id stringlengths 9 20 | slug stringlengths 4 54 | question stringlengths 1 120 | firstGroup float64 | createdTime int64 1,715B 1,752B | closeTime int64 1,717B 1,752B | resolvedTime int64 1,736B 1,752B | resolution stringclasses 2 values | resolutionProbability float64 0 1 | volume float64 0 6.93M |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ja0ycjpcbt | will-the-capitol-building-be-breach | Will the capitol building be breached on January 6, 2025? | null | 1,727,714,238,473 | 1,736,225,940,000 | 1,736,280,161,449 | NO | 0.01 | 25,988.986011 |
zqwgmyoleg | will-kendrick-release-a-new-top-10 | Will Kendrick release a new Top 10 song before his Super Bowl performance? | null | 1,727,698,600,659 | 1,739,174,340,000 | 1,742,839,843,147 | YES | 0.948397 | 638.921707 |
2rk37lnqsq | will-the-same-8-teams-that-made-the | Will the same 8 teams that made the 2024 NBA Eastern Playoffs make the 2025 Eastern Playoffs? | null | 1,727,674,785,466 | 1,743,301,723,125 | 1,743,301,723,125 | NO | 0.01 | 896.449829 |
awt43c1tav | will-the-vienna-hypersphere-publish | Will the Vienna Hypersphere publish >1 post on Substack or LW before 2025? | null | 1,727,648,283,432 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,742,772,940 | NO | 0.2487 | 1,396.447097 |
mfmxuacco8 | will-kanye-west-release-a-solo-albu | Will Kanye West release a solo album in 2024? | null | 1,727,605,787,915 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,743,197,186 | NO | 0.026347 | 6,298.731282 |
mp7c7fvh0s | will-the-lebanese-military-strike-h | Will the Lebanese military strike Hezbollah before EOY 2024? | null | 1,727,595,815,378 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,736,127,986,764 | NO | 0.091345 | 2,931.100726 |
weg2cijsi1 | will-lukashenko-win-the-presidentia | Will Lukashenko win the presidential elections in Belarus in 2025? | null | 1,727,554,801,318 | 1,738,525,210,029 | 1,738,584,691,265 | YES | 0.955902 | 570.783192 |
wlixx0h6sf | will-manifold-change-daily-streak-r | Will Manifold change daily streak rewards again before 2025? | null | 1,727,536,974,399 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,736,278,655,471 | NO | 0.094303 | 377.856225 |
sm0dmg61zm | will-i-block-a-total-of-five-users | Will I block a total of five users who call me a "troll" on Manifold in 2024? | null | 1,727,484,140,887 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,737,383,826 | NO | 0.108847 | 7,114.981439 |
ji8x730zvd | will-there-be-any-changes-to-the-mt | Will there be any changes to the MTG Commander ban list before 2025? | null | 1,727,465,926,564 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,743,849,054 | NO | 0.109609 | 2,414.564185 |
ytf1w6r9zd | will-reproducing-arc-evals-recent-r | Will "Reproducing ARC Evals' recent report on langu..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,727,436,019,494 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,739,305,360,023 | NO | 0.099037 | 405 |
euzp5loinh | will-mushu-my-australian-labradoodl | Will Mushu, my Australian labradoodle get a shave down before the end of 2024? | null | 1,727,408,075,501 | 1,735,711,140,000 | 1,735,714,688,280 | NO | 0.54988 | 80 |
