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0.6928797476327846 | HfO6GpEzzjPU8STQBB8U | {"NO": 1.207861336053611, "YES": 15286.640875531943} | 0 | will-spain-eliminate-morocco-at-the | 22945.10991481041 | Will Spain eliminate Morocco at the Round of 16 of the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | 1670348871081 | 946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.052227216054657 | True | basic | NO | public | 1669929665093 | JAAM | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Spain wins their match or ties and wins the penality shoot-out against Morocco in their Round of 16 match.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-12-06 1:05... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670348871081 | 1030 | egroj | 1670361653002 | 0 | 53 | 0 | 47 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669929665503}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1670348862850 | 1670361650922 | 0.6655979160533754 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5496781126045195 | RWTux1WWJxVJDQ26neNX | {"NO": 182.08089861736968, "YES": 119.69798401799979} | 1 | will-the-buffalo-bills-beat-the-new | 73 | Will the Buffalo Bills beat the New England Patriots on Thursday night? | 1669943700000 | uPEbZ90qG8YH1k4JlkfOzFZEcuR2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.115995823424599 | True | play | YES | public | 1669930471911 | BCG | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Patroits are at home. The Bills are favored by 4 points.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669954273022 | 150 | BruceGrugett | 1669940303961 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 7 | [{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "uPEbZ90qG8YH1k4JlkfOzFZEcuR2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1669930472261}] | ["sports-default"] | 0.5 | 1669940303832 | 1669930607472 | 0.6499568493146252 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.309718758753948 | 7Ksx834o3rKC3GnfCn4C | {"NO": 617.8770756976281, "YES": 1096.3721453885705} | 0 | will-my-wife-have-her-baby-by-sunda | 3243.7901122390217 | Will my wife have her baby by Sunday, December 4? | 1670240453496 | DyUXTUWjgqdOHxOWjjKm2PhQ0qm2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.610790306557059 | True | play | NO | public | 1669932274863 | Pyrochles | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "She was due Monday, Nov. 28th, but our previous two children were 6 and 7 days late.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670240453496 | 810 | Pyrochles | 1710462487366 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJzoSMZBW9hXDUMZNZfl_Mbo6yGRLEzPgGAGD8En=s96-c | 40 | 0 | 36 | [{"name": "🫀 Health", "slug": "health", "groupId": "JpUqUqRn9sSWxrk0Sq35"}, {"name": "Short fuse", "slug": "short-fuse", "groupId": "a2ab3b95-588a-4e45-a855-51cd10e8427c"}] | ["health", "short-fuse"] | 0.5 | 1670237581616 | 1670240465330 | 0.20182822251892174 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.47873624896093375 | X6wsf6bJ9KvzSENbRO30 | {"NO": 91.66666666666667, "YES": 87.74638889356264} | 0.4 | by-january-1st-2030-will-1-of-globa | 20 | By January 1st, 2030, will >1% of global primary aluminum be produced by carbon free technology? [Quick Resolution via Metaculus] | 1670025600000 | 4w7ZYpvZ3OfE0A8fuWttBVZWvRR2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.9999463779353612 | True | play | MKT | public | 1669932369290 | Johnny Ten-Numbers | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The following Metaculus forecast is set to open soon:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/13796/1-of-aluminum-made-carbon-free-by-2030/", "type": "text", "marks... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670886750758 | 90 | 1941159478 | 1669948767642 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | [{"name": "Predictions on Predictions", "slug": "predictions-on-predictions", "userId": "4w7ZYpvZ3OfE0A8fuWttBVZWvRR2", "groupId": "qV4UN8VsCFzmchCqdVFK", "createdTime": 1669939436652}, {"name": "Meta-Forecasting", "slug": "metaforecasting", "userId": "4w7ZYpvZ3OfE0A8fuWttBVZWvRR2", "groupId": "aWVjDvevw8dDKKbURvgx", "... | ["reciprocal-scoring", "climate", "technology-default", "metaforecasting", "predictions-on-predictions", "economics-default"] | 0.5 | 1669948764747 | 1669932437810 | 0.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.16903112494064493 | d6Ub5j7besIsESg7Rxlc | {"NO": 529.8045979113191, "YES": 4499.422901255256} | 0 | will-spotify-or-apple-music-deplatf | 7052.8476704681125 | Will Spotify or Apple Music deplatform Kanye West? | 1704063540000 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.0493496365550832 | True | play | NO | public | 1669933461954 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve to YES, if by the end of 2023, at least one of these platforms will delete the majority of Kanye West's music, so it's no longer available to stream or download.