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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
d0ggQQtl5L | if-donald-trump-wins-the-presidenti | If Donald Trump wins the presidential election, will any of his criminal cases get dropped by the end of the year? | null | 1,730,857,787,671 | 1,735,711,140,000 | 1,736,170,673,662 | YES | 0.933756 | 6,391.144683 |
cg5LIhQs2u | will-more-than-50k-people-write-in | Will more than 50k people write in with Biden? | null | 1,730,854,700,091 | 1,733,896,740,000 | 1,739,812,587,928 | NO | 0.236799 | 2,883.056188 |
0slURpqq5h | will-there-be-more-incendiary-devic | Will more incendiary devices be found hidden on airplanes by May 2025? | null | 1,730,829,093,318 | 1,746,158,340,000 | 1,746,219,226,695 | NO | 0.180951 | 200.289195 |
S8OR9P0sAL | will-we-see-credible-evidence-that | Will we see credible evidence that Rogan was paid for his Trump endorsement before 2025? | null | 1,730,825,009,052 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,737,567,717,210 | NO | 0.04403 | 4,567.141706 |
8gQPNPAtqd | trump-will-pardon-ross-ulbricht-by | Trump will pardon Ross Ulbricht by 3/1/2025 | null | 1,730,824,004,623 | 1,737,623,740,738 | 1,737,623,740,738 | YES | 0.993434 | 7,573.407647 |
UpgP0QhSuZ | will-discord-add-more-of-a-reason-t | Will Discord add more of a reason to buy Nitro before EOY? | null | 1,730,822,915,216 | 1,735,793,940,000 | 1,736,351,124,644 | NO | 0.475624 | 5 |
Qd56N252Uh | will-sasa-confirm-the-discovery-of | Will SASA confirm the discovery of aliens before 2025? | null | 1,730,820,488,838 | 1,730,959,140,000 | 1,749,165,771,273 | NO | 0.203399 | 979 |
96EdcZShzu | will-trump-flee-the-country-by-inau | Will Trump flee the country by inauguration day 2025? | null | 1,730,820,145,025 | 1,737,403,662,677 | 1,737,403,662,677 | NO | 0.01 | 894.987437 |
h9cOnEh5nL | will-elon-musk-publicly-call-into-q | Will Elon Musk publicly call into question the results of the election in a tweet by the end of the year? | null | 1,730,811,996,829 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,736,183,510,982 | NO | 0.045222 | 1,049.578591 |
zQOZIqNO8R | will-raul-jimenez-score-more-than-1 | Will Raul Jimenez score more than 15 premier league goals at the end of the season? | null | 1,730,776,482,961 | 1,748,220,288,798 | 1,748,220,288,798 | NO | 0.01 | 1,225.744544 |
OAtUEuAPgI | will-horizon-an-american-saga-get-a | Will Horizon: An American Saga Chapter 2 get a new US release date in 2024? | null | 1,730,754,702,537 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,860,027,821 | NO | 0.019439 | 665 |
Z29IRsyz8N | will-the-us-treasury-series-ee-bond-lUNLI8PqCC | Will the US Treasury Series EE Bond rate go up? | null | 1,730,746,838,171 | 1,746,027,752,787 | 1,746,027,752,787 | YES | 0.59381 | 40 |
L0qOnyRLqP | will-the-us-treasury-series-i-bond-cgPzChRzgs | Will the US Treasury Series I Bond fixed rate go up? | null | 1,730,746,507,128 | 1,746,027,935,161 | 1,746,027,935,161 | NO | 0.470686 | 80 |
8cCAqRZE90 | will-the-us-treasury-series-i-bond-dcyutRnO2U | Will the US Treasury Series I Bond semi-annual inflation rate go up? | null | 1,730,746,313,218 | 1,746,027,867,549 | 1,746,027,867,549 | YES | 0.628253 | 30 |
