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0x052b959e5dadcaa55c11a94fa7620c5165e705bc7780b07d0b3a4c3692dd2c63
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 23, 7PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-23-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 23, 7PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-23-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8PM ET...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-4am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET
78,094,501
78,094,501
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0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
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train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 23, 7PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-23-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-23-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.00032710696397722055 3. Question: Ethereum Up ...
down
0
solana-up-or-down-october-24-4am-et
Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET
78,095,102
78,095,102
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0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
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train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-23-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.00032710696397722055 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-23-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Solana U...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-4am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET
78,095,401
78,095,401
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0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
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train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-23-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 23, 8PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-23-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 23, ...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-5am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5AM ET
78,096,481
78,096,481
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0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
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train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 23, 8PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-23-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 23, 8PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-23-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10PM E...
down
0
xrp-up-or-down-october-24-5am-et
XRP Up or Down - October 24, 5AM ET
78,096,571
78,096,571
c52f4fbc84182b086058ccbeb43bfecad688415c
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x577f7b382c3fe099252c1142198d81a5c0259b8fe90f61f1983db978cbd99077
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 23, 8PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-23-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-23-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-5am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5AM ET
78,096,575
78,096,575
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0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x66e1e425328abc6b667d309a18fd55f2fcbaa5d8393eafd5594c826df7a19c95
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-23-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-23-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0001722296579470985 3. Question: XRP U...
down
0
xrp-up-or-down-october-24-6am-et
XRP Up or Down - October 24, 6AM ET
78,098,191
78,098,191
aef3273fd9c7e85c6cc89bca22eb0294e9c3a0b1
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x212ba3c5df18f9faaa1cff009ef385e3f8b0a0585edfb3faf13d07f8496ee019
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-23-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0001722296579470985 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 23, 10PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-23-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Solana Up or ...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-6am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6AM ET
78,098,224
78,098,224
2cddfb021d3982cb7ccfd97e3fe12375bd14811b
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x39ee64f153b377c60a1a46874876e80b2ad7c91abe512c7e72191fe6f727f899
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 23, 10PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-23-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 23, 10PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-23-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-6am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6AM ET
78,098,341
78,098,341
538217086778cd6d2aa34f75fd131f3cb2e89107
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x4f5d61fa6d63726c173cc5a34452dba9686c34a90838087c41b146c11aef0a7e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 23, 10PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-23-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-23-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Octo...
down
0
solana-up-or-down-october-24-6am-et
Solana Up or Down - October 24, 6AM ET
78,098,852
78,098,852
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0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xeec2e076f416170f6193f1e9926467a15e136892a9e1962e77fffc8df1fd79bd
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-23-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-23-11pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.00016222631310798611 3. Question: XRP Up...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-7am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7AM ET
78,099,991
78,099,991
6560c79c9ec60e8bc3c2f19eab29e22cb76613bf
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x363749c3abe633aac04ae06e214e61be717a1c2aefbfd0dc5ce6f4788edb105d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-23-11pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.00016222631310798611 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 23, 11PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-23-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Solana Up or Dow...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-7am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7AM ET
78,099,995
78,099,995
73c3420ef1687b738618141ee8d6f7d885c33448
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x0424e986e902273d84c7fa4e1741d15609f4128fdb931f0d61478e3750128e5b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 23, 11PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-23-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 23, 11PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-23-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 12A...
down
0
solana-up-or-down-october-24-7am-et
Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7AM ET
78,100,082
78,100,082
5f828ebd0dd1408e2053d17eb45950d7010518fc
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x5c5aeefdeedc5c71dc18853b73678c3f29d76d8e6ef784690ece07dfc5da0e32
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 23, 11PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-23-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 12AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, ...
down
0
xrp-up-or-down-october-24-7am-et
XRP Up or Down - October 24, 7AM ET
78,100,086
78,100,086
2c23d88b9faf88de210aa860c142307d65db645e
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x10736b44f6d995dc5fa4df4ad1074b85917d0c53b0496b36c06f8069688495f5
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 12AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 12AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-8am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET
78,101,821
78,101,821
5f0d4bbeb974d3c4ed204b094184d152028d6ba3
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xcabbe324f6a4f71a6536618b3f1f30a12ed1ce4ef5f7e34192d4b8bcd3416d40
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 12AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-8am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET
78,102,061
78,102,061
5cf083b04fa0be148f348932ff9964899ae13cf2
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x93592f804664e45ec54155210fcadc8072a7763696d235aab8222f26b7031332
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Oc...
