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0.32649775581379525
rzpvmNgwAuCp8XGkdqGk
{"NO": 102.2567502886163, "YES": 183.37937105204693}
0.2127985045705928
will-my-next-side-project-be-rust-b
270.4114337817878
Will my next side project be Rust bindings for Manifold Markets?
1677628740000
k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2
cpmm-1
0
2.735210037160293
True
play
CANCEL
public
1670482191321
Olivia🏳️‍⚧️
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2023-02-28 6:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
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1704904856183
130
LivInTheLookingGlass
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0
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https://firebasestorage.…179-01c56e47bd14
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1704904850619
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0.27566865979807686
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{"NO": 98.1547199364718, "YES": 182.38557114796288}
0.16999999999999982
will-my-next-side-project-be-a-rust
672.6692674543012
Will my next side project be a Rust implementation of the Project Euler problems I've solved?
1677628740000
k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2
cpmm-1
0
3.15188327474419
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play
CANCEL
public
1670482194561
Olivia🏳️‍⚧️
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2023-02-28 6:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}
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1704906261612
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LivInTheLookingGlass
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https://firebasestorage.…74e-4407497b9d97
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0
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https://firebasestorage.…1ea-24815c468ec9
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[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1670483123627}, {"name": "Olivia", "slug": "olivia", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "7Bei00FPrD7qAX3aaDQz", "createdTime": 1670483120473}, {"name": "Pro...
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0.5
1676979764720
1704906257926
0.17
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
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{"NO": 44.82934193773621, "YES": 240.00000000000003}
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will-my-next-side-project-be-a-choo
150
Will my next side project be a Choose Your Own Adventure board that works via ActivityPub?
1677628740000
k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2
cpmm-1
0
3.5645984970916125
True
play
CANCEL
public
1670482197531
Olivia🏳️‍⚧️
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As described in this thread: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://tech.lgbt/@LivInTheLookingGlass/109464539859530414", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://tech.lgbt/@LivInTheLookingGlass/109464539859530414", "clas...
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LivInTheLookingGlass
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will-my-next-side-project-be-to-mak
161.79564218130903
Will my next side project be to make automated markets for the completion of Humanitarian OpenStreetMap Team's projects?
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cpmm-1
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2.8737368428686048
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play
CANCEL
public
1670482200168
Olivia🏳️‍⚧️
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a group that makes sure emergency responders to natural disasters have accurate maps of the new terrain. Often this means tagging all of the roadways in their current state, as well as homes, and infrastructure", "type": "text"}]}, {"type":...
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LivInTheLookingGlass
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will-my-next-side-project-be-adding
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Will my next side project be adding incremental ActivityPub support to Manifold Markets?
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cpmm-1
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basic
CANCEL
public
1670482630743
Olivia🏳️‍⚧️
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This would happen in incremental steps", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "orderedList", "attrs": {"start": 1}, "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Support for the User object",...
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what-will-my-next-side-project-be
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What will my next side project be?
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k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2
cpmm-multi-1
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True
play
CANCEL
public
1670483288815
Olivia🏳️‍⚧️
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Here are some binary markets of various options. Go wild!", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "gridCardsComponent", "attrs": {"contractIds": "zFa24YQ9zBVnZqM0u0m1,UDx0g0YQylEVksUPwWxL,rzpvmNgwAuCp8XGkdqGk,xveMft8pGNibG0JMP5Ya,35O6tTjSicFruCPFfP3l,pQrXR75...
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[{"name": "Free Money", "slug": "free-money", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "CInny8Cy4Kt2Igl588QV", "createdTime": 1670489984131}, {"name": "Fediverse", "slug": "fediverse", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "eDgkmJd7TbqSU9kPcGJ7", "createdTime": 1670488934834}, {"name": "Manif...
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will-destiny-have-another-15k-strea
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Will Destiny have another 15k stream by the end of 2022?
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cpmm-1
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0.46675960305174735
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NO
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1670488242023
johnleoks
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{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
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1672560210772
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johnleoks
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[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}]
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1672554841320
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{"NO": 163.21698239393143, "YES": 487.80463925269197}
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will-i-receive-any-money-for-work-o
404.72195174058186
Will I receive any money for work on open source software/systems by EoY 2023?
1704067140000
k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2
cpmm-1
0
1.2659258508017615
True
play
CANCEL
public
1670488332585
Olivia🏳️‍⚧️
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if I get any income, even from a tip", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Dec 8, 3:32am: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will I receive any money for work on open source software by EoY 2023?", "type": "text",...
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1704906431904
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LivInTheLookingGlass
1704906432161
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https://firebasestorage.…74e-4407497b9d97
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0
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[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1670488346012}, {"name": "Olivia", "slug": "olivia", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "7Bei00FPrD7qAX3aaDQz", "createdTime": 1670488341487}, {"name": "Pro...
["olivia", "personal-goals", "programming", "ancient-markets", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]
0.5
1703951034371
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{"NO": 170.32625045489272, "YES": 426.10593733802034}
0.21125482405534116
will-i-receive-any-money-for-work-o-53788c7569b9
350.10160716391545
Will I receive consistent money for work on open source software/systems by EoY 2023?
1704067140000
k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2
cpmm-1
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1.503358605989125
True
play
CANCEL
public
1670488483028
Olivia🏳️‍⚧️
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if I get ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "consistent", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": " income. It must be at least one donor, who donates for at least one quarter. Note that if I get a donation in December, I wi...
