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will-msj-a-drop-a-1000-point-rr
Will MSJ A Drop a 1000 point RR
null
1,740,685,397,607
1,740,966,620,167
1,740,966,620,167
NO
0.01
1,169.230029
EUICPOS0sS
will-andrew-tate-meet-in-person-wit-PSCEZuAdyq
Will Andrew Tate meet in person with Musk within 1 week [March 6]? - credible reporting
null
1,740,682,040,471
1,741,334,340,000
1,741,359,503,921
NO
0.01027
8,976.495556
LyRZPE9RIy
will-andrew-tate-meet-in-person-wit-N0pOOU6qUn
Will Andrew Tate meet in person with Trump within 1 week [March 6]? - credible reporting
null
1,740,682,004,088
1,741,334,340,000
1,741,359,513,606
NO
0.033124
5,163.625418
9cn2tyq8nc
will-one-or-both-tate-brothers-visi-Ccl2QuZUys
Will one or both Tate brothers visit Mar-a-Lago within 1 week [March 6]? - credible reporting
null
1,740,681,798,596
1,741,334,340,000
1,741,359,528,009
NO
0.031863
8,311.291033
ZI8CsNuQsA
grok-3-api-available-to-developers
Grok 3 API available to developers before April 15, 2025
null
1,740,678,583,845
1,744,253,294,552
1,744,253,294,552
YES
0.982372
1,558.436178
SsqQUNSE5O
will-i-get-to-1000-subscribers-on-m
Will I get to 1000 subscribers on my blog by the end of June?
null
1,740,677,575,312
1,747,503,337,212
1,747,503,337,212
YES
0.174382
227.794402
cILn2d9Pg8
sera-bachelet-candidata-a-la-presid
Será Bachelet candidata a la presidencia de chile?
null
1,740,677,218,635
1,743,307,140,000
1,746,726,340,501
NO
0.547511
10
cUgyIPsSz2
will-andrew-tate-meet-in-person-wit-tQ0Ons2LhZ
Will Andrew Tate meet in person with Musk within 1 week [March 6]? - photo/video
null
1,740,676,821,289
1,741,334,340,000
1,741,359,536,250
NO
0.03207
17,408.218495
I0tOsglSA2
will-andrew-tate-meet-in-person-wit
Will Andrew Tate meet in person with Trump within 1 week [March 6]? - photo/video
null
1,740,676,753,229
1,741,334,340,000
1,741,359,546,043
NO
0.01
14,999.773767
CPAdS2hLN5
will-one-or-both-tate-brothers-visi
Will one or both Tate brothers visit Mar-a-Lago within 1 week [March 6]? - photo/video
null
1,740,676,558,311
1,741,334,340,000
1,741,359,555,926
NO
0.036166
10,613.309353
pttN8gqcEQ
will-high-school-robotics-team-orbi
Will high school robotics team Orbit (Team 1690) make it to at least the semifinals of Einstein in the 2025 FRC season?
null
1,740,675,992,914
1,745,155,132,808
1,745,155,132,808
YES
0.598135
22
dzyp9l8Std
will-a-manifold-newsletter-that-i-w
Will a Manifold newsletter that I write get 50 likes on Substack by the end of June?
null
1,740,675,226,161
1,751,342,340,000
1,751,393,256,306
NO
0.021575
976.607833
ASu2OgpEA2
will-andrew-tate-return-to-romania
Will Andrew Tate return to Romania by mid-April?
null
1,740,671,277,867
1,742,608,864,437
1,742,608,864,437
YES
0.990124
6,835.372529
Pg0lSEyUc6
will-pope-francis-live-to-see-the-i-dUEAcNcg8L
Will Pope Francis live to see the Ides of March 2026?
null
1,740,669,308,330
1,745,431,334,406
1,745,431,334,406
NO
0.006935
1,737.882994
At0hqQcysI
will-usdcad-be-at-or-above-145-by-m
Will USD/CAD be at or above 1.45 by March 31st, 2025?
null
1,740,664,132,653
1,743,459,851,122
1,743,459,851,122
NO
0.25
251.39977
OS06sL6OgU
do-you-think-that-subscription-gram
Do you think that subscription Grammarly will be phased out with the free AI choices available?
