p string | id string | pool string | prob string | slug string | volume string | dpmPool string | question string | realAnte string | closeTime string | creatorId string | mechanism string | startPool string | totalBets string | dailyScore string | elasticity string | isResolved string | marketTier string | resolution string | visibility string | createdTime string | creatorName string | description string | outcomeType string | probChanges string | subsidyPool string | totalShares string | collectedFees string | phantomShares string | volume24Hours string | resolutionTime string | totalLiquidity string | creatorUsername string | lastUpdatedTime string | popularityScore string | creatorAvatarUrl string | likedByUserCount string | uniqueBettorCount string | cfmmConversionTime string | uniqueBettorCountDay string | addAnswersMode string | answers string | bountyLeft string | bountyTxns string | closeEmailsSent string | conversionScore string | coverImageUrl string | creatorCreatedTime string | deleted string | followerCount string | freshnessScore string | groupLinks string | groupSlugs string | importanceScore string | initialProbability string | isPolitics string | isRanked string | isSubsidized string | lastBetTime string | lastCommentTime string | loverUserId1 string | loverUserId2 string | matchCreatorId string | nonPredictive string | resolutionProbability string | resolutions string | resolverId string | shouldAnswersSumToOne string | sort string | totalBounty string | unlistedById string | username string | viewCount string | wasDpm string |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.5000000000000001 | GRvrVBm88RdpErm4d1y4 | {"NO": 830.884342777432, "YES": 1203.5369407218072} | 0.4084131195031036 | will-henry-arithmoquine-repligate-o | 210 | Will joscha Bach, repligate, or Jose Luis ricon be featured in world's Wildest police videos/COPS by EOY 2029 | 1893473940000 | 1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.575669851052776 | False | basic | public | 1716158792380 | Stochastic Cockatoo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Convincing deepfake counts", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.08677852124151286, "month": -0.08677852124151286} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.294762813096516, "platformFee": 0.16829646509631002, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | StochasticParrot | 1719973819285 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1650319241876 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719973816215 | 1716161573594 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
rZG8FyEDoMrSZ38GxLGC | lets-play-civilization-vi-turn-87 | 1000 | [Let's play] Civilization VI (Turn 87) | 1716316654677 | v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1716159866909 | komplexkonjugat | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Let's play Civ6!", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Anyone can add instructions. Instructions can be composite, but are executed atomically (either fully or not at all). Upon mark... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.810560277748065, "platformFee": 5.810560277748065, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716317232412 | 1250 | komplexkonjugat | 1716326277225 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "1dde477200f0", "prob": 0.9, "text": "Execute all instructions in @MattCWilson's comment on this answer.", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1238.378879444504, "userId": "rPIxt0FOF6PWHTakglyn88p1dGY2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 50.469206991026226, "textFts": "'answer':10 'comment':7 'execut':1 'instruct':3 'mattcwilson'... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1698548141721 | 0 | [{"name": "ManifoldPlaysCiv6", "slug": "manifoldplaysciv6", "groupId": "5fb3f729-faaa-425d-9c1b-c04c78abe1b4", "createdTime": 1716159867243}, {"name": "🎮 Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1716159867254}] | ["manifoldplaysciv6", "gaming"] | 0.25 | 1716260784902 | 1716326275797 | 0.9 | v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3ZTSL84kNXLCcpEzmC73 | golf-who-will-win-the-2025-pga-cham | 725 | Golf: Who will win the 2025 PGA Championship? | 1747627140000 | RabTJS18F8W5aAr9kPySvIUwIlz1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1716160797048 | fish | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina from ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Monday, May 12 through Sunday, May 18 2025", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}, {"type": "italic"}]}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.037333638014404, "platformFee": 5.866041878607901, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | kurt | 1718935159990 | 0 | 3 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "7f7de280fd9a", "prob": 0.07507969756760828, "text": "Xander Schauffele", "index": 0, "poolNo": 82.24669929939145, "userId": "RabTJS18F8W5aAr9kPySvIUwIlz1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1013.2118862300639, "textFts": "'schauffel':2 'xander':1", "contractId": "3ZTSL84kNXLCcpEzmC73", "createdTime": 1716160797049,... