Datasets:
CK0607
/
manifold_contracts

Dataset card Data Studio Files
xet
 Community
1
p
string
id
string
pool
string
prob
string
slug
string
volume
string
dpmPool
string
question
string
realAnte
string
closeTime
string
creatorId
string
mechanism
string
startPool
string
totalBets
string
dailyScore
string
elasticity
string
isResolved
string
marketTier
string
resolution
string
visibility
string
createdTime
string
creatorName
string
description
string
outcomeType
string
probChanges
string
subsidyPool
string
totalShares
string
collectedFees
string
phantomShares
string
volume24Hours
string
resolutionTime
string
totalLiquidity
string
creatorUsername
string
lastUpdatedTime
string
popularityScore
string
creatorAvatarUrl
string
likedByUserCount
string
uniqueBettorCount
string
cfmmConversionTime
string
uniqueBettorCountDay
string
addAnswersMode
string
answers
string
bountyLeft
string
bountyTxns
string
closeEmailsSent
string
conversionScore
string
coverImageUrl
string
creatorCreatedTime
string
deleted
string
followerCount
string
freshnessScore
string
groupLinks
string
groupSlugs
string
importanceScore
string
initialProbability
string
isPolitics
string
isRanked
string
isSubsidized
string
lastBetTime
string
lastCommentTime
string
loverUserId1
string
loverUserId2
string
matchCreatorId
string
nonPredictive
string
resolutionProbability
string
resolutions
string
resolverId
string
shouldAnswersSumToOne
string
sort
string
totalBounty
string
unlistedById
string
username
string
viewCount
string
wasDpm
string
0.5
EZTAnubz2eyY8EDRHEkg
{"NO": 50, "YES": 50}
0.5
will-i-see-andthecanaryfell-on-sund
0
Will I see andthecanaryfell on Sunday?
1669175151753
TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2
cpmm-1
0
4.3944491546724365
True
play
CANCEL
public
1669174974714
BRTD
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
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1669175151753
50
BRTD
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0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrsylYlJ6d2kI1TVD_JFz7OE98nlyJDg62SpkONuA=s96-c
0
0
https://firebasestorage.…f63-bf0091a51537
2
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["personal-goals"]
0.5
1669175084931
0.5
0.5
0uiWhrZYDVmMFZVtyT3q
{"NO": 50, "YES": 50}
0.5
will-i-listen-to-counterparts-trage-aad711f0f955
0
Will I listen to Counterparts' "Tragedy Will Find Us" record tonight?
1669175121498
TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2
cpmm-1
0
4.3944491546724365
True
play
CANCEL
public
1669175093769
BRTD
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1669175121498
50
BRTD
1669175216825
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrsylYlJ6d2kI1TVD_JFz7OE98nlyJDg62SpkONuA=s96-c
0
0
https://firebasestorage.…3b5-40e51284baac
2
[{"name": "Music", "slug": "music-f213cbf1eab5", "userId": "TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2", "groupId": "Xuc2UY8gGfjQqFXwxq5d", "createdTime": 1669175094435}]
["music-f213cbf1eab5"]
0.5
1669175216220
0.5
0.48077745577830816
pNspPrGYWqm5S8COA6WU
{"NO": 42.07483432889319, "YES": 76.36054861460737}
1
will-i-watch-beavis-and-butthead-to
20
Will I watch Beavis and Butthead tonight?
1669180217490
TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2
cpmm-1
0
4.14326661546386
True
play
YES
public
1669176318937
BRTD
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1669180217490
70
BRTD
1669180209515
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrsylYlJ6d2kI1TVD_JFz7OE98nlyJDg62SpkONuA=s96-c
1
0
https://firebasestorage.…f6e-dfa23786e717
3
[{"name": "Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "userId": "TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1669176319723}]
["entertainment"]
0.5
1669177888325
1669180203436
0.3378378378378378
0.531453671126111
nPsspMUPWAGdbob8rQTb
{"NO": 7722.957766392186, "YES": 25.14232272171921}
1
2022-world-cup-will-argentina-reach-a8579e311a26
15003.71181130163
2022 World Cup: Will Argentina reach the Semifinals?
1670623097798
Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2
cpmm-1
0
2.865196653639301
True
play
YES
public
1669178770236
Jenny
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1670623097798
470
Jenny
1670623096098
0
https://firebasestorage.…dc6-e1d7e0e02ed0
25
0
https://firebasestorage.…aa1-8a35fb758515
25
[{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669178770619}]
["2022-fifa-world-cup"]
0.5
1670623095934
1670102216062
0.98
0.11437246118332194
ny1aI7AuL4jiJBxNrFi9
{"NO": 164.0097577839003, "YES": 2676.1685817328816}
0
2022-world-cup-will-belgium-reach-t-36c13a2ded2c
3832.2559588713043
2022 World Cup: Will Belgium reach the Semifinals?
1670264829046
Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2
cpmm-1
0
4.2037901509027
True
play
NO
public
1669178871805
Jenny
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1670264829046
270
Jenny
1670259827108
0
https://firebasestorage.…dc6-e1d7e0e02ed0
13
0
https://firebasestorage.…9e8-a1c36ecb65e5
9
[{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669178872083}]
["2022-fifa-world-cup"]
0.5
1670259825529
1669914592032
0.007852407991055313
0.7861520304468209
iSxZ0fkwlcyfhvR3CsV3
{"NO": 13102.909991261688, "YES": 137.6771066675974}
1
will-i-get-a-verified-check-on-mani-7ff2846e1530
13146.983655329397
Will I get a verified check on Manifold by July 2023?
