CK0607/manifold_contracts · Datasets at Hugging Face

zsFXzCywiPfoLjPxTt07

nfl-week-thirteen-prop-bets

54

NFL Week Thirteen - Prop Bets

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mezmUpPpyxarKrHxAs0k07Y1bVc2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1714655192058

Stop Punting

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StopPunting

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ANYONE

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nfl-week-fourteen-prop-bets

30

NFL Week Fourteen - Prop Bets

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cpmm-multi-1

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play

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Stop Punting

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nfl-week-fifteen-prop-bets

25

NFL Week Fifteen - Prop Bets

1735966740000

mezmUpPpyxarKrHxAs0k07Y1bVc2

cpmm-multi-1

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Stop Punting

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joseph-kony-found-by-may-31

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Joseph Kony found by May 31?

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cpmm-1

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Benjamin Ikuta

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nfl-week-sixteen-prop-bets

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NFL Week Sixteen - Prop Bets

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cpmm-multi-1

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Stop Punting

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nfl-week-seventeen-prop-bets

0

NFL Week Seventeen - Prop Bets

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cpmm-multi-1

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Stop Punting

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nfl-week-eighteen-prop-bets

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NFL Week Eighteen - Prop Bets

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cpmm-multi-1

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Stop Punting

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fivethirtyeights-biden-approval-rat-b772287aa9b6

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formula-1-miami-gp-weekend-prop-bet

25355.170865932814

Formula 1 Miami GP Weekend Prop Bets (100 OPTIONS)

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How many Starship (with superheavy) launches from 1 May 2024 to 31 October 2024 UTC

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dwax

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1714672415672

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if the Grimace Shake is available from McDonald's locations in the USA for at least three days in 2025. Will not count if it happens in 2024", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 1.9163479384934348, "platformFee": 0.3086295941531022, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

100

strutheo

1716895297556

0

https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d

3

0

0.3333333333333333

1700846926650

0

[{"name": "🍝 Food", "slug": "food", "groupId": "F6DkK24HpilV3Et7xJv7", "createdTime": 1714672415813}, {"name": "McDonald's", "slug": "mcdonalds", "groupId": "718f7d76-2815-4be9-a3e9-9e5c942e5ad9", "createdTime": 1714672415826}, {"name": "Fast Food 🍔🍟", "slug": "fast-food", "groupId": "cbbbc185-555a-458f-bc7a-96c699c...

["food", "mcdonalds", "fast-food", "tiktok", "entertainment"]

0.25

0.5

1716895288611

1716895295902

0

ly0iKuKtbPBjLvHsHnwO

what-company-will-be-selling-the-mo

0

What company will be selling the most expensive consumer available car at the end of 2027?

1830315540000

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1714672533756

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

100

strutheo

1715719137687

0

https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "c8434462b197", "prob": 0.25, "text": "Rolls Royce", "index": 0, "poolNo": 16.666666666666668, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 50, "textFts": "'roll':1 'royc':2", "contractId": "ly0iKuKtbPBjLvHsHnwO", "createdTime": 1714672533756, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "mont...

0.3333333333333333

1700846926650

0

[{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1714672533980}, {"name": "💼 Business", "slug": "business", "groupId": "pmK8sntWL1SDkMm53UBR", "createdTime": 1714672533990}, {"name": "Cars", "slug": "cars", "groupId": "cfaa7108-ad3b-444c-bf5e-c5da03db1eae", "...

["technology-default", "business", "cars", "automotive", "prices"]

0.25

1715719136032

True

prob-desc

0

I8KvUKxMGdq0k4JAYHM7

what-company-will-be-selling-the-fa

10

What company will be selling the fastest consumer available car at the end of 2027?

1830315540000

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1714672561523

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0.1576380021714282, "platformFee": 0.1576380021714282, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

125

strutheo

1715719167181

0

https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d

1

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "e10183cba62e", "prob": 0.1435695914126621, "text": "Rolls Royce", "index": 0, "poolNo": 12.055576817606134, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 71.91468944131765, "textFts": "'roll':1 'royc':2", "contractId": "I8KvUKxMGdq0k4JAYHM7", "createdTime": 1714672561523, "probChanges"...

