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J1e761vfcyZInMgo7Q83 | what-would-be-openai-sora-video-gen | 88.99999999999977 | What would be OpenAI Sora Video Generation Cost/Minute (in USD) | 1735669740000 | 68IfWq6mtPXZx8BFkbrWqPfNpuG3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1715117103609 | SM | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The final cost will be calculated per minute regardless of how it is priced. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "For example: if 1 token can generate 30s of video, and the price is $10 / 100 toke... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.7307735176778976, "platformFee": 3.7307735176778976, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | SarM | 1715146489898 | 0 | 4 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "cd5e041d15c5", "prob": 0.02865735501691308, "text": "0-0.05", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.0992041625803113, "userId": "68IfWq6mtPXZx8BFkbrWqPfNpuG3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 71.1526420507704, "textFts": "'-0.05':2 '0':1", "contractId": "J1e761vfcyZInMgo7Q83", "createdTime": 1715117103609, "probChanges": {"day... | 0.25 | 1710357920910 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1715117104121}, {"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 1715117104132}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 17151171... | ["technology-default", "openai", "ai"] | 0.25 | 1715145518825 | 1715146488570 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6Rz1VgUiQrymAY6JiGqf | how-many-united-states-expresidents | 529.2151858385026 | How many United States ex-Presidents will attend Joe Biden’s funeral | 1830412740000 | MJSWJeLiUuVJx2I04pm6HvDT7Kv1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1715117327878 | Jim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution date will be extended as needed ", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.857172953735268, "platformFee": 4.357466844982131, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | JimAusman | 1719204261179 | 0 | 20 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "1dce252abba3", "prob": 0.028198677691288986, "text": "Zero", "index": 0, "poolNo": 16.52920667313208, "userId": "MJSWJeLiUuVJx2I04pm6HvDT7Kv1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 569.640359647994, "textFts": "'zero':1", "contractId": "6Rz1VgUiQrymAY6JiGqf", "createdTime": 1715117327878, "probChanges": {"day": -1.734... | 0.25 | 1669143819202 | 0 | [{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1715117328463}] | ["us-politics"] | 0.25 | 1719204258006 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.46362906644793633 | VmWxUqTB8ecHnwG2uHqy | {"NO": 1126.288242784, "YES": 856.0951287105773} | 0.5320958331581777 | will-the-bls-show-growth-in-deliver | 210 | Will the BLS show growth in delivery truck driver employment through 2029? | 1924405140000 | WKMODgdifofCHceoAN1evxBOJ6W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.61324242903978 | False | basic | public | 1715117355373 | Zvi Mowshowitz | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(Similar to: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/will-the-bls-show-growth-in-softwar", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/will-the-bls-show-growth-in... | BINARY | {"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.6650089885950954, "platformFee": 3.6650089885950954, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | ZviMowshowitz | 1715328152267 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjZzVqACtxwmB1FREO1eZAIgN70yLkYEFBbecQn=s96-c | 10 | 0 | 0.25 | 1644001035848 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1715117355682}, {"name": "Self-Driving Vehicles", "slug": "selfdriving-vehicles", "groupId": "z2q5JCxgaSsIPjKYXpQ5", "createdTime": 1715117355694}] | ["technology-default", "selfdriving-vehicles"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715328149010 | 1715290743056 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4473772278928705 | 7nkwPqXO0F0k5A7GRWvJ | {"NO": 82.82105023402164, "YES": 6637.752043108538} | 0 | will-imagoodgpt2chatbot-be-able-to | 9182.555472528702 | Will im-a-good-gpt2-chatbot be able to solve this easy Sudoku using this extremely simple prompt strategy? | 1715687154970 | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1715117376244 | jim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The puzzle we're trying to solve:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "From ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Sudoku - New York Times Number Puzzles - The N... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 49.5517218459389, "platformFee": 49.5517218459389, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715687154970 | 600 | jim | 1715687154970 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0.25 | 1690863320225 | 0 | [{"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 1715117376589}, {"name": "GPT-5", "slug": "gpt5", "groupId": "3eb479df-003d-47a2-8ba4-a41e637176da", "createdTime": 1715117376605}, {"name": "GPT Sudoku Challenges", "slug": "gpt-sudoku-challenges", "groupId": "38d585dc-c6dc-4189... | ["openai", "gpt5", "gpt-sudoku-challenges", "gpt45"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715684094337 | 0.01 | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | LPlgJvP46XtJo4t3az1v | {"NO": 75.82175756815374, "YES": 131.8882642757432} | 0.36503658752266216 | will-i-make-usajmo-in-2025 | 59.401506051331474 | Will I make USAJMO in 2025? | 1740891540000 | 9hvf51g3c5hNKWKOtvxhCL4xNRp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1715118753437 | mintylemon66 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "xook", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 0.029639134912703757} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.0239567807964152, "platformFee": 0.8063807007555791, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | mintylemon66 | 1718236815112 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.25 | 1713582481818 | 0 | [{"name": "🧮 Math", "slug": "mathematics", "groupId": "S1tbcVt1t5Bd9O5mVCx1", "createdTime": 1715118753765}, {"name": "Competition Math", "slug": "competition-math", "groupId": "64e0006d-606d-4e68-ad95-045c341bb9d1", "createdTime": 1715118753769}] | ["mathematics", "competition-math"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718236811179 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.14 | pSKfzmTTLk8oDwoSSCGI | {"NO": 109.4582117253896, "YES": 57.39882493179003} | 0.23689638866107932 | will-what-convincing-warning-shot-c | 10 | Will "What convincing warning shot could help preve..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review? | 1769904000000 | h2dutemV8qWoHLjhp9VXerhlLL13 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1715119341217 | Less Wrong | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As part of LessWrong's ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Annual Review", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/lesswrong-review", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": ", the community nom... | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.27089413730519935, "platformFee": 0.27089413730519935, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | LessWrong | 1715164948324 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKH1Ct5papO0Deh_khGs7uNUNGfjK6aQWr4LE-chfD1Cg=s96-c | 1 | 0 | 0.25 | 1706554674237 | 0 | [{"name": "LessWrong Annual Review", "slug": "lesswrong-annual-review", "groupId": "0a0b0d16-7a4b-4de5-aadf-ddd85fbefe5c", "createdTime": 1715119341559}] | ["lesswrong-annual-review"] | 0.25 | 0.14 | 1715164945013 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | w7ZJ0cQpaZpJKBGRugvq | {"NO": 92.43851334852437, "YES": 108.18001758960177} | 0.46076757175055705 | will-the-maryland-cycling-classic-r | 50 | Will the Maryland Cycling Classic return in 2025? | 1762059540000 | hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1715119359675 | Eliza | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.cyclingnews.com/news/key-bridge-disaster-among-factors-as-maryland-cycling-classic-postponed-until-2025/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.cyclingnews.com/news/key-bridge-disaster-among-factors-... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.8389500852497201, "platformFee": 0.8389500852497201, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | Eliza | 1716220563277 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c | 3 | 0 | 0.25 | 1680816506031 | 0 | [{"name": "🚲 Cycling", "slug": "road-bicycle-racing", "groupId": "2yisxJryUq9V5sG7P6Gy", "createdTime": 1715119368114}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1715119369076}, {"name": "🚲 Peloton Discord", "slug": "peloton-discord", "groupId": "rIVWY1mvCrXz... | ["road-bicycle-racing", "sports-default", "peloton-discord"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716220559903 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2AVFTMdOoWbqdPZJaKed | what-will-be-the-next-gaming-compan | 0 | What will be the next gaming company to close or see massive layoffs? | 1735718340000 | 01oTgxMQN0ZwA1OiInKhjsVrEWJ2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1715122189534 | Dan Nelson | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will be considered resolved if the company lays off more than a handful of workers between now and the end of 2024.