down
0
xrp-up-or-down-october-24-8am-et
XRP Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET
78,102,151
78,102,151
59149185710d8483c9fd8a25e7effa71672e5e5e
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x622ccc6da8e30cf1ac34ecdc99dc9a67586e09c1ac12b3c1fe620954640f69b2
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Solana Up or Down - October...
down
0
solana-up-or-down-october-24-8am-et
Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET
78,102,571
78,102,571
02a5ab28dcac1166d304006e0f18b303aa629570
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x3dc994133034af19f4f974e9bba2c8a3ac2040a9611834eba48133fd1edd4ff5
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 1AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 2...
down
0
xrp-up-or-down-october-24-9am-et
XRP Up or Down - October 24, 9AM ET
78,103,652
78,103,652
637328794bcaa3da8390838deeda5f2085ac9710
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xb8ed996a8135006afb1aa590ba18dbe313a008673a2bf7cceffc56fb65565cf7
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 1AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.00011543832446860178 3. Question: Ethereum U...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-9am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9AM ET
78,103,741
78,103,741
10640e90135424374608dd65ff4a6a5b65cfc5fe
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x8ef2be506ae65dfc6442e4cf8823e07876acf554e4db6b09792c1826ba8e9e69
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.00011543832446860178 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoi...
down
0
solana-up-or-down-october-24-9am-et
Solana Up or Down - October 24, 9AM ET
78,104,042
78,104,042
d65a3e8f5feede5460f7ecef83aea889e23067bc
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x040ba27b6b69e8c85b66c9ab57841136980328efc93c9f8a544d8723fd04ab0c
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-9am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9AM ET
78,104,132
78,104,132
b6b8001c4d92eae155609713fd2a8f2b928d0336
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x594c27e31be31907b4e575b7f48946291d6fb24fc65a384b5511597b6769d8a3
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2AM E...
down
0.000068
ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-10am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10AM ET
78,106,333
78,106,333
cc63cca139636081f16b35e6c7e80ed3e49295de
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x707f103341724eb44a6706fca1e3149732937d50b92c1e293fb2154c914950cc
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3AM ET...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-10am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10AM ET
78,106,354
78,106,354
2b52b414a1a503c6301c9ca59dab2b50a7f45131
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x53a0a5487140d0b94f4657c67c0b4d3b31d65cb58368c487e8a90b17c7eba880
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 2...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-11am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET
78,107,634
78,107,634
b2d99a129a2dc0c25ad896ec6dcb2276336447c7
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x22af33175b2e978a74ccba1e8734cdf91ef8e8a66c1b4844a0c4752ef2e31c7f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0002059924241397516 3. Question: Solana Up...
down
0
xrp-up-or-down-october-24-11am-et
XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET
78,107,672
78,107,672
42cf3e48b54301ff905348a17a641ab9010809a5
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x9b59303062898962b941cad5dbae74c150d0f11793a8721607854dad97ed5be0
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0002059924241397516 2. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.00013611852573135205 3. Qu...
up
0.000067
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-11am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET
78,107,731
78,107,731
d1a76e49673197eb96930c56cfc76ba37ee393a0
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x5c9c7fd3168e7cdf22a867217e22e5cb4b748438981a20f032d30abbe707da23
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.00013611852573135205 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 3AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: XRP Up or Down - Oct...
down
0
solana-up-or-down-october-24-11am-et
Solana Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET
78,107,911
78,107,911
d95d994bc9c949b751ef1cb8dc4d568374260c89
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xe1906f13691d1f742e6da26b53bd0b31b2b2392878f3da1a580daae793980256
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 3AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET | Ev...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-12pm-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET
78,109,051
78,109,051
0bae2b1b2b37357e6fa8082065262eacbd31aee1
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x37a6a7ee6fa638ef00b835b5b09003a913c9ee09f95a12532dd1c858bb1de30e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4AM...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-12pm-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET
78,109,171
78,109,171
3b5547daf0f17b87dcea9154d0efbc117d898374
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x51a63e11a3af46b0cf1cad50e59f52264f774eb73e8a05553f3bb75dddfc975d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October ...
