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false
AeBvsJ1vhEQAWTZ3TvdZCtyAc7S2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "pp3fg6e4EybziUJVfMKaDNDAOVh2", "label": "mariopasquato", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " Wait, what was your original intention? (There's a bunch of things you could be responding to there, not sure which you mean)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Nat
G61AS7jEU99dXT9K9gzf
public
contract
1,719,650,079,314
if-a-mundane-explanation-for-the-ph
Nat
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQiPbh_DxrLlPxnGERX27JKVxmY1R7KNXsjag8WjbVIyY=s96-c
If a mundane explanation for the phenomena thought to be due to dark matter is found, what will it be?
4yaw9mvkka
null
86.312817
NO
67caba1abf58
euhw5vzz2f
false
JJ1iKQdCkScEWHJKQBkXM0IUR1x2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I'm doubtful that UBI will reach the US anytime soon", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Cody
qTsFTvqxbZ9F7BydAiBA
public
contract
1,719,650,696,383
ubi-in-the-us-by-2030
Cody078a2
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLVu6cHNPnP4YNYBOL-cKEcbnDmminADVDi4-k6oyO-Pjg=s96-c
UBI in the US by 2030?
null
0.15969
59.031534
NO
null
snfjg2wf5db
false
AeBvsJ1vhEQAWTZ3TvdZCtyAc7S2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Yeah I did the same thing initially haha", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Nat
Vfbh1SIHiVchCo5TuogD
public
contract
1,719,650,737,593
how-many-spacex-launches-will-occur-a6470c3e84d7
Nat
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQiPbh_DxrLlPxnGERX27JKVxmY1R7KNXsjag8WjbVIyY=s96-c
🚀 How Many SPACEX Launches Will Occur During June 2024?
a6b9upxt04o
null
341.479922
YES
b2qbojsrpm
xspafd88mt
false
sDPcNq19nRb2IEcfvU3XP3QCqQ02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I'm sorry to hear your cat didn't come back. I hope you're doing okay and that he'll come back eventually. ❤ ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
redcat
l3co8dn7k1
public
contract
1,719,651,713,661
will-my-cat-come-back-within-the-ne
redcat
https://firebasestorage.…35d-f375e7e7fe68
Will my cat come back (within the next week)?
null
0
47.75855
NO
null
w7w8fjon1r9
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I kinda wish there are 270 votes in Compact states but the total is more than 540 so the thing is not in force. Like, Puerto Rico and DC join or something. This question would be ambiguous in that case. Or the last state that gives the compact a majority does so between July 21 and election day in 2032, so the compact is only in force for 2036.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bruno
xc2oj8SnZ0byb9BbOiV0
public
contract
1,719,651,815,216
will-the-national-popular-vote-inte-f171b4e22b7d
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact go into effect by the 2032 election?
null
null
null
null
null
w77fyzau6f
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Can this resolve already? He's currently secured ballot access in 10 states.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bruno
XaSCJjYhKle2YQNUeujo
public
contract
1,719,652,390,945
will-rfk-jr-end-up-running-as-an-in
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
Will RFK Jr. end up running as an Independent in 2024?
null
0.906713
482.910436
YES
null
mctqe8mlto
false
Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Closing time extended", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Lion
jpeedcm6n1
public
contract
1,719,652,398,859
bulls-vs-bears-will-the-sp-500-hit-9cezawykwv
Lion
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c
Bulls vs Bears: Will the S&P 500 hit 5,700.00 before 5,300.00?
null
null
null
null
null
zmr94u3p3zo
false
66e69xtuxcaOANdzvof19Vm4HFL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "It's the last day of the term. It's very rare to hold a case over to the next term unless they plan to rehear it, and there is no indication of that. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
HoldingC
mY8eR7W0O3iALtUT66JN
public
contract
1,719,652,665,696
how-will-the-supreme-court-decide-t
HoldingC
https://firebasestorage.…f05-2324bda7e40b
How will the Supreme Court split in the Trump immunity case?
jjpi4fzu84f
null
1,799.854122
YES
91e64ef624cb
lvranisexp
false
RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The dynamics of this race are similar to that - Biden's losing support with nonwhite and high ed voters while holding strong with wwc wing of the party. The NYT originally didn't endorse him because they're very much the former group.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Shaked Koplewitz
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,719,653,136,593
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
ShakedKoplewitz
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
8552n4hwh84
null
1,019.096502
YES
33b8f3dc81b9
5n5c2lh8mwu
false
2wvyM5pGg5WPcCNODDU5tcleXN02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", "href": "https://archive.ph/2024.05.01-214305/https://www.axios.com/pro/climate-deals/2024/05/01/commonwealth-fusion-progress", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "https://archive.ph/2024.05.01-214305/https://www.axios.com/pro/climate-deals/2024/05/01/commonwealth-fusion-progress", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " They're now saying first plasma by end of 2026.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Few
UNLXa1RJdMxg9VmaYTrF
public
contract
1,719,653,416,133
will-commonwealth-fusion-systems-sp
fwbt
https://firebasestorage.…838-87b43f8c52ea
Will Commonwealth Fusion System's SPARC fusion reactor achieve "commercially relevant net energy from fusion" by Jan 1st, 2026?
