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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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0.5378452448750346 | FLLb7wYVaKi3Qmi5A5Tn | {"NO": 637.0532393904253, "YES": 39.02042856273716} | 1 | will-destiny-hit-a-900-or-more-firs | 853.2360004083434 | Will destiny hit a 900 or more first try next stream? | 1669229365074 | L3ZijSlMTkYhwI3dikFFKFYApDs1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.0202506346612266 | True | play | YES | public | 1669146824381 | Labyran | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669229365074 | 150 | Labyran | 1669229347953 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3rGjtZQ6NyFZYwoBfPwl20oXyT8kYiyigRAr3fYQ=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 8 | [{"name": "Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "userId": "L3ZijSlMTkYhwI3dikFFKFYApDs1", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1669146824844}, {"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "IPTOzEqrpkWmEzh6hwvAyY9PqFb2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1669148021059}] | ["gaming", "destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1669225366069 | 1669229345721 | 0.9499999999999997 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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SbfYRoo5gmMo5BU3tN7L | who-will-win-qatar-v-senegal-2022-f | 1986.27242817007 | Who will win Qatar v Senegal (2022 FIFA World Cup: Group Stage) | 1669510620558 | PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.649577515793505 | True | play | caa0b50fdba9 | public | 1669148394702 | shade | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669510620558 | 480.00000000000006 | shade | 1669488214260 | 0 | 10 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "78f7c2c18f99", "prob": 0.001639855755556683, "text": "Qatar", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.01151985317971691, "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 7.013398735349587, "textFts": "'qatar':1", "contractId": "SbfYRoo5gmMo5BU3tN7L", "createdTime": 1669148394702, "probChanges": {"day": 0... | 11 | [{"name": "Football", "slug": "football", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1669148441105}, {"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1669148438051}, {"name": "Sports", "slug"... | ["sports-default", "soccer", "football", "2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 1669488214101 | 1669148566078 | {"caa0b50fdba9": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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9A3YwCoVqbDmuo4fYFa4 | who-will-win-netherlands-v-ecuador | 2543.9055291578193 | Who will win Netherlands v Ecuador (2022 FIFA World Cup: Group Stage) | 1669510777117 | PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.658320252951583 | True | play | 5d57535e220c | public | 1669148485909 | shade | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669510777117 | 560 | shade | 1669488159537 | 0 | 10 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "34fa3c38375a", "prob": 0.010174499206057796, "text": "Netherlands", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.4263739615083695, "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 41.479763419141335, "textFts": "'netherland':1", "contractId": "9A3YwCoVqbDmuo4fYFa4", "createdTime": 1669148485909, "probChanges"... | 11 | [{"name": "Football", "slug": "football", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1669148499202}, {"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1669148496748}, {"name": "Sports", "slug"... | ["sports-default", "soccer", "football", "2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 1669488159438 | 1669148561991 | {"5d57535e220c": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
LYf94yCkFdVaQRMM2YZt | who-will-win-england-v-usa-2022-fif | 24896.922161931783 | Who will win England v USA (2022 FIFA World Cup: Group Stage) | 1669510651708 | PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.619082933688973 | True | basic | 0d4531f196d8 | public | 1669148551845 | shade | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669510651708 | 1500 | shade | 1669510821195 | 0 | 44 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "3a5e7107e4d1", "prob": 0.016516817180919244, "text": "England", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.5970852311063197, "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 154.64175822515932, "textFts": "'england':1", "contractId": "LYf94yCkFdVaQRMM2YZt", "createdTime": 1669148551845, "probChanges": {"day... | 45 | [{"name": "Football", "slug": "football", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1669148575682}, {"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1669148573091}, {"name": "Sports", "slug"... | ["sports-default", "soccer", "football", "2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 1669510746634 | 1669510819238 | {"0d4531f196d8": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
