Datasets:
CK0607
/
closed-manifold

Dataset card Data Studio Files
xet
Community
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4
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closeTime
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6.93M
2I8tlCAyhh
weil-democrat-wins-fl6-special-elec
Weil (Democrat) wins FL-6 Special Election?
null
1,742,951,173,455
1,743,555,540,000
1,743,556,270,367
NO
0.01035
10,529.954913
nCAzU8An0R
will-yes-traders-on-this-market-hav
Will YES traders on this market have a higher average MAX PAYOUT on close?
null
1,742,950,474,550
1,743,548,340,000
1,743,557,042,375
NO
0.01
1,239.901879
gnEyc9cZ2P
warriors-defeat-heat-on-march-25-20
Warriors defeat Heat on March 25, 2025
null
1,742,940,558,803
1,742,947,140,000
1,742,961,582,272
NO
0.62
89.464607
qgtUuZsqAh
jeffrey-goldberg-releases-more-sign
Jeffrey Goldberg releases more Signal chat content?
null
1,742,919,939,080
1,743,001,636,561
1,743,001,644,547
YES
0.987761
1,564.581669
AZp0qdQcty
tug-of-war-hEqU2QpLI9
Tug of war
null
1,742,918,438,122
1,743,134,340,000
1,744,124,324,906
NO
0.11
625.407248
tIyEL85uAI
sanders-and-aoc-announce-new-nation
Sanders and AOC announce new national day of action before June 22, 2025?
null
1,742,917,423,587
1,750,550,340,000
1,751,386,671,054
NO
0.27354
249
hRllPtZppZ
will-there-be-a-break-between-chain-LsOIlCQqI6
Will there be a break between Chainsaw Man chapters 198 and 199?
null
1,742,916,990,070
1,743,528,841,937
1,743,528,844,829
NO
0.24565
85
NzQdush9h6
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-g5glIunUnh
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Mar 25than it closed on Mar 24?
null
1,742,909,602,757
1,742,932,815,133
1,742,932,815,133
YES
0.99
35,380.237782
A0PslcOPSI
will-it-rain-today-0QOn59glPN
will it rain today
null
1,742,908,784,047
1,743,507,018,235
1,743,507,018,235
NO
0.036415
485.608361
5OSS5ENyuh
will-kurdish-language-be-coofficial
Will Kurdish language be co-official in at least one municipality in Türkiye until tomorrow?
null
1,742,899,990,447
1,742,986,380,000
1,743,092,748,858
NO
0.124649
165
ygnCn6nOS9
secret-jim-market
secret jim market
null
1,742,898,575,414
1,745,796,378,982
1,745,796,378,982
YES
0.544487
1,788.0038
Uscdc2SR8q
will-there-be-a-nintendo-direct-thi
Will there be a Nintendo direct this week?
null
1,742,895,501,746
1,743,010,639,980
1,743,010,639,980
YES
0.99
9,225.420895
LyOdttQSN8
i-regret-playing-last-of-us-part-2
I regret playing Last of Us Part 2 on PC release?
null
1,742,894,610,512
1,744,243,140,000
1,744,245,262,312
NO
0.370893
40
QR25O5dZyc
who-will-win-the-election-this-is-f
Who will win the election? This is for testing purpose dont bet
null
1,742,889,989,008
1,742,947,140,000
1,742,971,854,033
YES
0.534442
30
5z229NOhPt
will-nasa-confirms-the-discovery-of-CzQzQyqtqy
Will NASA confirms the discovery of Aliens before 2026? this is for testing dont bet
null
1,742,886,496,891
1,742,947,140,000
1,742,975,938,301
NO
0.089052
397.061215
UdAEzsl9gp
will-nasa-confirms-the-discovery-of
Will NASA confirms the discovery of Aliens in 2025?
null
1,742,884,311,904
1,743,033,540,000
1,743,076,794,047
NO
0.044575
717.270298
ngsqLtEzEt
geometric-mean-of-shares-held-per-t
Geometric mean of shares held per trader above 225 at market close?