down
0
solana-up-or-down-october-24-12pm-et
Solana Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET
78,109,204
78,109,204
c688ccb882725361191f8fa37e666c61a856f2f4
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x772fa801bb9b817d92139ca28fe64499101c01f2b15517a240b89519d6c853e4
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 2...
down
0
xrp-up-or-down-october-24-12pm-et
XRP Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET
78,109,411
78,109,411
2d0f3bc3f01338e5e93ecc4d4daa6006481eedfc
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x401982556983fc3678aeced7b7997987e6761ff2e8324c652b45d20e82e0d78f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-25
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?
78,112,501
78,113,095
2da5c6a4db8a7728ecba2e1af586c87b13f0e065
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xb275312a225b95f3aa5250b158b6c586e9ddba25299082823fa00c8b8791c8e3
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 5AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5A...
down
0
solana-up-or-down-october-24-2pm-et
Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET
78,112,620
78,112,620
7a5c22667bd94d847c8db446ef0fb48aa6b90ef3
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x7637d8090c7a5c4be4ed128e2843b63c57e3498a17015dfa2accdc03e9d9913b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 5AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 6AM ET |...
up
0.000055
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-2pm-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET
78,112,623
78,112,741
2c379017a0b34f5474c1cfaf8e0982a543317a00
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x6e84d224c08861aaa4861eaa000f5fd5d6afea6a57a897e923fa40b424d3ddd1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 6AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6AM ...
up
0.000066
ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-2pm-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET
78,112,773
78,112,773
9a419d234ace94660d31000f3fff0d844414a0cd
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x3a53f3c72aef1e542e7ff2e7be4254b286da9eee268581422eda190abb5138a8
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 6AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6AM...
down
0
xrp-up-or-down-october-24-2pm-et
XRP Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET
78,112,777
78,112,777
bb00f43e7374df167a722ca491cdf80aa82b8317
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xc4ef78ffd30079d960a9cf2bba8ae9d1c70522b7ce62ac732ab13b33cb3ef3ba
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Solana Up or Down - October...
up
0.000092
ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-3pm-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3PM ET
78,114,450
78,114,450
3f8be1d96d7282d5a66ee5268dad82978d746c5a
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x3ec1658536a0befd3d1a8f8e597aa61612d9be870087a5ad485192fa2771efca
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 6AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October...
up
0.000103
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-3pm-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3PM ET
78,114,660
78,114,660
6440d691e6351ffa68bf2143c2d96a9bbc3b4fff
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xbc0c1083d32d8a3d72b588d95893c702505f6677827c1a1b18c6c7900138e141
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 6AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October ...
up
0.000112
solana-up-or-down-october-24-3pm-et
Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3PM ET
78,114,691
78,114,691
1129aa9aa801b3bd4188c91f29bcb847a820dd43
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xe878dcf3f3dc437ad0ff736edbbdb45629226485d407352f5ef43a980493a747
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Solana Up or Down - October...
down
0
xrp-up-or-down-october-24-3pm-et
XRP Up or Down - October 24, 3PM ET
78,114,960
78,114,960
8ff261a1a8808ba89847e8fa18c22a65dfed9ca8
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x308645dcdf0ec286bc8c73db117964b70ca9749c34637856b15847cb5d7e6073
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 7A...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-4pm-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4PM ET
78,116,250
78,116,250
2c9f22cd12263eed8268ec0b2d5751bee54cdfed
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x8742baf4428d41c75aaebfe3d609dd35254ec5209b4a1402260cb01ea9b3daff
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 7AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8AM E...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-4pm-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4PM ET
78,116,281
78,116,281
a3b9391797fbeba574d38bf9209dff45b5c30d1f
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x8df778560244285972d4576bd06c7aa91890598da2c8a6c0e9b9ba71049c6042
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 7AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8A...
down
0
xrp-up-or-down-october-24-4pm-et
XRP Up or Down - October 24, 4PM ET
78,116,340
78,116,340
e161f42966092e6db2203c51b4b8c28bff2187c1
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x18e17f8501172095b57974c22113a22ce22ec4bbdbf1bed08bf3c6862fb71017
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24...