annj9bn83t | will-the-total-number-of-giving-wha-cc4cca3a58ce--cash | Will the total number of Giving What We Can pledges made in 2024 be higher than in 2022? | null | 1,727,382,043,608 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,764,415,988 | NO | 0.022728 | 1,007.909926 |
h53g9bd6hn | will-jumaane-williams-be-the-mayor | Will Jumaane Williams be the mayor or acting mayor of New York by mid 2025? | null | 1,727,376,528,949 | 1,751,353,140,000 | 1,751,358,092,366 | NO | 0.01 | 14,779.673485 |
t0lywm04g3 | will-apple-airpods-pro-3-be-availab | Will Apple AirPods Pro 3 be available for general purchase before July 1 2025? | null | 1,727,375,084,071 | 1,751,353,140,000 | 1,751,375,834,616 | NO | 0.019847 | 763.724411 |
yglqmsa9qb | will-my-guess-for-why-i-was-wrong-a | Will "My guess for why I was wrong about US housing" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,727,368,234,495 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,739,305,995,118 | NO | 0.1217 | 150 |
yjgiypto7n | will-i-score-a-top-position-in-any | Will I score a top position in any NeurIPS or Kaggle competition in the next 7 months? | null | 1,727,346,350,393 | 1,743,666,875,033 | 1,743,666,888,279 | NO | 0.186132 | 57,171.861144 |
862vbvjhlk | will-andrew-cuomo-run-in-a-special | Will Andrew Cuomo run in a special election to replace Eric Adams? | null | 1,727,339,967,994 | 1,749,361,687,135 | 1,749,361,687,135 | NO | 0.015071 | 14,090.463893 |
f9add4wu75 | will-gta-6-be-delayed | Will GTA 6 be delayed? | null | 1,727,323,732,971 | 1,746,488,310,403 | 1,746,488,310,403 | YES | 0.99 | 20,776.660443 |
k5w5rpledt | will-openai-become-a-forprofit-bene | OpenAI to become a for-profit by EOY? | null | 1,727,314,772,051 | 1,735,642,740,000 | 1,735,824,828,321 | NO | 0.021863 | 15,642.077017 |
5bf9gs3mru | will-another-member-of-the-openai-l | Will another member of the OpenAI Leadership Team depart in 2024? | null | 1,727,314,635,009 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,736,056,556,374 | NO | 0.054753 | 786.247919 |
ero03p5eif | will-sam-altman-own-at-least-10-fo | Will Sam Altman own at least 10% of OpenAI by the end of 2024? | null | 1,727,313,732,044 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,792,195,992 | NO | 0.014899 | 772.137138 |
lywrojwurm | will-mira-murati-work-at-an-ai-lab | Will Mira Murati work at an AI lab at the end of Q2 2025? | null | 1,727,293,512,342 | 1,751,439,540,000 | 1,751,439,892,064 | YES | 0.99 | 22,571.123783 |
4nlpu019vj | will-trump-publicly-mention-agi-or | Will Trump publicly mention AGI or Superintelligence before 2025? | null | 1,727,289,168,320 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,724,192,868 | NO | 0.035663 | 6,569.198742 |
ay26ibjig7 | will-there-be-a-major-strike-at-eas-mdfc0qrctj | Will there be a major strike at east coast USA ports lasting at least two weeks in 2024? | null | 1,727,289,054,313 | 1,735,716,780,000 | 1,737,427,530,143 | NO | 0.020381 | 9,603.462157 |
zbno4bjuu2 | will-an-03-team-bengals-jaguars-or | Will an 0-3 team (Bengals, Jaguars, or Titans) make the Playoffs? | null | 1,727,285,775,200 | 1,736,124,889,045 | 1,736,124,889,045 | NO | 0.01 | 2,463.697279 |
i9wkw83obt | will-donald-trump-flee-the-united-s | Will Donald Trump flee the United States before January 20, 2025? | null | 1,727,285,092,448 | 1,737,439,140,000 | 1,737,465,952,648 | NO | 0.010524 | 22,724.40169 |