null
1,742,878,445,339
1,743,496,200,000
1,743,504,157,339
NO
0.015507
13,860.570381
SZAUCq2ltn
will-there-be-any-break-between-one-zLg6SQU0Al
Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1144 and 1145?
null
1,742,874,457,874
1,743,355,635,679
1,743,355,637,726
NO
0.012064
947.373576
z2Q90SQ825
new-made-in-abyss-chapter-before-ma
New Made in Abyss chapter before May?
null
1,742,861,751,637
1,746,057,540,000
1,746,100,831,788
NO
0.280899
60
p88RI8cI5A
mike-waltz-resigns-as-national-secu
Mike Waltz resigns as National Security Advisor before April 25, 2025?
null
1,742,860,557,865
1,745,625,540,000
1,745,627,739,666
NO
0.01
3,345.580041
uupzPL2UuU
barcelona-win-next-match-against-os
Barcelona win next match against Osasuna?
null
1,742,858,093,336
1,743,120,780,000
1,743,287,513,243
YES
0.99
1,299.546246
NgsUdhsS2y
european-commission-propose-updated
European Commission propose updated EU tobacco taxation law including e-cigarettes and vapes?
null
1,742,856,308,446
1,743,721,140,000
1,744,120,727,067
NO
0.032346
475
Os0pS5dP2z
will-i-win-my-league-this-season
Will I win my league this season?
null
1,742,851,097,583
1,743,548,340,000
1,743,595,688,858
YES
0.948607
928.456965
Ugq8sySthP
egypts-gaza-ceasefire-restoration-p
Egypt's Gaza ceasefire restoration proposal accepted by Israel before April 15, 2025?
null
1,742,848,119,413
1,744,761,540,000
1,744,761,812,775
NO
0.012552
1,558.006002
A0yIn2ELQE
will-all-individual-yes-traders-in
Will all individual "YES" traders in this market a unique MAX PAYOUT when this market closes?
null
1,742,847,572,238
1,743,461,940,000
1,743,474,168,019
NO
0.025377
11,963.913446
QN0duP08L8
trump-fires-nsa-mike-waltz-over-the
Trump fires NSA Mike Waltz over "The Atlantic" story?
null
1,742,847,012,011
1,745,452,740,000
1,745,491,837,821
NO
0.01207
2,979.905334
9zhzy2Z6nA
will-jeffrey-goldberg-be-fired-from
Will Jeffrey Goldberg be fired from The Atlantic by the end of May 2025?
null
1,742,841,763,189
1,748,638,800,000
1,748,639,046,966
NO
0.01
8,124.287759
9LQ6qh8n5L
will-anyone-in-the-leaked-houthi-wa
Will anyone in the leaked Houthi War chat be fired/resign over it by the end of April?
null
1,742,840,199,227
1,746,057,540,000
1,746,166,034,295
NO
0.018096
50,343.974169
2qNqPtIAOz
another
Another
null
1,742,837,588,275
1,742,838,977,840
1,742,838,977,840
YES
0.5
0
Nc06pO2uCd
stop
STOP
null
1,742,837,294,088
1,742,837,317,929
1,742,837,317,929
NO
0.692308
50
5SS2c86A6q
dont-bet-please
DONT BET PLEASE
null
1,742,836,865,741
1,742,837,277,566
1,742,837,277,566
YES
0.692308
50
c5ZhsO6AOg
if-i-flip-a-coin-will-it-be-tails
If i flip a coin will it be tails
null
1,742,836,351,281
1,742,922,780,000
1,745,278,748,915
YES
0.507172
31.737945
yIZ2SdNnhA
will-the-rtx-5090-founders-edition
Will the RTX 5090 Founders Edition be purchasable in Germany before April 2025?
null
1,742,832,943,725
1,742,978,910,101
1,742,978,910,101
YES
0.796764
143
Izu2nzssNU
us-congress-increases-debt-ceiling
US Congress increases debt ceiling before 2026?
null
1,742,830,556,361
1,751,851,625,685
1,751,851,625,685
YES
0.99
937.371349
pOthR8tEdn
will-it-rain
Will it rain?