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1700606417730 | 0 | [{"name": "LIV Golf", "slug": "liv-golf-e6b76f899909", "groupId": "fe5f5381-9b99-4911-9685-3d7c98783d5d", "createdTime": 1716160797428}, {"name": "PGA Tour", "slug": "pga-tour-54c67dc97aca", "groupId": "d33772d2-7e31-422f-9df7-f7826399908c", "createdTime": 1716160797430}, {"name": "Golf", "slug": "golf", "groupId": "Nx... | ["liv-golf-e6b76f899909", "pga-tour-54c67dc97aca", "golf"] | 0.25 | 1718935156900 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
vK9bujGHVRqn4pMqGLaJ | do-you-enjoy-gooning | 0 | Do you enjoy gooning? | 1718798340000 | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1716161317308 | jim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718798340639 | jim | 1719058291873 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1690863320225 | 0 | [{"name": "Sex", "slug": "sex", "groupId": "hin1uXjOTBV5jHs3S2hz", "createdTime": 1716161317652}, {"name": "❤️🔥 Sex and love", "slug": "sex-and-love", "groupId": "3syjPCC7PxE5KurTiTT3", "createdTime": 1716180344111}, {"name": "NSFW", "slug": "nsfw", "groupId": "LUxtqM1V13uIqha4QTv8", "createdTime": 1717283759698}] | ["sex", "sex-and-love", "nsfw"] | 0.25 | 1719058290338 | ["601984693d62"] | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | s4Nu1t9plN6I3yEuSdCo | {"NO": 1010.9719519125689, "YES": 989.1471253066793} | 0.5054558818158549 | will-an-anime-character-based-off-o | 110 | Will an anime character modeled off of @repligate/janus be instantiated by nearcyan's Elysian labs by 2028 | 1861678740000 | 1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.57035182528048 | False | basic | public | 1716161435455 | Stochastic Cockatoo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://twitter.com/nearcyan/status/1791676764441465279?t=F3vlcmPI9QCX1bjmgdF4SA&s=19", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/nearcyan/status/1791676764441465279?t=F3vlcmPI9QCX1bjmgdF4SA&s=19", "class": "... | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.858578205466047, "platformFee": 1.858578205466047, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | StochasticParrot | 1716255502888 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1650319241876 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716255499593 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
IdUs3R7DvawOP9yZjKdw | 130-townsend-san-francisco-94107-re | 0 | 130 Townsend, San Francisco 94107 redevelopment completed | 1893571140000 | n7K8X2GXFjd6E6VqrIYdLSsp8XI3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1716161701621 | Mike Linksvayer | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Completed means structure at 130 Townsend is larger than existing structure there and is open for leasing or occupied.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A five story office project was approved ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1500 | MikeLinksvayer | 1716162447003 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMEt_vp87oGWCPN6fczOoU_PSbnY8JZQWWdkXjXQ=s96-c | 0 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "25e37df4484a", "prob": 0.16666666666666666, "text": "2025 or before", "index": 0, "poolNo": 150, "userId": "n7K8X2GXFjd6E6VqrIYdLSsp8XI3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 750, "textFts": "'2025':1", "contractId": "IdUs3R7DvawOP9yZjKdw", "createdTime": 1716161701621, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1678567919781 | 0 | [{"name": "construction", "slug": "construction", "groupId": "87c3b859-264c-42c4-93ee-9b170817893d", "createdTime": 1716161702206}, {"name": "San Francisco", "slug": "san-francisco", "groupId": "77nEsKGsORflUYGveLSX", "createdTime": 1716161702222}] | ["construction", "san-francisco"] | 0.25 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000004 | xkvfButiI1M4Y0u3mqtT | {"NO": 1203.3211530004644, "YES": 831.033342600614} | 0.5915002304674177 | will-there-be-any-upsets-in-the-202 | 2119.5051046786493 | Will there be any upsets in the 2024 US Presidential election? | 1735711140000 | ScsiswU6F8TGyb3GGh1N8T0A9Qs1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 8.619231738720673 | False | basic | public | 1716162019551 | Zane | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(As of the time of this writing, May 19, 2024:)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "According to other Manifold markets, every state and elector-awarding district has a >80% chance of voting for t... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.06789404983856562} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 36.388153832576265, "platformFee": 28.18714666988441, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | ZaneMiller | 1719467650726 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1669859805273 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1716162019858}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1716162019867}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-polit... | ["politics-default", "2024-us-presidential-election", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719467647501 | 1716229400761 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | YH5mbQVIm6eyrUr9kruK | {"NO": 1014.1355889781728, "YES": 986.0614407661056} | 0.507017845690846 | will-chappell-roan-wear-a-cowboy-ha | 35 | Will Chappell Roan wear a cowboy hat at any point during her 2024 Lollapalooza set? | 1721969940000 | BNwesdLpcXZ7frK0RtotvJq0zV63 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.570363926550474 | False | basic | public | 1716163627519 | traichestral | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.5900043998972391, "platformFee": 0.5900043998972391, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | tracheotomy | 1716196162375 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1716159154020 | 0 | [{"name": "Music Artists", "slug": "music-artists", "groupId": "2j0sKR6KW5zW2RofbGNE", "createdTime": 1716163627978}, {"name": "Music Festivals", "slug": "music-festivals", "groupId": "56a31ff0-d9eb-46f4-b929-2e263b5e9e1f", "createdTime": 1716163627975}, {"name": "🎷 Music", "slug": "music-f213cbf1eab5", "groupId": "Xu... | ["music-artists", "music-festivals", "music-f213cbf1eab5"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716196158854 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0E0MJfPh7MxInsKSjmhV | is-your-pdoom-currently-between-10 | 0 | Is your P(Doom) currently between 10% and 90%? (By 2050) | 1717873140000 | 8lZo8X5lewh4hnCoreI7iSc0GxK2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1716164772475 | Manifold AI | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "For this question, we'll define P(Doom) as the likelihood of artificial intelligence causing human extinction or an outcome you consider similarly undesirable before the year 2050.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717873140834 | ManifoldAI | 1717855531063 | 0 | 124 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1711068181629 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1716164772769}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1716164772780}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "creat... | ["technology-default", "ai", "manifold-6748e065087e", "ai-safety"] | 0.25 | 1717855529808 | ["af194cbaebcc"] | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.14000000000000004 | Fey5OsgkIp7hFRhI8OOs | {"NO": 987.6574246723113, "YES": 1079.2760172237136} | 0.12965644465117399 | will-a-dozen-ways-to-get-more-dakka | 367 | Will "A Dozen Ways to Get More Dakka" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review? | 1769904000000 | h2dutemV8qWoHLjhp9VXerhlLL13 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.902974406757693 | False | basic | public | 1716164775008 | Less Wrong | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As part of LessWrong's ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Annual Review", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/lesswrong-review", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": ", the community nom... | BINARY | {"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -2.7755575615628914e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.170501607798133, "platformFee": 0.8096996180022383, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | LessWrong | 1716649734582 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKH1Ct5papO0Deh_khGs7uNUNGfjK6aQWr4LE-chfD1Cg=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1706554674237 | 0 | [{"name": "LessWrong Annual Review", "slug": "lesswrong-annual-review", "groupId": "0a0b0d16-7a4b-4de5-aadf-ddd85fbefe5c", "createdTime": 1716164775752}] | ["lesswrong-annual-review"] | 0.25 | 0.14 | 1716649731043 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000022 | XnxNpXBDwBw2eBQdBS6z | {"NO": 7835.152007040784, "YES": 127.62994248246707} | 1 | is-manifolds-pdoom-by-2050-currentl | 10869.647037316656 | Is Manifold's P(Doom) by 2050 currently between 10% and 90%? [Resolves to Poll] | 1717916340000 | 8lZo8X5lewh4hnCoreI7iSc0GxK2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.863459138450668 | True | basic | YES | public | 1716164937722 | Manifold AI | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve based on the results of this poll:", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldAI/is-your-pdoom-currently-between-10", "frameBorder": 0}}, {"type":... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.04141625514057956} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 88.46447789466282, "platformFee": 55.85958691810956, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718124142400 | 1000 | ManifoldAI | 1717916340000 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1711068181629 | 0 | [{"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1716164938145}, {"name": "AI Safety", "slug": "ai-safety", "groupId": "DnxTZ1P5XEEfnHxy7Q7d", "createdTime": 1716164938188}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 17161... | ["ai", "ai-safety", "manifold-6748e065087e", "technology-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717912486780 | 1718124094016 | 0.98 | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
