p
string
id
string
pool
string
prob
string
slug
string
volume
string
dpmPool
string
question
string
realAnte
string
closeTime
string
creatorId
string
mechanism
string
startPool
string
totalBets
string
dailyScore
string
elasticity
string
isResolved
string
marketTier
string
resolution
string
visibility
string
createdTime
string
creatorName
string
description
string
outcomeType
string
probChanges
string
subsidyPool
string
totalShares
string
collectedFees
string
phantomShares
string
volume24Hours
string
resolutionTime
string
totalLiquidity
string
creatorUsername
string
lastUpdatedTime
string
popularityScore
string
creatorAvatarUrl
string
likedByUserCount
string
uniqueBettorCount
string
cfmmConversionTime
string
uniqueBettorCountDay
string
addAnswersMode
string
answers
string
bountyLeft
string
bountyTxns
string
closeEmailsSent
string
conversionScore
string
coverImageUrl
string
creatorCreatedTime
string
deleted
string
followerCount
string
freshnessScore
string
groupLinks
string
groupSlugs
string
importanceScore
string
initialProbability
string
isPolitics
string
isRanked
string
isSubsidized
string
lastBetTime
string
lastCommentTime
string
loverUserId1
string
loverUserId2
string
matchCreatorId
string
nonPredictive
string
resolutionProbability
string
resolutions
string
resolverId
string
shouldAnswersSumToOne
string
sort
string
totalBounty
string
unlistedById
string
username
string
viewCount
string
wasDpm
string
Hky0wdrt1j5nAfvl6tYq
how-likely-is-it-that-fuh-actually
0
How likely is it that FUH actually walked 100,000 steps?
1713855540000
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
none
0
1
True
public
1713224674126
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I'm curious whether people think that in light of all their other lies, this might have been one too.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "I'm confused about FUH's motivations. The alt accounts were being used ...
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713855661009
IsaacKing
1713482673049
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆe7c-a7b2af67e4cc
27
0
0.3333333333333333
1646352460573
0
[{"name": "firstuserhere", "slug": "firstuserhere", "groupId": "2b8cc740-0f73-4bb5-9623-73959cbd8193", "createdTime": 1713224674434}, {"name": "๐Ÿ’™ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713224674482}]
["firstuserhere", "manifold-6748e065087e"]
0.25
1713482672421
["6f67ebbdcb25"]
0
0.5
32t4HuOFFsreFvkYdkQJ
{"NO": 100, "YES": 100}
0.5
will-tesla-do-a-second-round-of-lay
0
Will tesla do a second round of layoffs in 2024?
1713240341002
HSB5OZ8jBHQZZLjs9oWS7avZTqE3
cpmm-1
0
2.726376370574009
True
play
CANCEL
public
1713224781463
Odoacre
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Tesla announced a reduction of 10% of its workforce. Will they do another cull before the year is over?", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713240341002
100
Odoacre
1713240341002
0
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FOdoacre%2Fe8tDh301jg.avatar2?alt=media&token=79f05389-576e-437b-9be9-bda60b4cd21a
0
0
0.3333333333333333
1660254401272
True
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ’ผ Business", "slug": "business", "groupId": "pmK8sntWL1SDkMm53UBR", "createdTime": 1713224784004}, {"name": "๐Ÿš— Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre", "createdTime": 1713224784012}, {"name": "Tesla", "slug": "tesla", "groupId": "aWXHajzqi5AtOZ3rZmcV", "createdTime"...
["business", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "tesla"]
0.25
0.5
0.5
HSB5OZ8jBHQZZLjs9oWS7avZTqE3
0
0.5088445214822149
SvbwWrwYXPtNceBDjogh
{"NO": 1045.9644191779214, "YES": 955.3089092586592}
0.5314687631177349
will-tesla-do-a-second-round-of-lay-1795cd04c197
159.88484469476478
Will Tesla do a second round of layoffs in 2024?
1735649940000
HSB5OZ8jBHQZZLjs9oWS7avZTqE3
cpmm-1
0
9.578198544414363
False
basic
public
1713224792972
Odoacre
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Tesla announced a reduction of 10% of its workforce. Will they do another cull before the year is over?", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.6846778829647235, "platformFee": 0.3656277450861022, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Odoacre
1717341943795
0
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FOdoacre%2Fe8tDh301jg.avatar2?alt=media&token=79f05389-576e-437b-9be9-bda60b4cd21a
15
0
0.3333333333333333
1660254401272
0
[{"name": "Tesla", "slug": "tesla", "groupId": "aWXHajzqi5AtOZ3rZmcV", "createdTime": 1713224793305}, {"name": "๐Ÿ’ผ Business", "slug": "business", "groupId": "pmK8sntWL1SDkMm53UBR", "createdTime": 1713224793303}, {"name": "๐Ÿš— Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre", "createdTime"...
["tesla", "business", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e"]
0.25
0.5
1717341940360
0
dxBMZrLWTu56CZE0MqTY
what-will-be-my-alltime-mana-profit
159.08586645988595
What will be my all-time mana profit at the end of 2024?
1735689540000
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713226019980
The All Memeing Eye โ™ ๏ธ
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "To save you a few clicks, my profit graph as of mid-April:", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2...
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 4.061909765989557, "platformFee": 1.5423262643844924, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
180
TheAllMemeingEye
1719398093590
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
7
1
DISABLED
[{"id": "e02d0d101338", "prob": 0.0022480019111125677, "text": "-1000--500", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.4678764949552511, "userId": "a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 207.66205997991744, "textFts": "'-1000':1 '-500':2", "contractId": "dxBMZrLWTu56CZE0MqTY", "createdTime": 1713226019980, "probChan...
0.3333333333333333
1704035290346
0
[{"name": "2024", "slug": "2024-3d9da60b52f8", "groupId": "113eb49d-bb7b-428e-a89c-61ea2078317f", "createdTime": 1713226020322}, {"name": "๐Ÿ’™ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713226020328}, {"name": "Mana", "slug": "mana", "groupId": "bL97jpIvPZgebZnTTgom", ...
["2024-3d9da60b52f8", "manifold-6748e065087e", "mana", "manifold-users", "personal-goals"]
0.25
1719398089560
1718103267372
True
0
1VOjEoeA4MBkJmilNanH
have-you-ever-chosen-to-just-not-ra
0
Have you ever chosen to just not rate a market's resolution instead of awarding fewer than 5 stars?
1735707540000
hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3
none
0
1000000
False
public
1713226852337
Eliza
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Did you ever see the \"rate this resolution\" box, take some time to consider the situation, decide it was less than perfect, and then choose to just not fill in the survey, rather than giving the creator fewer than 5 stars?", "type": "text"}]}]}
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
Eliza
1714520695635
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c
37
0
0.3333333333333333
1680816506031
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ’™ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713226852570}]
["manifold-6748e065087e"]
0.25
1714520694396
0
0.4281001512454033
TIvyqXF5wkjUTQ3gqTZy
{"NO": 1029.381014567373, "YES": 941.1417565685497}
0.4501690845162952
will-the-european-union-lose-anothe
539.5554887374495
Will the European Union lose another member by 2035?
2051305140000
l2lqtPg6DZbhGhlEfk76vn084C83
cpmm-1
0
9.773938357161569
False
basic
public
1713227009548
Daniel
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market refers both to countries leaving in Brexit-like situations (Italexit, for example), and to a country being excluded for any reason.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.005575708875495244}
0
{"creatorFee": 5.567947792554635, "platformFee": 2.463459766503792, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Seykran
1718318532148
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆea4-6a16adb24ded
24
0
0.3333333333333333
1712450828368
0
[{"name": "EU politics", "slug": "eu-politics", "groupId": "2c971e22-0596-42ac-8dcc-4e7a71e437b2", "createdTime": 1713227009693}, {"name": "European Union", "slug": "european-union", "groupId": "yDH8ujgF86zAYx8XpCc1", "createdTime": 1713227009695}, {"name": "Europe", "slug": "europe", "groupId": "ue52QI4BQgJgAJJNjLHr",...
["eu-politics", "european-union", "europe"]
0.25
0.5
1718318528954
1713304004737
0
8hxQtiEadeuPh51LnGo1
come-up-with-a-scheme-that-will-res
0
Come up with a scheme that will result in major Manifold updates posted directly on the main site with a 'notification'
hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3
none
0
1000000
False
public
1713227498762
Eliza
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Manifold announces major, game-changing updates (and medium-to-minor ones) on a Discord channel and a spot called \"Changelog\" that is linked on the About page.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text":...
BOUNTIED_QUESTION
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
Eliza
1713294538704
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c
0
0
2344
[]
0.3333333333333333
1680816506031
0
[{"name": "Manifold Business Future", "slug": "manifold-business-future", "groupId": "aGIBFhmmK82IYTv136ib", "createdTime": 1713227498921}, {"name": "๐Ÿ’™ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713227498922}]
["manifold-business-future", "manifold-6748e065087e"]
0.25
1713294537937
2344
0
5xS4UZa4iD5nZzvrPXG9
when-will-unchained-season-2-be-rel
795.924682545657
When will Unchained Season 2 be released on Netflix?
1716411217938
CZBkzGFPidceEFALs0kGHw86HUt1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
7a6434672c04
public
1713228120944
Ryan Knight
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Unchained Season 1 was a hit on Netflix and a tweet by Netflix confirmed a season 2 but no date has been announced. Will it be released before the next Tour de France? Pick one selection from the list of options. If not released by July 6 this will...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 5.545714327405642, "platformFee": 0.7192480763946688, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1716411217938
365
RyanKnight
1716411217938
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJmoWyf3kDS7dAGdWWugqGZl9jk6pNIQ9h6P2PwXaZCGXMsywj45A=s96-c
3
0
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "0a4a162a8da6", "prob": 0.0032288525372642, "text": "On or before April 20", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.6698638721473174, "userId": "CZBkzGFPidceEFALs0kGHw86HUt1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 824.2071276703304, "textFts": "'20':5 'april':4", "contractId": "5xS4UZa4iD5nZzvrPXG9", "resolverId": "CZBkzGFPidceEFALs0k...
0.3333333333333333
1713217676095
0
[{"name": "Documentaries", "slug": "documentaries", "groupId": "477554a8-df40-409a-ba5b-aebb47df1128", "createdTime": 1713228121175}, {"name": "๐Ÿšฒ Cycling", "slug": "road-bicycle-racing", "groupId": "2yisxJryUq9V5sG7P6Gy", "createdTime": 1713228121173}, {"name": "๐ŸŸ๏ธ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGl...
["documentaries", "road-bicycle-racing", "sports-default", "tour-de-france", "netflix"]
0.25
1716404769684
1716404779177
{"7a6434672c04": 100}
CZBkzGFPidceEFALs0kGHw86HUt1
True
old
0
0OabfmtNbNrAiXLjgMCz
limit-orders-with-other-users-free
0
Limit Orders with other users free of fees [READ DESCRIPTION]
1713868930675
nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2
none
0
1
True
public
1713228722802
James
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a neutral third party place to set limit orders against other users without anyone having to pay a fee. Just negotiate with another user about what price you want to bet at and both put in the correct amount of mana. make sure to ping me so...
BOUNTIED_QUESTION
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713868930675
JamesF
1713840337966
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c
0
0
0
["s5Mdr7WJ35iiKNcemH3l"]
0.3333333333333333
1701462146149
0
0.25
1713840337282
nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2
100
0
0.5
t78rRWvUh7klWZBn8HnB
{"NO": 100, "YES": 100}
0.5
will-bayern-munich-beat-arsenal-dur-93d05a9bfac4
0
Will Bayern Munich beat Arsenal during regular time on Wed, Apr 17, 2024?โšฝ UEFA Champions League ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ
1713231666270
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
cpmm-1
0
2.726376370574009
True
play
CANCEL
public
1713229402901
Franklin Baldo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "โšฝ Bayern Munich vs Arsenal", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ“… Date: Wednesday, April 17, 2024", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713231666270
100
FranklinBaldo
1713231666270
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c
0
0
0.3333333333333333
1659579722296
True
0
[{"name": "UEFA Champions League", "slug": "uefa-champions-league", "groupId": "jgZHnM9QIVaWt6OmPhm3", "createdTime": 1713229403074}, {"name": "โšฝ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1713229403078}]
["uefa-champions-league", "soccer"]
0.25
0.5
0.5
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
0
0.5
8KiBnuxWzeOSYfgzrLjW
{"NO": 100, "YES": 100}
0.5
will-bahia-beat-fluminense-during-r-243f4f7803d2
0
Will Bahia beat Fluminense during regular time on Wed, Apr 17, 2024?โšฝ Brasileirรฃo ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท
1713231719055
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
cpmm-1
0
2.726376370574009
True
play
CANCEL
public
1713229404571
Franklin Baldo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "โšฝ Bahia vs Fluminense", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ“… Date: Wednesday, April 17, 2024", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": "list...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713231719055
100
FranklinBaldo
1713231719055
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c
0
0
0.3333333333333333
1659579722296
True
0
[{"name": "Campeonato Brasileiro 2023", "slug": "campeonato-brasileiro-2023", "groupId": "xWEyMWqCz0zV6HW6ZRFY", "createdTime": 1713229404733}, {"name": "โšฝ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1713229404764}]
["campeonato-brasileiro-2023", "soccer"]
0.25
0.5
0.5
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
0
0.5180538777701301
GWM8wO9xti3q3yWU8nOL
{"NO": 154.93254905303309, "YES": 80.12561336817042}
0.6751653201821722
will-barcelona-beat-paris-saint-ger-6cd46cad489a
56.19131671036409
Will Barcelona beat Paris Saint Germain during regular time on Tue, Apr 16, 2024?โšฝ UEFA Champions League ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ
1713231641266
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
cpmm-1
0
2.592398287362501
True
play
CANCEL
public
1713229405779
Franklin Baldo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "โšฝ Barcelona vs Paris Saint Germain", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ“… Date: Tuesday, April 16, 2024", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"t...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713231641266
120
FranklinBaldo
1713231641266
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c
2
0
0.3333333333333333
1659579722296
0
[{"name": "โšฝ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1713229405995}, {"name": "UEFA Champions League", "slug": "uefa-champions-league", "groupId": "jgZHnM9QIVaWt6OmPhm3", "createdTime": 1713229405996}]
["soccer", "uefa-champions-league"]
0.25
0.5
1713230030232
1713231631133
0.68
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
0
0.5212581479189501
8oNtoPHaKlhrhY1Q6CSM
{"NO": 137.30180078121282, "YES": 93.14156185088174}
0.6161278190459828
will-barcelona-beat-paris-saint-ger-fea38e1b9282
67.03317864019296
Will Barcelona beat Paris Saint Germain during regular time on Tue, Apr 16, 2024?โšฝ UEFA Champions League ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ
1713231599456
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
cpmm-1
0
2.5258899784928723
True
play
CANCEL
public
1713229420489
Franklin Baldo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "โšฝ Barcelona vs Paris Saint Germain", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ“… Date: Tuesday, April 16, 2024", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"t...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.05903750113618933}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713231599456
120
FranklinBaldo
1713231599456
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c
2
0
0.3333333333333333
1659579722296
0
[{"name": "UEFA Champions League", "slug": "uefa-champions-league", "groupId": "jgZHnM9QIVaWt6OmPhm3", "createdTime": 1713229420683}, {"name": "โšฝ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1713229420691}]
["uefa-champions-league", "soccer"]
0.25
0.5
1713231505116
1713231590635
0.62
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
0
0.5
wjoH0iIbG1oO2Ij3a5Fq
{"NO": 100, "YES": 100}
0.5
will-bahia-beat-fluminense-during-r-08da71789b7a
0
Will Bahia beat Fluminense during regular time on Wed, Apr 17, 2024?โšฝ Brasileirรฃo ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท
1713231518543
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
cpmm-1
0
2.726376370574009
True
play
CANCEL
public
1713229423224
Franklin Baldo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "โšฝ Bahia vs Fluminense", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ“… Date: Wednesday, April 17, 2024", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": "list...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713231518543
100
FranklinBaldo
1713231518543
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c
0
0
0.3333333333333333
1659579722296
True
0
[{"name": "Campeonato Brasileiro 2023", "slug": "campeonato-brasileiro-2023", "groupId": "xWEyMWqCz0zV6HW6ZRFY", "createdTime": 1713229423393}, {"name": "โšฝ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1713229423408}]
["campeonato-brasileiro-2023", "soccer"]
0.25
0.5
0.5
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
0
0.5
OJO2ZJuPOorE3C5ypLMV
{"NO": 100, "YES": 100}
0.5
will-bayern-munich-beat-arsenal-dur-2629fd8f0bef
0
Will Bayern Munich beat Arsenal during regular time on Wed, Apr 17, 2024?โšฝ UEFA Champions League ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ
1713231506464
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
cpmm-1
0
2.726376370574009
True
play
CANCEL
public
1713229425374
Franklin Baldo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "โšฝ Bayern Munich vs Arsenal", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ“… Date: Wednesday, April 17, 2024", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713231506464
100
FranklinBaldo
1713231506464
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c
0
0
0.3333333333333333
1659579722296
True
0
[{"name": "โšฝ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1713229425569}, {"name": "UEFA Champions League", "slug": "uefa-champions-league", "groupId": "jgZHnM9QIVaWt6OmPhm3", "createdTime": 1713229425575}]
["soccer", "uefa-champions-league"]
0.25
0.5
0.5
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
0
0.5383800867993032
hlWJYa61KETm737VtT6u
{"NO": 249.29162133105808, "YES": 163.54401749587007}
0.6399999999999997
will-loans-collateralized-in-real-m
249.18624325379085
Will peer to peer mana loans collateralized in real money equivalents be banned before 2025?
