p
string
id
string
pool
string
prob
string
slug
string
volume
string
dpmPool
string
question
string
realAnte
string
closeTime
string
creatorId
string
mechanism
string
startPool
string
totalBets
string
dailyScore
string
elasticity
string
isResolved
string
marketTier
string
resolution
string
visibility
string
createdTime
string
creatorName
string
description
string
outcomeType
string
probChanges
string
subsidyPool
string
totalShares
string
collectedFees
string
phantomShares
string
volume24Hours
string
resolutionTime
string
totalLiquidity
string
creatorUsername
string
lastUpdatedTime
string
popularityScore
string
creatorAvatarUrl
string
likedByUserCount
string
uniqueBettorCount
string
cfmmConversionTime
string
uniqueBettorCountDay
string
addAnswersMode
string
answers
string
bountyLeft
string
bountyTxns
string
closeEmailsSent
string
conversionScore
string
coverImageUrl
string
creatorCreatedTime
string
deleted
string
followerCount
string
freshnessScore
string
groupLinks
string
groupSlugs
string
importanceScore
string
initialProbability
string
isPolitics
string
isRanked
string
isSubsidized
string
lastBetTime
string
lastCommentTime
string
loverUserId1
string
loverUserId2
string
matchCreatorId
string
nonPredictive
string
resolutionProbability
string
resolutions
string
resolverId
string
shouldAnswersSumToOne
string
sort
string
totalBounty
string
unlistedById
string
username
string
viewCount
string
wasDpm
string
J1e761vfcyZInMgo7Q83
what-would-be-openai-sora-video-gen
88.99999999999977
What would be OpenAI Sora Video Generation Cost/Minute (in USD)
1735669740000
68IfWq6mtPXZx8BFkbrWqPfNpuG3
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715117103609
SM
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The final cost will be calculated per minute regardless of how it is priced. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "For example: if 1 token can generate 30s of video, and the price is $10 / 100 toke...
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 3.7307735176778976, "platformFee": 3.7307735176778976, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
200
SarM
1715146489898
0
https://firebasestorage.…475-6fd38b259c07
4
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "cd5e041d15c5", "prob": 0.02865735501691308, "text": "0-0.05", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.0992041625803113, "userId": "68IfWq6mtPXZx8BFkbrWqPfNpuG3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 71.1526420507704, "textFts": "'-0.05':2 '0':1", "contractId": "J1e761vfcyZInMgo7Q83", "createdTime": 1715117103609, "probChanges": {"day...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…1114f20fc48d.jpg
1710357920910
0
[{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1715117104121}, {"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 1715117104132}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 17151171...
["technology-default", "openai", "ai"]
0.25
1715145518825
1715146488570
True
0
6Rz1VgUiQrymAY6JiGqf
how-many-united-states-expresidents
529.2151858385026
How many United States ex-Presidents will attend Joe Biden’s funeral
1830412740000
MJSWJeLiUuVJx2I04pm6HvDT7Kv1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1715117327878
Jim
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution date will be extended as needed ", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 4.857172953735268, "platformFee": 4.357466844982131, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
JimAusman
1719204261179
0
https://firebasestorage.…02c-9c3e2d7602ee
20
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "1dce252abba3", "prob": 0.028198677691288986, "text": "Zero", "index": 0, "poolNo": 16.52920667313208, "userId": "MJSWJeLiUuVJx2I04pm6HvDT7Kv1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 569.640359647994, "textFts": "'zero':1", "contractId": "6Rz1VgUiQrymAY6JiGqf", "createdTime": 1715117327878, "probChanges": {"day": -1.734...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…6bb3e460bf89.jpg
1669143819202
0
[{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1715117328463}]
["us-politics"]
0.25
1719204258006
True
0
0.46362906644793633
VmWxUqTB8ecHnwG2uHqy
{"NO": 1126.288242784, "YES": 856.0951287105773}
0.5320958331581777
will-the-bls-show-growth-in-deliver
210
Will the BLS show growth in delivery truck driver employment through 2029?
1924405140000
WKMODgdifofCHceoAN1evxBOJ6W2
cpmm-1
0
9.61324242903978
False
basic
public
1715117355373
Zvi Mowshowitz
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(Similar to: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/will-the-bls-show-growth-in-softwar", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/will-the-bls-show-growth-in...
BINARY
{"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.6650089885950954, "platformFee": 3.6650089885950954, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
ZviMowshowitz
1715328152267
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjZzVqACtxwmB1FREO1eZAIgN70yLkYEFBbecQn=s96-c
10
0
0.25
1644001035848
0
[{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1715117355682}, {"name": "Self-Driving Vehicles", "slug": "selfdriving-vehicles", "groupId": "z2q5JCxgaSsIPjKYXpQ5", "createdTime": 1715117355694}]
["technology-default", "selfdriving-vehicles"]
0.25
0.5
1715328149010
1715290743056
0
0.4473772278928705
7nkwPqXO0F0k5A7GRWvJ
{"NO": 82.82105023402164, "YES": 6637.752043108538}
0
will-imagoodgpt2chatbot-be-able-to
9182.555472528702
Will im-a-good-gpt2-chatbot be able to solve this easy Sudoku using this extremely simple prompt strategy?
1715687154970
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1715117376244
jim
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The puzzle we're trying to solve:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "From ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Sudoku - New York Times Number Puzzles - The N...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 49.5517218459389, "platformFee": 49.5517218459389, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1715687154970
600
jim
1715687154970
0
https://firebasestorage.…9bd-1f9dcd4cd13f
18
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…d21eecbc906f.jpg
1690863320225
0
[{"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 1715117376589}, {"name": "GPT-5", "slug": "gpt5", "groupId": "3eb479df-003d-47a2-8ba4-a41e637176da", "createdTime": 1715117376605}, {"name": "GPT Sudoku Challenges", "slug": "gpt-sudoku-challenges", "groupId": "38d585dc-c6dc-4189...
["openai", "gpt5", "gpt-sudoku-challenges", "gpt45"]
0.25
0.5
1715684094337
0.01
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
0
0.5000000000000001
LPlgJvP46XtJo4t3az1v
{"NO": 75.82175756815374, "YES": 131.8882642757432}
0.36503658752266216
will-i-make-usajmo-in-2025
59.401506051331474
Will I make USAJMO in 2025?
1740891540000
9hvf51g3c5hNKWKOtvxhCL4xNRp2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715118753437
mintylemon66
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "xook", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 0.029639134912703757}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.0239567807964152, "platformFee": 0.8063807007555791, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
mintylemon66
1718236815112
0
https://firebasestorage.…698-edaa83dc0b60
3
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…7c3b08faf1a0.jpg
1713582481818
0
[{"name": "🧮 Math", "slug": "mathematics", "groupId": "S1tbcVt1t5Bd9O5mVCx1", "createdTime": 1715118753765}, {"name": "Competition Math", "slug": "competition-math", "groupId": "64e0006d-606d-4e68-ad95-045c341bb9d1", "createdTime": 1715118753769}]
["mathematics", "competition-math"]
0.25
0.5
1718236811179
0
0.14
pSKfzmTTLk8oDwoSSCGI
{"NO": 109.4582117253896, "YES": 57.39882493179003}
0.23689638866107932
will-what-convincing-warning-shot-c
10
Will "What convincing warning shot could help preve..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
1769904000000
h2dutemV8qWoHLjhp9VXerhlLL13
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715119341217
Less Wrong
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As part of LessWrong's ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Annual Review", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/lesswrong-review", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": ", the community nom...
BINARY
{"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.27089413730519935, "platformFee": 0.27089413730519935, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
LessWrong
1715164948324
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKH1Ct5papO0Deh_khGs7uNUNGfjK6aQWr4LE-chfD1Cg=s96-c
1
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…e9b1e2f99621.jpg
1706554674237
0
[{"name": "LessWrong Annual Review", "slug": "lesswrong-annual-review", "groupId": "0a0b0d16-7a4b-4de5-aadf-ddd85fbefe5c", "createdTime": 1715119341559}]
["lesswrong-annual-review"]
0.25
0.14
1715164945013
0
0.5000000000000001
w7ZJ0cQpaZpJKBGRugvq
{"NO": 92.43851334852437, "YES": 108.18001758960177}
0.46076757175055705
will-the-maryland-cycling-classic-r
50
Will the Maryland Cycling Classic return in 2025?
1762059540000
hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715119359675
Eliza
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.cyclingnews.com/news/key-bridge-disaster-among-factors-as-maryland-cycling-classic-postponed-until-2025/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.cyclingnews.com/news/key-bridge-disaster-among-factors-...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.8389500852497201, "platformFee": 0.8389500852497201, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
Eliza
1716220563277
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c
3
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…8bbd95b3a25c.jpg
1680816506031
0
[{"name": "🚲 Cycling", "slug": "road-bicycle-racing", "groupId": "2yisxJryUq9V5sG7P6Gy", "createdTime": 1715119368114}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1715119369076}, {"name": "🚲 Peloton Discord", "slug": "peloton-discord", "groupId": "rIVWY1mvCrXz...
["road-bicycle-racing", "sports-default", "peloton-discord"]
0.25
0.5
1716220559903
0
2AVFTMdOoWbqdPZJaKed
what-will-be-the-next-gaming-compan
0
What will be the next gaming company to close or see massive layoffs?
1735718340000
01oTgxMQN0ZwA1OiInKhjsVrEWJ2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715122189534
Dan Nelson
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will be considered resolved if the company lays off more than a handful of workers between now and the end of 2024.", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
200
DanNelson88fb
1715143342307
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKmD6EfopJu4cyRg_4KiJ5Ezl84jet5f1paJhES6fyv=s96-c
0
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "b00ede1751f3", "prob": 0.125, "text": "Epic Games", "index": 0, "poolNo": 14.285714285714286, "userId": "01oTgxMQN0ZwA1OiInKhjsVrEWJ2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 100, "textFts": "'epic':1 'game':2", "contractId": "2AVFTMdOoWbqdPZJaKed", "createdTime": 1715122189534, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "mon...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…5f2a3c2e6968.jpg
1710570867956
0
[{"name": "🎮 Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1715122189916}, {"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1715143285846}, {"name": "Video Games", "slug": "video-games", "groupId": "9FaZmHrfS8IcDJyu6pUD", "createdTime": ...
["gaming", "culture-default", "video-games", "entertainment", "economics-default"]
0.25
True
0
0.49999999999999994
6tZMowuZQafyKOQBy04O
{"NO": 138.87277861045976, "YES": 72.0083525371819}
0.658535819941294
will-neymar-be-in-brazils-squad-for
61
Will Neymar be in Brazil's squad for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1798772340000
4UrkF8yHd2PKzmgXB77GGkNRgXO2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715124295146
Gustavo Mafra
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Gotta be as a player, not staff. He doesn't need to play.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.682162850535493, "platformFee": 0.17685487717452872, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
GustavoMafra
1717291427484
0
https://firebasestorage.…8e3-8d7a4f86a32e
3
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…93398276fe2d.jpg
1668722066048
0
[{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1715124295555}, {"name": "2026 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2026-fifa-world-cup", "groupId": "qvoAQ5xw34QW92Gtwr91", "createdTime": 1715124295556}, {"name": "Brazil", "slug": "brazil-3292d24d179f", "groupId": "ZQt0sCK1Hxn0HVJhH108", ...
["soccer", "2026-fifa-world-cup", "brazil-3292d24d179f"]
0.25
0.5
1717291424361
0
0.8749999999999997
hJLOnTskA9mxf1ON8gk2
{"NO": 1249.6595858569026, "YES": 927.9423460585979}
0.9040941920582319
will-the-tesla-robotaxi-unveil-on-8
1415.031167030725
Will the Tesla Robotaxi unveil on 8/8 use only Cameras as its primary input?
1735714740000
uyFbHRn5q9fq9DFSoHXIAhw7KrD3
cpmm-1
0
10.0465275365374
False
basic
public
1715124564931
notarealuser
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Tesla Robotaxi, set to be unveiled on August 8, 2024, will utilize only cameras as its primary input for navigation and operation? Predict whether Tesla's approach to autonomous driving in this specific model relies sole...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.004094192058232027}
0
{"creatorFee": 13.295546277007032, "platformFee": 9.769825018233256, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
notarealuser
1719798425142
0
https://firebasestorage.…8ad-29a00de78354
27
1
0.25
https://storage.googleap…9b480d51c74d.jpg
1700298590902
0
[{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1715124565269}, {"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre", "createdTime": 1715124565288}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "cre...
["technology-default", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "ai", "tesla"]
0.25
0.5
1719798425142
1715189695848
0
0.7914715530061036
YEn2UFM79oC6nNcsqFps
{"NO": 81.00440336030091, "YES": 1888.639395071391}
0.1400000000000015
will-shohei-ohtani-play-in-the-2024
1412.948170902004
Will Shohei Ohtani play in the 2024 MLB All-Star Home Run Derby?
1721537940000
4iC2MEvQtHNkBLBkORm84TeLe0O2
cpmm-1
0
9.5623503723298
False
basic
public
1715128839699
Spongpad
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Shohei Ohtani participates in this year’s Home Run Derby. He has not participated since 2021.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NO if Ohtani sits out the competition aga...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": -0.6460589942540536, "month": -0.6830615235645934}
0
{"creatorFee": 40.74124359412859, "platformFee": 2.159828901121047, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
LBeesley
1720016203204
0
https://firebasestorage.…624-9f8c6cb1e486
14
2
0.25
https://storage.googleap…d66dc5659a19.jpg
1681923448038
0
[{"name": "MLB", "slug": "mlb", "groupId": "RFwfANk54JSXOwj4qwsW", "createdTime": 1715128840054}, {"name": "⚾ Baseball", "slug": "baseball", "groupId": "786nRQzgVyUnuUtaLTGW", "createdTime": 1715128840061}]
["mlb", "baseball"]
0.25
0.5
1719995079695
1720016201973
0
0.29076719074109997
vcGSnNu2644XxhBgSzM6
{"NO": 819.7238718722556, "YES": 1511.6111257307914}
0.1818855333411972
will-gpt5-be-able-to-replace-the-av
3871.14504235479
Will GPT-5 be able to replace the average web developer?
1767135540000
Acv189qBlCTT4POzQifpJ5keLz63
cpmm-1
0
9.59361237558662
False
basic
public
1715129278783
ersatz
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I'm not considering the cost of inference, so assuming an unlimited inference budget, will GPT-5 be able to replace the average web developer?", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -0.028850656395157548}
0
{"creatorFee": 39.39767134911618, "platformFee": 26.127551440810638, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
ersatz
1718866257120
0
https://firebasestorage.…fae-9ad9a107b2f7
71
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…95212f8fa39c.jpg
1656777703327
0
[{"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1715129279115}, {"name": "GPT-5", "slug": "gpt5", "groupId": "3eb479df-003d-47a2-8ba4-a41e637176da", "createdTime": 1715129279125}]
["ai", "gpt5"]
0.25
0.5
1718866254066
1715958690051
0
0.430675700047473
UcZGKxo3j6uaHTy1iTcs
{"NO": 830.7207018074893, "YES": 1274.655664792453}
0.33021063071838885
will-destiny-and-elon-musk-talk-in
1174.066149458538
Will Destiny and Elon Musk talk in the same Twitter space before the end of 2024?
