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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2RIAQSUU2Q | kash-patel-fbi-director | Kash Patel FBI Director by Jan 31, 2025? | null | 1,731,549,890,963 | 1,738,396,740,000 | 1,738,437,705,290 | NO | 0.01 | 32,749.7912 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
7ZPAWBfmAEVtmSU1b0sC | will-manifold-help-me-pivot-my-care | Will Manifold help me pivot my career by the end of 2024? | null | 1,717,959,607,998 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,932,329,223 | NO | 0.440678 | 13,801.12202 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
ztdnPqSpS8 | will-nonhuman-intelligence-become-a | Will non-human intelligence become a leading "mainstream media" theory for the cause of the "drones" before end of 2024? | null | 1,734,202,072,777 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,737,748,955 | NO | 0.03893 | 6,368.829884 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
slf8viq4dt | will-the-number-of-manifold-league | Will the number of Manifold league types have changed at any point in time before 2025? | null | 1,719,883,452,803 | 1,735,772,340,000 | 1,738,719,307,346 | NO | 0.010006 | 895 | Sports | Team Sports |
QgLtsc6ZSl | will-there-be-any-break-between-one-cANOsPuZup | Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1135 and 1136? | null | 1,734,901,406,463 | 1,736,015,612,589 | 1,736,015,615,237 | YES | 0.52503 | 384 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
JaJ3tILIudSQIBeC9UJ3 | will-apple-release-a-smart-ring-wea-2402d875b4f1 | Will Apple release a smart ring wearable product by the end of 2024? | null | 1,715,269,805,080 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,775,643,235 | NO | 0.064649 | 435.51172 | Technology | Mobile & Consumer Electronics |
Eh9OzUlQNy | will-i-make-usamo-2025 | Will I make USAMO 2025 | null | 1,732,637,972,112 | 1,741,130,498,974 | 1,741,130,498,974 | YES | 0.961352 | 1,187.116342 | Sports | Individual Sports |
ERtS88I5uq | tiktoks-us-status-unchanged-by-may | TikTok's US status unchanged by May 1? | null | 1,743,113,410,093 | 1,746,143,940,000 | 1,746,146,339,341 | YES | 0.99 | 904.749342 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
gcVrckjiFoKmM07QbvQJ | will-credible-corroborated-gpt4o-mo | Will credible, corroborated GPT4o model details leak before 2025? | null | 1,715,673,518,230 | 1,735,689,540,000 | 1,735,717,217,973 | NO | 0.36 | 283.991248 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
ndUgsdQdIn | will-i-believe-in-100-days-that-the | Will I believe in 100 days that the $100 billion statement by Elon Musk is accurate? | null | 1,739,115,864,604 | 1,747,781,940,000 | 1,748,265,424,306 | NO | 0.041559 | 9,151.011685 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
lgAP2puS56 | lionel-messi-makes-an-appearance-ag | Lionel Messi makes an appearance against Cavalier FC in Jamaica | null | 1,741,369,121,521 | 1,741,962,074,807 | 1,741,962,074,807 | YES | 0.99 | 970.821613 | Sports | Professional Sports |
lU56O5ElQE | usamo-qual-2025-ydUtEyIpCP | USAMO qual 2025? 😂😂😂 | null | 1,740,061,493,292 | 1,741,177,603,197 | 1,741,177,603,197 | NO | 0.01 | 979.762272 | Sports | Individual Sports |
7OAsOZv8QahwdewRy0gs | will-we-see-any-cp0-member-in-chapt-f833c4cb9781 | Will we see any cp0 member in chapter 1115? | null | 1,715,267,714,440 | 1,716,501,540,000 | 1,751,069,680,958 | YES | 0.451975 | 8,273.864989 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
Iu5gzIP8Od | will-andrew-cuomo-announce-he-is-ru | Will Andrew Cuomo announce he is running for NYC mayor by the end of January? | null | 1,737,316,695,220 | 1,738,472,340,000 | 1,738,472,574,209 | NO | 0.01 | 1,000.526121 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