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704175631834 | 810 | itsTomekK | 1704175689427 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 42 | 0 | 1 | 29 | [{"name": "Kanye", "slug": "kanye", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "LIVuozNRWEB0iKRb4omD", "createdTime": 1669939361077}, {"name": "Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1669933462594}, {... | ["entertainment", "kanye", "apple", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1704002817883 | 1704175688780 | 0.02 | b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
lCKD8YXGPoau14x7f9ks | who-will-be-ranked-the-most-expensi | 634.0925922213409 | Which city be ranked the most expensive city in EIU’s Worldwide Cost of Living Survey in 2023? | 1701475140000 | 1S3tsifD6kTYTIGEF2zEsIeEE7v2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.68918374595193 | True | play | MKT | public | 1669935711919 | Mae Polé | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "EIU reported that the cost of living in New York City was ranked the most expensive city on . Next year, which country will dominate EIU's rankings? ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://www.eiu.com/n/n... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1701657258308 | 879.9999999999998 | MaePole | 1701657245996 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0abgk9-5BMcT8OLNL2P15srXmgzN8EsnSTAylaiA=s96-c | 13 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "ba293aa7f85e", "prob": 0.023675383669344203, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.27036461115570454, "userId": "1S3tsifD6kTYTIGEF2zEsIeEE7v2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 11.149286066175579, "textFts": "", "contractId": "lCKD8YXGPoau14x7f9ks", "createdTime": 1669935712299, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week":... | 1 | 6 | [{"name": "World", "slug": "world-default", "userId": "1S3tsifD6kTYTIGEF2zEsIeEE7v2", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1669935712188}, {"name": "OURO Discord", "slug": "ouro-discord", "userId": "1S3tsifD6kTYTIGEF2zEsIeEE7v2", "groupId": "e6g9mdhLg7LnMFsqlYVv", "createdTime": 1669935722334}, {"name": "A... | ["world-default", "ouro-discord", "ancient-markets"] | 0.0895486009986944 | 1701475056792 | 1701657244004 | {"25af61db79cb": 50, "58563e4c50a7": 50} | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49080792793016703 | ClFBVsbeOSB3VeAbiaXn | {"NO": 280.3274536315602, "YES": 259.61003276821003} | 0 | positive-ev-bet-1-day-75b6b3a983b7 | 608.5763118914549 | Positive EV bet (1 Day) | 1670036400000 | q686a2oLqzeC28I5WKa5hOufEXs1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.0800106692273971 | True | play | NO | public | 1669936139440 | Gamble market | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "After closing, I will call @FairlyRandom to randomly generate a number from 1 to 2. If 1 is rolled, the market resolves to Yes. if 2 is rolled, the market resolves to No. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "I... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670041302184 | 270 | Gamble_market | 1670041263421 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 13 | [{"name": "FairlyRandom", "slug": "fairlyrandom", "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "groupId": "J8Z1KAZV31icklA4tgJW", "createdTime": 1669948549999}, {"name": "Gambling", "slug": "gambling", "userId": "q686a2oLqzeC28I5WKa5hOufEXs1", "groupId": "PqwKmXzv3O7b1ICBAZ4H", "createdTime": 1669936144163}, {"name": "Non... | ["gambling", "fairlyrandom", "nonpredictive-profits"] | 0.5 | False | 1670027681645 | 1670041261500 | 0.5099999999999996 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7358319851005222 | YvlRNShBhTIV7frnlJaq | {"NO": 17970.71930551658, "YES": 43.17176749224129} | 1 | will-henry-kissinger-die-in-2023 | 38255.3927319731 | Will Henry Kissinger die in 2023? | 1701327160338 | 1S3tsifD6kTYTIGEF2zEsIeEE7v2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.7758178854979754 | True | play | YES | public | 1669936367009 | Mae Polé | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve \"Yes\" if Henry Kissinger dies between 1st January 2023 and December 31st 2023.