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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RIynNE9nES | will-i-have-10-substack-posts-by-th | Will I have 10 Substack posts by the end of 2024? | null | 1,731,994,927,895 | 1,735,711,140,000 | 1,737,018,197,362 | NO | 0.096734 | 2,204.241913 |
y59EZzq8Cs | will-brian-daboll-be-the-head-coach | Will Brian Daboll be the Head Coach of the New York Giants at the 2025 NFL Combine? | null | 1,731,994,905,374 | 1,740,585,540,000 | 1,740,925,105,446 | YES | 0.967757 | 1,565 |
uCCs989Zp8 | will-there-be-a-new-place-to-play-p | Will there be a new place to play pinball in Berkeley before 2026? | null | 1,731,993,520,027 | 1,737,147,335,537 | 1,737,147,335,537 | YES | 0.988066 | 829 |
Zdzszs8sdU | will-bluesky-have-36-million-or-mor | Will Bluesky have 36 million or more users at the end of 2024? | null | 1,731,984,676,567 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,776,538,669 | NO | 0.018409 | 876.476921 |
zLEsc20zA6 | will-the-green-bay-packers-be-one-a | Will the Green Bay Packers be one and done in the 2024 playoffs? | null | 1,731,983,849,300 | 1,736,729,991,104 | 1,736,729,991,104 | YES | 0.99 | 998.21365 |
zNZ85UnqC0 | will-the-ottawa-senators-make-the-p | Will the Ottawa Senators make the playoffs? (NHL - 2024/25 season) | null | 1,731,975,483,664 | 1,744,289,779,023 | 1,744,289,779,023 | YES | 0.882356 | 1,771.348356 |
UzC8pPZlsC | will-bluesky-reach-30mn-users-befor | Will Bluesky reach 30mn users before 2025? | null | 1,731,973,967,614 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,987,147,398 | NO | 0.024663 | 7,947.455243 |
URNPR00pUl | chiefs-and-bills-to-meet-in-the-pla | Chiefs and Bills to meet in the playoffs? | null | 1,731,968,369,696 | 1,737,340,634,740 | 1,737,340,634,740 | YES | 0.99 | 1,333.729258 |
6uSNl6p06h | will-trump-go-on-snl-before-the-ina | Will Trump go on SNL before the inauguration? | null | 1,731,968,066,999 | 1,737,359,940,000 | 1,737,388,250,293 | NO | 0.010268 | 940 |
lcQpUONApO | will-the-fdp-be-part-of-the-next-ge | Will the FDP be part of the next German parliament? | null | 1,731,965,371,515 | 1,740,873,540,000 | 1,740,875,625,271 | NO | 0.01 | 22,664.155516 |
n9h0N5hnQt | will-the-la-lakers-win-at-least-49 | Will the LA Lakers win at least 49 games in the 2024-2025 NBA Season? | null | 1,731,928,393,912 | 1,744,259,383,888 | 1,744,259,383,888 | YES | 0.995014 | 38,535.654661 |
hCQPORgcyq | will-elon-musk-still-be-one-of-the | Will Elon Musk still be one of the leaders of the Dept of Gov Efficiency on the first of march 2025? | null | 1,731,925,219,385 | 1,740,844,740,000 | 1,740,845,079,539 | YES | 0.990911 | 42,373.11763 |
5Z6OdSOR0L | will-rplace-return-for-april-fools-nAgRPON9Rs | Will r/place return for April Fool’s 2025? | null | 1,731,916,834,144 | 1,743,458,340,000 | 1,743,524,731,704 | NO | 0.279963 | 1,070.299145 |
I65ttu5LqN | will-iran-hit-israel-within-5-month-hICAn5sEyP | Will Iran hit Israel within 5 months of being attacked by them? | null | 1,731,901,766,160 | 1,738,372,644,897 | 1,738,372,644,897 | NO | 0.255038 | 90 |
EAsSLLqzcU | will-january-2024-be-the-hottest-ja-R9Aul8SuQy | Will January 2025 be the hottest January ever? [NCEI] | null | 1,731,869,622,217 | 1,739,382,443,166 | 1,739,382,443,166 | YES | 0.99 | 17,334.651865 |
