Datasets:
CK0607
/
manifold_contracts

Dataset card Data Studio Files
xet
 Community
1
p
string
id
string
pool
string
prob
string
slug
string
volume
string
dpmPool
string
question
string
realAnte
string
closeTime
string
creatorId
string
mechanism
string
startPool
string
totalBets
string
dailyScore
string
elasticity
string
isResolved
string
marketTier
string
resolution
string
visibility
string
createdTime
string
creatorName
string
description
string
outcomeType
string
probChanges
string
subsidyPool
string
totalShares
string
collectedFees
string
phantomShares
string
volume24Hours
string
resolutionTime
string
totalLiquidity
string
creatorUsername
string
lastUpdatedTime
string
popularityScore
string
creatorAvatarUrl
string
likedByUserCount
string
uniqueBettorCount
string
cfmmConversionTime
string
uniqueBettorCountDay
string
addAnswersMode
string
answers
string
bountyLeft
string
bountyTxns
string
closeEmailsSent
string
conversionScore
string
coverImageUrl
string
creatorCreatedTime
string
deleted
string
followerCount
string
freshnessScore
string
groupLinks
string
groupSlugs
string
importanceScore
string
initialProbability
string
isPolitics
string
isRanked
string
isSubsidized
string
lastBetTime
string
lastCommentTime
string
loverUserId1
string
loverUserId2
string
matchCreatorId
string
nonPredictive
string
resolutionProbability
string
resolutions
string
resolverId
string
shouldAnswersSumToOne
string
sort
string
totalBounty
string
unlistedById
string
username
string
viewCount
string
wasDpm
string
PKycTCCNZJmGsbAo7g7R
which-will-leave-the-netflix-top-10-94b277091b49
26996.574235956254
Which will leave the Netflix Top 10 first: "3 Body Problem", or "The Tearsmith"?
1715732014035
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
387a17ebdf4b
public
1713324652324
Ziddletwix
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "S", "type": "text"}, {"text": "ource", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": ": The Netflix Top 10s. ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "TV (English)", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.netflix.com...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 6.543964145429234, "platformFee": 6.543964145429234, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1715732014035
240
Ziddletwix
1720053161621
0
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
10
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "387a17ebdf4b", "prob": 0.9999534638369338, "text": "3 Body Problem", "color": "#ffc107", "index": 0, "poolNo": 19228.638601885865, "userId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 0.894868705272529, "textFts": "'3':1 'bodi':2 'problem':3", "contractId": "PKycTCCNZJmGsbAo7g7R", "resolverId...
0.3333333333333333
1680369520541
0
[{"name": "📺 Television & Film", "slug": "television-film", "groupId": "EUSEngFk1dGGBfaMeAmh", "createdTime": 1713324652520}, {"name": "🎥 Movies", "slug": "movies", "groupId": "KSeNIu7AWgiBBM5FqVuB", "createdTime": 1713324652522}, {"name": "TV", "slug": "tv", "groupId": "8isZHbaQMsoFz30XuZTo", "createdTime": 17133246...
["television-film", "movies", "tv", "entertainment", "culture-default"]
0.25
1715732000988
1715732083604
{"387a17ebdf4b": 100}
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
True
0
0.7404897865354731
3lAxAeXsuR8lkhz9QqPg
{"NO": 2671.648716565356, "YES": 83.24584759033448}
1
will-eintracht-frankfurt-beat-fc-au
2836.454519575697
Will Eintracht Frankfurt beat FC Augsburg during regular time on Fri, Apr 19, 2024?⚽ Bundesliga 🇩🇪
1713562200000
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
cpmm-1
0
2.9550610205126873
True
play
YES
public
1713324833911
Franklin Baldo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Friday, April 19, 2024", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.010801942533675057}
0
{"creatorFee": 10.696100253995466, "platformFee": 10.696100253995466, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713563061433
260
FranklinBaldo
1713562200000
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c
10
0
0.3333333333333333
1659579722296
0
[{"name": "Bundesliga", "slug": "bundesliga-c6b3a5db36d2", "groupId": "7c53ccd3-1a40-41ca-bd88-dedac17a91a9", "createdTime": 1713324834058}, {"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1713324834084}]
["bundesliga-c6b3a5db36d2", "soccer"]
0.25
0.5
1713558429001
0.99
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
0
0.657390993701406
2QBn34ijz76flz5zA1b8
{"NO": 2215.396545667592, "YES": 42.93794489305674}
1
will-ludo-studios-release-another-e
2212.488523513562
Will Ludo Studios release another episode of “Bluey?”
