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What is the chance that Biden's polling margin over Trump will be 75% according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average in these months? The [2024 United States presidential election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election) will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that Biden's polling margin over Trump will be 75% according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average in these months? The [2024 United States presidential election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election) will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that Biden's polling margin over Trump will be 75% according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average in these months? The [2024 United States presidential election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election) will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that Biden's polling margin over Trump will be 50% according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average in these months? The [2024 United States presidential election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election) will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, ...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that Biden's polling margin over Trump will be 75% according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average in these months? (Sept-2024) The [2024 United States presidential election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election) will be the 60th quadrennial presidentia...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that Biden's polling margin over Trump will be 50% according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average in these months? The [2024 United States presidential election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election) will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, ...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that Biden's polling margin over Trump will be 75% according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average in these months? The [2024 United States presidential election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election) will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that Biden's polling margin over Trump will be 25% according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average in these months? The [2024 United States presidential election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election) will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, ...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that Biden's polling margin over Trump will be 75% according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average in these months? (Sept-2024) The [2024 United States presidential election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election) will be the 60th quadrennial presidentia...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that Biden's polling margin over Trump will be 2.38 points according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average in these months? The [2024 United States presidential election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election) will be the 60th quadrennial presidential el...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in Massachusetts on Jan 4, 2024? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health plann...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in New York on Jan 4, 2024? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health planning a...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in New York on Jan 4, 2024? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health planning a...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that Biden's polling margin over Trump will be 25% according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average in these months? The [2024 United States presidential election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election) will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, ...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in Massachusetts on Jan 4, 2024? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health plann...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in New York on Jan 4, 2024? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health planning a...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in Massachusetts on Jan 4, 2024? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health plann...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in Pennsylvania on Jan 2, 2024? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health planni...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in Pennsylvania on Jan 2, 2024? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health planni...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that Biden's polling margin over Trump will be 2.38 points according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average in these months? The [2024 United States presidential election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election) will be the 60th quadrennial presidential el...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in the following states on Jan 4, 2024? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public healt...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that Biden's polling margin over Trump will be 2.38 points according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average in these months? The [2024 United States presidential election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election) will be the 60th quadrennial presidential el...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in Pennsylvania on Jan 2, 2024? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health planni...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in the following states on Jan 4, 2024? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public healt...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in Florida on Jan 4, 2024? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health planning an...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in the following states on Jan 4, 2024? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public healt...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in Illinois on Dec 31, 2023? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health planning ...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in Florida on Jan 4, 2024? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health planning an...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in Florida on Jan 4, 2024? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health planning an...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in Illinois on Dec 31, 2023? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health planning ...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in Illinois on Dec 31, 2023? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health planning ...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in Texas on Jan 9, 2024? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health planning and ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in Texas on Jan 9, 2024? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health planning and ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in Colorado on Dec 29, 2023? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health planning ...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in Colorado on Dec 29, 2023? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health planning ...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in Colorado on Dec 29, 2023? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health planning ...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in Missouri on Feb 26, 2024? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health planning ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in California on Jan 2, 2024? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health planning...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in Missouri on Feb 26, 2024? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health planning ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in California on Jan 2, 2024? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health planning...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in Missouri on Feb 26, 2024? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health planning ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in Texas on Jan 9, 2024? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health planning and ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in Washington on Dec 31, 2023? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health plannin...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in California on Jan 2, 2024? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health planning...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the first medical treatment based on nanorobots will happen by 2039? Nanorobotics is an emerging technology field creating machines or robots whose components are at or near the scale of a nanometer. Among their potential uses, nanorobots could revolutionize medicine, even though as of today the...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the first medical treatment based on nanorobots will happen by 2039? Nanorobotics is an emerging technology field creating machines or robots whose components are at or near the scale of a nanometer. Among their potential uses, nanorobots could revolutionize medicine, even though as of today the...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in Washington on Dec 31, 2023? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health plannin...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the first medical treatment based on nanorobots will happen by 2039? Nanorobotics is an emerging technology field creating machines or robots whose components are at or near the scale of a nanometer. Among their potential uses, nanorobots could revolutionize medicine, even though as of today the...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations will occur in Washington on Dec 31, 2023? Confirmed hospitalizations due to influenza is an indicator of the overall burden of influenza in the United States and predictions of confirmed hospitalizations can help public health plannin...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment will increase by 229k in the following months (Aug-24)? The US [Bureau of Labor Statistics](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Labor_Statistics) (BLS) provides monthly estimates of the change in [nonfarm payroll employment](https://www.investop...