R9NOnAcClZ | will-december-2024-be-the-hottest-d-p2EcQlLtLC | Will December 2024 be the hottest December ever? [NCEI] | null | 1,731,869,510,452 | 1,736,524,799,999 | 1,736,524,900,596 | NO | 0.031465 | 4,953.878604 |
h8PNpI5q0p | will-my-reddit-post-manifold-tips-a | Will my reddit post "Manifold Tips and Tricks" get > 100 karma? | null | 1,731,867,036,440 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,759,751,007 | NO | 0.012005 | 8,332.387469 |
hSdPuP6NNQ | will-polymarket-take-more-steps-to | Will Polymarket take more steps to verify that US citizens are not trading on their website before July 1, 2025? | null | 1,731,855,546,737 | 1,751,428,799,999 | 1,751,456,519,786 | NO | 0.009616 | 11,989.772988 |
xtuk9wkuSP | will-ayn-rands-model-of-living-mone | Will "Ayn Rand’s model of “living money”; and an up..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review? | null | 1,731,841,387,033 | 1,739,305,312,670 | 1,739,305,312,670 | NO | 0.15 | 1.136049 |
s6uQ02uqhy | was-the-infowars-auction-fair-squar | Was the InfoWars auction fair & square? | null | 1,731,840,007,081 | 1,735,855,140,000 | 1,735,917,603,504 | NO | 0.362524 | 640.773146 |
gZkYvA6suQ | will-my-may-2023-priorities-for-ai | Will "My May 2023 priorities for AI x-safety: more ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,731,826,985,916 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,739,304,941,475 | NO | 0.25 | 26.613406 |
nPQZslUZSu | in-the-next-6-months-will-bitcoins | In the next 6 months will bitcoins price drop to 71,000$ USD or below | null | 1,731,787,101,447 | 1,747,454,340,000 | 1,747,586,874,492 | NO | 0.009546 | 3,242.660281 |
d5LcShsQSy | will-this-market-close-below-50 | Will this market close below 50%? | null | 1,731,782,200,162 | 1,735,793,940,000 | 1,736,351,089,577 | NO | 0.908918 | 2,271.153332 |
tldqpycuzS | will-litecoin-hit-ath-before-2025 | Will Litecoin hit ATH before 2025? | null | 1,731,775,715,526 | 1,735,770,033,649 | 1,735,770,033,649 | NO | 0.01 | 9,945.97499 |
0sULs82R29 | will-bluesky-have-70-million-or-mor | Will Bluesky have 70 million or more users at the end of 2024? | null | 1,731,741,525,095 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,877,434,807 | NO | 0.010014 | 1,003.000007 |
gzNRtnyl0Z | will-bluesky-have-40-million-or-mor | Will Bluesky have 40 million or more users at the end of 2024? | null | 1,731,741,520,640 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,775,163,285 | NO | 0.019799 | 838 |
hq9OIgA5II | will-bluesky-have-100-million-or-mo | Will Bluesky have 100 million or more users at the end of 2024? | null | 1,731,741,509,679 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,775,181,274 | NO | 0.011005 | 848 |
82P6N66N65 | will-bluesky-have-50-million-or-mor | Will Bluesky have 50 million or more users at the end of 2024? | null | 1,731,741,498,605 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,877,428,394 | NO | 0.02303 | 697 |
Q595q2Zdgp | will-rfk-jr-get-any-votes-from-demo | Will RFK jr get any votes from democrats for his nomination to HHS? | null | 1,731,741,414,569 | 1,739,466,496,067 | 1,739,466,496,067 | NO | 0.01 | 3,142.536939 |
