Datasets:
CK0607
/
closed-manifold

Dataset card Data Studio Files
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qQspNEuy5t
can-i-pronounce-the-prime-minister
Can I pronounce the prime Minister of Canada's name after the election?
null
1,745,528,772,564
1,745,844,540,000
1,745,942,523,689
YES
0.836686
1,401.100986
lCC6zsS9d2
will-bloc-quebecois-get-the-3rd-mos
Will Bloc Québécois get the 3rd most seats in the Canadian Election?
null
1,745,524,658,176
1,745,881,140,000
1,745,904,755,062
YES
0.96
14,745.492701
9PhzPAOs8t
will-i-study-for-1-hour-per-day-unt
Will I study for 1 hour per day until May?
null
1,745,509,502,246
1,746,017,976,702
1,746,017,976,702
YES
0.960032
5,231.515061
E0ApNqOt0C
coinflip-R56S6yhhsQ
Coinflip
null
1,745,492,752,656
1,745,554,610,447
1,745,554,616,245
NO
0.5
169.462156
QdPlqPR6sQ
will-peter-dutton-remain-leader-of
Will Peter Dutton remain leader of the Liberal Party of Australia for longer than Scott Morrison was able to?
null
1,745,492,307,600
1,750,209,626,975
1,750,209,626,975
NO
0.01
1,011.553996
u6LdPlUt5Z
yes-or-no-will-there-be-50-or-more
Will there be 50 or more strong (EF2+) tornadoes in the continental US During May 2025.
null
1,745,486,394,424
1,748,771,738,815
1,748,771,753,464
NO
0.228441
304.012094
EZdlyRURUI
will-the-april-24-2025-money-stuff
Will the April 24 2025 Money Stuff newsletter talk about Trump having dinner with the wealthiest Trump memecoin holders?
null
1,745,473,427,347
1,745,517,887,021
1,745,517,887,021
YES
0.569618
76
hR8lhRO9gz
do-professional-economic-forecaster
Do professional economic forecasters expect a US recession (two quarters negative GDP growth) to begin in 2025?
null
1,745,456,790,092
1,747,404,313,512
1,747,404,313,512
NO
0.01
201,827.802948
CO5ZAEIQtg
bitcoin-price-above-100000-on-june
Bitcoin price above $100,000 on June 30, 2025
null
1,745,451,777,670
1,751,327,940,000
1,751,423,017,698
YES
0.99
2,800.780752
dtLpQ5ANuE
will-faith-kipyegon-become-the-firs
Will Faith Kipyegon become the first woman to break four minutes in the mile as part of the Breaking4 project?
null
1,745,451,490,248
1,750,963,374,596
1,750,963,374,596
NO
0.01
6,735.780052
2ShOQLlshh
short-fuse-will-i-be-able-to-get-a
[short fuse] Will I be able to get a Nintendo Switch 2 preorder on the first day?
null
1,745,451,472,886
1,745,510,732,738
1,745,510,732,738
YES
0.99
2,580.034286
96PspEE2Eh
will-manifold-mods-do-anything-abou
Will Manifold mods do anything about fraudulent activity on their platform by the end of April?
null
1,745,446,961,638
1,745,607,721,610
1,745,607,721,610
YES
0.986867
1,160.137576
CUEScy682N
trump-approval-rating-445-or-higher
Trump approval rating 44.5% or higher on May 20th?
null
1,745,446,171,531
1,747,810,799,000
1,747,823,147,973
YES
0.994935
73,735.599606
8ZPZyQAN2y
mat157-final-exam-curved
MAT157 final exam curved?
null
1,745,428,611,808
1,746,162,731,370
1,746,162,731,370
NO
0.068121
12,828.255579
6CzdZNhAqA
will-i-play-magic-the-gathering-thi-2CPpRLyqZ9
Will I play Magic the Gathering this week?
null
1,745,420,911,392
1,745,884,740,000
1,745,986,511,731
YES
0.488303
115
nucyhuNEQd
autism-will-happen-on-the-19th-of-j
Autism Will Happen On The 19th Of July 2026.
