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28ZsONLPNZ
will-bitcoin-reach-111111-usd-befor-uhth0ZAOPC
Will Bitcoin reach $111,111 USD before the end of 2024?
null
1,731,369,210,275
1,735,689,120,000
1,735,775,177,508
NO
0.019196
6,223.816762
AulIus956Q
will-bitcoin-reach-111111-usd-befor
Will Bitcoin reach $111,111 USD before the end of 2025?
null
1,731,369,179,431
1,747,920,997,549
1,747,920,997,549
YES
0.99
1,647.61281
q0PSzdRUNg
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-C5ydEqCNqO
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on the last trading day of 2025 than it closed on the last tradin day of 2024?
null
1,731,363,707,942
1,735,711,140,000
1,737,032,717,264
YES
0.8
345
gdc5RQCUnE
will-congress-override-a-trump-veto
Will Congress over-ride a Trump veto during the President's first 100 days?
null
1,731,363,307,539
1,746,161,940,000
1,746,488,761,205
NO
0.01
1,401.231164
q5E58y6usC
will-more-than-two-of-president-tru
Will more than two of President Trump's cabinet resign before Sept 1, 2025?
null
1,731,363,024,368
1,735,711,140,000
1,735,741,238,066
YES
0.534012
17
S5SQO9yORz
will-trump-impose-tariffs-on-canada
Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada?
null
1,731,352,398,413
1,741,356,823,454
1,741,356,823,454
YES
0.994126
121,955.462595
6IdEp6EgC9
trump-assassination-before-2025
Trump assassination Before 2025
null
1,731,352,328,424
1,735,793,940,000
1,736,263,124,223
NO
0.03418
1,486.801458
2PupygC5Ed
will-the-us-national-debt-increase
Will the US national debt decrease after Republicans take control of the Presidency, Congress, and the Supreme Court?
null
1,731,349,992,189
1,745,380,740,000
1,747,958,265,408
YES
0.01
1,336.334439
8LzZgUQhQC
will-my-laptop-last-until-the-end-o
Will my laptop last until the end of the year?
null
1,731,341,509,930
1,735,689,540,000
1,735,731,781,561
YES
0.649282
65
2thpn9p5hS
will-bitcoin-be-higher-than-88888-u
Will Bitcoin be higher than $88,888 USD at the end of 2024?
null
1,731,316,840,372
1,735,689,540,000
1,735,741,659,773
YES
0.989753
2,523.296766
A29qg60U0h
will-a-protoss-player-win-a-premier
Will a Protoss player win a premier tournament on patch 5.0.14 in Starcraft 2?
null
1,731,301,092,034
1,747,784,517,799
1,747,784,517,799
YES
0.973087
7,472.984597
LUddS6RCS2
will-trump-appoint-elbridge-cooley
Will Trump appoint Elbridge Colby Secretary of Defense or National Security Advisor
null
1,731,299,607,315
1,735,718,340,000
1,739,896,147,040
NO
0.312351
154.737346
8cQ60n8lQS
kamala-harris-has-a-netflix-special
Kamala Harris Has a Netflix Special Up & Ready to Watch by June 1, 2025.
null
1,731,298,163,303
1,748,843,940,000
1,749,052,624,549
NO
0.01
1,381.439377
zyuZLOQgNL
both-lamar-jackson-and-nikola-jokic
Both Lamar Jackson and Nikola Jokic to repeat as MVP in 2024-25?
null
1,731,295,388,267
1,741,965,863,209
1,741,965,863,209
NO
0.01
1,268.771995
2Qh00On9gh
will-i-work-out-at-least-16-times-o
Will I work out at least 16 times over 8 weeks after getting resistance bands?
null
1,731,288,440,089
1,738,018,740,000
1,738,020,433,376
NO
0.149523
2,335.90541
Zn5zdnShgt
will-razib-khan-vote-trump-in-the-2
Will Razib Khan vote TRUMP in the 2024 presidential election?
null
1,731,279,871,647
1,735,707,540,000
1,752,018,245,169
NO
0.5
0
IStNsUqdUs
will-trumps-first-executive-order-b
Will Trump's first executive order be about immigration and/or the border?