1735707540000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
9.770902842500243
False
basic
public
1715129930823
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2Fripptlrm55.png?alt=media&token=1bb303b2-cd14-4c97-8d48-f0bc79a8d05a", "title": null}}, {"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.00021063071838878233}
0
{"creatorFee": 20.65654151685097, "platformFee": 4.770765112761483, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
strutheo
1719410826231
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
25
1
0.25
https://storage.googleap…43bb06b087ef.jpg
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1715129931143}, {"name": "✖️ X (Twitter)", "slug": "twitter", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1715129931146}, {"name": "🌐 Internet", "slug": "internet", "groupId": "raDuDKuBOp5D9l7301XV", "createdTime": ...
["destinygg", "twitter", "internet", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "dalibanhq"]
0.25
0.5
1719410823138
1715167841933
0
0.5000000000000002
rUjrrLorbYIXqu2FtbPx
{"NO": 35.21218678809818, "YES": 283.9925864354445}
0.11031221880707504
will-dwarkesh-patel-talk-to-destiny
321.39851786887886
Will Dwarkesh Patel interview Destiny on his show before the end of 2024?
1735707540000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715130216293
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": 1.3877787807814457e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.757178000646586, "platformFee": 2.690121172313124, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
strutheo
1717237357085
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
7
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…83ce52383b37.jpg
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1715130216645}, {"name": "🌐 Internet", "slug": "internet", "groupId": "raDuDKuBOp5D9l7301XV", "createdTime": 1715130216644}, {"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK9qu9mj", "createdTime": 1715130...
["destinygg", "internet", "youtube", "podcasts", "dwarkesh-patel"]
0.25
0.5
1717237353963
0
0.2746307531312565
Nax3Z0FPo0S4GOn7WSKF
{"NO": 365.6030405875953, "YES": 13656.676339234175}
0
will-a-german-team-win-the-champion
17421.77158590523
Will a German Team win the 2024 Champions League?
1717287809279
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
NO
public
1715130277193
Base
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 92.65924431175053, "platformFee": 48.45325687085646, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717287813671
1000
Base
1717287809279
0
https://firebasestorage.…816-54142cec3137
37
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…89e28743c0f1.jpg
1690298751650
0
[{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1715130277513}, {"name": "Germany", "slug": "germany", "groupId": "0egO7eYCaC5HnLwGN8tR", "createdTime": 1715130277517}, {"name": "🇪🇸 Spain", "slug": "spain", "groupId": "OGSXjmjjySBpjZC2r5QQ", "createdTime": 1715130277520}, {...
["soccer", "germany", "spain", "football", "uefa-champions-league"]
0.25
0.5
1717287807011
1717275858312
0.01
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
0
mCshgZDuAgSpppiU2mCw
dortmund-bayern-champions-league-fi
50.60722715895774
Dortmund - Bayern Champions League Final 2024
1715203184787
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
CANCEL
public
1715130961034
Base
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Real Madrid plays in the Finals against Dortmund this Market resolves N/A", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0.5464693056570012, "platformFee": 0.5464693056570012, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1715203190078
100
Base
1715203184787
0
https://firebasestorage.…816-54142cec3137
3
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "df9bc295e766", "prob": 0.2799999999999999, "text": "Dortmund", "index": 0, "poolNo": 22.04792759220493, "userId": "dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 56.69467095138412, "textFts": "'dortmund':1", "contractId": "mCshgZDuAgSpppiU2mCw", "resolverId": "dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22", "creat...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…26efd6c77903.jpg
1690298751650
0
[{"name": "UEFA Champions League", "slug": "uefa-champions-league", "groupId": "jgZHnM9QIVaWt6OmPhm3", "createdTime": 1715131162400}, {"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1715131164808}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", ...
["uefa-champions-league", "soccer", "football", "germany", "bayern-munich"]
0.25
1715183022165
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
True
0
k0TR99N4DKQkWgijHexe
dortmund-real-madrid-champions-leag
4139.43679690729
Dortmund - Real Madrid Champions League Final 2024
1717276506690
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
1eafb91c1769
public
1715131232151
Base
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 6.483722697285046, "platformFee": 1.5474307677406125, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717276517407
100
Base
1717276506690
0
https://firebasestorage.…816-54142cec3137
18
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "0be9524d1645", "prob": 0.00024818755825639714, "text": "Dortmund", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.5570560683313488, "userId": "dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2243.939292760994, "textFts": "'dortmund':1", "contractId": "k0TR99N4DKQkWgijHexe", "resolverId": "dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22", "...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…c0c2c487506b.jpg
1690298751650
0
[{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1715131233141}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1715131233144}, {"name": "UEFA Champions League", "slug": "uefa-champions-league", "groupId": "jgZHnM9QIVaWt6OmPhm3", ...
["soccer", "football", "uefa-champions-league", "real-madrid"]
0.25
1717276502911
1717275866845
{"1eafb91c1769": 100}
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
True
0
0.3895813535734978
FLF2UfCogcXgoG7xUnwU
{"NO": 65.64730120547858, "YES": 1075.6817048017836}
0
will-israel-invade-rafah-in-june-20
1453
Will Israel invade Rafah in June 2024?
1715921280205
U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1715131846253
Panfilo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as Yes if an official IDF spokesperson declares the IDF has entered the city of Rafah en masse in Gaza. Because of the ambiguity of \"en masse\" and the potential for edge cases, other examples of things that would be strong arguments for ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 7.742946145589899, "platformFee": 7.742946145589899, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1715921280205
200
Panfilo
1715921280205
0
https://firebasestorage.…30c-2f62a625fa0b
11
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…cea47c3a91ad.jpg
1695066009476
0
[{"name": "⚔️ Wars", "slug": "wars", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz", "createdTime": 1715131846629}, {"name": "Gaza", "slug": "gaza", "groupId": "eb9005cb-58e8-49d5-90c2-47c6e64178c7", "createdTime": 1715131846627}, {"name": "🇮🇱 Israel", "slug": "israel", "groupId": "ECjphikMbmosJsDAAJoU", "createdTime": 1715131846...
["wars", "gaza", "israel", "arabisraeli-conflict", "israelhamas-conflict-2023"]
0.25
0.5
1715921147403
1715700191622
0.04
U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2
0
0.5000000000000002
nMvJZRng1IbLXd2ebOnI
{"NO": 136.79997819289196, "YES": 73.09942685736182}
0.6517406667262328
will-ammon-and-strutheo-work-on-a-s
1345
Will Ammon and @Strutheo work on a startup project together before the end of 2026?
1798779540000
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715132197673
Ammon Lam
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Both of us have to have spent at least 100 hours on it to count", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 11.754562804360008, "platformFee": 11.505278041533593, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
AmmonLam
1718260529443
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c
7
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…e3e69e9772ca.jpg
1668192587343
0
[{"name": "Startups", "slug": "startups", "groupId": "19c319ca-033c-474f-b417-5f07efe88ec0", "createdTime": 1715132198020}]
["startups"]
0.25
0.5
1716870229766
1718260528134
0
0.5
ESW2CphbfyRZloshRpKt
{"NO": 81.62633420112385, "YES": 122.50948297347783}
0.39986287233125345
will-ilhan-omar-be-censured-before
65
Will Ilhan Omar be censured before the election?
1731214740000
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715133951806
Predictor 🔥
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.000316240661467, "platformFee": 1.000316240661467, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
Predictor
1715154497355
0
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
6
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…3cc20ce32e02.jpg
1644461353687
0
[{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1715133952133}]
["us-politics"]
0.25
0.5
1715154494125
0
Famz2ZZLhBlWbhsTH4gP
what-will-the-economist-democracy-i
399.99999999999994
What will The Economist Democracy Index of Myanmar be in 2024?
1735689540000
K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715135798389
Tetra
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 26.010215490742457, "platformFee": 26.010215490742457, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
Tetraspace
1715135901509
0
https://firebasestorage.…4a7-b7343519b16f
2
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "6cd66c98ae96", "prob": 0.11996141437850183, "text": "0-0.2", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.637192888341527, "userId": "K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 19.34648329624117, "textFts": "'-0.2':2 '0':1", "contractId": "Famz2ZZLhBlWbhsTH4gP", "createdTime": 1715135798389, "probChanges": {"day":...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…fed7c12900c4.jpg
1642130392212
0
0.25
1715135897431
True
0
KsjPomQGWzM8Q26xxwZM
what-will-the-economist-democracy-i-77ef92a6ead8
199.99999999999994
What will The Economist Democracy Index of Myanmar be in 2025?
1767225540000
K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715135830647
Tetra
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 13.537855014527818, "platformFee": 13.537855014527818, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
Tetraspace
1715135929711
0
https://firebasestorage.…4a7-b7343519b16f
2
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "dacd7838c2e5", "prob": 0.06297760395231673, "text": "0-0.2", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.8517827979992507, "userId": "K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 27.55204779868908, "textFts": "'-0.2':2 '0':1", "contractId": "KsjPomQGWzM8Q26xxwZM", "createdTime": 1715135830647, "probChanges": {"day"...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…e0886d604012.jpg
1642130392212
0
0.25
1715135925436
True
0
ngqT6ewRYFuIc6fHrl37
will-crypto-be-mentioned-in-the-pre
154
Will crypto be mentioned in the presidential debates?
1719543599724
CIjG4lQDXlgBaOMR5HxuKFwAR7V2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
aa1ac90fabc5
public
1715135939785
PS
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 1.205368719355218, "platformFee": 1.1752714955898442, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1719543599724
1000
PierreS
1719543719313
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtdb4H2ofCru8OPKDVsG6eNgKQM1OXUfhp8w3SvnA2_c=s96-c
11
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "aa1ac90fabc5", "prob": 0.6245458147767884, "text": "Not at all", "index": 0, "poolNo": 394.92949726305267, "userId": "CIjG4lQDXlgBaOMR5HxuKFwAR7V2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 237.4172224154705, "textFts": "", "contractId": "ngqT6ewRYFuIc6fHrl37", "resolverId": "CIjG4lQDXlgBaOMR5HxuKFwAR7V2", "createdTime": ...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…2e8b0f38525a.jpg
1690563920337
0
[{"name": "🪙 Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1715135940220}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1715135940215}]
["crypto-speculation", "2024-us-presidential-election"]
0.25
1717604386760
1719543718169
{"aa1ac90fabc5": 100}
CIjG4lQDXlgBaOMR5HxuKFwAR7V2
True
0
y3sqwiD1qA74b1DGEQYi
live-what-will-happen-at-tonights-c-5b1182af5344
1024.0227804655851
🔴LIVE: What will happen at tonight's Coolfold poker night [ADD RESPONSES]
1715142097716
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
MKT
public
1715137610025
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 3.2421727962034987, "platformFee": 3.2421727962034987, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1715142097716
125
strutheo
1715142099137
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
5
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "6957eeff4ae9", "prob": 0.01, "text": "anyone gets 4 of a kind all night", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.512594538148022, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 248.7468592766549, "textFts": "'4':3 'anyon':1 'get':2 'kind':6 'night':8", "contractId": "y3sqwiD1qA74b1DGEQYi", "resolution...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…c096c8adf8b8.jpg
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "Live Betting", "slug": "live-betting", "groupId": "7cd7e77e-1dcd-4bc6-baa3-f57405b83c36", "createdTime": 1715137610473}, {"name": "Livestreaming", "slug": "livestreaming", "groupId": "TZws4XJiarOAOewNxOje", "createdTime": 1715137610478}, {"name": "Poker", "slug": "poker", "groupId": "kpUuJYWzvqtBO3Be0Xsx", "...
["live-betting", "livestreaming", "poker", "youtube", "manifold-users"]
0.25
1715142095970
1715139837660
0.99
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
False
0
PJNhQ5ZsoRJbnBeJDYIQ
who-will-win-the-2026-world-chess-c
1011.5133466247194
Who will win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
1798876740000
JljMq9ITGFVYhXqKk1oS1MtmXf83
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715139616299
mr_mino
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market refers to this event: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2026", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2026...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 13.315565512564326, "platformFee": 6.3929409040576255, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
900
mr_mino
1718006819175
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIhpVDFQAVKbt-9Od9WSi01Lp_CQJnMybA5BxSxLa6a=s96-c
14
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "6fd30957b382", "prob": 0.01555086023328619, "text": "Magnus Carlsen", "index": 0, "poolNo": 9.560025676808902, "userId": "JljMq9ITGFVYhXqKk1oS1MtmXf83", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 605.198613613507, "textFts": "'carlsen':2 'magnus':1", "contractId": "PJNhQ5ZsoRJbnBeJDYIQ", "createdTime": 1715139616299, "probC...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…986a2af7ebee.jpg
1700547753036
0
[{"name": "♟️ Chess", "slug": "chess", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1715139617236}, {"name": "Board Games", "slug": "board-games", "groupId": "Hu6z8BYs5Xz3ZRyai8MF", "createdTime": 1715139617240}, {"name": "2026 Chess World Championship", "slug": "2026-chess-world-championship", "groupId": "f120c5e...
["chess", "board-games", "2026-chess-world-championship"]
0.25
1718006815734
1717713734018
True
prob-desc
0
JpGjF7sCkZ0MkVnwsqcM
who-will-win-the-2026-chess-candida
166.76718992318138
Who will win the 2026 Chess Candidates Tournament?
1798876740000
JljMq9ITGFVYhXqKk1oS1MtmXf83
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715140053785
mr_mino
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market refers to this event: ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2026#Candidates_Tournament", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "h...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 5.731375756386828, "platformFee": 4.162332170298106, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
900
mr_mino
1717747533050
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIhpVDFQAVKbt-9Od9WSi01Lp_CQJnMybA5BxSxLa6a=s96-c
8
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "79409fcb49a7", "prob": 0.03984418435500465, "text": "Magnus Carlsen", "index": 0, "poolNo": 15.494947305447507, "userId": "JljMq9ITGFVYhXqKk1oS1MtmXf83", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 373.3936083590445, "textFts": "'carlsen':2 'magnus':1", "contractId": "JpGjF7sCkZ0MkVnwsqcM", "createdTime": 1715140053786, "pro...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…7bda53135df3.jpg
1700547753036
0
[{"name": "2026 Chess World Championship", "slug": "2026-chess-world-championship", "groupId": "f120c5e9-f04e-4f03-93fd-59feaf64a05d", "createdTime": 1715140054225}, {"name": "♟️ Chess", "slug": "chess", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1715140054221}, {"name": "Board Games", "slug": "board-games", "gr...