u7iaysvhvu | will-keyitemclub-have-at-least-100 | Will keyitem.club have at least 100 registered users by end of year? | null | 1,727,274,486,410 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,736,009,123,869 | NO | 0.149544 | 174.354039 |
ype0am65ld | will-a-hezbollah-missile-kill-someo | Will a Hezbollah missile kill someone in Tel Aviv in 2024? | null | 1,727,267,142,414 | 1,735,772,340,000 | 1,735,790,457,728 | NO | 0.01 | 1,385.196118 |
zjr8kjjl22 | will-i-make-rmm-2025-5yh7uruwyf | Will I make RMM 2025? | null | 1,727,221,864,654 | 1,736,485,140,000 | 1,737,153,445,940 | YES | 0.923396 | 2,459.694208 |
1u51akc5nz | will-astronauts-sunita-williams-and | Will astronauts Sunita Williams and Barry Wilmore return to Earth before the end of February 2025? | null | 1,727,215,442,658 | 1,740,808,740,000 | 1,741,197,672,259 | NO | 0.014729 | 8,396.664074 |
gdcsp2n53q | will-i-attend-any-of-lighthavens-et | Will I attend any of Lighthaven's Eternal September? | null | 1,727,213,320,422 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,720,681,737 | NO | 0.021894 | 6,707.163057 |
p0bs34x9sc | will-sean-diddy-combs-be-alive-on-j | Will Sean "Diddy" Combs be alive on Jan 1st 2025? | null | 1,727,206,627,125 | 1,735,880,340,000 | 1,735,955,514,677 | YES | 0.99 | 129,917.535555 |
qqj8qaiacy | will-eliezer-yudkowskys-letter-in-t | Will "Eliezer Yudkowsky’s Letter in Time Magazine" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,727,206,221,218 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,739,304,635,591 | NO | 0.109822 | 305 |
9vq0t4lxw6 | will-there-be-an-attack-on-the-us-c | Will there be an attack on the US capitol on January 6th 2025? | null | 1,727,205,226,758 | 1,736,150,340,000 | 1,736,302,982,061 | NO | 0.01 | 1,692.442347 |
9uqzmkegus | will-the-minnesota-timberwolves-win-49dv06ah5a | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more games than the Dallas Mavericks in the 2024-2025 NBA regular season? | null | 1,727,188,100,823 | 1,744,055,690,775 | 1,744,055,690,775 | YES | 0.99 | 11,573.946522 |
w9eg2eoip1 | will-texas-experience-blackouts-thi-nefd4hnelp | Will Texas experience blackouts this Winter? | null | 1,727,183,392,490 | 1,742,529,540,000 | 1,742,581,240,620 | NO | 0.026306 | 4,359.563544 |
v5pf2uahu8 | will-a-significant-new-format-desig | Will a significant new format designed around cEDH be created by 03/23/25? | null | 1,727,149,340,712 | 1,742,788,740,000 | 1,742,789,973,858 | NO | 0.063435 | 285 |
okwn5xol29 | will-the-open-agency-model-make-the | Will "The Open Agency Model" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,727,131,309,716 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,739,304,531,907 | NO | 0.107352 | 300 |
24npu4qc9y | will-rfk-jr-file-suit-against-olivi | Will RFK Jr file suit against Olivia Nuzzi? | null | 1,727,120,550,843 | 1,751,345,940,000 | 1,751,369,732,247 | NO | 0.012195 | 1,871.997128 |
888ph2d3f7 | will-paper-llms-trained-on-a-is-b-f-3ivhw3jpni | Will "Paper: LLMs trained on “A is B” fail to learn..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,727,114,708,857 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,739,305,392,522 | NO | 0.14 | 0 |
ti9zuqsb62 | will-nadu-winged-wisdom-be-banned-i-8yp0uhrksl | Will Nadu, Winged Wisdom be banned in Brawl by end of 2024? | null | 1,727,109,892,242 | 1,735,714,740,000 | 1,735,733,882,009 | NO | 0.025014 | 5,475 |
