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p3aXpkCPch0szBfO8erz | will-california-ai-bill-sb1047-be-p | Will California AI bill (SB-1047) be signed into law with the "kill switch" requirement? | null | 1,718,232,371,480 | 1,727,704,317,414 | 1,727,704,317,414 | NO | 0.01 | 17,774.492087 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
i354pkrhg5 | will-a-fourth-film-receive-a-cinema | Will a fourth film receive a CinemaScore of D+ or worse in 2024? | null | 1,728,152,803,258 | 1,735,576,664,765 | 1,735,576,664,765 | NO | 0.01 | 1,370.399528 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
ygQuuRUzSQ | will-bitcoin-hit-100000-before-dec-ZhL2s222Pc | Will Bitcoin hit $100,000 before Dec 21? | null | 1,732,752,897,207 | 1,733,376,049,507 | 1,733,376,049,507 | YES | 0.99 | 901.647961 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
amupippqva | will-bitcoin-hit-75k-in-2024 | Bitcoin $75K in 2024? | null | 1,723,268,904,446 | 1,730,874,175,893 | 1,730,874,175,893 | YES | 0.90996 | 40,570.063994 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
8086SGL1J3FXrHNxalkk | will-robert-f-kennedy-jr-win-more-t-d0c180c16e22 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win more than 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | null | 1,696,034,612,394 | 1,730,899,740,000 | 1,731,437,542,730 | NO | 0.012872 | 75,694.625441 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
18HRXo2LWzDqizrj8FEY | will-destiny-get-unbanned-from-twit-df967649e5f8 | Will Destiny get unbanned from Twitch before October 2024? | null | 1,696,266,955,235 | 1,727,819,940,000 | 1,727,840,219,661 | NO | 0 | 115,382.566545 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
XnTv9c6pA9bS0mvnxe0N | will-a-democrat-win-maines-second-d | Will a Democrat win Maine's second district in the 2024 POTUS election? | null | 1,686,275,078,245 | 1,730,902,668,956 | 1,730,902,668,956 | NO | 0.055346 | 5,547.471776 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
2hyZscQldg | will-a-game-in-the-world-chess-cham | Will a game in the World Chess Championship 2024 have 3 or more blunders? | null | 1,732,095,941,272 | 1,734,115,655,913 | 1,734,115,655,913 | NO | 0.025293 | 638.873498 | Sports | Individual Sports |
5rofilynsu | will-joker-folie-a-deux-gross-more-0ohhdhm2n6 | Will "Joker: Folie à Deux" gross more during its second weekend than "Morbius"? (>$10,201,332) | null | 1,728,491,717,584 | 1,729,092,889,986 | 1,729,092,889,986 | NO | 0.01 | 3,168.237025 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
8oI6cYgHBN3LmMuVaxoo | will-donald-trump-get-222-or-more-e | Will Donald Trump get 222 or more electoral votes in the 2024 election? | null | 1,714,773,260,842 | 1,731,098,929,225 | 1,731,098,929,225 | YES | 0.989604 | 7,907.786166 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
euOql9DRdf7UZGj61igC | nfl-week-14-dec-8-2024-will-the-mia | NFL Week 14 (Dec 8 2024): Will the Miami Dolphins (home) beat the New York Jets (away)? | null | 1,715,834,507,995 | 1,733,853,600,000 | 1,735,276,258,383 | YES | 0.99 | 990.052011 | Sports | Professional Sports |
pcajphx7wz | will-tucker-carlson-interview-donal | Will Tucker Carlson interview Donald Trump or JD Vance before November 2024? | null | 1,723,025,979,311 | 1,729,129,663,132 | 1,729,129,663,132 | YES | 0.99 | 10,138.701793 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
38fnzviqe3 | will-kamala-harris-lose-nc-but-win | Will Kamala Harris lose NC but win a different Trump 2020 state? | null | 1,727,471,363,015 | 1,730,938,353,493 | 1,730,938,353,493 | NO | 0.010521 | 12,569.77395 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
xP4sZs0bvQ7YqBwV4rQp | will-there-be-more-than-two-differe | Will there be more than two different leaders of the WTA rankings (single) in 2024? | null | 1,710,694,658,132 | 1,734,388,202,110 | 1,734,388,202,110 | NO | 0.051065 | 405 | Sports | Individual Sports |