AnHsGZY2qA | will-h5n1-make-the-top-fifty-posts | Will "H5N1" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,731,733,658,671 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,739,304,347,509 | NO | 0.12 | 16.455678 |
0Z0UPyuQIS | will-i-be-accepted-to-spokes-stanfo | Will I be accepted to Spokes? (Stanford’s 10-week summer biking/teaching program) | null | 1,731,716,906,354 | 1,737,533,855,958 | 1,737,533,855,958 | NO | 0.159976 | 3,986.50895 |
80z6cZz6Rp | will-trump-have-a-higher-approval-r | Will Trump have a higher approval rating than 40% as of February 20, 2025? | null | 1,731,707,301,454 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,740,163,124,346 | YES | 0.846645 | 2,688.282566 |
PR2SSuhcPu | will-the-senate-judiciary-committee-AtCg9ug8Qp | Will the Senate Judiciary Committee get to view the House Ethics Committee report on Matt Gaetz? | null | 1,731,703,601,710 | 1,738,483,140,000 | 1,738,511,654,660 | YES | 0.990084 | 1,201.530355 |
Z9LOOL9In8 | will-bitcoin-btc-reach-222222-by-22 | Will Bitcoin BTC reach $222,222 by 2/2/25? (February 2, 2025) | null | 1,731,703,554,054 | 1,738,600,800,000 | 1,738,725,797,655 | NO | 0.01 | 21,320.150509 |
tC6uySAUUC | will-i-start-a-coworking-or-event-s | Will I start a coworking or event space in SF? | null | 1,731,701,684,544 | 1,738,195,235,630 | 1,738,195,235,630 | YES | 0.940115 | 65,790.237655 |
IqzgQcznOP | will-wicked-2024-get-nominated-for | Will Wicked (2024) get nominated for Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars? | null | 1,731,700,782,826 | 1,737,187,140,000 | 1,737,652,913,148 | YES | 0.950325 | 2,372.817859 |
ytZ6I0q988 | will-congestion-pricing-begin-in-ny | Will congestion pricing begin in NYC in January 2025? | null | 1,731,692,995,742 | 1,736,755,766,614 | 1,736,755,766,614 | YES | 0.999238 | 3,055.69055 |
UUpg8Phtgz | will-the-price-of-eggs-go-up-in-tru | Will the price of eggs go up in Trump's first month? | null | 1,731,692,775,418 | 1,741,873,341,993 | 1,741,873,341,993 | YES | 0.99 | 17,383.50301 |
zQRUQzQhC9 | will-the-word-place-or-people-of-is | Will the word, place, or people of Israel appear in Captain America: Brave New World? | null | 1,731,682,046,763 | 1,739,606,340,000 | 1,740,157,068,184 | YES | 0.933101 | 940.379094 |
SC0cOSQCNl | polymarket-pnut-listed-on-coinbase | [Polymarket] $PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024? | null | 1,731,680,489,784 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,842,734,564 | NO | 0.01 | 894.987437 |
lLpyh0hZAs | will-matt-gaetzs-attorney-general-n | Will Matt Gaetz’s attorney general nomination make it to a senate hearing? | null | 1,731,663,875,241 | 1,737,603,371,599 | 1,737,603,371,599 | NO | 0.011726 | 1,563.632337 |
uqQd6UdC8l | will-dogecoin-reach-1-before-the-en | Will Dogecoin reach $1 before the end of the year (2024)? | null | 1,731,651,364,250 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,915,765,654 | NO | 0.025961 | 11,842.18908 |
l5nL2229Cp | will-the-nyc-subway-still-report-an-SQt92EL08R | Will the NYC subway still report an On-time Performance of >=80% at the end of May 2025? (overall 12-month average) | null | 1,731,650,231,303 | 1,748,750,340,000 | 1,748,751,467,193 | YES | 0.99 | 908.51968 |