null
1,745,412,646,220
1,750,446,074,404
1,750,446,074,404
NO
0.01
1,458.764942
gPs5SUulEU
btc-price-below-95k-before-april-25
BTC price below $95k before April 25?
null
1,745,408,880,504
1,745,518,107,093
1,745,518,107,093
YES
0.99
16,467.90895
CP2ZdNn6Lu
daily-coinflip-Ng0NyNUuI6
Daily coinflip
null
1,745,395,678,159
1,745,553,540,000
1,745,558,232,812
YES
0.504975
1,701.621566
LqL8RsQCqL
will-corn-like-the-tea-more-with-oa
Will Corn like the tea more with oat milk added?
null
1,745,375,673,128
1,745,375,981,892
1,745,375,990,628
YES
0.423529
100
Apqy8OLUAZ
pierre-poilievre-loses-his-own-hous
Pierre Poilievre loses his own House seat in this election?
null
1,745,374,106,859
1,745,945,188,528
1,745,945,188,528
YES
0.996087
2,306.955808
EEgl5SPSnR
will-the-next-popes-prepapal-name-b
Will the next Pope's pre-papal name be Peter?
null
1,745,360,392,574
1,746,724,858,569
1,746,724,858,569
NO
0.023999
1,203.564032
8N9QAst0ph
will-there-be-insider-trading-on-th
Will there be insider trading on the Papal Conclave? (SEE DESCRIPTION)
null
1,745,359,623,548
1,746,726,010,956
1,746,726,010,956
NO
0.032837
1,110.864099
gyQlIqyAIR
bitcoin-hits-87k-before-97k
Bitcoin hits $87k before $97k?
null
1,745,359,596,574
1,746,121,861,646
1,746,121,861,646
NO
0.01
19,321.641269
sPUcQ5yh2O
will-bitcoin-be-above-100000-by-the
Will bitcoin be above $100000 by the end of April?
null
1,745,357,616,361
1,746,008,303,624
1,746,008,303,624
NO
0.009928
12,029.293689
C6pEycuECP
will-the-next-pope-think-being-gay
Will the next pope think gay sex is a sin?
null
1,745,355,770,158
1,746,756,706,737
1,746,756,706,737
YES
0.945316
20,450.666081
Eh5CqORsUp
government-official-gives-nathan-pu
Government official gives Nathan pushback about Fielder Method in Rehearsal Season 2?
null
1,745,350,535,448
1,748,337,276,335
1,748,337,276,335
NO
0.010387
978.268943
QNnANIldzR
will-the-current-oldest-person-aliv
Will the current oldest person alive survive this May?
null
1,745,345,968,191
1,746,089,666,060
1,746,089,666,060
NO
0.01
1,173.464667
ZuAQd6Zc9I
will-the-president-of-us-in-2020-ma
Will the "president of US in 2020" market resolve to the funniest answer?
null
1,745,342,801,975
1,745,656,283,822
1,745,656,283,822
YES
0.312468
91.664977
0g9qZCOhp9
concrete-evidence-of-abrego-garcias
Concrete evidence of Abrego Garcia's MS-13 affiliation before May 21, 2025
null
1,745,337,866,617
1,751,608,000,094
1,751,608,000,094
NO
0.09789
2,686.677313
69hCA9up9Z
will-the-next-pope-take-a-first-tim
Will the next Pope take a first time name?
null
1,745,336,735,542
1,746,724,812,244
1,746,724,812,244
NO
0.014357
1,631.834719
Sy9tpSlQyU
new-pope-under-70
New pope under 70?
null
1,745,333,867,064
1,746,725,279,744
1,746,725,279,744
YES
0.991031
15,116.694267
CqE2E5LnQN
will-elizabeth-may-win-her-seat-in
Will Elizabeth May win her seat in the 2025 Canadian election?
null
1,745,314,379,791
1,745,881,140,000
1,745,911,111,214
YES
0.41
172.799486
cstIRAzS5d
will-pierre-poilievre-win-his-seat
Will Pierre Poilievre win his seat in the 2025 Canadian election?