1713844937618
7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2
cpmm-1
0
9.743950464547478
True
play
YES
public
1713326017975
Kevin Burke
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "There have been rumors that they are done following “The Sign” which concluded season 3.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NO if another studio acquires the Bluey IP and puts out episod...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.07313396989049537}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.9449000618238226, "platformFee": 2.9449000618238226, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713844937618
180
KevinBurke
1713844937618
0
https://firebasestorage.…943-2649cecf3291
6
0
0.3333333333333333
1668407142709
0
[{"name": "Bluey", "slug": "bluey", "groupId": "d9f32ec0-223c-4994-afea-f3c04f3725e6", "createdTime": 1713326018102}, {"name": "TV", "slug": "tv", "groupId": "8isZHbaQMsoFz30XuZTo", "createdTime": 1713326018114}]
["bluey", "tv"]
0.25
0.5
1713844932907
1713653962482
0.99
7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2
0
0.5707331920963645
lCF2631mj3fkzjUi6UgZ
{"NO": 56.92867401093645, "YES": 8518.557359442284}
0
will-klay-thompson-be-on-the-warrio
19982.216605392572
Will Klay Thompson be on the Warriors next year?
1719979506838
BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3
cpmm-1
0
9.580333045631926
True
basic
NO
public
1713327255173
Semiotic Rivalry
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In game 1. Merely apart of the roster, healthy or not.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": -0.1876962791428777, "month": -0.5354133436955388}
0
{"creatorFee": 205.0495612001373, "platformFee": 1.3341839136820837, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1719979506838
1000
SemioticRivalry
1719979506838
0
https://firebasestorage.…b1c-6adfb2a3dfaf
25
3
0.3333333333333333
1669063432873
0
[{"name": "NBA", "slug": "nba", "groupId": "i0v3cXwuxmO9fpcInVYb", "createdTime": 1713327255306}, {"name": "🏀 Basketball", "slug": "basketball", "groupId": "NjkFkdkvRvBHoeMDQ5NB", "createdTime": 1713327255310}, {"name": "Golden State Warriors", "slug": "golden-state-warriors-96b9254962d2", "groupId": "0e7bc4b6-aec0-43...
["nba", "basketball", "golden-state-warriors-96b9254962d2"]
0.25
0.5
1719862428894
1719978835024
0.01
BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3
0
hNxhxf9t4bNedJAFKTAW
which-company-will-have-the-leading
400.09918430064727
Which company will have the leading text-to-speech market share in Dec 2025?
1767254340000
M3uY3RCz0jSXiiXrMJx8oD4SHJo2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1713327521202
Łukasz Bartoszcze
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Feel free to add new options. Will resolve based on official sources indicating which of these had the highest market share. ", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 3.2243259135705227, "platformFee": 3.2243259135705227, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
ukaszBartoszcze
1715533199682
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJAzqOEpDemVFZnDaZ_a1yJBvJ9cAKEBP_qg6nYoNRIBSU=s96-c
20
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "c63768aada4f", "prob": 0.3540970678312296, "text": "ElevenLabs", "index": 0, "poolNo": 263.4246400695951, "userId": "M3uY3RCz0jSXiiXrMJx8oD4SHJo2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 480.5087725480689, "textFts": "'elevenlab':1", "contractId": "hNxhxf9t4bNedJAFKTAW", "createdTime": 1713327521202, "probChanges": {"da...
0.3333333333333333
1708276167391
0
[{"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1713327521466}, {"name": "💼 Business", "slug": "business", "groupId": "pmK8sntWL1SDkMm53UBR", "createdTime": 1713327521469}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "Ilz...
["entertainment", "business", "technology-default", "economics-default", "technical-ai-timelines"]
0.25
1715533196406
True
0
0.5503995039572263
DdJ9YRXKcrZzoPZebJng
{"NO": 117.8641342432293, "YES": 157.43743476556523}
0.4782111582066776
will-curtis-yarvin-publish-a-new-bo-7cae6f3262f4
95
Will Curtis Yarvin publish a new book by the end of 2025?
1767340740000
Cc1rw0NVHVS56Ew3MpW6g2L30pO2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713327618629
Werner Zagrebbi
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Reissues of existing works don't count.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.15279470649271598}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.4993433438278752, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
140
Khazar_Man_From_Turan
1718607803520
0
https://firebasestorage.…96d-ba93fcbf6c38
4
0
0.3333333333333333
1690839930269
0
[{"name": "Literature", "slug": "literature", "groupId": "OYHDMa75MB69MmmJxG0g", "createdTime": 1713327618813}]
["literature"]
0.25
0.5
1718607800399
0
0.38305718278495904
xg8j9ij5s6UhhXiwi1KT
{"NO": 706.0321944746352, "YES": 1718.106452608744}
0.20328156678820788
official-emoji-of-the-bisexual-flag
1020.6930646941724
Official emoji of the bisexual flag by EOY 2025?