1735711140000
Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713231760095
nikki
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Collateral must be not mana or shares. Real items with value count. Intangible items do not count.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The loan terms must be public, on this site or on discord", "...
BINARY
{"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.395168211375327, "platformFee": 2.395168211375327, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
200
nikki
1713828324149
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ497-f98cb9862793
6
0
0.3333333333333333
1678327601414
0
[{"name": "Tumbles Financial Complex", "slug": "tumbles-financial-complex", "groupId": "b27bef1c-d542-4184-b538-738e2367b356", "createdTime": 1713231760246}, {"name": "Loans", "slug": "loans", "groupId": "tGI8aX6j8Nen9qgpgkJV", "createdTime": 1713231760251}, {"name": "Banking", "slug": "banking", "groupId": "7fai1FgMBz...
["tumbles-financial-complex", "loans", "banking", "private-markets"]
0.25
0.5
1713828282656
1713233705887
0
0.3042727167493823
XwUhMOnwj3xxecX9o8Xb
{"NO": 98.01018054090987, "YES": 4076.6971947121683}
0
will-manchester-city-beat-real-madr-adf827152ba9
11718.966504719341
Will Manchester City beat Real Madrid during regular time on Wed, Apr 17, 2024?โšฝ UEFA Champions League ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ
1713391200000
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
cpmm-1
0
2.2386197065058604
True
play
NO
public
1713231828011
Franklin Baldo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "โšฝ Manchester City vs Real Madrid", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ“… Date: Wednesday, April 17, 2024", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"t...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5999999999999992}
0
{"creatorFee": 59.33518791699936, "platformFee": 59.33518791699936, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713391706645
480
FranklinBaldo
1713391710890
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c
24
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1659579722296
0
[{"name": "โšฝ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1713231828162}, {"name": "UEFA Champions League", "slug": "uefa-champions-league", "groupId": "jgZHnM9QIVaWt6OmPhm3", "createdTime": 1713231828188}]
["soccer", "uefa-champions-league"]
0.25
0.5
1713390713581
1713391710296
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
0
0.6199182435681386
JEGdtp1t5q2gKOzFLbXU
{"NO": 1739.1380677264694, "YES": 30.6281938366437}
1
will-gremio-beat-atletico-paranaens-89260a6ed068
2410.94418541027
Will Gremio beat Atletico Paranaense during regular time on Wed, Apr 17, 2024?โšฝ Brasileirรฃo ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท
1713401015903
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
cpmm-1
0
3.778413792165799
True
play
YES
public
1713231832987
Franklin Baldo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "โšฝ Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ“… Date: Wednesday, April 17, 2024", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"ty...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.010682322904241204}
0
{"creatorFee": 5.2385737942329955, "platformFee": 5.2385737942329955, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713468558806
180
FranklinBaldo
1713401015903
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c
9
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1659579722296
0
[{"name": "โšฝ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1713231833144}, {"name": "Campeonato Brasileiro 2023", "slug": "campeonato-brasileiro-2023", "groupId": "xWEyMWqCz0zV6HW6ZRFY", "createdTime": 1713231833151}]
["soccer", "campeonato-brasileiro-2023"]
0.25
0.5
1713399643936
1713401016450
0.99
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
0
0.5891261984322084
Rc66oiZw8kohjh97c7dQ
{"NO": 1601.2420585320306, "YES": 26.25540906114408}
1
will-rb-bragantino-beat-vasco-da-ga
1768.3140021747777
Will RB Bragantino beat Vasco DA Gama during regular time on Wed, Apr 17, 2024?โšฝ Brasileirรฃo ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท
1713401014984
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
cpmm-1
0
3.8031630705281727
True
play
YES
public
1713231839812
Franklin Baldo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "โšฝ RB Bragantino vs Vasco DA Gama", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ“… Date: Wednesday, April 17, 2024", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"t...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.4700000000000001}
0
{"creatorFee": 9.54869330419497, "platformFee": 9.54869330419497, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713404223653
180
FranklinBaldo
1713401014984
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c
9
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1659579722296
0
[{"name": "โšฝ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1713231839995}, {"name": "Campeonato Brasileiro 2023", "slug": "campeonato-brasileiro-2023", "groupId": "xWEyMWqCz0zV6HW6ZRFY", "createdTime": 1713231839993}]
["soccer", "campeonato-brasileiro-2023"]
0.25
0.5
1713400925491
1713401015441
0.99
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
0
0.610482245697209
SGR4VfHLBycAqQ1EFgV3
{"NO": 221.8517398179521, "YES": 119.06819895131743}
0
will-atleticomg-beat-criciuma-durin
189.87147986110094
Will Atletico-MG beat Criciuma during regular time on Wed, Apr 17, 2024?โšฝ Brasileirรฃo ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท
1713401305096
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
cpmm-1
0
2.121292834146861
True
play
NO
public
1713231846764
Franklin Baldo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "โšฝ Atletico-MG vs Criciuma", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ“… Date: Wednesday, April 17, 2024", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": "...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.7200000000000001}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.13777330311354904, "platformFee": 0.13777330311354904, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713404287789
160
FranklinBaldo
1713401305096
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c
5
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1659579722296
0
[{"name": "Campeonato Brasileiro 2023", "slug": "campeonato-brasileiro-2023", "groupId": "xWEyMWqCz0zV6HW6ZRFY", "createdTime": 1713231846921}, {"name": "โšฝ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1713231846931}]
["campeonato-brasileiro-2023", "soccer"]
0.25
0.5
1713397201087
1713401305458
0.74
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
0
0.5396940543039449
iJuX3eeBvUG0aJFUoQMR
{"NO": 193.93013502360608, "YES": 164.65224082355914}
0
will-palmeiras-beat-internacional-d-9ac40ce99ce1
113.73801572784357
Will Palmeiras beat Internacional during regular time on Wed, Apr 17, 2024?โšฝ Brasileirรฃo ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท
1713401304612
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
cpmm-1
0
1.7616522227993792
True
play
NO
public
1713232103878
Franklin Baldo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "โšฝ Palmeiras vs Internacional", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ“… Date: Wednesday, April 17, 2024", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type"...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.58}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.5602950711214241, "platformFee": 0.5602950711214241, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713404262454
180
FranklinBaldo
1713401304612
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c
7
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1659579722296
0
[{"name": "Campeonato Brasileiro 2023", "slug": "campeonato-brasileiro-2023", "groupId": "xWEyMWqCz0zV6HW6ZRFY", "createdTime": 1713232104057}, {"name": "โšฝ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1713232104063}]
["campeonato-brasileiro-2023", "soccer"]
0.25
0.5
1713397210616
1713401304881
0.58
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
0
0.46500287048819394
p7mkh5bVDjQSVmSGyYNW
{"NO": 40.70686049234802, "YES": 912.9020799135847}
0
will-manchester-city-win-against-ba
775
Will Manchester City win against Bayern in the Champions League Quarterfinals (alternative match)
1713391140000
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
cpmm-1
0
2.7706678926422446
True
play
NO
public
1713232302096
Base
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is an alternative game for the Champions League quarter-final second leg", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The goals of the two teams from the original games are taken and then compared who the game would have wo...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5223599379328943}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.966931845280469, "platformFee": 3.966931845280469, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713395930550
180
Base
1713391140000
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ816-54142cec3137
7
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1690298751650
0
[{"name": "โšฝ ๐Ÿˆ Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1713232302244}, {"name": "UEFA Champions League", "slug": "uefa-champions-league", "groupId": "jgZHnM9QIVaWt6OmPhm3", "createdTime": 1713232302248}, {"name": "Bayern Munich", "slug": "bayern-munich", "groupId": "20c55dcf-59...
["football", "uefa-champions-league", "bayern-munich", "manchester-city", "soccer"]
0.25
0.5
1713391017730
0.04
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
0
0.7135649391317012
fLFt2821MEpx42mt2W2J
{"NO": 1144.783252806978, "YES": 28.80682533680305}
1
will-dortmund-win-against-barcelona
1075.1488794849272
Will Dortmund win against Barcelona in the Champions League Quarterfinals (alternative match)
1713302263012
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
cpmm-1
0
5.177696303868279
True
play
YES
public
1713232588221
Base
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is an alternative game for the Champions League quarter-final second leg", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The goals of the two teams from the original games are taken and then compared who the game would have wo...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.009999999999999898}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713302269103
140
Base
1713302263012
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ816-54142cec3137
4
0
0.3333333333333333
1690298751650
0
[{"name": "UEFA Champions League", "slug": "uefa-champions-league", "groupId": "jgZHnM9QIVaWt6OmPhm3", "createdTime": 1713232588580}, {"name": "FC Barcelona", "slug": "fc-barcelona", "groupId": "573d75ab-e123-48ee-bc5d-c186943ed938", "createdTime": 1713232676790}, {"name": "โšฝ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6...
["uefa-champions-league", "fc-barcelona", "soccer", "football"]
0.25
0.5
1713300581752
0.99
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
0
0.7338987896639412
iJzo5P8leKQeWlq3nXNB
{"NO": 748.6988431044131, "YES": 87.80485656458698}
1
will-manchester-city-win-against-ar
1943.6992376075007
Will Manchester City win against Arsenal in the Champions League Quarterfinals (alternative match)
1713391140000
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
cpmm-1
0
2.910479040138123
True
play
YES
public
1713232766207
Base
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is an alternative game for the Champions League quarter-final second leg", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The goals of the two teams from the original games are taken and then compared who the game would have wo...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.48964342539580785}
0
{"creatorFee": 5.693367455125373, "platformFee": 5.693367455125373, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713395869561
220
Base
1713391140000
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ816-54142cec3137
10
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1690298751650
0
[{"name": "โšฝ ๐Ÿˆ Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1713232766349}, {"name": "UEFA Champions League", "slug": "uefa-champions-league", "groupId": "jgZHnM9QIVaWt6OmPhm3", "createdTime": 1713232766347}, {"name": "Manchester City", "slug": "manchester-city", "groupId": "02108b1...
["football", "uefa-champions-league", "manchester-city", "arsenal", "soccer"]
0.25
0.5
1713391024347
0.96
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
0
0.1629985870255511
vmgjxQReAWNtjMIyHkT3
{"NO": 835.2990676549531, "YES": 1695.5327641945405}
0.08754013824245392
will-trump-have-an-outburst-during
2007.0457609256594
Will trump have an outburst during his NYC criminal trial that gets him thrown in jail?
1732348740000
UBaBb0j8oUfmKLd9NJJdZMTZwL82
cpmm-1
0
9.942822771143724
False
basic
public
1713232923390
Gensing Genis
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": 0.0013528197931732266}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.1227193865781238, "platformFee": 1.2303166383397817, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
GensingGenis
1718531781782
0
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FGensingGenis%2FkyZO4H0aJ7.23%20PM?alt=media&token=763c2b7b-070a-452d-8b77-d0e5725cc6b0
28
0
0.3333333333333333
1696833943680
0
[{"name": "Crime", "slug": "crime", "groupId": "j7TkLdIOLyiTtiQQKjl9", "createdTime": 1713232923538}, {"name": "๐Ÿ‘ด Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1713232923531}, {"name": "Trump indictment(s)", "slug": "trump-indictments", "groupId": "l8rzwticUu7jFUpOZnY2", "createdTim...
["crime", "donald-trump", "trump-indictments", "trial-of-the-century", "2024-us-presidential-election"]
0.25
0.5
1718531778539
0
0.27723377186858644
qwbiqhxMyDMErEC6o7EM
{"NO": 340.1934719205565, "YES": 12918.421552863909}
0.00999999999999998
will-an-israeli-attack-reach-tehran
13022.227382157796
Will an Israeli attack reach Tehran directly by July 1st 2024
1719903540000
UBaBb0j8oUfmKLd9NJJdZMTZwL82
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1713233107880
Gensing Genis
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": -0.07455770107088841, "month": -0.10008788263849634}
0
{"creatorFee": 38.26581043796358, "platformFee": 13.23026272845404, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
GensingGenis
1719739551674
0
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FGensingGenis%2FkyZO4H0aJ7.23%20PM?alt=media&token=763c2b7b-070a-452d-8b77-d0e5725cc6b0
30
1
0.3333333333333333
1696833943680
0
[{"name": "Iran", "slug": "iran", "groupId": "E1hI0LQPWmoAcpvhcjHa", "createdTime": 1713233108037}, {"name": "๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ Israel-Hamas Conflict", "slug": "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "groupId": "cea99c1c-afb9-49b2-adfa-9be739adce10", "createdTime": 1713233108042}, {"name": "๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Israel", "slug": "israel", "groupId": "ECjp...
["iran", "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "israel", "wars", "middle-east"]
0.25
0.5
1719739544347
0
0.3117979366483874
kEDcN8lI52bfvngE1f4W
{"NO": 385.368337018185, "YES": 7890.152705129102}
0
will-the-ongoing-hush-money-trial-i
7562.5873639869915
Will the ongoing hush money trial involving Trump in NYC conclude with a mistrial?
