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O8sNnC9lhE | will-mikheil-kavelashvili-be-electe | Will Mikheil Kavelashvili be elected as President of Georgia | null | 1,733,810,432,650 | 1,734,232,948,959 | 1,734,232,948,959 | YES | 0.959286 | 4,643 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
OwSPcspntKHKdalqx0wL | will-the-german-ampel-coalition-bre | Will the German Ampel coalition break apart before the end of its term? | null | 1,712,873,158,258 | 1,731,047,430,870 | 1,731,047,430,870 | YES | 0.989275 | 10,919.33138 | Politics | Government Structure |
iEIWmBeurHpdwEguYkAH | will-elon-musk-run-for-a-political | Will Elon Musk run for a political office in 2024? | null | 1,703,875,896,518 | 1,733,416,484,485 | 1,733,416,484,485 | NO | 0.017295 | 5,517.109721 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
dlyoxo896f | will-harris-win-a-state-in-the-2024 | Will Harris win a state in the 2024 election that Biden lost in 2020? | null | 1,721,649,404,837 | 1,731,594,099,838 | 1,731,594,099,838 | NO | 0.01 | 1,130.732218 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
8ylZuRghEg | will-iran-hit-israel-within-7-days | Will Iran hit Israel within 7 days of being attacked by them? | null | 1,730,143,556,330 | 1,730,679,870,117 | 1,730,679,870,117 | NO | 0.01142 | 1,533.339487 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
pElt68lcZu | will-pennsylvania-da-stop-elon-musk | Will Pennsylvania DA stop Elon Musk PAC from $1M daily voter giveaways before Election Day? | null | 1,730,128,207,241 | 1,730,955,540,000 | 1,730,961,831,835 | NO | 0.058504 | 3,763.222565 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
5azc3vhrjljwPwxQLtg2 | will-a-llm-beat-human-experts-on-gp | Will a LLM beat human experts on GPQA by Jan 1, 2025? | null | 1,700,594,124,333 | 1,734,723,530,620 | 1,734,723,530,620 | YES | 0.926415 | 41,863.851275 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
HBU2tCo53ImhNBQldfZN | nfl-week-3-sep-22-will-the-clevelan | NFL Week 3 (Sep 22): Will the Cleveland Browns beat the New York Giants? | null | 1,715,833,606,460 | 1,727,068,268,798 | 1,727,068,268,798 | NO | 0.01 | 1,168.247731 | Sports | Professional Sports |
Oy6ys8ZqZn | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-Acgp2PE8S0 | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 11 than it closed on Dec 10? | null | 1,733,856,362,607 | 1,733,950,985,143 | 1,733,950,985,143 | YES | 0.99 | 1,012.84458 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
m03zr1nxok | will-kamala-harriss-brat-summer-car | Will Kamala Harris’s "Brat Summer" carry through till November? | null | 1,722,345,570,217 | 1,730,851,140,000 | 1,731,824,574,718 | NO | 0.204109 | 1,116.354436 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
8ZO545W9vF98wQYYviN6 | will-dan-osborn-independent-be-with | Will Dan Osborn (Independent) be within 10 points of Deb Fischer (Republican incumbent) in the Nebraska Senate election? | null | 1,713,069,610,043 | 1,730,934,723,643 | 1,730,934,729,244 | YES | 0.986017 | 8,340.543162 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
tPTVg4UozPQSvj5iItDc | will-bitcoin-hit-80000-before-40000 | Will Bitcoin hit $80,000 before $40,000? | null | 1,709,217,073,459 | 1,731,246,097,325 | 1,731,246,097,325 | YES | 0.99 | 47,846.751319 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
sFLi7CTIN4zrZaH8nPB2 | will-doug-burgum-win-the-2024-unite | Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 United States presidential election? | null | 1,686,151,917,849 | 1,731,149,586,066 | 1,731,149,586,066 | NO | 0.007653 | 2,005 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
fconw8iu68 | daily-coinflip-ik7e8vxmds | Daily coinflip | null | 1,727,244,755,796 | 1,727,402,400,000 | 1,727,403,519,368 | NO | 0.51 | 59,165.718906 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