null
1,740,663,274,889
1,743,285,540,000
1,743,492,852,535
NO
0.009634
973.401674
S2czUCtguE
will-the-epstein-files-really-come
Will the Epstein files REALLY come out today? [Feb 27]
null
1,740,663,196,236
1,740,964,226,587
1,740,964,226,587
YES
0.99
4,771.915954
n9q5PZuNQQ
will-bitcoin-hit-90k-by-thursday
Will Bitcoin hit $90k by Thursday?
null
1,740,656,967,038
1,740,718,839,326
1,740,718,839,326
NO
0.022946
903.448753
IdPOh8Sp8Z
will-i-lift-weights-today-qlZEd9O58Q
Will I lift weights today?
null
1,740,637,677,321
1,740,718,740,000
1,740,719,994,469
NO
0.200514
114
NlsRy20QsP
will-gpt45-be-released-on-thursday
Will GPT-4.5 be released on Thursday?
null
1,740,629,222,671
1,740,706,459,366
1,740,706,459,366
YES
0.990261
19,027.906039
2l28QszOu6
will-i-enjoy-eating-these-blueberry
Will I enjoy eating these Blueberry-flavored almonds?
null
1,740,627,379,583
1,740,728,764,069
1,740,728,764,069
YES
0.965861
647.799996
gzAsQuQqZL
epstein-list-released-by-the-us-gov-upE6AALzhE
Epstein list released by the US government by the end of February 2025?
null
1,740,621,996,296
1,740,735,277,774
1,740,735,277,774
YES
0.987747
4,487.328364
z8NuLp2tgE
trader-bonuses-to-count-towards-lea
Trader bonuses to count towards league standings in the next season?
null
1,740,621,920,148
1,741,507,140,000
1,741,833,719,130
NO
0.069713
3,631.142843
sIN68dlLId
will-pi-network-coin-make-it-above
Will Pi Network coin make it above $5 before it gets below $1
null
1,740,602,202,274
1,743,059,059,103
1,743,059,059,103
NO
0.01
1,266.525899
9N0yAUEIcc
will-phase-1-of-the-hamasisraeli-ce
Will Phase 1 of the Hamas-Israeli ceasefire agreement be extended past March 1st 2025?
null
1,740,596,765,856
1,740,844,740,000
1,740,846,588,530
NO
0.01
1,136.468919
sLsUS0c9NQ
will-the-supreme-court-grant-cert-i-yP8UCqyyRq
Will the Supreme Court grant cert in Perez v. United States?
null
1,740,596,216,401
1,743,487,140,000
1,743,515,872,712
NO
0.169106
1,257
90pRqlSts2
will-gpt45-be-the-last-non-reasonin
Will gpt4.5 be the last non reasoning model by OpenAI?
null
1,740,590,280,471
1,745,660,837,055
1,745,660,837,055
NO
0.170269
192
O5png5zgzs
will-gpt45-be-a-reasoning-model
Will gpt4.5 be a reasoning model?
null
1,740,590,179,827
1,740,682,139,273
1,740,682,139,273
NO
0.117888
300
cQsUP2cz62
will-pope-francis-live-long-enough
Will Pope Francis live long enough to play the Nintendo Switch 2?
null
1,740,587,863,544
1,745,234,280,795
1,745,234,280,795
NO
0.006555
1,595.649379
zc592nZp6Z
will-meta-reach-777-by-end-of-day-a
Will META reach $777 by end of day April 4?
null
1,740,586,046,974
1,743,764,340,000
1,743,916,144,643
NO
0.010819
9,448.480705
LLdtUClsIg
elon-musk-mentions-georgescu-or-rom
Elon Musk mentions Georgescu or Romania at least once in the next month.
null
1,740,572,226,456
1,740,583,038,683
1,740,583,038,683
YES
0.956462
734.274898
q928h9u6Uc
will-i-lift-weights-today-Z2qhRUuUNQ
Will I lift weights today?
null
1,740,552,238,143
1,740,632,340,000
1,740,637,608,972
NO
0.140657
247.205081
qgd8qOU5Qt
will-zelensky-visit-the-white-house
Will Zelensky visit the White House before March 5 to discuss and sign the minerals deal?