RcXVn7TOwhw5uB8mX6pB | who-will-win-tunisia-v-australia-20 | 725 | Who will win Tunisia v Australia (2022 FIFA World Cup: Group Stage) | 1669510784442 | PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.673926405206983 | True | play | cafc7799f632 | public | 1669148663236 | shade | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669510784442 | 360 | shade | 1669463944744 | 0 | 5 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "81d07b9df9c5", "prob": 0.009011325374961734, "text": "Tunisia", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.2176912628329756, "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 23.939827612008454, "textFts": "'tunisia':1", "contractId": "RcXVn7TOwhw5uB8mX6pB", "createdTime": 1669148663236, "probChanges": {"day... | 6 | [{"name": "Football", "slug": "football", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1669148683620}, {"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1669148681938}, {"name": "Sports", "slug"... | ["sports-default", "soccer", "football", "2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 1669463932760 | 1669148800472 | {"cafc7799f632": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.28928351891844584 | ftLyRzw9ER65I9xl88gL | {"NO": 371.8043301083227, "YES": 13.15963695129455} | 1 | will-effective-altruism-effectvaltr-e2f34dc51a5b | 570.7717249787663 | Will Effective Altruism (@EffectvAltruism) get 22,500 Twitter followers before Nov 25? | 1669336996248 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.8508331140191077 | True | play | YES | public | 1669148733612 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://mobile.twitter.com/effectvaltruism", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://mobile.twitter.com/effectvaltruism", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400 hover:decoration-2", "targe... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669336996248 | 150 | AmmonLam | 1669336958064 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "Please Resolve", "slug": "please-resolve", "userId": "CrQD7VbNqgbU6cjenSs1H5fdgEa2", "groupId": "HLWmbwGZ3vBHL8UjdtZF", "createdTime": 1669336966687}, {"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "userId": "CrQD7VbNqgbU6cjenSs1H5fdgEa2", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz", "createdTime": 16693... | ["please-resolve", "effective-altruism"] | 0.5 | 1669336829540 | 1669336955413 | 0.1287713043775006 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
sUhM0JEZaDSHfVNB9FmZ | who-will-win-poland-v-saudi-arabia | 350 | Who will win Poland v Saudi Arabia (2022 FIFA World Cup: Group Stage) | 1669510816368 | PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.725000421383822 | True | play | 503683d38d24 | public | 1669149152651 | shade | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669510816368 | 360.00000000000006 | shade | 1669483374648 | 0 | 5 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "503683d38d24", "prob": 0.9615431764917972, "text": "Poland", "index": 0, "poolNo": 56.40693696848773, "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2.2559898220586634, "textFts": "'poland':1", "contractId": "sUhM0JEZaDSHfVNB9FmZ", "createdTime": 1669149152651, "probChanges": {"day": 0,... | 6 | [{"name": "Football", "slug": "football", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1669149174465}, {"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1669149172760}, {"name": "Sports", "slug"... | ["sports-default", "soccer", "football", "2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 1669483374477 | 1669149270283 | {"503683d38d24": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
uq1ifgiVTIyrYcK8LCnY | who-will-win-france-v-denmark-2022 | 13791.223356328617 | Who will win France v Denmark (2022 FIFA World Cup: Group Stage) | 1669510826088 | PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.6290085617343575 | True | play | a69b579be30e | public | 1669149198731 | shade | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669510826088 | 560 | shade | 1669488250188 | 0 | 10 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "a69b579be30e", "prob": 0.9751140958945269, "text": "France", "index": 0, "poolNo": 70.61908440826168, "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1.802270903476306, "textFts": "'franc':1", "contractId": "uq1ifgiVTIyrYcK8LCnY", "createdTime": 1669149198731, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "... | 11 | [{"name": "Football", "slug": "football", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1669149210566}, {"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1669149208887}, {"name": "Sports", "slug"... | ["sports-default", "soccer", "football", "2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 1669488250077 | 1669149268562 | {"a69b579be30e": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.058243436379810616 | qWExiZORPGC6OL4rzBfa | {"NO": 244.54070705378345, "YES": 1517.656848230764} | 0 | is-it-true-that-sbf-ownedowns-a-siz | 2250.804385010855 | Is it true that SBF owned/owns a "sizeable chunk of Twitter" | 1669220211953 | 6oYYYxMxN3VFKvov4tgO7XKXVeG2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.574868555655641 | True | play | NO | public | 1669155904947 | Qualy | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Fact checking the claim in this tweet: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1595137709701754880?t=nKFBw8mnnZJScaQR_vpLlQ&s=19", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/matty... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669220211953 | 310 | Qualy | 1669212102009 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15 | [{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "6oYYYxMxN3VFKvov4tgO7XKXVeG2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1669155905487}] | ["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022"] | 0.5 | 1669212101862 | 1669156686695 | 0.009866872216794607 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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JXqyL7LU4rGC4pkI6lEj | im-about-to-start-playing-a-charact | 351.8765052336022 | I'm about to start playing a character who has possesed my previous character. How far can I get on my bingo sheet before the rest of the party finds out? | 1677447298689 | CDIVouKH0ZWtWu7ecFcQPqqKQXm2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.73002478845385 | True | play | 43bbb551b4c6 | public | 1669156678086 | Sophia Laird | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The character being replaced is, as I have described her on numerous occasions, \"the anthropomorphic personification of British Colonialism\" -- Although I haven't played that part up much -- which fits in with our \"horror campaign in a forest in... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1677447298689 | 760 | SophiaLaird | 1677908183600 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0aDWK5RKVu4XZ0mW-x5E_ShelFRvPMwhop2ahN6A=s96-c | 2 | 9 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "b73582b52a49", "prob": 0.010990233950819868, "text": "They'll realize what's going on before the end of the first session she's in", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.20522665245448402, "userId": "CDIVouKH0ZWtWu7ecFcQPqqKQXm2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 18.468320550712576, "textFts": "'end':10 'first':13 'go':6 'll':... | 11 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "CDIVouKH0ZWtWu7ecFcQPqqKQXm2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1669156678346}, {"name": "DND", "slug": "dnd", "userId": "CDIVouKH0ZWtWu7ecFcQPqqKQXm2", "groupId": "aCTcUjcfgkPz8Cm9qjZN", "createdTime": 1669216723557}, {"name": "ttrpg", "... | ["personal-goals", "dnd", "ttrpg"] | 1676791826331 | 1677908179797 | {"43bbb551b4c6": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.649641817626273 | NnbdpIZhgHYW5T5RWlxT | {"NO": 491.1341222270209, "YES": 298.1296467655324} | 0.75 | aba-stock-one-day-na-resolve | 1096.8549444705923 | Aba Stock (ONE DAY N/A RESOLVE) | 1669171838249 | 30sADnphQmTnmVQZVJIfNJrGWEy1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.9964624796289072 | True | play | MKT | public | 1669156695473 | Jack Skellington | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "EDIT: I plan on resolving this probabilistically using the percentage the stock is at at the time of market close. This is because it has come to my attention that resolving N/A may cause all trades to simply be reversed, which means if you profite... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669171940335 | 400 | JackSkellington | 1710218554208 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu242d2zcktD7NEnWZnkkPh8NtYd7XCLQe80LSo8=s96-c | 18 | 0 | 17 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1669168396308 | 1669167546272 | 0.75 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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jCvaBNvZ0HWW67AHGX7r | which-band-who-i-see-on-sunday-will | 0 | Which band who I see on Sunday will have my favorite set? | 1669174820412 | TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 5.018925873531059 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1669167636787 | BRTD | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "These five bands are playing the show I will attend then. It shall resolve for who had my favorite set.