text stringlengths 12 11.8k | prediction float64 0 1 | source stringclasses 5
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|---|---|---|
What is the chance that Artemis 2 will successfully complete its mission by Mar 2027? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Burnley will score 25.6 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Artemis 2 will successfully complete its mission by Mar 2027? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Artemis 3 will successfully take astronauts to the Lunar Gateway by Apr 2028? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 9.44k alcohol-impaired driving fatalities will be reported in the US in 2039? For perspective, the reported number of alcohol impaired driving fatalities in 2020 and 2021 are 11,718 (out of 39,007) and 13,384 (out of 42,939). [Source:](https://crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov/Api/Public/ViewPublication... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Sheffield United will score 23.5 points in the 2023-2024 Premier League? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the Shiller P/E Ratio of the S&P 500 will be 23.9 on January 1, 2030? The Shiller P/E Ratio (also known as cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio or the CAPE) is a measure of valuation of the S&P 500. The ratio is calculated by dividing the price of the S&P 500 index by the average inflatio... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Artemis 2 will successfully complete its mission by Mar 2027? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 9.44k alcohol-impaired driving fatalities will be reported in the US in 2039? For perspective, the reported number of alcohol impaired driving fatalities in 2020 and 2021 are 11,718 (out of 39,007) and 13,384 (out of 42,939). [Source:](https://crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov/Api/Public/ViewPublication... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Artemis 3 will successfully take astronauts to the Lunar Gateway by Apr 2028? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the Shiller P/E Ratio of the S&P 500 will be 23.9 on January 1, 2030? The Shiller P/E Ratio (also known as cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio or the CAPE) is a measure of valuation of the S&P 500. The ratio is calculated by dividing the price of the S&P 500 index by the average inflatio... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the Shiller P/E Ratio of the S&P 500 will be 23.9 on January 1, 2030? The Shiller P/E Ratio (also known as cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio or the CAPE) is a measure of valuation of the S&P 500. The ratio is calculated by dividing the price of the S&P 500 index by the average inflatio... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 1.25k Palestinian fatalities in the West Bank will be caused by Israeli forces before July 1, 2024? On October 7, 2023, [Hamas launched a surprise attack on Israel](https://www.foreignaffairs.com/middle-east/martin-indyk-why-hamas-attacked-and-why-israel-was-taken-surprise). While Israel's respo... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 1.25k Palestinian fatalities in the West Bank will be caused by Israeli forces before July 1, 2024? On October 7, 2023, [Hamas launched a surprise attack on Israel](https://www.foreignaffairs.com/middle-east/martin-indyk-why-hamas-attacked-and-why-israel-was-taken-surprise). While Israel's respo... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Donald Trump will be incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before Aug 2025? [Trump's current indictments (Wikipeida)](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indictments_against_Donald_Trump):
>In 2023, four criminal indictments were filed against Donald Trump, the president of the Unite... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 9.44k alcohol-impaired driving fatalities will be reported in the US in 2039? For perspective, the reported number of alcohol impaired driving fatalities in 2020 and 2021 are 11,718 (out of 39,007) and 13,384 (out of 42,939). [Source:](https://crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov/Api/Public/ViewPublication... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine will be approved by the US by Nov 2027? According to an October 2023 [article in Science.org](https://www.science.org/content/article/billions-boost-next-generation-covid-19-vaccine-and-treatments), "Current COVID-19 vaccines only prevent symptomatic disease for ... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Donald Trump will be incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before Aug 2025? [Trump's current indictments (Wikipeida)](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indictments_against_Donald_Trump):
>In 2023, four criminal indictments were filed against Donald Trump, the president of the Unite... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 1.25k Palestinian fatalities in the West Bank will be caused by Israeli forces before July 1, 2024? On October 7, 2023, [Hamas launched a surprise attack on Israel](https://www.foreignaffairs.com/middle-east/martin-indyk-why-hamas-attacked-and-why-israel-was-taken-surprise). While Israel's respo... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine will be approved by the US by Nov 2027? According to an October 2023 [article in Science.org](https://www.science.org/content/article/billions-boost-next-generation-covid-19-vaccine-and-treatments), "Current COVID-19 vaccines only prevent symptomatic disease for ... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Donald Trump will be incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before Aug 2025? [Trump's current indictments (Wikipeida)](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indictments_against_Donald_Trump):