null
1,745,314,237,643
1,745,884,740,000
1,745,942,012,731
NO
0.93
2,531.021116
l6SPnncpdI
will-jagmeet-singh-win-his-seat-in
Will Jagmeet Singh win his seat in the 2025 Canadian election?
null
1,745,314,053,255
1,745,884,740,000
1,745,911,119,384
NO
0.14
458.396415
PZPcc90tLA
ndp-official-party-status-12-seats
NDP official party status (12 seats) after 2025 Canadian election?
null
1,745,313,518,637
1,745,883,000,000
1,745,911,130,350
NO
0.26
916.438229
N9t6htRp6p
new-pope-announced-before-may-18
New Pope announced before May 18?
null
1,745,313,239,375
1,746,730,749,982
1,746,730,749,982
YES
0.99
4,339.331973
IyR2ucA20c
kristi-noem-gets-her-purse-back
Kristi Noem gets her purse back?
null
1,745,281,900,441
1,745,889,902,711
1,745,889,902,711
YES
0.982027
917.433874
zCZ6zh6ndp
will-another-ivy-league-sue-the-tru
Will another Ivy League sue the Trump Administration by June 2025?
null
1,745,271,574,242
1,751,327,940,000
1,751,328,366,024
NO
0.036657
958.549705
58yROyc00g
is-ryan-fu-orz
is ryan fu orz
null
1,745,267,454,453
1,745,267,822,193
1,745,267,822,193
YES
0.978208
572.105223
OIQ5Ad55Nq
will-i-succeed-in-getting-a-maoi-pr
Will I succeed in getting a MAOI prescription as first antidepressant from new psychiatrist?
null
1,745,265,151,014
1,745,407,478,171
1,745,407,478,171
NO
0.449592
126.503788
PLQl5AZAEn
will-the-next-pope-take-the-name-fr
Will the next Pope take the name "Francis?"
null
1,745,264,353,036
1,746,724,843,346
1,746,724,843,346
NO
0.01
15,828.935989
sOOlp6Ot2u
tesla-stock-below-200-eom
Tesla stock below $200 EOM?
null
1,745,260,170,478
1,746,124,791,850
1,746,124,791,850
NO
0.01
1,816.294088
IPUtp0N9Iz
will-the-deathlist-have-a-fourth-hi
Will the DeathList have a fourth hit in 2025?
null
1,745,258,839,386
1,749,769,070,773
1,749,769,082,951
YES
0.938579
358
UCQyEIIu8Z
trump-travels-outside-north-america
Trump travels outside North America in 2025?
null
1,745,258,684,571
1,745,623,964,746
1,745,623,964,746
YES
0.988157
5,535.344794
yRdNhuIu09
warside-will-have-more-positive-tha
Warside will have more positive than negative reviews in first week of May?
null
1,745,257,587,038
1,746,662,340,000
1,746,666,489,393
YES
0.557373
62.215789
5Z9ccL090d
will-i-obtain-83-instagram-follower
Will I obtain 83 Instagram followers until 24 April 2025?
null
1,745,250,770,091
1,745,494,460,325
1,745,494,460,325
NO
0.430382
40
uPlUNuEnlA
will-real-betis-qualify-for-the-202
Will Real Betis qualify for the 2025-26 Champions League?
null
1,745,250,358,161
1,747,595,844,465
1,747,595,844,465
NO
0.08782
2,100
8OQhqUQIPZ
nick-castellanos-homers-on-day-of-p
Nick Castellanos Homers on Day of Pope Francis' Death?
null
1,745,248,201,125
1,745,289,109,691
1,745,289,109,691
NO
0.012329
1,704
cdN5gcP68N
will-tesla-announce-an-fsd-licensin
Will Tesla announce an FSD Licensing deal during Earnings/company update on 4/22/2025?
null
1,745,240,958,915
1,745,362,800,000
1,745,362,990,387
NO
0.175793
2,038.005193
ZucnOzgdcZ
jd-vance-attends-pope-francis-funer
Vice President JD Vance attends Pope Francis' funeral?
