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GT4Gdylnhc3twwVDwq7C | which-dota-2-team-will-win-riyadh-m | 0 | Which Dota 2 team will win Riyadh Masters 2024? | 1725224340000 | 8U9B3F3RSeNq4qJPfoCDncFMcB62 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713281770341 | McLovin | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://liquipedia.net/dota2/Riyadh_Masters/2024", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://liquipedia.net/dota2/Riyadh_Masters/2024", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decorati... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 150 | McLovin | 1713282533288 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "2326cdde8834", "prob": 0.16666666666666666, "text": "BetBoom Team", "index": 0, "poolNo": 15, "userId": "8U9B3F3RSeNq4qJPfoCDncFMcB62", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 75, "textFts": "'betboom':1 'team':2", "contractId": "GT4Gdylnhc3twwVDwq7C", "createdTime": 1713281770341, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "m... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1712615479507 | 0 | [{"name": "Dota 2", "slug": "dota-2", "groupId": "knyIzWI8Wb2zaGLCYmTd", "createdTime": 1713281770573}, {"name": "Competitive Gaming", "slug": "competitive-gaming", "groupId": "7vSEGilQmpMq424N9ohx", "createdTime": 1713281770588}, {"name": "Esports", "slug": "esports", "groupId": "XmzXsWcpvMK0PSBDNpVc", "createdTime": ... | ["dota-2", "competitive-gaming", "esports"] | 0.25 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
DkoOje6Jn8BbNq9KVLu7 | when-you-see-a-market-about-the-piv | 0 | When you see a market about the Pivot, do you immediately think of Friends? | 1713938340000 | qnREWtzsdkOkzrR2k0jEe0EDp5j1 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1713282023722 | Chris 🥌 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2Fjf10fex_zc.png?alt=media&token=c84336d2-bb89-400d-8dfa-82540e07e34c", "title": null}}, {"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713938340560 | chris | 1713282023722 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fcjsedwards%2F0rr7gruUWz.19?alt=media&token=8dfba163-ccec-436f-8af3-57f4cf25db11 | 17 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697241046761 | 0 | 0.25 | ["bb2796f87454"] | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5716580093397806 | TFmWXMpzZbr9gQ7eVKoe | {"NO": 254.6529426505567, "YES": 163.58757812978527} | 0.6750624341067945 | will-a-juror-in-one-of-the-trump-tr | 55 | Will a juror in one of the Trump trials allege harassment before the election? | 1730872740000 | jpyISdL4APOg3400CHUBgylhwU32 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713282395641 | Hyperlincoln | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve YES if a juror in any current or future trial of Donald Trump complains of harassment related to their jury service. The complaint may be made publicly (such as through a media announcement) or privately (such as through a ... | BINARY | {"day": 8.881784197001252e-16, "week": 8.881784197001252e-16, "month": 8.881784197001252e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.17352867472162142, "platformFee": 0.17352867472162142, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | Hyperlincoln | 1713815437868 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690992837377 | 0 | [{"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1713282395798}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1713282395807}, {"name": "🐘 Republican Party", "slug": "magaland", "g... | ["donald-trump", "2024-us-presidential-election", "magaland", "trial-of-the-century"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713815434368 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
M0Qvh2Jb2et9fLVg6Utz | what-will-happen-before-july-relati | 5901.117740416713 | What will happen before July relating to the motion to vacate Mike Johnson? [ADD ANSWERS] | 1719861900000 | FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1713282398250 | Savior of Plant | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "On April 16, Thomas Massie sponsored the motion to vacate Mike Johnson: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/04/16/congress/massie-joins-greene-00152463", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"hre... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 34.338894622332276, "platformFee": 24.03699701348808, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719862037345 | 1465 | SaviorofPlant | 1719861900000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c | 43 | 2 | ANYONE | [{"id": "34f2462f6d93", "prob": 0.07, "text": "The motion to vacate (not a motion to table) will be voted on by the full House", "index": 0, "poolNo": 28.74747475531072, "userId": "FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 386.6616874135543, "textFts": "'full':16 'hous':17 'motion':2,7 'tabl':9 'vacat... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698371327350 | 0 | [{"name": "Speaker of the House election", "slug": "speaker-of-the-house-election", "groupId": "0mpTdoHFiEzLBSKBYdXr", "createdTime": 1713282398455}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1713282398457}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default",... | ["speaker-of-the-house-election", "us-politics", "politics-default", "118th-congress"] | 0.25 | 1719858680381 | 1715205184170 | 0.1 | FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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JyR0aiwpkzHo8bMHyZYV | which-dota-2-team-will-win-the-inte | 70 | Which Dota 2 team will win The International 2024? | 1730494740000 | 8U9B3F3RSeNq4qJPfoCDncFMcB62 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713282509467 | McLovin | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2024", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2024", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:de... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.7323506650547202, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 170 | McLovin | 1718984861580 | 0 | 4 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "b409b5940f2e", "prob": 0.3295619139636704, "text": "Team Spirit", "index": 0, "poolNo": 23.516107164477216, "userId": "8U9B3F3RSeNq4qJPfoCDncFMcB62", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 47.83955065910715, "textFts": "'spirit':2 'team':1", "contractId": "JyR0aiwpkzHo8bMHyZYV", "createdTime": 1713282509467, "probChange... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1712615479507 | 0 | [{"name": "Esports", "slug": "esports", "groupId": "XmzXsWcpvMK0PSBDNpVc", "createdTime": 1713282509666}, {"name": "Dota 2", "slug": "dota-2", "groupId": "knyIzWI8Wb2zaGLCYmTd", "createdTime": 1713282509688}, {"name": "Competitive Gaming", "slug": "competitive-gaming", "groupId": "7vSEGilQmpMq424N9ohx", "createdTime": ... | ["esports", "dota-2", "competitive-gaming"] | 0.25 | 1718984857971 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
