text stringlengths 12 11.8k | prediction float64 0 1 | source stringclasses 5
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|---|---|---|
What is the chance that we will have transformative AI by 2039? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
How much solar PV energy capacity will be installed each year from 2023-2030 in gigawatts? (2030)
Reframed Question: What is the chance that 4.00k gigawatts of solar PV energy capacity will be installed each year from 2023-2030? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the upper limit of the federal funds target range will be 3.99 on September 30, 2025? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the upper limit of the federal funds target range will be 3.99 on September 30, 2025? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
How much solar PV energy capacity will be installed each year from 2023-2030 in gigawatts? (2029)
Reframed Question: What is the chance that 2.86k gigawatts of solar PV energy capacity will be installed each year from 2023-2030? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the upper limit of the federal funds target range will be 3.99 on September 30, 2025? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate in the United States will be 4.60% in the following months (Sep-24)? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be more than 50,000 civilian deaths in the Israel-Gaza conflict before July 1, 2024? (Palestinian civilians) | 0.75 | Metaculus |
How much solar PV energy capacity will be installed each year from 2023-2030 in gigawatts? (2029)
Reframed Question: What is the chance that 2.86k gigawatts of solar PV energy capacity will be installed each year from 2023-2030? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 35.5k civilian deaths in the Israel-Gaza conflict before July 1, 2024? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 35.5k civilian deaths in the Israel-Gaza conflict before July 1, 2024? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be more than 50,000 civilian deaths in the Israel-Gaza conflict before July 1, 2024? (Palestinian civilians) | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 1.27k Israeli civilian deaths in the Israel-Gaza conflict before July 1, 2024? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 35.5k civilian deaths in the Israel-Gaza conflict before July 1, 2024? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 1.27k Israeli civilian deaths in the Israel-Gaza conflict before July 1, 2024? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be more than 50,000 civilian deaths in the Israel-Gaza conflict before July 1, 2024? (Palestinian civilians) | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that LLaMA-3 will be released by May 10, 2024? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 1.27k Israeli civilian deaths in the Israel-Gaza conflict before July 1, 2024? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a country will completely ban civilian tobacco consumption/smoking by 2040? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that LLaMA-3 will be released by May 10, 2024? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 50% in the following months (Sep-24)? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Great Britain's maximum solar power capacity (MW) will be 16.06k for October 2024? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that LLaMA-3 will be released by May 10, 2024? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 50% in the following months (Sep-24)? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 50% in the following months (Sep-24)? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be a round trip crewed mission to Jupiter's orbit by 2085? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Great Britain's maximum solar power capacity (MW) will be 16.06k for October 2024? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a country will completely ban civilian tobacco consumption/smoking by 2040? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be a round trip crewed mission to Jupiter's orbit by 2085? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Great Britain's maximum solar power capacity (MW) will be 16.06k for October 2024? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that congestion pricing will go into effect in New York City by Jan 2025? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be a round trip crewed mission to Jupiter's orbit by 2085? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that congestion pricing will go into effect in New York City by Jan 2025? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a country will completely ban civilian tobacco consumption/smoking by 2040? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that congestion pricing will go into effect in New York City by Jan 2025? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a large language model with a context window of at least 5 million tokens will be freely accessible to anyone by Jan 2027? LLM technology has been advancing rapidly in recent years, and there are many companies and organizations working to make LLM more accessible to the general public. However,... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that these teams will score 75.8 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a large language model with a context window of at least 5 million tokens will be freely accessible to anyone by Jan 2027? LLM technology has been advancing rapidly in recent years, and there are many companies and organizations working to make LLM more accessible to the general public. However,... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that these teams will score 75.8 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that these teams will score 75.8 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Manchester City will score 91.31 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? The [Premier League](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Premier_League) is the highest division of professional English [football](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_football). It is one of the most-watched contemporary ... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Manchester City will score 91.31 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? The [Premier League](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Premier_League) is the highest division of professional English [football](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_football). It is one of the most-watched contemporary ... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Tottenham Hotspur will score 75.8 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? The [Premier League](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Premier_League) is the highest division of professional English [football](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_football). It is one of the most-watched contemporary... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Tottenham Hotspur will score 75.8 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? The [Premier League](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Premier_League) is the highest division of professional English [football](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_football). It is one of the most-watched contemporary... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a large language model with a context window of at least 5 million tokens will be freely accessible to anyone by Jan 2027? LLM technology has been advancing rapidly in recent years, and there are many companies and organizations working to make LLM more accessible to the general public. However,... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Arsenal will score 86.80 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? The [Premier League](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Premier_League) is the highest division of professional English [football](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_football). It is one of the most-watched contemporary sports w... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Arsenal will score 86.80 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? The [Premier League](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Premier_League) is the highest division of professional English [football](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_football). It is one of the most-watched contemporary sports w... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Liverpool will score 92.31 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Liverpool will score 92.31 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Liverpool will score 92.31 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Arsenal will score 86.80 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? The [Premier League](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Premier_League) is the highest division of professional English [football](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_football). It is one of the most-watched contemporary sports w... