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The Mission
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A collaboration of the Carboncopies Foundation and BPF Aspirational Neuroscience
This time, we’re diving into a groundbreaking paper:
"Systems consolidation reorganizes hippocampal engram circuitry"
Authors: Sangyoon Y. Ko, Yiming Rong, Adam I. Ramsaran, Xiaoyu Chen, Asi... | 159 | 1.1.1 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput |
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----------------------------------------
Since we started Epoch three years ago, we have engaged in hundr... | 2,298 | 1.1.0 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput | |
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We’d like to share our ongoing work on improving LLM unlearning. [arXiv] [github]
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<h4>Table of Contents</h4>
<ol>
<li><a href="https://thezvi.substack.co... | In honor of the latest (always deeply, deeply unpopular) attempts to destroy tracking and gifted and talented programs, and other attempts to get children to actually learn things, I thought it a good time to compile a number of related items.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. Lack Of Tracking Hurts Actual Everyone.
2. Not Tr... | 3,700 | 1.0.1 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput | |
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"canModeratePersonal"
] | null | null | dEoyaWznnKtM5GMnM | SocialPreviewType | Dd2aPxivuRr87RpPh | <p>(A response to <a href="https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vqzarZEczxiFdLE39/futarchy-s-fundamental-flaw">this post</a>.)</p><p>If you use prediction markets to make decisions, you might think they’ll generate EDT decisions: you’re asking for P(A|B), where you care about A, and B is something like “a decision … is take... | (A response to this post.)
If you use prediction markets to make decisions, you might think they’ll generate EDT decisions: you’re asking for P(A|B), where you care about A, and B is something like “a decision … is taken”.
Okay, so say you want to use prediction markets to generate CDT decisions. You want to know P(A... | 546 | 1.7.0 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput | |
mubpc2KHL56ZWcvty | misconceptions-on-affordable-housing | Misconceptions on Affordable Housing | null | false | false | false | null | TtEoCrFeowCGb6rFK | null | true | false | false | false | Post | null | 2025-06-27T02:40:07.625Z | null | false | false | 2 | 2 | 2025-06-28T00:08:04.312Z | false | false | post | [] | null | null | RK3mycp6qy3hwQT3P | 0 | 3 | 12 | false | 0.34179 | null | false | false | 2025-06-27T02:40:07.625Z | null | null | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | null | EQNTWXLKMeWMp2FQS | null | null | null | false | null | [] | null | 1 | 0 | 2025-06-27T02:40:07.626Z | false | false | null | null | true | false | false | 0 | 0 | 0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | 0 | 0 | namesAttachedReactions | false | [] | 1 | null | null | null | null | [] | ma5dgL5yFHRxKLZKv | 0 | 0 | null | false | null | null | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | TtEoCrFeowCGb6rFK | jkaufman | 2010-11-04T21:42:19.863Z | jkaufman | jefftk | null | null | Jeff Kaufman | 21,921 | 3 | false | false | <p>Co-lead (Near-Term Detection) at the Nucleic Acid Observatory in Boston. Speaking for myself unless I say otherwise.</p> | null | null | 1,018 | 2,211 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | r38pkCm7wF4M44MDQ | User | null | null | null | [
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People often think 'affordable' housing is much more expensive than it
actually is, and then conclude it's a scam to make housing for rich
people. But this is often based on a misunderstanding of how the
prices are set.
</span>
</p><p>
Let's say a unit is "50% AMI" somewhere with an area median income
(A... | People often think 'affordable' housing is much more expensive than it actually is, and then conclude it's a scam to make housing for rich people. But this is often based on a misunderstanding of how the prices are set.
Let's say a unit is "50% AMI" somewhere with an area median income (AMI) of $100k. You might think,... | 222 | 1.0.0 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput | |
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Morph ships big autoformalization result in 3599 lines of Lean
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I'm arguing against Armstrong's version of Orthogonality[1]:
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>
> ― Vincent H. O'Neil
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To find alpha: treat the proverb as true, then ask what happens in the missing branch.
