id
stringlengths
9
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slug
stringlengths
4
54
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stringlengths
1
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createdTime
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1,715B
1,752B
closeTime
int64
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int64
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resolution
stringclasses
2 values
resolutionProbability
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1
volume
float64
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6.93M
qgQUdRcl0c
pope-francis-say-urbi-et-orbi-in-pu
Pope Francis say 'Urbi et Orbi' in public this Easter?
null
1,744,884,613,368
1,745,150,488,484
1,745,150,488,484
YES
0.99
1,198.729468
C5Q0s65QEt
daily-coinflip-ZSIyE6uQuc
Daily coinflip
null
1,744,865,358,736
1,745,035,140,000
1,745,114,085,072
YES
0.504926
43,362.483461
yOq9u9yPRz
will-the-sky-fall
Will the sky fall?
null
1,744,862,017,965
1,745,467,140,000
1,746,044,076,097
NO
0.02
1,036.115978
8yCNUREttq
kilmer-abrego-garcia-returns-to-us
Kilmer Abrego Garcia returns to US or is alive New Years 2026?
null
1,744,861,117,308
1,749,502,096,436
1,749,502,096,436
YES
0.989905
9,860.442809
c2Ezuc6UcN
open-conflict-in-iran-by-april-2026
Open Conflict in Iran by April 2026?
null
1,744,860,740,158
1,749,857,720,332
1,749,857,720,332
YES
0.918935
825.379264
0NsuNy8RLZ
will-i-be-called-a-slur-in-roblox-v
Will I be called a slur in Roblox voice chat?
null
1,744,858,218,762
1,745,462,820,000
1,745,903,166,192
NO
0.585574
297.364902
Pl8d5AsQNU
will-mattyb-and-i-both-enjoy-sunset
Will @mattyb and I both enjoy sunset boulevard on Broadway tonight despite the lead actress being out?
null
1,744,840,699,781
1,744,847,940,000
1,744,860,206,084
YES
0.658948
39
REqQRhUClN
a-or-b-25plZnSZh9
A or B?
null
1,744,840,218,036
1,744,873,140,000
1,744,906,668,505
NO
0.867684
1,924.425453
LI5hO69LEI
trump-admin-official-held-in-contem
Trump admin official held in contempt before end of June?
null
1,744,831,625,748
1,751,327,940,000
1,751,337,638,058
NO
0.024719
14,132.167797
OIl99Rn0OP
openai-release-o3-pro-by-may-8-2025
OpenAI release o3 pro by May 8, 2025?
null
1,744,830,997,547
1,746,716,888,401
1,746,716,888,401
NO
0.013641
10,773.973861
C0u6s0OqgL
will-senator-chris-van-hollen-and-k
Will Senator Chris Van Hollen and Kilmar Abrego Garcia meet face-to-face before the end of April?
null
1,744,821,832,860
1,744,939,657,967
1,744,939,657,967
YES
0.995009
2,482.660403
uIyZUh6Q5t
will-the-princeton-university-hsp-i
Will the Princeton University HSP Info Packet come out before 3pm?
null
1,744,819,405,593
1,744,826,400,000
1,744,836,010,689
NO
0.504815
290
0O9NCNSUpC
will-o4mini-beat-o3-in-any-benchmar
Will o4-mini beat o3 in any benchmark reported by OpenAI?
null
1,744,817,428,288
1,744,829,553,918
1,744,829,553,918
YES
0.99
939.236022
hCLhunO68N
mitre-announces-new-cve-program-fun
MITRE announces new CVE program funding model before July 2025?
null
1,744,816,195,023
1,751,327,940,000
1,751,388,505,084
NO
0.11
556.147424
Syyy0Iq2Ug
berlin-rain-tomorrow
Berlin rain tomorrow?
null
1,744,808,253,457
1,744,927,140,000
1,744,976,075,374
NO
0.05989
470.150163
QqpAZnQtpc
at-market-close-will-this-market-ha
At market close, will this market have at least twice as many traders as I have followers?
null
1,744,785,500,079
1,745,380,740,000
1,745,380,753,089
NO
0.085327
3,288.788811
tsSd0PCZZz
is-infinite-riches-in-a-little-room
Is "Infinite Riches in a Little Room" substantially LLM written?
