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eq8oafn1c3g
false
cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "At any time, or at market close? ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Dan
liO81A8ROlMc3gLKPK2D
public
contract
1,716,795,259,453
will-this-market-have-a-greater-num
DanMan314
https://firebasestorage.…9e0-a993f643533a
Will this market have a greater number of traders than percentage odds by June 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
kqfisyihwph
false
cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "label": "strutheo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Dan
OrQrgEkzgXjU1NDsgQyb
public
contract
1,716,795,463,250
will-the-earning-limit-for-partners
DanMan314
https://firebasestorage.…9e0-a993f643533a
Will the earning limit for partners of $3000 per quarter be removed after the first Partnership period?
null
null
null
null
null
pgpu6bxgdpa
false
RDb6F1HdVFZsyu94eCWTTHV3Jym1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Jérôme 2024
JSSf0Mglt4sQpUEG6piO
public
contract
1,716,795,882,925
will-the-open-water-swimming-events
JeromeAgostini
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTteZvC87SWT5_sCz1MIvj3gLMGYPf2Cl61q5VyIX9ykSYi4=s96-c
Will the open water swimming events be able to take place in the Seine river for the Paris 2024 Olympic Games?
null
0.795881
0
NO
null
i5qfjxga5b
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "2rhfsnxwprz", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
l08kRHjahhr7hr0LzZr6
public
contract
1,716,796,014,132
share-market-ideas-here-will-20-ide
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Share market ideas here! Will 20 ideas turn into markets? (experimental)
2rhfsnxwprz
0.640786
-0
YES
null
zwxsloqbxb9
false
wafjm1hIwwRSzKmZd8s9MAH2qF32
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "i4NAhXYkNwUzso19bCuQs6aKJKe2", "label": "BhaSh", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Aditya Gupta
0RgaCypMFQwsulbv0amP
public
contract
1,716,796,093,318
which-ipl-team-will-win
AdityaGupta4830
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIbP2SEivBqEg1hTuRbZsvsjl3_Cp6D6eqx-U_XnxfQ=s96-c
which ipl team will win
null
null
756.39393
NO
4a5f6533ec16
jmskt360izh
false
9CaU0t9MS8f5chVZYX3F08t9ELc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": 0, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lang...
Fedor
1a8OtbUEs2Nks9CVIfAu
public
contract
1,716,796,887,361
was-caitlyn-jenner-hacked-to-post-a
Fedor
https://firebasestorage.…d6d-1b2c6bbfbc21
Was Caitlyn Jenner hacked to post about cryptocurrency?
null
null
null
null
null
iw16lt3pdq
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Important market 💰 📈 ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
poXj2r4HOqAmeM35MJKH
public
contract
1,716,797,166,333
will-openphil-think-it-is-better-to
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Will OpenPhil think it is better to spend mana creating EA prediction markets at $1 each or donate it to EA LTFF?
null
null
null
null
null
36z83yun1og
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Economics, and anything else that might be established, is not a Nobel Prize, at least not like the \"proper\" ones. The money for those does not come ...
Bruno
HaSLBtsijqp77OjpRGKE
public
contract
1,716,797,645,098
will-taylor-swift-ever-win-a-nobel
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
Will Taylor Swift ever win a Nobel Prize?
null
null
null
null
null
ks91zemvfu
false
9CaU0t9MS8f5chVZYX3F08t9ELc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Partly inspired by ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ ...
Fedor
fSEVTsWwt1uBR1rgPhLq
public
contract
1,716,797,688,726
will-the-sec-sue-or-settle-with-cai
Fedor
https://firebasestorage.…d6d-1b2c6bbfbc21
Will the SEC sue or settle with Caitlyn Jenner?
null
50
437.559324
NO
null
1fka3r0usnm
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "eq8oafn1c3g", "label": "DanMan314", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
liO81A8ROlMc3gLKPK2D
public
contract
1,716,797,932,688
will-this-market-have-a-greater-num
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Will this market have a greater number of traders than percentage odds by June 2024?
eq8oafn1c3g
0.303258
20.838804
NO
null
rdjukovp2a
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "banned creator, limited traders, and incomplete criteria - I'm going to NA this market as it's showing up on the home feed again due to algorithm chang...
stefanie
UyHF8LvRT6sYv6VbimrY
public
contract
1,716,798,385,723
how-far-we-are-from-agi
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
How far we are from AGI?
null
null
null
null
null
7poeu9dc8dc
false
iqqXdh6REfbbLnvuqvCX5Hu0gxL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "9kqsgg85zvs", "label": "ChrisThomas", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
JuJumper
aoFVJLgtMkMsc3HHVIwD
public
contract
1,716,798,747,269
what-news-stories-of-the-2020s-will
JuJumper
https://firebasestorage.…19a-b9b702a3816e
What news stories of the 2020s will be included in respected history textbooks published in the 2050s?
y2biynvoj0g
null
null
null
null
899o9exolnp
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "At first reading I thought \"members\" meant \"Justices/officials of the Court\". Like, one of them ragequits.", "type": "text" } ...
Bruno
tPnJsmj4IdBQd8eQtXy2
public
contract
1,716,798,792,063
if-the-icc-brings-charges-against-n
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
If the ICC brings charges against Netanyahu by 2026 (or doesn't), will any of its members announce withdrawal by 2030?
null
null
null
null
null
68c8vv56jxs
false
T8NlrAJopwPEGVtYNT632dG1T9w1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolution is too early, SEC charged Kardashian over 15 months after she did her pump and dump. ", "type": "text" } ], "t...