----------------------------------------
1 RECIPROCITY
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This is an article in the new intro to AI safety series from AISafety.info. We'd appreciate any feedback. The most up-to-date version of this article is on our website.
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Notebook</a>.</i>
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Manufacturers often give optimistic estimates for how much data their
systems produce, but performance in practice can be pretty different.
What have we ... | Cross-posted from my NAO Notebook.
Manufacturers often give optimistic estimates for how much data their systems produce, but performance in practice can be pretty different. What have we seen at the NAO?
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Specifically, the place where I think there’s something to be done is in information technology, and the ways it shapes the perceived “world”.
One way of looking at this: we had the institutional media era in the... | 2,010 | 1.5.0 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput | ||
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A collaboration of the Carboncopies Foundation and BPF Aspirational Neuroscience
This time, we’re diving into a groundbreaking paper:
"Systems consolidation reorganizes hippocampal engram circuitry"
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Midjourney, “Gabor patches, blindsight, visual cortex, lateral geniculate nucleus, consciousness and the brain”
I admit to having been averse, for a long time, to thinking about “consciousness.”
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Two days ago, I released two podcast episode:
* "One Big Bad Bill" on muckrAIkers ➡️ Igor Krawczuk and I discuss the substantial bill that Trump is attempting to push through the legislature, and I get a little animated... (IMO it's justified)
Spotify, Apple Podcasts, YouTube, and landing page links[1]
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... | null | 0 | 0 | null | false | null | null | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | agLnDRydfdhieXqF4 | jared-m | 2024-10-11T14:32:08.308Z | jared-phillip-mantell | Jared M. | null | null | null | 22 | 0 | false | false | null | null | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | XtphY3uYHwruKqDyG | User | null | null | null | null | null | null | kiDsTybt3KsyXNDed | https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/kiDsTybt3KsyXNDed/btw4mdsnmg3jhhk5hmae | SocialPreviewType | QKeWi8A5r9SQiSHfG | <p><i>The reality, risks, & consequences of scaling consumer-entertainment technologies to a global population with little cognitive security. [mirrored from </i><a href="https://open.substack.com/pub/redjmantell/p/is-there-a-looming-cultural-omnicide?r=3gy5yt&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcom... | The reality, risks, & consequences of scaling consumer-entertainment technologies to a global population with little cognitive security. [mirrored from Substack]
Western, American culture will be in frontier language models’ training data.
Most other cultures will not.
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"bas... | null | 0 | 0 | null | false | null | null | 0 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | Th2dg7zSCZ4G5HQFL | silentbob | 2019-07-01T17:18:21.519Z | silentbob | silentbob | null | null | null | 1,272 | 0 | false | false | null | null | 25 | 117 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | r38pkCm7wF4M44MDQ | User | null | null | null | [
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3ww5zZgTTPySB3jpP | interstellar-travel-will-probably-doom-the-long-term-future | Interstellar travel will probably doom the long-term future | null | false | false | false | null | dxCL5JkQLDT6u8Mok | null | true | false | false | false | Post | null | 2025-06-25T15:32:26.962Z | null | false | false | 2 | 2 | 2025-06-25T19:33:04.145Z | false | false | post | [] | null | null | X3WZieQkmpnwXvf2s | 6 | 17 | 28 | false | 0.278131 | null | false | false | 2025-06-26T11:09:29.840Z | null | null | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | null | null | [] | null | r38pkCm7wF4M44MDQ | null | null | null | false | null | [] | null | 1 | 0 | 2025-06-25T12:30:45.353Z | false | false | null | null | true | false | false | 0 | 0 | 0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | 0 | 0 | namesAttachedReactions | false | [] | 20 | null | null | null | null | [
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(Crossposted from my blog--formatting is better there).