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669174820412 | 300 | BRTD | 1669167707062 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrsylYlJ6d2kI1TVD_JFz7OE98nlyJDg62SpkONuA=s96-c | 1 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "3965808ad5a9", "prob": 0.19999999999999998, "text": "Dreamwell", "index": 0, "poolNo": 11.999999999999998, "userId": "TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 48, "textFts": "'dreamwel':1", "contractId": "jCvaBNvZ0HWW67AHGX7r", "createdTime": 1669167636787, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": ... | 2 | [{"name": "Music", "slug": "music-f213cbf1eab5", "userId": "TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2", "groupId": "Xuc2UY8gGfjQqFXwxq5d", "createdTime": 1669167637279}] | ["music-f213cbf1eab5"] | 1669167636787 | 1669167705170 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.09203064635401394 | HxhPaDet04jnN6ZnuMGF | {"NO": 346.2066942969086, "YES": 4752.159863600338} | 0 | will-amazon-facebook-microsoft-or-g | 6946.097236687382 | Will Amazon, Facebook, Microsoft or Google buy Twitter before end of 2023? | 1703986800000 | jbgplxty4kUKIa1MmgZk22byJq03 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.780129046125139 | True | play | NO | public | 1669167643061 | Undox | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves true if the take over is agreed before end of 2023 even if the merge is not complete. If there are court cases opening contesting the buy then will use judgement but probably be NO.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1703988448642 | 470 | Undox | 1703988449008 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 9 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "jbgplxty4kUKIa1MmgZk22byJq03", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1669167643530}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703130378651}] | ["technology-default", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1703960086297 | 1669167734655 | 0.01 | jbgplxty4kUKIa1MmgZk22byJq03 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.08664027704431311 | JAkmlXAGNIMwOZUc7oDI | {"NO": 927.8253024213357, "YES": 1525.4968860506842} | 0.054547229965096186 | can-npcomplete-problems-be-solved-i | 5457.408574019235 | Can NP-complete problems be solved in polynomial time? | 7258136400000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.185125122835117 | False | basic | public | 1669170309545 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if it is theoretically possible to solve all NP problems in worst-case polynomial time, with error probability bounded by a constant. Resolves NO once that is known to be impossible.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type":... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | IsaacKing | 1709906471330 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 12 | [{"name": "Quantum Computing", "slug": "quantum-computing", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "WppmGHiwW2nxSiHi2FiQ", "createdTime": 1669170354009}, {"name": "Computational Complexity Theory", "slug": "computational-complexity-theory", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "rkDU85UpYnk... | ["mathematics", "physics", "computational-complexity-theory", "quantum-computing", "free-money"] | 0.5 | 1709906471330 | 1703504103233 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.30451482845663236 | 51DBTXZi6iNFfw3gUyxg | {"NO": 506.057128408626, "YES": 24.619408140752782} | 1 | will-any-of-of-my-open-markets-crea | 1382.2415455395487 | Will any of my open markets created before this one have fewer than 5 traders by the end of 2022? | 1672549200000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.9239660869481208 | True | play | YES | public | 1669170489821 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Specifially, all markets that are still open immediately before the end of 2022.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I believe this is all of the ones that are still below that threshold:", "type"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672608291827 | 210 | IsaacKing | 1672548030762 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1669170490435}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.5 | 1672548030564 | 1669216802119 | 0.