null
1,731,278,941,491
1,737,402,273,792
1,738,168,617,366
NO
0.875482
10,762.828448
uEZPlqPs2L
will-mainstream-democrats-allege-si
Will Mainstream Democrats Allege Significant Election Fraud Before Inauguration Day 2025?
null
1,731,276,486,303
1,737,435,909,626
1,737,435,909,626
NO
0.01
10,829.305179
gnQNcAhC0d
bitcoin-110k-by-mid-2026
Bitcoin $110K by mid 2026?
null
1,731,254,383,786
1,747,982,526,996
1,747,982,526,996
YES
0.99
12,987.75657
nQ62Ets0nC
will-my-innovateuk-grant-proposal-r
Will my InnovateUK Grant Proposal Receive Funding?
null
1,731,249,773,927
1,737,417,540,000
1,737,844,967,390
NO
0.437271
174
ChRqhEdugz
will-we-find-election-interference-dZnO6Eyd5u
Will we find election interference before 2025?
null
1,731,247,125,675
1,735,707,540,000
1,735,729,308,519
NO
0.072754
257
5n2CRIhctc
will-we-find-election-interference
Will we find election interference before 2025?
null
1,731,247,023,749
1,735,707,540,000
1,736,165,558,262
NO
0.06639
285.000017
9yLlcAI9tS
will-strutheo-get-100000-traders-in
Will @strutheo get 100,000 traders in one life, before June 2025 ends?
null
1,731,229,169,930
1,751,327,897,114
1,751,327,897,114
NO
0.01
1,042.143077
SIZgQZs0Qg
will-roblox-stock-rblx-close-above-shhcy2Ncy6
Will Roblox stock RBLX close above $90 a share by mid 2027?
null
1,731,225,623,977
1,751,181,426,550
1,751,181,426,550
YES
0.95
3,358.898944
Ugd8Q8StUt
will-tsla-reach-400-during-trumps-t
Will TSLA reach $400 during Trump's term?
null
1,731,215,456,887
1,737,734,468,609
1,737,734,468,609
YES
0.962554
417.000006
dQLCcCshsC
if-bitcoin-reaches-95k-before-the-e
If Bitcoin reaches $95k before the end of 2024, will it reach $95k again in 2025?
null
1,731,214,995,248
1,735,964,247,858
1,735,964,247,858
YES
0.99
2,706.923527
tlzzc6RsO6
if-bitcoin-reaches-90k-before-the-e
If Bitcoin reaches $90k before the end of 2024, will it reach $90k again in 2025?
null
1,731,214,987,208
1,735,789,046,176
1,735,789,046,176
YES
0.99
1,740.901783
nU8U0gUdOP
if-bitcoin-reaches-100k-before-the
If Bitcoin reaches $100k before the end of 2024, will it reach $100k again in 2025?
null
1,731,214,965,561
1,736,179,339,294
1,736,179,339,294
YES
0.99
2,297.675401
U0gEhPQcgl
if-bitcoin-reaches-85k-before-the-e
If Bitcoin reaches $85k before the end of 2024, will it reach $85k again in 2025?
null
1,731,214,925,858
1,735,789,032,096
1,735,789,032,096
YES
0.99
2,375.400871
hAIU2InZ96
if-bitcoin-reaches-80k-before-the-e
If Bitcoin reaches $80k before the end of 2024, will it reach $80k again in 2025?
null
1,731,214,909,956
1,735,789,035,098
1,735,789,035,098
YES
0.99
2,479.474627
nECzqqIR8c
will-december-2024-be-warmer-than-d
Will December 2024 be warmer than December 2023?
null
1,731,210,137,632
1,736,312,340,000
1,737,268,444,160
NO
0.055994
505
LuLstpdsEZ
will-mike-duncans-martian-revolutio
Will Mike Duncan's Martian Revolution (Season 11 of Revolutions) end with a military dictatorship on Mars?
null
1,731,207,303,716
1,749,789,572,921
1,749,789,572,921
NO
0.167584
311.46891
q5NCgCghUO
will-there-be-more-than-10-cases-of
Will there be more than 10 cases of Monkeypox Clade 1 confirmed in the UK I before the end of 2024?
null
1,731,200,121,409
1,735,711,140,000
1,735,714,913,273
NO
0.41896
130.071514
O0QIZRCOyI
will-donald-trump-publicly-say-the
Will Donald Trump publicly say the words “Article II” in his first week back in office?