bPLtYlnjzRvQNdcbE6T8 | when-will-a-gpt4-class-model-run-on | 3761.5054739975994 | When will a GPT-4 class model run on a single consumer PC? | 1719760290804 | ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1713284008868 | Oleg Eterevsky | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The market will resolve positively when a LLM model appears which fulfils the following conditions:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "orderedList", "attrs": {"start": 1}, "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 24.91937912912631, "platformFee": 17.74906336131037, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719760290804 | 1250 | OlegEterevsky | 1719760463712 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIrKQfky4Nxm2Qdsu7P1OOt8lDYh7dkqk19iplCCt_FEXxn=s96-c | 29 | 1 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "e9f356a5ee70", "prob": 0.77, "text": "Before 2025", "index": 0, "poolNo": 404.8485699003216, "userId": "ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 122.46660311229051, "textFts": "'2025':2", "contractId": "bPLtYlnjzRvQNdcbE6T8", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1",... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1703105455482 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1713284009113}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1713284009115}, {"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 17132840... | ["technology-default", "ai", "openai", "technical-ai-timelines"] | 0.25 | 1719612683841 | 1719760462362 | 0.94 | ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1 | False | alphabetical | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.322857010579822 | 6NFb1CjfQ1yKxRdQpJ5F | {"NO": 169.37851214744094, "YES": 1963.1708938484026} | 0 | will-silksong-be-in-the-20240417-ni | 2035.8040708891635 | Will Silksong be in the 2024-04-17 Nintendo Indie World? | 1713368943674 | K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.4394550984212255 | True | play | NO | public | 1713284211565 | Tetra | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.25999999999999995} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713368943674 | 400 | Tetraspace | 1713369010438 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1642130392212 | 0 | [{"name": "🎮 Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1713284211734}, {"name": "Nintendo", "slug": "nintendo", "groupId": "RP9YmNIFe88Grg68Ivp2", "createdTime": 1713284211729}, {"name": "Silksong", "slug": "silksong", "groupId": "jEa492Msts89rFyWDHy0", "createdTime": 1713284211742},... | ["gaming", "nintendo", "silksong", "hollow-knight"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713365692776 | 1713369009459 | 0.04 | K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
N9XSDXxRxwj7HIhgiRZv | wie-viele-punkte-bekommt-tizi-in-de | 132.823612239599 | Wie viele Punkte bekommt Tizi in der Kunst Abi Prüfung? | 1713477540000 | WZ9xSbo0stUaXfBvnrEUirHRmSf1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | CHOOSE_MULTIPLE | public | 1713284289425 | Luca | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717686914520 | 180 | Lucac8a8 | 1713477540000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLaK1JBEhKX4hF0pP1D_hdYKyoU4ktjyQTHXOAizTxEUJqwSQ=s96-c | 5 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "c18b00188360", "prob": 0.010507848758890546, "text": "0-1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.9460441965863744, "userId": "WZ9xSbo0stUaXfBvnrEUirHRmSf1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 183.25306184687025, "textFts": "'-1':2 '0':1", "contractId": "N9XSDXxRxwj7HIhgiRZv", "resolverId": "WZ9xSbo0stUaXfBvnrEUirHRmSf1", "create... | 10 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1712754244969 | 0 | [{"name": "📝 Tests/Exams", "slug": "-testsexams", "groupId": "e292209d-28ad-4716-97ef-fedfe370dd5e", "createdTime": 1713284289674}, {"name": "Arts", "slug": "arts", "groupId": "rvlLWOxULpzwHIaMDePa", "createdTime": 1713284289676}, {"name": "Germany", "slug": "germany", "groupId": "0egO7eYCaC5HnLwGN8tR", "createdTime":... | ["-testsexams", "arts", "germany", "deutsch"] | 0.25 | 1713359630500 | 1713494957676 | {"a61b6610ad3d": 50, "d4ffa0cddf1f": 50} | WZ9xSbo0stUaXfBvnrEUirHRmSf1 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8587595963738177 | EPiMcCc3ynTCaTZWae4w | {"NO": 1304.8682172925317, "YES": 916.7348141848149} | 0.8964199895185344 | will-the-copenhagen-historic-stock | 683.3430552854129 | Will the Copenhagen historic stock exchange be rebuilt? | 1767221940000 | jG6jdINhZ2O7DmqUddB9cybjdUc2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.963690391288853 | False | basic | public | 1713284417601 | Ludwig Bald | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Today, the famous Copenhagen historic stock exchange building went up in flames. It's still burning as I write this market.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-68824189", "type": "t... | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.8943637110275113, "platformFee": 0.8943637110275113, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | LudwigBald | 1714340036175 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpdAg-oPQf3A6u2xC_7JJtocc_1tFMo_JAoBMaahtM=s96-c | 13 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1662038987680 | 0 | [{"name": "construction", "slug": "construction", "groupId": "87c3b859-264c-42c4-93ee-9b170817893d", "createdTime": 1713284417793}, {"name": "Denmark", "slug": "denmark", "groupId": "yUgDbT0OBXc982lOq9Nz", "createdTime": 1713284417812}, {"name": "Europe", "slug": "europe", "groupId": "ue52QI4BQgJgAJJNjLHr", "createdTim... | ["construction", "denmark", "europe", "disasters", "politics-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714340032594 | 1713286394769 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5792781171586185 | KiRswFDDgymHqKeRzU8C | {"NO": 573.6898231687821, "YES": 25.053284747678436} | 1 | will-i-find-my-calibration-in-a-wee | 466.1913167103641 | Will I find my Calibration in a week? | 1713287011209 | 9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.9899342915609313 | True | play | YES | public | 1713285602417 | Kongo Landwalker | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713287011209 | 140 | KongoLandwalker | 1713287051067 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1681038287526 | 0 | [{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713285602698}, {"name": "Calibration", "slug": "calibration", "groupId": "e89acbd8-5aad-4d47-a29a-b28f707efc24", "createdTime": 1713285602817}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "calibration"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713286728418 | 1713287050523 | 0.97 | 9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
WsYXtwbox2ydXXByAE5g | what-will-be-the-outcome-of-the-tic | 381.6514251994725 | What will be the outcome of the TicketMaster/Live Nation anti-trust lawsuit by the DoJ? | 1735718340000 | cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1713286001799 | Dan | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date may be extended as long as the outcome is unclear. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "IMPORTANT: ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}, {"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": "This ma... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.366677074408843, "platformFee": 1.851618964105765, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | DanMan314 | 1716560590185 | 0 | 13 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "569108df7551", "prob": 0.3226266092510635, "text": "Judgement in favor of the Justice Department", "index": 0, "poolNo": 106.97691130935435, "userId": "cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 224.60426718577224, "textFts": "'depart':7 'favor':3 'judgement':1 'justic':6", "contractId": "WsYX... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1673046794414 | 0 | [{"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1713286002010}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1713286002011}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiq... | ["economics-default", "politics-default", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 1716560586486 | True | prob-desc | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
