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0.18628400639786827 | btp21LYlxp078layzsHM | {"NO": 73.78881216262887, "YES": 4118.0407535203685} | 0 | will-russia-football-union-leave-ue | 4876.006454906121 | Will Russia Football Union leave UEFA by April 1? | 1680386340000 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.395576217685035 | True | play | NO | public | 1669653716419 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The country has been banned from football by FIFA and UEFA “until further notice”.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Russia Football Union (RFU) is considering leavi... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1680431543798 | 190 | itsTomekK | 1680385444149 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 11 | 0 | 1 | 7 | [{"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1669653716739}, {"name": "UEFA", "slug": "uefa", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "KSvOrWRB2hyHWfU4GnM9", "createdTime": 1675288816362}, {"name": "Ukraine-Russia war", "s... | ["soccer", "uefa", "ukrainerussia-war"] | 0.5 | 1680385443979 | 1680333056613 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.35775413959944763 | q3x7dDnXdNX0TONvI4Na | {"NO": 47.04885922912619, "YES": 19220.531882468054} | 0 | will-the-toronto-raptors-make-the-p | 34085.5482590216 | Will the Toronto Raptors make the playoffs for the 2022-2023 NBA season? | 1681383860311 | VdbwzTgpBYV2lY2aw5T6m4ISbAD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.8809990475715943 | True | play | NO | public | 1669655447935 | prognostic8r | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve 'YES' if the Toronto Raptors make the playoffs for the 2022-2023 NBA season. If the Toronto Raptors qualify for the Play-In Tournament but do not advance to the Playoffs, this market will resolve 'NO'. Starting odds are tak... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1681383860311 | 570 | prognostic8r | 1710222981258 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 0 | 15 | [{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi"}, {"name": "NBA", "slug": "nba", "groupId": "i0v3cXwuxmO9fpcInVYb"}] | ["sports-default", "nba"] | 0.82 | 1681361570428 | 1681348197314 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5493715197945013 | GhmLHI78Q0JE9YFOdy6Z | {"NO": 11770.608869133754, "YES": 59.92580806208424} | 1 | will-the-los-angeles-lakers-make-th-8cbc520d8ca6 | 28682.407580143932 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the playoffs for the 2022-2023 NBA season? | 1681301229009 | VdbwzTgpBYV2lY2aw5T6m4ISbAD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.993216627807044 | True | play | YES | public | 1669655972537 | prognostic8r | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve 'YES' if the Los Angeles Lakers make the playoffs for the 2022-2023 NBA season. If the Los Angeles Lakers qualify for the Play-In Tournament but do not advance to the Playoffs, this market will resolve 'NO'. Starting odds a... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1681301229009 | 870 | prognostic8r | 1710222948018 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 0 | 17 | [{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi"}, {"name": "NBA", "slug": "nba", "groupId": "i0v3cXwuxmO9fpcInVYb"}] | ["sports-default", "nba"] | 0.42 | 1681298899233 | 1681275538326 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.25813236303315995 | 7XmDHAO3TIo3MXLkVCo5 | {"NO": 770.02089342971, "YES": 7783.161443167271} | 0 | will-there-exist-an-image-model-tha | 19961.538541322534 | Will there exist an image model that can handle the prompt "A regular icosahedron carved out of wood" by 2023-06-01? | 1685602740000 | WfAFLEM2pTShXSfpJjhnNluUpHr1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.49021998218720775 | True | basic | NO | public | 1669656311637 | Drake Thomas | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The title prompt produces the following outputs when I try it on some prominent models (along with an image of an icosahedron in the real world):", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleap... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1686919549127 | 1650 | maskedtorah | 1685885983384 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhelGXaiOT8Yez0EGWzGxGeX1XnQrI3yt28I-9t0Q=s96-c | 4 | 83 | 0 | 4 | 40 | [{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "WfAFLEM2pTShXSfpJjhnNluUpHr1", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1669656311887}] | ["ai"] | 0.5 | 1685525139808 | 1685885979516 | 0.03 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2633864777533658 | a4frXpUL2LJ3dxQBwRVO | {"NO": 126.9058662359906, "YES": 22721.006116056193} | 0 | will-the-chicago-bulls-make-the-pla | 48274.90841226898 | Will the Chicago Bulls make the playoffs for the 2022-2023 NBA season? | 1681545600000 | VdbwzTgpBYV2lY2aw5T6m4ISbAD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.283488647873944 | True | play | NO | public | 1669656582881 | prognostic8r | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve 'YES' if the Chicago Bulls make the playoffs for the 2022-2023 NBA season. If the Chicago Bulls qualify for the Play-In Tournament but do not advance to the Playoffs, this market will resolve 'NO'. Starting odds are taken f... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1681565483900 | 530 | prognostic8r | 1710222967693 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 17 | [{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi"}, {"name": "Basketball", "slug": "basketball", "groupId": "NjkFkdkvRvBHoeMDQ5NB"}, {"name": "NBA", "slug": "nba", "groupId": "i0v3cXwuxmO9fpcInVYb"}] | ["sports-default", "basketball", "nba"] | 0.37 | 1681544888261 | 1681352564687 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6568237937492257 | tZt73A05rTBLMYKiZQDn | {"NO": 2631.651195949491, "YES": 111.04306320668948} | 1 | will-the-sacramento-kings-make-the | 5534.011139628654 | Will the Sacramento Kings make the playoffs for the 2022-2023 NBA season? | 1680184580256 | VdbwzTgpBYV2lY2aw5T6m4ISbAD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.9279595244843184 | True | play | YES | public | 1669656583743 | prognostic8r | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve 'YES' if the Sacramento Kings make the playoffs for the 2022-2023 NBA season. If the Sacramento Kings qualify for the Play-In Tournament but do not advance to the Playoffs, this market will resolve 'NO'. Starting odds are t... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1680184580256 | 390 | prognostic8r | 1710222985731 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 14 | [{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi"}, {"name": "Basketball", "slug": "basketball", "groupId": "NjkFkdkvRvBHoeMDQ5NB"}, {"name": "NBA", "slug": "nba", "groupId": "i0v3cXwuxmO9fpcInVYb"}] | ["sports-default", "basketball", "nba"] | 0.34 | 1680184566267 | 1680166367776 | False | 0.98 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6747664737172817 | gIocHBO1q1yRgpVb5s8W | {"NO": 1644.296630580723, "YES": 65.64881000963686} | 1 | will-the-new-york-knicks-make-the-p | 2988.3181802391628 | Will the New York Knicks make the playoffs for the 2022-2023 NBA season? | 1680513077271 | VdbwzTgpBYV2lY2aw5T6m4ISbAD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.9332977604197406 | True | play | YES | public | 1669656584930 | prognostic8r | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve 'YES' if the New York Knicks make the playoffs for the 2022-2023 NBA season. If the New York Knicks qualify for the Play-In Tournament but do not advance to the Playoffs, this market will resolve 'NO'. Starting odds are tak... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1680513077271 | 250 | prognostic8r | 1710222972307 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi"}, {"name": "NBA", "slug": "nba", "groupId": "i0v3cXwuxmO9fpcInVYb"}] | ["sports-default", "nba"] | 0.29 | 1680511760954 | 1669656626709 | 0.98 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.27894534527670745 | z7XCY0YoReI9RAsIWoJT | {"NO": 174.17091771736295, "YES": 5069.754822976018} | 0 | will-the-indiana-pacers-make-the-pl | 12375.883160899282 | Will the Indiana Pacers make the playoffs for the 2022-2023 NBA season? | 1680513244907 | VdbwzTgpBYV2lY2aw5T6m4ISbAD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.6536250391201808 | True | play | NO | public | 1669656585768 | prognostic8r | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve 'YES' if the Indiana Pacers make the playoffs for the 2022-2023 NBA season. If the Indiana Pacers qualify for the Play-In Tournament but do not advance to the Playoffs, this market will resolve 'NO'. Starting odds are taken... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1680513244907 | 490 | prognostic8r | 1710222991636 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 18 | [{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi"}, {"name": "NBA", "slug": "nba", "groupId": "i0v3cXwuxmO9fpcInVYb"}] | ["sports-default", "nba"] | 0.27 | 1680513237807 | 1680199460105 | 0.01 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.23487738594101595 | QmmWsJF7gqDKJyakHNg8 | {"NO": 158.11756374039032, "YES": 2604.4624189400265} | 0 | will-the-washington-wizards-make-th | 4018.147860367207 | Will the Washington Wizards make the playoffs for the 2022-2023 NBA season? | 1680513218991 | VdbwzTgpBYV2lY2aw5T6m4ISbAD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.1357627469478278 | True | play | NO | public | 1669656586707 | prognostic8r | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve 'YES' if the Washington Wizards make the playoffs for the 2022-2023 NBA season. If the Washington Wizards qualify for the Play-In Tournament but do not advance to the Playoffs, this market will resolve 'NO'. Starting odds a... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1680513218991 | 330 | prognostic8r | 1710222957230 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 11 | [{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi"}, {"name": "Basketball", "slug": "basketball", "groupId": "NjkFkdkvRvBHoeMDQ5NB"}, {"name": "NBA", "slug": "nba", "groupId": "i0v3cXwuxmO9fpcInVYb"}] | ["sports-default", "basketball", "nba"] | 0.22 | 1680513211846 | 1669656621548 | 0.02 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.16239441427884213 | b4XtzUPlPYXtuG8N044x | {"NO": 152.3143330277489, "YES": 2028.6093653813246} | 0 | will-us-monkeypox-cases-reach-100da | 10206.63595365671 | Will US monkeypox cases reach 100/day in 2023? | 1704067140000 | uRLBoyv6dUa1usD5rEFlr46OorF3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.220844141244389 | True | play | NO | public | 1669656820242 | Boklam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to YES if the 7-day average number of new monkeypox cases per day in the US, as reported by CDC, exceeds 100 at any time between now (late Nov. 2022) and the end of 2023.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "c... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704155289406 | 270 | Boklam | 1704155290686 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3ibnjA23Hs3sitZ0cbnPDtIZRleyLSrM_fYI6l=s96-c | 15 | 0 | 1 | 11 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "uRLBoyv6dUa1usD5rEFlr46OorF3", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1669656820925}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703130868587}] | ["us-politics", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1699281717263 | 1674590515644 | 0.01 | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2873388795461542 | kZnx0wShJJ24wzYK6LGX | {"NO": 65.33174225257221, "YES": 1382.0473927910555} | 0.018703077289330232 | will-monkeypox-appear-to-be-a-seaso | 2194.974324403999 | Will monkeypox appear to be a seasonal illness, with more occurrence in summer than winter, by the end of 2024? | 1735689540000 | uRLBoyv6dUa1usD5rEFlr46OorF3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1669657449176 | Boklam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "At the end of 2024 I will look over monkeypox data released by CDC for the two preceding years (Jan. 2023-Dec. 2024).", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.cdc.gov/poxvirus/monkeypox/response/2022/mpx-trends.h... | BINARY | {"day": -3.469446951953614e-18, "week": -3.469446951953614e-18, "month": -0.000971608844747035} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.06704684244569023, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 170 | Boklam | 1719204233270 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3ibnjA23Hs3sitZ0cbnPDtIZRleyLSrM_fYI6l=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 7 | [{"name": "Science", "slug": "science-default", "userId": "uRLBoyv6dUa1usD5rEFlr46OorF3", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1669657449884}] | ["science-default"] | 0.5 | 1719204230212 | 1677793818994 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.9230199952285993 | j7kWiSPIkySndQAbL2QK | {"NO": 862.2592364097657, "YES": 205.97697665769562} | 1 | will-at-least-one-bot-bet-in-this-m | 11125.396764412346 | Will at least one bot bet in this market in the first 24 hours after I create it? | 1669672870275 | uRLBoyv6dUa1usD5rEFlr46OorF3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.576611814412736 | True | play | YES | public | 1669657731638 | Boklam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Now a whole series:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "One bot: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/Boklam/will-at-least-one-bot-bet-in-this-m", "type": "text", "marks": [{"typ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669672870275 | 270 | Boklam | 1669673177988 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3ibnjA23Hs3sitZ0cbnPDtIZRleyLSrM_fYI6l=s96-c | 13 | 0 | 15 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "uRLBoyv6dUa1usD5rEFlr46OorF3", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1669657732221}, {"name": "Trading Bots", "slug": "trading-bots", "userId": "ilJdhpLzZZSUgzueJOs2cbRnJn82", "groupId": "kCrjmHWxycGEmZsHwaW8", "createdTime": 1669681593389}] | ["technology-default", "trading-bots"] | 0.5 | 1669672337259 | 1669673162863 | 0.980466484950844 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.10480256411809495 | 0ZGwgqHSOOclqT4b3nZg | {"NO": 315.5713728031123, "YES": 264.9835052860219} | 0.1194 | what-will-the-price-of-ether-be-in | 17 | What will the price of Ether be in USD by EOY 2022? | 1672559940000 | VfvvoZdf0nZ6zM63ogTgeuPWSSo1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.984222314839467 | True | play | MKT | public | 1669658551276 | Johnny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Source data: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ETH-USD", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ETH-USD", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:de... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672562483339 | 310 | TheSkeward | 1669665723776 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gj4aU69N8prXAd7lwmlS3dHW-lp_SfATAlIRGkJtg=s96-c | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | [{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "VfvvoZdf0nZ6zM63ogTgeuPWSSo1", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1669658551970}] | ["crypto-speculation"] | 0.1 | 1669665723682 | 1669658667816 | 0.1194 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2369771711313319 | odfFf3OmrfyZjkwstHm3 | {"NO": 59.88966783420835, "YES": 1848.3930485050419} | 0 | will-wrapped-ethereum-weth-decouple | 3900.0501578970375 | Will Wrapped Ethereum (WETH) decouple from Ethereum (ETH) by the end of 2023? | 1704063540000 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.2816497789421266 | True | play | NO | public | 1669661103597 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Ethereum (ETH) and Wrapped Ethereum (WETH) are two different types of Ethereum tokens. ETH is the original token created on the Ethereum blockchain, while WETH is an ERC-20 token created to make it easier to trade ETH or convert it into other crypt... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704197543587 | 170 | itsTomekK | 1704197543797 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 7 | [{"name": "Bitcoin", "slug": "bitcoin", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "WBeBD6FyMd0NvSL0qjMb", "createdTime": 1669661103943}, {"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 1673346514682}, {"name": "🎆 ... | ["bitcoin", "crypto-prices", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1703023717112 | 1704197536585 | 0.01 | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8009321025167462 | M0uw2CHPbBYuk0GX3FaN | {"NO": 2009.309115450542, "YES": 301.82062815843693} | 1 | will-mrgirl-be-referenced-as-a-prob | 4340.903429320049 | Will mrgirl be referenced as a problem directly/indirectly on The Biggest Problem in the Universe on 11/28/2022? | 1669698060000 | IVlQzj5TGKgr8fod38onXq6yuG53 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.4982055129550411 | True | play | YES | public | 1669661127909 | Jetbat | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://twitter.com/TheBPITU/status/1597293285969887232?s=20&t=nI2XUXY3VFgcq2DWLpGkRA", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/TheBPITU/status/1597293285969887232?s=20&t=nI2XUXY3VFgcq2DWLpGkRA", "class": "... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669726388471 | 490 | Jetbat | 1669702893976 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 27 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "IVlQzj5TGKgr8fod38onXq6yuG53", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1669661128739}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1669697790308 | 1669702890754 | 0.9640094100338801 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.19011510988286215 | aGSXWaxgG4kwRuN2nJ8O | {"NO": 920.7230877617488, "YES": 1731.8387597564438} | 0.11095313358371554 | will-mr-beast-selfidentify-as-an-ef | 2260.441021534594 | Will Mr. Beast self-identify as an effective altruist by end of 2030? | 1925020740000 | 4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.734187156274663 | False | basic | public | 1669661226558 | Carson Gale | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves positively if, at any point between market creation and close, Mr. Beast (the YouTube personality) self-identifies with the effective altruism movement. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": 0.012735335485357047} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.4747428179383804, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1060 | CarsonGale | 1718900734116 | 0 | 2 | 58 | 0 | 12 | [{"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz", "createdTime": 1669661226858}] | ["effective-altruism"] | 0.5 | 1718900731028 | 1695595977195 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.505208483726445 | s0XYCJNUUn0C9i88nesR | {"NO": 71.56955355065925, "YES": 37.28383926494497} | 0.6621621621621621 | will-brazil-eliminate-their-opponen | 20 | Will Brazil eliminate their opponent at the Round of 16 of the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | 1669662636579 | 946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.365034245124392 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1669661836874 | JAAM | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Brazil wins their match or ties and wins the penality shoot-out against their opponent (Group H 1st or 2nd place) in their Round of 16 match.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669662636579 | 70 | egroj | 1669662633386 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669661946777}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1669662103724 | 1669662632024 | 0.6621621621621621 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5131246726729115 | GlnFTyieXLvSUpj8lxbO | {"NO": 304.2585010187938, "YES": 336.67610226694853} | 0 | this-market-resolves-to-the-opposit | 5421.441830059884 | This market resolves to the opposite of whatever position @acc holds at close. | 1670302740000 | OlF7Kr25fPdQXlo5rf1QXs6qHVw1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.0879785763042387 | True | play | NO | public | 1669661851871 | Amyg Dala | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "At close:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If @acc has a net YES position on this market, resolves NO.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If @acc has a net NO position on this market, re... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670392736750 | 330 | AmygDala | 1670302676701 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwGJ2SqoiPLfLQPdg3xYGHxCPzzR1BxcyS7WAKH=s96-c | 16 | 0 | 1 | 13 | [{"name": "Trading Bots", "slug": "trading-bots", "userId": "OlF7Kr25fPdQXlo5rf1QXs6qHVw1", "groupId": "kCrjmHWxycGEmZsHwaW8", "createdTime": 1669661946704}] | ["trading-bots"] | 0.5 | 1670302676496 | 1669873685896 | 0.4878191801973848 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | HhezRb1ldaVImtOpWd4I | {"NO": 50, "YES": 50} | 0.5 | this-market-resolves-to-the-opposit | 0 | This market resolves to the opposite of @acc's position at close. | 1670302740000 | OlF7Kr25fPdQXlo5rf1QXs6qHVw1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1669661923392 | Amyg Dala | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "At close:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If @acc has a net YES position on this market, resolves NO.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If @acc has a net NO position on this market, re... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 50 | AmygDala | 1703886196557 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwGJ2SqoiPLfLQPdg3xYGHxCPzzR1BxcyS7WAKH=s96-c | 0 | 0 | 112 | 2 | [{"name": "Trading Bots", "slug": "trading-bots", "userId": "OlF7Kr25fPdQXlo5rf1QXs6qHVw1", "groupId": "kCrjmHWxycGEmZsHwaW8", "createdTime": 1669661946598}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac3-4400-962a-72973b3ceb62", "createdTime": 1703886162817}, {"name": "Unsubsidized", "slug"... | ["trading-bots", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"] | 0.5 | False | False | 1703886195424 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | uFSpgxiKn5tlVbpcub5e | {"NO": 50, "YES": 50} | 0.5 | this-market-resolves-to-the-opposit | 0 | This market resolves to the opposite of @acc's position at close. | 1670302740000 | OlF7Kr25fPdQXlo5rf1QXs6qHVw1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.3944491546724365 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1669661945091 | Amyg Dala | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "At close:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If @acc has a net YES position on this market, resolves NO.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If @acc has a net NO position on this market, re... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1701321752458 | 50 | AmygDala | 1701321750776 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwGJ2SqoiPLfLQPdg3xYGHxCPzzR1BxcyS7WAKH=s96-c | 0 | 0 | 72 | 2 | [{"name": "Science", "slug": "science-default", "userId": "OlF7Kr25fPdQXlo5rf1QXs6qHVw1", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1669661946641}] | ["science-default"] | 0.5 | 1701321749081 | 0.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8124760953287226 | Bdj5GxRoyRzchhxkxS10 | {"NO": 10319.947005075031, "YES": 263.5265967241961} | 1 | will-brazil-eliminate-their-opponen-3a4dc4e85ea0 | 12351.141545675453 | Will Brazil eliminate South Korea at the Round of 16 of the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | 1670273719268 | 946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.727373883843144 | True | play | YES | public | 1669661947910 | JAAM | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Brazil wins their match or ties and wins the penality shoot-out against South Korea in their Round of 16 match.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Dec 2, 4:16pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will Brazi... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670273719268 | 590 | egroj | 1670273814441 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 31 | [{"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1670346843995}, {"name": "Brazil vs South Korea 2022-12-05", "slug": "brazil-vs-south-korea-20221205", "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "groupId": "ZORwmYp11aXfELyFvOxg", "createdTi... | ["2022-fifa-world-cup", "brazil-vs-south-korea-20221205", "soccer", "sports-default"] | 0.5 | 1670273517314 | 1670273811044 | 0.9941268410234853 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49849645700704787 | vWKj2KhzU7FhHjVCgzBz | {"NO": 124.8682110617528, "YES": 440.05998750164315} | 0 | this-market-resolves-to-the-opposit-426e2078dabf | 2727.895970252689 | This market resolves to the opposite of whatever position @acc holds at close. | 1670302740000 | OlF7Kr25fPdQXlo5rf1QXs6qHVw1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.588370318224123 | True | play | NO | public | 1669661971517 | Amyg Dala | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "At close:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If @acc has a net YES position on this market, resolves NO.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If @acc has a net NO position on this market, re... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670392771426 | 250 | AmygDala | 1670302714602 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwGJ2SqoiPLfLQPdg3xYGHxCPzzR1BxcyS7WAKH=s96-c | 13 | 0 | 1 | 13 | [{"name": "Trading Bots", "slug": "trading-bots", "userId": "OlF7Kr25fPdQXlo5rf1QXs6qHVw1", "groupId": "kCrjmHWxycGEmZsHwaW8", "createdTime": 1669661971730}, {"name": "Non-Predictive Profits", "slug": "nonpredictive-profits", "userId": "9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2", "groupId": "sVCyD10FvUk5af10QT6H", "createdTime": 16... | ["trading-bots", "nonpredictive-profits"] | 0.5 | False | 1670302713262 | 1669662139464 | 0.21999999999999983 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5391330894915923 | Q8W6djgoVkOnZx4mpWG8 | {"NO": 199.6446812163375, "YES": 211.02179007364614} | 0 | largest-lottery-gamble-here | 528.540303163343 | Largest Lottery! Gamble Here!! | 1670284740000 | CjKmnmhdXAPu0B3e9lxRvLr5z7Q2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.2541180603373139 | True | play | NO | public | 1669661985066 | Quant Trades | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This will either resolve YES or NO. Will attempt to keep it 50/50 so your money doubles if you get it right", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670309651976 | 210 | WoWZERs | 1710208079321 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | [{"name": "Non-Predictive Profits", "slug": "nonpredictive-profits", "groupId": "sVCyD10FvUk5af10QT6H"}, {"name": "Gambling", "slug": "gambling", "groupId": "PqwKmXzv3O7b1ICBAZ4H"}, {"name": "Spam", "slug": "spam-d3e1f5f3888d", "groupId": "CWxMhRrXWkUjCTkyRo7w"}] | ["nonpredictive-profits", "gambling", "spam-d3e1f5f3888d"] | 0.5 | False | 1670252972009 | 1669704122900 | 0.5253360192463115 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.46844885268066083 | Roqylm8TGpkKnBXurq1U | {"NO": 210.27446850524737, "YES": 297.34948518252617} | 0 | this-market-resolves-to-the-opposit-1ae5f3a2115a | 3369.65192294705 | This market resolves to the opposite of whatever position @acc holds at close. | 1670302740000 | OlF7Kr25fPdQXlo5rf1QXs6qHVw1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.3758933571039091 | True | play | NO | public | 1669661996969 | Amyg Dala | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "At close:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If @acc has a net YES position on this market, resolves NO.