sample_id stringlengths 40 68 | wallet stringlengths 42 42 | market_id stringlengths 66 66 ⌀ | split stringclasses 1
value | system_prompt stringclasses 1
value | input_text stringlengths 215 15.3k | label_choice stringclasses 913
values | label_confidence float64 0 1 ⌀ | event_slug stringlengths 7 120 ⌀ | question stringlengths 8 164 ⌀ | stance_first_block int64 30.2M 80M ⌀ | stance_last_block int64 30.6M 80M ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
678faa84ad0eca48957d203c61abe209a2bb1b5a | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0xa6e8b82ecfa7bbe2c161c7780c80f0c250816bb21eded8199dd94eb5d3ee7c1d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-4am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 6.41041090733916e-05
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 25, 4AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-25-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: XRP Up or Down... | down | 0 | solana-up-or-down-october-26-10am-et | Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET | 78,192,859 | 78,192,859 |
2df695488c35310f5b92326a720cf8028067f194 | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0x0bb71cc44f03792b447f0515871dba55a9331bf9b035be0321fac050a85222cb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 25, 4AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-25-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 25, 4AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-25-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5AM E... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-26-11am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET | 78,194,209 | 78,194,209 |
3a9f70008009b5da71af0694c7918af4b2f9951c | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0x36b84f17ab24ef4af196294deca6f1fd047d485f58474095d870efc9848aec61 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 25, 4AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-25-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5A... | down | 0 | ethereum-up-or-down-october-26-11am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET | 78,194,429 | 78,194,429 |
aa41c5c11f2ec8bb4e98377d0f2be19fbff8c293 | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0x969378366a3eb28171aaa4117f12cd5a564d4d84ff0e7e76193363498f4c7d60 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-25-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 7.929628740262815e-05
3. Question: XRP Up or... | down | 0 | ethereum-up-or-down-october-26-12pm-et | Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12PM ET | 78,195,960 | 78,195,960 |
2813fef033d84bf21b58618ee8663daa18a45527 | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0xfd425cdc15881ea60fc9a67b1062052a7a2c1338ca147dbe704defe80d28c660 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-25-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 7.929628740262815e-05
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 25, 6AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-25-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Solana Up or Down -... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-26-12pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12PM ET | 78,196,020 | 78,196,020 |
b85432855eacdeab072eb7e672aceecd982162f8 | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0xc63ae8c10c4157cce3a7f2ed240ed49c490ba5b39c7308f2c4295574e2625b49 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 25, 6AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-25-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 25, 6AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-25-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6AM E... | down | 0 | ethereum-up-or-down-october-26-1pm-et | Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET | 78,197,850 | 78,197,850 |
d6e74eff36b04b75d704ad6980f5c9027bf26e27 | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0x357e5019f3159453e5963a6adb40de3ae36aa457352366e89a020acdb137cdb4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 25, 6AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-25-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-26-1pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET | 78,198,110 | 78,198,110 |
f3cc61bfe0cd4c4c0ace925236544118244a6bd5 | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0x0689165455bda252059d5e4946d89627eb41c1acfc7137223015bc38163b0c69 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-25-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 25... | down | 0 | ethereum-up-or-down-october-26-5pm-et | Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5PM ET | 78,204,639 | 78,204,639 |
96ef9a70e61cef3ed8d8076be30e0c52433191b1 | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0xab403800eda635929040e0b89606dd91690500cb08c132cdb273f8c61b7c0032 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-25-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-25-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7AM... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-26-5pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5PM ET | 78,204,659 | 78,204,659 |
997b50268d4ca8293b6686dd32e1875a9aa33f3c | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0x16cbd53b5ffbca042ee69ed41556b65436c314f6aa2174c0a54de77a526d6c3e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-25-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 1.1700136891601632e-05
3. Question: Ethereum Up or D... | up | 0.000024 | ethereum-up-or-down-october-27-12am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12AM ET | 78,217,770 | 78,217,770 |
c555ce5cd15c79be91afa9157c62ddb0b83e7127 | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0x30b4b421025f9e2c65cf6c212158c175554f5b85368df38b9043440017ff6400 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 1.1700136891601632e-05
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoi... | down | 0 | ethereum-up-or-down-october-27-1am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1AM ET | 78,219,339 | 78,219,339 |
bc213e4bca9b3c1bb238bae2186569b56503eafd | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0x2eeea24389627fc6f5b48b30af5049a7c52645869b6ab436cebe69730ce1a88a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-25-8am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.00010001000100010001
3. Question: XRP Up or ... | up | 0.000045 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-27-1am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1AM ET | 78,219,429 | 78,219,429 |
ecbe95d7cfe7daf6ba431f458b2754c2356048b0 | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0xe3bbd5fdb5be67890cda6796566f92d7f6cef2daf9b81431f9303a1f56042b48 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-25-8am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.00010001000100010001
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-25-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-27-2am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2AM ET | 78,221,169 | 78,221,169 |