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment will increase by 229k in the following months (Aug-24)? The US [Bureau of Labor Statistics](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Labor_Statistics) (BLS) provides monthly estimates of the change in [nonfarm payroll employment](https://www.investop...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment will increase by 229k in the following months (Aug-24)? The US [Bureau of Labor Statistics](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Labor_Statistics) (BLS) provides monthly estimates of the change in [nonfarm payroll employment](https://www.investop...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the U.S. government will spend 37.4% of GDP in the year 2031? #### FRED Graphs of Federal Spending, State & Local Spending, and GDP <iframe src="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/graph-landing.php?g=18Rm1&width=670&height=475" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" style="overflow:hidden; width:670px; ...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 50% in the following months (Aug-24)? The US [Bureau of Labor Statistics](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Labor_Statistics) (BLS) provides monthly estimates of the [Consumer Price Index](https://...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate in the United States will be 3.83% in the following months (Aug-24)? The US [Bureau of Labor Statistics](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Labor_Statistics) (BLS) provides monthly estimates of the [unemployment rate](https://www.investopedia.co...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the U.S. government will spend 37.4% of GDP in the year 2031? #### FRED Graphs of Federal Spending, State & Local Spending, and GDP <iframe src="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/graph-landing.php?g=18Rm1&width=670&height=475" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" style="overflow:hidden; width:670px; ...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate in the United States will be 3.83% in the following months (Aug-24)? The US [Bureau of Labor Statistics](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Labor_Statistics) (BLS) provides monthly estimates of the [unemployment rate](https://www.investopedia.co...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate in the United States will be 3.83% in the following months (Aug-24)? The US [Bureau of Labor Statistics](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Labor_Statistics) (BLS) provides monthly estimates of the [unemployment rate](https://www.investopedia.co...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the U.S. government will spend 34.3% of GDP in the year 2051? #### FRED Graphs of Federal Spending, State & Local Spending, and GDP <iframe src="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/graph-landing.php?g=18Rm1&width=670&height=475" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" style="overflow:hidden; width:670px; ...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the U.S. government will spend 37.4% of GDP in the year 2031? #### FRED Graphs of Federal Spending, State & Local Spending, and GDP <iframe src="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/graph-landing.php?g=18Rm1&width=670&height=475" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" style="overflow:hidden; width:670px; ...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the U.S. government will spend 40.1% of GDP in the year 2091? #### FRED Graphs of Federal Spending, State & Local Spending, and GDP <iframe src="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/graph-landing.php?g=18Rm1&width=670&height=475" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" style="overflow:hidden; width:670px; ...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the U.S. government will spend 40.1% of GDP in the year 2091? #### FRED Graphs of Federal Spending, State & Local Spending, and GDP <iframe src="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/graph-landing.php?g=18Rm1&width=670&height=475" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" style="overflow:hidden; width:670px; ...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the U.S. government will spend 34.3% of GDP in the year 2051? #### FRED Graphs of Federal Spending, State & Local Spending, and GDP <iframe src="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/graph-landing.php?g=18Rm1&width=670&height=475" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" style="overflow:hidden; width:670px; ...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the U.S. government will spend 40.1% of GDP in the year 2091? #### FRED Graphs of Federal Spending, State & Local Spending, and GDP <iframe src="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/graph-landing.php?g=18Rm1&width=670&height=475" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" style="overflow:hidden; width:670px; ...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the U.S. government will spend 34.3% of GDP in the year 2051? #### FRED Graphs of Federal Spending, State & Local Spending, and GDP <iframe src="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/graph-landing.php?g=18Rm1&width=670&height=475" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" style="overflow:hidden; width:670px; ...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 50% in the following months (Aug-24)? The US [Bureau of Labor Statistics](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Labor_Statistics) (BLS) provides monthly estimates of the [Consumer Price Index](https://...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that Dodge will sell 65,100 BEV Challengers and Chargers in 2026? [In 2021, Dodge made the announcement](https://www.gearpatrol.com/cars/a41351963/dodge-electric-muscle-car-delayed/) that 2023 would be the last year that internal combustion engine Chargers and Challengers would be made. They would be...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 50% in the following months (Aug-24)? The US [Bureau of Labor Statistics](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Labor_Statistics) (BLS) provides monthly estimates of the [Consumer Price Index](https://...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that Dodge will sell 65,100 BEV Challengers and Chargers in 2026? [In 2021, Dodge made the announcement](https://www.gearpatrol.com/cars/a41351963/dodge-electric-muscle-car-delayed/) that 2023 would be the last year that internal combustion engine Chargers and Challengers would be made. They would be...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that Dodge will sell 65,100 BEV Challengers and Chargers in 2026? [In 2021, Dodge made the announcement](https://www.gearpatrol.com/cars/a41351963/dodge-electric-muscle-car-delayed/) that 2023 would be the last year that internal combustion engine Chargers and Challengers would be made. They would be...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the first post-2022 direct flight between Russia and Europe (EU or UK ) will take place by Jul 2026?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 582.5 weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Massachusetts during the peak period?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 582.5 weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Massachusetts during the peak period?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 1.358k weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these periods?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 75% of weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Massachusetts for these periods?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 75% of weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Massachusetts for these periods?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 75% of weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Massachusetts for these periods?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the first post-2022 direct flight between Russia and Europe (EU or UK ) will take place by Jul 2026?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 582.5 weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Massachusetts during the peak period?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the first post-2022 direct flight between Russia and Europe (EU or UK ) will take place by Jul 2026?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 1.358k weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these periods?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 1.305k weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these periods?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 1.358k weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these periods?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 1.305k weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these periods?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 1.030k weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these periods?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 1.030k weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these periods?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 1.305k weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these periods?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 50% of weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania during the peak period?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 50% of weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania during the peak period?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 1.030k weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these periods?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 1.428k weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these periods?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 1.491k weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida during the peak period?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 1.491k weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida during the peak period?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 50% of weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania during the peak period?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 1.428k weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these periods?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 575.9 weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Illinois for these periods?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 1.428k weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these periods?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 552.6 weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Illinois during the peak period?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 552.6 weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Illinois during the peak period?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 1.608k weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these periods?
0.5
Metaculus