0.3333333333333333

1700846926650

0

[{"name": "Automotive", "slug": "automotive", "groupId": "dNh5aQXlwLm4uCesYIti", "createdTime": 1714672561742}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1714672561748}, {"name": "Prices", "slug": "prices", "groupId": "ec8ff17e-7276-4586-83a8-7fc5a4a7195f...

["automotive", "technology-default", "prices", "cars", "business"]

0.25

1714672663230

1715719165665

True

prob-desc

0

0.5000000000000002

ARjehrLFRvhDFA2JbQto

{"NO": 128.49549301549132, "YES": 77.82374124821968}

0.6227993888890277

will-jimmy-carter-be-alive-on-the-n

570.6654545699485

Will Jimmy Carter be alive on the National Peanut Day?

1726286340000

s39YDTv6HvayjjrGcbT8TV56V0e2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1714672683000

Quantum Gambler

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if the Jimmy Carter is alive on September 13, 2024.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.10101634230656276}

0

{"creatorFee": 11.590846037170524, "platformFee": 0.8798617309935206, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

100

Mirek

1719034803228

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMirek%2FHT1snXZm5P.51?alt=media&token=3ba36ff2-73b1-44fb-9d34-e0da533f7055

9

0

0.3333333333333333

1644464681678

0

[{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1714672683144}, {"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1714672683157}, {"name": "🌍 World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "cre...

["us-politics", "culture-default", "world-default", "jimmy-carter", "death-markets"]

0.25

0.5

1719034800193

0

HlZihDsjKVLAbyT7plW0

who-will-be-the-director-of-the-mos

10

Who will be the director of the most expensive movie made and released at the end of 2028, adjusted for inflation?

1861937940000

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1714672766312

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_most_expensive_films#Most_expensive_films_(adjusted_for_inflation)", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_most_expensive_films#Most_expensive_films...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0.19503568636107715, "platformFee": 0.19503568636107715, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

150

strutheo

1714724335412

0

https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d

1

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "a067110f7538", "prob": 0.138984065486771, "text": "JJ Abrams", "index": 0, "poolNo": 13.47575704394536, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 83.48325042751208, "textFts": "'abram':2 'jj':1", "contractId": "HlZihDsjKVLAbyT7plW0", "createdTime": 1714672766312, "probChanges": {"d...

0.3333333333333333

1700846926650

0

[{"name": "Hollywood", "slug": "hollywood", "groupId": "qnJlrpEJJ1i5tEJ6J2jM", "createdTime": 1714672766574}, {"name": "📺 Television & Film", "slug": "television-film", "groupId": "EUSEngFk1dGGBfaMeAmh", "createdTime": 1714672766572}, {"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU...

["hollywood", "television-film", "entertainment", "movies", "directors"]

0.25

1714724332086

True

prob-desc

0

0.5000000000000002

FySJMtjKR0rBkvWreRNe

{"NO": 51.73167975568052, "YES": 193.3051477784642}

0.21111797878003455

will-any-court-rule-that-foul-play

173.99180441714014

Will any court rule that foul play was involved in the death of any Boeing whistleblower?

1809295140000

kOzh2wOQW3SGGYMWGzFvP6CQZw53

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1714672769390

Martin

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Boeing whistleblowers are dying a lot lately:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Barnett_(whistleblower)", "type": ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": -0.08314782998141593, "month": -0.08963925786771912}

0

{"creatorFee": 3.052540075116983, "platformFee": 1.1211332200149724, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

100

bbb

1719781972135

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc1hVkRTqxrwtL1dtbhMdl6n5FGdr0N27PA_XCg7Q=s96-c

10

2

0.3333333333333333

1687755822918

0

[{"name": "Crime", "slug": "crime", "groupId": "j7TkLdIOLyiTtiQQKjl9", "createdTime": 1714672769576}, {"name": "Whistleblower Markets", "slug": "scandal-markets", "groupId": "qHo4qLNyY6bkcoS7hZe0", "createdTime": 1714672769579}, {"name": "Boeing", "slug": "boeing", "groupId": "0ad5d059-21c2-4821-a1a8-6f54dd5b3462", "cr...

["crime", "scandal-markets", "boeing"]

0.25

0.5

1719781969085

0

0.49999999999999717

DK9Fw68w5POrZgKKVirH

{"NO": 994.9874371066244, "YES": 10.05037815259206}

1

will-jimmy-carter-be-alive-on-the-n-ce8f1e396d19

2790.8635387009394

Will Jimmy Carter be alive on the National Flip a Coin Day?

