CK0607/manifold_contracts · Datasets at Hugging Face

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1906603140000

LP7cXaQwISM2JgopIQ6gCTSJgku2

cpmm-1

0

4.6446968631459935

False

basic

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1716126641902

Logan Zoellner

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what-will-be-true-about-the-cryptoc

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What will be true about the cryptocurrency market by 2025? (Add your own answer)

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2BxXRsWcjIU3OTyyhyjac7yyy4P2

cpmm-multi-1

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10.586609649448985

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1716128054649

Kakonomics

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "How will the cryptocurrency market have changed between now and 2025? ", "type": "text"}]}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

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Yoae

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https://firebasestorage.…9b9-ed72121a5535

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ANYONE

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f1EXERAtNu0Ob8Y9PDRr

who-is-responsible-for-ebrahim-rais

5428.435870719627

Who is responsible for Ebrahim Raisi’s helicopter crash?

1735682340000

ileZCEsR4XTYGWig0KZEg50dcd72

cpmm-multi-1

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10.586609649448985

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1716128590680

Ron Langberg

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

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1716142187161

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which-of-the-gourosei-will-be-the-f

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Which of the gourosei will be the first to be defeated?

1735685940000

UxPpPMGNdYWt48z4oW1mbCxpWS03

none

0

1000000

False

public

1716128860366

AleFan04

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Question relating to the fate of the five elders as to whom will be the first of them to be defeated.", "type": "text"}]}]}

POLL

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AleFan04

1716128860767

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will-the-eu-introduce-any-form-of-d

2176.2696503838533

Will the EU introduce any form of direct taxation during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

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KxMresZBkXU5KQ1ZxzzXdSZaQ793

cpmm-1

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9.186989898309148

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1716129692040

Transparent

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "To resolve Yes: The EU introduces any form of direct taxation and is included in the budget for any year within the 2024-2029 legislative period. There is official confirmation of its implementation.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"typ...

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will-the-european-parliament-pass-a

1020.6243798075286

Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

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KxMresZBkXU5KQ1ZxzzXdSZaQ793

cpmm-1

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1716131530444

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{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "To resolve Yes: A binding motion for a vote of no confidence against the European Commission is successfully passed by the European Parliament with the required majority during the 2024-2029 legislative period.", "type": "text"}]}]}

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by-when-will-new-shepard-fly-next

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By when will New Shepard fly next?

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notarealuser

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Will the cause of the Iranian helicopter crash containing the president be revealed to be sabotage?

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cpmm-1

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9.82992400128769

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1716132128013

Tony Jackson

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Will Manifold fix this z-index issue by Friday?

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cpmm-1

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9.614696691259855

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NO

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1716132241435

Max Clayton Clowes

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mcclowes

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will-iran-accuse-israel-of-causing

22681.670781720044

Will Iran accuse Israel of causing the Iranian president's helicopter to crash?

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9.898251998632624

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NO

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1716133402037

E.Z. rinsky

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EZrinsky

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Who will win the Liam McCarthy cup this year, 2024?

1735689540000

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cpmm-multi-1

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10.586609649448985

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1716133923636

reg connolly

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "simple enough... who wins the Hurling this year? I will gamble on this market", "type": "text"}]}]}

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regconnolly

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will-on-the-executive-order-make-th

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Will "On the Executive Order" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

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cpmm-1

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9.899812762135237

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1716136003529

Less Wrong

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{"NO": 1000, "YES": 1000}

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will-ten-levels-of-ai-alignment-dif

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Will "Ten Levels of AI Alignment Difficulty" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

1738368000000

h2dutemV8qWoHLjhp9VXerhlLL13

cpmm-1

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9.894527931239049

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1716136925482

Less Wrong

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The percent of Boba Tea drinkers in Cupertino with Chinese names goes up in the year to May 2025

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cpmm-1

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Ernie

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "At a Boba Tea place in May 2024, approx 25% of the customers were using Chinese language origin names. Will that rate go up over time to the next year?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Details:...

BINARY

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