1717104021883
UBaBb0j8oUfmKLd9NJJdZMTZwL82
cpmm-1
0
10.29305938077951
True
basic
NO
public
1713233437653
Gensing Genis
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will close when the trial is concluded. ", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 41.037007163749756, "platformFee": 2.28845436448333, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717104021883
1000
GensingGenis
1717104021883
0
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FGensingGenis%2FkyZO4H0aJ7.23%20PM?alt=media&token=763c2b7b-070a-452d-8b77-d0e5725cc6b0
14
0
0.3333333333333333
1696833943680
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ‘ด Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1713233437794}, {"name": "Trial of the Century", "slug": "trial-of-the-century", "groupId": "usp0cQDi8y1YG1CCmpfn", "createdTime": 1713233437806}, {"name": "Trump indictment(s)", "slug": "trump-indictments", "groupId": "l8rz...
["donald-trump", "trial-of-the-century", "trump-indictments", "politics-default", "law-order"]
0.25
0.5
1717103696457
1717103695139
0.02
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
0
0.5566305331943624
02R0Sld5SzOZLHUAR8ng
{"NO": 276.36337784738805, "YES": 99.58336418123008}
0.7769915362613523
will-gta-6-be-released-before-gpt6
143.4790545448328
Will GTA 6 be released before GPT6?
1798779540000
1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713234230930
Stochastic Cockatoo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.07878380388955748, "platformFee": 0.07878380388955748, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
160
StochasticParrot
1714889379678
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆfe2-84ed34157855
4
0
0.3333333333333333
1650319241876
0
[{"name": "GTA 6", "slug": "gta-6", "groupId": "6ab20df4-8fbd-4b73-baf6-c291f9c72566", "createdTime": 1713234231076}, {"name": "GTA", "slug": "gta", "groupId": "bf8a544d-7232-458e-bf91-49100654648c", "createdTime": 1713234231081}, {"name": "Grand Theft Auto", "slug": "grand-theft-auto", "groupId": "e9542b93-5fef-42fe-a...
["gta-6", "gta", "grand-theft-auto"]
0.25
0.5
1714889376353
0
0.3659338818741506
02NED6EoSMoCMyasB3Mm
{"NO": 170.92053235604394, "YES": 237.363159274269}
0.29357308493482337
will-we-send-a-spacecraftprobe-or-j
132.62042922907736
Will we send a spacecraft/probe or Jose Luis ricon to the proxima centauri/alpha centauri system by 2065?
3029547540000
1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713235312473
Stochastic Cockatoo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Start date of 2065", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.4265434370282806, "platformFee": 0.4265434370282806, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
200
StochasticParrot
1714319165188
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆfe2-84ed34157855
6
0
0.3333333333333333
1650319241876
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿš€ Spacex", "slug": "spacex", "groupId": "5PW6TJT2EhJNISetqsEh", "createdTime": 1713235312627}, {"name": "๐ŸŒŒ Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1713235312628}, {"name": "๐Ÿ”ญ Space exploration", "slug": "space-exploration", "groupId": "7EN6VxtLzX459WLUsjQv", "createdTime...
["spacex", "space", "space-exploration"]
0.25
0.5
1714319161864
1713244219675
0
0.37896868698866126
HeRq03XlwTl1B1WDdfVH
{"NO": 917.3365515398214, "YES": 1131.9343418348062}
0.330895694056671
will-there-be-a-new-youngest-chess
254.1629896095359
Will there be a new youngest Chess grandmaster before the end of 2025?
1767243540000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
9.671696539026483
False
basic
public
1713235633209
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In early April 2024 Yagiz Kaan Erdogmus became the new youngest chess GM at 12 years 9 months 29 days old", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In Aprihttps://www.chess.com/news/view/erdogmus-become...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.02257302911600556}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.788168861245449, "platformFee": 0.1514099211175661, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
strutheo
1718378849251
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆa8a-874f55f21b3d
13
0
0.3333333333333333
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "๐ŸŽฎ Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1713235633356}, {"name": "โ™Ÿ๏ธ Chess", "slug": "chess", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1713235633371}, {"name": "Board Games", "slug": "board-games", "groupId": "Hu6z8BYs5Xz3ZRyai8MF", "createdTime": 171323563337...
["gaming", "chess", "board-games"]
0.25
0.5
1718378846200
0
Hu5DpPmcYJa9fWVkfatK
which-days-will-destiny-play-any-ga-6bf941a3b340
1766.4236347752926
Which Days will Destiny Play Any Games?
1713855540000
iaPv4gvLtxeWhB428Oe6jyyPE1d2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
MKT
public
1713238721520
A Whole Turkey
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Any game counts for any length of time, on camera, on any stream. Not always watching live so will resolve YES when I see it OR when someone posts a screenshot or timestamp in the comments. Will resolve NO if no games are played by Midnight EST or ...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 6.462669610402627, "platformFee": 6.462669610402627, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1716016246624
495
AWholeTurkey
1713855540000
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJXoYMkpGKhUTA_Na4PwM_SDlp0_3ib2nfGQhaw7x5B70s=s96-c
8
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "e5d9b6ae703a", "prob": 0.48, "text": "Monday 4/15", "index": 0, "poolNo": 56.0435443764259, "userId": "iaPv4gvLtxeWhB428Oe6jyyPE1d2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 60.97909233896503, "textFts": "'4/15':2 'monday':1", "contractId": "Hu5DpPmcYJa9fWVkfatK", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "iaPv4gvLtxeWhB428Oe6j...
6
0.3333333333333333
1699290420656
0
[{"name": "๐ŸŽฎ Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1713238721740}, {"name": "DalibanHQ", "slug": "dalibanhq", "groupId": "7m4wLsWHjWcnZgzXm0Xs", "createdTime": 1713238721739}, {"name": "๐ŸŽฎ Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1713238...
["gaming", "dalibanhq", "destinygg"]
0.25
1713731756807
1713691295264
0.17
iaPv4gvLtxeWhB428Oe6jyyPE1d2
False
0
0.5190129601749006
1KwmsuAn9dv4jok8MNtg
{"NO": 173.67350081093244, "YES": 147.87471949109937}
0.5589496133973275
will-i-get-a-permanent-visa-to-stay
223.30218196849165
Will I get a permanent visa to stay in the US in 2024?
1735718340000
M3uY3RCz0jSXiiXrMJx8oD4SHJo2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713238727943
ลukasz Bartoszcze
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I'm actively trying to move to the US with my fiance. I do not plan on marrying anyone other than my fiance (who applies for the same visas as I do). I have a startup (see a related market for details ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifold....
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.8211431021211286, "platformFee": 1.0683414233763826, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
160
ukaszBartoszcze
1716956525342
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJAzqOEpDemVFZnDaZ_a1yJBvJ9cAKEBP_qg6nYoNRIBSU=s96-c
5
0
0.3333333333333333
1708276167391
0
[{"name": "Immigration", "slug": "immigration", "groupId": "a73d087a-86cc-4035-ba70-bea6f101c812", "createdTime": 1713238728076}, {"name": "United States", "slug": "united-states", "groupId": "5ba769e7-dd37-49d0-bdf2-9f1803f6872e", "createdTime": 1713238728092}, {"name": "US immigration", "slug": "us-immigration", "gro...
["immigration", "united-states", "us-immigration", "personal-goals", "personal"]
0.25
0.5
1716956521820
1713238862483
0
0.4091606139958413
ikD35HFFN8rGfPjRl9Z4
{"NO": 25.576545590414412, "YES": 1726.6418012135111}
0
will-i-be-demoted-from-masters-leag
1606.1913167103642
Will I be demoted from Master's League this season?
1714622340000
ZKkL3lFRFaYfiaT9ZOdiv2iUJBM2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1713239625671
mint
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I am currently ranked 22 (demotion zone) in Season 12 of the Master's League, and this is the first season where I am at a serious risk of demoting. This market will resolve YES if I demoted from the Master's League this season, and NO otherwise. I...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.7716788074745184, "platformFee": 3.7716788074745184, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714623505610
160
mint
1714622340000
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ6c1-5baf736896c2
5
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1697647723543
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ’™ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713239625809}, {"name": "Manifold Leagues", "slug": "manifold-leagues", "groupId": "quyvUYBABGdermzFJ0Zl", "createdTime": 1713239625816}, {"name": "Masters League", "slug": "masters-league", "groupId": "33de3f34...
["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-leagues", "masters-league", "manifold-users"]
0.25
0.5
1714537595961
0.01
ZKkL3lFRFaYfiaT9ZOdiv2iUJBM2
0
0.5187124106814135
WjfQOaofAFLdYQRw3Nhn
{"NO": 487.1266448366072, "YES": 123.14944059948704}
1
will-there-be-any-break-between-one-cdf980ec644b
1534.13479779915
Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1113 and 1114?
1713442252987
8oYk5oEiFQUW7v5383FwzFL6Xab2
cpmm-1
0
1.547265776458013
True
play
YES
public
1713240200065
dwax
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A break can be any amount of time, enough for Shonen Jump to state at the end of chapters if there will be a break before the next one.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "โ€œYESโ€ = โ€œYes, there will be a break after chapt...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.1900000000000085}
0
{"creatorFee": 11.692729728938952, "platformFee": 11.692729728938952, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713442258328
240
dwax
1713442252987
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ35a-f30dc5e92bd8
9
0
0.3333333333333333
1708101936708
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿดโ€โ˜ ๏ธ One Piece", "slug": "one-piece-stocks", "groupId": "uJSql24HUqpEpVU0FrjI", "createdTime": 1713240200201}, {"name": "Manga", "slug": "manga", "groupId": "0e0wvkjcHdblLOdaK9jp", "createdTime": 1713240200210}, {"name": "Release Dates", "slug": "release-dates", "groupId": "cc227156-11f9-445d-88cf-f6e760cbd...
["one-piece-stocks", "manga", "release-dates"]
0.25
0.5
1713437056859
1713442248073
0.81
8oYk5oEiFQUW7v5383FwzFL6Xab2
0
tLfX2BKjYX2IZjEbQbVD
how-much-will-sonic-3-gross-worldwi
0
How much will Sonic 3 gross worldwide (in millions)?
1751435940000
qnREWtzsdkOkzrR2k0jEe0EDp5j1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713241366303
Chris ๐ŸฅŒ
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
chris
1713241366303
0
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fcjsedwards%2F0rr7gruUWz.19?alt=media&token=8dfba163-ccec-436f-8af3-57f4cf25db11
0
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "dd236c78a981", "prob": 0.06666666666666667, "text": "100-150", "index": 0, "poolNo": 3.5714285714285716, "userId": "qnREWtzsdkOkzrR2k0jEe0EDp5j1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 50, "textFts": "'-150':2 '100':1", "contractId": "tLfX2BKjYX2IZjEbQbVD", "createdTime": 1713241366303, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week"...
0.3333333333333333
1697241046761
0
0.25
True
0
Svm5LVTZNxTFRdAbczTO
how-much-will-deadpool-wolverine-gr
1.9999939417990724
How much will Deadpool & Wolverine gross worldwide (in millions)?
1735714740000
qnREWtzsdkOkzrR2k0jEe0EDp5j1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713241480664
Chris ๐ŸฅŒ
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
120
chris
1713241920423
0
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fcjsedwards%2F0rr7gruUWz.19?alt=media&token=8dfba163-ccec-436f-8af3-57f4cf25db11
1
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "2314400bb6d9", "prob": 0.04761904761904766, "text": "500-550", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.9999999954875203, "userId": "qnREWtzsdkOkzrR2k0jEe0EDp5j1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 59.99999990975035, "textFts": "'-550':2 '500':1", "contractId": "Svm5LVTZNxTFRdAbczTO", "createdTime": 1713241480664, "probChanges": {"...
0.3333333333333333
1697241046761
0
[{"name": "Deadpool", "slug": "deadpool", "groupId": "6da87dc8-1406-4ae9-96d1-aef2e49ef6fa", "createdTime": 1713241480896}, {"name": "Marvel", "slug": "marvel", "groupId": "weefY0ZpfzcPtvFhQMWY", "createdTime": 1713241480898}, {"name": "Box-Office", "slug": "boxoffice", "groupId": "IbCVuDeG5LtAeh5NcH0w", "createdTime":...
["deadpool", "marvel", "boxoffice"]
0.25
1713241916888
1713241900288
True
0
0.5000000000000003
i48lApcjDJ6vr99EsQ8p
{"NO": 100.93170838898583, "YES": 99.0768922830523}
1
daily-coinflip-b58cbf0046a9
2607.7200615177076
Daily coinflip
1713412740000
gRmM27eQDEVTEjM1q6Yzc7abJT93
cpmm-1
0
0.16014964645576185
True
play
YES
public
1713241626965
Traveel
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = heads", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "No = tails", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(Day 136)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text"...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.4953631591349037}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713465089030
100
Traveel
1713412740000
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp75uQk9_bN2j7atj8Sgb_7Ud50XuAC1-rg4KHhh=s96-c
21
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1674441975928
0
[{"name": "Non-Predictive Profits", "slug": "nonpredictive-profits", "groupId": "sVCyD10FvUk5af10QT6H", "createdTime": 1713241627152}, {"name": "FairlyRandom", "slug": "fairlyrandom", "groupId": "J8Z1KAZV31icklA4tgJW", "createdTime": 1713241627150}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac...
["nonpredictive-profits", "fairlyrandom", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.25
0.5
False
False
1713365774847
1713417947911
0.5
gRmM27eQDEVTEjM1q6Yzc7abJT93
0
HQbw7FGTeMn65YJXKFJN
charitableness-and-outlook
0
Charitableness and outlook
91jUs5utwnRlFgrGh2qJMka2l1j2
none
0
1000000
False
public
1713242191196
PhilosophyBear
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Question 1: You've won a prize! Either you can receive an amount of money equal to your average weekly income for personal use, or you can give 10x your average income to an anti-famine charity of your choice. Which do you choose?", "type": "text"}...
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
PhilosophyBear
1713260915533
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ5e9-4830e79d2cee
21
0
0.3333333333333333
1710984242506
0
0.25
1713260914696
0
0.3054865800775155
rfNaRjcnSAQfDhrtmL8d
{"NO": 958.6379666341021, "YES": 1060.1332535422896}
0.2845623569866106
will-spacex-bid-a-crewed-mission-fo
687.558028863657
Will SpaceX bid a crewed mission for Mars Sample Return?
1735714740000
W4yEF6idSMcNWEVUquowziSCZFI3
cpmm-1
0
9.586343963714492
False
basic
public
1713242292874
Evan
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "With Mars Sample Return mission looking slow and expensive, NASA will be soliciting new commercial proposals -- hopefully ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "costing less than $11B and sooner than 2040", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs"...