null
1,744,776,934,470
1,744,785,239,551
1,744,785,239,551
YES
0.978654
601
gllLZOgOUN
will-trump-visit-lexington-or-conco
Will Trump visit Lexington or Concord on April 19th?
null
1,744,775,231,608
1,745,107,140,000
1,745,129,285,039
NO
0.011042
14,697.579202
POtALqOEgn
will-twitchtv-implement-a-100-hour-zd8pZSdC62
Will Twitch.tv implement a 100 hour storage limit on 19 May 2025? (twitch)
null
1,744,774,578,943
1,747,800,925,382
1,747,800,925,382
YES
0.950882
4,061.111523
R2Sc6ZRuu9
columbus-blue-jackets-steal-montrea
Columbus Blue Jackets steal Montreal's playoff spot this year?
null
1,744,763,974,314
1,744,855,546,819
1,744,855,546,819
NO
0.017629
721.923793
tSnIE00RlE
will-there-be-a-break-between-chain-qclcScQ0RP
Will there be a break between Chainsaw Man chapters 201 and 202?
null
1,744,752,281,478
1,745,950,001,930
1,745,950,004,749
NO
0.161539
1,441.739016
56U866ysnz
real-id-travel-requirement-postpone
REAL ID travel requirement postponed past May 7, 2025?
null
1,744,750,933,177
1,746,662,340,000
1,746,664,535,921
NO
0.053713
69,583.368064
SZl968zUqA
will-the-supreme-court-rule-on-the
Will the Supreme Court rule on the meaning of the word “facilitate” before May 15th, 2025?
null
1,744,749,286,991
1,747,353,540,000
1,747,411,567,332
NO
0.046005
460.220522
lRQ5IgQ56Q
will-russian-agricultural-bank-be-r
Will Russian Agricultural Bank be reconnected to SWIFT before end of June '25?
null
1,744,744,891,916
1,751,327,940,000
1,751,328,841,403
NO
0.015507
9,030.835486
NN9PdIONpu
show-cause-hearing-scheduled-in-abr
Show Cause hearing scheduled in Abrego Garcia v. Noem (8:25-cv-00951)?
null
1,744,744,754,458
1,751,410,740,000
1,751,414,608,185
NO
0.01
1,010.248585
lsg5sC26Z0
will-meta-give-2025-total-expense-g
Will Meta give 2025 total expense guidance in its Q1 2025 earnings press release?
null
1,744,738,332,606
1,746,034,260,000
1,746,052,300,037
YES
0.572267
89.595853
IpzERI5tAS
i-play-magic-the-gathering-this-wee
I play Magic the Gathering this week?
null
1,744,735,428,439
1,745,279,940,000
1,745,420,874,961
NO
0.414124
45
n0US0g0LRC
will-el-salvador-return-kilmar-abre
Will El Salvador return Kilmar Ábrego García to the United States before the end of 2025?
null
1,744,734,236,825
1,749,263,183,064
1,749,263,183,064
YES
0.99
3,300.931347
SU859cROPA
2025-australian-election-labor-outp
2025 Australian election: Labor outperforms 2022 result?
null
1,744,701,337,964
1,747,092,945,617
1,747,092,945,617
YES
0.990315
10,269.610224
9P6slg2zEh
daily-coinflip-SZ26Q68IQS
Daily coinflip
null
1,744,699,002,237
1,744,862,340,000
1,744,865,322,679
YES
0.504745
18,269.098749
LddAuh5zst
bitcoin-above-85k-on-april-23
Bitcoin above $85K on April 23?
null
1,744,698,146,325
1,745,396,138,686
1,745,396,138,686
YES
0.996932
33,574.055303
dytcgUAIpQ
i-win-ten-consecutive-matches-of-ma
Will I win ten consecutive matches of Magic before 2028?
null
1,744,674,744,990
1,746,758,040,475
1,746,758,040,475
YES
0.43595
405
AyzOstl6gl
will-anyone-with-a-net-worth-below
Will anyone with a net worth below $1 Million Mana win Masters League in April?
