question stringlengths 10 193 | answer stringclasses 2 values |
|---|---|
Will bitcoin be higher than $65,850 at Sep 29th 5:20pm ET? | YES |
Will JD Vance be the Vice Presidential candidate on Election Day 2024? | YES |
Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Oregon? | NO |
Will Trump beat Biden in every New York Times/Sienna national poll before election day? | YES |
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 3 than it closed on Dec 2? | YES |
Will Xi Jinping visit the White House by the end of 2024? | NO |
MLB Postseason 2024 ⚾️ 10/5 NLDS Game 1 Mets @ Phillies: Will there be a run scored in the 1st Inning? | YES |
Will any major social platform integrate OpenAI’s metadata to visibly indicate AI-generated images in 2024? | YES |
Will RFK Jr be removed from the ballot in North Carolina? | YES |
3) The terms “large language model” and “LLM” will become less common. | NO |
If @DrAllyLouks posts her X income, will she make more than $1000 this time? | NO |
Will Joe Manchin be on a third-party presidential ticket in 2024? | NO |
Will Joe Biden resign the US Presidency before the election November 5, 2024? | NO |
Will Dade Phelan win in the November 5 Texas general election? | YES |
Will one candidate win all 7 swing states? | YES |
NFL Week 16 (Dec 22 2024): Will the Seattle Seahawks (home) beat the Minnesota Vikings (away)? | NO |
Will Iran/proxies bomb major civilian infrastructure in Israel before November | NO |
NFL Week 11 (Nov 17 2024): Will the Tennessee Titans (home) beat the Minnesota Vikings (away)? | NO |
Will Kim Kardashian attend a Baltimore Ravens game in September 2024? | NO |
Will 49ers win Superbowl 59 | NO |
Will Ilhan Omar win re-election to the House in 2024? | YES |
Will Donald Trump be on the 2024 general election ballot in Hawaii? | YES |
Will Wikileaks post a new leak before the election? | NO |
Will Telegram founder Pavel Durov "jump bail" and leave France before October 1st? | NO |
Will UFO/UAP be brought up by any candidate during televised debates Democratic or Republican prez primaries? | NO |
Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry Nebraska's 2nd congressional district? | NO |
Will NeurIPS have an acceptance rate of at least 25% in 2024? | YES |
Will the U.S. have a Republican president before 2038? | YES |
Is Lily Ashwood (@lilyofashwood on X) an AI? | NO |
Will Claude 3.5 Opus be released in October? | NO |
Will Jimmy Carter outlive the current Pope? | NO |
One month from today Will Kamala be above Donald Trump on Polymarket? | NO |
Will the European Commission propose EU regulation banning all types of cages for egg-laying hens by Oct 31st 2024? | NO |
Will Trump endorse DeSantis (for president)? | NO |
A Tesla Supercharger in central NV comes online through 2024 | YES |
Will Bitcoin Hit $100,000 Before The End Of 2024? | YES |
Will Gladiator 2 achieve a Tomatometer score of ≥70%? | YES |
London Breed is re-elected Mayor of San Francisco in 2024 | NO |
Will anyone say "childless cat ladies" during the VP debate? | NO |
Will October 2024 be the hottest October ever? [NCEI] | NO |
Will Trump ever run as an independent in the 2024 presidential election? | NO |
Will Bitcoin reach $100K USD before the end of 2025? | YES |
Does Caroline Ellison get >=1 years sentence? | YES |
Will the Raiders trade Davante Adams in 2024? | YES |
Bounty market: will bounties be reenabled this week? | YES |
Will Daniel Ricciardo finish ahead of Oliver Bearman in the 2024 WDC? | YES |
Well the S&{P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 11 than it closed on Oct 4---(5751.07)? | YES |
Will Bitcoin hit $100,000 before Dec 1? | NO |
Will Manifold reach 15,000 daily active users (7-day average) before Oct 1st? | NO |
Will Taylor Swift make 3 or more Tweeter(X) posts in Sep 2024? | NO |
⚾️ World Series Game 5 Dodgers @ Yankees: Will there be a run scored in the 1st inning? | YES |
Will any foreign bank loan Trump money to pay any of his civil judgements before the general election? | NO |