aNn0cNOVFyqh5yPRyBWI | will-a-major-event-occur-that-trigg | Will major event occur that triggers the implementation of covid-like US lockdown before US Presidential Election 2024? | null | 1,704,866,435,212 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,730,880,130,043 | NO | 0.030517 | 1,914.450125 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
ZvemP4hzI9O3qAU8YVAS | nfl-week-16-dec-22-2024-will-the-bu | NFL Week 16 (Dec 22 2024): Will the Buffalo Bills (home) beat the New England Patriots (away)? | null | 1,715,834,607,383 | 1,735,063,200,000 | 1,735,164,143,325 | YES | 0.99 | 962.961932 | Sports | Professional Sports |
Y3WjVnkO1hZupZRQVzOx | will-democrats-win-a-majority-in-th-a7def3d60d9c | Will Democrats win a majority in the Wisconsin State Assembly in 2024? | null | 1,691,250,643,601 | 1,733,032,740,000 | 1,733,382,550,703 | NO | 0.01 | 1,981.157367 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
vE9J4RgGsmEYEJMuD8Fm | will-a-republican-win-arizona-in-th | Will a Republican win Arizona in the 2024 POTUS election? | null | 1,686,273,149,326 | 1,731,431,324,098 | 1,731,431,324,098 | YES | 0.99 | 3,181.726565 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
iHa5VT8GdZGbFsrAwpit | will-democrats-win-more-house-seats | Will Democrats win more House seats in Pennsylvania than Republicans in 2024? | null | 1,713,033,049,431 | 1,731,139,140,000 | 1,731,199,402,865 | NO | 0.015859 | 1,377 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
dct0uR5cpP | will-the-nikkei-225-close-today-hig | Will the Nikkei 225 close today higher than its previous day close? | null | 1,730,345,558,928 | 1,730,370,148,040 | 1,730,370,148,040 | NO | 0.010305 | 8,800 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
f3nfyviz6t | metaculus-will-a-israelhamas-confli | [Metaculus] Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024? | null | 1,721,781,558,797 | 1,731,082,691,048 | 1,731,082,691,048 | NO | 0.022655 | 16,312.202181 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
ww8ud9fhbr | will-elon-musk-donate-at-least-100 | Will Elon Musk donate at least $100 million to a Republican-aligned PAC or campaign in 2024? | null | 1,721,106,952,930 | 1,734,397,084,650 | 1,734,397,084,650 | YES | 0.853286 | 3,295.456787 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
exgax1xyq2 | twitter-x-brings-back-public-likes | Twitter / X brings public likes back as an option or by default by the end of 2024? | null | 1,718,349,156,133 | 1,735,688,234,357 | 1,735,688,234,357 | NO | 0.020975 | 586.43036 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
PpAOhRNQ2l | will-congressional-hearings-on-uaps | Will congressional hearings on UAPs and disclosure occur in November 2024? | null | 1,730,201,804,604 | 1,732,143,313,804 | 1,732,143,313,804 | YES | 0.908626 | 2,552.096084 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
PaZ8087ZprL8N6XuQtKX | if-the-republican-nominee-wins-mich | If the Republican nominee wins Michigan, will they win the presidency (2024)? | null | 1,690,426,307,398 | 1,730,927,740,842 | 1,730,927,740,842 | YES | 0.99 | 1,264.281541 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Snqxq5nnqiM9BhlTCCmc | will-i-take-first-place-in-a-poker | Will I take first place in a poker tournament for at least 1000 USD in 2024? | null | 1,706,853,602,920 | 1,735,642,740,000 | 1,735,654,931,516 | NO | 0.180199 | 128.095658 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
RWELhVPPBuOKrX8nHzJX | nfl-week-14-dec-8-2024-will-the-kan | NFL Week 14 (Dec 8 2024): Will the Kansas City Chiefs (home) beat the Los Angeles Chargers (away)? | null | 1,715,834,538,834 | 1,733,880,000,000 | 1,733,931,559,970 | YES | 0.996117 | 2,378.179058 | Sports | Professional Sports |
4JNXJvUWOk33ZDAkhEkY | by-the-end-of-2024-will-any-new-202 | By the end of 2024, will any new 2024 seasonal TV anime have hit 1 million people who have listed it on MAL? | null | 1,709,329,603,286 | 1,735,661,765,111 | 1,735,661,765,111 | NO | 0.010003 | 1,325.064086 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