3LshbzTunxtF3qcdalCD | will-godzilla-x-kong-have-a-higher | Will GODZILLA X KONG have a higher Rotten Tomatoes audience score than the next Palme d'Or winner at Cannes? | null | 1,710,618,404,996 | 1,730,682,616,242 | 1,730,682,616,242 | YES | 0.925301 | 2,827.964364 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
x607d0fuir | will-anthropic-release-an-api-relat | Will Anthropic release an API related to agent use on October 22, 2024? | null | 1,729,348,927,483 | 1,729,611,423,184 | 1,729,611,423,184 | YES | 0.91 | 7,051.183637 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
9mxcrrv1ax | will-i-cynthia-get-a-full-time-job | Will I (Cynthia) get a full time job by the end of 2024? | null | 1,724,467,861,915 | 1,729,717,935,540 | 1,729,717,935,540 | YES | 0.95 | 2,069.286442 | Finance | Personal Finance |
aulPr98FjLbWqRB7VKrz | will-soon-to-be-former-dutch-pm-mar | Will (soon to be former) Dutch PM Mark Rutte be the next secretary general of NATO? | null | 1,698,872,283,428 | 1,727,790,729,805 | 1,727,790,729,805 | YES | 0.99 | 26,814.466704 | Politics | International Relations |
1yijb82cab | will-the-certified-electoral-votes | Will the certified electoral votes differ from the final votes in the 2024 US election? | null | 1,724,614,506,145 | 1,735,665,821,519 | 1,735,665,821,519 | NO | 0.010557 | 12,926.504298 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
tghj848kzk | will-new-hezbollah-leader-hashim-sa | Will presumptive Hezbollah leader Hashem Safieddine survive 2024? | null | 1,727,648,917,178 | 1,729,672,513,147 | 1,729,672,513,147 | NO | 0.01 | 69,769.074263 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
QaUtFAI23DerCCshdbyu | will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-33a44c108f7d | Will any of the videos uploaded to Rational Animation's YouTube channel in Sep 2024 surpass 200k views? | null | 1,707,014,153,630 | 1,727,464,991,086 | 1,727,464,991,086 | YES | 1 | 2,077.203789 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
h9cCGh6LUGimrBkTFSN0 | will-guilherme-boulos-be-elected-ma | Will Guilherme Boulos be elected mayor of São Paulo in 2024? | null | 1,684,624,551,258 | 1,731,190,877,497 | 1,731,190,877,497 | NO | 0.01 | 1,055.870197 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
6EKcapcDXgaC5EzSItXE | will-caroline-ellison-be-sentenced | Will Caroline Ellison be sentenced to any prison time? | null | 1,696,949,846,661 | 1,727,247,644,809 | 1,727,247,644,809 | YES | 0.99 | 17,345.918035 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
jQZYnRSVHRqYdjQDnRFb | will-the-democrats-control-the-penn | Will the Democrats control the Pennsylvania House of Representatives after the 2024 election? | null | 1,704,222,729,307 | 1,731,604,904,936 | 1,731,604,904,936 | YES | 0.99 | 5,436.741603 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
2owceagehe | does-manifold-think-ai-is-rightwing | Does Manifold think AI is right-wing technology? | null | 1,728,737,716,627 | 1,731,387,540,000 | 1,731,497,454,110 | NO | 0.02215 | 1,185.533423 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
ulsg6lg0Qu | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-sPI0t8dO86 | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 14 than it closed on Nov 13? | null | 1,731,531,450,739 | 1,731,618,143,911 | 1,731,618,143,911 | NO | 0.01 | 1,120.240461 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
319f5s7ju0 | will-israeli-troops-enter-the-count-2qvqtleb4q | Will Israeli troops enter the country of Lebanon before the end of September? | null | 1,725,077,035,891 | 1,727,742,652,209 | 1,727,742,652,209 | YES | 0.99 | 33,371.715803 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
xknBVAxqxwFTdMiVBe1d | will-barack-obama-make-8-or-more-tw-5d17976af9ba | Will Barack Obama make 8 or more Twitter(X) posts in Oct 2024? | null | 1,707,273,122,157 | 1,728,619,707,205 | 1,728,619,707,205 | YES | 0.99 | 1,953.857936 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
