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nZ5QqslqZQ | nathan-young-asks-nathan-young-asks | Nathan young asks Nathan Young asks Musk out? | null | 1,746,100,558,324 | 1,748,692,500,000 | 1,748,755,489,997 | NO | 0.015156 | 1,031.535164 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
PQcOnqEty5 | will-nvda-recover-this-month | Will NVDA recover this month? | null | 1,738,003,460,485 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,738,368,537,785 | NO | 0.091848 | 23,603.75882 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
5UNSILQAUA | will-tsla-reach-420-during-trumps-p | Will $TSLA reach 420 during Trump’s presidency? | null | 1,730,986,730,277 | 1,737,966,730,449 | 1,737,966,730,449 | YES | 0.99489 | 1,875.623853 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
rmsxvqrgb4 | will-donald-trump-be-the-republican-osvrf1kdjz | Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for the 2028 U.S. Presidential election if he loses the 2024 election? | null | 1,726,596,778,857 | 1,739,581,687,704 | 1,739,581,687,704 | NO | 0.01 | 10,510.805768 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
NpILIcROR9 | will-the-chiefs-score-more-than-30 | Will the Chiefs score more than 30 points in a game this season? | null | 1,734,288,216,116 | 1,737,945,710,297 | 1,737,945,710,297 | YES | 0.99 | 15,896.259059 | Sports | Professional Sports |
excelfy5nd | will-bambu-lab-release-a-significan | Rumors: Will Bambu Lab release a significantly new printer in 2024? | null | 1,720,829,304,227 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,782,062,989 | NO | 0.033842 | 2,010 | Technology | Mobile & Consumer Electronics |
rwkkcgSpnA | will-alexander-and-yudkowsky-on-agi | Will "Alexander and Yudkowsky on AGI goals" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,733,584,081,308 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,738,964,416,097 | NO | 0.157913 | 2 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
ENtSIsAQ60 | will-the-federal-reserve-change-the | Will the Federal Reserve change the fed funds rate in their May 6th-7th meeting? | null | 1,746,493,512,572 | 1,746,641,006,383 | 1,746,641,006,383 | NO | 0.01 | 56,335.345682 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
hCQPORgcyq | will-elon-musk-still-be-one-of-the | Will Elon Musk still be one of the leaders of the Dept of Gov Efficiency on the first of march 2025? | null | 1,731,925,219,385 | 1,740,844,740,000 | 1,740,845,079,539 | YES | 0.990911 | 42,373.11763 | Politics | Government Structure |
RnPSLCnU9E | will-gpt5-be-released-before-claude | Will GPT-5 be released before Claude 4? | null | 1,735,805,293,841 | 1,747,936,400,376 | 1,747,936,400,376 | NO | 0.01 | 2,541.000123 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
yRRqtAAuZg | will-alphabet-or-google-be-top-5-co | Will Alphabet (or Google) be Top 5 Company in end of 2024 | null | 1,729,850,688,838 | 1,735,756,140,000 | 1,735,791,623,811 | YES | 0.99 | 894.987437 | Finance | Corporate Finance |
slIrdK9clHNBPED8egtP | will-a-third-boeing-whistleblower-d-b98d2b4090c0 | Will a third Boeing whistleblower die before the end of Valentine's Day 2025? | null | 1,715,966,414,551 | 1,739,595,540,000 | 1,739,807,073,216 | NO | 0.01 | 9,760.197159 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
6PdugCyNn5 | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-C8tCsQlpqR | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Jan 10 than it closed on Jan 9? | null | 1,736,430,456,845 | 1,737,093,540,000 | 1,737,130,564,260 | NO | 0.01 | 1,132.414761 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
6yncL22QOL | lightning-fuse-will-i-top-my-first | [Lightning fuse] will I top my (first place) platinum league table? | null | 1,740,896,165,548 | 1,740,947,845,206 | 1,740,947,845,206 | NO | 0.014313 | 1,723.231164 | Gaming | Gaming |
