id stringlengths 9 20 | slug stringlengths 4 54 | question stringlengths 1 120 | firstGroup float64 | createdTime int64 1,715B 1,752B | closeTime int64 1,717B 1,752B | resolvedTime int64 1,736B 1,752B | resolution stringclasses 2 values | resolutionProbability float64 0 1 | volume float64 0 6.93M |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ln4x0w69wl | will-the-upcoming-minecraft-be-sign | Will the upcoming Minecraft movie be significantly changed or delayed in response to criticism? | null | 1,725,519,605,799 | 1,743,803,940,000 | 1,743,804,478,373 | NO | 0.014164 | 12,956.198967 |
f213wtf61j | will-safe-superintelligence-have-mo | Will Safe Superintelligence have more than 100 employees by mid-2025? | null | 1,725,515,606,811 | 1,751,353,140,000 | 1,752,035,340,686 | NO | 0.164386 | 3,033.966989 |
gk05ncy0lw | will-a-minecraft-movie-outperform-s | Will 'A Minecraft Movie' outperform 'Sonic 3' at the worldwide box office? | null | 1,725,506,367,585 | 1,746,891,827,268 | 1,746,891,827,268 | YES | 0.98823 | 19,889.488331 |
tg5ftixeyq | will-lauren-chen-be-indicted-by-the | Will Lauren Chen be indicted by the end of 2024 in connection with Tenet media? | null | 1,725,504,247,208 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,736,008,953,744 | YES | 0.895275 | 215 |
eskd2ockzc | will-tim-pool-benny-johnson-or-dave | Will Tim Pool, Benny Johnson, or Dave Rubin be indicted for their work with Tenet media by the end of 2024? | null | 1,725,502,659,576 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,736,008,963,146 | NO | 0.183172 | 2,288.981507 |
tke27dzar8 | 202425-nfl-season-will-there-be-a-p | 2024-25 NFL season: Will there be a prime number of Amazon Prime primetime prime games? | null | 1,725,500,165,149 | 1,736,655,007,380 | 1,736,655,007,380 | NO | 0.01 | 10,725.199583 |
cv8krqfwdr | will-donald-trump-leave-the-country-rbih7asd | Will Donald Trump leave the country by the end of 2025? | null | 1,725,499,666,688 | 1,746,392,886,048 | 1,746,392,886,048 | YES | 0.9764 | 893.05646 |
ccum8h9s2e | will-how-to-bounded-distrust-make-t | Will "How to Bounded Distrust" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,725,498,727,132 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,738,964,550,652 | NO | 0.22056 | 90.508529 |
18bgv27wzv | will-any-nfl-player-make-a-field-go | Will any NFL player make a field goal 66 yards or longer in the 2024-25 season? | null | 1,725,460,061,552 | 1,739,284,021,632 | 1,739,284,021,632 | NO | 0.01 | 9,661.282387 |
e3dnzbz5pc | will-taylor-swift-attend-the-2024-s | Will Taylor Swift attend the 2024 Super Bowl? | null | 1,725,452,444,302 | 1,739,205,229,284 | 1,739,205,229,284 | YES | 0.99 | 2,905.97752 |
007eqa0dn5 | will-the-de-minimus-tariff-exceptio | Will the "de minimus" tariff exception be eliminated by the end of 2025? | null | 1,725,408,268,408 | 1,738,725,726,659 | 1,738,725,726,659 | YES | 0.79832 | 224.111966 |
lxic627kyr | will-the-chiefs-make-it-to-the-supe | Will the Chiefs make it to the Super Bowl again in 2025? | null | 1,725,404,273,213 | 1,737,997,942,809 | 1,737,997,942,809 | YES | 0.999941 | 37,328.116913 |
3ucdrrb9rg | will-the-la-rioja-currency-the-chac | Will the La Rioja currency the "chacho" default in December? | null | 1,725,400,879,345 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,785,975,658 | NO | 0.279921 | 700 |
1ykv5sckyj | will-request-stop-advancing-ai-capa | Will "Request: stop advancing AI capabilities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,725,396,162,511 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,738,964,563,148 | NO | 0.053321 | 1,500 |
31v4i4m6ml | will-x-payments-get-a-money-transmi | Will X Payments get a money transmitter license from NY by the end of 2024? | null | 1,725,395,400,927 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,737,578,144,299 | NO | 0.077819 | 245 |