null
1,744,674,131,296
1,745,881,140,000
1,746,120,461,932
NO
0.175867
270.433144
RSC28lupAQ
will-i-get-my-new-passport-tomorrow
Will I get my new passport tomorrow?
null
1,744,670,619,210
1,744,755,513,226
1,744,755,513,226
YES
0.628386
611
9LCl2QUOnE
kilmar-armando-abrego-garcia-confir
Kilmar Armando Abrego Garcia confirmed alive on or before May 6?
null
1,744,658,864,430
1,744,938,404,753
1,744,938,404,753
YES
0.883587
14,536.627535
l065yuyyls
will-will-luigi-mangione-be-convict
Will "Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder for the shooting of UnitedH [...] by the end of 2025?" be resolved N/A?
null
1,744,647,347,410
1,745,783,794,021
1,745,783,794,021
YES
0.99
1,061.218924
l6RSyq25Sy
will-abregomgarcia-step-foot-in-the
Will kilmar abrego garcia step foot in the USA again by the end of 2025?
null
1,744,647,149,946
1,749,558,892,662
1,749,558,892,662
YES
0.99
10,443.960572
y66pCtnIy6
will-trumpet-of-patriots-win-one-se
Will Trumpet of Patriots win any seat, any at all, in the Australian election?
null
1,744,642,559,041
1,746,357,648,504
1,746,357,648,504
NO
0.01
2,280.090599
Lh9nu6ASug
will-the-us-de-minimis-exemption-fo
Will the U.S. de minimis exemption for low-value Chinese imports end by June 30, 2025?
null
1,744,627,298,313
1,748,770,737,546
1,748,770,737,546
YES
0.954766
676.442295
0UyUOnSuqg
will-the-rtx-5090-founders-edition-ISs9qEqnsZ
Will the RTX 5090 Founders Edition be purchasable in Germany before April 21st 2025?
null
1,744,626,970,868
1,745,186,400,000
1,745,189,470,450
NO
0.121729
370.789207
PgC5Sq66nu
tumbles-owes-two-million-mana-to-ot
Tumbles owes TWO MILLION mana to other users by month's end?
null
1,744,625,820,456
1,746,057,540,000
1,746,082,953,996
NO
0.034961
2,226.94375
QS0sEqs80U
in-the-next-30-days-will-this-marke-SCtctOhhlg
In the next 30 days, will this market with 100 liquidity earn me more mana than the twin market with 1k liquidity?
null
1,744,618,094,878
1,747,193,266,673
1,747,325,024,264
YES
0.99
1,060.247534
qu9t2sCzp6
fear-greed-index-says-extreme-fear-2gczL2QUhu
Fear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" on Friday?
null
1,744,614,802,593
1,744,996,014,729
1,744,996,014,729
YES
0.99
1,702.978917
U5NEUshug2
in-the-next-30-days-will-this-marke-5py9lyy2gN
In the next 30 days, will this market with 1k liquidity earn me more mana than the twin market with 100 liquidity?
null
1,744,592,261,390
1,747,184,220,000
1,747,324,963,759
NO
0.01
19,354.788666
Og0zlPuNSI
bitcoin-above-84k-on-april-18
Bitcoin above $84K on April 18?
null
1,744,589,618,623
1,744,959,897,432
1,744,959,897,432
YES
0.99
24,863.57696
phIz0c9shq
will-i-go-to-the-gym-for-the-next-6
Will I go to the gym for the next 6 months?
null
1,744,586,336,373
1,745,147,935,428
1,745,147,935,428
YES
0.462941
26.291972
IUsUzd2p56
will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-C0A8NQy9Az
Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 76 and 77?
null
1,744,577,934,650
1,745,173,697,843
1,745,173,700,963
NO
0.034679
4,524.063507
uOq5SI0I86
david-kisses-someone-while-visiting-Sp2yq0ShUU
David kisses someone while visiting the Bay Area?
null
1,744,569,731,393
1,744,767,053,283
1,744,779,180,072
YES
0.412271
1,832.416813
NCl2tlgNzz
will-i-stay-in-masters-league-this-OdnSO0PPOP
Will I stay in Masters League this season?