ZpZN9LQQLq | will-sony-announce-a-sinister-six-m | Will Sony announce a Sinister Six movie before the end of 2024? | null | 1,730,728,189,446 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,860,073,512 | NO | 0.028868 | 480 |
8pEdRPP0OS | is-mickey-17-going-to-be-a-flop | Is Mickey 17 going to be a flop? | null | 1,730,727,886,767 | 1,747,243,040,768 | 1,747,243,040,768 | YES | 0.99 | 2,205.238234 |
np5N8Q08zh | will-the-2024-gavle-goat-be-a-victi | Will the 2024 Gävle Goat be a victim of arson or theft, or other form of criminal destruction? | null | 1,730,710,209,547 | 1,736,545,927,369 | 1,736,545,927,369 | NO | 0.010164 | 1,500.528512 |
nQE8LyAQ0q | before-february-2025-will-a-gemini-g895Ad9qRZ | Before February 2025, will a Gemini model exceed Claude 3.5 Sonnet 10/22's Global Average score on Simple Bench? | null | 1,730,699,234,270 | 1,738,472,340,000 | 1,738,773,953,848 | NO | 0.083639 | 522.567406 |
phq29Qqq29 | will-anyone-get-charged-with-a-crim | Will anyone get charged with a crime for failing to certify the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,730,654,425,620 | 1,736,236,740,000 | 1,740,075,190,344 | NO | 0.01 | 1,034.632971 |
P68tR0U5lO | will-there-be-another-multistate-fo | Will there be another multistate foodborne illness outbreak linked to a restaurant chain? | null | 1,730,653,212,086 | 1,735,711,140,000 | 1,735,737,963,493 | NO | 0.283943 | 115 |
95yy8AcL6q | will-i-score-balatro-higher-than-85 | Will I Score Balatro Higher than 8.5/10? | null | 1,730,640,750,198 | 1,735,909,200,000 | 1,735,920,174,867 | NO | 0.010502 | 10,295.574756 |
AhQLzRl29O | will-the-nintendo-switch-2-or-other-ZtqdqN0hAn | Will the "Nintendo Switch 2" (or other successor) be revealed before end of year? | null | 1,730,631,509,871 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,736,036,311 | NO | 0.01 | 15,092.715663 |
OSzQ9L05Sl | india-to-win-the-third-test-vs-new-lOtdzEElu5 | India to win the third test vs New Zealand | null | 1,730,600,252,535 | 1,736,020,166,729 | 1,736,020,171,206 | NO | 0.01 | 1,172.729373 |
yzyNu69slQ | will-an-israelhamas-ceasefire-occur | Will an Israel-Hamas cease-fire occur within 2 months of the US election? | null | 1,730,595,247,116 | 1,736,139,540,000 | 1,736,255,298,049 | NO | 0.01 | 961.846477 |
5AUnIARAU9 | will-there-be-a-major-spike-in-prot-cy65AZzs6S | Will there be a major spike in protests in the US in 2025 (comparable to the 2020 George Floyd protests)? | null | 1,730,568,518,941 | 1,747,851,498,496 | 1,747,851,498,496 | YES | 0.700382 | 159.307337 |
tqcIARcyqA | will-i-be-hit-by-a-bicycle-or-scoot | Will I be hit by a bicycle or scooter in Providence, RI before June 2025? | null | 1,730,501,575,977 | 1,748,750,340,000 | 1,749,614,940,130 | NO | 0.059973 | 3,042 |
tLQzLL9SNs | will-the-deathlist-have-a-sixth-hit | Will the DeathList have a sixth hit in 2024? | null | 1,730,491,189,260 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,708,532,174 | YES | 0.692308 | 50 |
gEQq6OUqEu | will-jayden-daniels-be-the-20242025--cash | Will Jayden Daniels be the 2024-2025 NFL Rookie of the Year? | null | 1,730,485,347,899 | 1,738,958,105,641 | 1,738,958,105,641 | YES | 0.990325 | 1,958.962388 |