null
1,745,239,221,347
1,745,757,782,760
1,745,757,782,760
NO
0.01
1,547.670062
Sh6nSycQN0
trump-suggests-himself-as-next-pope
Trump suggests himself as next Pope?
null
1,745,236,911,912
1,745,954,817,643
1,745,954,817,643
YES
0.999352
8,737.361717
Cy5uu26RRO
will-elon-musk-be-fired-by-the-end
Will Elon Musk be fired by the end of April 2025 ?
null
1,745,234,327,419
1,746,057,540,000
1,746,057,858,160
NO
0.01
959.446664
986pz5qS5u
are-jim-and-anon99-engaging-in-inte
Are @jim and @Anon99 engaging in intercourse?
null
1,745,234,013,658
1,746,311,905,290
1,746,311,905,290
YES
0.797105
1,489.340715
IgCRhS5hyR
ill-have-over-20k-network-mana-in-o
I'll have over 20k network mana in one week?
null
1,745,230,653,160
1,745,798,983,795
1,745,798,983,795
YES
0.981317
1,046.409239
ESpLLLqPI8
motogp-2025-marquez-wins-jerez-gp-m
MotoGP 2025: Marquez wins Jerez GP main race on April 27?
null
1,745,227,356,800
1,745,759,040,191
1,745,759,040,191
NO
0.01
991.825467
ZCCtsZSutL
bitcoin-above-87k-on-april-25
Bitcoin above $87K on April 25?
null
1,745,220,781,056
1,745,617,856,895
1,745,617,856,895
YES
0.99
17,023.807373
Nyt9z2NstO
daily-coinflip-u09AQ0nOEg
Daily coinflip
null
1,745,212,450,978
1,745,380,740,000
1,745,395,663,652
NO
0.51
1,887.44352
IZcpNQsyZE
will-carney-lose
Will Carney Lose?
null
1,745,199,770,518
1,745,812,740,000
1,745,942,530,281
NO
0.155403
2,801.035976
0n650gOuyC
is-quasar-alpha-an-openai-model
Is Quasar Alpha an OpenAI model?
null
1,745,191,170,635
1,747,208,946,400
1,747,208,946,400
YES
0.904755
347.764813
2nuPE9y8dI
will-pete-hegseth-face-any-conseque
Will Pete Hegseth face any consequences for the recent second Signal leak?
null
1,745,190,906,637
1,751,324,340,000
1,751,361,070,671
NO
0.012646
8,527.551137
Z000S9h8CN
trump-attempts-to-revoke-good-ventu
Trump attempts to revoke Good Ventures/Open Philanthropy's tax-exempt status by 5/31/25?
null
1,745,175,943,972
1,748,735,940,000
1,748,759,301,362
NO
0.01
8,987.112002
hg2c0LsAPt
will-i-do-my-homework-tonight
Will I do my homework tonight?
null
1,745,174,472,997
1,745,186,340,000
1,745,190,572,183
NO
0.498042
287
Ng5hqQO8RS
will-there-be-any-break-between-one-9N6yEEqQQZ
Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1147 and 1148?
null
1,745,173,754,239
1,745,781,180,225
1,745,781,185,711
YES
0.061264
3,467.438538
SdtuuCucA9
will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-E5dCORNPgP
Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 77 and 78?
null
1,745,173,718,890
1,745,781,234,135
1,745,781,236,670
YES
0.178419
1,476.122903
yPglRUO0nA
btc-trade-above-85000-by-april-22nd
$BTC trade above $85000 by April 22nd?
null
1,745,169,660,917
1,745,271,651,921
1,745,271,651,921
YES
0.952934
5,254.772441
ClC2LnPAd5
will-my-testosterone-levels-increas
Will my testosterone levels increase on topical testosterone gel?
null
1,745,167,884,793
1,748,555,053,303
1,748,555,061,377
YES
0.602964
262.348486
pCQ9NQzdPh
will-any-nba-game-reach-250-points
Will any NBA game reach 250+ points scored in regulation during 2025 postseason?