9r6s46zi47 | will-tetra-see-that-beautiful-dieca | Will Tetra see that beautiful diecast plane the next time she arrives in the UK? | null | 1,727,102,548,886 | 1,746,472,255,087 | 1,746,472,255,087 | NO | 0.421097 | 30 |
8ug4dhm32f | will-the-farright-german-party-alte | Will the far-right german party, Alternative für Deutschland (AfD), get the most seats in german parliament (2025)? | null | 1,727,090,511,892 | 1,740,845,183,090 | 1,740,845,183,090 | NO | 0.006729 | 10,488.113042 |
g9d1esy1vp | will-magnus-be-taken-off-his-throne | Will Magnus be taken off his throne by the end of 2024 FIDE classic rating? | null | 1,727,086,006,943 | 1,730,519,940,000 | 1,736,267,147,871 | NO | 0.083437 | 6,015.550368 |
zpaelmtxnr | bitcoin-above-60k-on-jan-1-2025 | Bitcoin above $60K on Jan 1, 2025? | null | 1,727,074,645,134 | 1,735,720,958,458 | 1,735,720,958,458 | YES | 0.99 | 168,019.744652 |
nafe3r92g5 | will-there-be-tesla-superchargers-w | Will there be Tesla superchargers with Magic Docks in all 50 states by end of Q1 2025? | null | 1,727,066,054,063 | 1,743,566,340,000 | 1,743,599,274,313 | NO | 0.016731 | 6,934.973204 |
t8wdo153au | will-ai-doom-from-an-llmplateauist | Will "AI doom from an LLM-plateau-ist perspective" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,727,059,468,203 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,739,305,317,830 | NO | 0.111314 | 255 |
s5tfbnqfjh | will-somebody-else-successfully-adm | Will somebody else successfully admit on my account by the end of the year? | null | 1,727,050,796,170 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,776,753,688 | NO | 0.767754 | 155.00004 |
e15y9mnqjp | will-trump-or-kardashian-names-make | Will Trump or Kardashian names make the appearance anywhere in Diddy trial? | null | 1,727,024,247,578 | 1,748,481,630,461 | 1,748,481,630,461 | YES | 0.99 | 1,016.297925 |
96v9w5cdlq | will-shohei-ohtani-have-a-baby-in-t | Will Shohei Ohtani have a baby in the year 2025? | null | 1,727,008,488,400 | 1,745,105,845,078 | 1,745,105,845,078 | YES | 0.99 | 1,628.329102 |
wgmac9l6l7 | collaboration-between-video-generat | Collaboration between video generative AI company and major Hollywood studio before 2025? | null | 1,726,949,916,193 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,736,167,364,120 | NO | 0.096136 | 210 |
f239ngkyip | will-memphis-get-into-the-pac-12-be | Will Memphis get into the PAC 12 before 2025? | null | 1,726,941,829,233 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,776,666,746 | NO | 0.023844 | 5,400 |
y6kqkdeee7 | will-qualcomm-buy-a-part-of-intel | Will Qualcomm buy a part of Intel? | null | 1,726,921,863,846 | 1,737,608,340,000 | 1,737,641,481,833 | NO | 0.027408 | 15,450.392132 |
c63x1yczis | will-there-be-7-living-american-pre | Will there be 7 living American presidents (#HistoricalRecord) at some point in 2025? | null | 1,726,882,371,869 | 1,737,608,340,000 | 1,737,615,742,797 | NO | 0.016363 | 708 |
xh8yxbkq9x | will-the-philadelphia-eagles-win-th-b3uhpqseoi | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2025 Super Bowl? 🦅🏈🏆 | null | 1,726,881,883,688 | 1,739,167,140,000 | 1,739,297,691,249 | YES | 0.99 | 2,943.001791 |