sOCccOyn6Q | will-lamar-jackson-be-the-20242025--cash | Will Lamar Jackson be the 2024-2025 NFL MVP? | null | 1,730,485,342,985 | 1,738,908,888,803 | 1,738,908,888,803 | NO | 0.009485 | 3,812.461015 |
cCgIAIpRPt | will-josh-allen-be-the-20242025-nfl--cash | Will Josh Allen be the 2024-2025 NFL MVP? | null | 1,730,485,326,896 | 1,738,908,865,690 | 1,738,908,865,690 | YES | 0.993793 | 2,431.298692 |
gNL85uPdsA | will-the-buffalo-bills-win-the-supe--cash | Will the Buffalo Bills win the Super Bowl in 2025? | null | 1,730,485,321,991 | 1,737,997,980,383 | 1,737,997,980,383 | NO | 0.009881 | 1,402.793672 |
Q8Sc8EnZlq | will-the-baltimore-ravens-win-the-s-spOhytSRlg--cash | Will the Baltimore Ravens win the Super Bowl in 2025? | null | 1,730,485,304,789 | 1,737,403,069,261 | 1,737,403,069,261 | NO | 0.01 | 1,601.162317 |
UtplRENh5u | will-the-detroit-lions-win-the-supe-huN8lsA8Ln--cash | Will the Detroit Lions win the Super Bowl in 2025? | null | 1,730,485,281,509 | 1,737,264,622,131 | 1,737,264,622,131 | NO | 0.013154 | 1,562.36689 |
EccUpCqglu | will-the-chiefs-make-it-to-the-supe--cash | Will the Chiefs make it to the Super Bowl again in 2025? | null | 1,730,485,269,973 | 1,737,997,935,021 | 1,737,997,935,021 | YES | 0.99 | 1,298.191793 |
h2A68Udtu5 | will-the-duke-blue-devils-win-the-n | Will the Duke Blue Devils win the NCAA men’s basketball championship (March Madness) in 2025? | null | 1,730,458,318,762 | 1,743,913,518,373 | 1,743,913,518,373 | NO | 0.008393 | 1,450.400616 |
udysIqplsA | will-the-houston-cougars-win-the-nc | Will the Houston Cougars win the NCAA men’s basketball championship (March Madness) in 2025? | null | 1,730,458,252,784 | 1,744,171,140,000 | 1,744,195,194,135 | NO | 0.01 | 1,895.56315 |
nCIZ8Cl9d6 | will-the-alabama-crimson-tide-win-t-E2p6IEs2nS | Will the Alabama Crimson Tide win the NCAA men’s basketball championship (March Madness) in 2025? | null | 1,730,458,229,759 | 1,743,331,489,064 | 1,743,331,489,064 | NO | 0.01 | 921.601878 |
CQhUAQuP95 | will-the-kansas-jayhawks-win-the-nc | Will the Kansas Jayhawks win the NCAA men’s basketball championship (March Madness) in 2025? | null | 1,730,458,165,805 | 1,743,244,637,489 | 1,743,244,637,489 | NO | 0.01 | 896.987443 |
N052yRInu6 | will-jayden-daniels-be-the-20242025 | Will Jayden Daniels be the 2024-2025 NFL Rookie of the Year? | null | 1,730,457,784,067 | 1,738,958,110,600 | 1,738,958,110,600 | YES | 0.99 | 2,087.38248 |
9Z8tRNgUzZ | will-lamar-jackson-be-the-20242025 | Will Lamar Jackson be the 2024-2025 NFL MVP? | null | 1,730,457,635,995 | 1,738,908,895,399 | 1,738,908,895,399 | NO | 0.000691 | 80,566.968114 |
nOzp550ZSl | will-josh-allen-be-the-20242025-nfl | Will Josh Allen be the 2024-2025 NFL MVP? | null | 1,730,457,573,659 | 1,738,908,873,006 | 1,738,908,873,006 | YES | 0.999008 | 84,114.624992 |
ugZCdAQ6qc | will-the-buffalo-bills-win-the-supe | Will the Buffalo Bills win the Super Bowl in 2025? | null | 1,730,457,154,596 | 1,737,997,985,711 | 1,737,997,985,711 | NO | 0.009771 | 1,952.492873 |
26zECRI5du | will-the-baltimore-ravens-win-the-s-spOhytSRlg | Will the Baltimore Ravens win the Super Bowl in 2025? | null | 1,730,457,103,824 | 1,737,403,914,652 | 1,737,403,914,652 | NO | 0.00016 | 10,105.416766 |