bf1gp20p4m | will-notre-dame-stay-ranked-in-the | Will Notre Dame stay ranked in the AP Top 25 throughout the entire 2024 NCAA FBS college football season, including CFP? | null | 1,725,391,421,938 | 1,736,497,805,718 | 1,736,497,805,718 | YES | 0.99 | 1,380.886751 |
2twl4kadmi | will-i-qualify-for-imo-2025-7b8hrv5qlq | Will I qualify for IMO 2025? | null | 1,725,383,322,150 | 1,745,767,228,863 | 1,745,767,239,653 | YES | 0.560857 | 236 |
qtcpmwqb62 | which-team-will-win-a-greater-perce | Baltimore Bird Off (KAW!): Will the Orioles (YES) win a greater percent of their games than the Ravens (NO)? | null | 1,725,332,080,417 | 1,737,082,896,878 | 1,737,082,896,878 | NO | 0.01 | 1,073.272796 |
q4geqwzp08 | will-taylor-swift-and-travis-kelce-cwcc0k3jkd | Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce appear in a commercial together by the end of 2024? | null | 1,725,329,873,588 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,736,021,219,371 | NO | 0.01 | 3,861.238893 |
pizq9dippc | will-taylor-swift-perform-at-the-su | Will Taylor Swift perform at the Super Bowl halftime show? | null | 1,725,329,484,106 | 1,739,163,540,000 | 1,739,205,236,682 | NO | 0.01 | 6,329.439414 |
b2ugsd1kq5 | will-tetra-stargaze-in-an-area-at-b | Will Tetra stargaze in an area at Bortle level 4 or below by the end of 2024? | null | 1,725,307,406,922 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,738,110,562 | NO | 0.246018 | 115.965382 |
sceggmblu1 | will-there-be-a-government-shutdown-fz4ec4obxs | Will there be a government shutdown before March 2025? | null | 1,725,289,394,675 | 1,740,805,140,000 | 1,740,806,805,858 | NO | 0.01 | 48,938.700763 |
uztmnq4h2i | will-what-i-would-do-if-i-wasnt-at | Will "What I would do if I wasn’t at ARC Evals" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,725,280,901,038 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,738,964,574,941 | NO | 0.126135 | 110 |
ban3xa7g4h | will-destiny-reach-900k-subscribers-8pjwpqr5p5 | Will Destiny reach 900k subscribers by the end of the year? | null | 1,725,277,744,998 | 1,735,689,540,000 | 1,736,115,048,218 | NO | 0.01 | 2,065.266036 |
9k9wu6u6ga | will-more-than-five-people-be-succe | Will more than five people be successfully prosecuted for the viral Chase bank check fraud? | null | 1,725,269,456,602 | 1,747,601,940,000 | 1,749,345,496,872 | NO | 0.070637 | 2,291.02707 |
o7tmwmspnf | will-adbe-return-to-650-before-the | Will $ADBE hit $650 before the end of 2024? | null | 1,725,238,838,224 | 1,735,793,940,000 | 1,735,824,181,772 | NO | 0.044873 | 445 |
9en5slnlm8 | will-i-sleep-with-someone-from-a-co | Will I sleep with someone from a conference? | null | 1,725,236,842,799 | 1,741,483,902,802 | 1,741,483,902,802 | YES | 0.624633 | 1,049.618016 |
afgwvc3im0 | will-i-spend-real-money-on-manifold | Will I spend real money on Manifold by the end of the year? | null | 1,725,232,545,867 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,744,890,961 | NO | 0.197097 | 184.429122 |
nhnn6woyqq | will-solutions-for-deep-learning-fo-d5r3u8qo6z | Will solutions for "Deep Learning: Foundations and Concepts" be available on the book’s website by January 1, 2025? | null | 1,725,229,655,539 | 1,735,772,340,000 | 1,735,810,237,410 | NO | 0.1 | 2,000 |
sxn4jtgril | will-any-country-arrest-another-bil | Will any country arrest another billionaire this year? | null | 1,725,224,992,099 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,736,265,072,966 | NO | 0.441667 | 213.09085 |
nif5un6g5x | will-any-of-the-remaining-hostages | Will any of the remaining hostages taken by Hamas on October 7 return home alive before the end of 2024? | null | 1,725,221,796,026 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,697,292,322 | NO | 0.034633 | 16,472.660094 |
x11yusow3i | will-taylor-swift-announce-new-conc | Will Taylor Swift announce new concerts in Vienna until 2026? | null | 1,725,212,889,768 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,739,196,899,574 | NO | 0.831843 | 125 |