LNAnAUINO6 | will-trump-end-the-russiaukraine-wa-RAy2L5I05I | Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24 weeks of his inauguration? | null | 1,739,280,443,863 | 1,751,925,540,000 | 1,751,950,409,044 | NO | 0.01 | 117,758.190057 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
qIRuAEgIIS | overunder-55-people-will-show-up-to | Over/under 5.5 people will show up to PLC on 3/20/2025 | null | 1,742,166,032,427 | 1,742,483,251,503 | 1,742,483,251,503 | YES | 0.99 | 910.987437 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
CEpNPhhpAy | iaea-confirms-russian-responsibilit | IAEA confirms Russian responsibility for Chernobyl drone attack by April 1st 2025 | null | 1,739,558,847,453 | 1,743,465,600,000 | 1,743,691,098,812 | NO | 0.021619 | 6,633.931799 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
lgO29cUEzt | will-the-insured-mana-fund-have-100 | Will the Insured Mana Fund have 10000+ shares outstanding by EOY 2028? | null | 1,745,586,235,779 | 1,746,680,818,051 | 1,746,680,818,051 | YES | 0.989613 | 958.100469 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
I5QsPul5us | will-intel-corporation-intc-stock-p-A8SQC2NgAI | Will Intel Corporation (INTC) stock price close at or above $21 on February 28th? | null | 1,739,242,813,793 | 1,740,776,569,315 | 1,740,776,569,315 | YES | 0.988544 | 924.928865 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
ycS8LRIAEy | will-mark-rober-post-a-video-by-jun | Will Mark Rober post a video by June 19th | null | 1,748,901,847,355 | 1,750,366,961,450 | 1,750,366,961,450 | NO | 0.06 | 2,841.976726 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
AEzO2Pzysg | iran-nuclear-deal-in-2-months | iran nuclear deal in 2 months | null | 1,742,405,237,972 | 1,747,713,540,000 | 1,747,758,803,636 | NO | 0.01 | 11,931.726982 | Geopolitics | International Relations |
vd1gxqel8p | will-the-6d-effect-when-companies-t | Will "The 6D effect: When companies take risks, one..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,724,629,270,680 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,738,964,625,892 | NO | 0.14 | 0 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
PZ5n6QNUu6 | wwill-nvidia-outperform-the-sp-500 | Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in the first half of 2025? | null | 1,738,357,847,240 | 1,751,439,540,000 | 1,751,471,131,403 | YES | 0.991185 | 1,718.415614 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
Z60Q8tdNtZ | will-any-of-trumps-cabinet-be-confi | Will any of Trump's Cabinet be confirmed by the Senate on Inauguration Day? | null | 1,733,399,546,445 | 1,737,418,764,582 | 1,737,418,764,582 | YES | 0.97395 | 5,869.999988 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
yNlyPOCUI9 | will-the-wikipedia-article-for-jose | Will the Wikipedia article for Jose Luis Ricon MAKE IT THROUGH the end of EOY2025 | null | 1,743,983,523,902 | 1,745,277,222,525 | 1,745,277,222,525 | NO | 0.076275 | 248 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
Z0zcqLl92U | solana-up-5-today | SOLANA up 5% today? | null | 1,748,426,733,941 | 1,748,470,093,916 | 1,748,470,093,916 | NO | 0.44 | 243.9018 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
QpplzhlQ6c | will-the-plurality-of-zvis-june-202 | Will the plurality of Zvi's June 2025 AI use be from OpenAI? | null | 1,747,320,485,030 | 1,751,414,340,000 | 1,751,415,982,830 | NO | 0.249141 | 5,091.242025 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
PLpQlhCu8q | will-mikal-bridges-score-over-25-po | Will Mikal Bridges score over 25 points in tonight's contest against the Nets? (1/21/25) | null | 1,737,478,175,673 | 1,737,524,467,217 | 1,737,524,467,217 | NO | 0.547511 | 10 | Sports | Professional Sports |
CItSdhcnys | nuggets-win-tomorrow | nuggets win tomorrow | null | 1,746,912,426,340 | 1,746,912,581,455 | 1,746,912,581,455 | YES | 0.547738 | 1,004.618676 | Sports | Professional Sports |