["2026-chess-world-championship", "chess", "board-games"]
0.25
1717747529507
True
prob-desc
0
0.49999999999998895
wC2v5rSPSBpffXdzzv7A
{"NO": 990.4285265007621, "YES": 10.096639719506584}
1
will-jimmy-carter-be-alive-at-the-e-0307eab23586
4577.633237466425
Will Jimmy Carter be alive at the end of the day on May 8?
1715230740000
ZjFfwNBZ65g8k6EOJjcMydO5Ebs1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
YES
public
1715140687000
Jimmy Carter Death Markets
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will be changing to adjust to the pivot. Details soon.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Jimmy ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text"...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 5.747737299951604, "platformFee": 5.747737299951604, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1715307931646
100
JCDM
1715230740000
0
https://firebasestorage.…31d-01d8ae732bec
31
0
1
0.25
https://storage.googleap…3d93df4cefce.jpg
1703455433441
0
[{"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1715140687324}, {"name": "Jimmy Carter", "slug": "jimmy-carter", "groupId": "rigfelwTsUUySMFFJz5O", "createdTime": 1715140687322}, {"name": "Longevity", "slug": "longevity", "groupId": "b8Ygbdfv5q2sQ...
["entertainment", "jimmy-carter", "longevity", "public-figures", "jimmy-carter-daily"]
0.25
0.5
1715222542572
0.99
ZjFfwNBZ65g8k6EOJjcMydO5Ebs1
0
CPdd0yH7xw8I8s9DZu25
how-big-will-the-largest-individual
30
How big will the largest individual bet on manifold be in 2024? (Ignoring exploits, bugs, and wash trades)
1735718340000
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715141111244
jackson polack
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Individual bets means individual bets - if you make two 50k trades one after another, that's 50k, not 100k. A limit order counts, but only the amount filled on that specific order before the end of the year. Wash trading does not count, filling you...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0.11792532660339775, "platformFee": 0.11792532660339775, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
150
jacksonpolack
1715171682450
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
1
0
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "1eefaf49568a", "prob": 0.1801843136489684, "text": "< 100k mana", "index": 0, "poolNo": 15.724492554005053, "userId": "4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 71.54443910582415, "textFts": "'100k':1 'mana':2", "contractId": "CPdd0yH7xw8I8s9DZu25", "createdTime": 1715141111244, "probChanges"...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…8a2f0f83456c.jpg
1670234252125
0
0.25
1715171678938
True
0
qR02dRNF94GqiHDtC1Ww
what-will-be-the-largest-volume-on
20
What will be the largest volume on a manifold market at the end of 2024? (Excluding manipulation, wash trading)
1735718340000
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715141329199
jackson polack
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves based on the spirit of the market, intentionally excluding wash trading or other manipulation if nonnegligible, although it will likely be difficult to do so fully.", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0.09603879117246047, "platformFee": 0.09603879117246047, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
125
jacksonpolack
1715142819705
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
1
0
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "59b2a7b3d174", "prob": 0.21627935667494994, "text": "< 100M Mana", "index": 0, "poolNo": 16.41636172917906, "userId": "4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 59.487145575272095, "textFts": "'100m':1 'mana':2", "contractId": "qR02dRNF94GqiHDtC1Ww", "createdTime": 1715141329199, "probChanges...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…f094661d3f04.jpg
1670234252125
0
0.25
1715142816285
True
0
gnI4nHnIfNjSzNxbqFG3
which-hogwarts-house-do-you-sort-th
0
Which Hogwarts house do you sort the Manifold community into?
1716521278518
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
none
0
1000000
True
public
1715142274225
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "uTlSC8uAmahCXmb1M66r", "label": "/strutheo/which-persons-hogwarts-house-will-b"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}]}
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1716521280408
strutheo
1716521280125
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
16
0
0.25
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "Harry Potter", "slug": "harry-potter", "groupId": "Xh32CB0FoWKjEKVVGJQI", "createdTime": 1715142274613}, {"name": "Meta-markets", "slug": "metamarkets", "groupId": "0112083b-1b7d-4e2a-80e8-929ba3f099a5", "createdTime": 1715142274633}, {"name": "Hogwarts Sorting", "slug": "hogwarts-sorting", "groupId": "c703a...
["harry-potter", "metamarkets", "hogwarts-sorting", "psychology", "books"]
0.25
["5ba7f26b5594"]
0
FICby0RzsK6fSraoxOQt
how-much-mana-will-manifold-sell-in
172
How much mana will Manifold sell in 2024?
1735718340000
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715142468587
jackson polack
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves based on the spirit of the market, excludes money manifold gives back like with Isaac or credit card fraud.", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0.569270571543985, "platformFee": 0.569270571543985, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
150
jacksonpolack
1715160221700
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
2
0
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "e9ac24c330ea", "prob": 0.05855963315422462, "text": "< 10k USD", "index": 0, "poolNo": 8.365251971455775, "userId": "4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 134.48489105155065, "textFts": "'10k':1 'usd':2", "contractId": "FICby0RzsK6fSraoxOQt", "createdTime": 1715142468587, "probChanges": {...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…ce220dbb8cf8.jpg
1670234252125
0
0.25
1715160218362
True
0
PRHwSH2KrNvXEq4Cevfu
in-what-year-will-the-number-of-us
50.999999999999964
In what year will the number of US states that ban animal meat surpass the number that ban lab meat
4134005940000
M66y7AVxEcMLlyXSUBYoFTmGMjR2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715142797973
NivlacM
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Current score:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Animal meat: 0", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Lab meat: 1", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If this doe...
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 1.9147632685237446, "platformFee": 1.2351813975167787, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
200
NivlacM
1719298935379
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0e4Y--wpuxNpBGKB54wHqZQP2tJVKVLsuCx8sWIg=s96-c
6
1
DISABLED
[{"id": "664497b911d6", "prob": 0.008332619300775132, "text": "2024-2026", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.2809844495813636, "userId": "M66y7AVxEcMLlyXSUBYoFTmGMjR2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 152.45032179912744, "textFts": "'-2026':2 '2024':1", "contractId": "PRHwSH2KrNvXEq4Cevfu", "createdTime": 1715142797974, "probChange...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…bc6bc5a84d5f.jpg
1668664660552
0
[{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1715142798588}, {"name": "🧪 Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1715142798668}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoM...
["technology-default", "science-default", "politics-default", "us-politics", "lab-meat"]
0.25
1719298931878
1715175304381
True
0
n8wovHkIHCSbM7Xc4kDe
will-home-team-win-may-10-2024-matc
1446.2175968355275
Will home team win? (May 10, 2024 matches) ⚽🏟️
1715378628584
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
MKT
public
1715143010574
Franklin Baldo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Will home team win? (May 10, 2024 matches)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market includes the main football matches taking place on Friday, May 10, 2024. The matches featured in this mar...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 5.995293350806373, "platformFee": 5.995293350806373, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1715378628584
175
FranklinBaldo
1715378632775
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c
10
0
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "0cc2f1e8725a", "prob": 0.01, "text": "18:30 - FC Augsburg vs VfB Stuttgart - Bundesliga 🇩🇪", "index": 0, "poolNo": 11.033676654364655, "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 906.3162092976755, "textFts": "'18':1 '30':2 'augsburg':4 'bundesliga':8 'fc':3 'stuttgart':7 'vfb':6 '...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…fc482bea7b1e.jpg
1659579722296
0
[{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1715143010973}]
["soccer"]
0.25
1715375166627
1715378631197
0.01
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
False
alphabetical
0
rmV86PwZlYaKmPUkNcF1
how-many-prize-points-will-manifold
13
How many prize points will Manifold pay out to USD in 2024?
1735718340000
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715143702954
jackson polack
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves based on the spirit of the market, excludes fraud", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0.2839428306114026, "platformFee": 0.2839428306114026, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
175
jacksonpolack
1716035779996
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
2
0
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "043c4eb199dc", "prob": 0.11549167268376845, "text": "< 1k USD", "index": 0, "poolNo": 12.907935913454775, "userId": "4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 98.85714301823946, "textFts": "'1k':1 'usd':2", "contractId": "rmV86PwZlYaKmPUkNcF1", "createdTime": 1715143702954, "probChanges": {"d...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…b2e115903a5f.jpg
1670234252125
0
0.25
1716035776649
True
0
tCCkTHBnQhwJaGMFPCvE
will-home-team-win-may-9-2024-match
3304.7018390573794
Will home team win? (May 9, 2024 matches) ⚽🏟️
1715320800000
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
MKT
public
1715144813016
Franklin Baldo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Will home team win? (May 9, 2024 matches)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market includes the main football matches taking place on Thursday, May 9, 2024. The matches featured in this mar...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 15.61169214684795, "platformFee": 15.61169214684795, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1715401323029
325
FranklinBaldo
1715401326899
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c
12
0
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "1805a3d64b1c", "prob": 0.01, "text": "01:05 - Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca - Liga MX 🇲🇽", "index": 0, "poolNo": 675.5431020372187, "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 14.802904462858464, "textFts": "'01':1 '05':2 'chiva':4 'guadalajara':3 'liga':7 'mx':8 'toluca':6 'vs':5"...
1
0.25
https://storage.googleap…84f76ed6138c.jpg
1659579722296
0
[{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1715144813492}]
["soccer"]
0.25
1715288409788
1715401325354
0.01
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
False
alphabetical
0
0.20316449149907112
tva0yZX2bGHaYQKB41Yq
{"NO": 1275.474821316246, "YES": 346.08291438427057}
0.48444579499500895
will-the-three-body-problem-netflix
1130.725776931481
Will the Three Body Problem netflix series turn everyone into femboys?
1839913140000
rQPOELuW5zaapaNPnBYQBMoonk92
cpmm-1
0
9.613663582508202
False
basic
public
1715145220067
Tumbles ♠︎ Misses Manifold
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if the Three Body Problem series created by Netflix depicts humanity's male population turning into femboys. Loosely defined.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Resolves NA at market's scheduled ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 26.977694392666066, "platformFee": 10.835587064908232, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Tumbles
1717479944166
0
https://firebasestorage.…8aa-654bdc115c8d
20
0
0.25
https://firebasestorage.…7b6-e0efeabe26dc
1667436087719
0
[{"name": "Gender", "slug": "gender-cb50e0e49836", "groupId": "9de8d47e-ce95-48d9-966e-ffa9049b18c9", "createdTime": 1715145220730}, {"name": "Science Fiction", "slug": "science-fiction", "groupId": "2fd05ee8-9cb1-43bf-beb4-45a5fd66fad6", "createdTime": 1715145220728}, {"name": "Netflix", "slug": "netflix", "groupId": ...
["gender-cb50e0e49836", "science-fiction", "netflix", "tv"]
0.25
0.5
1717411516072
1717014977346
0
ToomlQ4HriW9QlDUaV3v
which-changes-made-in-the-pivot-wil
713.6236967355486
Which changes made in the pivot will be reversed before the end of 2024?
1735711140000
eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1715146683971
Plasma Ballin'
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Which changes made in the pivot will be undone before 2024 ends? To count as being undone, Manifold doesn't have to go back to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "exactly", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": " the same way things we...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 8.826030402466468, "platformFee": 6.381862851776104, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
PlasmaBallin
1718877871610
0
https://firebasestorage.…942-444e233b50a5
24
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "fb2f4d1cbd55", "prob": 0.18999999999999992, "text": "Removal of loans", "index": 0, "poolNo": 51.998190394664775, "userId": "eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 221.67649589304466, "textFts": "'loan':3 'remov':1", "contractId": "ToomlQ4HriW9QlDUaV3v", "createdTime": 1715146683971, "prob...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…b2456ef67f31.jpg
1668786016313
0
[{"name": "Pivot", "slug": "pivot", "groupId": "825a042c-ac2e-4dd9-9edd-1545fafc8719", "createdTime": 1715146684711}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1715146684717}, {"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "groupI...
["pivot", "manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e"]
0.25
1718877868556
1718170533020
False
0
0.5000000000000001
5zb5ZY1hEvedkH6oT5zv
{"NO": 11.164589702207106, "YES": 895.6889833598775}
0
will-jalen-brunson-drop-40-in-game
1190.1388817749594
Will Jalen Brunson drop 40 in game 2 vs the Pacers??
1715313540000
YFErL3T30SX9ScnmwGBvQNCQYXt1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1715146783357
Matthew Tran
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 6.250383656743794, "platformFee": 6.250383656743794, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1715698118611
100
MatthewTrancef5
1715313540000
0
https://storage.googleap…wGBvQNCQYXt1.png
18
0
1
0.25
https://storage.googleap…2902a7408e25.jpg
1715103384746
0
[{"name": "NBA Playoffs", "slug": "nba-playoffs", "groupId": "8f8bc28b-e3cc-4cb4-885f-6486002430f1", "createdTime": 1715146783623}]
["nba-playoffs"]
0.25
0.5
1715302568748
1715550873258
0.01
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
0
hVi42Q5YDqLO74hzzbnI
which-country-will-win-chess-olympi
313.2745193941597
Which country will win Chess Olympiad 2024?
1727215140000
FrlI0G9SHwOCNYAfflbL4WrExEl1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1715147072350
Weezing
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/45th_Chess_Olympiad", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/45th_Chess_Olympiad", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decora...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 2.9944068450018393, "platformFee": 2.1304631125243616, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Weezing
1719673029997
0
https://firebasestorage.…9ac-b0dfa544f276
7
1
ANYONE
[{"id": "66f3befd3ecd", "prob": 0.24894728204093783, "text": "USA", "index": 0, "poolNo": 140.2640108126764, "userId": "FrlI0G9SHwOCNYAfflbL4WrExEl1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 423.1645579298851, "textFts": "'usa':1", "contractId": "hVi42Q5YDqLO74hzzbnI", "createdTime": 1715147072350, "probChanges": {"day": 8.604228...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…5458fd148d05.jpg
1700212225777
0
[{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1715147072892}, {"name": "Board Games", "slug": "board-games", "groupId": "Hu6z8BYs5Xz3ZRyai8MF", "createdTime": 1715147072896}, {"name": "Olympics", "slug": "olympics", "groupId": "WdIYm7PwGLqo1N1zVtEF", "createdTime": ...
["sports-default", "board-games", "olympics", "chess"]
0.25
1719673026794
True
0
0.44090733691823314
26XV4pm8nv3duhLDzk3T
{"NO": 477.2858125026793, "YES": 527.9142039057364}
1
will-the-new-york-rangers-beat-the
187.7631502260721
Will the New York Rangers beat the Carolina Hurricanes on May 9?