c6KOAHoJV4drd2klLt7p | will-a-third-party-candidate-qualif | Will a third party candidate qualify for at least one U.S. presidential debate in 2024? | null | 1,704,147,314,710 | 1,730,872,740,000 | 1,732,666,660,672 | NO | 0.02021 | 12,860.003413 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
1ufn364r13 | will-pat-gelsinger-be-removed-or-an | Will Pat Gelsinger be removed or announce he is stepping down as Intel CEO by the end of 2024? | null | 1,723,320,370,461 | 1,733,153,307,200 | 1,733,153,307,200 | YES | 0.9895 | 8,449.571671 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
gw7cf6av4k | will-me-and-peterbennett-handbrain | Will me and @PeterBennett (hand-brain) defeat @NicholasCharette at chess? | null | 1,728,093,781,712 | 1,728,110,927,695 | 1,728,110,927,695 | NO | 0.11 | 1,092.580459 | Sports | Individual Sports |
hOZOaLtMTthlPHWY4JR1 | will-russian-forces-take-vuhledar-i | Will Russian forces take Vuhledar in 2024? | null | 1,708,415,238,742 | 1,728,022,024,207 | 1,728,022,024,207 | YES | 0.99 | 17,298.943271 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
YnjR2huDdNVOoYUAEiLb | will-bottas-get-more-points-then-zh | Will Bottas get more Points then Zhou in the 2024 Formula 1 Season? | null | 1,713,793,344,915 | 1,733,669,822,788 | 1,733,669,824,585 | NO | 0.01 | 1,038.377427 | Sports | Individual Sports |
Xu6Qi1wfBQ4Zl3XpMboN | will-trump-run-as-a-third-party-can | Will trump run as a third party candidate in 2024? | null | 1,668,124,435,690 | 1,730,929,674,518 | 1,730,929,674,518 | NO | 0.015379 | 15,213.646863 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
d8gNKnlOCiiLaFECAjhX | will-wizards-of-the-coast-release-a-cb4917d83d30 | Will Wizards of the Coast release any white-bordered cards before 2025? | null | 1,699,041,779,886 | 1,726,721,335,641 | 1,726,721,335,641 | YES | 0.99 | 6,583.478471 | Entertainment | Gaming |
FsMUw6WBeMzWlvZ6V4an | will-california-vote-the-same-party | Will California vote the same party for Senate and president in 2024? | null | 1,686,435,548,725 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,731,555,214,734 | YES | 0.989612 | 2,220.277294 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
pFweJ36XbX7GpZgmVipl | will-trump-win-at-least-ten-states | Will Trump win at least ten states? | null | 1,682,814,528,112 | 1,731,201,168,263 | 1,731,201,168,263 | YES | 0.99 | 8,062.688294 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
OuA9NwUOtl5bm1qqiJug | will-vivek-ramaswamy-run-for-presid | Will Vivek Ramaswamy run for president in the 2024 election as a Libertarian or Independent? | null | 1,702,072,276,923 | 1,719,817,140,000 | 1,730,753,127,517 | NO | 0.010788 | 5,543.398948 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
YC2uZVhcQvtwUA1vl6ph | will-sol-solana-reaches-more-than-2 | Will $SOL (Solana) reaches more than $250 USD anytime within 2024? | null | 1,704,999,918,427 | 1,733,848,659,720 | 1,733,848,659,720 | YES | 0.97951 | 23,132.694725 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
b95gz1tkxv | will-joe-biden-and-donald-trump-pla | Will Joe Biden and Donald Trump play a golf match before the election? | null | 1,719,544,223,631 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,730,904,322,879 | NO | 0.022995 | 10,799.049461 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
RLt8Q8zPq2NMouT17cIn | will-trump-say-all-50-states-before | Will Trump say all 50 states before the election? | null | 1,716,751,026,573 | 1,731,088,740,000 | 1,731,164,975,745 | NO | 0.026163 | 12,258.723814 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
VtGPolSazS6M5Mwuck7w | will-league-of-legends-team-t1-who | Will League of Legends team T1 (who won Worlds in 2023) win Worlds in 2024? | null | 1,700,786,516,158 | 1,730,653,616,820 | 1,730,653,616,820 | YES | 0.99824 | 23,824.296889 | Gaming | Esports |
b0kdgz3ar6 | will-opus-35-be-released-this-week | Will Opus 3.5 be released this week? | null | 1,729,385,652,946 | 1,730,098,740,000 | 1,730,738,817,283 | NO | 0.010951 | 10,503.30723 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
