know, lay awake at night thinking about these | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:48:29.040 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | problems and how to solve them. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:48:31.600 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | And I think that's helpful because when you start a business, there | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:48:33.360 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | are like to this day, there are these crazy ups and downs. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:48:36.160 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | Like one day you think the business is just on, you're just on top of | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:48:40.800 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | the world and unstoppable. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:48:43.200 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | And the next day you think, okay, this is all going to end, you know, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:48:44.320 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | it's just, it's just going south and it's going to be over tomorrow. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:48:47.360 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | And and so I think like having a true passion that you can fall back | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:48:49.600 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | on and knowing that you would be doing it, even if you weren't getting | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:48:55.280 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | paid for it, helps you weather those, those tough times. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:48:57.600 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | So that's one thing. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:49:00.880 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | I think the other one is really good people. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:49:01.680 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | So I've always been surrounded by really good cofounders that are | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:49:05.200 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | logical thinkers are always pushing their limits and have very high | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:49:08.640 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | levels of integrity. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:49:11.920 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | So that's Dan Kahn and my current company and actually his brother and | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:49:12.880 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | a couple other guys for Justin TV and Twitch. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:49:16.320 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | And then I think the last thing is just I guess persistence or | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:49:18.720 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | perseverance, like, and, and that, that can apply to sticking to sort | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:49:24.000 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | of, or having conviction around the original premise of your idea and | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:49:28.880 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | sticking around to do all the, you know, the unsexy work to actually | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:49:32.960 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | make it come to fruition, including dealing with, you know, whatever | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:49:36.400 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | it is that you, that you're not passionate about, whether that's | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:49:41.200 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | finance or, or HR or, or operations or those things, as long as you | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:49:43.280 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | are grinding away and working towards, you know, that North star | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:49:48.320 |
Kyle Vogt: Cruise Automation | Lex Fridman Podcast #14 | for your business, whatever it is, and you don't give up and you're | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0014-large.html#00:49:51.920 |
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