1767254340000
gPSYNnNzGYcud85p9rXwirBmsGe2
cpmm-1
0
9.726569210514667
False
basic
public
1713328237721
Clark 🐶
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -0.10250992457147493}
0
{"creatorFee": 16.228106079227047, "platformFee": 3.5948372578009447, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Clark
1718661372716
0
https://firebasestorage.…351-d69f4c944781
22
0
0.3333333333333333
1701801194821
0
[{"name": "Design", "slug": "design", "groupId": "07f15121-570e-4ebc-a88a-b95e420d9b04", "createdTime": 1713328237899}, {"name": "Unicode", "slug": "unicode", "groupId": "962ad0ee-359e-48c1-9b26-7bd418a3a98a", "createdTime": 1713328237901}, {"name": "🍎 Apple", "slug": "apple", "groupId": "OgtvgALKKOXZ2zOSdDih", "creat...
["design", "unicode", "apple", "culture-default", "lgbtqia"]
0.25
0.5
1718661369693
1718661307828
0
Tkjl4HdQPhJZCgdrkHqx
golden-state-warriors-roster-on-ope
1182.7006279884895
Golden State Warriors roster on Opening Night 2024
1735718340000
7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713329322584
Kevin Burke
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve to players who are active for the first game of the year plus players on a long term contract and injured ", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 9.363854192847912, "platformFee": 0.6988125200221492, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
410
KevinBurke
1720136835288
0
https://firebasestorage.…943-2649cecf3291
9
2
ANYONE
[{"id": "234be7ec9a77", "prob": 0.9549815162356579, "text": "Stephen Curry", "index": 0, "poolNo": 182.14562355949198, "userId": "7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 8.586469641089359, "textFts": "'curri':2 'stephen':1", "contractId": "Tkjl4HdQPhJZCgdrkHqx", "createdTime": 1713329322585, "probCh...
0.3333333333333333
1668407142709
0
[{"name": "Golden State Warriors", "slug": "golden-state-warriors-96b9254962d2", "groupId": "0e7bc4b6-aec0-43d0-b6ca-6a0abd0f97da", "createdTime": 1713329322805}]
["golden-state-warriors-96b9254962d2"]
0.25
1720136832246
1713352018556
False
0
0.5000000000000001
YclXIxWL7wt6Ca3jJiZa
{"NO": 130.638983908439, "YES": 76.54682929108438}
0.630540199114075
will-the-nasdaq-composite-exceed-15
70.09090909090911
Will the nasdaq composite exceed 15000 points by the end of 2024?
1735718340000
nAvJSIWPmhNruNDH7Svb81POXXv2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1713329334449
Jonas Wang
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.6350535003259493, "platformFee": 0.6350535003259493, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
JonasWang
1714444721042
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLLu6Wb5H14uX8GKemaf4N4893MdXlrj5OXvkdeRexEXcU_Dw=s96-c
1
0
0.3333333333333333
1713328086559
0
[{"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1713329334701}]
["stocks"]
0.25
0.5
1714444717744
0
0.27299769886262454
PG50yOHvczKvwOhMH3cS
{"NO": 939.4111145379427, "YES": 1117.0722043379646}
0.23999999999999996
during-the-next-labour-government-w
1014.6997803194998
During the next Labour government, will there be a Foreign Secretary serving from the House of Lords?
2019743940000
2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83
cpmm-1
0
9.602130916602205
False
basic
public
1713329492636
Josh Wilkes
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Basically a la Cameron, who a lot of people have noticed is able to get out of the country without infringing on his (non-existent) duties as a constituency MP", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": -0.0016797642636483257, "month": -0.0016797642636489918}
0
{"creatorFee": 4.95573572964674, "platformFee": 4.830369803401106, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
JoshuaWilkes
1719838214238
0
https://firebasestorage.…516-65b151c295c8
13
1
0.3333333333333333
1662006482315
0
[{"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1713329492939}, {"name": "Labour Party (UK)", "slug": "labour-party-uk", "groupId": "a35479ab-848a-4d47-bbcf-21224112466d", "createdTime": 1713329492940}]
["uk-politics", "labour-party-uk"]
0.25
0.5
1719838185664
1719838212896
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0.947287872029669
3ctbwB0CZl1iN4FZ2PsU
{"NO": 1278.000181842406, "YES": 249.1448735620384}
1
will-jimmy-carter-be-alive-at-the-e-a6fdf6f7bc0c
1910.4133567390193
Will Jimmy Carter be alive at the end of the day on April 17?
