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0.2851794317135278 | MqHJpapTs2Mu1BvyLGiG | {"NO": 926.3440308976041, "YES": 1111.4677936863995} | 0.24953308420744832 | will-the-first-agi-be-a-large-langu | 3414.175259632319 | Will the first AGI be a large language model? | 2211724740000 | qj5ctKEv2YWTZja2erttLPpuCUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.551681479193388 | False | basic | public | 1713456551131 | No one | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "AGI strictly refers to strong AI that surpasses or matches humans at every task. Any architecture that primarily relies on using next-token prediction, such as GPT 4 or Claude 3 would count as an LLM. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 45.99152890137115, "platformFee": 45.99152890137115, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | No_ones_ghost | 1714689046914 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1707663681697 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1713456551277}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1713456551288}, {"name": "AGI", "slug": "agi", "groupId": "3cbc32f4-d3ca-405d-882a-dcdb194eb74f", "createdTime": 1... | ["technology-default", "ai", "agi"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714491756675 | 1714689045304 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.13286457029971452 | BOw4MZnqXO7AhpODGxU3 | {"NO": 908.1665478238507, "YES": 1419.4604973098244} | 0.08927908981906428 | will-rfk-jr-get-more-votes-than-ros | 1234.8367332717064 | Will RFK Jr. get more votes than Ross Perot did in 1992? | 1730872740000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.018577955333525 | False | basic | public | 1713456872036 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "1992 presidential election", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1992_United_States_presidential_election", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hove... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0.003124689748964196, "month": -0.011026161183018385} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 10.002510081427637, "platformFee": 8.40995428835333, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | mattyb | 1719881707688 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "2024 US Election", "slug": "2024-us-election", "groupId": "ys6IcrjWOTkhcjR3JLFk", "createdTime": 1713456872200}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1713456872204}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDq... | ["2024-us-election", "politics-default", "us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election", "robert-f-kennedy-jr"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719881704163 | 1713583524593 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
KPPboBV9BUUiyQ6NtzcT | when-can-android-auto-convert-a-scr | 200 | When can Android automatically convert a screenshot to a contact card using LLM+Vision? | 1830412740000 | kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713457733494 | Ernie | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "While using my phone I often get screens which clearly imply I need to create a new contact. Today, that's a lot of work clicking around, yet LLM+vision is already good enough to do it all for me, if the parts were connected.", "type": "text"}]}, ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.093548574679414, "platformFee": 2.093548574679414, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 245 | Ernie | 1713549213592 | 0 | 2 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "2fb38c8194b3", "prob": 0.04238414870924272, "text": "H1 2024", "index": 0, "poolNo": 8.810508673889386, "userId": "kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 199.06222068844593, "textFts": "'2024':2 'h1':1", "contractId": "KPPboBV9BUUiyQ6NtzcT", "createdTime": 1713457733494, "probChanges": {"d... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668384110640 | 0 | [{"name": "Feature Requests", "slug": "feature-requests", "groupId": "429b0a3b-fa6b-4fb9-9ffb-7e534ef76381", "createdTime": 1713457733861}, {"name": "Google", "slug": "google-ef2cf716540e", "groupId": "z9iJRHLx9TdW3uh6pttp", "createdTime": 1713457733858}, {"name": "Android (mobile OS)", "slug": "android-mobile-os", "gr... | ["feature-requests", "google-ef2cf716540e", "android-mobile-os", "products", "requests-for-inventions"] | 0.25 | 1713459795917 | 1713458192039 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.39074088865062695 | jbzEG4B7RiE9414V2nu7 | {"NO": 91.47239984555459, "YES": 367.5253981551169} | 0.13764915151950816 | will-ameya-run-a-mile-in-60000-or-f | 1540 | Will Ameya run a mile in 6:00.00 or faster before Jan 1, 2025 | 1735793940000 | psWQluMJn0gBQffR8QbHxcB8BA53 