down
0
solana-up-or-down-october-24-4pm-et
Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4PM ET
78,116,700
78,116,700
68f8e5316deabdfbd2d84e0b7ca5a10f707d9a10
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x9da575a041f782a3a6246ab8ab567a73cab28e9e062389252d327133fceaceb7
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8AM E...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-5pm-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5PM ET
78,118,260
78,118,260
16aaa19e5520882dc72e1958f6505fe3df061b3b
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x90283d58991dfb55e9d85a540e81f202accb621cb5ffd88d6643ab8c35fba107
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 9AM ET | E...
up
0.000173
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-5pm-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5PM ET
78,118,740
78,118,740
99662366e7c0804445e490c09860d2f6753f71bc
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xa7b021cf25f964fb0aa0509cca745a2af233bc850a707507e1a160902f8f0681
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 9AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9AM E...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-6pm-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6PM ET
78,120,000
78,120,000
0a1eb1f37ea51a1a77291babab25af8e4d629419
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x5390c07f40d071458dcb0eaf5ad5c2c06e69174d6e1626b20b66461d15085d62
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 9AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 9AM...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-6pm-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6PM ET
78,120,360
78,120,360
785270c331fc9361b377aa5f603391b01057f8ef
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x38e4f517fc8e7680c2b4515fb32e8f67476bc1bbeb721f954cbbba1872b90f16
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 9AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October ...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-7pm-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7PM ET
78,121,650
78,121,650
a902be9aec0e125603472ab6b60a5ae7d482db39
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x7ca413f8dba53ecdf58bc9652fa346a93d10c52652b6c067a7fe28fbfd6231cf
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 9AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 2...
down
0.00005
xrp-up-or-down-october-24-7pm-et
XRP Up or Down - October 24, 7PM ET
78,121,681
78,121,681
fad295012e2f612d80abe340b9fe5d7555137f69
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xc8b3f4c4c2472fb083a788d84ca5b94f32ad82d735e6302f8b05eafc87f48f9a
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-10am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 6.839467751199504e-05 3. Question: Bitcoin...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-7pm-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7PM ET
78,122,190
78,122,190
24838378469e0b89d25b7b9b779679ad5b38bcb6
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xc845d9c2efbd08884951ab559e901f128a283c3d49654acfd4191ed53f31f063
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-10am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 6.839467751199504e-05 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-10am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ether...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-8pm-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ET
78,123,480
78,123,480
d7ef07d247f74393c061f313d3525e39879e5d87
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xa77409f02192b2066ab9c3b2ad5720936b5a5be2cf34279089c78c1792a62e38
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-10am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: XRP Up or Down - Octobe...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-8pm-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ET
78,123,600
78,123,600
aa7c7455b56f7fa7503019a3074ec75a6a58bd7d
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xc8697f85e2296c8806bf278c29a26700daac26ebf779012d71535e5721765b3d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-9pm-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9PM ET
78,125,220
78,125,220
ac1b8992857ed6c2e6dfefa433cd5d40740663f7
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x6fb2db2be9efbc7142fe9463bd75511cc76329e9cf8fce757531c4b3860c7c96
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-11am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 6.668444651889388e-05 3. Question: Solana Up or Down...
up
0.000053
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-9pm-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9PM ET
78,125,251
78,125,251
60960f8b5e113ae7c0c6df693533943d704b349b
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x04d4a29ceae226777d589005a02b4b76c0e664d25ae042d274f74f18d652e06c
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-11am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 6.668444651889388e-05 2. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up ...
up
0.000005
xrp-up-or-down-october-24-9pm-et
XRP Up or Down - October 24, 9PM ET
78,125,370
78,125,370
c69cd1514255c196526941265c402e6c376576ff
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x421d5e82927c16cb10cf6fd430e90c68f879fa5db8b8870e2d319982520c0cc2
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - Octob...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-10pm-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10PM ET
78,127,170
78,127,170
ecefe50156fb1472cbb2ed7b9e5b2af5a181fbbf
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x9cd75b1cd962ee64652746999f856dd5c581516ddb41d612babbb7005f14e38b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Solana Up or Down - Oct...