Very large numbers of people seem to think that climate change is likely to end the world. Biden and Harris both called it an existential threat. AOC warned a few years ago that “the world is going to end in 12 years if we don’t address climate ch... | 6,368 | 1.1.1 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput | |
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Suppose you're a biologist working with a bacterium. It's a nasty little bug, so you want to make sure your disinfecting protocol is effective. You have a rather good model of how the bacterium works, and it goes like this:
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<i>Cross-posted from my <a href="https://data.securebio.org/jefftk-notebook/multispecies-calibration">NAO
Notebook</a>.</i>
</p><p>
<i>This is something I wrote internally in late-2022. Sharing it now
with light edits, additional context, and updated links after the idea
came up at the <a href=... | Cross-posted from my NAO Notebook.
This is something I wrote internally in late-2022. Sharing it now with light edits, additional context, and updated links after the idea came up at the Microbiology of the Built Environment conference I'm attending this week.
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<h1>Regime change</h1>
<p>Conjecture: when there is regime change, the default outcome is for a faction to take over—whichever faction is best prepared to seize power by force.</p><p>On... | Crosspost from my blog.
Regime change
Conjecture: when there is regime change, the default outcome is for a faction to take over—whichever faction is best prepared to seize power by force.
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Apply as a mentor
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Throughout history, technological and scientific advances have had both good and ill effects, but their overall impact has been overwhelmingly positive. Thanks to scientific progress, most people on earth live longer, healthier, and better than they did centuries or even decades ag... | 3,075 | 1.3.0 | Revision | false | true | null | CrosspostOutput | ||
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> "Can we extract meaningful information or interesting behavior from gradients on 'input embedding space'?"
I'm defining 'input embedding space' as the token embeddings prior to positional encoding.
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<p><a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/sjgadler">https://www.linkedin.com/in/sjgadler</a><br>
<a href="https://stevenadler.substack.com">stevenadler.substack.com</a></p>
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Or: My afternoon as a rogue artificial intelligence
A dozen of us sit around a conference room table.
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... | null | 0 | 0 | null | false | null | null | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | HB2hPFoDq5yLayNFj | marius-hobbhahn | 2021-07-04T08:25:21.601Z | marius-hobbhahn | Marius Hobbhahn | null | null | null | 5,177 | 1,552 | false | false | <p>I'm the co-founder and CEO of Apollo Research: <a href="https://www.apolloresearch.ai/">https://www.apolloresearch.ai/</a> <br>My goal is to improve our understanding of scheming and build tools and methods to detect and mitigate it.</p><p>I previously did a Ph.D. in ML at the International Max-Planck research ... | null | null | 53 | 127 | 0 | 43 | 26 | 1 | 0 | qgdGA4ZEyW7zNdK84 | User | null | null | null | [
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I often sp... | 3,581 | 1.6.0 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput |
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... | null | 0 | 0 | null | false | null | null | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | dRBeBzctZKAzqxF6j | s-lilith-dev | 2025-06-01T11:46:43.771Z | shiya-huber | S. Lilith dev | null | null | Shiya Lilith | 0 | 0 | false | false | null | null | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | 0 | XtphY3uYHwruKqDyG | User | null | null | null | null | null | null | jmaMKSQJbqFgBNxTn | SocialPreviewType | GgrjGC4i8Z5fop3Jd | <p><i>(And what happens when misuse becomes optimization)</i></p><p> </p><h2>How I came to this question </h2><p>I recently asked a question during a AAAI panel discussion: </p><p>“If AGI isn’t fixed but shifting in concept shaped by societal values and institutional goals - who ultimately defines ... | (And what happens when misuse becomes optimization)
How I came to this question
I recently asked a question during a AAAI panel discussion:
“If AGI isn’t fixed but shifting in concept shaped by societal values and institutional goals - who ultimately defines what counts as ‘alignment’?”