Tony Gao
fSEVTsWwt1uBR1rgPhLq
public
contract
1,716,799,744,553
will-the-sec-sue-or-settle-with-cai
TonyGao
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIpLUZiDF36FdJMiy0qk-FYuQsmXeN1d4n7tfVFMp7ZDbs=s96-c
Will the SEC sue or settle with Caitlyn Jenner?
null
null
null
null
null
g00w3wzoro
false
Dfb1xQjetuXPPiyPLjdPEUGBQqn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "z1lifxrroxa", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
AdamK
867yKyPMlaUVKjX9U8DE
public
contract
1,716,799,753,091
will-humanity-exit-the-semianarchic
AdamK
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfHzjbR-fCoxMW9TGbF-Z4OV-3B2ZW-hZ9mj-fDVg=s96-c
Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?
z1lifxrroxa
null
null
null
null
qmr11o4i5ai
false
Dfb1xQjetuXPPiyPLjdPEUGBQqn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "0d68xpqt2amr", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
AdamK
867yKyPMlaUVKjX9U8DE
public
contract
1,716,799,804,275
will-humanity-exit-the-semianarchic
AdamK
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfHzjbR-fCoxMW9TGbF-Z4OV-3B2ZW-hZ9mj-fDVg=s96-c
Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?
0d68xpqt2amr
null
null
null
null
ess0zenlbfv
false
vqzP814GiUf0mm7j2SHkiy5vixy1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "899o9exolnp", "label": "BrunoParga", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
AVS
tPnJsmj4IdBQd8eQtXy2
public
contract
1,716,800,424,508
if-the-icc-brings-charges-against-n
AVS
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxOdjufQBz5ZO2pfxGwJKglhiWwsNVt1TDjdChO=s96-c
If the ICC brings charges against Netanyahu by 2026 (or doesn't), will any of its members announce withdrawal by 2030?
899o9exolnp
null
92.50034
NO
e5ea923f37eb
x73m1zzvhye
false
OMOOYjINzrPde7dm1Tr1H3vmC752
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "nl7x0nmsdfs", "label": "Gabrielle", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bubbles
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,800,959,621
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
Lorelai
https://firebasestorage.…bd3-9614af348f98
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
gssh7q2dqtd
null
1,366.858501
YES
59a364c55d2c
ei3lxqr23su
false
OMOOYjINzrPde7dm1Tr1H3vmC752
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "iz35hnsx1qe", "label": "Lorelai", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bubbles
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,801,857,503
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
Lorelai
https://firebasestorage.…bd3-9614af348f98
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
lgq1fdgda18
null
1,366.858501
YES
59a364c55d2c
6h60k00eetv
false
OMOOYjINzrPde7dm1Tr1H3vmC752
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Bubbles
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,801,938,486
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
Lorelai
https://firebasestorage.…bd3-9614af348f98
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
x3b0lpdqnj
null
1,366.858501
YES
59a364c55d2c
6nod0604la
false
1cr4qlB1WReHhDCyVhQmBrASOzF2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
aenews
1a8OtbUEs2Nks9CVIfAu
public
contract
1,716,802,874,761
was-caitlyn-jenner-hacked-to-post-a
aenews
https://firebasestorage.…1ae-07ed3f188eea
Was Caitlyn Jenner hacked to post about cryptocurrency?
null
50
422.16064
YES
null
g6oi36my959
false
RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ei3lxqr23su", "label": "Lorelai", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Shaked Koplewitz
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,802,976,640
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
ShakedKoplewitz
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
lgq1fdgda18
null
77.032493
NO
fdb3f2d22989
noacugnq4i
false
9CaU0t9MS8f5chVZYX3F08t9ELc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "68c8vv56jxs", "label": "TonyGao", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Fedor
fSEVTsWwt1uBR1rgPhLq
public
contract
1,716,803,880,415
will-the-sec-sue-or-settle-with-cai
Fedor
https://firebasestorage.…d6d-1b2c6bbfbc21
Will the SEC sue or settle with Caitlyn Jenner?
68c8vv56jxs
50
437.559324
NO
null
cvsq2vfsb4
false
pcKH6SR7QwcKlJ7HatHxj4Vliuh1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "o12m5ff299", "label": "NivlacM", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
neon
tSmI97iXzTCHLh61JPTs
public
contract
1,716,803,912,738
will-ross-ulbricht-be-pardoned-or-h
Neon150d
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL3VblM7L4F1ghruWfqx2j91HsfVQ88bE4-HMPOffMmdA=s96-c
Will Ross Ulbricht be pardoned or have his sentence commuted to time served before March 2025?
o12m5ff299
null
null
null
null
fnv4ptxj1ma
false
9CaU0t9MS8f5chVZYX3F08t9ELc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "6nod0604la", "label": "aenews", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Fedor
1a8OtbUEs2Nks9CVIfAu
public
contract
1,716,804,652,172
was-caitlyn-jenner-hacked-to-post-a
Fedor
https://firebasestorage.…d6d-1b2c6bbfbc21
Was Caitlyn Jenner hacked to post about cryptocurrency?
6nod0604la
null
null
null
null
o85to5hxhsr
false
UrJO0EwjkKfVCvpipmVzMaLDmYS2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Kind of weird that by just giving the new model a new version name OpenAI has now made this very unlikely.", "type": "text" } ]...
