Datasets:
CK0607
/
manifold_contracts

Dataset card Data Studio Files
xet
 Community
1
p
string
id
string
pool
string
prob
string
slug
string
volume
string
dpmPool
string
question
string
realAnte
string
closeTime
string
creatorId
string
mechanism
string
startPool
string
totalBets
string
dailyScore
string
elasticity
string
isResolved
string
marketTier
string
resolution
string
visibility
string
createdTime
string
creatorName
string
description
string
outcomeType
string
probChanges
string
subsidyPool
string
totalShares
string
collectedFees
string
phantomShares
string
volume24Hours
string
resolutionTime
string
totalLiquidity
string
creatorUsername
string
lastUpdatedTime
string
popularityScore
string
creatorAvatarUrl
string
likedByUserCount
string
uniqueBettorCount
string
cfmmConversionTime
string
uniqueBettorCountDay
string
addAnswersMode
string
answers
string
bountyLeft
string
bountyTxns
string
closeEmailsSent
string
conversionScore
string
coverImageUrl
string
creatorCreatedTime
string
deleted
string
followerCount
string
freshnessScore
string
groupLinks
string
groupSlugs
string
importanceScore
string
initialProbability
string
isPolitics
string
isRanked
string
isSubsidized
string
lastBetTime
string
lastCommentTime
string
loverUserId1
string
loverUserId2
string
matchCreatorId
string
nonPredictive
string
resolutionProbability
string
resolutions
string
resolverId
string
shouldAnswersSumToOne
string
sort
string
totalBounty
string
unlistedById
string
username
string
viewCount
string
wasDpm
string
0.4999999999999998
l694w77ahy
{"NO": 887.1005538014971, "YES": 1127.2679243798234}
0.44038643545614775
will-there-be-a-billiondollar-compa
1964
Will there be a billion-dollar company with only one person by 2040?
2209103940000
l07l7wXjtohrDL8bnEtALCIvA1z1
cpmm-1
0
9.572562680017683
False
basic
public
1719971193431
Pablo Penietzsche
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The promise of automation in AI claims that fewer people would be employed on companies that rely on knowledge workers. Many processes can be outsourced, but many have to be done in-house.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "parag...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": -0.05961356454385225, "month": -0.05961356454385225}
0
{"creatorFee": 64.96619707431594, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
PabloPenietzsche
1720149813511
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJTw8Cwd26U11yod9KEKg63cEb7rX_FwZrb-mbht6e1ExbIDyWn=s96-c
33
3
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…e/ctbxdt2pbr.jpg
1717815395364
0
0.25
0.5
1720149810437
1720098818035
0
rfi5fomkmi
if-trump-is-president-in-2025-who-w
1585
If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management?
1863752340000
QQInWv7nHJgbmN67E7QlHfQDkO42
cpmm-multi-1
0
5.335614751809732
False
plus
public
1719971799844
Dave K
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to “Trump not elected President” if Trump not elected President, otherwise to name of individual appointee. If Trump ceases being President for any reason, will be the successor President(s) within same presidential term. ", "type": "text...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 30.919467324867416, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
10000
DaveK
1720015676124
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2R6SvkbqD9GkJI_SN-kCZntRToJnhbIGK4scrO=s96-c
6
6
ANYONE
[{"id": "trmlcu3stu", "prob": 0.3962904079668847, "text": "Trump not elected President", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2871.8071820234723, "userId": "QQInWv7nHJgbmN67E7QlHfQDkO42", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 4374.916746412994, "textFts": "'elect':3 'presid':4 'trump':1", "contractId": "rfi5fomkmi", "createdTime": 17199717998...
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1664484956400
0
0.25
1720015673041
True
0
2l0jx5q7hr
inversion-resolutions-what-would-be
5856.719592331648
[Inverting Resolutions] What would be true in a world where Donald Trump wins the election?
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hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2
cpmm-multi-1
0
9.045941399284027
False
plus
public
1719972443085
Pat Scott🩴
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Thia is an experimental attempt to measure the counterfactual. Instead of conditional N/As, conditional options, scaled (dice roll) zoom ins, or some such, this market has what I call \"inverting\" resolutions.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragr...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 159.746290195595, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
3514.232374094512
14000
Stralor
1720243018112
0
https://firebasestorage.…6fe-53e90fa501ca
46
25
ANYONE
[{"id": "riitn7izyz", "prob": 0.18110349014552984, "text": "Trump sentenced to any prison time", "index": 0, "poolNo": 202.8857226738548, "userId": "hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 917.3893339295344, "textFts": "'prison':5 'sentenc':2 'time':6 'trump':1", "contractId": "2l0jx5q7hr", "created...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…r/xtdihdfsvg.jpg
1677017053373
0
0.25
1720242323812
1720243015889
False
liquidity
0
0.2442728027293804
0x9ftptgyv
{"NO": 1186.5213761577913, "YES": 552.6170177403179}
0.409682288678646
will-biden-live-to-see-a-human-walk
441.69710953891934
Will Biden live to see a human walk on the moon again?