6uuI5uL86U | will-the-detroit-lions-win-the-supe-huN8lsA8Ln | Will the Detroit Lions win the Super Bowl in 2025? | null | 1,730,456,985,963 | 1,737,264,632,982 | 1,737,264,632,982 | NO | 0.01 | 2,559.980524 |
5q6lOOUzqA | will-the-coolfold-financial-portfol | Will the CoolFold Financial Portfolio outperform the S&P 500 after 1 year? | null | 1,730,438,573,476 | 1,746,158,340,000 | 1,746,501,757,673 | NO | 0.271215 | 212.00377 |
l8NP9t6Agh | will-iran-use-iraq-to-stage-an-atta | Will Iran use Iraq to stage an attack on Israel before the end of 2024? | null | 1,730,433,624,850 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,720,963,428 | NO | 0.034372 | 4,658.984343 |
tz5NtcZlnA | if-trump-is-elected-will-there-be-a-01a15c4aa239--cash | If Trump is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms? | null | 1,730,408,439,505 | 1,737,550,704,512 | 1,737,577,521,407 | YES | 0.770843 | 167.591244 |
tPyn05ZAgL | will-israel-strike-irans-nuclear-fa | Will Israel strike Iran's nuclear facilities before the end of 2025? | null | 1,730,407,822,108 | 1,749,937,891,896 | 1,749,937,891,896 | YES | 0.99184 | 398,552.16212 |
cSC5gNc8hZ | calgary-flames-make-playoffs-and-ed | Calgary Flames make playoffs and Edmonton Oilers don't (NHL) | null | 1,730,328,515,606 | 1,745,349,086,512 | 1,745,349,086,512 | NO | 0.01 | 9,300.892771 |
UON8qN69y0 | trump-nominates-musk-to-cabinet | Trump nominates Musk to cabinet? | null | 1,730,315,006,243 | 1,740,815,940,000 | 1,741,640,599,997 | NO | 0.01 | 46,529.142015 |
dsqsnUnCu8 | will-there-be-a-fully-ai-produced-v | Will there be a fully AI produced video of the lost Seinfeld episode The Bet posted on Youtube by the end of 2024? | null | 1,730,300,641,785 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,736,008,930,350 | NO | 0.084223 | 243.999999 |
5EzOyc8Icq | average-domestic-usa-flight-fare-37 | Average domestic USA flight fare >=$370, Q3 2024 | null | 1,730,266,934,365 | 1,736,870,400,000 | 1,736,982,285,237 | NO | 0.184149 | 246.359849 |
OZR0Iqphzn | will-openai-release-a-product-with-6LpgOUzROg | Will OpenAI release a product with the word "Orion" in its name before 2025? | null | 1,730,259,379,484 | 1,735,649,940,000 | 1,736,916,358,746 | NO | 0.036064 | 5,581.403125 |
5tsOcdZ8UZ | will-manifold-add-back-1-sweepcash | Will Manifold add back <1 Sweepcash trades in 2024? | null | 1,730,250,517,767 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,745,535,974 | NO | 0.01 | 904.987435 |
OZEAqc6Lgt | resolver | resolver | null | 1,730,217,710,060 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,930,513,114 | YES | 0.49523 | 9 |
ZZZZ6uscQ6 | will-naim-qassems-successor-be-kill | Will Naim Qassem's successor be killed in 2024? | null | 1,730,195,508,680 | 1,735,664,340,000 | 1,735,750,963,208 | NO | 0.030275 | 4,710.552151 |
pyAhlhAIPn | will-hizbollahs-new-leader-naim-qas | Will Hizbollah’s new leader Naim Qassem survive 2024? | null | 1,730,193,311,407 | 1,735,689,540,000 | 1,735,716,807,260 | YES | 0.971406 | 725 |
CNt9sgqAZh | will-there-be-a-nuclear-exchange-be | Will there be a nuclear exchange between countries before 2025? | null | 1,730,179,577,493 | 1,735,804,740,000 | 1,740,846,370,707 | NO | 0.01 | 1,333.664233 |