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5777148611654624 | bE3bERV211P8Gpsk1Fn0 | {"NO": 1395.0367727184762, "YES": 109.12284234373189} | 1 | will-manifoldmarkets-get-to-810-twi | 4366.634397673062 | Will @ManifoldMarkets get to 810 Twitter followers before Nov 24? | 1669263276010 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.6601385164765146 | True | play | YES | public | 1669170506281 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://twitter.com/manifoldmarkets?lang=en", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/manifoldmarkets?lang=en", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400 hover:decoration-2", "tar... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669263276010 | 450 | AmmonLam | 1669292774342 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 23 | 0 | 21 | [{"name": "Twitter", "slug": "twitter", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1669176082232}, {"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1669176086693}] | ["twitter", "manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.5 | 1669263258404 | 1669292772600 | 0.9533028889738133 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6590422378115512 | L9DS2Lf9OyLh0jPqt1fg | {"NO": 1224.0882207391342, "YES": 140.9651770466569} | 1 | will-manifoldmarkets-get-to-820-twi | 1731.2777368134343 | Will @ManifoldMarkets get to 820 Twitter followers before Nov 25? | 1669325406803 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.6916059613704275 | True | play | YES | public | 1669170565839 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://twitter.com/manifoldmarkets?lang=en", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/manifoldmarkets?lang=en", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400 hover:decoration-2", "tar... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669325406803 | 330 | AmmonLam | 1669323552516 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 16 | 0 | 16 | [{"name": "Twitter", "slug": "twitter", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1669176095987}, {"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1669176094842}, {"name": "... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "twitter", "please-resolve"] | 0.5 | 1669323552394 | 1669322086927 | 0.9437718891319249 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.23641984651372264 | r7gcOAESeqjUEICYch9K | {"NO": 62.32185266866755, "YES": 1061.440726313398} | 0 | will-usdjpy-close-above-140-on-dece | 990.2287703708308 | Will USD/JPY close above 140 on December 31, 2022? | 1672524000000 | WyiM7ytnyTTfVcLdQ5rmi6eCxRq1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.870781673492007 | True | play | NO | public | 1669172086118 | Stuart Bailey | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Dec 31st daily closing price > 140 ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1673296853029 | 170 | StuartBailey | 1672509912881 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3YicqN2rjIgrlka5aYh4TjZrKCDn0f4ggTkCXl=s96-c | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | [{"name": "Global Macro", "slug": "global-macro", "userId": "WyiM7ytnyTTfVcLdQ5rmi6eCxRq1", "groupId": "ToJoQmyIyv0ZTSEW96Li", "createdTime": 1669172086405}, {"name": "Forex", "slug": "forex", "userId": "6VMIArBg9fXpQyboCvKS33vFnC93", "groupId": "WVDbfcAwnmsZVjy3wJVh", "createdTime": 1669174372598}] | ["global-macro", "forex"] | 0.5 | 1672509912721 | 1672405567447 | 0.02 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3038463015543144 | QdfQELYU4QIZazRWdT2F | {"NO": 703.5500035863334, "YES": 15319.668906861512} | 0 | will-destiny-reach-620k-subscribers | 42812.16552885009 | Will Destiny reach 620K subscribers before new years day 2023? | 1672531140000 | GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.4467398481049578 | True | basic | NO | public | 1669172192232 | Cooley | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As of 23rd of November Social Blade estimates destiny will have 622K on youtube subscribers on 31st December. This market will resolve YES if Destinys youtube channel reaches 620K subscribers before 1st of January 2023.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672582365477 | 1990 | Cooley | 1710218558879 | 0 | 1 | 100 | 0 | 1 | 64 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK9qu9mj"}] | ["destinygg", "youtube"] | 0.5 | 1672529129648 | 1685802440160 | 0.02 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7277992444162792 | LQ5pgGitrIfD2I3WUuJM | {"NO": 2948.7481190220005, "YES": 223.17704918154539} | 1 | will-eurusd-close-above-parity-on-d | 4788.063928383018 | Will EUR/USD close above parity on December 31, 2022? | 1672524000000 | WyiM7ytnyTTfVcLdQ5rmi6eCxRq1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.4059774230774091 | True | play | YES | public | 1669172364164 | Stuart Bailey | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "EUR/USD > 1.0000", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-12-31 5:00 pm", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1673288486084 | 490 | StuartBailey | 1673288487293 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3YicqN2rjIgrlka5aYh4TjZrKCDn0f4ggTkCXl=s96-c | 25 | 0 | 2 | 23 | [{"name": "Forex", "slug": "forex", "userId": "lnLC8qEiz0aJXDRRkYRXEPaxKpM2", "groupId": "WVDbfcAwnmsZVjy3wJVh", "createdTime": 1669322333584}, {"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "WyiM7ytnyTTfVcLdQ5rmi6eCxRq1", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1669172364728}, {"name": "Currenc... | ["economics-default", "forex", "currency"] | 0.5 | 1672509337249 | 1673288482659 | 0.97 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2402446132716873 | 0e39N8SryCWDDA8yvfH0 | {"NO": 211.57498408114645, "YES": 602.1250524156345} | 0 | will-destiny-play-league-of-legends-a7e6e6e7de7c | 5442.99559082871 | Will destiny play league of legends before 2022? | 1672531140000 | 8rzsCtjR6Mc5EQcK7LvuGRclOfI3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.6111102473159655 | True | play | NO | public | 1669173300717 | Dukeman 2005 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will the rift call....", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FTuIvWvaqAp.jpeg?alt=media&token=65ce521c-64ed-4458-b706-22... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672677659109 | 290 | Dukeman2005 | 1672548861041 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2N4yatPSxXhAwYPL-VLwJ1vxtdlkv2HpSa-X4g=s96-c | 14 | 0 | 1 | 13 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "8rzsCtjR6Mc5EQcK7LvuGRclOfI3", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1669173301118}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1672516231688 | 1672548858199 | 0.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5457374071196669 | F3LbTQgLcmW7PI0ihT5q | {"NO": 155.27387066288867, "YES": 357.93120102640006} | 0 | will-this-market-1-have-more-trader | 403.5745554841439 | Will this market (#1) have more traders than market #2? | 1672549200000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.453332330937187 | True | play | NO | public | 1669173822980 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Markets in this series:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "#1", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672690015297 | 250 | IsaacKing | 1672549200054 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 14 | [{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1669173823418}] | ["fun"] | 0.5 | 1672549199865 | 1669173899542 | 0.34 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5051779307230698 | TtBUqU6kychZKUk2P3Pt | {"NO": 381.06474400076456, "YES": 249.87294849290956} | 1 | will-this-market-2-have-more-trader | 638.0231033048258 | Will this market (#2) have more traders than market #1? | 1672549200000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.141567994796437 | True | play | YES | public | 1669173844303 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Markets in this series:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "#1", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672690026207 | 310 | IsaacKing | 1672549174380 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 14 | [{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1669173844747}] | ["fun"] | 0.5 | 1672549174239 | 1669173901559 | 0.61 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6914435425664868 | 7x8L3VAtgii0RmcY5wIN | {"NO": 242.1652738726453, "YES": 136.80410497171982} | 0.798661093313865 | will-faithful-beth-chuck-grassleys | 282.4599321949817 | Will Faithful Beth (Sen. Chuck Grassley's vacuum cleaner) remain faithful through 2024? | 1735718340000 | HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1669173871399 | Conflux | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves NO if, before the end of 2024, Iowa Senator Chuck Grassley makes any tweet or public statement saying or implying that his vacuum cleaner Faithful Beth has failed to clean his house or otherwise let him down. It resolves YES if... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 170 | Conflux | 1706838486845 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1669173871723}, {"name": "Chuck Grassley", "slug": "chuck-grassley", "userId": "9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2", "groupId": "DKSJygpb8fczToKiATzA", "createdTime": 1669174180368}] | ["fun", "chuck-grassley"] | 0.5 | 1706838486611 | 1671992360939 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6080951017373394 | V9PTCVDbDDX8oMxTqHII | {"NO": 108.02554722094955, "YES": 204.86485669989634} | 0 | democrats-vs-republicans-1-day-only-f83dd5ab9bb6 | 1645.8398607351983 | Democrats vs Republicans (1 day only) | 1669258800000 | q686a2oLqzeC28I5WKa5hOufEXs1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.0143227636372698 | True | play | NO | public | 1669173912563 | Gamble market | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "YES FOR Democrats", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NO FOR Republicans", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": ">50.0% = Democrats WINS", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardB... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669259920336 | 190 | Gamble_market | 1669258797735 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 11 | [{"name": "Whale Watching", "slug": "whale-watching", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "5V0GjAyN99OQpb96fwo8", "createdTime": 1669419616880}, {"name": "Self-resolving", "slug": "selfresolving", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "9cUlgUS6fDN3LIyavEam", "createdTime": 1669419615899}... | ["gambling", "selfresolving", "whale-watching"] | 0.5 | False | 1669258797572 | 1669174017733 | 0.4499999999999996 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.27854657204231564 | IEZDmVCpaeeJiOfVdPJy | {"NO": 111.48430396338514, "YES": 877.9396038944747} | 0 | will-joec-get-a-girlfriend-before-m | 4760.245131239543 | Will @JoeC get a girlfriend before May 2023? | 1682913540000 | w29JuzBYXLM9t89V7IzuSl5Ay9p2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.4481171380915367 | True | play | NO | public | 1669174662488 | Derik K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves to \"Yes\" if at any point from now until April 30, 2023 my friend ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "mention", "attrs": {"id": "5xYMa7OFYFaurldRbLRwLO0T1fE2", "label": "JoeC"}}, {"text": " and a woman both consider themselves to be... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1682914054174 | 230 | derikk | 1682564073791 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjMMD3hpowUw0WGPs_qJTqQyB5X_6EEY691J3ABqA=s96-c | 1 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 8 | [{"name": "Dating", "slug": "dating", "userId": "w29JuzBYXLM9t89V7IzuSl5Ay9p2", "groupId": "j3ZE8fkeqiKmRGumy3O1", "createdTime": 1669174662721}] | ["dating"] | 0.5 | 1682564073620 | 1682534684893 | 0.05 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | taoiUk2eIJfVATV5tcSW | {"NO": 50, "YES": 50} | 0.5 | will-i-listen-to-the-appleseed-cast | 0 | Will I listen to The Appleseed Cast's "Low Level Owl" album tonight? | 1667451600000 | TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.3944491546724365 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1669174853987 | BRTD | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-11-03 12:00 am", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669174885791 | 50 | BRTD | 1669174867924 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrsylYlJ6d2kI1TVD_JFz7OE98nlyJDg62SpkONuA=s96-c | 0 | 0 | 2 | [{"name": "Music", "slug": "music-f213cbf1eab5", "userId": "TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2", "groupId": "Xuc2UY8gGfjQqFXwxq5d", "createdTime": 1669174854554}] | ["music-f213cbf1eab5"] | 0.5 | 1669174866230 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | wBso3g7zPfApquT1UuuO | {"NO": 50, "YES": 50} | 0.5 | will-i-listen-to-counterparts-trage | 0 | Will I listen to Counterparts' "Tragedy Will Find Us" album tonight? | 1669175073581 | TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.3944491546724365 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1669174925058 | BRTD | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669175073581 | 50 | BRTD | 1669175089537 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrsylYlJ6d2kI1TVD_JFz7OE98nlyJDg62SpkONuA=s96-c | 0 | 0 | 2 | [{"name": "Music", "slug": "music-f213cbf1eab5", "userId": "TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2", "groupId": "Xuc2UY8gGfjQqFXwxq5d", "createdTime": 1669174925793}] | ["music-f213cbf1eab5"] | 0.5 | 1669175087817 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | dPQKwUFgnlBqf77cThPp | {"NO": 50, "YES": 50} | 0.5 | will-i-listen-to-rainer-marias-cata | 0 | Will I listen to Rainer Maria's' "Catastrophe Keeps Us Together" album tonight? | 1669175143885 | TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.3944491546724365 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1669174955489 | BRTD | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669175143885 | 50 | BRTD | 1669175088602 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrsylYlJ6d2kI1TVD_JFz7OE98nlyJDg62SpkONuA=s96-c | 0 | 0 | 2 | [{"name": "Music", "slug": "music-f213cbf1eab5", "userId": "TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2", "groupId": "Xuc2UY8gGfjQqFXwxq5d", "createdTime": 1669174956086}] | ["music-f213cbf1eab5"] | 0.5 | 1669175086997 | 0.5 |
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