1830315540000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
9.541397468393958
False
basic
public
1719974256853
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": -0.09031771132135402, "month": -0.09031771132135402}
0
{"creatorFee": 16.731769918128634, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
strutheo
1720158719832
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
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2
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…o/t01yjosgrf.jpg
1700846926650
0
0.25
0.5
1720158716734
1720033289700
0
wm9jcyc28h
how-likely-is-biden-to-win-the-2024-f47jbjw9ry
0
How likely is Biden to win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1720094340000
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
none
0
1000000
True
public
1719975796374
jim
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1720094340212
jim
1720025578722
0
https://firebasestorage.…9bd-1f9dcd4cd13f
17
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…m/f19dg6mj3y.jpg
1690863320225
0
0.25
1720025577409
["w60l87f8re"]
0
smbpyy8mbe
who-will-win-the-main-event-for-ufc
87.25142931904043
Who will win the main event for UFC 305?
1723867140000
v0bLdHENmlUks0UHiUSwG2ObxoB3
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1719977457764
Felipe Peña
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "UFC 305: du Plessis vs. Adesanya will take place on August 17, 2024, in Perth, Australia, for the UFC middleweight championship belt", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 1.2463013966484975, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
FelipePena
1720053161621
0
https://firebasestorage.…8cf-40df00faf2a6
3
3
DISABLED
[{"id": "ploimcifin", "prob": 0.6899999999999997, "text": "Israel Adesenya", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 74.59568438611079, "userId": "v0bLdHENmlUks0UHiUSwG2ObxoB3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 33.51400312999184, "textFts": "'adesenya':2 'israel':1", "contractId": "smbpyy8mbe", "createdTime": 17199774577...
0.13333333333333333
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1717560039290
0
0.25
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True
0
0.4999999999999982
7n58fdpeax
{"NO": 7259.562242177667, "YES": 137.74935273508027}
1
will-a-second-sitting-democrat-cong
7125.910372999188
Will a second sitting Democrat Congressman or Senator publicly urge Biden to drop out before July 7th?
1720058873268
iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122
cpmm-1
0
9.868104751916837
True
basic
YES
public
1719977875657
Niko
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "On Tuesday July 2nd, Rep. ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Lloyd Doggett", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://deepnewz.com/entity/per/lloyd-doggett", "class": "underline decoration-blue-500/30 hover:decoration-blue-5...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0.5, "month": 0.5}
0
{"creatorFee": 52.84782880762017, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1720058873268
1000
Moscow25
1720058873268
0
https://firebasestorage.…c7e-93270a85b3ad
21
21
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…5/u2e4wx98ra.jpg
1715368331856
0
0.25
0.5
1720038139859
1720058824445
0.98
iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122
0
5654mr2xo1
how-screwed-is-rishi-sunak
0
How screwed is Rishi Sunak?
1720126740000
0G4e0M74JzfTXbZXvYWjzwQCbQP2
none
0
1000000
True
public
1719979936907
Magnus
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Open to interpretation.", "type": "text"}]}]}
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1720126740281
thepurplebull
1719979991628
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLXSToo0Id6FL4KCpM8Vgoz3tf_ZLnlgS60B_OCfmrsm6E=s96-c
15
0
0.13333333333333333
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1700605001274
0
0.25
["67dz05ctwz"]
0
458kewhzra
if-you-lived-in-a-swing-state-and-a
0
If you lived in a swing state, and are American, let's talk about your vote
kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2
none
0
1000000
False
public
1719984655630
Ernie
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
Ernie
1719984655630
0
https://firebasestorage.…761-3d26c24f8466
13
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…e/fz2f4qmp82.jpg
1668384110640
0
0.25
0
0.5000000000000002
drubkd1wop
{"NO": 531.6855840617258, "YES": 1880.8108212388672}
0.220388135250083
will-gme-reach-50-before-the-end-of
5983.991227370348
Will GME reach $50 before the end of July 2024?
1722491940000
7Bj5HMJ0odhpaAOakIX7ZuiHx9x2
cpmm-1
0
9.633372433377879
False
basic
public
1719984694400
Nav
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "GameStop GME stock closed at $23.98 on July 2nd 2024", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
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0
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50
1000
navitron32
1720169368833
0
https://firebasestorage.…578-afd9626400c9
17
3
0.13333333333333333
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1690944834818
0
0.25
0.5
1720169365779
0
gpsmhc92uu
when-will-china-release-the-taiwane
89.43194014643991
When will China release the Taiwanese (and Indonesian) fishermen seized on July 2nd 2024?