LhlcNOEcyA | will-netanyahu-leave-power-before-t | Will Netanyahu leave power before Trudeau? | null | 1,730,173,050,949 | 1,743,261,646,995 | 1,743,261,646,995 | NO | 0.01 | 1,110.933989 |
2CIPZRIuzc | will-kamala-harris-or-donald-trump | Will Kamala Harris or Donald Trump appear as a guest on the Dwarkesh Podcast in 2024? | null | 1,730,153,904,380 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,882,833,100 | NO | 0.017389 | 10,662.848318 |
c00UI5RIst | will-jose-luis-ricon-swing-the-2024 | Will JOSE LUIS RICON SWING the 2024 presidential election | null | 1,730,152,387,028 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,736,741,494,861 | NO | 0.15641 | 142 |
hILQS5Euhl | major-election-riots-in-20242025--cash | Major Election Riots in 2024-2025? | null | 1,730,148,491,109 | 1,737,532,740,000 | 1,737,577,543,955 | NO | 0.005494 | 3,402.90282 |
cALsOdgNzC | major-election-riots-in-20242025 | Major Election Riots in 2024-2025? | null | 1,730,147,656,434 | 1,737,532,740,000 | 1,737,577,551,283 | NO | 0.006354 | 511,589.173364 |
g5g8q5O0Pl | will-bronny-james-get-his-own-purch | Will Bronny James get his own purchasable skin in a Call of Duty game by the end of 2024 | null | 1,730,145,007,296 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,739,830,619,081 | NO | 0.116788 | 175 |
LI5zSQRL5c | will-aoc-alexandria-ocasiocortez-an | Will AOC (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) announce she is pregnant by March 31st 2025? | null | 1,730,137,981,135 | 1,743,490,740,000 | 1,743,618,058,708 | NO | 0.008486 | 203,032.040753 |
6zIRuUZcLp | will-blc1-be-confirmed-as-alien-tec | Will BLC-1 be confirmed as alien technology before 2025? | null | 1,730,135,067,645 | 1,735,703,940,000 | 1,735,725,560,476 | NO | 0.031567 | 13,577.390152 |
lpUquQ8Q6c | will-tua-tugavailoa-get-a-second-co | Will Tua Tagovailoa get a second concussion in the 2024-2025 NFL season? | null | 1,730,133,286,864 | 1,736,571,540,000 | 1,737,055,527,141 | NO | 0.010002 | 8,970 |
Znyzd6cZ6R | will-proopposition-protesters-occup | Will pro-opposition protesters occupy The Parliament of Georgia in 2024? | null | 1,730,127,353,601 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,690,272,770 | NO | 0.076858 | 2,945 |
tOlSO2SSEO | will-i-get-promoted-this-year | Will I get promoed this year? | null | 1,730,102,444,908 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,736,726,627,417 | NO | 0.474726 | 570 |
pOZP6sLSUP | if-trump-is-elected-will-the-nation | If Trump is elected, will the National Guard be called out in response to rioting on or before Inauguration Day? | null | 1,730,067,294,539 | 1,737,400,899,923 | 1,737,400,899,923 | NO | 0.012763 | 14,245.647478 |
gpPp5EsAgd | will-iran-strike-directly-against-i | Will Iran strike directly against Israel in 2024 following Israel’s 26th October 2024 strikes on Iran? | null | 1,730,051,569,733 | 1,735,689,540,000 | 1,735,730,246,943 | NO | 0.0291 | 12,796.001427 |
t6y69qRp0h | will-rpredictionmarkets-have-more-t-2IPRNRIASp | Will r/PredictionMarkets have more than 10,000 members by the end of 2024? | null | 1,730,018,649,656 | 1,735,651,740,000 | 1,736,385,430,699 | NO | 0.029263 | 1,105.668922 |