gOLIRzg6l0 | eric-adams-no-longer-identifies-as | Eric Adams no longer identifies as a Democrat by December 31, 2025 | null | 1,737,407,961,238 | 1,744,421,376,236 | 1,744,421,393,176 | YES | 0.99 | 18,408.986298 | Politics | Political Parties & Ideologies |
ib7ov5u3od | will-the-us-have-a-port-strike-in-j | Will the US have a port strike in January 2025? | null | 1,729,643,764,821 | 1,738,432,133,030 | 1,738,432,133,030 | NO | 0.012025 | 9,993.580906 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
qnvfhsxujs | will-the-bank-of-canada-cut-interes-ec8ir98dpz | Will the Bank of Canada cut interest rates in Q4 2024? | null | 1,727,801,508,215 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,721,538,718 | YES | 0.940279 | 400 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
eegbr9bc7i | will-donald-trump-express-remorse-t | Will Donald Trump express remorse that Bolivian General Juan José Zúñiga‘s coup attempt failed? | null | 1,719,452,822,039 | 1,735,766,178,287 | 1,735,766,178,287 | NO | 0.04941 | 3,616.469038 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
8uj95y2gpd | did-adrian-wojnarowski-retire-becau | Did Adrian Wojnarowski retire because of a scandal that will shortly be revealed about him? | null | 1,726,672,677,722 | 1,740,815,940,000 | 1,740,875,518,624 | NO | 0.122629 | 1,812.727191 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
l6SPnncpdI | will-jagmeet-singh-win-his-seat-in | Will Jagmeet Singh win his seat in the 2025 Canadian election? | null | 1,745,314,053,255 | 1,745,884,740,000 | 1,745,911,119,384 | NO | 0.14 | 458.396415 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
uuyII25pg6 | will-labour-rebels-kill-the-univers | Will Labour rebels kill the Universal Credit bill? 🧨Short Fuse🧨 | null | 1,751,376,767,763 | 1,751,392,800,000 | 1,751,396,051,248 | NO | 0.240745 | 197.951067 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
t5PQQLE0pS | federal-reserve-cuts-interest-rates | Federal Reserve cuts interest rates at June 2025 FOMC meeting | null | 1,749,023,801,763 | 1,750,316,979,038 | 1,750,316,979,038 | NO | 0.01 | 1,978.657959 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
RyUAUtUPRc | will-the-2025-french-open-have-a-fi | Will the 2025 French Open have a first time men's major finalist? | null | 1,748,226,946,652 | 1,749,223,695,914 | 1,749,223,695,914 | NO | 0.01 | 14,243.599373 | Sports | Individual Sports |
PuUO529nER | coin-flip-hL8ApR8Nnt | Coin Flip | null | 1,736,002,761,569 | 1,736,004,342,150 | 1,736,004,342,150 | YES | 0.8 | 1,000 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
OZgsICOLCP | by-september-4will-new-york-city-an | By September 4, will New York City announce a systemwide public school cellphone ban? | null | 1,737,080,948,889 | 1,743,725,405,237 | 1,743,725,405,237 | YES | 0.221453 | 281.153846 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
s2i8y2m2oh | will-neuralink-implant-its-device-i | Will Neuralink implant its device in five or more patients before the end of 2024? | null | 1,720,697,592,689 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,692,702,474 | NO | 0.082856 | 2,839.529701 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
px1bogbfs7 | will-the-supreme-leader-of-iran-sey | Will the supreme leader of Iran (Seyyed Ali Hosseini Khamenei) be killed before the end of 2024 | null | 1,727,813,818,626 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,706,302,365 | NO | 0.014534 | 16,787.241578 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
nc7i19el7y | will-nicolas-maduro-accept-asylum-i | Will Nicolas Maduro accept asylum in the US by the end of 2024? | null | 1,723,403,425,319 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,736,778,377,272 | NO | 0.018773 | 18,669.210967 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