null
1,744,567,299,920
1,746,053,940,000
1,746,123,273,553
YES
0.953395
959.855897
A285h8NpCA
will-kemi-badenoch-say-she-has-watc
Will Kemi Badenoch say she has watched Adolescence by the end of April 2025?
null
1,744,559,319,899
1,746,054,000,000
1,746,060,206,616
NO
0.040905
445.680183
P0tpSsQ69S
any-chance-of-usaco-camp
will I make it to USACO camp 24-25
null
1,744,558,133,486
1,745,816,466,672
1,745,816,466,672
YES
0.993376
3,523.923149
0p6OSzpq0p
will-the-10-year-treasury-yield-be-lQlUE5ZdZz
Will the 10 year treasury yield be higher on May 30, 2025 than on December 31, 2024?
null
1,744,553,527,107
1,748,649,540,000
1,749,043,166,022
NO
0.014244
1,573.25501
RsR69tsnyE
i-walk-5000-steps-on-5-days-this-ri
I walk 5,000+ steps on 5+ days this week?
null
1,744,552,969,194
1,745,180,010,429
1,745,180,010,429
YES
0.958129
556.218266
ECUhclgczZ
is-kilmar-abrego-garcia-dead
Is Kilmar Abrego Garcia dead as of before April 13?
null
1,744,542,609,094
1,744,939,719,326
1,744,939,719,326
NO
0.001664
34,181.41664
9zdt5cPSz0
daily-coinflip-gPgLplnZsy
Daily coinflip
null
1,744,519,393,925
1,744,689,540,000
1,744,698,986,968
YES
0.499902
8,221.571248
OnnI5l0sSq
real-madrid-win-against-alaves
Real Madrid win against Alavés?
null
1,744,510,145,955
1,744,562,622,895
1,744,562,622,895
YES
0.822143
115
qqPsuIQR82
will-i-do-anything-i-regret-while-i
will i do anything i regret while im drunk
null
1,744,510,096,287
1,744,596,240,000
1,744,597,579,098
NO
0.241807
210
CcI9C6PyEh
manchester-city-qualify-for-2025202
Manchester City qualify for 2025-2026 Champions League?
null
1,744,506,654,313
1,748,233,640,239
1,748,233,640,239
YES
0.99
918.513948
tRnUd2tpIU
will-my-net-worth-be-above-m30000-i-RORPZtS2Qu
Will my net worth be above Ṁ30,000 in a week?
null
1,744,506,019,814
1,745,110,800,000
1,745,110,800,578
NO
0.010356
1,143.056023
zqzScAdpQP
aapl-trades-at-or-above-250-before
AAPL trades at or above $250 before the end of April 2025
null
1,744,500,880,154
1,746,055,950,515
1,746,055,950,515
NO
0.01
1,335.49366
yZOtsS8u0n
will-the-metals-company-inc-tmc-rea
Will the metals company inc. ($TMC) reach ≥ $3.90 before 2026?
null
1,744,462,208,283
1,748,520,831,828
1,748,520,831,828
YES
0.558138
1,273.068272
Ad8Z5IQqlL
will-i-learn-to-orient-using-cardin
Will I learn to orient using cardinal directions?
null
1,744,458,133,238
1,750,333,260,000
1,750,341,078,322
YES
0.322263
10,033.069836
P5Nq8pscnS
will-tumbles-end-the-double-your-ma
Will Tumbles end the DOUBLE YOUR MANA loan offer early?
null
1,744,424,814,525
1,744,666,730,475
1,744,666,730,475
YES
0.9928
2,358.937537
pcpdncUhOZ
us-and-china-reach-trade-agreement
US and China reach trade agreement reducing tariffs below 100% by April?
null
1,744,412,900,516
1,746,066,280,157
1,746,066,290,012
NO
0.028885
15,075.802586
ZNn2uczc8L
will-real-madrid-come-back-against
Will Real Madrid Come Back Against Arsenal After their 3-0 Loss in the First Leg of the Champions League Quarterfinals?
null
1,744,405,859,672
1,744,847,940,000
1,744,979,064,802
NO
0.009188
1,673.451213
SSP508QACQ
resolves-based-on-what-the-most-lik
Resolves based on what the most liked comment at the time of resolution says on how to resolve.