UQCOnnqsqh | will-rpredictionmarkets-have-more-t-sEZUZz55n9 | Will r/PredictionMarkets have more than 1000 members by the end of 2024? | null | 1,730,018,581,520 | 1,735,651,740,000 | 1,736,385,440,793 | NO | 0.037973 | 794.080786 |
ZCuUlnLOEn | will-gloves-help-me-become-less-rel | Will gloves help me become less reluctant to do dishes? | null | 1,730,016,594,807 | 1,739,780,910,460 | 1,739,780,910,460 | YES | 0.803946 | 4,289.635537 |
LzP2u8ltSz | will-special-prosecutor-jack-smith | Will special prosecutor Jack Smith, eventually indict and prosecute Donald Trump as a war criminal? | null | 1,730,008,471,401 | 1,735,721,940,000 | 1,738,395,506,226 | NO | 0.013321 | 11,019.31449 |
Pdch8Slh0y | will-antony-blinken-leave-his-curre | Will Antony Blinken leave his current position of Secretary of State by the end of Star Wars Day 2025? (May 4th) | null | 1,730,003,880,281 | 1,744,405,326,120 | 1,744,405,326,120 | YES | 0.98968 | 1,034 |
ptlStQyQAL | winner-of-adjusted-popular-vote-to | Winner of "Adjusted Popular Vote" to lose the 2024 Election. | null | 1,729,985,343,181 | 1,735,711,140,000 | 1,736,101,859,523 | NO | 0.069802 | 406 |
stRQtEspEA | will-ford-q4-2024-gross-profit-exce | Will Ford Q4, 2024 Gross Profit exceed Tesla's | null | 1,729,943,374,743 | 1,740,121,140,000 | 1,740,131,180,719 | YES | 0.99 | 958.807312 |
QNO6UA98NI | scotus-can-the-fda-block-flavored-v | SCOTUS: Can the FDA block flavored vapes? FDA v Wages & White Lion | null | 1,729,942,583,933 | 1,743,619,503,339 | 1,743,619,503,339 | YES | 0.99 | 10,706.678227 |
SAEdtILLdu | will-iran-respond-to-israels-octobe | Will Iran respond to israel's october 26 attack before the end of 2024 | null | 1,729,914,773,887 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,847,596,615 | NO | 0.04271 | 980.596101 |
Z9szghzpZZ | will-the-washington-post-or-jeff-be | Will the Washington Post or Jeff Bezos publicly attribute the decision to not make a presidential endorsement to Bezos? | null | 1,729,888,059,496 | 1,735,711,140,000 | 1,736,436,045,228 | NO | 0.16592 | 1,657.810702 |
CzSqsQLU9A | will-i-qualify-for-the-canadian-mat | Will I qualify for the Canadian Math Olympiad (CMO)? | null | 1,729,886,000,251 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,756,011,849 | NO | 0.477326 | 169.916831 |
PdN59lgQRy | will-rod-ziolkowski-threaten-me-wit | Will Rod Ziolkowski threaten me with a lawsuit by the end of 2024? | null | 1,729,875,537,565 | 1,735,714,740,000 | 1,735,749,055,984 | NO | 0.010002 | 10,849 |
uySIyq9OlQ | will-hasan-be-banned-from-twitch-fo--cash | Will Hasan be banned from Twitch for at least 1 day by the end of 2024? | null | 1,729,874,455,439 | 1,735,671,726,376 | 1,735,761,891,416 | NO | 0.014951 | 1,276.721942 |
yPlnA5P85R | will-alecto-the-ninth-be-released-i--cash | Will Alecto the Ninth be released in 2024? | null | 1,729,873,412,111 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,761,906,493 | NO | 0.01 | 727.372268 |
h0Z2AIIgyL | will-trent-alexander-arnold-extend | Will Trent Alexander Arnold extend his Liverpool contract? | null | 1,729,873,313,560 | 1,750,210,687,843 | 1,750,210,687,843 | NO | 0.007768 | 13,778.023535 |