1670618949222
k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2
cpmm-1
0
1.9889661982860245
True
play
YES
public
1669178998002
Olivia🏳️‍⚧️
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Currently, only Manifold team members have verified checks. This is outrageous! This market resolves YES if I get any sort of \"verified\" checkmark placed next to my name at any point between now and July 2023 for at least 24 consecutive hours, an...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1670618949222
450
LivInTheLookingGlass
1670622140441
0
https://firebasestorage.…74e-4407497b9d97
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0
https://firebasestorage.…4ca-d0cd2fa823b3
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[{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1669209626302}, {"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1669178998394}, {"name": "Manibadg...
["manifold-6748e065087e", "fun", "manibadges"]
0.5
1670618944701
1670622118684
0.98
0.157274559709239
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{"NO": 135.58678005660198, "YES": 3129.2591218862353}
0
2022-world-cup-will-denmark-reach-t-d172786d68d0
3010.36465185965
2022 World Cup: Will Denmark reach the Semifinals?
1670264836872
Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2
cpmm-1
0
3.550085008792363
True
play
NO
public
1669179084652
Jenny
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1670264836872
270
Jenny
1670259826665
0
https://firebasestorage.…dc6-e1d7e0e02ed0
13
0
https://firebasestorage.…470-e7dc1d989f83
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[{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669179084953}]
["2022-fifa-world-cup"]
0.5
1670259826551
1669863640122
0.008021405921232528
0.4781134586392075
NFzdoVKtwFprWoqn7g1T
{"NO": 419.1504851939171, "YES": 10223.219598109175}
0
will-destiny-be-unbanned-from-twitt
28804.586272689263
Will Destiny be unbanned from twitter in November 2022?
1669874340000
kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52
cpmm-1
0
0.46616855787576306
True
basic
NO
public
1669179242450
GAZE WITHIN
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
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["destinygg"]
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0.036201245775435174
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{"NO": 936.7921138303398, "YES": 1204.3031520016254}
0.1565805440033017
will-i-let-the-ai-out-of-the-box
526.1164151326204
Will I let the AI out of the box?
4102462800000
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
9.737028996198465
False
basic
public
1669179523486
Isaac King
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BINARY
{"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-17}
0
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1000
IsaacKing
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https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
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0
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0.5
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1670588340096
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{"NO": 326.2710565064426, "YES": 30141.222805055077}
0
will-ai-for-diplomacy-be-superhuman
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Will AI for Diplomacy be strongly superhuman by 2024?
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acvO0NAsghTTgGjnsdwt94O44OT2
cpmm-1
0.016003993446117255
0.7692155623236632
True
basic
NO
public
1669181341061
Vincent Luczkow
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BINARY
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vluzko
1704097543546
2.7
https://firebasestorage.…f7b-ff4904405776
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0
1
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85.00000000000003
How many minutes for the fastest Hollow Knight: Silksong any% no major glitches speedrun at the end of 2024?
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cpmm-1
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10.586609649448985
False
play
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1669182336378
Paul
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PSEUDO_NUMERIC
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0
Will the Manifold Dream bot reply to this poll?
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cpmm-1
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4.3944491546724365
True
play
CANCEL
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1669182643738
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will-the-final-trade-on-this-market
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Will the final trade on this market be made by a bot?
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cpmm-1
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1.8924522239975583
True
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NO
public
1669182720417
BRTD
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If the final trade on this market is made by a bot it shall resolve YES. Otherwise it shall resolve NO.", "type": "text"}]}]}
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["trading-bots", "nonpredictive-profits"]
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Will Elon Musk read or recommend the CFAR handbook in 2023?
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cpmm-1
0
2.2562388624493073
True
play
NO
public
1669183073755
Michael Mars
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves positive if there is evidence that Elon Musk publically mentions the CFAR handbook in any way or any context, via tweet or interview, before January 1st 2024, including during 2022.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
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{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
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1705084007375
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ooe133
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0
3
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["elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]
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{"NO": 150.48560787735062, "YES": 4155.607059496958}
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will-elon-musk-publicly-mention-man
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Will Elon Musk publicly mention Manifold before 2024?
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cpmm-1
0
1.4274804378993777
True
play
NO
public
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