null
1,744,404,028,805
1,745,008,740,000
1,745,013,159,064
NO
0.303962
74.693582
nudqpcCutN
will-i-see-don-knuth-in-his-office
Will I see Don Knuth in his office by end of quarter?
null
1,744,399,651,929
1,750,707,557,948
1,750,707,557,948
NO
0.015037
732
R2zNptqtdC
will-bill-ackmans-thought-experimen
Will Bill Ackman's thought experiment about tariffs even roughly play out in real life?
null
1,744,387,943,255
1,752,101,940,000
1,752,102,994,966
NO
0.01
2,469.074836
pSnASdpsAt
daily-coinflip-gPEIz0SlIO
Daily coinflip
null
1,744,384,968,742
1,744,516,740,000
1,744,519,257,696
YES
0.504081
26,005.540297
QCSLECd0SS
will-the-yield-on-the-10year-us-tre
Will the yield on the 10-year US treasury exceed 4.75% in April 2025?
null
1,744,383,691,393
1,745,020,740,000
1,746,155,501,246
NO
0.180484
3,830.886467
Qzzd0Esds9
will-the-los-angeles-dodgers-end-th
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers end the 2025 MLB regular season with a losing record against any team?
null
1,744,376,195,863
1,745,459,172,016
1,745,459,172,016
YES
0.99
904.749342
StzOQ85yls
tariffs-on-china-above-150-by-end-o
Tariffs on China above 150% by end of June
null
1,744,371,405,892
1,751,327,940,000
1,751,336,499,839
NO
0.027481
3,581.163106
LsdO9Rcd6Q
will-i-fill-the-airbnb-i-booked-for
Will I fill the Airbnb I booked for LessOnline/Summercamp/Manifest by the end of April?
null
1,744,366,396,804
1,745,481,330,341
1,745,481,330,341
YES
0.99
9,389.612547
58dOOSNguA
donald-trump-reduces-tariffs-on-chi
Donald Trump reduces tariffs on China before 2026?
null
1,744,359,679,744
1,744,862,806,599
1,744,862,806,599
YES
0.929138
2,107.122189
5nt2zI8Lcs
i-win-my-next-blackjack-round
I win my next blackjack round?
null
1,744,359,212,308
1,744,448,936,176
1,744,448,936,176
NO
0.414999
291.349128
AdOILOSQLn
i-go-to-sleep-early-every-day-until-5L6UgtyQEA
I go to sleep early every day until I submit my bachelors? (2nd attempt)
null
1,744,354,911,703
1,748,090,922,316
1,748,090,922,316
NO
0.000215
1,611.798818
Ud509SA8zO
eliza-attends-manifest-2025
@Eliza attends Manifest 2025?
null
1,744,350,668,291
1,749,427,140,000
1,749,441,991,594
NO
0.194224
2,388.535521
Sc2Lnz6sSA
us-space-force-col-susan-meyers-ous
U.S. Space Force Col. Susan Meyers ousted before July 2025
null
1,744,338,686,926
1,744,391,437,364
1,744,391,437,364
YES
0.900532
240
pO6E8EER6s
will-former-congressman-george-sant
Will former congressman George Santos be sentenced to serve more than a 2 year prison term?
null
1,744,331,090,481
1,745,623,841,040
1,745,623,841,040
YES
0.990667
1,008.412887
AyEhSUhhLN
will-i-attend-manifest-2025-qpculPtu9A
Will I attend Manifest 2025?
null
1,744,325,380,384
1,749,250,740,000
1,749,262,825,752
YES
0.948435
621.163148
Nhugh0qPAS
will-i-attend-manifest-2025
Will I attend Manifest 2025?
null
1,744,325,220,131
1,749,427,140,000
1,750,231,930,588
YES
0.99
1,029.203947
ds9nUZZgst
is-quasar-alpha-gpt-41-full
Is Quasar Alpha GPT 4.1 (full)?
null
1,744,324,793,889
1,744,658,719,723
1,744,658,719,723
YES
0.912
1,930.52591
uRpgARCPqq
sp-500-above-5500-at-april-close
S&P 500 above 5500 at April close?
null
1,744,314,846,046
1,746,058,407,188
1,746,058,407,188
YES
0.99
1,813.858059
0ZLScULdPl
will-gpt41-be-omnimodal
will GPT-4.1 be omnimodal?