8NncsANRR2 | will-donald-trump-attempt-to-implem | Will Donald Trump attempt to implement mass deportations within his first month in office? | null | 1,731,638,156,414 | 1,740,200,340,000 | 1,740,413,838,595 | YES | 0.963033 | 15,132.119172 |
qZSgP9zgqQ | will-manifold-raise-money-by-the-en | Will manifold raise money by the end of March 2025? | null | 1,731,632,907,280 | 1,743,490,740,000 | 1,743,523,891,598 | NO | 0.01 | 37,986.923548 |
Aqsd6gLIl8 | dan-continues-to-cohost-anything-el | Dan continues to co-host Anything Else through 2024 | null | 1,731,627,671,663 | 1,735,689,600,000 | 1,736,047,340,288 | YES | 0.954364 | 3,673.000031 |
suSNN9LpZS | will-a-tropical-or-subtropical-stor-OR98LELzzl | Will a tropical or subtropical storm be named Tony in 2024? | null | 1,731,622,787,024 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,729,717,997 | NO | 0.011613 | 24,844.640444 |
n9RUR28IE6 | will-rfk-jr-be-confirmed-as-secreta | Will RFK Jr. be confirmed as Secretary of HHS? | null | 1,731,622,536,814 | 1,738,465,140,000 | 1,739,808,652,770 | YES | 0.774557 | 17,849.886321 |
slNuIpp9CP | in-january-2025-will-the-death-of-a | In January 2025 will the death of Alexei Zimin be considered suspicious by mainstream media? | null | 1,731,611,098,755 | 1,736,170,273,659 | 1,736,170,273,659 | NO | 0.534038 | 125 |
hI2NEqqNUZ | will-the-us-cancel-alexandre-de-mor | Will the Brazilian Senate pass the AI law by December 31, 2025? | null | 1,731,607,020,575 | 1,735,700,340,000 | 1,735,705,348,333 | YES | 0.97515 | 595 |
ZZpsuhUIAn | will-infowars-publish-a-satirical-s | Will InfoWars publish a satirical story in January 2025? | null | 1,731,595,208,327 | 1,738,396,740,000 | 1,739,773,414,621 | NO | 0.045727 | 1,963.067897 |
ElN5RZgNdg | will-dogecoin-doge-cost-1-in-2024 | Will Dogecoin (DOGE) cost >=$1 in 2024? | null | 1,731,594,642,713 | 1,735,711,140,000 | 1,735,842,810,163 | NO | 0.01 | 10,634.843744 |
Up90SNU66S | will-marine-le-pen-be-found-guilty | Will Marine Le Pen be found guilty of embezzling EU Parliament funds in the ongoing trial? | null | 1,731,587,004,048 | 1,743,430,154,723 | 1,743,430,154,723 | YES | 0.989998 | 9,168.999948 |
UUqg0quCnl | will-the-name-san-francisco-bay-oak | Will the name "San Francisco Bay Oakland International Airport" prevail? | null | 1,731,576,110,914 | 1,747,810,740,000 | 1,748,330,506,156 | NO | 0.1 | 2,113.08693 |
z20Aqhnlgg | will-1000-herds-of-livestock-be-inf-szhsUQzpcl | Will 1000 herds of livestock be infected by H5N1 by the end of 2024? | null | 1,731,561,409,904 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,877,440,636 | NO | 0.030862 | 749.008808 |
9dcNCpuA8I | will-there-be-100-or-more-human-cas | Will there be 100 or more human cases of H5N1 in the US by the end of 2024? | null | 1,731,560,493,240 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,775,170,615 | NO | 0.006496 | 18,885.002735 |
nUN906OORP | will-25-or-more-states-be-affected | Will 25 or more states be affected by H5N1 by the end of March 2025? | null | 1,731,560,438,396 | 1,743,479,940,000 | 1,743,480,457,155 | NO | 0.063605 | 1,566.416977 |