BINARY
{"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 0.006604876319698805}
0
{"creatorFee": 4.94063171157793, "platformFee": 4.461604197102216, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
EvanDaniel
1718335775014
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcNNBEv2GcorWHiElPC6VlaynzKPlKxwXytwbHWc54FNIs=s96-c
16
0
0.3333333333333333
1691250349596
0
[{"name": "๐ŸŒŒ Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1713242293116}, {"name": "๐Ÿš€ Spacex", "slug": "spacex", "groupId": "5PW6TJT2EhJNISetqsEh", "createdTime": 1713242293120}, {"name": "Rockets", "slug": "rockets", "groupId": "Z1UrYn5vMs6e3iJAifxC", "createdTime": 1713242293121}]
["space", "spacex", "rockets"]
0.25
0.5
1718335771960
1713242421634
0
0.5080144088142011
2tz1ZUStLBt3LC2rH36x
{"NO": 130.763988777176, "YES": 110.28140914908003}
1
will-jacob-eat-hummus-on-april-15th
13
Will Jacob eat hummus on April 15th
1713250740000
swQ7ThYbFucIpGgmXd8VavIDFsO2
cpmm-1
0
2.38516924604138
True
play
YES
public
1713242430923
Alex Shadley
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "My roommate Jacob likes hummus. Will he eat any tomorrow? Here are some facts:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Jacob told me he has eaten hummus โ€œa...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.44956730704822445}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713323038422
120
AlexShadley
1713250740000
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ44d-3c001af91ad5
3
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1700933235517
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ Food", "slug": "food", "groupId": "F6DkK24HpilV3Et7xJv7", "createdTime": 1713242431166}, {"name": "๐Ÿ’ช Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1713242431205}]
["food", "personal-goals"]
0.25
0.5
1713249709307
0.55
swQ7ThYbFucIpGgmXd8VavIDFsO2
0
Bn64B77r8VL9Xttu1QTO
how-will-trading-volume-be-affected
556.1435163091953
How will trading volume be affected by fees and loan changes
1713844458308
XpKF6jlV2GWG34VwO24gWY2avkM2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713243512575
omou
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "What will the trading volume ratio (defined below) be? This is meant to capture the effect of fees and loan changes (and other pivot related changes) on trading volumes. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": ...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 1.4393808884707058, "platformFee": 1.4393808884707058, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
800
omou
1715292867764
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ676-1eff54f3b7ce
9
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "032ccbaebba2", "prob": 0.02610531957921956, "text": "< 0.05", "index": 0, "poolNo": 11.600369660174788, "userId": "XpKF6jlV2GWG34VwO24gWY2avkM2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 432.7676690061264, "textFts": "'0.05':1", "contractId": "Bn64B77r8VL9Xttu1QTO", "createdTime": 1713243512575, "probChanges": {"day": 0, ...
11
0.3333333333333333
1680656828105
0
[{"name": "Pivot Predictions", "slug": "pivot-predictions", "groupId": "6iOdS5vCFUBWysZiBH1F", "createdTime": 1713243512798}, {"name": "Mana", "slug": "mana", "groupId": "bL97jpIvPZgebZnTTgom", "createdTime": 1713243512805}]
["pivot-predictions", "mana"]
0.25
1713830830958
1715292866100
True
0
glfx1iYYmY0ohqTvk0EK
when-will-the-uk-rejoin-the-eu
532.3037464786906
When will the UK rejoin the EU?
2556115140000
2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713245459224
Josh Wilkes
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NA if the UK has not rejoined by the end of 2050 ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to the year that the UK officially re-enters the EU, not the year they decide to.", "type": "text"}]}]}
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 3.77556656932006, "platformFee": 3.77556656932006, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
200
JoshuaWilkes
1714806787019
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ516-65b151c295c8
5
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "bd8639f8a4e7", "prob": 0.0034346612906525275, "text": "2024-2025", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.7208497196691057, "userId": "2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 209.15420306381992, "textFts": "'-2025':2 '2024':1", "contractId": "glfx1iYYmY0ohqTvk0EK", "createdTime": 1713245459224, "probChang...
0.3333333333333333
1662006482315
0
[{"name": "EU Accession", "slug": "eu-accession", "groupId": "58020f90-bc71-43f4-b9fd-c96db0c6996d", "createdTime": 1713245459594}, {"name": "EU politics", "slug": "eu-politics", "groupId": "2c971e22-0596-42ac-8dcc-4e7a71e437b2", "createdTime": 1713245459591}, {"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "groupId": "...
["eu-accession", "eu-politics", "uk-politics", "european-union", "uk"]
0.25
1714806783500
True
0
0.5248660967645548
uG00IxYnE4z5hbnLmXXZ
{"NO": 453.9987728646022, "YES": 129.4752400520807}
0.7948074926805446
movies-i-bought-on-youtube-stay-ava
256
Movies I bought on YouTube stay available through mid 2029
1877583540000
kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713245573687
Ernie
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I have bought some movies on youtube. If my account still has them available to watch without extraordinary effort to transfer/prove something about myself/etc. then this will be YES.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph...
BINARY
{"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.2003300721077603, "platformFee": 2.2003300721077603, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
240
Ernie
1713469838278
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ761-3d26c24f8466
8
0
0.3333333333333333
1668384110640
0
[{"name": "Insurance", "slug": "insurance", "groupId": "kqp0AgdFL7ZRDhZDOHa7", "createdTime": 1713245574135}, {"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK9qu9mj", "createdTime": 1713245574137}]
["insurance", "youtube"]
0.25
0.5
1713469835051
0
zCHNXe9Yy7fG8tNkfLDg
which-team-will-win-the-counterstri
1612.3648827336501
Which team will win the Counter-Strike 2's ESL Pro League Season 19?
1715597600164
8U9B3F3RSeNq4qJPfoCDncFMcB62
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
b6c58c35b580
public
1713245811049
McLovin
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/ESL/Pro_League/Season_19", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/ESL/Pro_League/Season_19", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 3.009504386250853, "platformFee": 3.009504386250853, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1715597600164
305
McLovin
1715597600164
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ2c8-a96e09f7d8cd
5
0
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "b1326fcf5173", "prob": 0.006790092792337805, "text": "FaZe Clan", "index": 0, "poolNo": 4.483713761568197, "userId": "8U9B3F3RSeNq4qJPfoCDncFMcB62", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 655.8480222977369, "textFts": "'clan':2 'faze':1", "contractId": "zCHNXe9Yy7fG8tNkfLDg", "resolverId": "OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2"...
0.3333333333333333
1712615479507
0
[{"name": "Counter-Strike", "slug": "counterstrike", "groupId": "kkBzSl72Ah1wuZoFkSFJ", "createdTime": 1713245811266}, {"name": "๐ŸŽฎ Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1713245811268}, {"name": "Esports", "slug": "esports", "groupId": "XmzXsWcpvMK0PSBDNpVc", "createdTime": 171324...
["counterstrike", "gaming", "esports", "sports-default", "competitive-gaming"]
0.25
1715541594933
1715547718683
{"b6c58c35b580": 100}
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
True
0
5nSxmrcJFTcJrE2zqL1Q
when-will-the-uk-join-the-european
216.90917215795457
When will the UK join the European Single Market or the European Union Customs Union?
2556115140000
2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713246706241
Josh Wilkes
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NA if the UK has not joined either by the end of 2050 ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to the year that the UK officially joins either of the two, not when such a decision is taken.", "type": "text...
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 5.587626319797442, "platformFee": 5.587626319797442, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
220
JoshuaWilkes
1714375988208
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ516-65b151c295c8
6
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "63fd02e47888", "prob": 0.005599879640548027, "text": "2024-2025", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.0183448532925412, "userId": "2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 180.83285886166476, "textFts": "'-2025':2 '2024':1", "contractId": "5nSxmrcJFTcJrE2zqL1Q", "createdTime": 1713246706241, "probChange...
0.3333333333333333
1662006482315
0
[{"name": "European Union", "slug": "european-union", "groupId": "yDH8ujgF86zAYx8XpCc1", "createdTime": 1713246706624}, {"name": "EU politics", "slug": "eu-politics", "groupId": "2c971e22-0596-42ac-8dcc-4e7a71e437b2", "createdTime": 1713246706619}, {"name": "๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง UK", "slug": "uk", "groupId": "m9vlFjXUHNgGgU9OLK1Y", "c...
["european-union", "eu-politics", "uk", "eu-accession", "uk-politics"]
0.25
1714375984656
True
0
0.2653071578529153
klKEGB0yCoBhXcmBRWJm
{"NO": 936.3959970936717, "YES": 1132.0499664071535}
0.2299999999999998
will-the-usa-have-lasers-in-space-c
571.5893111042816
Will the USA have lasers in space capable of destroying enemy satellites by 2027?
1798876740000
UBaBb0j8oUfmKLd9NJJdZMTZwL82
cpmm-1
0
9.608564749718827
False
basic
public
1713246792716
Gensing Genis
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will close if confirmed or if time runs out", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": -1.942890293094024e-16, "week": -1.942890293094024e-16, "month": -1.942890293094024e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.7467654488858596, "platformFee": 0.7467654488858596, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
GensingGenis
1715077526720
0
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FGensingGenis%2FkyZO4H0aJ7.23%20PM?alt=media&token=763c2b7b-070a-452d-8b77-d0e5725cc6b0
11
0
0.3333333333333333
1696833943680
0
[{"name": "Futurism", "slug": "futurism", "groupId": "6UkuV4SnUF3NtbDmfVkV", "createdTime": 1713246792934}, {"name": "๐ŸŒŒ Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1713246792936}, {"name": "โš”๏ธ Wars", "slug": "wars", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz", "createdTime": 1713246792938}, {"name...
["futurism", "space", "wars", "technology-default", "space-exploration"]
0.25
0.5
1715077523308
1713248336026
0
WBM0Br9D6jS6EkYTzw3E
which-countries-will-join-both-the
125.31234358889763
Which countries will join both the US's Artemis Accords and China/Russia's International Lunar Research Station?
1956585540000
2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713248987578
Josh Wilkes
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question is a little tricksy because the two things being compared are not real counterparts of each other, but this is the easiest version of the question in terms of resolution and also, perhaps, perception.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "pa...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 1.4960790678082632, "platformFee": 1.4960790678082632, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
375
JoshuaWilkes
1713879641195
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ516-65b151c295c8
4
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "c035a5d4a625", "prob": 0.43936484298391526, "text": "Turkey", "index": 0, "poolNo": 34.881923058949035, "userId": "2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 44.509779795678384, "textFts": "'turkey':1", "contractId": "WBM0Br9D6jS6EkYTzw3E", "createdTime": 1713248987578, "probChanges": {"day": ...
0.3333333333333333
1662006482315
0
[{"name": "๐ŸŒŒ Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1713248987976}, {"name": "๐ŸŒŽ Geopolitics", "slug": "geopolitics", "groupId": "2wNGnksxJzypXZtiTLNL", "createdTime": 1713248987975}, {"name": "๐ŸŒ™ Moon", "slug": "moon", "groupId": "mcSfQitoDEt19DoPDBJc", "createdTime": 171324898797...
["space", "geopolitics", "moon", "space-exploration"]
0.25
1713879637964
False
0
SdV8yRaRQwhVHJPCJ1aK
lets-play-civilization-vi-turn-64
250
[Let's play] Civilization VI (Turn 64)
1713304740000
v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
MKT
public
1713249496252
komplexkonjugat
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Let's play Civ6!", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Anyone can add instructions. Instructions can be composite, but are executed atomically (either fully or not at all). Upon mark...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713312963202
145
komplexkonjugat
1713313701533
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ51b-bd51663a85a0
2
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "15172692f382", "prob": 0.99, "text": "Execute all instructions in @MattCWilson's comment on this answer. ", "index": 0, "poolNo": 295, "userId": "rPIxt0FOF6PWHTakglyn88p1dGY2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 3.3992467043314605, "textFts": "'answer':10 'comment':7 'execut':1 'instruct':3 'mattcwilson':5", "contra...
1
0.3333333333333333
1698548141721
0
[{"name": "ManifoldPlaysCiv6", "slug": "manifoldplaysciv6", "groupId": "5fb3f729-faaa-425d-9c1b-c04c78abe1b4", "createdTime": 1713249496449}, {"name": "๐ŸŽฎ Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1713249496450}]
["manifoldplaysciv6", "gaming"]
0.25
1713299400154
1713313700740
0.99
v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2
False
0
0.5903094434474647
W3Jz8JmpuDA7CoZJKj4X
{"NO": 286.7845965728701, "YES": 177.09357836536677}
0.7
will-taiwan-buy-any-air-defence-sys
101.42049320161684
Will Taiwan buy any Air Defence System from Israel before 2035?
2051279940000
2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713250300088
Josh Wilkes
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question defines 'Air Defence System' as any military system that is designed to eliminate aerial threats such as rockets, missiles, drones/UAVs, aircraft and even satellites or artillery shells, AND that uses missiles or directed-energy weapo...
BINARY
{"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.346696429231232, "platformFee": 0.346696429231232, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
220
JoshuaWilkes
1716274026049
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ516-65b151c295c8
8
0
0.3333333333333333
1662006482315
0
[{"name": "Military", "slug": "military", "groupId": "bqdgUcWdGMqqFAy2DBKt", "createdTime": 1713250300235}, {"name": "๐ŸŒŽ Geopolitics", "slug": "geopolitics", "groupId": "2wNGnksxJzypXZtiTLNL", "createdTime": 1713250300239}, {"name": "๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผ Taiwan", "slug": "taiwan", "groupId": "yVxGLCRxMXptN7l4Bw9p", "createdTime": 1713...
["military", "geopolitics", "taiwan", "israel"]
0.25
0.5
1716274022539
0
T5Q79W4D3ZoJe5aAd3gZ
when-will-wizardlm-2-return
1277
When will WizardLM 2 return?
1713945766295
zANxxeUKBvU6GNf8cIRcO7wXXul2
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
d0fd9d75fee6
public
1713251983502
Mira
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The 7b and 8x22B models were removed for \"toxicity testing\". The 70B model was never released.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Each day that one of these models is released resolves 33%, sum...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 2.3791639488467236, "platformFee": 2.3791639488467236, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713945766295
140
Mira
1713945766295
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ959-42404b37a55f
3
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "b155eaf8bc4b", "prob": 0.0021429834030060697, "text": "April 16", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.4943697215542784, "userId": "zANxxeUKBvU6GNf8cIRcO7wXXul2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 695.8370792565627, "textFts": "'16':2 'april':1", "contractId": "T5Q79W4D3ZoJe5aAd3gZ", "resolverId": "zANxxeUKBvU6GNf8cIRcO7wXXul2"...
0.3333333333333333
1672765622992
0
0.25
1713945756360
{"d0fd9d75fee6": 100}
zANxxeUKBvU6GNf8cIRcO7wXXul2
True
0
AFfzBodatl0ZaWbK7mHx
how-many-people-will-claim-uk-asylu
192
How many people will claim UK asylum for the year ending December 2024?
1735682340000
HmOI6imURASZuHYFtMKB987Are52
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713253609880
Luke Shadwell
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As reported by ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "gov.uk", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://gov.uk", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:dec...
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
260
LukeShadwell
1713256167712
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJ0eGEjFB6rwtg1vMtflSHOBGcGGOQUIpl6rFy0wbrTC1TE=s96-c
4
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "9a637cbbd179", "prob": 0.005025501171657155, "text": "0-5000", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.290638010964769, "userId": "HmOI6imURASZuHYFtMKB987Are52", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 255.52713336748306, "textFts": "'-5000':2 '0':1", "contractId": "AFfzBodatl0ZaWbK7mHx", "createdTime": 1713253609880, "probChanges": {"d...