f779e947af53c57c2d89f87c3c2f4d4d3169dec0 | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0x5cb40f766cf91fddc6f929489b4647a70921f468912b42178a441011c8d0dcc7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-25-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 9.028815121429163e-05
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Dow... | down | 0 | ethereum-up-or-down-october-27-2am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2AM ET | 78,221,329 | 78,221,329 |
24f90949495a3f8cab1e993363c9251fd19fc9ef | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0x32f61482cfe6e7bcc823b652ce0b1a300dce413291d49ca6b20cbc99f7341765 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 9.028815121429163e-05
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-25-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin U... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-27-3am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3AM ET | 78,222,949 | 78,222,949 |
518a53844314f6046ce2722a14fe5351c636dc2e | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0x52d0fb970923f096380162b7667a4a836f8960408052f4d06c8d55c5a1f226b9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-25-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-26-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October... | down | 0.00015 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-27-4am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4AM ET | 78,224,709 | 78,224,709 |
36c02a479fa8b608b555f532a785e32372f959eb | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0x551a6ce88c78d3bdfa9827786ce3948ad7136573d92420cd9d493f68ee4df144 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-26-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-26-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.00011113735013803409
3. Question: Bitcoin ... | down | 0 | ethereum-up-or-down-october-27-4am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4AM ET | 78,224,819 | 78,224,819 |
f559ade36eacc60712e9edd2d9ca4fa9642e30a0 | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0x0b6e3af158bcb54b5edaedbd0849d5d4aa0c9289b50220a0f80d83a5afd0f9bb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-26-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.00011113735013803409
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-26-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Ethereum... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-27-5am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET | 78,226,510 | 78,226,510 |
4615333ae1abced76ebe4c2d8aeaf2ffed95d7ca | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0x85f8a06bbdd6ce95aaa9aea337d7f8d7208893ff95616cbe353cdcd801caac26 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-26-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-26-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Octobe... | down | 0 | ethereum-up-or-down-october-27-5am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET | 78,226,889 | 78,226,889 |
b2c70f9197022e25dbcbddb4c63505a2d892a099 | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0x0b4b5f54d5f730dd0dd4e275cfddf3cffff8b13bd0572313cb1db1f13f0b66b9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-26-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-26-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 26... | down | 0.000065 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-27-7am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET | 78,230,559 | 78,230,559 |
5ac737bbf5d9094171856fea6914a4b958e16d50 | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0xf1d6508dbd4f0a1c07b9b93507aa9032c9f70614f0f690d44115970b10921f43 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-26-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 26, 8AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-26-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8AM... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-27-8am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8AM ET | 78,232,009 | 78,232,009 |
209478121bfa154062ed330d5e69082a22fde7a4 | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0xeb75ef0710b73a83156edf70767f9af304d08ea84405dff5e29912f197d0ab33 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 26, 8AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-26-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-26-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8AM... | down | 0 | ethereum-up-or-down-october-27-8am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8AM ET | 78,232,029 | 78,232,029 |
bf045fee798b02dd4561886c02f7862f0c45472c | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0xfda28244aec5d71e61e4519cb685c338dcb4fce310625652c1ce58c8bdbd52b0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-26-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-26-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 26, ... | down | 0 | ethereum-up-or-down-october-27-10am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10AM ET | 78,235,679 | 78,235,679 |
0bf7a0976ebbadb9ead53440c4005265ed46c40d | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0x79f765d65bb49cf28a12f0ab13aa68ac8f9181129dfe7f9750c386fcb4b5b82f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-october-26-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-26-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9AM E... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-27-10am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10AM ET | 78,235,719 | 78,235,719 |
7105a0462fa4aec1e83b8a0acf423b305b017fa9 | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0x1e2a0060773a032c5f9f0705355a70f0cb8c251e84cfc0367c2a6a861d979ea9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-october-26-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-26-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9A... | down | 0.0001 | ethereum-up-or-down-october-27-11am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET | 78,237,319 | 78,237,319 |
a1874ff3f9d2e4bbcd07d92075b0711e47fb8f33 | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0x23c0dc756155359e871b434956978863c38322f345065c66858172eeadbf743e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-october-26-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-26-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Octobe... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-27-11am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET | 78,237,329 | 78,237,329 |
ae0f199129ed8d630a763de11f006d23c8bbe84b | 0x12e543d34f4421d24ae8da14982d14e328f6bc51 | 0xd8a1fcdf538db54a881f4a429be23e9585a2a81f804c0446a567c5a3e0a93f7b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-26-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-26-10am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 6.18838293713615e-05
3. Question: Ethereum Up ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-27-12pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET | 78,239,169 | 78,239,169 |
32f1c91c67fbb3adaf63c877976343d1c298e5f7 | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0x050eee4e5d894a1d3db23007697f8ae15b6b195b569eaac9d13c199e4b45933a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
None
Target market:
Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw?
Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...} | yes | 1 | uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | 77,540,183 | 77,540,183 |
eb7be054d3984a1dbf99a4c00e899a607b7c3fb6 | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0x09e209c38fe020170ce984bc51f6db848efdfb087c9b8e15caf25eb7369d94aa | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10?
Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"ch... | yes | 1 | caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | 77,540,183 | 77,540,183 |
a75c0c37407ca4052b53f870e0082a2fae0ca42d | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0x0b4ac962f80e779df83d93895de414cb8c796eb80a02b41bea55b5fa666f91a3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw?
Event... | yes | 1 | caf-rwa-ben-2025-10-10 | Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | 77,540,183 | 77,540,183 |
21c259b7ac0281c8f433eb930a39898c35b7babd | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0x17686af2c1c52e2ff09e3d59d4d7e2648871927faea7ca8acc9273af18650c7d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | caf-tog-cdr-2025-10-10 | Will Togo vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | 77,540,183 | 77,540,183 |
a77d9f143852c6bab7055ca54b6cc68856d07157 | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0x5bc8b430c6006974efe80c8b3405401dc82a5bceece98968d57e6c9bdf808370 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | fif-rus-irn-2025-10-10 | Will Russia vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | 77,540,183 | 77,540,183 |
0bde6ecd0a8ad64d99bfb73ee040ba258dac52e9 | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0x60fc1c133ee2129ceb08e35b3045e0b15815358c3fc7c6e0394f07966eb48ad4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | uef-isl-ukr-2025-10-10 | Will Iceland vs. Ukraine end in a draw? | 77,540,183 | 77,540,183 |
c83ebff0a80925b5d71e1af57e099994a8bbbb33 | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0x92929342dc9f8e3bff526556dc222cd1cd79030a0e2393fdd9b4fd659e5d195b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | caf-ssd-sen-2025-10-10 | Will South Sudan vs. Senegal end in a draw? | 77,540,183 | 77,540,183 |
814971c9f2d14e764a338d364dcfbc35d9ddcc7c | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0xa818008f889eabf5d0a64c5d2211b00b0f7ef7c14a71c8a0ed630835afc03666 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | fif-can-aus-2025-10-10 | Will Canada vs. Australia end in a draw? | 77,540,183 | 77,540,183 |
46008099d4b151b15f5779cdccdf59e48895d0c9 | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0xac869f2a68ff9e72c4d22ad6ec986e3e5b33111888fa1cd67f52d6982f71a5cc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | caf-zim-rsa-2025-10-10 | Will South Africa win on 2025-10-10? | 77,540,183 | 77,540,183 |
22dbaabe7fbfe8574f78f4fdbdecc36b2c783f2a | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0xe9754d05af6918fbbb3953f1cb9139b5c806253378e409e43cf84f7493477982 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | uef-swe-che-2025-10-10 | Will Sweden vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | 77,540,183 | 77,540,183 |
6a321c8c466f3848349f98e4c6d9aa3d1ca2a7be | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0x25da15452865cd807348d52f7beaee9fe65c5cc5d09365c49664d1c54e781b19 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | uef-nir-svk-2025-10-10 | Will Northern Ireland vs. Slovakia end in a draw? | 77,540,186 | 77,540,186 |
75c8feaa7d66e3569c185bc2d1d4a7f0fbfccaf3 | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0x7a929c89d76e9c335f3b3570358cdbfffc89ad4feaa98c92e2a1ff455c4a7da8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | fif-kor1-bra-2025-10-10 | Will Korea Republic win on 2025-10-10? | 77,540,186 | 77,540,186 |
8b6c03b6eb861f02319dd8b9a9d4931613c2baa3 | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0x7f00640e571f6624b7f5e8e22e8f7631bab5eb5e3ead8fb796d4aa0129877a46 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | fif-jpn-par-2025-10-10 | Will Paraguay win on 2025-10-10? | 77,540,186 | 77,540,186 |
73793499b72ba41d3f460e979390c097b8034b6f | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0xd0e50234388cc3b4c4d7525eeb00731ea051b98842c3394decf719ad8f088ff5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | fif-ury-dom-2025-10-10 | Will Dominican Republic win on 2025-10-10? | 77,540,186 | 77,540,186 |