1715295600000
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
YES
public
1715147686462
Keenen W
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "New York Rangers vs Carolina Hurricanes May 9", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-b-1-d&q=Will+the+New+York+Rangers+beat+the+Carolina+Hurricanes+on+May+9%3F#sie=m;/g/11y48n7mv...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.0707123983022946, "platformFee": 3.0707123983022946, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1715307356376
500
KeenenW
1715295600000
0
https://firebasestorage.…a82-90bc3d0d0fbb
12
0
1
0.25
https://storage.googleap…0c3bfb0b184a.jpg
1697247005528
0
[{"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1715147686827}, {"name": "Hockey", "slug": "hockey", "groupId": "tYP9jmPPjoX29KfzE4l5", "createdTime": 1715147686828}, {"name": "Sports Betting", "slug": "sports-betting", "groupId": "b3ll9Ch9rdbcrTR...
["entertainment", "hockey", "sports-betting", "nhl", "sports-default"]
0.25
0.5
1715280791811
0.42
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
0
Nj37vQSYqI8yXSdVxshP
-who-will-be-the-first-woman-presid
5633.22961056849
🇲🇽 Who will be the first woman president of Mexico?
1717425456702
RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
387a05262c1a
public
1715149087059
Archibald Crone
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "¿Quién será la primera mujer presidenta en América del Norte?", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 3.8526895026642296, "platformFee": 1.2742212384970009, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717425456702
100
BlueDragon
1720053161621
0
https://firebasestorage.…2f3-d0594914d1a2
21
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "387a05262c1a", "prob": 0.9987670365441114, "text": "Claudia Sheinbaum", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1423.0724212341554, "userId": "RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1.7567623141989042, "textFts": "'claudia':1 'sheinbaum':2", "contractId": "Nj37vQSYqI8yXSdVxshP", "resolve...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…14e121d498c7.jpg
1697749128213
0
[{"name": "Politica Mexicana", "slug": "politica-mexicana", "groupId": "03134093-db44-4adf-b9a2-d675de86f9a0", "createdTime": 1715149087444}, {"name": "🇲🇽 Mexico", "slug": "mexico", "groupId": "f8kNgkKR4d8snusk1qh1", "createdTime": 1715149087448}, {"name": "Elections", "slug": "elections", "groupId": "i5JOzjrK5ZMHPSk...
["politica-mexicana", "mexico", "elections", "politics-default"]
0.25
1717420938952
1717366357172
{"387a05262c1a": 100}
RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3
True
0
0.8045748921678391
aPQyKe2Ev9Qohn3gZQs3
{"NO": 7.760696720667056, "YES": 3163.1662781096866}
0
will-the-elon-musk-v-openai-lawsuit
2673.079698502362
Will the Elon Musk v OpenAI lawsuit be dismissed?
1718212131328
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
9.58178808938064
True
basic
NO
public
1715149224565
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/11/tech/openai-elon-musk-lawsuit-response/index.html", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/11/tech/openai-elon-musk-lawsuit-response/index.html", "class": "break-anyw...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.8299990213330658}
0
{"creatorFee": 58.53961037015967, "platformFee": 2.8834170950409064, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1718142916652
1000
strutheo
1718212145224
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
26
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…2725293490ba.jpg
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre", "createdTime": 1715149224981}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1715149224999}, {"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 171514...
["elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "ai", "openai", "law-order", "sam-altman"]
0.25
0.5
1718140099778
1718140091108
0.01
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
0
0.49999999999999994
i7n3eyBDASpYBjgdQHzG
{"NO": 133.01901475107917, "YES": 75.17722198373805}
0.6389117153952574
will-the-elon-musk-v-openai-lawsuit-e40ffa813440
36
Will the Elon Musk v OpenAI lawsuit decision be given by the end of 2024?
1718212107250
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
CANCEL
public
1715149969407
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/11/tech/openai-elon-musk-lawsuit-response/index.html", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/11/tech/openai-elon-musk-lawsuit-response/index.html", "class": "break-anyw...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.5287763019796236, "platformFee": 0.5287763019796236, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1718143060925
100
strutheo
1718212114266
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
3
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…30e36b9dc72f.jpg
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1715149969719}, {"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 1715149969721}, {"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre", "createdTime": 171514...
["ai", "openai", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "sam-altman", "law-order"]
0.25
0.5
1715714594070
1718143106654
0.64
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
0
yjT7DC3PhFYiuk6T68rZ
in-what-year-will-two-humans-have-s
142.3911654454963
In what year will two humans have sex on the moon?
2240629140000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715150902516
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 5.47117023884623, "platformFee": 4.090319344529061, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
strutheo
1717609155794
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
12
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "0f38895f7eb0", "prob": 0.08989866791977978, "text": "2026-2028", "index": 0, "poolNo": 3.0242652239665064, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 30.61655831599051, "textFts": "'-2028':2 '2026':1", "contractId": "yjT7DC3PhFYiuk6T68rZ", "createdTime": 1715150902516, "probChanges"...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…34e9c4a9d9ad.jpg
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1715150903047}, {"name": "Space colonization", "slug": "space-colonization", "groupId": "9c2dd55b-2a49-42e3-be94-45b38d7b54c2", "createdTime": 1715150903055}, {"name": "🔭 Space exploration", "slug": "space-exploration", "groupId":...
["space", "space-colonization", "space-exploration", "moon", "sex-and-love"]
0.25
1717609152127
1715969358296
True
0
dxWwfi1cV32uO1ess7K2
in-what-year-will-two-humans-have-s-bc85ae5bab43
171.2818780306935
In what year will two humans have sex on mars?
2240629140000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715150920924
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 6.165446996585348, "platformFee": 6.165446996585348, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
strutheo
1715969356627
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
7
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "04af728614cc", "prob": 0.008381021336016004, "text": "2026-2028", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.8686944497084834, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 102.78149505349893, "textFts": "'-2028':2 '2026':1", "contractId": "dxWwfi1cV32uO1ess7K2", "createdTime": 1715150920924, "probChange...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…9fb0a331cb2b.jpg
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "Mars", "slug": "mars", "groupId": "3d6624c3-2569-4fe1-8524-128952b07684", "createdTime": 1715150921437}, {"name": "Space colonization", "slug": "space-colonization", "groupId": "9c2dd55b-2a49-42e3-be94-45b38d7b54c2", "createdTime": 1715150921438}, {"name": "🔭 Space exploration", "slug": "space-exploration",...
["mars", "space-colonization", "space-exploration", "sex-and-love", "space"]
0.25
1715789737217
1715969354706
True
0
gF6cmmmkNbOuq0iWkBAQ
how-much-of-the-popular-vote-will-t
8695.762473925168
How much of the popular vote will the Libertarian Party's candidate win in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
1734010140000
4xOTMCIOkGesdJft50wVFZFb5IB3
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715153120353
Tripping
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market exists for two main reasons: I think a cumulative-independent approach is the most useful format for markets like this, and I also wanted a market where people could directly compare their predictions about the Libertarian Party's bid t...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 75.08718277572974, "platformFee": 23.258141496759368, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
2001
Tripping
1720137732362
0
https://firebasestorage.…25f-2823bd2dce88
45
2
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "11f6635fc906", "prob": 0.9885707615376117, "text": "More than 00.21% (what Roger MacBride won in the 1976 election)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 259.3118021846591, "userId": "4xOTMCIOkGesdJft50wVFZFb5IB3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2.9980012949911092, "textFts": "'00.21':3 '1976':10 'elect':11 'macbrid':6 'roger...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…33d8b2453c09.jpg
1669033757222
0
[{"name": "Third Parties", "slug": "third-parties", "groupId": "ea097bee-bc60-4eed-b1c1-bfbc8d01c3cf", "createdTime": 1715153120815}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1715153120825}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "sl...
["third-parties", "2024-us-presidential-election", "us-politics", "libertarianism", "politics-default"]
0.25
1720137729314
1716819970038
False
alphabetical
0
0.49233074969258794
nAvTzimJUQkew3sqpOLU
{"NO": 998.3100249109468, "YES": 1001.7190262036697}
0.49147873452949287
will-the-median-home-sold-price-in
120
Will the median home sold price in San Francisco be higher in April 2025 than April 2024?
1747378740000
0K7k2uX11xXkzm71SAE30ri2lhf1
cpmm-1
0
9.572633514950272
False
basic
public
1715153313684
m
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will use ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "realtor.com data", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.realtor.com/realestateandhomes-search/San-Francisco_CA/overview", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:d...
BINARY
{"day": 5.551115123125783e-16, "week": 5.551115123125783e-16, "month": 5.551115123125783e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.968882684183515, "platformFee": 1.968882684183515, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
m2
1715174103210
0
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fm2%2F2WJ7YfVg34.26?alt=media&token=f08bb2f8-f32a-4eba-a17c-877a2f4dac7e
10
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…e8faaa33e2f7.jpg
1696279125225
0
[{"name": "US Economy", "slug": "us-economy", "groupId": "36d1e8d5-2e36-481d-b3e0-42e53c37ecbb", "createdTime": 1715153314008}, {"name": "Real Estate", "slug": "real-estate", "groupId": "JCSx09py8PNgRaE9gc2u", "createdTime": 1715153313996}, {"name": "San Francisco", "slug": "san-francisco", "groupId": "77nEsKGsORflUYGv...
["us-economy", "real-estate", "san-francisco"]
0.25
0.5
1715174099966
0
0.5000000000000001
4y57ykvT7eIY4Wuty44z
{"NO": 174.09146145979975, "YES": 57.441071010304285}
0.7519092872284754
will-meta-release-a-llama-3-405b-mu
396
Will Meta release a Llama 3 405B multi-modal open source before the end of 2024?
1735718340000
hVqXunBbDHYIZmtJnUcvMUEG3dx1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715153506830
Jason Lu
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Mutli-modal with any input other than plain UTF-8 text regardless output modes. Model must also be 405B in size not 400B", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.37972232466073697}
0
{"creatorFee": 6.8491622328419215, "platformFee": 3.9451113995804334, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
JasonLu
1717707753136
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjXGAIGA5Z8Lf71tRZDkFgkkmuEg7OQ9pNqvx6hB2lrUcfQD1huacPpYI8bxyXP30e6RpXtCYMwyP3LdlXKrk_MMyFq0TM_AbqwcP1bfaoxucHwNUtp8R-ncnyr1OQbwgfOgqi8yVoMbjdFanKisns-nl_4OoamFF10JUb_XVFG96ux0I9p1b4kxspjpiZdBOsU5Ifu-Qx7aeMGd5azhT9RX_tWvSY1-tkKk4-89F_IKC-3NzL0k7mfpTfkGSXyxHrvS6mK8HdnYiZ2w4n9F6Vz...
6
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…3a39bd5c3cc2.jpg
1715034880404
0
0.25
0.5
1717707749891
1715571989883
0
0.5
5qR0unHbdQseHM0KYEud
{"NO": 109.67693839261675, "YES": 91.17687042103996}
0.5460535652294758
will-meta-release-any-multimodal-mo
10
Will Meta release any multi-modal models at any weight paramters with both input and output not restricted to pure UTF-8
1735718340000
hVqXunBbDHYIZmtJnUcvMUEG3dx1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715153710261
Jason Lu
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Meta release any model not limited to the Llama specific archietecture that both can input more than UTF-8 text and output more than only UTF-8 text in 2024?", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.16153080369162434, "platformFee": 0.16153080369162434, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
JasonLu
1715177716920
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjXGAIGA5Z8Lf71tRZDkFgkkmuEg7OQ9pNqvx6hB2lrUcfQD1huacPpYI8bxyXP30e6RpXtCYMwyP3LdlXKrk_MMyFq0TM_AbqwcP1bfaoxucHwNUtp8R-ncnyr1OQbwgfOgqi8yVoMbjdFanKisns-nl_4OoamFF10JUb_XVFG96ux0I9p1b4kxspjpiZdBOsU5Ifu-Qx7aeMGd5azhT9RX_tWvSY1-tkKk4-89F_IKC-3NzL0k7mfpTfkGSXyxHrvS6mK8HdnYiZ2w4n9F6Vz...
1
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…facb29314cb0.jpg
1715034880404
0
[{"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1715153710499}]
["ai"]
0.25
0.5
1715177713653
0
0.5000000000000001
EjxasBmztksDZRmvkXGZ
{"NO": 57.755962668757476, "YES": 173.14229627427548}
0.2501359816793032
will-a-open-source-pure-mamaba-llm
75
Will a open source pure Mamaba LLM surpass 82 MMLU on MMLU (5-shot) before end of year 2024?
1735718340000
hVqXunBbDHYIZmtJnUcvMUEG3dx1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715154296508
Jason Lu
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will any company release a pure Mamaba LLM that scores over 82 points on the standard full MMLU (5-shot) using ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://github.com/EleutherAI/lm-evaluation-harness", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": -0.010951137172247494, "month": -0.010951137172247494}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.9727910664493415, "platformFee": 0.8849126592751898, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
JasonLu
1720037168958
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjXGAIGA5Z8Lf71tRZDkFgkkmuEg7OQ9pNqvx6hB2lrUcfQD1huacPpYI8bxyXP30e6RpXtCYMwyP3LdlXKrk_MMyFq0TM_AbqwcP1bfaoxucHwNUtp8R-ncnyr1OQbwgfOgqi8yVoMbjdFanKisns-nl_4OoamFF10JUb_XVFG96ux0I9p1b4kxspjpiZdBOsU5Ifu-Qx7aeMGd5azhT9RX_tWvSY1-tkKk4-89F_IKC-3NzL0k7mfpTfkGSXyxHrvS6mK8HdnYiZ2w4n9F6Vz...
3
1
0.25
https://storage.googleap…7e81be807c1e.jpg
1715034880404
0
[{"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1715154296730}]
["ai"]
0.25
0.5
1720037165808
0
QIuhvQb5s3BI6zerGGyC
when-will-we-see-credible-evidence
105.37800743538348
When will we see credible evidence that Microsoft's memo about security tradeoffs was not applied?