0.3333333333333333
1700273602808
0
[{"name": "Refugees", "slug": "refugees", "groupId": "a98e01d8-e4c8-4566-9d48-178ff470568a", "createdTime": 1713253610109}, {"name": "๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง UK", "slug": "uk", "groupId": "m9vlFjXUHNgGgU9OLK1Y", "createdTime": 1713253610121}, {"name": "Immigration", "slug": "immigration", "groupId": "a73d087a-86cc-4035-ba70-bea6f101c812"...
["refugees", "uk", "immigration"]
0.25
1713256163926
True
0
0.6173131853234182
IwG3mfCNryDQ1r4beADw
{"NO": 19.247446168846366, "YES": 550.2576669303808}
0
wlll-the-anc-get-less-that-40-of-th
2211.4111315578766
Wlll the ANC get less that 40% of the vote in the May 29, 2024 election?
1717817765484
iHtOCKg5HtM4haiuZaiWox0d4Sr1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1713256537585
Tim Cohen
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Social Research Foundation released a poll on support for the ruling ANC following the court decision that former President Jacob Zuma could stand as a candidate for the uMkhonto weSizwe Party, or MKP. According to the SRF, the MKP is now showi...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.08770681211229116}
0
{"creatorFee": 24.30365671627048, "platformFee": 3.0090828523010904, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717817765484
160
TimCohen
1717817765484
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJrO2rGB-BQDGuPO__RgYYuoOHY0nWD-GE7dpj8_cvaGw=s96-c
16
0
0.3333333333333333
1701053142095
0
[{"name": "South Africa", "slug": "south-africa", "groupId": "H87QoUwQ4mCqJXUzUeeG", "createdTime": 1713256537744}, {"name": "Elections", "slug": "elections", "groupId": "i5JOzjrK5ZMHPSkhgzoi", "createdTime": 1713256537746}]
["south-africa", "elections"]
0.25
0.5
1717790691120
1717412315313
0.05
iHtOCKg5HtM4haiuZaiWox0d4Sr1
0
dRwkeJj56fTqFIeea9j3
when-i-finish-watching-neon-genesis
11
When I finish watching Neon Genesis Evangelion, who I will think is a better girl?
1714067851439
fwoaZ25WAFPpaqjcCVobOj8hhh33
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
48a18876e1bd
public
1713257687364
Maybe_a
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I'm planning to only see the original series sometime this month, of which I saw a few episodes a long time ago.", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714067851439
120
maybe_a
1720053161621
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLYTbd681IgDSQhGDEu_N2RjngTWWB55pa8xNOAJG2g=s96-c
1
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "48a18876e1bd", "prob": 0.4480086017651539, "text": "Rei", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 61.277493709926155, "userId": "fwoaZ25WAFPpaqjcCVobOj8hhh33", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 75.50000000000001, "textFts": "'rei':1", "contractId": "dRwkeJj56fTqFIeea9j3", "resolverId": "fwoaZ25WAFPpaqjcCVobOj8hhh...
0.3333333333333333
1700313261874
0
[{"name": "Anime", "slug": "anime", "groupId": "ZfknfjPrTvWkDaWMI98o", "createdTime": 1713257687592}]
["anime"]
0.25
1713307157021
{"48a18876e1bd": 100}
fwoaZ25WAFPpaqjcCVobOj8hhh33
True
0
KmCqSJUMMUpUKzH2RkUP
fide-chess-candidates-tournament-ro-2e78382e4c4b
24392.307696488442
FIDE Chess Candidates Tournament - Round 11 Bets
1713409140000
FrlI0G9SHwOCNYAfflbL4WrExEl1
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
basic
MKT
public
1713257702339
Weezing
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "You are welcome to add your own options.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Games start 17th of April at 2:30 PM EDT (~33 hours from market creation). Come live bet with us.", "type": "text"}]}, ...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 95.61907448428597, "platformFee": 95.61907448428597, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713453400286
3355
Weezing
1713505707504
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ9ac-b0dfa544f276
23
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "4b3289ca5e4e", "prob": 0.99, "text": "Someone takes sole lead of the tournament", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1495.642888102326, "userId": "FrlI0G9SHwOCNYAfflbL4WrExEl1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 15.107503920225529, "textFts": "'lead':4 'sole':3 'someon':1 'take':2 'tournament':7", "contractId": "KmCqSJUMMUpUKzH...
1
0.3333333333333333
1700212225777
0
[{"name": "Sports Betting", "slug": "sports-betting", "groupId": "b3ll9Ch9rdbcrTRAbjUf", "createdTime": 1713257702610}, {"name": "โ™Ÿ๏ธ Chess", "slug": "chess", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1713257702633}, {"name": "Chess candidates 2024", "slug": "chess-candidates-2024", "groupId": "09ea3682-1d3f-4f6...
["sports-betting", "chess", "chess-candidates-2024"]
0.25
1713408378587
1713505706879
0.15
FrlI0G9SHwOCNYAfflbL4WrExEl1
False
liquidity
0
Hpo3EGqRdqzqf0iVlNUX
energy-store-technology-of-new-cars
232.92316311722507
Energy storage technology of new cars sold in the EU in 2034
2051182740000
HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1713258805118
Daniel
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Source: acea", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "2022: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.acea.auto/figure/fuel-types-of-new-passenger-cars-in-eu/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 3.448518853834822, "platformFee": 3.448518853834822, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Daniel_MC
1715287090649
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c
10
0
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "e01827f12fc5", "prob": 0.03652578663084736, "text": "Petrol", "index": 0, "poolNo": 17.57883227600822, "userId": "HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 463.693000516287, "textFts": "'petrol':1", "contractId": "Hpo3EGqRdqzqf0iVlNUX", "createdTime": 1713258805118, "probChanges": {"day": -9....
0.3333333333333333
1678868464369
0
[{"name": "Energy", "slug": "energy", "groupId": "rraS2YIDaAckq3bR5lfQ", "createdTime": 1713258805333}, {"name": "๐Ÿชธ Climate", "slug": "climate", "groupId": "97oNExy8iFftY2EgdkLw", "createdTime": 1713258805338}, {"name": "Electric Vehicles", "slug": "electric-vehicles", "groupId": "d446b2a7-547c-4650-95e9-e0ff79ce883e"...
["energy", "climate", "electric-vehicles"]
0.25
1715287087326
1713258963886
True
prob-desc
0
PNXWrigMqICLG6rcgGZm
do-you-consider-yourself-part-of-th
0
Do you consider yourself part of the Effective Altruism and/or Rationality/LessWrong communities/subcultures?
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
none
0
1000000
False
public
1713261570410
The All Memeing Eye โ™ ๏ธ
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
TheAllMemeingEye
1713485240900
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
81
0
0.3333333333333333
1704035290346
0
[{"name": "SF Bay Rationalists", "slug": "sf-bay-rationalists", "groupId": "RtQOEuXgzqtlxq13Fzt3", "createdTime": 1713261570586}, {"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz", "createdTime": 1713261570587}, {"name": "LessWrong", "slug": "lesswrong", "groupId": "K0U4VlIw...
["sf-bay-rationalists", "effective-altruism", "lesswrong", "rationality", "internet"]
0.25
1713485240116
0
FM2VFyRGTHcCSrgL6eQg
when-will-i-sleep-today
300.521464124632
When will I sleep today?
1713283140000
3luPfohdMdUbsM9i6VmmxPFexwI3
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
MKT
public
1713263009367
Bohaska
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "this resolves to the time I get into bed and start trying to sleep, not the time where I actually fall asleep", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "I may not resolve this market before it closes.", "type": "text...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713306824443
210
bohaska
1713283140000
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆc1a-2f61d7d0735a
3
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "f7f695502122", "prob": 0.53, "text": "Before 9pm", "index": 0, "poolNo": 46.79938744257274, "userId": "3luPfohdMdUbsM9i6VmmxPFexwI3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 40.72587755102041, "textFts": "'9pm':2", "contractId": "FM2VFyRGTHcCSrgL6eQg", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "3luPfohdMdUbsM9i6VmmxPFexwI3", "cr...
1
0.3333333333333333
1692081472895
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ’ช Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1713263009832}]
["personal-goals"]
0.25
1713264543499
0.1
3luPfohdMdUbsM9i6VmmxPFexwI3
False
0
0.49999999999999917
fSaSXubPHPBaYktz2FO3
{"NO": 900, "YES": 11.111111111111086}
1
will-the-sp-500-open-higher-than-it
800
Will the S&P 500 open higher than its previous day close on the 16th of April?
1713274326298
PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3
cpmm-1
0
4.706657656956178
True
play
YES
public
1713263127499
RiskOptimization
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.5}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713274326298
100
RiskOptimization
1713274326298
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ10a-45d742b0b831
1
0
0.3333333333333333
1705974765884
0
0.25
0.5
1713274157513
0.99
PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3
0
0.3635022558897624
4aakDGt3QBTEsVKey4WK
{"NO": 929.0114402912152, "YES": 1082.1868687296198}
0.328977464763484
how-well-will-manifold-correctly-pr
403.5217283734966
(How well) Will Manifold correctly predict the month when Jimmy Carter dies ?
148222997940000
WdW6XfWw74QP4AkjKrXkTL3fq0v1
cpmm-1
0
9.6546987369588
False
basic
public
1713263645551
Mich
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "After Jimmy Carter dies, Iโ€™ll take a look at the record of the top market of the type ยซย Will Jimmy Carter survive/die [this month]ย ยป. Let X = 1 if that market resolves YES, X = 0 if it resolves NO. (Depends on how the question was phrased (die / su...
BINARY
{"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.7267055410001937, "platformFee": 1.6818213654628842, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Mich
1716849239609
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJH-sOGQLlaWmZ06V2GS3Eph-iwWYUqqiPvrD86D3wnIg=s96-c
12
0
0.3333333333333333
1702591853953
0
[{"name": "Jimmy Carter", "slug": "jimmy-carter", "groupId": "rigfelwTsUUySMFFJz5O", "createdTime": 1713263645686}, {"name": "๐Ÿชฆ Death markets", "slug": "death-markets", "groupId": "ibrUJxhFICxDAsXYC7eB", "createdTime": 1713263645696}, {"name": "Meta-Forecasting", "slug": "metaforecasting", "groupId": "aWVjDvevw8dDKKbU...
["jimmy-carter", "death-markets", "metaforecasting", "manifold-6748e065087e", "longevity"]
0.25
0.5
1716849235594
1713277434399
0
0.34753295591692984
5yfHzYXfhHmga0OgowaR
{"NO": 956.4877233051905, "YES": 1065.8327003832628}
0.3234099514429056
will-rory-stewart-be-a-uk-ambassado
425.4696056459569
Will Rory Stewart be a UK ambassador to any country by end of 2035?
1738321140000
XKnrud6GQUaifOB0hOuUfBCFAly1
cpmm-1
0
9.607183438604705
False
basic
public
1713264218632
Fion
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Rory Stewart is a former UK politician and diplomat. Recently he has been doing a popular politics podcast and lecturing at Yale University in the USA. He has made hints on the podcast that he would like to return to politics, and he has an interes...
BINARY
{"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.015935215342440856}
0
{"creatorFee": 4.359049169785146, "platformFee": 3.2257317662342495, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Fion
1718832232795
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆc2e-6bc532e44aed
12
0
0.3333333333333333
1671292812077
0
[{"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1713264218773}]
["uk-politics"]
0.25
0.5
1718832229743
1713384698239
0
0.2580996428337117
CVZwtO15EshI3smkxSle
{"NO": 245.54640711816938, "YES": 6282.684777940217}
0
will-israel-launch-a-cyberattack-on
7814.546329118687
Will Israel launch a cyber-attack on Iran by end of day April 30, 2024?
1714559534440
91LeReENQxW6PoZiaY0XMeSzEdi1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1713264358747
Bruce
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 23.333402175192695, "platformFee": 23.333402175192695, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714559534440
760
Bruce54df
1714559534440
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJohJG8pV6APMRLAdPO5Up_LhSInhyxI1tRfhbmvspk=s96-c
36
0
0.3333333333333333
1697633597735
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ Israel-Hamas Conflict", "slug": "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "groupId": "cea99c1c-afb9-49b2-adfa-9be739adce10", "createdTime": 1713264358877}, {"name": "Iran", "slug": "iran", "groupId": "E1hI0LQPWmoAcpvhcjHa", "createdTime": 1713264358880}, {"name": "๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Israel", "slug": "israel", "groupId": "ECjp...
["israelhamas-conflict-2023", "iran", "israel"]
0.25
0.5
1714543961364
1714543982570
0.01
91LeReENQxW6PoZiaY0XMeSzEdi1
0
0.31733777757329645
lsrAEOIeq1P8hMthqSHl
{"NO": 160.59731249938451, "YES": 1070.1300386370901}
0
will-israel-successfully-pressure-o
947.9136809716183
Will Israel successfully pressure other countries to enact significant new sanctions on Iran before Saturday?
1713535140000
kuSBowxQeqan6bOXkbQ1N3YYs9m2
cpmm-1
0
1.5850033437162365
True
play
NO
public
1713265163712
Dacer
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution criteria:", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "- The sanctions only need to be announced and do not have to kick in yet.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "- Must be by at least one country an...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.06521245377730131}
0
{"creatorFee": 10.131860879801746, "platformFee": 10.131860879801746, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713602077945
340
MichaelWeiner
1713535140000
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆf89-6fbc47744022
15
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1667873660743
0
[{"name": "Iran", "slug": "iran", "groupId": "E1hI0LQPWmoAcpvhcjHa", "createdTime": 1713265163925}, {"name": "๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Israel", "slug": "israel", "groupId": "ECjphikMbmosJsDAAJoU", "createdTime": 1713265163970}, {"name": "Israel-Iran Conflict", "slug": "israeliran-conflict", "groupId": "4014ef1a-d3cc-4f73-8448-49754b5a29ca...
["iran", "israel", "israeliran-conflict"]
0.25
0.5
1713525618440
1713490608181
0.07
kuSBowxQeqan6bOXkbQ1N3YYs9m2
0
Dbnvm3ENq6dhSc0lXDcP
in-2030-how-many-companies-will-hav
400.9999901006872
In 2030, how many companies will have a market cap larger than 5 Trillion Dollars ๐Ÿค‘๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿฆ
1893502740000
cXfjElSKSFTJVYwY3xlxH5wQlF82
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713265296970
Elf
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "RESOLUTION:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "On Jan 1st 2030, how many companies will have a market cap greater than 5 Trilli...
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 11.007608357322304, "platformFee": 9.22072606578357, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
elf
1716496450207
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ225-4e706826a59b
11
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "98c54f309f2e", "prob": 0.2054168718967255, "text": "0-1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 129.3852873955401, "userId": "cXfjElSKSFTJVYwY3xlxH5wQlF82", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 500.4816081562006, "textFts": "'-1':2 '0':1", "contractId": "Dbnvm3ENq6dhSc0lXDcP", "createdTime": 1713265296971, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "...
0.3333333333333333
1668973436049
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿฆ Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1713265297268}, {"name": "๐Ÿ–ฅ๏ธ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1713265297273}, {"name": "๐Ÿ’ต Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani",...
