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0.5000000000000002 | FNplXM7nsDdHvVxmyC0Q | {"NO": 40.55982827609297, "YES": 246.54936731806302} | 0.14126969424353256 | will-mr-beast-be-found-guilty-of-a-5ba2c2745a6c | 174 | Will Mr Beast be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2028? | 1861937940000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714677427700 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -2.7755575615628914e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.102927382789745, "platformFee": 1.5127542276125339, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | strutheo | 1717296452809 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Mr. Beast", "slug": "mr-beast", "groupId": "fm5SLlSiPxQNZftQzAta", "createdTime": 1714677427857}, {"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "groupId": "9JiXkg8yBFMmO4NwCW44", "createdTime": 1714677427855}, {"name": "🧑🎤 Celebrities", "slug": "celebrities", "groupId": "4QIcUOfCSSha0JZHAg9X", "createdTime... | ["mr-beast", "law-order", "celebrities", "law-and-crime", "youtube"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717296449214 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5 | 21Aa4HWnJtyO2mIJlXRg | {"NO": 15.58376304195528, "YES": 641.6935353211907} | 0 | will-lorxus-the-author-of-this-mark-10ad7f4636a6 | 927.6568888029567 | Will Lorxus, the author of this market, remain above Platinum at the end of S13? | 1717270228870 | Fk46Giw1REZ5fdUN3kof9dYVSPt2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714678023251 | Lorxus PhD 🦊 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "TRACK RECORD:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "YEAR TWO", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Season: 1️⃣", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "League: ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.023709571410368786} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.691240231374014, "platformFee": 3.354815247308095, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717270228870 | 100 | Lorxus | 1717270228870 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxbebFJR8Ey87j0aMvnyCxY8sMICPXqeiMqYL8SqsQ=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1678631188381 | 0 | [{"name": "V. vulpes var. mathematica population forecasting", "slug": "v-vulpes-var-mathematica-population", "groupId": "2mbh3A1ZXsAE6pUOqSFE", "createdTime": 1714678023435}, {"name": "Manifold Leagues", "slug": "manifold-leagues", "groupId": "quyvUYBABGdermzFJ0Zl", "createdTime": 1714678023520}] | ["v-vulpes-var-mathematica-population", "manifold-leagues"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717267217287 | 1717267634878 | 0.02 | Fk46Giw1REZ5fdUN3kof9dYVSPt2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | vPkieRxipFiG1XuVGTM4 | {"NO": 86.46728578931125, "YES": 115.65067538220521} | 0.4278060459749813 | will-spain-ban-bullfighting-before-ead5c5080863 | 41 | Will Spain ban Bullfighting before Iceland bans Whaling? | 1925009940000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714678549710 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.6575775283352637, "platformFee": 0.6575775283352637, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | strutheo | 1714886575021 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Animals", "slug": "animals", "groupId": "f1b6760b-1baa-46e4-ab4f-a70259273eba", "createdTime": 1714678549895}, {"name": "🇪🇸 Spain", "slug": "spain", "groupId": "OGSXjmjjySBpjZC2r5QQ", "createdTime": 1714678549898}, {"name": "Animal welfare", "slug": "animal-welfare", "groupId": "WisHKhsr75W2WZjoYMiy", "c... | ["animals", "spain", "animal-welfare", "iceland", "europe"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714886571741 | 1714772523041 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | 1XMM4jS55qwkV6roO7sh | {"NO": 115.35207728660174, "YES": 86.69111328748923} | 0.5709278147847361 | will-spain-ban-bullfighting-before-4e1a843b2270 | 35 | Will Spain ban Bullfighting before Japan bans Whaling? | 1988168340000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714678577688 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.11698138001421182} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.9863239381298393, "platformFee": 0.16153080369162434, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | strutheo | 1719471874299 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "🇪🇸 Spain", "slug": "spain", "groupId": "OGSXjmjjySBpjZC2r5QQ", "createdTime": 1714678577878}, {"name": "Animal welfare", "slug": "animal-welfare", "groupId": "WisHKhsr75W2WZjoYMiy", "createdTime": 1714678577880}, {"name": "Animals", "slug": "animals", "groupId": "f1b6760b-1baa-46e4-ab4f-a70259273eba", "c... | ["spain", "animal-welfare", "animals", "europe", "japan"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719471871251 | 1719462403729 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4999999999999998 | 9kKYO95Cuo54DbjXApUH | {"NO": 87.39532739516768, "YES": 