p string | id string | pool string | prob string | slug string | volume string | dpmPool string | question string | realAnte string | closeTime string | creatorId string | mechanism string | startPool string | totalBets string | dailyScore string | elasticity string | isResolved string | marketTier string | resolution string | visibility string | createdTime string | creatorName string | description string | outcomeType string | probChanges string | subsidyPool string | totalShares string | collectedFees string | phantomShares string | volume24Hours string | resolutionTime string | totalLiquidity string | creatorUsername string | lastUpdatedTime string | popularityScore string | creatorAvatarUrl string | likedByUserCount string | uniqueBettorCount string | cfmmConversionTime string | uniqueBettorCountDay string | addAnswersMode string | answers string | bountyLeft string | bountyTxns string | closeEmailsSent string | conversionScore string | coverImageUrl string | creatorCreatedTime string | deleted string | followerCount string | freshnessScore string | groupLinks string | groupSlugs string | importanceScore string | initialProbability string | isPolitics string | isRanked string | isSubsidized string | lastBetTime string | lastCommentTime string | loverUserId1 string | loverUserId2 string | matchCreatorId string | nonPredictive string | resolutionProbability string | resolutions string | resolverId string | shouldAnswersSumToOne string | sort string | totalBounty string | unlistedById string | username string | viewCount string | wasDpm string |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.5878925702528752 | hPUkj4hpnNzVyaoeaXub | {"NO": 4448.637718098472, "YES": 1160.3941166053005} | 1 | the-first-piece-about-manifold-mark | 16707.097005193365 | The first piece about Manifold Markets in New York Times will be positive | 1696760550464 | sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1 | cpmm-1 | 0.0019612360935420342 | 0.2384031215804363 | True | basic | YES | public | 1669687985614 | Martin Randall | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if it is positive coverage, NO if it is negative coverage, 50% if it is scrupulously neutral. Resolves N/A if the New York Times dies.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The primary ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1696779150924 | 2030 | MartinRandall | 1696852701960 | 2.7 | 2 | 140 | 0 | 1 | 62 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1669687986223}, {"name": "Manifold Business Future", "slug": "manifold-business-future", "userId": "ZuszDdXKmAa8olvm3Y2APkEyc9C2", "groupId": "aGIBFhmmK82IYTv136ib", "create... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-business-future"] | 0.1542956691872831 | 0.5 | 1696757635333 | 1696852701268 | 0.85 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.049641561191455644 | MP69TO1WeDLuK298Js7r | {"NO": 207.02219641206833, "YES": 418.7420024430093} | 0 | is-it-okay-to-ostracize-people-base | 821.2690738498156 | Is it okay to ostracize people based on their bets? [See details] | 1669870740000 | sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 8.164129801407347 | True | play | NO | public | 1669688491034 | Martin Randall | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NO.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Warning: people who believe it is okay to ostracize people based on their bets may ostracize you if you bet NO, especially if you place a large bet... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670008637314 | 250 | MartinRandall | 1669853536433 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 11 | [{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1669688491345}] | ["fun"] | 0.5 | 1669853536241 | 1669836144158 | 0.025174184116035333 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5540970239293004 | mBgRs2htxGfKa6qyPpoD | {"NO": 172.42894137283898, "YES": 223.01275588320672} | 0 | democrats-vs-republicans-1-day-only-53f6e1476ff1 | 1320.233974088223 | Democrats vs Republicans (1 day only) | 1669777200000 | q686a2oLqzeC28I5WKa5hOufEXs1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.8308149151900546 | True | play | NO | public | 1669691578223 | Gamble market | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "YES FOR Democrats", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NO FOR Republicans", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": ">50.0% = Democrats WINS", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardB... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669777336106 | 210 | Gamble_market | 1669777201469 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 11 | [{"name": "Whale Watching", "slug": "whale-watching", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "5V0GjAyN99OQpb96fwo8", "createdTime": 1670346618761}] | ["whale-watching"] | 0.5 | False | 1669777199655 | 1669691693633 | 0.48999999999999994 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | vnjtgcYfLmtWMvQExOtv | {"NO": 28.86751345948128, "YES": 86.6025403784439} | 0.24999999999999994 | will-there-be-more-spanish-speakers | 167.71709756017177 | Will there be more Spanish speakers than English speakers? | 1669692497981 | gxBQETQ5ABeSq6bwtIrhz5L6PQE2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.5353035051815218 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1669692084979 | Samuel Hardy | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669692497981 | 70 | SamuelHardy | 1669692408098 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2S0SZna2_cyindmWItVc2dBHBLP4kvP3nCoCub=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "World", "slug": "world-default", "userId": "gxBQETQ5ABeSq6bwtIrhz5L6PQE2", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1669692085728}] | ["world-default"] | 0.5 | 1669692407920 | 1669692310595 | 0.5452034214543604 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6715497263462324 | nJgZBbUeL6JS7hbkXCwK | {"NO": 490.2520798637804, "YES": 48.617871384955656} | 1 | will-cochise-county-arizona-certify | 467.6925791856501 | Will Cochise County, Arizona certify its election results by December 8, 2022? | 1670020120517 | 8kaVOjw6w1eEHpdoEHQ6TevXHgw2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.6784184103070894 | True | play | YES | public | 1669692638039 | Mike Chen | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "blockquote", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Democratic governor-elect Katie Hobbs", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/katie-hobbs-files-lawsuit-against-cochise-county... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670020120517 | 110 | MikeChenSF | 1670020114334 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucr-veg201DGQzF4jqPWo9dgBl01vEy2ksiaZA4BSRo=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 7 | [{"name": "US 2022 Midterms", "slug": "us-2022-midterms", "userId": "8kaVOjw6w1eEHpdoEHQ6TevXHgw2", "groupId": "y2e0hHBab86vdAkUJx9w", "createdTime": 1669692638321}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "8kaVOjw6w1eEHpdoEHQ6TevXHgw2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1669692646736}] | ["us-2022-midterms", "us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1669944842747 | 1670020111565 | 0.953740780599472 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
cfmc4woOO4tSVbE1LHSh | how-many-nonrfnd-maid-deaths-will-t | 176 | How many non-RFND MAID deaths will there be in Canada in 2023? | 1733029200000 | YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1669692697623 | Scrooge McDuck | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In 2021, there were 10,064 Medical Assistance in Death provisions (MAID) reported in Canada.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Of those, ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.12625968879047203, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 380 | ScroogeMcDuck | 1719860974864 | 1.1 | 5 | 1 | ANYONE | [{"id": "cd25782ac326", "prob": 0.4726938810230134, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 49.829431936846134, "userId": "YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 55.58642796175103, "textFts": "", "contractId": "cfmc4woOO4tSVbE1LHSh", "createdTime": 1669692698102, "probChanges": {"day": -0.56142274461... | 3 | [{"name": "Medicine ", "slug": "medicine", "userId": "YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2", "groupId": "oHiQ4mneKC2r5ICg4XJ8", "createdTime": 1669692697967}, {"name": "Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "userId": "YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1669697341675}, {"name": "Anci... | ["medicine", "culture-default", "ancient-markets"] | 0.08548155522762757 | 1719860970713 | 1712503080276 | True | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7253896813210098 | vQY24DKJoHP4rWYG2blT | {"NO": 342.70538076784055, "YES": 37.71935023813055} | 0.96 | do-i-like-chocolate-ice-cream | 551.7118441330764 | Do I like chocolate ice cream? | 1669693610658 | OIrOF3T3zBel6j0EaH2wq5MkVyT2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.911974376996302 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1669692699745 | Leonie Maurer | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669693610658 | 240 | LeonieMaurer | 1669693425553 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 0.5 | 1669693425384 | 1669692731976 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.08602720333295652 | htBvEeKxJ0KEHdcfPrNA | {"NO": 949.2147629657044, "YES": 1231.2164295978941} | 0.06765636014866891 | will-vitalik-buterin-cofounder-and | 7202.630612063997 | Will Vitalik Buterin (co-founder and inventor of Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030? | 1893455940000 | YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.234048364687462 | False | basic | public | 1669693616117 | Scrooge McDuck | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves \"Yes\" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Vitalik Buterin", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vitalik_Buterin", "class":... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -5.5834923146133586e-05} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.004715557106644817, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | ScroogeMcDuck | 1718207316087 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 0 | 19 | [{"name": "CryptoChargeMarkets", "slug": "cryptochargemarkets", "userId": "YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2", "groupId": "EjY70pWF68LNXDAtugOb", "createdTime": 1673794035764}, {"name": "Scandal Markets", "slug": "scandal-markets", "userId": "YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2", "groupId": "qHo4qLNyY6bkcoS7hZe0", "createdTime": 1... | ["crypto-speculation", "scandal-markets", "cryptochargemarkets"] | 0.5 | 1718207311815 | 1675737784203 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5308059106573141 | Rhnv1ugw3Ww4f3zeiA5b | {"NO": 113.41647676380164, "YES": 36.18990539777059} | 1 | do-i-enjoy-the-sunset | 311.67896633620285 | Do I enjoy the sunset? | 1669694073750 | OIrOF3T3zBel6j0EaH2wq5MkVyT2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.015546138838021 | True | play | YES | public | 1669693634297 | Leonie Maurer | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669694073750 | 380 | LeonieMaurer | 1669694038641 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "OIrOF3T3zBel6j0EaH2wq5MkVyT2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1669693634998}] | ["personal-goals"] | 0.5 | 1669694038513 | 1669693676449 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7356762863366714 | J3lbBLV5gtSnYWyUplmG | {"NO": 3748.982495869672, "YES": 11.46015862148397} | 1 | will-mr-girl-be-brought-up-during-d | 4490.802402667507 | Will Mr Girl be brought up during Dick Masterson's podcast which Destiny is currently on live? | 1669699288928 | 9GSWaFCPsaguZwima6TxzyFWup13 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 7.0854045651338335 | True | play | YES | public | 1669698123200 | johnleoks | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669699288928 | 250 | johnleoks | 1710218543618 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1fEWiQZNBclZJIqG3iTleWTsdH5ReWs20Omf7ktA=s96-c | 12 | 0 | 11 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1669699262657 | 0.9628945761834072 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