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | DanNelson88fb | 1715143342307 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKmD6EfopJu4cyRg_4KiJ5Ezl84jet5f1paJhES6fyv=s96-c | 0 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "b00ede1751f3", "prob": 0.125, "text": "Epic Games", "index": 0, "poolNo": 14.285714285714286, "userId": "01oTgxMQN0ZwA1OiInKhjsVrEWJ2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 100, "textFts": "'epic':1 'game':2", "contractId": "2AVFTMdOoWbqdPZJaKed", "createdTime": 1715122189534, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "mon... | 0.25 | 1710570867956 | 0 | [{"name": "🎮 Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1715122189916}, {"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1715143285846}, {"name": "Video Games", "slug": "video-games", "groupId": "9FaZmHrfS8IcDJyu6pUD", "createdTime": ... | ["gaming", "culture-default", "video-games", "entertainment", "economics-default"] | 0.25 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999994 | 6tZMowuZQafyKOQBy04O | {"NO": 138.87277861045976, "YES": 72.0083525371819} | 0.658535819941294 | will-neymar-be-in-brazils-squad-for | 61 | Will Neymar be in Brazil's squad for 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1798772340000 | 4UrkF8yHd2PKzmgXB77GGkNRgXO2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1715124295146 | Gustavo Mafra | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Gotta be as a player, not staff. He doesn't need to play.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.682162850535493, "platformFee": 0.17685487717452872, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | GustavoMafra | 1717291427484 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.25 | 1668722066048 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1715124295555}, {"name": "2026 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2026-fifa-world-cup", "groupId": "qvoAQ5xw34QW92Gtwr91", "createdTime": 1715124295556}, {"name": "Brazil", "slug": "brazil-3292d24d179f", "groupId": "ZQt0sCK1Hxn0HVJhH108", ... | ["soccer", "2026-fifa-world-cup", "brazil-3292d24d179f"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717291424361 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8749999999999997 | hJLOnTskA9mxf1ON8gk2 | {"NO": 1249.6595858569026, "YES": 927.9423460585979} | 0.9040941920582319 | will-the-tesla-robotaxi-unveil-on-8 | 1415.031167030725 | Will the Tesla Robotaxi unveil on 8/8 use only Cameras as its primary input? | 1735714740000 | uyFbHRn5q9fq9DFSoHXIAhw7KrD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.0465275365374 | False | basic | public | 1715124564931 | notarealuser | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Tesla Robotaxi, set to be unveiled on August 8, 2024, will utilize only cameras as its primary input for navigation and operation? Predict whether Tesla's approach to autonomous driving in this specific model relies sole... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.004094192058232027} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 13.295546277007032, "platformFee": 9.769825018233256, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | notarealuser | 1719798425142 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 0.25 | 1700298590902 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1715124565269}, {"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre", "createdTime": 1715124565288}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "cre... | ["technology-default", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "ai", "tesla"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719798425142 | 1715189695848 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7914715530061036 | YEn2UFM79oC6nNcsqFps | {"NO": 81.00440336030091, "YES": 1888.639395071391} | 0.1400000000000015 | will-shohei-ohtani-play-in-the-2024 | 1412.948170902004 | Will Shohei Ohtani play in the 2024 MLB All-Star Home Run Derby? | 1721537940000 | 4iC2MEvQtHNkBLBkORm84TeLe0O2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.5623503723298 | False | basic | public | 1715128839699 | Spongpad | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Shohei Ohtani participates in this year’s Home Run Derby. He has not participated since 2021.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NO if Ohtani sits out the competition aga... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.6460589942540536, "month": -0.6830615235645934} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 40.74124359412859, "platformFee": 2.159828901121047, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | LBeesley | 1720016203204 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 0.25 | 1681923448038 | 0 | [{"name": "MLB", "slug": "mlb", "groupId": "RFwfANk54JSXOwj4qwsW", "createdTime": 1715128840054}, {"name": "⚾ Baseball", "slug": "baseball", "groupId": "786nRQzgVyUnuUtaLTGW", "createdTime": 1715128840061}] | ["mlb", "baseball"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719995079695 | 1720016201973 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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PJNhQ5ZsoRJbnBeJDYIQ | who-will-win-the-2026-world-chess-c | 1011.5133466247194 | Who will win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | 1798876740000 | JljMq9ITGFVYhXqKk1oS1MtmXf83 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1715139616299 | mr_mino | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market refers to this event: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2026", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2026... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 13.315565512564326, "platformFee": 6.3929409040576255, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 900 | mr_mino | 1718006819175 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIhpVDFQAVKbt-9Od9WSi01Lp_CQJnMybA5BxSxLa6a=s96-c | 14 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "6fd30957b382", "prob": 0.01555086023328619, "text": "Magnus Carlsen", "index": 0, "poolNo": 9.560025676808902, "userId": "JljMq9ITGFVYhXqKk1oS1MtmXf83", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 605.198613613507, "textFts": "'carlsen':2 'magnus':1", "contractId": "PJNhQ5ZsoRJbnBeJDYIQ", "createdTime": 1715139616299, "probC... | 0.25 | 1700547753036 | 0 | [{"name": "♟️ Chess", "slug": "chess", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1715139617236}, {"name": "Board Games", "slug": "board-games", "groupId": "Hu6z8BYs5Xz3ZRyai8MF", "createdTime": 1715139617240}, {"name": "2026 Chess World Championship", "slug": "2026-chess-world-championship", "groupId": "f120c5e... | ["chess", "board-games", "2026-chess-world-championship"] | 0.25 | 1718006815734 | 1717713734018 | True | prob-desc | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
JpGjF7sCkZ0MkVnwsqcM | who-will-win-the-2026-chess-candida | 166.76718992318138 | Who will win the 2026 Chess Candidates Tournament? | 1798876740000 | JljMq9ITGFVYhXqKk1oS1MtmXf83 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1715140053785 | mr_mino | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market refers to this event: ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2026#Candidates_Tournament", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "h... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.731375756386828, "platformFee": 4.162332170298106, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 900 | mr_mino | 1717747533050 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIhpVDFQAVKbt-9Od9WSi01Lp_CQJnMybA5BxSxLa6a=s96-c | 8 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "79409fcb49a7", "prob": 0.03984418435500465, "text": "Magnus Carlsen", "index": 0, "poolNo": 15.494947305447507, "userId": "JljMq9ITGFVYhXqKk1oS1MtmXf83", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 373.3936083590445, "textFts": "'carlsen':2 'magnus':1", "contractId": "JpGjF7sCkZ0MkVnwsqcM", "createdTime": 1715140053786, "pro... | 0.25 | 1700547753036 | 0 | [{"name": "2026 Chess World Championship", "slug": "2026-chess-world-championship", "groupId": "f120c5e9-f04e-4f03-93fd-59feaf64a05d", "createdTime": 1715140054225}, {"name": "♟️ Chess", "slug": "chess", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1715140054221}, {"name": "Board Games", "slug": "board-games", "gr... | ["2026-chess-world-championship", "chess", "board-games"] | 0.25 | 1717747529507 | True | prob-desc | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999998895 | wC2v5rSPSBpffXdzzv7A | {"NO": 990.4285265007621, "YES": 10.096639719506584} | 1 | will-jimmy-carter-be-alive-at-the-e-0307eab23586 | 4577.633237466425 | Will Jimmy Carter be alive at the end of the day on May 8? | 1715230740000 | ZjFfwNBZ65g8k6EOJjcMydO5Ebs1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1715140687000 | Jimmy Carter Death Markets | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will be changing to adjust to the pivot. Details soon.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Jimmy ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.747737299951604, "platformFee": 5.747737299951604, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715307931646 | 100 | JCDM | 1715230740000 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 1703455433441 | 0 | [{"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1715140687324}, {"name": "Jimmy Carter", "slug": "jimmy-carter", "groupId": "rigfelwTsUUySMFFJz5O", "createdTime": 1715140687322}, {"name": "Longevity", "slug": "longevity", "groupId": "b8Ygbdfv5q2sQ... | ["entertainment", "jimmy-carter", "longevity", "public-figures", "jimmy-carter-daily"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715222542572 | 0.99 | ZjFfwNBZ65g8k6EOJjcMydO5Ebs1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CPdd0yH7xw8I8s9DZu25 | how-big-will-the-largest-individual | 30 | How big will the largest individual bet on manifold be in 2024? (Ignoring exploits, bugs, and wash trades) | 1735718340000 | 4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1715141111244 | jackson polack | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Individual bets means individual bets - if you make two 50k trades one after another, that's 50k, not 100k. A limit order counts, but only the amount filled on that specific order before the end of the year. Wash trading does not count, filling you... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.11792532660339775, "platformFee": 0.11792532660339775, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 150 | jacksonpolack | 1715171682450 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c | 1 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "1eefaf49568a", "prob": 0.1801843136489684, "text": "< 100k mana", "index": 0, "poolNo": 15.724492554005053, "userId": "4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 71.54443910582415, "textFts": "'100k':1 'mana':2", "contractId": "CPdd0yH7xw8I8s9DZu25", "createdTime": 1715141111244, "probChanges"... | 0.25 | 1670234252125 | 0 | 0.25 | 1715171678938 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
qR02dRNF94GqiHDtC1Ww | what-will-be-the-largest-volume-on | 20 | What will be the largest volume on a manifold market at the end of 2024? (Excluding manipulation, wash trading) | 1735718340000 | 4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1715141329199 | jackson polack | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves based on the spirit of the market, intentionally excluding wash trading or other manipulation if nonnegligible, although it will likely be difficult to do so fully.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.09603879117246047, "platformFee": 0.09603879117246047, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 125 | jacksonpolack | 1715142819705 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c | 1 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "59b2a7b3d174", "prob": 0.21627935667494994, "text": "< 100M Mana", "index": 0, "poolNo": 16.41636172917906, "userId": "4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 59.487145575272095, "textFts": "'100m':1 'mana':2", "contractId": "qR02dRNF94GqiHDtC1Ww", "createdTime": 1715141329199, "probChanges... | 0.25 | 1670234252125 | 0 | 0.25 | 1715142816285 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
gnI4nHnIfNjSzNxbqFG3 | which-hogwarts-house-do-you-sort-th | 0 | Which Hogwarts house do you sort the Manifold community into? | 1716521278518 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1715142274225 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "uTlSC8uAmahCXmb1M66r", "label": "/strutheo/which-persons-hogwarts-house-will-b"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716521280408 | strutheo | 1716521280125 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0.25 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Harry Potter", "slug": "harry-potter", "groupId": "Xh32CB0FoWKjEKVVGJQI", "createdTime": 1715142274613}, {"name": "Meta-markets", "slug": "metamarkets", "groupId": "0112083b-1b7d-4e2a-80e8-929ba3f099a5", "createdTime": 1715142274633}, {"name": "Hogwarts Sorting", "slug": "hogwarts-sorting", "groupId": "c703a... | ["harry-potter", "metamarkets", "hogwarts-sorting", "psychology", "books"] | 0.25 | ["5ba7f26b5594"] | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FICby0RzsK6fSraoxOQt | how-much-mana-will-manifold-sell-in | 172 | How much mana will Manifold sell in 2024? | 1735718340000 | 4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1715142468587 | jackson polack | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves based on the spirit of the market, excludes money manifold gives back like with Isaac or credit card fraud.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.569270571543985, "platformFee": 0.569270571543985, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 150 | jacksonpolack | 1715160221700 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c | 2 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "e9ac24c330ea", "prob": 0.05855963315422462, "text": "< 10k USD", "index": 0, "poolNo": 8.365251971455775, "userId": "4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 134.48489105155065, "textFts": "'10k':1 'usd':2", "contractId": "FICby0RzsK6fSraoxOQt", "createdTime": 1715142468587, "probChanges": {... | 0.25 | 1670234252125 | 0 | 0.25 | 1715160218362 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