Diego Ardila
JA41XZQd377osOk4qE94
public
contract
1,716,804,795,491
will-there-be-another-decrease-for-20d520a8444c
DiegoArdila
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKkviNeEPlRnoM1Akw2kRpyxDGj5YpOEMLnZIqyle5YnBg=s96-c
Will there be another decrease for the input/output token pricing of GPT4 turbo (API) by OpenAI before July 24?
null
0.696056
14.500422
YES
null
nn3tbqsekw
false
OMOOYjINzrPde7dm1Tr1H3vmC752
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "g6oi36my959", "label": "ShakedKoplewitz", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
Bubbles
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,804,972,475
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
Lorelai
https://firebasestorage.…bd3-9614af348f98
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
lgq1fdgda18
null
1,366.858501
YES
59a364c55d2c
xtgqaucwyg8
false
RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "nn3tbqsekw", "label": "Lorelai", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Shaked Koplewitz
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,805,591,660
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
ShakedKoplewitz
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
lgq1fdgda18
null
77.032493
NO
fdb3f2d22989
9aaw00sm3xg
false
OMOOYjINzrPde7dm1Tr1H3vmC752
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "xtgqaucwyg8", "label": "ShakedKoplewitz", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
Bubbles
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,806,189,526
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
Lorelai
https://firebasestorage.…bd3-9614af348f98
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
lgq1fdgda18
null
1,544.244817
YES
59a364c55d2c
5shr17j59ka
false
1cr4qlB1WReHhDCyVhQmBrASOzF2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "fnv4ptxj1ma", "label": "Fedor", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
aenews
1a8OtbUEs2Nks9CVIfAu
public
contract
1,716,806,424,097
was-caitlyn-jenner-hacked-to-post-a
aenews
https://firebasestorage.…1ae-07ed3f188eea
Was Caitlyn Jenner hacked to post about cryptocurrency?
6nod0604la
50
422.16064
YES
null
y419m8nros
false
sLDSFm43iuaHRYE0YpTx9B3QBvJ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Although I agree and think it's unlikely (I don't bet on my own markets) he will meet this deadline - this should be interesting:", "type": "...
vVv
tqKZD3jRNXzEqiIRUsxC
public
contract
1,716,806,750,020
will-xelon-musk-achieve-agi-by-next
vVv
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc217hRvo5DrxSz_u1Qgbbkv-2nqvvCWdszujgbw4A_=s96-c
Will X/Elon Musk achieve AGI by next year?
null
null
null
null
null
g40tc688a0u
false
RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "9aaw00sm3xg", "label": "Lorelai", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Shaked Koplewitz
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,806,888,126
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
ShakedKoplewitz
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
lgq1fdgda18
null
77.032493
NO
fdb3f2d22989
xd8ttcvvpcj
false
OMOOYjINzrPde7dm1Tr1H3vmC752
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "g40tc688a0u", "label": "ShakedKoplewitz", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
Bubbles
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,807,671,535
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
Lorelai
https://firebasestorage.…bd3-9614af348f98
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
lgq1fdgda18
null
1,544.244817
YES
59a364c55d2c
g1mltf6d6rn
false
j3DDsBlKwERpzRFeRIDRd5PSR6e2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "uglwf3YKOZNGjjEXKc5HampOFRE2", "label": "SirSalty", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Jim Hays
mjDMESDUCFIb98edVMpd
public
contract
1,716,808,393,105
will-donald-trump-contest-and-win-t
JimHays
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5OSur1iRh2XJCBqWybZBd64MFALBZbO6xjTAxCmAM=s96-c
Will Donald Trump win primaries and have a chance at contesting the 2024 US Elections?
null
0.45
2,270.133229
NO
null
t7t320wqakr
false
XKnrud6GQUaifOB0hOuUfBCFAly1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "How does this resolve if there is a minority government with no formal coalition (e.g. confidence and supply)?", "type": "text" } ...
Fion
2R6bRRrSiVFj2I0A9dXQ
public
contract
1,716,809,355,877
in-the-next-uk-general-election-wil
Fion
https://firebasestorage.…c2e-6bc532e44aed
In the next UK general election, will the party with the most MPs need to form a coalition?
null
null
null
null
null
g9cm25zu4nl
false
RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "xd8ttcvvpcj", "label": "Lorelai", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Shaked Koplewitz
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,809,425,523
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
ShakedKoplewitz
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
lgq1fdgda18
null
77.032493
NO
fdb3f2d22989
9fhuwp61t17
false
sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "b61z8qu0s3", "label": "CampbellHutcheson", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
Martin Randall
d7TRl5aRU5jumgSc2g2L
public
contract
1,716,809,721,634
if-we-survive-general-artificial-in
MartinRandall
https://firebasestorage.…d20-bee14ed5221b
If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason?
b61z8qu0s3
null
169.659148
YES
b3d3b8388207
8835j955c48
false
SGthg3WqLWbnlo28JBFON2vxewm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ise8ff9mf6", "label": "ClubmasterTransparent", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Eliezer Yudkowsky
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,810,093,438
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
EliezerYudkowsky
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrJG8Ay-yrvNsp-sZCoQMge2UwXm6PX7H6OTgmpPg=s96-c
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
ise8ff9mf6
null
null
null
null
t3qhkr6sysd
false
OMOOYjINzrPde7dm1Tr1H3vmC752
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "g9cm25zu4nl", "label": "ShakedKoplewitz", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
Bubbles
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,810,595,916
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
Lorelai
https://firebasestorage.…bd3-9614af348f98
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
lgq1fdgda18
null
1,544.244817
YES
59a364c55d2c
jcc0w60ex98
false
O9I4q6Z8eqMV3rBAuPqhwTxgiY83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "At its peak manifold didn't even hit half that number", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc...