jkROOhDIvVBIwXyBvmBb | will-rfk-jr-get-above-5-in-the-2024 | Will RFK Jr. get above 5% in the 2024 Presidential election? | null | 1,697,491,827,146 | 1,735,016,340,000 | 1,735,403,888,690 | NO | 0.010193 | 28,396.481564 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
4MoiPGdzTODzgmokBwS1 | will-the-google-trend-border-reach | Will the google trend "Border" reach a new peak before the 2024 election? | null | 1,713,386,872,153 | 1,731,200,680,586 | 1,731,200,680,586 | NO | 0.019648 | 1,216.336162 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
w3mruwdih7 | will-there-be-a-day-of-bad-air-in-s | Will there be a day of bad air in SF due to wildfire smoke in 2024? | null | 1,725,415,542,141 | 1,730,444,340,000 | 1,730,470,041,870 | NO | 0.046062 | 446.001647 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
AM1axfn3jAan7o8XYSfW | will-zubear-abdi-face-legal-trouble | Will Zubear Abdi face legal trouble for sharing explicit photos of Taylor Swift generated by AI? | null | 1,706,325,404,031 | 1,735,616,743,943 | 1,735,616,743,943 | NO | 0.01 | 5,599.039612 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
43c5jhxmkt | will-the-nyt-run-a-frontpage-headli | Will the NYT run a front-page headline questioning Trump's mental fitness before the election? | null | 1,723,757,533,832 | 1,730,872,740,000 | 1,730,876,125,327 | NO | 0.033406 | 15,434.141493 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
18rpxi4q7o | will-apple-remain-the-largest-compa | Will Apple remain the largest company through October? | null | 1,728,750,191,472 | 1,729,876,694,469 | 1,729,876,694,469 | NO | 0.01 | 1,918.477989 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
xyZDGlri9K6lnn28wmqP | will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-e90ed9e70107 | Will any of the videos uploaded to Joe Rogan's YouTube channel in Nov 2024 surpass 4M views? | null | 1,707,191,827,138 | 1,733,029,196,395 | 1,733,860,060,384 | YES | 0.99 | 1,386.453113 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
3W4F3g859vc1CzbQR8wj | will-trump-quote-another-confederat | Will Trump quote another Confederate before the election? | null | 1,713,710,422,760 | 1,730,872,740,000 | 1,730,942,937,242 | NO | 0.232843 | 985.816933 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
6E96cNuU8C | will-kamala-harris-receive-a-greate | Will Kamala Harris receive a greater number of mail-in ballot votes than Donald Trump? | null | 1,730,379,682,115 | 1,732,867,140,000 | 1,735,685,512,933 | YES | 0.972275 | 517 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
smJzQxrkKXbLC9fTPtYQ | will-xi-jinping-visit-any-country-i | Will Xi Jinping visit any country in Africa by the end of 2024? | null | 1,697,944,894,099 | 1,732,536,331,121 | 1,732,536,331,121 | YES | 0.99 | 1,311.781974 | Geopolitics | International Relations |
13ok7f5qqx | will-i-have-500-substack-followerss | Will I have 500 Substack followers/subscribers (counting both free and paid) by Halloween, 2024? | null | 1,718,679,681,297 | 1,730,430,000,000 | 1,730,430,490,959 | NO | 0.158688 | 159 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
jDqZVlZV8Ac4jTspgV3q | will-georgia-stay-blue-in-2024 | Will Georgia stay blue in 2024 | null | 1,693,666,977,286 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,879,795,847 | NO | 0.09772 | 7,630.21356 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
sQtPI6lQy5 | set-and-get-my-burpee-goal-at-least-Cc8uOty8gq | Set and get my burpee goal at least 3 weeks this month? | null | 1,733,043,742,049 | 1,735,617,660,000 | 1,735,687,310,420 | NO | 0.401865 | 220 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
Wg2krR99SDftqNMscrgu | will-there-be-concrete-evidence-of-cf22ba08a694 | Will there be concrete evidence of a Chess GM cheating over the board before then end of 2026? | null | 1,705,034,981,355 | 1,729,340,793,060 | 1,729,340,793,060 | YES | 0.8 | 297.005586 | Sports | Individual Sports |