null
1,740,547,915,610
1,741,199,340,000
1,741,258,960,596
NO
0.009324
20,586.644964
d0qSUPR9p8
will-50-or-more-americans-have-a-pa-NAzsO5PSSI
Will 50% or more Americans have a passport by EOY 2026?
null
1,740,547,613,670
1,740,607,843,077
1,740,607,843,077
YES
0.960657
470
6ylOqQ9ZqN
will-50-or-more-americans-have-a-pa-p5Pt52CpAc
Will 50% or more Americans have a passport by EOY 2025?
null
1,740,547,603,615
1,740,607,859,557
1,740,607,859,557
YES
0.964757
442.29599
uPdSLhP0dn
will-i-lift-weights-today-LZuOydutE6
Will I lift weights today?
null
1,740,538,841,186
1,740,545,940,000
1,740,552,222,792
YES
0.2
100
snnP9lCRgp
will-a-manifold-market-get-to-the-f
Will a Manifold market get to the front page of Hacker News this week?
null
1,740,536,473,446
1,740,988,740,000
1,740,989,684,235
NO
0.03
42,501.566515
08gZEZ0A99
will-claude-plays-pokemon-get-four
Will "Claude Plays Pokémon" Get Four Gym Badges
null
1,740,535,764,412
1,743,137,940,000
1,743,191,466,745
NO
0.028832
12,149.675983
zNIyqEnl9y
will-the-generation-tech-youtube-ch
Will the Generation Tech youtube channel respond to my article about their egregious scientific inaccuracy?
null
1,740,535,218,067
1,743,577,140,000
1,746,643,048,581
NO
0.215142
91
CtC660d2AZ
will-an-llm-other-than-claude-beat
Will an LLM other than Claude beat Pokémon Red before Claude does?
null
1,740,532,088,938
1,749,761,690,644
1,749,761,690,644
YES
0.98991
11,530.814627
h2N5y9d98E
will-there-be-a-break-between-chain-cg0d6yCn85
Will there be a break between Chainsaw Man chapters 195 and 196?
null
1,740,531,525,257
1,741,119,802,500
1,741,119,804,642
NO
0.143989
164.176405
hA0stUzhnu
will-real-madrid-beat-real-sociedad-quIzLC65E9
Will Real Madrid beat Real Sociedad? (Copa del Rey Semifinal - 1st Leg)
null
1,740,523,876,690
1,740,608,978,864
1,740,608,978,864
YES
0.898189
197.020406
I9pC9sZR2n
will-the-us-announce-reduction-of-t
Will the US announce reduction of troops stationed in Europe by 30 April 2025?
null
1,740,516,940,934
1,746,049,800,000
1,746,610,477,862
NO
0.025576
6,521.31487
PPUZLAh9Rh
30-days-from-today-will-gamestop-ha-d5hRPNlg2c
30 days from today, will Gamestop have the same CEO as today?
null
1,740,514,056,798
1,743,134,340,000
1,743,134,482,911
YES
0.989743
954.118653
l096guySPz
will-gpt45-be-able-to-draw-an-accur
Will GPT-4.5 be able to draw an accurate Xbox controller?
null
1,740,513,955,842
1,741,307,412,221
1,741,307,412,221
NO
0.090189
29,562.844839
NAgQ5O6Lt6
will-elon-trump-have-a-major-fallin-9CzOs8UUh9
Will Elon & Trump have a major falling out by EoY 2025?
null
1,740,507,945,370
1,749,566,507,688
1,749,566,507,688
YES
0.98266
15,461.84379
RncE9RS9ZR
will-belal-muhammad-defeat-jack-del
Will Belal Muhammad defeat Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 315?
null
1,740,506,811,773
1,746,941,325,926
1,746,941,325,926
NO
0.01
10,985.524283
znhERctQyl
will-alexander-volkanovski-defeat-d
Will Alexander Volkanovski defeat Diego Lopes at UFC 314?
null
1,740,506,763,471
1,744,578,959,175
1,744,578,959,175
YES
0.99
67,517.633806
6t0Pdp288N
will-jon-jones-retire-from-mma-in-2
Will Jon Jones retire from MMA in 2025?