1893538740000
meuhA1aDr8aJC7jnLGQev1nyI5x2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715157866743
Pierre Thierry
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said in a memo to Microsoft's employees:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "blockquote", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If you’re faced with the tradeoff between security and another priority, your a...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 1.3688749853090172, "platformFee": 1.3688749853090172, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
150
PierreThierry
1715159408747
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTteGWIHt4U5Dt272loCrDsKWtshT8bx0dC_Q_dyIcpXdPA=s96-c
3
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "acb9ebdff0b6", "prob": 0.64, "text": "Before 2024-07-01", "index": 0, "poolNo": 33.33333333333333, "userId": "meuhA1aDr8aJC7jnLGQev1nyI5x2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 18.750000000000004, "textFts": "'-01':4 '-07':3 '2024':2", "contractId": "QIuhvQb5s3BI6zerGGyC", "createdTime": 1715157866743, "probChanges":...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…ddc5d40b34ea.jpg
1692712346744
0
[{"name": "Infosec", "slug": "infosec", "groupId": "c89b875c-d81b-43bb-8a26-4e5e81834a7d", "createdTime": 1715157867174}, {"name": "Software Development", "slug": "software-development", "groupId": "08a01e77-5d16-473a-93f4-965e7c6801d1", "createdTime": 1715157867176}, {"name": "Microsoft", "slug": "microsoft", "groupId...
["infosec", "software-development", "microsoft", "cybersecurity"]
0.25
1715158913789
False
0
0.4999999999999994
4XhFkeS1cb9RIwLHCY5I
{"NO": 10.289053155745208, "YES": 971.9067292811326}
0
will-the-amazing-digital-circus-epi-af71abed2ff9
1384.8858394532222
Will The Amazing Digital Circus Episode 2 reach 100 million views by the end of the month?
1717257001429
I2bVfkY49dQ54suiyzZ2SN15QZA3
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1715158415071
Kraalnaxx
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "THE AMAZING DIGITAL CIRCUS - Ep 2: Candy Carrier Chaos! ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "is shown as having 100 million views at this link by the end of May 2024. (", "type": "...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.012980883503676797}
0
{"creatorFee": 10.826737547777904, "platformFee": 7.814537864512015, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717257001429
100
Kraalnaxx
1717257001429
0
https://firebasestorage.…653-9bc927b2a59d
11
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…083826b60ccd.jpg
1689837656057
0
[{"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1715158416093}, {"name": "TV", "slug": "tv", "groupId": "8isZHbaQMsoFz30XuZTo", "createdTime": 1715158416138}, {"name": "📺 Television & Film", "slug": "television-film", "groupId": "EUSEngFk1dGGBfaM...
["entertainment", "tv", "television-film", "youtube", "the-amazing-digital-circus"]
0.25
0.5
1717256986888
0.01
I2bVfkY49dQ54suiyzZ2SN15QZA3
0
0.5000000000000012
ejDiBugbBIssxjaUKjoG
{"NO": 994.987437106622, "YES": 10.050378152592202}
1
will-the-11foot88-bridge-claim-a-fo
953.7915099359367
Will the 11foot8+8 bridge claim a FOURTH victim in 2024?
1716520723704
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
YES
public
1715158458785
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The 11foot8+8 is a bridge in North Carolina that is infamous for damaging trucks that pass under without noticing the signs about the low height. It was raised from 11'8\" another 8\" in 2019, but it still catches some vehicles.", "type": "text"}]}...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.78793236805176, "platformFee": 2.4227490004717795, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1716520723704
100
strutheo
1716520817582
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
9
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…e35afc80d171.jpg
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "🌐 Internet", "slug": "internet", "groupId": "raDuDKuBOp5D9l7301XV", "createdTime": 1715158459197}, {"name": "Infrastructure", "slug": "infrastructure", "groupId": "uej971gmu0jqm32ubg8I", "createdTime": 1715158459198}, {"name": "Trucking", "slug": "trucking", "groupId": "e05a7cca-41b0-486d-8178-b45fb1311350"...
["internet", "infrastructure", "trucking", "north-carolina", "bridges"]
0.25
0.5
1716519898444
1716520816111
0.99
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
0
B8z8qrPDp0Bt0Om1rr5h
would-you-take-a-drug-that-halves-y
0
Would you take a drug that halves your sleep requirements?
3TEpKsCXIBfugd9IQjDsOyHhovp2
none
0
1000000
False
public
1715161037759
hidetzugu
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
hidetzugu
1715161038088
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZEl5t_YZYKFZJGp2JRR_FS4wtvP4LM2GXITEIa=s96-c
13
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…2644a321fa13.jpg
1681222987111
0
[{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1715161038077}, {"name": "Hypotheticals", "slug": "hypotheticals", "groupId": "d04154a1-5427-4fde-aa94-b65360ace96c", "createdTime": 1715161038080}, {"name": "Manifold Users", "slug": "manifold-users", "groupId":...
["technology-default", "hypotheticals", "manifold-users"]
0.25
0
0.5000000000000001
vIwKeBMtRIP0Hx2UaXuz
{"NO": 159.41708781716284, "YES": 62.728532661875676}
0.7176242658909646
will-async-sgd-become-the-main-larg
61
Will async SGD become the main large-scale NN optimization method before 2031?
1930517940000
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715161138175
RemNi
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as YES if asynchronous stochastic gradient descent becomes dominant in large scale neural network optimization before January 1st 2031.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0.0925838150119418, "month": 0.0925838150119418}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.1382053119424815, "platformFee": 0.4447068708946913, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
RemNi
1720078366331
0
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
2
1
0.25
1690812555459
0
[{"name": "Optimization", "slug": "optimization", "groupId": "64730539-6f51-437d-ac87-c8d65a85f331", "createdTime": 1715161138573}, {"name": "Neural networks", "slug": "neural-networks", "groupId": "9b794d95-be0f-48d8-847d-6c36cea08076", "createdTime": 1715161138580}, {"name": "Deep Learning", "slug": "deep-learning", ...
["optimization", "neural-networks", "deep-learning", "stochastic-gradient-descent", "machine-learning"]
0.25
0.5
1720078363064
0
0.5
BpXIAij60mhawsgSwEcD
{"NO": 150.69820819318056, "YES": 66.35778965056426}
0
will-more-than-75-of-the-ea-intro-p-0cfb34fa85ef
253.4299843961139
Will more than 75% of the EA Intro Program participants attend the first group meeting? (Summer 24)
1717797540000
yMESwnlBwsNpv6SE13HTKNyp85k1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1715161935550
Ruben Heller
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "More info", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In each discussion group, the moderator reports the participation.", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": "listI...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.6829965866203997}
0
{"creatorFee": 5.512331872544669, "platformFee": 1.6283770713682875, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1718271990684
100
RubenHeller
1717797540000
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZ4lOAB4HmULgsEiggnbKtcnIlj9d3lztN7TXz4=s96-c
12
0
2
0.25
https://storage.googleap…1f2421c9a677.jpg
1683283689583
0
0.25
0.5
1717776962504
0.69
yMESwnlBwsNpv6SE13HTKNyp85k1
0
0.508083110634047
RH4VdEIwHF4TZciVQ16c
{"NO": 47.922501955747194, "YES": 245.27293052905725}
0
will-boston-bruins-beat-florida-pan
175
Will Boston Bruins beat Florida Panthers tonight?
1715255385485
91LeReENQxW6PoZiaY0XMeSzEdi1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1715163776993
Bruce
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.05525706597541, "platformFee": 2.05525706597541, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1715255385485
110
Bruce54df
1715255385485
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJohJG8pV6APMRLAdPO5Up_LhSInhyxI1tRfhbmvspk=s96-c
3
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…b503eec2be50.jpg
1697633597735
0
[{"name": "Playoffs", "slug": "playoffs", "groupId": "586f2397-0490-4108-9ceb-c37d9dd6e3b4", "createdTime": 1715163778010}, {"name": "Hockey", "slug": "hockey", "groupId": "tYP9jmPPjoX29KfzE4l5", "createdTime": 1715163778118}, {"name": "NHL 🏒", "slug": "nhl", "groupId": "lccgApXa1l7O5ZH3XfhH", "createdTime": 171516377...
["playoffs", "hockey", "nhl"]
0.25
0.5
1715229268057
0.17
91LeReENQxW6PoZiaY0XMeSzEdi1
0
0.5000000000000004
ghsr003xcJpiPAO0KITq
{"NO": 127.64283871394714, "YES": 78.3436039244663}
0.6196662123924834
will-there-be-a-significant-trendin
115
Will "Genetic Algorithm" come back before 2031?
1930517940000
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715165898344
RemNi
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as YES if there is a significant spike (or steady rise to a significantly increased level) visible in Google trends (worldwide) for the term \"Genetic Algorithm\" before January 1st 2031.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type"...
BINARY
{"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 0.12699435325628955, "month": 0.12699435325628955}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.319078045327748, "platformFee": 1.416960310364745, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
RemNi
1720000095236
0
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
6
1
0.25
1690812555459
0
[{"name": "Machine Learning", "slug": "machine-learning", "groupId": "RiiQsc0zMKPfMzfLfRAi", "createdTime": 1715165898666}, {"name": "Genetic Algorithms", "slug": "genetic-algorithms", "groupId": "b070d85c-5c58-4b08-9181-33ab20d99620", "createdTime": 1715165898679}, {"name": "Optimization", "slug": "optimization", "gro...
["machine-learning", "genetic-algorithms", "optimization", "evolutionary-optimization", "trends"]
0.25
0.5
1720000092118
1716991012196
0
0.4999999999999996
avvLbbahD3CQ26YfOkYF
{"NO": 299.9999999999995, "YES": 33.33333333333317}
1
will-i-pass-my-driving-test
5572.429660567123
Will I pass my driving test
1715177327243
WRiRwiQF0oVQVwtk11qI0JQu6Jf1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
YES
public
1715168075355
Jack Ingram
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "It begins at 2:32 bst. This is my second test, after failing the first one in less than 5 minutes. I will not bet on no ", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 26.730160896934223, "platformFee": 26.730160896934223, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1715177343591
100
JackIngram
1715249207262
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLK0lADpNs2rDhtmG88jHs3VX2Axsvs5sI8MXNRZVsH=s96-c
14
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…58adf9ab1369.jpg
1694704508533
0
[{"name": "💪 Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1715168682580}]
["personal-goals"]
0.25
0.5
1715177207561
1715249205798
0.9
WRiRwiQF0oVQVwtk11qI0JQu6Jf1
0
0.5
tOBYagcGht9BX9OtfmDC
{"NO": 83.49070759723236, "YES": 119.77380822116172}
0.4107490540642461
if-labour-are-elected-at-the-next-g
116
If Labour are elected at the next general election, will the UK build >1.5m new homes by 2030?
1893542340000
wFJFI2zWYLXWBk8ntc1c0HQUyVB3
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715168429646
Tom Finnie
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The UK Labour party has stated their policy to liberalise planning, build on currently protected green belt land around London, and expects this to result in 1.5 million new homes built in the first five years of a Labour government.", "type": "tex...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.1119223073388359}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.278498546554663, "platformFee": 1.4882904854782177, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
TomFinnie
1718320174678
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJzTFcrM10lyXi4iPstf5HI3KioX-B-cOeePVyX2=s96-c
3
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…fd391fd7eddd.jpg
1655361878127
0
[{"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1715168429959}, {"name": "Housing markets", "slug": "housing-markets", "groupId": "irDrBDORHpMwKezzJrJZ", "createdTime": 1715168429956}, {"name": "YIMBY", "slug": "yimby", "groupId": "XdplZbYjYVLDXFMis4TU", "createdTime": ...
["uk-politics", "housing-markets", "yimby"]
0.25
0.5
1718320171314
1715244899841
0
9UTgmheYiOT5L7BvNjtT
in-new-york-city-what-will-be-the-h-1aedd7f36c02
5089.441990978727
In New York City, what will be the high temperature on Memorial Day 2024?
1716825600000
JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
02052e1703f2
public
1715169034965
Stuart Slagle
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question will close at 12:00 PM ET on the day of interest and will be verified with results published at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/usa/new-york/historic", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 27.22963438368236, "platformFee": 8.270621620302688, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1716858894263
525
ovals
1716825600000
0
https://firebasestorage.…998-09d34fa58717
11
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "74bdd033009b", "prob": 0.013503482632775142, "text": "80F +", "index": 0, "poolNo": 6.867353869201214, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 501.6943302502001, "textFts": "'80f':1", "contractId": "9UTgmheYiOT5L7BvNjtT", "resolverId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "createdTime...
1
0.25
https://storage.googleap…87d5305f5b77.jpg
1697477345360
0
[{"name": "Memorial Day", "slug": "memorial-day", "groupId": "406635b7-9891-4992-89c4-b5af15ac7444", "createdTime": 1715169035523}, {"name": "New York", "slug": "new-york", "groupId": "WHYL7vwzRusHiIbe3uRu", "createdTime": 1715169035525}, {"name": "🌧️ Weather", "slug": "weather", "groupId": "Vw7PuCkPJlK51z43wA4k", "cr...
["memorial-day", "new-york", "weather", "high-temperature", "climate"]
0.25
1716821212061
{"02052e1703f2": 100}
JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1
True
0
0.06904399736056992
gB7slCzEZxhhYXE4lVkc
{"NO": 922.5711249128224, "YES": 1343.0439350552354}
0.04847593399227813
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-presi
347
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Presidential election?
1861772340000
a4ObCHs8NsMOFgOscdNscmhFIOB3
cpmm-1
0
10.561327741349235
False
basic
public
1715170002169
Nathan Dickson
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 1.0408340855860843e-16, "week": 1.0408340855860843e-16, "month": 1.0408340855860843e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.9780324723820462, "platformFee": 1.9780324723820462, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
NathanDickson
1715251701424
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxbJcFiU5664EbIOGvnlnaO_yMLB8Uv7tb526HmKPw=s96-c
15
0
0.25
1680414777424
0
[{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1715170002504}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1715170002503}]
["politics-default", "us-politics"]
0.25
0.5
1715251698166
0
UdoWNQSSKDlzn3xIR17N
in-chicago-what-will-be-the-high-te-a4d1f8a1fd64
552.1606424848133
In Chicago, what will be the high temperature on Memorial Day 2024?
1716829200000
JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
10a0ba5d970f
public
1715171203577
Stuart Slagle
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question will close at 12:00 PM ET on the day of interest and will published at", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/usa/chicago/historic", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 18.210972647947177, "platformFee": 9.351538418155826, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1716859351512
525
ovals
1716859382205
0
https://firebasestorage.…998-09d34fa58717
9
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "9abada10b40c", "prob": 0.032412048816643946, "text": "75F +", "index": 0, "poolNo": 10.742919618373339, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 320.70541550991175, "textFts": "'75f':1", "contractId": "UdoWNQSSKDlzn3xIR17N", "resolverId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "createdTi...
1
0.25
https://storage.googleap…c8bf25b3b041.jpg
1697477345360
0
[{"name": "🌧️ Weather", "slug": "weather", "groupId": "Vw7PuCkPJlK51z43wA4k", "createdTime": 1715171204054}, {"name": "Memorial Day", "slug": "memorial-day", "groupId": "406635b7-9891-4992-89c4-b5af15ac7444", "createdTime": 1715171204061}, {"name": "High Temperature", "slug": "high-temperature", "groupId": "e9da999c-d...