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Will resolve \"No\" if Henry Kissinger is not dead by December 31st 2023 23:59 ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1701327160338 | 945 | MaePole | 1701324340949 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0abgk9-5BMcT8OLNL2P15srXmgzN8EsnSTAylaiA=s96-c | 1 | 62 | 0 | 20 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "1S3tsifD6kTYTIGEF2zEsIeEE7v2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1669936367668}, {"name": "OURO Discord", "slug": "ouro-discord", "userId": "1S3tsifD6kTYTIGEF2zEsIeEE7v2", "groupId": "e6g9mdhLg7LnMFsqlYVv", "createdTime": 1669936441576}] | ["politics-default", "ouro-discord"] | 0.5 | 1701316514120 | 1701324340219 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.025 | 8Rrd8S1yrekCX4qoidNW | {"NO": 250, "YES": 250} | 0.025 | what-age-will-ted-kaczynski-be-when | 0 | What age will Ted Kaczynski be when he dies? | 1669936727467 | 1S3tsifD6kTYTIGEF2zEsIeEE7v2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.301966200722049 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1669936680590 | Mae Polé | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Ted Kaczynski also know as the \"Unabomber\" is currently 80 years old. What age do you think the Unabomber will be when he finally dies? ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Will resolve upon his death with h... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669936727467 | 250 | MaePole | 1669936844248 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0abgk9-5BMcT8OLNL2P15srXmgzN8EsnSTAylaiA=s96-c | 0 | 0 | 2 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "1S3tsifD6kTYTIGEF2zEsIeEE7v2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1669936681140}] | ["politics-default"] | 0.025 | 1669936841924 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.2818107142334808 | sBsq3MOWfB3BnvsBc4Rw | {"NO": 87.23368299221488, "YES": 1489.5879145675256} | 0 | will-the-san-antonio-spurs-make-the-cb723f28aeb5 | 2270.2788544958516 | Will the San Antonio Spurs make the playoffs for the 2022-2023 NBA season? | 1678406067308 | VdbwzTgpBYV2lY2aw5T6m4ISbAD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.800683591550272 | True | play | NO | public | 1669988771037 | prognostic8r | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve 'YES' if the San Antonio Spurs make the playoffs for the 2022-2023 NBA season. If the San Antonio Spurs qualify for the Play-In Tournament but do not advance to the Playoffs, this market will resolve 'NO'. ", "type": "text"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1678406067308 | 210 | prognostic8r | 1710222984114 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 8 | [{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi"}, {"name": "NBA", "slug": "nba", "groupId": "i0v3cXwuxmO9fpcInVYb"}] | ["sports-default", "nba"] | 0.5 | 1678056602211 | 1669988836919 | 0.02 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.19401855869883913 | vveqx0hu7QwpO1byaWRd | {"NO": 132.3820949312877, "YES": 1489.125587870481} | 0 | will-the-detroit-pistons-make-the-p | 2484.196206267386 | Will the Detroit Pistons make the playoffs for the 2022-2023 NBA season? | 1678484266088 | VdbwzTgpBYV2lY2aw5T6m4ISbAD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.9808300546980173 | True | play | NO | public | 1669988834547 | prognostic8r | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve 'YES' if the Detroit Pistons make the playoffs for the 2022-2023 NBA season. If the Detroit Pistons qualify for the Play-In Tournament but do not advance to the Playoffs, this market will resolve 'NO'. ", "type": "text"}, {... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1678484266088 | 230 | prognostic8r | 1710222988662 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10 | [{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi"}, {"name": "NBA", "slug": "nba", "groupId": "i0v3cXwuxmO9fpcInVYb"}] | ["sports-default", "nba"] | 0.5 | 1678056593037 | 1669988944856 | 0.02 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.19398254830613448 | 3XUN8vIC3EOzNBCdtPFR | {"NO": 189.19218885560605, "YES": 1850.4745383836537} | 0 | will-the-houston-rockets-make-the-p | 2772.1388207326927 | Will the Houston Rockets make the playoffs for the 2022-2023 NBA season? | 1678406137531 | VdbwzTgpBYV2lY2aw5T6m4ISbAD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.2527521508469417 | True | play | NO | public | 1669988896418 | prognostic8r | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve 'YES' if the Houston Rockets make the playoffs for the 2022-2023 NBA season. If the Houston Rockets qualify for the Play-In Tournament but do not advance to the Playoffs, this market will resolve 'NO'. ", "type": "text"}, {... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1678406137531 | 330 | prognostic8r | 1710222937605 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 12 | [{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi"}, {"name": "Basketball", "slug": "basketball", "groupId": "NjkFkdkvRvBHoeMDQ5NB"}, {"name": "NBA", "slug": "nba", "groupId": "i0v3cXwuxmO9fpcInVYb"}] | ["sports-default", "basketball", "nba"] | 0.5 | 1678406123636 | 1669988943414 | False | 0.02 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.28207763574835737 | wvqnH8ivlqY2CysEd2Sr | {"NO": 1936.3484698842574, "YES": 1360.2421951468623} | 0.3586938080040514 | will-ai-create-utopia-for-humans-by | 8807.81321808789 | Will AI create utopia for humans by the year 2100? | 4133980740000 | wBhvAXN7WkNH1USHqU8EL8BTnF72 | cpmm-1 | 0.012142208297873677 | 8.153810414189365 | False | basic | public | 1669989673613 | Writer | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Essential prerequisites of utopia for humans:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "- Aging is abolished for at least 99% of humans.", "type": "text"}]}, ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0.01638884621496156, "month": 0.010978561085166816} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 18.582392765222558, "platformFee": 2.375427087718432, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1775 | Writer | 1719955831169 | 1.1 | 7 | 120 | 3 | 63 | [{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "wBhvAXN7WkNH1USHqU8EL8BTnF72", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1669989674216}, {"name": "Futurism", "slug": "futurism", "userId": "LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2", "groupId": "6UkuV4SnUF3NtbDmfVkV", "createdTime": 1673104669275}] | ["ai", "futurism"] | 0.14079639542790587 | 0.5 | 1719955828068 | 1702663831423 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.11879694684931874 | Ean1HcJKhf4kSuYda1x3 | {"NO": 308.2736075307387, "YES": 181.46399462993494} | 0.12777777777777777 | how-many-minutes-will-it-take-for-t | 30 | How many minutes will it take for the first person to complete Day 3 of Advent of Code? | 1670043600000 | ruICuyLDhbhsg2p1MJI23aVqDrL2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.863081088322886 | True | play | MKT | public | 1669990229095 | Anthony Peterson | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In Day 2 of Adent of Code 2022, the first competitor finished in 2 minutes 38 seconds. in Day 3 of AoC 2021, the first competitor finished in 4 minutes 21 seconds.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Dec 2, 9:10am: ", "... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670046016421 | 290 | AnthonyPeterson | 1710208047753 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJw6Se3lLl7KLNeb0yooHgjcUR78bSawSCd2SznS=s96-c | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | [{"name": "Advent of Code", "slug": "advent-of-code-0b9522d17a3e", "groupId": "48609770-257d-4f66-b641-5d3c09cf6990"}] | ["advent-of-code-0b9522d17a3e"] | 0.1111111111111111 | 1670004827086 | 1670046209344 | 0.12777777777777777 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3543709449082985 | edwkRHxJIZeQ5tXQtIuO | {"NO": 362.1561748312397, "YES": 6990.991860443501} | 0 | will-kanye-west-release-a-new-album | 44749.51869623393 | Will Kanye West release a new album in 2023? | 1704067140000 | mnmwpiiDWwMbWdRvuNtN0fXVsxt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.7100551513385298 | True | basic | NO | public | 1669990392389 | Andrew Hartman | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "While this seems straightforward, note that I will require that the album be successfully released, i.e. it must actually be publicly accessible somehow. I will accept an EP, but not singles. Any other situation should resolve to NO. ", "type": "te... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704203499844 | 1210 | AndrewHartman | 1704203724781 | 0 | 1 | 109 | 0 | 1 | 8 | [{"name": "Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "userId": "mnmwpiiDWwMbWdRvuNtN0fXVsxt1", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1669990393080}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "mnmwpiiDWwMbWdRvuNtN0fXVsxt1", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 16699... | ["entertainment", "us-politics", "music-f213cbf1eab5", "celebrities", "kanye", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1704064805567 | 1704203724080 | False | 0.03 | mnmwpiiDWwMbWdRvuNtN0fXVsxt1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8547851917122801 | W563gk6YOoqvtfcYtDxc | {"NO": 43592.1640302581, "YES": 486.7767056860466} | 1 | will-indian-population-surpass-chin | 51110.9125293826 | Will Indian population surpass China by end of 2023? | 1691698832501 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.3124791805275997 | True | basic | YES | public | 1669994472171 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1691698832501 | 1000 | AmmonLam | 1691701323437 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 48 | 0 | 36 | [{"name": "World", "slug": "world-default", "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1669994472921}] | ["world-default"] | 0.5 | 1691640655724 | 1691701319438 