w5rle7kDonttJRRbQ4m7 | nfl-week-3-sep-22-will-the-atlanta | NFL Week 3 (Sep 22): Will the Atlanta Falcons beat the Kansas City Chiefs? | null | 1,715,833,646,551 | 1,727,068,293,192 | 1,727,068,293,192 | NO | 0.01 | 1,249.29051 | Sports | Professional Sports |
XIE4oVYv8Yn5y4X63g0p | will-any-player-on-the-atp-tour-pas | Will any player on the ATP Tour pass 1000 aces in the 2024 season? | null | 1,704,430,343,983 | 1,735,562,368,560 | 1,735,562,368,560 | NO | 0.01478 | 9,054.323542 | Sports | Individual Sports |
xkvfButiI1M4Y0u3mqtT | will-there-be-any-upsets-in-the-202 | Will there be any upsets in the 2024 US Presidential election? | null | 1,716,162,019,551 | 1,730,935,085,471 | 1,730,935,085,471 | NO | 0.04375 | 13,873.114119 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
nptSynLgnS | will-there-be-any-break-between-one-ZdZLZnngdy | Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1133 and 1134? | null | 1,733,185,461,272 | 1,733,676,984,443 | 1,733,676,991,302 | YES | 0.798673 | 1,299.246214 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
ox6eoa7ors | will-marvels-agatha-all-along-be-go | Is Marvel’s Agatha All Along going to be good? 🧙♀️🪄📺 | null | 1,725,333,870,540 | 1,730,444,340,000 | 1,730,470,031,023 | YES | 0.99 | 1,548.396526 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
Fy6byt24aTiIpi3kWHDz | will-tesla-officially-reveal-the-te | Will Tesla officially reveal the Tesla "Model 2" in 2024? | null | 1,692,790,449,022 | 1,735,674,914,861 | 1,735,674,914,861 | NO | 0.104331 | 8,485.686841 | Technology | Mobile & Consumer Electronics |
8iduje5knz | will-minimarkets-cost-at-least-m250 | Will Mini-Markets cost at least Ṁ250 and adding answers to MC-Mini-Markets cost at least Ṁ25 before October 1st? | null | 1,724,940,720,026 | 1,727,766,000,000 | 1,727,766,847,214 | NO | 0.01 | 1,931.700614 | Finance | Personal Finance |
d4awdl7vxr | will-the-bank-of-england-cut-rates | Will the Bank of England cut rates by more than 25bps in November? | null | 1,727,953,504,098 | 1,730,980,893,751 | 1,730,980,893,751 | NO | 0.021783 | 7,238.319736 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
DPJX028iCWZA58DfRjsv | nfl-week-10-nov-10-2024-will-the-ka | NFL Week 10 (Nov 10 2024): Will the Kansas City Chiefs (home) beat the Denver Broncos (away)? | null | 1,715,834,209,562 | 1,731,291,756,692 | 1,731,291,756,692 | YES | 0.990976 | 2,620.041459 | Sports | Professional Sports |
ix3pgpKtv6596DIhXbwg | will-nintendo-legally-go-after-palw | Will Nintendo legally go after Palworld in some way before EOY 2024? | null | 1,705,886,780,030 | 1,726,704,503,695 | 1,726,704,503,695 | YES | 0.97 | 72,640.563595 | Technology | Gaming |
2AC5eSVotznfENPtEVb3 | will-a-trump-supporter-attempt-to-p | Will a Trump supporter attempt to physically assault Mike Pence before the 2024 election? | null | 1,691,343,577,804 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,730,909,478,720 | NO | 0.091098 | 3,683.975957 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
tytavkzj1q | does-our-team-win-trivia | Does our team win trivia? | null | 1,727,134,891,847 | 1,727,144,747,304 | 1,727,144,747,304 | NO | 0.02 | 36,423.726133 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
kwbcdx330c | will-shohei-ohtani-hit-more-than-5--cash | Will Shohei Ohtani hit more than 5 home runs in the 2024 postseason? | null | 1,729,696,846,371 | 1,730,379,705,621 | 1,730,396,788,886 | NO | 0.01 | 1,418.724436 | Sports | Professional Sports |
jd13wqh2cw | destiny-releases-his-j6manifesto-be | Destiny releases his J6-manifesto before November | null | 1,728,413,267,528 | 1,730,437,200,000 | 1,730,448,335,741 | NO | 0.010172 | 10,612.824738 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Wuae37tRNQFtRFzO9FoM | will-trump-do-jail-time-in-2024 | Will Trump do jail time in 2024? | null | 1,696,900,359,977 | 1,731,157,140,000 | 1,731,182,399,202 | NO | 0.042149 | 7,364.772467 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