1713411938654
ZjFfwNBZ65g8k6EOJjcMydO5Ebs1
cpmm-1
0
5.987103219093801
True
play
YES
public
1713329685100
Jimmy Carter Death Markets
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Changes are coming to a Jimmy market near you. - Just a couple more things. All changes will be done by Mar 7 or so or later than that or never. Prob at some point. ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type"...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.00999999999999901}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.03239343451725321, "platformFee": 0.03239343451725321, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713411938654
340
JCDM
1713411938654
0
https://firebasestorage.…31d-01d8ae732bec
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0
0.3333333333333333
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0
[{"name": "Longevity", "slug": "longevity", "groupId": "b8Ygbdfv5q2sQsZQGmkl", "createdTime": 1713329685564}, {"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1713329685566}, {"name": "Public Figures", "slug": "public-figures", "groupId": "sIbESq9CY...
["longevity", "entertainment", "public-figures", "jimmy-carter-daily", "jimmy-carter"]
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{"NO": 4700.886316699458, "YES": 92.27138292050722}
1
will-red-lobster-file-for-bankruptc
4560.200581713438
Will Red Lobster file for bankruptcy before the end of November?
1716213593883
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
YES
public
1713331809904
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-16/red-lobster-mulls-filing-for-bankruptcy-to-fix-balance-sheet", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-16/red-lobster-mulls-fil...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 8.122485946950528, "platformFee": 8.122485946950528, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1716213593883
1000
strutheo
1716213593883
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
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0
0.3333333333333333
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0
[{"name": "Bankruptcy", "slug": "bankruptcy", "groupId": "VwyOTIzlJdGa6AviEvZK", "createdTime": 1713331811299}, {"name": "🍝 Food", "slug": "food", "groupId": "F6DkK24HpilV3Et7xJv7", "createdTime": 1713331811298}, {"name": "Companies", "slug": "companies", "groupId": "GHdHJ6FMRw0TnBSvH0cP", "createdTime": 1713331811297...
["bankruptcy", "food", "companies", "business", "culture-default"]
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1715739272647
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what-team-will-win-arml-top-score-a
34784.75075469618
What team will win ARML (top score among both divisions)?
1717338487063
zp1E1BQdurZOf3q6B31CCTCEg1D2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.523165955420495
True
basic
b5a8faab6722
public
1713333248424
Tanishq Pauskar
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 336.37710724923784, "platformFee": 96.3349538078332, "liquidityFee": 0}
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1717338487063
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TanishqPauskar
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134.38009339647047
🎧 AirPods Max 2 Predictions
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cpmm-multi-1
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basic
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1713358060216
Probajoelistic
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cpmm-1
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9.727168045224275
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1713358354502
Sky Velleity
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Many poorly-received trinkets in the startup space drop their original retail price substantially (I will consider anything over 40% substantial, such as the price drop of the Juicero from $700 to $399) in order to gain traction.", "type": "text"}]...
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MKT
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1713358401061
EBurk
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Will a higher court overturn or rule unconstitutional Trump's gag order in the Hush Money case?
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cpmm-1
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1713358585460
Daniel
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James Gillespie
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Does conflict make life more interesting?
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1713361258882
Quantum Gambler
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21eef14d16e2
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1713361503825
VerySeriousPoster
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When will SpaceX’s Starship orbit the Moon
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cpmm-multi-1
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play
public
1713361640849
Xavier Belleville
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will SpaceX put a Starship in Moon Orbit no matter the variant used.", "type": "text"}]}]}
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MKT
public
1713361825086
Ayush Shah
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Which avatar will I pick to use on manifold?
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cpmm-multi-1
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1713362079198
Kongo Landwalker
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1713362668120
Xavier Belleville
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[2024 Formula 1 Season] Will the gap between 1st and 2nd in qualifying be 0.1 seconds or less at the Chinese GP?
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{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if the gap between the final times of qualifying in 1st and 2nd is exactly equal to 0.100 seconds, or less.", "type": "text"}]}]}
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[2024 Formula 1 Season] Will Perez qualify within 0.350 seconds or outqualify Max Verstappen at the Chinese GP?
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[2024 Formula 1 Season] Will Russell qualify in a higher position than Hamilton at the Chinese Grand Prix?
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[2024 Formula 1 Season] Will both Ferrari drivers beat Sergio Perez at the Chinese Grand Prix?
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[2024 Formula 1 Season] Will Max Verstappen win the Chinese Grand Prix with a 10+ second lead?
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{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Verstappen wins the race in China, with a gap of 10 seconds or more crossing the finish line to the car in second place.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Verstappen has a pen...
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