ngp7nej6iz | will-the-president-inaugurated-be-d--cash | Will the president inaugurated differ from [Trump] the winner of the 2024 presidential election first called by AP? | null | 1,728,349,181,386 | 1,737,419,166,517 | 1,737,577,444,271 | NO | 0.007937 | 2,172.780786 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
6nfdcra9w5 | will-donald-trump-win-the-republica-d6s2ags4m9 | Will Donald Trump NOT be inaugurated? | null | 1,719,009,322,679 | 1,737,476,219,363 | 1,737,476,219,363 | NO | 0.01 | 189,779.668901 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ghLQCS0PLN | solana-pumps-today | Will Solana pump today? | null | 1,748,426,403,628 | 1,748,426,468,769 | 1,748,426,468,769 | YES | 0.5 | 0 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
pEgqAPhEPs | will-the-referenced-market-resolve | Will the referenced market resolve before 2/19? | null | 1,739,848,032,311 | 1,739,951,517,843 | 1,739,951,517,843 | NO | 0.01 | 1,497.94971 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
5xu604kutx | will-bangladesh-hold-new-general-el | Will Bangladesh hold new general elections in the next 6 months? | null | 1,722,881,924,303 | 1,738,780,140,000 | 1,738,787,006,591 | NO | 0.01 | 60,739.360925 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
faoijknmcw | will-how-bad-a-future-do-ml-researc | Will "How bad a future do ML researchers expect?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,722,991,808,200 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,739,304,979,509 | NO | 0.104296 | 525 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
OncO8hhOcd | samsung-vs-apple | Samsung vs Apple - Round 1 | null | 1,735,213,739,730 | 1,735,842,540,000 | 1,735,844,893,117 | NO | 0.246154 | 75 | Technology | Mobile & Consumer Electronics |
RlC5EZQSR0 | daily-coinflip-0Z9PIA9I8p | Daily Coinflip | null | 1,751,277,359,617 | 1,751,428,740,000 | 1,751,457,410,392 | YES | 0.500945 | 2,399.772509 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
n9q5PZuNQQ | will-bitcoin-hit-90k-by-thursday | Will Bitcoin hit $90k by Thursday? | null | 1,740,656,967,038 | 1,740,718,839,326 | 1,740,718,839,326 | NO | 0.022946 | 903.448753 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
fnr3p4t34h | will-manifold-have-multiplechoice-p | Will Manifold have multiple-choice polls by 2025? | null | 1,722,214,758,107 | 1,735,689,540,000 | 1,735,819,938,035 | NO | 0.228242 | 154 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
ZOS0sNnzQ6 | russiaukraine-ceasefire-by-easter | Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by Easter? | null | 1,742,737,047,371 | 1,745,193,540,000 | 1,745,194,925,628 | NO | 0.010064 | 7,296.772369 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
O8O5UEQh5A | will-this-question-close-on-a-prime | Will this question close on a prime number of traders? (closes in one day) | null | 1,742,012,853,752 | 1,742,183,940,000 | 1,742,220,123,098 | NO | 0.005638 | 1,897.733145 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
O5R9IAuhIL | will-a-congressconfirmed-2025-cabin | Will a Congress-confirmed 2025 cabinet pick resign or be removed before June 30, 2025? | null | 1,736,518,607,062 | 1,751,425,900,928 | 1,751,425,900,928 | NO | 0.012547 | 1,307.972724 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
vkbwemicbh | will-resolution-criteria-be-mandato-h1il222gib | Will resolution criteria be mandatory for new Yes/No markets on 03/03/2025? | null | 1,726,037,744,416 | 1,741,042,740,000 | 1,741,075,118,420 | NO | 0.01 | 900.409471 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
pLIcdcEgIt | daily-coinflip-C8plNlSzRZ | Daily coinflip | null | 1,741,551,642,845 | 1,741,665,540,000 | 1,741,681,682,177 | NO | 0.51 | 3,624.215706 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