op371c8hpa | will-nasa-confirm-the-discovery-of-nwecx0u6y4 | Will NASA confirm the discovery of aliens before 2025? | null | 1,719,050,054,720 | 1,735,673,340,000 | 1,737,082,934,127 | NO | 0.013268 | 876 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
T6rN8CL5Zrf7b7HvpD3M | will-volt-be-elected-into-the-next | Will Volt be elected into the next Bundestag (2025)? | null | 1,718,114,847,917 | 1,740,382,977,223 | 1,740,382,977,223 | NO | 0.01 | 29,690.369572 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
6qpNsdRsqQ | will-feiningforgm-hit-expert-in-1-c | Will feining_for_gm hit Expert in 1 contest | null | 1,747,108,780,423 | 1,747,108,813,272 | 1,747,108,813,272 | YES | 0.800957 | 1,006 | Sports | Individual Sports |
uLnu006AlU | tariff-on-chinese-goods-is-100-or-h | Tariff on Chinese goods is 100% or higher? | null | 1,738,620,757,043 | 1,744,168,160,554 | 1,744,168,160,554 | YES | 0.974415 | 13,905.617398 | Finance | Trade & Economics |
NcNzyzgQlt | did-yacine-get-fired-from-x | Did Yacine get fired from X? | null | 1,735,256,370,210 | 1,737,224,326,914 | 1,737,224,326,914 | NO | 0.086211 | 6,506.306565 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
Sq9n6pPPny | will-i-solve-14-codeforces-problems | Will I solve 14+ Codeforces problems this week? | null | 1,741,165,524,125 | 1,741,507,140,000 | 1,741,544,175,032 | NO | 0.689708 | 381 | Technology | Computing & Software |
rjmebgg50r | will-the-supreme-court-reverse-rich | Will the Supreme Court reverse Richard Glossip's conviction? | null | 1,728,991,212,521 | 1,740,500,586,520 | 1,740,500,586,520 | YES | 0.939925 | 3,157.378525 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
DJ0rLHJOzu7kVIW7KZHe | will-destiny-be-featured-in-a-msnbc | Will Destiny be featured in a MSNBC segment before the end of 2024? | null | 1,714,768,077,121 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,832,379,833 | NO | 0.11273 | 299.399469 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
qhNntsL6EU | will-march-2025-be-the-hottest-marc | Will March 2025 be the hottest March ever? [NCEI] | null | 1,734,106,231,984 | 1,744,297,200,000 | 1,744,552,562,487 | NO | 0.034732 | 17,640.558354 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
9k9wu6u6ga | will-more-than-five-people-be-succe | Will more than five people be successfully prosecuted for the viral Chase bank check fraud? | null | 1,725,269,456,602 | 1,747,601,940,000 | 1,749,345,496,872 | NO | 0.070637 | 2,291.02707 | Finance | Banking & Financial Services |
hzRh25stS9 | pturkey-launches-major-ground-offen | Turkey launches major ground offensive into Syria before March 1st 2025 | null | 1,734,941,496,840 | 1,740,780,000,000 | 1,740,787,729,277 | NO | 0.01 | 1,156.663082 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
6znr7fh7mm | will-any-israeli-aircraft-be-shot-d | Will any Israeli aircraft be shot down over Iranian airspace by the end of 2024? | null | 1,728,335,540,467 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,739,777,684,127 | NO | 0.034239 | 5,331.041383 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
CK79IZtVswCiiWxeNFMC | will-the-world-move-gazan-andor-sud | Will the world move Gazan and/or Sudanese refugees to Bir Tawil to be under international control? | null | 1,715,287,787,630 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,736,666,315,428 | NO | 0.032984 | 461 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
mxrnknekvj | will-mrbeast-go-to-jail-before-the | Will MrBeast go to jail before the end of 2024? | null | 1,723,122,085,442 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,738,879,539,186 | NO | 0.018516 | 632 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