One of the panelists ... | 835 | 1.1.0 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput | ||
APfuz9hFz9d8SRETA | my-pitch-for-the-ai-village | My pitch for the AI Village | null | false | false | false | null | YLFQfGzNdGA4NFcKS | null | true | false | false | false | Post | null | 2025-06-24T15:00:52.049Z | null | false | false | 2 | 2 | 2025-06-24T18:19:47.601Z | false | false | post | [] | null | null | SbnxgxntP4WDbFXD9 | 29 | 102 | 156 | false | 0.860756 | null | false | false | 2025-06-26T21:25:56.538Z | null | null | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | null | null | [] | null | NFmcwmaFeTWfgrvBN | null | null | null | false | null | [] | null | 60 | 0 | 2025-06-24T15:00:52.049Z | false | false | null | null | true | false | false | 0 | 0 | 0 | APfuz9hFz9 | 0.14 | false | 2,025 | https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-my-pitch-for-the-ai-village-ma | null | null | false | 0 | 0 | namesAttachedReactions | false | [] | 6 | null | null | null | null | [] | null | 0 | 0 | null | false | null | null | 0 | 102 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | YLFQfGzNdGA4NFcKS | daniel-kokotajlo | 2018-03-05T19:59:32.269Z | daniel-kokotajlo | Daniel Kokotajlo | null | null | Daniel Kokotajlo | 27,413 | 3,787 | false | false | <p>Was a philosophy PhD student, left to work at AI Impacts, then Center on Long-Term Risk, then OpenAI. Quit OpenAI due to losing confidence that it would behave responsibly around the time of AGI. Now executive director of the <a href="https://ai-futures.org/">AI Futures Project</a>. I subscribe to Crocker's Rules an... | null | null | 109 | 3,254 | 3 | 42 | 807 | 1 | 0 | qgdGA4ZEyW7zNdK84 | User | null | null | true | [
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First, what is the village? Here’s a brief summary from its creators:[1]
We took four frontier agents, gave t... | 1,618 | 1.4.0 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput |
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Imagine newly baked interpretability researcher Namor, who claims that he solved interpretability. He says: “This is a bunch of matrices with a bunch of floating point values which are then multiplied, what’s the big deal?” His point of view might be considered myopic, but I think it might be deeper than it seems.
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Abstract
The V&V method is a concrete, practical framework which can complement several alignment approaches. Instead of asking a nascent AGI to “do X,” we instruct it to design and rigorously verify a bounded “machine-for-X”. The machine (e.g. an ... | 307 | 1.12.1 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput | |
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2TKxBJ3ggPCWz28uc | infinite-money-hack | Infinite money hack | null | false | false | false | null | zZHEC9XsJyoRGMwEh | null | true | false | false | false | Post | null | 2025-06-24T09:39:38.460Z | null | false | false | 2 | 2 | 2025-06-24T18:45:34.832Z | false | false | post | [] | null | null | bcBnMZd3zsQSBwiqb | 6 | 13 | 3 | false | 0.065369 | null | false | false | 2025-06-24T19:33:55.954Z | null | null | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | null | null | [] | null | XtphY3uYHwruKqDyG | null | null | null | false | null | [] | null | 2 | 0 | 2025-06-24T09:31:37.216Z | false | false | null | null | true | false | false | 0 | 0 | 0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | 0 | 0 | namesAttachedReactions | false | [] | 1 | null | null | null | null | [
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Let's say Ali... | 260 | 1.7.0 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput | |
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Sometimes, people will search for and find a situation where an LLM would do something bad, and then argue that the situation was natural enough that it is concerni... | 2,024 | 1.3.1 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput |
Mxn4AygEWa7cZ6Lox | how-to-host-a-find-me-party | How to Host a Find Me Party | null | false | false | false | null | Pd22e5d3NTE8kH7v4 | null | true | false | false | false | Post | null | 2025-06-24T00:56:55.337Z | null | false | false | 2 | 2 | 2025-06-24T18:46:14.414Z | false | false | post | [] | null | null | 5iLzfEruPTycnqv7N | 1 | 7 | 13 | false | 0.10402 | null | false | false | 2025-06-24T02:08:57.811Z | null | null | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | null | null | [] | null | XtphY3uYHwruKqDyG | null | null | null | false | null | [] | null | 3 | 0 | 2025-06-24T00:09:37.234Z | false | false | null | null | true | false | false | 0 | 0 | 0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | 0 | 0 | namesAttachedReactions | false | [] | 2 | null | null | null | null | [
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Each friend showed up that day excited to tell me about their detective work & misadventures in tracking me down. ... | 481 | 1.1.0 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput | |
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... | ma5dgL5yFHRxKLZKv | 0 | 0 | null | false | null | null | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | TtEoCrFeowCGb6rFK | jkaufman | 2010-11-04T21:42:19.863Z | jkaufman | jefftk | null | null | Jeff Kaufman | 21,921 | 3 | false | false | <p>Co-lead (Near-Term Detection) at the Nucleic Acid Observatory in Boston. Speaking for myself unless I say otherwise.</p> | null | null | 1,018 | 2,211 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | r38pkCm7wF4M44MDQ | User | null | null | null | [
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I've been a heavy user of dictation, off and on, as my wrists have
gotten better and worse. I've mostly used the built-in Mac and
Android recognition: Mac isn't great, Android is pretty good, neither
has improved much over the past ~5y despite large improvements in what
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pByxtJuKmDEYksjwz | twig-fiction-review | Twig - Fiction Review | null | false | false | false | null | Pd22e5d3NTE8kH7v4 | null | true | false | false | false | Post | null | 2025-06-24T00:04:57.394Z | null | false | false | 2 | 2 | 2025-06-24T18:46:28.080Z | false | false | post | [] | null | null | 24oCH3H5CknJruhfG | 0 | 8 | 17 | false | 0.122079 | null | false | false | 2025-06-24T00:04:57.394Z | null | null | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | null | null | [] | null | XtphY3uYHwruKqDyG | null | null | null | false | null | [] | null | 5 | 0 | 2025-06-23T23:54:53.554Z | false | false | reign-of-terror | null | true | false | false | 0 | 0 | 0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | 0 | 0 | namesAttachedReactions | false | [] | 1 | null | null | null | null | [
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Format: Web serial (aka a prose fiction series published for free online)
Author: Wildbow, also famous for the superhero series Worm
Related Works: Frankenstein, Sherlock Holmes, Ghost in the Shell
Reasons to read it:
* The most inventive fictional biotech of all time.... | 187 | 1.1.0 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput | |
9GJJcjwSi9sodhFBx | the-lazarus-project-tv-review | The Lazarus Project - TV Review | null | false | false | false | null | Pd22e5d3NTE8kH7v4 | null | true | false | false | false | Post | null | 2025-06-23T23:53:23.849Z | null | false | false | 2 | 2 | 2025-06-24T18:46:35.995Z | false | false | post | [] | null | null | sHN5BL3xWwwwRR6d5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | false | 0.07024 | null | false | false | 2025-06-23T23:53:23.849Z | null | null | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | null | null | [] | null | XtphY3uYHwruKqDyG | null | null | null | false | null | [] | null | 3 | 0 | 2025-06-23T23:37:50.812Z | false | false | reign-of-terror | null | true | false | false | 0 | 0 | 0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | 0 | 0 | namesAttachedReactions | false | [] | 1 | null | null | null | null | [
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* All spoiler text in this post is actually extremely mild spoilers.
* Has a very rationalist-esque tone: characters working to stop...
...global catastrophic risk that the mainstream is totally ignorant of.