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{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
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1704906450787
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LivInTheLookingGlass
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[{"name": "Olivia", "slug": "olivia", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "7Bei00FPrD7qAX3aaDQz", "createdTime": 1670488490554}, {"name": "Programming", "slug": "programming", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "PZJMbrLekgJBy7OOBKGT", "createdTime": 1670488483350}, {"name": "Personal ...
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Will Tumblr be fediblocked by a majority of the top 10 Mastodon instances by MAU, 6 months after implementation?
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k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2
cpmm-1
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9.452105153431717
False
basic
public
1670489329016
Olivia🏳️‍⚧️
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Note: this is conditional on Tumblr implementing ActivityPub support. If that doesn't happen before close, this market will resolve N/A", "type": "text"}]}]}
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0
1000
LivInTheLookingGlass
1704141474310
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https://firebasestorage.…74e-4407497b9d97
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0
https://firebasestorage.…274-133ba1819574
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[{"name": "Twitter", "slug": "twitter", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1670489365214}, {"name": "Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1670489350381}, {"name": "Interne...
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will-grimes-issue-a-statement-on-ab
614.7057214968306
Will Grimes issue a statement on abolishing shrimp suffering in 2022?
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cpmm-1
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2.2824599027293107
True
play
NO
public
1670490272070
42irrationalist
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will provide more thorough description over the coming days.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A tweet by Grimes counts as a statement.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "pa...
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1672642980015
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42irrationalist
1671435358795
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https://firebasestorage.…efc-d35e6e490ade
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1
https://firebasestorage.…b01-5043bb614086
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[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "rybxBG1YfkbcoDfXsFf2QZop9ws1", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1670490273227}]
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1671435358606
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will-i-think-that-alignment-is-no-l
5316.312262283571
Will I think that alignment is no longer "preparadigmatic" by the start of 2026?
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cpmm-1
0.022389763218280647
5.956599042134756
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basic
public
1670490532105
Leo Gao
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will-valinor-unfuck-its-home-theate
4204.755093230497
Will Valinor unfuck its home theater situation by the end of January?
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vJBqfkBNMyNkhynhKtCOHuovGbY2
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0.3502793825302615
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YES
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1670518450239
Mike Blume
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1.6800574322006225
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NO
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1670518754807
Brian T. Edwards
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1679810003905
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https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c
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https://firebasestorage.…a0e-94c31e33373c
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1679809996898
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For what set was Logan's first prerelease?
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cpmm-multi-1
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4.950453801175342
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1670519379785
Logan Woerner
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
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https://firebasestorage.…e37-c25cb10b5c64
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1670526208003
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will-donald-trump-ever-be-president
13436.723748776865
Will Donald Trump ever be president again?
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e7vQaQHWrcRixDLP03bqnfAU7wa2
cpmm-1
1.539095918623324e-16
4.137075318375084
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1670520336745
zzq
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if Donald Trump once more becomes president of the United States. It resolves NO if he dies without having been president again.", "type": "text"}]}]}
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will-republicans-win-the-senate-in-738388924521
128.1844312100766
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
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10.586609649448985
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1670522848467
Andrew G
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if after the 2026 United States elections members of the Republican party have won at least 51 seats in the Senate, or 50 seats with a Republican Vice President for tie-breaking purposes. Resolves NO otherwise.", "type": "text"}]}, {"t...
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Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2028 elections?
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cpmm-1
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10.586609649448985
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1670522923947
Andrew G
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if after the 2028 United States elections members of the Republican party have won at least 51 seats in the Senate, or 50 seats with a Republican Vice President for tie-breaking purposes. Resolves NO otherwise.", "type": "text"}]}, {"t...
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{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
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110
AndrewG
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https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c
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will-anyone-on-twitter-make-a-credi
130.3890188020126
Will anyone on Twitter make a credible claim that I am arguing for something in bad faith by the end of 2025?
1767254340000
4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1
cpmm-1
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10.586609649448985
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play
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1670522971632
Carson Gale
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://twitter.com/galestorm94/status/1600630650192957440?s=20&t=FUVrYI7G0PAK9Z9fJ4SG6g", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/galestorm94/status/1600630650192957440?s=20&t=FUVrYI7G0PAK9Z9fJ4SG6g", "cla...
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150
CarsonGale
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https://firebasestorage.…ff3-a1fc33070eae
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Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2030 elections?
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cpmm-1
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9.620285430946431
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1670522991863
Andrew G
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if after the 2030 United States elections members of the Republican party have won at least 51 seats in the Senate, or 50 seats with a Republican Vice President for tie-breaking purposes. Resolves NO otherwise.", "type": "text"}]}, {"t...
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{"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16}
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{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
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1000
AndrewG
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will-the-live-cattle-stock-price-on
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Will the live cattle stock price on the nasdaq close above $152.200 by the end of today (8/12/22)?
1670545931447
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cpmm-1
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2.061330467116014
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play
YES
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1670524752172
Mark Man
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The link: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/commodities/le", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/commodities/le", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}...
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1670545931447
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MarkMan
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will-anyone-be-able-to-make-chatgpt
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cpmm-1
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2.540260650313082
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YES
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1670525534411
Gustavo Mafra
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1670532779428
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GustavoMafra
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cpmm-multi-1
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MKT
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1670526341241
Mark Blower
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Each of the sets listed has some significance to me, but which prerelease was the first I attended in person?", "type": "text"}]}]}
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1670548567849
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1.035390042132342
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1670526546728
Smeth
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0.7598875551990458
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1670527532212
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4.3944491546724365
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1670530235583
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