down
0.000008
ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-10pm-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10PM ET
78,127,380
78,127,380
1ce78f67bdb5831d16f4ab48f57764fc45772469
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x8db393afe8f3e4d8d3de747651460dae6482588e8f147a65fda9e97b8b5ca8da
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: XRP Up or Down - October ...
down
0.000088
ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-11pm-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11PM ET
78,129,030
78,129,030
24fe29680e7322dbb1e93f6f83e490605e562193
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xb11c10d13135a63609a1c4cd6de5401822f40967169afcf53634770b947f4af0
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25? |...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-11pm-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11PM ET
78,129,480
78,129,480
78fff5c15c8c652595b5412a69b0e96e6e4fde6e
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x539d98fe088b1146d0e56e4f84bfc2648e91f4f41f9ee7591bcade7ee5aff31d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25? | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-25 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET | Even...
down
0
solana-up-or-down-october-24-11pm-et
Solana Up or Down - October 24, 11PM ET
78,129,600
78,129,600
70664daf71a899f430e532e1ea2c9bf5265522e3
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x4e3321a592ac9873dc5be8afc653d08a5e7c71106ad6eba4b95a232f4e284c18
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25? | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-25 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-2pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET |...
down
0
xrp-up-or-down-october-24-11pm-et
XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11PM ET
78,129,780
78,129,780
8438772e6a6529010d7662ed1e5aaf04cbe0bed5
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xb17d11eaaf8bca3286b6d931a652357a4997420f00606c253a5e21027c896a43
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-2pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-2pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 5.463298459994869e-05 3. Question: Ethereum Up or ...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-25-12am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12AM ET
78,130,710
78,130,771
35fb7772568d19878c32188a93b8814705ffa4a9
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xc7cf326430ab3a37fb5edcf45ed94c6d0cf3145be28af24be8066b20edbebd57
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-2pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 5.463298459994869e-05 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-2pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 6.600435628751498e-05 3. Quest...
up
0.000034
xrp-up-or-down-october-25-12am-et
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 12AM ET
78,131,400
78,131,400
24b9441fc5ec5a4eecab52972289b45b538867d7
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xf869394ef2112912b0ce90c9f0ff9d942f1fefea51bed680859ecf5f19e7df12
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-2pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 6.600435628751498e-05 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-2pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-12am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12AM ET
78,131,459
78,131,459
1ed8030752320fdec67d308e22e89c75bed2a73d
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x1088120c5b1a8a37f867d5043a9307d6af89b61d77d96931ab389e50c50238b8
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-2pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-3pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 9.234852746302594e-05 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down ...
down
0
solana-up-or-down-october-25-12am-et
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 12AM ET
78,131,550
78,131,550
23c17dadbef143108c5cda8154f4fce9721c234b
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x6e0c3669a432667125c40a1b26648da9e150b1cc626e02945040b79426540044
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-3pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 9.234852746302594e-05 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-3pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.0001026105278401564 3. Quest...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-25-2am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2AM ET
78,134,429
78,134,549
39e7d0b0157f77f644bc54163caae9b7c782c7c4
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xe9243fc8b134efd6f327b6a8f7a5166a9010087bf196ebe0f3d137dfe76c07ca
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-3pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.0001026105278401564 2. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-3pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.00011244597600923597 3. Question...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-2am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2AM ET
78,134,699
78,134,699
fa485d6bde9dde969e37d0b7b9645758165fae1a
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x3fff228fdfe3952105155b400c46ad2f153de491a998725b158b9c4388f7bd62
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-3pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.00011244597600923597 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 3PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-3pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - ...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-25-4am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4AM ET
78,137,909
78,138,239
54d3f38cd243582963fc49a3ae271488b1893cde
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xbe542b4e28c1c6b5f1bda636cb8fa67bf61c77860f443bc28e771cc3a9bc168b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 3PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-3pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4P...
up
0.000064
ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-4am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4AM ET
78,137,941
78,137,941
0ad8ad7c63dc40869da02381e108f414a7084456
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xf9db7167d1c073b4def4922b8d64313e305b590101f6780f803f98fe42310c3e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24...
down
0
solana-up-or-down-october-25-4am-et
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 4AM ET
78,137,999
78,137,999
11ff09611fd32e8262828eedd3733f9961911fe6
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x71fc0803a144ec7c2134045f8faebd86e8f025740e37cb60c05ec926ca02fde4
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 4PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4PM E...