["economics-default", "technology-default", "finance", "business", "stocks"]
0.25
1716496445640
True
0
0.5070613476367493
VLDAWUHK9kVpASfdyy6U
{"NO": 118.64642159761279, "YES": 213.5407152695848}
0
will-fortaleza-ec-beat-cruzeiro-dur-61fe6bfa7433
101.87651696212336
Will Fortaleza EC beat Cruzeiro during regular time on Wed, Apr 17, 2024?โšฝ Brasileirรฃo ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท
1713401607897
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
cpmm-1
0
1.9419984736181304
True
play
NO
public
1713265703677
Franklin Baldo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "โšฝ Fortaleza EC vs Cruzeiro", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ“… Date: Wednesday, April 17, 2024", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5099999999999999}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.160428093167305, "platformFee": 1.160428093167305, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713404158191
160
FranklinBaldo
1713401607897
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c
6
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1659579722296
0
[{"name": "โšฝ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1713265703831}, {"name": "Campeonato Brasileiro 2023", "slug": "campeonato-brasileiro-2023", "groupId": "xWEyMWqCz0zV6HW6ZRFY", "createdTime": 1713265703843}]
["soccer", "campeonato-brasileiro-2023"]
0.25
0.5
1713401605093
1713401608393
0.36
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
0
0.43561364219993337
GoY32XlmqY6WqdMIqSvU
{"NO": 113.69388110511746, "YES": 170.34409180099786}
1
will-juventude-beat-corinthians-dur
173.7678694522569
Will Juventude beat Corinthians during regular time on Wed, Apr 17, 2024?โšฝ Brasileirรฃo ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท
1713401303635
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
cpmm-1
0
2.219390451335052
True
play
YES
public
1713265704935
Franklin Baldo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "โšฝ Juventude vs Corinthians", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ“… Date: Wednesday, April 17, 2024", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.6799999999999997}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.41454536889184523, "platformFee": 0.41454536889184523, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713404315938
140
FranklinBaldo
1713401303635
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c
5
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1659579722296
0
[{"name": "Campeonato Brasileiro 2023", "slug": "campeonato-brasileiro-2023", "groupId": "xWEyMWqCz0zV6HW6ZRFY", "createdTime": 1713265705137}, {"name": "โšฝ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1713265705148}]
["campeonato-brasileiro-2023", "soccer"]
0.25
0.5
1713397217811
1713401303918
0.34
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
0
0.1814845465119953
IACLwEOoq2V3u4EMObFv
{"NO": 902.1379296198195, "YES": 1155.131307488317}
0.14760331386823236
will-a-fusionpowerplant-be-commerci
2382.1026577714865
Will a Fusion-powerplant be commercially ran before 2030?
1893538740000
Hv5nxKFk1SeewLAaMoN3aJnARdD2
cpmm-1
0
9.814674698533018
False
basic
public
1713266764411
Recurse
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": -1.6653345369377348e-16, "week": -1.6653345369377348e-16, "month": -1.6653345369377348e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 11.822391777077677, "platformFee": 11.822391777077677, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Recurse
1713866078981
0
https://storage.googleapโ€ฆMoN3aJnARdD2.png
30
0
0.3333333333333333
1701550732954
0
[{"name": "Nuclear Power", "slug": "nuclear-power", "groupId": "GAhreYQjzbNxlucwUxQ2", "createdTime": 1713266764542}, {"name": "๐Ÿ–ฅ๏ธ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1713266764547}, {"name": "๐Ÿงช Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJ...
["nuclear-power", "technology-default", "science-default", "fusion-energy"]
0.25
0.5
1713866075619
1713709655953
0
0.22443248991700682
Ak0ZpgUmOF6LBYNrUyYd
{"NO": 97.10417537287879, "YES": 1679.3719583443803}
0
will-arsenal-win-the-champions-leag
1533.2222713201313
Will Arsenal win the Champions League 2023/24
1713395827016
Jxzs6NHitohaNLJ1AJkmt06uRw33
cpmm-1
0
3.0868420401323293
True
play
NO
public
1713267551784
TP King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.12164972844618828}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.16494585307498, "platformFee": 2.16494585307498, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713395827016
220
tpking
1713395859752
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆbd9-ecf41128b706
9
0
0.3333333333333333
1697442193885
0
[{"name": "โšฝ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1713267551916}, {"name": "UEFA", "slug": "uefa", "groupId": "KSvOrWRB2hyHWfU4GnM9", "createdTime": 1713267551918}, {"name": "โšฝ ๐Ÿˆ Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1713267551950}, {"n...
["soccer", "uefa", "football", "uefa-champions-league", "sports-default"]
0.25
0.5
1713395704593
1713387722318
0.02
Jxzs6NHitohaNLJ1AJkmt06uRw33
0
jRvFxZEI2r3BY5G9CgPO
how-many-states-will-conduct-a-reco
270.9858227225799
How many states will conduct a recount of votes in the 2024 general election?
1738299540000
OFGIpCFT69fNGtojNGf1z6nHg4y1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1713268850333
MF
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Let's predict how many states will order a recount in the November election.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Recounts can be automatic or ordered. They could also only be partial (only for spe...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 1.3035079541131023, "platformFee": 1.3035079541131023, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
costlySignal
1713815496155
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ5b3-7ef68a5f5838
15
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "e8ee163c8d46", "prob": 0.18729057384443218, "text": "0", "index": 0, "poolNo": 103.24340129820511, "userId": "OFGIpCFT69fNGtojNGf1z6nHg4y1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 448.00378204355474, "textFts": "'0':1", "contractId": "jRvFxZEI2r3BY5G9CgPO", "createdTime": 1713268850333, "probChanges": {"day": 2.22044604...
0.3333333333333333
1659482499752
0
[{"name": "2024 US Election", "slug": "2024-us-election", "groupId": "ys6IcrjWOTkhcjR3JLFk", "createdTime": 1713268850544}, {"name": "๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1713268850548}, {"name": "๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Politics", "slug": "us-p...
["2024-us-election", "2024-us-presidential-election", "us-politics"]
0.25
1713815492622
1713274155482
True
0
0.45419601841945273
7ZdCkIZwWKG6kP4ibHlQ
{"NO": 956.7033834863297, "YES": 1052.3137895645716}
0.43070281379655945
will-the-eu-really-end-the-sale-of
299.7260075305779
Will the EU really end the sale of new CO2 cars by 2035?
1735685940000
A1SO0P7VIVcmKYpOyWrBC7Te0Tq2
cpmm-1
0
9.655711676505902
False
basic
public
1713269054313
Slash Spielberg
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0.027565575622926997, "month": -0.01300185596515363}
0
{"creatorFee": 5.6701136904827685, "platformFee": 0.8327825550227036, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
SlashSpielberg
1720123985905
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKOo4GxYI-LK8hLrYfe5EQuLzNYBt8DsKu7tnKdose9=s96-c
17
1
0.3333333333333333
1695545892969
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿฆ Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1713269054489}, {"name": "Electric Vehicles", "slug": "electric-vehicles", "groupId": "d446b2a7-547c-4650-95e9-e0ff79ce883e", "createdTime": 1713269054497}, {"name": "European Union", "slug": "european-union", "grou...
["economics-default", "electric-vehicles", "european-union", "eu-politics"]
0.25
0.5
1720123982783
0
G6IZruNWai8V5BanP1Kk
which-chess-players-will-be-ranked
672.8447505629784
Which chess players will be ranked as No.โ€ฏ1 player in the world at any point in their life?
7258193940000
8U9B3F3RSeNq4qJPfoCDncFMcB62
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1713269405209
McLovin
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_FIDE_chess_world_number_ones", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_FIDE_chess_world_number_ones", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:d...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 2.3250479127064936, "platformFee": 1.2048257220857597, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
McLovin
1717363108468
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ2c8-a96e09f7d8cd
12
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "e3f660385050", "prob": 0.36000000000000004, "text": "Nodirbek Abdusattorov", "index": 0, "poolNo": 57.35416666666668, "userId": "8U9B3F3RSeNq4qJPfoCDncFMcB62", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 101.96296296296298, "textFts": "'abdusattorov':2 'nodirbek':1", "contractId": "G6IZruNWai8V5BanP1Kk", "createdTime": 17132...
0.3333333333333333
1712615479507
0
[{"name": "Board Games", "slug": "board-games", "groupId": "Hu6z8BYs5Xz3ZRyai8MF", "createdTime": 1713269405996}, {"name": "โ™Ÿ๏ธ Chess", "slug": "chess", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1713269405995}, {"name": "๐ŸŸ๏ธ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 171...
["board-games", "chess", "sports-default"]
0.25
1717363105038
False
0
0.5602855824130514
3T9hNO5FeZpG0YdWCAQp
{"NO": 792.6961384976098, "YES": 16.219131202259444}
1
33-or-more-students-will-attend-the
714
33 or more students will attend the DC Optic event
1713628817426
GB5hZnKVXCdbNXRJbJT1WFH6nQ02
cpmm-1
0
4.5733004386334075
True
play
YES
public
1713269704507
bh
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is the first year running this student prediction tournament in DC. Likely they will be in teams of 3, so this is also gesturing at over 10 teams. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "It will...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.45248868778280515}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.4255563535346485, "platformFee": 2.4255563535346485, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713628817426
120
hamiltonianurst
1717422605635
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ2a9-1301b1e3dc4a
2
0
0.3333333333333333
1669137065045
0
[{"name": "๐ŸŽฒ Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac3-4400-962a-72973b3ceb62", "createdTime": 1717422605635}]
["nonpredictive"]
0.25
0.5
False
1713628800707
0.98
GB5hZnKVXCdbNXRJbJT1WFH6nQ02
0
LRnYM64zcEJ7mV5AP2gP
has-anime-caused-more-good-or-more
0
Has anime caused more good or more harm?
1715929140000
D6J4rACLVqSmn0S610IZwB0vSYa2
none
0
1000000
True
public
1713270307409
singer
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anime", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anime", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline acti...
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1715929140483
singer
1713270307409
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ4c3-c1ee5bc5b4ae
20
0
0.3333333333333333
1695522783407
0
0.25
["160b3045bf73"]
0
F44RTI3qSoqxBYpwSUmC
which-group-will-get-the-todd-bursa
1547.708015093881
Which group will get the Todd bursary
1715813940000
wsUVlpEU0nakXRDD6k6U58CvhVV2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
CHOOSE_MULTIPLE
public
1713271161539
Rakesh
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 3.4348727050478054, "platformFee": 3.4348727050478054, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1716712639898
440
RV
1715813940000
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJAh4a71yCNt2QLKpr8GqN-zObXWaLvjanYybl9969SLvnHwt0h=s96-c
14
0
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "07e8412dffda", "prob": 0.5197918266644214, "text": "Ayush, Rakesh, Ciaran, Jo", "index": 0, "poolNo": 151.63287333918322, "userId": "wsUVlpEU0nakXRDD6k6U58CvhVV2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 140.0855907856436, "textFts": "'ayush':1 'ciaran':3 'jo':4 'rakesh':2", "contractId": "F44RTI3qSoqxBYpwSUmC", "resolve...
3
0.3333333333333333
1713181176162
0
0.25
1715599505305
{"07e8412dffda": 65.22151850812931, "70acdc102077": 11.415468024386099, "7f549ad3c8d4": 23.36301346748458}
wsUVlpEU0nakXRDD6k6U58CvhVV2
True
0
0RgaCypMFQwsulbv0amP
which-ipl-team-will-win
4980.727871602025
which ipl team will win
1716965256597
i4NAhXYkNwUzso19bCuQs6aKJKe2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
MKT
public
1713271488721
Bhavya
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 29.61096011734708, "platformFee": 15.781553179133025, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1716965256597
1000
BhaSh
1716965256597
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆcb6-57f7c90d4a09
22
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "4a5f6533ec16", "prob": 0.01, "text": "GT", "index": 0, "poolNo": 10.134779378005703, "userId": "i4NAhXYkNwUzso19bCuQs6aKJKe2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 950.2019446941653, "textFts": "'gt':1", "contractId": "0RgaCypMFQwsulbv0amP", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3", "createdTim...
2
0.3333333333333333
1713270849970
0
[{"name": "IPL yes", "slug": "ipl-yes", "groupId": "a7bb9e86-679a-4a2b-ae96-fd2ca517f7e3", "createdTime": 1713271489100}, {"name": "IPL2024", "slug": "ipl2024", "groupId": "3aa3d48c-b71b-4284-b0e1-7c0d89f947e0", "createdTime": 1713271489096}]
["ipl-yes", "ipl2024"]
0.25
1716796024522
1716964730097
0.02
hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3
False
0
0.49205147615442907
F2Nm3BbCjBfrMPsEU5oi
{"NO": 169.13226416675687, "YES": 84.09367834702027}
0.6608205197530665
will-enrolment-in-stem-degrees-decr
70
Will enrolment in STEM degrees decrease significantly before 2040?
2214601140000
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713271592865
RemNi
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that student enrolment in higher education STEM degrees has decreased significantly over the period from 2024 to 2040 (similar to how enrolment in humanities has decreased significantly during 2008-2024 i...
BINARY
{"day": 0.09089177239215662, "week": 0.09089177239215662, "month": 0.09089177239215662}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.280693102424863, "platformFee": 0.4961336399091955, "liquidityFee": 0}
30
120
RemNi
1720164747864
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆad4-a4c719e99ff1
3
1
0.3333333333333333
1690812555459
0
[{"name": "Higher Education", "slug": "higher-education", "groupId": "t2sumbJ9zbPDTYzX1H5X", "createdTime": 1713271593037}, {"name": "STEM", "slug": "stem", "groupId": "cf6a213b-0113-4ed3-87c4-f21cdc6e1067", "createdTime": 1713271593064}, {"name": "Education", "slug": "education", "groupId": "4db0060d-c187-4c1e-9d89-da...
["higher-education", "stem", "education"]
0.25
0.5
1720164743988
0
0.5
rbAflylF5pdAQH3DRkiG
{"NO": 100, "YES": 100}
0.5
godrej-budigere-cross
0
Godrej Budigere Cross
1713293769218
47XcK6mamGdpcodB8Fqj2VRASxB3
cpmm-1
0
2.726376370574009
True
play
CANCEL
public
1713271753355
Godrej bengal lamps
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Godrej Budigere Cross - a new range of residential apartment offerings in Whitefield, Budigere Cross, East Bangalore, is a symbol of modern luxury living. Nestled within the serene environs of Whitefield, this project boasts of exquisite designs, s...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713293769218
100
Godrejbengallamps
1713293769218
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK8vaXctt-MyzjvS1i-VpXpgAcaw9m7F1gOvT-RfSGS8CvnEg=s96-c
0
0
0.3333333333333333
1713271567869
0
0.25
0.5
0.5
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
0
9voDFHxa95RniaidbNVk
how-many-days-will-trump-be-in-cour
25.99999999999999
How many days will Trump be in court in 2024?
1735797540000
Y2b1TJ7nvAR0MqiQ2lLKllwVBXd2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713272025664
Quillist
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Disclaimer: I currently don't know how I'd calculate this and will rely on chat/search for guidance", "type": "text"}]}]}
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 0.1902775418036156, "platformFee": 0.1902775418036156, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
280
Quillist
1713720291814
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ091-bddc490f9db7
4
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "2a6fa38284fc", "prob": 0.019768358400090183, "text": "1-3", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.999771716452321, "userId": "Y2b1TJ7nvAR0MqiQ2lLKllwVBXd2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 148.7463498248607, "textFts": "'-3':2 '1':1", "contractId": "9voDFHxa95RniaidbNVk", "createdTime": 1713272025664, "probChanges": {"day": 7....