lSpAtILdIu | will-south-korea-be-under-martial-l | Will South Korea be under martial law on January 1st 2025? | null | 1,733,235,197,547 | 1,735,624,800,000 | 1,735,765,904,856 | NO | 0.015484 | 11,710.082798 | Geopolitics | Regional Affairs |
pRcc8UgNU8 | kilmar-abrego-garcia-returned-home | Kilmar Abrego Garcia returned home by judge's deadline? | null | 1,744,037,143,285 | 1,744,070,340,000 | 1,744,071,798,204 | NO | 0.026243 | 5,100 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
99y62qNcR6 | us-and-saudi-announce-ai-project-be | US/Saudi announce AI project before May 16? | null | 1,747,138,826,202 | 1,747,353,540,000 | 1,747,408,593,889 | NO | 0.030709 | 585.740689 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
UOUEgL2qqO | will-mats-applications-open-in-marc | Will MATS applications open in March? | null | 1,742,146,024,703 | 1,742,490,400,313 | 1,742,490,400,313 | YES | 0.991538 | 10,677.656333 | Technology | Computing & Software |
9gCC60y6Ed | bbc-reports-american-deaths-from-ir | BBC reports American deaths from Iranian attacks in June 2025? | null | 1,750,719,473,888 | 1,751,353,200,001 | 1,751,392,972,730 | NO | 0.022829 | 62,546.89123 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
QyQ8sc6gRI | will-gran-turismo-7s-next-update-be | Will Gran Turismo 7's next update be released this month? | null | 1,746,114,647,071 | 1,747,493,427,111 | 1,747,493,427,111 | YES | 0.810993 | 130 | Entertainment | Gaming |
0uguLINUCd | will-my-usamo-score-be-higher-than | Will my USAMO score be higher than David's USAJMO score? | null | 1,741,884,084,829 | 1,745,442,422,564 | 1,745,442,422,564 | NO | 0.00941 | 12,988.521375 | Sports | Individual Sports |
tVjwOnjKLbDqtyjB2kG4 | will-the-king-and-the-golem-make-th | Will "The King and the Golem" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,715,981,407,858 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,739,304,982,206 | NO | 0.148272 | 10 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
6gn68nZSAh | will-musk-actually-bring-a-sink-int | Will Musk actually bring a sink into the Oval Office after inauguration? | null | 1,731,182,697,771 | 1,740,124,740,000 | 1,748,180,552,042 | NO | 0.012985 | 14,197.414454 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
wXifAhkiPEcdfCCD3em1 | will-max-finish-the-book-i-loaned-h | Will Max finish the book I loaned him? | null | 1,716,207,283,121 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,707,693,175 | NO | 0.584417 | 270 | Books & Literature | Books & Literature |
6RZ99CpUPt | will-trump-coin-official-trump-surp | Will $Trump coin (Official Trump) surpass the fully diluted valuation of $DOGE (Dogecoin) by April 2025? | null | 1,737,268,840,666 | 1,737,277,478,164 | 1,737,277,478,164 | YES | 0.961069 | 4,450 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
s7z05zlksn | will-grok-3-release-before-mamma-mi | Will Grok 3 release before Mamma Mia 3? | null | 1,724,644,209,504 | 1,740,369,232,075 | 1,740,369,232,075 | YES | 0.984939 | 1,102.006261 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
eg6pdxigjh | will-david-zaslav-resign-or-be-fire | Will David Zaslav remain CEO and president of Warner Bros. Discovery for all of 2024? | null | 1,723,100,226,285 | 1,735,711,140,000 | 1,735,714,014,113 | YES | 0.99 | 10,494.379328 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
6QRmzLDIdtJsIkVqWiuo | will-elon-musk-serve-time-in-prison | Will Elon Musk serve time in prison at any point in 2024? | null | 1,714,942,870,289 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,737,090,861 | NO | 0.01 | 3,724.733702 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