u1dmx1xs51 | will-acro-trip-tv-rate-700-or-highe | Will Acro Trip (TV) rate 7.00 or higher on MyAnimeList? | null | 1,728,050,050,107 | 1,734,526,740,000 | 1,734,527,197,776 | NO | 0.0601 | 3,504.555728 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
uit0MGNWsOZQ9IJOYnBY | will-gary-gensler-resign-from-his-p | Will Gary Gensler resign from his position before 2024 ends? | null | 1,693,429,485,750 | 1,732,459,189,820 | 1,732,459,189,820 | YES | 0.163205 | 4,366.190758 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
QlnXvf6bGyltlzMdZJrg | nfl-week-9-nov-3-2024-will-the-new | NFL Week 9 (Nov 3 2024): Will the New York Giants (home) beat the Washington Commanders (away)? | null | 1,715,834,183,502 | 1,730,670,340,915 | 1,730,670,340,915 | NO | 0.01 | 894.987437 | Sports | Professional Sports |
1nz71mcbvo | will-musk-and-maduro-schedule-a-fig | Will Elon Musk and Nicolás Maduro schedule a fight before the end of 2024? | null | 1,722,445,909,225 | 1,735,581,427,178 | 1,735,581,427,178 | NO | 0.01 | 1,745.189332 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
s1nsiqrj1m | will-texas-become-a-blue-state-this | Will Texas become a blue state this election | null | 1,721,936,495,572 | 1,730,868,737,893 | 1,730,868,737,893 | NO | 0.068258 | 426.405948 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
2TPvfvT9lgl25LpQ1Xhs | will-taylor-swift-attend-a-campaign | Will Taylor Swift attend a campaign event for Joe Biden in 2024? | null | 1,709,238,082,773 | 1,730,603,119,872 | 1,730,603,119,872 | NO | 0.01 | 1,843.428106 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
cc2sLZ6StZ | daily-coinflip-UzIIR6qutQ | Daily coinflip | null | 1,734,234,494,482 | 1,734,325,140,000 | 1,734,329,005,276 | NO | 0.490494 | 2,564.147941 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
dyEkep7YjEOK8FkkJfiP | will-i-dump-my-coinbase-shares-in-2 | Will I dump my Coinbase shares in 2024? | null | 1,703,040,449,605 | 1,735,625,873,468 | 1,735,625,873,468 | NO | 0.188188 | 123.095658 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
44yOeiEbld5hDz0TtE9z | nfl-week-8-oct-27-2024-will-the-was | NFL Week 8 (Oct 27 2024): Will the Washington Commanders (home) beat the Chicago Bears (away)? | null | 1,715,834,146,099 | 1,730,078,805,728 | 1,730,078,805,728 | YES | 0.99 | 1,325.843272 | Sports | Professional Sports |
b4q0LODuk8gox7ETFj03 | metaculus-will-the-current-european | [Metaculus] Will the current European Commission propose a European Union directive or regul... before October 31, 2024? | null | 1,699,489,001,175 | 1,730,530,740,000 | 1,730,666,644,541 | NO | 0.011318 | 1,386.999624 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
8rro6jyqeu | will-starship-or-its-super-heavy-bo | Will Starship or its Super Heavy booster explode at its 5th test flight? | null | 1,728,422,370,871 | 1,728,829,537,892 | 1,728,829,537,892 | YES | 0.37 | 413.608985 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
wzz8e4gi5r | will-israeli-troops-enter-the-count-2zi8xd9mif | Will Israeli troops enter the country of Lebanon before the end of Halloween? | null | 1,720,311,345,750 | 1,727,758,286,897 | 1,727,758,286,897 | YES | 0.99 | 17,851.468268 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
Fu65ybnYsf2dtY8dlTLp | will-the-panama-canal-be-closed-for | Will the Panama Canal be closed for at least 24 hours in 2024 due to a man-made disaster? | null | 1,712,762,919,633 | 1,735,680,015,763 | 1,735,680,015,763 | NO | 0.040534 | 2,727 | Geopolitics | Regional Affairs |
N96XISoQnmK8nCAeqmki | will-jimmy-carter-die-in-2024 | Will Jimmy Carter die in 2024? | null | 1,703,624,953,482 | 1,735,508,499,551 | 1,735,587,474,631 | YES | 0.996016 | 95,193.448615 | Politics | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
e2q1xpu3tt | will-kamala-harris-win-the-popular | Will Kamala Harris win the popular vote but lose the Electoral College? | null | 1,726,309,875,625 | 1,730,953,295,957 | 1,730,953,295,957 | NO | 0.01 | 19,959.667901 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