null
1,744,309,060,130
1,744,673,042,232
1,744,673,042,232
NO
0.784023
273.718111
SyqOnZA9us
will-trump-lower-tariffs-for-china
Will Trump lower tariffs for China by the end of July 2025?
null
1,744,302,616,042
1,747,191,292,212
1,747,191,292,212
YES
0.984487
950.55327
Au99d5tyLU
openai-releases-o3-by-april-31-2025
OpenAI releases o3 by April 31, 2025
null
1,744,297,219,829
1,744,825,200,061
1,744,825,200,061
YES
0.99
2,456.152959
t5S68dZI6h
christopher-columbus-discovers-amer
Christopher Columbus discovers America on October 12, 1492?
null
1,744,293,814,166
1,745,552,541,388
1,745,603,836,312
YES
0.966898
3,124.941999
Qp6q0UtdRO
will-the-righteous-gemstones-season
Will 'The Righteous Gemstones' Season 4 receive a Rotten Tomatoes critic score above 85% by June 1, 2025?
null
1,744,284,720,843
1,748,822,340,000
1,749,892,397,186
YES
0.988634
4,686.611823
cnA0cAsC9L
will-elena-lasconi-resign-as-the-us
Will Elena Lasconi resign as the USR President before May 10, 2025?
null
1,744,283,095,761
1,746,875,040,000
1,747,325,708,145
YES
0.991235
1,094.736219
czd6s5Ayzs
will-i-be-able-to-track-my-youtube
Will I be able to track my youtube consumption for a week?
null
1,744,279,695,139
1,744,636,456,196
1,744,636,456,196
NO
0.823097
379.333011
yuzsQZtc8A
kommt-samuel-zum-fruhlingsfest
Kommt Samuel zum Frühlingsfest?
null
1,744,279,257,580
1,745,971,140,000
1,746,866,683,754
YES
0.885515
2,522
uzE5LhNCzS
bitcoin-above-80k-on-april-16
Bitcoin above $80K on April 16?
null
1,744,264,040,112
1,744,787,208,263
1,744,787,208,263
YES
0.99
71,436.989838
2undQyzEqZ
will-i-make-a-profit-on-the-canada
Will I make a profit on the Canada PM election market and Tumbles loan?
null
1,744,262,928,386
1,746,762,247,361
1,746,762,247,361
YES
0.988973
11,658.119962
l6E8cdOChA
daily-coinflip-8gEhcRONUy
Daily coinflip
null
1,744,256,997,004
1,744,343,940,000
1,744,384,945,756
NO
0.5
2,184.979796
pcq8q9sgAt
reserve-bank-of-australia-cuts-rate
Reserve Bank of Australia cuts rates by 50+ basis points at next meeting?
null
1,744,247,784,608
1,747,699,140,000
1,749,011,503,497
NO
0.100971
2,510.717373
RsSCup9y9l
will-apple-be-exempt-from-the-us-ta
Will Apple be exempt from the U.S. tariffs on China by the end of April?
null
1,744,241,270,698
1,746,057,540,000
1,746,218,423,288
NO
0.433331
43,224.224142
C9huZsOyUz
peter-dutton-retains-seat-in-2025-a
Peter Dutton retains seat in 2025 Australian election?
null
1,744,240,813,370
1,746,307,630,095
1,746,307,630,095
NO
0.009482
15,429.828973
0hqzPn9ChZ
will-the-median-number-of-shares-he-AAnzsPSSAP
Will the median number of shares held be prime?
null
1,744,237,378,846
1,746,831,540,000
1,746,833,644,388
YES
0.66
585.253902
Ruu9PIhpS5
will-i-get-higher-than-68-on-my-ele
Will I get higher than 68 on my Electronic Circuits I Midterm
null
1,744,234,235,873
1,745,260,392,001
1,745,260,392,001
YES
0.99
997.609574
c0ZthRZIZ8
2025-april-hottest-on-record-resolv
2025 April hottest on record? [Resolves from GISTemp data]
null
1,744,227,056,479
1,747,451,323,276
1,747,451,323,276
NO
0.01
940.402799