* The scifi premise is s... | 168 | 1.3.0 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput | |
d63Ga87hkbcuMR6bc | does-abductive-reasoning-really-exist | Does Abductive Reasoning really exist? | null | false | false | false | null | P89XeYp2cXjqnnCj6 | null | true | false | false | false | Post | null | 2025-06-23T21:07:23.852Z | null | false | false | 2 | 2 | 2025-06-24T18:57:40.698Z | false | false | post | [] | null | null | TNSWbDRgnGj8hYsfg | 16 | 6 | 6 | false | 0.072014 | null | false | false | 2025-06-26T14:51:22.813Z | null | null | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | null | null | [] | null | XtphY3uYHwruKqDyG | null | null | null | false | null | [] | null | 4 | 0 | 2025-06-22T17:47:27.488Z | false | false | null | null | true | false | false | 0 | 0 | 0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | 0 | 0 | namesAttachedReactions | false | [] | 4 | null | null | null | null | [] | null | 0 | 0 | null | false | null | null | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | P89XeYp2cXjqnnCj6 | sd-1 | 2025-01-09T18:15:31.317Z | simone-danese | sd | null | null | null | 7 | 0 | false | false | null | null | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 0 | null | User | null | null | null | null | null | null | d63Ga87hkbcuMR6bc | SocialPreviewType | TNSWbDRgnGj8hYsfg | <p>Salutations,</p><p>I have been a regular reader (and big fan) of LessWrong for quite some time now, so let me just say that I feel honoured to be able to share some of my thoughts with the likes of you folks.</p><p>I don't reckon myself a good writer, nor a very polished thinker (as many of the veterans here), so I ... | Salutations,
I have been a regular reader (and big fan) of LessWrong for quite some time now, so let me just say that I feel honoured to be able to share some of my thoughts with the likes of you folks.
I don't reckon myself a good writer, nor a very polished thinker (as many of the veterans here), so I hope you'll b... | 993 | 1.8.0 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput | ||
fmoyHqgfLPmr8Grdj | frontier-ai-labs-the-call-option-to-agi | Frontier AI Labs: the Call Option to AGI | null | false | false | false | null | dDALKj3foER5weQyQ | null | true | false | false | false | Post | 2025-06-23T21:02:28.889Z | null | false | false | 2 | 2 | 2025-06-24T18:47:53.831Z | false | false | post | [] | null | null | 9PWk9XEf4h7ytPK2D | 2 | 5 | 22 | false | 0.139718 | null | false | false | 2025-06-26T02:36:23.489Z | null | null | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | null | null | [] | null | XtphY3uYHwruKqDyG | null | null | null | false | null | [] | null | 6 | 0 | 2025-06-23T06:37:04.185Z | false | false | null | null | true | false | false | 0 | 0 | 0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | 0 | 0 | namesAttachedReactions | false | [] | 13 | null | null | null | null | [
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... | null | 0 | 0 | null | false | null | null | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | dDALKj3foER5weQyQ | ykevinzhang | 2025-06-23T06:36:53.204Z | ykevinzhang | ykevinzhang | null | null | null | 21 | 0 | false | false | null | null | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | XtphY3uYHwruKqDyG | User | null | null | null | null | null | null | fmoyHqgfLPmr8Grdj | https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/fmoyHqgfLPmr8Grdj/mqgkfcfkwwtv5vta05b6 | SocialPreviewType | 9PWk9XEf4h7ytPK2D | <p>This is a cross post from my Substack, <a href="https://eastwind.substack.com/p/frontier-ai-labs-the-call-option">East Wind</a>.</p><p>Since the launch of ChatGPT less than three years ago, the pace of AI development has only accelerated. Over the past six months, the intensity of research, funding, and product anno... | This is a cross post from my Substack, East Wind.
