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... | Fion | RiB3ECnJ48CXPeRVKKu7 | public | contract | 1,719,657,248,850 | will-ukraine-win-the-russoukrainian | Fion | Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War? | null | 0.28 | 6,729.726196 | NO | null | |
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"... | Quillist | cere7883h7 | public | contract | 1,719,657,653,115 | will-nvidias-market-cap-exceed-10-o | Quillist | Will Nvidia's market cap exceed 10% of the total S&P 500 market cap by 2030? | null | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Savior of Plant | rvhupovwx2 | public | contract | 1,719,659,159,433 | when-will-a-tropical-storm-be-named | SaviorofPlant | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c | When will a tropical storm be named Beryl in 2024? | null | null | 250.174791 | YES | kdg1j6qwrs |
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... | Quillist | qaqt86tb77 | public | contract | 1,719,659,426,926 | will-prediction-markets-be-able-to | Quillist | Will prediction markets be able to predict the month any given person would die by > 95% by 2035? | 25jf4el8piq | null | null | null | null | |
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} | Quillist | 6tqno374ga | public | contract | 1,719,659,548,008 | will-the-majority-of-high-school-st | Quillist | Will the majority of US high school standardized tests be administered and graded by AI systems by 2030? | zlzsq10dxab | 0.445263 | 9.639394 | YES | null | |
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"content":... | The All Memeing Eye ♠️ | x9l3hbf0u4 | public | contract | 1,719,659,712,355 | which-number-is-the-biggest | TheAllMemeingEye | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c | Which number is the biggest? | q2aiyv59mgd | null | 25.981816 | YES | knoi6n57l1 |
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... | Quillist | qaqt86tb77 | public | contract | 1,719,659,734,019 | will-prediction-markets-be-able-to | Quillist | Will prediction markets be able to predict the month any given person would die by > 95% by 2035? | 25jf4el8piq | null | null | null | null | |
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"text": "And would a given test have to be entirely administered and entirely graded by AI to count, or would any amount of AI make it count?",
"type"... | Nat | 6tqno374ga | public | contract | 1,719,659,845,938 | will-the-majority-of-high-school-st | Nat | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQiPbh_DxrLlPxnGERX27JKVxmY1R7KNXsjag8WjbVIyY=s96-c | Will the majority of US high school standardized tests be administered and graded by AI systems by 2030? | zlzsq10dxab | 0.424351 | 89.10805 | NO | null |
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... | Steve Sokolowski | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,719,660,053,225 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | SteveSokolowski | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc1UM2wtQThBuAPyurW8TD4Y7ydKGRN-eB7Xv8txFEH_g=s96-c | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | ly0xcoj8x7t | null | 1,854.111583 | YES | 8de9e54470a7 |
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"text": "From a \"make your beliefs pay rent in anticipated experiences\" POV, it's pretty serious that the \"Biden is too old\" crowd was able to pre-register ... | Hastings Greer | cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3 | public | contract | 1,719,660,394,076 | prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1 | HastingsGreer | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtdVvVtp5FQGEq41bZbwCNGQmKDM0UTp3g4lW0a2IzUD7Vc=s96-c | June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets | null | null | 112.094896 | NO | c21fddb59d14 |
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"text": "(To try to probe at possible grey areas for further clarity:) What about a test that's created predominantly by humans but where AI was used to generat... | Nat | 6tqno374ga | public | contract | 1,719,660,673,604 | will-the-majority-of-high-school-st | Nat | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQiPbh_DxrLlPxnGERX27JKVxmY1R7KNXsjag8WjbVIyY=s96-c | Will the majority of US high school standardized tests be administered and graded by AI systems by 2030? | zlzsq10dxab | 0.424351 | 89.10805 | NO | null |
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"text": "Very pedantic, but I'd count it as YES if it generated the questions by just referencing a database of human crafted questions, but not if a human manu... | Quillist | 6tqno374ga | public | contract | 1,719,661,128,583 | will-the-majority-of-high-school-st | Quillist | Will the majority of US high school standardized tests be administered and graded by AI systems by 2030? | zlzsq10dxab | 0.424351 | 9.639394 | YES | null | |
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"text": "“or in any way becomes legally available to a significant portion” if this is your definition. Then Naltrexone should resolve to yes.",
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"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"l... | FairlyRandom | 5egiwe2w08 | public | contract | 1,719,670,086,440 | friday-dice-roll-what-number-will-t-5altvbzyjv | FairlyRandom | Friday Dice roll - What number will they land on? | null | null | null | null | null | |
ri3drsx55rj | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I mean federal level not just state , will add to description ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"ty... | chris (strutheo) | z64vr8zokm | public | contract | 1,719,670,174,120 | will-teflon-or-other-related-nonsti-k9sssb368o | strutheo | Will Teflon or other related nonstick chemicals be effectively banned by law in the USA before the end of 2027? | vxut6m2o91c | null | null | null | null | |
2t4i0wjjowb | false | Gv076pTh0ZQUVwTqQt9Ro2xnz2f1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Not at the link in the description. Is there data somewhere else?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
... | Marktwse | DNi6rhs9RjoqBIGu4nZm | public | contract | 1,719,670,351,141 | germanys-gdp-in-2023 | marktwse | Germany's GDP in 2023? | xh65snaf02 | null | 204.878448 | YES | fe03593ebc30 |
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