n8YiwdQKGs6lSwSiUg15 | is-your-pdoom-currently-between-25 | 0 | Is your P(Doom) currently between 25% and 75%? (By 2050) | 1717873140000 | 8lZo8X5lewh4hnCoreI7iSc0GxK2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1716165162268 | Manifold AI | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "For this question, we'll define P(Doom) as the likelihood of artificial intelligence causing human extinction or an outcome you consider similarly undesirable before the year 2050.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717873140834 | ManifoldAI | 1716167989808 | 0 | 88 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1711068181629 | 0 | [{"name": "AI Safety", "slug": "ai-safety", "groupId": "DnxTZ1P5XEEfnHxy7Q7d", "createdTime": 1716165162664}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1716165162673}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 17161... | ["ai-safety", "ai", "technology-default", "manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.25 | 1716167988703 | ["35dd79abd570"] | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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VRcV5wkkQ5RBhfgFp3NK | which-team-will-win-wheeled-vehicle | 1354.642999622322 | Which team will win Wheeled Vehicle at 2024 Science Olympiad Nationals? | 1716609540000 | p0cactq9vxepo3H1ZGnwhuoMOaB2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1716167969026 | PredictordudeT | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Wheeled Vehicle is a 2023 and 2024 Science Olympiad event in which teams aim to launch an elastic powered car as close as possible to a point 8-12 meters away. Additionally, this year the teams can gain significant bonuses by sending the car throug... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 18.244357118982016, "platformFee": 17.488901598589703, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716685176413 | 1000 | PredictordudeT | 1717220328158 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLcXY9NGAXuKZwudK-gwxb1MWVTYi1o-IlYuW8zjYbKilgi5g=s96-c | 5 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "6028c1233c48", "prob": 0.42, "text": "Seven Bridges Middle School (NY) #3 in 2023", "index": 0, "poolNo": 214.407926625369, "userId": "p0cactq9vxepo3H1ZGnwhuoMOaB2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 291.500416909516, "textFts": "'2023':8 '3':6 'bridg':2 'middl':3 'ny':5 'school':4 'seven':1", "contractId": "VRcV5w... | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1716160795848 | 0 | [{"name": "🧪 Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1716167969545}, {"name": "Competition", "slug": "competition", "groupId": "e802993b-f696-432e-9b73-165063b15611", "createdTime": 1716167969559}, {"name": "Physics", "slug": "physics-a6878c3ad095", "groupId": "92473248-f... | ["science-default", "competition", "physics-a6878c3ad095", "science-olympiad"] | 0.25 | 1716602041320 | 1717220327038 | 0.21 | p0cactq9vxepo3H1ZGnwhuoMOaB2 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.7499999999999999 | o6R2QJWqm81ekESnA3Y2 | {"NO": 1478.8113224880126, "YES": 877.7329680736954} | 0.8348315025250747 | will-max-verstappen-win-the-2024-fo-47817800fe86 | 505 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 Formula 1 Monaco Grand Prix? | 1716225537846 | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.642534572684859 | True | basic | CANCEL | public | 1716224033390 | Kevin Burke | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Must win the actual race (not a sprint race). The race will take place on May 26, 2024.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": " If a driver does not take part in a race weekend (i.e. a replacement ha... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.659214018317441, "platformFee": 3.659214018317441, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716225537846 | 1000 | KevinBurke | 1716619802973 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1668407142709 | 0 | [{"name": "🏎️ Formula 1", "slug": "formula-1", "groupId": "OyHBKJOz9YaGkDctpwuY", "createdTime": 1716224033965}] | ["formula-1"] | 0.25 | 0.75 | 1716224870886 | 1716619801690 | 0.83 | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