null
1,742,822,933,623
1,742,824,804,532
1,742,824,804,532
YES
0.44471
188.659997
ALhE6ucSsZ
will-bitcoin-surpass-100000-by-the-stPRRgun2R
Will bitcoin surpass $100,000 by the end of April 2025?
null
1,742,822,700,708
1,746,104,624,780
1,746,104,624,780
NO
0.002532
9,600.870019
Zyt2dSQyUt
will-both-allen-obando-and-baltasar
Will both Allen Obando and Baltasar Rodriguez get any playing time in any of IMCF's two legs against LAFC in the CCC?
null
1,742,798,548,335
1,744,415,940,000
1,744,609,396,437
NO
0.01
994.987437
qIhg0csuPp
short-fuse-any-hecklers-at-the-isra
[short fuse] Any hecklers at the Israeli Philharmonic tonight?
null
1,742,783,382,893
1,742,784,190,973
1,742,784,190,973
YES
0.616187
32
NzQ2OZuhn5
ludwig-michael-reeves-reach-hokkaid
Ludwig & Michael Reeves reach Hokkaido in 2 weeks?
null
1,742,781,505,409
1,743,992,807,554
1,743,992,807,554
YES
0.981246
816.317892
ygEyP8QCL2
innocent-among-2025-deportees-to-el
Innocent among 2025 deportees to El Salvador?
null
1,742,778,364,664
1,744,050,886,109
1,744,050,886,109
YES
0.962051
2,082.305042
EUpul6QA6p
is-extropic-going-to-ship-something
Is Extropic going to ship something by the end of March
null
1,742,774,124,692
1,743,465,540,000
1,743,469,954,528
NO
0.041014
440
NclP0d6UCA
will-argentina-increase-the-monthly
Will Argentina increase the monthly limit on individual USD purchases to at least $100,000 by the end of 2025?
null
1,742,773,114,261
1,746,137,425,530
1,746,137,425,530
YES
0.601623
370
QlSIuntg6S
europa-league-will-bodoglimt-advanc
Europa League: Will Bodo/Glimt advance against Lazio?
null
1,742,769,495,990
1,744,916,400,000
1,744,937,618,339
YES
0.589115
1,141.045994
2qLdgl6E5q
europa-league-will-eintracht-frankf
Europa League: Will Eintracht Frankfurt advance against Tottenham?
null
1,742,769,425,729
1,744,916,400,000
1,744,937,482,462
NO
0.534471
901.010272
nlhEPycER0
europa-league-will-manchester-unite
Europa League: Will Manchester United advance against Lyon?
null
1,742,769,358,651
1,744,916,400,000
1,744,937,494,341
YES
0.744239
353.784573
AzNc5d8lgq
europa-league-will-athletic-bilbao
Europa League: Will Athletic Bilbao advance against Rangers?
null
1,742,769,280,225
1,744,916,400,000
1,744,937,605,907
YES
0.842778
312.081941
qE5qCyt9y2
champions-league-will-psg-advance-a
Champions League: Will PSG advance against Aston Villa?
null
1,742,768,869,416
1,744,743,600,000
1,744,751,327,911
YES
0.924769
1,574.095627
p5uIgSlZNc
champions-league-will-barcelona-adv
Champions League: Will Barcelona advance against Dortmund?
null
1,742,768,721,132
1,744,739,130,655
1,744,751,316,467
YES
0.986349
4,824.306663
LOqhRLR5Nu
champions-league-will-arsenal-advan
Champions League: Will Arsenal advance against Real Madrid?
null
1,742,768,639,067
1,744,830,000,000
1,744,842,989,304
YES
0.85
2,712.347051
CyyU5IdcLZ
champions-league-will-bayern-advanc
Champions League: Will Bayern advance against Inter?
null
1,742,768,515,149
1,744,830,000,000
1,744,842,999,299
NO
0.343304
1,404.978279
qI0EPZ6qzh
will-i-have-a-new-crush-at-mop-2025
Will I have a new crush at MOP 2025?