null
1,731,193,161,581
1,737,873,381,772
1,737,873,381,772
NO
0.43829
250
PuChNEQl8U
will-iran-hit-israel-within-4-month
Will Iran hit Israel within 4 months of being attacked by them?
null
1,731,191,157,468
1,738,372,634,067
1,738,372,634,067
NO
0.248584
194.219239
6gn68nZSAh
will-musk-actually-bring-a-sink-int
Will Musk actually bring a sink into the Oval Office after inauguration?
null
1,731,182,697,771
1,740,124,740,000
1,748,180,552,042
NO
0.012985
14,197.414454
lyLEU0uhqL
will-billie-eilish-release-a-new-ch
Will Billie Eilish release a new Christmas hit song on Christmas Eve this year 2024?
null
1,731,177,179,068
1,735,707,540,000
1,736,139,761,195
NO
0.013085
1,140.732293
pRdd0tRSzC
will-all-3-powerpuff-girls-win-gram
Will all 3 Powerpuff Girls win Grammys?
null
1,731,162,647,134
1,738,569,540,000
1,738,630,911,511
YES
0.99
1,075.346892
nqhpzZShyN
will-the-dax-close-higher-than-2000
Will the DAX close higher than 20000 at the end of the year?
null
1,731,161,845,261
1,735,689,540,000
1,735,689,824,820
NO
0.05034
346
6LPu25ONPQ
polymarket-trump-transgender-sports
[Polymarket] Trump transgender sports ban?
null
1,731,145,326,156
1,739,992,095,466
1,739,992,095,466
YES
0.99
956.989013
glz25ZQyRd
will-donald-trump-issue-an-executiv
Will Donald Trump issue an executive order modifying birthright citizenship by May 31st 2025?
null
1,731,133,599,170
1,737,435,848,438
1,737,435,848,438
YES
0.99
13,457.487666
C2zOhz0UIt
will-russia-conduct-a-military-acti
Will Russia conduct a military action that directly triggers NATO's Article 5 by January 21, 2025?
null
1,731,132,691,578
1,737,521,940,000
1,738,251,384,105
NO
0.010018
10,508.729667
h2h0QzCqqC
will-trump-publicly-disparage-musk
Will Trump publicly disparage Musk within a year of the election?
null
1,731,124,246,746
1,749,150,886,465
1,749,150,886,465
YES
0.992872
1,195,240.257349
Pc8ZQNL5np
will-chatcom-be-a-website-by-eoy
Will chat.com be a website by EOY?
null
1,731,115,612,038
1,735,642,740,000
1,735,776,474,363
NO
0.050013
6,489.790299
lS2g8nCltA
will-trump-intervene-in-the-crimina
Will Trump intervene in the criminal case against Eric Adams?
null
1,731,115,049,676
1,738,193,512,977
1,738,193,512,977
YES
0.75
1,084.052135
LtdlOAyh99
will-an-ai-score-over-30-on-frontie
Will an AI score over 30% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025
null
1,731,114,350,392
1,740,052,253,258
1,740,052,253,258
YES
0.973883
3,543.46914
S58tdy0s22
will-trump-bomb-iran-during-his-sec
Will Trump bomb Iran during his second term?
null
1,731,112,831,337
1,750,552,518,347
1,750,552,518,347
YES
0.99
135,065.019601
tsPSugsl62
will-trump-declassify-the-diddy-or
Will Trump declassify the Diddy OR Epstein lists in his first 100 days?
null
1,731,111,379,393
1,745,888,520,000
1,746,138,739,865
NO
0.008997
81,693.97931
cnnusc5nql
trump-will-end-the-russiaukraine-wa
Trump will end the Russia/Ukraine war in 24 hours
null
1,731,106,131,505
1,738,078,738,368
1,738,078,738,368
NO
0.010163
1,355.269147
RlPlCZR69h
will-april-2025-will-be-the-warmest
Will April 2025 will be the warmest month of April ever recorded (global) ?
null
1,731,094,929,151
1,746,136,740,000
1,749,371,132,691
NO
0.01
1,045.228719
ISNSIqgqyE
will-march-2025-will-be-the-warmest
Will March 2025 will be the warmest month of March ever recorded (global) ?