>In 2023, four criminal indictments were filed against Donald Trump, the president of the Unite... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 341.0 million in these years? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the re... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Benjamin Netanyahu will cease to be Prime Minister of Israel by Sep 2024? [Benjamin Netanyahu](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Benjamin_Netanyahu) is the current Prime Minister of Israel, having previously held the office from 1996 to 1999 and again from 2009 to 2021. Netanyahu is the longest-tenu... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 341.0 million in these years? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the re... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Benjamin Netanyahu will cease to be Prime Minister of Israel by Sep 2024? [Benjamin Netanyahu](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Benjamin_Netanyahu) is the current Prime Minister of Israel, having previously held the office from 1996 to 1999 and again from 2009 to 2021. Netanyahu is the longest-tenu... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine will be approved by the US by Nov 2027? According to an October 2023 [article in Science.org](https://www.science.org/content/article/billions-boost-next-generation-covid-19-vaccine-and-treatments), "Current COVID-19 vaccines only prevent symptomatic disease for ... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 2.35% in the United States in the following quarters (2025 Q3)? The US [Bureau of Economic Analysis](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Economic_Analysis) (BEA) provides quarterly estimates of [gross domestic product](https... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 337.8 million in the year 2030? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the ... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 2.35% in the United States in the following quarters (2025 Q3)? The US [Bureau of Economic Analysis](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Economic_Analysis) (BEA) provides quarterly estimates of [gross domestic product](https... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 341.0 million in these years? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the re... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 337.8 million in the year 2030? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the ... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 370.1 million in the year 2040? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the ... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Benjamin Netanyahu will cease to be Prime Minister of Israel by Sep 2024? [Benjamin Netanyahu](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Benjamin_Netanyahu) is the current Prime Minister of Israel, having previously held the office from 1996 to 1999 and again from 2009 to 2021. Netanyahu is the longest-tenu... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 370.1 million in the year 2040? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the ... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 2.35% in the United States in the following quarters (2025 Q3)? The US [Bureau of Economic Analysis](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Economic_Analysis) (BEA) provides quarterly estimates of [gross domestic product](https... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 337.8 million in the year 2030? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the ... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 379 million by the year 2060? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the re... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 368.8 million by the year 2050? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the ... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 370.1 million in the year 2040? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the ... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 368.8 million by the year 2050? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the ... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 368.8 million by the year 2050? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the ... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 353 million in 2070? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the results of ... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 379 million by the year 2060? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the re... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 439 million by the year 2080? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the re... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 439 million by the year 2080? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the re... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 475 million by the year 2090? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the re... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 379 million by the year 2060? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the re... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 353 million in 2070? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the results of ... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the European Union will cease to exist by Not ≤ 2200? The European Union is an international organization with 27 members, mixing intergovernmental and supranational aspects. It was founded in 1957, with the Treaty of Rome establishing the then European Economic Community, and took its present l... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 475 million by the year 2090? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the re... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 478 million by the year 2100? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the re... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 475 million by the year 2090? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the re... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 439 million by the year 2080? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the re... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 353 million in 2070? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the results of ... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 478 million by the year 2100? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the re... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the European Union will cease to exist by Not ≤ 2200? The European Union is an international organization with 27 members, mixing intergovernmental and supranational aspects. It was founded in 1957, with the Treaty of Rome establishing the then European Economic Community, and took its present l... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US population will be 478 million by the year 2100? In November 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau issued [updated projections](https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-projections.html) for the future of the US population through the rest of the 21st century, based on the re... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the European Union will cease to exist by Not ≤ 2200? The European Union is an international organization with 27 members, mixing intergovernmental and supranational aspects. It was founded in 1957, with the Treaty of Rome establishing the then European Economic Community, and took its present l... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the weekly rate of RSV-associated hospitalizations per 100,000 people for the United States will be 0.800 in the following weeks? [According to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)](https://www.cdc.gov/rsv/index.html):_x000D_