qZh1AupO3SdIdZZcFsZ8 | who-will-finish-on-the-podium-at-th | 2203.6016592429614 | Who will finish on the podium at the 2024 Formula 1 Monaco Grand Prix? | 1716226297702 | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1716224035071 | Kevin Burke | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Must finish on the podium in the actual race (not a sprint race). The race will take place on May 26, 2024.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": " Three answers will be resolved YES, unless multiple... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 26.011159508016224, "platformFee": 26.011159508016224, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716226297702 | 3000 | KevinBurke | 1716226297702 | 0 | 3 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "43dfacac0446", "prob": 0.93, "text": "Max Verstappen", "index": 0, "poolNo": 890.5941499037502, "userId": "7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 70.1778694669784, "textFts": "'max':1 'verstappen':2", "contractId": "qZh1AupO3SdIdZZcFsZ8", "resolution": "CANCEL", "resolverId": "7HhTMy4xECaV... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1668407142709 | 0 | [{"name": "🏎️ Formula 1", "slug": "formula-1", "groupId": "OyHBKJOz9YaGkDctpwuY", "createdTime": 1716224035788}] | ["formula-1"] | 0.25 | 1716225059215 | 0.19 | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
TDpO7Yrixrs81utsNvoP | who-will-finish-in-the-top-6-places | 1330 | Who will finish in the top 6 places at the 2024 Formula 1 Monaco Grand Prix? | 1716225847921 | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1716224037138 | Kevin Burke | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Must finish in the top 6 places in the actual race (not a sprint race). The race will take place on May 26, 2024.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": " Six answers will be resolved YES, unless mult... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 14.475145317287224, "platformFee": 14.475145317287224, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716225847921 | 3000 | KevinBurke | 1716226003704 | 0 | 2 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "876f56725a5d", "prob": 0.9, "text": "Max Verstappen", "index": 0, "poolNo": 751.3177878880156, "userId": "7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 83.18716927452226, "textFts": "'max':1 'verstappen':2", "contractId": "TDpO7Yrixrs81utsNvoP", "resolution": "CANCEL", "resolverId": "7HhTMy4xECaV... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1668407142709 | 0 | [{"name": "🏎️ Formula 1", "slug": "formula-1", "groupId": "OyHBKJOz9YaGkDctpwuY", "createdTime": 1716224037686}] | ["formula-1"] | 0.25 | 1716225158594 | 1716226002761 | 0.48 | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
TOBr4wCpyg8UhoQ7M1vT | who-will-finish-in-the-points-at-th | 1605 | Who will finish in the points at the 2024 Formula 1 Monaco Grand Prix? | 1716225672192 | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1716224039093 | Kevin Burke | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Must finish in the points in the actual race (not a sprint race). The race will take place on May 26, 2024.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": " Ten answers will be resolved YES, unless multiple \... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 15.015544127709449, "platformFee": 15.015544127709449, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716225672192 | 3500 | KevinBurke | 1716272304046 | 0 | 3 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "594270bb18a8", "prob": 0.95, "text": "Max Verstappen", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1109.7823004359757, "userId": "7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 56.317351588187194, "textFts": "'max':1 'verstappen':2", "contractId": "TOBr4wCpyg8UhoQ7M1vT", "resolution": "CANCEL", "resolverId": "7HhTMy4xE... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1668407142709 | 0 | [{"name": "🏎️ Formula 1", "slug": "formula-1", "groupId": "OyHBKJOz9YaGkDctpwuY", "createdTime": 1716224039872}] | ["formula-1"] | 0.25 | 1716225274200 | 1716272302628 | 0.5 | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5147335905225993 | OgH32Rz4nj5AlmL8Iiry | {"NO": 8765.523168882726, "YES": 283.4654568794989} | 1 | will-the-new-tesla-compensation-pac | 12276.43143621623 | Will the new Tesla compensation package for Elon Musk be approved by the shareholders on June 13? | 1718286920989 | WKKdTCqHduaNtJN6rUYpPKXwK8U2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 8.81349787159658 | True | basic | YES | public | 1716225491008 | Iason Koukas | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "It has to get a simple majority vote, excluding the shares of Elon and Kimbal Musk. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.391785256712022} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 206.92877432174473, "platformFee": 7.113713490887734, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718286920989 | 1500 | IasonKoukas | 1718286920989 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJJIJyDLPEuPXNOzTrfsptZ48FfaLCZm5IfcjrS0XnYKx8=s96-c | 38 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1702729254788 | 0 | [{"name": "Tesla", "slug": "tesla", "groupId": "aWXHajzqi5AtOZ3rZmcV", "createdTime": 1716225491320}, {"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre", "createdTime": 1716225491333}] | ["tesla", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718283384571 | 1716242516609 | 0.97 | WKKdTCqHduaNtJN6rUYpPKXwK8U2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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K6v36gVBGAFSSKnkNZEH | if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-635a0eccb7f7 | 0 | [CANCELLED / DUPLICATE] If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Yann Le Cun? | 1716228541540 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1716226501760 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "c9QbK9KoFUFE8JR7a1HX", "label": "/strutheo/who-would-have-to-be-running-for-ma"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716229081006 | strutheo | 1716229873453 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1716226502198}, {"name": "Future US Presidents", "slug": "future-us-presidents", "groupId": "AaVOlWucYC9VeWQN6zYG", "createdTime": 1716226502205}, {"name": "Polls", "slug": "polls", "groupId": "N7J0kSf7abktEXCnPP9V", "create... | ["donald-trump", "future-us-presidents", "polls", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 1716228413287 | ["8e5d880f0d7b", "22f2df9fea5f"] | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999956 | xNjZXoTvCQMcZ6U1U0dm | {"NO": 367.85721383630266, "YES": 2718.4460774092704} | 0.11919023476394698 | will-benjamin-netanyahu-ever-be-arr | 15000.135298583105 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes? | 1923695940000 | rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.659508447415103 | False | basic | public | 1716227973286 | Simon Grayson | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The International Criminal Court’s chief prosecutor is seeking an arrest warrant for Benjamin Netanyahu.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or tried for ... | BINARY | {"day": -0.06770027956896581, "week": -0.06770027956896581, "month": -0.06770027956896581} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 109.8141724888235, "platformFee": 79.39361007789613, "liquidityFee": 0} | 104.927254192835 | 1000 | SimonGrayson | 1720214290132 | 0 | 99 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1680512856506 | 0 | [{"name": "Benjamin Netanyahu", "slug": "benjamin-netanyahu", "groupId": "af230c02-3728-40d9-8a8d-a14b82f73285", "createdTime": 1716227973771}, {"name": "🇮🇱 Israel", "slug": "israel", "groupId": "ECjphikMbmosJsDAAJoU", "createdTime": 1716227973772}, {"name": "🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel-Hamas Conflict", "slug": "israelhamas-conf... | ["benjamin-netanyahu", "israel", "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "israeli-politics", "politics-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720214286978 | 1716292187225 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5 | HeuuEdddfLL6EFrL0fRN | {"NO": 238.41655567499117, "YES": 4194.339596798794} | 0.05378517280765336 | will-manchester-city-be-relegated-o | 5494.201465167365 | Will Manchester City be relegated or demoted before the start of the 2026/27 Premier League season? | 1787349540000 | G3LhSYHrymapMN91FqCFhteTKqQ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.905715636695584 | False | basic | public | 1716230437007 | GM | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve YES if Manchester City are relegated or demoted from the Premier League before the 2026/27 season", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 6.938893903907228e-18, "week": 6.938893903907228e-18, "month": -0.0012290343788173702} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 32.7276701346465, "platformFee": 30.277448884477064, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | GtothaM | 1719001888129 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1703010438797 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1716230437473}, {"name": "Manchester City", "slug": "manchester-city", "groupId": "02108b1d-9c6a-4446-9d09-92f0beb1e866", "createdTime": 1716230437506}, {"name": "Premier League", "slug": "premiere-league", "groupId": "5gsW... | ["football", "manchester-city", "premiere-league", "soccer"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719001885058 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5 | U0zX1dkxeqavkQqDo8Ss | {"NO": 911.7673204000673, "YES": 1096.7710485184068} | 0.45394568234761745 | will-jared-goff-be-on-the-lions-on | 100 | Will Jared Goff be on the Lions on June 1, 2027? | 1811995140000 | BrBG7QaUHeMrx3ZXPqy5AxfeFTw2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.51175032687961 | False | basic | public | 1716230814270 | pitstop | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.022464159108867454} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.2289514815931253, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | pitstop | 1719628421369 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1661266134199 | 0 | [{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1716230814729}, {"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 1716230814734}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 17162308... | ["sports-default", "nfl", "football", "detroit-lions", "nfl-futures"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719628418205 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | 5PX57pTk3TYD9hzj3Eba | {"NO": 695.6228701946994, "YES": 1437.5605559375977} | 0.32609613485322375 | will-hims-hers-health-stop-selling | 450 | Will Hims & Hers Health stop selling ozempic (compounded GLP-1) by September 2024? | 1725145140000 | xh2QtJ0WuKQFK3nyXsxDRxBhqYB3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.59090341411423 | False | basic | public | 1716237358401 | IY | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Announcement is sufficient for resolution.", "type": "text"}]}]}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.03164419967746551} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.387875025470954, "platformFee": 5.05156903693116, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | vitamind | 1718119151413 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1687797971742 | 0 | [{"name": "Ozempic", "slug": "ozempic", "groupId": "Lio4Pi1UEILaVj0ZTN7h", "createdTime": 1716237358742}, {"name": "🫀 Health", "slug": "health", "groupId": "JpUqUqRn9sSWxrk0Sq35", "createdTime": 1716237358765}] | ["ozempic", "health"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718119148268 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5000000000000001 | UrrbK5xWw7MH8oJ5WMTy | {"NO": 100.50378152592111, "YES": 9949.87437106621} | 0 | will-stage-16-of-the-2024-giro-dita | 8998.70466121811 | Will Stage 16 of the 2024 Giro d'Italia be ridden in full? | 1716318014852 | hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.849721441923041 | True | basic | NO | public | 1716277808037 | Eliza | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The planned stage is 206km, Livigno - Santa Cristina Val Gardena/St. Christina in Gröden (Monte Pana).", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 24.41514507595066, "platformFee": 24.41514507595066, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716318014852 | 1000 | Eliza | 1716318014852 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c | 3 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1680816506031 | 0 | [{"name": "🚲 Peloton Discord", "slug": "peloton-discord", "groupId": "rIVWY1mvCrXzAzPN8OcW", "createdTime": 1716277808475}, {"name": "🚲 Cycling", "slug": "road-bicycle-racing", "groupId": "2yisxJryUq9V5sG7P6Gy", "createdTime": 1716277808500}, {"name": "Tour de France", "slug": "tour-de-france", "groupId": "JJOUNWLE... | ["peloton-discord", "road-bicycle-racing", "tour-de-france"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716318008260 | 1716299579217 | 0.01 | hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | WKccMXY8ApRiFcqBw7S7 | {"NO": 568.8455790723634, "YES": 1757.9463333981325} | 0.24447634359721734 | will-there-be-an-assassination-atte-e11b3ab4b5c7 | 9448.72521665102 | Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2030? | 1893452340000 | Hd8tCTjDRwRtvssZ42JtF2sgCfg1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 8.79206870516586 | False | basic | public | 1716281373001 | Ihor Kendiukhov | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Criteria for Resolution:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "1. ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Assassination Attempt:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " An assassinati... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 125.69804168596065, "platformFee": 68.9518409575414, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | IhorKendiukhov | 1717451079329 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY_LCXlnQVZAJ2jXC13YFJNvtOWrpX0gMSDHrcWDg=s96-c | 75 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1680382822335 | 0 | [{"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1716281373381}, {"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 1716281373385}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 17162813... | ["ai", "openai", "technology-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717451076184 | 1717324374855 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | rsJ6b3GGpn3dGnqKHmg7 | {"NO": 804.8633958638991, "YES": 1242.4468613417946} | 0.39313210737410687 | will-my-dj-set-at-jesscamp-4-contai | 250 | Will my DJ set at Jesscamp 4 contain any AI-generated music? | 1766984340000 | 5tRRokoRHXdoiblRaEE6HDguhgB3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.577664461796234 | False | basic | public | 1716281822412 | Robin Green | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Music counts as AI-generated if the entire audio file is AI-generated, even if the lyrics are human-written.