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If @acc has a net NO position on this market, re... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670392794162 | 250 | AmygDala | 1670302694268 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwGJ2SqoiPLfLQPdg3xYGHxCPzzR1BxcyS7WAKH=s96-c | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | [{"name": "Trading Bots", "slug": "trading-bots", "userId": "OlF7Kr25fPdQXlo5rf1QXs6qHVw1", "groupId": "kCrjmHWxycGEmZsHwaW8", "createdTime": 1669661997161}] | ["trading-bots"] | 0.5 | 1670302694063 | 1669662138083 | 0.38393788884722113 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4853150204761104 | wPoyt6D4V1L1TQHkfDDN | {"NO": 211.46571908015738, "YES": 130.2276944555059} | 0.6049232809160098 | apple-vs-twitter-battle-who-wins-ye | 172.38592865917087 | Apple Vs. Twitter Battle. Who Wins? (Yes= apple) (No = twitter) | 1670111940000 | CjKmnmhdXAPu0B3e9lxRvLr5z7Q2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.2239083294122675 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1669662627005 | Quant Trades | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Twitter wins - if apple responds/ caves in any way / any public apology", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Apple wins - if they pull more advertising/ remove twitter from ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670309638437 | 170 | WoWZERs | 1670107604223 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | [{"name": "Spam", "slug": "spam", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "j4YRQYdz7H564KLtercV", "createdTime": 1669728214239}] | ["spam"] | 0.5 | 1670107604115 | 1670022570908 | 0.6049232809160098 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6392936433917168 | a49ZRazeG8Egpb8YTpsU | {"NO": 1581.7442558726, "YES": 190.1566712491831} | 1 | will-i-make-usamo | 3835.7154735985077 | Will I make USAMO | 1677628740000 | 4RDyO21Tj5XfNnpQLcN6ooWSXjB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.2674066870169214 | True | play | YES | public | 1669663570266 | pic | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as expected. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2023-02-28 3:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1678510431493 | 450 | pg | 1677535154119 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AItbvmkWUg5DpuopoRXru2Clb0-vXevdDNFqgy_QAgu-Iw=s96-c | 0 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 17 | [{"name": "Proofniks", "slug": "proofniks", "userId": "4RDyO21Tj5XfNnpQLcN6ooWSXjB2", "groupId": "HWg8Z5SraHRjoEjHCcIJ", "createdTime": 1669663570448}] | ["proofniks"] | 0.5 | 1677535153966 | 1677488604312 | 0.94 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.42304379160434386 | U1lHUWrNazedHuxuW03d | {"NO": 376.7437111974063, "YES": 609.4207700809401} | 0.3119036658120019 | will-dan-play-warzone-with-chudlogi | 3163.833839997285 | Will Dan play Warzone with ChudLogic (dedicated Twitch Drama streamer) on stream before he plays Warzone with Destiny? | 1714622400000 | 4JghCk9plyfWOmBTHttPznUssuA3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1669663586016 | pigatron | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -2.220446049250313e-16, "week": -2.220446049250313e-16, "month": -2.220446049250313e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.10788909759835351, "platformFee": 0.10788909759835351, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 470 | spamspam | 1714547149628 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 59 | 12 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "4JghCk9plyfWOmBTHttPznUssuA3", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1669663586372}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1714547145914 | 1709288111290 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.30362852733918777 | LeVjoMWGJCGihOPsTk94 | {"NO": 81.90276041085694, "YES": 857.0603077765811} | 0 | will-manifold-reach-8000-monthly-ac | 1336.834195676423 | Will Manifold reach 8000 monthly active users by the end of the year? | 1672531140000 | YOILpFNyg0gGj79zBIBUpJigHQ83 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.7864884370537997 | True | play | NO | public | 1669665292984 | SneakySly | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "IF ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "monthly active users ever meet or exceed 8000, this market immediately resolves ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "YES.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672607065857 | 190 | SneakySly | 1672607307130 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 12 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "YOILpFNyg0gGj79zBIBUpJigHQ83", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1669665293342}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.5 | 1671990645187 | 1672607057720 | 0.04 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5763724682933742 | 33EEqF98Zo78y0LOKUOv | {"NO": 15454.592003870595, "YES": 74.1200972806322} | 1 | will-there-be-more-than-25-goals-sc | 28895.308206107577 | Will there be more than 25 goals scored in the Round of 16 of the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | 1670358556293 | ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.661490685750986 | True | play | YES | public | 1669665569960 | Predictor 🔥 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes if more than 25 goals are scored in the Ro16. Only match + overtime goals count, not shootout.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670358556293 | 910 | Predictor | 1670358416510 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 36 | [{"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1669665875809}, {"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669665570259}, {"n... | ["2022-fifa-world-cup", "soccer", "sports-default"] | 0.5 | 1670358416409 | 1670357971943 | 0.9964873798450604 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.45658433378566826 | YyRrWtUmgrTZDhJQ41K3 | {"NO": 14.695258794238725, "YES": 2294.4607547675373} | 0 | will-there-be-more-than-11-goals-sc | 2341.7354641477905 | Will there be more than 11 goals scored in the Quarter-finals of the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | 1670706518247 | ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.568747685823196 | True | play | NO | public | 1669665663549 | Predictor 🔥 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes if more than 11 goals are scored in the quarter-finals. Only match + overtime goals count, not shootout.