3oh53vxbhf | will-jimmy-carter-become-the-longes-86eisc9pkg | Will Jimmy Carter become the longest-lived U.S. state governor in American history? | null | 1,726,881,066,695 | 1,744,263,964,267 | 1,744,263,964,267 | NO | 0.01 | 903.338556 |
d8hefoxbcb | will-the-saints-have-a-third-40-poi | Will the Saints have a third 40+ point game in the 2024-2025 season? | null | 1,726,878,650,558 | 1,736,255,261,080 | 1,736,255,261,080 | NO | 0.026999 | 6,203.575653 |
j8m7xu9n1n | will-memphis-join-the-big12-confere | Will Memphis join the Big-12 conference by the end of 2024? | null | 1,726,877,315,199 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,776,649,188 | NO | 0.037387 | 410 |
dpfvotlic9 | will-april-fools-definitive-confirm | Will "[April Fools'] Definitive confirmation of sha..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,726,873,305,719 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,739,304,396,081 | NO | 0.068029 | 1,000 |
heoazkzj7m | will-the-founder-of-wetfish-foco-su | Will Wetfish sue Standard Nguyen for libel? | null | 1,726,868,623,580 | 1,739,602,740,000 | 1,739,602,967,576 | NO | 0.390244 | 250 |
olcmerp2np | will-framework-or-another-company-a | Will Framework (or another company) announce a new GPU for their Framework Laptop 16 before the 31. March 2025? | null | 1,726,864,563,696 | 1,743,544,740,000 | 1,743,843,663,913 | NO | 0.094251 | 736.730309 |
y2ll7om6v5 | will-the-uk-accept-an-eu-proposal-f | Will the UK accept an EU proposal for a youth mobility scheme (in 2024)? | null | 1,726,861,257,819 | 1,735,689,540,000 | 1,736,149,852,609 | NO | 0.031529 | 5,968.697671 |
echgx62svs | will-the-eighth-mission-impossible | Will the eighth Mission: Impossible film out gross Dead Reckoning Part One worldwide by the end of its theatrical run? | null | 1,726,856,843,003 | 1,752,027,495,337 | 1,752,027,495,337 | YES | 0.837043 | 1,651.088408 |
l2bqcfgs0f | will-maine-use-winnertakeall-for-th | Will Maine use winner-take-all for the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,726,853,434,833 | 1,735,798,745,608 | 1,735,798,745,608 | NO | 0.01 | 9,731.214223 |
a1gaokvvc8 | will-someone-try-to-hurt-barron-tru | Will someone try to hurt Barron Trump at NYU this year? | null | 1,726,852,281,523 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,748,761,723 | NO | 0.061016 | 9,958.79946 |
atnxrirmsy | will-elon-musk-regret-endorsing-tru | Will Elon Musk regret endorsing Trump, if Trump becomes president | null | 1,726,843,552,597 | 1,749,203,517,562 | 1,749,203,517,562 | YES | 0.971653 | 48,715.151792 |
jsy9tlftg0 | will-diddy-be-alive-in-2025 | Will Diddy be alive in 2025? | null | 1,726,830,433,200 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,737,669,433,436 | YES | 0.99 | 1,097.560528 |
mx280mpwvr | will-november-2024-be-the-hottest-n-lek7hmdnck | Will November 2024 be the hottest November on record? (Resolves from GIStemp data) | null | 1,726,816,413,851 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,737,793,343,749 | NO | 0.01 | 1,192.862829 |
vevcxf6kuv | will-anne-wojcicki-remain-ceo-of-23 | Will Anne Wojcicki remain CEO of 23andMe through the end of 2024? | null | 1,726,796,224,754 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,758,313,566 | YES | 0.99 | 9,746.481042 |