Since the launch of ChatGPT less than three years ago, the pace of AI development has only accelerated. Over the past six months, the intensity of research, funding, and product announcements has seemingly gone parabolic. OpenAI's recent $40 billion funding round, Deep... | 3,144 | 1.3.1 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput | ||
KCL9L68NsFcRNcg3k | the-rose-test-a-fun-way-to-feel-with-your-guts-not-just | The Rose Test: a fun way to feel with your guts (not just logically understand) why AI-safety matters right now (and get new adepts) | null | false | false | false | null | rw9aCxjjNWyJBfZye | null | true | false | false | false | Post | null | 2025-06-23T21:02:00.529Z | null | false | false | 2 | 2 | 2025-06-24T18:57:51.481Z | false | false | post | [] | null | null | G6cmKXZQfMtFFnX8B | 0 | 5 | 10 | false | 0.087117 | null | false | false | 2025-06-23T21:02:00.529Z | null | null | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | null | null | [] | null | XtphY3uYHwruKqDyG | null | null | null | false | null | [] | null | 3 | 0 | 2025-06-12T16:52:28.058Z | false | false | null | null | true | false | false | 0 | 0 | 0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | 0 | 0 | namesAttachedReactions | false | [] | 3 | null | null | null | null | [] | null | 0 | 0 | null | false | null | null | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | rw9aCxjjNWyJBfZye | lovagrus | 2025-06-12T16:52:15.721Z | lovagrus | lovagrus | null | null | null | 9 | 0 | false | false | null | null | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | 0 | XtphY3uYHwruKqDyG | User | null | null | null | null | null | null | KCL9L68NsFcRNcg3k | https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/c_fill,ar_1.91,g_auto/SocialPreview/dlspyyefr2eroeu7px2o | SocialPreviewType | G6cmKXZQfMtFFnX8B | <p>A few months ago I was fiddling with GPT o1 and came up with a simple game that switched for me the idea of AI safety importance from a level of some logical conceptual understanding deep down to the visceral “gut feelings”.</p><p>Just play this simple turn-based game with GPT and say how you feel after:</p><blockqu... | A few months ago I was fiddling with GPT o1 and came up with a simple game that switched for me the idea of AI safety importance from a level of some logical conceptual understanding deep down to the visceral “gut feelings”.
Just play this simple turn-based game with GPT and say how you feel after:
> Let’s play a gam... | 822 | 1.14.0 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput | |
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Thus, I’m going to continue with the system of making the roundups have more focus in their themes, with this one being the opposite of school questions, except for the question of banning phones in schools which seemed to fit.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1.... | 4,361 | 1.0.1 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput | |
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EGGruXRxGQx6RQt8x | situational-awareness-a-one-year-retrospective | Situational Awareness: A One-Year Retrospective | null | false | false | false | null | EkNQfDYwiKDcMpKkw | null | true | false | false | false | Post | null | 2025-06-23T19:15:58.708Z | null | false | false | 2 | 2 | 2025-06-23T21:02:43.658Z | false | false | post | [] | null | null | kPghYZHKkBWwvfCWf | 4 | 42 | 76 | false | 0.362041 | null | false | false | 2025-06-26T21:07:37.874Z | null | null | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | null | null | [] | null | NFmcwmaFeTWfgrvBN | null | null | null | false | null | [] | null | 15 | 0 | 2025-06-17T07:31:58.597Z | false | false | null | null | true | false | false | 0 | 0 | 0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | 0 | 0 | namesAttachedReactions | false | [] | 15 | <ul><li><p><strong>No LLM generated, heavily assisted/co-written, or otherwise reliant work. </strong>LessWrong has recently been inundated with new users submitting work where much of the content is the output of LLM(s). Unlike most of those submissions, your post seems like it probably contains some kind of meaningf... | null | null | null | [
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This is inherently noisy work - nothing herein is certain, and I would en... | 3,666 | 1.9.1 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput | |
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My understanding is that there's a big qualitative distinction between two ends of a spectrum of security work that organizations do, that I’ll call “security from ... | 813 | 1.3.0 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput | |
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"canModeratePersonal",
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] | null | null | bnnKGSCHJghAvqPjS | https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/bnnKGSCHJghAvqPjS/yncx2svnzdeuqj08vg5m | SocialPreviewType | JJGFAMhZ5ZKeNvk3A | <h1 data-internal-id="2_1_Summary___Table_of_contents">2.1 Summary & Table of contents</h1><p>This is the second of a two-post series on foom (<a href="https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yew6zFWAKG4AGs3Wk/foom-and-doom-1-brain-in-a-box-in-a-basement">previous post</a>) and doom (this post).</p><p>The last post talked ... | 2.1 Summary & Table of contents
This is the second of a two-post series on foom (previous post) and doom (this post).