f12233f6996eea1c602bbf57ec8b41d29759a1a0 | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0x9e49f97c3b3990497cfa0037487bb83b13148fea5c6300931aeb0fe269b624c9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | uef-kvx-slv-2025-10-10 | Will Kosovo vs. Slovenia end in a draw? | 77,540,194 | 77,540,194 |
165fa85a4bbf9bbb2c1d4aa3a256828184606a02 | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0xb0b0f4fd34a4d31e0d9e20b737c23a890fb44cb3b0664cca6c4e8d09eb393072 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | caf-les-nga-2025-10-10 | Will Nigeria win on 2025-10-10? | 77,540,194 | 77,540,194 |
a324dcbefe36b2d5fd8ca52674fcb1e57ebf9826 | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0xb212906151787b39d43e4b06e5150e65fbdc872d5490e4ecc22cc402c21122bb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | fif-jor-bol-2025-10-10 | Will Bolivia win on 2025-10-10? | 77,540,194 | 77,540,194 |
a692ab605b9f23edd2fe923a2baf72504bcc91f9 | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0xb755e32850241a6fe9f2be4f87291ed70c33a061c4f5c360c71f942c3e03723e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | uef-bel-mac-2025-10-10 | Will Belgium vs. North Macedonia end in a draw? | 77,540,194 | 77,540,194 |
526ef44b2f5bf7167e0843f0adffffa7722caf0d | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0x389099f50508788ee9a5efbfd616f74e57a2fd0b2c74acd3ce080281c56409d7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Will Mexico vs. Colombia end in a draw? | 77,580,681 | 77,580,681 |
ce01630608671d8306f38c506e3cd4a258bd228a | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0x32d1116064d098fe9c993a0440b4ba2a5e211d415ab9b95697964541a969fe5f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | caf-eqg-lbr-2025-10-13 | Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Liberia end in a draw? | 77,642,929 | 77,642,929 |
836e02b07bf1c125a84273aa12c17a137946e6c8 | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0xb037b5e190ec17162932bfff2c34a14cb648d9ed83067c45a818662174eb3bd9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | caf-ssd-tog-2025-10-13 | Will South Sudan vs. Togo end in a draw? | 77,642,929 | 77,642,929 |
4e97d255f156ab1c7ae802fbc7b7db13b2b95e9d | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0x25384400f17b25db5450ef24f72f118bf8ce12894da789628c8ecc4920846d5a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | uef-hrv-gib-2025-10-12 | Will Croatia vs. Gibraltar end in a draw? | 77,642,937 | 77,642,937 |
ba7feab8290cdcc9fa6c7fe902617d901e0e9dc9 | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0x0679c83c31a48c28d8123665bc84b20b5865509d410b63c3da69e7fba03a0a00 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | uef-svk-lux-2025-10-13 | Will Slovakia vs. Luxembourg end in a draw? | 77,720,620 | 77,720,620 |
373a947bb2454256ff2918fa81e9010632fe7fda | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0x119de0760054ba5d860b1ac7d998f97bd3941bac2f50a5065c0735fcdbd4fff8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | uef-lit-pol-2025-10-12 | Will Lithuania vs. Poland end in a draw? | 77,720,620 | 77,720,620 |
bcf94c9a9bbf2d41c19d0828ab282be001dc4f5a | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0x3dddcd8ecb236e845bfc032fbae6a13892422b8e89fd134d005530a783f74ad9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | caf-stp-mal-2025-10-13 | Will São Tomé e Príncipe vs. Malawi end in a draw? | 77,720,620 | 77,720,620 |
d7d5f6c3868b837063bb760a687e1001e39da0e6 | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0x7e4f0f09e18eca0c49dbe2cf1dfb4737e4693a4e383c1f5a29187aa2e6389228 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | uef-rom-aut-2025-10-12 | Will Romania vs. Austria end in a draw? | 77,720,620 | 77,720,620 |
fa2029ca52b3003f57e1708e2fc737f88e7a867d | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0x87a985deae6cee6fdbb146899b497fb645b58e78d6259860247c59a49d759320 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | cof-cri-nca-2025-10-13 | Will Costa Rica vs. Nicaragua end in a draw? | 77,720,620 | 77,720,620 |
c66d5ea6c731395e1030b251c3f64e7c400cf699 | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0x90c84843c8dfcaa203cb0a0b2045fb149cdf207bc190b440c4c6c01bb4a1ab03 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | uef-nir-ger-2025-10-13 | Will Northern Ireland vs. Germany end in a draw? | 77,720,620 | 77,720,620 |
1e4d6948162f0fce3113dae025e6662919c71aa9 | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0xa565e148bfe6194f07b4f00c0ff922ee74836a27e36de009aa420a67d3881f23 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | uef-swe-kvx-2025-10-13 | Will Sweden vs. Kosovo end in a draw? | 77,720,620 | 77,720,620 |