["weather", "memorial-day", "high-temperature", "chicago", "climate"]
0.25
1716827764099
1716859380667
{"10a0ba5d970f": 100}
JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1
True
0
0.5000000000000011
wlTAVPx03PExVf3qcR2z
{"NO": 994.4869929122679, "YES": 10.055435688219433}
1
will-i-voidvamp-be-promoted-to-diam-2145ac046798
903
Will I @Voidvamp be promoted to Diamond in current Season 13 of Platinum League - Unpredictable Griffins?
1717308035227
X7mSvL54MORSKmMGAgPmZAdtbnE3
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
YES
public
1715172093869
Voidvamp
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If I promote, it resolves Yes. Else No. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As of posting this question I am having 3rd Rank. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src":...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.125328289557351, "platformFee": 1.7870991873584972, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717308035227
100
Voidvamp
1717308035227
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfER8cY0bFxgzKzHxq7nWjTONOmYo6d3q1Ss0mLH2ydNxc=s96-c
4
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…2cbbe5e29704.jpg
1692732719220
0
[{"name": "Masters League", "slug": "masters-league", "groupId": "33de3f34-cff5-4952-a0d8-e731c2c37f5f", "createdTime": 1715172094220}, {"name": "Diamond League", "slug": "diamond-league", "groupId": "a2deceab-60af-4f0d-9140-a29d0e6cdf33", "createdTime": 1715172094235}, {"name": "Manifold Leagues", "slug": "manifold-le...
["masters-league", "diamond-league", "manifold-leagues", "metaforecasting", "platinum-league"]
0.25
0.5
1717218111522
0.99
X7mSvL54MORSKmMGAgPmZAdtbnE3
0
X8wZWtIwx1ExjbLnCSna
how-low-will-the-conservative-gover
3937.3413371161278
How low will the Conservative government's working majority get before the next UK general election?
1717072574996
rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
MKT
public
1715173128881
Simon Grayson
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Following the 2019 General Election, the Conservatives were returned to office with a Parliamentary majority of 80 and a working majority of 87 (once the Speaker of the House and the Sinn Fein MPs are excluded since they don't vote).", "type": "tex...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 21.58562288686419, "platformFee": 13.089695002813617, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717072574996
1000
SimonGrayson
1717072644855
0
https://firebasestorage.…846-fd0042ad0696
20
0
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "9b16c0ee89b4", "prob": 0.01, "text": "Below 45", "index": 0, "poolNo": 7.529725057713051, "userId": "rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 643.9615267462956, "textFts": "'45':2", "contractId": "X8wZWtIwx1ExjbLnCSna", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2", "creat...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…7fa765d0647a.jpg
1680512856506
0
[{"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1715173129316}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1715173129319}, {"name": "Rishi Sunak", "slug": "rishi-sunak", "groupId": "5a434dcd-9302-4074-94f2-9101...
["uk-politics", "politics-default", "rishi-sunak", "-uk-general-election-2024", "uk-conservative-party"]
0.25
1717009572134
1717072643293
0.01
rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2
False
prob-desc
0
0.9328377655280561
X2D5r6vv3KSp6Q6Kd3ry
{"NO": 1347.5313656075816, "YES": 922.3436477042458}
0.9530342354257568
does-robert-f-kennedy-jr-really-hav
989.7653537679327
Did Robert F Kennedy Jr really have a worm in his brain?
1730793540000
lm2XNZPYK4Z6aKs93YX6odVdrYC3
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1715173769906
tr
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Robert F Kennedy Jr claims to have a parasitic worm in his brain: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/08/us/rfk-jr-brain-health-memory-loss.html", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.n...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 8.29338457987525, "platformFee": 7.956977501325666, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
tr
1717567770038
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK-YL5SfCtUCniSOPbyVHSzOr5LZl1QLoSKiPmfRRlT=s96-c
33
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…291a36447cee.jpg
1698815294088
0
[{"name": "Robert F. Kennedy Jr.", "slug": "robert-f-kennedy-jr", "groupId": "lzuhs9uc93209ES3QX5S", "createdTime": 1715173770245}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1715173770263}, {"name": "2024 US Election", "slug": "2024-us-election", "groupId": "y...
["robert-f-kennedy-jr", "us-politics", "2024-us-election"]
0.25
0.5
1717567766779
1715290928511
0
mqzJozWe61JLm1KTXa2Q
who-will-be-first-minister-of-scotl-8a7e67180a4c
268.02736384638104
Who will be First Minister of Scotland at some point in their life?
1735689540000
XKnrud6GQUaifOB0hOuUfBCFAly1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715174584699
Fion
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Add your own answers. Any option resolves YES when that person is officially sworn in as First Minister, and resolves NO if that person dies.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is about lead...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 3.2905492132863436, "platformFee": 2.761742519548056, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
250
Fion
1718111387436
0
https://firebasestorage.…c2e-6bc532e44aed
8
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "7087ca5bc945", "prob": 0.41999999999999993, "text": "Kate Forbes", "index": 0, "poolNo": 21.274073584919083, "userId": "XKnrud6GQUaifOB0hOuUfBCFAly1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 29.378482569650167, "textFts": "'forb':2 'kate':1", "contractId": "mqzJozWe61JLm1KTXa2Q", "createdTime": 1715174584699, "probChange...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…605dc386ed66.jpg
1671292812077
0
[{"name": "Scotland", "slug": "scotland", "groupId": "0NcQ0rf4rcCvny12bk3g", "createdTime": 1715174585068}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1715174585063}, {"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTim...
["scotland", "politics-default", "uk-politics", "scottish-politics"]
0.25
1718111384324
False
0
hQWBwtJRUzh3QopbhxMG
what-will-apples-closing-price-be-a-cae42337e2e3
5323.543778127183
What will Apple's closing price be at the end of May?
1717185600000
DGYg1e9JksfeFvPHFCuHLkKpEcV2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
3d2e20b9adb5
public
1715174751940
TonyPepperoni 🪿
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to AAPL’s closing price on ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Google Finance", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/AAPL:NASDAQ", "class": "in-cell-link", "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"t...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 55.55528983394742, "platformFee": 5.087752712008149, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717186108962
1000
TonyPepperoni
1717185600000
0
https://firebasestorage.…884-fdf2cfdcaefb
19
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "ebc586bd54af", "prob": 0.0013387618858363797, "text": "Below 161.00", "color": "#f44336", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.6012290367072524, "userId": "DGYg1e9JksfeFvPHFCuHLkKpEcV2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1940.4097456760644, "textFts": "'161.00':2", "contractId": "hQWBwtJRUzh3QopbhxMG", "resolverId": "DGYg1e9Jks...
1
0.25
https://storage.googleap…c41ee4b17cfc.jpg
1691471177482
0
[{"name": "Tony's stock markets", "slug": "tonys-stock-markets", "groupId": "15ff6256-38f8-4e70-8c58-899c8e573a10", "createdTime": 1715174752637}, {"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1715174752641}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "Q...
["tonys-stock-markets", "economics-default", "stocks", "finance", "technology-default"]
0.25
1717184807905
{"3d2e20b9adb5": 100}
DGYg1e9JksfeFvPHFCuHLkKpEcV2
True
new
0
pz1hdybcvYFWU4rP2ap9
what-will-microsofts-closing-price-7c9b47ac1057
5640.481391062395
What will Microsoft's closing price be at the end of May?
1717185600000
DGYg1e9JksfeFvPHFCuHLkKpEcV2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
347930f50c31
public
1715174911603
TonyPepperoni 🪿
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to MSFT’s closing price on ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Google Finance", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/MSFT:NASDAQ", "class": "in-cell-link", "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"t...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 79.14922174501004, "platformFee": 7.278307469607762, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717186070170
1000
TonyPepperoni
1717185600000
0
https://firebasestorage.…884-fdf2cfdcaefb
17
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "88cdefc00be6", "prob": 0.0009462204224494663, "text": "Below 364.00", "color": "#f44336", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.8771152079001467, "userId": "DGYg1e9JksfeFvPHFCuHLkKpEcV2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 3037.762401377678, "textFts": "'364.00':2", "contractId": "pz1hdybcvYFWU4rP2ap9", "resolverId": "DGYg1e9Jksf...
1
0.25
https://storage.googleap…773896d61531.jpg
1691471177482
0
[{"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1715174912139}, {"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1715174912148}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1...
["economics-default", "finance", "stocks", "technology-default", "tonys-stock-markets"]
0.25
1717185572952
{"347930f50c31": 100}
DGYg1e9JksfeFvPHFCuHLkKpEcV2
True
new
0
hdiWT20jq0VyYhJOubNk
what-will-nvidias-closing-price-be-279fac2e17ac
2153.3272014592035
What will Nvidia's closing price be at the end of May?
1717185600000
DGYg1e9JksfeFvPHFCuHLkKpEcV2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
25543291a3e3
public
1715175057713
TonyPepperoni 🪿
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to NVDA’s closing price on ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Google Finance", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ", "class": "in-cell-link", "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"t...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 27.934947736931836, "platformFee": 4.066785950561628, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717186044066
225
TonyPepperoni
1717185600000
0
https://firebasestorage.…884-fdf2cfdcaefb
16
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "0195873974af", "prob": 0.0025633149382139763, "text": "Below 650.00", "color": "#f44336", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.01634965172903, "userId": "DGYg1e9JksfeFvPHFCuHLkKpEcV2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 784.6016431938743, "textFts": "'650.00':2", "contractId": "hdiWT20jq0VyYhJOubNk", "resolverId": "DGYg1e9JksfeF...
1
0.25
https://storage.googleap…4fd8c75fc4f8.jpg
1691471177482
0
[{"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1715175058216}, {"name": "Tony's stock markets", "slug": "tonys-stock-markets", "groupId": "15ff6256-38f8-4e70-8c58-899c8e573a10", "createdTime": 1715175058221}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId...
["finance", "tonys-stock-markets", "technology-default", "economics-default", "stocks"]
0.25
1717182725357
{"25543291a3e3": 100}
DGYg1e9JksfeFvPHFCuHLkKpEcV2
True
new
0
1zPHPIj1UEBxAKutW7wv
what-will-teslas-closing-price-be-a-f6460e3795b2
1281.344540192213
What will Tesla's closing price be at the end of May?
1717185600000
DGYg1e9JksfeFvPHFCuHLkKpEcV2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
a565a529e0b6
public
1715175192296
TonyPepperoni 🪿
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to TSLA’s closing price on ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Google Finance", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ", "class": "in-cell-link", "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"t...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 9.516565202520454, "platformFee": 2.893700583298104, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717186088019
225
TonyPepperoni
1717185600000
0
https://firebasestorage.…884-fdf2cfdcaefb
7
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "a59b3bc3f09e", "prob": 0.002285402862099126, "text": "Below 120.00", "color": "#f44336", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.9036440655649756, "userId": "DGYg1e9JksfeFvPHFCuHLkKpEcV2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 831.0541233087579, "textFts": "'120.00':2", "contractId": "1zPHPIj1UEBxAKutW7wv", "resolverId": "DGYg1e9Jksfe...
1
0.25
https://storage.googleap…fd5dec94f3a7.jpg
1691471177482
0
[{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1715175192731}, {"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1715175192734}, {"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO",...
["technology-default", "finance", "economics-default", "stocks", "tonys-stock-markets"]
0.25
1717185586645
{"a565a529e0b6": 100}
DGYg1e9JksfeFvPHFCuHLkKpEcV2
True
new
0
0.5074324185757271
Z7v0j3YKG6MQmpG2SHi5
{"NO": 77.86706060983238, "YES": 4348.962415375508}
0
will-rfk-jrs-us-search-interest-rea
5682.222278806361
Will RFK JR.'s US Search Interest reach a new 90 day high within a week of the NYT story about his literal brain worm?
1715842740000
vuI5upWB8yU00rP7yxj95J2zd952
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1715176992884
Manifold Politics
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Data will be taken from this page:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%203-m&geo=US&q=%2Fm%2F02l5km&hl=en", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-pr...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 47.87098835444757, "platformFee": 47.87098835444757, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1716412442194
600
ManifoldPolitics
1715842740000
0
https://firebasestorage.…7d6-f89dcf8e5621
52
0
2
0.25
https://storage.googleap…0bd8eec850b5.jpg
1701801625125
0
[{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1715176993224}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1715176993238}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-elect...
["politics-default", "us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election", "science-default"]
0.25
0.5
1715840207887
1715230841278
0.02
vuI5upWB8yU00rP7yxj95J2zd952
0
0.5000000000000002
lklSprIQt8r3N0tIvKyB
{"NO": 33.33333333333331, "YES": 300.00000000000006}
0.09999999999999999
will-viihsou-be-unbanned-from-chess
325.1580346133808
Will Viih_Sou be unbanned from chess.com by the end of 2024?
1735660740000
VkyRaWYyvkY3DhipDo1ZQBmrXr63
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715177132234
Madge
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "GM Brandon Jacobson claims to be behind the Viih_Sou ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "chess.com", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://chess.com", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 ho...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.09707160265296762}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.998342227052466, "platformFee": 2.504871144077152, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
Mad
1719379599435
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTte8_eF79qvYqWfwsUrbabHSKNfFlLcBDrV4NU24H1KAMmev=s96-c
11
1
0.25
https://storage.googleap…3247dfdaee1a.jpg
1691486901832
0
[{"name": "Cheating Scandals", "slug": "cheating-scandals", "groupId": "13b67d5d-28ad-424c-9096-9b1b852a84f9", "createdTime": 1715177132612}, {"name": "Online Chess", "slug": "online-chess", "groupId": "fdbbc38b-5723-4d89-be6d-6ad1bf378a14", "createdTime": 1715177132614}, {"name": "♟️ Chess", "slug": "chess", "groupId"...
["cheating-scandals", "online-chess", "chess"]
0.25
0.5
1719379596379
0
0.5000000000000002
VosAuGRm7fEysF4jGsCF
{"NO": 268.93277093071185, "YES": 37.18401429990254}
0.8785299725662225
will-dragon-age-dreadwolf-release-b
183.07346207987504
Will Dragon Age: Dreadwolf release by the end of EA's financial year, March 2025?
1743483540000
jpyISdL4APOg3400CHUBgylhwU32
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715179249280
Hyperlincoln
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Eurogamer reports that the next Dragon Age game will release by the end of EA's financial year, March 31, 2025. This market resolves YES if customers can play Dragon Age in a final form by that date. (A long early access release will not count, but...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.13521223162782947}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.283585150557284, "platformFee": 1.0438781723922217, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
Hyperlincoln
1718042808598
0
https://firebasestorage.…f8f-d22d2ae6d687
4
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…6178db68e04b.jpg
1690992837377
0
[{"name": "Video Games", "slug": "video-games", "groupId": "9FaZmHrfS8IcDJyu6pUD", "createdTime": 1715179249595}, {"name": "🎮 Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1715179249610}, {"name": "Entertainment", "slug": "entertainment-12ba84d9b720", "groupId": "YjinY1aCMoxH9UyfXCrv", "...