null
1,740,506,625,647
1,750,549,177,565
1,750,549,177,565
YES
0.99
9,182.461408
g0EzcLqhLg
will-xrp-be-above-225-usd-by-march
Will XRP be above $2.25 USD by March 1st, 2025
null
1,740,504,438,857
1,740,988,740,000
1,741,069,649,983
NO
0.013398
1,373.00485
ELQ8nIs5AI
will-ethereum-be-above-2500-usd-by
Will Ethereum be above 2,500 USD by March 1st, 2025
null
1,740,504,288,176
1,740,988,740,000
1,741,069,613,912
NO
0.01
1,190.679486
ssZ5lUgItL
in-progress-will-an-llm-become-a-po
Will an LLM become a Pokèmon Master by the end of 2025? [READ DESCRIPTION]
null
1,740,501,198,455
1,749,497,144,801
1,749,576,894,630
YES
0.850228
14,772.919778
t8t6PUh9PN
will-tsla-drop-below-300-today
Will TSLA drop below $300 today?
null
1,740,499,446,460
1,740,533,151,715
1,740,533,151,715
YES
0.99
11,079.23385
zydONz20IO
tug-of-war-UIIQzQRhnC
Tug of war
null
1,740,497,838,195
1,740,718,740,000
1,740,756,028,433
YES
0.89
428.190534
U082IA5SlZ
will-a-model-get-1500-elo-on-lmaren
Will a model get 1500 elo on lmarena (lmsys) before May 2025
null
1,740,486,144,877
1,746,136,740,000
1,746,136,967,333
NO
0.01
1,618.879023
nhUtRZQU9l
will-puzzle-dragons-get-the-gundam
Will Puzzle & Dragons get the Gundam collab rerun in NA?
null
1,740,472,324,520
1,745,548,415,487
1,745,548,415,487
YES
0.452489
10
R6cEApchty
will-3d-printed-launchy-launch
Will 3D Printed Launchy Launch?
null
1,740,472,072,518
1,740,738,349,520
1,740,738,349,520
YES
0.94423
4,959.723585
sp5ILL965I
will-bradbot-be-profitable-in-two-w
Will @bradbot be profitable on March 11?
null
1,740,466,617,983
1,741,668,561,504
1,741,668,561,504
YES
0.99
1,068.444287
9c0QgcAZ9O
will-i-like-talking-to-claude-37-mo
Will I like talking to Claude 3.7 more than talking to Claude 3.6?
null
1,740,465,397,952
1,741,075,140,000
1,741,077,664,543
NO
0.359567
405.670417
Zdz5SRAu8y
will-sbf-tweet-again-in-february
Will SBF tweet again in February?
null
1,740,459,072,477
1,740,805,200,000
1,740,806,578,894
NO
0.048985
3,950.044325
AzdpS8E5uA
will-i-play-magic-the-gathering-thi-2E6IAzISRc
Will I play magic the gathering this week with friends?
null
1,740,451,901,464
1,741,023,474,504
1,741,023,474,504
NO
0.456567
30
RtpyESh2Nt
will-kanye-launch-a-coin-in-march-QEt9LpgUP9
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?
null
1,740,451,152,565
1,743,512,340,000
1,743,517,503,478
NO
0.01
17,931.299514
56PSsppuON
will-inter-win-tomorrow-at-the-copp
Will Inter win tomorrow at the Coppa Italia against Lazio?
null
1,740,449,117,689
1,740,605,668,668
1,740,605,668,668
YES
0.99
894.987437
c59IIdR0Ig
will-barcelona-beat-atletico-madrid-tCOsz60hlO
Will Barcelona beat Atletico Madrid tomorrow at the Copa del Rey, 1st leg?
null
1,740,449,010,585
1,740,605,683,710
1,740,605,683,710
NO
0.01
3,360.661411
Aq98Spu2St
will-i-make-mop-2025-lmao
will i make mop 2025 lmao
null
1,740,445,967,987
1,742,520,867,457
1,742,571,827,885
NO
0.207599
805.997591
UcyI08gppt
sol-below-144
SOL Below $144?
null
1,740,440,669,493
1,740,441,019,820
1,740,441,019,820
YES
0.5
0
ZAt50Zhd5I
will-i-be-on-the-icho-2025-team
Will I be on the IChO 2025 team?