6kyC0zqK8ozUdBJlBBWT | will-the-twins-win-87-or-more-games | Will the Twins win 87 or more games in the 2024 MLB regular season? | null | 1,705,732,988,812 | 1,727,458,118,852 | 1,727,458,118,852 | NO | 0.01 | 1,288.316623 | Sports | Professional Sports |
7pp1ac35es | will-any-sweepstakes-market-cross-1 | Will any sweepstakes market cross $10,000 in total volume in 2024? | null | 1,726,594,806,794 | 1,727,200,143,374 | 1,727,200,143,374 | YES | 0.99 | 9,833.126833 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
JesXpCG8NfxlBxMqUlMu | will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-2-19d0d7c91571 | Will the margin of victory in the 2024 POTUS election in Georgia be greater than in 2020 (0.3%)? | null | 1,707,672,690,921 | 1,731,044,798,110 | 1,731,044,798,110 | YES | 0.99 | 2,255.823607 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
9Ut8ZS6O6U | will-kamala-harris-appear-on-the-jo | Will Kamala Harris appear on the Joe Rogan podcast before the November 2024 election? | null | 1,729,869,772,243 | 1,730,822,340,000 | 1,730,831,387,540 | NO | 0.008361 | 1,631.533269 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
mkbiu1216h | will-manifold-think-that-kamala-wou-spuzqvuu1j | Will Manifold think that Kamala would beat Trump in a game of chess if both have one month to prepare? | null | 1,724,493,056,620 | 1,727,150,340,000 | 1,727,455,177,210 | YES | 0.98 | 1,074.182349 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
MU5sBBKf4wXhu36jvh9d | will-world-chess-championship-2024 | Will World Chess Championship 2024 be a close match? | null | 1,713,900,580,415 | 1,732,712,014,320 | 1,732,712,014,320 | YES | 0.950681 | 4,668.66124 | Sports | Individual Sports |
2PR83ndJofIB5yE5eNdW | soai-23-310-will-selfimproving-al-a | SoAI 23 3/10: Will Self-improving Al agents crush SOTA in a complex environment (e.g. AAA game, tool use, science)? | null | 1,697,652,393,670 | 1,728,661,552,303 | 1,728,661,552,303 | NO | 0.06 | 8,977.769598 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
yvmRguMUXETuQEk8a8Nl | 20241029-will-amzn-close-above-150 | 2024-10-29: Will AMZN close above $150? | null | 1,718,121,922,865 | 1,730,260,740,000 | 1,730,316,531,900 | YES | 0.99 | 899.51305 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
nw8yxskRMyhJB0MQzKNw | will-the-democrats-win-a-majority-i | Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2024 elections? | null | 1,679,174,782,879 | 1,731,711,300,842 | 1,731,711,300,842 | NO | 0.009742 | 1,089,412.789441 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
LHEpQWaAMDx5KEviOsMK | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-presid-7f924e6ea17f | Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Washington? | null | 1,670,815,678,255 | 1,730,912,529,362 | 1,730,912,529,362 | YES | 0.978199 | 929.913255 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
O8sNnC9lhE | will-mikheil-kavelashvili-be-electe | Will Mikheil Kavelashvili be elected as President of Georgia | null | 1,733,810,432,650 | 1,734,232,948,959 | 1,734,232,948,959 | YES | 0.959286 | 4,643 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
OwSPcspntKHKdalqx0wL | will-the-german-ampel-coalition-bre | Will the German Ampel coalition break apart before the end of its term? | null | 1,712,873,158,258 | 1,731,047,430,870 | 1,731,047,430,870 | YES | 0.989275 | 10,919.33138 | Politics | Government Structure |
iEIWmBeurHpdwEguYkAH | will-elon-musk-run-for-a-political | Will Elon Musk run for a political office in 2024? | null | 1,703,875,896,518 | 1,733,416,484,485 | 1,733,416,484,485 | NO | 0.017295 | 5,517.109721 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
dlyoxo896f | will-harris-win-a-state-in-the-2024 | Will Harris win a state in the 2024 election that Biden lost in 2020? | null | 1,721,649,404,837 | 1,731,594,099,838 | 1,731,594,099,838 | NO | 0.01 | 1,130.732218 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