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713458145143 | Matt White | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 12.20317188743433, "platformFee": 12.20317188743433, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | MattWhite | 1713462361877 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIuKHvICLjl_iUe8eevEVfS2TYrm7HqfrkPNbFyezyVUA=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700259724385 | 0 | [{"name": "Running", "slug": "running", "groupId": "PaaoqRhsQCCuJW5JjRsl", "createdTime": 1713458145339}] | ["running"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713462358569 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.37109537032680556 | FU6vUeUSLrNvkI1Ns3fg | {"NO": 769.204846542963, "YES": 1898.3945034479075} | 0.19295428395074304 | will-bitcoin-btc-reach-100k-before | 6200.452110372688 | Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach $100k before the end of 2024? | 1735707540000 | WSC5NWEmAEXhUdSXeOoJYvzCkGO2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 8.796172212224649 | False | basic | public | 1713458450038 | Hillary Clinton | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches $100,000 or more at anytime before 12/31/24.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution Source will be the all time high (ATH) per Coingecko:", "type": "t... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.052844999108571766, "month": -0.15141843624547646} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 103.11432346051141, "platformFee": 42.91955665432235, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1100 | HillaryClinton | 1720140773276 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1713377673183 | 0 | [{"name": "Bitcoin maxi", "slug": "bitcoin-maxi", "groupId": "q6y2Gz8Wmy4nZwtfmpHt", "createdTime": 1713458450311}, {"name": "🪙 Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1713458450307}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTim... | ["bitcoin-maxi", "crypto-speculation", "stocks", "btc", "bitcoin"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720140770213 | 1714176856922 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.589466759667108 | mCCutllFld7vv4n2nL3a | {"NO": 1064.8385369087719, "YES": 943.2705223680513} | 0.618452909157726 | will-bitcoin-btc-reach-100k-before-3e63688c6e2e | 1230.962756687658 | Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach $100k before the end of 2025? | 1767243540000 | WSC5NWEmAEXhUdSXeOoJYvzCkGO2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.739903982897971 | False | basic | public | 1713458627456 | Hillary Clinton | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches $100,000 or more at anytime before 12/31/25, 11:59pm UTC.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution Source will be the all time high (ATH) per Coingecko:... | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 25.383882209823813, "platformFee": 13.24547690701638, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | HillaryClinton | 1717608951803 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1713377673183 | 0 | [{"name": "Bitcoin maxi", "slug": "bitcoin-maxi", "groupId": "q6y2Gz8Wmy4nZwtfmpHt", "createdTime": 1713458627607}, {"name": "Btc", "slug": "btc", "groupId": "23a43802-042a-4c5b-80b4-001187365dc9", "createdTime": 1713458627606}, {"name": "🪙 Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "cre... | ["bitcoin-maxi", "btc", "crypto-speculation", "stocks", "bitcoin"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717608948682 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6857809277080561 | ytOaPHPNLFO5FFxzDnlo | {"NO": 961.259428836954, "YES": 990.524189533749} | 0.6792828106382689 | if-israel-attacks-iran-within-3-mon | 822.7107161838452 | If Israel attacks Iran within 3 months, will anyone be killed as a result of the attack? | 1721365140000 | HBFt77FEJING7HsvkAywz5Y1Fmt2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.587025398140462 | False | basic | public | 1713458920426 | Noah | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question will resolve YES if an Israeli attack on Iran within 3 months leads to a death as a direct result of the attack. If no direct deaths are reported as a result of the attack, this will resolve NO.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragrap... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.033199081462112034} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 14.14635114906883, "platformFee": 9.75263527667086, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Noah1 | 1718871700738 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKJwFnQN8HIH6Jd9snKrXij62lTfW7yDni_tRTd2ku7WA=s96-c | 15 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1699627416651 | 0 | [{"name": "Iran", "slug": "iran", "groupId": "E1hI0LQPWmoAcpvhcjHa", "createdTime": 1713458920621}, {"name": "🇮🇱 Israel", "slug": "israel", "groupId": "ECjphikMbmosJsDAAJoU", "createdTime": 1713458920619}, {"name": "Arab-Israeli Conflict", "slug": "arabisraeli-conflict", "groupId": "aheUmZtjkKBkeiXwIFhI", "createdTim... | ["iran", "israel", "arabisraeli-conflict", "wars"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718871697641 | 1718871696195 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