sqc7dzpurw | android-llm-backed-keyboard-availab | Android LLM backed keyboard available by end 2024 | null | 1,725,194,312,452 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,730,658,682 | NO | 0.278432 | 615 |
rzj4m1kv5v | will-a-member-of-united-states-hous | Will a member of United States House of Representatives die in 2025? | null | 1,725,193,842,041 | 1,741,248,503,061 | 1,741,248,503,061 | YES | 0.983348 | 6,757 |
1mfbiytd3e | will-jadon-sancho-win-more-trophies | Will Jadon Sancho win more trophies than Manchester United in the 2024/25 season? | null | 1,725,177,896,685 | 1,748,469,582,234 | 1,748,469,582,234 | YES | 0.421633 | 55 |
etwquzn3hb | set-and-get-my-burpee-goal-at-least-0lq6p6tny3 | Set and get my burpee goal at least 3 weeks this month? | null | 1,725,177,658,123 | 1,727,755,200,000 | 1,736,027,401,381 | NO | 0.489008 | 23 |
u36yupood6 | will-i-judge-that-some-of-my-ocdrel | Will I judge that some of my OCD-related fears have 'come true' by the end of the year? | null | 1,725,169,107,287 | 1,735,649,940,000 | 1,736,916,393,164 | NO | 0.120522 | 3,736.857865 |
3o819ol5xo | who-to-stop-monkeypox-outbreak-in-s | Who to stop monkeypox outbreak in six months? | null | 1,725,141,259,518 | 1,735,700,340,000 | 1,741,367,445,888 | NO | 0.249889 | 751 |
pf8ayrrdlc | will-the-gaza-polio-campaign-go-mos | Will the Gaza Polio campaign go (mostly) successfully? | null | 1,725,123,130,255 | 1,733,039,940,000 | 1,747,162,389,497 | YES | 0.836179 | 3,417.311279 |
7otntqgmc9 | will-a-member-of-united-states-cong-usb9ympnzk | Will a member of United States congress die in 2025? | null | 1,725,121,624,877 | 1,741,298,144,845 | 1,741,298,144,845 | YES | 0.99 | 10,218.98106 |
iwng0f1zn4 | will-imagen-34-still-have-issues-wi | Will imagen 3/4 still have issues with "diversity"? | null | 1,725,088,885,067 | 1,737,413,086,568 | 1,737,413,086,568 | NO | 0.62504 | 30 |
7kqk00kacd | will-doug-ford-and-the-ontario-pc-p | Will Doug Ford and the Ontario PC Party win the next Provincial election? | null | 1,725,070,650,799 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,745,440,566,849 | YES | 0.709228 | 75 |
qdnnki0ts9 | will-the-average-rental-price-for-a-43njd1ym40 | Will the average rental price for a studio in Hoboken NJ be higher than one in Jersey City at the end of December 2024? | null | 1,725,066,538,555 | 1,735,697,280,000 | 1,736,009,428,741 | YES | 0.747 | 76 |
nf2zyrwg99 | will-the-kursk-nuclear-power-plant | Will the Kursk nuclear power plant experience a meltdown? | null | 1,725,037,532,434 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,737,061,732,102 | NO | 0.069844 | 268.627717 |
s0mc82rk41 | will-an-elon-musk-tweet-get-a-commu | Will an Elon Musk tweet get a community note between September and EOY 2024? | null | 1,725,030,017,691 | 1,735,763,815,140 | 1,735,763,815,140 | YES | 0.983399 | 973 |
p2ndk376w3 | will-invulnerable-incomplete-prefer | Will "Invulnerable Incomplete Preferences:
A Forma..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,725,027,343,182 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,738,964,590,148 | NO | 0.10324 | 350 |
dcw8cd2htk | will-the-upcoming-state-elections-i | Will the upcoming state elections in Thuringia and Saxony give rise to at least one CDU-led minority government? | null | 1,725,019,883,481 | 1,733,007,540,000 | 1,737,796,018,424 | NO | 0.913008 | 1,039.797691 |
n1leuxaauz | will-joe-biden-pardon-donald-trump | Will Joe Biden pardon Donald Trump before leaving office? | null | 1,725,010,688,492 | 1,737,397,264,652 | 1,737,397,264,652 | NO | 0.01 | 232,408.498054 |
duqi4pzlvp | will-a-major-tech-company-announce-t3as0ea7e4 | Will a major tech company announce a significant new AI regulation compliance feature by the end of 2024? | null | 1,725,001,772,779 | 1,735,768,740,000 | 1,735,807,377,209 | NO | 0.066487 | 316 |