InIyA89tLP | will-1000-herds-of-livestock-be-inf | Will 1000 herds of livestock be infected by H5N1 by the end of March 2025? | null | 1,731,560,408,016 | 1,743,479,940,000 | 1,744,089,985,182 | YES | 0.701663 | 2,729.93616 |
02n9uqqCSl | will-tulsi-gabbard-be-confirmed-as | Will Tulsi Gabbard be confirmed as Intelligence Director? | null | 1,731,559,221,810 | 1,739,389,994,725 | 1,739,389,994,725 | YES | 0.991063 | 503,513.798752 |
2RIAQSUU2Q | kash-patel-fbi-director | Kash Patel FBI Director by Jan 31, 2025? | null | 1,731,549,890,963 | 1,738,396,740,000 | 1,738,437,705,290 | NO | 0.01 | 32,749.7912 |
hSOCstl02z | will-the-department-of-justice-drop | Will the Department of Justice drop its investigation into Polymarket within 100 days of Trump's inauguration? | null | 1,731,542,584,161 | 1,746,082,740,000 | 1,746,193,629,078 | NO | 0.013128 | 6,206.057878 |
RlpZ2RchSE | will-the-treaty-principle-bills-pas | Will the Treaty Principle Bills pass? [New Zealand] | null | 1,731,537,008,441 | 1,748,525,726,262 | 1,748,525,726,262 | NO | 0.054111 | 3,464 |
cU95y5Ot2L | will-eric-weinstein-be-appointed-to | Will Eric Weinstein be appointed to any cabinet or federal position by Trump's administration by the end of Feb 2025? | null | 1,731,536,511,571 | 1,740,805,140,000 | 1,740,805,261,500 | NO | 0.01 | 906.987433 |
REc52ghOdh | will-matt-gaetz-be-donald-trumps-fi | Will Matt Gaetz be Donald Trump's first Attorney General? | null | 1,731,530,830,994 | 1,738,976,511,113 | 1,738,976,511,113 | NO | 0.001079 | 177,930.165596 |
5AzANZIAAU | assassination-attempt-on-elon-musks | Assassination attempt on Elon musk's life before 2025 | null | 1,731,522,374,830 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,736,263,136,528 | NO | 0.023117 | 1,475.139811 |
n9AU5On8qt | will-i-be-able-to-climb-v6-by-2025 | Will I be able to climb v6 by 2025? | null | 1,731,521,847,496 | 1,746,154,259,234 | 1,746,154,259,234 | YES | 0.665052 | 60 |
n0C0NhALqt | will-i-pass-all-of-my-classes-with | Will I pass all of my classes with a C+ or higher this semster | null | 1,731,521,207,653 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,753,633,524 | YES | 0.79092 | 1,389 |
nNqZzsIPyC | will-the-us-government-announce-an | Will the US government announce an intention to fund a human mission to Mars before the end of March 2025? | null | 1,731,517,065,456 | 1,737,413,455,976 | 1,737,413,455,976 | YES | 0.239845 | 1,105.86436 |
SsOAL9EuP9 | portal-paradox-will-the-cube-be-lau | Portal Paradox: will the cube be launched? | null | 1,731,511,897,367 | 1,748,836,740,000 | 1,751,642,473,908 | YES | 0.530035 | 718.384119 |
NNgqsS8NAL | will-jeanmarie-le-pen-survive-until-CQ2N9LlAc6 | Will Jean-Marie Le Pen survive until the end of 2024? | null | 1,731,506,066,936 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,736,331,776 | YES | 0.967499 | 655 |
gdLnsyyuS9 | will-trump-end-the-israelhamas-war | Will the Israel-Hamas War End Within 100 days of Trump Taking Office? [Polymarket] | null | 1,731,490,292,173 | 1,737,477,348,822 | 1,737,477,348,822 | YES | 0.99 | 56,606.754263 |
LL95ERnlZn | will-the-us-federal-government-actu | Will the US federal government actually have a "Department of Government Efficiency"? | null | 1,731,473,339,669 | 1,743,528,415,367 | 1,743,528,415,367 | YES | 0.948852 | 44,976.786658 |