WJuYWNgq5VCSyFwwTD7h | will-a-prominent-african-leader-be | Will a prominent African leader be indicted for corruption or war crimes by an international court within the next year? | null | 1,691,002,533,982 | 1,722,754,740,000 | 1,727,879,039,358 | NO | 0.02 | 540 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
8ylZuRghEg | will-iran-hit-israel-within-7-days | Will Iran hit Israel within 7 days of being attacked by them? | null | 1,730,143,556,330 | 1,730,679,870,117 | 1,730,679,870,117 | NO | 0.01142 | 1,533.339487 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
p1LmanPujKlxkzDpRIIf | will-austin-lesswrongs-winter-solst | Will Austin LessWrong's Winter Solstice event be held at Silas's place in 2024? | null | 1,703,365,207,379 | 1,734,801,737,696 | 1,734,801,737,696 | YES | 0.584635 | 25 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
pElt68lcZu | will-pennsylvania-da-stop-elon-musk | Will Pennsylvania DA stop Elon Musk PAC from $1M daily voter giveaways before Election Day? | null | 1,730,128,207,241 | 1,730,955,540,000 | 1,730,961,831,835 | NO | 0.058504 | 3,763.222565 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
5azc3vhrjljwPwxQLtg2 | will-a-llm-beat-human-experts-on-gp | Will a LLM beat human experts on GPQA by Jan 1, 2025? | null | 1,700,594,124,333 | 1,734,723,530,620 | 1,734,723,530,620 | YES | 0.926415 | 41,863.851275 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
HBU2tCo53ImhNBQldfZN | nfl-week-3-sep-22-will-the-clevelan | NFL Week 3 (Sep 22): Will the Cleveland Browns beat the New York Giants? | null | 1,715,833,606,460 | 1,727,068,268,798 | 1,727,068,268,798 | NO | 0.01 | 1,168.247731 | Sports | Professional Sports |
Oy6ys8ZqZn | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-Acgp2PE8S0 | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 11 than it closed on Dec 10? | null | 1,733,856,362,607 | 1,733,950,985,143 | 1,733,950,985,143 | YES | 0.99 | 1,012.84458 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
2ynf6dao68 | will-bitcoin-be-higher-in-a-week | Will Bitcoin be higher in a week? | null | 1,728,580,718,746 | 1,729,230,507,463 | 1,729,230,507,463 | YES | 0.99 | 905.321697 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
A9dh8nglp8 | will-democrats-win-both-houses-of-c | Will Democrats win both houses of Congress? | null | 1,730,716,360,936 | 1,731,387,540,000 | 1,731,413,815,185 | NO | 0.01 | 894.987437 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
m03zr1nxok | will-kamala-harriss-brat-summer-car | Will Kamala Harris’s "Brat Summer" carry through till November? | null | 1,722,345,570,217 | 1,730,851,140,000 | 1,731,824,574,718 | NO | 0.204109 | 1,116.354436 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
8ZO545W9vF98wQYYviN6 | will-dan-osborn-independent-be-with | Will Dan Osborn (Independent) be within 10 points of Deb Fischer (Republican incumbent) in the Nebraska Senate election? | null | 1,713,069,610,043 | 1,730,934,723,643 | 1,730,934,729,244 | YES | 0.986017 | 8,340.543162 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
tPTVg4UozPQSvj5iItDc | will-bitcoin-hit-80000-before-40000 | Will Bitcoin hit $80,000 before $40,000? | null | 1,709,217,073,459 | 1,731,246,097,325 | 1,731,246,097,325 | YES | 0.99 | 47,846.751319 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
sFLi7CTIN4zrZaH8nPB2 | will-doug-burgum-win-the-2024-unite | Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 United States presidential election? | null | 1,686,151,917,849 | 1,731,149,586,066 | 1,731,149,586,066 | NO | 0.007653 | 2,005 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
fconw8iu68 | daily-coinflip-ik7e8vxmds | Daily coinflip | null | 1,727,244,755,796 | 1,727,402,400,000 | 1,727,403,519,368 | NO | 0.51 | 59,165.718906 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
3LshbzTunxtF3qcdalCD | will-godzilla-x-kong-have-a-higher | Will GODZILLA X KONG have a higher Rotten Tomatoes audience score than the next Palme d'Or winner at Cannes? | null | 1,710,618,404,996 | 1,730,682,616,242 | 1,730,682,616,242 | YES | 0.925301 | 2,827.964364 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
