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will-the-sp-500-close-the-year-2022

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1672435800000

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0.8835796572089234

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1670167598641

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will-the-sp-500-close-above-4000-at

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cpmm-1

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1.2062127764421828

True

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1670167961253

BCG

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BruceGrugett

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1672103981757

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0.32

will-china-reach-1m-daily-covid-cas

2913.279613394179

Will China report 1M daily Covid Cases by March 31, 2023?

1672187218756

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cpmm-1

0

0.9426497422425584

True

play

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1670168520698

Andy Martin

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How many people will fill in the African EA Summit feedback form

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4.3944491546724365

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1670171247050

Jojo

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will-it-be-publicly-reported-before

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will-any-democratic-party-local-cha

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Will any Democratic Party local chapter (officially affiliated with the state and national party) openly mandate use of "Latinx" in public statements and press releases before the end of 2023?

1704067140000

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cpmm-1

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1.426954476595498

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NO

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will-any-democratic-party-federal-o

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Will any Democratic Party federal office holders in addition to Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-AZ) openly announce that they have prohibited their staff from using "Latinx" in public communications before the end of 2023?

1670514941875

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cpmm-1

0

4.3944491546724365

True

play

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public

1670172489980

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{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Rep. Gallego already has. This market resolves YES if another such office holder does.", "type": "text"}]}]}

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1670514941875

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will-i-end-the-semester-with-a-37-g

85

Will I end the semester with a 4.0 GPA?

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cpmm-1

0

3.126375532285256

True

play

YES

public

1670172612260

Andrew

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will-a-blue-check-twitter-account-c

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Will a blue check Twitter account created on or prior to September 2022 unironically state that criticism of Kanye West is "white supremacy" or "white supremacist" before the end of 2023?

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cpmm-1

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2.3739407526757215

True

play

NO

public

1670172760753

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{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Statement must clearly be non-sarcastic and in good faith. Account age is required to predate Elon Musk's takeover of Twitter.", "type": "text"}]}]}

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will-raphael-warnock-receive-over-6

112.50823837245011

Will Raphael Warnock receive over 60% of the vote in Gwinnett County, GA in the December 6 Senate runoffs?

1670371200000

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cpmm-1

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2.5863190514754537

True

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YES

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will-cea-announce-insolvency-before

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Will CEA announce insolvency before the end 2025?

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10.483828170935197

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1670173698302

GeorgeVii

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will-scott-alexander-scott-siskind

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Will Scott Alexander (Scott Siskind, psychiatrist and writer) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

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cpmm-1

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10.586609649448985

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1670174044622

Scrooge McDuck

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will-the-speaker-of-the-house-be-el

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Scrooge McDuck

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Will the marketcap of USDT be above $65 Billion on December 31st 2023

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[planecrash][rot13]Qvq Xrygunz qryvorengryl neenatr sbe Puryvnk gb qrgrezvar uvf vaibyirzrag va gur Juvfcrejbbq vapvqrag?

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Will DeSantis announce a running mate by June 2024?

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Eliezer Yudkowsky is impressed by a machine learning model, and believes that the model may be very helpful for alignment research, by the end of 2026

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Will I believe that I got Covid from EAGxBerkeley?

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