["video-games", "gaming", "entertainment-12ba84d9b720"]
0.25
0.5
1718042805455
1718042750143
0
0.14179951017311393
tmH8yOd6xxvZjLDdV9Ft
{"NO": 936.2744389356033, "YES": 1175.6762142552418}
0.11628261894810314
in-10-years-will-the-usa-have-an-av
776.9814259027625
In 10 years, will the USA have an average cost of electricity below 1/10th of its current price?
2019801540000
TY0Nr7GWhOe2Qk9Ay7CLJUgzMUg1
cpmm-1
0
9.277567548059245
False
basic
public
1715179833937
Tony Jackson
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Right now the average price of energy in the USA is 16.1 c/kWh, so for this market to resolve \"Yes\", the cost of electricity would need to be below 1.61 c/kWh adjusted for inflation back to 2024 dollars.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 7.57708704851169, "platformFee": 7.57708704851169, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
TonyJackson
1715618964832
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5HAXjAo2OgB3KEnGPu7cM3SyHZTGzLxuQfHVjiFg=s96-c
22
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…f8db985c582b.jpg
1671696499043
0
[{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1715179834275}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1715179834277}, {"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5E...
["us-politics", "technology-default", "economics-default", "politics-default", "world-default"]
0.25
0.5
1715618961575
0
0.5
2UFKl8kzObhVdPyOLdDu
{"NO": 10.050378152592153, "YES": 994.987437106622}
0
20240607-will-amd-close-above-18250
1073.6656307982828
2024-06-07: Will AMD close above $182.50?
1717819140000
TRwXJ75GQkfZ8ijFF46gQYYrYUi1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1715180874602
MRN
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.07503502047515033}
0
{"creatorFee": 7.275948308396844, "platformFee": 2.0722419071069944, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717843014133
100
MRN267
1717819140000
0
https://firebasestorage.…80e-1f0131ad4aeb
9
0
1
0.25
https://storage.googleap…ae27521be304.jpg
1704225270314
0
[{"name": "AMD", "slug": "amd", "groupId": "d2439e81-a457-4bfa-867c-8b26c20e319a", "createdTime": 1715180874953}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1715180874951}]
["amd", "stocks"]
0.25
0.5
1717814514502
0.01
TRwXJ75GQkfZ8ijFF46gQYYrYUi1
0
YxpqdovgCqpYGKoyjkGG
-all-2024-apple-watch-update-predic
1860.488154904592
⌚️ All 2024 Apple Watch Update Predictions!
1735707540000
OQaC0IrVMpeUFAMgsU0PE0Hvkyu1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1715181617587
Probajoelistic
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "Rules", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "orderedList", "attrs": {"start": 1}, "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Have fun and try to keep this marke...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 24.945629915762137, "platformFee": 4.154705002293433, "liquidityFee": 0}
66.15889517863322
1200
probajoelistic
1720243368502
0
https://firebasestorage.…ef4-27ec116e3424
25
2
ANYONE
[{"id": "019aa41c8056", "prob": 0.5699999999999998, "text": "❎ Named \"Apple Watch X\"", "index": 0, "poolNo": 110.19438188084015, "userId": "OQaC0IrVMpeUFAMgsU0PE0Hvkyu1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 83.12909510308998, "textFts": "'appl':2 'name':1 'watch':3 'x':4", "contractId": "YxpqdovgCqpYGKoyjkGG", "createdTime"...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…d3270438d373.jpg
1652376963814
0
[{"name": "iPhone", "slug": "iphone", "groupId": "d65113e9-fafc-47b4-882f-87219e778441", "createdTime": 1715181618322}, {"name": "Apple Watch ⌚️", "slug": "apple-watch", "groupId": "f01ece3f-7cda-4477-86dd-086f104961d5", "createdTime": 1715181618382}, {"name": "🍎 Apple", "slug": "apple", "groupId": "OgtvgALKKOXZ2zOSdD...
["iphone", "apple-watch", "apple", "technology-default", "ai"]
0.25
1720243365431
1715195938184
False
0
0.793694253550215
q38c9rfM2WsWnDTD04EA
{"NO": 11235.5130801789, "YES": 436.6159793395964}
1
will-rfk-jr-confirm-that-he-believe
18935.62829650476
Will RFK Jr. confirm that the dark spot found on his brain in 2010 was likely a dead parasite, before June?
1716412620304
vuI5upWB8yU00rP7yxj95J2zd952
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
YES
public
1715181630492
Manifold Politics
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Report from the NYT:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/08/us/rfk-jr-brain-health-memory-loss.html?unlocked_article_code=1.qU0.Z7Qp.tQ2LFEsT3w1C&smid=url-share", "class": "break-anywhere ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 41.377427508651536, "platformFee": 30.31859793834498, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1716412620304
1000
ManifoldPolitics
1716412620304
0
https://firebasestorage.…7d6-f89dcf8e5621
44
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…4276cfed4967.jpg
1701801625125
0
[{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1715181631118}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1715181631122}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-defa...
["us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election", "politics-default", "science-default"]
0.25
0.5
1716412612558
1716412605773
0.99
vuI5upWB8yU00rP7yxj95J2zd952
0
O4yC3MFpr2keAiSx6GtA
which-eight-players-will-qualify-fo
974.665455437695
Which eight players will qualify for Red Bull Wololo: El Reinado (AoE2)?
1727765940000
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715181992031
Ziddletwix
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Red Bull Wololo: El Reinado", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.redbull.com/us-en/events/red-bull-wololo-el-reinado", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 a...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 6.092702475895427, "platformFee": 4.0581073485548504, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
320
Ziddletwix
1719245420813
0
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
7
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "7bec59184e11", "prob": 0.9697381416341152, "text": "Hera", "index": 0, "poolNo": 141.52053128491008, "userId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 4.416320334056309, "textFts": "'hera':1", "contractId": "O4yC3MFpr2keAiSx6GtA", "createdTime": 1715181992031, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "we...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…8b55a6666282.jpg
1680369520541
0
[{"name": "🎮 Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1715181992470}, {"name": "History", "slug": "history", "groupId": "J32Si3DhXq2184I9k4PB", "createdTime": 1715181992484}, {"name": "Esports", "slug": "esports", "groupId": "XmzXsWcpvMK0PSBDNpVc", "createdTime": 1715181992486}, {"n...
["gaming", "history", "esports", "video-games", "aoe2"]
0.25
1719245417675
1715189710843
False
0
0.5
6UpOtODf9jagRyX1q4J5
{"NO": 12.398741603872493, "YES": 806.5334627892146}
0
will-777-complete-their-take-over-o
772.6670852095058
Will 777 complete their take over of Everton before the end of the 2023/24 season?
1716159540000
Hwq6p8eQWZgkwT1iCJxtEngqASf2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1715182164100
Anthony J. Evans
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.1495520481550217, "platformFee": 3.1495520481550217, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1716186811287
100
AnthonyJEvans
1716159540000
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJOVv-fTBxQE84EEEwxcyzy64C6pU2JXS6QYUZgm98yG8NKblvS=s96-c
10
0
1
0.25
https://storage.googleap…/7b9260542ad.jpg
1715181910993
0
0.25
0.5
1716159102606
0.02
Hwq6p8eQWZgkwT1iCJxtEngqASf2
0
0SDOmXBVQVfKc88Ofy9c
in-the-year-2100-what-will-be-the-c
775.1905593652361
In the year 2100, what will be the consensus name given by historians to the era that includes 2024?
4133998740000
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715182329674
Bayesian
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If there is a near concensus, that is good enough.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If the era is named in some other language only, we’ll take the nearest translation.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "con...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 5.12438942453771, "platformFee": 5.067400681707382, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Bayesian
1719074901427
0
https://firebasestorage.…a41-dbd2866cd47c
20
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "5a56c96cea05", "prob": 0.008638819172792696, "text": "The Exponential Era", "index": 0, "poolNo": 7.139188932440688, "userId": "srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 819.2687714199442, "textFts": "'era':3 'exponenti':2", "contractId": "0SDOmXBVQVfKc88Ofy9c", "createdTime": 1715182329674, ...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…626e5ab089cb.jpg
1656040913178
0
[{"name": "Futurism", "slug": "futurism", "groupId": "6UkuV4SnUF3NtbDmfVkV", "createdTime": 1715182330074}, {"name": "History", "slug": "history", "groupId": "J32Si3DhXq2184I9k4PB", "createdTime": 1715182330081}]
["futurism", "history"]
0.25
1719074897508
1715343529352
True
0
1hjwyDCSjWmG940whsSd
what-type-of-user-generated-digital
0
What type of user generated digital content is acceptable for deletion/defacement as a form of protest?
1717819140000
APtmK3Sep3TJB92vIgWeSmAEwVa2
none
0
1000000
True
public
1715184829730
JRP
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Keep in mind, firstly: ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "orderedList", "attrs": {"start": 1}, "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This mainly a normative question (not a legal one).", "type": "text...
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717819141030
parhizj
1715186229201
0
https://firebasestorage.…a85-f1db3ce3acf8
3
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…8f842746f2fe.jpg
1684698640145
0
[{"name": "Protest", "slug": "protest-477e21b09291", "groupId": "B68FJhVP7WsoNPK1cFwq", "createdTime": 1715184830074}]
["protest-477e21b09291"]
0.25
1715186227991
["0344f75bb67c"]
0
hoKqzWE7Ss4dVcRk6WMi
what-will-be-true-of-the-xkcd-on-fr-fa41f79b80f0
1297.71751003842
What will be true of the xkcd on Friday, May 10th, 2024?
1715313540000
yCEJKMJLIic6ei3w3zAgJTjI1Ex2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
MKT
public
1715185601367
EBurk
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will resolve any answers to these questions as soon as I see the xkcd posted for the given day and have time to resolve. If it ever appears that the post was skipped (I don’t see anything before the next usual post day) I will resolve all answers...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 11.111972842406168, "platformFee": 11.111972842406168, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1715456024367
300
EBurk
1715313540000
0
https://firebasestorage.…0e3-2fdb94d99bad
22
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "3e1a29de4e1e", "prob": 0.04, "text": "Black Hat will make an appearance", "index": 0, "poolNo": 4.9553322192384, "userId": "yCEJKMJLIic6ei3w3zAgJTjI1Ex2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 126.12676049721185, "textFts": "'appear':6 'black':1 'hat':2 'make':4", "contractId": "hoKqzWE7Ss4dVcRk6WMi", "resolution": "NO...
1
0.25
https://storage.googleap…c3eb5d3a46e8.jpg
1706489499554
0
[{"name": "🧮 Math", "slug": "mathematics", "groupId": "S1tbcVt1t5Bd9O5mVCx1", "createdTime": 1715185601942}, {"name": "Engineering", "slug": "engineering", "groupId": "49148d79-ce4e-4856-962c-3f90256abeab", "createdTime": 1715185601937}, {"name": "xkcd", "slug": "xkcd", "groupId": "58b9cbb3-0e8d-4c8b-be77-7430c96a2d3c...
["mathematics", "engineering", "xkcd", "webcomics", "space"]
0.25
1715302569943
1715352505293
0.03
yCEJKMJLIic6ei3w3zAgJTjI1Ex2
False
0
0.5000000000000001
8NKZYiCVPrVdU7bWp7TF
{"NO": 33.609779728409954, "YES": 297.5324468296681}
0.10149650824587678
will-i-be-happy-with-an-agent-publi
213.24813559552962
Will I be happy with an agent publishing research in my name without supervision by release of next-gen AGI?
1746568740000
64nA8wahOiQFgktDjLeGo6Tf7Tu1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715188147266
Esben Kran
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Context on the free variables:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "My capability and capacity to get such a system built (...
BINARY
{"day": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": 1.3877787807814457e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.8470151351743118, "platformFee": 1.8470151351743118, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
EsbenKran
1715261967995
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AD5-WCkjkrbnhW-Ti_KTMe85vKDwHzcLrDZ4MI8Z1W9mrkB6iHVrphFAMqn1n13OYWY8VVX_dxNmdJfwQ1mT_I_ejZl0OgUPE8sXki90SPN65KioDAmoUkwBnEEUKJ4ptb09vEvf7A4TqxrgtN2qd_B0683a3ypF-lgyf1oWzaCYpD6j1GyDCGU8MPvX7PetIWwx_3ghH_q-oP7E9gdSXC5twesBowjGQYK_OKxZr4GY441hJCTVyOsXYB_lQfpo8-cYAY8RTpUsxDXSBbRV4RaiE-F...
8
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…df1ccb7e4139.jpg
1674427262871
0
[{"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1715188147711}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1715188147717}, {"name": "🧪 Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime"...
["ai", "technology-default", "science-default"]
0.25
0.5
1715207773447
1715261966623
0
tDcwU8XIH41eDca1ogQ7
how-many-attendees-will-eagxnordics
42.999999999999915
How many attendees will EAGxNordics '25 recieve
1748728740000
B8PYL9aUt5Qluab7SnVP2sCgs082
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715188225218
Elliot Davies
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Attendence estimated based on tickets scanned", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves N/a if there's no EAGxNor...