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7518168276265754 | pxdax4JkkHfpjKh0i0zI | {"NO": 470.86573707866813, "YES": 708.8141498824602} | 0.6680337244847584 | fulcrum-damianluck925-stock-permane | 4200.800255353165 | Fulcrum (Damianluck925) Stock (Permanent) | 33217163036430 | 1eyF3ElUxhTZl4WU0PQiwD7IMOD2 | cpmm-1 | 0.021228034482164957 | 8.769403514559764 | False | play | public | 1669995067020 | Zion | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Faded than a hoe ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Faded than a hoe ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Faded than a hoe", "type": "text"}]}]} | STONK | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 660 | Zion | 1713584863294 | 1.1 | 33 | 0 | 21 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e"}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50"}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredicti... | ["destinygg", "all-stonks", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"] | 0.1325928091185987 | 0.5 | False | False | 1707111360290 | 1670367812909 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.20535067191786346 | elvcpbJu9xZmGfJUNyL1 | {"NO": 1408.9608534086622, "YES": 1309.8183727364615} | 0.21751314472545893 | will-yudkowsky-agree-that-his-death | 47154.0655505724 | Will Yudkowsky agree that his "death with dignity" post overstated the risk of extinction from AI, by end of 2029? | 1893455940000 | sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1 | cpmm-1 | 0.0062428715310341686 | 7.027905880112597 | False | basic | public | 1669996463184 | Martin Randall | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if he agrees with this publicly. Otherwise, at market close, I'll ask him somehow, and resolve based on the answer. Resolves N/A if he doesn't answer me.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"t... | BINARY | {"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": 0.0675131447254588} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 42.819687188827075, "platformFee": 15.200365336717253, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1415 | MartinRandall | 1718912510359 | 1.1 | 1 | 94 | 0 | 41 | [{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1669996464833}, {"name": "AI Doom", "slug": "ai-doom", "groupId": "UIAZgEDhRk62eZLK9SXB", "createdTime": 1687053473170}] | ["ai", "ai-doom"] | 0.14964790697659097 | 0.5 | 1718912507310 | 1713917695733 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.19948153016058093 | kP38f8oJom6vI87TSwBN | {"NO": 423.45289791532934, "YES": 221.34490403913122} | 0.32282533855447415 | predangel-stock | 3076.193610684314 | Predangel Stock | 33217163036441 | lP1e2cDImdOd0sbnEiJUEEuMaGr2 | cpmm-1 | 7.69547959311662e-16 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1669996512805 | yoyoman | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ... | STONK | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 390 | yoyoman | 1713585154097 | 1.1 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 15 | [{"name": "nopixel", "slug": "nopixel", "userId": "lP1e2cDImdOd0sbnEiJUEEuMaGr2", "groupId": "hINCpWSbfO6eG3LRMNhU", "createdTime": 1670001027278}, {"name": "Kyle", "slug": "kyle", "userId": "lP1e2cDImdOd0sbnEiJUEEuMaGr2", "groupId": "GotaUAJTbXxgZLx3X2hT", "createdTime": 1669996512997}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "... | ["kyle", "nopixel", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"] | 0.13914662955515691 | 0.5 | False | False | 1688559353714 | 1669996565519 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.6698415433950141 | ehpXqWE2KuCa4ixLlZQy | {"NO": 266.54972568416713, "YES": 445.6962150441739} | 0.548197800088435 | prada-stock-0f6ca70aa477 | 7052.20855084688 | Prada Stock | 33217163036441 | lP1e2cDImdOd0sbnEiJUEEuMaGr2 | cpmm-1 | 0.005045416810442385 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1669996763787 | yoyoman | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ... | STONK | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 390 | yoyoman | 1713585073342 | 1.1 | 20 | 0 | 16 | [{"name": "nopixel", "slug": "nopixel", "userId": "lP1e2cDImdOd0sbnEiJUEEuMaGr2", "groupId": "hINCpWSbfO6eG3LRMNhU", "createdTime": 1670001014009}, {"name": "Kyle", "slug": "kyle", "userId": "lP1e2cDImdOd0sbnEiJUEEuMaGr2", "groupId": "GotaUAJTbXxgZLx3X2hT", "createdTime": 1669996763960}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "... | ["kyle", "nopixel", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"] | 0.13149427222831325 | 0.5 | False | False | 1688373058910 | 1669996805121 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.30086079131066573 | vQC4u5hJJBntZ9WH8JbB | {"NO": 311.9542391324659, "YES": 3900.107434547432} | 0 | will-any-streaming-service-pull-kan | 9447.14755006817 | Will any