null
0.12241
1,204.947325
NO
null
idr3cgrgr3
false
JsoHnF7zq8Phr6J0K2qKXimVcrs2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "It's a bit sad that people found the one poll were Biden is up and are pretending everything is OK.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "If you're not going to do the responsibile thing and check a poll aggregator at least click through to that Twitter profile and look at the other polls they posted.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Shai
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,719,654,549,927
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
Shai
https://firebasestorage.…f38-e2c9873ba7d7
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
o4squkk1h6j
null
70,889.346632
YES
e86ab6ec0ad9
gof6do4kjq
false
iS0qXutlPscd6K4nZMWilWb6SMG2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Tenth then eleventh taken :3", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Celene
cyrqs9l7jf
public
contract
1,719,654,634,543
will-celene-vomit-in-a-major-way-to
Celene
https://firebasestorage.…067-2e0620c5257b
Will celene vomit (in a major way) tonight
null
null
null
null
null
ybaexo4cw2
false
RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "538's aggregate has gone from Trump+0.2 to Trump+0.7", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Shaked Koplewitz
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,719,655,708,909
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
ShakedKoplewitz
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
o4squkk1h6j
null
1,019.096502
YES
33b8f3dc81b9
bsfwwi06uk
false
frBevxJ79zNClZg2d9H8m0gLLIW2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1", "label": "FairlyRandom", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " min=0 max=420", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Mana
WB2nYuRUqowtzXUwN2vT
public
contract
1,719,655,720,897
will-someone-rolled-69-before-marke-7e20e779f915
Mana
https://firebasestorage.…03a-956bf00f7280
Will someone rolled 69 before market close? (6969Mana prize for the lottery winner)
null
0.184957
16.991949
NO
null
e7t7hx5ch08
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "language": null, "level": 3, "src": null, "start": null, "title": null, "tweetId": null, "url": null }, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": null, "href": "https://manifold.markets/Mana", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "@Mana", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " you asked for a random integer between 0 and 420, inclusive. Coming up shortly!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "heading" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Source: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": null, "href": "https://github.com/u0s41v/FairlyRandom/", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "GitHub", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": ", previous round: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": null, "href": "https://api.drand.sh/8990e7a9aaed2ffed73dbd7092123d6f289930540d7651336225dc172e51b2ce/public/4140823", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "4140823", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " (", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": null, "href": "https://api.drand.sh/8990e7a9aaed2ffed73dbd7092123d6f289930540d7651336225dc172e51b2ce/public/latest", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "latest", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "), offset: 2, selected round: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": null, "href": "https://api.drand.sh/8990e7a9aaed2ffed73dbd7092123d6f289930540d7651336225dc172e51b2ce/public/4140825", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "4140825", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": ", salt: bsfwwi06uk.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
FairlyRandom
WB2nYuRUqowtzXUwN2vT
public
contract
1,719,655,728,105
will-someone-rolled-69-before-marke-7e20e779f915
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
Will someone rolled 69 before market close? (6969Mana prize for the lottery winner)
null
null
null
null
null
aqv1hz6ur7q
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "language": null, "level": 3, "src": null, "start": null, "title": null, "tweetId": null, "url": null }, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": null, "href": "https://manifold.markets/Mana", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "@Mana", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " your random number is: 262", "type": "text" } ], "type": "heading" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Salt: bsfwwi06uk, round: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": null, "href": "https://api.drand.sh/8990e7a9aaed2ffed73dbd7092123d6f289930540d7651336225dc172e51b2ce/public/4140825", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "4140825", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " (signature b0a002e5e186ea7558536c1b8934045f53f72cccf4ad989f6b4868c5921045538606a2233b4bb45606d765c2967e2f95122fe0d5944eb481546bec1aa87854d21bf11df9c2ac868cf6869d0b1bcc38aac3b9af51b5be5120057fe2f8834a99e1)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
FairlyRandom
WB2nYuRUqowtzXUwN2vT
public
contract
1,719,655,772,643
will-someone-rolled-69-before-marke-7e20e779f915
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
Will someone rolled 69 before market close? (6969Mana prize for the lottery winner)
null
null
null
null
null
nm280zmaukq
false
RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "No, the humanities have never done anything clinically useful and aren't about to start (and evolutionary psychology remains psychology despite the adjective).", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Shaked Koplewitz
lev3KckxuhsGaQa3qRoo
public
contract
1,719,655,812,288
will-evolutionary-psychology-make-a
ShakedKoplewitz
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c
Will evolutionary psychology make a clinically useful discovery by 2050?
null
0.370271
159.298277
NO
null
gkb6ca6tv3
false
lwgcfvkXBVaaZjay1ys8LLJuKTC3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Manifest NYC would be amazing.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Santeri
cp2uxtuzmy
public
contract
1,719,656,801,553
will-there-be-a-manifest-in-the-nex
sanyero
https://firebasestorage.…646-eec20d51e537
Will there be a Manifest in the next 2 years?
gh9wrysziqa
0.82
1,702.499752
NO
null
dpywxb1gva4
false
Y2b1TJ7nvAR0MqiQ2lLKllwVBXd2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2", "label": "Ernie", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Here you go: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", "href": "https://github.com/saternius/Flamoid", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "https://github.com/saternius/Flamoid", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Tbh this app was simple, and detailed enough to get an agent to boilerplate >90% of whats needed. A fun new personal benchmark.", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Also making this a market instead of a bounty lead to some weird delivery incentives on my end lol", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Quillist
FSYnjwJePSQHwRMlGQFW
public
contract
1,719,656,839,076
when-will-i-get-a-firefox-browser-e
Quillist
https://firebasestorage.…091-bddc490f9db7
Will I get a browser extension where I can select text and click a button to make an image automatically by mid 2024?
null
0.95
39,993.782424
YES
null
zei6smc7lh
false
XKnrud6GQUaifOB0hOuUfBCFAly1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I feel like this market should have dipped a little in response to all the trump/biden markets moving in favour of trump. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "If trump wins the election I don't see any way Ukraine is beating Russia", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Fion
RiB3ECnJ48CXPeRVKKu7
public
contract
1,719,657,248,850
will-ukraine-win-the-russoukrainian
Fion
https://firebasestorage.…c2e-6bc532e44aed
Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?
null
0.28
6,729.726196
NO
null
wjzakl3mdpd
false
XKnrud6GQUaifOB0hOuUfBCFAly1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "(I would move it myself but I am very mana poor)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Fion
RiB3ECnJ48CXPeRVKKu7
public
contract
1,719,657,295,636
will-ukraine-win-the-russoukrainian
Fion
https://firebasestorage.…c2e-6bc532e44aed
Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?
zei6smc7lh
0.28
6,729.726196
NO
null
18oa9jcbamz
false
1RfsLVzFZwaLLXGaSr5yaG5ink23
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "TIxZM2CkXrVafA9OnTLLpSo1W0s2", "label": "riverwalk3", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " The media currently loves shitting on Biden's optics, but it's not like Trump did well either. He's becoming more and more brazenly detached from reality. Some of the straight up lies he spouted must have made eyes roll even in his camp.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
duN
SsAdHNNaI9hRRMe1XqgG
public
contract
1,719,657,440,963
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-pres
dgga
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdgga%2F_HQHzw0yrx.0?alt=media&token=b8a7e5fb-51e0-49fa-b18c-463f38fe9ecc
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
vxyyaqjh1oq
0.556967
38,224.116877
NO
null
3fldnrozszm
false
AeBvsJ1vhEQAWTZ3TvdZCtyAc7S2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Could you clarify what the resolution criteria is? And specifically, what you mean by / how you're determining the > 95%", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Nat
qaqt86tb77
public
contract
1,719,657,477,758
will-prediction-markets-be-able-to
Nat
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQiPbh_DxrLlPxnGERX27JKVxmY1R7KNXsjag8WjbVIyY=s96-c
Will prediction markets be able to predict the month any given person would die by > 95% by 2035?
null
null
null
null
null
s4md6dznsbp
false
RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This would be a problem for him if he had an opponent who could do a focused attack on them (like, say, the Biden of 2020). Current Biden may not be up to it.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Shaked Koplewitz
SsAdHNNaI9hRRMe1XqgG
public
contract
1,719,657,577,115
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-pres
ShakedKoplewitz
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
vxyyaqjh1oq
0.556967
5,251.171581
YES
null
dak4cg8z4xr
false
Y2b1TJ7nvAR0MqiQ2lLKllwVBXd2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "For record, as of creating this market:", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The S&P 500 has a market capitalization of ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": null, "type": "bold" } ], "text": "$46.019 trillion dollars", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "NVIDIA has a market cap of ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": null, "type": "bold" } ], "text": "$3.038 Trillion (6.6%)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Quillist
cere7883h7
public
contract
1,719,657,653,115
will-nvidias-market-cap-exceed-10-o
Quillist
https://firebasestorage.…091-bddc490f9db7
Will Nvidia's market cap exceed 10% of the total S&P 500 market cap by 2030?