null
1,745,167,352,814
1,746,677,636,146
1,746,677,636,146
YES
0.433737
189
ugg6RgqtRn
test-market-please-do-not-bet
Test market: PLEASE DO NOT BET.
null
1,745,153,570,879
1,745,153,660,347
1,745,153,660,347
YES
0.99
2,684.962311
PQOZO9zRgI
fortune-500-ceos-or-republican-busi
Fortune 500 CEOs or Republican business leaders make coordinated public statement?
null
1,745,150,310,151
1,746,489,540,000
1,746,571,005,891
NO
0.035587
457.421801
U6Est0gU8N
daily-coinflip-cNdUOA5SgP
Daily coinflip
null
1,745,114,123,138
1,745,207,940,000
1,745,212,423,818
NO
0.49
7,149
Q609PstQ5g
john-cena-wins-belt-on-sunday
John Cena wins belt on Sunday?
null
1,745,112,487,509
1,745,198,820,000
1,745,204,605,807
YES
0.859275
476.960406
tyUIOgR0nz
will-my-net-worth-be-above-m30000-i-lSI8Zgz02R
Will my net worth be above Ṁ30,000 in a week?
null
1,745,110,866,279
1,745,715,600,000
1,745,716,463,116
YES
0.889284
3,819.386631
llh2ntctO5
europa-league-will-tottenham-advanc
Europa League: Will Tottenham advance against Bodo/Glimt?
null
1,745,085,225,843
1,746,738,447,451
1,746,738,447,451
YES
0.99
6,567.703829
OnS9p0dCdU
europa-league-will-athletic-bilbao-pgURLqq0Oc
Europa League: Will Athletic Bilbao advance against Manchester United?
null
1,745,084,946,682
1,746,738,436,933
1,746,738,436,933
NO
0.006721
6,766.750662
hUALUnsQRy
champions-league-will-barcelona-adv-dO6E96dREy
Champions League: Will Barcelona advance against Inter?
null
1,745,084,417,407
1,746,567,624,045
1,746,567,624,045
NO
0.001092
17,016.280157
Z0SqLPl2yL
champions-league-will-arsenal-advan-zd02c5scQL
Champions League: Will Arsenal advance against PSG?
null
1,745,084,368,669
1,746,656,202,440
1,746,656,202,440
NO
0.01
9,115.715833
RnRRPz0RIt
will-manifolds-and-polymarkets-russ
Will Manifold’s and Polymarket’s “Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire by April 19th” markets resolve identically?
null
1,745,078,303,299
1,745,459,940,000
1,745,484,727,555
YES
0.99406
3,060.971554
LE8z99IyLn
will-om-reach-1-before-20th-april
Will $OM reach $1 before 20th April
null
1,745,062,719,244
1,745,147,147,165
1,745,147,147,165
NO
0.073507
5,407.27309
ySsqyuEUUN
i-do-chores-for-25-minutes-daily-un
Will I do chores for 25+ minutes daily until June?
null
1,745,050,777,930
1,748,713,261,869
1,748,713,261,869
YES
0.863609
1,944
5tpS8thqzU
secret-bayesian-market
secret bayesian market
null
1,745,037,976,326
1,747,453,992,306
1,747,453,992,306
NO
0.322354
5,180.872929
ZzzuPldAhO
will-sinners-gross-45-million-durin
Will "Sinners" gross >$45 million during its domestic opening weekend?
null
1,745,008,510,563
1,745,270,886,629
1,745,270,886,629
YES
0.99
4,328.784813
5zlRQqs0h9
sp500-above-5250-points-on-may-1
S&P500 above 5250 points on May 1?
null
1,745,005,848,238
1,746,122,535,645
1,746,122,548,816
YES
0.986446
8,121.495243
0AAz2zzppp
will-any-of-the-top-5-global-compan-NUn8RtZRyI
Will any of the top 5 global companies by market cap be non-American on June 28, 2025?