gdfh2h6boi | will-israels-proposed-hostagesinwar | Will Israel’s proposed hostage/Sinwar deal be accepted? | null | 1,726,783,108,109 | 1,735,689,540,000 | 1,735,716,484,207 | NO | 0.01 | 898.477615 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
5gdOJHOFmNhHQTiqPXk2 | will-destiny-join-a-twitter-spaces | Will Destiny join a Twitter Spaces room with Elon Musk, both as Speakers, in 2024? | null | 1,714,956,254,871 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,692,333,635 | NO | 0.04287 | 698.877072 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
PUgOn8z6yt | another-us-military-action-against | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | null | 1,750,562,216,623 | 1,750,651,288,701 | 1,750,651,288,701 | NO | 0.048429 | 6,605.117787 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
qjtbjiu91k | is-ukraines-offensive-in-the-kursk | Is Ukraine's offensive in the Kursk region a diversion? | null | 1,723,576,390,831 | 1,735,738,944,441 | 1,735,738,944,441 | NO | 0.09674 | 4,159.737289 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
4y57ykvT7eIY4Wuty44z | will-meta-release-a-llama-3-405b-mu | Will Meta release a Llama 3 405B multi-modal open source before the end of 2024? | null | 1,715,153,506,830 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,771,252,755 | NO | 0.051499 | 5,782.699308 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
u0Un0c55PR | will-manifolds-users-find-a-prompt | Will Manifold's users find a prompt to make AI assisted questions draw an ASCII horse in June? | null | 1,748,687,707,062 | 1,751,320,740,000 | 1,751,368,312,696 | NO | 0.047086 | 5,904.951704 | Technology | Computing & Software |
2ShOQLlshh | short-fuse-will-i-be-able-to-get-a | [short fuse] Will I be able to get a Nintendo Switch 2 preorder on the first day? | null | 1,745,451,472,886 | 1,745,510,732,738 | 1,745,510,732,738 | YES | 0.99 | 2,580.034286 | Technology | Gaming |
i7v26sr47v | will-notes-on-teaching-in-prison-ma | Will "Notes on Teaching in Prison" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,719,755,071,413 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,739,304,577,510 | NO | 0.14 | 0 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
qCEd5uROsc | will-there-be-at-least-one-uci-cycl | Will there be at least one UCI cycling professional road race in the Netherlands before 1 September 2025? | null | 1,732,734,101,288 | 1,745,207,075,998 | 1,745,207,075,998 | YES | 0.99 | 11,296.122765 | Sports | Individual Sports |
tt00NhtZzp | ras2025-will-samsung-feature-smart | RAS2025: Will Samsung feature smart glasses at the Unpacked event? | null | 1,736,520,151,471 | 1,737,500,399,000 | 1,737,639,262,664 | NO | 0.896888 | 6,636.632953 | Technology | Mobile & Consumer Electronics |
5SId2zn5hI | will-donald-trump-repay-elon-musks | Will Donald Trump repay Elon Musk's backing in good faith? | null | 1,730,939,292,568 | 1,740,630,210,963 | 1,740,630,210,963 | YES | 0.99 | 201,564.918435 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Qt0P96PCPc | will-i-get-into-the-junior-program | Will I get into the Junior Program of PRIMES-USA | null | 1,736,480,351,092 | 1,736,524,657,063 | 1,736,524,657,063 | NO | 0.5 | 0 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
z8l9ZA0INE | will-trump-impose-any-sort-of-tarif-gySLNnA8Rq | Will Trump impose any sort of Tariff on Mexico by the end of February? | null | 1,737,436,971,005 | 1,740,709,920,000 | 1,741,185,790,416 | NO | 0.01 | 15,587.989948 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
0NdUnhR8A8 | will-i-double-my-net-worth-by-febru | Will I double my net worth by February 2025? | null | 1,734,099,887,511 | 1,737,387,901,609 | 1,737,387,901,609 | YES | 0.992068 | 2,193.916544 | Finance | Personal Finance |