dTH8XbJirG250uBZysLk | pepe-vs-yee-1-day-only-dcabf7103fd2 | 3135.0142675780967 | PEPE VS YEE (1 Day Only) | 1669870740000 | 2ZR1o4tadeRI26q9TuDqQHA024i1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.630821961729966 | True | play | caf96dcfa250 | public | 1669698246488 | DoppioFrog | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "BE ADVISED, THE FORMAT HAS CHANGED!", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "INSTEAD OF BEING DECIDED BY THE MARKET ITSELF, NOW THE OUTCOME WILL BE DECIDED BY ME ASKING A RANDOM DGG'ER IN DGG CHAT AFTER THE MARKET CLOSES TO CHOSE PEPE VS... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669871138341 | 780 | BettersonMcgee | 1720053161621 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "caf96dcfa250", "prob": 0.6022571709680746, "text": "PEPE", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 411.12269838509707, "userId": "2ZR1o4tadeRI26q9TuDqQHA024i1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 271.51375362136736, "textFts": "'pepe':1", "contractId": "dTH8XbJirG250uBZysLk", "createdTime": 1669698246488, "probCha... | 27 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}] | ["destinygg"] | 1669870472803 | 1669871235297 | {"caf96dcfa250": 100} | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.36565553410118357 | veQiIzF5WvqQ8zmoECjk | {"NO": 711.4173971308317, "YES": 1640.3309072660325} | 0.19999999999999998 | will-any-ai-be-able-to-formalize-90 | 5794.658726105107 | Will any AI be able to formalize >=90% of IMO problems by the start of 2025? | 1735718400000 | acvO0NAsghTTgGjnsdwt94O44OT2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.48791207636993 | False | basic | public | 1669699807037 | Vincent Luczkow | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "No restrictions on the language it formalizes them into.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Clarification: this is ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "only", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.05219177061878558, "month": -0.05219177061878574} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.90704289478378, "platformFee": 2.2494686579968715, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | vluzko | 1719675374534 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 1 | 16 | [{"name": "Technical AI Timelines", "slug": "technical-ai-timelines", "userId": "acvO0NAsghTTgGjnsdwt94O44OT2", "groupId": "GbbX9U5pYnDeftX9lxUh", "createdTime": 1669699807260}, {"name": "IMO Grand Challenge", "slug": "imo-grand-challenge", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "rOTh4ovS26Q699HzfgGy", "c... | ["technical-ai-timelines", "imo-grand-challenge", "ai"] | 0.5 | 1719675371392 | 1693696802670 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5197702051518187 | mAinERubRD7ucNta33oz | {"NO": 917.5024959861071, "YES": 1074.2821845552237} | 0.4803524695349923 | will-any-ai-be-able-to-explain-form | 5596.917083727836 | Will any AI be able to explain formal language proofs to >=50% of IMO problems by the start of 2025? | 1735718400000 | acvO0NAsghTTgGjnsdwt94O44OT2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.204056743214625 | False | basic | public | 1669700211057 | Vincent Luczkow | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Meaning: take a formal language proof and write a natural language proof that is accepted by human judges as correct.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The AI in question does ", "type": "text"}... | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.014241324433605818} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 12.693537009150882, "platformFee": 11.703624773096577, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | vluzko | 1718964184035 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 14 | [{"name": "Technical AI Timelines", "slug": "technical-ai-timelines", "userId": "acvO0NAsghTTgGjnsdwt94O44OT2", "groupId": "GbbX9U5pYnDeftX9lxUh", "createdTime": 1669700211281}, {"name": "IMO Grand Challenge", "slug": "imo-grand-challenge", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "rOTh4ovS26Q699HzfgGy", "c... | ["technical-ai-timelines", "imo-grand-challenge", "ai"] | 0.5 | 1718964180949 | 1669700248950 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2713297563723862 | IfJEw1Bhijwano6OSwTV | {"NO": 126.34787604825257, "YES": 374.18195947211956} | 0 | will-destiny-tweet-by-1159pm-et-28t-dddb2ea2af29 | 194 | Will Destiny tweet by 11:59pm ET (28th Nov) | 1669784340000 | vKhRGd9XhPS5Kb1raBn9ztMUGBS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.4738452066708594 | True | play | NO | public | 1669702012493 | ripperino | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The market will close in 24 Hours.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "It will resolve YES if Destiny has had one of his Twitter handles unbanned AND he has tweeted in this time.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "h... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669788154324 | 190 | ripperino | 1669784347657 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "vKhRGd9XhPS5Kb1raBn9ztMUGBS2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1669702012916}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1669784338527 | 1669702139506 | 0.11169040002376442 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
C2R7pA9SQ3yOPf76GeGH | do-you-predict-people-on-my-twitter-2620929dae28 | 1332 | Do you predict people on my twitter poll would rather lose the ability to swim or to jump? | 1670093940000 | 9AkFpivhbtXhTapLVJ2UCjuziLy2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.683127681003452 | True | play | b44d7c606b2d | public | 1669702210786 | Aella | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Tomorrow I'll tweet asking \"You'd rather lose the ability to swim or jump?\"", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Which one will get more votes by the twitter poll close?", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "(on my tw... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670094859084 | 500 | Aella | 1720053161621 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "b44d7c606b2d", "prob": 0.9670204324538783, "text": "Swim", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 121.43649289271322, "userId": "9AkFpivhbtXhTapLVJ2UCjuziLy2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 4.1415081682985875, "textFts": "'swim':1", "contractId": "C2R7pA9SQ3yOPf76GeGH", "createdTime": 1669702210786, "probCha... | 1 | 15 | [{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "9AkFpivhbtXhTapLVJ2UCjuziLy2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1669702211057}, {"name": "Aella's Twitter Polls", "slug": "aellas-twitter-polls", "userId": "9AkFpivhbtXhTapLVJ2UCjuziLy2", "groupId": "tm5BTMEUugDBgksG76OP", "createdTime": 1669703495027}] | ["fun", "aellas-twitter-polls"] | 1670076494265 | 1669702250307 | {"b44d7c606b2d": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.11511872623709891 | 7VyIIzkLw6XRFi0IbwGu | {"NO": 934.9686400041808, "YES": 1274.328980381206} | 0.08713323740454196 | will-xlm-stellar-lumens-become-the | 1277.8257989849737 | Will $XLM Stellar Lumens become the United States Central Bank Digital Currency? | 1735707540000 | LVSIDerrZLZDqzpwTJ0NmFTVPMp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.104602768082914 | False | basic | public | 1669702549566 | Mason Maternowski | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If no result by end of 2024, will reslove in NO. $XLM Stellar Lumens must be an accepted platform to trade any CBDC (Central Bank Digital Currency) issued by the United States Federal Reserve System. This means that $XLM Stellar Lumens itself, or a... | BINARY | {"day": -4.163336342344337e-17, "week": -4.163336342344337e-17, "month": -4.163336342344337e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | MasonMaternowski | 1702543863598 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3_WDZu6cAzXcNuo-NkW6NJgbnf3cW6nPCBQI9n=s96-c | 13 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "LVSIDerrZLZDqzpwTJ0NmFTVPMp2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1669702550208}] | ["us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1702543863412 | 1671169826914 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2129313098067112 | 54HsFvtGFmN7IU1gDagX | {"NO": 448.0259559926423, "YES": 897.3642559385709} | 0.07 | twitter-poll-prediction-would-you-t | 746.2353422166233 | Twitter poll prediction: "Would you try having a sexual interaction with an animal if bestiality was legal and easily available, and assuming you cause no perceptible distress to the animal?" | 1669883280097 | 9AkFpivhbtXhTapLVJ2UCjuziLy2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.0126670855040125 | True | play | MKT | public | 1669702708328 | Aella | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In the next few days/when I get around to it, I'll tweet ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "\"Would you try having a sexual interaction with an animal if bestiality was legal and easily available, and assuming you cause no percept... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669883280097 | 530 | Aella | 1669844734397 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 15 | [{"name": "Twitter", "slug": "twitter", "userId": "9AkFpivhbtXhTapLVJ2UCjuziLy2", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1669702708582}, {"name": "Aella's Twitter Polls", "slug": "aellas-twitter-polls", "userId": "9AkFpivhbtXhTapLVJ2UCjuziLy2", "groupId": "tm5BTMEUugDBgksG76OP", "createdTime": 1669703495027}... | ["twitter", "aellas-twitter-polls"] | 0.3 | 1669844734117 | 1669747662817 | 0.07 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.1216042004911199 | esd81KMokIWkz4k1MZxj | {"NO": 464.0164526950511, "YES": 2074.683553919636} | 0 | will-apple-remove-twitter-from-the | 3817.690619118425 | Will Apple remove Twitter from the Apple App Store by the end of 2023? | 1704067140000 | LVSIDerrZLZDqzpwTJ0NmFTVPMp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.587024793020277 | True | play | NO | public | 1669703161546 | Mason Maternowski | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If not resolved by the end of 2023, will be resolved as NO. Twitter must not be available to download in the Apple App Store at any point between creation of this market and the end of 2023 to be resolved as YES. Cannot be due to technical error or... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704349863483 | 590 | MasonMaternowski | 1704349863653 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3_WDZu6cAzXcNuo-NkW6NJgbnf3cW6nPCBQI9n=s96-c | 1 | 29 | 0 | 1 | 27 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "LVSIDerrZLZDqzpwTJ0NmFTVPMp2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1669703162131}, {"name": "New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "cr... | ["technology-default", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1704066426778 | 1704349859401 | 0.03 | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
tgJcUd1hAVuYOiJUh9Yb | twitter-poll-prediction-your-pump-r | 2356.067698683558 | Twitter poll prediction: "Your pump rate while jacking off is [faster/slower] than the average penis-owner who will answer this twitter poll" | 1670392740000 | 9AkFpivhbtXhTapLVJ2UCjuziLy2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.635385190782865 | True | play | f6df8ddc692f | public | 1669703225817 | Aella | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In the next few days I'll tweet the question: \"Penis-owners: You predict that your pump rate while jacking off is [faster/slower] than the average penis-owner who will answer this twitter poll\"", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670831154495 | 560 | Aella | 1720053161621 | 0 | 17 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "7d04c373413b", "prob": 0.011407113770020266, "text": "faster", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.7352011360315551, "userId": "9AkFpivhbtXhTapLVJ2UCjuziLy2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 63.71590813262344, "textFts": "'faster':1", "contractId": "tgJcUd1hAVuYOiJUh9Yb", "createdTime": 1669703225817, "pr... | 2 | 17 | [{"name": "Sex and love", "slug": "sex-and-love", "userId": "9AkFpivhbtXhTapLVJ2UCjuziLy2", "groupId": "3syjPCC7PxE5KurTiTT3", "createdTime": 1669703226150}, {"name": "Aella's Twitter Polls", "slug": "aellas-twitter-polls", "userId": "9AkFpivhbtXhTapLVJ2UCjuziLy2", "groupId": "tm5BTMEUugDBgksG76OP", "createdTime": 1669... | ["sex-and-love", "aellas-twitter-polls", "differential-psychology"] | 1670392651076 | {"f6df8ddc692f": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6514378105455497 | iv1vXdWkfrTNU56NBI7y | {"NO": 2637.184267391149, "YES": 50.105488570810415} | 1 | fairlyrandom-bot-race | 4251.410313625864 | FairlyRandom bot race | 1671151857948 | xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.2049426235449756 | True | play | YES | public | 1669703803466 | FairlyRandom | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "At some point prior to the close of this market, @A will roll a fair 2-sided die using FairlyRandom. If it comes up as 2, we'll resolve YES. If it comes up as 1, we'll resolve NO. Contrary to the usual recommendation, the market will still be open ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671151857948 | 260 | FairlyRandom | 1671139181550 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 10 | [{"name": "FairlyRandom", "slug": "fairlyrandom", "userId": "xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1", "groupId": "J8Z1KAZV31icklA4tgJW", "createdTime": 1669703803741}, {"name": "Trading Bots", "slug": "trading-bots", "userId": "xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1", "groupId": "kCrjmHWxycGEmZsHwaW8", "createdTime": 1669703809845}] | ["fairlyrandom", "trading-bots"] | 0.5 | 1671139180397 | 1670898864955 | 0.99 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.782501602370303 | Ql9HiQnZapO2aKQFkYAD | {"NO": 564.1388316011395, "YES": 661.9624530634875} | 0 | this-will-resolve-yes-largest-limit | 3969.7382669784415 | This will resolve YES!!!! Largest limit $150!!! | 1670284740000 | CjKmnmhdXAPu0B3e9lxRvLr5z7Q2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.8553983438755131 | True | play | NO | public | 1669703835885 | Quant Trades | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I retain the right to resolve no in order to punish those who break the rules best. Will compensate portions thorugh tips", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670309612666 | 670 | WoWZERs | 1710208076683 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 1 | 36 | [{"name": "Free Money", "slug": "free-money", "groupId": "CInny8Cy4Kt2Igl588QV"}, {"name": "Gambling", "slug": "gambling", "groupId": "PqwKmXzv3O7b1ICBAZ4H"}, {"name": "Spam", "slug": "spam-d3e1f5f3888d", "groupId": "CWxMhRrXWkUjCTkyRo7w"}, {"name": "Improperly Resolved", "slug": "improperly-resolved", "groupId": "H4pC... | ["free-money", "gambling", "spam-d3e1f5f3888d", "improperly-resolved"] | 0.5 | False | 1670284219570 | 1670433980136 | 0.7540621679117286 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.638531320538829 | FphzGLeIyAx2q4oMSscZ | {"NO": 44.538854290481126, "YES": 2702.4258071127597} | 0 | will-tesla-raise-the-cost-of-its-fu | 7093.727851372342 | Will Tesla raise the cost of its Full Self Driving software in 2023? | 1704067140000 | LVSIDerrZLZDqzpwTJ0NmFTVPMp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.944106546048872 | True | play | NO | public | 1669704410105 | Mason Maternowski | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As of creating this market Telsa Full Self Driving costs $15,000 to add to any new Tesla vehicle. FSD (Full Self-Driving Capability software) must cost more than $15,000 to add to ANY new Tesla vehicle purchased by the end of 2023 for this market t... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704139663403 | 630 | MasonMaternowski | 1704139663801 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3_WDZu6cAzXcNuo-NkW6NJgbnf3cW6nPCBQI9n=s96-c | 1 | 36 | 0 | 1 | 25 | [{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "LVSIDerrZLZDqzpwTJ0NmFTVPMp2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1669704410723}, {"name": "Automotive", "slug": "automotive", "userId": "3DTGi3ih5xXnVOXEsKnABAeufui2", "groupId": "dNh5aQXlwLm4uCesYIti", "createdTime": 1678371020576}, {"name"... | ["economics-default", "automotive", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1703978285552 | 1704139660137 | 0.03 | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.023712054788851515 | i2O9FbjiNroURMTJtPBw | {"NO": 1185.8627510613971, "YES": 652.6190827132448} | 0.04226783425291148 | will-bryan-caplan-win-his-climate-b | 7373.292366168748 | Will Bryan Caplan win his climate bet with Yoram Bauman? | 1863734340000 | 5XMvQhA3YgcTzyoJRiNqGWyuB9k2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.446006964337281 | False | basic | public | 1669706398132 | Daniel Reeves | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.econlib.org/archives/2014/06/bauman_climate_1.html", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.econlib.org/archives/2014/06/bauman_climate_1.html", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}]}, {"type": "parag... | BINARY | {"day": -6.938893903907228e-18, "week": -6.938893903907228e-18, "month": -6.938893903907228e-18} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.0014761131712709577, "platformFee": 0.0014761131712709577, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1210 | dreev | 1716326836759 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 0 | 2 | 15 | [{"name": "Climate", "slug": "climate", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "97oNExy8iFftY2EgdkLw", "createdTime": 1669736526136}, {"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "5XMvQhA3YgcTzyoJRiNqGWyuB9k2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1669706398871}, {"name": "Pre... | ["economics-default", "climate", "predictions-on-predictions"] | 0.5 | 1715804825897 | 1706123463547 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5537712236414138 | KzpSd3rcsF3VuPZWh24p | {"NO": 130.36348318988234, "YES": 164.38878654776423} | 0.4960031294362513 | where-lx-3511x1x-this-market-resolv | 1831.215696226065 | where l(x) = 3.511x(1-x), this market resolves to PROB = l(l(l(l(mkt)))) probability | 1671498679214 | 9pFTkULGUKcRZ8IQq3WHWNY5i983 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.09299355048746 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1669708731515 | L | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "http://rocs.hu-berlin.de/D3/logistic/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://rocs.hu-berlin.de/D3/logistic/", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "this has a ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671498679214 | 150 | L | 1671498881578 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "9pFTkULGUKcRZ8IQq3WHWNY5i983", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1669753424531}] | ["fun"] | 0.5 | 1671142719811 | 1671498879715 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.45717137242740225 | 1odvzMW2pIjBFPgXitNr | {"NO": 69.74425779113778, "YES": 2683.4745429801874} | 0 | will-jreg-make-a-video-involving-ma | 6105.097136618827 | will jreg make a video involving manifold markets, accurate predictions, etc? | 1704056340000 | 9pFTkULGUKcRZ8IQq3WHWNY5i983 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.0129693520586076 | True | play | NO | public | 1669709220489 | L | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "resolves yes if jreg makes a video involving this site or a site like it, or in general the idea of having calibrated predictions about real events. insider trading encouraged, please try to prevent jreg from making such a video, this site is far t... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704065844465 | 390 | L | 1704065844844 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 16 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "9pFTkULGUKcRZ8IQq3WHWNY5i983", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1669709221227}, {"name": "jREG", "slug": "jreg", "userId": "ps3zKQSRuzLJVMzDQMAOlCDFRgG2", "groupId": "B2IT96XsZc2gll2a85CY", "createdTime": 1669709962173}, {"name": "🎆 New... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "jreg", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1702331976417 | 1677594890993 | 0.02 | 9pFTkULGUKcRZ8IQq3WHWNY5i983 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3564174785205946 | fPirzEg6fWJmYwXC3YmV | {"NO": 733.9211280298903, "YES": 9754.732951445736} | 0 | will-ai-reach-humanlevel-performanc | 24465.23291383562 | Will AI reach human-level performance in Magic: The Gathering before 2024? | 1704063540000 | 62H5FJ2lBdWLdA6VX5Fs2BnABIq1 | cpmm-1 | 0.009674504447947074 | 0.05722610671960027 | True | basic | NO | public | 1669716052487 | Mikhail Doroshenko | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves positively if either of the following is true:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "1. Someone publishes a paper where AI estimated ELO in at least top 10%, with player pool of at least 50 players. T... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704078890693 | 2020 | MikhailDoroshenko | 1704078891539 | 1.3 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2EZXqPqqEOHzMNgVpbkP1rgye8PJ3JQa0tj1LH=s96-c | 3 | 114 | 0 | 1 | 45 | [{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "62H5FJ2lBdWLdA6VX5Fs2BnABIq1", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1669716404950}, {"name": "Technical AI Timelines", "slug": "technical-ai-timelines", "userId": "62H5FJ2lBdWLdA6VX5Fs2BnABIq1", "groupId": "GbbX9U5pYnDeftX9lxUh", "createdTime": 1669716401827}, {"nam... | ["gaming", "technical-ai-timelines", "ai", "magic-the-gathering", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.15261888229814177 | 0.5 | 1704025517002 | 1704067028465 | 0.04 | 62H5FJ2lBdWLdA6VX5Fs2BnABIq1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5599451637763471 | w9UEm7p4N8DKTCs8JTo8 | {"NO": 158.81072818247074, "YES": 172.14032108226178} | 1 | will-bubbleteaphds-top-artist-in-sp | 280.1228556496463 | Will @bubbleteaPhD's top artist in Spotify Wrapped be Måneskin again? | 1669818853446 | 2Q0UXNt2SXPthWhcH9IGEel5ZF62 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.0325421841920959 | True | play | YES | public | 1669719626481 | alice | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669818853446 | 170 | alice | 1669801219271 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3cApa_BXpdLDuJcbnKfRckNIXiQEGs-0h2GdDr=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 10 | [{"name": "Music", "slug": "music-f213cbf1eab5", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "Xuc2UY8gGfjQqFXwxq5d", "createdTime": 1669737692438}] | ["music-f213cbf1eab5"] | 0.5 | 1669801219149 | 1669719786007 | 0.5399999999999988 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.448844787917585 | 5JjghSx0nPbZfVnxPTLF | {"NO": 109.1189309691369, "YES": 1197.4576489074589} | 0 | will-cgp-greys-next-video-be-1000-m | 1440.9386011518136 | Will CGP Grey's next video be >= 10:00 minutes long? | 1669927734865 | 3hYFuweHfHcXp94ztLv92gKDxSp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.5947209478166033 | True | play | NO | public | 1669727726830 | niklaswik | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The last one was 17:38, before that in reverse chronological order the lenght was 8:30, 6:08, 6:44, 34:20, 59:56, 21:32, 3:43, 8:56, 3:28, and 10:00.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://ww... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669927734865 | 330 | niklaswik | 1669926807064 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 16 | 0.5 | 1669926806863 | 1669922807785 | 0.06908329321576588 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5670218116725086 | Lp9jX7NKCmcohtBxsBIs | {"NO": 5382.553587537166, "YES": 3.0218995178956902} | 1 | can-i-donate-mana-to-umcor-by-end-o | 5330 | Can I donate mana to UMCOR by end of Giving Tuesday 2022? | 1669746446957 | sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.689217143186903 | True | play | YES | public | 1669731204983 | Martin Randall | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://umcmission.org/umcor/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://umcmission.org/umcor/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400 hover:decoration-2", "target": "_blank"}}]}]}, {"type... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669746446957 | 110 | MartinRandall | 1669774319049 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "Manifold for Charity", "slug": "manifold-for-charity", "userId": "sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1", "groupId": "HFlasvJJLTujevzme7rL", "createdTime": 1669731205219}] | ["manifold-for-charity"] | 0.5 | 1669746438446 | 1669774314590 | 0.9565489039707377 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.21721691406823415 | aT1ZcOSogi1n4KOyeHZl | {"NO": 150.5180017804338, "YES": 320.0932759182233} | 0 | did-vikings-wear-horns-on-their-hel | 1818.1794566094084 | Did Vikings wear horns on their helmets? | 1670284740000 | sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.6778863772584 | True | play | NO | public | 1669732402625 | Martin Randall | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-12-05 6:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Nov 29, 9:33am: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Did vikings wear horns on their helme... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670285336157 | 190 | MartinRandall | 1670173976895 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0.5 | 1670173976726 | 1669825078975 | 0.11542473606967986 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7948381634899898 | zZpWrUwdY61pXndNhC9j | {"NO": 749.9053412760857, "YES": 565.715076642295} | 0.8312353962948875 | donation-matching-ill-sesquiple-all | 165.14220361858986 | I'll match all donations to Mriya today. How much mana will you all donate? | 1669798740000 | Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.9508682405108666 | True | play | MKT | public | 1669735145966 | Jenny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I'll ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "sesquiple", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " (that means 1.5x) all of your donations made to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Mriya", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669864174742 | 600 | Jenny | 1669821999854 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "Manifold for Charity", "slug": "manifold-for-charity", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "HFlasvJJLTujevzme7rL", "createdTime": 1669735146286}] | ["manifold-for-charity"] | 0.7781915689684893 | 1669770865344 | 1669821982063 | 0.8312353962948875 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.48984337606228706 | CrjJVFwTA63DBIqgvJKh | {"NO": 65.97841400228366, "YES": 74.36892597906038} | 0.4599999999999999 | how-much-wood-could-a-woodchuck-chu | 766.0565198993521 | How much wood could a woodchuck chuck If a woodchuck could chuck wood? | 1672549140000 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.543768984707608 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1669735562397 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672553578561 | 70 | AmmonLam | 1670097264372 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | [{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1669735562701}] | ["fun"] | 0.5 | 1670097262501 | 1669735594547 | 0.46 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.07192469907407742 | n72APd9zctyLsLQw4ZFj | {"NO": 269.42538319566455, "YES": 277.4075369998447} | 0.06857142857142857 | how-many-total-days-will-the-2022-u | 1361.9076829385924 | How many total days will the 2022 UC academic workers' strike last? | 1672819179202 | zNFM6uk2hHfetxyCCkRTpqFAp8q1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.720414070375635 | True | play | MKT | public | 1669736593426 | Eel13 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The strike began on November 14, 2022. If most of the strikers go back to working on a specific day, then it will resolve to the number of days between then and November 14, 2022. Otherwise, (for example if there's a significant amount of confusion... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672819179202 | 270 | Eel13 | 1670097255718 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0uL-QRS3mYd6A6UeMtC_D29or6bhoBnW-1_yn_KQ=s96-c | 2 | 0 | 4 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "zNFM6uk2hHfetxyCCkRTpqFAp8q1", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1669744054506}, {"name": "Uni Politics", "slug": "uni-politics", "userId": "zNFM6uk2hHfetxyCCkRTpqFAp8q1", "groupId": "NpL29kWRM2d4AcB9ikVK", "createdTime": 1669743970592}, {"name"... | ["higher-education", "university-politics", "labor", "uni-politics", "us-politics"] | 0.07142857142857142 | 1670097255532 | 1669830089450 | 0.06857142857142857 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8244320453828725 | uY2vWiGSI85XsXTgwlgk | {"NO": 2669.1555332091484, "YES": 638.982621500297} | 1 | will-anastasiya-be-on-stream-again | 5422.167515914103 | Will Anastasiya be on stream again before the end of the year? | 1670706148233 | UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.8727659629264273 | True | play | YES | public | 1669737228487 | Wobbles | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Anastasiya be on Destiny's stream before Jan. 1st 2023?", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670706148233 | 890 | Wobbles | 1710218381419 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 44 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "Anastasiya", "slug": "anastasiya", "groupId": "rerm8aSucOmzedFfOi6U"}] | ["destinygg", "anastasiya"] | 0.5 | 1670706143760 | 1670705905836 | 0.94 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.9256235131639153 | u4a4xXz5JOOETHeznCoe | {"NO": 775.6066947363078, "YES": 95.63974454673065} | 1 | will-over-100-be-donated-today-its | 1058.5382063488971 | Will over $100 be donated today? (it's Giving Tuesday today!) | 1669759783476 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.753498669938159 | True | play | YES | public | 1669738301655 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669759783476 | 150 | AmmonLam | 1669741319836 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 9 | 0.5 | 1669741319667 | 1669738684263 | 0.9901889337314098 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.9382071653391219 | nt1yjS3ScHY5TbxOArFY | {"NO": 895.9179504428464, "YES": 116.08681283110519} | 1 | will-over-150-be-donated-today-its | 867.9214441009825 | Will over $150 be donated today? (it's Giving Tuesday today!) | 1669759792882 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.168027919426818 | True | play | YES | public | 1669738319921 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669759792882 | 170 | AmmonLam | 1669742339689 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 8 | 0 | 9 | 0.5 | 1669742339546 | 1669738382239 | 0.9915381861530281 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.9140585466004428 | 1OjdBktaZCOb8q4HdcXE | {"NO": 6060.299033774152, "YES": 142.97301707117032} | 1 | will-over-200-be-donated-today-its | 5943.275371457388 | Will over $200 be donated today? (it's Giving Tuesday today!) | 1669759798709 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.3526334816782395 | True | play | YES | public | 1669738331001 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669759798709 | 250 | AmmonLam | 1669754892904 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 12 | 0 | 14 | 0.5 | 1669754891334 | 1669738680705 | 0.9977867705041377 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.10580180046765882 | yU2vNfO1baoPj5k4zGSJ | {"NO": 168.2903047292658, "YES": 1010.2604022064293} | 0 | will-any-country-or-other-actor-oth | 1178.9661194899045 | Will any country (or other actor) other than North Korea detonate a nuclear weapon in 2022? (Tests included.) | 1672531140000 | uRLBoyv6dUa1usD5rEFlr46OorF3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.513599589029552 | True | play | NO | public | 1669739524281 | Boklam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "For details of what counts as a nuclear detonation, see this market:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://manifold.markets/jack/will-a-nuclear-weapon-be-detonated-d8af7cf07475", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type":... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1673205676472 | 230 | Boklam | 1673205671704 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3ibnjA23Hs3sitZ0cbnPDtIZRleyLSrM_fYI6l=s96-c | 10 | 0 | 2 | 12 | [{"name": "Nuclear Risk", "slug": "nuclear-risk", "userId": "uRLBoyv6dUa1usD5rEFlr46OorF3", "groupId": "1GU6aOGwXCt8dUSG9sX0", "createdTime": 1669739524988}] | ["nuclear-risk"] | 0.5 | 1670441235347 | 1673205668567 | 0.02 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.9005829877306689 | ABS9AP5YPMgwTEwEjXFq | {"NO": 10762.171223882136, "YES": 187.77036762064773} | 1 | will-over-300-be-donated-today-its | 10701.42650685284 | Will over $300 be donated today? (it's Giving Tuesday today!) | 1669759804112 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.3354797378426895 | True | play | YES | public | 1669739985436 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669759804112 | 330 | AmmonLam | 1669754840996 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 16 | 0 | 17 | 0.5 | 1669754838463 | 1669740106411 | 0.998077667687499 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | 2LitdAAAx4hMC5xD4WCJ | {"NO": 50, "YES": 50} | 0.5 | mizcord | 0 | mizcord | 1669740492683 | mDXQ4u64dZaAk2Dp79X4gVezzyP2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.3944491546724365 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1669740436026 | Saya | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669740492683 | 50 | Saya | 1669740583291 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "mDXQ4u64dZaAk2Dp79X4gVezzyP2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1669740436713}] | ["personal-goals"] | 0.5 | 1669740579834 | 0.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8283364091333782 | qGw7G33leg6pZPaE2kcR | {"NO": 19398.677979003503, "YES": 56.54913525029406} | 1 | will-the-sp-500-index-stays-above-3 | 20500.14498724675 | Will the S&P 500 index stays above 3300 until EOY 2022? | 1672598091588 | VfvvoZdf0nZ6zM63ogTgeuPWSSo1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.813289877713424 | True | play | YES | public | 1669740555917 | Johnny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "source data: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://finance.google.com/quote/.INX:INDEXSP", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://finance.google.com/quote/.INX:INDEXSP", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672598091588 | 190 | TheSkeward | 1672598088647 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gj4aU69N8prXAd7lwmlS3dHW-lp_SfATAlIRGkJtg=s96-c | 10 | 0 | 11 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "VfvvoZdf0nZ6zM63ogTgeuPWSSo1", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1669740556720}] | ["us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1672598088523 | 1669740579907 | 0.97 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7364328047988593 | 0xKdAxTDsJ9Nj9NjKYbh | {"NO": 22431.546889825928, "YES": 276.603125618537} | 1 | will-netherlands-eliminate-their-op | 48906.17960369833 | Will Netherlands eliminate USA at the Round of 16 of the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | 1670086467007 | 946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.0410453158926325 | True | basic | YES | public | 1669741386677 | JAAM | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Netherlands wins their match or ties and wins the penality shoot-out against USA in their Round of 16 match.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670086467007 | 1090 | egroj | 1670101238548 | 0 | 57 | 0 | 52 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669741387139}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1670086456586 | 1670101235043 | 0.849042337287691 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7339035496860761 | Gum5qIcgz2fJUGoA8nc0 | {"NO": 20528.604631279017, "YES": 300.4311635130225} | 1 | will-group-b-1st-place-eliminate-se | 31451.643960355912 | Will England eliminate Senegal at the Round of 16 of the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | 1670187217685 | 946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.0863923052941473 | True | basic | YES | public | 1669742796524 | JAAM | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if England wins their match or ties and wins the penality shoot-out against Senegal in their Round of 16 match.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670187217685 | 1030 | egroj | 1670187591408 | 0 | 53 | 0 | 47 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669742796848}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1670187204780 | 1670187587460 | 0.6790357220137626 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.31466018796077877 | WPHP3FtjrluCebEUr4DS | {"NO": 409.51933830350026, "YES": 2040.0938017993376} | 0 | will-destiny-stream-warzone-in-2022 | 5273.955510653111 | Will Destiny stream Warzone in 2022? | 1672549140000 | 1eyF3ElUxhTZl4WU0PQiwD7IMOD2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.7641730576379935 | True | play | NO | public | 1669742850498 | Zion | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Destiny plays at least one game on stream before year end. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672603695961 | 720 | Zion | 1672549098344 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 28 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "1eyF3ElUxhTZl4WU0PQiwD7IMOD2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1669742850909}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1672549098229 | 1670009486264 | 0.08 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7CGZu4C4mIV6haYaWDig | how-many-will-be-donated-through-ma | 4372.445533300632 | How many $ will be donated through Manifold's Giving Tuesday? | 1669832530525 | igi2zGXsfxYPgB0DJTXVJVmwCOr2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.633482766104995 | True | basic | 34f0f655bdd7 | public | 1669743545957 | Austin | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669832530525 | 1399.9999999999998 | Austin | 1669828667789 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiZyl1lBehuBMGyJYJhZd-N-mstaUtgE4xdI22lLw=s96-c | 33 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "acff94988504", "prob": 0.00022903840198677604, "text": "[0, 500)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.0005084445774011983, "userId": "igi2zGXsfxYPgB0DJTXVJVmwCOr2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2.219401286676113, "textFts": "'0':1 '500':2", "contractId": "7CGZu4C4mIV6haYaWDig", "createdTime": 1669743545957, "probChanges"... | 35 | [{"name": "Manifold for Charity", "slug": "manifold-for-charity", "userId": "igi2zGXsfxYPgB0DJTXVJVmwCOr2", "groupId": "HFlasvJJLTujevzme7rL", "createdTime": 1669743546190}] | ["manifold-for-charity"] | 1669828667578 | 1669818190831 | {"34f0f655bdd7": 100} | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7562465868720656 | wemHjTzTO2EorTBbwkNU | {"NO": 405.99999999999994, "YES": 77.7418088800905} | 1 | will-usa-vs-iran-be-the-most-popula | 276 | Will "USA vs Iran" be the most popular match (market) of the group stage of the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | 1670015100000 | 946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.6836749609510324 | True | play | YES | public | 1669743921797 | JAAM | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I made markets for every single game of the group stage. Resolves YES if among those markets, the market below has the largest number of traders at the end of the group stage.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670017816551 | 130 | egroj | 1670017029667 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669743922237}, {"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1691182000855}, {"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", ... | ["2022-fifa-world-cup", "soccer", "sports-default"] | 0.5 | 1670000366508 | 1670017011988 | False | 0.9418691771309097 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3475739356549599 | 9NlctjU7WgChQjNbPFKx | {"NO": 163.73660378457092, "YES": 266.0392785474872} | 0 | will-vertigo-place-at-the-1-spot-on | 688.1946278941234 | Will Vertigo place at the #1 spot on Sight and Sound's 2022 "Greatest Films of All Time" poll? | 1669920900000 | iVmTxhomrqPfZOZx4M5fZKi0qEX2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.8605757313572566 | True | play | NO | public | 1669744604225 | HIPSTERPOTAMUS | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Sight and Sound's decennial film poll is releasing in just a few days. Will Alfred Hitchcock's Vertigo retain the #1 spot it earned from Citizen Kane in 2012? This market will resolve based on the results of the critic's poll not director's poll.",... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669925361213 | 210 | HIPSTERPOTAMUS | 1669926662771 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 11 | [{"name": "Movies", "slug": "movies", "userId": "iVmTxhomrqPfZOZx4M5fZKi0qEX2", "groupId": "KSeNIu7AWgiBBM5FqVuB", "createdTime": 1669744618856}, {"name": "Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "userId": "iVmTxhomrqPfZOZx4M5fZKi0qEX2", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1669744626407}] | ["movies", "culture-default"] | 0.5 | 1669920782126 | 1669926658704 | 0.2469203258557297 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8004260060899518 | LUxaLgVcMfWiZBbpvbG2 | {"NO": 2528.5889625806544, "YES": 75.88669405317341} | 1 | will-google-lay-off-more-than-8000 | 4220.361939202566 | From now, will Google lay off more than 8000 workers before the end of 2023? | 1674260253677 | lPaDAupCtChR8WXM83HmDCWOI4X2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.260421230561837 | True | play | YES | public | 1669748442427 | Cactus | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The workers must be officially notified that they were laid off. Planned layoffs don't count until they happen.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1674260253677 | 190 | Cactus | 1674260263603 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "lPaDAupCtChR8WXM83HmDCWOI4X2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1669748443315}] | ["us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1674255900396 | 1674260260228 | 0.99 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.26863808790206223 | Ew2ZcWku15AnVEtAUgQm | {"NO": 51.85487342596948, "YES": 852.7637994165729} | 0 | samsung-stock-price-rises-50-vs-krw | 789.0827458149316 | Samsung stock price rises >=50% vs KRW in the next year? | 1703894340000 | IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.1513307463287505 | True | play | NO | public | 1669748474820 | GeorgeVii | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Current 60600.00 KRW, as per", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/005930.KS/financials?p=005930.KS", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/005930... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704393379950 | 130 | GeorgeVii | 1704393380214 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | [{"name": "Semiconductors", "slug": "semiconductors", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "49KBGVeMphsHmxnQZY40", "createdTime": 1669748475122}, {"name": "Samsung", "slug": "samsung", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "LwAXKVqIGeIABdvo247x", "createdTime": 1669748712178}, {"name": "A... | ["semiconductors", "samsung", "ancient-markets", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1703477332953 | 1704393377242 | 0.02 | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3819202730519073 | ROq3o68DHXMUmydd24xg | {"NO": 41.67450075213736, "YES": 760.93853005809} | 0 | samsung-stock-price-rises-60-vs-krw | 1859.197355419466 | Samsung stock price rises >=60% vs KRW in the next year? | 1701302340000 | IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.403686634398568 | True | play | NO | public | 1669748512670 | GeorgeVii | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Current 60600.00 KRW, as per", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/005930.KS/financials?p=005930.KS", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/005930... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1701454925727 | 130 | GeorgeVii | 1700800941685 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | [{"name": "Semiconductors", "slug": "semiconductors", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "49KBGVeMphsHmxnQZY40", "createdTime": 1669748720462}, {"name": "Samsung", "slug": "samsung", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "LwAXKVqIGeIABdvo247x", "createdTime": 1669748723875}] | ["semiconductors", "samsung"] | 0.5 | 1700800941573 | 1669748589377 | 0.03 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2753147875525589 | UCRPVbKeScDlVdcyKBAu | {"NO": 98.93705744025931, "YES": 549.7706291050351} | 0 | samsung-stock-price-rises-70-vs-krw | 1383.5425161096316 | Samsung stock price rises >=70% vs KRW in the next year? | 1701215940000 | IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2 | cpmm-1 | 1.539095918623324e-16 | 2.7677206829915737 | True | play | NO | public | 1669748529474 | GeorgeVii | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Current 60600.00 KRW, as per", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/005930.KS/financials?p=005930.KS", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/005930... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1701454908617 | 170 | GeorgeVii | 1701205762221 | 0.1 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 4 | [{"name": "Samsung", "slug": "samsung", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "LwAXKVqIGeIABdvo247x", "createdTime": 1669748748534}, {"name": "Semiconductors", "slug": "semiconductors", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "49KBGVeMphsHmxnQZY40", "createdTime": 1669748754226}] | ["samsung", "semiconductors"] | 0.10581731147493297 | 0.5 | 1701205761854 | 1669748589716 | 0.06 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.23340236474402132 | Zw5cNbQczvVX5DTNocBG | {"NO": 66.82017152001863, "YES": 1142.159604405294} | 0 | samsung-stock-price-rises-80-vs-krw | 1977.4311836096012 | Samsung stock price rises >=80% vs KRW in the next year? | 1701302340000 | IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.9013146031743795 | True | play | NO | public | 1669748544394 | GeorgeVii | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Current 60600.00 KRW, as per", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/005930.KS/financials?p=005930.KS", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/005930... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1701454914082 | 150 | GeorgeVii | 1701269285827 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | [{"name": "Semiconductors", "slug": "semiconductors", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "49KBGVeMphsHmxnQZY40", "createdTime": 1669748761820}, {"name": "Samsung", "slug": "samsung", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "LwAXKVqIGeIABdvo247x", "createdTime": 1669748770161}] | ["semiconductors", "samsung"] | 0.5 | 1701269285660 | 1669748587051 | 0.02 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3281938857475086 | HU6bM1T6YxVv8XMrXDv1 | {"NO": 69.45454951622384, "YES": 405.03155636419524} | 0 | samsung-stock-price-rises-40-vs-krw | 1264.9721929915913 | Samsung stock price rises >=40% vs KRW in the next year? | 1701215940000 | IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.0460897986433495 | True | play | NO | public | 1669748557588 | GeorgeVii | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Current 60600.00 KRW, as per", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/005930.KS/financials?p=005930.KS", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/005930... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1701454920027 | 130 | GeorgeVii | 1701075883787 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | [{"name": "Semiconductors", "slug": "semiconductors", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "49KBGVeMphsHmxnQZY40", "createdTime": 1669748776177}, {"name": "Samsung", "slug": "samsung", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "LwAXKVqIGeIABdvo247x", "createdTime": 1669748779879}, {"name": "A... | ["semiconductors", "samsung", "ancient-markets"] | 0.5 | 1701075883631 | 1669748588954 | 0.08 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.23063178147930624 | TF2J4TkK6WWzCFhhXqmb | {"NO": 215.35204584281945, "YES": 411.9832325697329} | 0 | samsung-stock-price-rises-30-vs-krw | 2588.9549176870264 | Samsung stock price rises >=30% vs KRW in the next year? | 1701302340000 | IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.9362370790791712 | True | play | NO | public | 1669748574214 | GeorgeVii | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Current 60600.00 KRW, as per", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/005930.KS/financials?p=005930.KS", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/005930... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1701454295586 | 270 | GeorgeVii | 1701454293084 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 5 | [{"name": "Semiconductors", "slug": "semiconductors", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "49KBGVeMphsHmxnQZY40", "createdTime": 1669748785754}, {"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1669748574810},... | ["economics-default", "semiconductors", "samsung"] | 0.5 | 1701302264587 | 1701454291864 | 0.14 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.19067121179399568 | yfKBUWynpoPM3aT5xoSE | {"NO": 136.68109070169163, "YES": 260.53489261879685} | 0 | samsung-stock-price-rises-90-vs-krw | 1989.98744359298 | Samsung stock price rises >=90% vs KRW in the next year? | 1701302340000 | IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2 | cpmm-1 | 2.4394093160309484e-16 | 3.2810179455635713 | True | play | NO | public | 1669748587831 | GeorgeVii | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Current 60600.00 KRW, as per", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/005930.KS/financials?p=005930.KS", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/005930... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1701735443748 | 170 | GeorgeVii | 1701301498955 | 0.2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 4 | [{"name": "Semiconductors", "slug": "semiconductors", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "49KBGVeMphsHmxnQZY40", "createdTime": 1669748655274}, {"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1669748588459... | ["technology-default", "semiconductors", "samsung"] | 0.10838595677650141 | 0.5 | 1701301498570 | 1669748705820 | 0.11 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8743518276418287 | JwnijJAHRPKz14DkJJHZ | {"NO": 670.2341606023779, "YES": 124.12646666367827} | 1 | will-over-400-be-donated-today-its | 501.5554340716949 | Will over $400 be donated today? (it's Giving Tuesday today!) | 1669769091695 | S6uenIUYltWigSK7n1bNVC6hcJ32 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.86194205849168 | True | play | YES | public | 1669748593309 | VitaeN | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-11-30 12:01 am", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669769091695 | 190 | VitaeN | 1669764434692 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu074Mj7XQEaKkDHXkfQYiSErrhsYP8_8hXXL3SAJA=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 10 | 0.5 | 1669764434572 | 1669748704472 | 0.9740760803698358 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4170490095440992 | 2OiqKvNInF9WeAVMepjr | {"NO": 74.58359583648392, "YES": 835.9397377661242} | 0 | samsung-stock-price-rises-20-vs-krw | 3013.174721121566 | Samsung stock price rises >=20% vs KRW in the next year? | 1701302340000 | IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.2331201530363254 | True | play | NO | public | 1669748811091 | GeorgeVii | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Current 60600.00 KRW, as per", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/005930.KS/financials?p=005930.KS", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/005930... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1701454888897 | 230 | GeorgeVii | 1701454879348 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 4 | [{"name": "Samsung", "slug": "samsung", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "LwAXKVqIGeIABdvo247x", "createdTime": 1669748873720}, {"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1669748811818}, {"name": "Sem... | ["economics-default", "samsung", "semiconductors"] | 0.5 | 1701300087480 | 1701454878550 | 0.06 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.30028849988533657 | nOJL0up4jkrwyLxkHyuh | {"NO": 58.655057634421695, "YES": 321.70635216235655} | 0 | samsung-stock-price-drops-20-vs-krw | 1206.5154766504197 | Samsung stock price DROPS >=20% vs KRW in the next year? | 1701302340000 | IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.7005062419585513 | True | play | NO | public | 1669749081025 | GeorgeVii | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Current 60600.00 KRW, as per", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/005930.KS/financials?p=005930.KS", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/005930... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1701454956574 | 110 | GeorgeVii | 1701454953817 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | [{"name": "Samsung", "slug": "samsung", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "LwAXKVqIGeIABdvo247x", "createdTime": 1669749149187}, {"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1669749081680}, {"name": "Sem... | ["economics-default", "samsung", "semiconductors"] | 0.5 | 1701253170688 | 1701454953097 | 0.07 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6292023730603618 | qFOHSh4bmXpg4ViDRKNQ | {"NO": 1944.5297198646888, "YES": 670.8158148461271} | 0.8310486229387856 | by-2028-will-i-think-miri-has-been | 3644.1826795928328 | By 2028, will I think MIRI has been net-good for the world? | 1830297600000 | 5phKPAhVVsQMhK0QmKVoUscKxYm2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.767456531789371 | False | basic | public | 1669749725168 | Phil Hazelden | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves according to my subjective judgement, but I'll take opinions of those I respect at the time into account. As of market creation, people whose opinions I value highly include Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander.", "type": "text"}]}, {"typ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 15.029814722536, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | philh | 1717480594053 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AItbvmnFKaQNedgZ5COdyAvd6NVtvKqQnWDS9-3P64p9=s96-c | 2 | 21 | 0 | 21 | [{"name": "AI Safety", "slug": "ai-safety", "userId": "5phKPAhVVsQMhK0QmKVoUscKxYm2", "groupId": "DnxTZ1P5XEEfnHxy7Q7d", "createdTime": 1669749725834}] | ["ai-safety"] | 0.5 | 1717480590936 | 1681683172264 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6524952896253726 | HxgWUnem5nGRc0huj4FL | {"NO": 1297.964689048692, "YES": 216.25280212926816} | 1 | will-the-winter-ml-bootcamp-be-in-b | 3165.2097535475127 | Will the Winter ML Bootcamp be in Boston? | 1674245100000 | sIOL0UIyQ4X4LnHUY8LyjfOHhUW2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.2075281767949648 | True | play | YES | public | 1669752358261 | Juan Gil | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if the Winter ML Bootcamp run by MAIA/HAIST is held in-person within 100 miles of the city of Boston, otherwise resolves NO.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NO if this pr... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1674248174446 | 430 | juan | 1674188849672 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | [{"name": "Boston EA", "slug": "boston-ea", "userId": "sIOL0UIyQ4X4LnHUY8LyjfOHhUW2", "groupId": "NQjvAIEGvjk4VohdeUy8", "createdTime": 1669752358549}] | ["boston-ea"] | 0.5 | 1674188849547 | 1670747201653 | 0.92 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6897128408911285 | 4rswEN89RJektON6c5n2 | {"NO": 1311.2308960900832, "YES": 63.370433463275276} | 1 | will-over-500-be-donated-today-its | 1275.5049845389751 | Will over $500 be donated today? (it's Giving Tuesday today!) | 1669774944839 | S6uenIUYltWigSK7n1bNVC6hcJ32 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.158645377935299 | True | play | YES | public | 1669753241211 | VitaeN | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669774944839 | 210 | VitaeN | 1669774904487 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu074Mj7XQEaKkDHXkfQYiSErrhsYP8_8hXXL3SAJA=s96-c | 11 | 0 | 12 | [{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "S6uenIUYltWigSK7n1bNVC6hcJ32", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1669753241811}] | ["economics-default"] | 0.5 | 1669774871825 | 1669774900433 | 0.978720487470277 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.42627280445317944 | e29gj9MkJ3QS4QTJjfkE | {"NO": 107.66173027279311, "YES": 4947.226952828641} | 0 | will-the-harvard-square-ea-office-b-a43a8aa7f2f7 | 12066.767311965894 | Will the Harvard Square EA office be open in February? | 1677628740000 | sIOL0UIyQ4X4LnHUY8LyjfOHhUW2 | cpmm-1 | 1.5759503840959583 | True | play | NO | public | 1669753808618 | Juan Gil | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves to \"YES\" if the Harvard Square EA office located in the Abbot building opens before the end of February 2023, otherwise NO. I'm using my subjective judgement to resolve.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1677712376326 | 590 | juan | 1677547636344 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 27 | [{"name": "Boston EA", "slug": "boston-ea", "userId": "sIOL0UIyQ4X4LnHUY8LyjfOHhUW2", "groupId": "NQjvAIEGvjk4VohdeUy8", "createdTime": 1669753822685}] | ["boston-ea"] | 0.5 | 1677547635138 | 1676388450158 | 0.02 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49343529041639994 | olbSVKUthyfqnVUh7RIc | {"NO": 61.45756751087583, "YES": 1919.7683084091286} | 0 | will-the-harvard-square-ea-office-b-6673f48f07b0 | 7381.836756960927 | Will the Harvard Square EA office be open by March? | 1680321540000 | sIOL0UIyQ4X4LnHUY8LyjfOHhUW2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.057732008446582 | True | play | NO | public | 1669753912562 | Juan Gil | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves to \"YES\" if the Harvard Square EA office located in the Abbot building opens before the end of March 2023, otherwise NO. I'm using my subjective judgement to resolve.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "pa... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1680365690637 | 430 | juan | 1679949459290 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 17 | [{"name": "Boston EA", "slug": "boston-ea", "userId": "sIOL0UIyQ4X4LnHUY8LyjfOHhUW2", "groupId": "NQjvAIEGvjk4VohdeUy8", "createdTime": 1669753912863}] | ["boston-ea"] | 0.5 | 1679949459142 | 1679097688430 | 0.03 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.15086663006426454 | 3BdAph1EbDt4PQ911Yvh | {"NO": 108.54824848348125, "YES": 5579.691740736682} | 0 | will-there-be-9-or-more-goals-on-no-29847ee2be75 | 8804.792289560592 | Will there be 9 or more goals on Nov 30 at the FIFA World Cup? | 1669843800000 | hjzq8luemQPG6rxPIG1XUPTZPrK2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.9539556695315468 | True | play | NO | public | 1669754096953 | Rafael Zamora | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolved to YES if the total of goals score in the nov 30 world cup matches is ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "9 or more", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": ". Resolves to NO if the total is ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "8 o... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669868894851 | 350 | RafaelZamora | 1669869114970 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GggL6q5Ycr6GnEmC_K4agbZHBpHXNfbvyGJd6v7SwA=s96-c | 19 | 0 | 18 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "hjzq8luemQPG6rxPIG1XUPTZPrK2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669754097359}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1669843474004 | 1669869111136 | 0.003444541070606676 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8752640891028385 | oWVpPVwubz8o91MLhANR | {"NO": 10296.581146369504, "YES": 88.91676109831894} | 1 | will-over-400-be-donated-today-its-50d4b0a4161c | 10275.672274232253 | Will over $400 be donated today? (it's Giving Tuesday today!) | 1669763119647 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.634722314409899 | True | play | YES | public | 1669754550464 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669763119647 | 250 | AmmonLam | 1669759842700 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 11 | 0 | 13 | [{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1669754551402}] | ["economics-default"] | 0.5 | 1669759842512 | 1669754681866 | 0.9987708388235881 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8504648896506594 | peCBDzt4o2BZxyMqcmRq | {"NO": 2869.315669820623, "YES": 205.63996280591363} | 1 | will-over-500-be-donated-today-its-38fdf93d03d1 | 2651.9055420044624 | Will over $500 be donated today? (it's Giving Tuesday today!) | 1669778262369 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.690367632790578 | True | play | YES | public | 1669754564651 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "today according to ET", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669778262369 | 350 | AmmonLam | 1669774974647 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 16 | 0 | 17 | [{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1669754564997}] | ["economics-default"] | 0.5 | 1669774974454 | 1669769185220 | 0.9875554990637965 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7980644550202715 | HAk3tmQwgp5o3yYGbrvs | {"NO": 1.3881923674246082, "YES": 543.1378192632709} | 0 | will-over-600-be-donated-today-its | 651.8254572319973 | Will over $600 be donated today? (it's Giving Tuesday today!) | 1669786847114 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 6.07488627431167 | True | play | NO | public | 1669754578181 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "today according to ET", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669786847114 | 210 | AmmonLam | 1669786843651 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 10 | 0 | 10 | [{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1669754578535}] | ["economics-default"] | 0.5 | 1669786843475 | 1669754679944 | 0.6940097882125329 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.21243170012768153 | tRMAtRDc1vAQ2KF3IsEm | {"NO": 206.91732758917672, "YES": 564.3218177666056} | 0 | will-over-1000-be-donated-today-its | 686.1979150439945 | Will over $1000 be donated today? (it's Giving Tuesday today!) | 1669786869158 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.0630799038472727 | True | play | NO | public | 1669754588151 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "today according to ET", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669786869158 | 290 | AmmonLam | 1669786006588 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 14 | 0 | 15 | [{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1669754588548}] | ["economics-default"] | 0.5 | 1669786004999 | 1669754679387 | 0.08999999999999998 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3146389825094699 | C1ZKB9wpy4JArOt9FZKR | {"NO": 93.03538082393447, "YES": 6832.64584626248} | 0 | will-the-united-states-make-it-thro-210f3ace2773 | 13465.825867650252 | Will the United States make it through to the Quarter-finals in the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | 1670086900295 | ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.340981166696313 | True | play | NO | public | 1669756804795 | Predictor 🔥 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670086900295 | 450 | Predictor | 1670086888872 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 23 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669756805343}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1691181869884}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup", "us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1670086887025 | 1670086478906 | False | 0.009169504316398144 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.1585301823894256 | xi0n6eR2Bt8F5WQt7LXc | {"NO": 120.90888125442198, "YES": 201.9050731279179} | 0.10138171614127002 | i-feel-strongly-that-i-have-been-ca | 1071.6216186256177 | I feel strongly that I have been "canceled" at least once by the end of 2026. | 1798761540000 | ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1669757498001 | Alana | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "blockquote", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Cancel culture", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " or ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "call-out culture", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " is a phrase contemporary to th... | BINARY | {"day": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": 1.3877787807814457e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 150 | Alana | 1680349138264 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 5 | [{"name": "Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "userId": "ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1669757498635}] | ["culture-default"] | 0.5 | 1680349138101 | 1669757627769 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4284458089043634 | rF1KMAArvADtlGTqH6cr | {"NO": 91.82060483224946, "YES": 2817.290359322052} | 0 | will-avatar-the-way-of-water-gross-35b510646359 | 3753.642685909661 | Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend? | 1671721671390 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.780552358288721 | True | play | NO | public | 1669757692187 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "real-money market: ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-avatar-the-way-of-water-gross-more-than-175-million-domestically-on-its-opening-weekend", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671721671390 | 430 | itsTomekK | 1671706221572 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 23 | 0 | 18 | [{"name": "Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1669757761719}, {"name": "Polymarket", "slug": "polymarket", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "yeQpbHOQhxPyQifhmJrY", "createdTime": 1669757... | ["cinema", "polymarket", "entertainment", "movies"] | 0.5 | 1671706218885 | 1671706181765 | 0.02 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
mRYRC8N9XfgRPsmJ43UO | will-sam-bankmanfried-sbf-or-ben-ar | 1430.9580859233824 | Will Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) or Ben Armstrong (Bitboy) be arrested first? | 1671387440649 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.671662009199298 | True | play | 396555806567 | public | 1669757930584 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) is arrested by any government of any country before Ben Armstrong, this market will resolve to \"SBF\".", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671387440649 | 400.00000000000006 | itsTomekK | 1671050729817 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 8 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "396555806567", "prob": 0.9819627178373674, "text": "SBF", "index": 0, "poolNo": 60.33241404637371, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1.108222090247882, "textFts": "'sbf':1", "contractId": "mRYRC8N9XfgRPsmJ43UO", "createdTime": 1669757930584, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week"... | 9 | [{"name": "Crypto news", "slug": "crypto-news", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "Ft8hmbcP5YZiWXaz4ILM", "createdTime": 1669757959838}, {"name": "Crime", "slug": "crime", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "j7TkLdIOLyiTtiQQKjl9", "createdTime": 1669757957915}, {"name": "Polymarket"... | ["sbf", "polymarket", "crime", "crypto-news", "please-resolve"] | 1671050729708 | 1670889625024 | {"396555806567": 100} | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.17146189692856617 | Dc6ufJlVieRzvsD7AHl2 | {"NO": 139.77169822156156, "YES": 5382.319383296589} | 0 | will-kanye-ye-west-inspire-the-next | 13226.11678116927 | Will Kanye, Ye, West inspire the next Holocaust? | 1704085200000 | FPq0QAhmKncByUaooeO7do3hF9v1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.169721566937543 | True | play | NO | public | 1669758277174 | ZJW74 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Given Kanye's influence, his current Antisemitism story arc, and his ties to Nick Fuentes. Will Ye inspire the next Holocaust.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704119597601 | 310 | ZJW74 | 1704119597919 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0IJ66BpnrV83j4ir9UIYBq2MajwL37HJC4QHpoGw=s96-c | 16 | 0 | 1 | 11 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "FPq0QAhmKncByUaooeO7do3hF9v1", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1669758277726}, {"name": "Culture War", "slug": "culture-war", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "DEHK9bp6pMlniVYuHPKI", "createdTime": 1673773180678}, {"name"... | ["politics-default", "culture-war", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.13133525602187962 | 0.5 | 1693986120068 | 1669856803979 | 0.01 | b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6073715040145663 | o2Er9tmJdyWZtiZTRe9n | {"NO": 466.6579137897421, "YES": 530.1039628677182} | 1 | will-two-or-more-noneuropean-countr | 2929.507891119689 | Will two or more non-European countries make it to the semi-finals of the 2022 World Cup? | 1670598000000 | j2CeSlh3GtWpiZFcuQMDdJVYGKp1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.7598118908681514 | True | play | YES | public | 1669758397756 | Hunter | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "With Europe making up 40% of the World Cup teams, will two or more countries outside of Europe make it to the semifinals of the 2022 World Cup. Market closes the day of the quarterfinals (8:00 AM MST).", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "co... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670697072161 | 510 | hunterbb | 1670608750652 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0A6lRUclGETgh9L3k3155dQ2U16VNw0R9G8VK3Dw=s96-c | 26 | 0 | 1 | 24 | [{"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "j2CeSlh3GtWpiZFcuQMDdJVYGKp1", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1669758419903}, {"name": "Football", "slug": "football", "userId": "j2CeSlh3GtWpiZFcuQMDdJVYGKp1", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1669758417347}, {"name": "2022 FIFA World... | ["2022-fifa-world-cup", "football", "soccer", "sports-default", "europe"] | 0.5 | 1670594164443 | 1670608747228 | False | 0.58 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.1688074679322136 | O6TtBUW1GqERp4nG6YOJ | {"NO": 119.94114834266884, "YES": 1047.6791435846758} | 0 | will-kanye-west-appear-on-jordan-pe | 2230.6822010689225 | Will Kanye West appear on Jordan Peterson's podcast by the end of 2023? | 1704063540000 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.7016931635607553 | True | play | NO | public | 1669758629623 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.jordanbpeterson.com/podcast/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.jordanbpeterson.com/podcast/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400 hover:decoration-2", "target": ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704217243241 | 190 | itsTomekK | 1704217244488 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 12 | 0 | 1 | 6 | [{"name": "Podcasts", "slug": "podcasts", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "8cvSruaMBLaZqnfLaLA0", "createdTime": 1669758643610}, {"name": "Tomek's 🟡 specials", "slug": "tomeks-specials", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "Tnqa2ZTn9jMpD7wSBWGJ", "createdTime": 1669758629878}, {"n... | ["tomeks-specials", "podcasts", "kanye", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1703103302656 | 1704217236855 | 0.02 | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.437889944566792 | wUmyzaWraaasd2kz3pjU | {"NO": 40.84115934828874, "YES": 902.1061506284133} | 0 | will-messi-score-a-goal-in-every-ma | 3038.236189026054 | Will Messi score a goal in every match of the group stage at the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | 1669842300000 | 946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.0140848643418874 | True | play | NO | public | 1669758723356 | JAAM | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Lionel Messi scored a goal for Argentina in the first two matches of the group stage.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Resolves YES if Messi scores a goal on Argentina's last match of the group stage agains... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669842338585 | 310 | egroj | 1669842068586 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 16 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669758723784}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1669842068391 | 1669758801194 | 0.5693828695355172 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4044552245335038 | splLrwzxvlAbz9eHJoa1 | {"NO": 12.257509854283374, "YES": 6685.31359538865} | 0 | will-mbappe-score-a-goal-in-every-m | 8823.191158899044 | Will Mbappé score a goal in every match of the group stage at the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | 1669827725836 | 946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.0804930943850914 | True | play | NO | public | 1669758874191 | JAAM | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Kylian Mbappé scored a goal for France in the first two matches of the group stage.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Resolves YES if Mbappé scores a goal on France's last match of the group stage against Tu... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669827725836 | 270 | egroj | 1669827668746 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 13 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669758874644}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1669827668620 | 1669758925749 | 0.47638269668476246 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3355490570801605 | mpwUULUZaRjZ5MMG6DHY | {"NO": 37.26683533652158, "YES": 6948.38733295425} | 0 | will-any-player-have-more-than-5-as | 8643.879286277217 | Will any player have more than 5 assists in the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | 1671387506642 | ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.2675911597227145 | True | play | NO | public | 1669759044284 | Predictor 🔥 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A player with 6+ assists resolves YES.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A player with 5 assists resolves NO.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671387506642 | 270 | Predictor | 1671387500170 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669759192673}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1671387500064 | 1670181266634 | 0.02 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.36366174143734825 | 08zTsrAktQUBB4rkvP7H | {"NO": 9896.510885842476, "YES": 0.03945982758332933} | 1 | will-morata-score-a-goal-in-every-m | 10661.163352657366 | Will Morata score a goal in every match of the group stage at the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | 1669922086540 | 946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.737807527355498 | True | play | YES | public | 1669759198793 | JAAM | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Álvaro Morata scored a goal for Spain in the first two matches of the group stage.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Morata scores a goal on Spain's last match of the group stage... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669922086540 | 130 | egroj | 1669922107231 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669759199163}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1669922074137 | 1669922103624 | 0.8288789945221177 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4900693634355282 | hxGvqRb4745pzzwLOKZC | {"NO": 67.08346512817138, "YES": 73.09429437592799} | 0 | will-bekyamon-post-her-november-23 | 786.532403996209 | Will bekyamon post her November 23 VOD by December 23? | 1671907750579 | imyZodrqRtdoMuvslNbL6WYkhRz2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.5428727091746417 | True | play | NO | public | 1669759298090 | Lattice Magnet (Lattice) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Bekyamon unpublished the VOD of her Twitch stream from around 17:00-20:00 UTC on November 23 2022, which included her perspective of an event on RatsSMP, but said that she would cut the information she accidentally leaked before joining the server ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671907750579 | 70 | LatticeMagnetLattice | 1670097103076 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AItbvmmevMY0Vxn9470QkxcVyMT92c5s9fEhBNlpqcVD=s96-c | 2 | 0 | 3 | [{"name": "MCYT", "slug": "mcyt", "userId": "imyZodrqRtdoMuvslNbL6WYkhRz2", "groupId": "x5sZpL8vt0KhtrtwO2uQ", "createdTime": 1669759298353}] | ["mcyt"] | 0.5 | 1670097102962 | 1669759313021 | 0.47 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.27973381441388817 | DKD6zTj4hOKTecLOhZNM | {"NO": 80.23915619211826, "YES": 183.09407863690961} | 0.13 | is-it-rude-to-bet-that-something-ba | 1242.0437693688395 | Is it rude to bet that something bad will happen without taking visible action to prevent it? | 1671051484399 | 9pFTkULGUKcRZ8IQq3WHWNY5i983 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.4820946348811272 | True | play | MKT | public | 1669759632657 | L | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves MKT * 0.9 if I think it should resolve no, 1-(1-MKT*0.9) if I think it should resolve yes. come to consensus by convincing me. Scientific grade research on market systems will be the most reliable way to convince me. Regardless of how this... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671051484399 | 110 | L | 1671051508806 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 0.5 | 1670097106168 | 1671051506008 | 0.13 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.18282546680493586 | MeavzTW6rAf2NBaNbeQW | {"NO": 199.94470793354725, "YES": 2636.9683117360155} | 0 | will-destiny-reach-600k-subscribers-0d5dabdb4b7e | 2843.2162681143986 | Will Destiny reach 600K subscribers by December 5th, 2022? | 1670216340000 | qCvVf3QGufaiKK3FG35rJ4ShXmp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.263824020963633 | True | play | NO | public | 1669762353447 | The Church of Shulkanism | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Main channel, closes at 11:59 pm EST December 4th, 2022.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670259078844 | 350 | TheChurchofShulkanism | 1670194052168 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2kj8vKlhoMNqLbdruhyWI_xYRZ3XOa5Ttzv391=s96-c | 19 | 0 | 1 | 17 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "qCvVf3QGufaiKK3FG35rJ4ShXmp2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1669762354358}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1670194052012 | 1669762507687 | 0.016680970492964062 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.15832147987492853 | YJZvIks6cGPf89THKukJ | {"NO": 239.2496477132653, "YES": 1311.9281695098698} | 0 | will-elon-musk-formally-announce-th | 3012.325047440018 | Will Elon Musk formally announce that he will be founding a cell phone manufacturing company by the end of 2023? | 1704067140000 | TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.2930960890898073 | True | play | NO | public | 1669762684337 | BRTD | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704160221513 | 330 | BRTD | 1704160221765 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrsylYlJ6d2kI1TVD_JFz7OE98nlyJDg62SpkONuA=s96-c | 16 | 0 | 1 | 10 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1669762745837}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703132725623}] | ["us-politics", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1702543099658 | 1670044802242 | 0.03 | TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.25141899278046964 | iG0DNyfYR7MVUdM3xfWd | {"NO": 47.561492169284314, "YES": 3504.911604204307} | 0 | will-messi-score-a-goal-in-every-ar | 3470.367520643063 | Will Messi score a goal in every Argentina match at the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | 1669851985673 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.405674520265212 | True | play | NO | public | 1669762691568 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669851985673 | 210 | itsTomekK | 1669842744445 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 12 | 0 | 13 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669762745710}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1669842732803 | 1669842741383 | 0.00453693784869482 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.21286592241508717 | 0DmLk6QWEvW3RClC4Y9r | {"NO": 51.15738346955459, "YES": 3590.2670545818837} | 0 | will-mbappe-score-a-goal-in-every-f | 3703.6167759602267 | Will Mbappé score a goal in every France match at the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | 1669852157778 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.824151649005663 | True | play | NO | public | 1669762708666 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669852157778 | 170 | itsTomekK | 1669827720916 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669762745777}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1669827653430 | 1669827716074 | 0.003838563428611966 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.12772392615940448 | XJ4OFpssSxBvjBEKKQIp | {"NO": 362.177637479034, "YES": 1997.4080451891891} | 0 | will-elon-musk-formally-announce-th-1a426afe1e4f | 3977.5138080542956 | Will Elon Musk formally announce that he will be founding a cell phone manufacturing company by the end of 2023? | 1704067140000 | TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.9649232278779654 | True | play | NO | public | 1669762806113 | BRTD | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704160219310 | 470 | BRTD | 1704160219465 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrsylYlJ6d2kI1TVD_JFz7OE98nlyJDg62SpkONuA=s96-c | 2 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 19 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1669762806764}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703128507485}] | ["us-politics", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1703001043366 | 1669843777193 | 0.03 | TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