59d4czwrs2 | will-new-lw-feature-debates-make-th | Will "[New LW Feature] "Debates" " make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,726,790,387,605 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,739,304,354,090 | NO | 0.064524 | 1,100 |
gdfh2h6boi | will-israels-proposed-hostagesinwar | Will Israel’s proposed hostage/Sinwar deal be accepted? | null | 1,726,783,108,109 | 1,735,689,540,000 | 1,735,716,484,207 | NO | 0.01 | 898.477615 |
ahp3dexgiq | will-destiny-go-on-joe-rogan-in-202-8e870c46502b--cash | Will Destiny go on Joe Rogan's podcast in 2024? | null | 1,726,780,464,496 | 1,735,711,140,000 | 1,735,761,734,251 | NO | 0.01 | 1,201.517305 |
7r2jxweq58 | can-an-llm-beat-me-in-chess | Can an LLM beat me in chess? | null | 1,726,758,775,597 | 1,735,689,540,000 | 1,736,123,981,399 | NO | 0.10361 | 283.772445 |
kvt15ouqxk | will-sweepstakes-launch-for-finland | Will Sweepstakes launch for Finland residents before my $120.84 airdrop disappears? | null | 1,726,754,333,454 | 1,735,843,585,044 | 1,735,843,585,044 | NO | 0.01 | 897.299038 |
oxcm9yvrs9 | will-there-be-a-model-with-a-69-cha | Will there be a model with a 69%+ Chatbot Arena win rate against gpt-o1 before June 1st, 2025? | null | 1,726,732,365,757 | 1,748,169,877,395 | 1,748,169,884,404 | YES | 0.955511 | 24,383.124302 |
bgpllgh688 | will-sue-gray-be-downing-street-chi | Will Sue Gray be Downing Street Chief of Staff on 1st March 2025? | null | 1,726,731,567,193 | 1,740,825,966,709 | 1,740,825,966,709 | NO | 0.01 | 13,065.920881 |
5oqejqyuc2 | poland-will-the-winner-of-president | [POLAND] Will the winner of presidential elections in 2025 get less than 51% of votes in the runoff? | null | 1,726,726,783,799 | 1,748,728,740,000 | 1,748,846,227,672 | YES | 0.39 | 2,795.732629 |
ectafw6spf | will-an-ai-win-a-gold-medal-on-the-fc04e26738c6--cash | Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2025? | null | 1,726,715,563,426 | 1,735,752,347,744 | 1,735,845,827,111 | NO | 0.004212 | 2,998.633421 |
thmnigrnb0 | no-way-i-usapho-camp | no way i usapho camp | null | 1,726,704,351,738 | 1,746,294,823,379 | 1,746,294,823,379 | NO | 0.104544 | 485 |
67ioearfr8 | will-guantanamo-bay-be-closed-by-th | Will Guantanamo Bay be closed by the time Joe Biden's term ends? | null | 1,726,702,575,714 | 1,737,402,294,733 | 1,737,402,294,733 | NO | 0.01 | 10,897.917755 |
hq7q5xdnhs | will-i-usaco-camp-fr | Will I usaco camp fr | null | 1,726,697,825,398 | 1,746,294,795,049 | 1,746,294,795,049 | NO | 0.012265 | 8,229.745561 |
hnxbala56m | will-i-make-usaco-camp-20242025 | Will I make USACO Camp 2024-2025? | null | 1,726,686,944,319 | 1,745,813,804,009 | 1,745,813,804,009 | YES | 0.99 | 39,222.083061 |
w5vttqsber | will-i-make-usapho-camp | Will I make USAPHO Camp? | null | 1,726,686,896,231 | 1,747,609,651,693 | 1,747,609,651,693 | NO | 0.103456 | 11,840.887421 |
l3pwcwxdpt | if-i-get-a-prescription-from-my-pri | If I get a prescription from my private doctor, will I get my shared care agreement restarted? | null | 1,726,682,651,064 | 1,735,689,540,000 | 1,738,351,518,036 | NO | 0.234834 | 825 |
uks00on9gi | will-sparse-autoencoders-find-highl | Will "Sparse Autoencoders Find Highly Interpretable..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,726,674,302,021 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,739,304,630,662 | NO | 0.1217 | 150 |