oss1pml9cq | will-there-be-a-disaster-this-year | Will there be a disaster this year with an economic cost of over $100 billion as of December 31, 2024? | null | 1,721,237,425,837 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,739,773,068,257 | NO | 0.033519 | 19,395.937079 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
ES0RLLsPgg | will-i-win-the-open-weight-division | Will I win the open weight division of my jiu jitsu tournament? | null | 1,737,391,381,929 | 1,739,099,109,497 | 1,739,099,109,497 | NO | 0.803768 | 1,436.139262 | Sports | Individual Sports |
1u51akc5nz | will-astronauts-sunita-williams-and | Will astronauts Sunita Williams and Barry Wilmore return to Earth before the end of February 2025? | null | 1,727,215,442,658 | 1,740,808,740,000 | 1,741,197,672,259 | NO | 0.014729 | 8,396.664074 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
2Q9ZINquCs | will-bitcoin-fall-below-100k-by-jun | Will Bitcoin fall below $100k by June 30th? | null | 1,748,313,149,273 | 1,750,690,476,519 | 1,750,690,476,519 | YES | 0.99 | 25,078.006744 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
CnLZz0pqRZ | apple-stock-closes-above-210-on-jun | Apple stock closes above $210 on June 27? | null | 1,750,261,989,607 | 1,750,676,400,000 | 1,751,560,503,946 | NO | 0.08 | 4,400.161728 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
lywrojwurm | will-mira-murati-work-at-an-ai-lab | Will Mira Murati work at an AI lab at the end of Q2 2025? | null | 1,727,293,512,342 | 1,751,439,540,000 | 1,751,439,892,064 | YES | 0.99 | 22,571.123783 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
2IU5ZPqsUn | grok-35-available-before-june | Grok 3.5 available before June? | null | 1,748,023,207,645 | 1,748,757,540,000 | 1,748,760,385,604 | NO | 0.018157 | 9,625.180732 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
E96g0sL5Lp | will-auston-matthews-score-40-goals | Will Auston Matthews score 40+ goals during the 2024-2025 NHL regular season? | null | 1,735,868,279,944 | 1,744,948,740,000 | 1,744,983,653,903 | NO | 0.010874 | 908 | Sports | Professional Sports |
4c9mtjocso | will-a-manifold-user-leave-delaware | Will a Manifold user leave Delaware, Idaho, Michigan, Washington, or DC to be eligible for Sweepstakes? | null | 1,726,609,100,347 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,764,916,995 | NO | 0.272651 | 65 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
0IyyugAzz5 | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-lRsILtuygy | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Feb 14 than it closed on Feb 13? | null | 1,739,540,037,444 | 1,739,602,998,214 | 1,739,602,998,214 | NO | 0.009445 | 13,494.002424 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
gEQygUsypE | will-tiktok-be-on-the-app-store-by | Will TikTok be on the App Store by Friday? | null | 1,737,505,885,970 | 1,737,716,340,000 | 1,737,825,161,156 | NO | 0.01 | 12,759.954307 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
4dxz1c7p8f | will-toyota-announce-a-sixth-genera-xdnasn9gdf | Will Toyota announce a sixth generation RAV4 in 2024? | null | 1,724,097,866,556 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,746,171,934 | NO | 0.026271 | 89,469.686022 | Technology | Mobile & Consumer Electronics |
LhgZ9ZqU0E | will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-yh25SpQ5ER | Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 66 and 67? | null | 1,737,904,849,227 | 1,738,510,482,757 | 1,738,510,487,945 | NO | 0.210023 | 1,260.574 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
j8OZxOzhPPkqih5hdIUY | did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory-8d38660948d1 | Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory? | null | 1,715,707,178,633 | 1,735,711,140,000 | 1,735,711,454,603 | NO | 0.211221 | 16,797.048082 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
