text stringlengths 12 11.8k | prediction float64 0 1 | source stringclasses 5
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|---|---|---|
What is the chance that there will be 4.13k weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 2.06k weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 1.84k weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks? [According to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)](https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/keyfacts.htm):
>[Influenza (flu)] is a contagious respiratory illness caused ... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 2.06k weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 1.84k weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks? [According to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)](https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/keyfacts.htm):
>[Influenza (flu)] is a contagious respiratory illness caused ... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 8.95k confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in the United States for the following weeks? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 1.84k weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks? [According to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)](https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/keyfacts.htm):
>[Influenza (flu)] is a contagious respiratory illness caused ... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 8.95k confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in the United States for the following weeks? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States for the following weeks will be 2.54? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the weekly rate of RSV-associated hospitalizations per 100,000 people for the United States will be 0.235 for the following weeks (May 18, 2024)? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 8.95k confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in the United States for the following weeks? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 8.28k confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in the United States for the following weeks? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 6.41k confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in the United States for the following weeks? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 8.28k confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in the United States for the following weeks? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 6.41k confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in the United States for the following weeks? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 6.41k confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in the United States for the following weeks? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 8.28k confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in the United States for the following weeks? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States for the following weeks will be 2.54? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States will be 2.12 for the following weeks (May 4, 2024)? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States will be 2.12 for the following weeks (May 4, 2024)? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the expected weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States for the following weeks, based on a historical average of 1.30? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the D.C. federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump for election subversion will begin by Aug 2024? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States will be 2.12 for the following weeks (May 4, 2024)? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that GTA VI will be officially released in the US by Jan 2026? [Grand Theft Auto VI](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grand_Theft_Auto_VI?useskin=vector) is an upcoming action-adventure game, and is expected to be the next major release in the [Grand Theft Auto series](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gran... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that GTA VI will be officially released in the US by Jan 2026? [Grand Theft Auto VI](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grand_Theft_Auto_VI?useskin=vector) is an upcoming action-adventure game, and is expected to be the next major release in the [Grand Theft Auto series](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gran... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States for the following weeks will be 2.54? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that these Republicans will not end their 2024 primary campaigns by Jul 19, 2024? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that GTA VI will be officially released in the US by Jan 2026? [Grand Theft Auto VI](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grand_Theft_Auto_VI?useskin=vector) is an upcoming action-adventure game, and is expected to be the next major release in the [Grand Theft Auto series](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gran... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the expected weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States for the following weeks, based on a historical average of 1.30? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the D.C. federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump for election subversion will begin by Aug 2024? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the expected weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States for the following weeks, based on a historical average of 1.30? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that these Republicans will not end their 2024 primary campaigns by Jul 19, 2024? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the D.C. federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump for election subversion will begin by Aug 2024? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that these Republicans will not end their 2024 primary campaigns by Not ≤ Jul 19, 2024? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that these Republicans will not end their 2024 primary campaigns by Jul 19, 2024? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that these Republicans will not end their 2024 primary campaigns by Not ≤ Jul 19, 2024? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
How many barrels of crude oil will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve hold on September 2024? (380M) | 0.5 | Metaculus |
How many barrels of crude oil will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve hold on September 2024? (380M) | 0.5 | Metaculus |
How many barrels of crude oil will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve hold on September 2024? (380M) | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that these Republicans will not end their 2024 primary campaigns by Not ≤ Jul 19, 2024? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
How much of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve's total capacity will be held in barrels of crude oil on December 2024? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