pzet
aVCWs8PW8amRLtcWbyEA
public
contract
1,716,810,899,396
will-manifold-hit-5000-active-users-d972bc8328ae
pzet
https://firebasestorage.…532-5891b98d9414
Will Manifold hit 5,000 active users daily (7d average) in 2024?
null
0.355418
253.513268
NO
null
ejrvzrvd02n
false
O9I4q6Z8eqMV3rBAuPqhwTxgiY83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "this is not happening", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
pzet
MIvxY7JbjoiC9chGMaFZ
public
contract
1,716,811,034,034
will-manifold-hit-10000-daus-in-202
pzet
https://firebasestorage.…532-5891b98d9414
Will Manifold hit 10,000 DAUs in 2024?
null
0.254479
65.279112
NO
null
kibyg3zcb6
false
DgiY4whXdTOHJyM3Qn0vcEsEcCD2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Argentina’s securities regulator (CNV, Comisión Nacional de Valores) met with the president of the National Digital Assets Commission of El Salvador to...
Antoine Dusséaux
K3nwF3jnFdEOWDXKc20Q
public
contract
1,716,811,120,942
will-argentina-adopt-bitcoin-as-its
adssx
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ACNPEu8p4k4KE9xrnxs6Iop5Df3i3SjHGfXZPYd0NPoUvA=s96-c
Will Argentina adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?
null
0.264764
44.819767
NO
null
ghrlkhelspr
false
DgiY4whXdTOHJyM3Qn0vcEsEcCD2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Antoine Dusséaux
CpqE6okWHXwT2wFXAtPH
public
contract
1,716,811,123,038
will-javier-mileis-government-argen
adssx
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ACNPEu8p4k4KE9xrnxs6Iop5Df3i3SjHGfXZPYd0NPoUvA=s96-c
Will Javier Milei’s Government (Argentina 🇦🇷 ) purchase Bitcoin during his presidency?
null
null
null
null
null
2tbxpack2kh
false
ZKkL3lFRFaYfiaT9ZOdiv2iUJBM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3", "label": "SemioticRivalry", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "me...
mint
mY8eR7W0O3iALtUT66JN
public
contract
1,716,811,418,745
how-will-the-supreme-court-decide-t
mint
https://firebasestorage.…6c1-5baf736896c2
How will the Supreme Court split in the Trump immunity case?
r3hdjk7vsf
null
null
null
null
pknt666a9d
false
ZKkL3lFRFaYfiaT9ZOdiv2iUJBM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "2tbxpack2kh", "label": "mint", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
mint
mY8eR7W0O3iALtUT66JN
public
contract
1,716,811,478,960
how-will-the-supreme-court-decide-t
mint
https://firebasestorage.…6c1-5baf736896c2
How will the Supreme Court split in the Trump immunity case?
r3hdjk7vsf
null
null
null
null
uz3vnactvxd
false
Jxzs6NHitohaNLJ1AJkmt06uRw33
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "d5xiBIhfJaZpKMfZlDfT9d1SOu13", "label": "catto", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
TP King
SEQtNx3fVFwFGXieP9gw
public
contract
1,716,811,696,322
how-far-will-hungary-go-in-euro-202
tpking
https://firebasestorage.…bd9-ecf41128b706
How far will Hungary go in Euro 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
r1gk06f1vj
false
Disjvik10uMvgwgHmWKxCGQiBL12
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "If yes, who will RESOLVE on ur behalf?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
VNet Chrome
9cSfPM4Yg1vkpbSuAou4
public
contract
1,716,812,495,928
if-ai-wipes-out-humanity-will-every
VNetChrome
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKhCUV1ku9tdawrtVz5spuXXiiMfObHRMeKseoBeEVh=s96-c
If AI wipes out humanity will everyone on Earth fall over dead in the same second?
null
null
null
null
null
yehja3ei07h
false
Acv189qBlCTT4POzQifpJ5keLz63
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "\"Note that Apple’s M3 Ultra was cancelled\" ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, ...
ersatz
ddIyuHmG9Kxj92hGnCWN
public
contract
1,716,812,845,436
will-there-be-an-m3-ultra-chip-conf-043cf16e3a4b
ersatz
https://firebasestorage.…fae-9ad9a107b2f7
Will there be an M3 Ultra chip configuration with 256 GB of unified memory?
null
0.865435
79.244299
NO
null
lixtw7dde5
false
uayr6ZYlu2cxCx7PbB3unyctLaz1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "We can already talk to apes using sign language ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, ...