RVoIehlN008OrKYoH0bS | will-the-2024-time-person-of-the-ye | Will the 2024 TIME person of the year be related to AI in some way? | null | 1,710,455,286,843 | 1,734,027,667,920 | 1,734,027,667,920 | NO | 0.01 | 15,857.697675 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
Qh3HYoKMfqfl9A0PcW5v | will-the-cubs-win-84-or-more-games | Will the Cubs win 84 or more games in the 2024 MLB regular season? | null | 1,705,733,129,532 | 1,727,683,086,183 | 1,727,683,086,183 | NO | 0.01 | 2,400.515068 | Sports | Professional Sports |
lX9zbjEQwVlhLPrp54c7 | will-allan-lichtmans-the-keys-to-th | Will Allan Lichtman's "The Keys to the White House" correctly predict the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential election? | null | 1,678,752,835,058 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,914,121,304 | NO | 0.311481 | 5,904.311577 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
EQ8VA6PqaMAd4CbCCv9O | will-i-train-or-play-soccer-with-my | Will I train or play soccer with my brother in law at his club in 2024 | null | 1,706,947,164,975 | 1,729,355,743,153 | 1,729,355,743,153 | NO | 0.01 | 1,899.742863 | Sports | Team Sports |
AAACQ9udIQ | was-there-russian-meddling-in-the-2 | Was there Russian meddling in the 2024 Romanian presidential election? | null | 1,733,411,345,933 | 1,733,511,575,163 | 1,733,511,575,163 | YES | 0.99 | 8,949.874371 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
vq7xnmbod1 | will-donald-trump-flip-miamidade-co | Will Donald Trump flip Miami-Dade county in 2024? | null | 1,728,249,304,060 | 1,730,859,832,783 | 1,730,859,832,783 | YES | 0.90749 | 13,469.158283 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
makevn4wF2BkxHx8V9ai | will-violent-jay-and-shaggy-2-dope | Will Violent Jay and Shaggy 2 Dope win the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,689,734,486,798 | 1,733,032,740,000 | 1,733,044,149,517 | NO | 0.01 | 26,910.649547 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
5nqgo5GLYQByKqcMgjdA | will-we-add-periodicfilling-limit-o | Will we add periodic-filling limit orders in 2024? | null | 1,718,296,005,607 | 1,730,406,161,841 | 1,735,684,967,401 | NO | 0.43663 | 9,420.204598 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
N5Nz0ZqggA | will-arcane-season-2-get-a-100-on-r | Will Arcane Season 2 get a 100% on RottenTomatoes? | null | 1,730,695,135,784 | 1,732,607,940,000 | 1,733,873,397,285 | YES | 0.99 | 6,628.308469 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
zjUVDY1pyvKHUbEf6XxW | will-the-braves-win-the-2024-world | Will the Braves win the 2024 World Series? | null | 1,698,929,848,728 | 1,729,018,816,727 | 1,729,018,816,727 | NO | 0.01 | 1,706.224951 | Sports | Professional Sports |
8AUNz8lzs6 | was-the-jake-paul-vs-mike-tyson-fig | Was the Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged? | null | 1,731,745,615,450 | 1,732,487,256,748 | 1,732,487,256,748 | NO | 0.01 | 1,820.831809 | Sports | Individual Sports |
QN3KDbdq32tYJapOgnnA | will-the-2024-us-presidential-elect-d1be5531b14f | Will the 2024 US presidential election happen as scheduled on 5 November? | null | 1,704,577,672,146 | 1,730,876,340,000 | 1,730,913,269,520 | YES | 0.98 | 3,092.159826 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
k6wSpdOBdZ61ResH0hxB | will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-9c5f3dfa84a4 | Will any of the videos uploaded to Lex Fridman's YouTube channel in Oct 2024 surpass 500k views? | null | 1,707,191,227,741 | 1,729,275,100,059 | 1,729,275,100,059 | YES | 0.99 | 1,841.542413 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
wL5jJ8sevkO72552yieL | nfl-week-14-dec-8-2024-will-the-phi | NFL Week 14 (Dec 8 2024): Will the Philadelphia Eagles (home) beat the Carolina Panthers (away)? | null | 1,715,834,517,302 | 1,733,853,600,000 | 1,735,276,237,003 | YES | 0.99 | 1,070.474036 | Sports | Professional Sports |