91495c6dab257802a5f77782379fd680e3b36c0d | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0xbe85b199ac92c8f1215826612cac7a0c2c3ae2b6897b310d2341170339ce09b1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | uef-far-cze-2025-10-12 | Will Faroe Islands vs. Czechia end in a draw? | 77,720,620 | 77,720,620 |
9e8157c324db5699abfd074bb08f69b681716c4e | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0xc5ea84752506776f83e55b65f361e144e35265e2b847493bd8bc3c1f60c21b9b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | Event: uef-kaz-lie-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-b... | yes | 1 | uef-ukr-aze-2025-10-13 | Will Ukraine vs. Azerbaijan end in a draw? | 77,720,620 | 77,720,620 |
13aaeb3cff8c2649a878e0be55bb5985a8d7f0ce | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0x1963a7d39ab330b84526e254906ff060f8a9d59bc1d6d9a932e04c55f0cb0595 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Mauritania win on 2025-10-10? | Event: caf-sdn-mtn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-ben-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Togo vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Event: caf-tog-cdr-2025-10-... | yes | 1 | uef-den-grc-2025-10-12 | Will Denmark vs. Greece end in a draw? | 77,720,622 | 77,720,622 |
e50250f7200ef280dc70977dff414c4ed8f46402 | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0x3ddaa4127c2d79556933ebe0c731c8291f53072ed6a88f65658b2963079f3dae | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Rwanda vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-rwa-ben-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Togo vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Event: caf-tog-cdr-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Russia vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Event: fif-rus-irn-2025... | yes | 1 | caf-tun-nam-2025-10-13 | Will Tunisia vs. Namibia end in a draw? | 77,720,622 | 77,720,622 |
8c98687041b6ea7323ff56164354d07c5748fc1a | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0x473ed4cadcc8d721aad5cc5cba3aa12239e7b5ad034bf0ce03a7c9b8fa9ab543 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Togo vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Event: caf-tog-cdr-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Russia vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Event: fif-rus-irn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Iceland vs. Ukraine end in a draw? | Event: uef-isl-ukr-2... | yes | 1 | uef-wal-bel-2025-10-13 | Will Wales vs. Belgium end in a draw? | 77,720,622 | 77,720,622 |
9bdbda7b411ccc6e2fb720db21faa7aebf992a0d | 0x13343331d6ec872db01d9352623f78c1bfd73c35 | 0x8037848a76d6eb38c1be061c56e23dadce57d756d20b671810d47ed5339f6530 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Russia vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Event: fif-rus-irn-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Iceland vs. Ukraine end in a draw? | Event: uef-isl-ukr-2025-10-10 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will South Sudan vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Event: caf-ssd... | yes | 1 | cof-hnd-hai-2025-10-13 | Will Honduras vs. Haiti end in a draw? | 77,720,622 | 77,720,622 |
8661ded2d26b2ee8ad67bf9cb56619b43ae2d7e2 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x37c3e71046cce36dbe287cc94849e175f45eb874a1fc8c9cd33e5f9aa29d2e0d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
None
Target market:
Question: Tigers vs. Mariners
Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...} | mariners | 0 | mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Tigers vs. Mariners | 77,519,278 | 77,519,278 |
b1c2dfa3c344df75e6bc18ff7e1135371e87ea08 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x6ce7d972374196440b8700dd3244663f6f3aa2274aca26d5ff7f9ab3c24722c7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
Target market:
Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State
Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence... | colorado state | 0 | cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Fresno State vs. Colorado State | 77,519,278 | 77,519,278 |
b642291fb2c8df987db7e43fd1910ed38fd5bd18 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0xf612fd84d3330cb6e608e725d5380a543f64c30f1e3be4808a2e7a7e1350e449 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
Target market:
Question: Rutgers vs. Washington
Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-... | rutgers | 0 | cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Rutgers vs. Washington | 77,519,278 | 77,519,278 |
0153cdf340c87e5e50d6de78c38d2bd93f824b61 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0xebd74255ffe6a1229a422a53fca888018d5b490f1cea36b91c0e61a0eb46dfaf | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | brewers | 0 | mlb-chc-mil-2025-10-11 | Cubs vs. Brewers | 77,548,155 | 77,548,155 |
9598089190e85d84cd9a044d970486d0eec5a296 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x6587f1af929fcc54d7a475f48ff60ec9b9cd7c74d16654ddda0255cd0f7673fb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | cincinnati | 0 | cfb-ucf-cin-2025-10-11 | UCF vs. Cincinnati | 77,548,155 | 77,560,095 |
b7b11070c6f87476d6a57edbeda18fa97c37b938 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x55bde6a5f8925a3addd421e4ed2f774c276f47079c50fbab1ff70a36c8727f07 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | illinois | 0 | cfb-ohiost-ill-2025-10-11 | Ohio State vs. Illinois | 77,548,155 | 77,562,653 |
7f3406c4995fcd8349b368ab381a2ae898d5178d | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x2da868bb7da646c6190f7cc6ede5fd9a2b0a3463ffdcd095873344824122297f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | flyers | 0 | nhl-phi-car-2025-10-11 | Flyers vs. Hurricanes | 77,560,112 | 77,560,112 |
4b25df04ae985e1d808aecfbc28bb38f1dbf113c | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x74f6dcb16909313bc038fae8a3e392f00d5c41179373dbc1d7c450dcdafeff45 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | blues | 0.000106 | nhl-stl-cal-2025-10-11 | Blues vs. Flames | 77,560,112 | 77,560,112 |
0e0b5cc3c0464d6b7dbecf8cbdcf08beb6c083e1 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x7d166f471f82ab55fd3f5569571db2524f0970d5d458f35fca3f0b0812fdc6e5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | indiana | 0 | cfb-ind-ore-2025-10-11 | Indiana vs. Oregon | 77,560,112 | 77,560,112 |
b1b48c86fdd0a85f7dfadb94f25fe362b9e00662 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0xbdb2684ceb47d184f89d728bf910c92348a6f9f698994e63e11815e6a3f9a79b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | appalachian state | 0 | cfb-applst-gast-2025-10-11 | Appalachian State vs. Georgia State | 77,560,112 | 77,560,112 |
6242fa6523585bbd0ab09780fdfca3a62ae244d6 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0xc89fe435557de06592fa97b01163fd4daced84b91a225cca0c574ea3c4851648 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | florida atlantic | 0 | cfb-uab-flatl-2025-10-11 | UAB Blazers vs. Florida Atlantic | 77,560,112 | 77,560,112 |
67b2ed21b9bd393a184d2380e7221b71e64153f7 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x9c0d68aabb8b85a996847deb66f793ecd87a08bd85a36904a47f960a456ccd6b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | oregon state | 0 | cfb-wake-oregst-2025-10-11 | Wake Forest vs. Oregon State | 77,560,112 | 77,569,173 |
f7c967ad165e656ed68eb6fdf9207a90f67d4764 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x7d926c048c014b5c463e4ccd8b9e7c7cb94f918c1796c77a8f99a8fe27f05350 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | kansas | 0 | cfb-kan-txtech-2025-10-11 | Kansas vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders | 77,562,262 | 77,562,262 |
6f44a32580db39a1e352251fbc27eb7dc9823ff1 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x9ec01d3e5f28c6e546857ded64fda6609eca8f7d74f2cf24c7f0d2d5bc062457 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | texas state | 0 | cfb-troy-txst-2025-10-12 | Troy vs. Texas State | 77,562,262 | 77,562,262 |
b3f28ba52d79325d15bb33ce728479a48f267883 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0xabdde1057bd5f62a06f15417908c6e601b3532d67723eebd35776fdb080b368f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | hawaii | 0 | cfb-utahst-hawaii-2025-10-12 | Utah State vs. Hawaii | 77,569,170 | 77,569,170 |
3a299c704a3c585149c7fc5bdee1ad4269594155 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0xe24ae4854d59e1b4e3d0193df9cca838c370fbad34a733b6f3d208c3bf6cd57b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | no | 0.000065 | uef-sco-bel1-2025-10-12 | Will Belarus win on 2025-10-12? | 77,571,679 | 77,606,448 |
9be98a623bb82381d559970023095fbd3db25434 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x19601210b01f7c93672637914f286fc2a3f1bfe47a02ffe541c35bffeac2bc38 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | no | 0 | uef-hrv-gib-2025-10-12 | Will Gibraltar win on 2025-10-12? | 77,575,945 | 77,575,945 |