0.3333333333333333
1702722697077
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ‘ด Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1713272025936}, {"name": "๐Ÿ˜ Republican Party", "slug": "magaland", "groupId": "EWgcYV1JYWP19dE3BZCb", "createdTime": 1713272025941}, {"name": "Trump indictment(s)", "slug": "trump-indictments", "groupId": "l8rzwticUu7jFUpOZ...
["donald-trump", "magaland", "trump-indictments", "us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election"]
0.25
1713720288071
True
0
0.5
0lK07B3YQi74VmgcvOck
{"NO": 149.09909909909913, "YES": 67.06948640483385}
0
a-fair-unbiased-coin-flipped-by-pra
70
A fair unbiased coin flipped by Pranav will land heads
1713272331165
6bxsprcQIeTintRCrNdb0rVOAd43
cpmm-1
0
2.8009892011562236
True
play
NO
public
1713272056284
Toby Smith
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.6897352765274324}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713272331165
100
TobySmith8f4e
1713272331165
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJVfnf1FKLdCrmeWEGiOY1CgzUEOjUNhBu06oPP-hlm=s96-c
3
0
0.3333333333333333
1712084557475
0
[{"name": "FairlyRandom", "slug": "fairlyrandom", "groupId": "J8Z1KAZV31icklA4tgJW", "createdTime": 1713272056571}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac3-4400-962a-72973b3ceb62", "createdTime": 1713272060528}, {"name": "Unsubsidized", "slug": "unsubsidized", "groupId": "f08f4130-3410-4...
["fairlyrandom", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.25
0.5
False
False
1713272223049
0.69
6bxsprcQIeTintRCrNdb0rVOAd43
0
0.48627924692515345
m6bYCXAIK5FXCRHHfMv6
{"NO": 138.3365386764162, "YES": 141.46090494558203}
0.48070189587174045
will-uconn-reach-the-ncaa-mens-fina
64.67850308409393
Will UConn reach the NCAA men's final four in 2025?
1743911940000
9GvIXLtI42XrGhWIeT3h9L6NIpA2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713272792913
Michael
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves \"YES\" if the Huskies make the final four in 2025, to be held April 5 & 7 in the Alamodome. The U Connecticut men's team won the NCAA championship in both '23 & '24.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.6821247838840342, "platformFee": 0.6469319002911064, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
140
burkh4rt
1716953881224
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv31Whhbh-4wrvOPbGM9zLTlznsRJp_8zkd0nrodHyg6za=s96-c
4
0
0.3333333333333333
1706719887452
0
[{"name": "March Madness 2025", "slug": "march-madness-2025", "groupId": "4e5de705-e049-4318-ae5d-d120f726b58b", "createdTime": 1713272793104}, {"name": "โ›น๏ธ March Madness", "slug": "march-madness", "groupId": "Tp4TDTWUGnEUMvBcCPIR", "createdTime": 1713272793120}, {"name": "๐Ÿ€ College Basketball", "slug": "college-baske...
["march-madness-2025", "march-madness", "college-basketball"]
0.25
0.5
1716953877741
0
0.5
4JHsn32VyUIrcU6Rmweh
{"NO": 80.48264886024172, "YES": 124.25038367418797}
0
a-coinflip-by-pranav
360.1211097808096
A coinflip by pranav landing heads
1713273308840
wsUVlpEU0nakXRDD6k6U58CvhVV2
cpmm-1
0
2.7484927905732826
True
play
NO
public
1713272814754
Rakesh
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713273308840
100
RV
1713273308840
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJAh4a71yCNt2QLKpr8GqN-zObXWaLvjanYybl9969SLvnHwt0h=s96-c
3
0
0.3333333333333333
1713181176162
0
[{"name": "FairlyRandom", "slug": "fairlyrandom", "groupId": "J8Z1KAZV31icklA4tgJW", "createdTime": 1713272814894}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac3-4400-962a-72973b3ceb62", "createdTime": 1713272816279}, {"name": "Unsubsidized", "slug": "unsubsidized", "groupId": "f08f4130-3410-4...
["fairlyrandom", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.25
0.5
False
False
1713273301745
0.39
wsUVlpEU0nakXRDD6k6U58CvhVV2
0
mkp9uZKsOwKd0JmYAbsj
the-subjects-birthday-lands-into-eh
80
the subjects birthday lands into eh following season
1713273883676
wsUVlpEU0nakXRDD6k6U58CvhVV2
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
72713c2e9f20
public
1713273510875
Rakesh
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713273883676
140
RV
1713273883676
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJAh4a71yCNt2QLKpr8GqN-zObXWaLvjanYybl9969SLvnHwt0h=s96-c
3
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "b1a16c77e656", "prob": 0.15636360803348553, "text": "spring", "index": 0, "poolNo": 12.42795195587841, "userId": "wsUVlpEU0nakXRDD6k6U58CvhVV2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 67.05315053452294, "textFts": "'spring':1", "contractId": "mkp9uZKsOwKd0JmYAbsj", "resolverId": "wsUVlpEU0nakXRDD6k6U58CvhVV2", "createdT...
0.3333333333333333
1713181176162
0
[{"name": "birthday", "slug": "birthday", "groupId": "94d98112-5419-4c5a-9222-9d6c6466ecb0", "createdTime": 1713273511086}]
["birthday"]
0.25
1713273737140
{"72713c2e9f20": 100}
wsUVlpEU0nakXRDD6k6U58CvhVV2
True
0
0.5659998115252192
OjBeKDFtb0FLbW0ocwW1
{"NO": 4531.053619790506, "YES": 124.32843322006067}
1
will-israel-conduct-a-retaliatory-s
18883.176478625566
Will Israel conduct a retaliatory strike on Iranian military or nuclear facilities before the 1st of May?
1713563297902
tTtbrCv9PQd2G9OqCcqDHTnE1Fg1
cpmm-1
0
1.3326735560162044
True
basic
YES
public
1713274449736
Lannuser
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Intelligence communities are split on whether Israel will carry out any form of strike against Iran. The facilities in question are likely to be non-civilian targets, and would, if executed, target Iran's nuclear weapons program and other aspects o...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.040280362331799324}
0
{"creatorFee": 86.58181883446912, "platformFee": 86.58181883446912, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713563297902
1250
Lannuser
1713563356582
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ58e-1f44e21c4ead
93
0
0.3333333333333333
1713006906175
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1713274449938}, {"name": "๐ŸŒ World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1713274449940}, {"name": "Iran", "slug": "iran", "groupId": "E1hI0LQPWmoAcpvhcjHa", "createdTime": 17132...
["politics-default", "world-default", "iran", "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "israel"]
0.25
0.5
1713563237900
1713563356143
0.98
tTtbrCv9PQd2G9OqCcqDHTnE1Fg1
0
Qn5HwOi3e3L2POcE0ATP
what-share-of-global-energy-will-co-a1753b9bcd86
1137.9452193229124
What share of global energy will come from renewables (excluding nuclear)?
4143707940000
HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713274806791
Daniel
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "SORT BY OLD", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolved to the % of energy from hydropower + wind + solar + modern biofuels + other renewables for each year according to our world in data: ", "ty...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 6.878944625125755, "platformFee": 4.719462507550071, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
660
Daniel_MC
1719699864232
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c
8
1
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "0b521897314c", "prob": 0.25277849646944445, "text": "2023", "index": 0, "poolNo": 38.09506360323913, "userId": "HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 112.61025403774944, "textFts": "'2023':1", "contractId": "Qn5HwOi3e3L2POcE0ATP", "createdTime": 1713274806792, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "w...
0.3333333333333333
1678868464369
0
[{"name": "Energy", "slug": "energy", "groupId": "rraS2YIDaAckq3bR5lfQ", "createdTime": 1713274807032}, {"name": "๐Ÿชธ Climate", "slug": "climate", "groupId": "97oNExy8iFftY2EgdkLw", "createdTime": 1713274807063}, {"name": "Energy policy", "slug": "energy-policy", "groupId": "5OW6YWICJXxUpNrNeXqp", "createdTime": 1713274...
["energy", "climate", "energy-policy"]
0.25
1719699861028
1713324772115
False
old
0
0.4661619749426805
kqDuN8fod4VesMXnUQFE
{"NO": 939.4906118082292, "YES": 1010.3537359143238}
0.4481180986841977
will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-th
1435.7247480002789
Will a human walk on Mars before the end of 2045?
2376359940000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
9.72015249132232
False
basic
public
1713275142432
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "KIOKJWlW9NB09FBAju4l", "label": "/strutheo/in-what-year-will-a-human-walk-on-m-b87f57183e99"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "cBc...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.08577462498830563}
0
{"creatorFee": 17.008076839602094, "platformFee": 11.014743291460768, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
strutheo
1719092630003
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆa8a-874f55f21b3d
26
0
0.3333333333333333
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "Mars", "slug": "mars", "groupId": "3d6624c3-2569-4fe1-8524-128952b07684", "createdTime": 1713275142563}, {"name": "๐Ÿš€ Spacex", "slug": "spacex", "groupId": "5PW6TJT2EhJNISetqsEh", "createdTime": 1713275142573}, {"name": "Space colonization", "slug": "space-colonization", "groupId": "9c2dd55b-2a49-42e3-be94-4...
["mars", "spacex", "space-colonization", "space-exploration", "space"]
0.25
0.5
1719092626953
1713337469544
0
0.1306508321665163
3AUUuMS6x0XALIj0xypI
{"NO": 1016.5804394028258, "YES": 635.3080278050642}
0.19385913851153985
will-the-alleged-proof-of-pnp-by-ke
3921.353421348824
Will the alleged proof of P!=NP by Ke Xu and Guangyan Zhou be recognized as valid by 2050?
2534360340000
rUocRsR4yEWriTP52LNIDf7XJY83
cpmm-1
0
9.957167169951667
False
basic
public
1713275240824
Tasty_Y
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2302.09512", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2302.09512", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:dec...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.07823858906804357}
0
{"creatorFee": 40.746298673188946, "platformFee": 5.0144673018466035, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Tasty_Y
1719477500814
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ3d3-5d23c7172fdf
19
2
0.3333333333333333
1690449266660
0
[{"name": "Computational Complexity Theory", "slug": "computational-complexity-theory", "groupId": "rkDU85UpYnk6QG5tiE8U", "createdTime": 1713275241042}]
["computational-complexity-theory"]
0.25
0.5
1719477497111
0
rOoU5a8gzjbhUAniGuIj
which-companies-will-submit-bids-fo
4633.034986721849
Which companies will submit bids for Mars Sample Return?
1735714740000
W4yEF6idSMcNWEVUquowziSCZFI3
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1713276678713
Evan
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NASA will soon be ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "soliciting new proposals", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nasa.gov/news-release/nasa-sets-path-to-return-mars-samples-seeks-innovative-designs/", "class": "b...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 17.93909853849889, "platformFee": 0.9209888150832976, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
EvanDaniel
1719507514502
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcNNBEv2GcorWHiElPC6VlaynzKPlKxwXytwbHWc54FNIs=s96-c
20
2
ANYONE
[{"id": "61bd74392ed9", "prob": 0.9900000000000001, "text": "SpaceX", "index": 0, "poolNo": 998.7102305039496, "userId": "W4yEF6idSMcNWEVUquowziSCZFI3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 10.087982126302506, "textFts": "'spacex':1", "contractId": "rOoU5a8gzjbhUAniGuIj", "createdTime": 1713276678713, "probChanges": {"day": 0,...
0.3333333333333333
1691250349596
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ”ญ Space exploration", "slug": "space-exploration", "groupId": "7EN6VxtLzX459WLUsjQv", "createdTime": 1713276678944}, {"name": "Mars", "slug": "mars", "groupId": "3d6624c3-2569-4fe1-8524-128952b07684", "createdTime": 1713276678956}, {"name": "๐ŸŒŒ Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "cr...
["space-exploration", "mars", "space"]
0.25
1719507027544
1719507512775
False
0
0.25896343385293397
KMlKDq1qvMyALSmUp3j4
{"NO": 763.8462752702071, "YES": 1717.5039545849172}
0.1345138889977432
will-openai-release-gtp45-before-gp
1162.94484627964
Will OpenAI release GTP-4.5 before GPT-5?
1735725540000
oo1E5R26RIaZWekjwf88Kd5IOin1
cpmm-1
0
9.743277282538624
False
basic
public
1713277521805
Michael L
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 5.073454902995588, "platformFee": 5.073454902995588, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
MichaelL
1715649476289
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆb4b-df76866ba7e0
23
0
0.3333333333333333
1703683338506
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ–ฅ๏ธ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1713277521959}, {"name": "GPT-4 speculation", "slug": "gpt4-speculation", "groupId": "SWiC5KtQnc48oWmaoAZA", "createdTime": 1713277521956}, {"name": "๐Ÿค– AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "crea...
["technology-default", "gpt4-speculation", "ai", "openai", "gpt5-speculation"]
0.25
0.5
1715649473023
1713295010050
0
0.4372219892419224
rhtUGAXY8kjjihcV73p5
{"NO": 139.64102516838693, "YES": 241.42968882478243}
0.31003675649966517
will-manifold-allow-accounts-to-opt
88.08535002000782
Will manifold allow accounts to optionally declare demographic data to enhance polling?
1745211540000
Y2b1TJ7nvAR0MqiQ2lLKllwVBXd2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713277747229
Quillist
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will this feature exist within a year? ", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.24248057760486766, "platformFee": 0.24248057760486766, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
180
Quillist
1714424624071
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ091-bddc490f9db7
4
0
0.3333333333333333
1702722697077
0
[{"name": "Manifold Users", "slug": "manifold-users", "groupId": "uqVbahk6EJpQP9aKuZiX", "createdTime": 1713277747393}, {"name": "๐Ÿ’™ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713277747395}]
["manifold-users", "manifold-6748e065087e"]
0.25
0.5
1714424620665
0
yZSjSF3WuCpRagEAP3KR
round-7-dune-part-two-versus-kung-f
12705.980567017288
[ROUND #7] "Dune: Part Two" versus "Kung Fu Panda 4": Who will gross more during the weekend of April 19-21?
1713912643202
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
af0d6da8fa59
public
1713279036404
Ziddletwix
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Context ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "For the last six weekends, \"Dune: Part Two\" and \"Ku...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 3.3987925911539167, "platformFee": 3.3987925911539167, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713912643202
200
Ziddletwix
1720053161621
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ983-3ba213ef2b96
6
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "db0f10fd5dfd", "prob": 0.00016575481922495626, "text": "Dune: Part Two", "color": "#ffc107", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.4733074593805213, "userId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 8887.001044414535, "textFts": "'dune':1 'part':2 'two':3", "contractId": "yZSjSF3WuCpRagEAP3KR", "resolve...
0.3333333333333333
1680369520541
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ“บ Television & Film", "slug": "television-film", "groupId": "EUSEngFk1dGGBfaMeAmh", "createdTime": 1713279036623}, {"name": "Box-Office", "slug": "boxoffice", "groupId": "IbCVuDeG5LtAeh5NcH0w", "createdTime": 1713279036627}, {"name": "๐ŸŽจ Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC"...