null
1,742,768,348,418
1,751,559,813,696
1,751,559,813,696
NO
0.309614
2,752.655742
tRcdz9CpSh
deepseek-opensource-frontier-model
DeepSeek open-source frontier model after 3/23/25?
null
1,742,767,725,285
1,749,841,760,977
1,749,841,760,977
YES
0.977902
9,496.409348
CA2tht8PyN
trump-declares-martial-law-on-420
Trump declares martial law on 4/20?
null
1,742,757,461,849
1,745,193,540,000
1,745,280,141,416
NO
0.01
4,730.458189
sypq5U8SgS
great-georgiana-closed-or-open-when
Great georgiana closed or open when i get there in 30 minutes?
null
1,742,755,970,008
1,742,757,323,586
1,742,757,323,586
YES
0.692308
50
8IuCEhRqRO
will-shohei-ohtani-hit-a-home-run-i-ZsZZ8tpElN
Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run in the Dodgers-Tigers series 3/27/25-3/29/25?
null
1,742,754,032,081
1,743,124,694,832
1,743,124,694,832
YES
0.99
992.845203
L69SNZ6RZq
trump-approval-rating-450-or-higher-dOIqssElRy
Trump approval rating 45.0% or higher on April 20th?
null
1,742,748,220,181
1,745,390,257,882
1,745,390,257,882
YES
0.995761
118,084.262702
ZOS0sNnzQ6
russiaukraine-ceasefire-by-easter
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by Easter?
null
1,742,737,047,371
1,745,193,540,000
1,745,194,925,628
NO
0.010064
7,296.772369
Ns9IINcnz9
iranisrael-war-before-2028
Iran-Israel war before 2028?
null
1,742,731,033,906
1,750,093,524,982
1,750,093,524,982
YES
0.952721
41,435.864819
d89UIl859z
will-i-enter-the-profit-leaderboard
Will I enter the profit leaderboard before the end of April 2025?
null
1,742,725,896,033
1,745,971,140,000
1,746,001,987,851
NO
0.011139
11,851.665492
ythgn8glRh
will-the-median-number-of-shares-he
Will the median number of shares held in this market be greater than the modal number of shares?
null
1,742,713,714,840
1,743,375,540,000
1,743,657,853,518
NO
0.105637
529.935678
5uEpZUg8q8
under-uncertainty-do-people-adjust
Under uncertainty, do people adjust high probabilities towards 50% more than low probabilities?
null
1,742,712,422,666
1,743,658,340,901
1,743,658,340,901
NO
0.47247
109.488702
QNlOg9NLnI
daily-coinflip-NRsCSZu6Ez
Daily coinflip
null
1,742,711,126,443
1,742,875,140,000
1,743,046,735,626
YES
0.5
3,454.566648
tRpnPuqI6R
was-former-attorney-jessica-aber-mu
Was former attorney Jessica Aber murdered?
null
1,742,705,001,234
1,743,519,161,258
1,743,519,161,258
NO
0.04058
455.760976
25SzyAplCC
will-my-net-worth-be-above-m20000-i
Will my net worth be above Ṁ20,000 in a week?
null
1,742,691,679,650
1,743,296,400,000
1,743,296,429,483
NO
0.403548
3,182.314985
cAcdAgQC9c
more-than-50-get-5s-on-ap-calc-bc
More than 50% get 5s on AP Calc BC?
null
1,742,666,165,655
1,750,909,220,637
1,750,909,220,637
NO
0.01
1,652.227335
ns52gccSup
will-i-pass-my-lv-2-chinese-languag
Will I pass my lv 2 Chinese language placement exam?
null
1,742,660,546,565
1,748,708,460,000
1,749,217,097,474
YES
0.702566
1,010.907332
NhNQ9tlLPq
will-trump-strip-usa-citizenship-fr
Will Trump strip USA citizenship from at least one full citizen by the end of the year?