null
1,731,094,891,291
1,743,544,740,000
1,746,393,017,924
NO
0.01
1,552.269477
cuE2OuO2sU
will-febuary-2025-will-be-the-warme
Will Febuary 2025 will be the warmest month of Febuary ever recorded (global) ?
null
1,731,094,844,556
1,740,869,940,000
1,741,278,556,453
NO
0.018925
1,062.690253
ZNlRCCI8AE
will-january-2025-will-be-the-warme
Will January 2025 will be the warmest month of January ever recorded (global) ?
null
1,731,094,787,950
1,738,450,740,000
1,739,790,638,066
YES
0.915417
715.380799
L59AUnAN2P
will-donald-trump-ever-have-a-net-p
Will Donald Trump EVER have a net positive job approval rating?
null
1,731,080,186,694
1,738,088,628,656
1,738,088,628,656
YES
0.976307
6,668
Lt0lU2hyIs
donald-trumps-favorability-rating-5
Donald Trump's favorability rating 50% or higher on Jan 20th?
null
1,731,076,922,278
1,737,359,940,000
1,737,431,406,606
NO
0.016384
13,892.420986
yZ9zQu6Z6t
president-trump-will-release-jfk-fi
President Trump will release JFK files within the first week of the presidency?
null
1,731,055,108,033
1,738,079,183,616
1,738,079,190,079
NO
0.01
2,869.916986
uRN0d6pn29
will-supreme-court-justice-sonya-so
Will Supreme Court Justice Sonia Sotomayor retire before January 6th, 2025?
null
1,731,042,184,920
1,736,225,940,000
1,736,281,139,186
NO
0.01
1,003.477455
NRhZnRhzIy
will-the-us-government-report-at-le
Will the U.S. Government report at least 100,000 arrests of removable non-citizens by April 30th, 2025?
null
1,731,038,618,677
1,746,071,940,000
1,746,235,910,579
NO
0.01
983.018187
dONs5AQS9N
will-trump-sign-at-least-2-executiv
Will Trump sign at least 2 executive orders on Day One?
null
1,731,032,951,797
1,737,446,340,000
1,737,546,100,850
YES
0.99
1,630.635415
INsu6l6cEl
will-alex-jones-serve-as-donald-tru
Will Alex Jones serve as Donald Trump's press secretary?
null
1,731,030,565,294
1,738,234,740,000
1,738,238,078,762
NO
0.010955
10,801.000153
zy2Sg8zgEL
will-there-be-a-way-to-view-your-to
Will there be a way to view your total received comment likes on your profile by June 2025?
null
1,731,022,633,275
1,748,818,740,000
1,748,819,866,590
NO
0.01
974.504485
lCpQPtAgIC
will-trump-or-jd-vance-make-a-publi
Will Trump or J.D. Vance make a public statement explicitly supporting a nationwide abortion ban before May 1, 2025?
null
1,731,013,596,468
1,746,169,140,000
1,746,563,722,113
NO
0.01
13,833.287634
hL8Zc9S5gS
will-donald-trump-be-admitted-to-a-OCsEq2QZqC
Will Donald Trump be admitted to a hospital for any reason before his inauguration?
null
1,731,012,132,799
1,737,396,036,807
1,737,396,036,807
NO
0.011343
11,760.705322
pC669RSQsO
will-trump-pardon-50-january-6-riot
Will Trump pardon 50+ January 6 rioters before EOY 2025?
null
1,731,009,533,224
1,746,564,368,825
1,746,564,368,825
YES
0.990024
9,814.777182
cNsLSShugy
will-the-israelipalestinian-war-end
Will the Israeli-Palestinian war end by January 20, 2025?
null
1,731,007,273,381
1,737,435,540,000
1,738,737,223,528
NO
0.032516
12,360.445763
8hNhppIRNC
will-roblox-stock-rblx-close-above-QlL2EZ0gsn
Will Roblox stock RBLX close above $60 a share by mid 2025?
null
1,731,004,357,188
1,741,323,738,366
1,741,323,738,366
YES
0.989361
1,729.987437
Ihs69CZz6t
will-trump-declare-himself-king-or
Will Trump Declare Himself King or Dictator for Life on January 20th?