ARgII6CS5n | will-trump-create-a-national-bitcoi | Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve? | null | 1,731,471,638,819 | 1,741,884,689,988 | 1,742,318,193,648 | YES | 0.942692 | 83,382.409383 |
Ct6LCdsd2p | will-x-and-truthsocial-announce-a-m | Will X and TruthSocial announce a merger before July 4th? | null | 1,731,464,649,569 | 1,751,685,895,570 | 1,751,685,895,570 | NO | 0.01 | 14,483.321637 |
RNSEP85Z9U | will-the-department-of-government-e | Will the Department of Government Efficiency accomplish anything of note? | null | 1,731,462,849,447 | 1,739,904,529,185 | 1,739,904,529,185 | YES | 0.50238 | 661.973019 |
LPLcIP2ROd | will-republicans-rate-the-economy-p-sOyARgI6u0 | Will Republicans rate the economy positively on inauguration day 2025? | null | 1,731,460,198,647 | 1,737,532,740,000 | 1,737,541,229,957 | NO | 0.295454 | 120 |
6q6hgyZgRz | will-republicans-rate-the-economy-p | Will Republicans rate the economy positively before the end of 2025? | null | 1,731,460,107,445 | 1,746,404,239,652 | 1,746,404,239,652 | YES | 0.961762 | 429 |
AqhO8gt0P6 | will-pete-hegseth-be-trumps-first-d | Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's first Defense Secretary? | null | 1,731,458,260,237 | 1,737,831,534,149 | 1,737,831,534,149 | YES | 0.997163 | 94,746.850056 |
pcLyu9Oc6q | will-joe-biden-step-down-to-give-ka | Will Joe Biden step down to give Kamala the presidential authority to pardon his son Hunter? | null | 1,731,457,471,268 | 1,737,446,340,000 | 1,740,427,817,946 | NO | 0.01 | 1,080.801831 |
qCIsn6RSCQ | will-israel-announce-annexation-of | Will Israel announce annexation of Area C in the West Bank before June 30, 2025? | null | 1,731,457,043,744 | 1,751,342,340,000 | 1,751,344,125,805 | NO | 0.004437 | 1,457.25828 |
NLElcSzs2d | will-chuck-grassley-become-the-inte | Will Chuck grassley become the interim president of the United States | null | 1,731,456,280,191 | 1,737,439,140,000 | 1,737,873,318,222 | NO | 0.005796 | 2,894.574557 |
SPcyCsg9O2 | aoc-confirmed-pregnant-by-jan-6th | AOC confirmed pregnant by Jan 6th? 👶 🇺🇸 | null | 1,731,440,859,829 | 1,736,137,582,233 | 1,736,137,582,233 | NO | 0.009998 | 361,222.467138 |
AghlAPEhRQ | will-trump-delay-the-tiktok-deadlin--cash | Will Bytedance's deadline to divest from Tiktok be delayed past January 19th? | null | 1,731,439,360,010 | 1,737,272,443,563 | 1,737,272,478,851 | NO | 0.012518 | 4,730.629233 |
qAhZAUn8Ah | will-trump-delay-the-tiktok-deadlin | Will Bytedance's deadline to divest from Tiktok be delayed past January 19th? | null | 1,731,439,028,587 | 1,737,272,443,563 | 1,737,272,443,563 | NO | 0.011523 | 1,375,425.133731 |
SNzS9Zu60S | will-the-u-s-president-pardon-julia--cash | Will the U. S. President pardon Julian Assange by February 2025? | null | 1,731,438,145,210 | 1,738,386,060,000 | 1,738,396,008,820 | NO | 0.01 | 1,486.635279 |
N5Cc0CAIZ8 | will-the-u-s-president-pardon-edwar--cash | Will the U. S. President pardon Edward Snowden by February 2025? | null | 1,731,438,133,740 | 1,738,386,060,000 | 1,738,396,023,097 | NO | 0.010061 | 1,130.370656 |