114.42259326730236} | 0.4330404708773696 | will-spain-ban-bullfighting-before-48e833134109 | 57 | Will Spain ban Bullfighting before Norway bans Whaling? | 1988168340000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714678590454 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.056011272050611516} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.1203101890730711, "platformFee": 0.7202861923128564, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | strutheo | 1718799121800 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Europe", "slug": "europe", "groupId": "ue52QI4BQgJgAJJNjLHr", "createdTime": 1714678590623}, {"name": "🇪🇸 Spain", "slug": "spain", "groupId": "OGSXjmjjySBpjZC2r5QQ", "createdTime": 1714678590626}, {"name": "Norway", "slug": "norway", "groupId": "jK8RaDrZzroUVwY7fG2G", "createdTime": 1714678590634}, {"nam... | ["europe", "spain", "norway", "animal-welfare", "animals"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718799118740 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000007 | esyh5WTH2UdkzCkeLICZ | {"NO": 10.780346392059357, "YES": 927.6139779113048} | 0 | will-the-person-who-wins-poker-at-m | 2426.290120690775 | Will the person who wins poker at Manifest 2024 be someone I consider a regular at our online poker events? | 1717993155594 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714678653785 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "176i8UTsdiOoDehgSRek", "label": "/strutheo/who-will-win-poker-at-manifest-2024"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.17695782349424008} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 42.134569327651725, "platformFee": 2.119741979478288, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717993155594 | 100 | strutheo | 1717993155594 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "🔮 Manifest", "slug": "manifest", "groupId": "319ffc9e-7194-4bfb-8f1b-54d826d036e3", "createdTime": 1714678653981}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1714678653986}, {"name": "Manifold Users", "slug": "manifold-users", "groupId": "uqVba... | ["manifest", "manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-users", "gaming", "poker"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717993077062 | 1717964989704 | 0.01 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
176i8UTsdiOoDehgSRek | who-will-win-poker-at-manifest-2024 | 2018823.3847603886 | Who will win poker at Manifest 2024? | 1717995052610 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 2.96394211582631 | True | plus | 1pnqn4uy5a | public | 1714678687580 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "esyh5WTH2UdkzCkeLICZ", "label": "/strutheo/will-the-person-who-wins-poker-at-m"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7771.3918617875925, "platformFee": 5705.6706694410395, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717995052610 | 114160 | strutheo | 1718055832658 | 0 | 90 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "56aa762544e8", "prob": 0.002013014718251842, "text": "houstonEuler / ameet", "index": 0, "poolNo": 695.9037312232766, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 345006.3531442847, "textFts": "'ameet':2 'houstoneul':1", "contractId": "176i8UTsdiOoDehgSRek", "resolverId": "hDq0cvn68jb... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Poker", "slug": "poker", "groupId": "kpUuJYWzvqtBO3Be0Xsx", "createdTime": 1714678687787}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1714678687799}, {"name": "🔮 Manifest", "slug": "manifest", "groupId": "319ffc9e-7194-4bfb-8f1b-54d826d036e3", ... | ["poker", "manifold-6748e065087e", "manifest", "gaming", "manifest-2024"] | 0.25 | 1717994676769 | 1717995298151 | {"1pnqn4uy5a": 100} | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | True | prob-desc | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | zg8fyGXVqd3LFqm2RS63 | {"NO": 32.3178599953861, "YES": 309.426428650525} | 0.0945673741130795 | will-kolmogorovarnold-networks-kan | 293.347163690141 | Will Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) be used/studied in at least five orals at NeurIPS 2027? | 1830315540000 | Kr23YYpkdnU4JFFqHr2NxEV6PvN2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714678832085 | JGY | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Proxy for KANs \"taking over\" MLPs.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Announcement tweet.