eEgTMVa9WQHKLEhO1iJ5 | do-you-trust-intellectuals-and-expe | 0 | Do you trust intellectuals and expertise? | 1713946878608 | fM5S4OgOpuSgLSFew8jfWREVGj83 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1713458961703 | t-bird | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This will resolve the following market:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/tbird/does-manifold-trust-intellectuals-a", "frameBorder": 0}}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713946920652 | tbird | 1713947025156 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJjMYLd65kow9CkcK3y2zMckGDSOjo6sPgbufTKzPWZ=s96-c | 151 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1707599674716 | 0 | [{"name": "Information war", "slug": "information-war", "groupId": "cf0a2667-a795-4b9a-82e9-70c775a99e8b", "createdTime": 1713458961851}, {"name": "Culture War", "slug": "culture-war", "groupId": "DEHK9bp6pMlniVYuHPKI", "createdTime": 1713458961855}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnp... | ["information-war", "culture-war", "politics-default", "culture-default", "science-default"] | 0.25 | 1713947024482 | ["01426aae3e77"] | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4448110746799117 | lA4gYcNIY3zynsgW2NHk | {"NO": 69.24305124435976, "YES": 391.0189992678954} | 0.12424921903088414 | if-israel-attacks-iran-within-3-mon-9183bd7ec019 | 272.4167564243121 | If Israel attacks Iran within 3 months, will 15+ people be killed as a result of the attack? | 1721365140000 | HBFt77FEJING7HsvkAywz5Y1Fmt2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713458976950 | Noah | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question will resolve YES if an Israeli attack on Iran within 3 months leads to 15+ deaths as a direct result of the attack. If less than 15 deaths are reported as a result of the attack, this will resolve NO.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "pa... | BINARY | {"day": -2.0816681711721685e-16, "week": -2.0816681711721685e-16, "month": -2.0816681711721685e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.8403943678729697, "platformFee": 2.8403943678729697, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | Noah1 | 1713533686077 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKJwFnQN8HIH6Jd9snKrXij62lTfW7yDni_tRTd2ku7WA=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1699627416651 | 0 | [{"name": "🇮🇱 Israel", "slug": "israel", "groupId": "ECjphikMbmosJsDAAJoU", "createdTime": 1713458977119}, {"name": "Arab-Israeli Conflict", "slug": "arabisraeli-conflict", "groupId": "aheUmZtjkKBkeiXwIFhI", "createdTime": 1713458977132}, {"name": "Iran", "slug": "iran", "groupId": "E1hI0LQPWmoAcpvhcjHa", "createdTim... | ["israel", "arabisraeli-conflict", "iran", "wars"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713533682717 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ZCC7HyeVD4QPQYLhYeg2 | who-will-be-the-first-quarterback-s | 282.1323857827852 | Who will be the first quarterback selected in the 2025 NFL Draft? | 1745553540000 | Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713459971826 | Alexander Miller | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.975995461541378, "platformFee": 4.316115869171784, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 370 | AlexanderMiller | 1717847465216 | 0 | 7 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "6d83bfa610fa", "prob": 0.25928862432365507, "text": "Carson Beck", "index": 0, "poolNo": 33.798599906371976, "userId": "Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 96.55266403563239, "textFts": "'beck':2 'carson':1", "contractId": "ZCC7HyeVD4QPQYLhYeg2", "createdTime": 1713459971827, "probChang... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698758419090 | 0 | [{"name": "NFL Draft", "slug": "nfl-draft", "groupId": "6489a62f-1dcd-4e12-bb31-7f28c7c87983", "createdTime": 1713459972042}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1713459972039}, {"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime"... | ["nfl-draft", "football", "nfl", "sports-default", "college-football"] | 0.25 | 1717847462039 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8773468375614007 | zNhykVIoEDly6ev8JLRb | {"NO": 3889.637245988837, "YES": 769.0385607891742} | 0.9731029144084105 | will-mike-johnson-still-be-speaker-0d33acf7efce | 3140.5116286907733 | Will Mike Johnson still be speaker of the House when Trump's Vice President Running Mate is announced? | 1722484740000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.331834128956682 | False | basic | public | 1713461430404 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0.004413615961044837, "week": 0.004413615961044837, "month": 0.01897550849979146} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 10.828977614388421, "platformFee": 7.018897429139784, "liquidityFee": 0} | 500 | 1000 | strutheo | 1720227632953 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1713461430596}, {"name": "Speaker of the House election", "slug": "speaker-of-the-house-election", "groupId": "0mpTdoHFiEzLBSKBYdXr", "createdTime": 1713461430598}, {"name": "🥈Trump VP", "slug": "trump-vp", "groupId": "91cb... | ["donald-trump", "speaker-of-the-house-election", "trump-vp", "magaland", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720227629469 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.633030391711096 | JgOYS5O2NlodAbzIcNSx | {"NO": 175.49960771610947, "YES": 166.57247502894649} | 0.645071707116817 | will-meta-release-the-weights-of-ll | 681.7358045992112 | Will Meta release the weights of Llama 3 405B by EOY 2024? | 1735714740000 | pLZXxPAsqoaChQCdti0g5wGH7Ff2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713462197077 | amonguspotion9 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to YES if the weights of Llama 3 405B are made available before 1 Jan 2025, NO otherwise.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0.009750630799975846, "month": 0.009750630799975846} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 10.698501976847707, "platformFee": 9.261188796909805, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | amonguspotion9 | 1720147114079 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIBziMr6IduqZzPnsXLYW8Z_v8U0TijMcQPIhB59SIv=s96-c | 10 | 2 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1704345150645 | 0 | [{"name": "LLama 3", "slug": "llama-3", "groupId": "a4563e75-0768-4783-ac78-c45e4a46e287", "createdTime": 1713462197302}] | ["llama-3"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720147111013 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
TP15bNDFjmXfkgjivyv9 | who-will-speak-at-the-democratic-na | 1998.6231488229714 | Who will speak at the Democratic National Convention? [Add Answers] | 1724389140000 | P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713463453911 | houstonEuler | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Any person who gives a speech on stage during the Democratic National Convention, being held in Chicago from August 19th - August 22nd, 2024, will resolve YES.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 20.647178276145056, "platformFee": 19.040298817565763, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 4945 | houstonEuler | 1719740649016 | 0 | 34 | 1 | ANYONE | [{"id": "d65fe5b6c8d1", "prob": 0.9388580441055909, "text": "Joe Biden", "index": 0, "poolNo": 249.29983829425592, "userId": "P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 16.235340170080466, "textFts": "'biden':2 'joe':1", "contractId": "TP15bNDFjmXfkgjivyv9", "createdTime": 1713463453911, "probChanges":... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695777809174 | 0 | [{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1713463454244}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1713463454248}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-defa... | ["us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election", "politics-default", "democratic-party", "the-life-of-biden"] | 0.25 | 1719740645776 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.541217304581361 | ClVoBocrXsutTlUQnJzu | {"NO": 229.102904570136, "YES": 176.95456533102345} | 0.6043258364907851 | will-my-steam-game-rocket-engineer | 30 | Will my Steam game Rocket Engineer make more than 100 sales on launch day | 1725163140000 | ClBk3H05PjPwxcqMvj35ZcVkcls1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713464988330 | Xavier Belleville | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The game releases end of summer 2024 around 5$. It is a 2D minimalistic (art style) rocket game with fueling, launch site building, engine testing, realistic physics.