null
null
null
null
null
you4fxvhhzd
false
PAbRiiLh2KVClsU5dtGJKD6lkTZ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Wait wait wait, this market should resolve N/A! As said in the description:", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "\"\"\"", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolves as NA if:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This market does not resolve NA.", "type": "text" } ], "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "paragraph" } ], "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "listItem" } ], "type": "bulletList" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "\"\"\"", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The market resolved 50%, which is not N/A, so it should resolve N/A for not being resolved N/A!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "(Im joking, of course)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
CyfralCoot
0wlu71Dx7Z9KC5pLSk2d
public
contract
1,719,657,705,218
will-a-prompt-that-enables-gpt4-to
CyfralCoot
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKI3yTx-AtDSYdSKAGsu6w8QaNcVLkzQ7O2KxAxfMFh-A=s96-c
Will a prompt that enables GPT-4 to solve easy Sudoku puzzles be found? (2023)
null
null
null
null
null
1flvkwj25uq
false
7L0vEaY5mghx33qU9XQBwXg25x73
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "A rather vague question.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ponti Min
grcuk66aom
public
contract
1,719,657,713,384
will-a-synthetic-biological-intelli
PontiMin
https://firebasestorage.…f96-5cea3ea8064d
Will a synthetic biological intelligence system be developed that can match the intelligence of a bumblebee by 2030?
null
null
null
null
null
u3jopforkam
false
Y2b1TJ7nvAR0MqiQ2lLKllwVBXd2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Admittingly yes. Hope that this market could inspire some discussion on how to even measure scales of biological intelligence, and maybe even apply that to non-synthetic embodied intelligences.", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "As of now I'm judging it off of the ol' - if it looks like it - metric.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Quillist
grcuk66aom
public
contract
1,719,657,935,699
will-a-synthetic-biological-intelli
Quillist
https://firebasestorage.…091-bddc490f9db7
Will a synthetic biological intelligence system be developed that can match the intelligence of a bumblebee by 2030?
1flvkwj25uq
null
null
null
null
25jf4el8piq
false
KSMJlFMzYFhhEqSbIL0gJ9Xn53t1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "is the 95% the accuracy? as in: if the person does die that month, then it's a yes, and if they don’t die that month, it’s a no, and the Yes must be 95% of all predictions?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Also, how far in advance are we talking? currently most death markets probably resolve with 99% accuracy, because someone hears reports of someone’s death, and they bet a lot before the market is resolved. But that’s not really “predicting” anything.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Santiago Romero Brufau
qaqt86tb77
public
contract
1,719,658,207,659
will-prediction-markets-be-able-to
Santiago
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIAKQOXO7mTSeHdiLSaBybUx922GzFeR3X0i1BKKP4Mi_Y=s96-c
Will prediction markets be able to predict the month any given person would die by > 95% by 2035?
null
null
null
null
null
ikoke7ubqs
false
1RfsLVzFZwaLLXGaSr5yaG5ink23
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Current Biden may not be up to it.", "type": "text" } ], "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "blockquote" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Maybe not, or maybe a 11pm debate isn't the best way to showcase a bunch of 80-year-olds' cognitive ability. Rumor has it Biden had a flu the previous night, too. It did look bad but I'm fairly certain people are reading into this debate way more than they probably should. (As evidenced by trump+biden markets currently adding up to around 80-85%, when it's delusional to think dems are going to swap candidates at this point)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
duN
SsAdHNNaI9hRRMe1XqgG
public
contract
1,719,658,238,246
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-pres
dgga
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdgga%2F_HQHzw0yrx.0?alt=media&token=b8a7e5fb-51e0-49fa-b18c-463f38fe9ecc
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
vxyyaqjh1oq
0.556967
38,224.116877
NO
null
xh65snaf02
false
4PTDFJINbKa8MaIhqe0jTTTgakm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "World Bank data was updated. 4.46 Trillion.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Yorwba
DNi6rhs9RjoqBIGu4nZm
public
contract
1,719,658,543,813
germanys-gdp-in-2023
Yorwba
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxqZOHNfDIs2GqmJyPmiBGk2WEhb5Ey9Mzt4hh9=s96-c
Germany's GDP in 2023?
null
null
702.342738
YES
b5a8a7140083
kxpiofz5bi
false
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "@mods ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
jim
0wlu71Dx7Z9KC5pLSk2d
public
contract
1,719,658,750,019
will-a-prompt-that-enables-gpt4-to
jim
https://firebasestorage.…9bd-1f9dcd4cd13f
Will a prompt that enables GPT-4 to solve easy Sudoku puzzles be found? (2023)
you4fxvhhzd
0.5
0
YES
null
911ummyjdts
false
Y2b1TJ7nvAR0MqiQ2lLKllwVBXd2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "My reasoning as possibly the biggest Joe Biden doubter on Manifold:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Its going to take a lot of cash to fix the disaster of a performance he had.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Donors don't like backing a candidate that just blatantly wastes money, and whose political career is essentially over", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": 0, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "language": null, "level": null, "src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/Quillist/would-joe-bidens-campaign-experienc", "start": null, "title": null, "tweetId": null, "url": null }, "content": null, "type": "iframe" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "He is also going to negatively effect midterms, and now his colleges have good evidence to 25th.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Quillist
YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM
public
contract
1,719,658,948,286
will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n
Quillist
https://firebasestorage.…091-bddc490f9db7
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?
null
0.762621
336,000.904413
NO
null
7fuck6d3yn
false
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Intensity market is up: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", "href": "https://manifold.markets/SaviorofPlant/what-will-be-the-maximum-strength-o-93r7unfai1?r=U2F2aW9yb2ZQbGFudA", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "https://manifold.markets/SaviorofPlant/what-will-be-the-maximum-strength-o-93r7unfai1?r=U2F2aW9yb2ZQbGFudA", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Savior of Plant
rvhupovwx2
public
contract
1,719,659,159,433
when-will-a-tropical-storm-be-named
SaviorofPlant
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
When will a tropical storm be named Beryl in 2024?
null
null
250.174791
YES
kdg1j6qwrs
w7m7croz0ef
false
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This is technically possible, but I have never seen it happen", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Savior of Plant
rvhupovwx2
public
contract
1,719,659,194,172
when-will-a-tropical-storm-be-named
SaviorofPlant
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
When will a tropical storm be named Beryl in 2024?
ldx49fuqzjf
null
250.174791
YES
kdg1j6qwrs
szggo77qmys
false
Y2b1TJ7nvAR0MqiQ2lLKllwVBXd2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "AeBvsJ1vhEQAWTZ3TvdZCtyAc7S2", "label": "Nat", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "KSMJlFMzYFhhEqSbIL0gJ9Xn53t1", "label": "Santiago", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": ", Resolves if by 2030 there exists a death prediction model that is so efficient, that if you were to put someone's name/details in it, it will tell you the correct day they would die +-30 days, 95% of the time.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Quillist
qaqt86tb77
public
contract
1,719,659,426,926
will-prediction-markets-be-able-to
Quillist
https://firebasestorage.…091-bddc490f9db7
Will prediction markets be able to predict the month any given person would die by > 95% by 2035?
25jf4el8piq
null
null
null
null
zlzsq10dxab
false
AeBvsJ1vhEQAWTZ3TvdZCtyAc7S2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "In the US or worldwide?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Nat
6tqno374ga
public
contract
1,719,659,483,223
will-the-majority-of-high-school-st
Nat
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQiPbh_DxrLlPxnGERX27JKVxmY1R7KNXsjag8WjbVIyY=s96-c
Will the majority of high school standardized tests be administered and graded by AI systems by 2030?
null
null
null
null
null
scntlm9jfjs
false
Y2b1TJ7nvAR0MqiQ2lLKllwVBXd2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Sort of like shimigami eyes from deathnote", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Quillist
qaqt86tb77
public
contract
1,719,659,486,953
will-prediction-markets-be-able-to
Quillist
https://firebasestorage.…091-bddc490f9db7
Will prediction markets be able to predict the month any given person would die by > 95% by 2035?