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670706518247 | 150 | Predictor | 1670707301545 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 8 | [{"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1669665887443}, {"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669665664481}, {"n... | ["2022-fifa-world-cup", "soccer", "sports-default"] | 0.5 | 1670706512208 | 1670707300784 | 0.01 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2827962443327614 | IH0LgzWTAj8STDvooSTT | {"NO": 63.722692728874, "YES": 270.9999999999999} | 0.08484934711547086 | will-ken-griffin-be-caught-in-a-nat | 161 | Will Ken Griffin be caught in a national scandal by 2026 | 1767298080000 | RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1669666133567 | Shaked Koplewitz | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This requires something that would be considered a scandal by most people, like FTX-style fraud.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 1.3877787807814457e-16, "week": 1.3877787807814457e-16, "month": 1.3877787807814457e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 110 | ShakedKoplewitz | 1680349129011 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c | 3 | 0 | 5 | [{"name": "Scandal Markets", "slug": "scandal-markets", "userId": "RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2", "groupId": "qHo4qLNyY6bkcoS7hZe0", "createdTime": 1669666133879}] | ["scandal-markets"] | 0.5 | 1680349128898 | 1672725054050 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.11886415827676622 | 718Xfjj8sx6hMBZAA4Sz | {"NO": 879.6538417908696, "YES": 1607.0694348862994} | 0.06876161723285326 | will-peter-thiel-be-charged-with-a | 942.8331393421705 | Will Peter thiel be charged with a felony by 2026. | 1767298320000 | RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.141717480635933 | False | basic | public | 1669666343860 | Shaked Koplewitz | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I wanted to make this a scandal market, but thiel is a sufficiently weird guy that that seems a bit too ambiguous. So the condition is any state of federal felony charge (or international equivalent, if he's charged in some other country).", "type"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -4.5030788877381545e-05} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.004791816908234846, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | ShakedKoplewitz | 1718217901974 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c | 23 | 0 | 16 | [{"name": "Scandal Markets", "slug": "scandal-markets", "userId": "RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2", "groupId": "qHo4qLNyY6bkcoS7hZe0", "createdTime": 1669666344091}] | ["scandal-markets"] | 0.5 | 1718217898464 | 1669666401112 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3446896586855035 | qrPs0iCYPhrGUQhDlATV | {"NO": 27.026374180994935, "YES": 7547.925195947073} | 0 | will-any-player-have-more-than-4-as | 8509.007682664924 | Will any player have more than 4 assists in the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | 1671387488181 | ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.5084078739774567 | True | play | NO | public | 1669667112779 | Predictor 🔥 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671387488181 | 270 | Predictor | 1671387483607 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 14 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669667113189}, {"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1669667227203}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup", "soccer"] | 0.5 | 1671387483487 | 1669667239343 | 0.01 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2523966452441574 | jloSjxWgNC5bWeHY7QFm | {"NO": 353.75166212324746, "YES": 208.36763405305697} | 0.3793103448275862 | taco-tuesday-1129-how-many-people-w | 84.00091765496573 | Taco Tuesday 11/29: How many people will come? | 1670288784909 | oI1QtGxmvHVFXXl6yP4Ysun2YXv2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.5106908463007622 | True | play | MKT | public | 1669667259345 | barak | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Join us for Taco Tuesday! Cooking starts at 6p, dinner (sans tacos) at 7p. Drinks, side dishes, and especially new friends are always welcome~ ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "mention", "attrs": {"id": "z0cH5XmIM9XgWFOBAILQWt0fTHr1", "label": "RachelW... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670288784909 | 310 | barak | 1670288778094 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | [{"name": "SF Events", "slug": "sf-events", "userId": "oI1QtGxmvHVFXXl6yP4Ysun2YXv2", "groupId": "qSQNlQOaDWJhZJESqY12", "createdTime": 1669667259517}] | ["sf-events"] | 0.24137931034482757 | 1670288777976 | 1669667374649 | 0.3793103448275862 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7035525494514253 | RMgLJ9wXRrm8bjMubrFX | {"NO": 6286.179768548381, "YES": 621.6191372040358} | 1 | will-mrgirl-quote-jon-zherka-in-his | 15504.698474423636 | Will MrGirl quote Jon Zherka in his article? | 1679761903950 | kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.5256246001013238 | True | basic | YES | public | 1669668098129 | GAZE WITHIN | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1679761903950 | 1250 | destiny | 1679761899964 | 0 | 1 | 63 | 0 | 48 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1669668098502}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1679761757212 | 1679761900373 | 0.96 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7535628748704503 | V59A2mWvE7Rc77FewI0B | {"NO": 679.8089009186871, "YES": 163.63512551982805} | 1 | will-ronaldo-andor-messi-make-it-to | 436.62169351184804 | Will Ronaldo and/or Messi make it to the quarterfinals of the 2022 World Cup? | 1670079600000 | j2CeSlh3GtWpiZFcuQMDdJVYGKp1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.1174062618565075 | True | play | YES | public | 1669668522587 | Hunter | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In what is likely their last World Cups, will Christiano Ronaldo (Portugal) and/or Lionel Messi (Argentina) make it to the quarterfinals of the 2022 World Cup?", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670101445193 | 250 | hunterbb | 1670076449943 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0A6lRUclGETgh9L3k3155dQ2U16VNw0R9G8VK3Dw=s96-c | 12 | 0 | 1 | 14 | [{"name": "Football", "slug": "football", "userId": "j2CeSlh3GtWpiZFcuQMDdJVYGKp1", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1669668547874}, {"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "j2CeSlh3GtWpiZFcuQMDdJVYGKp1", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669668522892},... | ["2022-fifa-world-cup", "football", "sports-default"] | 0.5 | 1670076449832 | 1669668689770 | 0.9270259860895907 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.11295273753131885 | grMtn5jldjG4lzzfeVYY | {"NO": 218.88695624558554, "YES": 644.43663401361} | 0 | will-xi-jingping-cease-to-be-chinas | 534.8939636147924 | Will Xi Jingping cease to be China's premier by the end of 2022? | 1672552740000 | 2reTLXewg3TT60wtmwgzS4TxwDn1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.4716425519091367 | True | play | NO | public | 1669668638140 | QueenWithAnRPG | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if, at any point between now and January 1st (exclusive; China time), Xi Jingping ceases to be at least ONE OF the General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party, Chairman of the Central Military Commission, and President... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672948613710 | 270 | QueenWithANRPG | 1673560233503 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 17 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "2reTLXewg3TT60wtmwgzS4TxwDn1", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1669668638661}, {"name": "China", "slug": "china", "groupId": "oWTzfoeemQGkSoPFn2T7", "createdTime": 1691182237932}] | ["politics-default", "china"] | 0.5 | 1672552086202 | 1673560229549 | False | 0.04 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7730165761059061 | wzLi4SuO2GRXd5ZUrGqS | {"NO": 1566.0508969744942, "YES": 835.2693600078571} | 0.8645939130831807 | will-there-be-any-significant-techn | 2918.2692187655525 | Will there be any significant technological developments after 2100? | 5680299600000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.73112749496618 | False | basic | public | 1669668768365 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "People on Manifold and in related communities tend to have much shorter technology timelines than the mainstream. We debate whether general artificial intelligence is coming in 5 years or 50, while normal people are saying things like \"will we eve... | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-16, "week": 5.551115123125783e-16, "month": 5.551115123125783e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.047676461216257134, "platformFee": 0.047676461216257134, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | IsaacKing | 1713887667788 | 0.1 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1669668768677}, {"name": "Futurism", "slug": "futurism", "userId": "LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2", "groupId": "6UkuV4SnUF3NtbDmfVkV", "createdTime": 1673104669277}] | ["technology-default", "futurism"] | 0.11536813145288499 | 0.5 | 1713887664406 | 1711232463363 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.1747288191157875 | RvmsigDVe6VP5BouhLYo | {"NO": 139.9550447531587, "YES": 473.9101000935607} | 0 | will-someone-successfully-find-a-xs | 334.2646142752716 | Will someone successfully find a XSS attack in manifold by Feb 2023? | 1676851140000 | 0k1suGSJKVUnHbCPEhHNpgZPkUP2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.298357031596244 | True | play | NO | public | 1669668924158 | Sinclair Chen | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See discussion here: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://github.com/manifoldmarkets/manifold/pull/1254", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://github.com/manifoldmarkets/manifold/pull/1254", "class": "break-anywher... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1679291046511 | 190 | Sinclair | 1679291245977 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 9 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "0k1suGSJKVUnHbCPEhHNpgZPkUP2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1669668924874}] | ["technology-default"] | 0.5 | 1676849057952 | 1679291243683 | 0.06 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8662819721045719 | EGSiPyfGzvV5ReRaVp71 | {"NO": 1139.564792604938, "YES": 957.4499586397138} | 0.8851982999915728 | will-highschool-or-college-students | 1960.2010722825503 | Will high-school or college students in 2040 be able to tell time on an analog clock? | 2220562740000 | uRLBoyv6dUa1usD5rEFlr46OorF3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.965678473425164 | False | basic | public | 1669671019465 | Boklam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "You know the clocks I mean. They are circular, with numbers 1 to 12 evenly spaced around the edge. They have two \"hands\", one long and one short, that rotate at different speeds (the long one goes around once every hour, the short one twice eve... | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-15, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-15, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-15} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Boklam | 1706916127307 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3ibnjA23Hs3sitZ0cbnPDtIZRleyLSrM_fYI6l=s96-c | 11 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "uRLBoyv6dUa1usD5rEFlr46OorF3", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1669671020189}] | ["technology-default"] | 0.5 | 1706916127164 | 1669671883279 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5440984971022274 | vmHXWqx7DgY9xL6OtBFz | {"NO": 272.7636321015582, "YES": 10349.066397360213} | 0 | will-mrgirl-reach-out-to-keffals-fo | 35155.99753391968 | Will MrGirl reach out to Keffals for his article? | 1689705568935 | kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52 | cpmm-1 | 4.878818632061897e-16 | 0.5951414721084558 | True | basic | NO | public | 1669671241746 | GAZE WITHIN | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve \"Yes\" if there's ever evidence from anywhere that MrGirl either reached out or talked to Keffals.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If there is never evidence of this, I will reso... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1689705568935 | 1990 | destiny | 1688670514270 | 0.2 | 2 | 132 | 0 | 91 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1669671244461}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.1468075666834218 | 0.5 | 1688670514119 | 1682372136593 | 0.03 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8442692403197829 | T5p1oYixwUaEuhAfquao | {"NO": 464.3392413419534, "YES": 301.92371447105506} | 0 | will-at-least-two-bots-bet-in-this | 2579.5328583270802 | Will at least two bots bet in this market in the first 24 hours after I create it? | 1669757820000 | uRLBoyv6dUa1usD5rEFlr46OorF3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.9471281427676193 | True | play | NO | public | 1669671444270 | Boklam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The whole series:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "One bot: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/Boklam/will-at-least-one-bot-bet-in-this-m", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670206397189 | 350 | Boklam | 1669767858059 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3ibnjA23Hs3sitZ0cbnPDtIZRleyLSrM_fYI6l=s96-c | 16 | 0 | 2 | 11 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "uRLBoyv6dUa1usD5rEFlr46OorF3", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1669671444817}] | ["technology-default"] | 