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.709102298968345, "platformFee": 2.709102298968345, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | jgyou | 1716130036232 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1675703905738 | 0 | [{"name": "Science Hype", "slug": "science-hype", "groupId": "ef792710-0594-412e-bbee-f92eb93032e4", "createdTime": 1714678832245}, {"name": "Machine Learning", "slug": "machine-learning", "groupId": "RiiQsc0zMKPfMzfLfRAi", "createdTime": 1714678832243}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp"... | ["science-hype", "machine-learning", "ai", "kolmogorovarnoldnetworks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716130032812 | 1715045986899 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999994 | huLFNWopJzEfLaV2817w | {"NO": 92.75705920447983, "YES": 107.80850628258234} | 0.46247748948940726 | will-bitcoin-reach-100k-usd-before | 854.6448689340959 | Will Bitcoin reach $100K USD before the end of 2025? | 1767243540000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714678859343 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Going by consensus from multiple exchanges and mainstream news", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.3251930482079688} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 19.580519833908856, "platformFee": 1.5693983502030444, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | strutheo | 1718471619327 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "🪙 Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1714678859608}, {"name": "🅱️ Bitcoin", "slug": "bitcoin", "groupId": "WBeBD6FyMd0NvSL0qjMb", "createdTime": 1714678859612}, {"name": "Bitcoin maxi", "slug": "bitcoin-maxi", "groupId": "q6y2Gz8Wmy4nZwtfmpHt", "created... | ["crypto-speculation", "bitcoin", "bitcoin-maxi", "bitcoin-alltimehigh", "crypto-prices"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718471616269 | 1716586142458 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0a8aHQ7LQKZNWyhHEkBT | what-will-be-the-highest-elo-on-cha-2536d431d624 | 106.00000000000009 | What will be the highest ELO on Chatbot Arena on Jan 1, 2025? | 1735707540000 | 8u5ZFBP4UjQ3JvD7B8z0gR9Um2F3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714678987478 | Sss | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolve NA if it ceases to exist. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.9089168747420375, "platformFee": 3.8452236154316957, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | Sss19971997 | 1717347553259 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJYstjF0shAAXTwqQnhiZPJhmg3XSDaVGD2Kttp_TCF=s96-c | 2 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "29dec42e3c8e", "prob": 0.002057989944046509, "text": "1250-1253", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.324370190450963, "userId": "8u5ZFBP4UjQ3JvD7B8z0gR9Um2F3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 157.29068103432434, "textFts": "'-1253':2 '1250':1", "contractId": "0a8aHQ7LQKZNWyhHEkBT", "createdTime": 1714678987478, "probChanges... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1696879998283 | 0 | [{"name": "ChatGPT", "slug": "chatgpt", "groupId": "lG71NUBORXAsxGmQZo77", "createdTime": 1714678987863}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1714678987869}, {"name": "gpt2-chatbot", "slug": "gpt2chatbot", "groupId": "6d859f1e-dcc8-474b-a346-5fc0c8f50723", "createdTime": 17... | ["chatgpt", "ai", "gpt2chatbot"] | 0.25 | 1717347548515 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | VXfQdhXn7NdrcbqLa3fG | {"NO": 910.2804180223397, "YES": 10.985625750058476} | 1 | will-bitcoin-be-65k-or-higher-at-th | 3818.329107228769 | Will Bitcoin be $65K or higher at the end of Stepmother's day? (May 19) | 1716177540000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | YES | public | 1714679078536 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 12.877998402581092, "platformFee": 12.877998402581092, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716179749317 | 1000 | strutheo | 1716177540000 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Crypto news", "slug": "crypto-news", "groupId": "Ft8hmbcP5YZiWXaz4ILM", "createdTime": 1714679078684}, {"name": "Prices", "slug": "prices", "groupId": "ec8ff17e-7276-4586-83a8-7fc5a4a7195f", "createdTime": 1714679078752}, {"name": "🪙 Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE"... | ["crypto-news", "prices", "crypto-prices", "crypto-speculation", "bitcoin"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716172934545 | 1716074781998 | 0.99 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
A2at27ShVrXXvQvIYTYQ | what-will-be-the-51st-state-of-the | 96.21600313565799 | What will the 51st state of the United States of America be? | 2240629140000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 6.140602685111694 | False | play | public | 1714679195805 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/51st_state", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/51st_state", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:unde... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.3952274953797894, "platformFee": 1.0264866334533742, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 125 | strutheo | 1719562287009 | 0 | 11 | 2 | ANYONE | [{"id": "2fbbc421a48f", "prob": 0.40610222025144244, "text": "Washington District of Columbia", "index": 0, "poolNo": 25.841150937653666, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 37.790983163100194, "textFts": "'columbia':4 'district':2 'washington':1", "contractId": "A2at27ShVrXXvQvIYTYQ"... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1714679196027}, {"name": "US State Government", "slug": "us-state-government", "groupId": "v8YHysZ0MaHi9v8xLl86", "createdTime": 1714679196035}, {"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22... | ["us-politics", "us-state-government", "culture-default", "united-states", "politics-default"] | 0.25 | 1719562283915 | 1719524817139 | True | prob-desc | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
