CK0607/manifold_contracts · Datasets at Hugging Face

DW3sniGuBGHrVHYe9hdr

trumps-second-word

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Trump’s second word

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cpmm-multi-1

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play

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1669069967601

Gigacasting

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Second word of next tweet", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "gridCardsComponent", "attrs": {"contractIds": "RwXvbUzUDKTv8a8k55JO,zqUtaPuFI9UdULyVLOld"}}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

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1

ANYONE

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["twitter", "us-politics", "donald-trump"]

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True

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Democrats vs Republicans (2 hour only)

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cpmm-1

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True

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YES

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1669070032747

Gamble market

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BINARY

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0.5

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trumps-first-punctuation

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Trump’s first punctuation

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cpmm-multi-1

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CANCEL

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1669070330279

Gigacasting

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ANYONE

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["twitter", "us-politics", "donald-trump"]

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Will I return to Proof next year?

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cpmm-1

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pancakes ♠︎

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Will Biden drop out of the 2024 presidential election before 11/5/2024?

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cpmm-1

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basic

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XComhghall

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Joe Biden announce to suspend his candidacy or campaign for the 2024 presidential election before the election date, 11/5/2024?", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

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XComhghall

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["politics-default", "us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election"]

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top-10-coins-jan-1-2026

200

Top 10 coins— Jan 1, 2026

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cpmm-multi-1

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Gigacasting

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MULTIPLE_CHOICE

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ANYONE

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[{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1669070701671}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE", "createdTime": 1680737...

["crypto-speculation", "ancient-markets"]

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Will the Pax Europa outlast the Pax Romana? [Early Resolution by Metaculus]

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cpmm-1

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MKT

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Johnny Ten-Numbers

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[{"name": "⚔️ Wars", "slug": "wars", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz"}, {"name": "🌎 Geopolitics", "slug": "geopolitics", "groupId": "2wNGnksxJzypXZtiTLNL"}, {"name": "Europe", "slug": "europe", "groupId": "ue52QI4BQgJgAJJNjLHr"}, {"name": "Meta-Forecasting", "slug": "metaforecasting", "groupId": "aWVjDvevw8dDKKbURvgx...

["wars", "geopolitics", "europe", "metaforecasting", "european-union", "predictions-on-predictions", "short-fuse", "reciprocal-scoring"]

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aba-stock-with-poll-30-days

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ABA STOCK WITH POLL; 30 Days

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cpmm-1

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Will Elon Musk appear on Jordan Peterson's podcast by the end of 2023?

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cpmm-1

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1669072099253

Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.jordanbpeterson.com/podcast/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.jordanbpeterson.com/podcast/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400 hover:decoration-2", "target": ...

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This market resolves to the most tipped comment.

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Franklin Baldo

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[{"name": "🤠 Fun", "slug": "fun", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4"}, {"name": "🪞 Self-resolving", "slug": "selfresolving", "groupId": "9cUlgUS6fDN3LIyavEam"}, {"name": "Short fuse", "slug": "short-fuse", "groupId": "a2ab3b95-588a-4e45-a855-51cd10e8427c"}]

["fun", "selfresolving", "short-fuse"]

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is-aba-antisemitic-yesno-only

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Is Aba Antisemitic? (Yes/No) Only (Decided by Poll)

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Kriggar

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Will Sweden extradite Bülent Keneş to Turkey by the end of 2023?

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cpmm-1

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Tomek ⚡ K

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Turkish journalist Bülent Keneş fled to Sweden years ago. President Erdogan demands his extradition, otherwise Sweden will not be allowed to join NATO.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Will Sweden extradite...

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["turkey", "tomeks-specials", "sweden", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

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will-turkey-ratify-swedens-accessio

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Will Turkey ratify Sweden's accession to NATO by April 1, 2023?

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cpmm-1

0

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NO

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Tomek ⚡ K

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will-netherlands-win-against-ecuado

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cpmm-1

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JAAM

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If Desantis is R nominee and Trump doesn't run 3rd party, will Desantis win presidency?

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Yaakov Saxon

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