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 2.802756991825227, "platformFee": 0.4449913233224063, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
200
ElliotDavies
1716746197771
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3Na22pX-P2VyNzHlR-YpR-bxfSxgHSK2mal8XsGg=s96-c
3
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "d4e848a77731", "prob": 0.04009422182378593, "text": "0-25", "index": 0, "poolNo": 3.312340601397655, "userId": "B8PYL9aUt5Qluab7SnVP2sCgs082", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 79.30157359190903, "textFts": "'-25':2 '0':1", "contractId": "tDcwU8XIH41eDca1ogQ7", "createdTime": 1715188225218, "probChanges": {"day": 0...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…935f850e4d5d.jpg
1669130705908
0
[{"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz", "createdTime": 1715188226016}, {"name": "Effective Altruism Global", "slug": "effective-altruism-global", "groupId": "30787935-0756-4d13-bcab-bdd476aed5fc", "createdTime": 1715188226013}]
["effective-altruism", "effective-altruism-global"]
0.25
1716746189826
True
0
0.49999999999999983
dqwaWKEd6liM7jSJbxAK
{"NO": 26.176873080046178, "YES": 382.01659798789075}
0.06412859326622954
will-openai-launch-a-search-engine
1416.58238232754
Will OpenAI launch a search engine tomorrow may 9th
1715260979366
ZuUU2AyD7NSmFU8yxujsJvId2Jz2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
CANCEL
public
1715188917158
Shant
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 7.417406784524256, "platformFee": 7.417406784524256, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1715260979366
100
Shant
1715262101362
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIrvarKifkQmhiITj8ihXFuJtZFbknCCxh8DTiJyDt21J_rsXql-w=s96-c
35
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…2bdc4524049c.jpg
1715187141374
0
[{"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 1715188917498}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1715188917488}]
["openai", "ai"]
0.25
0.5
1715260742591
1715262100251
0.06
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
0
0.5000000000000002
lmc8319YhrW86DzAxBcc
{"NO": 30.32455758643431, "YES": 329.7657343061618}
0.08421376046283197
will-apple-cancel-its-stock-buy-bac
241
Will Apple cancel it's stock buy back program by May 9th
1715214109856
ZuUU2AyD7NSmFU8yxujsJvId2Jz2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
CANCEL
public
1715189056707
Shant
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.8739236110463457, "platformFee": 1.8739236110463457, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1715214235894
100
Shant
1715214288664
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIrvarKifkQmhiITj8ihXFuJtZFbknCCxh8DTiJyDt21J_rsXql-w=s96-c
5
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…6222318429ca.jpg
1715187141374
0
[{"name": "🍎 Apple", "slug": "apple", "groupId": "OgtvgALKKOXZ2zOSdDih", "createdTime": 1715189057036}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1715189057039}]
["apple", "stocks"]
0.25
0.5
1715204512456
1715214286832
0.08
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
0
a7cGluSjAhgR1HTySXAW
do-you-have-autocapitalization-on
0
Do you have auto-capitalization on?
5pdlqOtBlpT1nNSbFLJk3G2Ozep2
none
0
1000000
False
public
1715189726310
ismellpillows
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Follow-up: why?", "type": "text"}]}]}
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
ismellpillows
1715232691160
0
https://firebasestorage.…d2d-d6578fd4939a
6
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…cedf144e4e26.jpg
1712019700747
0
[{"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1715189726633}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1715189726642}]
["culture-default", "technology-default"]
0.25
1715232684637
0
0.603104055722197
sFczI326I5ZiPCpJOdqz
{"NO": 1074.9058531964267, "YES": 949.8083242708627}
0.6323109703408069
will-bryan-johnson-live-to-90-years
77
Will Bryan Johnson live to 90 years old?
3081297540000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
9.695579512414906
False
basic
public
1715189859845
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "xK6OGvg1iyG1r383Sj5t", "label": "/strutheo/will-bryan-johnson-live-to-80-years"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "TAqdIBw3Nq8Y63bL...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0.12273940040430253, "month": 0.12273940040430253}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.06064323908664, "platformFee": 0.033503564486442795, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
strutheo
1719968957300
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
3
2
0.25
https://storage.googleap…83bc62b7add3.jpg
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "Longevity", "slug": "longevity", "groupId": "b8Ygbdfv5q2sQsZQGmkl", "createdTime": 1715189860146}, {"name": "🧑‍🎤 Celebrities", "slug": "celebrities", "groupId": "4QIcUOfCSSha0JZHAg9X", "createdTime": 1715189860162}, {"name": "Bryan Johnson", "slug": "bryan-johnson", "groupId": "8c2265a9-e6b9-4d11-9bf5-b133...
["longevity", "celebrities", "bryan-johnson", "life-extension", "health"]
0.25
0.5
1719968953604
1719892819770
0
0.09307251840822339
jyOkLnY79468PzTl8ZIW
{"NO": 927.4351630584373, "YES": 1264.4957377763672}
0.0700000000000023
will-trump-and-biden-debate-in-augu
582.4478245859997
Will Trump and Biden debate in August 2024?
1725163140000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
10.290159177913537
False
basic
public
1715190070303
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "CT6AT2xraJCGGOJA3Dku", "label": "/strutheo/will-trump-and-biden-debate-in-sept"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "G5ygEHgNqHaCt5Zg...
BINARY
{"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -2.7755575615628914e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 5.283456058283303, "platformFee": 5.283456058283303, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
strutheo
1716258094334
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
14
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…371a8ff4e77c.jpg
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1715190070910}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1715190070912}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "...
["2024-us-presidential-election", "donald-trump", "politics-default", "the-life-of-biden", "us-politics"]
0.25
0.5
1716258091152
1715228252475
0
0.5000000000000001
CT6AT2xraJCGGOJA3Dku
{"NO": 73.81196974797507, "YES": 135.4793813814234}
0.3526756808136777
will-trump-and-biden-debate-in-sept
316.7252933779703
Will Trump and Biden debate in September 2024?
1727755140000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715190254914
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -0.5123955723537486, "month": -0.5275494354524698}
0
{"creatorFee": 6.146946734488693, "platformFee": 1.9735740710898442, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
strutheo
1720021518245
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
8
1
0.25
https://storage.googleap…f78198dbbcae.jpg
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1715190255259}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1715190255265}, {"name": "👴🏼 Joe Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden"...
["donald-trump", "2024-us-presidential-election", "the-life-of-biden", "us-politics", "politics-default"]
0.25
0.5
1720021514691
0
0.5
YkeCKASPvpClXKO4Snn0
{"NO": 18.281577378569402, "YES": 546.9987514164126}
0.03234072803761023
will-colin-kaepernick-play-in-the-n
456
Will Colin Kaepernick play in the NFL again before the end of 2026?
1798779540000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715191029456
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Colin_Kaepernick", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Colin_Kaepernick", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.2094612676646888, "platformFee": 2.2094612676646888, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
strutheo
1715220398907
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
9
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…55b6d085906f.jpg
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 1715191054522}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1715191056220}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 17151910...
["nfl", "sports-default", "football", "protest-477e21b09291", "culture-default"]
0.25
0.5
1715220395597
0
0.5
y1dLoI0hCL8JKNnJmWa3
{"NO": 91.17687042103996, "YES": 109.67693839261675}
0.4539464347705242
will-manifold-make-the-notification
10
Will manifold make the notifications system significantly better by mid 2025? (subjective, to me, a creator?)
1751353140000
kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715191656669
Ernie
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I use the general tab of notifs for a LOT of things!", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As a creator, I need to answer trader questions.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type":...
BINARY
{"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.16153080369162434, "platformFee": 0.16153080369162434, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
Ernie
1715279747630
0
https://firebasestorage.…761-3d26c24f8466
1
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…e740ab1cfaad.jpg
1668384110640
0
[{"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1715191657028}]
["manifold-features-25bad7c7792e"]
0.25
0.5
1715279744401
0
hbC5LnGXHdsYy6noIoub
premier-league-20242025-end-of-seas
509.48181069683847
Premier League 2024-2025 end of season ranking, 1-20
1748674740000
XtJuqIcTwEa5WnmBtmypEKyjlfu1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715193282384
Henri Thunberg
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "What will the final standings for Premier League 2024-25 be?", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "(I will update relegated teams when finalized.)", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"},...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 4.536330223822789, "platformFee": 4.536330223822789, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
500
HenriThunberg
1716321017473
0
https://firebasestorage.…fa3-77eaaa8c1e8b
5
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "892ba129509b", "prob": 0.9507162282298623, "text": "Manchester City", "index": 0, "poolNo": 109.80281985033511, "userId": "XtJuqIcTwEa5WnmBtmypEKyjlfu1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 5.6920213966444155, "textFts": "'citi':2 'manchest':1", "contractId": "hbC5LnGXHdsYy6noIoub", "createdTime": 1715193282385, "pro...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…cbcb797658cf.jpg
1665991918794
0
[{"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1715193282811}, {"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1715193282823}, {"name": "Premier League", "slug": "premiere-league", "groupId": "5gsW3dPR3ySBRZCodrgm", "createdTime"...
["football", "soccer", "premiere-league", "premier-league-20242025"]
0.25
1716321014133
False
prob-desc
0
0.4999999999999998
cSbywfBRxDgd7WUbU3eQ
{"NO": 98.01960588196074, "YES": 102.0204061220407}
1
daily-coinflip-90e6b435ddde
2286.27054406151
Daily coinflip
1715313540000
gRmM27eQDEVTEjM1q6Yzc7abJT93
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
YES
public
1715194306519
Traveel
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = heads", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "No = tails", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(Day 146)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text"...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 19.73538528881442, "platformFee": 19.73538528881442, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1715324739783
100
Traveel
1715313540000
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp75uQk9_bN2j7atj8Sgb_7Ud50XuAC1-rg4KHhh=s96-c
26
0
1
0.25
https://storage.googleap…cfd3ce563b44.jpg
1674441975928
0
[{"name": "FairlyRandom", "slug": "fairlyrandom", "groupId": "J8Z1KAZV31icklA4tgJW", "createdTime": 1715194306821}, {"name": "Non-Predictive Profits", "slug": "nonpredictive-profits", "groupId": "sVCyD10FvUk5af10QT6H", "createdTime": 1715194306823}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac...
["fairlyrandom", "nonpredictive-profits", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.25
0.5
False
False
1715312370666
1715324312034
0.49
gRmM27eQDEVTEjM1q6Yzc7abJT93
0
0.5000000000000001
J7sa1VpXPWkazrm8kLQB
{"NO": 10.050378152592117, "YES": 994.9874371066203}
0
will-there-be-a-massive-earthquake
782.4082431828172
Will there be a massive earthquake in California between May 8th and May 14th?
1715781144632
FRXOmjLVJcZM4fEcnCB3gU88Ye82
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1715195118918
William Giammona
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Dutch planetary geometry analyst Frank Hoogerbeets who studies/predicts earthquakes has said there might be one in California in the next 7 days. Massive earthquake means 7.0 or above.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.773279187002771, "platformFee": 2.773279187002771, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1715781144632
100
WilliamGiammona
1715781489646
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIncZC6rkusB7ujOtXTHpbAVm0cvtAAK2Y3a951uk6L30UosWg=s96-c
7
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…82cdbc753e1e.jpg
1715194950698
0
0.25
0.5
1715550920311
1715781488378
0.01
FRXOmjLVJcZM4fEcnCB3gU88Ye82
0
4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq
how-many-hits-after-30-days
31879.791634124813
How many hits after 30 days?
1717683056121
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
MKT
public
1715195226725
Base
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "the next 30 days i will ask ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "mention", "attrs": {"id": "xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1", "label": "FairlyRandom"}}, {"text": " every day twice for a number 1-80 every time the bot rolls a Number 1-62 it is a hit ", "type"...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 146.24257968258684, "platformFee": 63.59183668818145, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717683062926
825
Base
1717684160878
0
https://firebasestorage.…816-54142cec3137
15
0
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "54c32b4c0373", "prob": 0.99, "text": "more then 22 hits", "index": 0, "poolNo": 248.7468592766554, "userId": "dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2.5125945381480363, "textFts": "'22':3 'hit':4", "contractId": "4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsd...
0.25
https://storage.googleap…d75612949d14.jpg
1690298751650
0
[{"name": "Dice", "slug": "dice", "groupId": "cb9b9e13-ad1a-41c1-96d2-23cd5b008777", "createdTime": 1715195227166}, {"name": "Luck", "slug": "luck", "groupId": "ccafed67-30ba-4efb-bbdb-cf350e9a2098", "createdTime": 1715195227169}, {"name": "Random", "slug": "random", "groupId": "d208e730-aa1c-44a1-9c81-3ed96d8fee70", "...
["dice", "luck", "random", "gambling", "fairlyrandom", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.25
False
False
1717683052113
1717684158524
0.01
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
False
0
0.2593991690707733
xKSYn32lm44d10tPhEB1
{"NO": 933.797835283279, "YES": 1153.4076726378562}
0.22092056806199453
will-ussop-die-before-the-strawhats
391.2954330285294
Will Ussop die before the strawhats find the one piece?
1801457940000
10KnkS5ivLOZIHTQ7hZKey77YJF2
cpmm-1
0
9.60233903731304
False
basic
public
1715195627071
Cristian Pena
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": -0.005054062999931136, "month": -0.015753037420292826}
0
{"creatorFee": 5.407081950272255, "platformFee": 4.225550194706458, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
CristianPena
1719991404723
0
https://storage.googleap…7hZKey77YJF2.png
13
1
0.25
https://storage.googleap…66b5cba1ea92.jpg
1715191763685
0
[{"name": "Manga", "slug": "manga", "groupId": "0e0wvkjcHdblLOdaK9jp", "createdTime": 1715195627511}, {"name": "🏴‍☠️ One Piece", "slug": "one-piece-stocks", "groupId": "uJSql24HUqpEpVU0FrjI", "createdTime": 1715195627502}, {"name": "One piece theories", "slug": "one-piece-theories", "groupId": "78f2f6a8-571e-44b4-976c...
["manga", "one-piece-stocks", "one-piece-theories"]
0.25
0.5
1719991401634
0
2WJMqlVNonEi8ni7z8i9
how-many-goals-will-the-ucl-finals
85.00000000000001
how many goals will the UCL finals have (BVB vs Real/Bayern)
1717268340000
10KnkS5ivLOZIHTQ7hZKey77YJF2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715195864717
Cristian Pena
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 3.5088970882076382, "platformFee": 1.510832995662101, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
CristianPena
1719013377175
0
https://storage.googleap…7hZKey77YJF2.png
6
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "028cf1f7439d", "prob": 0.19995739819483935, "text": "0-1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 7.904641646273426, "userId": "10KnkS5ivLOZIHTQ7hZKey77YJF2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 31.62698717883816, "textFts": "'-1':2 '0':1", "contractId": "2WJMqlVNonEi8ni7z8i9", "createdTime": 1715195864717, "probChanges": {"day": 0, ...
3
0.25
https://storage.googleap…532318fd6cd8.jpg
1715191763685
0
[{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1715195865031}, {"name": "UCL finals", "slug": "ucl-finals", "groupId": "f2a4fc70-c302-449d-b209-cbe75ed75839", "createdTime": 1715195865050}, {"name": "UEFA Champions League", "slug": "uefa-champions-league", "groupId": "jgZHnM9Q...
["soccer", "ucl-finals", "uefa-champions-league"]
0.25
1716498169955
1719013376083
True
0
0.5000000000000003
dUxNTWJJGBaurKr4HIQF
{"NO": 172.33077457900546, "YES": 58.02794088536672}
0.7480974801913175
will-buggy-the-clown-awaken-his-fru
269.4900608023395
Will buggy the clown awaken his fruit before one piece ends?
1801457940000
10KnkS5ivLOZIHTQ7hZKey77YJF2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715196008919
Cristian Pena
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.836982825962134, "platformFee": 2.836982825962134, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
CristianPena
1715953886104
0
https://storage.googleap…7hZKey77YJF2.png
5
0
0.25
https://storage.googleap…bece9de62f2c.jpg
1715191763685
0
0.25
0.5
1715953882866
0