9A5ZspLqpL | palestinian-activists-shut-down-ont | Palestinian activists shut down Ontario Food Terminal? | null | 1,748,278,782,574 | 1,748,732,400,000 | 1,748,960,362,722 | NO | 0.15622 | 176.064086 | Geopolitics | Regional Affairs |
Z000S9h8CN | trump-attempts-to-revoke-good-ventu | Trump attempts to revoke Good Ventures/Open Philanthropy's tax-exempt status by 5/31/25? | null | 1,745,175,943,972 | 1,748,735,940,000 | 1,748,759,301,362 | NO | 0.01 | 8,987.112002 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
sN2UEzuLLu | will-the-sp-500-closer-higher-on-ja | Will the s&p 500 closer higher on Jan 10 than on Jan 6? | null | 1,736,201,468,829 | 1,736,544,723,079 | 1,736,544,723,079 | NO | 0.010963 | 1,015 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
506tIs95Uu | will-mr-beast-post-a-youtube-video | Will Mr. Beast post a YouTube video by June 19th on his main account that will be longer then 5 minutes? | null | 1,748,944,524,471 | 1,749,317,809,330 | 1,749,317,809,330 | YES | 0.788194 | 355 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
dO9NA9Eq6g | will-elon-musk-cease-to-be-an-advis | Will Elon Musk cease to be an advisor to Donald Trump and face public criticism from Donald Trump before 2026? | null | 1,737,574,234,679 | 1,749,225,578,506 | 1,749,225,578,506 | YES | 0.99 | 299,257.777428 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
SdPEpsLs0c | this-question-have-32-traders-by-ju | Will this question have 32+ traders by July 1? | null | 1,748,290,276,912 | 1,751,327,940,000 | 1,751,358,897,657 | YES | 0.995561 | 798,158.538464 | Sports | Professional Sports |
9plzId0Rq0 | will-bitcoin-reach-110k-in-may | Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May? | null | 1,746,774,497,488 | 1,747,869,959,919 | 1,747,869,959,919 | YES | 0.99 | 236,634.318648 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
ChRqhEdugz | will-we-find-election-interference-dZnO6Eyd5u | Will we find election interference before 2025? | null | 1,731,247,125,675 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,729,308,519 | NO | 0.072754 | 257 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
zcEN9y5POZ | will-o3-be-added-to-the-chatbot-are | Will o3 be added to the chatbot arena leaderboard (lmarena.org) within 3 weeks of its release? | null | 1,738,968,202,764 | 1,745,454,660,620 | 1,745,454,660,620 | YES | 0.98977 | 16,949.211911 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
L8862pUqsp | jefferson-griffin-appointed-to-the | Jefferson Griffin appointed to the North Carolina Supreme Court in 2025 | null | 1,738,713,763,030 | 1,747,175,134,751 | 1,747,175,134,751 | NO | 0.015826 | 126,228.882032 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
v9pcp5Lucqu0GNcxTaRF | will-rudy-giuliani-be-alive-and-abl | Will Rudy Giuliani be alive and able to perform Activities of Daily Living on January 1, 2025? | null | 1,715,786,780,615 | 1,735,891,140,000 | 1,737,669,452,807 | YES | 0.99 | 927.453514 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ig4nmo0h1b | will-the-eu-institute-border-contro | Will the EU institute border controls at the border to Hungary before 2025? | null | 1,722,718,808,865 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,736,676,966,423 | NO | 0.012655 | 940 | Geopolitics | Regional Affairs |
5uyS0h2zP8 | will-south-korean-president-yoon-su | Will South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol be in police custody before February 1, 2025? | null | 1,735,903,586,338 | 1,736,918,139,041 | 1,736,918,139,041 | YES | 0.987096 | 13,372.153508 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
u6NuAOp82s | will-luka-make-the-lakers-better | Will Luka make the Lakers worse? | null | 1,738,954,762,218 | 1,744,581,311,306 | 1,744,581,311,306 | NO | 0.01 | 1,816.856793 | Sports | Professional Sports |