lAIUth2RUL | will-tom-brady-be-a-part-of-the-sup--cash | Will Tom Brady be a part of the Super Bowl LIX broadcast? | null | 1,729,872,960,480 | 1,739,144,017,669 | 1,739,145,707,930 | YES | 0.99 | 2,911.994622 |
tsNNClONtI | will-there-be-a-tie-in-the-202425-n--cash | Will there be a tie score in the 2024/25 NFL season? | null | 1,729,872,875,754 | 1,736,138,123,921 | 1,736,187,590,319 | NO | 0.009554 | 1,272.473284 |
6Sz2sQuZnl | will-a-3000-lb-pumpkin-be-grown-and | Will a 3000 lb pumpkin be grown and verified by the end of 2024? | null | 1,729,858,088,227 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,775,739,463 | NO | 0.038547 | 417 |
yRRqtAAuZg | will-alphabet-or-google-be-top-5-co | Will Alphabet (or Google) be Top 5 Company in end of 2024 | null | 1,729,850,688,838 | 1,735,756,140,000 | 1,735,791,623,811 | YES | 0.99 | 894.987437 |
AUPUUpRhp6 | will-my-paper-get-accepted-in-a-pop | Will my paper get accepted in a popular Machine learning conference? | null | 1,729,823,585,454 | 1,730,425,372,831 | 1,737,773,983,035 | YES | 0.41045 | 75 |
qpnCyR860A | will-there-be-an-early-winter-or-sp | Will there be an early Winter or Spring 2025 election in Ontario? | null | 1,729,809,799,193 | 1,740,195,978,290 | 1,740,195,978,290 | YES | 0.988718 | 916.672604 |
Ez8ZARC5hs | will-manifold-reduce-or-reverse-the | Will Manifold reduce or reverse the 1 Sweepcash minimum bet before 2025? | null | 1,729,805,323,526 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,760,744,975 | NO | 0.013283 | 1,405.738576 |
hOS8qlhdll | will-there-be-any-israeli-ceasefire | Will there be any Israeli ceasefire before Oasis breaks up? | null | 1,729,783,410,164 | 1,743,490,740,000 | 1,744,919,626,262 | YES | 0.947163 | 351.575 |
12iku4m8o9 | will-mikaela-shiffrin-win-the-20242 | Will Mikaela Shiffrin win the 2024/25 FIS Alpine Ski World Cup? | null | 1,729,706,786,363 | 1,743,544,740,000 | 1,743,685,022,762 | NO | 0.032696 | 6,191.580707 |
4yjmx44wrv | will-my-new-newsletter-surpass-250 | Will my new newsletter surpass 250 subscribers by end of 2024? | null | 1,729,703,743,654 | 1,735,772,340,000 | 1,735,772,506,119 | NO | 0.064572 | 3,965.046634 |
n925az9t4i | pavel-durov-leaves-france-in-2024--cash | Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024? | null | 1,729,699,702,460 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,761,707,008 | NO | 0.010985 | 1,481.860909 |
22qom548x6 | will-trump-pardon-any-of-the-convic--cash | Will Trump pardon any of the convicted “J6ers” before 2028? | null | 1,729,698,423,819 | 1,737,518,127,254 | 1,737,577,436,896 | YES | 0.99 | 835.16739 |
t751ufq5jr | will-elon-musk-be-charged-or-indict--cash | Will the USA federal government announce charges/investigation/indictment against Elon Musk by the end of 2024? | null | 1,729,696,379,240 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,761,673,932 | NO | 0.016166 | 1,431.184578 |
qhe1jkecik | will-a-ceasefire-be-signed-in-sudan | Will a ceasefire be signed in Sudan between the RSF and SAF by the end of the year? | null | 1,729,695,946,207 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,740,064,828,141 | NO | 0.033156 | 444.000001 |
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