lXLKqMKVqxjaL9KEPrX2 | -who-is-manifolds-goat-sweet-16-pla | 4417.416456514667 | 🐐 Who is Manifold's G.O.A.T.? 🐐 (Sweet 16) | 1716699540000 | P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714679310276 | houstonEuler | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market is for the Sweet 16 of Manifold's G.O.A.T. tournament, to determine who advances to the Elite 8. The purpose of this series of markets is to determine who Manifold thinks is the \"Greatest of All Time\" (G.O.A.T.).", "type": "text"}]}, ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 28.722161023195458, "platformFee": 16.391658700516913, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716707625177 | 200 | houstonEuler | 1716699540000 | 0 | 31 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "c9dc83557388", "prob": 0.99, "text": "Napoleon Bonaparte (NO) v Adam Smith (YES)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 248.74685927665467, "userId": "P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2.512594538148022, "textFts": "'adam':5 'bonapart':2 'napoleon':1 'smith':6 'v':4 'yes':7", "contractId": "lXLKqMKV... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695777809174 | 0 | [{"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1714679310709}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1714679310738}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZ... | ["culture-default", "politics-default", "technology-default", "science-default", "economics-default"] | 0.25 | 1716658073695 | 1716577546530 | 0.02 | P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1 | False | P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
URJwyGSo2oNAsIhYNpvS | -who-is-manifolds-goat-elite-8-plac | 12527.507843869435 | 🐐 Who is Manifold's G.O.A.T.? 🐐 (Elite 8) | 1717304340000 | P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714679374686 | houstonEuler | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NOTE: Please read the comments, as some traders have been banned and their votes will not be counted.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This market is for the Elite 8 of Manifold's G.O.A.T. tournament, to de... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 127.50191282147186, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717304900788 | 100 | houstonEuler | 1717304340000 | 0 | 43 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "543bcb975824", "prob": 0.99, "text": "Adam Smith (NO) v Jesus (YES)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 248.74685927665382, "userId": "P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2.512594538148022, "textFts": "'adam':1 'jesus':5 'smith':2 'v':4 'yes':6", "contractId": "URJwyGSo2oNAsIhYNpvS", "resolution": ... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695777809174 | 0 | [{"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1714679374921}, {"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1714679374918}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsV... | ["economics-default", "culture-default", "technology-default", "politics-default", "science-default"] | 0.25 | 1717277600920 | 1717040462954 | 0.99 | P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1 | False | P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
nKZKsekXFSTkiIvmuSNh | -who-is-manifolds-goat-final-four-p | 24249.106149354775 | 🐐 Who is Manifold's G.O.A.T.? 🐐 (Final Four) | 1717736340000 | P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714679437115 | houstonEuler | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market is for the Final Four of Manifold's G.O.A.T. tournament, to determine who advances to the Championship. The purpose of this series of markets is to determine who Manifold thinks is the \"Greatest of All Time\" (G.O.A.T.).", "type": "tex... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 347.9844921424732, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717747393175 | 100 | houstonEuler | 1717736340000 | 0 | 132 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "58f1389a1390", "prob": 0.98, "text": "Jesus (NO) v Albert Einstein (YES)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 393.5609803115529, "userId": "P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 6.352255749594178, "textFts": "'albert':4 'einstein':5 'jesus':1 'v':3 'yes':6", "contractId": "nKZKsekXFSTkiIvmuSNh", "reso... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695777809174 | 0 | [{"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1714679437340}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1714679437343}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZ... | ["culture-default", "politics-default", "technology-default", "science-default", "economics-default"] | 0.25 | 1717732638407 | 1717708376213 | 0.01 | P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1 | False | P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