null
1,745,003,040,504
1,751,155,140,000
1,751,167,048,997
NO
0.009594
2,235.921016
tI9t2CLQyE
will-instagram-stop-sending-me-tren
Will Instagram stop sending me “Trending” notifications in a week?
null
1,744,998,942,401
1,745,689,980,000
1,745,782,753,906
YES
0.221909
1,330.408427
ItpC2ypc0O
will-this-question-have-more-yes-po
Will this question have more YES positions held?
null
1,744,996,874,669
1,745,169,420,000
1,745,169,584,610
YES
0.99
1,054.904886
9ANyPqCCPC
will-the-winner-of-the-2025-eurovis
Will the winner of the 2025 Eurovision Song Contest get 500 or more points?
null
1,744,993,062,524
1,747,525,515,067
1,747,525,518,094
NO
0.01
11,184.192419
QZONLUc8yu
will-tina-show-up-on-time-to-krishn
Will Tina show up on time to Krishna?
null
1,744,987,629,845
1,744,990,309,454
1,744,990,309,454
NO
0.448414
30
L9nA0CRzPA
will-it-rain-in-paris-on-april-19-2
Will it rain in Paris on April 19, 2025?
null
1,744,972,855,022
1,744,978,281,590
1,744,978,281,590
YES
0.59381
40
l2lRElc59y
bitcoin-above-845k-on-april-25
Bitcoin above $84.5K on April 25?
null
1,744,960,163,307
1,745,628,275,532
1,745,628,275,532
YES
0.99
12,940.697997
ucudh9UtZ0
mop-emails-this-week
MOP emails in next 7 days
null
1,744,947,749,911
1,745,354,227,844
1,745,354,227,844
YES
0.99
1,677.629746
SQtytgPdSq
juniper-gets-laid-at-vibecamp
Juniper gets laid at Vibecamp?
null
1,744,946,521,709
1,750,644,223,653
1,750,644,223,653
NO
0.677523
76
8ZNSsScZ9A
flip-the-coin
Flip the coin
null
1,744,935,303,887
1,745,042,340,000
1,745,075,231,785
NO
0.499218
917.742536
RS8qN56qEU
6-sided-die-vs-12-sided-die
6 sided die vs 12 sided die
null
1,744,928,947,123
1,745,280,009,679
1,745,280,021,042
NO
0.29
233.432087
utsulNP2u6
trump-or-gop-member-mention-trans-d
Trump or GOP member mention Trans Day of Visibility/Easter coincidence in 2024 and how the Dems trans Easter?
null
1,744,928,782,999
1,745,276,340,000
1,745,276,553,782
NO
0.774612
891.085835
nh8clAPcQq
sp-500-above-5000-at-close-of-april
S&P 500 above 5000 at close of April, 2025?
null
1,744,917,878,515
1,745,942,400,000
1,746,058,355,809
YES
0.99
2,148.277955
qAPqLzR6gh
will-the-clements-invitational-be-m
Will the Clements Invitational be more than an hour delayed?
null
1,744,912,365,449
1,745,218,320,000
1,746,165,637,062
YES
0.989672
9,737.892789
89lpAs0N2R
will-emmett-shear-attend-manifest-2
Will Emmett Shear attend Manifest 2025?
null
1,744,909,432,623
1,749,423,540,000
1,750,462,301,135
YES
0.990627
3,379.526951
lNEu6nqgs2
will-twitter-restore-my-following-a
will Twitter restore my following and follower counts within 72hr?
null
1,744,900,662,328
1,744,929,139,345
1,744,929,139,345
YES
0.482003
87
lAuPUAURgg
harvard-loses-ability-to-enroll-int
Harvard loses ability to enroll international students?
null
1,744,899,686,567
1,747,942,384,508
1,747,942,384,508
YES
0.99
53,375.323338
lLU2QdO9dI
serie-a-ac-milan-beats-atalanta-on
Serie A: AC Milan Beats Atalanta on 20th April, 2025?
null
1,744,898,633,717
1,745,182,740,000
1,745,186,297,496
NO
0.010312
1,140.75118