null
1,731,003,883,020
1,737,323,760,000
1,738,015,500,187
NO
0.010012
6,488.539506
2lsL6PEyn6
polymarket-trump-deportation-execut
[Polymarket] Trump deportation executive action in first 100 days?
null
1,730,997,549,376
1,739,992,084,144
1,739,992,084,144
YES
0.99
949.98747
5UNSILQAUA
will-tsla-reach-420-during-trumps-p
Will $TSLA reach 420 during Trump’s presidency?
null
1,730,986,730,277
1,737,966,730,449
1,737,966,730,449
YES
0.99489
1,875.623853
R2SQPzQEtc
will-the-german-parliament-reform-t
Will the German parliament reform the Schuldenbremse before the next election?
null
1,730,968,087,034
1,739,445,991,397
1,739,445,991,397
NO
0.02201
67,644.63481
082pqEIZpZ
will-trump-end-the-russiaukraine-wa-gsQQA8lRh2
Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24 days of his inauguration?
null
1,730,967,923,692
1,739,466,000,000
1,739,618,543,270
NO
0.01
7,714.43125
96Ch09h5sp
will-joe-biden-pardon-henry-cuellar
Will Joe Biden pardon Henry Cuellar?
null
1,730,966,527,677
1,737,514,964,847
1,737,514,964,847
NO
0.01
9,956.396821
IA2nsh9SI9
will-genuine-parts-co-hit-140-again
Will Genuine Parts Co hit $140 again by EOY 2024?
null
1,730,955,353,540
1,735,707,540,000
1,735,708,823,659
NO
0.033758
435
QyNyyLuty9
will-all-living-presidents-attend-t
Will all living presidents attend Trump’s inauguration?
null
1,730,952,172,270
1,737,403,451,044
1,737,403,451,044
YES
0.996172
101,623.459379
NsIuEE296z
will-trump-have-a-woman-in-his-cabi
Will Trump have a woman in his cabinet?
null
1,730,950,296,319
1,742,998,803,962
1,742,998,803,962
YES
0.99
1,494.151119
h8pg0yl8ut
will-i-start-at-a-full-time-job-bef
Will I start at a full time job before June 2025?
null
1,730,946,713,830
1,748,847,540,000
1,748,848,542,061
NO
0.024839
638.332015
g6sznPndcS
will-i-write-another-above-the-fold
Will I write another Above the Fold: Manifold Politics newsletter in 2024?
null
1,730,942,407,735
1,735,718,340,000
1,735,718,622,094
NO
0.059477
3,930
unC9P2ApAs
will-scotus-find-that-tn-bill-1-pro
Will SCOTUS find that TN Bill 1 prohibiting gender-affirming medical care is unconstitutional? [U.S. v. Skrmetti]
null
1,730,942,293,183
1,750,257,667,383
1,750,257,667,383
NO
0.022173
5,082.875354
l8q9gnnltL
will-france-ban-or-substantially-re
Will France ban (or substantially restrict access to) Polymarket before Christmas?
null
1,730,942,189,616
1,735,199,940,000
1,736,009,498,859
NO
0.010825
22,711.834597
5SId2zn5hI
will-donald-trump-repay-elon-musks
Will Donald Trump repay Elon Musk's backing in good faith?
null
1,730,939,292,568
1,740,630,210,963
1,740,630,210,963
YES
0.99
201,564.918435
pQC8SySQ6z
will-trump-end-the-russiaukraine-wa
Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24h of his inauguration?
null
1,730,939,216,466
1,737,392,400,000
1,737,495,824,056
NO
0.010986
1,881.517646
tgdIc9tQcg
will-donald-trump-release-new-previ
Will Donald Trump release new previously classified documents on the JFK assassination during his presidency?
null
1,730,933,079,616
1,746,488,850,089
1,746,488,850,089
YES
0.95656
12,186.940841
5pUnsZnIOc
will-trump-survive-until-inaugurati
Will Trump Survive Until Inauguration?
null
1,730,931,352,046
1,737,323,940,000
1,737,392,460,094
YES
0.99
1,281.599609
gZI2lA6Zcc
mcdonalds-corp-makes-an-official-st
McDonald's Corp makes an official statement about their ice cream machines by 2/1/2025
null
1,730,929,238,237
1,738,475,940,000
1,746,115,674,348
NO
0.010499
1,017.945428
h805EOC2Oq
musk-and-trump-no-longer-besties-by
Musk and Trump no longer besties by Q2 2026?