PRHwSH2KrNvXEq4Cevfu | in-what-year-will-the-number-of-us | 50.999999999999964 | In what year will the number of US states that ban animal meat surpass the number that ban lab meat | 4134005940000 | M66y7AVxEcMLlyXSUBYoFTmGMjR2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1715142797973 | NivlacM | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Current score:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Animal meat: 0", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Lab meat: 1", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If this doe... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.9147632685237446, "platformFee": 1.2351813975167787, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | NivlacM | 1719298935379 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0e4Y--wpuxNpBGKB54wHqZQP2tJVKVLsuCx8sWIg=s96-c | 6 | 1 | DISABLED | [{"id": "664497b911d6", "prob": 0.008332619300775132, "text": "2024-2026", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.2809844495813636, "userId": "M66y7AVxEcMLlyXSUBYoFTmGMjR2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 152.45032179912744, "textFts": "'-2026':2 '2024':1", "contractId": "PRHwSH2KrNvXEq4Cevfu", "createdTime": 1715142797974, "probChange... | 0.25 | 1668664660552 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1715142798588}, {"name": "🧪 Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1715142798668}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoM... | ["technology-default", "science-default", "politics-default", "us-politics", "lab-meat"] | 0.25 | 1719298931878 | 1715175304381 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
n8wovHkIHCSbM7Xc4kDe | will-home-team-win-may-10-2024-matc | 1446.2175968355275 | Will home team win? (May 10, 2024 matches) ⚽🏟️ | 1715378628584 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1715143010574 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Will home team win? (May 10, 2024 matches)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market includes the main football matches taking place on Friday, May 10, 2024. The matches featured in this mar... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.995293350806373, "platformFee": 5.995293350806373, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715378628584 | 175 | FranklinBaldo | 1715378632775 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 10 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "0cc2f1e8725a", "prob": 0.01, "text": "18:30 - FC Augsburg vs VfB Stuttgart - Bundesliga 🇩🇪", "index": 0, "poolNo": 11.033676654364655, "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 906.3162092976755, "textFts": "'18':1 '30':2 'augsburg':4 'bundesliga':8 'fc':3 'stuttgart':7 'vfb':6 '... | 0.25 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1715143010973}] | ["soccer"] | 0.25 | 1715375166627 | 1715378631197 | 0.01 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | False | alphabetical | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
rmV86PwZlYaKmPUkNcF1 | how-many-prize-points-will-manifold | 13 | How many prize points will Manifold pay out to USD in 2024? | 1735718340000 | 4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1715143702954 | jackson polack | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves based on the spirit of the market, excludes fraud", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.2839428306114026, "platformFee": 0.2839428306114026, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 175 | jacksonpolack | 1716035779996 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c | 2 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "043c4eb199dc", "prob": 0.11549167268376845, "text": "< 1k USD", "index": 0, "poolNo": 12.907935913454775, "userId": "4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 98.85714301823946, "textFts": "'1k':1 'usd':2", "contractId": "rmV86PwZlYaKmPUkNcF1", "createdTime": 1715143702954, "probChanges": {"d... | 0.25 | 1670234252125 | 0 | 0.25 | 1716035776649 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5 | YkeCKASPvpClXKO4Snn0 | {"NO": 18.281577378569402, "YES": 546.9987514164126} | 0.03234072803761023 | will-colin-kaepernick-play-in-the-n | 456 | Will Colin Kaepernick play in the NFL again before the end of 2026? | 1798779540000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1715191029456 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Colin_Kaepernick", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Colin_Kaepernick", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.2094612676646888, "platformFee": 2.2094612676646888, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | strutheo | 1715220398907 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.25 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 1715191054522}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1715191056220}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 17151910... | ["nfl", "sports-default", "football", "protest-477e21b09291", "culture-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715220395597 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | y1dLoI0hCL8JKNnJmWa3 | {"NO": 91.17687042103996, "YES": 109.67693839261675} | 0.4539464347705242 | will-manifold-make-the-notification | 10 | Will manifold make the notifications system significantly better by mid 2025? (subjective, to me, a creator?) | 1751353140000 | kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1715191656669 | Ernie | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I use the general tab of notifs for a LOT of things!", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As a creator, I need to answer trader questions.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type":... | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.16153080369162434, "platformFee": 0.16153080369162434, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | Ernie | 1715279747630 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.25 | 1668384110640 | 0 | [{"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1715191657028}] | ["manifold-features-25bad7c7792e"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715279744401 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