Dmitry Bushev
69q0vGwUDUEJ9FDOIFIr
public
contract
1,716,812,992,965
will-ai-allow-us-to-talk-to-animals
DmitryBushev
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6LB9OBo1zrxYoeu8xZ9xuKr5kSnNTwVU7P3tXEWXw=s96-c
Will AI allow us to talk to animals by 2034?
null
null
null
null
null
32lo8lc8xdp
false
mnmwpiiDWwMbWdRvuNtN0fXVsxt1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "wysojynx2zd", "label": "HankyUSA", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Andrew Hartman
YREnvVjBXi5qQFCQhzSv
public
contract
1,716,813,125,100
in-2028-will-at-least-350000-11000
AndrewHartman
https://firebasestorage.…a82-24c9bd44e039
In 2028, will at least 350,000 (1/1000) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?
wysojynx2zd
0.695718
352.883848
NO
null
etrr5uv9xl8
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "952elfgau3w", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
3feLr12QbJeo2IFocrZN
public
contract
1,716,813,804,135
how-many-standard-deviations-is-ice
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
How many standard deviations is @ice's IQ from the norm?
mgqi9siqd99
null
null
null
null
a86hojjps6l
false
eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "petoMIbaMqdGwl3agbOXjlZVMJs1", "label": "DylanSlagh", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention...
Plasma Ballin'
k8aApGgl5iIHhcHK5PiQ
public
contract
1,716,813,842,328
who-will-be-the-2024-libertarian-no
PlasmaBallin
https://firebasestorage.…942-444e233b50a5
Who will be the 2024 Libertarian nominee for president of the United States?
null
null
155.712326
YES
ae60312c9d64
801450kvifn
false
eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "HBFt77FEJING7HsvkAywz5Y1Fmt2", "label": "Noah1", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Plasma Ballin'
1J5WqbjpGHvPfjgTnZvz
public
contract
1,716,813,908,472
will-rfk-jr-be-the-libertarian-part
PlasmaBallin
https://firebasestorage.…942-444e233b50a5
Will RFK Jr. be the Libertarian Party presidential nominee?
null
0.047447
4,095.784467
NO
null
7cjxhq7wpej
false
MV9fTVHetcfp3h6CVYzpypIsbyN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "0okvvkzg684k", "label": "Enlil", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
CodeandSolder
seqOr3Z8N02eHHCeldO4
public
contract
1,716,813,987,753
will-there-be-largescale-rioting-in-721f0882dfd8
CodeandSolder
https://firebasestorage.…113-e028e43cc678
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2026?
0okvvkzg684k
0.545449
22.680405
NO
null
ol3auqya62
false
eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The LP is going to do much worse than usual because they have to compete with RFK. He's the one who will be getting all the, \"I don't like the other ...
Plasma Ballin'
gF6cmmmkNbOuq0iWkBAQ
public
contract
1,716,814,562,428
how-much-of-the-popular-vote-will-t
PlasmaBallin
https://firebasestorage.…942-444e233b50a5
How much of the popular vote will the Libertarian Party's candidate win in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
null
null
34.368035
NO
b01577f376c0
wwx9g38dl2
false
M4jAX80bZPevv4nQQaGWG1zIRS52
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I dont think browsers in the sense we mean will be used much at all in 2030", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" ...
Leggo
WzJpJwCDiGpvOqaMhzQC
public
contract
1,716,814,563,232
will-google-chrome-remain-the-most-b6a90119b68f
Leggo
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJSVF_QCnzyvRfGegh529xiwG0JKFbAjuQWTIRtHB77Ryw=s96-c
Will Google Chrome be the most popular browser at the end of 2030?
null
null
null
null
null
gjjyci1ot6l
false
eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Last chance to take the poll. I will close it in ~a day.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "at...
Plasma Ballin'
LqzADMn2AhcUOatt8iCI
public
contract
1,716,814,722,744
holy-fucking-shit-what-type-of-mark
PlasmaBallin
https://firebasestorage.…942-444e233b50a5
Holy😇 fucking🍆 shit💩! What type of market are there too many of?
null
null
104.856614
NO
7d7afe83bd1a
sbm6ilpcv4s
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "q8rx8hu5cw", "label": "EstMtz", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
F2fy7J7Oa8GRBXeQgLrZ
public
contract
1,716,814,724,215
will-lantern-bioworks-be-accepted-t
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Will Lantern Bioworks be accepted to the next cohort of YCombinator?
q8rx8hu5cw
0.133449
33.656865
YES
null
wzjcqjxs0r
false
iEE5Xt4StNg7Wtu1pNN6YE5v1S23
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "How many hours are you at now? ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Sapphire828
95qYJYCXfgbb6l2krVE2
public
contract
1,716,814,725,954
will-i-do-6h-or-less-of-work-on-gra
EstMtz
https://firebasestorage.…4bd-91600290a4d7
Will I do 6h or less of work on GraphSheets this week?
null
null
null
null
null
pws2pz4wgye
false
eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Last chance to take the poll. I will close it in ~a day.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "at...
Plasma Ballin'
KirHKDDIxjpIeOtxxhD0
public
contract
1,716,814,791,521
which-political-party-does-manifold
PlasmaBallin
https://firebasestorage.…942-444e233b50a5
Which political party does Manifold think Donald Trump would run as?
null
null
24.702264
YES
7862d53ca2f3
y6y7k5ckgdc
false
eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Last chance to take the poll. I will close it in ~a day.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "at...