How much of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve's total capacity will be held in barrels of crude oil on December 2024? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Sadiq Khan will win the 2024 London mayoral election with 49.5% of the vote? [Sadiq Aman Khan](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sadiq_Khan), born 8 October 1970, is a British politician serving as Mayor of London (UK) since 2016. He previously was Member of Parliament for Tooting from 2005 until 20... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact will come into effect by 2055? *Related Question: [Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3629/will-the-national-popular-vote-interstate-compact-reach... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact will come into effect by 2055? *Related Question: [Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3629/will-the-national-popular-vote-interstate-compact-reach... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact will come into effect by 2055? *Related Question: [Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3629/will-the-national-popular-vote-interstate-compact-reach... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio will be 125% in the following years? A nation's [national debt](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_debt) is the amount of money its central government owes to creditors. High levels of national debt generally have a negative impact on a nation's... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Sadiq Khan will win the 2024 London mayoral election with 49.5% of the vote? [Sadiq Aman Khan](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sadiq_Khan), born 8 October 1970, is a British politician serving as Mayor of London (UK) since 2016. He previously was Member of Parliament for Tooting from 2005 until 20... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
How much of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve's total capacity will be held in barrels of crude oil on December 2024? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio will be 125% in the following years? A nation's [national debt](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_debt) is the amount of money its central government owes to creditors. High levels of national debt generally have a negative impact on a nation's... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio will be 130.9% in the year 2025? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio will be 126% in 2026? A nation's [national debt](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_debt) is the amount of money its central government owes to creditors. High levels of national debt generally have a negative impact on a nation's economy and le... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio will be 130.9% in the year 2025? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio will be 125% in the following years? A nation's [national debt](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_debt) is the amount of money its central government owes to creditors. High levels of national debt generally have a negative impact on a nation's... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio will be 143% in 2027? A nation's [national debt](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_debt) is the amount of money its central government owes to creditors. High levels of national debt generally have a negative impact on a nation's economy and le... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Sadiq Khan will win the 2024 London mayoral election with 49.5% of the vote? [Sadiq Aman Khan](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sadiq_Khan), born 8 October 1970, is a British politician serving as Mayor of London (UK) since 2016. He previously was Member of Parliament for Tooting from 2005 until 20... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio will be 130.9% in the year 2025? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio will be 126% in 2026? A nation's [national debt](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_debt) is the amount of money its central government owes to creditors. High levels of national debt generally have a negative impact on a nation's economy and le... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio will be 143% in 2027? A nation's [national debt](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_debt) is the amount of money its central government owes to creditors. High levels of national debt generally have a negative impact on a nation's economy and le... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio will be 126% in 2026? A nation's [national debt](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_debt) is the amount of money its central government owes to creditors. High levels of national debt generally have a negative impact on a nation's economy and le... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio will be 140% in the year 2030? A nation's [national debt](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_debt) is the amount of money its central government owes to creditors. High levels of national debt generally have a negative impact on a nation's econo... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio will be 156% in the year 2040? A nation's [national debt](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_debt) is the amount of money its central government owes to creditors. High levels of national debt generally have a negative impact on a nation's econo... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio will be 140% in the year 2030? A nation's [national debt](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_debt) is the amount of money its central government owes to creditors. High levels of national debt generally have a negative impact on a nation's econo... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio will be 143% in 2027? A nation's [national debt](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_debt) is the amount of money its central government owes to creditors. High levels of national debt generally have a negative impact on a nation's economy and le... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio will be 140% in the year 2030? A nation's [national debt](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_debt) is the amount of money its central government owes to creditors. High levels of national debt generally have a negative impact on a nation's econo... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio will be 156% in the year 2040? A nation's [national debt](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_debt) is the amount of money its central government owes to creditors. High levels of national debt generally have a negative impact on a nation's econo... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio will be 214% in 2050? A nation's [national debt](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_debt) is the amount of money its central government owes to creditors. High levels of national debt generally have a negative impact on a nation's economy and le... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that legal international trade in recreational cannabis will take place by Jan 2028? Starting in 2014, US states and some countries around the world have had legalized sales of non-medical/recreational cannabis. The trade is currently legal in [21 US states](https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/ar... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio will be 214% in 2050? A nation's [national debt](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_debt) is the amount of money its central government owes to creditors. High levels of national debt generally have a negative impact on a nation's economy and le... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 89.43% of the world's population will be literate in 2030? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/literate-and-illiterate-world-population" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Literacy is a fundamental human skill and a critical measure of a p... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 89.43% of the world's population will be literate in 2030? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/literate-and-illiterate-world-population" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Literacy is a fundamental human skill and a critical measure of a p... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that legal international trade in recreational cannabis will take place by Jan 2028? Starting in 2014, US states and some countries around the world have had legalized sales of non-medical/recreational cannabis. The trade is currently legal in [21 US states](https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/ar... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 89.43% of the world's population will be literate in 2030? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/literate-and-illiterate-world-population" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Literacy is a fundamental human skill and a critical measure of a p... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that at least 1 kg of helium-3 from extraterrestrial bodies will be imported to Earth by 2084? Helium-3 can fuse with deuterium to form an alpha particle and a proton, while releasing 18.354 MeV, which that energy becomes the kinetic energy of the products. A major advantage of this reaction is that... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio will be 156% in the year 2040? A nation's [national debt](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_debt) is the amount of money its central government owes to creditors. High levels of national debt generally have a negative impact on a nation's econo... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the price of Palladium futures (in $USD) will be 1.24k at the end of 2024? According to [Investopedia](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/palladium.asp):
>Palladium is a shiny, silvery metal used in many types of manufacturing processes, particularly for electronics and industrial products. I... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that legal international trade in recreational cannabis will take place by Jan 2028? Starting in 2014, US states and some countries around the world have had legalized sales of non-medical/recreational cannabis. The trade is currently legal in [21 US states](https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/ar... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio will be 214% in 2050? A nation's [national debt](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_debt) is the amount of money its central government owes to creditors. High levels of national debt generally have a negative impact on a nation's economy and le... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the federal funds target range will have an upper limit of 3.08% on December 31, 2025? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that at least 1 kg of helium-3 from extraterrestrial bodies will be imported to Earth by 2084? Helium-3 can fuse with deuterium to form an alpha particle and a proton, while releasing 18.354 MeV, which that energy becomes the kinetic energy of the products. A major advantage of this reaction is that... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the price of Palladium futures (in $USD) will be 1.24k at the end of 2024? According to [Investopedia](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/palladium.asp):
>Palladium is a shiny, silvery metal used in many types of manufacturing processes, particularly for electronics and industrial products. I... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the price of Palladium futures (in $USD) will be 1.24k at the end of 2024? According to [Investopedia](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/palladium.asp):
>Palladium is a shiny, silvery metal used in many types of manufacturing processes, particularly for electronics and industrial products. I... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that each party will win 82.4 seats in the 2025 Czech legislative election? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that at least 1 kg of helium-3 from extraterrestrial bodies will be imported to Earth by 2084? Helium-3 can fuse with deuterium to form an alpha particle and a proton, while releasing 18.354 MeV, which that energy becomes the kinetic energy of the products. A major advantage of this reaction is that... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that ANO will win 73.9 seats in the 2025 Czech legislative election? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the federal funds target range will have an upper limit of 3.08% on December 31, 2025? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that each party will win 82.4 seats in the 2025 Czech legislative election? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the federal funds target range will have an upper limit of 3.08% on December 31, 2025? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the Civic Democratic Party (ODS) will win 11.4 seats in the 2025 Czech legislative election? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that ANO will win 73.9 seats in the 2025 Czech legislative election? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the Civic Democratic Party (ODS) will win 11.4 seats in the 2025 Czech legislative election? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the Civic Democratic Party (ODS) will win 11.4 seats in the 2025 Czech legislative election? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that ANO will win 73.9 seats in the 2025 Czech legislative election? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that each party will win 82.4 seats in the 2025 Czech legislative election? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Freedom and Direct Democracy (SPD) will win 18.2 seats in the 2025 Czech legislative election? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Freedom and Direct Democracy (SPD) will win 18.2 seats in the 2025 Czech legislative election? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the Pirate Party will win 13.1 seats in the 2025 Czech legislative election? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that each party will win 7.90 seats in the 2025 Czech legislative election (Mayors and Independents (STAN))? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the Pirate Party will win 13.1 seats in the 2025 Czech legislative election? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that TOP 09 will win 11.7 seats in the 2025 Czech legislative election? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
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