0.5 | 1669752524953 | 1669767855569 | 0.8929069082175475 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.1860896363524681 | AyTRaeSfnXFmKeJbyrqT | {"NO": 85.98404443123296, "YES": 1188.2726021155736} | 0 | will-at-least-five-bots-bet-in-this | 1048.181943338972 | Will at least five bots bet in this market in the first 24 hours after I create it? | 1669757820000 | uRLBoyv6dUa1usD5rEFlr46OorF3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.245122670872495 | True | play | NO | public | 1669671482579 | Boklam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The whole series:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "One bot: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/Boklam/will-at-least-one-bot-bet-in-this-m", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670206368335 | 170 | Boklam | 1669958686936 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3ibnjA23Hs3sitZ0cbnPDtIZRleyLSrM_fYI6l=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 2 | 9 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "uRLBoyv6dUa1usD5rEFlr46OorF3", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1669671483082}] | ["technology-default"] | 0.5 | 1669757804439 | 1669958683665 | 0.016275003887213035 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5615470068899929 | Yy1L5OxtnM3EHwp9g2iC | {"NO": 15.94245812490567, "YES": 3054.7638971322785} | 0 | will-sp-500-increase-overall-in-dec | 5598.589182997749 | Will S&P 500 increase overall in December 2022? | 1672604975411 | WEBvWg01hyONJrwEDcGvId9Uq0e2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.606755424275806 | True | play | NO | public | 1669684728733 | XComhghall | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will S&P 500 increase from open on 1 December 2022 (4087.14) to close on 30 December 2022?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Source: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/histo... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672604975411 | 310 | XComhghall | 1672593907946 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 17 | [{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "WEBvWg01hyONJrwEDcGvId9Uq0e2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1669684729339}] | ["economics-default"] | 0.5 | 1672593870236 | 1672593903216 | 0.01 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5279524721516184 | 46hGCc06hx7ykezKdZNE | {"NO": 15.329903178729978, "YES": 2811.8328168193675} | 0 | will-sp-500-increase-overall-in-q4 | 4950.802197185985 | Will S&P 500 increase overall in Q4 2022? | 1672614190273 | WEBvWg01hyONJrwEDcGvId9Uq0e2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.896328512356373 | True | play | NO | public | 1669684802048 | XComhghall | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will S&P 500 increase from open on 1 September 2022 (3936.73) to close on 30 December 2022?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Source: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/hist... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672614190273 | 250 | XComhghall | 1672614037412 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 12 | [{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "WEBvWg01hyONJrwEDcGvId9Uq0e2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1669684892010}] | ["economics-default"] | 0.5 | 1672614037254 | 1672614016311 | 0.01 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.300234585965693 | 2QuolmAV8hjfbTmO3tYp | {"NO": 118.28535807243, "YES": 188.80127923346325} | 0 | will-kanye-west-ragecomback-to-the | 1256.9677072540803 | Will Kanye west Ragecomback to the Timcast before the podcast ends? | 1669685400000 | 3AEy292BXnVzv0qNRCrd1GJ5jQZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.648157208968912 | True | play | NO | public | 1669685089168 | Pherret | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Poll closes at 5:30 pm pst", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "\"Ragecomback\" = Kanye comes back to the show before the podcast concludes", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Stream live at ", ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669694988655 | 170 | Pherret | 1710218506055 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 10 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD"}, {"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}] | ["politics-default", "destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1669685245960 | 1669685168561 | 0.21185565711992338 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.18982204035470668 | 6zc3fxTymOsqGPgZGr31 | {"NO": 217.69410354215356, "YES": 294.0393735078044} | 0 | will-kanye-come-back-to-the-tim-poo | 1200.8379471148253 | Will Kanye come back to the Tim Pool Podcast? | 1669685460000 | JcW0XadJyTdp8BooVCuPXNnvBsD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.352653325945015 | True | play | NO | public | 1669685111259 | Tarb | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Closes in 5 minutes", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669691475482 | 310 | Tabx | 1669685459261 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3xFmZpvNI_MP1hSO7pPzkMQmph0yTNDgCP439VEA=s96-c | 16 | 0 | 16 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "JcW0XadJyTdp8BooVCuPXNnvBsD3", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1669685111826}, {"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "JcW0XadJyTdp8BooVCuPXNnvBsD3", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1669685490442}] | ["personal-goals", "destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1669685459096 | 1669685296381 | 0.14782160388053042 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.580768162637846 | eHgEClKJ8H7AUR0K8iyC | {"NO": 91614.34419125211, "YES": 108.77782226147379} | 1 | will-nyt-publish-an-article-mention | 179933.03305302848 | Will NYT publish an article mentioning Manifold before 2024? | 1696772541565 | YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23 | cpmm-1 | 0 | -0.21352088036121497 | True | basic | YES | public | 1669687969826 | Jack | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if by the end of 2023, the New York Times publishes an article that mentions Manifold, otherwise NO.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Fine print:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bul... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1696772541565 | 1950 | jack | 1696916487708 | 0 | 8 | 258 | 0 | 2 | 55 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1669687970255}, {"name": "Manifold Business Future", "slug": "manifold-business-future", "userId": "ZuszDdXKmAa8olvm3Y2APkEyc9C2", "groupId": "aGIBFhmmK82IYTv136ib", "create... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-business-future"] | 0.5 | 1696772482372 | 1696916487054 | 1 |
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