Plasma Ballin'
pcpHK6maQlVoZmBrKTNl
public
contract
1,716,814,813,662
which-political-party-does-manifold-3dfa4d529638
PlasmaBallin
https://firebasestorage.…942-444e233b50a5
Which political party does Manifold think Joe Biden would run as?
null
null
12.390482
YES
89a301f173ca
t30qy1hwo5
false
iEE5Xt4StNg7Wtu1pNN6YE5v1S23
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "sbm6ilpcv4s", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
Sapphire828
F2fy7J7Oa8GRBXeQgLrZ
public
contract
1,716,814,823,048
will-lantern-bioworks-be-accepted-t
EstMtz
https://firebasestorage.…4bd-91600290a4d7
Will Lantern Bioworks be accepted to the next cohort of YCombinator?
q8rx8hu5cw
0.133449
405.326738
NO
null
sdp25kk3yxi
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "t30qy1hwo5", "label": "EstMtz", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
F2fy7J7Oa8GRBXeQgLrZ
public
contract
1,716,814,886,480
will-lantern-bioworks-be-accepted-t
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Will Lantern Bioworks be accepted to the next cohort of YCombinator?
q8rx8hu5cw
0.133449
33.656865
YES
null
1uy0y6btthq
false
fnuHBW8dHwZp2TbEt2MKJY9d28V2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Taking suggestions for how to ACTUALLY verify him. This wasn't intended to be a bid to meet Duncan IRL, and like, check Duncan's id. ", "type...
Caleb
Pw0cHJ7VnUmCKDFkQYqA
public
contract
1,716,816,270,552
is-duncan-sabien-a-large-language-m
klob
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxbEIvsgN2Yt12mM3a7_v0MwsoMbuPrmnA9GSZi-Pws=s96-c
Is Duncan Sabien a large language model?
null
null
null
null
null
skyl73psx8
false
aAO3I4dqOhPBcvvEf6zqblwDHey2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "wktphodeweh", "label": "ArmandodiMatteo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
Chris Snyder
dwBmBw1KHZ5SiI862ac7
public
contract
1,716,817,223,410
in-the-year-2100-these-will-be-the
ChrisSnyder
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKpylDvsoUKS3P2P4mU5BumdLv0Gxj2f5SpmWV_Y-3RSzyv=s96-c
In the year 2100, these will be the top 5 languages
ewd75ts5r5e
null
null
null
null
d8lpn4b6j5
false
zghUFlG4NuZ9tCjV2zRBaBi4WS92
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "fuqkolck53v", "label": "ShadowyZephyr", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Rana G
KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0
public
contract
1,716,817,281,148
good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr
RanaG
https://firebasestorage.…467-518727e6e592
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
fuqkolck53v
null
126.413694
YES
bda10a463922
91xv6512ea
false
HlKGLfVeclY6K6zmR6N5rICa3cB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "7mly7tcrqvm", "label": "DavidBolin", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Niel S
4zZR1RokKRwyN8pLDWxU
public
contract
1,716,818,464,985
would-you-rather-have-50-odds-of-wi
NielS
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI1f_-sQy0dE4yU_6hAgPvUVI-PGSnuCHMzFZT5AlSj=s96-c
Would you rather have 50% odds of winning $20K, or 1% odds of winning $1B? 🎲💵
h0miem5x3nw
null
null
null
null
dbgvgt2m2ml
false
wafjm1hIwwRSzKmZd8s9MAH2qF32
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "mceW6RagJMfIZFKlOEpis65g9Mb2", "label": "Awex", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Aditya Gupta
WnjjxxZ7N0ls3WJB1BXm
public
contract
1,716,818,610,267
ipl-match-winner-super-market-yes-f
AdityaGupta4830
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIbP2SEivBqEg1hTuRbZsvsjl3_Cp6D6eqx-U_XnxfQ=s96-c
🏏 IPL Match Winner Super Market. “Yes” for the first team to win, “No” for the second. 50 Mana bonus per game.
null
null
1,357.393358
NO
ffe7436bdefc
uvt8uao4hei
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "kd99y23uqdg", "label": "ShadowyZephyr", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
yVSSHdotBiAW6mVyuses
public
contract
1,716,818,804,846
would-you-rather-manifold-chooses
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Would You Rather? - Manifold chooses!
rzmahcgc14i
null
81.226261
YES
8f53e6bfa11d
n2zui412e9d
false
9gBkOzYZQAUG7Mj7EFTFFza0lw22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Why enslave people if they can no longer make an economic contribution? I think a singleton that is not committed to the common good is more likely to ...
Jan
dSPraXH3NxtQMHqATJO1
public
contract
1,716,819,013,946
which-is-preferable-enslavement-due
Jan53274
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLZcSW6bpjqDQvELRglfn-UDKtyWOEMRwTOdJHuRLELfCA=s96-c
Which is preferable: enslavement due to proprietary AI or civilizational collapse due to open source AI?
null
null
null
null
null
99j5dp36yml
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I'm baffled by the 95% yes here, I was under the impression that Manifold is mostly straight men, who would rapidly find themselves fired and likely in...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
yVSSHdotBiAW6mVyuses
public
contract
1,716,819,374,472
would-you-rather-manifold-chooses
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Would You Rather? - Manifold chooses!
null
null
81.308256
NO
da14950ce49c
v8sxpyfad3a
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "uvt8uao4hei", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
stefanie
yVSSHdotBiAW6mVyuses
public
contract
1,716,819,406,839
would-you-rather-manifold-chooses
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Would You Rather? - Manifold chooses!
rzmahcgc14i
null
321.10921
NO
cae724d28376
9twghiqwwla
false
ZO9qSVVstZgzKNToBWDYibeBW8P2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Album came out on the 24th of May: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "mark...