x607d0fuir | will-anthropic-release-an-api-relat | Will Anthropic release an API related to agent use on October 22, 2024? | null | 1,729,348,927,483 | 1,729,611,423,184 | 1,729,611,423,184 | YES | 0.91 | 7,051.183637 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
1Z06UQWZZPnq8lJo33se | will-kurdistan-hold-elections-befor | Will Kurdistan hold elections before the end of 2024? | null | 1,707,672,936,485 | 1,730,599,026,552 | 1,730,599,026,552 | YES | 0.393742 | 56.839041 | Geopolitics | Regional Affairs |
uIZlnmFE8Pun4Y3XunFa | will-cornell-west-appear-on-the-bal-e7927b68a557 | Will Cornell West appear on the ballot in Georgia in Nov 2024? | null | 1,709,156,778,748 | 1,729,769,055,873 | 1,729,769,055,873 | YES | 0.85 | 565.768482 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
YOwdRMK9jiO8LSYPWBaK | will-spencer-have-plans-for-hallowe | Will Spencer have plans for Halloween 2024? | null | 1,708,829,192,727 | 1,730,511,960,000 | 1,730,529,005,658 | YES | 0.521227 | 211.39576 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
9mxcrrv1ax | will-i-cynthia-get-a-full-time-job | Will I (Cynthia) get a full time job by the end of 2024? | null | 1,724,467,861,915 | 1,729,717,935,540 | 1,729,717,935,540 | YES | 0.95 | 2,069.286442 | Finance | Personal Finance |
4luk7nibrx | will-ma-get-laid-by-winter-solstice | Will Ma get laid by winter solstice 2024? | null | 1,727,035,196,596 | 1,734,750,969,115 | 1,734,750,969,115 | YES | 0.919548 | 240 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
aulPr98FjLbWqRB7VKrz | will-soon-to-be-former-dutch-pm-mar | Will (soon to be former) Dutch PM Mark Rutte be the next secretary general of NATO? | null | 1,698,872,283,428 | 1,727,790,729,805 | 1,727,790,729,805 | YES | 0.99 | 26,814.466704 | Politics | International Relations |
1yijb82cab | will-the-certified-electoral-votes | Will the certified electoral votes differ from the final votes in the 2024 US election? | null | 1,724,614,506,145 | 1,735,665,821,519 | 1,735,665,821,519 | NO | 0.010557 | 12,926.504298 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
c64srxu576 | is-jack-burkman-actually-mark-robin | Is Jack Burkman actually Mark Robinson's new campaign manager? | null | 1,727,065,707,726 | 1,727,121,481,738 | 1,727,121,481,738 | NO | 0.25 | 750 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
tghj848kzk | will-new-hezbollah-leader-hashim-sa | Will presumptive Hezbollah leader Hashem Safieddine survive 2024? | null | 1,727,648,917,178 | 1,729,672,513,147 | 1,729,672,513,147 | NO | 0.01 | 69,769.074263 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
QaUtFAI23DerCCshdbyu | will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-33a44c108f7d | Will any of the videos uploaded to Rational Animation's YouTube channel in Sep 2024 surpass 200k views? | null | 1,707,014,153,630 | 1,727,464,991,086 | 1,727,464,991,086 | YES | 1 | 2,077.203789 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
h9cCGh6LUGimrBkTFSN0 | will-guilherme-boulos-be-elected-ma | Will Guilherme Boulos be elected mayor of São Paulo in 2024? | null | 1,684,624,551,258 | 1,731,190,877,497 | 1,731,190,877,497 | NO | 0.01 | 1,055.870197 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
6EKcapcDXgaC5EzSItXE | will-caroline-ellison-be-sentenced | Will Caroline Ellison be sentenced to any prison time? | null | 1,696,949,846,661 | 1,727,247,644,809 | 1,727,247,644,809 | YES | 0.99 | 17,345.918035 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
jQZYnRSVHRqYdjQDnRFb | will-the-democrats-control-the-penn | Will the Democrats control the Pennsylvania House of Representatives after the 2024 election? | null | 1,704,222,729,307 | 1,731,604,904,936 | 1,731,604,904,936 | YES | 0.99 | 5,436.741603 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
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