ALCAcPLsL8 | will-i-lift-weights-today-8NlshR6qsZ | Will I lift weights today? | null | 1,738,218,322,176 | 1,738,299,540,000 | 1,738,300,819,713 | NO | 0.637017 | 99.967395 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
UpfNoFH6Q6sU3HAZ2SzR | will-scarlett-johansson-sue-openai | Will Scarlett Johansson sue OpenAI and/or Sam Altman personally in 2024? | null | 1,716,253,939,279 | 1,735,711,140,000 | 1,735,742,241,678 | NO | 0.014017 | 79,139.726513 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
6j0tzy2y43 | will-be-legal-in-the-usa-on-every-d | Will 𝕏 be legal in the USA on every day from now until Wednesday April 30, 2025? | null | 1,726,629,433,704 | 1,746,082,740,000 | 1,746,105,289,950 | YES | 0.99 | 899.588707 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
APz0zNNudO | will-i-switch-to-cursor-from-phpsto | Will I switch to Cursor from PHPStorm by June 2025 | null | 1,745,771,893,739 | 1,748,792,880,000 | 1,748,798,541,306 | NO | 0.476828 | 74.663678 | Technology | Computing & Software |
c8y0UudS9N | will-i-play-magic-the-gathering-thi-IsLCh9ztNI | Will I play magic the gathering this week? | null | 1,744,064,303,039 | 1,744,669,080,000 | 1,744,735,329,383 | YES | 0.363193 | 37 | Entertainment | Gaming |
nhzNu9SSz8 | bases-total-value-locked-tvl-surpas | Base's Total Value Locked (TVL) surpassing Arbitrum's by June 9, 2025 | null | 1,741,720,355,728 | 1,741,771,572,607 | 1,741,771,572,607 | YES | 0.736334 | 160 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
z2gPPtgOyU | will-real-betis-qualify-for-the-nex | Will Real Betis qualify for the next round tomorrow? | null | 1,741,823,956,204 | 1,741,910,340,000 | 1,741,968,456,195 | YES | 0.99 | 894.987437 | Sports | Professional Sports |
zECUPh8PuN | will-ksp2-v0230-or-higher-release-o | Will KSP2 v0.2.3.0 or higher release on Steam by the end of June 2025? | null | 1,739,644,539,889 | 1,751,353,140,000 | 1,751,379,241,547 | NO | 0.045724 | 414 | Gaming | Video Games |
OIl99Rn0OP | openai-release-o3-pro-by-may-8-2025 | OpenAI release o3 pro by May 8, 2025? | null | 1,744,830,997,547 | 1,746,716,888,401 | 1,746,716,888,401 | NO | 0.013641 | 10,773.973861 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
s6PIUzU8p2 | will-destiny-talk-to-volodymyr-zele | Will Destiny talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy before July 2025? | null | 1,736,283,442,893 | 1,751,374,740,000 | 1,751,389,987,022 | NO | 0.01 | 13,448.284561 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
Og0zlPuNSI | bitcoin-above-84k-on-april-18 | Bitcoin above $84K on April 18? | null | 1,744,589,618,623 | 1,744,959,897,432 | 1,744,959,897,432 | YES | 0.99 | 24,863.57696 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
2qCE88Rzs5 | will-i-lift-weights-today-uIgcdA6uph | Will I lift weights today? | null | 1,739,431,064,260 | 1,739,509,140,000 | 1,739,515,026,876 | NO | 0.189435 | 190.14728 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
qtudbliwjj | did-the-idf-intentionally-kill-isra | Did the IDF intentionally kill Israelis on October 7th as part of the Hannibal Directive? | null | 1,720,496,314,884 | 1,739,030,116,308 | 1,739,030,116,308 | YES | 0.769537 | 21,432.583988 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
gplxkgf6bk | biden-will-be-diagnosed-with-long-c | Biden will be diagnosed with long COVID in 2024 | null | 1,721,261,029,756 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,736,040,691,775 | NO | 0.01 | 16,544.85894 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
yUqu6URtqu | will-ethereum-eth-reach-2900-in-may | Will Ethereum (ETH) reach $2,900 in May? | null | 1,747,162,917,743 | 1,748,735,940,000 | 1,748,749,937,741 | NO | 0.01 | 35,752.704903 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