OuyPztddOg | will-ross-ulbricht-be-pardoned-or-h--cash | Will Ross Ulbricht be pardoned or have his sentence commuted to time served before March 2025? | null | 1,731,438,116,378 | 1,737,561,797,030 | 1,737,577,327,950 | YES | 0.990759 | 3,058.571642 |
SdP6nLOssQ | will-all-living-presidents-attend-t--cash | Will all living presidents attend Trump’s inauguration? | null | 1,731,437,301,573 | 1,737,403,451,044 | 1,737,403,473,248 | YES | 0.99 | 4,792.503284 |
PZPSdZyEpN | if-donald-trump-becomes-president-w--cash | If Donald Trump becomes President, will he (or Congress) repeal Biden's compute reporting thresholds in 2025? | null | 1,731,437,147,992 | 1,737,578,204,743 | 1,737,578,204,743 | YES | 0.99 | 1,320.116755 |
CEzgcInp5Q | will-trumps-first-executive-order-b--cash | Will Trump's first executive order be about immigration and/or the border? | null | 1,731,436,923,845 | 1,737,402,273,792 | 1,737,577,777,547 | NO | 0.427702 | 385.276654 |
6ssczzylR6 | will-a-us-supreme-court-justice-ret--cash | Will a US Supreme Court justice retire in 2024? | null | 1,731,436,782,914 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,761,951,395 | NO | 0.01 | 641.28017 |
uq8A6U0cz9 | will-star-wars-skeleton-crew-be-lik--cash | Will Star Wars: Skeleton Crew be liked by both fans and critics? | null | 1,731,435,903,021 | 1,737,014,340,000 | 1,737,071,095,571 | YES | 0.99 | 1,027.115909 |
z8Z86n5Ucu | will-more-than-two-members-of-presi | Will more than two members of President Trump's cabinet leave (including by death) before Sept 1, 2025? | null | 1,731,421,603,264 | 1,735,711,140,000 | 1,737,903,033,914 | YES | 0.886252 | 197 |
tN996z8UcN | will-ford-q1-2025-gross-profit-exce | Will Ford Q1, 2025 Gross Profit exceed Tesla's | null | 1,731,412,179,160 | 1,746,734,340,000 | 1,746,768,136,748 | YES | 0.991704 | 1,135.557259 |
cSQqCOSQCh | will-an-ai-achieve-30-performance-o | Will an AI achieve >30% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2026? | null | 1,731,410,451,746 | 1,738,359,087,706 | 1,738,359,087,706 | YES | 0.9 | 30,315.346197 |
p8Qpy55pE5 | will-there-be-an-antitrump-protest | Will there be an anti-Trump protest march with at least 1m reported total participants in the US before 1st June 2025? | null | 1,731,408,780,202 | 1,748,069,356,995 | 1,748,069,356,995 | YES | 0.979375 | 121,020.40527 |
9ztyPUCIsc | if-marco-rubio-is-confirmed-as-the | If Marco Rubio is confirmed as the next US Secretary of State, will China announce they are lifting sanctions on him? | null | 1,731,405,025,564 | 1,742,486,340,000 | 1,744,697,057,354 | NO | 0.01 | 1,156.623162 |
IEgh0cLNtC | will-elon-trump-have-a-major-fallin | Will Elon & Trump have a major falling out within 45 days of the inauguration? | null | 1,731,398,552,706 | 1,741,327,140,000 | 1,741,463,984,730 | NO | 0.00941 | 94,119.804976 |
56O0cz8C66 | will-my-car-insurance-premium-incre | Will my car insurance premium increase more than 30%? (After claiming) | null | 1,731,386,339,573 | 1,736,216,134,574 | 1,736,216,134,574 | NO | 0.315101 | 516 |
hqO5U9ESIP | will-bitcoin-reach-111111-usd-befor-5yIUpCPOOh | Will Bitcoin reach $111,111 USD before the end of 11/11/2025? | null | 1,731,369,236,809 | 1,747,886,041,233 | 1,747,886,041,233 | YES | 0.99 | 1,989.473143 |
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