gcREDXxI29iYF8LDyMYO | -who-is-manifolds-goat-championship | 2309.933216926897 | 🐐 Who is Manifold's G.O.A.T.? 🐐 (Championship) | 1717995540000 | P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714679497984 | houstonEuler | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market is for the Championship of Manifold's G.O.A.T. tournament, the final round of a series of markets to determine who Manifold thinks is the \"Greatest of All Time\" (G.O.A.T.).", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragra... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 23.064951279856256, "platformFee": 1.150404903474254, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718007191376 | 100 | houstonEuler | 1717995540000 | 0 | 37 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "9893291b77b7", "prob": 0.98, "text": "Albert Einstein (YES)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 341.3260357872005, "userId": "P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 7.324375341700054, "textFts": "'albert':1 'einstein':2 'yes':3", "contractId": "gcREDXxI29iYF8LDyMYO", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId":... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695777809174 | 0 | [{"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1714679498192}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1714679498204}, {"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9P... | ["culture-default", "politics-default", "economics-default", "technology-default", "science-default"] | 0.25 | 1717992568353 | 1717775841805 | 0.04 | P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1 | False | P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | dVZTtEv5iFpQ6IyayuAR | {"NO": 108.21551698494848, "YES": 92.40818949643693} | 0.5393954626941811 | will-any-of-donald-trumps-children-bd5c430285d5 | 110 | Will any of Donald Trump's children run for Senate, House, Governor, President or VP before the end of 2028? | 1861937940000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714679606142 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.7622509839023608, "platformFee": 1.7622509839023608, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | strutheo | 1714907651425 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1714679606341}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1714679606342}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "c... | ["politics-default", "donald-trump", "us-politics", "us-congress", "us-senate"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714907648131 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
dl3kFDBEKQA7UZVch5Co | goku-vs-saitama-who-wins | 10 | Goku vs Saitama, Who wins? | 1715288340000 | NQTIBpUixebx0WjIaEKYGdXVXLr2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714680136143 | Dragan Ognjenovik | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In a straight 1v1 with all powerups who wins?", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.08203024788353917, "platformFee": 0.08203024788353917, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | DraganOgnjenovik | 1720053161621 | 0 | 1 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "71f98bb66200", "prob": 0.5467716601119468, "text": "Goku", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 54.91796975211646, "userId": "NQTIBpUixebx0WjIaEKYGdXVXLr2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 45.52244031023476, "textFts": "'goku':1", "contractId": "dl3kFDBEKQA7UZVch5Co", "createdTime": 1714680136143, "probChang... | 8 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1714665999103 | 0 | [{"name": "One Punch Man", "slug": "one-punch-man", "groupId": "0c09f030-b90a-4591-a4e4-8fb833d46336", "createdTime": 1714680136576}, {"name": "Dbs", "slug": "dbs", "groupId": "e4b4e1b6-d2bb-4f78-aa6b-2cd6d811ec3d", "createdTime": 1714680136574}, {"name": "Dragon Ball Z", "slug": "dragon-ball-z", "groupId": "37fccc6f-1... | ["one-punch-man", "dbs", "dragon-ball-z", "dbz", "dragon-ball"] | 0.25 | 1714717119945 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999983 | Rk1sw2MDOnAve8JbSjlK | {"NO": 203.82785720094563, "YES": 49.06100734867382} | 0.8059977554328116 | will-orion-have-crew-on-it-next-tim | 219.73715335489035 | Will Orion have crew on it next time it's launched to orbit? | 1798757940000 | nbI9r6hdKiT4j2qdWGK63g4UNsm1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714680385864 | Mqrius | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "People have to be on it during launch for this to resolve Yes.