hbC5LnGXHdsYy6noIoub | premier-league-20242025-end-of-seas | 509.48181069683847 | Premier League 2024-2025 end of season ranking, 1-20 | 1748674740000 | XtJuqIcTwEa5WnmBtmypEKyjlfu1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1715193282384 | Henri Thunberg | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "What will the final standings for Premier League 2024-25 be?", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "(I will update relegated teams when finalized.)", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"},... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.536330223822789, "platformFee": 4.536330223822789, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 500 | HenriThunberg | 1716321017473 | 0 | 5 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "892ba129509b", "prob": 0.9507162282298623, "text": "Manchester City", "index": 0, "poolNo": 109.80281985033511, "userId": "XtJuqIcTwEa5WnmBtmypEKyjlfu1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 5.6920213966444155, "textFts": "'citi':2 'manchest':1", "contractId": "hbC5LnGXHdsYy6noIoub", "createdTime": 1715193282385, "pro... | 0.25 | 1665991918794 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1715193282811}, {"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1715193282823}, {"name": "Premier League", "slug": "premiere-league", "groupId": "5gsW3dPR3ySBRZCodrgm", "createdTime"... | ["football", "soccer", "premiere-league", "premier-league-20242025"] | 0.25 | 1716321014133 | False | prob-desc | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4999999999999998 | cSbywfBRxDgd7WUbU3eQ | {"NO": 98.01960588196074, "YES": 102.0204061220407} | 1 | daily-coinflip-90e6b435ddde | 2286.27054406151 | Daily coinflip | 1715313540000 | gRmM27eQDEVTEjM1q6Yzc7abJT93 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1715194306519 | Traveel | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = heads", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "No = tails", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(Day 146)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 19.73538528881442, "platformFee": 19.73538528881442, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715324739783 | 100 | Traveel | 1715313540000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp75uQk9_bN2j7atj8Sgb_7Ud50XuAC1-rg4KHhh=s96-c | 26 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 1674441975928 | 0 | [{"name": "FairlyRandom", "slug": "fairlyrandom", "groupId": "J8Z1KAZV31icklA4tgJW", "createdTime": 1715194306821}, {"name": "Non-Predictive Profits", "slug": "nonpredictive-profits", "groupId": "sVCyD10FvUk5af10QT6H", "createdTime": 1715194306823}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac... | ["fairlyrandom", "nonpredictive-profits", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | False | False | 1715312370666 | 1715324312034 | 0.49 | gRmM27eQDEVTEjM1q6Yzc7abJT93 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | J7sa1VpXPWkazrm8kLQB | {"NO": 10.050378152592117, "YES": 994.9874371066203} | 0 | will-there-be-a-massive-earthquake | 782.4082431828172 | Will there be a massive earthquake in California between May 8th and May 14th? | 1715781144632 | FRXOmjLVJcZM4fEcnCB3gU88Ye82 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1715195118918 | William Giammona | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Dutch planetary geometry analyst Frank Hoogerbeets who studies/predicts earthquakes has said there might be one in California in the next 7 days. Massive earthquake means 7.0 or above.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.773279187002771, "platformFee": 2.773279187002771, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715781144632 | 100 | WilliamGiammona | 1715781489646 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIncZC6rkusB7ujOtXTHpbAVm0cvtAAK2Y3a951uk6L30UosWg=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 0.25 | 1715194950698 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715550920311 | 1715781488378 | 0.01 | FRXOmjLVJcZM4fEcnCB3gU88Ye82 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq | how-many-hits-after-30-days | 31879.791634124813 | How many hits after 30 days? | 1717683056121 | dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1715195226725 | Base | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "the next 30 days i will ask ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "mention", "attrs": {"id": "xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1", "label": "FairlyRandom"}}, {"text": " every day twice for a number 1-80 every time the bot rolls a Number 1-62 it is a hit ", "type"... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 146.24257968258684, "platformFee": 63.59183668818145, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717683062926 | 825 | Base | 1717684160878 | 0 | 15 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "54c32b4c0373", "prob": 0.99, "text": "more then 22 hits", "index": 0, "poolNo": 248.7468592766554, "userId": "dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2.5125945381480363, "textFts": "'22':3 'hit':4", "contractId": "4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsd... | 0.25 | 1690298751650 | 0 | [{"name": "Dice", "slug": "dice", "groupId": "cb9b9e13-ad1a-41c1-96d2-23cd5b008777", "createdTime": 1715195227166}, {"name": "Luck", "slug": "luck", "groupId": "ccafed67-30ba-4efb-bbdb-cf350e9a2098", "createdTime": 1715195227169}, {"name": "Random", "slug": "random", "groupId": "d208e730-aa1c-44a1-9c81-3ed96d8fee70", "... | ["dice", "luck", "random", "gambling", "fairlyrandom", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"] | 0.25 | False | False | 1717683052113 | 1717684158524 | 0.01 | dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2593991690707733 | xKSYn32lm44d10tPhEB1 | {"NO": 933.797835283279, "YES": 1153.4076726378562} | 0.22092056806199453 | will-ussop-die-before-the-strawhats | 391.2954330285294 | Will Ussop die before the strawhats find the one piece? | 1801457940000 | 10KnkS5ivLOZIHTQ7hZKey77YJF2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.60233903731304 | False | basic | public | 1715195627071 | Cristian Pena | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.005054062999931136, "month": -0.015753037420292826} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.407081950272255, "platformFee": 4.225550194706458, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | CristianPena | 1719991404723 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 0.25 | 1715191763685 | 0 | [{"name": "Manga", "slug": "manga", "groupId": "0e0wvkjcHdblLOdaK9jp", "createdTime": 1715195627511}, {"name": "🏴☠️ One Piece", "slug": "one-piece-stocks", "groupId": "uJSql24HUqpEpVU0FrjI", "createdTime": 1715195627502}, {"name": "One piece theories", "slug": "one-piece-theories", "groupId": "78f2f6a8-571e-44b4-976c... | ["manga", "one-piece-stocks", "one-piece-theories"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719991401634 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2WJMqlVNonEi8ni7z8i9 | how-many-goals-will-the-ucl-finals | 85.00000000000001 | how many goals will the UCL finals have (BVB vs Real/Bayern) | 1717268340000 | 10KnkS5ivLOZIHTQ7hZKey77YJF2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1715195864717 | Cristian Pena | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.5088970882076382, "platformFee": 1.510832995662101, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | CristianPena | 1719013377175 | 0 | 6 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "028cf1f7439d", "prob": 0.19995739819483935, "text": "0-1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 7.904641646273426, "userId": "10KnkS5ivLOZIHTQ7hZKey77YJF2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 31.62698717883816, "textFts": "'-1':2 '0':1", "contractId": "2WJMqlVNonEi8ni7z8i9", "createdTime": 1715195864717, "probChanges": {"day": 0, ... | 3 | 0.25 | 1715191763685 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1715195865031}, {"name": "UCL finals", "slug": "ucl-finals", "groupId": "f2a4fc70-c302-449d-b209-cbe75ed75839", "createdTime": 1715195865050}, {"name": "UEFA Champions League", "slug": "uefa-champions-league", "groupId": "jgZHnM9Q... | ["soccer", "ucl-finals", "uefa-champions-league"] | 0.25 | 1716498169955 | 1719013376083 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000003 | dUxNTWJJGBaurKr4HIQF | {"NO": 172.33077457900546, "YES": 58.02794088536672} | 0.7480974801913175 | will-buggy-the-clown-awaken-his-fru | 269.4900608023395 | Will buggy the clown awaken his fruit before one piece ends? | 1801457940000 | 10KnkS5ivLOZIHTQ7hZKey77YJF2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1715196008919 | Cristian Pena | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.836982825962134, "platformFee": 2.836982825962134, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | CristianPena | 1715953886104 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.25 | 1715191763685 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715953882866 | 0 |
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