y2petg37wv | polymarket-linked-will-apple-invest | [Polymarket -linked] Will Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024? | null | 1,724,968,551,126 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,736,056,578,507 | NO | 0.02215 | 1,165.348639 |
fkpxh6a1u5 | will-the-vix-index-close-above-30-a | Will the VIX index close above 30 at any point in 2024? | null | 1,724,956,002,259 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,852,749,063 | NO | 0.01 | 1,598.359644 |
2u51nzx2ay | will-any-of-azncga-states-that-neve | Will any of AZ/NC/GA vote more democratic than any of the "blue wall" states in 2024? | null | 1,724,955,119,885 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,744,416,095,145 | NO | 0.025 | 1,124.640588 |
gw9ejfqw12 | will-donald-trump-call-for-violence | Will Donald Trump call for violence before the next inauguration? | null | 1,724,946,623,353 | 1,737,439,140,000 | 1,737,522,644,336 | NO | 0.020952 | 24,061.674075 |
z93u9j2in3 | will-iran-possess-a-nuke-before-202 | Will Iran possess a nuke before 2025? | null | 1,724,945,290,023 | 1,739,799,733,050 | 1,739,799,733,050 | NO | 0.01 | 1,372.857425 |
w8e4nh8vxq | will-the-rba-reduce-the-cash-rate-b | Will the RBA reduce the cash rate by end of 2024? | null | 1,724,928,824,114 | 1,735,649,940,000 | 1,736,547,377,907 | NO | 0.036205 | 608.690776 |
a4lxhx0c9j | pavel-durov-leaves-france-in-2024 | Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024? | null | 1,724,906,732,152 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,736,897,224,081 | NO | 0.012437 | 37,074.558669 |
bx4hxqzfhg | will-semgrep-upgrade-library-x-to-2 | Will Semgrep upgrade library X to 2.0 by 2025? | null | 1,724,893,045,162 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,736,151,397,102 | NO | 0.19149 | 291.219104 |
0ajoy0i3ky | will-the-next-israelhamas-ceasefire | Will the next Israel:Hamas ceasefire list a specific number of days? | null | 1,724,864,131,905 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,738,730,407,214 | YES | 0.798037 | 115 |
gyfbz8dfot | will-belarus-invade-ukraine-by-the-0qzmue5dqx | Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2024? | null | 1,724,862,702,656 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,746,645,859,665 | NO | 0.022077 | 7,688.81117 |
1kuycr5nsf | will-why-not-just-outsource-alignme | Will "Why Not Just Outsource Alignment Research To ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,724,842,643,812 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,738,964,600,475 | NO | 0.15 | 12.040495 |
vox93id8pr | will-waymo-expand-its-service-area | Will Waymo expand its Bay Area service area by the time Tetra is next in the Bay? | null | 1,724,821,960,378 | 1,739,852,041,091 | 1,739,852,041,091 | NO | 0.66339 | 125 |
wpc51mcqs1 | will-ether-usd-outperform-bitcoin-u | Will Ether (USD) outperform Bitcoin (USD) in the period 01/10/2024 - 31/12/2024? | null | 1,724,807,278,221 | 1,735,700,340,000 | 1,736,133,240,016 | NO | 0.191954 | 173.766413 |
zo13b739ob | will-we-find-the-wreckage-of-aislan | Will we find the wreckage of Aisland 1 by January 1 2025? | null | 1,724,803,443,779 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,734,244,591 | NO | 0.182097 | 1,232.610104 |
ujn1r4umfe | will-we-get-funding-for-our-voyage | Will we get funding for our voyage to the Saya de Malha by January 1 2025? | null | 1,724,803,424,452 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,734,250,339 | NO | 0.34564 | 645 |
231nznnycm | will-evidence-that-samuele-tried-to | Will evidence that Samuele tried to fake his own death be found by January 1 2025? | null | 1,724,803,375,949 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,734,256,612 | NO | 0.026595 | 5,321.925196 |
fya4iltouy | will-samuele-landi-be-found-alive-b | Will Samuele Landi be found alive by January 1 2025? | null | 1,724,803,341,048 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,734,234,906 | NO | 0.022682 | 52,069.91281 |