null
1,742,656,272,366
1,751,904,640,100
1,751,904,640,100
YES
0.981576
20,478.533113
UOEtZSPIU0
us-non-farm-payroll-higher-in-march
US non farm payroll higher in March 2025 than February 2025?
null
1,742,652,831,588
1,743,770,120,991
1,743,770,120,991
YES
0.989627
10,182
dsnCc8hhCE
14-billion-hole-in-tesla-finances
1.4 Billion hole in Tesla finances?
null
1,742,652,482,487
1,742,943,688,394
1,742,943,688,394
NO
0.059579
736.396233
OdlsRUU9uO
will-there-be-a-major-spike-in-prot-l9d9qs8cnc
Will there be a major spike in protests in the US before 2030?
null
1,742,648,600,199
1,747,851,481,282
1,747,851,481,282
YES
0.867244
2,437.993401
QzOcSy55zL
will-will-the-majority-of-traders-h
Will 'Will the majority of traders hold "no" when this market closes?' close with a trader holding >=500 shares?
null
1,742,631,150,280
1,743,051,600,000
1,743,056,941,756
YES
0.99
8,447.608979
A5s9ztIQLl
major-columbia-university-protests
Major Columbia University protests by the end of the month?
null
1,742,614,345,042
1,742,922,055,404
1,742,922,055,404
YES
0.428382
186
9LdtcpOIZU
will-i-get-injured-riding-my-electr-n9zLhl6pSd
Will I get injured riding my electric unicycle by the end of 2025?
null
1,742,611,671,305
1,747,354,305,151
1,747,354,305,151
YES
0.197282
2,259
PlUZdzIu6c
will-i-get-an-ss-rank-on-world-vanq
Will I get an SS rank on World Vanquisher (MASTER 15+) in CHUNITHM by the end of April?
null
1,742,605,403,036
1,743,210,187,644
1,743,210,187,644
YES
0.96025
406
OpsUugOAQN
will-i-qualify-for-usapho-2025-lS9E0UQPS6
Will I qualify for USAPHO 2025?
null
1,742,603,238,956
1,745,535,540,000
1,746,401,495,615
YES
0.551991
11
yzhlLZNhyZ
netanyahu-government-defies-supreme
Netanyahu government defies Supreme Court order regarding Shin Bet chief by April 1st, 2025?
null
1,742,600,800,189
1,743,472,740,000
1,743,720,832,340
NO
0.430502
355.894739
qOlt9Zq6dN
bitcoin-price-above-120000-by-june
Bitcoin price above $120,000 by June 19, 2025?
null
1,742,600,476,594
1,750,291,200,000
1,750,543,792,745
NO
0.008503
2,786.320358
t92U8SPQU6
will-the-median-number-of-shares-in
Will the MEDIAN number of shares held by traders of this market be less than 200?
null
1,742,592,677,547
1,745,271,000,000
1,745,272,941,591
YES
0.99
1,376.946246
8ncQ2OU9lQ
will-the-hornets-beat-the-thunder-t
Will the Hornets beat the Thunder today
null
1,742,585,463,108
1,742,609,571,784
1,742,609,571,784
NO
0.01
3,751.747755
syC9E6dNR6
will-arizona-hb-2112-age-verificati
Will Arizona HB 2112 (age verification) pass in 2025?
null
1,742,584,171,847
1,747,257,191,818
1,747,257,191,818
YES
0.293902
61
gCzUnyyI6d
will-i-qualify-for-mop-2025-NA6qt0ZcAn
Will I qualify for MOP 2025?
null
1,742,584,041,991
1,745,354,407,477
1,745,354,407,477
YES
0.882888
702.493318
psLZuLcNuL
mop-cutoffs-at-least-33
MOP cutoffs at least 33?
null
1,742,578,150,706
1,747,781,940,000
1,749,942,759,745
YES
0.987318
2,796.567369
S20ELny8sR
will-i-make-imo-2025-Az02UpSQn2
Will I make IMO 2025?
null
1,742,574,314,699
1,743,461,940,000
1,745,064,196,527
YES
0.83729
6,248.200216
PuOlgphcPs
peternjem-bets-on-makeworlds-fair-r
PeterNjeim bets on Makeworld's fair resolution market of Peter's Canadian election market?