["television-film", "boxoffice", "culture-default", "movies", "dune"]
0.25
1713912520203
1713912635767
{"af0d6da8fa59": 100}
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
True
0
za6v2Co3IXFZcGVwamiV
-kung-fu-panda-4-versus-ghostbuster
11913.112144307499
๐Ÿผ ๐Ÿ‘ป "Kung Fu Panda 4" vs "Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire": Who will gross more during the weekend of April 19-21?
1713978393148
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
95d660b10c72
public
1713279513336
Ziddletwix
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will use the \"weekend\" tab in BoxOfficeMojo to r...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 3.42581680267413, "platformFee": 3.42581680267413, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713978393148
160
Ziddletwix
1720053161621
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ983-3ba213ef2b96
4
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "95d660b10c72", "prob": 0.9998565648936429, "text": "Kung Fu Panda 4", "color": "#795548", "index": 0, "poolNo": 7520.391693986807, "userId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1.0788429264239312, "textFts": "'4':4 'fu':2 'kung':1 'panda':3", "contractId": "za6v2Co3IXFZcGVwamiV", "reso...
0.3333333333333333
1680369520541
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿฟ Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1713279513802}, {"name": "Entertainment", "slug": "entertainment-12ba84d9b720", "groupId": "YjinY1aCMoxH9UyfXCrv", "createdTime": 1713279513813}, {"name": "๐ŸŽฅ Movies", "slug": "movies", "groupId": "K...
["entertainment", "entertainment-12ba84d9b720", "movies", "television-film", "boxoffice"]
0.25
1713978387384
1713978403375
{"95d660b10c72": 100}
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
True
0
0.694050487076551
W1k3ptkKJDsaqr7snMRP
{"NO": 1953.2090869327433, "YES": 286.97137369806927}
1
one-piecewill-the-10-minute-timer-o-e72d8a1037e3
3791.3976180487866
[One Piece]Will the 10 minute timer on Vegapunk's video message end on Chapter 1113?
1713885817772
CShiYwaR1JN6aGGVxqUGUUYcKYI3
cpmm-1
0
5.384363674748897
True
play
YES
public
1713279835660
Ger D. Gar
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Vote ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "YES ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "if you think that anytime during chapter 1112 the 10 minute timer will have passed.(Even if has said nothing yet).", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "para...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.200802829540779}
0
{"creatorFee": 27.82266903600822, "platformFee": 27.82266903600822, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713885817772
560
Gergar
1713885817772
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ433-5fa919125e15
26
0
0.3333333333333333
1709210946833
0
[{"name": "One piece theories", "slug": "one-piece-theories", "groupId": "78f2f6a8-571e-44b4-976c-937610a9375b", "createdTime": 1713279835806}, {"name": "2024", "slug": "2024-3d9da60b52f8", "groupId": "113eb49d-bb7b-428e-a89c-61ea2078317f", "createdTime": 1713279835815}, {"name": "๐Ÿดโ€โ˜ ๏ธ One Piece", "slug": "one-piece-s...
["one-piece-theories", "2024-3d9da60b52f8", "one-piece-stocks", "manga", "entertainment"]
0.25
0.5
1713885807141
1713685765458
0.94
CShiYwaR1JN6aGGVxqUGUUYcKYI3
0
0.37710502654101596
dLFUj69oeImWrgIUSlOV
{"NO": 91.20194522399683, "YES": 4569.602539444471}
0
will-atalanta-beat-liverpool-during-4c81f6a2b573
4835.2716788588905
Will Atalanta beat Liverpool during regular time on Thu, Apr 18, 2024? - Europa League
1713473679366
CShiYwaR1JN6aGGVxqUGUUYcKYI3
cpmm-1
0
1.9079369118316651
True
play
NO
public
1713280044983
Ger D. Gar
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ“… Date: Thursday, April 18, 2024 โฐ Start Time (UTC): 20:00", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ† Competition: Europa League", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ”‘ Market Resolution:", "typ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.30256068675227676}
0
{"creatorFee": 13.851675154473547, "platformFee": 13.851675154473547, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713473679366
460
Gergar
1713945411430
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ433-5fa919125e15
18
0
0.3333333333333333
1709210946833
0
[{"name": "UEFA", "slug": "uefa", "groupId": "KSvOrWRB2hyHWfU4GnM9", "createdTime": 1713280045139}, {"name": "UEFA Champions League", "slug": "uefa-champions-league", "groupId": "jgZHnM9QIVaWt6OmPhm3", "createdTime": 1713280045143}, {"name": "โšฝ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime"...
["uefa", "uefa-champions-league", "soccer", "2024-3d9da60b52f8", "one-piece-stocks"]
0.25
0.5
1713473662364
0.01
CShiYwaR1JN6aGGVxqUGUUYcKYI3
0
0.347171287238108
Gzmp6rnGPAP71OoYYY5I
{"NO": 98.7871891464948, "YES": 5200.2761311623}
0
will-west-ham-beat-bayern-leverkuse-e9ef6f5d7e50
6973.194995633961
Will West Ham beat Bayern Leverkusen during regular time on Thu, Apr 18, 2024? - Europa League
1713473887113
CShiYwaR1JN6aGGVxqUGUUYcKYI3
cpmm-1
0
1.9492054541535442
True
play
NO
public
1713280165177
Ger D. Gar
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ“… Date: Thursday, April 18, 2024 โฐ Start Time (UTC): 20:00", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ† Competition: Europa League", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ”‘ Market Resolution:", "typ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.20815920121459927}
0
{"creatorFee": 27.065634852387937, "platformFee": 27.065634852387937, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713473887113
470
Gergar
1713943911095
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ433-5fa919125e15
19
0
0.3333333333333333
1709210946833
0
[{"name": "โšฝ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1713280165328}, {"name": "Premier League", "slug": "premiere-league", "groupId": "5gsW3dPR3ySBRZCodrgm", "createdTime": 1713280165342}, {"name": "UEFA", "slug": "uefa", "groupId": "KSvOrWRB2hyHWfU4GnM9", "createdTime": 17132801653...
["soccer", "premiere-league", "uefa", "uefa-champions-league", "one-piece-stocks"]
0.25
0.5
1713473874641
0.01
CShiYwaR1JN6aGGVxqUGUUYcKYI3
0
0.5245198304267868
tXjGu43nLw0ziZey0Xdv
{"NO": 3227.0799112557597, "YES": 36.48755552223471}
1
will-roma-beat-milan-during-regular-c076301284a6
4303.116741102245
Will Roma beat Milan during regular time on Thu, Apr 18, 2024? - Europa League
1713474586985
CShiYwaR1JN6aGGVxqUGUUYcKYI3
cpmm-1
0
2.733102418025794
True
play
YES
public
1713280231194
Ger D. Gar
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ“… Date: Thursday, April 18, 2024 โฐ Start Time (UTC): 20:00", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ† Competition: Europa League", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ”‘ Market Resolution:", "typ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.11542578719865293}
0
{"creatorFee": 23.77815361137818, "platformFee": 23.77815361137818, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713474586985
410
Gergar
1713943879594
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ433-5fa919125e15
13
0
0.3333333333333333
1709210946833
0
[{"name": "UEFA", "slug": "uefa", "groupId": "KSvOrWRB2hyHWfU4GnM9", "createdTime": 1713280231390}, {"name": "Serie A (Football)", "slug": "serie-a-football", "groupId": "786730b8-8cc1-4315-b141-8d60725c122d", "createdTime": 1713280231393}, {"name": "โšฝ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "crea...
["uefa", "serie-a-football", "soccer", "uefa-champions-league", "one-piece-stocks"]
0.25
0.5
1713474044845
0.99
CShiYwaR1JN6aGGVxqUGUUYcKYI3
0
0.4844530559286826
3K7uvMSgym0otKwpD5HT
{"NO": 31.467909997895703, "YES": 1349.3874555234418}
0
will-benfica-beat-marseille-during-c244ea0aa265
2019.0905065821335
Will Benfica beat Marseille during regular time on Thu, Apr 18, 2024? - Europa League
1713473765608
CShiYwaR1JN6aGGVxqUGUUYcKYI3
cpmm-1
0
2.9928815104428224
True
play
NO
public
1713280397511
Ger D. Gar
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ“… Date: Thursday, April 18, 2024 โฐ Start Time (UTC): 20:00", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ† Competition: Europa League", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ”‘ Market Resolution:", "typ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.6000919613443264}
0
{"creatorFee": 9.290367600976063, "platformFee": 9.290367600976063, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713473765608
236
Gergar
1713943783958
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ433-5fa919125e15
8
0
0.3333333333333333
1709210946833
0
[{"name": "โšฝ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1713280397661}, {"name": "UEFA Champions League", "slug": "uefa-champions-league", "groupId": "jgZHnM9QIVaWt6OmPhm3", "createdTime": 1713280397664}, {"name": "La Liga", "slug": "la-liga", "groupId": "7tVich7PzeBIyTTzP9o9", "create...
["soccer", "uefa-champions-league", "la-liga", "uefa", "one-piece-stocks"]
0.25
0.5
1713473745282
0.02
CShiYwaR1JN6aGGVxqUGUUYcKYI3
0
0.7973871880327359
Nbtjf9vwCIGXBgRCeMSn
{"NO": 1408.0917064280068, "YES": 857.6143592012774}
1
will-apples-2024-wwdc-keynote-event
6205.044499030432
Will Appleโ€™s 2024 WWDC Keynote event be shot on iPhone?*
1718035200000
uIJzNc2HSqVoNyauFavghInE2Io2
cpmm-1
0
9.780234035838085
True
basic
YES
public
1713280683990
Adam
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "*In a similar manner to how their October 30th, 2023 event was shot on iPhone. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "To clarify, this resolves to yes if there is a message at the end of the Keynote that says ", "type": "...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.1244936238405594}
0
{"creatorFee": 24.536832965430026, "platformFee": 21.601643097491568, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1718045043093
1000
notadam
1718035200000
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆb30-94cc2c97e078
31
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1705045635894
0
[{"name": "๐ŸŽ Apple", "slug": "apple", "groupId": "OgtvgALKKOXZ2zOSdDih", "createdTime": 1713280684134}, {"name": "WWDC", "slug": "wwdc", "groupId": "f2674ed3-04ca-4aa9-9a0c-bc94cfce5c01", "createdTime": 1713280684146}, {"name": "๐Ÿ“ฑ WWDC 2024", "slug": "-wwdc-2024", "groupId": "49de1328-c259-49f7-addf-87115e888927", "c...
["apple", "wwdc", "-wwdc-2024", "technology-default"]
0.25
0.5
1718022745762
1713292926943
0.87
uIJzNc2HSqVoNyauFavghInE2Io2
0
M5pwgOxn4vS7U92uMxqi
lantern-bioworks-lumina-probiotic-d
12862.77464525901
Lantern Bioworks' Lumina ProBiotic: Does it work and does it have side effects? [Scott Alexander's possibilities]
1735718340000
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1713281339685
Joshua
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "blockquote", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Lantern Bioworks", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.lanternbioworks.com/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:u...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 118.5568380820361, "platformFee": 59.039763674435896, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
2635
Joshua
1719662874796
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ7d5-f5791800ee6f
90
1
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "a9df71b25bc1", "prob": 0.18084929619956258, "text": "Advance of approximately the same magnitude as fluoride", "index": 0, "poolNo": 95.60522572224153, "userId": "JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 433.0406011143949, "textFts": "'advanc':1 'approxim':3 'fluorid':8 'magnitud':6", "contr...
0.3333333333333333
1645516283433
0
[{"name": "Lantern Bioworks", "slug": "lantern-bioworks", "groupId": "ccbcf485-8ae0-41df-a6c2-c708b0436471", "createdTime": 1713281340045}, {"name": "Aella", "slug": "aella", "groupId": "PtIApT55aHEw0uQB4lNo", "createdTime": 1713281340052}, {"name": "๐Ÿ–ฅ๏ธ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwO...
["lantern-bioworks", "aella", "technology-default", "startups"]
0.25
1719662871661
1716455432466
False
old
0
BS41cNJFT3qSPLnjNKaJ
what-will-happen-to-the-uk-before-2
1557.2886093310021
What will happen to the UK before 2050?
2524636740000
UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713281396892
Jonathan Ray
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 15.337362110650897, "platformFee": 6.965611781512906, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1385
JonathanRay
1717416199740
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ4e6-c893d48ec660
20
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "97a383774f77", "prob": 0.4764225430831712, "text": "UK invades a foreign country with >10k ground troops", "index": 0, "poolNo": 69.3037189522228, "userId": "UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 76.16319893063678, "textFts": "'10k':7 'countri':5 'foreign':4 'ground':8 'invad':2 'troop':9...
0.3333333333333333
1647294987992
0
[{"name": "Futurism", "slug": "futurism", "groupId": "6UkuV4SnUF3NtbDmfVkV", "createdTime": 1713281397240}, {"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1713281397237}, {"name": "Long-term Markets", "slug": "longterm-markets", "groupId": "a972d1b7-f585-4e40-af47-ed32e...
["futurism", "uk-politics", "longterm-markets"]
0.25
1717416196570
1717081236484
False
0
6HBNN3HqDUNqUjY7ls3N
who-will-manifold-choose-to-win-in
529.7403987918167
Who will manifold choose to win in random 1V1 presidential election matchups
1735707540000
nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713281419584
James
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The first person is yes the second person is no. Please format all your answers the same way. I will start making polls 2 weeks from now and they will each last a week. I won't make all of them in two weeks so be warned.", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 2.6386144576578365, "platformFee": 2.6386144576578365, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
JamesF
1714961630215
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c
14
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "c61024789275", "prob": 0.267557049354325, "text": "Adolf Hitler V Joseph Stalin", "index": 0, "poolNo": 38.52191764279672, "userId": "nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 105.45454545454541, "textFts": "'adolf':1 'hitler':2 'joseph':4 'stalin':5 'v':3", "contractId": "6HBNN3HqDUNqUjY7ls3...
0.3333333333333333
1701462146149
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1713281419885}, {"name": "๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1713281419889}, {"name": "๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-defa...
["us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election", "politics-default"]
0.25
1714961626951
1713303709090
False
0
0.2832857144658745
aJKsC1SUxNpebZ6zGC3Q
{"NO": 170.00345497025845, "YES": 1805.820022016829}
0
will-the-manifold-pivot-be-announce-7bf0462d2607
1456.564301413662
Will the Manifold Pivot be announced before the Bitcoin halving happens?
1713576650398
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
1.5969421131908241
True
play
NO
public
1713281503559
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.04000000000000003}
0
{"creatorFee": 4.372139698416139, "platformFee": 4.372139698416139, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713576650398
360
strutheo
1713576650398
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆa8a-874f55f21b3d
13
0
0.3333333333333333
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ’™ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713281503710}, {"name": "๐Ÿ…ฑ๏ธ Bitcoin", "slug": "bitcoin", "groupId": "WBeBD6FyMd0NvSL0qjMb", "createdTime": 1713281503712}, {"name": "๐Ÿช™ Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", ...
["manifold-6748e065087e", "bitcoin", "crypto-speculation", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "manifold-business-future"]
0.25
0.5
1713576274877
1713576256032
0.04
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
0