axm67uvck6 | will-my-next-endoscopy-still-show-u | Will my next endoscopy still show up LA-D esophagitis? | null | 1,724,799,954,897 | 1,739,666,281,698 | 1,739,666,281,698 | NO | 0.430357 | 301 |
3pz9ldxhye | will-i-saw-the-tv-glow-be-nominated | Will I Saw the TV Glow be nominated for any of the six major awards at the 97th Academy Awards? | null | 1,724,788,443,140 | 1,737,641,173,018 | 1,737,641,173,018 | NO | 0.019469 | 6,129 |
n4p6xol357 | will-manifold-give-me-a-million-man | Will Manifold give me a million Manas for this question? | null | 1,724,777,154,873 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,737,835,185,896 | NO | 0.070136 | 685.60713 |
ew9olyt7sv | more-than-100-countries-with-new-mp | More than 100 countries with new Mpox cases in 2024, according to WHO? | null | 1,724,774,788,245 | 1,736,755,140,000 | 1,740,405,384,976 | NO | 0.024013 | 540 |
gysm9cbgov | will-barton-bmorphism-hire-alex-k-c | Will Barton (@bmorphism) hire Alex K Chen to help him escape a manifold market addiction? | null | 1,724,737,791,538 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,736,792,493,348 | NO | 0.183936 | 1,411.193775 |
juzqdggxt3 | kamala-harris-carries-out-price-con | Kamala Harris carries out price controls in first term | null | 1,724,733,319,375 | 1,739,768,528,287 | 1,739,768,531,482 | NO | 0.134841 | 345 |
2ngm10axsp | will-my-friend-learn-her-online-fri | Will my friend learn her online friend has a crush on her within the next year? | null | 1,724,731,140,412 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,726,412,104 | NO | 0.595474 | 22 |
6mjpz0lbis | during-2024-will-a-us-ship-clash-wi-mcj3x8fgcy | During 2024, will a US ship clash with a Chinese ship at Sabina Shoal? | null | 1,724,729,075,058 | 1,735,660,740,000 | 1,735,898,909,184 | NO | 0.138673 | 152 |
4bpmjufb7n | will-a-filipino-chinese-or-us-natio-z8nzsockye | Will a Filipino, Chinese or US national be killed on or near Sabine Shoal before 2025? | null | 1,724,728,300,159 | 1,735,747,140,000 | 1,735,898,943,710 | NO | 0.128636 | 219.862391 |
mu37cof96m | will-iron-deficiencies-are-very-bad | Will "Iron deficiencies are very bad and you should..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,724,721,312,407 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,738,964,606,357 | NO | 0.2 | 345.981902 |
701yugfgjr | will-vanderpump-rules-return-for-se | Will Vanderpump Rules return for Season 12? | null | 1,724,694,642,084 | 1,735,755,105,118 | 1,735,755,105,118 | YES | 0.99 | 8,950.37809 |
zbxppwj83k | will-i-get-a-donationpayment-of-110 | Will i get a Donation/Payment of 10000 or more Mana before 2025? | null | 1,724,683,679,731 | 1,735,685,999,000 | 1,735,705,725,647 | YES | 0.990075 | 137,815.245981 |
1vgbk5dxhq | will-ay-least-4-people-from-my-curr | Will at least 4 people from my current gold league make it to masters by the end of the year? | null | 1,724,668,426,489 | 1,735,689,540,000 | 1,735,880,686,294 | YES | 0.020987 | 585 |
awu6w312l0 | will-jet-lag-the-game-return-to-jap | Will Jet Lag: The Game return to Japan in 2025? | null | 1,724,668,061,661 | 1,735,862,100,083 | 1,735,862,100,083 | YES | 0.924455 | 341 |
s7z05zlksn | will-grok-3-release-before-mamma-mi | Will Grok 3 release before Mamma Mia 3? | null | 1,724,644,209,504 | 1,740,369,232,075 | 1,740,369,232,075 | YES | 0.984939 | 1,102.006261 |
ox4eltmmjc | will-berkshire-hathaway-close-2024 | Will Berkshire Hathaway close 2024 with a market cap of at least $1 trillion? | null | 1,724,637,001,783 | 1,735,711,140,000 | 1,735,786,346,729 | NO | 0.018514 | 7,009.623451 |
py7zt9gi8t | will-either-of-the-hard-fork-hosts | Will either of the Hard Fork hosts make new predictions on Manifold in 2024? | null | 1,724,636,162,970 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,736,010,442,842 | NO | 0.023098 | 705 |
vc92lm2gif | polymarket-to-emergency-resolve-a-m | Polymarket to Emergency Resolve a market to overturn a UMA decision in 2024? | null | 1,724,634,548,018 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,750,483,400 | NO | 0.026264 | 5,516 |