DJwELvcZQAHFxYFIaNzl | by-the-end-of-2025-which-piece-of-a | 303.22152619584364 | By the end of 2025, which piece of advice will I feel has had the most positive impact on me becoming an effective AI alignment researcher? | 1767254340000 | ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1669764130992 | Alana | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a free response market. You should either vote on or submit meaningful advice (or both).", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "At the end of 2025, I will select a piece of advice from these ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.4760108350058962, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Alana | 1719463208569 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 1 | ANYONE | [{"id": "1daee375178d", "prob": 0.08337891678713198, "text": "get enough sleep", "index": 1, "poolNo": 21.595782331811783, "userId": "9pFTkULGUKcRZ8IQq3WHWNY5i983", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 237.41192805792906, "textFts": "'enough':2 'get':1 'sleep':3", "contractId": "DJwELvcZQAHFxYFIaNzl", "createdTime": 1669776405... | 11 | [{"name": "AI Alignment ", "slug": "ai-alignment", "userId": "ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1", "groupId": "p8Tmu38lHhN1JQavwAmR", "createdTime": 1669764131231}, {"name": "Advice Column", "slug": "advice-column", "userId": "aR293Wi2ZOYDxSXcRSD5kggURDg2", "groupId": "dHbGIPLZYKp7aD73hgRC", "createdTime": 1669802999009}] | ["ai-alignment", "advice-column"] | 1719463205441 | 1669804752182 | True | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.724623822148741 | X3Q6ZdVBqK1H2c3QdTov | {"NO": 433.04847579361774, "YES": 189.17164311704636} | 1 | will-i-be-accepted-to-the-universit | 1965.771263844664 | Will I be accepted to the University of Maine Honors College? | 1674166252852 | 9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.8277578557642553 | True | play | YES | public | 1669764611540 | arae | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I'm applying to the University of Maine, whose acceptance rate is so high I don't think a market about it would be interesting. However, they also have an honors college which they automatically consider all first-year applicants for. This market r... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1674166252852 | 250 | a | 1673635223663 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12 | [{"name": "arae's College Applications", "slug": "araes-college-applications", "userId": "9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2", "groupId": "ZdpeoTRZA7KdssfAVvFI", "createdTime": 1669764611807}] | ["araes-college-applications"] | 0.5 | 1673635223546 | 1672350501987 | 0.86 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
cJddw7h3o2VJDcvNSStY | what-platform-will-be-the-biggest-c | 2996.6139726776473 | What platform will be the biggest competitor to Twitter by the end of 2023? | 1704095940000 | YOILpFNyg0gGj79zBIBUpJigHQ83 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.643010321436181 | True | play | 2fb1b4808884 | public | 1669764847090 | SneakySly | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As judged by daily active users. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Clarification", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": ": We are looking for platforms that are directly looking to compete... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704155228555 | 1700 | SneakySly | 1704155228761 | 2.9 | 1 | 46 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "a8da61a46cdd", "prob": 0.003201379544031438, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.010885622880694067, "userId": "YOILpFNyg0gGj79zBIBUpJigHQ83", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 3.3894056362388056, "textFts": "", "contractId": "cJddw7h3o2VJDcvNSStY", "resolverId": "YOILpFNyg0gGj79zBIBUpJigHQ83", "createdTime": 1... | 1 | 19 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "YOILpFNyg0gGj79zBIBUpJigHQ83", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1669764847781}, {"name": "Twitter", "slug": "twitter", "userId": "YOILpFNyg0gGj79zBIBUpJigHQ83", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1669854360371}, {"name": "�... | ["technology-default", "twitter", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.1488555340374363 | 1700270223643 | 1684759500739 | {"2fb1b4808884": 100} | YOILpFNyg0gGj79zBIBUpJigHQ83 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3271668302345959 | XudQR4xVYfRGfs2B0kaU | {"NO": 72.63440235620456, "YES": 3134.493728379534} | 0 | will-france-win-against-tunisia-at-a4384bebb57b | 7422.201583246056 | Will France win against Tunisia at the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | 1669828200000 | d92Dd2pE6yeCmPlGMqXzmQQbMHs2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.6928403554011293 | True | play | NO | public | 1669766059921 | Dorothy Green | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if France wins against Tunisia in their group match on November 30. Resolves NO if Tunisia wins the match or the match ends in a tie.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669833266745 | 430 | DorothyGreen | 1669828034139 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 24 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "d92Dd2pE6yeCmPlGMqXzmQQbMHs2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669766060289}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1669828033868 | 1669771367243 | 0.011142193124785682 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.32680202742795483 | 44G2wGdO493ry1SHMzvK | {"NO": 60.094674300822504, "YES": 1751.707759459533} | 0 | will-denmark-win-against-australia | 3129.714100482855 | Will Denmark win against Australia at the 2022 World Cup? | 1669828200000 | d92Dd2pE6yeCmPlGMqXzmQQbMHs2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.080748247609641 | True | play | NO | public | 1669766114788 | Dorothy Green | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Denmark wins against Australia in their group match on November 30. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NO if Australia wins the match or the match ends in a tie.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669833253034 | 290 | DorothyGreen | 1669827349484 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 16 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "d92Dd2pE6yeCmPlGMqXzmQQbMHs2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669766115167}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1669827349314 | 1669775953518 | 0.01638110290417639 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.43757127466929835 | 2Lsl8D01yCtfbqzNMR5L | {"NO": 30.976529587773246, "YES": 216.89851590928228} | 0 | will-i-add-a-content-record-to-my-e | 915.7485678771596 | Will I add a content record to my ENS by the end of the year? | 1672531140000 | uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.9550767737344583 | True | play | NO | public | 1669766410053 | Bolton Bailey | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Buy NO to motivate me to finally publish my blog on ENS. Resolves YES if the boltonbailey.eth ENS name has a content record by 2023-01-01.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672531392996 | 90 | BoltonBailey | 1672531488774 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1669766410735}] | ["personal-goals"] | 0.5 | 1672529837462 | 1672531485805 | 0.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5896899306215795 | o2eNW7WPnxJFOcToviPK | {"NO": 214.8922552988055, "YES": 65.94723975911087} | 1 | nfl-will-buffalo-bills-win-against | 171.0047746054554 | [NFL] Will Buffalo Bills win against New England Patriots? | 1669957140000 | d92Dd2pE6yeCmPlGMqXzmQQbMHs2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.897024192342095 | True | play | YES | public | 1669766989945 | Dorothy Green | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670552745388 | 110 | DorothyGreen | 1669948691995 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | [{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "d92Dd2pE6yeCmPlGMqXzmQQbMHs2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1669766990595}] | ["sports-default"] | 0.5 | 1669948691614 | 1669767066886 | 0.82 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7882185114939713 | ZDtjMogFEVuBokQwKl4y | {"NO": 902.9831152978383, "YES": 63.363189800451984} | 1 | nfl-will-green-bay-packers-win-agai | 1906.2158895373752 | [NFL] Will Green Bay Packers win against Chicago Bears? | 1670191200000 | d92Dd2pE6yeCmPlGMqXzmQQbMHs2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.605278183426524 | True | play | YES | public | 1669767138158 | Dorothy Green | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670552736359 | 170 | DorothyGreen | 1670188153922 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 8 | [{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "d92Dd2pE6yeCmPlGMqXzmQQbMHs2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1669767138587}, {"name": "NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 1691181982920}] | ["sports-default", "nfl"] | 0.5 | 1670188153792 | 1669767191121 | False | 0.98 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7116736804288814 | wgA4aBvD1xmbtcXH9vSA | {"NO": 320.85646934649884, "YES": 74.52860808298064} | 1 | nfl-will-pittsburgh-steelers-win-ag | 1003.8941881655736 | [NFL] Will Pittsburgh Steelers win against Atlanta Falcons? | 1670191200000 | d92Dd2pE6yeCmPlGMqXzmQQbMHs2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.3324007163393445 | True | play | YES | public | 1669767191395 | Dorothy Green | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670552728994 | 130 | DorothyGreen | 1670286844173 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | [{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "d92Dd2pE6yeCmPlGMqXzmQQbMHs2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1669767191770}, {"name": "NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 1691181983022}] | ["sports-default", "nfl"] | 0.5 | 1670189754621 | 1670286842549 | False | 0.91 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.311407560503778 | t7VRl8whNpDB3B92r3KK | {"NO": 142.87408356904592, "YES": 315.4638005036354} | 0 | nfl-will-new-york-jets-win-against | 1646.3904234997888 | [NFL] Will New York Jets win against Minnesota Vikings? | 1670191200000 | d92Dd2pE6yeCmPlGMqXzmQQbMHs2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.1036862964619596 | True | play | NO | public | 1669767238707 | Dorothy Green | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670552721979 | 190 | DorothyGreen | 1670286516804 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 9 | [{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "d92Dd2pE6yeCmPlGMqXzmQQbMHs2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1669767239161}, {"name": "NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 1691181983020}] | ["sports-default", "nfl"] | 0.5 | 1670189741371 | 1670286510624 | False | 0.17 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5459174232287397 | 3Bn74Hpupp5SyaCMF9D1 | {"NO": 184.5272093084237, "YES": 496.27413180340017} | 0 | will-i-be-accepted-to-uc-berkeley-t | 839.5608482585642 | Will I be accepted to UC Berkeley this year? | 1680222992361 | BgM0xobZ0dWJoBrCpFwUC2YcgDn1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.1974889945902207 | True | play | NO | public | 1669767243425 | hath | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Applying now.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market resolves to YES if I am accepted to UC Berkeley for the 2023-2024 academic year.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"t... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1680222992361 | 330 | hath | 1680056196610 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhCbmY0Lx380026nQ3agiA_FCJPd0SWGMms_z4GDHI=s96-c | 18 | 0 | 8 | 0.5 | 1680056196427 | 1669767316040 | 0.31 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6693689615316868 | LbsSSQlFCXktzRSAq8uK | {"NO": 15166.594879150132, "YES": 61.32980414859958} | 1 | will-netherlands-win-vs-usa-2022-fi | 16407.29755286601 | Will Netherlands win vs USA? (2022 FIFA World Cup: Round of 16) | 1670086540758 | PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.0026570838564535 | True | play | YES | public | 1669767548263 | shade | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve to YES if Netherlands wins.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve to NO if USA wins.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670086540758 | 410 | shade | 1670086532735 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 23 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669767548636}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1670086532619 | 1669771452115 | 0.9772355388813216 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8347768016050157 | ssvo4EXexFVxQ0tf6eLv | {"NO": 6887.686369634321, "YES": 185.34564617835352} | 1 | will-england-win-vs-senegal-2022-fi | 7843.182566352495 | Will England win vs Senegal? (2022 FIFA World Cup: Round of 16) | 1670203665800 | PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.6287576405329047 | True | play | YES | public | 1669767587505 | shade | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve to YES if England wins.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve to NO if Senegal wins.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670203665800 | 430 | shade | 1670199624740 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 22 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "PIvjvJ7m6yVWhjpXbR0wZFYGRji2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669767587914}, {"name": "Please Resolve", "slug": "please-resolve", "userId": "sbeStmGsSKehLyVHwZDUTcAXtme2", "groupId": "HLWmbwGZ3vBHL8UjdtZF", "createdTime": 167... | ["2022-fifa-world-cup", "please-resolve"] | 0.5 | 1670199623375 | 1669771063904 | 0.9947021126539087 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.05310176102295479 | HHRksL6xY880ALV7BDDA | {"NO": 947.8291652385918, "YES": 1406.236644626885} | 0.03642202893043779 | will-bitcoin-experience-a-successfu | 1704.8064101404552 | Will Bitcoin experience a successful 51% attack by 2032-11-29? | 1985385540000 | uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1669768149892 | Bolton Bailey | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Here \"Bitcoin\" refers to the main BTC chain, or whatever fork descending from that chain is accruing the most daily fees at the time of the attack.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "To be reso... | BINARY | {"day": 2.0816681711721685e-17, "week": 2.0816681711721685e-17, "month": 2.0816681711721685e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | BoltonBailey | 1691671189893 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "Bitcoin", "slug": "bitcoin", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "WBeBD6FyMd0NvSL0qjMb", "createdTime": 1669768179090}, {"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1669768150620}, {"name"... | ["crypto-speculation", "bitcoin", "bitcoin-maxi", "ancient-markets"] | 0.5 | 1691671189772 | 1691657183357 |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.