adf0210a54f53b2b5370132d6614e39db6c7f325 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x1f2b1d2cbbd09e4118a370fd9a39b6ee60f85369b4abc62120aaee3ab3c4d5d0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | yes | 1 | uef-far-cze-2025-10-12 | Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-10-12? | 77,602,986 | 77,602,986 |
686df9649e41115c06b566625b65eae502e92753 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x77927e301fed9124438e246f70ecd4a3160ad0aa7ea5fc091bd1bd1211d46be4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | yes | 1 | uef-smr-cyp-2025-10-12 | Will San Marino win on 2025-10-12? | 77,602,989 | 77,602,989 |
6e29fe20e409d1e687d5f15bbd96d714ed0aec06 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x59e624e323d23fc512245014103a13fe9c41c14bb183f21eb3bd7404569be2e5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | yes | 1 | uef-rom-aut-2025-10-12 | Will Romania win on 2025-10-12? | 77,604,317 | 77,604,317 |
b64bacc6ad30f33c08ae15b55ea57934efae493d | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0xc480ad202a02700a20346a1d8f63c2a15a6aae5858ef62d21f2043347d0129e8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | bengals | 0 | nfl-cin-gb-2025-10-12 | Bengals vs. Packers | 77,604,854 | 77,604,854 |
d3307e807208dd56f52252981d8e69ca6c593167 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0xdefad36fcd55891cb4519c20dd67be61e656f6780acd32df3e745d8c4522aee7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | blue jays | 0 | mlb-sea-tor-2025-10-12 | Mariners vs. Blue Jays | 77,604,854 | 77,604,854 |
dabcaeecaf04aef2dee88c6ccb66a7f2a16b32ff | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x0e766687ac8959187ca57bc13c48d0d4f51810965c8e37d5b9dc83d0ecb8071b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | yes | 1 | caf-bur-eth-2025-10-12 | Will Ethiopia win on 2025-10-12? | 77,606,448 | 77,606,448 |
a8c233ed1d441ffa7331b3dc5b64ed75f970d6a9 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x1c8fec7b28ed9ca615edeee5624273bcc30e54b7c559b476edb8737da154b70f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | yes | 1 | caf-egy-gbi-2025-10-12 | Will Guinea-Bissau win on 2025-10-12? | 77,606,448 | 77,606,448 |
950e60a2aa4ebbfdf0e406108123d71210234e93 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x93b1aea0dfda7269f7cc72bbdf85a4d1319531f7b4b1fe46f18fa4fb0159f7d8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | yes | 1 | uef-den-grc-2025-10-12 | Will Greece win on 2025-10-12? | 77,606,448 | 77,606,448 |
ccec7054e1f402ba7efbcf062b293699473a6a70 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0xe3d9ae6e917529210b5a5206121051b5ab2c254e4db0dcb6481bb8544f7f4066 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | yes | 1 | uef-lit-pol-2025-10-12 | Will Lithuania win on 2025-10-12? | 77,606,448 | 77,606,448 |
ab138966a1bfb204ae8709c3f6f35f7742302e1c | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0xa7aeaaae036e316c1e7e0542fa31595117dee8735ef88b3d9ceda85b1b3d1534 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | chiefs | 0 | nfl-det-kc-2025-10-12 | Lions vs. Chiefs | 77,609,027 | 77,609,049 |
67746dd0ad119345e355e50acd4a845fec65f333 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x1c36d1ddb38291252a0109ac487f6b841b67e40458a0072549b29a14783faae9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | yes | 1 | arg-riv-cas-2025-10-12 | Will CA Sarmiento win on 2025-10-12? | 77,613,086 | 77,613,086 |
658367e752da0a625903a78f60423297af370eca | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x1f3b7d8a00cd16eafa259072e1aa61e81e4cd48933ab49522a9ee0fb38770eb0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | blue jays | 0 | mlb-sea-tor-2025-10-13 | Mariners vs. Blue Jays | 77,614,737 | 77,634,445 |
e24545c2d0a45fdda1ee75e206edb9bfb999d098 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x365eb6f3620c4524bc5ed27b954df1e1f52eb8d161420cfd30123c4b94b6f5bb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | islanders | 0 | nhl-wpg-nyi-2025-10-13 | Jets vs. Islanders | 77,625,194 | 77,625,194 |
6046c308c4e025fa5d07ff9253061e768197f31c | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x626a49d9b82acaa9e86760c0cddad6a71aceefbef72f4f1c154ff8e358ae88c1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-det-sea-2025-10-10 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice... | bills | 0 | nfl-buf-atl-2025-10-13 | Bills vs. Falcons | 77,627,144 | 77,645,419 |