zgZgUNpR6gU8L8Ps2NEp | what-will-i-regret-about-the-format | 0 | What will I regret about the format of my lawsuit outcome markets? | 1713561526895 | cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1713286695417 | Dan | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I've been creating a lot of \"what will be the outcome of X lawsuit\" markets. I think this was an unfilled niche. mostly because it's very difficult to enumerate all possible outcomes of a lawsuit.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"typ... | BOUNTIED_QUESTION | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713561526895 | DanMan314 | 1713286695417 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ["11cOsZkRy0agIUqlodzK"] | 0.3333333333333333 | 1673046794414 | 0 | 0.25 | cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1 | 1000 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.492051476154429 | vscAsZUkW4M4HOAJW3gR | {"NO": 110.90909090909088, "YES": 130.00000000000003} | 0.4524886877828058 | will-there-be-a-mattel-theme-park-i | 10 | Will there be a Mattel theme park in Kansas that's open before 2027? | 1798876740000 | Fz12fyQzT0cnfaSp2iOYvLsYmTi1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713286739508 | Andrew Smith | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.usatoday.com/story/travel/experience/theme-parks/2024/03/20/mattel-adventure-park-kansas-city-plans/73040185007/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.usatoday.com/story/travel/experience/theme-park... | BINARY | {"day": 3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": 3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": 3.3306690738754696e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | asmith | 1713288892870 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1672111268287 | 0 | [{"name": "Theme Parks", "slug": "theme-parks", "groupId": "103f1fd1-ecde-486b-8ac8-c88313de7a52", "createdTime": 1713286739686}, {"name": "Barbie", "slug": "barbie", "groupId": "d662a047-8f87-4821-bcc0-e353b5c6edbf", "createdTime": 1713286739683}, {"name": "Mattel", "slug": "mattel", "groupId": "a4399909-1655-4d84-bd6... | ["theme-parks", "barbie", "mattel", "toys", "kansas"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713288889619 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5588065437729874 | 8WQ9EI59008IIqU85UEd | {"NO": 177.59785483610295, "YES": 112.39511455094404} | 1 | will-flamengo-beat-sao-paulo-during | 98.78620099280018 | Will Flamengo beat Sao Paulo during regular time on Thu, Apr 18, 2024?⚽ Brasileirão 🇧🇷 | 1713406705682 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.194240673366231 | True | play | YES | public | 1713287305474 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Flamengo vs Sao Paulo", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Thursday, April 18, 2024", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": "lis... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.3599999999999999} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.118389567171202, "platformFee": 0.118389567171202, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713409408841 | 140 | FranklinBaldo | 1713409410484 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "Campeonato Brasileiro 2023", "slug": "campeonato-brasileiro-2023", "groupId": "xWEyMWqCz0zV6HW6ZRFY", "createdTime": 1713287305639}, {"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1713287305644}] | ["campeonato-brasileiro-2023", "soccer"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713382397833 | 1713409409918 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.23772417914214625 | sw37wKqx5UlwMo7rrwbW | {"NO": 70.31228331272553, "YES": 1705.9159092578152} | 0.012690770517481987 | polymarket-iran-nuke-by-july-31 | 1764.9570529310247 | [Polymarket] Iran Nuke by July 31? | 1719867540000 | mUIasYUSZAeX1onF3WLcxTGKyc32 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713287501639 | Guuber | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market is a direct copy of a market from Polymarket (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-nuke-by-july-31/iran-nuke-by-july-31?tid=1713287316208", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https:/... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.0651288360370485, "month": -0.0651288360370485} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.0956905094971585, "platformFee": 1.0313473016633483, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | Guuber3 | 1719855157058 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp4nTYTAAFTAO0Klhu7qYlB3dZkzzDXYRTf4iM1A=s96-c | 9 | 4 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1672015856234 | 0 | [{"name": "Iran", "slug": "iran", "groupId": "E1hI0LQPWmoAcpvhcjHa", "createdTime": 1713287501792}] | ["iran"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719855153443 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | 4mIELrJwtIrvAAoptlmr | {"NO": 90.90909090909089, "YES": 110} | 0.4524886877828055 | will-summoner-receive-a-new-gem-sum | 0 | Will Summoner receive a new gem summon in Dawntrail? | 1719719940000 | hNGM3Ys150SDsA68tlWIdxXKQU62 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713287573481 | Jade Harley | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Gem summons are summons such as Ifrit, Garuda, and Titan that take place during the intermediate periods of a Summoner's rotation. Variants of Bahamut or Phoenix would not count.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | jade | 1713287588988 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJDddJsLArWnI64rT-34IYOkgG8J5FZKBVP_DBpkCZTGDI=s96-c | 0 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698556866935 | 0 | [{"name": "FFXIV", "slug": "ffxiv", "groupId": "8ab81ba4-31c8-465c-baf1-ab434120e5ea", "createdTime": 1713287573791}, {"name": "Final Fantasy XIV", "slug": "final-fantasy-xiv", "groupId": "716bd899-bd15-45ad-ae2b-eb7ef87794fa", "createdTime": 1713287573818}, {"name": "MMORPG", "slug": "mmorpg", "groupId": "680469bf-3c9... | ["ffxiv", "final-fantasy-xiv", "mmorpg", "dawntrail"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4765267554048816 | tDmrD0cTjrD3qww4Q7Vq | {"NO": 130.91256638347346, "YES": 198.61925729681957} | 0.37500082754660474 | polymarket-tesla-robotaxi-unveiling | 85 | [Polymarket] Tesla Robotaxi unveiling delayed? | 1723237140000 | mUIasYUSZAeX1onF3WLcxTGKyc32 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713287620394 | Guuber | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market is a direct copy of a market from Polymarket (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://polymarket.com/event/robotaxi-launch-delayed/robotaxi-launch-delayed?tid=1713287549942", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "h... | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.759609872692784, "platformFee": 0.759609872692784, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | Guuber3 | 1715290789161 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp4nTYTAAFTAO0Klhu7qYlB3dZkzzDXYRTf4iM1A=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1672015856234 | 0 | [{"name": "Tesla Robotaxi", "slug": "tesla-robotaxi", "groupId": "5576d5af-3f37-4aa8-a026-36bfeb101417", "createdTime": 1713287620560}] | ["tesla-robotaxi"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715290785910 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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iLcS0NGUtWlzcb4qodO1 | will-manifold-have-regular-public-s-9e6d5a2e3485 | 3858.6441000661075 | Will Manifold have regular public stand-ups again in 2024? | 1714615755976 | yhvV0TjNf6bDzOBBZ5cHGu1sPlF3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | a87b5aa02bd0 | public | 1713287912169 | case | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Since Austin's departure and/or the impending announcement of a pivot, Manifold has no longer been doing public stand-ups. I really enjoyed following along with updates that way, I wonder if/when they will come back.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.6990435614646145, "platformFee": 0.6990435614646145, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714615755976 | 200 | case | 1720053161621 | 0 | 5 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "a87b5aa02bd0", "prob": 0.9987959190481351, "text": "Public stand-ups", "color": "#8bc34a", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2532.0423211225334, "userId": "yhvV0TjNf6bDzOBBZ5cHGu1sPlF3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 3.0524593363224994, "textFts": "'public':1 'stand':3 'stand-up':2 'up':4", "contractId": "iLcS0NGUtWlzcb4qo... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698605440324 | 0 | [{"name": "Manifold Business Future", "slug": "manifold-business-future", "groupId": "aGIBFhmmK82IYTv136ib", "createdTime": 1713287912364}] | ["manifold-business-future"] | 0.25 | 1714596266066 | 1714596290223 | {"a87b5aa02bd0": 100} | yhvV0TjNf6bDzOBBZ5cHGu1sPlF3 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.11103466823168892 | 2AwNHs3zKXxdkF9BNhAZ | {"NO": 755.4967909197644, "YES": 5110.609983289109} | 0 | will-djt-trump-media-tech-group-cor | 4510.118932533922 | Will DJT (Trump Media & Tech Group Corp stock) get below $1 per share by the end of June 2024? | 1719784740000 | 4whKWb3H9zU6BW4b2jrtc9VKxOT2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.504208630597127 | True | basic | NO | public | 1713288221654 | Omar B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.047412415468359816, "month": -0.047412415468359816} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 9.674875643010315, "platformFee": 3.527530163492732, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719941694179 | 1000 | OmarB | 1719784740000 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697294914972 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1713288221965}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1713288221963}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTi... | ["technology-default", "stocks", "donald-trump"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719760785944 | 1719941586639 | 0.02 | 4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GLHWTP8wEXwUUv6oJALR | which-otj-cards-will-be-added-to-vi | 3852.639084746029 | Which OTJ cards will be added to Vintage Cube in 2024? | 1714853474765 | DdNmYsHS8abslE7JkyB9uGR2yI63 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1713288280294 | ChameLeon | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Each option resolves when the card is added to any iteration of the MTG Online Vintage Cube during 2024.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "LSV's choices:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 11.197157842475626, "platformFee": 11.197157842475626, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714853474765 | 420 | ChameLeon | 1714853474765 | 0 | 8 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "9b69312fe7c8", "prob": 0.99, "text": "Caustic Bronco", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1524.4485158962593, "userId": "DdNmYsHS8abslE7JkyB9uGR2yI63", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 15.398469857537975, "textFts": "'bronco':2 'caustic':1", "contractId": "GLHWTP8wEXwUUv6oJALR", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "DdNmYsHS8abs... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1687492460991 | 0 | [{"name": "Magic: The Gathering", "slug": "magic-the-gathering", "groupId": "MdtQjq1MZ1T3zBP1QqMF", "createdTime": 1713288280860}, {"name": "MTGO", "slug": "mtgo", "groupId": "4f4099c7-5199-4b5a-aec0-4cbe83059a5f", "createdTime": 1713288280862}, {"name": "Vintage Cube", "slug": "vintage-cube", "groupId": "31bd4165-4d97... | ["magic-the-gathering", "mtgo", "vintage-cube"] | 0.25 | 1714768015871 | 1714853446250 | 0.99 | DdNmYsHS8abslE7JkyB9uGR2yI63 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9J5xvjSeArzihkJReqrm | what-will-be-true-about-agi-and-lon | 2004.4521428300613 | What will be true about AGI and longevity in 2040? | 2209103940000 | ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1713288373168 | Oleg Eterevsky | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "AGI is currently generally expected to appear some time in 2030s: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "Gtv5mhjKaiLD6Bkvfhcv", "label": "/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708"}}, {"text": " ", "typ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 19.558215791598833, "platformFee": 9.116684008037346, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | OlegEterevsky | 1719630160774 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIrKQfky4Nxm2Qdsu7P1OOt8lDYh7dkqk19iplCCt_FEXxn=s96-c | 31 | 1 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "55769633d2ec", "prob": 0.41289683769932994, "text": "AGI is not developed", "index": 0, "poolNo": 224.3568954746155, "userId": "ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 319.01586737999236, "textFts": "'agi':1 'develop':4", "contractId": "9J5xvjSeArzihkJReqrm", "createdTime": 1713288373168, "... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1703105455482 | 0 | [{"name": "🧪 Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1713288373408}, {"name": "Longevity", "slug": "longevity", "groupId": "b8Ygbdfv5q2sQsZQGmkl", "createdTime": 1713288373420}, {"name": "AGI", "slug": "agi", "groupId": "3cbc32f4-d3ca-405d-882a-dcdb194eb74f", "createdTime... | ["science-default", "longevity", "agi", "longterm-markets", "technology-default"] | 0.25 | 1719630157697 | 1713647927215 | False | old | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
rZCmgLJMaENxIw3HWO35 | gaslight-v-gatekeep-v-girlboss-stoc | 87.73230353144496 | Gaslight v. Gatekeep v. Girlboss Stock | 4102552740000 | HoOjRjOQjQWNmwdqhkGzYzvhaSw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713288475865 | TheSchwa | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Trades on sentiment and never resolves.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Let's see what Manifold identifies most with over time.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.5117217653664037, "platformFee": 0.4205414500206117, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | TheSchwa | 1719639791257 | 0 | 3 | 1 | DISABLED | [{"id": "5ee0c1177f7b", "prob": 0.16959043701071053, "text": "Gaslight", "index": 0, "poolNo": 20.876163294938536, "userId": "HoOjRjOQjQWNmwdqhkGzYzvhaSw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 102.2213630922368, "textFts": "'gaslight':1", "contractId": "rZCmgLJMaENxIw3HWO35", "createdTime": 1713288475865, "probChanges": {"day... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1712888273551 | 0 | [{"name": "Meme Stocks", "slug": "meme-stocks", "groupId": "524e08a3-3589-4267-9009-818d6c89cfa4", "createdTime": 1713288476061}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1713288476059}, {"name": "Public Opinion", "slug": "public-opinion", "groupId": "... | ["meme-stocks", "permanent-markets", "public-opinion", "fun"] | 0.25 | 1719639787330 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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nHUlYJdtLNFgCQZVNskc | what-caused-the-recent-flooding-in | 1672.6879355023555 | What Caused the Recent Flooding in Dubai? | 1714320235944 | 13plihwXYbcbcOexVdT6FwxILnn2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1713296918731 | siraben | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution Criteria", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve based on the primary cause of the recent flooding in Dubai as identified by a consensus of reliable news sour... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 11.594370287223432, "platformFee": 11.594370287223432, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714320235944 | 925 | siraben | 1714337098793 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIs4A4vujbdVB1d-wqB5ZbOQIv-B3jMwt3yjf6luBMT=s96-c | 33 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "a850b6873eb4", "prob": 0.8471666646092741, "text": "Abnormal increased rainfall (due to climate change)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 404.4278651801917, "userId": "13plihwXYbcbcOexVdT6FwxILnn2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 72.96092037444276, "textFts": "'abnorm':1 'chang':7 'climat':6 'due':4 'increas':2 'rainfal':... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1708742436044 | 0 | [{"name": "🪸 Climate", "slug": "climate", "groupId": "97oNExy8iFftY2EgdkLw", "createdTime": 1713296918957}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1713296918966}, {"name": "🐪 Middle East", "slug": "middle-east", "groupId": "xg8wCPeM9JP6gD0igBrA", "cr... | ["climate", "technology-default", "middle-east"] | 0.25 | 1714319388900 | 1714337097146 | 0.1 | 13plihwXYbcbcOexVdT6FwxILnn2 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