25jf4el8piq
null
null
null
null
hh3icjf1565
false
KSMJlFMzYFhhEqSbIL0gJ9Xn53t1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "A model? it said a market.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Santiago Romero Brufau
qaqt86tb77
public
contract
1,719,659,546,750
will-prediction-markets-be-able-to
Santiago
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIAKQOXO7mTSeHdiLSaBybUx922GzFeR3X0i1BKKP4Mi_Y=s96-c
Will prediction markets be able to predict the month any given person would die by > 95% by 2035?
25jf4el8piq
null
null
null
null
kte4smnkqok
false
Y2b1TJ7nvAR0MqiQ2lLKllwVBXd2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "United States", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Quillist
6tqno374ga
public
contract
1,719,659,548,008
will-the-majority-of-high-school-st
Quillist
https://firebasestorage.…091-bddc490f9db7
Will the majority of US high school standardized tests be administered and graded by AI systems by 2030?
zlzsq10dxab
0.445263
9.639394
YES
null
ugwpbn12c1h
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Right, thanks for explaining", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "My intuitive response is to discard the addition relation rule, since dividing by decimal or negative numbers already violates its obvious relation to physical division", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
x9l3hbf0u4
public
contract
1,719,659,712,355
which-number-is-the-biggest
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Which number is the biggest?
q2aiyv59mgd
null
25.981816
YES
knoi6n57l1
q9nvuf46m38
false
Y2b1TJ7nvAR0MqiQ2lLKllwVBXd2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "model or market. I'd imagine if you had good enough model(s), it would then calibrate the markets to also work", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Quillist
qaqt86tb77
public
contract
1,719,659,734,019
will-prediction-markets-be-able-to
Quillist
https://firebasestorage.…091-bddc490f9db7
Will prediction markets be able to predict the month any given person would die by > 95% by 2035?
25jf4el8piq
null
null
null
null
rdeis7qerh
false
AeBvsJ1vhEQAWTZ3TvdZCtyAc7S2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "And would a given test have to be entirely administered and entirely graded by AI to count, or would any amount of AI make it count?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Nat
6tqno374ga
public
contract
1,719,659,845,938
will-the-majority-of-high-school-st
Nat
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQiPbh_DxrLlPxnGERX27JKVxmY1R7KNXsjag8WjbVIyY=s96-c
Will the majority of US high school standardized tests be administered and graded by AI systems by 2030?
zlzsq10dxab
0.424351
89.10805
NO
null
8pa7h0fyben
false
Y2b1TJ7nvAR0MqiQ2lLKllwVBXd2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "It can be partial/in-the-loop; ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "ie: If it's generated via an AI, curated by a teacher and then graded by an AI, I would resolve YES", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Quillist
6tqno374ga
public
contract
1,719,659,959,014
will-the-majority-of-high-school-st
Quillist
https://firebasestorage.…091-bddc490f9db7
Will the majority of US high school standardized tests be administered and graded by AI systems by 2030?
zlzsq10dxab
0.424351
9.639394
YES
null
no8l0ezauvj
false
J611lCgdyQdv306O7QPCWtAL0Gc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This is the only guy I would actually go all out an campaign for, instead of (as I plan to do now) simply not voting.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Steve Sokolowski
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,719,660,053,225
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
SteveSokolowski
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc1UM2wtQThBuAPyurW8TD4Y7ydKGRN-eB7Xv8txFEH_g=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
ly0xcoj8x7t
null
1,854.111583
YES
8de9e54470a7
v3bq2sacs9l
false
FwzKrpdyOxfFeo31FLzSxw5edJI2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Gonna need to have a description. Do we only need one low quality poll and this market resolves, or do we take the average of all polls on the subject? Or what?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Yann
ihlrlcdmxg
public
contract
1,719,660,194,823
will-the-13-of-us-adults-believe-we
Yann
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIVzNT5HGfEk-ilEjVg2uSpyC9rZuqOuQapIHzounvKMzMPfEH_=s96-c
Will the > 1/3 of US adults believe we are living in a computer simulation by 2040?
null
null
null
null
null
xdddq8ijgft
false
I3d0KopTtNcbmTumPn5ixZWYpEU2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "From a \"make your beliefs pay rent in anticipated experiences\" POV, it's pretty serious that the \"Biden is too old\" crowd was able to pre-register their prediction that he would be guided off the stage.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Hastings Greer
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,660,394,076
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
HastingsGreer
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtdVvVtp5FQGEq41bZbwCNGQmKDM0UTp3g4lW0a2IzUD7Vc=s96-c
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
null
null
112.094896
NO
c21fddb59d14
v5j4elulumm
false
FwzKrpdyOxfFeo31FLzSxw5edJI2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "There are multiple different outcome measures. A very likely result is that some show improvement while others don’t. How does the question account for this?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Yann
aVfy2qWCXVPoOLG655XO
public
contract
1,719,660,488,511
will-the-ucsf-aer002-phase-2-pilot
Yann
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIVzNT5HGfEk-ilEjVg2uSpyC9rZuqOuQapIHzounvKMzMPfEH_=s96-c
Will the UCSF AER002 phase 2 pilot trial show statistically significantly positive results?
null
null
null
null
null
f8lki5qz238
false
FwzKrpdyOxfFeo31FLzSxw5edJI2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "second this", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Yann
CPfMjdbOrD8LNMjiKWmD
public
contract
1,719,660,583,607
will-working-be-necessary-in-2070
Yann
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIVzNT5HGfEk-ilEjVg2uSpyC9rZuqOuQapIHzounvKMzMPfEH_=s96-c
Will working be necessary in 2070?
qugho3ri4iq
null
null
null
null
orq5jol182
false
AeBvsJ1vhEQAWTZ3TvdZCtyAc7S2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "(To try to probe at possible grey areas for further clarity:) What about a test that's created predominantly by humans but where AI was used to generate the incorrect multiple choice answers; then the test is manually printed out, distributed, collected, and scanned; and then the AI automatically grades all of the multiple choice and short answer questions, but humans grade the rest?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Nat
6tqno374ga
public
contract
1,719,660,673,604
will-the-majority-of-high-school-st
Nat
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQiPbh_DxrLlPxnGERX27JKVxmY1R7KNXsjag8WjbVIyY=s96-c
Will the majority of US high school standardized tests be administered and graded by AI systems by 2030?
zlzsq10dxab
0.424351
89.10805
NO
null
quydc8nbfkb
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I think it's the slave part", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
9QsfOW232lNnFj6ASRrZ
public
contract
1,719,660,784,878
what-is-worse-than-financial-crimes
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
What is worse than committing a financial crime?