053893160214bc381d97af659a1af12053fa6e97 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0xa1e39896a8bcfe5a52494ca1ec9a7263f0ebe70f832df58fe0185e23beb32c79 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Fresno State vs. Colorado State | Event: cfb-frest-colst-2025-10-11 | Choice: colorado state | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice: rutgers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Cubs vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-chc-mil-2025-10-11 | Choice: br... | no | 0.000036 | caf-eqg-lbr-2025-10-13 | Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-10-13? | 77,631,106 | 77,631,106 |
269a469ce3ea1d3967f7a3343407737d3e4a3d89 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x817aef1ef7bdedcdb87180eb0924f4e82809b1b25575d77db62d03f1528c358e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rutgers vs. Washington | Event: cfb-rutger-wash-2025-10-11 | Choice: rutgers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Cubs vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-chc-mil-2025-10-11 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: UCF vs. Cincinnati | Event: cfb-ucf-cin-2025-10-11 | Choice: cincinnati | Confidence: 0... | bruins | 0 | nhl-tb-bos-2025-10-13 | Lightning vs. Bruins | 77,632,483 | 77,645,483 |
dbc52889c5aeb01c2fb3b9fff8314f3f36c0735b | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x106a717e07c6659913f65540e8a4a041d9dc0936feb95db8d4d2741109b3a8f7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Cubs vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-chc-mil-2025-10-11 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: UCF vs. Cincinnati | Event: cfb-ucf-cin-2025-10-11 | Choice: cincinnati | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Ohio State vs. Illinois | Event: cfb-ohiost-ill-2025-10-11 | Choice: illinois | Confidence: ... | kings | 0 | nhl-lak-min-2025-10-13 | Kings vs. Wild | 77,633,103 | 77,633,103 |
1919569171a425b77962d320a429c02810e18b47 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x1a4ff5cb0dce2560664611d8f4307e1161a5b4c723224f4e369f773ea483a7c4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: UCF vs. Cincinnati | Event: cfb-ucf-cin-2025-10-11 | Choice: cincinnati | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Ohio State vs. Illinois | Event: cfb-ohiost-ill-2025-10-11 | Choice: illinois | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Flyers vs. Hurricanes | Event: nhl-phi-car-2025-10-11 | Choice: flyers | Confiden... | blue jackets | 0 | nhl-nj-cbj-2025-10-13 | Devils vs. Blue Jackets | 77,635,739 | 77,661,336 |
1284639a00d7813304b2ede966019e3afd71c4a1 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x1111678796eade4089890d3d80ab03773201a46e3404c108d663c453c674b1d4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ohio State vs. Illinois | Event: cfb-ohiost-ill-2025-10-11 | Choice: illinois | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Flyers vs. Hurricanes | Event: nhl-phi-car-2025-10-11 | Choice: flyers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Blues vs. Flames | Event: nhl-stl-cal-2025-10-11 | Choice: blues | Confidence: 0.0... | blues | 0 | nhl-stl-van-2025-10-13 | Blues vs. Canucks | 77,642,937 | 77,656,490 |
62e17576ad9e9279d6a3d0c3521f61345871ce19 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x0d6443be883d698599c1fe3e145ec4fbb28aa17924ecda24617bf0165232e4e4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Flyers vs. Hurricanes | Event: nhl-phi-car-2025-10-11 | Choice: flyers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Blues vs. Flames | Event: nhl-stl-cal-2025-10-11 | Choice: blues | Confidence: 0.00010558614725749671
3. Question: Indiana vs. Oregon | Event: cfb-ind-ore-2025-10-11 | Choice: indiana | Confi... | panthers | 0.00005 | nhl-fla-phi-2025-10-13 | Panthers vs. Flyers | 77,645,460 | 77,645,460 |
d171f61dc73478a3607529cc6db02d70f5935ad6 | 0x133b5cdca05c6f6e921bf9d550e8b5ed4162faa8 | 0x4356837cec1e18e58e6bd079f64a055b0aad71a854035209ef1a0b2a3e8c8222 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Blues vs. Flames | Event: nhl-stl-cal-2025-10-11 | Choice: blues | Confidence: 0.00010558614725749671
2. Question: Indiana vs. Oregon | Event: cfb-ind-ore-2025-10-11 | Choice: indiana | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Appalachian State vs. Georgia State | Event: cfb-applst-gast-2025-10-11 | Choi... | no | 0.000075 | uef-slv-che-2025-10-13 | Will Slovenia win on 2025-10-13? | 77,645,460 | 77,645,460 |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.