i6FXt8wtknCEjKqxYeaC | which-of-these-senate-races-are-rep | 0 | Which of these Senate races are Republicans most likely to win? | 1713941940000 | S4Dca8uEDWYskc9fYENrheTcFg82 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1713297643801 | Mark Hamill | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713941940911 | MarkHamill | 1713957917818 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1670287347607 | 0 | [{"name": "US Congressional Elections 2024", "slug": "us-congressional-elections-2024", "groupId": "UpLaDRTMY4UNum0OacuT", "createdTime": 1713297643988}, {"name": "2024 US Election", "slug": "2024-us-election", "groupId": "ys6IcrjWOTkhcjR3JLFk", "createdTime": 1713297643990}, {"name": "US Senate", "slug": "us-senate", ... | ["us-congressional-elections-2024", "2024-us-election", "us-senate"] | 0.25 | 1713957916485 | ["65ec9e48e447"] | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
AepUvcxm82QKaXGVJjBZ | a-libertadores-2024-game-will-be-in | 20 | A Libertadores 2024 game will be interrupted due to a pitch invasion by a… | 1733108340000 | 1sBnzLsfAed16J3KEMigQKnndzf1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713297974178 | andyou | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Libertadores has a longstanding tradition of games being interrupted because of dogs / cats / bees etc invading the playing pitch", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "What will happen in 2024 ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.14235677576048322, "platformFee": 0.14235677576048322, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 145 | andyou | 1714665037477 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKXCXETCRnFjDt69a3uSS49HEu_awSvWgDQrqwaYqSU=s96-c | 2 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "20a6a0443ad8", "prob": 0.3415018549518627, "text": "Dog", "index": 0, "poolNo": 18.00359622345513, "userId": "1sBnzLsfAed16J3KEMigQKnndzf1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 34.715286448479034, "textFts": "'dog':1", "contractId": "AepUvcxm82QKaXGVJjBZ", "createdTime": 1713297974178, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1696855143750 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1713297974395}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1713297974397}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 171... | ["soccer", "football", "sports-default", "latin-america"] | 0.25 | 1714665034198 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
QlftzzHDKIi06j9xeFgh | how-much-will-these-movies-gross-do | 2210.3721066325643 | How much will these movies gross (domestic) during the weekend of April 19 - 21? [ADD RESPONSES] | 1714094891291 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1713298129457 | Ziddletwix | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Source: ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "BoxOfficeMojo domestic gross for the weekend of April 19 - 21.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/2024W16/?ref_=bo... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.721734146793948, "platformFee": 7.721734146793948, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714094891291 | 390 | Ziddletwix | 1714094914873 | 0 | 9 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "aa62c6003f7c", "prob": 0.010000000000000002, "text": "Civil War : >$12 million", "index": 0, "poolNo": 6.8775274083883815, "userId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 680.8752134304497, "textFts": "'12':3 'civil':1 'million':4 'war':2", "contractId": "QlftzzHDKIi06j9xeFgh", "resoluti... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680369520541 | 0 | [{"name": "Box-Office", "slug": "boxoffice", "groupId": "IbCVuDeG5LtAeh5NcH0w", "createdTime": 1713298129884}, {"name": "🎥 Movies", "slug": "movies", "groupId": "KSeNIu7AWgiBBM5FqVuB", "createdTime": 1713298129930}, {"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly"... | ["boxoffice", "movies", "entertainment", "culture-default", "television-film"] | 0.25 | 1714092367564 | 1714094914391 | 0.99 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
nFtTHHVFLQIQ4YQvjT8j | which-countries-will-have-a-lower-a | 326.8073133981713 | Which countries will have a lower annual GDP per capita than Guyana in any year before 2050 | 2082787140000 | ci3npTDMBMMxuFGR5Fxs4BcCesJ3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713299155060 | Adam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Guyana is going through something of an economic transformation; GDP per capita is rising double digit percentages year on year. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Country must be listed here: ", "type": "te... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 770 | Adam | 1713304687187 | 0 | 2 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "5a84f549d204", "prob": 0.23584905660377364, "text": "Finland", "index": 0, "poolNo": 13.888888888888893, "userId": "ci3npTDMBMMxuFGR5Fxs4BcCesJ3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 45, "textFts": "'finland':1", "contractId": "nFtTHHVFLQIQ4YQvjT8j", "createdTime": 1713299155060, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, ... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1644873136142 | 0 | 0.25 | 1713304683948 | 1713300035358 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
tf4lVM67VbZUrYww5ngo | which-war-will-start-in-2024-april | 0 | Which war will start in 2024 (April 2024 update) | LuPTAI6V7CXuYdZfRlD8N4G7Qk72 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1713299616243 | Nick Allen | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | NickAllenc961 | 1713300607481 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLXRehhnCBU6ZDuSEv4pLGf0IAFcyQEOOk1kcBpXbkZ=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1703458959667 | 0 | 0.25 | 1713300606769 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
mrLwzim2xxzjxth35qSq | will-creating-this-test-market-work | 0 | Will creating this test market work? | 1713299890007 | K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | 3a43e82068d9 | public | 1713299872541 | Tetra | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713299890007 | 100 | Tetraspace | 1720053161621 | 0 | 0 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "3a43e82068d9", "prob": 0.5, "text": "Yes", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 50, "userId": "K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 50, "textFts": "'yes':1", "contractId": "mrLwzim2xxzjxth35qSq", "resolverId": "K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3", "createdTime": 1713299872541, "probChange... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1642130392212 | 0 | 0.25 | 1713299895319 | {"3a43e82068d9": 100} | K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