4w9e2hd88h8
null
68.418334
NO
3c79482ca335
lri5mzy6u29
false
AeBvsJ1vhEQAWTZ3TvdZCtyAc7S2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Does eg cancer research count as longevity research, or must the funding be specifically for senescence?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Nat
s8q42w5kc0
public
contract
1,719,660,911,801
will-the-majority-of-developed-nati
Nat
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQiPbh_DxrLlPxnGERX27JKVxmY1R7KNXsjag8WjbVIyY=s96-c
Will the majority of developed nations prioritize funding for longevity research over space exploration by 2035?
null
0.445517
89.149318
NO
null
g0zlza5ztzl
false
Y2b1TJ7nvAR0MqiQ2lLKllwVBXd2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Very pedantic, but I'd count it as YES if it generated the questions by just referencing a database of human crafted questions, but not if a human manually crafts all the questions for an individual test; Also outside of grading multiple choice and short answer questions, what would be left? For long responses, I would side YES if the AI graded them, but the teacher could vet the AI's grading/reasoning.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Quillist
6tqno374ga
public
contract
1,719,661,128,583
will-the-majority-of-high-school-st
Quillist
https://firebasestorage.…091-bddc490f9db7
Will the majority of US high school standardized tests be administered and graded by AI systems by 2030?
zlzsq10dxab
0.424351
9.639394
YES
null
rrazu267fgo
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Definitely happened lol", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
piPbVHoSFZx26pGtF36U
public
contract
1,719,661,200,668
what-will-happen-during-the-2024-pr
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
What will happen during the 2024 Presidential debate? (Add your answer)
null
null
63.270475
YES
e544caa3345f
sno9u4xofkl
false
ovFIUtAhsmW4CgczuBGoHSEjFI13
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "uKcjazFwIkhMFvhie6cnANL8MTV2", "label": "KarlK", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " Even if you reject ∀x, x *", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": null, "type": "italic" } ], "text": " ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "0 = 0,", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": null, "type": "italic" } ], "text": " ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "accepting the inverse rule still leads to absurdity, right?", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Assuming that we're treating infinity as a number and can apply standard arithmetic operations to it, all the dividing by zero 1 = 2 proofs suddenly work, for instance. Additionally, if 1/0 = both + and - infinity, then 2 infinity = 0 assuming you allow addition and subtraction for that number", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Stark
x9l3hbf0u4
public
contract
1,719,661,242,162
which-number-is-the-biggest
StarkLN
https://firebasestorage.…b7b-8e8f10700842
Which number is the biggest?
q2aiyv59mgd
null
null
null
null
3aulrbmb4fc
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Why did this resolve yes? What were the hitherto unimagined possibilities?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
qy8nhlxzpo
public
contract
1,719,661,301,090
will-carsongale-get-a-lap-dance-nex
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Will @CarsonGale get a lap dance next weekend, opening his mind to hitherto unimagined possibilities?
null
1
20.137606
NO
null
urjpwavdy6n
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What would be an example of a 1=2 proof that follows from this without repeatedly jumping between rule sets?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
x9l3hbf0u4
public
contract
1,719,661,552,257
which-number-is-the-biggest
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Which number is the biggest?
q2aiyv59mgd
null
25.981816
YES
knoi6n57l1
8k2cc13fx5
false
AXCShICabXOEZrWoFSBPxmyU6jk2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "zANxxeUKBvU6GNf8cIRcO7wXXul2", "label": "Mira", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " consider extending the close date", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Peter Buyukliev
1JeOHgcQAB9oNTmBOaTR
public
contract
1,719,662,358,230
will-llama-3-405b-have-open-weights-49202f0df5bf
PeterBuyukliev
https://firebasestorage.…529-f0ece6de2b4c
Will Llama 3 405B have open weights?
null
null
75.440853
YES
ba85af6b0016
uqwidzw4v49
false
LRWC4p997NObPY7tN5b8vYfvdsH3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "He would only do that if he saw a clear path to victory with Trump. After the first debate there are too many unknowns. Trump lost character points in that debate, something I didn't think was possible. I don't think the list of willing VP candidates is the same anymore. For now, my best guess is that Youngkin is out, along with Rubio and maybe Burgum.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
becauseyoudo
vKZUxybbx1OnaklIO5CN
public
contract
1,719,663,002,144
who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-8a36dedc6445
becauseyoudo
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbecauseyoudo%2F0GXbVCpNNX.bmp?alt=media&token=d5558412-2de1-47d7-ad36-a44a43748531
Who will be the Republican nominee for vice president? (Trump VP)
3tbvh4fxaet
null
0
YES
1956526b7eb9
wnwy2282p9a
false
VTH7czHKuDRDBwjC2XFWPsqg6dj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Only in 'Murica is a 4 month time-frame \"last minute\" in politics 😆 ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Trump was actually bad at fully capitalizing on Joe's situation in the debate; however, imagine what competent staffers will do with debate clips when making political ads running through all of October. Meanwhile, Democrats will live life every day fearing Biden might do something worse on camera as he continues to decay. I think there will be a calculation of down-ticket impacts if Biden is 100% sad-joke by November. Even if a replacement doesn't have significantly better odds, the modicum of dignity if would bring the party may help with House & Senate.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Al Quinn
YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM
public
contract
1,719,663,115,206
will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n
AlQuinn
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp46gOxO4QNQsQ8T4KOcwIwbRQPb2PvzEwr7f8nE=s96-c
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?
5vf0xh10mnu
0.762976
17,706.775136
NO
null
v43hkaqt3r
false
FwzKrpdyOxfFeo31FLzSxw5edJI2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "“or in any way becomes legally available to a significant portion” if this is your definition. Then Naltrexone should resolve to yes.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Yann
IbDi2Z8DgyYqYalDpBvY
public
contract
1,719,663,689,711
will-any-medication-be-approved-for
Yann
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIVzNT5HGfEk-ilEjVg2uSpyC9rZuqOuQapIHzounvKMzMPfEH_=s96-c
Will any medication be approved for Long Covid/PASC in any Western country before 2026?
null
null
7.978059
NO
d693575c362e
1lxbpjqwzb9
false
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "language": null, "level": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FucJECH03__.png?alt=media&token=8cfb0d12-c54f-4486-b605-afc85fbe2543", "start": null, "title": null, "tweetId": null, "url": null }, "content": null, "type": "image" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Panic of the Year (PotY)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Predictor 🔥
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,719,663,721,200
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
Predictor
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
null
null
null
null
null
aeba9fquj94
false
pp3fg6e4EybziUJVfMKaDNDAOVh2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "That “Other resolves YES if the answer is mundane according to the market description but doesn't meet any of the other options submitted”", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
mario pasquato
G61AS7jEU99dXT9K9gzf
public
contract
1,719,663,984,972
if-a-mundane-explanation-for-the-ph
mariopasquato
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtemzqYFS4zuvOtBu7Ko52uxERLtlEzFHTvhCP-noDEfACs=s96-c
If a mundane explanation for the phenomena thought to be due to dark matter is found, what will it be?