8uj95y2gpd | did-adrian-wojnarowski-retire-becau | Did Adrian Wojnarowski retire because of a scandal that will shortly be revealed about him? | null | 1,726,672,677,722 | 1,740,815,940,000 | 1,740,875,518,624 | NO | 0.122629 | 1,812.727191 |
8easo5yaso | will-i-be-able-to-create-a-sweepcas | Will I be able to create a Sweepcash market by 2026? | null | 1,726,672,539,596 | 1,741,019,927,497 | 1,741,059,954,775 | YES | 0.073539 | 19,173.054629 |
rzaa8blgsq | will-erling-haaland-score-25-premie | Will Erling Haaland score 25 Premier League goals this season before a new U.S. President is inaugurated? | null | 1,726,670,955,666 | 1,737,435,540,000 | 1,737,441,661,640 | NO | 0.009587 | 10,182.445718 |
8b6rdp4x6d | will-the-film-that-wins-the-2025-be | Will the film that wins the 2025 Best Picture Golden Globe win the Best Picture Oscar? | null | 1,726,668,972,848 | 1,740,959,940,000 | 1,744,919,689,063 | NO | 0.195629 | 259.120161 |
iua7isswsn | will-an-aigenerated-voice-be-used-i | Will an AI-generated voice be used in a televised political advertisement for any U.S. election in 2024? | null | 1,726,663,962,765 | 1,739,365,726,599 | 1,739,365,726,599 | NO | 0.43 | 255.205883 |
jtcbs646h1 | will-taylor-swift-release-a-new-son-8vje31zeq9 | Will Taylor Swift release a new song by December 31, 2024 that references recent political events? | null | 1,726,663,368,314 | 1,737,272,737,179 | 1,737,272,737,179 | NO | 0.01292 | 16,986.249001 |
kaoj7etn17 | will-amazons-project-kuiper-attempt | Will Amazon's Project Kuiper attempt to launch their first batch of satellites before January 1, 2025? | null | 1,726,653,107,231 | 1,735,734,947,970 | 1,735,734,947,970 | NO | 0.01 | 11,016.268478 |
ugwbqz7fam | will-sweepstakes-launch-for-german | Will Sweepstakes launch for German residents before my $79.75 airdrop disappears? | null | 1,726,647,720,025 | 1,735,815,143,274 | 1,735,815,143,274 | NO | 0.12 | 2,049.656445 |
2bhb5wooau | will-ethbtc-trade-below-002500-befo | Will ETH/BTC trade below 0.02500 before the end of 2024? | null | 1,726,633,166,332 | 1,735,714,623,965 | 1,735,714,638,948 | NO | 0.057992 | 4,410.902531 |
5f87qb2snz | will-the-toronto-maple-leafs-with-t | Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the next Stanley Cup | null | 1,726,630,900,642 | 1,747,623,340,860 | 1,747,623,340,860 | NO | 0.041363 | 1,299.705256 |
6j0tzy2y43 | will-be-legal-in-the-usa-on-every-d | Will 𝕏 be legal in the USA on every day from now until Wednesday April 30, 2025? | null | 1,726,629,433,704 | 1,746,082,740,000 | 1,746,105,289,950 | YES | 0.99 | 899.588707 |
odboqdkv0f | did-taiwan-help-israel-use-pagers-t | Did Taiwan help Israel use pagers to attack Hezbollah? | null | 1,726,624,046,710 | 1,735,660,740,000 | 1,735,898,859,854 | NO | 0.020578 | 6,327.425681 |
jq1qa4vqo4 | will-a-selfreferential-market-becom | Will a self-referential market become a sweepstakes market, in 2024? | null | 1,726,623,189,346 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,732,630,957 | NO | 0.01 | 1,581.008436 |
g51sk3yyof | will-sweepstakes-launch-for-uk-resi | Will Sweepstakes launch for UK residents before my $75 'gift' expires/disappears? | null | 1,726,616,815,138 | 1,739,404,897,196 | 1,739,404,897,196 | NO | 0.01 | 15,080.964932 |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.