AJlNgocPORlIG6dBGTm5 | will-creating-this-test-market-work-97eebd26fa05 | 0 | Will creating this other test market work? | 1713300092509 | K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1713300075363 | Tetra | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713300092509 | 100 | Tetraspace | 1713300101609 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "91ee47543a59", "prob": 0.5, "text": "Yes", "index": 0, "poolNo": 33.333333333333336, "userId": "K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 33.333333333333336, "textFts": "'yes':1", "contractId": "AJlNgocPORlIG6dBGTm5", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3", "created... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1642130392212 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4272505813749751 | yyY6E23sljbR6tpWNuow | {"NO": 29.779819942693848, "YES": 1367.207033430623} | 0 | at-the-end-of-season-12-april-will | 2084.736277692754 | At the end of Season 12 (April), will my earned Mana amount cause both promotion and demotion from Diamond ? | 1714626345672 | WdW6XfWw74QP4AkjKrXkTL3fq0v1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1713302397996 | Mich | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I just noticed something that surprised me (see screenshots). Not that I didn’t know that it was technically possible, but I thought it was too extreme to be likely.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"te... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 13.329272471998948, "platformFee": 13.329272471998948, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714626345672 | 180 | Mich | 1714626345672 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJH-sOGQLlaWmZ06V2GS3Eph-iwWYUqqiPvrD86D3wnIg=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1702591853953 | 0 | [{"name": "Manifold Leagues", "slug": "manifold-leagues", "groupId": "quyvUYBABGdermzFJ0Zl", "createdTime": 1713302398148}, {"name": "Platinum League", "slug": "platinum-league", "groupId": "ae17e701-0abb-4974-8bbb-505a34ba1303", "createdTime": 1713302398161}, {"name": "Diamond League", "slug": "diamond-league", "group... | ["manifold-leagues", "platinum-league", "diamond-league"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714609380470 | 1714626304213 | 0.02 | WdW6XfWw74QP4AkjKrXkTL3fq0v1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3375965681138121 | RULPK0g10L9sTwUBqj4z | {"NO": 750.4275690422007, "YES": 1284.716477175124} | 0.22940509896942124 | one-year-after-the-pivot-will-over | 4621.528737751578 | Six months after the pivot, will 50% of legacy Manifold users report they like the site more than before the changes? | 1731805140000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.780839266999351 | False | basic | public | 1713303465377 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Changes include:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Economy modifications", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"... | BINARY | {"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": 0.06940509896942124} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 48.226678438004214, "platformFee": 29.193777961082517, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | strutheo | 1718933243076 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1713303465528}, {"name": "Manifold Business Future", "slug": "manifold-business-future", "groupId": "aGIBFhmmK82IYTv136ib", "createdTime": 1713303465530}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-... | ["manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "manifold-business-future", "manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-users", "manifold-drama"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718933239964 | 1718673064297 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.2850207114333707 | hQiVyY9jnU2a8J19S9Al | {"NO": 919.168976992207, "YES": 1176.5857092572599} | 0.2374712215086879 | in-his-life-will-dan-schneider-ever | 210 | In his life, will Dan Schneider ever work on another kids show? | 2398399140000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.604001175198068 | False | basic | public | 1713315202262 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Context: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Quiet on Set (2024)", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.imdb.com/title/tt31193442/?ref_=ext_shr_lnk", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-4... | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.9531171453110714, "platformFee": 1.1171573661588416, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | mattyb | 1717108679737 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "📺 Television & Film", "slug": "television-film", "groupId": "EUSEngFk1dGGBfaMeAmh", "createdTime": 1713315202406}, {"name": "TV", "slug": "tv", "groupId": "8isZHbaQMsoFz30XuZTo", "createdTime": 1713315202411}, {"name": "🪦 Death markets", "slug": "death-markets", "groupId": "ibrUJxhFICxDAsXYC7eB", "createdT... | ["television-film", "tv", "death-markets", "children", "nickelodeon"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717108676401 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
BZxnlb3TUrIb6aFJHVWI | short-fuse-what-do-i-pay-in-trading | 2210 | [Short fuse] What % do I pay in trading fee when I buy with 1000 mana ? | 1713377497732 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | 0fb67f53d271 | public | 1713315757033 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolve according to the % trading fee that I will pay when I buy Yes with 1000 mana on the Biden Election market. (after the trading fee is reintroduced again)", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"},... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.808287897786219, "platformFee": 5.808287897786219, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713377497732 | 360 | AmmonLam | 1713391684479 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 6 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "06078fb0ebd3", "prob": 0.0011920439404461713, "text": "0.2% or lower", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.3760712029924775, "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1153.0035253053597, "textFts": "'0.2':1 'lower':3", "contractId": "BZxnlb3TUrIb6aFJHVWI", "resolverId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668192587343 | 0 | 0.25 | 1713377489598 | 1713391683664 | {"0fb67f53d271": 100} | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
LFEGGEYiGzaGf0wjhC9V | who-will-win-the-2024-hsnct | 114939.86867679555 | Who will win the 2024 HSNCT? | 1716483600000 | VVVj8BOvZ9fpuy8r85wokS8xSUk1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 7.4486246240455865 | True | basic | 3f6f557e4db2 | public | 1713315877722 | benny feldman | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "this is to get an accurate polling of quiz bowl teams in preparation for nationals on memorial day weekend.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(for new people)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"t... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 749.5746424872087, "platformFee": 578.4310635911357, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716773775822 | 8255 | bennyfeldman16fc | 1716774207128 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKViBsoVJW9s5yb0hcxjSQJBryRPLo5vyrBNOGNYquYFWs=s96-c | 84 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "3f6f557e4db2", "prob": 0.1313206330128021, "text": "Barrington A (IL)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 759.024186244478, "userId": "VVVj8BOvZ9fpuy8r85wokS8xSUk1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 5020.906726596025, "textFts": "'barrington':1 'il':3", "contractId": "LFEGGEYiGzaGf0wjhC9V", "resolverId": "VVVj8BOvZ9fpuy8r85wo... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700528925403 | 0 | [{"name": "quiz bowl", "slug": "quiz-bowl", "groupId": "342cd361-c4f1-4a33-accd-15825386a03d", "createdTime": 1713315878147}] | ["quiz-bowl"] | 0.25 | 1716483583572 | 1716774204182 | {"3f6f557e4db2": 100} | VVVj8BOvZ9fpuy8r85wokS8xSUk1 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5ArS6xihjxt53tWBVVV0 | is-chatgpt-generating-an-image-of-a-f77a8504c373 | 2947.1759898322625 | Is ChatGPT generating an image of a far-right, center-right, center-left, or far-left political rally? Part 4: Italy | 1714528950306 | wUb31hi72zgolOqxm88HDZAP9zy1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1713316187468 | VerySeriousPoster | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I asked ChatGPT to generate an image of a far-right, center-right, center-left, or far-left Italian political rally. I may have had to change the wording a bit to get ChatGPT to agree to generate it, but the prompt unambiguously lines up with one o... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 22.15308922987021, "platformFee": 22.15308922987021, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714528950306 | 880 | VerySeriousPoster | 1714530044522 | 0 | 21 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "7244543c09ed", "prob": 0.06, "text": "Far-right", "index": 0, "poolNo": 27.213263892542436, "userId": "wUb31hi72zgolOqxm88HDZAP9zy1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 400.78037035301907, "textFts": "'far':2 'far-right':1 'right':3", "contractId": "5ArS6xihjxt53tWBVVV0", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "wUb31hi72... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1681990719923 | 0 | [{"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1713316187801}, {"name": "ChatGPT", "slug": "chatgpt", "groupId": "lG71NUBORXAsxGmQZo77", "createdTime": 1713316187815}, {"name": "DALLE3", "slug": "dalle3", "groupId": "2eecc88f-7aec-43e1-b9c4-d9349b466734", "createdTime": 1713316187812... | ["ai", "chatgpt", "dalle3"] | 0.25 | 1714492723461 | 1714530042680 | 0.06 | wUb31hi72zgolOqxm88HDZAP9zy1 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Nh5npDZDkuDK4HZVlfzO | smiley-faces-are-cool | 0 | smiley faces are cool | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1713316267712 | jim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | jim | 1713316267862 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690863320225 | 0 | [{"name": "social etiquette", "slug": "social-etiquette", "groupId": "2fcd9a0a-505d-4ce1-b1cb-8d21e1ff3733", "createdTime": 1713316267862}] | ["social-etiquette"] | 0.25 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4927780088334266 | 0JkmtQnoXF72AgzROHsc | {"NO": 14.746560871380922, "YES": 1418.3361959052029} | 0 | will-chicago-sky-beat-indiana-fever | 1958.3145022313752 | Will Chicago Sky beat Indiana Fever? 🏀 WNBA | 1717285352073 | sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1713316721564 | The Official | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 10.973108733522134, "platformFee": 0.508685407319308, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717285352073 | 140 | 10thOfficial | 1717285352073 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1682437068858 | 0 | [{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1713316721742}, {"name": "🏀 Basketball", "slug": "basketball", "groupId": "NjkFkdkvRvBHoeMDQ5NB", "createdTime": 1713316721940}, {"name": "WNBA", "slug": "wnba", "groupId": "e5117cba-382d-4eb0-87a9-16e16bad081b", "creat... | ["sports-default", "basketball", "wnba"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717285340826 | 0.01 | sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6229644236237302 | jjEaJg3hwQYbxLKFw4xU | {"NO": 1044.4326649298384, "YES": 968.2381521834998} | 0.6405842589002286 | will-bts-perform-together-before-20 | 128.36727286579261 | Will BTS perform together before 2026? | 1767247140000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.64988159684334 | False | basic | public | 1713317034568 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Context: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "When do BTS return from military service? Jungkook and Jimin are last members to join South Korean army", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.standard.co.uk/showbiz/bts-ju... | BINARY | {"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.15066892090699693, "platformFee": 0.15066892090699693, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | mattyb | 1714489392471 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "Music Artists", "slug": "music-artists", "groupId": "2j0sKR6KW5zW2RofbGNE", "createdTime": 1713317034713}, {"name": "South Korea", "slug": "south-korea", "groupId": "kV57SoDVhV0XmMPpECLz", "createdTime": 1713317034722}, {"name": "Concerts", "slug": "concerts", "groupId": "aa05e60c-bca0-4692-869b-dc6960a1d01d... | ["music-artists", "south-korea", "concerts", "music-f213cbf1eab5", "entertainment"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714489389311 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | 652ROEvk3vpZSiEP0bTU | {"NO": 75.42857142857139, "YES": 132.57575757575756} | 0.36262981539678246 | will-the-main-hsnct-market-result-i | 44 | IGNORE | 1713317825671 | tvryjnfNYycru3mFvxSkgJIyufv2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.763644367564262 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1713317658283 | Jacob G-W | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.13737018460321754} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713317825671 | 120 | g_w1 | 1713317853889 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcQW8guQ8TArAMBfj3YCynoHdUHTkhfe7MqCmZqqEb8de0=s96-c | 2 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690473036811 | 0 | [] | [] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713317740465 | 1713317839207 | 0.36 | tvryjnfNYycru3mFvxSkgJIyufv2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.46903867266217153 | 6air92EEiv0gfR6jIbbU | {"NO": 1009.3081164887406, "YES": 988.2525010111037} | 0.4742922250930347 | will-the-new-york-times-use-the-wor | 154.1768226672144 | Will the New York Times use the word “polycule” in another heading or subheading in 2024? | 1735711140000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.609484728038865 | False | basic | public | 1713317788304 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Context: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Lessons From a 20-Person Polycule", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/04/15/magazine/polycule-polyamory-boston.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&r... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.012227496821546446} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.9860176064740103, "platformFee": 1.0888895429592134, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | mattyb | 1718369702823 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "Dating", "slug": "dating", "groupId": "j3ZE8fkeqiKmRGumy3O1", "createdTime": 1713317788462}, {"name": "News", "slug": "news", "groupId": "586c2ce6-5e77-441a-b7ba-922fd387e3be", "createdTime": 1713317788453}, {"name": "Polymarket", "slug": "polymarket", "groupId": "yeQpbHOQhxPyQifhmJrY", "createdTime": 171331... | ["dating", "news", "polymarket", "new-york-times", "lgbtqia"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718369699693 | 1713329671225 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.30646049423081134 | jkm1A9Vt7N1yrpaWSfAo | {"NO": 152.08564438275425, "YES": 532.1406667963169} | 0.1121283095099501 | will-i-have-a-heart-attack-or-strok | 522.8952774986383 | Will I have a heart attack or stroke in the next five years if I continue on a ruminant diet? | 1872305940000 | qJXuygUKaOPZy1CQjW2mdGO6Wpt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713318077542 | Elspeth | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I currently (as of 2024-04-16) derive over 90% of my calories from ruminant sources, mainly in the form of beef and cream. If I continue this, will I have a heart attack or stroke before 2029-05-01? I'm under 50 years old, and I don't drink alcohol... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0.003678031433456519, "month": 0.003678031433456491} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.6560820754196209, "platformFee": 0.5478903189181442, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 240 | Elspeth | 1719874098405 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2YW8OqjQHKeOg__RKSHtatt46deQK-sc3X4I5x=s96-c | 9 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668378966771 | 0 | [{"name": "🍝 Food", "slug": "food", "groupId": "F6DkK24HpilV3Et7xJv7", "createdTime": 1713318077841}, {"name": "🫀 Health", "slug": "health", "groupId": "JpUqUqRn9sSWxrk0Sq35", "createdTime": 1713318077839}] | ["food", "health"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719874095097 | 1713464098074 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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T1Fm6sEi4XA1CFGrVWEI | who-would-win-in-a-hotdog-eating-co | 0 | Who would win in a hotdog eating contest? (Important) | 1713934740000 | K0KCr92BGefCWfQQMfGNnzlekqj2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1713320190711 | Bryce Bowe (md39) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Important poll for research purposes", "type": "text"}]}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713934740935 | BryceBowemd39 | 1713814138399 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJhbEJumjVRrU0h7b1J0GkylMGdjhSJJ97AgaoNKUho47w=s96-c | 52 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700283330093 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1713320190896}] | ["politics-default"] | 0.25 | 1713814137699 | ["d5979f20e4b2"] | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