1751471940000
2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1719985562105
Josh Wilkes
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "\"Taiwan has called on China to release a fishing boat carrying five people that it said was seized by the Chinese coast guard in waters near Taiwanese outlying islands.\"", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content":...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 2.5628337263806644, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
JoshuaWilkes
1720000864516
0
https://firebasestorage.…516-65b151c295c8
4
4
DISABLED
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0.13333333333333333
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1662006482315
0
0.25
1720000860974
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0
0.5
sxbnind3tb
{"NO": 911.7687042103998, "YES": 1096.7693839261674}
0.4539464347705243
will-another-us-president-hold-offi
100
Will another US President hold office for more than two full terms?
4135813199999
5UEJDhfkuLNxnh3UKgg0rHesRCg2
cpmm-1
0
9.571658363807156
False
basic
public
1719986900053
JKS
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if one person is the President of the United States for more than 2,922 days since the ratification of ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "the 22nd Amendment", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https:/...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": -0.04605356522947568, "month": -0.04605356522947568}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.2306160738324863, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
jks
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0
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1
0.13333333333333333
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1680049506454
0
0.25
0.5
1719988496412
0
ievay46sn
ai-for-ai-2-by-when-will-there-be-a
100
AI for AI 2: By when will there be an AI that can do "senior-level" ML engineering?
1862035140000
acvO0NAsghTTgGjnsdwt94O44OT2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1719989732236
Vincent Luczkow
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Options are inclusive: if this happens tomorrow then all options resolve to YES.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This market will of course resolve somewhat subjectively. The overall idea is \"there is a m...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 1.5927800016949785, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
vluzko
1720011599338
0
https://firebasestorage.…f7b-ff4904405776
2
2
DISABLED
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n5ql7qfy59
{"NO": 929.7755619964717, "YES": 1075.5283757434293}
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will-taylor-swift-have-announcedrel
425
Will Taylor Swift have announced/released all of her rerecordings before the scheduled end of the Eras Tour on 8/12/24?
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XjQkiHiqafYpjWGxR0PVmY8vGbI3
cpmm-1
0
9.571156559281349
False
basic
public
1719992252103
Sara
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Taylor Swift announce/released all of her rerecording (Reputation and Debut left) before the scheduled end of the Eras Tour (8th December 2024).", "type": "text"}]}]}
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1000
csgoldie
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7mmc0u0kw1
{"NO": 999.9999999999986, "YES": 1000.0000000000018}
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daily-coinflip-wstpk4iker
13018.662252294727
Daily coinflip
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gRmM27eQDEVTEjM1q6Yzc7abJT93
cpmm-1
0
9.570333339714743
True
basic
YES
public
1719992281300
Traveel
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = heads", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "No = tails", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(Day 171)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text"...
BINARY
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Traveel
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0.5
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0
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9uq2n3gwkn
{"NO": 94.1696582148513, "YES": 106.19131671036415}
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will-this-d20-roll-be-even
46.9098158249712
Will this d20 roll be even?
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P9zNCU4szGRHC9zB4OJCAx07nGh1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1719993003409
azzy
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will roll the dice sometime the day the question closes and resolve right when i roll it(in order to be fair i will not invest in this market). resolves yes if even and resolves no if odd.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
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46.9098158249712
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megacoolness
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mvc96dp0o4
when-will-starship-flight-6-happen
7399.978850893723
When will Starship flight 6 happen?
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ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1
cpmm-multi-1
0
7.140565081204839
False
plus
public
1719993320783
Oleg Eterevsky
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "SpaceX Starship has made its 4th flight on June 6th 2024.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As of early July, the 5th flight is expected in August: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
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10000
OlegEterevsky
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0
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11
7
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "y76kbz2gpj", "prob": 0.24535134315354232, "text": "Before 2024-09-01", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1097.5970462273253, "userId": "ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 3375.975554271718, "textFts": "'-01':4 '-09':3 '2024':2", "contractId": "mvc96dp0o4", "createdTime": 1719993320783, "probChange...
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At what intensity will Hurricane Beryl first make landfall in Mexico?
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Savior of Plant
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Will there be a second presidential debate in the 2024 US election?
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cshunter
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Which films will win an Oscar at the 98th Academy Awards?
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Will there be a third presidential debate in the 2024 US election?
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cpmm-1
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Who will win stage 6 at the 2024 Tour de France?
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Will Kamala Harris be President of the United States on election day, 2024?
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Will Joe Biden endorse Kamala Harris for the Democratic Party Presidential Nomination before the end of July?
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Will Hurricane Beryl cause damage at SpaceX Starbase that delays Flight 5?
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Will Jimmy Carter be alive up until Oct 2 2025, 12:01 am EST, one day after his 101st birthday?
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{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve Yes on Oct 2nd 2025, 12:01 am EST, if Jimmy Carter is still alive. If he dies before this date and time, it will resolve No.", "type": "text"}]}]}
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Will Joe Biden announce that he is both dropping out and resigning from the presidency before the end of July?
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Will Iran attack Israel in the month of July?
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Will manifold add 1 hour or 1 minute timeframes to the individual market price plot selection by end of July?
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