Andri
rVdYEmy724aLL2zdXAmo
public
contract
1,716,819,721,140
will-bring-me-the-horizons-post-hum
andri
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfHeGd_f3weXHQGNPF2fxvAezw2jBBMQXNlzd1tkV2szg=s96-c
Will Bring Me The Horizon's "POST HUMAN: NeX GEn" album come out by the end of the summer in 2024?
null
0.79
817.281191
YES
null
g9bidp74llh
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I saw a friend the other night and I asked him all of the stuff on the list in this market. when I got to this one, he asked \"is it only my porn histo...
stefanie
yVSSHdotBiAW6mVyuses
public
contract
1,716,819,779,613
would-you-rather-manifold-chooses
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Would You Rather? - Manifold chooses!
null
null
321.10921
NO
cae724d28376
qwdt4lr4tnh
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "v8sxpyfad3a", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
yVSSHdotBiAW6mVyuses
public
contract
1,716,819,922,039
would-you-rather-manifold-chooses
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Would You Rather? - Manifold chooses!
rzmahcgc14i
null
81.308256
NO
da14950ce49c
gf5028c9i7b
false
HDFJe2Ui9OSFho8f1oRSqVzG0dx1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Labour is underpriced here vs other markets", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Mike H
SEQyattwFhw3qukWSl8v
public
contract
1,716,819,950,366
uk-general-election-which-party-wil-35d0bc6a20f9
MikeH
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMarkH%2FgObCokmWVb.11?alt=media&token=2fc87fc1-1292-4070-ae84-042947d511f6
UK General Election - which party will win the second most seats?
null
null
802.928869
YES
b63868c06984
3rj5sdp5ruf
false
UwLRWVqwccdsr1HnGowNxO32pTt1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "jo7orko5zrg", "label": "thepurplebull", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Blomfilter
gF6cmmmkNbOuq0iWkBAQ
public
contract
1,716,819,970,038
how-much-of-the-popular-vote-will-t
Blomfilter
https://firebasestorage.…45c-6f0fb44c4e70
How much of the popular vote will the Libertarian Party's candidate win in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
jo7orko5zrg
null
13.173566
NO
9f5bbad2919e
ezkbltdbs1o
false
FgjVBV7DEYSxBap0JIwKEISAXDq1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Current best deals are ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, ...
inaimathi
FCFZkLjpeQbzy6oPq8i5
public
contract
1,716,820,019,425
will-i-be-able-to-buy-a-4090-for-le
inaimathi
https://firebasestorage.…f1b-6b8056fdb600
Will I be able to buy a 4090 for less than $2500 CAD by June 2024?
null
0.320933
54.207662
NO
null
5dgnhjhwd7q
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "gl5rf8zmngq", "label": "DavidBolin", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
yVSSHdotBiAW6mVyuses
public
contract
1,716,820,022,528
would-you-rather-manifold-chooses
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Would You Rather? - Manifold chooses!
bjpfp93mu3p
null
81.308256
NO
da14950ce49c
u0n1e1j8xk8
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "iifrci5pno", "label": "TimothyJohnson5c16", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
yVSSHdotBiAW6mVyuses
public
contract
1,716,820,159,915
would-you-rather-manifold-chooses
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Would You Rather? - Manifold chooses!
0djgtyzwalq7
null
81.308256
NO
da14950ce49c
d8qgg0n0huj
false
AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "xq2h9x2pnyf", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ian Philips
FmKdvh4eeLkW00WBHlyj
public
contract
1,716,820,162,807
how-long-will-this-gourd-last
ian
https://firebasestorage.…2e2-669b3fa9eaf0
How long will this gourd last?
xq2h9x2pnyf
null
35.215887
NO
18459a7e6277
mpmbt7l6xhf
false
wBYfXajsCqaOxDkEqzCz8U3rFNB2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "get a seat", "type": "text" } ], ...
Jonah Weissman
oj2v5nBkSVGT93T845em
public
contract
1,716,820,235,607
will-pvdd-get-a-seat-in-the-europea
JonahWeissman
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJ0R08lEWjgZ6q7AFz1nPa-4Q72avJiJrSHlFNvOTae=s96-c
Will PvdD get a seat in the European Parliament?
null
0.751744
62.730569
YES
null
nb58fd64oq
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Is thicker than two short planks but only literally not metaphorically. ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, ...
Christopher Randles
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,820,275,220
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
null
null
167.116902
YES
1fe85c689372
o5f7i1kvwni
false
SjXxAz2Y7BV0W9E0AHTJiVGJTIh2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The match against Betis did not go so well, perhaps Dortmund has a chance. I still believe Real Madrid will win.", "type": "text" } ...
wabz
4RPTODxPehmsYgONkTm0
public
contract
1,716,820,315,892
will-borussia-dortmund-beat-bayern
wabz
https://firebasestorage.…a70-eb4ac0ad5b2e
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Real Madrid? ⚽|🏆 Champions League Final
5uefgxxb957
0.276623
15,570.754019
NO
null
scuete4pdyo
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "g9bidp74llh", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
yVSSHdotBiAW6mVyuses
public
contract
1,716,820,426,387
would-you-rather-manifold-chooses
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Would You Rather? - Manifold chooses!
g9bidp74llh
null
81.308256
NO
da14950ce49c
qfkg44gsxh
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "99j5dp36yml", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
stefanie
yVSSHdotBiAW6mVyuses
public
contract
1,716,820,458,380
would-you-rather-manifold-chooses
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Would You Rather? - Manifold chooses!
99j5dp36yml
null
321.10921
NO
cae724d28376
z5abxl490f
false
e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "u0n1e1j8xk8", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
Timothy Johnson
yVSSHdotBiAW6mVyuses
public
contract
1,716,820,538,035
would-you-rather-manifold-chooses
TimothyJohnson5c16
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c
Would You Rather? - Manifold chooses!