null
1,740,437,299,154
1,751,608,849,620
1,751,608,849,620
NO
0.01
1,217.635391
u5d55t98Ot
us-announces-troop-reductions-in-at
US announces troop reductions in at least one Eastern European NATO country by May 1st 2025
null
1,740,435,386,016
1,746,057,600,000
1,746,610,522,512
NO
0.046443
1,215.788348
nIqst8znLh
in-the-next-30-days-will-this-marke-dn6En6AlUl
In the next 30 days, will this market with 1k liquidity earn me more mana than the twin market with 100 liquidity?
null
1,740,433,506,246
1,743,029,940,000
1,743,032,177,976
NO
0.01
25,793.520506
8Adp9lL8gq
in-the-next-30-days-will-this-marke
In the next 30 days, will this market with 100 liquidity earn me more mana than the twin market with 1k liquidity?
null
1,740,433,434,372
1,743,029,940,000
1,743,032,127,652
YES
0.99
1,719.907679
nOhu2dS5pA
will-switzerland-fall-off-its-peak
Will 🇨🇭 Switzerland fall off its peak position in the 2025 Human Development Index?
null
1,740,432,931,343
1,746,554,418,913
1,746,554,418,913
YES
0.99
1,466.858575
z8ISszOcyd
will-palantir-technologies-inc-pltr-SSh6Ey662u
Will Palantir Technologies, Inc. (PLTR) stock price close at or above $95 on February 28th?
null
1,740,432,142,315
1,740,777,011,017
1,740,777,011,017
NO
0.01
1,137.313019
yZuqUSIlcR
daily-coinflip-96Eg6QAdCC
Daily coinflip
null
1,740,431,932,087
1,740,545,940,000
1,740,691,204,631
NO
0.5
14,592.123272
pzURNuQOSn
anthropic-releases-a-voice-assistan
Anthropic releases a voice assistant before June 21st 2025
null
1,740,428,661,996
1,748,507,725,947
1,748,507,725,947
YES
0.961153
4,346.881814
6cRc6g8qZ2
will-my-publication-on-medium-be-we
Will my publication on Medium be well received and perform well?
null
1,740,426,582,018
1,741,067,940,000
1,741,097,963,316
NO
0.566284
25
uEEs09s9qP
will-waymo-one-expand-its-sf-bay-ar-RPz5llnUln
Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Santa Clara County by December 31, 2025?
null
1,740,423,088,130
1,741,722,260,436
1,741,722,260,436
YES
0.99
8,963.711989
Ztpd5pqSqy
will-elon-musk-post-a-tweet-critici
Will Elon Musk post a tweet criticizing the choice of the next pope within a month of it being announce?
null
1,740,421,570,981
1,751,327,790,774
1,751,327,790,774
NO
0.01
2,465.803465
Znyy6p696A
will-the-nfl-ban-the-tush-push-befo-QRhhslRsp5
Will the NFL ban the Tush Push before next season?
null
1,740,421,523,372
1,747,876,788,899
1,747,876,788,899
NO
0.008838
12,576.729582
dC6hPtqAR5
will-claude-37-exceed-claude-35-new
Will Claude 3.7 exceed Claude 3.5 new in LiveBench on the minimum reasoning effort setting?
null
1,740,420,457,190
1,740,435,267,444
1,740,435,267,444
YES
0.864097
1,798.456259
Octct9Ry9p
will-kanye-release-a-coin-before-th
Will kanye release a coin before the new pope releases?
null
1,740,419,921,594
1,746,721,391,344
1,746,721,391,344
NO
0.01
1,129.058927
zU0dSu20hp
will-kanye-launch-a-coin-in-march
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?
null
1,740,419,795,780
1,743,490,740,000
1,743,498,631,126
NO
0.01
19,951.174541
t5RPI8Rl0Z
epstein-list-released-by-the-us-gov
Epstein list released by the US government by end of day today, Feb 24th?
null
1,740,411,725,660
1,740,469,220,692
1,740,469,220,692
NO
0.010118
910.498494
QpcC9ZPddq
will-the-upcoming-anthropic-model-b
Will the upcoming Anthropic model be called Claude 3.7 sonnet?