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The current plan is Yes, but there's a lot of questions about the safety after the first flight d... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.056540721144608286} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.460056248113908, "platformFee": 1.3180980370846263, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | Mqrius | 1719300177854 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668945784174 | 0 | [{"name": "Artemis program", "slug": "artemis-program", "groupId": "7tZRaI9VeFgLXFDbKtrX", "createdTime": 1714680386028}, {"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1714680386044}, {"name": "Artemis 2", "slug": "artemis-2", "groupId": "NSTEo9O9BI5tVjPRl8QP", "createdTime": 1... | ["artemis-program", "space", "artemis-2"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719300174606 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5 | wAm4SfRxw0ygZVUk2VLp | {"NO": 61.22399972245729, "YES": 163.33464075088756} | 0.2726414783835699 | will-elon-musk-be-found-personally | 65 | Will Elon Musk be found personally guilty of a crime in the United States before the end of 2028? | 1861937940000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714688097855 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.5038284454208062, "platformFee": 0.16153080369162434, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | strutheo | 1717274529170 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "groupId": "9JiXkg8yBFMmO4NwCW44", "createdTime": 1714688098033}, {"name": "Tesla", "slug": "tesla", "groupId": "aWXHajzqi5AtOZ3rZmcV", "createdTime": 1714688098026}, {"name": "Crime", "slug": "crime", "groupId": "j7TkLdIOLyiTtiQQKjl9", "createdTime": 1714688098028}, {"name... | ["law-order", "tesla", "crime", "billionaires", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717274525769 | 1717219424880 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999994 | kMlUflZuUH5pX0YOpYWB | {"NO": 70.12731883565174, "YES": 142.59778023790847} | 0.3296617049001902 | will-notion-ipo-before-the-end-of-2 | 46 | Will Notion IPO before the end of 2026? | 1798779540000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714688188405 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.6460813403212615, "platformFee": 0.6460813403212615, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | strutheo | 1715058004249 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Startups", "slug": "startups", "groupId": "19c319ca-033c-474f-b417-5f07efe88ec0", "createdTime": 1714688188556}, {"name": "💼 Business", "slug": "business", "groupId": "pmK8sntWL1SDkMm53UBR", "createdTime": 1714688188550}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTi... | ["startups", "business", "stocks", "notion", "internet"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715058000981 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | kCZxDS40r7pOo3EFiZcA | {"NO": 83.7642018604123, "YES": 119.3827408116938} | 0.4123330666886471 | will-notion-be-acquired-before-the | 20 | Will Notion be acquired before the end of 2026? | 1798779540000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714688246066 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.3086295941531022, "platformFee": 0.3086295941531022, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | strutheo | 1714696988877 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "💼 Business", "slug": "business", "groupId": "pmK8sntWL1SDkMm53UBR", "createdTime": 1714688246230}, {"name": "🌐 Internet", "slug": "internet", "groupId": "raDuDKuBOp5D9l7301XV", "createdTime": 1714688246253}, {"name": "Startups", "slug": "startups", "groupId": "19c319ca-033c-474f-b417-5f07efe88ec0", "creat... | ["business", "internet", "startups", "notion", "companies"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714696985594 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
00E2Rj0zp2kDm0RbaSvD | which-of-the-following-will-be-elec | 267.7684845428383 | Which of the following will be elected mayor of Sao Paulo in 2024? | 1730156340000 | NCsdQud28yNQJZVo69fn3VHnfZy2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714689298080 | Mats T | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve to the candidate elected mayor of Sao Paulo by Oct. 28th, 2024 (for 2025-2028).", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.1109318451658563, "platformFee": 0.6071487930235009, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | matsst28 | 1719571457976 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLj_0KP5OLUzaCRgR6l8Q0JRA2_7Mb86K5_fnwzCIofKarI=s96-c | 6 | 1 | DISABLED | [{"id": "85fb0b807301", "prob": 0.5216075697818097, "text": "Ricardo Nunes", "index": 0, "poolNo": 30.143187164994988, "userId": "NCsdQud28yNQJZVo69fn3VHnfZy2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 27.645826858716347, "textFts": "'nune':2 'ricardo':1", "contractId": "00E2Rj0zp2kDm0RbaSvD", "createdTime": 1714689298080, "probCh... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700993277774 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1714689298401}, {"name": "2024 Brazilian municipal elections", "slug": "2024-brazilian-municipal-elections", "groupId": "HV6Ruf9fhoXNjmUbjDOz", "createdTime": 1714689298402}, {"name": "Brazil", "slug": "brazil-3292d2... | ["politics-default", "2024-brazilian-municipal-elections", "brazil-3292d24d179f", "brazilian-politics"] | 0.25 | 1719571454884 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
