episode stringlengths 45 100 | text stringlengths 1 528 | timestamp_link stringlengths 56 56 |
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Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | you just talked about predicting into the future. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:09:33.780 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | You've spoken about the importance of thinking | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:09:37.100 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | five years ahead and having a plan for those five years. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:09:39.940 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | The way to say it is that almost everybody | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:09:42.860 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | has a one year plan. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:09:45.980 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | Almost no one has a proper five year plan. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:09:47.500 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | And the key thing to having a five year plan | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:09:50.940 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | is to having a model for what's going to happen | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:09:52.780 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | under the underlying platforms. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:09:55.260 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | So here's an example. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:09:56.900 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | Moore's Law as we know it, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:09:59.980 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | the thing that powered improvements in CPUs | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:01.140 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | has largely halted in its traditional shrinking mechanism | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:04.260 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | because the costs have just gotten so high. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:07.580 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | It's getting harder and harder. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:10.340 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | But there's plenty of algorithmic improvements | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:12.160 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | and specialized hardware improvements. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:14.580 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | So you need to understand the nature of those improvements | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:16.580 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | and where they'll go in order to understand | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:19.660 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | how it will change the platform. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:21.940 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | In the area of network connectivity, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:24.300 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | what are the gains that are gonna be possible in wireless? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:26.060 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | It looks like there's an enormous expansion | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:29.400 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | of wireless connectivity at many different bands. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:33.380 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | And that we will primarily, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:36.900 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | historically I've always thought | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:38.660 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | that we were primarily gonna be using fiber, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:39.860 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | but now it looks like we're gonna be using fiber | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:42.080 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | plus very powerful high bandwidth | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:43.940 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | sort of short distance connectivity | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:47.380 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | to bridge the last mile. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:49.320 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | That's an amazing achievement. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:51.460 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | If you know that, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:53.060 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | then you're gonna build your systems differently. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:54.440 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | By the way, those networks | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:56.900 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | have different latency properties, right? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:57.780 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | Because they're more symmetric, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:10:59.640 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | the algorithms feel faster for that reason. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:11:01.620 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | And so when you think about whether it's a fiber | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:11:04.980 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | or just technologies in general, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:11:07.860 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | so there's this barber wooden poem or quote | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:11:09.860 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | that I really like. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:11:14.180 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | It's from the champions of the impossible | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:11:15.860 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | rather than the slaves of the possible | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:11:18.240 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | that evolution draws its creative force. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:11:20.340 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | So in predicting the next five years, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:11:23.220 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | I'd like to talk about the impossible and the possible. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:11:25.980 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | Well, and again, one of the great things about humanity | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:11:29.220 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | is that we produce dreamers, right? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:11:32.280 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | We literally have people who have a vision and a dream. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:11:34.720 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | They are, if you will, disagreeable | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:11:37.780 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | in the sense that they disagree with the, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:11:40.100 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | they disagree with what the sort of zeitgeist is. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:11:42.740 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | They say there is another way. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:11:45.780 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | They have a belief, they have a vision. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:11:48.020 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | If you look at science, science is always marked | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:11:50.280 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | by such people who went against some conventional wisdom, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:11:54.060 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | collected the knowledge at the time | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:11:58.380 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | and assembled it in a way that produced a powerful platform. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:12:00.220 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | And you've been amazingly honest about, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:12:03.660 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | in an inspiring way, about things you've been wrong | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:12:08.300 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | about predicting and you've obviously been right | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:12:11.260 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | about a lot of things, but in this kind of tension, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:12:13.860 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | how do you balance, as a company, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:12:18.860 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | in predicting the next five years, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:12:21.260 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | the impossible, planning for the impossible, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:12:23.580 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | so listening to those crazy dreamers, letting them do, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:12:26.300 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | letting them run away and make the impossible real, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:12:30.380 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | make it happen, and slow, you know, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:12:34.140 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | that's how programmers often think, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:12:36.940 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | and slowing things down and saying, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:12:38.740 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | well, this is the rational, this is the possible, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:12:41.560 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | the pragmatic, the dreamer versus the pragmatist, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:12:44.600 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | so it's helpful to have a model | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:12:48.380 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | which encourages a predictable revenue stream | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:12:51.380 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | as well as the ability to do new things. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:12:56.020 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | So in Google's case, we're big enough | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:12:58.660 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | and well enough managed and so forth | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:13:00.540 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | that we have a pretty good sense of what our revenue will be | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:13:02.340 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | for the next year or two, at least for a while. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:13:05.200 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | And so we have enough cash generation | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:13:07.900 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | that we can make bets, and indeed, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:13:11.540 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | Google has become alphabet, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:13:14.700 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | so the corporation is organized around these bets, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:13:16.780 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | and these bets are in areas of fundamental importance | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:13:19.500 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | to the world, whether it's artificial intelligence, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:13:22.740 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | medical technology, self driving cars, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:13:26.720 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | connectivity through balloons, on and on and on. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:13:29.700 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | And there's more coming and more coming. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:13:33.300 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | So one way you could express this | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:13:35.980 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | is that the current business is successful enough | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:13:38.020 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | that we have the luxury of making bets. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:13:41.500 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | And another one that you could say | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:13:44.580 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | is that we have the wisdom of being able to see | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:13:45.940 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | that a corporate structure needs to be created | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:13:49.140 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | to enhance the likelihood of the success of those bets. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:13:51.580 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | So we essentially turned ourselves into a conglomerate | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:13:55.260 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | of bets and then this underlying corporation, Google, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:13:58.860 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | which is itself innovative. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:14:02.100 |
Eric Schmidt: Google | Lex Fridman Podcast #8 | So in order to pull this off, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0008-large.html#00:14:04.280 |
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