vQTDcxudJs2C3RuFCSZV | will-a-third-party-candidate-spoil | Will a third party candidate “spoil” the 2024 US Presidential election? | null | 1,690,082,375,133 | 1,730,782,740,000 | 1,730,930,202,918 | NO | 0.171522 | 1,730.453365 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
lx7pmfx7iu | will-the-price-movement-of-djt-stoc | Will the price movement of DJT stock accurately predict the outcome of the 2024 U.S. Presidential election? | null | 1,726,664,918,221 | 1,730,902,683,357 | 1,730,902,683,357 | YES | 0.757341 | 1,150 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
lTtSs2ddfKgwRRdoxNJI | will-selzer-outpredict-fivethirtyei | Will Selzer out-predict FiveThirtyEight in the 2024 Iowa presidential election? | null | 1,672,353,422,806 | 1,730,947,822,079 | 1,730,947,822,079 | NO | 0.022196 | 4,729.320447 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
oavv6awe2m | was-acx-book-review-nine-lives-writ | Was ACX book review "nine lives" written by Scott Alexander? | null | 1,726,238,691,741 | 1,728,641,717,128 | 1,728,641,717,128 | NO | 0.01 | 3,258.16073 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
2gelOcB6s2drOX4HV2Mf | will-jason-weens-youtube-channel-re-b0d1bb6a9b07 | Will Jason Ween's Youtube channel reach 650k subscribers in 2024? | null | 1,712,766,823,869 | 1,729,613,443,040 | 1,729,613,443,040 | YES | 0.99 | 1,138.504699 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
Id0tzLzl8q | will-the-ny-giants-stomp-the-dallas | Will the NY Giants stomp the Dallas Cowboys? 🏈|🦃 (4:30pm) | null | 1,732,589,149,368 | 1,732,846,602,100 | 1,732,846,602,100 | NO | 0.01 | 9,206.217011 | Sports | Team Sports |
IA69Hy6uKTluG4Nemg6r | lionel-messi-will-score-a-hattrick | Lionel Messi will score a hat-trick in a match for Inter Miami by 2025 | null | 1,692,076,215,268 | 1,729,532,385,139 | 1,729,532,385,139 | YES | 0.99 | 12,230.505545 | Sports | Professional Sports |
YplVU4tKTFOksdAyzs6e | will-a-democrat-win-alaska-in-the-2 | Will a Democrat win Alaska in the 2024 POTUS election? | null | 1,686,275,896,762 | 1,731,036,004,236 | 1,731,036,004,236 | NO | 0.01 | 8,973.868931 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ic21c1vl16 | will-travis-kelce-endorse-trump-bef | Will Travis Kelce endorse Trump before the election? | null | 1,726,025,493,634 | 1,730,955,540,000 | 1,730,955,679,781 | NO | 0.01 | 9,717.484155 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
8GIQED9HVaDcEW4K40uh | will-barack-obama-declare-the-2024 | Will Barack Obama declare the 2024 election as the most important of our lifetimes? | null | 1,699,252,743,276 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,731,767,693,783 | NO | 0.266817 | 3,326.915948 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
1z71romwcj | will-jeanmarie-le-pen-die-in-octobe | Will Jean-Marie Le Pen die in October 2024? | null | 1,725,883,071,198 | 1,730,415,540,000 | 1,730,452,018,632 | NO | 0.01 | 1,144.213223 | Politics | Political Parties & Ideologies |
sNSrm1QtmTvxiJipjNKe | will-spacex-successfully-catch-a-bo-5ddb59c643b5 | Will SpaceX successfully catch a booster within the first ten Starship flights? | null | 1,712,469,076,213 | 1,728,880,811,751 | 1,728,880,811,751 | YES | 0.99 | 12,975.352512 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
yfkHEOHjKozJ0ohgj3Oj | will-jimmy-carter-outlive-any-curre | Will Jimmy Carter outlive any current or former POTUS? | null | 1,698,808,496,608 | 1,735,515,447,229 | 1,735,515,447,229 | NO | 0.009036 | 25,240.940108 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
y6iFIhq9M1loky1T2OsZ | will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-8f0026346e7b | Will any of the videos uploaded to Mark Rober's YouTube channel in Sep 2024 surpass 20M views? | null | 1,706,582,234,461 | 1,727,530,258,389 | 1,727,530,258,389 | YES | 0.99 | 1,510.027778 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
TtLevYrKi2X17JndeDf9 | will-i-get-a-date-on-manifold-datin | Will I get a date on Manifold Dating? | null | 1,698,209,419,968 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,686,116,463 | NO | 0.035659 | 1,805.0176 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