qM7sDTB7EL1Q5vCKMwLF | what-was-the-most-dramatic-event-on-ed031096ac1f | 0 | What was the most dramatic event on Manifold of April 2024? | 1714881540000 | 2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1714689666994 | Gabrielle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "April 2024", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "What was the most dramatic event on Manifold of April 2024?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragr... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714881541251 | Gabrielle | 1714689667183 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwDJ6ZAXuT68UTfLZc5MRPR4vCxG04pHEyT4wDr=s96-c | 27 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1641356493109 | 0 | [{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1714689667147}, {"name": "Manifold Drama", "slug": "manifold-drama", "groupId": "srdbxZea0H4L09GcXRMF", "createdTime": 1714689667183}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-drama"] | 0.25 | ["cc8df050ef31"] | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Q399hb5yVqr2k6ULcKiC | what-will-be-the-most-dramatic-even-8a0545e32889 | 956.2706831932694 | What will be the most dramatic event on Manifold of May 2024? | 1717214340000 | 2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | 1e4fc61c9c1c | public | 1714689727344 | Gabrielle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "May 2024", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "What will be the most dramatic event on Manifold of May 2024?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragr... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.9686397075295075, "platformFee": 3.8281551033039367, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717484509019 | 1000 | Gabrielle | 1717214340000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwDJ6ZAXuT68UTfLZc5MRPR4vCxG04pHEyT4wDr=s96-c | 12 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "ea71352a9075", "prob": 0.012840298330903, "text": "Nothing particularly dramatic", "index": 0, "poolNo": 13.592925513693217, "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1045.021536813779, "textFts": "'dramat':3 'noth':1 'particular':2", "contractId": "Q399hb5yVqr2k6ULcKiC", "resolver... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1641356493109 | 0 | [{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1714689727559}, {"name": "Manifold Drama", "slug": "manifold-drama", "groupId": "srdbxZea0H4L09GcXRMF", "createdTime": 1714689727563}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-drama"] | 0.25 | 1717198062032 | 1717271328889 | {"1e4fc61c9c1c": 100} | 2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
76QsMnbVPJ0naJHhsoZi | which-gorosei-member-is-the-goat-of | 0 | Which Gorosei member is the GOAT of this arc? | 1715337937213 | PpbF5NuIgBV8q8MC8ktfY8cRDef1 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1714690918889 | Fast YES/NO One Piece | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715337960455 | FYNOP | 1715337938590 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1707774054436 | 0 | [{"name": "🏴☠️ One Piece", "slug": "one-piece-stocks", "groupId": "uJSql24HUqpEpVU0FrjI", "createdTime": 1714690919388}] | ["one-piece-stocks"] | 0.25 | ["01bda9e46773"] | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | G5xpVoezDTYU24U17zK3 | {"NO": 41.51014526018954, "YES": 240.9049628065393} | 0.1469827359603636 | metaculus-will-robert-f-kennedy-jr | 180 | [Metaculus] Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspend his 2024 presidential campaign by October 22, 2024? | 1729767600000 | PQ8Ot2GZ8NfQdXiJVmJqf3yea8O2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714690925438 | Mirror Bot | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 3}, "content": [{"text": "Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspend his 2024 presidential campaign by October 22, 2024?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves the same as ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "the original on Metaculu... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.7602151209942207, "platformFee": 1.7602151209942207, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | mirrorbot | 1715708080436 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fmirrorbot%2FYyZGRnml_x.32?alt=media&token=0329b715-fee1-4181-b04d-7dc15c1983a0 | 2 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1696426201173 | 0 | [{"name": "Metaculus", "slug": "metaculus", "groupId": "5mFuwp5QX0sdZYdNq3Jx", "createdTime": 1714690925585}, {"name": "2024 US Election", "slug": "2024-us-election", "groupId": "ys6IcrjWOTkhcjR3JLFk", "createdTime": 1714730868251}, {"name": "Robert F. Kennedy Jr.", "slug": "robert-f-kennedy-jr", "groupId": "lzuhs9uc93... | ["metaculus", "2024-us-election", "robert-f-kennedy-jr"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715708077171 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