down
0
xrp-up-or-down-october-25-4am-et
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 4AM ET
78,138,119
78,138,119
71bb5de57fd2d2837b3b523d030f657999234989
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x2627ac3cd2e9d77a8430fbd56fa2fc669384880f4fe0b1fa7a6ea95ee5c8a873
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 4PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5PM E...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-5am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5AM ET
78,139,769
78,139,769
d2013f1a6d6594052c9342d741c526cd75a4a3ee
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x4127855936815d4aa0a6c235540d502070427d303ade60dd4c4e8ddfa56f42da
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October ...
down
0.000079
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-25-5am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5AM ET
78,139,772
78,139,829
6e6c0b573c0d02aab95ed2393253cfe2fe2f6a83
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xeb0bc335d9943f75b96e8c95136b898dff37b60055815fce8f2bb6c53ef0cf8b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-5pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.00017257977864080446 3. Question: Ethereum U...
down
0
xrp-up-or-down-october-25-6am-et
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 6AM ET
78,141,570
78,141,570
8bb2aec076c2bbe43c8b5331efe49f92132a7b66
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xfba652030d5a0f34522cea7250ba12aeffb89640bdd1c052307210daf77d2cbb
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-5pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.00017257977864080446 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-6pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up...
down
0
solana-up-or-down-october-25-6am-et
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 6AM ET
78,141,601
78,141,601
9a45f1d2f98792434eb83b788c5e2c89d81d50d2
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x66d8b033c338442be8046ab72ad5f6d6113612c4d8c41f5848b976b1681be25b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-6pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-6pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - Octob...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-6am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6AM ET
78,141,659
78,141,659
559368242b2fd52a61217bc0d4e5afb927336d07
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xbe158e11a4f7cb9fbd9ed3bab0a6b82e8b0b53ca99ea6e274caca7b65e181505
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-6pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-25-7am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7AM ET
78,143,369
78,143,460
25a2c23d83fbef83b24c0c9f0c5fcbe841a874f7
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x0f958486af7b78efa927818549d7dba1183630791fd7f48accd520f477da3e0e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 7PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 5.000250012500625e-05 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Dow...
down
0
xrp-up-or-down-october-25-7am-et
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7AM ET
78,143,579
78,143,579
df5f51601e5cdd5c42981436257a2e0428a05b63
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xd67f1a82fec72f0f4ad470b1023324d3ae8eedcc0df331c270a3dd700eacabc1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 7PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 5.000250012500625e-05 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down...
down
0.000012
ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-7am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7AM ET
78,144,329
78,144,329
abab10e755b92ca75e047313bb728774653800e4
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x2e9c8bf2cbf8233cc04f99f2c10e03e3d3af7fd0b37a55e62d7cf24ec7d13e4e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Octobe...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-8am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ET
78,145,079
78,145,079
7adc79e2f153339e101fdf5512e8ac408d034063
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xc9ec5168db8f1988accd417bdf662c8b4f6d5d4bdea512a7c6d7a7994764f599
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - Octob...
up
0.0001
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-25-8am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ET
78,145,109
78,145,109
3fed2805dd170f5e269d4ff5435c4660afae10e2
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xc0a89ce815f58873207c2f1040c7538c2054ac61f17476fb15d20d4690a6d15f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-9pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Octobe...
down
0
xrp-up-or-down-october-25-8am-et
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ET
78,145,469
78,145,469
e09d3400300de60400850e8e9e5ad5ec07aa2cff
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x0ca361037caa746f60b82154e50d2116e4f8457de217d00a54b1da5a864dffb4
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-9pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-9pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 5.3272837844071954e-05 3. Question: XRP Up or ...
down
0.00009
ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-9am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9AM ET
78,146,909
78,146,909
c528d6b09b01a81424f8fdc3474c0e86f8a0ff96
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x698ffbf0269fb24c5719b8736577eacc620650f4c7301de35557c8f6326886f5
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-9pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 5.3272837844071954e-05 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 9PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-9pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 4.89002391221693e-06 3. Question: Bitco...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-25-9am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9AM ET
78,146,969
78,146,969
1bf2449eb09d5dc8bd9d54bc25ae7d7d53952d44
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xa0b4732623b9558703aa26280cb58417dddccc10959be32838299a71a7f6e96b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 9PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-9pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 4.89002391221693e-06 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down ...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-26-6am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET
78,184,900
78,184,900
93ce60ae7aa21c717db776641a96035c98ae4829
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x80d0898f6db509573182d1e5902abeedffba537b402dfa7f6a7eb88593402a1b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 8.490072080711966e-06 3. Question: Ether...