The last post talked about how I expect future AI to be different from present AI. This post will argue that, absent some future conceptual breakthrough, this future AI will be of a type that will be e... | 8,423 | 1.24.1 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput |
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This is a two-post series on AI “foom” (this post) and “doom” (next post).
A decade or two ago, it was pretty common to discuss “foom & doom” scenarios, as advocated especially by Eliezer Yudkowsky. In a typical such scenario, a small team would build a system that would rocket... | 8,800 | 1.14.1 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput |
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The majority of farmed animals killed each year are insects, and this number is only expected to increase. By 2033, it’s estimated that around 5 trillion insects will be slaughtered annually—more than 50 times the number of cows, pigs, chickens, turkeys, and the like currently slaughte... | 1,191 | 1.1.0 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput | ||
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Source.
Just SL3-4 is very inadequate; it would result in lots of extra x-risk relative to perfect security. If... | 296 | 1.5.1 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput |
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Turning lead into gold isn't the magic of alchemy, it's just nucleosynthesis.
Taking a living human's heart out without killing them, and replacing it with one you got out a corpse, that isn't the magic of necromancy, neither is it... | 714 | 1.3.1 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput |
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Jo6LPyp7t3rPuf8Ao | black-box-interpretability-methodology-blueprint-probing | Black-box interpretability methodology blueprint: Probing runaway optimisation in LLMs | null | false | false | false | null | 3xEktpc6dqfXswNxN | null | true | false | false | false | Post | null | 2025-06-22T18:16:19.078Z | null | false | false | 2 | 2 | 2025-06-23T21:03:35.199Z | false | false | post | [] | null | null | 8oSCwL4DYfxFYQAXS | 0 | 4 | 15 | false | 0.085021 | null | false | false | 2025-06-22T18:16:19.078Z | null | null | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | null | null | [] | null | NFmcwmaFeTWfgrvBN | null | null | null | false | null | [] | null | 6 | 0 | 2025-06-15T22:20:54.027Z | false | false | null | null | true | false | false | 0 | 0 | 0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | 0 | 0 | namesAttachedReactions | false | [] | 9 | null | null | null | null | [
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I am hoping that this post will serve also as a generally interesting brainstorming collection and ... | 2,135 | 1.54.0 | Revision | false | null | null | CrosspostOutput | |
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f6nzCdLyBhPHxkuSo | grounding-to-avoid-airplane-delays | Grounding to Avoid Airplane Delays | null | false | false | false | null | TtEoCrFeowCGb6rFK | null | true | false | false | false | Post | null | 2025-06-22T01:50:05.112Z | null | false | false | 2 | 2 | 2025-06-23T02:26:20.340Z | false | false | post | [] | null | null | 6hobf8rY2s9uMMWwa | 0 | 12 | 28 | false | 0.114517 | null | false | false | 2025-06-22T01:50:05.112Z | null | null | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | null | grecHJcgkb3KW5wnM | null | null | null | false | null | [] | null | 7 | 0 | 2025-06-22T01:50:05.112Z | false | false | null | null | true | false | false | 0 | 0 | 0 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | 0 | 0 | namesAttachedReactions | false | [] | 2 | null | null | null | null | [
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I recently flew through CLT and spent more time delayed than in the
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