4yaw9mvkka
null
147.608461
NO
d9f12bac99f0
f0zt6osrqph
false
lPFiRQoRHgPhEwJSIUzcdgEgpsD2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Wokeism is a belief system that assumes any social disparity is caused by oppression. It's a postmodern perspective influenced by critical theory in academia.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Alexander Klos
4amdGgZFKTxUMC3Fym6F
public
contract
1,719,664,187,065
will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres
AlexanderKlos
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcKZcsCnMYco_zvYCHioLrCxJr87V2xs-wdTHl7f1-UNwY=s96-c
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
s13xzt2qzv8
null
null
null
null
ie1jxrr8uda
false
uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The race is on!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Live coverage: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", "href": "https://www.irunfar.com/2024-western-states-100-live-coverage", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "https://www.irunfar.com/2024-western-states-100-live-coverage", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Nico
CwmfdyD5ripqgAYTgxsz
public
contract
1,719,664,208,614
who-will-win-the-mens-race-at-the-2-3e1bc2fc8eaf
NicoDelon
https://firebasestorage.…7d0-430cf8822ebb
Who will win the men’s race at the 2024 Western States 100?
null
null
217.442211
YES
gvhbgsmmet
qut7tng0py
false
uIA81X2m3aVLEl1DqDBJfR1nJ0n2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The race is on!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", "href": "https://www.irunfar.com/2024-western-states-100-live-coverage", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "https://www.irunfar.com/2024-western-states-100-live-coverage", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Nico
AQ3SrUlzVAGu7m7Y5PeL
public
contract
1,719,664,224,790
who-will-win-the-womens-race-at-the-eb1c6af5c627
NicoDelon
https://firebasestorage.…7d0-430cf8822ebb
Who will win the women’s race at the 2024 Western States 100?
null
null
82.32194
YES
df5bf65c5b14
5uqe1zloopo
false
wR6BFZBUO7Zvt2tvMt2zdsjlg8k1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The big question", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Charlie Bauer
mkxor8h6gs
public
contract
1,719,664,427,961
will-manifold-want-biden-to-be-the
CharlieBauer
https://storage.googleap…Mt2zdsjlg8k1.png
Will Manifold want Biden to be the nominee?
null
0.47641
9.446583
NO
null
motgb266f7
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", "href": "https://www.marketwatch.com/story/biden-trump-campaigns-both-raise-millions-after-debate-aafb2990", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "https://www.marketwatch.com/story/biden-trump-campaigns-both-raise-millions-after-debate-aafb2990", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
z0i1y4h9e5
public
contract
1,719,665,039,497
would-joe-bidens-campaign-experienc
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Would Joe Biden's campaign experience a dramatic decrease in donations following his debate performance?
null
0.338489
151.251409
NO
null
51jmtruy2ai
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "label": "strutheo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", "href": "https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/22-915_8o6b.pdf", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/22-915_8o6b.pdf", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "21 June 2024 decision", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Christopher Randles
H2C0pUFoXUunAu8b7i2f
public
contract
1,719,665,236,810
coolfold-2024-which-of-these-2024-e
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
🗓️2024 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (37 DONE)
null
null
366.044922
NO
b5f7218e483d
wh9qfbb5f2
false
KJ4yFClBtRMRiFH0tru3jCNcQnI2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "As Eliza said, Jonas is probably not doing the Vuelta (no confirmation by the team yet, but the pregnancy is confirmed). If Kuss is riding the Vuelta I would be very surprised if he is not starting as a leader. He is the defending champion after all, and it is not like Uijtdebroeks or Jorgenson have proven themselves to be much better riders.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
LocalGlobal
yx8lzngtUgK88LO5hO5E
public
contract
1,719,665,377,907
will-sepp-kuss-be-the-leader-of-his
LocalGlobal
https://firebasestorage.…6c9-f2dc0fdaf902
Will Sepp Kuss be the leader of his team during a Grand Tour during 2024?
0m1jhko92ude
0.322431
439.513902
YES
null
clyiqmlao57
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "can ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " na that one pls ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
H2C0pUFoXUunAu8b7i2f
public
contract
1,719,665,405,771
coolfold-2024-which-of-these-2024-e
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
🗓️2024 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (37 DONE)
51jmtruy2ai
null
54.268782
YES
51b48afe6ea6
zqw8nju0ybn
false
GxByO08XQHdK19Od5auuvu3K1g72
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I know nothing of Shapiro, what are your biggest pros and cons for him as presidential material?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ansel
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,719,665,933,412
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
Ansel
https://firebasestorage.…469-935b0d72b0a1
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
ly0xcoj8x7t
null
2,520.172956
YES
892080ca10c6
04wcfvtxdkto
false
RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The real indicator of American decline here isn't the two old guys on stage: it's the fact that the over four months left from here to the election is considered too short a time period to change anything. The culture of taking forever to do anything and then doing it badly.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Shaked Koplewitz
YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM
public
contract
1,719,666,312,286
will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n
ShakedKoplewitz
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?
5vf0xh10mnu
0.763168
1,851.339959
YES
null
vuct0x0l71
false
nEc7EizWpQSGO5y5A7H13TaE6Aw2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "label": "BTE", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " what are your criteria for resolving this market? Per the description it should have been resolved months ago. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Matt P
uYZ3EsJMnnGOQSAN0RCq
public
contract
1,719,666,756,303
will-the-supreme-court-affirm-that
MattP
https://firebasestorage.…ebb-3308b1a5324f
Will the Supreme Court affirm that Trump participated in an insurrection?
null
0.023547
398.395189
NO
null
9yjdfpez7sp
false
7VyXHLttmabiTEB4oaUAs2tbyzG3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", "href": "https://x.com/Euan_MacDonald/status/1807038925657006497", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "https://x.com/Euan_MacDonald/status/1807038925657006497", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
RatUziCat
RPuzaZkHTlTulXUifUSQ
public
contract
1,719,667,003,245
when-will-f16-fighter-jets-be-deplo-nk3kmqukcx
RatUziCat
https://firebasestorage.…0ef-5bd2549a9952
When will F-16 fighter jets be deployed by Ukraine over Ukraine? (2024 update)
null
null
4,216.675247
YES
ty07uarrgm
x85luzomhm
false
7VyXHLttmabiTEB4oaUAs2tbyzG3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", "href": "https://x.com/Euan_MacDonald/status/1807038925657006497", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "https://x.com/Euan_MacDonald/status/1807038925657006497", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
RatUziCat
92gpI9aQrYA74G09kGrj
public
contract
1,719,667,026,917
when-will-f16-fighter-jets-be-deplo
RatUziCat
https://firebasestorage.…0ef-5bd2549a9952
When will F-16 Fighter Jets be deployed in battle in the Ukraine-Russia conflict?