JLFtzCm1NezWBcnJfj4M | what-percent-of-people-will-think-t | 0 | What percent of people will think that the world got more dangerous in 2024? | 1733115540000 | 8dVDne83ecNjKUEMagAZ5uswIAW2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714691520243 | UnspecifiedPerson | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves according to the 2024 Ipsos World Affairs survey, specifically the Global Country Average percent who answer that they \"somewhat agree\" or \"strongly agree\" that \"Over the last year, the world became more dangerous.\" In 2023, the resu... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | UnspecifiedPerson | 1714702901166 | 0 | 0 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "e4cb493c083a", "prob": 0.02, "text": "50-51", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.0204081632653061, "userId": "8dVDne83ecNjKUEMagAZ5uswIAW2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 50, "textFts": "'-51':2 '50':1", "contractId": "JLFtzCm1NezWBcnJfj4M", "createdTime": 1714691520243, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}, "... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1704685629131 | 0 | [{"name": "🌍 World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1714691520676}, {"name": "Public Opinion", "slug": "public-opinion", "groupId": "Lt7NilEBMhPGdsSsqGF1", "createdTime": 1714691520689}] | ["world-default", "public-opinion"] | 0.25 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
YiR69cKNvb6laLWhbdo8 | how-many-subscribers-will-dougdoug | 35.00000000000001 | How many subscribers will DougDoug have at the start of September? | 1725209940000 | Pp3P3xg6EKPkFQfn3kJCXiDw3cg1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714691862382 | leonissenbaum | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Only the main channel, DougDoug, will be considered.", "type": "text"}]}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.6034215988929734, "platformFee": 0.9619043459322129, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | leonissenbaum | 1717745760693 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJZBC4875PamuYABH-FFCw5pjlLzB72ob70UeTWFDO91ESOfw=s96-c | 2 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "02cc72931528", "prob": 0.024089457088389422, "text": "2500000-2600000", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.0994932744368358, "userId": "Pp3P3xg6EKPkFQfn3kJCXiDw3cg1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 85.05453708553937, "textFts": "'-2600000':2 '2500000':1", "contractId": "YiR69cKNvb6laLWhbdo8", "createdTime": 1714691862382, ... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1714541514631 | 0 | [{"name": "Streaming", "slug": "streaming-b160dddff0ab", "groupId": "aqYOc680xI6KmGP1jZUG", "createdTime": 1714691862612}] | ["streaming-b160dddff0ab"] | 0.25 | 1717745757363 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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rgpkTeRsQOMYMCYYNnRv | -nba-injuries | 1739.3085810548505 | 🤕 NBA Injury Report | 1715295600000 | 5ZLMEpuF15YyU9c1RTz7MorzAl22 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1714703716622 | Travis | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If the player records at least 1 second of official play time it will resolve YES.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.752556290563126, "platformFee": 8.752556290563126, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715295668782 | 1836 | travis | 1715295600000 | 0 | 6 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "e77694a034d0", "prob": 0.3030222572828019, "text": "Will Jarrett Allen play May 3 Cavaliers @ Magic 7:00 pm ET", "index": 0, "poolNo": 156.21719771268246, "userId": "5ZLMEpuF15YyU9c1RTz7MorzAl22", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 359.3132425707502, "textFts": "'00':10 '3':6 '7':9 'allen':3 'cavali':7 'et':12 'jarr... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1673648869564 | 0 | [{"name": "NBA", "slug": "nba", "groupId": "i0v3cXwuxmO9fpcInVYb", "createdTime": 1714703716927}, {"name": "NBA Playoffs", "slug": "nba-playoffs", "groupId": "8f8bc28b-e3cc-4cb4-885f-6486002430f1", "createdTime": 1714703716928}, {"name": "🏀 Basketball", "slug": "basketball", "groupId": "NjkFkdkvRvBHoeMDQ5NB", "created... | ["nba", "nba-playoffs", "basketball", "20232024-nba-season", "sports-default"] | 0.25 | 1715224275305 | 1715289559959 | 0.39 | 5ZLMEpuF15YyU9c1RTz7MorzAl22 | False | old | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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