streaming service pull Kanye West's music before the end of 2023? | 1704067140000 | TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.9604125815646465 | True | play | NO | public | 1670009054656 | BRTD | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704160212033 | 755 | BRTD | 1704160212243 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrsylYlJ6d2kI1TVD_JFz7OE98nlyJDg62SpkONuA=s96-c | 1 | 39 | 0 | 1 | 20 | [{"name": "Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "userId": "TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1670009055467}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703130135792... | ["entertainment", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1704000771003 | 1692179418194 | 0.03 | TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6796524740192686 | K3H3c69vSaW5NieGb2RI | {"NO": 243.99148737512044, "YES": 113.44833431333217} | 0.8202380286511003 | drdisrespect-stock-permanent | 2474.071848986413 | DrDisrespect stock (Permanent) | 33217163036413 | flSHQ6wvpYU7W5V32WzOPnz8lyI3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.673323267171492 | False | play | public | 1670009477998 | Dani Qin | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | STONK | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 150 | DaniQin | 1716338372326 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2LCuvyJJOzPRg8uZHd-5WLb6NvEJtjm_ifaiVm=s96-c | 8 | 0 | 7 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e", "createdTime": 1716338372326}] | ["destinygg", "all-stonks"] | 0.5 | 1676400001296 | 1670009577108 | flSHQ6wvpYU7W5V32WzOPnz8lyI3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5239291566845107 | B2n2o0w03HwuujrFnJ7n | {"NO": 409.34303264911944, "YES": 269.2937392067577} | 0.6258702850073276 | what-will-be-the-final-net-irr-for-63520b46fcd3 | 2032.7979244271448 | What will be the final net IRR for Carlyle Partners VIII? (X100) | 2240639940000 | 4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1670010346734 | Carson Gale | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves per Preqin at fund liquidation. Market close may be extended to accommodate the ultimate fund term. The final % answer will be multiplied by 100 for purposes of this market. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 330 | CarsonGale | 1683537358683 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | [{"name": "Fund Performance Forecasting", "slug": "fund-performance-forecasting", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "7bOJDvQzInompgvmPjRW", "createdTime": 1670359161750}, {"name": "Private Markets", "slug": "private-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "CR3uuSLahQOT5w9K6DMy"... | ["private-markets", "fund-performance-forecasting", "carsons-important-markets", "ancient-markets"] | 0.5 | 1683537358542 | 1670010415755 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5894562968934878 | 8NTJvDbtmjjMoOIcBwcJ | {"NO": 140.07110162649263, "YES": 30.0514104382329} | 1 | will-users-make-5-consecutive-no-be | 107.14028358712672 | Will users make 5 consecutive NO bets on this market? | 1670016132787 | KWPeZvwJRqP0uvKGvI6S1F6AOmh2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.4825250938318035 | True | play | YES | public | 1670010885039 | LukeW | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670016132787 | 70 | LukeW | 1670016104648 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | [{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "KWPeZvwJRqP0uvKGvI6S1F6AOmh2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1670010885313}] | ["fun"] | 0.5 | 1670012508877 | 1670016102141 | 0.8700000000000001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6244058607551505 | c51RBiy5p394TPrkYFjn | {"NO": 182.14275931367794, "YES": 102.50674543201154} | 1 | will-us-medium-gloves-fit-me | 1664.7693403959572 | Will US Medium gloves fit me? | 1670284740000 | vJBqfkBNMyNkhynhKtCOHuovGbY2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.513575676982845 | True | play | YES | public | 1670011077849 | Mike Blume | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Just ordered ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B09HXNLM8Z?pldnSite=1&th=1&psc=1", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B09HXNLM8Z?pldnSite=1&th=1&psc=1", "clas... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670361465481 | 130 | MichaelBlume | 1670246805011 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gi5v7H-1kFkIa9wgaAZZ6vxS4zu6qCzfHKTitxBwg=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0.5 | 1670246804813 | 1670011117204 | 0.747090308296333 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.06210633710507996 | WeiYxCcg0ksP6Vwj5ipr | {"NO": 531.0076270106398, "YES": 3481.1141809862393} | 0 | will-google-acquire-twitter-by-eoy | 6637.5199405010235 | Will Google acquire Twitter by EOY 2023? | 1704095940000 | VfvvoZdf0nZ6zM63ogTgeuPWSSo1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.5731087102854304 | True | play | NO | public | 1670011961246 | Johnny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves positively if a joint press release announces Google intent to acquire Twitter, with price. The deal does not need to actually close (for instance, failing due to regulatory issues will not prevent positive resolution of the ma... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704144634590 | 630 | TheSkeward | 1704144634982 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gj4aU69N8prXAd7lwmlS3dHW-lp_SfATAlIRGkJtg=s96-c | 1 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 20 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "VfvvoZdf0nZ6zM63ogTgeuPWSSo1", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1670011962050}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1701133669713}] | ["us-politics", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1696857368612 | 1670012729944 | 0.01 | VfvvoZdf0nZ6zM63ogTgeuPWSSo1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.38005689043285484 | OVDeecjQvmtKGah4uaNe | {"NO": 71.07652063431844, "YES": 194.23922589405848} | 0 | will-amala-ekpunobi-conversation-wi | 110 | Will Amala Ekpunobi conversation with Destiny be her most viewed videos | 1670025540000 | EyAyloXnq8WYfLUBLlkdlyOSDkD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.981015998665056 | True | play | NO | public | 1670011980963 | Jonas Kamper | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Amala Ekpunobi dropped her first video of her conversation with Destiny ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5HZM1uhTChI", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5HZM1u... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670050417683 | 110 | JonasKamper | 1670085201560 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3dE1TOR5EXE5vPxyAXnG5pDch9NHPidbMLwas9e8o=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | [{"name": "Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "userId": "EyAyloXnq8WYfLUBLlkdlyOSDkD3", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1670011981553}, {"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "ps3zKQSRuzLJVMzDQMAOlCDFRgG2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 16700206... | ["entertainment", "destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1670023068658 | 1670085198411 | 0.18322627519761828 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3769943002509502 | BDG37Kxo1jlIszYHtvrU | {"NO": 474.5230768882385, "YES": 1098.3038296749107} | 0 | will-there-be-a-major-incident-duri | 3200.560842481299 | Will there be a major "incident" during the canvassing? | 1670370448498 | kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.6471194993917289 | True | play | NO | public | 1670012067338 | GAZE WITHIN | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Obviously this is super subjective so I won't be betting on this. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670370448498 | 670 | destiny | 1670370447128 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 32 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1670012067741}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1670280946149 | 1670370443245 | 0.20725730733911274 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.545775907863847 | clH31RXoPRmSgol7U6d6 | {"NO": 463.90632710267096, "YES": 271.4156914958051} | 0.6725296940415861 | what-will-be-the-final-net-irr-for-eae9bfbeb128 | 2148.292645866911 | What will be the final net IRR for Berkshire Fund X? (X100) | 2240639940000 | 4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1670012572460 | Carson Gale | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves per Preqin at fund liquidation. Market close may be extended to accommodate the ultimate fund term. The final % answer will be multiplied by 100 for purposes of this market. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 2.220446049250313e-16, "week": 2.220446049250313e-16, "month": 2.220446049250313e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 350 | CarsonGale | 1684764694194 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "Fund Performance Forecasting", "slug": "fund-performance-forecasting", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "7bOJDvQzInompgvmPjRW", "createdTime": 1670359161750}, {"name": "Private Markets", "slug": "private-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "CR3uuSLahQOT5w9K6DMy"... | ["private-markets", "fund-performance-forecasting", "carsons-important-markets", "ancient-markets"] | 0.5 | 1684764692868 | 1670012686685 |
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