_x000D_
>Respiratory syncytial (sin-SISH-uhl) virus... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the weekly rate of RSV-associated hospitalizations per 100,000 people for the United States will be 0.800 in the following weeks? [According to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)](https://www.cdc.gov/rsv/index.html):_x000D_
_x000D_
>Respiratory syncytial (sin-SISH-uhl) virus... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 16.6k confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in the United States for the following weeks? [According to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)](https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/your-health/about-covid-19.html):_x000D_
_x000D_
>COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 7.53k weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 16.6k confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in the United States for the following weeks? [According to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)](https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/your-health/about-covid-19.html):_x000D_
_x000D_
>COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 7.53k weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 7.53k weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the end of year unemployment rate in South Africa will be 34.0% according to the Q4 QLFS report in the following years? [The South African economy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_South_Africa) is the 2nd largest in Africa, and the 38th largest in the world. It is also Africa's most ind... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States will be 3.37% for the following weeks? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the end of year unemployment rate in South Africa will be 34.0% according to the Q4 QLFS report in the following years? [The South African economy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_South_Africa) is the 2nd largest in Africa, and the 38th largest in the world. It is also Africa's most ind... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the weekly rate of RSV-associated hospitalizations per 100,000 people for the United States will be 0.800 in the following weeks? [According to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)](https://www.cdc.gov/rsv/index.html):_x000D_
_x000D_
>Respiratory syncytial (sin-SISH-uhl) virus... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 16.6k confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in the United States for the following weeks? [According to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)](https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/your-health/about-covid-19.html):_x000D_
_x000D_
>COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the end of year unemployment rate in South Africa will be 32.4% according to the Q4 QLFS report in the following years? [The South African economy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_South_Africa) is the 2nd largest in Africa, and the 38th largest in the world. It is also Africa's most ind... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States will be 3.37% for the following weeks? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the end of year unemployment rate in South Africa will be 32.4% according to the Q4 QLFS report in the following years? [The South African economy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_South_Africa) is the 2nd largest in Africa, and the 38th largest in the world. It is also Africa's most ind... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States will be 3.37% for the following weeks? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the end of year unemployment rate in South Africa will be 34.0% according to the Q4 QLFS report in the following years? [The South African economy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_South_Africa) is the 2nd largest in Africa, and the 38th largest in the world. It is also Africa's most ind... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the end of year unemployment rate in South Africa will be 32.4% according to the Q4 QLFS report in the following years? [The South African economy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_South_Africa) is the 2nd largest in Africa, and the 38th largest in the world. It is also Africa's most ind... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the end of year unemployment rate in South Africa will be 50% according to the Q4 QLFS report in the year 2026? [The South African economy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_South_Africa) is the 2nd largest in Africa, and the 38th largest in the world. It is also Africa's most industriali... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the end of year unemployment rate in South Africa will be 25% according to the Q4 QLFS report in the following years? [The South African economy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_South_Africa) is the 2nd largest in Africa, and the 38th largest in the world. It is also Africa's most indus... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the end of year unemployment rate in South Africa will be 25% according to the Q4 QLFS report in the following years? [The South African economy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_South_Africa) is the 2nd largest in Africa, and the 38th largest in the world. It is also Africa's most indus... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the end of year unemployment rate in South Africa will be 50% according to the Q4 QLFS report in the year 2027? [The South African economy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_South_Africa) is the 2nd largest in Africa, and the 38th largest in the world. It is also Africa's most industriali... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the end of year unemployment rate in South Africa will be 50% according to the Q4 QLFS report in the year 2027? [The South African economy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_South_Africa) is the 2nd largest in Africa, and the 38th largest in the world. It is also Africa's most industriali... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the expected end of year unemployment rate in South Africa, according to the Q4 QLFS report, in the following years? (2028) [The South African economy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_South_Africa) is the 2nd largest in Africa, and the 38th largest in the world. It is also Africa's most industrialised ... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the expected end of year unemployment rate in South Africa, according to the Q4 QLFS report, in the following years? (2028) [The South African economy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_South_Africa) is the 2nd largest in Africa, and the 38th largest in the world. It is also Africa's most industrialised ... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the end of year unemployment rate in South Africa will be 50% according to the Q4 QLFS report in the year 2029? [The South African economy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_South_Africa) is the 2nd largest in Africa, and the 38th largest in the world. It is also Africa's most industriali... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the end of year unemployment rate in South Africa will be 50% according to the Q4 QLFS report in the year 2026? [The South African economy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_South_Africa) is the 2nd largest in Africa, and the 38th largest in the world. It is also Africa's most industriali... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the expected end of year unemployment rate in South Africa, according to the Q4 QLFS report, in the following years? (2028) [The South African economy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_South_Africa) is the 2nd largest in Africa, and the 38th largest in the world. It is also Africa's most industrialised ... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the end of year unemployment rate in South Africa will be 50% according to the Q4 QLFS report in the year 2029? [The South African economy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_South_Africa) is the 2nd largest in Africa, and the 38th largest in the world. It is also Africa's most industriali... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that robots will win a game of association football (soccer) against professional human players by 2057? [RoboCup](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RoboCup) is an organization which holds many robotics competitions, the first held in [1997](http://www.robocup.org/a_brief_history_of_robocup). Their stat... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the end of year unemployment rate in South Africa will be 50% according to the Q4 QLFS report in the year 2027? [The South African economy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_South_Africa) is the 2nd largest in Africa, and the 38th largest in the world. It is also Africa's most industriali... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season will be 7.994? The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) closely monitors respiratory illnesses, particularly when these illnesses increase in preva... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that robots will win a game of association football (soccer) against professional human players by 2057? [RoboCup](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RoboCup) is an organization which holds many robotics competitions, the first held in [1997](http://www.robocup.org/a_brief_history_of_robocup). Their stat... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the end of year unemployment rate in South Africa will be 50% according to the Q4 QLFS report in the year 2026? [The South African economy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_South_Africa) is the 2nd largest in Africa, and the 38th largest in the world. It is also Africa's most industriali... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the end of year unemployment rate in South Africa will be 25% according to the Q4 QLFS report in the year 2030? [The South African economy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_South_Africa) is the 2nd largest in Africa, and the 38th largest in the world. It is also Africa's most industriali... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that robots will win a game of association football (soccer) against professional human players by 2057? [RoboCup](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RoboCup) is an organization which holds many robotics competitions, the first held in [1997](http://www.robocup.org/a_brief_history_of_robocup). Their stat... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the end of year unemployment rate in South Africa will be 25% according to the Q4 QLFS report in the year 2030? [The South African economy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_South_Africa) is the 2nd largest in Africa, and the 38th largest in the world. It is also Africa's most industriali... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season will be 7.994? The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) closely monitors respiratory illnesses, particularly when these illnesses increase in preva... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season will be 7.994? The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) closely monitors respiratory illnesses, particularly when these illnesses increase in preva... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season will be 7.994? The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) closely monitors respiratory illnesses, particularly when these illnesses increase in preva... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season will be 4.227? The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) closely monitors respiratory illnesses, particularly when these illnesses increase in preva... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season will be 7.994? The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) closely monitors respiratory illnesses, particularly when these illnesses increase in preva... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
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