null
1,740,410,382,415
1,740,429,904,765
1,740,429,904,765
YES
0.987252
10,870.80111
QncPgSA8Nn
will-spx-reach-6100-before-it-reach
Will SPX reach 6100 before it reaches 5900?
null
1,740,409,797,374
1,740,707,142,598
1,740,707,142,598
NO
0.018947
8,583.418101
pO52QzPU9g
will-xai-opensource-grok-2-by-april
will xAI open-source Grok 2 by April 30?
null
1,740,409,739,991
1,746,014,340,000
1,746,041,835,680
NO
0.01
10,526.256625
C22QuccnCp
will-amazon-amzn-close-higher-on-fe-R9Alc9tytg
Will Amazon (AMZN) close higher on February 28th than February 21st
null
1,740,403,780,757
1,740,787,485,012
1,740,787,485,012
NO
0.01
10,164.880354
S68U56glg2
germany-reforms-its-debt-break-schu
Germany reforms its debt break (Schuldenbremse) within a year?
null
1,740,398,220,943
1,746,805,283,289
1,746,805,283,289
YES
0.987612
8,272.627768
dq2qulgy8n
will-the-german-national-election-h
Will the German national election have to be repeated?
null
1,740,395,775,160
1,746,552,868,190
1,746,552,868,190
NO
0.020951
660
EtgLSIqp9Z
will-eric-adams-leave-the-office-of
Will Eric Adams leave the office of Mayor of New York before April 1?
null
1,740,384,783,373
1,743,506,517,020
1,743,506,517,020
NO
0.008724
1,081.677855
gyPtUSqdt9
will-pope-francis-live-to-see-easte
Will Pope Francis live to see Easter Sunday?
null
1,740,380,836,338
1,745,100,000,000
1,745,100,760,882
YES
0.982089
14,277.593865
Zz2O59QZc0
will-i-track-my-mood-and-energy-lev
Will I track my mood and energy levels every day until the end of June?
null
1,740,377,284,408
1,751,313,021,339
1,751,313,021,339
YES
0.820075
223
hnQnsgRpEs
will-i-lift-weights-today-ysIcc6pZhy
Will I lift weights today?
null
1,740,373,246,136
1,740,459,540,000
1,740,464,225,373
NO
0.2
111
OtzZ5ZnC0Q
will-the-april-economic-numbers-be
Will the "April economic numbers" be "falsified or delayed"?
null
1,740,367,707,765
1,748,750,340,000
1,749,109,605,947
NO
0.313646
626.71072
SC6n26qN80
will-mark-carney-become-prime-minis
Will Mark Carney become Prime Minister of Canada?
null
1,740,366,924,912
1,741,561,317,000
1,741,561,317,000
YES
0.989938
20,418.885258
n9gLglUnp0
philippine-government-announces-new
Philippine government announces new film industry support initiatives by May 2025
null
1,740,366,396,641
1,747,785,600,000
1,749,513,459,176
YES
0.65
346.400873
A6nqcgOtd0
will-canadas-prime-minister-be-call
Will Canada's Prime Minister be called Governor by the end of February 2025
null
1,740,366,116,906
1,740,988,740,000
1,741,030,371,330
NO
0.01
964.078346
AulnpOQyLz
will-there-be-an-ethereum-fork-with
Will there be an Ethereum fork, with the most valuable Ethereum chain, aimed at reversing the Bybit hack before 1 June?
null
1,740,353,053,557
1,748,750,340,000
1,749,055,096,276
NO
0.01
9,306.678917
hA0Apd8UAC
2025-february-hottest-on-record-ON8S9PIQ5Z
2025 February hottest on record? (resolves from GIStemp data)
null
1,740,350,637,947
1,743,203,740,975
1,743,203,740,975
NO
0.01
3,254.036269
AqnL2qSQqN
is-the-oval-office-desk-bugged
Is the Oval Office desk bugged?
null
1,740,350,142,818
1,743,566,340,000
1,743,642,001,590
NO
0.021657
9,211.16986
2tLnOlEAEp
will-i-lift-weights-today-8ucgQLRQtR
Will I lift weights today?
null
1,740,340,709,159
1,740,373,140,000
1,740,373,234,749
NO
0.227506
292.308834