1717324094929

s39YDTv6HvayjjrGcbT8TV56V0e2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

YES

public

1714672823771

Quantum Gambler

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if the Jimmy Carter is alive on June 1, 2024.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.014011891844251556}

0

{"creatorFee": 6.139606567661406, "platformFee": 4.689845913935054, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1717324094929

100

Mirek

1717324094929

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMirek%2FHT1snXZm5P.51?alt=media&token=3ba36ff2-73b1-44fb-9d34-e0da533f7055

12

0

1

0.3333333333333333

1644464681678

0

[{"name": "🌍 World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1714672823942}, {"name": "🪦 Death markets", "slug": "death-markets", "groupId": "ibrUJxhFICxDAsXYC7eB", "createdTime": 1714672823959}, {"name": "Jimmy Carter", "slug": "jimmy-carter", "groupId": "rigfelwTsUUySMFFJz5O", "cr...

["world-default", "death-markets", "jimmy-carter", "us-politics", "culture-default", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]

0.25

0.5

False

1717324087699

0.99

s39YDTv6HvayjjrGcbT8TV56V0e2

0

0.20358651039328818

Oo9um9huv5TmT0Bs20XV

{"NO": 946.593228218366, "YES": 1114.623463159356}

0.17837002671085805

will-the-united-states-open-an-emba

131

Will the United States open an embassy in Iran before the end of 2030?

1925009940000

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-1

0

9.705167482932318

False

basic

public

1714672960144

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_diplomatic_missions_of_the_United_States", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_diplomatic_missions_of_the_United_States", "class": "break-anywhere...

BINARY

{"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17}

0

{"creatorFee": 1.4159994026393452, "platformFee": 1.4159994026393452, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

strutheo

1714923449529

0

https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d

11

0

0.3333333333333333

1700846926650

0

[{"name": "Israel-Iran Conflict", "slug": "israeliran-conflict", "groupId": "4014ef1a-d3cc-4f73-8448-49754b5a29ca", "createdTime": 1714672960377}, {"name": "Iran", "slug": "iran", "groupId": "E1hI0LQPWmoAcpvhcjHa", "createdTime": 1714672960383}, {"name": "United States", "slug": "united-states", "groupId": "5ba769e7-dd...

["israeliran-conflict", "iran", "united-states", "middle-east", "geopolitics"]

0.25

0.5

1714923446277

0

0.5000000000000001

fnKISX0C3XRbGZJYm6Gr

{"NO": 65.97714493882243, "YES": 151.56763769139351}

0

will-david-gilbert-beat-kyren-wilso

53

Will David Gilbert beat Kyren Wilson at the World Championship 2024?

1714802340000

iJKjrEkYTdNtZHyBQUThoFp1V432

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

NO

public

1714672996214

DRIUSHA

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.716181154303237, "platformFee": 0.716181154303237, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1715895877855

100

DRIUSHA

1714802340000

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6Y9DvoNWPEbdLGoWpg1aSkBjAagXxnAjwE_hbAgQ=s96-c

2

0

3

0.3333333333333333

1671057485722

0

[{"name": "Snooker", "slug": "snooker", "groupId": "dfe46853-bc95-4b29-aecb-71e096eb1a43", "createdTime": 1714672996351}]

["snooker"]

0.25

0.5

1714739839558

0.3

iJKjrEkYTdNtZHyBQUThoFp1V432

0

OIpRR7kd0h1jWAz7NWLq

which-african-country-will-be-the-f-70f86a94e2fa

31

Which African country will be the first to host or lead a successful mission to land a probe or human on the Moon?

2082776340000

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1714673155933

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://africanews.space/list-of-space-agencies-in-africa/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://africanews.space/list-of-space-agencies-in-africa/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primar...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0.2887488970403318, "platformFee": 0.2887488970403318, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

150

strutheo

1719462449226

0

https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d

3

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "59fc0418fc7f", "prob": 0.13593059197575902, "text": "Egypt", "index": 0, "poolNo": 12.492702149113919, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 79.4123058960345, "textFts": "'egypt':1", "contractId": "OIpRR7kd0h1jWAz7NWLq", "createdTime": 1714673155934, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "...