null
1,742,573,488,786
1,742,575,833,434
1,742,575,833,434
YES
0.889462
267
AIzlPRCE52
will-peters-canada-election-market
Will Peter's Canada election market resolve honestly?
null
1,742,572,915,403
1,746,362,767,920
1,746,362,767,920
NO
0.016275
5,737.622808
qz2USA0l9y
daily-coinflip-5O8hhnCnA6
Daily coinflip
null
1,742,562,426,982
1,742,702,340,000
1,742,711,107,384
YES
0.5005
2,633.791537
O98zAUSyOC
will-i-pass-my-uk-driving-practical
Will I pass my UK driving practical exam on March 27?
null
1,742,561,909,416
1,743,069,178,776
1,743,069,178,776
NO
0.524039
75
nAE262Uqh6
will-my-flight-to-london-heathrow-l
[SHORT FUSE] Will my flight to London Heathrow land within 90 minutes of its scheduled arrival time?
null
1,742,560,990,108
1,742,605,200,000
1,742,636,852,523
YES
0.730314
340
tpdqOq8OtO
liberal-party-of-canada-majority-go
Liberal Party of Canada majority government after 45th Canadian election?
null
1,742,557,545,922
1,745,964,005,846
1,745,964,005,846
NO
0.009342
46,103.768191
6L88OAAqN6
bitcoin-above-83k-on-march-28
Bitcoin above $83K on March 28?
null
1,742,546,317,741
1,743,206,315,489
1,743,206,315,489
YES
0.996367
20,928.598858
dszIUshyOh
will-i-mop-this-yed
Will I mop this year?
null
1,742,531,939,334
1,745,107,140,000
1,745,354,192,204
YES
0.778701
2,124.980133
9dgAsgQUPA
will-i-make-mop-2025
Will I make MOP 2025?
null
1,742,519,887,614
1,744,498,740,000
1,745,354,681,425
YES
0.726552
10,418.596226
NO8hSnZhhg
ice-raids-a-university-of-michigan
ICE raids a University of Michigan residence hall or classroom without a warrant by May 1, 2025
null
1,742,502,118,010
1,746,198,434,231
1,746,198,434,231
NO
0.060254
325.971098
nzZLIh5NyN
will-canadian-prime-minister-mark-c
Will Canadian prime minister Mark Carney call a snap election on March 23, 2025?
null
1,742,483,458,062
1,742,750,386,128
1,742,750,386,128
YES
0.992569
2,601.405314
LgLZENtESy
will-this-question-get-an-even-numb
Will this question get an even number of traders in a month?
null
1,742,476,091,814
1,743,309,901,356
1,743,309,906,863
NO
0.722942
1,979.079094
l9S5tPR5yy
will-this-question-get-at-least-50-q5py5QIQUd
Will this question get at least 50 traders in a month?
null
1,742,476,061,083
1,745,125,140,000
1,745,296,341,424
NO
0.01
1,158.085263
CgCd0ORn90
will-elon-unfollow-noahpinion-by-th
Will Elon unfollow Noahpinion by the end of April?
null
1,742,427,078,830
1,743,386,686,509
1,743,386,686,509
YES
0.964332
545
u05P8Ss5z9
will-i-think-spring-2025-was-a-bett
Will I think spring 2025 was a better time for me personally than winter 2024-2025?
null
1,742,425,736,977
1,745,045,940,000
1,750,692,683,845
YES
0.831585
149.790112
9Iy8LCRLPn
will-another-israeli-minister-resig-uCI58ucO50
Will another Israeli minister resign before 2026?
null
1,742,421,927,589
1,742,904,710,735
1,742,904,710,735
YES
0.805461
290
5yEQ9qU8UL
will-the-76ers-beat-the-thunder-tod
Will the 76ers beat the Thunder today?
null
1,742,410,945,142
1,742,436,724,928
1,742,436,724,928
NO
0.055885
1,528.347243