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Newcastle United will score 61.0 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Tottenham Hotspur will score 75.8 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? The [Premier League](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Premier_League) is the highest division of professional English [football](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_football). It is one of the most-watched contemporary... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Aston Villa will score 78.9 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Aston Villa will score 78.9 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Manchester City will score 91.31 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? The [Premier League](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Premier_League) is the highest division of professional English [football](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_football). It is one of the most-watched contemporary ... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Newcastle United will score 61.0 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Newcastle United will score 61.0 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Aston Villa will score 78.9 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Manchester United will score 69.8 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? The [Premier League](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Premier_League) is the highest division of professional English [football](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_football). It is one of the most-watched contemporary... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that West Ham United will score 57.6 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Brighton And Hove Albion will score 56.4 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Manchester United will score 69.8 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? The [Premier League](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Premier_League) is the highest division of professional English [football](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_football). It is one of the most-watched contemporary... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Brighton And Hove Albion will score 56.4 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Brighton And Hove Albion will score 56.4 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Manchester United will score 69.8 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? The [Premier League](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Premier_League) is the highest division of professional English [football](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_football). It is one of the most-watched contemporary... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Chelsea will score 55.8 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Crystal Palace will score 35.6 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that West Ham United will score 57.6 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that West Ham United will score 57.6 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Chelsea will score 55.8 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Crystal Palace will score 35.6 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Crystal Palace will score 35.6 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Fulham will score 50.8 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Wolverhampton Wanderers will score 46.8 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Chelsea will score 55.8 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Wolverhampton Wanderers will score 46.8 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Fulham will score 50.8 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Wolverhampton Wanderers will score 46.8 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Everton will score 43.4 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? The [Premier League](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Premier_League) is the highest division of professional English [football](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_football). It is one of the most-watched contemporary sports wi... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Fulham will score 50.8 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Everton will score 43.4 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? The [Premier League](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Premier_League) is the highest division of professional English [football](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_football). It is one of the most-watched contemporary sports wi... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Brentford will score 41.4 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? The [Premier League](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Premier_League) is the highest division of professional English [football](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_football). It is one of the most-watched contemporary sports ... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Luton Town will score 32.5 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Nottingham Forest will score 32.9 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? The [Premier League](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Premier_League) is the highest division of professional English [football](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_football). It is one of the most-watched contemporary... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Nottingham Forest will score 32.9 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? The [Premier League](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Premier_League) is the highest division of professional English [football](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_football). It is one of the most-watched contemporary... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Brentford will score 41.4 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? The [Premier League](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Premier_League) is the highest division of professional English [football](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_football). It is one of the most-watched contemporary sports ... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Everton will score 43.4 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? The [Premier League](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Premier_League) is the highest division of professional English [football](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_football). It is one of the most-watched contemporary sports wi... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Nottingham Forest will score 32.9 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? The [Premier League](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Premier_League) is the highest division of professional English [football](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_football). It is one of the most-watched contemporary... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Brentford will score 41.4 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? The [Premier League](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Premier_League) is the highest division of professional English [football](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_football). It is one of the most-watched contemporary sports ... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Luton Town will score 32.5 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Burnley will score 25.6 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Luton Town will score 32.5 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Bournemouth will score 36.0 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Sheffield United will score 23.5 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Bournemouth will score 36.0 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Sheffield United will score 23.5 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Artemis 3 will successfully take astronauts to the Lunar Gateway by Apr 2028? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Bournemouth will score 36.0 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Burnley will score 25.6 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
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