S5SdSUqIS9 | will-mathieu-van-der-poel-lead-the | Will Mathieu van der Poel lead the 2025 Criterium du Dauphine after Stage 4? | null | 1,749,615,210,411 | 1,749,650,400,000 | 1,749,660,871,352 | NO | 0.322954 | 1,372.428571 | Sports | Individual Sports |
8NLypCtqpN | in-february-will-the-israel-defence | In February, will the Israel Defence Forces (IDF) carry out ≥5 fatal airstrikes in Gaza whilst a ceasefire is active? | null | 1,737,124,534,364 | 1,740,787,140,000 | 1,743,534,717,060 | NO | 0.231063 | 4,755.216204 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
yPPdunqCIP | will-the-standard-deviation-of-the | Will the standard deviation of the bets on this question exceed 80? | null | 1,742,232,499,734 | 1,747,457,940,000 | 1,747,610,804,865 | YES | 0.990851 | 2,031.909207 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
O2P9AU0NUL | will-there-be-a-break-between-chain-cgSA5ERRnZ | Will there be a break between Chainsaw Man chapters 199 and 200? | null | 1,743,528,861,612 | 1,744,148,560,180 | 1,744,148,565,437 | NO | 0.171233 | 120 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
lRZgUUl8As | iranian-rial-reaches-1-million-to-o | Iranian rial reaches 1 million to one USD in unofficial markets by end of 2025 | null | 1,734,542,446,989 | 1,742,304,638,708 | 1,742,304,638,708 | YES | 0.77941 | 1,059.706558 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
yQQg6lU6O9 | will-the-sp-500-recover-by-eoy | Will the S&P 500 recover by EOY? | null | 1,741,973,308,352 | 1,751,054,768,126 | 1,751,054,768,126 | YES | 0.99 | 16,909.72515 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
oOXo53dEmCvcKkiXnPLa | will-the-aimo-artificial-intelligen | Will the AIMO (Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad) Grand Prize be won before 2025? | null | 1,715,998,610,033 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,753,626,906 | NO | 0.088055 | 4,893.405546 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
d1pyc7lyhn | will-kim-jong-un-go-abroad-in-2024--cash | Will Kim Jong Un go abroad in 2024? | null | 1,727,732,633,455 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,761,724,022 | NO | 0.01396 | 1,060.393779 | Geopolitics | Regional Affairs |
AAglI5lUNE | will-the-bank-of-canada-cut-interes-cO9ERAUhpn | Will the Bank of Canada cut interest rates in Q1 2025? | null | 1,735,721,603,154 | 1,738,525,508,920 | 1,738,525,508,920 | YES | 0.753846 | 75 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
ZlQgA095Pn | will-my-net-worth-be-above-m30000-i-EEIqLdlQE0 | Will my net worth be above Ṁ30,000 in a week? | null | 1,743,901,382,504 | 1,744,506,000,000 | 1,744,506,004,252 | NO | 0.177507 | 291.22703 | Finance | Personal Finance |
oxcm9yvrs9 | will-there-be-a-model-with-a-69-cha | Will there be a model with a 69%+ Chatbot Arena win rate against gpt-o1 before June 1st, 2025? | null | 1,726,732,365,757 | 1,748,169,877,395 | 1,748,169,884,404 | YES | 0.955511 | 24,383.124302 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
89PIc5nAII | this-market-resolves-to-the-xor-of-8uNAqt99A0 | This market resolves to the xor of all other markets referencing "Will three different individuals create a market ..." | null | 1,739,842,297,316 | 1,741,064,340,000 | 1,741,168,391,550 | NO | 0.253699 | 5,968.997765 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
685AhZcqII | will-alexander-ovechkin-score-a-goa | Will Alexander Ovechkin score a goal in his first game back? | null | 1,733,796,670,420 | 1,735,711,140,000 | 1,749,500,170,884 | YES | 0.380287 | 330 | Sports | Professional Sports |
wfwdyj6y6m | will-jimmy-carter-attend-the-state | Will Trevor Levin of Harvard bet on a Jimmy Carter market? | null | 1,727,990,885,037 | 1,751,249,694,151 | 1,751,249,694,151 | NO | 0.097064 | 205 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
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