null
1,730,927,781,584
1,749,406,420,374
1,749,406,420,374
YES
0.983095
1,963.172993
NQPg9ERUzt
will-the-electoral-college-winner-b
Will the electoral college winner differ from [Trump] the winner of the 2024 presidential election first called by AP?
null
1,730,925,616,201
1,735,707,540,000
1,735,742,758,795
NO
0.012064
12,859.497782
P5SIg00pC9
will-americans-favour-donald-trump
Will Americans favour Donald Trump over Joe Biden on inauguration day?
null
1,730,924,494,802
1,737,446,340,000
1,737,449,524,787
YES
0.99
10,780.466966
EtOStth9qt
will-the-supreme-court-constrain-tr
Will the Supreme Court constrain Trump's power?
null
1,730,918,879,368
1,741,207,933,984
1,741,207,933,984
YES
0.807801
1,817.129256
S50utUUcgg
will-trump-commute-the-sentence-of
Will Trump commute the sentence of Ross Ulbricht before his Presidency ends in 2028?
null
1,730,918,653,402
1,749,197,601,817
1,749,197,601,817
YES
0.99297
2,685.860802
g59QcdL8n5
will-president-trump-free-ross-ulbr
Will President Trump free Ross Ulbricht during his second term?
null
1,730,918,147,270
1,737,554,885,852
1,737,554,885,852
YES
0.990832
1,396.333435
8h5zsdRsL9
will-trump-actually-create-a-depart
Will Trump actually create a department of government efficiency by the end of 2026?
null
1,730,917,400,147
1,737,486,326,921
1,737,486,326,921
YES
0.975074
7,871.724566
dcgscdEUc0
will-trump-end-the-ukraine-war-with
Will The Russia-Ukraine War End Within 90 days of Trump Taking Office? [see description]
null
1,730,917,052,686
1,745,121,947,806
1,745,189,047,984
NO
0.018709
5,294,227.852386
SII6AhhUSt
will-trump-end-the-war-in-ukraine-w
Will Trump End the War in Ukraine Within 90 Days of Taking Office?
null
1,730,906,393,145
1,745,272,740,000
1,746,645,706,209
NO
0.001955
6,474.91145
yP5RN299S2
donald-trump-and-elon-musk-will-hav
Donald Trump and Elon Musk will have a falling out and start publicly criticizing one another by 2028
null
1,730,896,529,791
1,749,146,508,377
1,749,146,508,377
YES
0.928183
2,203.094644
cdlcz90R6h
will-jair-bolsonaro-attend-donald-t
Will Jair Bolsonaro attend Donald Trump’s 2025 Inauguration?
null
1,730,890,699,445
1,737,431,940,000
1,737,435,507,066
NO
0.01
18,217.111922
PLA2yhlnd2
there-will-be-a-serious-effort-to-r
Will there be a serious effort to repeal the 22nd Amendment or redefine it as only applying to consecutive terms?
null
1,730,886,811,469
1,737,682,008,228
1,737,682,008,228
YES
0.488216
13,954.153116
Ct0ghZzc2p
will-nasa-confirm-the-discovery-of-ydI2uQtchC
Will Nasa confirm the discovery of aliens before 2025
null
1,730,884,121,901
1,731,538,740,000
1,737,082,917,293
NO
0.01
22,174.450328
C2g5Qlpynz
will-trump-run-another-rally-before
Will Trump run another rally before 2029?
null
1,730,880,000,420
1,746,036,605,682
1,746,036,605,682
YES
0.969176
8,192.257666
IzLgc22NcC
kamala-harris-retires-from-politics
Kamala Harris retires from Politics before 2025
null
1,730,878,722,965
1,735,707,540,000
1,735,732,445,717
NO
0.01569
11,911.667582
RO096556nQ
will-the-makeup-of-the-us-supreme-c
Will the makeup of the US Supreme Court change before January 20th, 2025 at 12pm ET?
null
1,730,876,263,107
1,737,491,051,285
1,737,491,051,285
NO
0.01
9,685.322958