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://store.st... | BINARY | {"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.4485477149319815, "platformFee": 0.4485477149319815, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | XavierBelleville | 1713589030727 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1713360935117 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713587790517 | 1713589029638 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000004 | IZOtQZ4j0xwJthAW5qkT | {"NO": 99.99999999999999, "YES": 100.00000000000014} | 0 | daily-coinflip-8d836968b196 | 1645.1997372996964 | Daily coinflip | 1713585540000 | gRmM27eQDEVTEjM1q6Yzc7abJT93 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.08001066922739845 | True | play | NO | public | 1713465112251 | Traveel | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = heads", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "No = tails", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(Day 137)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5000000000000001} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 10.605528285118984, "platformFee": 10.605528285118984, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713643018015 | 100 | Traveel | 1713585540000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp75uQk9_bN2j7atj8Sgb_7Ud50XuAC1-rg4KHhh=s96-c | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1674441975928 | 0 | [{"name": "Non-Predictive Profits", "slug": "nonpredictive-profits", "groupId": "sVCyD10FvUk5af10QT6H", "createdTime": 1713465112568}, {"name": "FairlyRandom", "slug": "fairlyrandom", "groupId": "J8Z1KAZV31icklA4tgJW", "createdTime": 1713465112597}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac... | ["nonpredictive-profits", "fairlyrandom", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | False | False | 1713569561181 | 1713638223220 | 0.5 | gRmM27eQDEVTEjM1q6Yzc7abJT93 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
HXPAtmwBblWMDxTg7ie2 | which-state-will-be-the-last-to-ful | 114.06315954964177 | Which state will be the last to fully legalize and regulate recreational marijuana in the United States? | 2240629140000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1713466532555 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://disa.com/marijuana-legality-by-state", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://disa.com/marijuana-legality-by-state", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 act... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.793323868751543, "platformFee": 5.793323868751543, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1100 | strutheo | 1719551312527 | 0 | 9 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "be83a3df3f2c", "prob": 0.025758314800457725, "text": "Arkansas", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5.177953482533566, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 195.84270810366436, "textFts": "'arkansa':1", "contractId": "HXPAtmwBblWMDxTg7ie2", "createdTime": 1713466532555, "probChanges": {"day... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "United States", "slug": "united-states", "groupId": "5ba769e7-dd37-49d0-bdf2-9f1803f6872e", "createdTime": 1713466532774}, {"name": "Cannabis", "slug": "cannabis", "groupId": "4d7535ea-5cd1-45fa-bc6c-8ad82bc06c74", "createdTime": 1713466532771}, {"name": "Drugs", "slug": "drugs", "groupId": "6277e258-91d0-46... | ["united-states", "cannabis", "drugs", "drug-policy", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 1713802774484 | 1719551310963 | True | prob-desc | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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DE683s966lrAdgFQI9HD | one-week-after-spice-is-enabled-whi | 945.9525869580751 | One week after spice is enabled, which account will have the highest spice balance? | 1716477925561 | 85nJB0gHwPMXmUtBO72YrwlNDI22 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | 06c999695c98 | public | 1713468033964 | Simon | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.304845281468031, "platformFee": 7.416147059667997, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716477925561 | 420 | Simon74fe | 1716477986086 | 0 | 9 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "98d80f22c0e1", "prob": 0.007316488813631625, "text": "@AmmonLam", "index": 0, "poolNo": 4.435544403862963, "userId": "85nJB0gHwPMXmUtBO72YrwlNDI22", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 601.8039397048168, "textFts": "'ammonlam':1", "contractId": "DE683s966lrAdgFQI9HD", "resolverId": "85nJB0gHwPMXmUtBO72YrwlNDI22", "cr... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645874228924 | 0 | 0.25 | 1716474884844 | 1716477984438 | {"06c999695c98": 100} | 85nJB0gHwPMXmUtBO72YrwlNDI22 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.2672657674321801 | jQLrhiOEl5dYfPQG9qAw | {"NO": 228.32429117065158, "YES": 7230.597647366133} | 0 | will-there-be-an-israelhamas-ceasef-3f95d3c3681a | 15030.251952106188 | Will there be an Israel-Hamas ceasefire announced before the end of May 16th? | 1715896740000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1713469212631 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Going by end of day Israel time", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "both sides must agree", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 100.80407748679936, "platformFee": 100.80407748679936, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715898838670 | 600 | strutheo | 1715896740000 | 0 | 73 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Arab-Israeli Conflict", "slug": "arabisraeli-conflict", "groupId": "aheUmZtjkKBkeiXwIFhI", "createdTime": 1713469213059}, {"name": "🌎 Geopolitics", "slug": "geopolitics", "groupId": "2wNGnksxJzypXZtiTLNL", "createdTime": 1713469213061}, {"name": "🇮🇱 Israel", "slug": "israel", "groupId": "ECjphikMbmosJsDAA... | ["arabisraeli-conflict", "geopolitics", "israel", "wars", "israelhamas-conflict-2023"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715892710509 | 1713505672223 | 0.01 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.37103784273427703 | yAy3jetKIrFKdrlU6ZXZ | {"NO": 87.56268589475738, "YES": 4967.976418696062} | 0 | will-bitcoin-reach-75k-before-the-e-d0a7bcb94c80 | 9048.907883343707 | Will Bitcoin reach $75K before the end of Stepmother's day? (May 19) | 1716177540000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | NO | public | 1713469401397 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 26.366586861082418, "platformFee": 26.366586861082418, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716179743178 | 1000 | strutheo | 1716177540000 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Prices", "slug": "prices", "groupId": "ec8ff17e-7276-4586-83a8-7fc5a4a7195f", "createdTime": 1713469401542}, {"name": "🅱️ Bitcoin", "slug": "bitcoin", "groupId": "WBeBD6FyMd0NvSL0qjMb", "createdTime": 1713469401544}, {"name": "Crypto news", "slug": "crypto-news", "groupId": "Ft8hmbcP5YZiWXaz4ILM", "createdT... | ["prices", "bitcoin", "crypto-news", "crypto-prices", "crypto-speculation"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716173536490 | 0.01 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.29272406937925627 | ID15YOgxKVtud6rOkuqB | {"NO": 79.24898730890129, "YES": 2756.944442233248} | 0 | will-trumps-vice-president-running-71f20eff0d28 | 2693.6498802642036 | Will Trump's Vice President running mate be announced by the end of Stepmother's day? (May 19) | 1716177540000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1713469962622 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.778319956454587, "platformFee": 5.778319956454587, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716179757631 | 240 | strutheo | 1716177540000 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1713469962788}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1713469962808}, {"name": "🥈Trump VP", "slug": "trump-vp", "groupId": "91cb9237-771a-4e21-8eb2-d05f3f6d9e5... | ["donald-trump", "us-politics", "trump-vp", "2024-republican-primaries", "magaland"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716169939460 | 0.01 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
qi00vX1E3Weplmqci7KP | texas-roadtrip-megamarket | 620.067731904265 | Texas Roadtrip Mega-Market ⭐️🤠🍗 | 1713934740000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1713470662411 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I’m in Texas for the next ~week and figured it’d be fun to make a ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "mention", "attrs": {"id": "KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2", "label": "shankypanky"}}, {"text": " travel market. What will I see/do while I’m in the 1 star... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.787193117464942, "platformFee": 7.787193117464942, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714075539398 | 690 | mattyb | 1714077560734 | 0 | 7 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "326dba6c3724", "prob": 0.86, "text": "Visit a CosMcs [Dallas]", "index": 0, "poolNo": 109.18786549928944, "userId": "oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 18.021411766579156, "textFts": "'cosmc':3 'dalla':4 'visit':1", "contractId": "qi00vX1E3Weplmqci7KP", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "Flags", "slug": "flags", "groupId": "nmVSnG0GVO4CMyHznoIj", "createdTime": 1713470662631}, {"name": "💪 Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1713470662635}, {"name": "@MattyB’s Personal Goals", "slug": "mattybs-personal-goals", "groupId": "db6700ba-9ebe... | ["flags", "personal-goals", "mattybs-personal-goals", "short-fuse", "texas"] | 0.25 | 1713857880633 | 1714077560103 | 0.16 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | False | 0 |
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