mkgw0wz4uf | will-there-be-major-economic-news-t | Will there be major economic news that affects the 2024 US election? | null | 1,722,700,646,533 | 1,730,875,386,974 | 1,730,875,386,974 | NO | 0.118294 | 4,079.830319 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
WK2NWYZpqH6iA6wPx6Ui | will-barack-obama-make-12-or-more-t-8142569a654d | Will Barack Obama make 12 or more Twitter(X) posts in Nov 2024? | null | 1,708,381,181,252 | 1,733,029,199,950 | 1,735,076,013,777 | YES | 0.99 | 1,870.960828 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
2j2hjm4b2m | polymarketlinked-trump-caught-with | [Polymarket-linked] Trump caught with Loomer again in September? | null | 1,726,562,815,989 | 1,727,765,940,000 | 1,727,778,863,872 | NO | 0.02 | 1,921.342723 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
umpr4usbhy | will-anyone-say-bitcoin-crypto-bloc | Will anyone say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", "Blockchain", "World Liberty Financial" or similar during the Vance vs Walz debate? | null | 1,727,815,245,478 | 1,727,837,741,479 | 1,728,349,735,709 | NO | 0.04 | 9,222.31052 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
nZNuODQCxN0LfvO2db1R | will-there-be-a-way-for-two-users-t | Will there be a way for two users to bet against each other without paying Manifold? [6 months] | null | 1,715,864,323,804 | 1,731,801,540,000 | 1,731,837,246,403 | YES | 0.99 | 1,045.75849 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
hfmpbugzqo | will-donald-trump-still-be-alive-on-ch9blokoaq | Will Donald Trump still be alive on October 1st, 2024? | null | 1,725,274,306,972 | 1,727,762,340,000 | 1,727,788,073,907 | YES | 0.99 | 3,492.225975 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
yCIjO2bL6XURozSRW7SI | will-samesex-marriage-become-legal-0ace612bd91e | Will same-sex marriage become legal in Japan in 2024? | null | 1,710,698,011,289 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,683,020,719 | NO | 0.033338 | 4,695.530479 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
wo1dv7xp55 | will-the-dutch-government-successfu | Will the Dutch government successfully implement the 'noodwet' for the 'asylum crisis'? | null | 1,728,459,848,907 | 1,730,120,506,638 | 1,730,120,602,756 | NO | 0.1 | 2,262.239575 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
XVWeziWumsCmym0B21Jh | will-there-be-significant-blm-riots | Will there be significant BLM riots preceding the 2024 US presidential election? | null | 1,672,014,885,582 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,730,891,220,044 | NO | 0.0385 | 4,400.582005 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
05el1ng5r1 | biden-facilitates-ceasefire-in-ukra | Biden facilitates ceasefire in Ukraine before Election Day | null | 1,722,544,980,953 | 1,730,713,338,987 | 1,730,713,338,987 | NO | 0.01 | 9,351.424905 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
92trxy2k11 | will-harris-become-president-before | Will Harris become president before the end of Biden's term AND win the 2024 election for president? | null | 1,721,595,661,356 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,730,930,481,808 | NO | 0.028035 | 9,000.521732 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ezIHRBEJyTwo3kwjnugc | will-manifold-successfully-predict-ca0b18fb8ac6 | Will Manifold successfully predict the Time's Person of the Year 2024? | null | 1,702,047,549,467 | 1,733,612,340,000 | 1,734,076,045,333 | YES | 0.78758 | 4,379.823745 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
aUeXZaAOExK7k6bkfTTZ | will-pod-save-america-host-jon-love | Will Pod Save America Host Jon Lovett make it to the final five in Survivor Season 47? | null | 1,716,435,724,786 | 1,726,770,108,610 | 1,726,770,108,610 | NO | 0.04 | 6,143.29921 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
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