0.3333333333333333

1700846926650

0

[{"name": "🌎 Geopolitics", "slug": "geopolitics", "groupId": "2wNGnksxJzypXZtiTLNL", "createdTime": 1714673156331}, {"name": "Israel-Iran Conflict", "slug": "israeliran-conflict", "groupId": "4014ef1a-d3cc-4f73-8448-49754b5a29ca", "createdTime": 1714673156339}, {"name": "United States", "slug": "united-states", "group...

["geopolitics", "israeliran-conflict", "united-states", "iran", "middle-east"]

0.25

1714959607017

1719462446989

True

prob-desc

0

0.49999999999999994

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{"NO": 90.49370519773657, "YES": 110.50492383032764}

0.4502205096389064

will-the-iphone-announce-a-model-wi

51

Will Apple announce an iPhone model with no external ports for wires or connections before the end of 2029?

1893473940000

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1714673327002

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "Q6vODsMcBIhGAZye0jJU", "label": "/strutheo/will-apple-announce-an-iphone-model"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.8526735623053799, "platformFee": 0.8526735623053799, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

100

strutheo

1714843775641

0

https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d

5

0

0.3333333333333333

1700846926650

0

[{"name": "iPhone", "slug": "iphone", "groupId": "d65113e9-fafc-47b4-882f-87219e778441", "createdTime": 1714673327269}, {"name": "🍎 Apple", "slug": "apple", "groupId": "OgtvgALKKOXZ2zOSdDih", "createdTime": 1714673327248}, {"name": "Smartphones", "slug": "smartphones", "groupId": "5b102142-6eae-474e-9e37-810cea2b92e4"...

["iphone", "apple", "smartphones", "business", "technology-default"]

0.25

0.5

1714843772370

0

0.5000000000000001

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{"NO": 137.86582509973542, "YES": 72.53429189406272}

0.6552554583598413

will-google-announce-a-pixel-model

77

Will Google announce a Pixel model with no external ports for wires or connections before the end of 2029?

1893473940000

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1714673383887

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "q0uOKuWNFd7eOBuIlHqx", "label": "/strutheo/will-google-announce-a-pixel-model-27df1b727bca"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention"...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 1.1867299273405998, "platformFee": 1.1867299273405998, "liquidityFee": 0}

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100

strutheo

1714779757108

0

https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d

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0.3333333333333333

1700846926650

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[{"name": "💼 Business", "slug": "business", "groupId": "pmK8sntWL1SDkMm53UBR", "createdTime": 1714673384027}, {"name": "Pixel phone", "slug": "pixel-phone", "groupId": "eb5d1408-dbc6-45e4-ac71-5029af8dee1e", "createdTime": 1714673384046}, {"name": "Google", "slug": "google-ef2cf716540e", "groupId": "z9iJRHLx9TdW3uh6p...

["business", "pixel-phone", "google-ef2cf716540e", "smartphones", "technology-default"]

0.25

0.5

1714779753856

1714743010411

0

0.5000000000000001

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{"NO": 59.438983430978375, "YES": 168.2397548338319}

0.2610651476900125

will-any-state-in-the-usa-pass-ubi

70

Will any state in the USA pass UBI of at least $2000 per year to all citizens by the end of 2028?

1861937940000

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1714673521862

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.8801225830840512, "platformFee": 0.8801225830840512, "liquidityFee": 0}

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100

strutheo

1715117951962

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https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d

2

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0.3333333333333333

1700846926650

0

[{"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1714673522003}, {"name": "United States", "slug": "united-states", "groupId": "5ba769e7-dd37-49d0-bdf2-9f1803f6872e", "createdTime": 1714673522009}, {"name": "UBI", "slug": "ubi", "groupId": "6c924bd5-d4ae-414b-80c0...

["economics-default", "united-states", "ubi", "universal-basic-income", "us-politics"]

0.25

0.5

1715117948717

0

wsQ7vPm5dIkqZVKNgPgR

-who-is-manifolds-goat-round-of-32

26225.945503321705

🐐 Who is Manifold's G.O.A.T.? 🐐 (Round of 32)

1716094740000

P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

MKT

public

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houstonEuler

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