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves N/A if Jesscamp 4 does not occur or I do n... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.77656932910274, "platformFee": 3.77656932910274, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | RobinGreen | 1716301346550 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5E-q_bZ3CRRdAyvsBKzjKhaVimPpY3ue3d3lKmaA=s96-c | 2 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1673115996741 | 0 | [{"name": "2025", "slug": "2025", "groupId": "06377b94-95d9-432d-b80b-78ec353716b6", "createdTime": 1716281822814}, {"name": "🎼 AI Music Generation", "slug": "-ai-music-generation", "groupId": "c8610201-a428-4504-8842-3a98fabaced5", "createdTime": 1716281822820}] | ["2025", "-ai-music-generation"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716301343246 | 1716284226376 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | QynKHInhXFRCIboC2r9B | {"NO": 647.162762758999, "YES": 1545.2063337772665} | 0.2951887817527873 | will-1-or-more-americans-engage-in | 560 | Will 1% or more Americans engage in blood cleaning services that cost $1000 per year (inflation adjusted) by 2040 | 2209075140000 | lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.59997758016817 | False | basic | public | 1716283294223 | Nathan Young | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "There will be an initial cooling down period for changes to try and have this market match the spirit of the quesiton. After that period it will resolve to the description whether it matches this spirit or not, so lets attempt to get the wording ri... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.396833111366785, "platformFee": 7.396833111366785, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | NathanpmYoung | 1716308043675 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNathanpmYoung%2Flove-images%2Fg-n-xy50_N.43?alt=media&token=28208478-6907-4bc5-9fde-15746ee9af90 | 5 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1642188589725 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716308040456 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
lqTiccJDE6ovSR5touSr | will-01ai-publish-weights-of-yi15la | 0 | Will 01.ai publish weights of Yi-1.5-large in 2024? | 8NNAyStqvISBvH7Uao1WnDXc8Ql1 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1716290043917 | Martin Vlach | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Currently there is only a waitlist for API to the model, but it appears on ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://chat.lmsys.org", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://chat.lmsys.org", "class": "break-anywhere hover:... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | MartinVlach | 1716557017467 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AItbvmkhkG2hLiwj7KQeyaj8Ro9f7WYf6KiFP8yUnreT=s96-c | 3 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1659096517265 | 0 | [{"name": "Language Models", "slug": "language-models", "groupId": "YRlA7mlPzSVj57rAr9pD", "createdTime": 1716290044316}, {"name": "Machine Learning", "slug": "machine-learning", "groupId": "RiiQsc0zMKPfMzfLfRAi", "createdTime": 1716290044314}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "created... | ["language-models", "machine-learning", "ai", "data-leaks"] | 0.25 | 1716557016007 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000002 | Ovdg7Im8LLYrEETn39g0 | {"NO": 1007.0285858719964, "YES": 993.0204703514895} | 0.5035019429840781 | someone-changes-reality-to-profit-o | 1359.0881997700296 | Will someone do something IRL to profit on Manifold that gets news/courts coverage by 2035? | 2063721540000 | LkcvWkZmRRVL5jxeLF9xb9ojyrI2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.267576184148759 | False | basic | public | 1716290708569 | Harrison Lucas | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES is someone changes the physical world to win profits on manifold markets before 2035.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Threshold criteria:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 22.245562025318012, "platformFee": 22.245562025318012, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | HarrisonLucas | 1717083935727 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1664585067255 | 0 | [{"name": "🫀 Health", "slug": "health", "groupId": "JpUqUqRn9sSWxrk0Sq35", "createdTime": 1716290709257}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1716290709291}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "c... | ["health", "manifold-6748e065087e", "politics-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717083932339 | 1716333873435 | 0 |
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