null
null
2,844.656254
YES
cd18ae55ad7a
ijm2jkme4yd
false
J611lCgdyQdv306O7QPCWtAL0Gc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I'm biased, because I know him and his father was my doctor for 20 years.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "He went to college to study political science when I was younger and then he basically just started running for everything and constantly won. He was very young when he was Montgomery County commissioner, and then became Attorney General, and then governor.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "All of the successful Democratic Presidents have one thing in common - they were young. Kennedy, Clinton, and Obama, the three who didn't lose reelection, were around 44 or so. Shapiro is also very young, at 51. Being young is what people are looking for now. Additionally, he and Harris are the best two options because they both have a background in prosecution, and the opponent is a criminal.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The best option remains for Biden to simply say he's going to resign in a month, set up a smooth transition, and let Harris show that the world didn't end while she was President and allow any initial gaffes to be buried by the Olympics. Then, they have an incumbent running, there's no contested convention, she can select Shapiro to run with her, and they suddenly have 17 years of Democratic domination possible, while the Republicans continue to lose easy Senate seats by running Trump again in '28.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Biden has the opportunity to save the country and set up a significant possibility of reasonable governance for the remainder of human history. Will he do that? I doubt it, and he will likely go down in history as one of America's worst Presidents solely due to his arrogance and hunger for power. He's essentially no different than my grandfather when he was 90, not wanting to give up his driver's license even though he couldn't see and hadn't driven in ten years.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Steve Sokolowski
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,719,667,246,721
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
SteveSokolowski
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc1UM2wtQThBuAPyurW8TD4Y7ydKGRN-eB7Xv8txFEH_g=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
ly0xcoj8x7t
null
1,854.111583
YES
8de9e54470a7
0aua5zqe4ku
false
ePk7uWInUId1WLSGxLHqEW1cYP63
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "otoh i've sometimes had noticeable effects same-day, so 🤷‍♀️", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Sonata Green
odbafhkhv6
public
contract
1,719,667,381,113
if-celene-gets-injected-with-24mg-e
SonataGreen
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjsZdUi0APHb8mz5kCS6AhPZiSrXopQtKpBXcaT=s96-c
If Celene gets injected with 2-4mg estrogen will she feel inexplicably better the next day
wp8cqn834hm
0.627147
15.989681
YES
null
agzxie3ti9h
false
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
jim
uYZ3EsJMnnGOQSAN0RCq
public
contract
1,719,667,400,997
will-the-supreme-court-affirm-that
jim
https://firebasestorage.…9bd-1f9dcd4cd13f
Will the Supreme Court affirm that Trump participated in an insurrection?
vuct0x0l71
null
null
null
null
jqyw5yrcw1
false
b5a3UuCvBgMsA875HdcgdnVljdq1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "One option would be to simply make this an alternate way of adding liquidity. That is, ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": null, "type": "italic" } ], "text": "users", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " could subsidise a long-term question by investing some mana to be paid out over time to those invested in it.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Muga Sofer
ym66bnks5l
public
contract
1,719,667,718,178
will-manifold-implement-some-form-o
MugaSofer
https://firebasestorage.…ea7-19aebfd949c8
Will Manifold implement some form of automatic growth of invested mana?
null
null
null
null
null
ciew95thbxs
false
nEc7EizWpQSGO5y5A7H13TaE6Aw2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Just out of curiosity, are you resolving this when the GOP convention happens, or after the election (waiting to see if he makes it all the way to election day)? ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Matt P
JGZqy5kjfSRaClG32ytk
public
contract
1,719,667,968,732
if-donald-trump-is-not-the-gop-pres
MattP
https://firebasestorage.…ebb-3308b1a5324f
If Donald Trump is not the GOP presidential nominee, will it be DeSantis?
null
0.1638
1,075.215651
YES
null
b72i6k7qnfr
false
tPJ8WHxP8fdcaPiqjcsWR4qOOgB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Updated the title to be more clear of the end date instead of just ‘in next 3 years’", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
GregF
ZQvUHx5d2tphDz1tJSMM
public
contract
1,719,667,981,927
will-there-be-official-peace-talks
GregF
https://storage.googleap…jcsWR4qOOgB3.png
Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?
null
0.526415
20.385497
YES
null
1j0o3gpa4po
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " kinds of kindness and the bike riders both resolve YES", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ziddletwix
7cLbLgQFzsYJpAa8eqFw
public
contract
1,719,668,513,279
rottentomatoes-2k24-critics-yes-vs
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
RottenTomatoes 2k24: Critics [YES] vs. Fans [NO] 🍿🍅⚔️
null
null
767.641535
YES
301690ce45d7
jhdnaeemb6b
false
bpRxXv19PcY0fvtUC99KQXgYaMu1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", "href": "https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/rahul-gandhi-chosen-lop-in-lok-sabha-after-india-meeting-101719356360681.html", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/rahul-gandhi-chosen-lop-in-lok-sabha-after-india-meeting-101719356360681.html", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
galaga
ExddrXFV7REOfW0RXTkm
public
contract
1,719,668,621,785
will-the-lok-sabha-have-a-leader-of
galaga
https://firebasestorage.…960-471dd4ca570d
Will the Lok Sabha have a Leader of Opposition after the 2024 Indian General Election?
null
1
177.853224
YES
null
sx5puuvws2s
false
XeQf3ygmrGM1MxdsE3JSlmq8vL42
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "xQqqZqlgcoSxTgPe03BiXmVE2JJ2", "label": "Soli", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " presumably you're extending the close date to Dec 31?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Jacy
eaOtfRtu7JiUcUB19iMQ
public
contract
1,719,668,747,385
what-will-be-true-of-llama-3-in-the
Jacy
https://firebasestorage.…73f-503ef6cf6c81
What will be true of LLAMA 3? (LMSYS Rank, Context Window, Launch Date, Parameters) [1000Ṁ]
null
null
125.564063
YES
1944bd35ade4
id286uh4ez9
false
FrlI0G9SHwOCNYAfflbL4WrExEl1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Event was cancelled :/", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", "href": "https://x.com/WadimRosenstein/status/1806417398607602072", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "https://x.com/WadimRosenstein/status/1806417398607602072", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Weezing
LozsKGPfLsgoFC9WbjNW
public
contract
1,719,668,848,477
who-will-win-the-1m-usd-buyin-high
Weezing
https://firebasestorage.…9ac-b0dfa544f276
Who will win the 1M USD buy-in High Roller Chess Tournament?
null
null
289.264933
YES
kezsdqg3gx
1sz7u5nptoi
false
FrlI0G9SHwOCNYAfflbL4WrExEl1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "However if the event is cancelled, this market will be resolved N/A.", "type": "text" } ], "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "blockquote" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " can you please N/A this", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Weezing
LozsKGPfLsgoFC9WbjNW
public
contract
1,719,668,953,961
who-will-win-the-1m-usd-buyin-high
Weezing
https://firebasestorage.…9ac-b0dfa544f276
Who will win the 1M USD buy-in High Roller Chess Tournament?
id286uh4ez9
null
289.264933
YES
kezsdqg3gx
pd2tpay2a3a
false
aZWSDZUKVHPM8SzmeIK7YpDuJhu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "COVID-19 can have hidden long-term effects, known as long COVID, impacting various body systems. ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", "href": "https://informedpregnancy.com/", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "the informed pregnancy podcast", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " Symptoms may include fatigue, brain fog, respiratory issues, and cardiovascular complications, persisting for months after initial recovery. These long-term effects underscore the importance of continued research and support for affected individuals, highlighting the need for comprehensive care and rehabilitation strategies.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": false, "id": "70db72d7-6c33-444e-90ac-6ab1c5b76bc3", "image": "https://informedpregnancy.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/main-logo.webp", "inputKey": "comment H8hgJ7x0esSiMCZXdNVecomment, repost ", "language": null, "level": null, "src": null, "start": null, "title": "Page not found - Informed Pregnancy", "tweetId": null, "url": "https://informedpregnancy.com/\">the" }, "content": null, "type": "linkPreview" } ], "type": "doc" }
steve steve
H8hgJ7x0esSiMCZXdNVe
public
contract
1,719,669,060,925
does-covid19-have-hidden-longterm-n
stevesteve
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI_NfkfobzH2ZxmC0zWqOhTuuKNgyWo7KUkF36on3-LYdNzmQ=s96-c
Does Covid-19 have hidden long-term negative health effects?
null
null
null
null
null
kfp9m7n87p
false
cXfjElSKSFTJVYwY3xlxH5wQlF82
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Nvidia doesn’t have a monopoly on matrix multiplication. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I suspect much of the value of next-gen AI will accrue to the upper layers of the stack e.g. OS providers (Apple + Microsoft) ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Just like much of the value of the Mac & iPhone goes to Apple not to Broadcom, Micron, Intel etc. (even before Apple started making their own chips) ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Elf
cere7883h7
public
contract
1,719,669,312,842
will-nvidias-market-cap-exceed-10-o
elf
https://firebasestorage.…225-4e706826a59b
Will Nvidia's market cap exceed 10% of the total S&P 500 market cap by 2030?
null
0.211911
456.667011
NO
null
9m5ou99yzsm
false
4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "More like adopting better voting systems that don't suffer from spoiler effect and devolve into a two-party system", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Snarflak
nfb8dcanr5
public
contract
1,719,669,726,850
who-won-the-june-27-2024-cnn-presid
Snarflak
https://firebasestorage.…441-21a1c85f3480
Who won the June 27, 2024 CNN Presidential debate?