down
0.000111
ethereum-up-or-down-october-26-6am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET
78,184,929
78,184,929
91a2edd4a48f83cec8aee08a0303050f94542f1e
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x84574db334b4b2aea74b73082b23bc064d907c99ef1d3d9d0bddae1dddac2777
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 8.490072080711966e-06 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 8.789772533107935e-0...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-26-7am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7AM ET
78,186,479
78,186,479
bc97c46e294de465be00eb041d6f07f3dcc42ed7
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xa1676ca4ca6298496d03556fb4f888e8595cc3c60cd1be7692642c7c16d0df19
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-24-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 8.789772533107935e-05 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Solan...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-october-26-7am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7AM ET
78,186,549
78,186,549
fe51d4d64d697ae664c84ccb0f7c1628ff36c62f
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x13b127eb7839e9effe6642439512c08063e9b69089d1c0380f60b03ef4983324
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 11PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-26-8am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8AM ET
78,188,269
78,188,269
16f99c1f3f75c68d22398fba3baf0a6b96dcea21
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xeab730af025656ffd5e0ce3045e6c1f21404d1644d135b90116002a186d14780
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 11PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-24-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12...
down
0
xrp-up-or-down-october-26-8am-et
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 8AM ET
78,188,359
78,188,359
8d3cba9d570df7aaf841d7df7ee81f39702f9adf
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x0997f9c76bcf87b59121c7a88be4676fd51f05cbb6892fcaa38df61294da6b76
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-24-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-25-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 25, 12AM...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-october-26-8am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8AM ET
78,188,469
78,188,469
0c1638f887da11c674e19fd29bcd417dfe35fafa
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xa837888491a6fd551f319538882864d5f016abde62b7523f778455c1e25b98e8
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-25-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 25, 12AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-25-12am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 3.350112228759664e-05 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Do...
down
0
solana-up-or-down-october-26-8am-et
Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8AM ET
78,189,300
78,189,300
7bd07659de8235b07079b51a16e32f8c67bf862e
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x2e37e72965841018d64358a682dfd547031747c4d940ada5931c89ba49c0bf47
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 25, 12AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-25-12am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 3.350112228759664e-05 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Solana Up or Do...
down
0
xrp-up-or-down-october-26-9am-et
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET
78,190,129
78,190,129
8642fb6c9bfe747bdbe53240e3fd5ab40b97ffec
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x054980f04798d54137a1ad37fb56a395cab12ee7c3b8e9c7a3061ee5c4e326bc
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 25, 12AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-25-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Octo...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-october-26-9am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET
78,190,319
78,190,319
1dc9a512c936dfe2e773fc6a05639dc582f48c8b
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x7702447bb58419228328132df3e2bd5fbbc2b017dbace825b143a10a5698b906
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 25, 12AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-25-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-25-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-26-9am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET
78,190,479
78,190,479
92073a8c1f18a2ba081455d773dd226d2a5292fd
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x5bd5a205fdd8ec874b51e04df1c3e0e19cc4d5a930f99579473b6489034164af
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-25-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Octobe...
up
0.000062
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-26-10am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET
78,192,489
78,192,489
62b3925b76e07f4b3f7eb6df0758c30ba117da92
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0x6722cb073e9560c24442e61fbd2e6d60e4b4f710e58a596168b0329163656e2f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-25-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - Octob...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-october-26-10am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET
78,192,519
78,192,519
3786bc92faf620dc430d1fef3b735117830e37a4
0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51
0xbaa35f47d5385ebae4260ca1b6964630fc20661b70f7956178dcdbc7f9105208
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-25-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-4am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 6.41041090733916e-05 3. Question: Solana Up or...
down
0
xrp-up-or-down-october-26-10am-et
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET
78,192,590
78,192,590