NO7LE9VqdyXYurTnoZeW | what-year-will-we-see-negative-inte | 523.9752752129804 | What year will we see negative interest rates again? | 1893427140000 | qj5ctKEv2YWTZja2erttLPpuCUZ2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1713322511942 | No one | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "With Japan recently having raised rates there are no longer any countries left with subzero interest rates. This market runs to 2030, if no country has lowered interest rates by then it resolves to 2030 or later.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "para... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.3478433115867026, "platformFee": 1.3478433115867026, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | No_ones_ghost | 1713472212458 | 0 | 10 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "19099cd5d6a5", "prob": 0.029318781042067067, "text": "2024", "index": 0, "poolNo": 15.919537454115135, "userId": "qj5ctKEv2YWTZja2erttLPpuCUZ2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 527.0613399320737, "textFts": "'2024':1", "contractId": "NO7LE9VqdyXYurTnoZeW", "createdTime": 1713322511942, "probChanges": {"day": -1.0... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1707663681697 | 0 | [{"name": "Monetary Policy", "slug": "monetary-policy", "groupId": "oJ2sEwn985io95dLwJhp", "createdTime": 1713322512172}, {"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1713322512176}, {"name": "Central Banks", "slug": "central-banks", "groupId": "Vmf3Hz40CnpV62j... | ["monetary-policy", "economics-default", "central-banks", "interest-rates"] | 0.25 | 1713472209040 | 1713367265614 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6D5CW5ueKK87UxEbPYCJ | is-trumps-court-cases-helping-his-c | 127.4699628409634 | Is trumps court cases helping his campaign or making it worse | 1717214340000 | GP1mqw9nqobiZs7GwiMi4XtZIuI2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | 86ee2f2651be | public | 1713322880035 | shua deitsch | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.5258209298403467, "platformFee": 0.5258209298403467, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717690231554 | 200 | shuadeitsch | 1717214340000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJJ9cIt8uhRgsjgSbmHDMUDHIWrS3Rh6RM6CsAMjRNdpZEgepXG=s96-c | 5 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "86ee2f2651be", "prob": 0.30521996229840775, "text": "Better", "index": 0, "poolNo": 32.69750931659269, "userId": "GP1mqw9nqobiZs7GwiMi4XtZIuI2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 74.43018007295308, "textFts": "'better':1", "contractId": "6D5CW5ueKK87UxEbPYCJ", "resolverId": "GP1mqw9nqobiZs7GwiMi4XtZIuI2", "createdT... | 2 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1713291677468 | 0 | [{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1713322880408}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1713322880411}] | ["us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election"] | 0.25 | 1713760398683 | 1713377084030 | {"86ee2f2651be": 100} | GP1mqw9nqobiZs7GwiMi4XtZIuI2 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4226110691628227 | ATk7GHwfHSSYvj1047eZ | {"NO": 43.63074082082333, "YES": 2152.8041541557154} | 0 | will-shogun-episode-10-a-dream-of-a | 2218.595564100791 | Will Shogun Episode 10 ∙ "A Dream of a Dream" ∙ have a 9.3 or better iMDB rating? | 1714284000000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 8.118267863505906 | True | play | NO | public | 1713323255322 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In honor of Dan, who appears to have deleted his account 🌸", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Episode Airs 4/23/2024", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "co... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.4140554099832083} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.26440501745012, "platformFee": 7.26440501745012, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714309558284 | 260 | mattyb | 1714284000000 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1713323255516}, {"name": "🇯🇵 Japan", "slug": "japan", "groupId": "H5HOzbMpcIAwGLGICGAQ", "createdTime": 1713323255535}, {"name": "Shogun", "slug": "shogun-48d1578c348e", "groupId": "958543fd-6d57-4... | ["entertainment", "japan", "shogun-48d1578c348e", "hulu", "tv"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714280153041 | 1714309553197 | 0.01 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
HjsDLpiSIkHebmL42MSQ | first-puker | 99.70510796640532 | First puker? | 1713931140000 | 9PDZ9DYMOoS2tQ4DmGKa6RGYmyR2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713323974872 | Eliza Holt | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 225 | ElizaHolt | 1713331411364 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKadXFh5egNmAdvo8Thb3edFA804P3pEV5ftQFAQSmg6HzJxw=s96-c | 4 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "4ba9749ee10a", "prob": 0.23454228453176146, "text": "Pranay (LeCock)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 26.43554497171119, "userId": "9PDZ9DYMOoS2tQ4DmGKa6RGYmyR2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 86.27566624756606, "textFts": "'lecock':2 'pranay':1", "contractId": "HjsDLpiSIkHebmL42MSQ", "createdTime": 1713323974872, "prob... | 11 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1713323631619 | 0 | [{"name": "World War Twea @ Duke [April 19, 2024]", "slug": "world-war-twea-duke-april-19-2024", "groupId": "c50ddb31-bb19-4f8c-8e0f-770cbb7a5907", "createdTime": 1713324023732}] | ["world-war-twea-duke-april-19-2024"] | 0.25 | 1713331408135 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mn4OvLCdDwqZEqw8eRq2 | beyonces-act-iii-mega-market | 170 | Beyoncé’s Act III [Mega Market] | 1767247140000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713324032208 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Beyoncé is releasing a 3-part album series, which has included the following entries:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "orderedList", "attrs": {"start": 1}, "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Renai... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.1361708438960643, "platformFee": 0.34916511074852286, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 325 | mattyb | 1717244154967 | 0 | 3 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "803e72a92607", "prob": 0.5, "text": "Released before 2026", "index": 0, "poolNo": 25, "userId": "oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 25, "textFts": "'2026':3 'releas':1", "contractId": "Mn4OvLCdDwqZEqw8eRq2", "createdTime": 1713324032208, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "Music Artists", "slug": "music-artists", "groupId": "2j0sKR6KW5zW2RofbGNE", "createdTime": 1713324033262}, {"name": "🎷 Music", "slug": "music-f213cbf1eab5", "groupId": "Xuc2UY8gGfjQqFXwxq5d", "createdTime": 1713324033260}, {"name": "Albums", "slug": "albums", "groupId": "f6392778-adeb-48c7-9208-30569c411e42... | ["music-artists", "music-f213cbf1eab5", "albums", "entertainment", "beyonce"] | 0.25 | 1717244151826 | False | liquidity | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | 0 |
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