5t6rxhj1n2x
null
null
null
null
lmysm5vwycr
false
dwGo0hFLeMPRigecIOkeWWxwzti1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Go America!🇺🇸 ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Jared Hoffman
6gqWOSHkFCZRFIfkjlS2
public
contract
1,719,669,854,441
at-the-end-of-2025-humans-from-how
JaredHoffman
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJx9ulxTMD6fLAqHzJWKzkb5AZWIELSdcQfBll6qD6J=s96-c
At the end of 2025, humans from how many nations will have walked on the Moon?
null
null
null
null
null
vxut6m2o91c
false
TuJuaddtD1ay1k12zqfMxTOrFvB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "\"law in the USA\" - does that mean a federal ban (i.e., everywhere in the USA), or would a single state banning it count (i.e., anywhere in the USA)?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Noam Postavsky
z64vr8zokm
public
contract
1,719,669,975,240
will-teflon-or-other-related-nonsti-k9sssb368o
NoamPostavsky
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfqy141OU48nZbbzAqbAwXwp8n92jUtgA4bR7Z12Q=s96-c
Will Teflon or other related nonstick chemicals be effectively banned by law in the USA before the end of 2027?
null
null
null
null
null
18xpd1ux1yr
false
BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1", "label": "FairlyRandom", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " 6", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Haws
5egiwe2w08
public
contract
1,719,670,040,212
friday-dice-roll-what-number-will-t-5altvbzyjv
Haws
https://firebasestorage.…977-f36ea9ae4436
Friday Dice roll - What number will they land on?
null
null
194.737312
YES
p81t7ug533
zb7iy138pec
false
BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2
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Haws
5egiwe2w08
public
contract
1,719,670,043,528
friday-dice-roll-what-number-will-t-5altvbzyjv
Haws
https://firebasestorage.…977-f36ea9ae4436
Friday Dice roll - What number will they land on?
null
null
194.737312
YES
p81t7ug533
hd0kvr807p
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "language": null, "level": 3, "src": null, "start": null, "title": null, "tweetId": null, "url": null }, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": null, "href": "https://manifold.markets/Haws", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "@Haws", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " you asked for a random integer between 1 and 6, inclusive. Coming up shortly!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "heading" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Source: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": null, "href": "https://github.com/u0s41v/FairlyRandom/", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "GitHub", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": ", previous round: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": null, "href": "https://api.drand.sh/8990e7a9aaed2ffed73dbd7092123d6f289930540d7651336225dc172e51b2ce/public/4141300", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "4141300", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " (", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": null, "href": "https://api.drand.sh/8990e7a9aaed2ffed73dbd7092123d6f289930540d7651336225dc172e51b2ce/public/latest", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "latest", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "), offset: 2, selected round: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": null, "href": "https://api.drand.sh/8990e7a9aaed2ffed73dbd7092123d6f289930540d7651336225dc172e51b2ce/public/4141302", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "4141302", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": ", salt: zb7iy138pec.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
FairlyRandom
5egiwe2w08
public
contract
1,719,670,046,273
friday-dice-roll-what-number-will-t-5altvbzyjv
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
Friday Dice roll - What number will they land on?
null
null
null
null
null
s88j3jmh7aa
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
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FairlyRandom
5egiwe2w08
public
contract
1,719,670,046,409
friday-dice-roll-what-number-will-t-5altvbzyjv
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
Friday Dice roll - What number will they land on?
null
null
null
null
null
veo6o3sfbjb
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "language": null, "level": 3, "src": null, "start": null, "title": null, "tweetId": null, "url": null }, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": null, "href": "https://manifold.markets/Haws", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "@Haws", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " your random number is: 3", "type": "text" } ], "type": "heading" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Salt: zb7iy138pec, round: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": null, "href": "https://api.drand.sh/8990e7a9aaed2ffed73dbd7092123d6f289930540d7651336225dc172e51b2ce/public/4141302", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "4141302", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " (signature 97bfb1b3f5a741eb5bbdf2a07fd500d50948e8af380c9e4c409fd296733cc50101de077cda029d46d1257b5809317ffc157fabfcac7ef9b1d7fcc94a0ba30c867d3401085e2b5ecb66a6a5c0992dc46f676d838560b6568e3d41a617c101645e)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
FairlyRandom
5egiwe2w08
public
contract
1,719,670,086,253
friday-dice-roll-what-number-will-t-5altvbzyjv
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
Friday Dice roll - What number will they land on?
null
null
null
null
null
bslxuyjsjsl
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "language": null, "level": 3, "src": null, "start": null, "title": null, "tweetId": null, "url": null }, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": null, "href": "https://manifold.markets/Haws", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "@Haws", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " your random number is: 2", "type": "text" } ], "type": "heading" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Salt: 18xpd1ux1yr, round: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": null, "href": "https://api.drand.sh/8990e7a9aaed2ffed73dbd7092123d6f289930540d7651336225dc172e51b2ce/public/4141302", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "4141302", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " (signature 97bfb1b3f5a741eb5bbdf2a07fd500d50948e8af380c9e4c409fd296733cc50101de077cda029d46d1257b5809317ffc157fabfcac7ef9b1d7fcc94a0ba30c867d3401085e2b5ecb66a6a5c0992dc46f676d838560b6568e3d41a617c101645e)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
FairlyRandom
5egiwe2w08
public
contract
1,719,670,086,440
friday-dice-roll-what-number-will-t-5altvbzyjv
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
Friday Dice roll - What number will they land on?
null
null
null
null
null
ri3drsx55rj
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I mean federal level not just state , will add to description ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
z64vr8zokm
public
contract
1,719,670,174,120
will-teflon-or-other-related-nonsti-k9sssb368o
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will Teflon or other related nonstick chemicals be effectively banned by law in the USA before the end of 2027?
vxut6m2o91c
null
null
null
null
2t4i0wjjowb
false
Gv076pTh0ZQUVwTqQt9Ro2xnz2f1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Not at the link in the description. Is there data somewhere else?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Marktwse
DNi6rhs9RjoqBIGu4nZm
public
contract
1,719,670,351,141
germanys-gdp-in-2023
marktwse
https://firebasestorage.…bef-c594df1664e4
Germany's GDP in 2023?
xh65snaf02
null
204.878448
YES
fe03593ebc30