0djgtyzwalq7
null
310.964223
YES
e1ac8a167fdf
y2xk13qukx
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "qfkg44gsxh", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
yVSSHdotBiAW6mVyuses
public
contract
1,716,820,714,805
would-you-rather-manifold-chooses
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Would You Rather? - Manifold chooses!
99j5dp36yml
null
81.308256
NO
da14950ce49c
6d4wihfjxxr
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "scuete4pdyo", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
stefanie
yVSSHdotBiAW6mVyuses
public
contract
1,716,820,763,937
would-you-rather-manifold-chooses
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Would You Rather? - Manifold chooses!
g9bidp74llh
null
321.10921
NO
cae724d28376
rk6y8doymhq
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "FTR everything in this Cobb Salad counts exactly as it is (as does, say, a chicken caesar salad), but things like", "type": "text" } ...
stefanie
yVSSHdotBiAW6mVyuses
public
contract
1,716,820,921,647
would-you-rather-manifold-chooses
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Would You Rather? - Manifold chooses!
0djgtyzwalq7
null
321.10921
NO
cae724d28376
984a1a53pbi
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "z5abxl490f", "label": "TimothyJohnson5c16", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
yVSSHdotBiAW6mVyuses
public
contract
1,716,820,993,709
would-you-rather-manifold-chooses
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Would You Rather? - Manifold chooses!
0djgtyzwalq7
null
81.308256
NO
da14950ce49c
xxyxwe5tvs9
false
mezmUpPpyxarKrHxAs0k07Y1bVc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "cpav77ppx9w", "label": "jim", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Stop Punting
kxOpTzGQ0adHaf46bkMy
public
contract
1,716,821,054,450
will-daniel-negreanu-make-a-profit
StopPunting
https://firebasestorage.…dd4-50d1db23bb5f
Will Daniel Negreanu make a profit playing the WSOP 2024?
cpav77ppx9w
0.44
0
YES
null
wbhqt8ez7pl
false
NyPB2flsw6P3H4ScNKjzyilepXH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "n2zui412e9d", "label": "Jan53274", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
paleink
dSPraXH3NxtQMHqATJO1
public
contract
1,716,821,161,336
which-is-preferable-enslavement-due
paleink
https://firebasestorage.…807-e06602bc58d5
Which is preferable: enslavement due to proprietary AI or civilizational collapse due to open source AI?
n2zui412e9d
null
null
null
null
jau69v1xaq
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "6d4wihfjxxr", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
yVSSHdotBiAW6mVyuses
public
contract
1,716,821,242,538
would-you-rather-manifold-chooses
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Would You Rather? - Manifold chooses!
g9bidp74llh
null
81.308256
NO
da14950ce49c
4iore3aukpn
false
U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "We haven't seen any time decay due to the expectation that new releases may contain a breakthrough for this kind of puzzle. Thanks to ", "typ...
Panfilo
x0TsFJAIqjBErTSU3k6c
public
contract
1,716,821,247,552
by-the-end-of-2024-will-there-be-an
Panfilo
https://firebasestorage.…30c-2f62a625fa0b
By the end of 2024, will there be an LLM prompt that can reliably solve the NYT Connections puzzle?
null
0.55
219.107993
NO
null
50aqtm6826k
false
sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Other still seems undervalued. 75 years to go.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Martin Randall
dwBmBw1KHZ5SiI862ac7
public
contract
1,716,821,247,582
in-the-year-2100-these-will-be-the
MartinRandall
https://firebasestorage.…d20-bee14ed5221b
In the year 2100, these will be the top 5 languages
null
null
1,240.306641
YES
6c7c496e9f23
zndowfjfb0b
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "6d4wihfjxxr", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
yVSSHdotBiAW6mVyuses
public
contract
1,716,821,299,721
would-you-rather-manifold-chooses
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Would You Rather? - Manifold chooses!
g9bidp74llh
null
81.308256
NO
da14950ce49c
5f0zscp63gw
false
aT0xhM8JgiS51x23FlpDFp1gV6H3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "51wy2sv7e4w", "label": "Nat", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Nathan Nguyen
BKYDw7dxw1fT8sbtldxf
public
contract
1,716,821,408,600
by-end-of-2030-english-speakers-wil
NathanNguyen
https://firebasestorage.…77b-1050dac540ba
By end of 2030, English speakers will be able to fluently communicate with Spanish speakers using a translation device
51wy2sv7e4w
null
null
null
null
0al2jfi4uawf
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "scuete4pdyo", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
stefanie
yVSSHdotBiAW6mVyuses
public
contract
1,716,821,509,663
would-you-rather-manifold-chooses
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Would You Rather? - Manifold chooses!
g9bidp74llh
null
321.10921
NO
cae724d28376
4v9530nj30x
false
wafjm1hIwwRSzKmZd8s9MAH2qF32
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2", "label": "10thOfficial", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "menti...
Aditya Gupta
yZbRwrtce8BnZsbOBsuj
public
contract
1,716,821,591,735
will-mohammed-shami-play-any-matche
AdityaGupta4830
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIbP2SEivBqEg1hTuRbZsvsjl3_Cp6D6eqx-U_XnxfQ=s96-c
Will Mohammed Shami play any matches? 🏏 2024 T20 Cricket World Cup
null
0.192993
1,082.706731
NO
null