c7l2tpwt5v | will-anyone-file-a-suit-against-pol | Will anyone file a suit against Polymarket or UMA for how markets are resolved in 2024? | null | 1,724,630,276,106 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,737,006,810,268 | NO | 0.077035 | 2,560 |
sl4b8tys9s | will-the-6d-effect-when-companies-t | Will "The 6D effect: When companies take risks, one..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,724,629,271,121 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,738,964,613,649 | NO | 0.2 | 65.508529 |
vd1gxqel8p | will-the-6d-effect-when-companies-t | Will "The 6D effect: When companies take risks, one..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,724,629,270,680 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,738,964,625,892 | NO | 0.14 | 0 |
zy2i7sdzhy | will-we-have-a-bet-with-the-word-fe | Will we have a market with the word "femboy" in the title achieve 50+ traders here in manifold during this year? | null | 1,724,627,327,517 | 1,735,700,340,000 | 1,735,701,595,653 | NO | 0.166361 | 215 |
lva1446ne5 | will-austin-let-me-and-my-friends-c | Will Austin let me and my friends cowork at the Manifold office today? | null | 1,724,618,312,914 | 1,724,741,940,000 | 1,741,579,317,734 | YES | 0.595722 | 5,080.086574 |
jp0y992u1e | will-ten-thousand-years-of-solitude | Will "Ten Thousand Years of Solitude" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,724,613,889,472 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,738,964,632,602 | NO | 0.089691 | 544.253555 |
khhzuqbefx | will-the-game-rimworld-receive-a-ne | Will the game Rimworld have a new DLC announced in 2025? | null | 1,724,611,847,883 | 1,749,505,960,872 | 1,749,505,960,872 | YES | 0.99 | 1,131.80291 |
1citkm8jtr | will-yoyo-yuan-and-barton-rhodes-en | Will Yoyo Yuan and Barton Rhodes end up dating? | null | 1,724,588,796,918 | 1,741,884,534,459 | 1,741,884,534,459 | NO | 0.069174 | 270 |
1u32c010i1 | will-i-still-be-using-paying-cursor-8skts5hiro | Will I still be using / paying cursor by end of 2025? | null | 1,724,587,844,668 | 1,744,697,030,113 | 1,744,697,030,113 | NO | 0.079478 | 297.527078 |
m4zwllt2bf | will-stuxnet-not-skynet-humanitys-d | Will "Stuxnet, not Skynet: Humanity's disempowermen..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,724,582,194,312 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,738,964,639,036 | NO | 0.107352 | 300 |
ayqwrzma5s | will-pavel-durov-telegram-founder-b | Will Pavel Durov (Telegram founder) be under arrest or otherwise detained at the end of 2024? | null | 1,724,563,561,740 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,735,150,232 | YES | 0.976703 | 116,954.874583 |
3s3dsap2uu | uma-overturn-a-polymarket-clarifica | UMA overturn a Polymarket clarification in 2024? | null | 1,724,560,049,099 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,750,238,721 | NO | 0.006584 | 19,880.129589 |
e28717zwdk | will-the-phoenix-suns-make-500-midr | Will the Phoenix Suns make 500 midrange field goals in the 2024-25 NBA regular season? | null | 1,724,558,435,828 | 1,745,792,672,284 | 1,745,792,672,284 | NO | 0.019685 | 1,203.375268 |
hntm4fviby | will-chapelle-roan-put-out-new-musi | Will Chappell Roan put out new music in the next year? | null | 1,724,556,912,530 | 1,751,985,723,912 | 1,751,985,723,912 | YES | 0.99 | 1,079.038353 |
firy8uivfn | will-manifold-poker-be-released-by | Will Manifold Poker be released by the end of 2024? | null | 1,724,553,179,977 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,775,193,396 | NO | 0.012064 | 899.557701 |
jddp964m96 | will-i-see-sg-in-nyc-again-before-t | Will I see SG in NYC again before the end of the year ? | null | 1,724,546,588,224 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,775,198,027 | NO | 0.034138 | 510.667085 |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.