h89SpU9Rdy | will-o3-cause-public-protests-until | Will o3 cause public protests until June 2025? | null | 1,735,093,777,195 | 1,751,320,740,000 | 1,751,560,537,593 | NO | 0.01 | 894.987437 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
NCl2tlgNzz | will-i-stay-in-masters-league-this-OdnSO0PPOP | Will I stay in Masters League this season? | null | 1,744,567,299,920 | 1,746,053,940,000 | 1,746,123,273,553 | YES | 0.953395 | 959.855897 | Gaming | Gaming |
EzSH9698Dh | will-my-current-lk99-questions-make | Will "My current LK99 questions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,734,295,684,054 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,738,963,711,321 | NO | 0.05 | 164.076369 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
uqQd6UdC8l | will-dogecoin-reach-1-before-the-en | Will Dogecoin reach $1 before the end of the year (2024)? | null | 1,731,651,364,250 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,915,765,654 | NO | 0.025961 | 11,842.18908 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
3nt4jjdcjh | will-zvi-mowshowitz-call-one-of-his | Will Zvi Mowshowitz call one of his posts "Que Sera Sora" before May 2025? | null | 1,725,999,842,881 | 1,746,050,340,000 | 1,746,353,670,078 | NO | 0.010277 | 9,373.320489 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
OsSyRAN20S | tsla-higher-than-330-on-june-16 | TSLA higher than $330 on June 16? | null | 1,749,589,146,574 | 1,750,118,340,000 | 1,750,146,385,087 | YES | 0.983819 | 1,973.395829 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
zQhU8RgRAZ | will-i-lift-weights-today-6CUSzpIZRz | Will I lift weights today? | null | 1,740,720,026,309 | 1,740,805,140,000 | 1,740,805,239,280 | NO | 0.18 | 199.112509 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
up7exduyj4 | will-credible-reporting-confirm-tha | Will credible reporting confirm that Hurricane Helene or Milton were caused by climate engineering? | null | 1,728,553,107,910 | 1,739,799,772,662 | 1,739,799,772,662 | NO | 0.01 | 911.981288 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
9p4wtr0tyi | will-any-1-seed-lose-on-the-first-w-rp01yrpiwl | Will any #1 seed lose on the first weekend of March Madness 2025? | null | 1,729,456,480,212 | 1,742,788,740,000 | 1,742,852,900,411 | NO | 0.032761 | 4,602.556675 | Sports | Team Sports |
2StpQZhu9t | will-the-white-smoke-come-after-5-o | Will the White Smoke come after 5 or more Black Smokes during the Papal Conclave? | null | 1,746,508,361,777 | 1,746,721,420,823 | 1,746,721,420,823 | NO | 0.021835 | 669.503004 | Politics | Government Structure |
zZcPqEN2R0 | will-california-approve-a-delay-to | Will California approve a delay to its IVF/infertility bill before July 1? (SB 729) | null | 1,750,847,575,394 | 1,751,342,849,821 | 1,751,342,849,821 | YES | 0.599641 | 138.346503 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
gP6ypIII8t | will-bitcoin-surpass-112500-before | Will bitcoin surpass $112,500 before the end of 2024? | null | 1,734,482,063,325 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,736,768,726 | NO | 0.01284 | 4,224.762176 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
PU6O9gAd0y | will-this-question-get-5-traders-to | Will this question get 5 traders today | null | 1,738,386,912,094 | 1,738,399,634,142 | 1,738,399,634,142 | YES | 0.99 | 1,747.714171 | Sports | Professional Sports |
oaiz5l6s9t | will-reddit-put-a-subreddit-behind | Will Reddit put any subreddit behind a paywall in 2024? | null | 1,723,055,755,741 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,739,214,757,884 | NO | 0.061142 | 5,487.782178 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
CC0OpqEdzl | first-confirmed-humantohuman-h5n1-t-zZnInOSz5g | First confirmed human-to-human H5N1 transmission by May 1st 2025 | null | 1,736,273,723,072 | 1,746,144,000,000 | 1,746,458,300,535 | NO | 0.010025 | 32,657.390334 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