Will California AI bill (SB-1047) be signed into law with the "kill switch" requirement? | NO |
Will a fourth film receive a CinemaScore of D+ or worse in 2024? | NO |
Bitcoin $75K in 2024? | YES |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win more than 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | NO |
Will Destiny get unbanned from Twitch before October 2024? | NO |
Will a Democrat win Maine's second district in the 2024 POTUS election? | NO |
Will "Joker: Folie à Deux" gross more during its second weekend than "Morbius"? (>$10,201,332) | NO |
Will Donald Trump get 222 or more electoral votes in the 2024 election? | YES |
Will Tucker Carlson interview Donald Trump or JD Vance before November 2024? | YES |
Will Kamala Harris lose NC but win a different Trump 2020 state? | NO |
Will major event occur that triggers the implementation of covid-like US lockdown before US Presidential Election 2024? | NO |
Will Democrats win a majority in the Wisconsin State Assembly in 2024? | NO |
Will a Republican win Arizona in the 2024 POTUS election? | YES |
Will Democrats win more House seats in Pennsylvania than Republicans in 2024? | NO |
Will the Nikkei 225 close today higher than its previous day close? | NO |
[Metaculus] Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024? | NO |
Will Elon Musk donate at least $100 million to a Republican-aligned PAC or campaign in 2024? | YES |
Will congressional hearings on UAPs and disclosure occur in November 2024? | YES |
If the Republican nominee wins Michigan, will they win the presidency (2024)? | YES |
NFL Week 14 (Dec 8 2024): Will the Kansas City Chiefs (home) beat the Los Angeles Chargers (away)? | YES |
By the end of 2024, will any new 2024 seasonal TV anime have hit 1 million people who have listed it on MAL? | NO |
Will RFK Jr. get above 5% in the 2024 Presidential election? | NO |
Will the google trend "Border" reach a new peak before the 2024 election? | NO |
Will Zubear Abdi face legal trouble for sharing explicit photos of Taylor Swift generated by AI? | NO |
Will the NYT run a front-page headline questioning Trump's mental fitness before the election? | NO |
Will Apple remain the largest company through October? | NO |
Will any of the videos uploaded to Joe Rogan's YouTube channel in Nov 2024 surpass 4M views? | YES |
Will Xi Jinping visit any country in Africa by the end of 2024? | YES |
Will Georgia stay blue in 2024 | NO |
Will Acro Trip (TV) rate 7.00 or higher on MyAnimeList? | NO |
Will Gary Gensler resign from his position before 2024 ends? | YES |
Will Elon Musk and Nicolás Maduro schedule a fight before the end of 2024? | NO |
Will Taylor Swift attend a campaign event for Joe Biden in 2024? | NO |
Daily coinflip | NO |
NFL Week 8 (Oct 27 2024): Will the Washington Commanders (home) beat the Chicago Bears (away)? | YES |
[Metaculus] Will the current European Commission propose a European Union directive or regul... before October 31, 2024? | NO |
Will Israeli troops enter the country of Lebanon before the end of Halloween? | YES |
Will the Panama Canal be closed for at least 24 hours in 2024 due to a man-made disaster? | NO |
Will Jimmy Carter die in 2024? | YES |
Will Kamala Harris win the popular vote but lose the Electoral College? | NO |
Will the Twins win 87 or more games in the 2024 MLB regular season? | NO |
Will any sweepstakes market cross $10,000 in total volume in 2024? | YES |
Will the margin of victory in the 2024 POTUS election in Georgia be greater than in 2020 (0.3%)? | YES |
Will Kamala Harris appear on the Joe Rogan podcast before the November 2024 election? | NO |
Will Manifold think that Kamala would beat Trump in a game of chess if both have one month to prepare? | YES |
Will World Chess Championship 2024 be a close match? | YES |
SoAI 23 3/10: Will Self-improving Al agents crush SOTA in a complex environment (e.g. AAA game, tool use, science)? | NO |
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2024 elections? | NO |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.