awu6w312l0 | will-jet-lag-the-game-return-to-jap | Will Jet Lag: The Game return to Japan in 2025? | null | 1,724,668,061,661 | 1,735,862,100,083 | 1,735,862,100,083 | YES | 0.924455 | 341 | Entertainment | Television |
u7iaysvhvu | will-keyitemclub-have-at-least-100 | Will keyitem.club have at least 100 registered users by end of year? | null | 1,727,274,486,410 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,736,009,123,869 | NO | 0.149544 | 174.354039 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
0u9Zh6EqtO | will-hasan-be-banned-from-twitch-fo-RdnsC8sZP5 | Will Hasan be banned from Twitch for at least 1 day by the end of 2025? | null | 1,735,671,327,021 | 1,741,025,081,156 | 1,741,025,081,156 | YES | 0.971132 | 525 | Entertainment | Gaming |
4bpmjufb7n | will-a-filipino-chinese-or-us-natio-z8nzsockye | Will a Filipino, Chinese or US national be killed on or near Sabine Shoal before 2025? | null | 1,724,728,300,159 | 1,735,747,140,000 | 1,735,898,943,710 | NO | 0.128636 | 219.862391 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
hQEOERRURC | will-all-5-living-presidents-attend | Will all 5 living Presidents attend the funeral of Jimmy Carter? | null | 1,735,543,933,569 | 1,737,621,011,051 | 1,737,621,011,051 | YES | 0.993723 | 3,436.097209 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
s0mc82rk41 | will-an-elon-musk-tweet-get-a-commu | Will an Elon Musk tweet get a community note between September and EOY 2024? | null | 1,725,030,017,691 | 1,735,763,815,140 | 1,735,763,815,140 | YES | 0.983399 | 973 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
LL95ERnlZn | will-the-us-federal-government-actu | Will the US federal government actually have a "Department of Government Efficiency"? | null | 1,731,473,339,669 | 1,743,528,415,367 | 1,743,528,415,367 | YES | 0.948852 | 44,976.786658 | Politics | Government Structure |
QucuQN6I9Z | will-the-phrase-capiche-be-said-dur | Will the phrase "Capiche" be said during the 2025 MIT Mystery Hunt kickoff? | null | 1,736,237,033,000 | 1,737,133,422,079 | 1,737,134,571,931 | NO | 0.082255 | 461 | Entertainment | Gaming |
EASQCht5Ut | will-there-be-an-upset-in-the-20242 | Will there be an upset in the 2024-25 NFL divisional round? | null | 1,736,792,319,543 | 1,737,260,744,429 | 1,737,260,744,429 | YES | 0.99 | 1,086.341104 | Sports | Professional sports |
IPH9PJfHO3ZbkZtZNhjG | will-i-get-into-mit-f46928e41491 | Will I get into MIT? | null | 1,715,307,989,602 | 1,749,864,409,181 | 1,749,864,409,181 | YES | 0.952034 | 20,936.181829 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
OCTdDzx8qeNH9vw0qpk7 | will-shutting-down-the-lightcone-of | Will "Shutting Down the Lightcone Offices" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,716,902,170,933 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,739,304,617,421 | NO | 0.259865 | 255 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
ESpLLLqPI8 | motogp-2025-marquez-wins-jerez-gp-m | MotoGP 2025: Marquez wins Jerez GP main race on April 27? | null | 1,745,227,356,800 | 1,745,759,040,191 | 1,745,759,040,191 | NO | 0.01 | 991.825467 | Sports | Individual Sports |
gnEyc9cZ2P | warriors-defeat-heat-on-march-25-20 | Warriors defeat Heat on March 25, 2025 | null | 1,742,940,558,803 | 1,742,947,140,000 | 1,742,961,582,272 | NO | 0.62 | 89.464607 | Sports | Professional Sports |
sIUdNlgLIq | the-us-will-not-have-anymore-involv | The US will not have anymore involvement in Iran before the end of June | null | 1,750,647,632,838 | 1,751,245,451,500 | 1,751,245,451,500 | NO | 0.121232 | 654.7918 | Geopolitics | International Relations |
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